AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 24 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

20:47 UTC

Pullback after NY push, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69804

Faded off 0.7000, consolidating into thin late session.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.70005 during NY hours before rejecting the round number and fading back to 0.6980. Price has since gone quiet in thin late-session trade, drifting along 0.69782 support with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s.

Support: 0.69782, 0.69723

Resistance: 0.6988, 0.70005, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69880 swing high would reopen the 0.7000 round number
  • Loss of 0.69782 session low exposes 0.69723 swing low
  • Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the decisive catalyst that could override this range

20:47 UTC

Pullback from session high, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69804

Lower highs since 0.7000 rejection.

NY session tagged 0.70005 and was rejected, leaving a false break of the round number; price has bled back to 0.698 into a thin late-Friday tape. Lower highs stacking since the 0.7000 rejection, RSI mid-40s with no momentum extreme.

Support: 0.6978, 0.6972

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6995

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69780 swing low confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence
  • M15 close back above 0.69950 swing hi negates the rejection read
  • Thin end-of-week liquidity may exaggerate moves

20:32 UTC

Pullback off 0.7000, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 0.69794

Lower highs after session-high rejection.

AUDUSD tagged the 0.7000 psych level during the NY afternoon then rolled over, carving lower highs into the late session. Price sits back below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling toward the mid-40s and volume thinning as the session winds down.

Support: 0.69782, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6988, 0.69955, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69880 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.69782 session low opens 0.69700
  • RBA Bullock (Jul 28) and Q2 CPI (Jul 29) are the week's decisive catalysts

20:32 UTC

Pullback after rejection at 0.7000 · RSI 43 · price 0.69794

Lower highs off session high, drifting lower.

NY session pushed to 0.70005 then failed, a false break of the round number that has since faded to 0.6979 through late NY hours. Price is carving lower highs under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; supply capped every retest since the 0.7000 rejection.

Support: 0.69782, 0.69739

Resistance: 0.6988, 0.70005

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69880 negates the lower-high fade
  • Break below 0.69739 confirms a fresh lower low
  • AU Trimmed Mean CPI (Jul 29) is the decisive catalyst that reframes this read

20:17 UTC

Pullback after 0.7000 rejection · RSI 41 · price 0.6979

Lower highs since NY session top.

NY session pushed into the 0.7000 psych level and was rejected, printing lower highs into late hours as a firm USD kept the bid. Price now drifts at 0.6979 with RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s; the 0.6976 swing low is the immediate floor being tested.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.6985, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6985 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.6976 opens the path to the 0.6963 session low
  • Reclaim of 0.7000 negates the rejection read

20:17 UTC

Pullback after failed push to 0.7000 · RSI 42 · price 0.6979

Lower highs since NY peak, drifting off highs.

NY session pushed to the 0.7000 psych level and got rejected, tagging a 0.70005 high before fading. Price has printed lower highs back to 0.6979 into late NY, RSI(14) cooling near 42 with price below both EMAs.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6975 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback toward the 0.6963 session low
  • Reclaim of 0.6995 prior high negates the fade and reopens the 0.7000 psych cap
  • RBA Bullock (Tue) and Q2 CPI (Wed) are the decisive catalysts ahead — no calendar risk in the next 8h

20:02 UTC

Pullback, drifting lower off 0.7000 · RSI 41 · price 0.69796

Lower highs after 0.7000 rejection.

AUDUSD stalled at the 0.7000 psych level during NY and has since rolled over, printing lower highs back toward the 0.69787 session low. RSI(14) near 41 with price below both EMAs; the up-leg from 0.69739 has been largely retraced.

Support: 0.69787, 0.69739

Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69739 swing low confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of the 0.69900 prior high needed to negate the drift

20:02 UTC

Intraday pullback after 0.7000 rejection · RSI 43 · price 0.69796

Lower highs since session peak.

AUDUSD tagged the 0.7000 round number during NY hours and reversed, RSI cooling into the low 40s. A chain of lower highs has since dragged price back toward the 0.69749 session low, with firm USD capping the top.

Support: 0.69749, 0.69723

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.69904

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.70005 invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 0.69749 confirms a fresh lower low

19:47 UTC

Pullback after 0.70 rejection, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 0.69813

Lower highs since NY session high, holding above 0.6978.

NY session ran up to test the 0.70000 psych level and stalled at 0.70005 before rolling over; USD firmness near monthly highs capped the move. Price has since carved lower highs and sits back at the 50% retrace of the intraday rally around 0.6981, RSI(14) cooling near 41.

Support: 0.69787, 0.6976, 0.69723

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6986

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69787 confirms a lower low and opens 0.6976
  • Reclaim of 0.70000 needed to reopen the session high
  • Q2 CPI (Wed) is the week's catalyst — no impact within the next few hours

19:47 UTC

Pulling back from 0.7000, lower highs · RSI 42 · price 0.69813

Rejection at round number, drifting lower into late NY.

AUDUSD rejected the 0.7000 round number in the London-NY overlap and has since drifted lower, printing lower highs into late NY with price now sub-EMA20/50. RSI(14) cooling around 41; sellers pressing session low at 0.69787 as the pullback holds around the 0.5-0.618 retrace of the intraday rally.

Support: 0.69787, 0.6976, 0.69658

Resistance: 0.6990, 0.70005

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69760 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.69658 range low
  • Reclaim of 0.69900 would negate the lower-high sequence

19:32 UTC

Rolled over from 0.70, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 0.69796

Lower highs, lower lows off session high.

AUDUSD tagged the 0.70 round number and session high at 0.70005 during NY morning, was rejected, and has ground lower all afternoon in a clean LH/LL chain into 0.6980. RSI(14) sits mid-30s to 40 with price below EMA20/50; pair is testing the session low at 0.69787.

Support: 0.69787, 0.69749, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6986, 0.6995, 0.70005

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69860 breaks the lower-high chain
  • sustained break below 0.69749 opens 0.6970
  • Q2 CPI (Wed) is the week's macro catalyst but sits outside the next bar period

19:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 40 · price 0.69796

Lower highs after 0.7000 rejection.

AUDUSD rejected the 0.7000 psych level in the NY session and stair-stepped lower to 0.6979, printing a chain of lower highs with RSI(14) sub-40. Pair holding just above the 0.69787 session low into late hours; sub-0.70 tone consistent with the firm-USD backdrop.

