AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 7 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:47 UTC

Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 45 · price 0.69272

Lower highs, base building above session low.

AUDUSD sold off through the NY-Asia transition, sliding from 0.6941 to a session low of 0.6919 before stabilising in a tight 0.6920-0.6928 base on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold toward the mid-40s; price is pinned to EMA20 but still under EMA50, keeping the near-term structure soft.

Support: 0.69194, 0.69243

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.69409

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69325 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.69194 session low confirms downside continuation
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone and this range

23:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 0.69272

Lower lows into base near session low.

AUDUSD slid through the NY-Asia transition to a session low at 0.69194 and is now basing in a tight 0.6920-0.6928 range on thin late-Asia volume. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows into the low-40s as selling stalls, but price stays below EMA20/50.

Support: 0.69194, 0.69243

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.69409

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69325 negates the lower-low sequence
  • Loss of 0.69194 confirms continuation lower
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this range

23:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 0.69271

Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.

AUDUSD broke down through the 0.6935 shelf after the NY close, printing a session low of 0.69194 before a low-volume Asian-session recovery back to 0.69271. Chain of lower highs intact; RSI(14) near 44 as the bounce lacks conviction on thin flow.

Support: 0.69194, 0.6917

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.6944

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69325 breaks the lower-high chain and invalidates the downtrend read
  • Failure to hold 0.69194 opens a lower low toward 0.6917
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD direction

23:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 41 · price 0.69271

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

AUDUSD ground lower through NY hours, slipping from 0.6959 to a session low at 0.69194 before a shallow bounce to 0.69271 in thin late-session trade. Lower highs stayed intact and RSI(14) is recovering from the low 30s; the pair remains in the broad 0.6870–0.6980 consolidation flagged in the macro read, with no fresh catalyst.

Support: 0.69194, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.69405

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69325 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 0.69194 opens the path toward 0.6900
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone materially

23:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 42 · price 0.69259

Lower highs, range break then consolidation.

AUDUSD broke down through 0.6930 late NY into the Asia open, tagging a session low of 0.69194 before basing around 0.6926 on thinning volume. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42 — soft after the drop, not yet oversold.

Support: 0.69194, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6931, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6931 swing high would neutralise the downside break
  • Failure to hold 0.69194 session low confirms a lower low toward 0.6900 psych
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reprice the USD leg and shift this read

23:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 0.69259

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Late NY sold AUDUSD from 0.6941 down to a session low of 0.69194, breaking the 0.6933 range floor as USD held its DXY 100.90 bid. Price is now consolidating around 0.6926 into the Asia open with RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s; the broken floor at 0.6933 is the immediate area to watch for retest.

Support: 0.69194, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69328, 0.69423

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6933 negates the breakdown
  • Loss of 0.69194 opens the path toward the 0.6900 pivot
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift USD direction

23:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 0.69266

Lower highs into session low, now basing.

AUDUSD leaked lower through the NY session, sweeping the session low at 0.69194 before a shallow bounce back to 0.6926. ATR has compressed to ~3 pips into the Asia open with thin volume; price is basing just under the descending resistance while USD stays firm around DXY 100.90.

Support: 0.69194, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.6942

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69325 swing high would break the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 0.69194 session low opens the 0.6900 psych level
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow (18:00 UTC) could shift the USD read

23:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 43 · price 0.69266

Lower low at 0.6919, now consolidating.

Steady grind lower through the NY session took AUDUSD from 0.6950 to a session low at 0.6919 as the USD held firm. Price now consolidates 0.6920-0.6933 in thin Asia trade with RSI in the mid-40s — no reversal signal yet.

Support: 0.69194, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.69405, 0.69544

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69325 breaks the Asia consolidation top
  • Failure to hold 0.69194 opens the 0.6900 psych level
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read

22:47 UTC

Downtrend, extending into Asia · RSI 37 · price 0.69246

Lower highs, lower lows; session low fresh.

AUDUSD ground lower through NY into the Asian session, breaking the 0.6940 prior support to print a session low at 0.6919 on soft-USD-fade flow. Price now drifting at 0.6925 with ATR compressed near 3 pips; sellers capped the bounce at 0.6933 in a clean chain of lower highs.

Support: 0.6919, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6933, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6940 negates the lower-low sequence
  • Break below 0.6919 opens the 0.6900 psych level
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD flow

22:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 37 · price 0.69246

Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.

AUDUSD broke down through 0.6935 during NY afternoon and printed a fresh session low at 0.6919, in line with the softer AUD read as ANZ Job Ads disappointed. Price is now basing just above 0.6920 with RSI(14) near 37; 0.6900 range low is the next reference into thin Asia hours.

Support: 0.6919, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Sustained break below 0.6900 range low opens the 0.6870 zone
  • Reclaim of 0.6935 old support negates the breakdown
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD driver ahead

22:32 UTC

Downtrend, late-session drift · RSI 41 · price 0.69247

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

NY hours pushed AUDUSD lower, breaking 0.6935 and printing a session low at 0.69194 as the softer-USD bid faded on cooling US data. Thin, late/early-Asia flow now with prices stabilising near 0.6924, RSI(14) in the low 40s; the chain of lower highs stays intact.

Support: 0.69194, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.69405

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69194 extends the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 0.69325 needed to challenge the downtrend
  • A break of 0.6900 aligns with the deeper support zone flagged in context
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC the dominant upcoming driver

22:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing at lows · RSI 39 · price 0.69247

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

AUDUSD ground lower through NY hours, breaking down from 0.6940 to a session low of 0.69194 as the USD held firm; price now stalling in a tight 0.6920–0.6925 band on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) near 38 off the lows, no reversal signal yet with 0.6900 psychological support the next line below.

Support: 0.69194, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.6942

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69325 would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 0.69194 opens the path toward 0.6900 psych level
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read

22:17 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lower low · RSI 37 · price 0.69244

Lower highs and lower lows into Asia.

AUDUSD slid through the NY afternoon into Asia, breaking prior support and printing a fresh session low at 0.69194 with RSI(14) near 37. A bounce stalled at 0.69325 before price faded back toward the lows; softer USD tone from the digest hasn't reached this intraday tape, which stays offered.

Support: 0.69194, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.6942

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69194 opens the 0.6900 psych level
  • Reclaim of 0.69325 bounce high needed to stall the lower-low sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD flow

22:02 UTC

Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 34 · price 0.69246

Lower highs, lower lows.

AUDUSD ground to fresh session lows near 0.6920 through late NY, breaking below the 0.6935–0.6942 range as broad USD firmness weighed. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 34, and 0.6900 psych support is the next line into the Asian session.

Support: 0.69194, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.69412

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6900 opens the path toward the 0.6870 zone
  • Reclaim of 0.69325 swing high would negate the latest lower-low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term USD driver

22:02 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows late session · RSI 35 · price 0.69246

Lower highs and lower lows.

AUDUSD broke down from the 0.6935 consolidation through the NY afternoon and pressed fresh session lows at 0.69194, with AUD easing on the soft ANZ Job Ads print while USD held firm. RSI(14) sits near 35, not yet oversold, and the chain of lower highs is intact into thin late-session flow.

Support: 0.69194, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.69412

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69325 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Sustained break of 0.6900 opens the path lower per range extreme
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD flow

21:47 UTC

Downtrend, extending · RSI 32 · price 0.69211

Lower highs, lower lows.

AUDUSD broke down out of the 0.6935–0.6945 range through late NY, sliding to a session low at 0.69207 as a firm USD held ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. A bounce to 0.69325 faded and price is grinding back to the lows on thin early-Asia volume, RSI(14) near 31.

Support: 0.69207, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close below 0.69207 opens the path toward the 0.6900 psych level
  • Reclaim of 0.69325 would ease the lower-low sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver

21:47 UTC

Downtrend, extending into late NY · RSI 34 · price 0.69211

Lower highs, fresh session low.

NY session sold AUD from the 0.6940 shelf to a fresh session low of 0.6921, breaking the mid-window range as the softer-USD bid faded on cooling Aussie data. Volume thinned into the late-NY/Asia handover and price is now grinding toward the 0.6900 psych support flagged in the range read.

Support: 0.69207, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.69409

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69207 opens the path toward 0.6900 psych support
  • Reclaim of 0.69325 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver

21:32 UTC

Downtrend, at session low · RSI 32 · price 0.69211

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.

AUDUSD sold off through the 0.6935 shelf into the late NY / Asia handover, printing a fresh session low at 0.69208 on a third straight down-leg as AUD eased following the soft ANZ Job Ads print. RSI(14) is depressed near 31 and volume is thinning into the session close; a brief 0.69325 bounce was rejected before price faded back to lows.

Support: 0.69208, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.6942

What it said to watch

  • Hold or loss of 0.69208 session low sets the next lower-low
  • Reclaim of 0.69325 bounce high would ease the downside pressure
  • Sub-0.6900 psych break opens the path lower per this week's range

21:32 UTC

Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 33 · price 0.69211

Lower highs, fresh lower low.

AUDUSD sold off through the late NY session into the 0.6920 area, printing a fresh session low at 0.69208 as a firm USD dominated. A brief bounce to 0.69325 was rejected and price has faded back to the lows on thinning volume; RSI(14) sits oversold near 33.

Support: 0.69208, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.69409

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69325 bounce high would ease the downside pressure
  • Break of 0.6900 psych opens the path toward the 0.6870 zone
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major USD catalyst

21:16 UTC

Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 40 · price 0.69271

Lower highs and lower lows.

Late-NY selloff broke the 0.69405 shelf and swept down to a 0.69208 swing low before a shallow bounce to 0.69325 stalled. Price is fading back toward the 0.69243 session low with RSI(14) near 40; sellers still control the intraday structure.

Support: 0.69243, 0.69208

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.69405

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69325 bounce high needed to challenge the broken 0.69405 shelf
  • Loss of 0.69208 swing low extends the lower-low sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD catalyst

21:03 UTC

Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 40 · price 0.69283

Lower highs, fresh session low.

Late NY session sold off through the 0.6940 base and swept to a 0.69208 low as a firmer USD leg took hold. The recovery stalled at 0.69325 and price is fading back to 0.69283 on thinning volume into the Asia handover, holding below EMA20/50.

Support: 0.69208, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6940 would invalidate the lower-high structure
  • Close below 0.69208 opens the path toward 0.6900
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major catalyst

21:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing at lows · RSI 39 · price 0.69283

Range break lower, weak bounce.

Price broke below the 0.6935–0.6942 consolidation into a 0.69208 session low during late NY hours, with the move sitting more on broad USD flow than domestic data. The bounce to 0.69325 faded and price is drifting back toward the lows; RSI(14) mid-range after the drop.

Support: 0.69208, 0.69243

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6940 negates the breakdown
  • Loss of 0.69208 opens the path toward 0.6900
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift USD flow and this read

20:47 UTC

Downtrend, bounce stalling · RSI 39 · price 0.69282

Lower highs, lower lows.

NY session drove AUDUSD lower into a sweep of the session low at 0.69208, then a shallow bounce that stalled at 0.69325 and faded back toward the lows into the late-NY lull. Downtrend structure intact; softer USD post-NFP not enough to lift price, RSI(14) near 39.

Support: 0.69208, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.6942

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69325 breaks the descending swing highs and threatens the downtrend read
  • Break below 0.69208 opens the path toward the 0.6900 psych level
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major USD catalyst

20:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading late · RSI 40 · price 0.69282

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Late NY into Asia handover: AUDUSD broke the 0.6935 shelf and swept the session low to 0.69208 on the softer-USD-vs-cooling-Aussie two-way flow. A shallow bounce to 0.69325 has faded back to 0.6928, leaving price pinned below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling near 40.

Support: 0.69208, 0.69243

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.69402

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69325 bounce high softens the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 0.69208 session low confirms continuation lower
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

20:32 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 39 · price 0.69298

Lower highs and lower lows, swept session low.

Late NY session broke below the 0.6935 shelf and swept the low at 0.69208 before buyers stepped in, price recovering to 0.6930. Move fits a broadly firmer USD despite the softer-NFP backdrop; RSI(14) turning up from oversold near 38 after the flush.

