AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 24 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:47 UTC
Pullback after NY push, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69804
Faded off 0.7000, consolidating into thin late session.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.70005 during NY hours before rejecting the round number and fading back to 0.6980. Price has since gone quiet in thin late-session trade, drifting along 0.69782 support with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s.
Support: 0.69782, 0.69723
Resistance: 0.6988, 0.70005, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69880 swing high would reopen the 0.7000 round number
Loss of 0.69782 session low exposes 0.69723 swing low
Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the decisive catalyst that could override this range
NY session tagged 0.70005 and was rejected, leaving a false break of the round number; price has bled back to 0.698 into a thin late-Friday tape. Lower highs stacking since the 0.7000 rejection, RSI mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.6978, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6995
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69780 swing low confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence
M15 close back above 0.69950 swing hi negates the rejection read
AUDUSD tagged the 0.7000 psych level during the NY afternoon then rolled over, carving lower highs into the late session. Price sits back below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling toward the mid-40s and volume thinning as the session winds down.
Support: 0.69782, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6988, 0.69955, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69880 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69782 session low opens 0.69700
RBA Bullock (Jul 28) and Q2 CPI (Jul 29) are the week's decisive catalysts
20:32 UTC
Pullback after rejection at 0.7000 · RSI 43 · price 0.69794
Lower highs off session high, drifting lower.
NY session pushed to 0.70005 then failed, a false break of the round number that has since faded to 0.6979 through late NY hours. Price is carving lower highs under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; supply capped every retest since the 0.7000 rejection.
Support: 0.69782, 0.69739
Resistance: 0.6988, 0.70005
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69880 negates the lower-high fade
Break below 0.69739 confirms a fresh lower low
AU Trimmed Mean CPI (Jul 29) is the decisive catalyst that reframes this read
20:17 UTC
Pullback after 0.7000 rejection · RSI 41 · price 0.6979
Lower highs since NY session top.
NY session pushed into the 0.7000 psych level and was rejected, printing lower highs into late hours as a firm USD kept the bid. Price now drifts at 0.6979 with RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s; the 0.6976 swing low is the immediate floor being tested.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6985 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.6976 opens the path to the 0.6963 session low
Reclaim of 0.7000 negates the rejection read
20:17 UTC
Pullback after failed push to 0.7000 · RSI 42 · price 0.6979
Lower highs since NY peak, drifting off highs.
NY session pushed to the 0.7000 psych level and got rejected, tagging a 0.70005 high before fading. Price has printed lower highs back to 0.6979 into late NY, RSI(14) cooling near 42 with price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6975 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback toward the 0.6963 session low
Reclaim of 0.6995 prior high negates the fade and reopens the 0.7000 psych cap
RBA Bullock (Tue) and Q2 CPI (Wed) are the decisive catalysts ahead — no calendar risk in the next 8h
AUDUSD stalled at the 0.7000 psych level during NY and has since rolled over, printing lower highs back toward the 0.69787 session low. RSI(14) near 41 with price below both EMAs; the up-leg from 0.69739 has been largely retraced.
Support: 0.69787, 0.69739
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69739 swing low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of the 0.69900 prior high needed to negate the drift
AUDUSD tagged the 0.7000 round number during NY hours and reversed, RSI cooling into the low 40s. A chain of lower highs has since dragged price back toward the 0.69749 session low, with firm USD capping the top.
Support: 0.69749, 0.69723
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.69904
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.70005 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Lower highs since NY session high, holding above 0.6978.
NY session ran up to test the 0.70000 psych level and stalled at 0.70005 before rolling over; USD firmness near monthly highs capped the move. Price has since carved lower highs and sits back at the 50% retrace of the intraday rally around 0.6981, RSI(14) cooling near 41.
Support: 0.69787, 0.6976, 0.69723
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6986
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69787 confirms a lower low and opens 0.6976
Reclaim of 0.70000 needed to reopen the session high
Q2 CPI (Wed) is the week's catalyst — no impact within the next few hours
19:47 UTC
Pulling back from 0.7000, lower highs · RSI 42 · price 0.69813
Rejection at round number, drifting lower into late NY.
AUDUSD rejected the 0.7000 round number in the London-NY overlap and has since drifted lower, printing lower highs into late NY with price now sub-EMA20/50. RSI(14) cooling around 41; sellers pressing session low at 0.69787 as the pullback holds around the 0.5-0.618 retrace of the intraday rally.
Support: 0.69787, 0.6976, 0.69658
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.70005
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69760 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.69658 range low
Reclaim of 0.69900 would negate the lower-high sequence
19:32 UTC
Rolled over from 0.70, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 0.69796
Lower highs, lower lows off session high.
AUDUSD tagged the 0.70 round number and session high at 0.70005 during NY morning, was rejected, and has ground lower all afternoon in a clean LH/LL chain into 0.6980. RSI(14) sits mid-30s to 40 with price below EMA20/50; pair is testing the session low at 0.69787.
Support: 0.69787, 0.69749, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.6995, 0.70005
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69860 breaks the lower-high chain
sustained break below 0.69749 opens 0.6970
Q2 CPI (Wed) is the week's macro catalyst but sits outside the next bar period
AUDUSD rejected the 0.7000 psych level in the NY session and stair-stepped lower to 0.6979, printing a chain of lower highs with RSI(14) sub-40. Pair holding just above the 0.69787 session low into late hours; sub-0.70 tone consistent with the firm-USD backdrop.
Support: 0.69787, 0.6976
Resistance: 0.6985, 0.70005
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69787 session low confirms continuation, exposing 0.6976 swing low
M15 close back above 0.6985 recent high breaks the lower-high chain
Q2 AU CPI (Wed) is the week's catalyst and could reset this read
19:17 UTC
Pullback after 0.7000 rejection · RSI 41 · price 0.69798
Lower highs off session peak.
NY session pushed to the 0.7000 psych level, spiked to 0.70005 and was rejected, and price has since bled back toward 0.698 on a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) cooling near 41 with price now under both EMAs; the swing low at 0.69749 is the pivot for the intraday range.
Support: 0.69749, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69749 confirms a lower low and opens 0.6970
Reclaim of 0.7000 needed to negate the rejection read
NY session pushed to the 0.70 psych level at 0.70005, met rejection and has since bled back to 0.69798, unwinding most of the up leg. RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s with price under both EMAs; the firm USD backdrop kept 0.70 capped.
Support: 0.69749, 0.69723
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.6995
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69749 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 0.70000 needed to negate the rejection read
Q2 CPI (Wed) is the week's catalyst but sits outside the next-bar window
Lower highs since 0.70005 peak, fading into late NY.
NY session pushed AUDUSD to a marginal poke of the 0.70000 psych level (high 0.70005) then rejected, closing back sub-0.70 — a false break. Price has since carved lower highs and is drifting toward the 0.69807 session low, RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s with price back under both EMAs.
Support: 0.69807, 0.69749, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69955
What it said to watch
reclaim and M15 close above 0.70000 invalidates the fade read
loss of 0.69749 swing low confirms a lower low
RBA Q2 CPI (Wed) is the week's catalyst and could reset this read
NY session pushed AUDUSD to the 0.7000 round number and got rejected, price now rolling back through 0.6982 on a chain of lower highs into late session. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s and price sits below EMA20/50; buyers last defended 0.6980.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6975
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6980 exposes the 0.6975 swing low
Reclaim of 0.6990 needed to re-challenge the 0.7000 high
18:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 0.69817
Rally stalled, pulling back off session high.
NY session poked the 0.7000 psych level (high 0.70005) then rejected, price fading to 0.6982 with RSI(14) cooling from the highs. USD held firm on hawkish-Fed/oil repricing, capping AUD's push; the 0.6976 session support is the first structural level below.
NY session pushed to the 0.7000 round number and was rejected, tagging 0.70005 before fading. Price now retracing toward 0.69760 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs; last few bars printing lower closes off the 0.6995 swing high.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6995
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69760 confirms a lower low and deepens the pullback
Reclaim of 0.70000 reopens the intraday upside
18:32 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.69831
Rejection at 0.7000, retracing off session high.
NY session poked above the 0.7000 psych level to 0.70005 mid-afternoon and was rejected, pair back to 0.6983 and now under EMA20/50. USD firm near month highs caps the AUD advance; RSI(14) cooled to ~42 as the move faded off the high.
Support: 0.6982, 0.6976, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.6995
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.6995 reopens the 0.7000 psych high
Failure to hold 0.6976 session low confirms a lower low
Q2 CPI (Wed) is the week's catalyst and could override this intraday read
18:32 UTC
Uptrend fading into late NY pullback · RSI 42 · price 0.69831
HH sequence stalled at 0.7000, now retracing.
AUDUSD climbed through London-NY, tagging a session high of 0.70005 at the round number before being rejected; price has since drifted to 0.6983 in late NY with RSI cooling to the low 40s. A firm USD on hawkish Fed repricing kept the advance capped just below 0.7000.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.6995
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6976 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday uptrend
Reclaim of 0.6995 reopens the 0.70005 session high
Q2 CPI Wed and FOMC Wed are the week's catalysts, either can override this read
18:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 0.69853
Rejection at 0.7000, retracing off highs.
NY session drove the pair into the 0.7000 round number where it was rejected (high 0.70005), then faded to 0.6985. RSI(14) has cooled below 50 and price slipped back under the EMA20, capping the intraday advance.