Support: 0.69787, 0.6976

Resistance: 0.6985, 0.70005

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69787 session low confirms continuation, exposing 0.6976 swing low
  • M15 close back above 0.6985 recent high breaks the lower-high chain
  • Q2 AU CPI (Wed) is the week's catalyst and could reset this read

19:17 UTC

Pullback after 0.7000 rejection · RSI 41 · price 0.69798

Lower highs off session peak.

NY session pushed to the 0.7000 psych level, spiked to 0.70005 and was rejected, and price has since bled back toward 0.698 on a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) cooling near 41 with price now under both EMAs; the swing low at 0.69749 is the pivot for the intraday range.

Support: 0.69749, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69749 confirms a lower low and opens 0.6970
  • Reclaim of 0.7000 needed to negate the rejection read

19:17 UTC

Intraday pullback off 0.70 highs · RSI 41 · price 0.69798

Lower highs since 0.70005 rejection.

NY session pushed to the 0.70 psych level at 0.70005, met rejection and has since bled back to 0.69798, unwinding most of the up leg. RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s with price under both EMAs; the firm USD backdrop kept 0.70 capped.

Support: 0.69749, 0.69723

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.6995

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69749 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
  • Reclaim of 0.70000 needed to negate the rejection read
  • Q2 CPI (Wed) is the week's catalyst but sits outside the next-bar window

19:03 UTC

Short-term downtrend after 0.70 rejection · RSI 41 · price 0.69823

Lower highs since 0.70005 peak, fading into late NY.

NY session pushed AUDUSD to a marginal poke of the 0.70000 psych level (high 0.70005) then rejected, closing back sub-0.70 — a false break. Price has since carved lower highs and is drifting toward the 0.69807 session low, RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s with price back under both EMAs.

Support: 0.69807, 0.69749, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69955

What it said to watch

  • reclaim and M15 close above 0.70000 invalidates the fade read
  • loss of 0.69749 swing low confirms a lower low
  • RBA Q2 CPI (Wed) is the week's catalyst and could reset this read

19:03 UTC

Uptrend fading, pullback underway · RSI 42 · price 0.69823

Lower highs off 0.7000, holding above 0.6980.

NY session pushed AUDUSD to the 0.7000 round number and got rejected, price now rolling back through 0.6982 on a chain of lower highs into late session. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s and price sits below EMA20/50; buyers last defended 0.6980.

Support: 0.6980, 0.6975

Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6980 exposes the 0.6975 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.6990 needed to re-challenge the 0.7000 high

18:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 0.69817

Rally stalled, pulling back off session high.

NY session poked the 0.7000 psych level (high 0.70005) then rejected, price fading to 0.6982 with RSI(14) cooling from the highs. USD held firm on hawkish-Fed/oil repricing, capping AUD's push; the 0.6976 session support is the first structural level below.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6972

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6995

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.7000 reopens the session-high path
  • Loss of 0.69760 confirms a lower low
  • AUD Q2 CPI (Wed) is the week's catalyst

18:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 42 · price 0.69817

Rejection at 0.7000, pulling back.

NY session pushed to the 0.7000 round number and was rejected, tagging 0.70005 before fading. Price now retracing toward 0.69760 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs; last few bars printing lower closes off the 0.6995 swing high.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6972

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6995

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69760 confirms a lower low and deepens the pullback
  • Reclaim of 0.70000 reopens the intraday upside

18:32 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.69831

Rejection at 0.7000, retracing off session high.

NY session poked above the 0.7000 psych level to 0.70005 mid-afternoon and was rejected, pair back to 0.6983 and now under EMA20/50. USD firm near month highs caps the AUD advance; RSI(14) cooled to ~42 as the move faded off the high.

Support: 0.6982, 0.6976, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.6995

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.6995 reopens the 0.7000 psych high
  • Failure to hold 0.6976 session low confirms a lower low
  • Q2 CPI (Wed) is the week's catalyst and could override this intraday read

18:32 UTC

Uptrend fading into late NY pullback · RSI 42 · price 0.69831

HH sequence stalled at 0.7000, now retracing.

AUDUSD climbed through London-NY, tagging a session high of 0.70005 at the round number before being rejected; price has since drifted to 0.6983 in late NY with RSI cooling to the low 40s. A firm USD on hawkish Fed repricing kept the advance capped just below 0.7000.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6964

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.6995

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6976 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday uptrend
  • Reclaim of 0.6995 reopens the 0.70005 session high
  • Q2 CPI Wed and FOMC Wed are the week's catalysts, either can override this read

18:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 0.69853

Rejection at 0.7000, retracing off highs.

NY session drove the pair into the 0.7000 round number where it was rejected (high 0.70005), then faded to 0.6985. RSI(14) has cooled below 50 and price slipped back under the EMA20, capping the intraday advance.

Support: 0.6982, 0.6976, 0.6972

Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6995 prior high reopens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of the 0.6982 swing low exposes the 0.6976 session low

18:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 0.69853

Rally to 0.7000 rejected, drifting lower.

NY session pushed AUDUSD up to tag 0.70000 before sellers capped it at the session high 0.70005, RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. Price has since drifted to 0.6985 and is holding above the 0.6982 swing low; broadly soft as a firm USD keeps upside contained.

Support: 0.6982, 0.6976

Resistance: 0.6995, 0.70005, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69950 reopens the 0.70000 round number test
  • Loss of 0.69820 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 0.69760 session low

18:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling on pullback · RSI 46 · price 0.69855

Rising higher-highs, rejected at 0.70.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, tagging the 0.70 psych level (high 0.70005) before rejecting back to 0.6985. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price retraced roughly half the 0.69618–0.70005 leg; USD stays broadly firm ahead of next week's catalysts.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6971

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6995

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69760 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Reclaim of 0.70000 needed to resume the up-leg
  • Move is calendar-quiet next 8h; RBA CPI and FOMC land midweek

18:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling after 0.70 rejection · RSI 50 · price 0.69855

Higher highs into 0.7000, now pulling back.

NY session pushed the rally to a brief poke of the 0.7000 round number before rejection dragged price back to 0.69855, RSI cooling toward neutral. Momentum has stalled with USD firm on hawkish-Fed pricing; pullback holding above the 0.69820 swing low so far.