Support: 0.69243, 0.69208, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69442

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and close above 0.6935 negates the breakdown read
  • Loss of 0.69208 sweep low confirms continuation lower toward 0.6900
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow could reset USD flow driving this pair

20:32 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 0.69298

Lower highs into a late-NY flush, holding above session low.

NY session sold off from 0.6941 to a session low of 0.69243, swept a wick to 0.69208, then buyers stepped in twice around 0.6925 to lift back to 0.69325. Price now consolidating near 0.6930 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the 0.6941 prior support flipped to near-term resistance.

Support: 0.69243, 0.69208

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.6941

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69243 confirms a lower low, opening the path toward the 0.6900 psych level
  • Reclaim of 0.6941 prior support neutralises the late-session downdraft
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow could materially shift USD flow driving this read

20:17 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 40 · price 0.69304

Lower highs and lower lows, low swept then recovered.

AUDUSD sold off through NY afternoon on broad USD flow, sweeping below 0.6925 to 0.69208 before buyers stepped in and lifted it back to 0.6932. Price now stalling near the 50% retrace of the down leg with RSI(14) recovering from the mid-30s.

Support: 0.69208, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.69405

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69325 opens the path back toward broken support at 0.69405
  • Failure to hold 0.69208 confirms a lower low toward 0.6900
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term USD driver

20:17 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 37 · price 0.69304

Range break lower, lower low printed.

AUDUSD broke down through the 0.6940 consolidation floor late in the NY session, printing a session low at 0.69208 before a shallow bounce to 0.69325, driven more by a firmer USD than domestic flow. RSI(14) recovering off oversold; price holding below EMA20/50 after the leg lower.

Support: 0.69208, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69325, 0.6942

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.69420 prior floor invalidates the breakdown read
  • Break below 0.69208 session low opens the 0.6900 psych level
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset near-term USD flow

20:02 UTC

Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 38 · price 0.69315

Lower highs, range floor broken.

NY session broke below the 0.69330 floor that capped London, sweeping down to 0.69208 before a modest bounce to 0.69315. RSI(14) near 37 after the drop, price holding under EMA20/50; the broken floor at 0.69330 now sits as overhead resistance.

Support: 0.69243, 0.69208

Resistance: 0.6933, 0.6942

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69330 would invalidate the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 0.69243 reopens 0.69208 and the 0.6900 handle
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD flow

19:47 UTC

Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 35 · price 0.69296

Range break lower, testing session low.

NY session dropped out of the 0.6940–0.6945 consolidation and swept the session low at 0.69208 before a shallow bounce to 0.69296, RSI(14) near 35. The leg lower tracks broader USD firmness while AUD sits near range support; the broken 0.6940 support is now the immediate cap.

Support: 0.69208, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6940 broken support neutralises the breakdown
  • Break and hold below 0.69208 session low exposes the 0.6900 psych level
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD flow and this read

19:47 UTC

Downtrend, late-session selloff · RSI 38 · price 0.69296

Range break lower, minor bounce.

NY session broke the 0.6935 consolidation base and swept to 0.69208 before a shallow bounce to 0.69296, driven by a firmer USD despite soft data. RSI(14) near 38 off the low; price capped below EMA20/50.

Support: 0.69208, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69423

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6935 negates the downside break
  • Loss of 0.69208 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD flow

19:32 UTC

Downtrend, sharp leg lower · RSI 30 · price 0.69267

Range break, fresh lower low.

AUDUSD broke the 0.6940 shelf in the NY afternoon and dropped sharply to a session low of 0.69208, driven by broad USD firmness. RSI(14) is oversold near 30 and price is bouncing modestly to 0.69267, but structure is a clean lower low with 0.6900 psych in focus below.

Support: 0.69208, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69400 negates the breakdown
  • A break below 0.69000 opens the path toward the 0.6870 zone
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD flow

19:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fresh lower · RSI 32 · price 0.69267

Range break to new session low.

Late NY hours saw AUDUSD break the 0.6935–0.6942 consolidation and drive to a fresh session low at 0.69208, part of a broader USD firming ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. RSI(14) near 31 after the sharp leg down; price closed at 0.69267 well below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 0.69208, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6941

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69410 broken range would negate the downside break
  • Loss of 0.69208 session low opens the path toward the 0.6900 psych level
  • FOMC minutes Wednesday 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD-driven flow

19:17 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 32 · price 0.6923

Range break lower, lower highs and lower lows.

Late NY into the after-London-close hours, AUDUSD broke below the 0.6935–0.6945 consolidation to a fresh session low at 0.6923, extending a chain of lower highs from the 0.6960 session top. RSI(14) cooling into the low 30s as the dollar stayed firm; 0.6900 range floor is the next level in focus.

Support: 0.6900, 0.6870

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • A sustained break below 0.6900 opens the path toward the 200-dma zone at 0.6870
  • Reclaim of 0.6945 negates the breakdown and restores the range
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD flow and this read

19:17 UTC

Downtrend, fresh breakdown · RSI 26 · price 0.6923

Range break to the downside.

Late NY session snapped the 0.6935–0.6960 range, dumping ~40 pips into 0.69229 in the final hour with RSI(14) pressed toward oversold. Price now sits just above the 0.6900 psych level after a clean downside range break.

Support: 0.6900, 0.69229

Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6935 would negate the breakdown and put price back in range
  • Failure to hold 0.6900 opens the path toward the 0.6870 zone
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD flow and this read

19:02 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 34 · price 0.69319

Lower highs, lower lows, range broken downside.

AUDUSD ground lower through the session from 0.6959 to a fresh low at 0.69318 on the last bar, the 0.6935–0.6945 consolidation giving way to the downside. Move fits the firmer-USD tone into FOMC minutes; price now sits on the session low with RSI(14) pressed toward oversold.

Support: 0.69318, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6941, 0.6944, 0.6952

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 0.69318 confirms continuation toward the 0.6900 psych level
  • Reclaim of 0.69410 prior swing negates the range break
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD flow

19:02 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 38 · price 0.69319

Lower highs and lower lows.

AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh low of 0.69319 on the last bar and breaking the earlier 0.69333 base. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 38 — soft USD tailwind fading as AUD eases toward the 0.6900 range floor flagged in the wider context.

Support: 0.69319, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6942, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Sustained break below 0.6900 opens the path toward the 0.6870 zone
  • A close back above 0.69420 negates the fresh lower-low read
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow could materially shift USD flow into this pair

18:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 0.69404

Consolidating just above session low.

AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY transition to a session low at 0.69333, then based and recovered into the 0.6940 area with RSI(14) back near 55. Price is coiling between 0.69333 and the 0.69440 pivot; softer USD post-NFP underpins the bounce but rallies remain capped.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6952

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69440 opens the path back toward 0.69520
  • Failure to hold 0.69333 confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the intraday read

18:47 UTC

Downtrend stalling, basing · RSI 51 · price 0.69404

Session low set, micro higher lows.

AUDUSD ground lower through NY hours to a 0.6933 session low before basing, with dollar tone the dominant driver post-NFP. Price is now grinding back toward the 0.6944 swing high, retracing roughly a third of the down leg; RSI(14) mid-range near 51 and ATR near 21 pips.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6944 opens path back toward the 0.6950 pivot
  • Loss of 0.6933 session low resumes the downside leg
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape the USD-driven read

18:32 UTC

Downdrift stabilising, grinding higher off session low · RSI 54 · price 0.69401

Range after intraday selloff, higher lows forming.

AUDUSD sold off through the NY session to a 0.69333 low, where buyers stepped in twice to build a base. Price has since ground back to 0.694 on rising lows, RSI(14) neutral near 54; still capped by the 0.6944 swing high.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6944 opens the path back toward the 0.6960 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69333 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
  • USD/Fed flow the dominant driver into FOMC minutes

18:32 UTC

Downtrend easing, basing · RSI 48 · price 0.69401

NY dip to 0.6933, tight recovery range.

AUDUSD slid from the 0.6959 session high to 0.6933 through mid-NY hours on a firmer USD, then based with a double bottom around 0.6934. Late NY sees a shallow recovery into a tight 0.6934–0.6942 band, RSI(14) back to neutral near 48.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69333, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6942, 0.6950, 0.6959

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6942 then 0.6950 opens the path back to 0.6959
  • Failure to hold 0.6934 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.6900
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow 18:00 UTC could reset USD flow and this range

18:17 UTC

Downtrend easing, basing near lows · RSI 51 · price 0.69406

Consolidation above session low after NY leg down.

AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from 0.69544 to a 0.6933 low, and buyers have stepped in there twice since, forming a base. Price is grinding back toward 0.6940 with RSI(14) recovering from the drop; still capped under 0.6944 and below EMA50.

Support: 0.69334, 0.6920

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.69522

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6934 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.6920
  • Close above 0.6944 breaks the consolidation toward the 0.69522 swing high
  • USD/Fed repricing remains the primary driver for this pair

18:17 UTC

Intraday downtrend, stabilizing · RSI 52 · price 0.69406

Lower highs into a flat 0.6933 base.

AUD drifted lower through the session from ~0.6960 to a 0.6933 base, a USD-led slide after soft AU job ads and cooling TD-MI inflation. Price has recovered modestly to 0.6941 and is holding the base into late NY, RSI(14) back near neutral. The 0.6933–0.6935 floor has absorbed repeated tests over the last few hours.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.6944

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6933 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.6944 minor swing would break the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow the main near-term catalyst for USD repricing

18:03 UTC

Downtrend, basing after session low · RSI 53 · price 0.69414

Sold to 0.6933, now grinding higher off the base.

AUDUSD leaked lower through the NY session to a session low of 0.69333 as soft AU inflation/job-ads offset USD weakness, then clawed back to 0.69414 with RSI recovering off its trough. Grinding above the 0.6933 base but capped short of 0.6944; late-NY liquidity is thin.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6950, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69500 opens the path back to 0.69596 window high
  • Failure to hold 0.69333 exposes the 0.6900 round level
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst for USD

18:02 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 51 · price 0.69414

Lower highs into 0.6933 low, small recovery.

AUDUSD slid from the 0.6959 session high toward 0.6933 through the NY session as a firmer USD and soft AU data (ANZ Job Ads, TD-MI inflation) weighed. Price is now basing in a tight 0.6933–0.6942 band with RSI recovered to neutral off the lows.

Support: 0.69335, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6942, 0.69495, 0.6959

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69495 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 0.69335 extends the lower-low toward 0.6930 psych
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:47 UTC

Intraday downtrend, basing · RSI 49 · price 0.6940

Lower highs into session low, double bottom forming.

NY session ground AUDUSD down from 0.6952 to a session low at 0.6933, where a double bottom has formed on two matched lows. Price is recovering toward 0.6940 with RSI(14) lifting from mid-40s; the decline tracked broad USD firmness while soft Aussie inflation kept the Aussie heavy.

Support: 0.6933, 0.6920

Resistance: 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 0.6933 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.6920
  • M15 close above 0.6950 invalidates the intraday downtrend read
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow could materially shift this USD-driven read

17:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 52 · price 0.6940

Basing near session low after lower highs.

NY session drifted AUD lower from the London high near 0.6960 to a session low of 0.6933 amid softer domestic inflation and a firm USD. Price is now basing, grinding back to 0.6940 with RSI recovering off the lows; the descending sequence of lower highs is intact below 0.6950.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6920

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold the 0.6933 session low exposes 0.6920
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow could reprice USD and shift this read

17:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 0.69383

Lower highs into a base near session lows.

AUDUSD slipped through the NY session from 0.6952 to a low of 0.69333 after soft AU inflation and job-ads data, snapping the recovery near 0.6960. Price is now consolidating just above session lows in a tight 0.6933–0.6940 band with RSI(14) recovering off oversold territory.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.69522

What it said to watch

  • A close below 0.69333 exposes the 0.6900 handle
  • A reclaim of 0.69440 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD-driven read

17:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 0.69383

Lower highs into a tight base at session lows.