Support: 0.6982, 0.6976, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6995 prior high reopens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.6982 swing low exposes the 0.6976 session low
18:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 0.69853
Rally to 0.7000 rejected, drifting lower.
NY session pushed AUDUSD up to tag 0.70000 before sellers capped it at the session high 0.70005, RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. Price has since drifted to 0.6985 and is holding above the 0.6982 swing low; broadly soft as a firm USD keeps upside contained.
Support: 0.6982, 0.6976
Resistance: 0.6995, 0.70005, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69950 reopens the 0.70000 round number test
Loss of 0.69820 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 0.69760 session low
AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, tagging the 0.70 psych level (high 0.70005) before rejecting back to 0.6985. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price retraced roughly half the 0.69618–0.70005 leg; USD stays broadly firm ahead of next week's catalysts.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6971
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6995
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69760 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Reclaim of 0.70000 needed to resume the up-leg
Move is calendar-quiet next 8h; RBA CPI and FOMC land midweek
NY session pushed the rally to a brief poke of the 0.7000 round number before rejection dragged price back to 0.69855, RSI cooling toward neutral. Momentum has stalled with USD firm on hawkish-Fed pricing; pullback holding above the 0.69820 swing low so far.
Support: 0.6982, 0.69749
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.6995
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69950 reopens the 0.7000 round number test
Failure to hold 0.69820 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 0.69749 session low
AU Q2 CPI (Wed 29 Jul) is the week's catalyst and could reshape this read
AUDUSD ran a NY-session leg into the 0.70 psych level, printed 0.70005, then rejected as firm USD capped upside; price now sitting on the 61.8% retrace near 0.69849. Momentum has cooled with RSI back near neutral and price slipping under EMA20.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.6995
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69950 and a close above 0.70005 reopens the upside
Loss of 0.69760 confirms a deeper pullback in the NY leg
Higher highs into round-number rejection, easing back.
NY session pushed AUDUSD up to tag 0.7000, printing 0.70005 before rejecting, and price has eased back to 0.6985 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Buyers defended 0.6976 twice during the earlier London-NY grind; that pivot is the near-term floor with the round number capping.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6968
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6995
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the session high at 0.69950 and beyond
Loss of 0.6976 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday uptrend
NY session pushed AUDUSD to the 0.7000 psych level and was rejected, RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s as price slid back to 0.6987. Pullback holding above the 0.69827 swing low so far; broader tone stays capped sub-0.70 on firm USD.
Support: 0.69827, 0.69749
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.6995
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70005 resumes the uptrend toward the 0.7025 area
Failure to hold 0.69827 opens the prior low at 0.69749
Higher highs into 0.7000, now pulling back below EMA20.
NY session pushed AUDUSD up to tag 0.70005 before sellers rejected the round number, price now consolidating near 0.6987 with firm USD (record-low jobless claims, oil-driven Fed repricing) capping upside sub-0.70. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral as the pullback holds above the 0.6985 pivot.
Support: 0.6985, 0.6976, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6995
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 reopens the path toward the session high extension
Failure to hold 0.69850 exposes the 0.6976 session low
Q2 CPI (Wed) and FOMC are the material catalysts ahead, outside this window
HH into 0.70005, pulling back off the round number.
NY session pushed AUDUSD up to 0.70005, sweeping the round number before rejecting back to 0.6986. A firm USD on the hawkish-Fed/oil narrative capped the move; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral near 51.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69749
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70005 reopens the path higher
Failure to hold 0.6976 confirms a lower low
AU Q2 CPI on Wed is the week's key catalyst, well outside this window
NY session drove AUDUSD up to the 0.70005 round-number high before sellers capped it, and price is now easing back to 0.69864 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. The intraday HH/HL structure is intact while 0.69760 holds.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6982
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7025
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70005 opens the path to the 0.7025 5wk high
Failure to hold 0.69760 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
AUD Q2 CPI Wed and FOMC Wed are the week's catalysts, outside this window
17:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 0.6990
Higher highs into 0.7000, now consolidating.
NY session drove AUDUSD into the 0.7000 psychological level, tagging 0.70005 before fading back to 0.699 as firm USD capped the move. RSI(14) cooling from the highs; price still holding above the ascending intraday lows and both EMAs.
Support: 0.6987, 0.69742, 0.6976
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70005
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 opens continuation toward the session high extension
Failure to hold 0.6987 exposes the 0.69742 swing low
NY session drove AUDUSD up to tag 0.70005, the round number, before rejecting back to 0.699 with RSI cooling from the push. Buyers held the 0.6976 session low through the London-NY transition; the up-move is intact but stalling at 0.70.
Support: 0.6989, 0.6976
Resistance: 0.70005
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70005 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 0.6989 exposes the 0.6976 session low
Higher highs and higher lows, pullback from 0.7000.
AUDUSD trended higher through the NY session, sweeping the 0.7000 psychological level to a 0.70005 high before rejecting back toward 0.699. USD firmness keeps price capped sub-0.70 and RSI(14) is cooling off the highs, but the higher-low chain above 0.69827 remains intact.
Support: 0.69827, 0.6976
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.69955
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70005 opens the path higher
Loss of 0.69827 breaks the higher-low structure
Wed Q2 CPI and FOMC are the larger catalysts ahead
NY session drove AUDUSD up to 0.70005, tagging the 0.7000 psych level before rejection dragged it back to 0.699. RSI(14) cooling near 56 after the spike; the rising-low structure off 0.6976 still holds.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69742
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70005 clears the session high and 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold 0.6976 breaks the rising-low structure
NY session ran up to 0.70005, tagging the psych 0.7000 round number before rejecting back to 0.6994, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Intraday structure stays a rising chain of higher lows; the 0.6989 pullback low is the near-term pivot.
Support: 0.6989, 0.6982, 0.69749
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70005 opens the path toward the 0.7025 5wk high
Failure to hold 0.6989 exposes the 0.6982 swing low
AUD Q2 CPI (Wed) is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
NY session pushed AUDUSD up to test the 0.7000 psych level, printing a session high of 0.70005 before sellers capped it and price eased to 0.6994. RSI(14) cooling from the highs as the pair consolidates just under 0.7000, still riding above EMA20/50 on the rising intraday structure.
Support: 0.69868, 0.69749
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70005 opens the path back toward the 0.7025 five-week high
Loss of 0.69868 swing low signals the intraday uptrend is stalling
AUD Q2 CPI (Wed) is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read
NY session drove AUDUSD up to 0.70005, sweeping the round number before rejecting back to 0.69904; price now consolidating ~0.6994 with RSI(14) cooling from the push. AUD stayed broadly soft on firm USD but caught an intraday bid, holding above the 0.69900 pullback low.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6982, 0.69749
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70005 opens the path toward 0.7025
NY session extended the intraday grind higher and tagged the 0.7000 round number at 0.70005 before rejecting back to 0.69904; RSI(14) cooled from the push. Price has since recovered to 0.69945 with the chain of higher lows through the London-NY transition still intact.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6976, 0.69627
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.70005 session high opens continuation
Loss of 0.69760 ny range low breaks the higher-low sequence
Q2 CPI (Wed) is the dominant catalyst that would reset this read
NY session drove AUDUSD up through the day and tapped the 0.7000 round number at 0.70005 before rejecting back to ~0.6992, RSI(14) cooling off the highs. Intraday higher-low chain intact off the 0.69749 swing low, but firm USD on hawkish-Fed/energy flows is capping the round-number retest.
Support: 0.69749, 0.6982
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.69951
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70005 opens the path to the 0.7025 five-week high
Failure to hold 0.69749 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
AU Q2 CPI (Wed) is the dominant catalyst ahead — will reshape this read
NY session drove AUDUSD up through 0.6990 to tag the 0.70 psych level, printing a session high at 0.70005 before rejecting back to 0.6994. RSI cooling from the spike; firm USD on hawkish-Fed/energy flows is capping the topside.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to the 0.7025 five-week high
Failure to hold 0.6976 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
NY session drove AUDUSD up to tag 0.70005 and the 0.7000 psych level before rejecting back to 0.699, RSI(14) cooling from the push. AUD stays firm off the jobs beat but supply capped the move sub-0.7025, the flagged five-week high.
Support: 0.69749, 0.6968
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70005 opens the path to the 0.7025 5-week high
Failure to hold 0.69749 negates the current up-leg
RBA Bullock Mon and Wed CPI are the next material catalysts
NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.6972 low up to the 0.7000 psych level, printing 0.70005 before rejecting back to 0.69908. USD firm on hawkish-Fed and oil-driven safe-haven bid is capping the push; buyers stepped in twice around 0.6975 through the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.69822, 0.69749
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 opens the 0.7025 5-wk high cap
Failure to hold 0.6975 session low confirms a lower-low
NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69749 low up to poke 0.70005, but the round number rejected and price closed back at 0.69917. RSI(14) cooling from the push; the 0.7000 psych cap aligns with the ~0.7025 five-week high noted as the broader ceiling.
Support: 0.69822, 0.6976
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70005 reopens the path toward 0.7025
Failure to hold 0.69760 negates the intraday higher-low chain
NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69749 session low up through 0.7000, tagging 0.70005 before sellers capped the poke and price slipped back to 0.69917 — a false break of the round number. USD firmness from strong US claims keeps a lid on the rally near the psych level while the intraday uptrend from 0.69749 stays intact.