Support: 0.6982, 0.69749

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.6995

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69950 reopens the 0.7000 round number test
  • Failure to hold 0.69820 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 0.69749 session low
  • AU Q2 CPI (Wed 29 Jul) is the week's catalyst and could reshape this read

17:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading off highs · RSI 49 · price 0.69849

NY leg up rejected at 0.70, pulling back.

AUDUSD ran a NY-session leg into the 0.70 psych level, printed 0.70005, then rejected as firm USD capped upside; price now sitting on the 61.8% retrace near 0.69849. Momentum has cooled with RSI back near neutral and price slipping under EMA20.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6972

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.6995

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69950 and a close above 0.70005 reopens the upside
  • Loss of 0.69760 confirms a deeper pullback in the NY leg
  • AU Q2 CPI Wed could materially reset this read

17:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling below 0.7000 · RSI 46 · price 0.69849

Higher highs into round-number rejection, easing back.

NY session pushed AUDUSD up to tag 0.7000, printing 0.70005 before rejecting, and price has eased back to 0.6985 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Buyers defended 0.6976 twice during the earlier London-NY grind; that pivot is the near-term floor with the round number capping.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6968

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6995

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the session high at 0.69950 and beyond
  • Loss of 0.6976 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday uptrend

17:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after 0.7000 rejection · RSI 46 · price 0.69872

Higher highs into 0.7000, now pulling back.

NY session pushed AUDUSD to the 0.7000 psych level and was rejected, RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s as price slid back to 0.6987. Pullback holding above the 0.69827 swing low so far; broader tone stays capped sub-0.70 on firm USD.

Support: 0.69827, 0.69749

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.6995

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70005 resumes the uptrend toward the 0.7025 area
  • Failure to hold 0.69827 opens the prior low at 0.69749

17:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after 0.7000 rejection · RSI 50 · price 0.69872

Higher highs into 0.7000, now pulling back below EMA20.

NY session pushed AUDUSD up to tag 0.70005 before sellers rejected the round number, price now consolidating near 0.6987 with firm USD (record-low jobless claims, oil-driven Fed repricing) capping upside sub-0.70. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral as the pullback holds above the 0.6985 pivot.

Support: 0.6985, 0.6976, 0.6972

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6995

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 reopens the path toward the session high extension
  • Failure to hold 0.69850 exposes the 0.6976 session low
  • Q2 CPI (Wed) and FOMC are the material catalysts ahead, outside this window

17:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling after 0.70 rejection · RSI 51 · price 0.69864

HH into 0.70005, pulling back off the round number.

NY session pushed AUDUSD up to 0.70005, sweeping the round number before rejecting back to 0.6986. A firm USD on the hawkish-Fed/oil narrative capped the move; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral near 51.

Support: 0.6976, 0.69749

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70005 reopens the path higher
  • Failure to hold 0.6976 confirms a lower low
  • AU Q2 CPI on Wed is the week's key catalyst, well outside this window

17:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 0.69864

HH/HL chain, pulling back from 0.70.

NY session drove AUDUSD up to the 0.70005 round-number high before sellers capped it, and price is now easing back to 0.69864 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. The intraday HH/HL structure is intact while 0.69760 holds.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6982

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.70005 opens the path to the 0.7025 5wk high
  • Failure to hold 0.69760 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • AUD Q2 CPI Wed and FOMC Wed are the week's catalysts, outside this window

17:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 0.6990

Higher highs into 0.7000, now consolidating.

NY session drove AUDUSD into the 0.7000 psychological level, tagging 0.70005 before fading back to 0.699 as firm USD capped the move. RSI(14) cooling from the highs; price still holding above the ascending intraday lows and both EMAs.

Support: 0.6987, 0.69742, 0.6976

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70005

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens continuation toward the session high extension
  • Failure to hold 0.6987 exposes the 0.69742 swing low

17:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 0.6990

HH/HL chain stalling at 0.70 psych.

NY session drove AUDUSD up to tag 0.70005, the round number, before rejecting back to 0.699 with RSI cooling from the push. Buyers held the 0.6976 session low through the London-NY transition; the up-move is intact but stalling at 0.70.

Support: 0.6989, 0.6976

Resistance: 0.70005

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70005 opens the path higher
  • Failure to hold 0.6989 exposes the 0.6976 session low

16:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 0.69906

Higher highs and higher lows, pullback from 0.7000.

AUDUSD trended higher through the NY session, sweeping the 0.7000 psychological level to a 0.70005 high before rejecting back toward 0.699. USD firmness keeps price capped sub-0.70 and RSI(14) is cooling off the highs, but the higher-low chain above 0.69827 remains intact.

Support: 0.69827, 0.6976

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.69955

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70005 opens the path higher
  • Loss of 0.69827 breaks the higher-low structure
  • Wed Q2 CPI and FOMC are the larger catalysts ahead

16:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 0.69906

Rising HH/HL, rejected at 0.7000.

NY session drove AUDUSD up to 0.70005, tagging the 0.7000 psych level before rejection dragged it back to 0.699. RSI(14) cooling near 56 after the spike; the rising-low structure off 0.6976 still holds.

Support: 0.6976, 0.69742

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70005 clears the session high and 0.7000 psych
  • Failure to hold 0.6976 breaks the rising-low structure

16:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 0.69936

Higher highs into 0.7000, pulling back.

NY session ran up to 0.70005, tagging the psych 0.7000 round number before rejecting back to 0.6994, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Intraday structure stays a rising chain of higher lows; the 0.6989 pullback low is the near-term pivot.

Support: 0.6989, 0.6982, 0.69749

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70005 opens the path toward the 0.7025 5wk high
  • Failure to hold 0.6989 exposes the 0.6982 swing low
  • AUD Q2 CPI (Wed) is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read

16:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 0.69936

Higher highs into 0.7000, pullback holding.

NY session pushed AUDUSD up to test the 0.7000 psych level, printing a session high of 0.70005 before sellers capped it and price eased to 0.6994. RSI(14) cooling from the highs as the pair consolidates just under 0.7000, still riding above EMA20/50 on the rising intraday structure.

Support: 0.69868, 0.69749

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70005 opens the path back toward the 0.7025 five-week high
  • Loss of 0.69868 swing low signals the intraday uptrend is stalling
  • AUD Q2 CPI (Wed) is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read

16:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 0.69945

Higher highs into 0.7000, pullback holding.