NY session drove AUDUSD off 0.6950 to a session low at 0.6933, extending the soft-data USD-driven drift lower. Price is now coiling in a tight 0.6934–0.6938 band below both EMAs, RSI(14) recovering from the mid-40s.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69333 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 0.6930
  • Reclaim of 0.69400 pivot neutralises the intraday downtrend
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary USD risk into this range

17:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 42 · price 0.6937

Lower highs into session-low consolidation.

AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking from 0.6950 to a session low of 0.6933 as cooler AU inflation and a steady USD weighed. Price is now consolidating tight around 0.6934–0.6937 with RSI(14) near 42, having lost the earlier 0.6960 high.

Support: 0.6933, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.6950 invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 0.6933 opens the path toward the 0.6900 psych level
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 41 · price 0.6937

Lower highs into session low, now consolidating.

AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session from 0.6960 to a session low at 0.6933 on a firmer USD tone, and is now consolidating in a tight 0.6933–0.6940 band. RSI(14) sits near 41, off its lows but not yet turning; the descending sequence of lower highs remains intact.

Support: 0.6933, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.6952, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6933 confirms a fresh lower low, exposing 0.6900
  • Reclaim of 0.6952 invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • Thin AU/US calendar near-term; USD/Fed repricing is the primary driver

17:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 42 · price 0.69367

Lower highs into session low, now flat.

NY session drove AUDUSD off 0.6950 down to a session low of 0.69333 as the USD held firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.6933-0.6937 band, RSI(14) mid-40s with the downtrend stalling but no reversal signal yet.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.69516

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69333 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6930 round number
  • Reclaim of 0.69440 would break the intraday downtrend structure
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 42 · price 0.69367

Lower highs, consolidating near session low.

NY session sold AUDUSD from 0.6950 to a session low at 0.69333, with soft AU data (ANZ Job Ads, cooling TD-MI) weighing on the Aussie. Price has since gone flat, consolidating 0.69334–0.69370 just above the session low with RSI(14) mid-40s.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.69544

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69333 extends the downleg toward 0.6930
  • Reclaim of the 0.69440 pivot would neutralise the lower-high structure
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening at lows · RSI 40 · price 0.69355

Lower highs into a base at session low.

AUDUSD drifted lower through the NY session, easing off 0.6960 after soft AU inflation and job-ads prints capped the earlier bounce. Price is now pinned at the 0.69333 session low with RSI(14) near 40, small ranges signalling stalled downside momentum rather than fresh selling.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69405, 0.69498, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69333 opens the path toward 0.6900
  • Reclaim of 0.69405 would break the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read

16:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing at lows · RSI 38 · price 0.69355

Lower highs and lows, flattening near session low.

AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session after AUD slipped on soft ANZ Job Ads and cooler TD-MI inflation, printing a session low at 0.6933. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.6933–0.6937 band below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) basing near 38.

Support: 0.6933, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6933 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
  • Reclaim of 0.6940 recent pivot would ease the downside pressure
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 41 · price 0.69348

Lower highs, consolidating at session low.

AUD drifted lower through the NY session, easing after softer AU inflation and job-ads data broke price below 0.6940 into a 0.69333 session low. Now pinned in a tight range near the lows with RSI(14) around 40; the last bar is a thin, low-volume print.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6944

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69333 exposes the 0.6930 psych level
  • Reclaim of 0.69440 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read

16:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening at lows · RSI 40 · price 0.69348

Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.

AUDUSD drifted lower through the NY session, snapping the earlier 0.6959 high with a sharp sell-off from 0.6950 that printed a session low at 0.69333. Price is now flat-lining around 0.6935 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) near 39, as soft AU inflation data and firm USD keep the Aussie pinned near lows.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69405, 0.69498

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69333 exposes 0.6930 and the 0.6900 handle
  • Reclaim of 0.69405 would break the lower-high chain
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read

16:17 UTC

Downtrend, pressing session low · RSI 36 · price 0.69357

Lower highs, lower lows into 0.6933.

AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing a chain of lower highs and setting a session low at 0.6933 as soft domestic data (ANZ Job Ads, cooler TD-MI) weighed on the Aussie. RSI(14) near 36, momentum soft but not yet oversold; price holds just above the low with 0.6944 capping bounces.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6944

What it said to watch

  • Break below 0.69333 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.6930
  • M15 close back above 0.69440 breaks the lower-high chain
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read on any USD move

16:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 39 · price 0.69357

Lower highs, lower lows into session lows.

AUDUSD leaked lower through the NY session, breaking down from the 0.6945–0.6950 shelf to print a session low at 0.69333 as USD held firm. Price is now stalling around 0.6935 with RSI(14) near 39, no bounce yet from the lows.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.69505

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69333 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.6930
  • Reclaim of 0.69440 prior support would neutralise the breakdown read
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD tone

16:02 UTC

Downtrend, drifting into support · RSI 39 · price 0.6935

Lower highs into 0.6935, session low probed.

NY afternoon has AUDUSD grinding lower into 0.6935, matching the near-term support band flagged by the AUD digest after softer domestic inflation eroded RBA hike bets. A sequence of lower highs from 0.6960 caps the tape and price is now testing the 0.6933 session low with RSI(14) near 38.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69516, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6933 session low exposes the 0.6930 psych area
  • M15 close back above 0.69516 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read

16:02 UTC

Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 35 · price 0.6935

Lower highs, lower lows into NY session.

AUDUSD broke down through 0.6950 during NY hours and printed a fresh session low at 0.6933, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s as softer AU inflation erodes RBA hike bets. Price is pinned at the lows with a chain of lower highs from the 0.6960 area capping every bounce.

Support: 0.6933, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6952 breaks the lower-high chain and invalidates the downtrend read
  • Failure to hold 0.6933 exposes the 0.6900 round number
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reprice the USD leg of this move

15:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 37 · price 0.69358

Lower highs, testing session low.

AUD ground lower through the NY session to retest the session low at 0.69333, extending a chain of lower highs after soft AU inflation and job ads left the tape USD-driven. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 36 and supply capping at 0.69440.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6944

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69333 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.69300
  • Reclaim of 0.69440 negates the near-term downside pressure

15:47 UTC

Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 35 · price 0.69358

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

AUDUSD leaked lower through the NY session, breaking down from 0.69544 to a session low at 0.69333 with RSI(14) in the mid-30s and price trading below both EMA20 and EMA50. USD-driven softness after cooler AU inflation gauge keeps the tape heavy; last bar sits at 0.69358, just off the low.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.69498, 0.69544

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69333 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69498 swing high negates the downtrend read
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD tone

15:32 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lower low · RSI 37 · price 0.69358

Lower highs / lower lows into session lows.

NY session grinding lower: price broke the 0.6944 support and printed a fresh session low at 0.69333, now hovering at 0.69358 with RSI(14) near 37. Chain of lower highs intact, AUD leaning on a softer USD post-NFP but lacking domestic support after weaker Aussie inflation/jobs data.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6944 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Sustained break below 0.69333 opens the next leg down
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD direction

15:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 37 · price 0.69358

Lower highs, fresh session low.

AUDUSD rolled over from 0.69500 through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 0.69333 with RSI(14) near 37 — soft, not yet oversold. Sellers stepped in each time price probed 0.69500; move down lacks conviction, consistent with the USD holding firm below 101.00.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69544

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.69500 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 0.69333 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6930 handle
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD read

15:17 UTC

Downtrend intraday, off session high · RSI 40 · price 0.6937

Range broke lower, testing session low.

AUDUSD faded through the NY session after rejection near the 0.6960 session high, then broke the 0.6950 swing-high floor and slid to a 0.6935 session low, printing 0.6937 with RSI(14) cooling near 40. Move mirrors a firm-but-capped USD and thin AUD catalysts; no fresh domestic driver.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6935 confirms a lower low, opening 0.6900 psych area
  • Reclaim above 0.6950 negates the range-break read
  • FOMC minutes Wed could materially shift this read

15:17 UTC

Downtrend, near session low · RSI 39 · price 0.6937

Broke below 0.6945 consolidation, testing session low.

NY session sold AUD off the 0.6950 pivot, breaking the prior 0.6945-0.6960 consolidation and tagging a session low at 0.6935, RSI(14) near 39. Price is pinned just above the low with no reclaim of 0.6950 yet.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6935 confirms a lower low, opens 0.6900
  • Reclaim of 0.6950 negates the NY down leg
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift this read

15:03 UTC

Intraday down leg off session high, basing · RSI 44 · price 0.69397

Lower highs into NY, holding session low.

Rejected at 0.69544 in the NY session, price slid to a session low of 0.69349 and is now basing near 0.6940, RSI(14) mid-40s. The 24h window is a broad 0.6935–0.6960 range with a lower-high sequence forming late.

Support: 0.69349, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.69544

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.69544 negates the intraday lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.69349 opens the 0.6930 round number
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape this USD-driven read

15:02 UTC

Sideways, recent downside push · RSI 42 · price 0.69397

Ranging 0.6935–0.6960, holding session lows.

NY hours saw a sharp drop from 0.6950 to 0.6935, but buyers stepped in at the session low and price recovered to 0.694. Pair remains boxed 0.6935–0.6960 with RSI(14) mid-range near 42; no clean setup in play.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69544

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6935 confirms a lower-low and opens toward 0.6900
  • Reclaim of 0.6950 negates the recent downside push
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:47 UTC

Sideways, recent downdraft · RSI 42 · price 0.69414

Range-bound, retest of range low.

AUDUSD sold off into the London-NY overlap, dropping ~15 pips to 0.6935 before buyers stepped in — a second touch of the 0.69346 low from earlier, forming a double bottom. Price has drifted the 0.6935–0.6959 band all session; RSI(14) mid-40s, below EMA20 and EMA50 after the late slide. Move lacked conviction, consistent with USD stalling sub-101.00 and AUD leaning on external support.

Support: 0.69349, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69349 breaks the double bottom and opens the range low extension
  • Reclaim of 0.6952 puts the session high at 0.69596 back in play
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:47 UTC

Mild downtrend, off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69414

Broke below 0.6940 range floor, weak bounce.

NY session broke AUDUSD out of the 0.6940–0.6955 consolidation to the downside, tagging a session low at 0.69349 before a shallow bounce to 0.69414. RSI cooling near 43 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips; the prior floor at 0.69498 now caps as resistance.

Support: 0.69349, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69498, 0.69544

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.69498 negates the downside break and returns price into the prior range
  • M15 close below 0.69349 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6930 psych level
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow could materially shift this read

14:32 UTC

Range, recent downside pressure · RSI 43 · price 0.69396

Consolidation, rejected 0.6955 into session low.

NY session rejected 0.6955 and flushed to a session low of 0.69349, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. The drop lacked follow-through and price bounced back to 0.69396; still boxed in the 0.6935–0.6955 band, a USD-driven move ahead of FOMC minutes.

Support: 0.69349, 0.69325

Resistance: 0.69498, 0.69544

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69349 confirms a lower low and opens the range floor at 0.69325
  • Reclaim of 0.69498 negates the downside break and restores mid-range balance
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:32 UTC

Intraday pullback, momentum turning lower · RSI 40 · price 0.69396

Break below the NY consolidation band.

AUDUSD held a tight 0.69450–0.69550 band through the NY session before a sharp two-bar drop to 0.69349, breaking below the range with RSI(14) cooling toward 40. Sellers capped the bounce back into 0.69400; the broken 0.69500 band is now overhead resistance.

Support: 0.69349, 0.69325

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69544

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69349 confirms a lower-low continuation toward 0.69325
  • Reclaim of 0.69500 negates the downside break and restores the range
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:17 UTC

Downturn, breaking lower intraday · RSI 37 · price 0.69359

Range broken to the downside, sweeping session low.

NY session drove a sharp break below the 0.69440 range floor that held for most of the window, sweeping the session low at 0.69346 as the earlier soft-USD rebound faded at the 0.6955 fib hurdle. RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-30s, price now pinned at the lows with the broken floor flipping to overhead resistance.