Support: 0.69749, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.69951
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70005 reopens the path toward 0.7025
Failure to hold 0.69749 negates the intraday uptrend
RBA Gov Bullock speech Mon could shift AUD tone into CPI
15:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 0.69986
Higher highs into 0.7000.
NY session pushed AUDUSD off the 0.69749 swing low back through the prior session high at 0.69951, now pressing the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) near 71. Move fits the firm-AUD read after strong jobs, though the 0.7025 five-week-high cap sits just overhead.
Support: 0.69749, 0.69951, 0.6968
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70255
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to the 0.70255 five-week high
Loss of 0.69749 swing low negates the intraday higher-high sequence
RBA Bullock (Mon) and Wed CPI are the next catalysts that could reset this read
NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69749 swing low up through the prior 0.69951 high, now testing the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) hot near 72. USD stayed firm on strong US claims but AUD firmed on this week's jobs beat; move remains capped sub-0.7025.
Support: 0.69749, 0.69822, 0.69951
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to the 0.7025 five-week high
Failure to hold 0.69749 breaks the higher-low chain
RBA Gov Bullock speech Mon could reset this read ahead of Wed CPI
NY session grinding back toward the 0.69951 session high after a pullback to 0.69749 was bought during the London-NY transition. RSI(14) mid-range near 58, price holding above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows intact.
Support: 0.69749, 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69951 opens the path back toward the 0.7025 cap
Loss of 0.69749 exposes 0.6968 swing low
Firm USD on hawkish-Fed/oil channel could cap rallies sub-0.7025
15:02 UTC
Recovering, back near session highs · RSI 59 · price 0.69872
Consolidation, dip bought into NY.
AUDUSD dipped to 0.69749 mid-session then recovered through NY hours, now back at 0.6987 and retesting session highs near 0.6995. USD firmness on hawkish-Fed pricing keeps rallies capped sub-0.7000; buyers stepped in twice above 0.6974.
Support: 0.69749, 0.69634
Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6995 opens the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69749 reopens the 0.69634 swing low
RBA Bullock Mon and Australian CPI Wed could reshape this read
Higher highs into 0.6995 rejection, then higher lows off 0.6975.
NY session pushed to a session high 0.69951 before rejecting, then buyers stepped in around 0.6975 and price is grinding back toward 0.698. A firmer USD kept the run capped sub-0.70; move remains a shallow pullback within the intraday uptrend.
Support: 0.69749, 0.6968
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.69951 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of 0.69749 session low exposes 0.6968 swing low
RBA Bullock (Mon) and Wed CPI are the next material catalysts
14:47 UTC
Pullback within intraday uptrend · RSI 54 · price 0.69828
Rally to session high then lower high, recovering off pullback low.
London push stalled at the 0.69951 session high before a fade back to 0.69749, where buyers stepped in; price is now recovering toward 0.6983 with RSI(14) back near neutral. USD firmness kept a lid on the rally sub-0.7000.
Support: 0.69749, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.69915
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69951 reclaims the session high and reopens 0.7000
Failure to hold 0.69749 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.69618
RBA Gov Bullock (Mon) and AU CPI (Wed) are the next material catalysts
14:32 UTC
Uptrend stalling after rejection at session high · RSI 52 · price 0.69807
NY rally topped at 0.6995, pulled back into recovery.
NY session drove AUDUSD up to a session high of 0.69951, just shy of the 0.7000 psych level, before rejecting and pulling back to 0.69749. Price is now recovering toward 0.698 with RSI cooled to mid-range; the pair stayed choppy as firm US data and hawkish-Fed pricing offset Australia's strong PMIs.
Support: 0.69749, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69951 would resume the NY up-leg toward 0.7000
Loss of 0.69749 swing low exposes the 0.69630 asia low
No near-term calendar catalyst; RBA CPI next week is the decider
NY session rejected the 0.69951 session high and sold off to 0.69749, where buyers stepped in and stalled the drop. Price has since coiled 0.6975-0.6984 and is grinding back toward the range top, RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.69749, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.6984, 0.69951
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6984 range top opens the path back to the 0.69951 session high
Loss of the 0.69749 session low confirms a lower low
AUD CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the week's decider — a hot print challenges the 0.7025-0.7028 cap
14:17 UTC
Uptrend faded, pullback in play · RSI 51 · price 0.69795
Lower high after session-high rejection, basing above 0.6972.
London pushed AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69951 before NY faded it back to 0.6975, where buyers stepped in twice. Price is now recovering to 0.698, RSI back to neutral around 51 after the pullback; the 0.69880 prior high caps the bounce for now.
Support: 0.69749, 0.69723
Resistance: 0.6988, 0.69951
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69951 reopens the upside toward the 0.7025-0.7028 cap
Loss of 0.69723 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday base
Rally to session high, pullback holding above swing low.
NY session pushed AUDUSD up to a session high of 0.69951 before sellers capped it, with firm USD on hawkish-Fed repricing weighing on the topside. Price corrected to 0.69742 and is now recovering toward 0.698; RSI(14) back to neutral near 52.
Support: 0.69742, 0.69655
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69951 reopens the 0.70000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69742 exposes the 0.69655 swing low
14:02 UTC
NY rally rejected, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 0.69784
Session high rejection, mid-range consolidation.
NY session extended the London bid to a session high of 0.69951 before a sharp rejection dropped price to 0.69749; now consolidating near 0.6978, sitting on the 50% retrace of the intraday leg. Firm USD (1969-low jobless claims, oil/Iran risk) kept AUD upside capped despite strong Aussie PMIs.
Support: 0.69749, 0.6972, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.6988, 0.69951
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.69880 reopens the 0.69951 session high
Failure to hold 0.69749 exposes 0.69720 then 0.69660
No tier-1 AUD/USD data in the next 8h; FOMC and Aussie CPI are next-week catalysts
14:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulled back off session high · RSI 45 · price 0.69784
HH/HL chain into 0.6995 rejection, retraced to mid-range.
London-NY push tagged 0.69951 before sellers rejected the level, dragging price back to the 0.6972 swing low near the 50% fib of the up-leg. USD stayed firm on the 1969-low jobless claims and oil-driven safe-haven bid; AUDUSD now recovering off 0.6976 with RSI cooled to mid-40s.
Support: 0.6972, 0.69632
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.69915
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69915 reopens the 0.69951 session high
Loss of 0.6972 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.69632
Thin calendar next 8h; RBA Bullock and CPI next week are the swing factors
13:47 UTC
Uptrend rolled over, pullback in play · RSI 44 · price 0.69755
Session high rejected, lower high forming.
AUDUSD pushed to a session high 0.69951 during London hours then twice failed near 0.6992-0.6995, printing a double top before a sharp break back through 0.69830. Price now consolidating around 0.6976 with RSI cooled to the mid-40s; firm broad USD kept a lid on the AUD bounce.
Support: 0.6974, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.69951
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.69830 reopens the 0.69951 session high
Failure to hold 0.69740 exposes the 0.69630 swing low
13:47 UTC
Uptrend rejected, rolling over · RSI 42 · price 0.69755
London rally to session high faded into NY open.
AUDUSD climbed through London to a session high of 0.6995 before a sharp rejection dumped it back to 0.6974 into the NY open, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s. Strong AU flash PMIs gave no lasting lift as a firm USD kept the pair capped; now flat around 0.6976 having handed back most of the rally.
Support: 0.6974, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6974 exposes the 0.6963 swing low
Reclaim of 0.6995 needed to reopen the 0.7000 psych cap
USD-driven; hawkish-Fed repricing remains the near-term pressure
AUDUSD rallied through the London-NY transition to a session high at 0.6995 before a sharp rejection dumped it back to 0.6976, now parked on the 61.8% fib of the day's up move. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s; firm USD on hawkish-Fed repricing capped the advance shy of 0.70.
Support: 0.69745, 0.69632
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.69951
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69632 asian low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.6983 swing high reopens the 0.6995 session high
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
13:32 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.69758
London rally rejected at 0.6995, retracing into NY.
London session drove a steady climb from 0.6963 to a session high at 0.69951 before sellers stepped in, dragging price back to 0.6975 into the NY open — roughly a 61.8% retrace of the up leg. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s and price now sits below EMA20/50 after the rejection.
Support: 0.69749, 0.69632
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.6988
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
Loss of 0.69749 exposes the 0.69632 swing low
Reclaim of 0.69880 puts the 0.69951 session high back in play
AUDUSD ran up through the NY session to a session high at 0.69951 before a sharp rejection dumped price back to the 0.69749 lows, RSI(14) cooling toward 40. Firm USD on hawkish-Fed repricing capped the rally; price now sits just off the session low with the up-move's gains erased.
Support: 0.69749, 0.6970, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.69951
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69749 session low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69890 prior high revives the uptrend read
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
AUDUSD rallied through the London-NY transition to a session high at 0.69951 before being rejected, dropping back under 0.6980 with a heavy candle into 0.69742. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought to ~41 as price consolidates just above the session low; firm USD off the 1969-low jobless claims keeps a lid on upside.
Support: 0.69742, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.6988, 0.69951
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69742 exposes the 0.6966 prior low
Reclaim of 0.6988 swing high negates the pullback
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
Rally to session high then reversal, testing rising support.