NY session drove AUDUSD up to 0.70005, sweeping the round number before rejecting back to 0.69904; price now consolidating ~0.6994 with RSI(14) cooling from the push. AUD stayed broadly soft on firm USD but caught an intraday bid, holding above the 0.69900 pullback low.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6982, 0.69749

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70005 opens the path toward 0.7025
  • Failure to hold 0.69900 exposes 0.69820 swing low

16:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 0.69945

Higher lows into 0.7000 rejection.

NY session extended the intraday grind higher and tagged the 0.7000 round number at 0.70005 before rejecting back to 0.69904; RSI(14) cooled from the push. Price has since recovered to 0.69945 with the chain of higher lows through the London-NY transition still intact.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6976, 0.69627

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 0.70005 session high opens continuation
  • Loss of 0.69760 ny range low breaks the higher-low sequence
  • Q2 CPI (Wed) is the dominant catalyst that would reset this read

16:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 0.69942

Higher highs into 0.7000, rejection.

NY session drove AUDUSD up through the day and tapped the 0.7000 round number at 0.70005 before rejecting back to ~0.6992, RSI(14) cooling off the highs. Intraday higher-low chain intact off the 0.69749 swing low, but firm USD on hawkish-Fed/energy flows is capping the round-number retest.

Support: 0.69749, 0.6982

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.69951

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.70005 opens the path to the 0.7025 five-week high
  • Failure to hold 0.69749 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • AU Q2 CPI (Wed) is the dominant catalyst ahead — will reshape this read

16:02 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 0.69942

Higher highs/higher lows into 0.70 psych.

NY session drove AUDUSD up through 0.6990 to tag the 0.70 psych level, printing a session high at 0.70005 before rejecting back to 0.6994. RSI cooling from the spike; firm USD on hawkish-Fed/energy flows is capping the topside.

Support: 0.6976, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to the 0.7025 five-week high
  • Failure to hold 0.6976 breaks the rising higher-low sequence

15:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 0.69908

Higher highs into 0.7000, rejected at psych.

NY session drove AUDUSD up to tag 0.70005 and the 0.7000 psych level before rejecting back to 0.699, RSI(14) cooling from the push. AUD stays firm off the jobs beat but supply capped the move sub-0.7025, the flagged five-week high.

Support: 0.69749, 0.6968

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70005 opens the path to the 0.7025 5-week high
  • Failure to hold 0.69749 negates the current up-leg
  • RBA Bullock Mon and Wed CPI are the next material catalysts

15:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 0.69908

Higher highs into NY, rejected at psych 0.7000.

NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.6972 low up to the 0.7000 psych level, printing 0.70005 before rejecting back to 0.69908. USD firm on hawkish-Fed and oil-driven safe-haven bid is capping the push; buyers stepped in twice around 0.6975 through the London-NY transition.

Support: 0.69822, 0.69749

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the 0.7025 5-wk high cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6975 session low confirms a lower-low

15:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 0.69917

Higher highs into 0.7000, rejected.

NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69749 low up to poke 0.70005, but the round number rejected and price closed back at 0.69917. RSI(14) cooling from the push; the 0.7000 psych cap aligns with the ~0.7025 five-week high noted as the broader ceiling.

Support: 0.69822, 0.6976

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70005 reopens the path toward 0.7025
  • Failure to hold 0.69760 negates the intraday higher-low chain

15:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 0.69917

Higher highs into 0.7000, rejected.

NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69749 session low up through 0.7000, tagging 0.70005 before sellers capped the poke and price slipped back to 0.69917 — a false break of the round number. USD firmness from strong US claims keeps a lid on the rally near the psych level while the intraday uptrend from 0.69749 stays intact.

Support: 0.69749, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.70005, 0.69951

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70005 reopens the path toward 0.7025
  • Failure to hold 0.69749 negates the intraday uptrend
  • RBA Gov Bullock speech Mon could shift AUD tone into CPI

15:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 0.69986

Higher highs into 0.7000.

NY session pushed AUDUSD off the 0.69749 swing low back through the prior session high at 0.69951, now pressing the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) near 71. Move fits the firm-AUD read after strong jobs, though the 0.7025 five-week-high cap sits just overhead.

Support: 0.69749, 0.69951, 0.6968

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70255

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to the 0.70255 five-week high
  • Loss of 0.69749 swing low negates the intraday higher-high sequence
  • RBA Bullock (Mon) and Wed CPI are the next catalysts that could reset this read

15:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum strong into 0.7000 · RSI 72 · price 0.69986

Higher highs, higher lows through NY.

NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69749 swing low up through the prior 0.69951 high, now testing the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) hot near 72. USD stayed firm on strong US claims but AUD firmed on this week's jobs beat; move remains capped sub-0.7025.

Support: 0.69749, 0.69822, 0.69951

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to the 0.7025 five-week high
  • Failure to hold 0.69749 breaks the higher-low chain
  • RBA Gov Bullock speech Mon could reset this read ahead of Wed CPI

15:02 UTC

Uptrend, pullback recovering · RSI 58 · price 0.69872

Higher lows, retesting session high.

NY session grinding back toward the 0.69951 session high after a pullback to 0.69749 was bought during the London-NY transition. RSI(14) mid-range near 58, price holding above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows intact.

Support: 0.69749, 0.6968, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69951 opens the path back toward the 0.7025 cap
  • Loss of 0.69749 exposes 0.6968 swing low
  • Firm USD on hawkish-Fed/oil channel could cap rallies sub-0.7025

15:02 UTC

Recovering, back near session highs · RSI 59 · price 0.69872

Consolidation, dip bought into NY.

AUDUSD dipped to 0.69749 mid-session then recovered through NY hours, now back at 0.6987 and retesting session highs near 0.6995. USD firmness on hawkish-Fed pricing keeps rallies capped sub-0.7000; buyers stepped in twice above 0.6974.

Support: 0.69749, 0.69634

Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6995 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69749 reopens the 0.69634 swing low
  • RBA Bullock Mon and Australian CPI Wed could reshape this read

14:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, pullback recovering · RSI 56 · price 0.69828

Higher highs into 0.6995 rejection, then higher lows off 0.6975.

NY session pushed to a session high 0.69951 before rejecting, then buyers stepped in around 0.6975 and price is grinding back toward 0.698. A firmer USD kept the run capped sub-0.70; move remains a shallow pullback within the intraday uptrend.