Support: 0.69346, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.69544

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.69440 range floor would invalidate the downside break
  • Failure to hold 0.69346 confirms a lower low and extends the drop
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD leg

14:17 UTC

Pullback, momentum turning down · RSI 36 · price 0.69359

Rejected session high, broke below intraday range.

NY session saw AUDUSD rejected at the 0.69544 session high, then break below the 0.6945 range floor down to a session low of 0.69349 with RSI(14) cooling toward 36. The soft-USD / two-way tone leaves this as a sharp intraday retrace after the earlier grind to 0.69596; ATR near 7 pips.

Support: 0.69349, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69544

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 0.6945 range floor would neutralise the downside break
  • A close below 0.69349 session low opens the path toward the 0.6900 psych band
  • FOMC minutes Wed could materially shift the USD leg driving this read

14:02 UTC

Range, mild downside drift · RSI 44 · price 0.69421

Ranging 0.6940-0.6955, rising lows into last bar flush.

AUDUSD chopped in a tight 0.6940-0.6955 band through the London-NY handover, consistent with the broader 0.6900-0.6980 consolidation and a USD stuck sub-101.00. The last full NY bar flushed to 0.69393 before snapping back to 0.69421, holding the ascending low structure; RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR ~5 pips.

Support: 0.69393, 0.69359, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.69505, 0.69544

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69393 breaks rising lows and opens 0.69359/0.69346
  • Reclaim of 0.69505 puts the session high back in play
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could override this intraday range

14:02 UTC

Ranging, mild upside lean fading · RSI 44 · price 0.69421

Sideways band, sweep of 0.6940 into the close.

AUDUSD chopped inside 0.6935-0.6955 through the NY session; the final bar swept below the 0.6940 pivot low to 0.69393 before recovering to 0.69421, RSI(14) mid-40s. Soft-USD tone post-NFP keeps a floor under the pair but there's no local catalyst and price sits mid-band.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69346, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69522, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69346 confirms a lower-low out of the range
  • Reclaim of 0.69522 session high reopens the 0.6960 range top
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg materially

13:47 UTC

Sideways, mild upside lean · RSI 53 · price 0.6949

Range-bound within intraday band.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways in the 0.6936-0.6960 band through the London-NY transition, price at 0.6949 sitting mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Buyers defended 0.6936 into the NY session but 0.6960 session high capped every push; no setup in play.

Support: 0.6936, 0.6942

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 opens room toward the 0.6980 upper band
  • Loss of 0.6936 confirms a break below the intraday range
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg

13:47 UTC

Range, mild upside lean · RSI 52 · price 0.6949

Consolidation after intraday pullback.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways in a tight 0.6942–0.6952 band through the NY session after rejecting the 0.6960 two-week high mid-window and basing at the 0.6936 session low. USD holding steady sub-101 into Wed FOMC minutes is keeping the pair rangebound; RSI(14) neutral near 52, no momentum edge.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6936, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.6960, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 opens the path back toward 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6936 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.6900
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break this consolidation

13:32 UTC

Sideways, no momentum · RSI 52 · price 0.69477

Range-bound, mid-range chop.

AUDUSD is ranging 0.6936–0.6960 across the Asia-into-London window, currently mid-range near 0.6948 with RSI flat around 52. Price sits at the 50% retrace of the earlier drop from the 0.69596 range top to the 0.69359 session low; no setup in play as USD consolidates and softer AU job ads cap upside.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69359

Resistance: 0.69522, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 range top opens a retest toward 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.69359 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes downside
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break this range

13:32 UTC

Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 0.69477

Range-bound, mid-range chop.

AUDUSD is chopping mid-range through the London-NY overlap, sitting near the 50% mark of the 0.69590-0.69360 intraday swing at 0.69477. RSI(14) is neutral around 51 and ATR is thin at ~4 pips — no setup in play, price wedged between session high 0.69544 and the 0.69420 recent low.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6936

Resistance: 0.69544, 0.6959

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69544 opens the 0.69590 range high
  • Break below 0.69420 exposes the 0.69360 range low
  • Thin AU/US calendar today; FOMC minutes tomorrow the next major driver

13:17 UTC

Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 0.69469

Range-bound between 0.6935 and 0.6959.

AUDUSD is ranging 0.6935–0.6959 through the London-NY transition; price recovered off the 0.69346 session low but faded from the 0.69544 recent high and sits mid-range near 0.6947. RSI(14) neutral, ATR ~4-5 pips — no setup in play as AUD chops on softer AU inflation against a soft post-NFP USD.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.69544, 0.6959

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.6959 range top opens upside extension
  • Break below 0.69346 session low confirms a lower-low
  • Holding above 0.69420 swing low keeps the range intact
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD tone

13:17 UTC

Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 0.69469

Range-bound between 0.6935 and 0.6959, price mid-range.

AUDUSD is chopping in a tight 0.6935–0.6959 band through the London session, RSI(14) flat near 50 with ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips. Buyers stepped in near 0.6935 after the mid-window slide and price has clawed back to mid-range, but 0.6952 continues to cap; move reflects the two-way AUD tone as USD holds below 101.00 into Wednesday's FOMC minutes.

Support: 0.6944, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.69522, 0.69586

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6952 opens a retest of the 0.6959 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6944 exposes the 0.6935 session low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break this range

13:03 UTC

Range, mild upward drift · RSI 55 · price 0.69498

Consolidation inside 0.6936–0.6960.

AUDUSD ranging 0.6936–0.6960 through the London-NY session, price now 0.69498 in the upper half after recovering off the 0.69359 session low. RSI(14) neutral near 55, no directional extreme; the range top at 0.69544/0.69596 caps for now.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69359

Resistance: 0.69544, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69596 range top opens the 0.6980 cap
  • Loss of 0.69420 swing low reopens the 0.69359 session low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift USD flow and this range

13:03 UTC

Sideways, mild recovery off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.69498

Range-bound 0.6936–0.6960.

AUDUSD is chopping in a 0.6936–0.6960 band, now grinding back toward the middle around 0.6950 into NY hours after a dip to 0.6936 during the London session. RSI(14) neutral near 54 and price is holding above EMA20/50; no directional break in play.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69359

Resistance: 0.69544, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69544 opens the 0.6960 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69460 exposes the 0.6936 day low
  • FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could shift the USD read

12:47 UTC

Recovering within range · RSI 54 · price 0.69503

Range-bound, rising lows off session low.

AUDUSD chopping between 0.6935 and 0.6959 through the London-NY transition, price back mid-range at 0.6950 after buyers stepped in at the 0.6935 swing low. RSI(14) neutral near 54, ATR compressed around 4.6 pips — no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.6954, 0.6959

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6959 session high opens a retest of the 0.6980 range cap
  • Loss of 0.6935 swing low confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift USD flow and this range

12:47 UTC

Sideways, mild recovery off session low · RSI 56 · price 0.69503

Range with rising intraday lows.

AUDUSD recovered through the NY session from the 0.69346 session low, grinding back to 0.695 on a chain of higher lows but capped at 0.69544. Softer ANZ Job Ads earlier kept rallies corrective; price is boxed between 0.6942 support and the 0.6955/0.6960 range cap flagged in the wider read.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.69544, 0.69596, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69544 opens the 0.6960 range cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6942 exposes the 0.69346 session low
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow could reset the USD-side read

12:32 UTC

Range, edging back toward top · RSI 61 · price 0.69533

Range-bound between 0.6935 and 0.6960.

London session grinding back toward the session high at 0.69596 after dipping to 0.69346 mid-window; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme. The 0.6935-0.6960 range remains intact with price now testing the upper third.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69600 opens the two-week high / range top break
  • Failure to hold 0.69420 reopens the 0.69346 session low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this range read

12:32 UTC

Recovering, higher lows · RSI 61 · price 0.69533

Rebound off session low, pressing prior swing high.

AUDUSD carved a base around 0.69346 during NY hours and climbed back in a chain of higher lows, now printing 0.69533 as it presses the 0.6955 fibo hurdle. The soft USD tone post-NFP is underpinning the recovery, but the 0.6955/0.6960 band that capped earlier still overhead.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.6955, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6955 opens the path to the 0.69596 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69420 higher low reopens the 0.69346 session low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD read

12:17 UTC

Range recovery, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 0.69476

Consolidation, higher lows off session low.

AUDUSD recovered off the 0.69346 Asian-session low back into mid-range through London hours, RSI(14) neutral near 56 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips. Price is grinding beneath the 0.69522 minor high with the 0.69596 swing high still capping; broader tone remains two-way as soft USD offsets cooling Aussie inflation.

Support: 0.6944, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.69522, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69522 opens the path to the 0.69596 swing high
  • Loss of the 0.69440 fib level exposes the 0.69346 swing low
  • US ADP 4-wk average (12:15 UTC) could inject near-term volatility

12:17 UTC

Range, drifting mid-band · RSI 54 · price 0.69476

Intraday range 0.6935-0.6960, price mid-range.

AUDUSD is ranging 0.6935-0.6960 after recovering from the session low at 0.69346; price sits right on the 50% retracement of that drop near 0.69476 with RSI neutral around 54. Sideways grind heading into NY hours, no clean directional break in play.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69520 opens a retest of the 0.69596 session high
  • Loss of 0.69420 reopens the 0.69346 session low
  • ADP 4-wk average (12:15 UTC) could inject USD volatility into this range

12:02 UTC

Sideways, mild recovery off session low · RSI 55 · price 0.69476

Range-bound, grinding back into mid-range.

AUDUSD is ranging 0.6936–0.6960; price sold off from the session high at 0.69595 to 0.69360 then clawed back to the 50% fib near 0.69476 as a soft post-NFP USD keeps the Aussie near two-week highs. RSI(14) neutral around 55, no extreme in play.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6936

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.69595

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69520 minor high opens a retest of 0.69595 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69420 swing low exposes the 0.69360 session low
  • FOMC Minutes tomorrow (18:00 UTC) is the key catalyst for USD direction

12:02 UTC

Range-bound, recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 0.69476

Consolidating mid-range 0.6935-0.6960.

AUDUSD is grinding mid-range around 0.6948 after London bounced off the 0.6935 session low, with 0.6952 capping the recovery. RSI(14) neutral near 55 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no directional setup while the 0.6935-0.6960 band holds.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.69522, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6952 opens the path to the 0.6960 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6942 swing low exposes the 0.6935 session low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

11:47 UTC

Recovering off lows, broadly ranging · RSI 56 · price 0.69469

Higher lows off 0.6935, capped near 0.6952.

London session clawed back from the 0.6935 session low, price now sitting at 0.6947 — the 50% retrace of the earlier 0.6960-to-0.6935 drop. RSI(14) mid-range near 56; rallies have stalled at 0.6952 while a chain of rising lows holds underneath, consistent with AUD's soft-USD-supported grind within its wider band.

Support: 0.6944, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.69595

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69520 opens the 0.69595 session high
  • Failure to hold the rising lows near 0.69440 exposes the 0.69346 session low
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow could reset this intraday read

11:47 UTC

Range, mild recovery bias · RSI 55 · price 0.69469

Intraday range, rising lows off session low.

AUDUSD is chopping in a 0.69346–0.69596 band through the London session, now recovering to 0.6947 — roughly the 50% retrace of the prior slide. RSI(14) neutral near 55; buyers stepped in at the 0.69346 session low earlier and price is grinding back toward the 0.69522 session high, with soft-USD post-NFP flows offering a floor.

Support: 0.69418, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.69522, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69522 session high opens the 0.69596 day high
  • Loss of 0.69418 swing low reopens the 0.69346 session low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key USD catalyst

11:32 UTC

Micro uptrend off session low · RSI 60 · price 0.69494

Higher lows into range top.

AUDUSD is grinding higher off the 0.69346 London-hours low, stacking higher lows into a tap of 0.69522. RSI(14) mid-range near 60 with price above EMA20/50; the current push sits right at the 61.8% retrace of the 0.6959→0.69346 leg, and 0.69522 just capped it.