NY session pushed AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69951, just shy of the 0.70 pivot, before a sharp rejection dumped ~20 pips through 0.69830 back to 0.69749; a firm USD on the record-low jobless claims capped the move. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price now hovers near the rising support off the 0.69618 base.
Support: 0.69749, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.69951
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.69830 negates the rejection and reopens the session high
Loss of 0.69749 session low exposes 0.69660 prior swing
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
NY session extended the intraday climb to a session high at 0.69951 before a sharp rejection dumped price back to 0.6974, RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward mid-range. Firm USD on collapsing jobless claims and safe-haven flows capped the AUD upside despite strong flash PMIs.
Support: 0.69742, 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.6988
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.6988 revives the up-leg toward the session high
Break below 0.697 pivot opens 0.69618 swing low
AUD CPI next week is the swing factor for the broader RBA read
London-session grind higher stalled at 0.69951, just shy of the 0.7000 psych level, then reversed hard back to 0.6976 as firm USD (jobless claims, safe-haven flows) capped the move. RSI(14) cooled from the mid-60s to neutral; price now sits below EMA20/50 after the rejection.
Support: 0.69749, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6995 reopens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69749 exposes the 0.6962 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read within the next hour
London grind higher topped at 0.69951 before a sharp two-bar rejection into NY dumped price back to 0.6976, slicing through the EMA20/50. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as the intraday up-leg unwinds; buyers stepped in at 0.6975 on the last bar.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.69915
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.6975 exposes the 0.6970 pivot and 0.69618 Asian low
Reclaim of 0.69915 puts the 0.69951 session high back in play
12:32 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 0.69833
HH/HL chain, pullback off session high.
NY session extended the London bid to a session high at 0.69951 before rejection dragged price back under EMA20 to 0.69820. Uptrend structure still intact from the 0.69618 base, but momentum has cooled and RSI slipped to mid-range on the pullback.
Support: 0.6982, 0.6976, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.69820 exposes 0.69760 and breaks the intraday higher-low chain
M15 close back above 0.69951 reopens the 0.70000 psych level
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the week's swing factor for this pair
London session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69618 low up to a session high 0.69951 just shy of 0.7000, with strong flash PMIs underpinning the bid; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as price pulled back to 0.69833. Pullback has slipped under EMA20 but holds above EMA50, keeping the intraday higher-low chain intact.
Support: 0.6982, 0.6976, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000
What it said to watch
close below 0.69760 breaks the rising higher-low chain
reclaim of 0.69951 opens the 0.7000 psych level
0.7025-0.7028 remains the broader cap; CPI next week is the swing factor
London session drove a clean HH/HL climb off the 0.69618 low to a session high at 0.69951, RSI now cooling back near 55 as price consolidates around 0.6987. Buyers held the 0.69820 pullback low; the session high still caps.
Support: 0.6982, 0.6976, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000, 0.7025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69951 opens the path to 0.70000
Failure to hold 0.69820 signals a lower-low and breaks the rising structure
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD ground higher through the London session, printing a HH/HL chain into a 0.69951 session high before stalling. Price is now easing back toward 0.69760, RSI cooling from overbought as the last push made a higher high on flatter momentum.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69760 opens the 0.69630 swing low and breaks the HL chain
Clean break of 0.69951 exposes the 0.70000 psych level
AU Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the make-or-break catalyst for AUD direction
AUDUSD ground higher through the session, rallying from the 0.6966 low to a 0.69951 session high before stalling; last few bars are consolidating around 0.6988 with RSI cooling off from the highs. Move fits the firm-AUD-on-jobs tone, though gains stay capped well below the 0.7025 five-week high.
Support: 0.6984, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69951 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.6984 exposes the 0.6966 session low
AUDUSD ground higher through the London-NY session, printing a session high at 0.6995 just shy of the 0.7000 psych level before easing to 0.69878. RSI(14) cooling from the highs as momentum flattens near the top of the move; a firm USD on safe-haven flows is capping progress sub-0.70.
Support: 0.6979, 0.6967, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 0.69951 opens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of 0.69790 swing low points back toward the 0.69670 support zone
Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the dominant catalyst — repricing risk into next week
AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, tagging a session high at 0.69951 before easing to 0.69889 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Buyers stepped in repeatedly off the rising lows after the Asian-session base near 0.6966; the 0.7000 pivot flagged in context caps overhead.
Support: 0.6986, 0.6973, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69951 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.6986 pullback low breaks the rising-low chain
Q2 CPI next week is the dominant catalyst for this pair
11:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near session high · RSI 61 · price 0.69889
Chain of higher highs/higher lows into 0.6995.
AUDUSD ground higher through NY hours, printing a session high at 0.69951 before stalling; price now consolidating around 0.6989 with RSI cooling off the highs. USD held firm near DXY 101.50 but AUD kept a bid into the close of the window — the 0.7000 psych level remains the cap ahead.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69951 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69800 swing low signals the intraday climb is stalling
Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the dominant catalyst that would reshape this read
11:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling near session high · RSI 62 · price 0.69896
Chain of higher lows recovering off session low.
AUDUSD ground higher through the London session, recovering from the 0.69618 session low to test the session high at 0.69951 before stalling just under 0.7000. RSI(14) cooling from the recent push as the last bars fade back to 0.6990; ATR is thin at ~4 pips.
Support: 0.6986, 0.6971, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69951 opens the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69710 breaks the higher-low chain
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows into 0.7000, capped near session high.
AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session from the Asian low near 0.6963, printing a chain of higher lows and pressing the 0.6995 session high just under the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) cooling from the highs as the last two bars stall; pair consolidating around 0.70 per the pre-CPI read.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
M15 close above 0.7000 extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 0.6970 pivot reopens the 0.6963 swing low
European hours reversed the earlier drop to the 0.6964 session low, grinding a chain of higher lows back up to test the 0.6995 session high, RSI(14) around 66. Firm USD on the Iran/energy bid keeps the pair capped just below the 0.70 round number, consolidating into US PMIs.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6995 opens the path toward the 0.70 round number and 0.7025
Failure to hold 0.6970 confirms a lower-low back toward the session low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD based at 0.6963 in Asia and has ground steadily higher through London-NY, now pressing the session high near 0.6950 with RSI(14) elevated around 68. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on the way up, sequence of higher lows intact; 0.7000 psych level sits just above.
Support: 0.6986, 0.6976, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 0.69950 opens the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69860 breaks the higher-low chain
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the read
11:03 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.69913
Higher highs / higher lows off overnight base.
AUDUSD ground higher through the European/NY session from the overnight base near 0.6966, printing a steady higher-high chain toward the 0.69951 session high before easing to 0.6991. USD firm on rebuilt Fed-hike bets caps the approach to the 0.70000 handle; RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched.
Support: 0.6982, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000
What it said to watch
close above 0.69951 opens a run at the 0.70000 psych level
failure to hold 0.69820 breaks the higher-low chain
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD ground steadily higher through the London session, printing a chain of higher lows off the 0.69618 overnight low and stalling into the 0.69951 session high. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme — with the 0.7000 psych level the next hurdle as a firmer USD caps the advance ahead of the PMI print.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6971, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000, 0.70025
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 0.69951 opens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.69760 swing breaks the rising-low sequence
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift USD tone and this read
10:47 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 0.70 · RSI 68 · price 0.69924
Higher highs and higher lows off 0.6962 low.
AUDUSD has ground higher through the London-NY window, chaining higher lows off the 0.6962 mid-session low and pressing the 0.6995 session high into the 0.70 psych level. RSI(14) near 67 — firm, not extreme — as price consolidates just under round-number resistance.
Support: 0.6986, 0.6971, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69951
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70000 opens path back toward the 0.7025 weekly high
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
Failure to hold 0.69860 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
10:47 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 0.69924
Higher highs and higher lows off session low.
AUDUSD ground higher through the London session, recovering from the 0.69618 Asian session low to press the 0.6995 prior high, RSI(14) elevated near 68. Higher lows have held since the 0.69833 swing low, with the 0.70000 psych level as the next cap into next week's Aussie CPI.
Support: 0.69833, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6995 / 0.70000 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 0.69833 breaks the rising-low sequence
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
10:32 UTC
Recovery uptrend into 0.7000 · RSI 69 · price 0.69943
Higher lows off session low, testing prior high.
AUDUSD recovered off the session low at 0.69618 through the London session, grinding into the 0.7000 round number where the early-window high at 0.70003 sits. RSI(14) elevated near 68 as the pair consolidates below 0.70 with AUD firm on strong jobs/PMIs but capped by a firmer USD.
Support: 0.6986, 0.6972, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.70003, 0.7025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70003 opens the path toward the 0.7025 five-week high
Loss of 0.69720 swing low would negate the recovery structure
US S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift USD tone into the NY session
AUDUSD recovered steadily off the 0.69618 session low to 0.69943, printing a chain of higher lows into the London-NY transition, RSI(14) hot near 70. Move fits the digest's consolidation just under 0.70 ahead of next week's Aussie CPI; 0.70000 psych sits directly overhead.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6967, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69949
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.70000 psych extends the recovery toward the 0.7025 area
Failure to hold 0.69800 swing breaks the rising-low sequence
RBA Bullock (Mon) and Q2 CPI (Wed) are the near-term catalysts for this pair
10:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 66 · price 0.69915
Higher highs, higher lows since session low.