Support: 0.69749, 0.6968

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.69951 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69749 session low exposes 0.6968 swing low
  • RBA Bullock (Mon) and Wed CPI are the next material catalysts

14:47 UTC

Pullback within intraday uptrend · RSI 54 · price 0.69828

Rally to session high then lower high, recovering off pullback low.

London push stalled at the 0.69951 session high before a fade back to 0.69749, where buyers stepped in; price is now recovering toward 0.6983 with RSI(14) back near neutral. USD firmness kept a lid on the rally sub-0.7000.

Support: 0.69749, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.69915

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69951 reclaims the session high and reopens 0.7000
  • Failure to hold 0.69749 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.69618
  • RBA Gov Bullock (Mon) and AU CPI (Wed) are the next material catalysts

14:32 UTC

Uptrend stalling after rejection at session high · RSI 52 · price 0.69807

NY rally topped at 0.6995, pulled back into recovery.

NY session drove AUDUSD up to a session high of 0.69951, just shy of the 0.7000 psych level, before rejecting and pulling back to 0.69749. Price is now recovering toward 0.698 with RSI cooled to mid-range; the pair stayed choppy as firm US data and hawkish-Fed pricing offset Australia's strong PMIs.

Support: 0.69749, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69951 would resume the NY up-leg toward 0.7000
  • Loss of 0.69749 swing low exposes the 0.69630 asia low
  • No near-term calendar catalyst; RBA CPI next week is the decider

14:32 UTC

Pullback off session high, recovering · RSI 52 · price 0.69807

Consolidation after rejection near 0.6995.

NY session rejected the 0.69951 session high and sold off to 0.69749, where buyers stepped in and stalled the drop. Price has since coiled 0.6975-0.6984 and is grinding back toward the range top, RSI(14) neutral near 52.

Support: 0.69749, 0.6972

Resistance: 0.6984, 0.69951

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6984 range top opens the path back to the 0.69951 session high
  • Loss of the 0.69749 session low confirms a lower low
  • AUD CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the week's decider — a hot print challenges the 0.7025-0.7028 cap

14:17 UTC

Uptrend faded, pullback in play · RSI 51 · price 0.69795

Lower high after session-high rejection, basing above 0.6972.

London pushed AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69951 before NY faded it back to 0.6975, where buyers stepped in twice. Price is now recovering to 0.698, RSI back to neutral around 51 after the pullback; the 0.69880 prior high caps the bounce for now.

Support: 0.69749, 0.69723

Resistance: 0.6988, 0.69951

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69951 reopens the upside toward the 0.7025-0.7028 cap
  • Loss of 0.69723 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday base

14:17 UTC

Uptrend faded, correcting · RSI 52 · price 0.69795

Rally to session high, pullback holding above swing low.

NY session pushed AUDUSD up to a session high of 0.69951 before sellers capped it, with firm USD on hawkish-Fed repricing weighing on the topside. Price corrected to 0.69742 and is now recovering toward 0.698; RSI(14) back to neutral near 52.

Support: 0.69742, 0.69655

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69951 reopens the 0.70000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69742 exposes the 0.69655 swing low

14:02 UTC

NY rally rejected, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 0.69784

Session high rejection, mid-range consolidation.

NY session extended the London bid to a session high of 0.69951 before a sharp rejection dropped price to 0.69749; now consolidating near 0.6978, sitting on the 50% retrace of the intraday leg. Firm USD (1969-low jobless claims, oil/Iran risk) kept AUD upside capped despite strong Aussie PMIs.

Support: 0.69749, 0.6972, 0.6966

Resistance: 0.6988, 0.69951

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.69880 reopens the 0.69951 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69749 exposes 0.69720 then 0.69660
  • No tier-1 AUD/USD data in the next 8h; FOMC and Aussie CPI are next-week catalysts

14:02 UTC

Uptrend, pulled back off session high · RSI 45 · price 0.69784

HH/HL chain into 0.6995 rejection, retraced to mid-range.

London-NY push tagged 0.69951 before sellers rejected the level, dragging price back to the 0.6972 swing low near the 50% fib of the up-leg. USD stayed firm on the 1969-low jobless claims and oil-driven safe-haven bid; AUDUSD now recovering off 0.6976 with RSI cooled to mid-40s.

Support: 0.6972, 0.69632

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.69915

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69915 reopens the 0.69951 session high
  • Loss of 0.6972 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.69632
  • Thin calendar next 8h; RBA Bullock and CPI next week are the swing factors

13:47 UTC

Uptrend rolled over, pullback in play · RSI 44 · price 0.69755

Session high rejected, lower high forming.

AUDUSD pushed to a session high 0.69951 during London hours then twice failed near 0.6992-0.6995, printing a double top before a sharp break back through 0.69830. Price now consolidating around 0.6976 with RSI cooled to the mid-40s; firm broad USD kept a lid on the AUD bounce.

Support: 0.6974, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.6983, 0.69951

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.69830 reopens the 0.69951 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69740 exposes the 0.69630 swing low

13:47 UTC

Uptrend rejected, rolling over · RSI 42 · price 0.69755

London rally to session high faded into NY open.

AUDUSD climbed through London to a session high of 0.6995 before a sharp rejection dumped it back to 0.6974 into the NY open, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s. Strong AU flash PMIs gave no lasting lift as a firm USD kept the pair capped; now flat around 0.6976 having handed back most of the rally.

Support: 0.6974, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6974 exposes the 0.6963 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.6995 needed to reopen the 0.7000 psych cap
  • USD-driven; hawkish-Fed repricing remains the near-term pressure

13:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend rejected, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.69758

Sold off from session high 0.6995 to 61.8% fib.

AUDUSD rallied through the London-NY transition to a session high at 0.6995 before a sharp rejection dumped it back to 0.6976, now parked on the 61.8% fib of the day's up move. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s; firm USD on hawkish-Fed repricing capped the advance shy of 0.70.

Support: 0.69745, 0.69632

Resistance: 0.6983, 0.69951

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69632 asian low confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.6983 swing high reopens the 0.6995 session high
  • US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

13:32 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.69758

London rally rejected at 0.6995, retracing into NY.

London session drove a steady climb from 0.6963 to a session high at 0.69951 before sellers stepped in, dragging price back to 0.6975 into the NY open — roughly a 61.8% retrace of the up leg. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s and price now sits below EMA20/50 after the rejection.