Support: 0.6944, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.69522, 0.69594

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69522 opens the path to the 0.69594 prior high
  • Loss of the rising support / 0.69440 base breaks the higher-low chain
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst

11:32 UTC

Sideways, mild recovery bias · RSI 57 · price 0.69494

Range between 0.6935 and 0.6960, price rebuilding toward range top.

AUDUSD is ranging 0.6935–0.6960 after a mid-window pop to 0.69596 faded back into the London session. Price is grinding back toward the top, now 0.69494 with RSI(14) mid-range; soft Aussie inflation and USD sub-101 leave two-way, low-conviction flow with no fresh catalyst in play.

Support: 0.6944, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.6956, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69560 session high reopens the 0.69596 range top
  • Loss of 0.69440 swing low exposes the 0.69346 session low
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow could reset this range

11:17 UTC

Sideways, mild recovery bias · RSI 55 · price 0.69479

Consolidation after pullback from session high.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.69596 session high to 0.69346 before grinding back to 0.69479, now coiling in a tight 0.6944-0.6950 band with ATR compressed near 3 pips. Rising intraday lows since the 0.69346 print show demand stepping in, but the 0.695 psych cap has yet to give way.

Support: 0.6944, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.695 opens a retest of the 0.69596 session high
  • Loss of 0.6944 exposes the 0.69346 session low
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow 18:00 UTC could reset the USD-side read

11:17 UTC

Recovery off intraday low, range-bound · RSI 55 · price 0.69479

Grinding higher within 0.6936-0.6960 band.

AUDUSD recovered off the 0.6936 intraday low and is grinding back to 0.6948 through the London-NY transition, RSI mid-range. Price is consolidating within a 0.6936-0.6960 band with the session high at 0.6959 still capping.

Support: 0.6936, 0.6942

Resistance: 0.69502, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69596 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6936 confirms a lower low
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow (18:00 UTC) could shift USD direction and this read

11:03 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.6945

Consolidation below 0.6960 after fading the high.

AUD faded the 0.6960 two-week high and is ranging near 0.6945 through the London session, easing back below the 0.6950 psych level per the AUD read. RSI(14) sits neutral near 50 and ATR has compressed to ~3 pips — no intraday setup in play.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6924

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 clears the two-week high and the 38.2% fib zone
  • Loss of 0.6935 session low exposes the 0.6924 day low
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow (18:00 UTC) is the key USD catalyst for this pair

11:02 UTC

Sideways, mid-range · RSI 53 · price 0.6945

Range after NY-session pullback, recovering.

Price rallied to a session high at 0.69596 during NY hours, then faded to 0.69360 through Asia before London bought it back to 0.6945. Now consolidating around the 50% retrace of that move; 0.6950 round-number caps and RSI(14) sits neutral near 53.

Support: 0.6936, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the 0.69596 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69360 confirms a lower-low
  • Fed Bowman speech (11:00 UTC) could shift USD tone into next bars

10:47 UTC

Sideways after fading intraday high · RSI 54 · price 0.69454

Consolidation, holding above pullback low.

AUD/USD is chopping in a tight 0.6940–0.6946 band through the London session after fading from the 0.6959 session high; the pullback low at 0.6937 has held. RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR barely 4 pips — thin, rangebound conditions with AUD pinned near a two-week high.

Support: 0.69375, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.6950 reopens the 0.6959 session high
  • Break below 0.6937 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6925 prior low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break this range

10:47 UTC

Range, faded off session high · RSI 52 · price 0.69454

Consolidation between 0.6935 and 0.6960.

AUDUSD pushed to a session high of 0.69596 during Jul 6 NY hours before fading through the overnight to a 0.69346 low, in line with the two-way AUD tone as soft-NFP USD weakness offered a floor. London has recovered to 0.6945, holding a shallow higher low at 0.69377 and stalling around the 50% retrace of the drop near 0.6950.

Support: 0.69377, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens a retest of the 0.69596 session high
  • Loss of 0.69377 higher low reopens the 0.69346 session low
  • Fed Bowman speech (11:00 UTC) could jolt USD and shift this read

10:32 UTC

Pullback stalling into consolidation · RSI 48 · price 0.6944

Session high rejected, tight range holding above 0.6935.

AUD/USD topped near 0.6959 in Asia — a two-week high per the broader read — before easing back to 0.6935 through London. Now consolidating in a tight 0.6942–0.6946 band, RSI(14) neutral near 48 with the session high still capping.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6959

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6959 reopens the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6935 confirms a lower low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD tone

10:32 UTC

Range, edging off session high · RSI 50 · price 0.6944

Consolidation after rejection at 0.6960.

Asia tagged a two-week high near 0.6960 before easing back below 0.6950, snapping the three-day run. London has since consolidated 0.6936–0.6945 with RSI(14) flat around 50; the pullback found rising lows off 0.6936.

Support: 0.6936, 0.6924

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 reopens the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6936 swing low exposes the 0.6924 asia low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD-driven read

10:17 UTC

Sideways after pullback from intraday high · RSI 50 · price 0.69441

Consolidation below 0.6946, off session high 0.6959.

AUDUSD ran up through London to an intraday high at 0.6959, then eased back into NY and is now consolidating in a tight 0.6936–0.6946 band. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 with price pinned around EMA20 but under EMA50; move lacks direction into the FOMC minutes read.

Support: 0.69359, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6946

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6946 recent high reopens the path to 0.6959 intraday high
  • Loss of 0.69359 swing low exposes 0.69245 session low
  • FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

10:17 UTC

Range after pullback from session high · RSI 48 · price 0.69441

Consolidating mid-range, 0.6935-0.6946.

AUDUSD rallied off the 0.6925 Asian low to a 0.6960 session high, then faded and is now consolidating 0.6935-0.6946 around the 50% retrace of that leg. Rejection at 0.6960 stalled the advance; RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 with price pinned just above EMA20 and below EMA50.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6946 recent high reopens the 0.6960 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69346 session low exposes the 0.6925 asian low
  • Fed Bowman speech (11:00 UTC) could shift USD tone within the hour

10:02 UTC

Range after pullback from session high · RSI 49 · price 0.69425

Consolidating mid-range near 50% retrace.

AUDUSD is chopping around 0.6942-0.6945, holding the 50% retrace of the Asia-to-London run into 0.69596, which was rejected. Price snapped back off the 0.69346 swing low and is now stalling under the 0.69460 recent high with RSI neutral; digest reads AUD near a two-week high on soft-USD backdrop.

Support: 0.69375, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69525, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69460 reopens 0.69525 and the 0.69596 session high
  • Loss of 0.69346 swing low confirms a lower low
  • Bowman speech (11:00 UTC) and ADP could inject USD-driven volatility

10:02 UTC

Range after Asia-high fade · RSI 48 · price 0.69425

Consolidating below session high, mid-range.

AUDUSD tagged a two-week high near 0.69596 in the Asia session before easing back below 0.6950, matching the soft ANZ Job Ads read. London hours have been corrective — price now consolidating 0.69346-0.6945, sitting on the 38.2% retrace of the Asia pullback with RSI back near neutral.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69500 reopens the 0.69596 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69346 confirms a lower low
  • Bowman (USD) speech ~11:00 UTC could shift the near-term read

09:47 UTC

Range, direction flat · RSI 50 · price 0.69444

Consolidation mid-range after fade from session high.

AUDUSD tagged a session high near 0.69596 during London before fading to 0.69346, and is now consolidating around 0.6944 with RSI(14) flat near 49. Two-week high near 0.6960 was capped in Asia; price is chopping mid-range with no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69535, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69535 reopens the 0.69596 session high
  • Loss of 0.69346 swing low exposes the 0.69245 asia low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD catalyst

09:47 UTC

Consolidating after pullback from session high · RSI 50 · price 0.69444

Range-bound below 0.6960, higher lows forming.

AUDUSD tagged a two-week high near 0.6960 earlier in the session and was rejected, easing to 0.6935 before recovering to ~0.6944. Now consolidating with higher lows building; RSI(14) neutral near 50 and the 0.6960 cap intact — no setup in play.

Support: 0.69375, 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69515, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69596 opens the path back toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.69346 session low confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.6924
  • Thin AUD calendar; USD direction into FOMC minutes (Wed) is the near-term driver

09:32 UTC

Pullback off overnight high, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.6943

Lower highs into a tight range.

AUDUSD rolled off the 0.6959 high set in the Asian session and carved a chain of lower highs through the London morning, settling into a 0.6934–0.6946 range. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 and ATR sits around 6 pips, signalling muted intraday movement with no clean setup in play.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69374

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6946 breaks the descending-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.6934 range floor confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next material USD catalyst

09:32 UTC

Pullback stalling into range · RSI 49 · price 0.6943

Consolidating below faded session high.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.6960 session high and is now churning in a tight 0.6935-0.6945 band through London hours, RSI(14) flat near 49. The pullback off the high lacked follow-through; price holding just above EMA20 but capped under EMA50.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69299

Resistance: 0.69451, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69451 swing high opens the path back to 0.6960
  • Failure to hold 0.69346 swing low exposes 0.6930 session low
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow 18:00 UTC is the key USD-side catalyst

09:17 UTC

Corrective pullback after intraday rally · RSI 49 · price 0.6943

Consolidating below two-week high, lower highs since peak.

AUDUSD rallied to a two-week high near 0.6960 mid-window then rejected, easing to a 0.6936 session low as ANZ Job Ads (-0.2%) snapped the win streak; softer USD cushioned the drop. Price now churns ~0.6943, hovering around EMA20 and just below EMA50 with RSI flat near 49.

Support: 0.6936, 0.6924

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6946 reopens the 0.6960 two-week high
  • Failure to hold the 0.6936 session low exposes 0.6924 swing low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD-driven direction

09:17 UTC

Pullback, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.6943

Lower highs off session high, basing above 0.6935.

AUDUSD stalled at the 0.6959 session high and rolled over toward the 0.6935 session low, matching the digest read of AUD easing from a two-week high near 0.6960. Price now churns in a 0.6935-0.6946 range, RSI back near midline; the recovery off asian-range lows lacks follow-through.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69305

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6946 swing high reopens the 0.6960 session high
  • Loss of 0.69346 session low confirms a lower-low toward the 0.69305 asian low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape USD and this range

09:03 UTC

Pullback from Asian high, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.69409

Lower highs off 0.69596, holding 0.69346 low.

AUDUSD rejected the Asian session high at 0.69596 overnight and slid into early London, printing a low at 0.69346 before recovering to hover near 0.69410. Price is chopping under EMA20/50 with a lower-highs sequence; RSI(14) mid-range near 46, no momentum extreme in play.

Support: 0.69375, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.69456, 0.6952, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69456 breaks the lower-highs sequence
  • Failure to hold 0.69346 opens a fresh lower low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read

09:03 UTC

Pulled back from session high, ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.69409

Corrective dip off 0.6959, holding above 0.6935.

AUDUSD topped at 0.6959 mid-window then rejected, sliding to 0.6935 through the NY session before stabilising near 0.6940 into the London morning. Price now sits around the EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral at 47 — no directional setup, churning mid-range.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6946

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69346 exposes the 0.69245 range low
  • Reclaim of 0.6946 reopens the 0.6959 session high
  • US ADP at 12:15 UTC could inject USD-driven volatility

08:47 UTC

Down-drift, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.69424

Lower highs off 0.6959, ranging 0.6935-0.6945.

AUD faded from the 0.6959 session high through late NY and now grinds sideways between 0.6935 and 0.6945 into the London session, RSI(14) neutral near 49. Move fits the soft-data lean on AUD offset by a post-NFP-capped USD; no fresh setup in play.

Support: 0.69346, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69456

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69456 reopens the 0.6959 session high
  • Loss of 0.69346 confirms a lower-low continuation
  • US ADP 12:15 UTC could shift USD tone in the next bars

08:47 UTC

Range, drifting lower off session high · RSI 48 · price 0.69424

Lower high after 0.6959 rejection, ranging.