AUDUSD ground higher through the London session off the 0.69630 low, printing a clean higher-high/higher-low chain into the 0.70000 round number. RSI(14) around 66 — firm but not stretched; pair consolidating near 0.70 into next week's CPI, with the 0.70250 five-week high still capping macro upside.
Support: 0.6982, 0.6976, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70000 opens the path to the 0.70250 five-week high
Loss of 0.69760 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD recovered through the London session from the 0.6966 range base to a session high at 0.69921, now pressing the 0.70 psych level. RSI(14) mid-60s and the higher-low chain intact as AUD stays firm ahead of next week's Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.69921, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70000 psych opens the path to the 0.7025 five-week high
Failure to hold 0.69760 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 0.6966 base
London session ground steadily higher off the 0.69618 range low, stair-stepping into the 0.70000 round number with RSI(14) near 69. Move is compressing just below the session high at 0.69921 as a firmer USD caps the AUD recovery ahead of next week's CPI.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6966, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69921
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70000 opens the 0.7025 five-week high
Loss of the 0.69760 swing low negates the intraday recovery
RBA Bullock (Mon) and Q2 CPI (Wed) are the dominant risk events for AUD
AUDUSD ground higher through the London session in a tidy HH/HL chain off the 0.69618 session low, printing a fresh session high at 0.69921 as it presses the 0.70 psych level. RSI(14) near 70, hot but consistent with the trend; price sits well above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6966, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70000 opens the path to the 0.7025 five-week high
Failure to hold 0.69760 breaks the rising session structure
AUD consolidating into next week's Q2 CPI — the dominant catalyst for this pair
09:47 UTC
Recovery, higher lows building · RSI 63 · price 0.69875
HL chain off session low, pressing session high.
AUDUSD ground back up off the 0.69618 session low through the thin Asian range and is now retesting the session high at 0.6989 into the London session, RSI(14) mid-60s. Higher lows have held above the 0.6968 pivot; a firmer USD on strong US claims kept the 0.7000 handle out of reach.
Support: 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6989 opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Loss of 0.6968 pivot reopens the 0.69618 session low
US flash PMIs ~13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
London session has extended a steady climb off the 0.69618 session low, printing higher lows and now pressing the 0.6990 session high with RSI(14) around 65. Price holds above EMA20/50 and the 0.6968 pivot flipped to support on the recovery.
Support: 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.70003
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6990 session high opens the path to 0.70003 prior high
Loss of the 0.6968 pivot breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.69618
Higher lows off the 0.6962 base, testing session high.
AUDUSD ground higher through the London session, printing higher lows from the 0.69618 base and now probing the session high near 0.6990, RSI(14) around 63. Topside stays capped by a firm USD after the strong US jobless-claims beat; the 0.6968-0.6970 pivot has held as support.
Support: 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.70006, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6990 opens the path toward the 0.70006 prior high and 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold the 0.6968 pivot confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.69618
Q2 CPI (29 Jul) is the decisive catalyst for RBA pricing beyond this session
AUDUSD ground higher through the London session in a recovery leg off the 0.69618 swing low, building a chain of higher lows and now pressing the 0.69895 session high with RSI(14) elevated near 66. The 0.6970 pivot held on every dip; 0.70000 round number sits just above as the next area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6969, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69895, 0.7000, 0.70012
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69895 opens the path to the 0.70000 round number
Close back below 0.69760 breaks the higher-low chain
Loss of 0.69690 pivot exposes the 0.69618 swing low
AUDUSD ground back up through the London session, recovering from the 0.69618 swing low to retest the session high at 0.69895; RSI(14) around 63, not yet stretched. Move stalls at the 61.8% retrace of the earlier drop from 0.70012, with the 0.6968 pivot now acting as support.
Support: 0.6982, 0.6969, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69895, 0.70012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69895 opens the path back toward 0.70012
Loss of the 0.6968 pivot reopens the 0.69618 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
Rebound off session low, building HL chain toward session high.
AUDUSD ground higher through the London session off the 0.69640 session low, printing a steady chain of higher lows into a 0.6989 session high before a shallow pullback to 0.69863. USD stays firm on the strong 187K jobless claims print, capping the topside just below the 0.6989 area; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6970, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.70012
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6976 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 0.69640 session low
Close above 0.6989 opens the path to 0.70012 prior high
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.6967 pivot low through the London session, printing higher lows and breaking the 0.6978 consolidation to press the session high near 0.6989. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; a firm USD on safe-haven flows is capping the topside sub-0.7000.
Support: 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6990 opens the path toward 0.70000 round number
Failure to hold the 0.6968 pivot exposes 0.69618 swing low
AUDUSD climbed a clean chain of higher lows from the 0.69618 session low to a fresh session high at 0.69890 through European hours, holding above the 0.6968 pivot flagged in the wider read. Price is now stalling just under 0.6989 with RSI cooling off from the high-60s; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.6968 on the way up.
Support: 0.6982, 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69890 opens the path toward the 0.7000 round number
loss of the 0.69680 pivot would break the rising-low structure
no major AUD/USD calendar risk in the next 8h; FOMC and Wed Q2 CPI are the later catalysts
08:47 UTC
Recovery leg, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 0.69873
Higher lows off the 0.6964 base.
AUDUSD carved a base at 0.6964 through the mid-window drift and has ground back to the session high near 0.6989, RSI(14) around 63. Buyers stepped in repeatedly at the 0.6970 pivot as a firm USD, lifted by the 187K jobless-claims print and Iran risk, keeps the topside heavy.
NY session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.6962 base to a session high at 0.6989, RSI(14) mid-60s and not yet stretched. USD stayed firm on the 1969-low jobless claims print and Iran safe-haven bid, capping the topside into the 0.7000 round number.
Support: 0.6967, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000, 0.70028
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6990 opens the path to 0.7000 and the 0.7028 weekly cap
Failure to hold 0.6967 exposes the 0.6962 swing low
Q2 CPI (29 Jul) is the week's decisive catalyst — outside this bar window
Higher lows off session low, retracing prior drop.
AUDUSD sold off from 0.7005 into the London session, bottoming at 0.69618 as a firmer USD (1969-low jobless claims) and Iran risk weighed. Buyers have since built a chain of higher lows back to the session high at 0.6989, price now sitting near the 61.8% retrace of the drop with RSI(14) around 64.
Support: 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6989 opens the path back toward 0.7000
Loss of the 0.6968 pivot reopens the 0.69618 session low
Q2 CPI (29 Jul) is the decisive AUD catalyst ahead
08:32 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 68 · price 0.69872
Higher lows off 0.69618, pressing recent highs.
AUDUSD ground higher through the London morning, printing a chain of higher lows off the 0.69618 session low and breaking the 0.69800 consolidation to tag a session high at 0.69890. RSI(14) near 68, hot but not extreme; the recovery follows the reversal off the ~0.6968 pivot after a firm USD (187K jobless claims) capped the topside earlier.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69709, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69890 opens the path to the 0.70000 round number
Loss of the 0.69760 intraday pivot breaks the higher-low chain
Q2 CPI (29 Jul) is the dominant catalyst for AUD this week
Higher lows since Asia low, testing prior-day range.
AUDUSD sold off from 0.7000 to 0.6962 during yesterday's NY session as USD firmed on the 187K jobless-claims print; this London session has rebuilt higher lows and pushed to 0.6989 before easing back to 0.69855. RSI(14) near 57, off its lows but not stretched.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6989 opens the path toward 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold the 0.6970 pivot re-exposes the 0.69618 session low
Q2 CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) is the decisive catalyst, well outside this window
AUDUSD ground back up through the 0.6970 pivot during the London session, printing a session high at 0.6989 after the earlier slide to 0.69618. Higher lows are chained on the recovery, RSI mid-60s with room left; USD stays firm on the 187K jobless claims print, keeping the 0.7000 round number as the topside cap to watch.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.6970 pivot negates the recovery and re-exposes 0.69618
Break above 0.6989 session high opens the path to 0.7000
Q2 CPI (29 Jul) is the decisive catalyst beyond this window
Higher-low chain since Asian low, testing session top.
London session ground higher off the thin Asian low at 0.69618, printing a clean higher-low chain into a 0.6989 session high before easing to 0.69838. Move is capped near the 0.70 pivot with a firm USD (1969-low jobless claims) holding AUD in check; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6989 opens the 0.70 round number
Loss of the 0.69760 higher low threatens a return to 0.69618
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD carved out a base near 0.6964 through the quiet Asian range then climbed steadily into the London-NY window, breaking the 0.6980 consolidation top and tagging a session high at 0.6989 before easing to 0.6984. USD stayed firm on strong jobless claims and safe-haven flows, keeping AUD capped well below the 0.7028 area flagged in the wider read; RSI(14) near 61 leaves room before overbought.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6968, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6990 opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold 0.6976 risks a slip back into the 0.6968 range base
Australian CPI on 29 Jul is the next real catalyst for this pair
Rebound off session low, chain of higher lows into London.
AUDUSD ground down to a 0.6962 session low through the Asian hours before recovering on the London open, printing higher lows back to a 0.6989 session high then easing to 0.6983. RSI(14) mid-range near 59; broad USD strength (1969-low US jobless claims) keeps the 0.7000 psychological level as the intraday cap.