Support: 0.69749, 0.69632

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
  • Loss of 0.69749 exposes the 0.69632 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69880 puts the 0.69951 session high back in play

13:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, sharp pullback · RSI 41 · price 0.69757

HH/HL chain broken by drop back to session lows.

AUDUSD ran up through the NY session to a session high at 0.69951 before a sharp rejection dumped price back to the 0.69749 lows, RSI(14) cooling toward 40. Firm USD on hawkish-Fed repricing capped the rally; price now sits just off the session low with the up-move's gains erased.

Support: 0.69749, 0.6970, 0.69656

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.69951

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69749 session low confirms a lower-low
  • Reclaim of 0.69890 prior high revives the uptrend read
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read within the next bar

13:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, sharp pullback · RSI 41 · price 0.69757

Rejection at session high, lower highs forming.

AUDUSD rallied through the London-NY transition to a session high at 0.69951 before being rejected, dropping back under 0.6980 with a heavy candle into 0.69742. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought to ~41 as price consolidates just above the session low; firm USD off the 1969-low jobless claims keeps a lid on upside.

Support: 0.69742, 0.6966

Resistance: 0.6988, 0.69951

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69742 exposes the 0.6966 prior low
  • Reclaim of 0.6988 swing high negates the pullback
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

13:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend, sharp rejection at highs · RSI 44 · price 0.69765

Rally to session high then reversal, testing rising support.

NY session pushed AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69951, just shy of the 0.70 pivot, before a sharp rejection dumped ~20 pips through 0.69830 back to 0.69749; a firm USD on the record-low jobless claims capped the move. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price now hovers near the rising support off the 0.69618 base.

Support: 0.69749, 0.6966

Resistance: 0.6983, 0.69951

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.69830 negates the rejection and reopens the session high
  • Loss of 0.69749 session low exposes 0.69660 prior swing
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read within the next bar

13:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend, sharp pullback · RSI 43 · price 0.69765

Higher highs into session high, then rejection.

NY session extended the intraday climb to a session high at 0.69951 before a sharp rejection dumped price back to 0.6974, RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward mid-range. Firm USD on collapsing jobless claims and safe-haven flows capped the AUD upside despite strong flash PMIs.

Support: 0.69742, 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.6988 revives the up-leg toward the session high
  • Break below 0.697 pivot opens 0.69618 swing low
  • AUD CPI next week is the swing factor for the broader RBA read

12:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, sharp pullback · RSI 49 · price 0.69768

Higher highs into 0.6995, rejected.

London-session grind higher stalled at 0.69951, just shy of the 0.7000 psych level, then reversed hard back to 0.6976 as firm USD (jobless claims, safe-haven flows) capped the move. RSI(14) cooled from the mid-60s to neutral; price now sits below EMA20/50 after the rejection.

Support: 0.69749, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6995 reopens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69749 exposes the 0.6962 swing low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read within the next hour

12:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback underway · RSI 42 · price 0.69768

Rejected at session high, rolling over.

London grind higher topped at 0.69951 before a sharp two-bar rejection into NY dumped price back to 0.6976, slicing through the EMA20/50. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as the intraday up-leg unwinds; buyers stepped in at 0.6975 on the last bar.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.69915

What it said to watch

  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 0.6975 exposes the 0.6970 pivot and 0.69618 Asian low
  • Reclaim of 0.69915 puts the 0.69951 session high back in play

12:32 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 0.69833

HH/HL chain, pullback off session high.

NY session extended the London bid to a session high at 0.69951 before rejection dragged price back under EMA20 to 0.69820. Uptrend structure still intact from the 0.69618 base, but momentum has cooled and RSI slipped to mid-range on the pullback.

Support: 0.6982, 0.6976, 0.6966

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 0.69820 exposes 0.69760 and breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • M15 close back above 0.69951 reopens the 0.70000 psych level
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the week's swing factor for this pair

12:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 0.69833

Higher highs into a pullback off session high.

London session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69618 low up to a session high 0.69951 just shy of 0.7000, with strong flash PMIs underpinning the bid; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as price pulled back to 0.69833. Pullback has slipped under EMA20 but holds above EMA50, keeping the intraday higher-low chain intact.

Support: 0.6982, 0.6976, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • close below 0.69760 breaks the rising higher-low chain
  • reclaim of 0.69951 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • 0.7025-0.7028 remains the broader cap; CPI next week is the swing factor

12:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 0.69866

HH/HL chain, consolidating below session high.

London session drove a clean HH/HL climb off the 0.69618 low to a session high at 0.69951, RSI now cooling back near 55 as price consolidates around 0.6987. Buyers held the 0.69820 pullback low; the session high still caps.

Support: 0.6982, 0.6976, 0.6966

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69951 opens the path to 0.70000
  • Failure to hold 0.69820 signals a lower-low and breaks the rising structure
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

12:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 0.69866

HH/HL chain, pulling back from session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session, printing a HH/HL chain into a 0.69951 session high before stalling. Price is now easing back toward 0.69760, RSI cooling from overbought as the last push made a higher high on flatter momentum.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69760 opens the 0.69630 swing low and breaks the HL chain
  • Clean break of 0.69951 exposes the 0.70000 psych level
  • AU Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the make-or-break catalyst for AUD direction

12:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 0.69878

Higher highs, higher lows into session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the session, rallying from the 0.6966 low to a 0.69951 session high before stalling; last few bars are consolidating around 0.6988 with RSI cooling off from the highs. Move fits the firm-AUD-on-jobs tone, though gains stay capped well below the 0.7025 five-week high.

Support: 0.6984, 0.6966

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69951 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6984 exposes the 0.6966 session low

12:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 0.69878

Higher highs into session top.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London-NY session, printing a session high at 0.6995 just shy of the 0.7000 psych level before easing to 0.69878. RSI(14) cooling from the highs as momentum flattens near the top of the move; a firm USD on safe-haven flows is capping progress sub-0.70.