AUDUSD pushed to a London session high of 0.6959 then rolled over, printing a lower high and slipping back into a 0.6936–0.6945 band as the softer post-NFP USD keeps downside contained. Price is pinned near EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) flat around 48 — no directional impulse in play.

Support: 0.69375, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.6945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6945 reopens the path to 0.6959 session high
  • Break below 0.69346 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read

08:32 UTC

Range, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 0.69437

Consolidation off swing low, mid-range.

AUDUSD drifted off the 0.69596 range top through the prior session and based at 0.6936, recovering into the London open to 0.69437. Price now sits mid-range, back above EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 49 — no setup in play between 0.6936 and 0.6946.

Support: 0.6936, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6952, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.6946 then 0.6952 opens the path back to the 0.69596 range top
  • Failure to hold the 0.6936 swing low confirms a lower low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next macro fulcrum for USD

08:32 UTC

Range, drifting off session high · RSI 49 · price 0.69437

Recovered off 0.6935 low, mid-range chop.

London session probed down to 0.69346 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back toward the mid-range around 0.6944. AUDUSD sits inside the broader 0.6870–0.6980 consolidation, USD holding firm post-NFP; no clean directional setup in play, RSI(14) neutral near 49.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69502, 0.69594

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69502 opens a retest of the 0.69594 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69346 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.6924
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow could reset this range read

08:17 UTC

Short-term downtrend, bounce forming · RSI 46 · price 0.69434

Lower highs off Asian high, holding swing low.

AUD/USD topped at the Asian-session high 0.69596 then bled lower, printing a low at 0.69346 before a shallow bounce into London hours; price now near 0.6943 against a fading sequence of lower highs. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and ATR is a muted ~5 pips, keeping the pair in tight consolidation within its broader 0.6870–0.6980 macro band.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6946 then 0.69596 needed to unwind the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 0.69346 confirms continuation of the intraday lower-low structure
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major catalyst for USD direction

08:17 UTC

Pullback within intraday range · RSI 51 · price 0.69434

Lower highs off 0.6960, holding above 0.6935.

AUDUSD rallied through the London-NY session to a high at 0.69596 before rolling over into a stair-step of lower highs and pulling back to 0.69346, now recovering to 0.6943. Move sits inside the broader 0.6870–0.6980 consolidation; USD held firm post-NFP, capping the bounce. RSI(14) is neutral near 50 with ATR compressed around 4 pips.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69452, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69452 reopens the 0.69596 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69346 confirms a lower low toward 0.6930
  • US ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) could inject USD-driven movement

08:03 UTC

Downtrend, drifting off NY high · RSI 42 · price 0.6939

Lower highs since NY peak, now consolidating.

AUDUSD rolled off the 0.6959 NY high through the Asian session and buyers stepped in twice around 0.6935. Price now grinds 0.6935–0.6945 into early London with RSI(14) mid-range; the descending sequence of lower highs stays intact.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6925

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6952, 0.6959

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6935 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.6925
  • Reclaim of 0.6945 opens the path back to 0.6959
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD-side catalyst

08:02 UTC

Pulling back from session high · RSI 44 · price 0.6939

Lower highs since 0.6960, testing intraday support.

AUDUSD rolled over from the session high at 0.6960 and is grinding lower into London hours, now ~0.6939 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Buyers stepped in at 0.69346 once; the pair sits between that swing low and descending supply near 0.6945, consistent with AUD capped by fading RBA-hike bets and a firm post-NFP USD.

Support: 0.69346, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69451, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69346 confirms a lower low toward 0.6930
  • Reclaim of 0.6945 negates the pullback and reopens 0.6960

07:47 UTC

Range, mild bearish lean · RSI 49 · price 0.69419

Consolidating mid-range after rejection of session high.

AUDUSD peaked at the 0.69596 session high during Asia, then sold off into the London open to a 0.69346 low before bouncing to 0.6942. Price now sits mid-range around the 38.2% fib (0.69442), RSI(14) neutral near 49 with the pair caught in the broader 0.6870-0.6980 consolidation.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69442, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69442 fib area opens a retest of the 0.69596 session high
  • Break below 0.69346 session low exposes the 0.69245 swing low
  • Thin AUD calendar near-term; USD direction into Wed FOMC minutes is the lead driver

07:47 UTC

Pullback off session high, consolidating · RSI 50 · price 0.69419

NY sell-off from 0.6960, shallow bounce.

NY session rejected the session high at 0.69596 and sold off to 0.69346 before a shallow bounce back to 0.6942, keeping AUDUSD inside its broader 0.6870–0.6980 range. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI near 50 — momentum flat after the pullback.

Support: 0.69346, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69515, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69515 reopens the session high at 0.69596
  • Loss of 0.69346 exposes the 0.69300 prior low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major catalyst for USD

07:32 UTC

Pullback within range, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 0.69434

Faded off 0.6960 session high, holding 0.6936.

AUDUSD faded off the 0.6960 session high through late Asia and slipped to 0.6936 before buyers stabilised it near 0.6943 in early London. Move fits the digest's 0.6920-0.6950 consolidation as softer AU inflation offsets a soft-NFP-capped dollar; RSI(14) mid-range, ATR ~4 pips.

Support: 0.69359, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69451, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6936 opens the 0.69245 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69451 needed to retest the 0.6960 session high
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this range read

07:32 UTC

Pullback off session high, stabilising · RSI 48 · price 0.69434

Lower highs since 0.69596, twice held 0.69360.

AUDUSD faded from the session high at 0.69596 into a string of lower highs, but buyers stepped in twice near 0.69360 to form a double bottom, and price has recovered to 0.69434. Pair remains inside its broader 0.6920-0.6950 band with RSI(14) neutral around 48.

Support: 0.6936, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69451, 0.6950, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69451 reopens the path to 0.6950 / session high
  • Loss of 0.69360 negates the double bottom and exposes 0.69245
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major catalyst for USD-side moves

07:17 UTC

Range, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 0.69433

Pullback held session low, bouncing.

London morning: AUDUSD sold off through NY to a session low near 0.69346, where buyers stepped in twice for a small double bottom, and price has recovered to 0.69433. Still boxed in the broader 0.6920-0.6950 band with RSI back to mid-range and ATR a thin ~4 pips.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69460 swing high opens the path back to 0.69596
  • Failure to hold 0.69346 session low confirms a lower low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this range

07:17 UTC

Range, mild recovery off session low · RSI 50 · price 0.69433

Consolidation between 0.6935 and 0.6960.

Overnight buyers pushed to 0.6960 before NY faded the move back to a 0.6935 low; London morning has recovered to 0.6943, stalling around the EMA20. Two-way tone persists as soft AU inflation offsets a softer USD — AUD is chopping inside its 0.6935-0.6960 range with RSI neutral.

Support: 0.6935, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 invalidates the range top and reopens the overnight highs
  • Failure to hold 0.6935 confirms a lower low toward 0.6925
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this range read

07:02 UTC

Short-term pullback, bouncing · RSI 52 · price 0.69439

Range with lower highs; recovering off session low.

AUDUSD stalled and rejected the 0.6960 session high in Asia, then leaked into an early-London low at 0.69346 where buyers stepped in. Price is now retracing back toward the EMA20 around 0.6944, capped by a chain of lower highs; still boxed inside the 0.6935-0.6960 range.

Support: 0.69346, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69346 opens the 0.69300 round number
  • Reclaim of 0.69520 swing high needed to re-challenge the 0.69596 session high
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

07:02 UTC

Range, near-term pullback recovering · RSI 47 · price 0.69439

Consolidation 0.6935-0.6960, bounce off swing low.

London session recovering off the 0.6935 swing low after a rejection near the 0.6960 session high, where price stalled twice. AUD stuck in mid-week consolidation as gains remain a USD story per digest; still inside the 0.6935-0.6960 range, RSI(14) neutral near 47.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 session high invalidates the range read
  • Loss of 0.6935 swing low confirms a lower low
  • US ADP average due 12:15 UTC could add intraday volatility

06:47 UTC

Rolled over from highs, modest bounce · RSI 46 · price 0.69423

Lower highs off session high, holding above swing low.

AUDUSD rolled over from the 0.69596 session high through the London-NY handover, printing a swing low at 0.69346 before a shallow bounce to 0.69423. Lower highs stack into a descending resistance and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 — the whole move is a USD story, with soft-NFP tailwind stalling against AU disinflation.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69502, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69502 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.69346 swing low opens 0.69245 prior low

06:47 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 45 · price 0.69423

Lower highs into a session low, minor recovery.

The push to the session high at 0.69596 faded and AUDUSD leaked lower through a chain of lower highs, printing a session low at 0.69346 before bouncing to 0.69423. RSI is mid-range and ATR near 5 pips; move keeps to the 0.6935-0.6960 range, in line with the noted 0.6920-0.6950 consolidation.

Support: 0.69346, 0.6925

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69346 confirms a lower low and extends the down leg
  • Reclaim of 0.69460 swing high negates the recent lower-high sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this intraday read

06:32 UTC

Downtrend, leaking off session high · RSI 34 · price 0.69385

Lower highs, lower lows since 0.6960 top.

London session has bled lower off the 0.6960 session high, printing a clean lower-high chain into 0.69385 with RSI(14) in the low 30s. The pullback fits the AUD read — recent gains were a soft-USD/NFP story, and June TD-MI inflation easing has kept a downside lean. Price now sits just above the 0.69346 swing low.

Support: 0.69346, 0.6925

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69346 opens the path to 0.6925
  • Reclaim of 0.6946 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow could reset near-term USD direction

06:32 UTC

Pullback off session high, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69385

Lower highs, testing session low.

Asian session has bled lower off the 0.6959 session high, printing a chain of lower highs down to a 0.69346 session low before a small bounce to 0.69385. AUD stays heavy after June TD-MI inflation eased to 3.9% YoY; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69234

Resistance: 0.6946

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69346 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.6920
  • Reclaim of 0.69460 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD-driven read

06:17 UTC

Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 41 · price 0.69381

Lower highs, lower lows since 0.6960.

AUDUSD rolled over from the 0.6960 session high into the London open, printing lower highs down to a 0.69346 session low as softer AU inflation data keeps rally attempts capped. RSI(14) near 41, price below EMA20/50; a shallow bounce to 0.6942 has faded back toward the lows.

Support: 0.69346, 0.6925

Resistance: 0.6942, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69346 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.6942 bounce high questions the decline
  • FOMC minutes tomorrow could shift the USD-driven read

06:17 UTC

Intraday pullback after uptrend stalled · RSI 41 · price 0.69381

Lower highs off 0.6960, testing session lows.

AUDUSD rolled off the 0.6960 swing high and ground lower through the session, printing lower highs and tagging 0.69346 before a shallow bounce to 0.69381. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41 — momentum favours the sellers after soft AU inflation gauges kept the Aussie heavy.

Support: 0.69346, 0.6930, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69346 confirms continuation toward the 0.69300 round number
  • Reclaim of 0.69460 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read via USD flows

06:02 UTC

Pullback off session high, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 0.69413

Lower highs since 0.6960, testing intraday lows.

AUDUSD rolled off the session high at 0.6960 through the London-NY hours and stair-stepped lower into early Asia, printing a chain of lower highs with soft AU inflation gauges weighing. Price is grinding near 0.6941 just above the 0.69346 session low, RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69346 confirms a lower low toward the 0.69245 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69460 would break the descending lower-high sequence
  • USD flows dominate near-term with FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC the key catalyst

06:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing off lows · RSI 44 · price 0.69413

Lower highs into a bounce off session low.

AUDUSD rolled over from the 0.6959 session high through the last several hours, printing lower highs as softer AU inflation gauges keep the Aussie heavy near the 200-DMA. Sellers pressed to 0.69346 before a bounce back to 0.6941; RSI(14) recovering from the low-40s. Price still below EMA20/50.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69515

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69515 would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 0.69346 confirms continuation toward 0.69245
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD flows

05:47 UTC

Downtrend, pullback off session high · RSI 39 · price 0.69374

Lower highs since 0.6960, drifting into pre-London.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.69596 session high back to 0.6937 after the soft TD-MI inflation gauge kept a bearish tilt on the Aussie, printing a chain of lower highs. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39; sellers capped the last bounce at 0.6942 into the pre-London hours.