Support: 0.6972, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6989 session high opens the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold 0.6972 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
Loss of 0.6964 session low reopens the 0.6962 area
07:47 UTC
Uptrend, recovery leg maturing · RSI 58 · price 0.69829
Higher lows off session base, testing session high.
AUDUSD carved a rounded base near 0.6962 mid-window and has ground higher through London hours to a session high of 0.6989, before easing to 0.69829. USD remains firm on the 187K jobless-claims print, capping AUD below the 0.70 round number; RSI(14) sits mid-range at ~58 with room in either direction.
Support: 0.6973, 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6990 opens the 0.70 round number
Loss of rising support / 0.6968 range floor negates the recovery read
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift USD tone within the next few bars
07:32 UTC
Recovering, micro uptrend into London · RSI 67 · price 0.69882
Higher lows off Asian session low, session high tagged.
AUDUSD ground down through the prior NY session to an Asian low near 0.6962, then rounded higher through the London session, printing a fresh session high at 0.6988 with RSI(14) around 67. USD stayed broadly bid on the 187K jobless claims print, so gains are stalling into the 0.6990/0.70 zone.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6964, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7004
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to the 0.7004 prior high
Failure to hold 0.6976 pivot exposes the 0.6964 session low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
07:32 UTC
Recovery uptrend, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 0.69882
Higher highs, higher lows off session low.
AUDUSD ground out of a tight Asian range near 0.6967 and London has driven a clean higher-high chain up to 0.69886, RSI(14) around 64. Price now presses the 0.70000 round number after basing at the 0.69618 session low; a firm USD (1969-low jobless claims) still caps the topside.
Support: 0.6972, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70043
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70000 opens the path to the 0.70043 prior high
Loss of 0.69720 swing low breaks the rising-low sequence
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
07:17 UTC
Recovery, higher lows building · RSI 63 · price 0.69858
Chain of higher lows off session low, pressing session high.
London session grinding higher off the 0.69618 session low, with buyers stacking higher lows and price now pressing the 0.69878 session high; RSI(14) near 63, not yet hot. USD firmness has kept the pair capped below the 0.70 psych level through the window.
Support: 0.69729, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69878, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69878 opens the 0.70000 psych level
Loss of the 0.69729 higher low breaks the rising-lows structure
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
07:17 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum up · RSI 66 · price 0.69858
Higher lows into session high.
AUDUSD recovered off the session low at 0.6962 through the Asian session and pushed to a fresh session high at 0.6988 into the London open, with USD strength (jobless claims at a 1969 low) capping the earlier downside. RSI(14) near 66 — firm but not stretched; higher lows intact.
Support: 0.6971, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6988, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6971 breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low chain
AUDUSD carved a rounded base near the 0.6962 session low and has ground back to 0.6984, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI near 63. Recovery stalling into the 0.6983 session high; 0.7000 pivot caps above, consistent with the ~0.70 consolidation the macro read flags.
Support: 0.6972, 0.6962, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.7000, 0.7009
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path back toward the 0.7009 prior high
Loss of 0.6972 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.6962
RBA Bullock Mon and Q2 CPI Wed are the key catalysts for this pair
AUDUSD ground higher through the thin overnight session off the 0.69618 range low, printing higher lows into 0.69842 as early London approaches. Recovery is orderly but USD strength (soft US jobless claims) has capped AUD sub-0.70; price now testing the session high.
Support: 0.69726, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69842, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 psych extends the recovery
Failure to hold 0.69726 swing low reopens 0.69618 range low
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the dollar bid
AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY window to a session low at 0.69618, then based and ground back up through the Asian session to retest the 0.69812 session high, RSI(14) around 61. Higher lows are holding into the current bar, keeping price pinned just under 0.70000.
Support: 0.69709, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69812, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69812 session high opens the path to the 0.70000 psych level
Failure to hold the 0.69709 higher low reopens 0.69618 session low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
06:47 UTC
Recovering off lows, choppy · RSI 58 · price 0.69797
Consolidation, grinding back up from session low.
AUDUSD sold off from 0.7006 into 0.6962 through the London-NY window as the USD held firm on the 187K jobless-claims beat, then based twice near 0.6962-0.6970 and is grinding back to 0.6980 in Asia hours. RSI(14) mid-range around 58; still capped below the 0.6981 session high with 0.7000 psych above.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69812, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6981 opens the path back to 0.7000
Failure to hold 0.6970 reopens the 0.6962 session low
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD-side read
AUDUSD sold from 0.7012 to a 0.6962 session low, then buyers stepped in twice at the same level to build a base into the London session. Price is now grinding back up to the 0.6980 session high, testing the 38.2% retrace of the drop, with RSI mid-range; USD firmness on strong US jobless claims and Middle East risk keeps the Aussie capped sub-0.70.
Support: 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69805, 0.7002
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69805 opens the path to the 0.7002 pivot
Failure to hold 0.69680 reopens the 0.69618 session low
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD read
Base built after slide, recovering into session high.
AUDUSD slid ~50 pips from 0.7012 to 0.6962 during the London-NY window as the USD firmed on the strong US jobless claims print and Middle East safe-haven bid. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.6963, and Asia has recovered price back to the 0.6980 session high; still consolidating below the 0.7000 pivot.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6962 resumes the lower-low sequence toward 0.6800
Reclaim of 0.7000 needed to negate the downside break
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the London session to 0.69618 before buyers stepped in and lifted price back into a 0.6970–0.6980 range, holding near the 0.7000 psych level after Thursday's strong jobs print. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 53 with the recovery stalling under the 0.6980 session high.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 opens a retest of the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.6970 reopens the 0.69618 range low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
06:17 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 52 · price 0.69758
Range after intraday decline.
AUDUSD slid from 0.7011 to a 0.69618 swing low earlier, then recovered and has been ranging 0.6970–0.6980 into Asia hours, with AUD anchored near the round number after Thursday's strong jobs print. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 and ATR is compressed around 4 pips — no directional impulse in the last few hours.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69803
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6970 confirms a push toward the 0.69618 swing low
Reclaim of 0.6980 session high opens room back toward 0.7000
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the range read
06:03 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 0.69738
Consolidation after drop off 0.7012.
AUDUSD leaked from 0.7012 down to 0.6962 through the prior NY/London hours before basing, and is now chopping in a tight 0.6970-0.6980 band in thin Asian-session trade. Recovery stalled at the 0.69803 session high; AUD stays capped by a firmer USD on oil-driven risk-off despite Thursday's strong jobs beat.
Support: 0.6966, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69803, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69803 opens a run at 0.6985 and the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of 0.69660 reopens the 0.69618 range low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift USD direction
06:02 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.69738
Consolidation after NY leg lower.
AUDUSD sold off through NY from 0.7012 to 0.6964 on a firmer USD and oil-driven risk-off, then based out. Asia session has consolidated in a tight 0.6970–0.6980 band, RSI(14) neutral near 49 with price pinned to EMA20.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6979 opens a retest of 0.7000
Loss of 0.6970 exposes the 0.6964 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the range
05:47 UTC
Range after intraday sell-off · RSI 54 · price 0.69762
Consolidation above the swing low.
AUDUSD sold off from 0.70140 to 0.69669 through the prior London-NY window, then bounced and has coiled in a 0.69710–0.69800 range as Asia stayed quiet. Price sits at 0.69762 just above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; no directional structure in play into the London approach.
Support: 0.6971, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69800 opens the path back toward 0.70000
Failure to hold 0.69710 exposes the 0.69640 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read via the dollar
AUDUSD slid from 0.7012 to a 0.6962 session low through the Asian hours before buyers stepped in twice around 0.6962, forming a double bottom, and pushed price back to 0.6980. Now consolidating 0.6970–0.6980, RSI(14) back to neutral near 54; AUD stays glued below 0.7000 as a firmer USD caps the recovery.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6980 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.6970 re-exposes the 0.6962 session low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift USD tone and this range
AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY window from 0.7014 to a 0.69618 swing low on firm USD, then based twice near 0.6962 and ground back to 0.6978 through the Asian session. Price now presses the 0.69803 session high with RSI(14) around 58; the 0.7000 psych level caps above.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000
What it said to watch
close above 0.69803 opens the path to 0.70000 psych
failure to hold 0.69700 reopens the 0.69618 swing low
AUDUSD sold off from 0.7013 to a 0.69618 base during the London-NY session, then carved a tight 0.6970–0.6980 recovery range through thin Asian hours. Price is grinding back toward the 0.6980 session high with RSI near 59; buyers held 0.6970 on the last dip.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path back to the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.6970 re-exposes the 0.69618 session low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
05:17 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.69769
Range after a lower-low sequence.
AUDUSD sold off from 0.7015 through the London-NY window on a firm safe-haven USD bid, printing a double bottom near 0.6962. Price has since based and is consolidating 0.6970-0.6980 through the Asia session, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69926
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path toward 0.6992
Loss of 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower-low and breaks the double bottom
05:17 UTC
Downtrend stalling, base forming · RSI 55 · price 0.69769
Recovered off session low, ranging 0.6970–0.6980.
AUDUSD drifted off 0.7014 through the London-NY hours, bottoming at 0.69618 before buyers lifted it back to 0.6977. Into the Asia session it is ranging 0.6970–0.6980 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 0.7000 handle caps above.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69803 opens the path back toward 0.7000
Loss of 0.69700 reopens the 0.69618 session low
RBA Bullock (Mon 03:05 UTC) and Q2 CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) are the catalysts that can shift this read
05:03 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.6973
Tight consolidation after London-NY leg down.