Support: 0.6979, 0.6967, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 0.69951 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69790 swing low points back toward the 0.69670 support zone
  • Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the dominant catalyst — repricing risk into next week

11:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 0.69889

Higher highs/higher lows into session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, tagging a session high at 0.69951 before easing to 0.69889 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Buyers stepped in repeatedly off the rising lows after the Asian-session base near 0.6966; the 0.7000 pivot flagged in context caps overhead.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6973, 0.6966

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69951 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 pullback low breaks the rising-low chain
  • Q2 CPI next week is the dominant catalyst for this pair

11:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near session high · RSI 61 · price 0.69889

Chain of higher highs/higher lows into 0.6995.

AUDUSD ground higher through NY hours, printing a session high at 0.69951 before stalling; price now consolidating around 0.6989 with RSI cooling off the highs. USD held firm near DXY 101.50 but AUD kept a bid into the close of the window — the 0.7000 psych level remains the cap ahead.

Support: 0.6980, 0.6966

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69951 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69800 swing low signals the intraday climb is stalling
  • Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the dominant catalyst that would reshape this read

11:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near session high · RSI 62 · price 0.69896

Chain of higher lows recovering off session low.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session, recovering from the 0.69618 session low to test the session high at 0.69951 before stalling just under 0.7000. RSI(14) cooling from the recent push as the last bars fade back to 0.6990; ATR is thin at ~4 pips.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6971, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69951 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69710 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

11:32 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 62 · price 0.69896

Higher lows into 0.7000, capped near session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session from the Asian low near 0.6963, printing a chain of higher lows and pressing the 0.6995 session high just under the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) cooling from the highs as the last two bars stall; pair consolidating around 0.70 per the pre-CPI read.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.7000 extends the recovery leg
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 pivot reopens the 0.6963 swing low

11:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend, recovery · RSI 66 · price 0.69924

Higher lows off session low, testing 0.6995.

European hours reversed the earlier drop to the 0.6964 session low, grinding a chain of higher lows back up to test the 0.6995 session high, RSI(14) around 66. Firm USD on the Iran/energy bid keeps the pair capped just below the 0.70 round number, consolidating into US PMIs.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6964

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6995 opens the path toward the 0.70 round number and 0.7025
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 confirms a lower-low back toward the session low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

11:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 0.69924

Higher lows off 0.6963, pressing session high.

AUDUSD based at 0.6963 in Asia and has ground steadily higher through London-NY, now pressing the session high near 0.6950 with RSI(14) elevated around 68. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on the way up, sequence of higher lows intact; 0.7000 psych level sits just above.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6976, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 0.69950 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69860 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the read

11:03 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.69913

Higher highs / higher lows off overnight base.

AUDUSD ground higher through the European/NY session from the overnight base near 0.6966, printing a steady higher-high chain toward the 0.69951 session high before easing to 0.6991. USD firm on rebuilt Fed-hike bets caps the approach to the 0.70000 handle; RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched.

Support: 0.6982, 0.6966

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • close above 0.69951 opens a run at the 0.70000 psych level
  • failure to hold 0.69820 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read

11:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extending · RSI 68 · price 0.69913

Rising lows, grinding toward 0.7000.

AUDUSD ground steadily higher through the London session, printing a chain of higher lows off the 0.69618 overnight low and stalling into the 0.69951 session high. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme — with the 0.7000 psych level the next hurdle as a firmer USD caps the advance ahead of the PMI print.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6971, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69951, 0.7000, 0.70025

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 0.69951 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of the 0.69760 swing breaks the rising-low sequence
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift USD tone and this read

10:47 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into 0.70 · RSI 68 · price 0.69924

Higher highs and higher lows off 0.6962 low.

AUDUSD has ground higher through the London-NY window, chaining higher lows off the 0.6962 mid-session low and pressing the 0.6995 session high into the 0.70 psych level. RSI(14) near 67 — firm, not extreme — as price consolidates just under round-number resistance.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6971, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69951

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70000 opens path back toward the 0.7025 weekly high
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
  • Failure to hold 0.69860 breaks the rising higher-low sequence

10:47 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 0.69924

Higher highs and higher lows off session low.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session, recovering from the 0.69618 Asian session low to press the 0.6995 prior high, RSI(14) elevated near 68. Higher lows have held since the 0.69833 swing low, with the 0.70000 psych level as the next cap into next week's Aussie CPI.

Support: 0.69833, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6995 / 0.70000 opens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 0.69833 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read

10:32 UTC

Recovery uptrend into 0.7000 · RSI 69 · price 0.69943

Higher lows off session low, testing prior high.

AUDUSD recovered off the session low at 0.69618 through the London session, grinding into the 0.7000 round number where the early-window high at 0.70003 sits. RSI(14) elevated near 68 as the pair consolidates below 0.70 with AUD firm on strong jobs/PMIs but capped by a firmer USD.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6972, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.70003, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70003 opens the path toward the 0.7025 five-week high
  • Loss of 0.69720 swing low would negate the recovery structure
  • US S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift USD tone into the NY session

10:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding toward 0.70 · RSI 71 · price 0.69943

Higher lows off session low, testing highs.

AUDUSD recovered steadily off the 0.69618 session low to 0.69943, printing a chain of higher lows into the London-NY transition, RSI(14) hot near 70. Move fits the digest's consolidation just under 0.70 ahead of next week's Aussie CPI; 0.70000 psych sits directly overhead.

Support: 0.6980, 0.6967, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69949

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 0.70000 psych extends the recovery toward the 0.7025 area
  • Failure to hold 0.69800 swing breaks the rising-low sequence
  • RBA Bullock (Mon) and Q2 CPI (Wed) are the near-term catalysts for this pair

10:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 66 · price 0.69915

Higher highs, higher lows since session low.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session off the 0.69630 low, printing a clean higher-high/higher-low chain into the 0.70000 round number. RSI(14) around 66 — firm but not stretched; pair consolidating near 0.70 into next week's CPI, with the 0.70250 five-week high still capping macro upside.

Support: 0.6982, 0.6976, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70000 opens the path to the 0.70250 five-week high
  • Loss of 0.69760 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

10:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding toward 0.70 · RSI 67 · price 0.69915

Higher lows off 0.6966 range base.

AUDUSD recovered through the London session from the 0.6966 range base to a session high at 0.69921, now pressing the 0.70 psych level. RSI(14) mid-60s and the higher-low chain intact as AUD stays firm ahead of next week's Q2 CPI.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6966

Resistance: 0.69921, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70000 psych opens the path to the 0.7025 five-week high
  • Failure to hold 0.69760 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 0.6966 base

10:03 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher · RSI 69 · price 0.69915

Higher highs/lows off session low, testing 0.70.