Support: 0.69346, 0.6930, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6942, 0.6946, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Break below 0.69346 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 0.69460 invalidates the descending structure
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD-side read

05:47 UTC

Pullback, rolling lower off session high · RSI 36 · price 0.69374

Lower highs, lower lows since 0.6959.

AUDUSD rejected the 0.6959 session high and has chained lower highs/lows back to 0.6937, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the Asian leg up. RSI(14) near 36 as softer AUD inflation gauges keep rallies capped; price now testing the 0.69346 session low.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6946

What it said to watch

  • Break below 0.69346 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward 0.69245
  • Reclaim of 0.69460 pivot negates the pullback read
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD flows driving this pair

05:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 39 · price 0.69376

Lower highs, lower lows since 0.6960.

AUDUSD rolled off the session high near 0.6960 through Asia hours, stamping lower highs down to a fresh session low at 0.69346 with RSI(14) sub-40. The slide fits the softer TD-MI inflation gauge quietly unwinding hawkish-RBA bets against a firm USD.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69346 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.69245
  • Reclaim of the 0.69460 prior swing negates the intraday down-leg
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD flows and this read

05:31 UTC

Downtrend off session high · RSI 38 · price 0.69376

Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session low.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.6959 session high back to 0.6938, consistent with softer TD-MI inflation gauges unwinding hawkish-RBA bets against a firm USD. Price prints lower highs and just broke to a fresh session low at 0.69346, RSI(14) sub-40.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6946

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69346 opens the path to 0.6925
  • Reclaim of 0.6946 would negate the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key USD catalyst

05:17 UTC

Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 37 · price 0.69374

Lower highs, lower lows since 0.6960 rejection.

AUDUSD rejected the 0.6960 session high and unwound steadily to 0.6937, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the 0.6923-0.6960 up-move as soft AU inflation gauges keep hawkish-RBA bets fragile against a firm USD. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-30s with a clean lower-high chain into early London.

Support: 0.69359, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69462, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69359 session low opens 0.6925
  • Reclaim of 0.69462 negates the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC Minutes tomorrow could shift USD tone

05:17 UTC

Intraday downtrend from session high · RSI 34 · price 0.69374

Lower highs, lower lows off 0.6960.

AUDUSD is grinding lower through Asia hours, printing a lower-high chain off the 0.69596 session high with price now pinned at 0.69374 — right at the 61.8% retrace of the 0.69234–0.69596 leg. USD stays firm into FOMC Minutes and softer AU inflation is capping bounces; RSI(14) near 34 as the last bar swept the 0.69359 low.

Support: 0.69359, 0.6930, 0.69234

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69489, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69359 confirms continuation toward the 0.69234 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69489 breaks the lower-high chain
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift USD flows driving this read

05:03 UTC

Pullback lower after intraday peak · RSI 38 · price 0.69417

Lower highs since 0.6960, testing session low.

AUDUSD topped at 0.6960 mid-window and has since stacked lower highs, drifting to the session low at 0.6941 as the soft TD-MI inflation gauge quietly unwinds hawkish-RBA bets. RSI(14) cooling near 37, price sitting under both EMAs with 0.6925 the next reference below.

Support: 0.6941, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69485, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69410 opens the path toward 0.69245
  • Reclaim of 0.69485 negates the lower-high sequence
  • London open within the hour could break the session low
  • FOMC Minutes tomorrow could shift the USD read

05:03 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs into current · RSI 38 · price 0.69417

Descending sequence off 0.6959 session high.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.6959 session high through the Asian session to 0.6942, sitting on the 50% retrace of the prior 0.6924-0.6959 leg after soft TD-MI inflation and ANZ job ads kept the Aussie heavy. Chain of lower highs holds, RSI(14) sub-40 with price below both EMAs; 0.69409 session low is the near-term floor.

Support: 0.69409, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69409 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69500 needed to stall the descending sequence
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape USD flows into this pair

04:47 UTC

Pullback from session high, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 0.69441

Lower highs after topping at 0.6960.

AUDUSD rallied through the US session to 0.6960, then eased back during Asia in a chain of lower highs toward 0.6944 as softer AUD inflation gauges kept a bearish tilt. RSI(14) cooling near 42; recent swing low at 0.6942 is being tested.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6925

Resistance: 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6942 swing low opens 0.6925 prior low
  • Reclaim of 0.6960 session high needed to resume the advance

04:47 UTC

Intraday pullback, lower highs · RSI 42 · price 0.69441

Rolling over from session high, testing session low.

AUDUSD rolled over from the 0.6959 session high into the Asia session, printing a lower-high chain as soft TD-MI inflation data keeps the Aussie heavy. Price now grinds along the session low near 0.6942 with RSI(14) mid-40s; supply capped each retest of 0.6950.

Support: 0.69423, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69423 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.6935
  • Reclaim of 0.6950 negates the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD flows

04:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend faded, pulling back · RSI 40 · price 0.69441

Lower highs after rejection at session high.

AUDUSD rallied through London-NY to a session high of 0.6960 before rejecting, and has since carved lower highs back to 0.6944 through the Asian session with RSI(14) cooling to ~40. The pullback stalls around the 50% fib of the prior leg; USD stays firm on the Hormuz safe-haven bid while AUD remains soft after this week's disinflation prints.

Support: 0.69423, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.69519, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69423 swing low confirms continuation lower toward the 0.6940 round number
  • Reclaim of 0.69519 recent high would negate the lower-high sequence
  • Thin calendar near-term — direction driven by risk tone into FOMC minutes Wed

04:32 UTC

Near-term pullback after topping · RSI 41 · price 0.69441

Lower highs off 0.6960 session high.

Asia session drifting lower after a rejection at the 0.6960 session high, printing a chain of lower highs into 0.6944. RSI(14) cooling near 41 with price back under both EMAs; the swing low at 0.6942 is the immediate pivot.

Support: 0.69423, 0.6934, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6942 confirms a lower low, opening the 0.6934/0.6925 session low zone
  • Reclaim of 0.6952 needed to re-challenge the 0.6960 session high
  • Calendar thin near-term; risk sentiment / Hormuz headlines the main intraday driver

04:17 UTC

Intraday rally stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.69479

Lower highs after rejection at 0.6959.

Late-Asia rally pushed to a session high at 0.6959 before rejecting, and price has since carved lower highs back to 0.69479, slipping below the EMA20/50. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s as the pullback tests the 0.69423 session low.

Support: 0.69423, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69514, 0.69558

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69423 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback toward 0.69245
  • Reclaim of 0.69558 negates the lower-high sequence

04:17 UTC

Range, drifting lower off session high · RSI 43 · price 0.69479

Lower highs after 0.6960 rejection, holding above 0.6942.

Asia session drifting lower after rejection at the 0.6960 session high, printing lower highs with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. AUD stays soft near 0.6948 as back-to-back disinflation prints unwind hawkish RBA bets; 0.6942 swing low is the pivot holding the intraday range.

Support: 0.69423, 0.6946, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.6952

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6942 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.6940
  • Reclaim of 0.69596 session high needed to revive the earlier grind higher

04:02 UTC

Short-term downdrift after topping near 0.6960 · RSI 42 · price 0.69465

Lower highs, lower lows over last ~3h.

AUDUSD rallied from 0.6925 through London-NY to a session high at 0.6960, then rolled into a run of lower highs and lower lows, now printing 0.69465 with AUD soft on the disinflation theme and USD firm. Sellers capped the last bounce at 0.69519; the 0.69423 session low is the near-term pivot.

Support: 0.69423, 0.69245, 0.6928

Resistance: 0.69519, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Break below 0.69423 confirms continuation toward 0.69245
  • M15 close back above 0.69519 negates the lower-high sequence

03:47 UTC

Pullback from session high, short-term down · RSI 38 · price 0.69451

Lower highs, testing 0.6945 support.

Price topped at the 0.6960 session high during NY hours and has since rolled over into early Asia, printing lower highs and grinding to 0.6945 — RSI(14) at ~38 as the AUD stays soft on the disinflation narrative. Range base at 0.6945 in play; a hold keeps the pullback shallow, a break exposes 0.6930.

Support: 0.6945, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6945 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.6930
  • Reclaim of 0.6952 swing high would stall the pullback

03:47 UTC

Pullback off session high · RSI 42 · price 0.69451

Lower highs after rejection near 0.6960.

AUDUSD stalled at the session high 0.69596 during Asia hours and is grinding lower into 0.6945, in line with the soft AUD tone after back-to-back disinflation prints. Lower highs are stacking below 0.69520 with RSI cooling into the low-40s; price now sits at the session low.

Support: 0.6945, 0.6937

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69520 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Break of 0.69450 session low opens 0.69370

03:32 UTC

London uptrend fading · RSI 43 · price 0.69465

Rejected 0.6960, lower highs forming.

London hours drove AUDUSD to a session high at 0.6960 before it rolled over, now drifting back to 0.6945 with RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s and price slipping under both EMAs. AUD stays soft after back-to-back disinflation prints, capping the intraday bounce; lower highs stacking beneath 0.6960.

Support: 0.69452, 0.69365, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 reopens the intraday upside
  • Break below 0.69452 confirms a lower low toward 0.6936
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape the USD-side read

03:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.69465

Lower highs off session high, testing pullback support.

London-NY grind lifted AUDUSD from 0.69245 to a session high 0.69596 before it rolled over into the Asia session, now trading 0.69465 after tagging 0.69452. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) near 42 and price back under EMA20/50, consistent with the soft AUD tone as disinflation prints unwind hawkish RBA bets.

Support: 0.69452, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6956, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69452 confirms a lower-low and opens the prior range near 0.69300
  • Reclaim of 0.69560 puts the session high 0.69596 back in play
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD-side read

03:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 51 · price 0.69514

Consolidation below session high after intraday rally.

AUDUSD climbed through the Asia session from 0.6924 to a 0.6960 session high, then stalled and is chopping between 0.6946 and 0.6960 with RSI(14) back to neutral. Softer Aussie inflation keeps upside corrective; price now hugging the 0.6950 pivot below EMA20.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range cap
  • Loss of 0.6946 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 0.69245 rally base

03:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 49 · price 0.69514

Consolidating below session high after a rally off 0.6924.

AUDUSD climbed from 0.6924 to a session high at 0.6960 during Asia hours, then stalled and is now consolidating around 0.6951 with RSI(14) cooling to neutral. Demand stepped in at 0.6946 on the last pullback; range top at 0.6960 still capping.

Support: 0.69463, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.69436

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6946 breaks the rising intraday support
  • Break above 0.6960 session high reopens the upside
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the read via USD

03:02 UTC

Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.69496

HH/HL chain into 0.6960, now retracing.

AUDUSD climbed through the London-NY window from 0.6925 to a session high of 0.6960 before rejection faded it back to 0.6950 in early Asia. RSI(14) has cooled to ~43 as price slipped below EMA20; the 0.6948 swing low is the near-term line holding the intraday uptrend.

Support: 0.6948, 0.6946, 0.6942

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.69535

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6948 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Reclaim of 0.69596 session high reopens the upside
  • Thin Asia calendar; USD/China flows likely set direction

03:02 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 49 · price 0.69496

Pullback after session high, lower high forming.

AUDUSD drifted higher through the London-NY window to a session high of 0.69596 before rejecting and fading back to 0.69496 in early Asia hours, consistent with soft Aussie inflation trimming hawkish RBA bets against a firm USD. Price now sits just below the 0.6950 handle with RSI(14) neutral near 48, holding above the 0.69460 session low.

Support: 0.69479, 0.6946, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69460 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday uptrend
  • Reclaim of 0.69596 session high needed to resume the up-leg

02:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 51 · price 0.69514

HH/HL chain capped at 0.69596, now consolidating.