AUDUSD sold off from 0.7014 to 0.6962 through the London-NY hours, then went flat — Asian session is coiling in a tight 0.6962-0.6980 band with price at 0.6973 and RSI(14) neutral. No setup in play; the 0.7000 pivot and UOB's 0.6970 support are the reference points while the market waits on US PMIs.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6947
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path back to 0.7000
Break below 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower low
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this range read
05:03 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.6973
Consolidation after slide from 0.7014.
AUDUSD slid from 0.7014 through the session and is now coiling in a tight 0.6963-0.6979 range around the 0.6970 pivot flagged by UOB. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips; the strong jobs beat is priced while a firmer USD caps recovery.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6963 confirms a lower low
M15 close above 0.6979 breaks the range top
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
04:47 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.69721
Recovery off 0.6962 low into a tight range.
M15 sold off from 0.7016 through London-NY, bottoming at 0.69618 before drifting into a quiet Asian-session range of 0.6968-0.6980. AUD held near 0.6970 on the jobs-beat support but the bounce is capped by a firm USD; RSI(14) mid-range near 46 with no momentum edge.
Support: 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69803 opens the path toward the 0.7000 round number
Loss of 0.69618 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this range read
04:47 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising into range · RSI 48 · price 0.69721
Based after decline, consolidating 0.6968-0.6980.
AUDUSD slid from 0.7014 through the London-NY hours to a 0.6962 swing low, then based and recovered to stall at 0.6979. Into the Asia session price is consolidating 0.6968-0.6980, RSI(14) neutral near 48 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path back toward 0.7000
Failure to hold 0.6968 exposes the 0.6962 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
04:32 UTC
Downtrend easing, basing · RSI 51 · price 0.69746
Range 0.6962-0.6980 after sell-off.
AUDUSD leaked from 0.7015 through London-NY into a 0.6962 low, then based and recovered to 0.6975 during Asia. Now consolidating 0.6962-0.6980 with RSI(14) neutral near 51; no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6968
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path to 0.7000
Failure to hold 0.6962 confirms a lower low
RBA Bullock (Mon) and Wed Q2 CPI are the dominant AUD catalysts ahead
AUDUSD slid off 0.7015 through the session to a low at 0.69618 under a firm, safe-haven-bid USD, then based via a double bottom and recovered into a tight 0.6972–0.6980 range. RSI(14) back to neutral near 50; momentum flat into the Asian session with the pair holding just above its EMAs.
Support: 0.6972, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6962 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 0.6980 session high puts 0.7000 psych back in play
RBA Bullock (Mon 03:05 UTC) and Wed Q2 CPI are the dominant catalysts
04:17 UTC
Down early, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 0.69757
Recovered off lows, ranging 0.6972-0.6980.
AUDUSD slid from 0.7019 to a 0.6962 window low, then based and recovered into a tight 0.6972-0.6980 consolidation, now flat near 0.6976 in early Asia hours. RSI(14) back near neutral, ATR compressed to ~5 pips; no setup in play while price coils below the 0.6980 session high.
Support: 0.6966, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 opens a retest of the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of 0.6966 reopens the 0.6962 window low
Volatility is thin — larger moves likely deferred to next week's RBA Bullock and CPI risk
04:17 UTC
Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 55 · price 0.69757
Higher lows since 0.6962 base.
London-NY selloff bottomed twice around 0.6962 before a grind back to the 0.6980 session high. Asian hours now consolidating near 0.6975 on thin volume, holding above the 0.6970 pivot with higher lows intact.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.6970 pivot re-exposes the 0.6962 swing low
04:03 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 0.69737
Recovered off session low, ranging near lows.
AUDUSD slid from 0.7020 through the London hours to a session low at 0.69642 as a firm USD capped the post-jobs recovery, then based and ranged 0.6964-0.6980. Quiet late-Asia trade has price coiled around 0.6974 with RSI(14) neutral near 49; the 0.6980 swing high is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.69642, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69803 opens the path back toward the 0.7000 round number
Break below 0.69642 session low confirms a fresh lower low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY session from 0.7020 to a 0.6962 session low, then based and recovered to a 0.6980 session high in Asia. Now ranging near 0.6974 with RSI mid-range and no extreme in play.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
close above 0.6980 session high opens a path to 0.7000 psych
failure to hold 0.6968 swing low exposes the 0.6962 session low
AUDUSD slid from 0.7020 to a 0.69618 low through the prior session then recovered, and is now ranging 0.6970–0.6980 with RSI(14) flat near 47. Asia hours are quiet (thin volume) and the 0.6980 session high is capping while the 0.6970 psych pivot holds beneath.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69803 opens the path back toward 0.7000
Loss of 0.6970 exposes the 0.69618 swing low
AUD Q2 CPI (Wed) and Bullock (Mon) are the catalysts that could break this range
03:47 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.69731
Range after decline, holding above session low.
AUDUSD sold off from 0.7020 through the London-NY sessions into a 0.69618 session low, then went flat through the quiet late-NY hours and into the Asia session, coiling between 0.6967 and 0.6980. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips, reflecting the low-volume drift around the 0.7000 pivot.
Support: 0.69669, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path back toward 0.7000
Loss of 0.69669 exposes the 0.69618 session low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could reprice this later in the session
Asian session is consolidating after the London-NY slide dragged AUDUSD from 0.7020 down to a 0.69618 low, in line with a firm USD and oil-driven risk capping the pair. Price recovered to a 0.69803 session high then eased back to 0.6975, holding the 23.6% retrace of the drop with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.69669, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69803, 0.69926, 0.7000
What it said to watch
close above 0.69803 opens the path to 0.69926
loss of 0.69618 confirms a lower low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this pair
03:32 UTC
Downtrend, basing in Asia · RSI 53 · price 0.69747
Recovery off session low, capped below 0.6980.
Slide from 0.7020 bottomed at 0.6962 during thin late-US hours, then the Asia session has ground price back to 0.6975 with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Session high 0.6980 is capping the recovery so far.
Support: 0.69669, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path back toward the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold the 0.6962 base low resumes the downtrend
AUD stays two-way ahead of next week's RBA Bullock speech and Q2 CPI
03:17 UTC
Downtrend, recovering into Asia · RSI 56 · price 0.69765
Session low carved, consolidation then bounce.
AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY window from 0.7020 to a session low at 0.6962, then went flat in thin Asian trade before recovering to reclaim EMA20/50 near 0.6980. RSI(14) has lifted back to the mid-50s off the lows; price now sits mid-range at 0.6977.
Support: 0.6964, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.6964 session low resumes the down-leg
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the read via DXY
03:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing and recovering · RSI 56 · price 0.69765
Session low carved at 0.6962, recovery into session highs.
AUDUSD slid from 0.7017 through the window to a session low at 0.6962, then based through the low-volume Asian hours and recovered to a session high of 0.6980. Price now holds 0.69765 mid-range with RSI(14) back near neutral; 0.6980 caps and the 0.7000 psych level sits above.
Support: 0.6972, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69803 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69720 exposes the 0.69618 session low again
03:03 UTC
Downtrend stalling, base forming · RSI 54 · price 0.69733
Recovered off session low, ranging 0.6970-0.6980.
AUDUSD slid from 0.7020 through London-NY to a 0.6964 swing low, then based out through the quiet Asian hours near 0.6968. Early Asia has recovered to 0.6980 and pulled back to 0.6973, RSI(14) recovering to mid-range; the pair stays capped under the 0.7000 pivot after this week's jobs beat.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69803 opens the path back toward the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.6964 resumes the prior downleg
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD side of this read
03:03 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.69733
Basing range after impulsive sell-off.
Prior NY/London session sold AUDUSD from 0.7020 to 0.69669; Asia session is now consolidating in a tight 0.6967-0.6980 range near 0.7000 psych. RSI(14) mid-range around 53 as the earlier momentum fades; buyers stepped in twice at 0.69669 to hold the low.
Support: 0.69669, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69803 opens the path back to 0.70000
Failure to hold 0.69669 confirms a lower low
RBA Bullock (Mon) and Q2 CPI (Wed) are the key catalysts that could break this range
02:47 UTC
Recovering after intraday downtrend · RSI 58 · price 0.69761
Based near session lows, modest higher lows building.
AUDUSD slid through the prior session from 0.7016 to a 0.69618 low, then based near 0.6965 in thin Asian liquidity. Price has since recovered to 0.6976 with RSI(14) back near 58; the 0.69803 session high caps the bounce for now.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69655, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69803
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69803 opens the path toward 0.7000
Failure to hold the 0.6965 base reopens the 0.69618 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD side of the pair
02:47 UTC
Downtrend stabilising, minor bounce · RSI 61 · price 0.69761
Consolidation off session lows, grinding higher.
AUDUSD leaked from 0.7020 through London into a 0.6970 base, then Asia lifted it off the flat range to a session high at 0.6980 with RSI(14) around 60. Price holds above both EMAs but 0.6980 is capping the recovery so far.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69632
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path back toward 0.7000
Loss of 0.6970 reopens the 0.69632 swing low
Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the marquee AUD risk beyond this window
02:32 UTC
Downtrend, basing and recovering · RSI 58 · price 0.6979
Session low carved at 0.6963, higher lows since.
AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY window into a 0.6963 session low, then based around 0.6967 through late NY. Early Asia trade has lifted price back to 0.6979 with RSI(14) near 58; sub-0.7000 still capping and 0.6970 psych now flipped to support.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7000 psych would extend the recovery
Failure to hold 0.6970 reopens the 0.6963 session low
US PMIs (13:45 UTC) and Aussie CPI Jul 29 are the swing catalysts ahead
02:32 UTC
Recovering off Asian low, short-term up · RSI 60 · price 0.6979
Bounce within prior down leg, testing session high.
AUDUSD sold off through London-NY to a 0.6962 Asian low before grinding back up, now retesting the 0.6980 session high with RSI(14) near 60. Aussie stayed pinned near 0.6970-0.6980 after this week's jobs beat while a firm USD capped the recovery.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path toward 0.7000
Loss of 0.6970 reopens the 0.6962 asian low
02:17 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 59 · price 0.69771
Double bottom, higher lows into Asia.
AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY session to a double bottom at 0.6962, then recovered overnight into Asia along a chain of higher lows. Price is pressing the session high at 0.6979 with RSI(14) near 60, having retraced roughly a third of the down-move; the 0.7000 round number caps above. AUD remains pinned near 0.70 after the strong jobs beat, with Q2 CPI the swing factor.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6979 opens the path to 0.7000
Failure to hold 0.6962 resumes the prior downtrend, confirms lower low
US S&P PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
02:03 UTC
Downtrend easing, basing · RSI 58 · price 0.6975
London/NY sell-off, Asian base, mild recovery.
AUDUSD sold off through London/NY to a session low of 0.6962, then based around 0.6968 on thin Asian volume before recovering to a 0.6979 session high; price now sits at 0.6975 with RSI(14) back mid-range. The 0.6970 psych level cited by desks is holding as near-term support ahead of Q2 CPI (Jul 29), the pair's key catalyst.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6962 session low resumes the downtrend / prints a lower low
Reclaim of 0.6979 session high opens the 0.7000 pivot
Q2 CPI Jul 29 is the key catalyst and could reset this read
01:47 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 61 · price 0.69784
Consolidation, testing range top.
AUDUSD slid from 0.7013 through the London-NY sessions to a session low at 0.69618, then coiled in a tight 0.6967 range through the quiet Asian hours. The late Asia push back to the 0.6979 session high has nudged RSI(14) to ~61 and lifted price above EMA20/50 — a shallow retracement of the prior down-move.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.6986
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.6979 extends the recovery toward 0.69860
Loss of 0.6970 drops price back into the Asian range
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
01:47 UTC
Downtrend stalling, early Asia bounce · RSI 58 · price 0.69784
Overnight range, breaking upper edge.
AUDUSD sold off through London-NY hours from 0.7020 to 0.6962, then flatlined overnight in a tight 0.6963-0.6969 band on thin volume. An early Asia bounce pushed through 0.6970 to a recovery high at 0.6979; RSI(14) near 58 with price back above both EMAs.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6966, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69791, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.6970 returns price to the overnight range
Break above 0.6979 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
AUDUSD bled from 0.7015 through the NY session down to a 0.69618 swing low, then coiled into a tight 0.6966-0.6970 consolidation. Asia lifted price back to a 0.69763 session high before easing to 0.6972; RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range from oversold, ATR sitting near 3.6 pips.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69763, 0.6979
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.697 pivot re-exposes the 0.69618 swing low
M15 close above 0.69763 session high extends the Asia recovery
AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY session from 0.7020 to a 0.69618 swing low, then based and clawed back to 0.6976 before easing to 0.6972 in Asia hours. Recovery holding above the 0.6970 psych level with RSI back near neutral; session high at 0.69763 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69763, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69618 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.698 prior swing needed to shift the intraday read
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially move this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the London-NY session from 0.7020 to a 0.69618 swing low, with declining highs capping each rebound, then based near 0.6966 through thin Asia hours. Early Asia has lifted price back to the 0.69763 session high, RSI(14) recovering off the lows — still a shallow retrace of the day's decline. Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the real catalyst per the live RBA hike debate.
Support: 0.6966, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69763, 0.6982, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69763 session high extends the recovery toward the 0.6982 prior high
Loss of the 0.6966 asia base reopens the 0.69618 swing low
AUDUSD slid through the London-NY hours from 0.7020 to a 0.69618 session low, then based in a tight Asian range around 0.6967. The current Asia session pushed a leg back to 0.69763 on rising volume before easing to 0.69733; RSI(14) has recovered off lows to mid-range, and the 0.6970 area cited as support is holding.
Support: 0.6967, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69763, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6979 breaks the intraday lower-high chain
Loss of 0.69618 confirms a fresh lower low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the read
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.69752
Lower highs into 0.6962 base, modest recovery.
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from 0.7020 to a 0.6962 low, with tightening RBA-hike pricing capping any recovery. Asia has since based twice near 0.6962-0.6970 and edged back to 0.6975; RSI(14) recovered off oversold to mid-range.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6970 and a close under 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.6979 session high opens the 0.7000 psych pivot
AUDUSD slid all session from the 0.7020 spike down to a 0.69618 session low, then based through thin Asian hours in a tight 0.6963-0.6968 range. Last few bars pushed back above the 0.6970 psych level, RSI(14) recovering from oversold territory into the low-50s.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6979 swing high opens the path back to the 0.7000 round number
Loss of the 0.69618 session low resumes the intraday downtrend
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) later today could shift the USD-side read
00:47 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 51 · price 0.69705
Consolidation after impulsive drop.
AUDUSD sold from 0.7020 down to the 0.6962 range low through the London-NY session, then flattened into a tight 0.6964-0.6977 band during the Asian lull with price nudging back to 0.6970. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows to ~50 as volume thins; the earlier blowout AU jobs print had kept the pair pinned near 0.7000 before the fade.
Support: 0.6964, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69776, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69776 negates the drift and reopens 0.7000
Loss of 0.6964 range low extends the down leg toward 0.6960
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read
00:47 UTC
Downtrend fading into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 0.69705
Session decline, basing near lows.
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.70203 early-session high through to a session low of 0.69618, then flattened into a tight 0.6963-0.6970 base through quiet Asian hours. Price has ticked back to 0.697 with RSI recovering to mid-range; the 0.7000 pivot flagged in context caps the immediate upside.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69618 extends the session downtrend
M15 close above 0.6978 challenges the 0.7000 round number
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
00:32 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69684
Slide off 0.7020, consolidating under 0.6970.
AUDUSD slid off the early 0.7020 spike through London-NY, printing a swing low at 0.6962 as much of the RBA hike story was already priced. The Asian session flatlined in thin volume just under the 0.6970 range top, RSI(14) neutral near 50 with price pinned below descending lower highs.
Support: 0.69618, 0.69655
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69779, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6978 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.6962 swing low confirms a fresh lower low toward the asian low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
00:32 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 0.69684
Lower highs from 0.7020, base building near session low.
AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY session from 0.7020 to a low of 0.69618, then stalled. Thin early-Asia hours have it pinned in a tight 0.6963-0.6970 band around the 0.7000-area psych pivot, RSI(14) flat near 46.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69786
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69618 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.6970 psych needed to challenge the 0.69786 swing high
Asian range thin; London open may resolve the consolidation
00:17 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69682
Session low holding, tight consolidation.
AUDUSD sold off through London/NY from 0.7020 to a session low of 0.6962 as a firm USD (record-low jobless claims) capped the post-jobs bid. The last several hours have flattened into a thin Asia consolidation between 0.6966 and 0.6970, RSI back to neutral. Round-number 0.6970 is capping for now.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6956
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6978, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69700 reopens the 0.69780 swing high
Loss of 0.69618 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this consolidation
00:17 UTC
Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.69682
Lower highs into 0.6962 low, Asia consolidation.
Sold off through the London-NY session from 0.7020 to a 0.6962 swing low as USD firmed on record-low jobless claims. Asia is now consolidating tight around 0.6968 in thin volume, RSI(14) mid-range near 46 with price capped below the 0.6970 pivot.
Support: 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6977, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.6970 pivot eases the intraday downside pressure
Loss of 0.6962 swing low opens fresh session lows
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
00:03 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 43 · price 0.69662
Sold off then tight consolidation.
AUDUSD leaked from 0.7020 down to 0.6962 through the London-NY session and is now ranging tightly between 0.6963 and 0.6969 into Asia hours on thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43 with ATR compressed to ~3 pips, reflecting the stall after the sell-off.
Support: 0.6963, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6969, 0.69742, 0.6998
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6963 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.69618
Reclaim of 0.6969 range top puts the 0.69742 swing back in play
US flash PMIs (Fri 13:45 UTC) the next scheduled catalyst for this pair
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 44 · price 0.69662
Lower highs into 0.6962 low, consolidating.
AUDUSD sold off from 0.7020 through the NY session in a chain of lower highs and lower lows, bottoming at 0.6962 before flattening near 0.6966 in a thin Asia session. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with ATR compressed to a few pips as volume dried up.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6979 breaks the descending sequence of lower highs
Loss of 0.6962 confirms continuation of the downtrend
US flash PMIs (Jul 24 13:45 UTC) could shift this read