AUDUSD ground higher through the prior sessions from 0.6921 to a session high at 0.69596, then rejected and pulled back into a tight 0.69460-0.69590 band. Asia hours are drifting near the EMA20 at ~0.6954 with RSI back to neutral; the intraday advance has stalled but the swing low at 0.69460 still holds.

Support: 0.6946, 0.6934

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69596 reopens the push toward the 0.6980 range cap
  • Loss of 0.69460 confirms a lower low and unwinds the intraday advance

02:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 49 · price 0.69514

Consolidating below session high after steady HH/HL climb.

NY session drove AUDUSD off 0.6925 up to a 0.6960 session high; the Asia session opened quietly and is now consolidating around 0.6951 with RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range. Range top at 0.6960 still capping, demand held twice near 0.6946.

Support: 0.69463, 0.6950, 0.6941

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.69565

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6946 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • Reclaim and hold above 0.6960 reopens the path higher
  • US ADP data (12:15 UTC) could inject USD-side volatility

02:32 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.69508

Grind higher capped by twin highs near 0.6960.

AUDUSD ground higher through the window from 0.6928 to a session high at 0.6960, then rejected twice near that level, leaving a double top. Price has since faded to 0.6950 on thin Asian-hours volume with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; the broader soft-AUD/firm-USD backdrop keeps rallies contained.

Support: 0.69479, 0.69333

Resistance: 0.6956, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 negates the double top read
  • Failure to hold 0.69479 swing low opens the 0.6933 range floor

02:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 49 · price 0.69508

Higher highs into session high, now pulling back.

AUDUSD ground higher through the window from the 0.6921 low toward a session high of 0.69596, holding up despite soft TD-MI inflation prints. Rejection at 0.69596 has pulled price back to 0.69508 on thin late-Asia volume; RSI(14) has cooled to neutral around 49.

Support: 0.6946, 0.6934, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69460 breaks the rising swing-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 0.69596 session high reopens the upside
  • China data / risk tone can shift AUD near-term direction

02:17 UTC

Uptrend, stalling near session high · RSI 59 · price 0.69555

Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below 0.6960.

AUDUSD ground higher through the window from the 0.69245 session low to a session high at 0.69596, holding above EMA20/50 despite the firmer USD tone. A dip to 0.69463 was bought back, and price is now stalling in a tight Asia-session consolidation near 0.6955.

Support: 0.69463, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69596 extends the intraday uptrend toward the 0.6980 cap
  • Loss of 0.69463 swing low breaks the higher-low chain

02:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 0.69555

Higher highs and higher lows since the Asian-hours low.

AUDUSD ground higher through thin Asian-hours liquidity, printing a session high at 0.69596 before easing back to 0.6955. Dip to 0.69460 was bought and the higher-low sequence holds, though soft TD-MI inflation keeps the broader tone consolidative with a downside lean.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69399, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69596 extends the up-sequence toward 0.6970
  • Loss of 0.69460 breaks the rising higher-low chain
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset broad-USD tone

02:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing near highs · RSI 58 · price 0.69569

Higher highs into session high, shallow pullbacks bought.

AUDUSD ground higher through London and NY from the 0.6925 area to a session high at 0.69596, holding up despite a firm USD. Into early Asia the pair is consolidating just under that high; the dip to 0.69460 was bought and RSI(14) sits mid-range with room either way.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69399, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69596 extends the uptrend toward the 0.6980 band top
  • Close below 0.69460 breaks the rising support and marks a lower low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape the USD-driven read

02:02 UTC

Uptrend, pushing session highs · RSI 61 · price 0.69569

Higher lows into 0.6959 cap.

AUDUSD ground higher through London-NY into the Asia session, recovering from a dip to 0.69463 back to the session high at 0.69596. Buyers stepped in on the pullback and price is retesting the 0.6959 cap on thin Asian liquidity, RSI(14) mid-60s and not yet stretched.

Support: 0.69463, 0.69423, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69596 opens the path to the 0.6980 band top
  • Loss of 0.69463 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.69423
  • Thin Asian volume keeps moves choppy until London reopens

01:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 0.69532

Higher highs into session high, shallow pullback.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY-into-Asia window to a session high at 0.69594 before rejecting and pulling back to 0.69463; now recovering toward 0.6953. USD firmness on Hormuz safe-haven flows is capping the rebound, but the sequence of higher lows is intact for now.

Support: 0.69463, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.69594

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69463 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 0.69594 reopens the session-high push
  • USD safe-haven bid on Hormuz headlines could cap further upside

01:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 0.69532

Higher highs into 0.6959, shallow pullback.

AUDUSD ran to a session high of 0.6959 through the London-NY hours then pulled back to 0.6946 before Asia stabilised it back at 0.6953, RSI cooling into the mid-50s. Broader tone is soft after the weak TD-MI inflation print, but the intraday leg from 0.6924 is holding higher lows.

Support: 0.6946, 0.6933

Resistance: 0.69594, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69460 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
  • Reclaim of 0.69594 reopens the 0.6980 band top
  • USD-driven flows into FOMC minutes could override intraday structure

01:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 51 · price 0.6953

Pullback from session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through London-NY to a session high at 0.6959, then rejected and pulled back to 0.6946 into early Asia before bouncing to 0.6953. The fade fits the digest read of the Aussie failing to hold spikes toward 0.6950 after the soft TD-MI inflation gauge; price now sits between the session-low support and the 0.6959 cap.

Support: 0.6946, 0.6933, 0.6925

Resistance: 0.6959

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.6946 exposes the 0.6933 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.6959 session high needed to resume the up-leg
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven tone

01:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 0.6953

HH/HL chain, first pullback off session high.

Late-NY drove AUDUSD up to a 0.6959 session high before Asia trade faded it back to 0.6946, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Price is now retesting the 0.6953 area after bouncing off the pullback low; the rising sequence off 0.6924 is intact so long as 0.6946 holds.

Support: 0.69463, 0.69234, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69594, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6946 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.6924
  • Reclaim of 0.6959 reopens the 0.6980 range top
  • Thin AUD calendar in Asia — direction likely set by USD/risk flows

01:17 UTC

Session uptrend, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.69477

Double top off session high, retracing.

AUDUSD climbed through London/NY from 0.6925 to a 0.6959 double top, then rolled over into the Asia session and is now retracing toward the 38.2% fib near 0.6946. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s as price slipped below the 0.6954 neckline; broad AUD tone stays soft after the weaker TD-MI inflation gauge.

Support: 0.69463, 0.6942

Resistance: 0.6954, 0.69594

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close below 0.69463 opens the 50% fib at 0.6942
  • Reclaim of 0.69540 neckline negates the double top read
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this intraday read

01:17 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.69477

HH/HL chain, pullback from session high.

Aussie rallied through the session to a high of 0.69594 before rejecting, now retracing toward 0.69477 with RSI(14) cooling near 42. AUD stays soft after the TD-MI inflation gauge miss, and this Asia-session pullback has stalled the prior HH/HL sequence.

Support: 0.69463, 0.6943, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6956, 0.69594

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69430 confirms a deeper pullback toward 0.69245
  • Reclaim of 0.69560 reopens the session high at 0.69594

01:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 0.69479

HH/HL chain stalling at session high, pullback underway.

The London-NY advance stalled at the 0.6959 session high and has rolled over into an Asia-session pullback, dragging price back to 0.69479 and below EMA20 with RSI cooling to the low-40s. AUD stayed heavy after the soft TD-MI inflation gauge, keeping the rally corrective rather than impulsive.

Support: 0.6944, 0.69335, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69535, 0.69594

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6944 pivot confirms a deeper pullback and breaks the intraday HL chain
  • Reclaim of 0.69594 session high needed to resume the advance
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:03 UTC

Short-term uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.69479

HH/HL chain into session high, now retracing.

Aussie rallied through the NY-Asia transition to a session high at 0.6959, where the move was rejected, and is now retracing to 0.6948 toward the 38.2% fib. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the pullback develops; softer AU inflation keeps AUD heavy on the broader read.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6934, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69544, 0.69594

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69420 opens the path toward the 0.69245 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69594 session high needed to resume the up-leg
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:47 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.69521

Higher highs into NY high, now retracing.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session from 0.6923 to a session high of 0.6959 before rejecting there and slipping back to 0.6952, dipping under the EMA20. The Aussie stays heavy on soft TD-MI inflation while the greenback holds firm, so this looks like a pullback within the intraday uptrend rather than a reversal.

Support: 0.6951, 0.6944

Resistance: 0.6959

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 0.6959 session high resumes the uptrend
  • Close below 0.6944 swing low breaks the higher-low structure
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling into pullback · RSI 52 · price 0.69521

Higher highs into session high, now rolling over.

The intraday advance off 0.6925 pushed into a session high at 0.6959 before stalling; the last few bars show a rejection there and a drift back to 0.6952 as early Asia trades quietly. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and price has slipped under the EMA20.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6944, 0.6925

Resistance: 0.6959

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6959 session high resumes the advance
  • Loss of 0.6950 recent low opens 0.6944 swing low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for USD-side moves

00:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 0.6953

Higher highs into session top, now pulling back.

AUDUSD climbed through the NY session to a session high at 0.6959 before stalling; thin Asia-hours flow has trimmed price back to 0.6953 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 50s. The disinflation-driven soft AUD tone caps rallies, and price is now consolidating just under the session top above 0.6944.

Support: 0.6952, 0.6944, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6944 swing low confirms a lower-low and ends the intraday HH/HL chain
  • Reclaim of 0.6959 session high reopens the path toward 0.6980
  • FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) is the key catalyst that could shift this read

00:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 48 · price 0.6953

HH/HL chain into session high, now pulling back.

AUDUSD climbed steadily through London-NY hours from 0.6925 to a 0.6959 session high before rejecting there and drifting back to 0.6953 in thin Asia trade. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price slips under EMA20, though it holds above the rising EMA50 — the broader intraday uptrend structure is intact but momentum has faded near the highs.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6944, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6959 resumes the uptrend toward 0.6960+
  • Loss of 0.6950 opens the 0.6944 swing low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key upcoming catalyst

00:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 52 · price 0.69534

Higher highs into 0.6959, now pulling back.

AUDUSD ground higher through London-NY from 0.6925 to a session high at 0.69594, then rejected and slipped back to 0.6953 as thin Asia-session volume set in. RSI(14) has cooled toward neutral; price is sitting on the 0.69505 swing low with the broader AUD tone soft after the weaker TD-MI inflation gauge.

Support: 0.69505, 0.69441, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69594

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69505 opens the path to 0.69441
  • Reclaim of 0.69594 session high resumes the higher-high sequence
  • Fed minutes Wed could materially shift this read via the USD leg

00:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 0.69534

Higher highs stalling at session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London-NY window to a 0.69594 session high before stalling, with the broader tone capped after softer TD-MI inflation undercut RBA-hike bets. Thin Asia-hours trade has price drifting back to 0.6953, holding above the 0.69505 pivot.

Support: 0.69505, 0.6944, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69594

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69505 breaks the rising intraday structure
  • Reclaim of 0.69594 resumes the upmove toward 0.6980

00:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 0.69538

Higher highs into session peak, now pulling back.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session to a high at 0.69594 before a rejection into the thin Asian open dragged price back to 0.69538, RSI(14) cooling to ~54. Aussie stays capped near session highs with disinflation data weighing; still holding the 0.69505–0.69594 band.

Support: 0.69505, 0.69433, 0.69365

Resistance: 0.69594, 0.6970

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69594 opens the path toward 0.6970
  • Loss of 0.69505 confirms a lower low into the session

00:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 55 · price 0.69538

Higher highs and higher lows, minor pullback.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session into Asia hours, printing a session high at 0.69594 before easing to 0.6954; the risk-off Hormuz tilt weighing on the Aussie has not yet dented the intraday climb. RSI(14) has cooled toward mid-range on the pullback, price still holding above EMA20/50.

Support: 0.69505, 0.69433, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69594

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69505 swing low would break the higher-low chain
  • Close above 0.69594 session high extends the uptrend
  • US FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape the read

All markets that day · Today’s AUD/USD Live Scan in the terminal