London session ground steadily higher off the 0.69618 range low, stair-stepping into the 0.70000 round number with RSI(14) near 69. Move is compressing just below the session high at 0.69921 as a firmer USD caps the AUD recovery ahead of next week's CPI.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6966, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69921

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70000 opens the 0.7025 five-week high
  • Loss of the 0.69760 swing low negates the intraday recovery
  • RBA Bullock (Mon) and Q2 CPI (Wed) are the dominant risk events for AUD

10:03 UTC

Uptrend, grinding toward 0.70 · RSI 70 · price 0.69915

Higher highs/higher lows off session low.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session in a tidy HH/HL chain off the 0.69618 session low, printing a fresh session high at 0.69921 as it presses the 0.70 psych level. RSI(14) near 70, hot but consistent with the trend; price sits well above EMA20/50.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6966, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.70000 opens the path to the 0.7025 five-week high
  • Failure to hold 0.69760 breaks the rising session structure
  • AUD consolidating into next week's Q2 CPI — the dominant catalyst for this pair

09:47 UTC

Recovery, higher lows building · RSI 63 · price 0.69875

HL chain off session low, pressing session high.

AUDUSD ground back up off the 0.69618 session low through the thin Asian range and is now retesting the session high at 0.6989 into the London session, RSI(14) mid-60s. Higher lows have held above the 0.6968 pivot; a firmer USD on strong US claims kept the 0.7000 handle out of reach.

Support: 0.6968, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6989 opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
  • Loss of 0.6968 pivot reopens the 0.69618 session low
  • US flash PMIs ~13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read

09:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 0.69875

Higher highs and higher lows off session low.

London session has extended a steady climb off the 0.69618 session low, printing higher lows and now pressing the 0.6990 session high with RSI(14) around 65. Price holds above EMA20/50 and the 0.6968 pivot flipped to support on the recovery.

Support: 0.6968, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6990, 0.70003

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6990 session high opens the path to 0.70003 prior high
  • Loss of the 0.6968 pivot breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.69618

09:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.69885

Higher lows off the 0.6962 base, testing session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session, printing higher lows from the 0.69618 base and now probing the session high near 0.6990, RSI(14) around 63. Topside stays capped by a firm USD after the strong US jobless-claims beat; the 0.6968-0.6970 pivot has held as support.

Support: 0.6968, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6990, 0.70006, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6990 opens the path toward the 0.70006 prior high and 0.7000 round number
  • Failure to hold the 0.6968 pivot confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.69618
  • Q2 CPI (29 Jul) is the decisive catalyst for RBA pricing beyond this session

09:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 66 · price 0.69885

Higher-low chain recovering from Thursday low.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session in a recovery leg off the 0.69618 swing low, building a chain of higher lows and now pressing the 0.69895 session high with RSI(14) elevated near 66. The 0.6970 pivot held on every dip; 0.70000 round number sits just above as the next area to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6969, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69895, 0.7000, 0.70012

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69895 opens the path to the 0.70000 round number
  • Close back below 0.69760 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Loss of 0.69690 pivot exposes the 0.69618 swing low

09:17 UTC

Intraday recovery, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.69863

Higher lows off 0.6962, testing session high.

AUDUSD ground back up through the London session, recovering from the 0.69618 swing low to retest the session high at 0.69895; RSI(14) around 63, not yet stretched. Move stalls at the 61.8% retrace of the earlier drop from 0.70012, with the 0.6968 pivot now acting as support.

Support: 0.6982, 0.6969, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69895, 0.70012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69895 opens the path back toward 0.70012
  • Loss of the 0.6968 pivot reopens the 0.69618 swing low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read

09:17 UTC

Intraday recovery, higher lows · RSI 58 · price 0.69863

Rebound off session low, building HL chain toward session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session off the 0.69640 session low, printing a steady chain of higher lows into a 0.6989 session high before a shallow pullback to 0.69863. USD stays firm on the strong 187K jobless claims print, capping the topside just below the 0.6989 area; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6970, 0.6964

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.70012

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.6976 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 0.69640 session low
  • Close above 0.6989 opens the path to 0.70012 prior high
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read

09:03 UTC

Recovery leg, testing session high · RSI 63 · price 0.69874

Higher lows off 0.6967, pressing session top.

AUDUSD recovered from the 0.6967 pivot low through the London session, printing higher lows and breaking the 0.6978 consolidation to press the session high near 0.6989. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; a firm USD on safe-haven flows is capping the topside sub-0.7000.

Support: 0.6968, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6990 opens the path toward 0.70000 round number
  • Failure to hold the 0.6968 pivot exposes 0.69618 swing low

09:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 0.69874

Higher highs into session high, consolidating.

AUDUSD climbed a clean chain of higher lows from the 0.69618 session low to a fresh session high at 0.69890 through European hours, holding above the 0.6968 pivot flagged in the wider read. Price is now stalling just under 0.6989 with RSI cooling off from the high-60s; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.6968 on the way up.

Support: 0.6982, 0.6968, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69890 opens the path toward the 0.7000 round number
  • loss of the 0.69680 pivot would break the rising-low structure
  • no major AUD/USD calendar risk in the next 8h; FOMC and Wed Q2 CPI are the later catalysts

08:47 UTC

Recovery leg, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 0.69873

Higher lows off the 0.6964 base.

AUDUSD carved a base at 0.6964 through the mid-window drift and has ground back to the session high near 0.6989, RSI(14) around 63. Buyers stepped in repeatedly at the 0.6970 pivot as a firm USD, lifted by the 187K jobless-claims print and Iran risk, keeps the topside heavy.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6964

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6990 opens the path to 0.7000
  • Loss of the 0.6970 pivot negates the recovery leg

08:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 63 · price 0.69873

Higher highs off 0.6962 base.

NY session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.6962 base to a session high at 0.6989, RSI(14) mid-60s and not yet stretched. USD stayed firm on the 1969-low jobless claims print and Iran safe-haven bid, capping the topside into the 0.7000 round number.

Support: 0.6967, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000, 0.70028

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6990 opens the path to 0.7000 and the 0.7028 weekly cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6967 exposes the 0.6962 swing low
  • Q2 CPI (29 Jul) is the week's decisive catalyst — outside this bar window

08:32 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum firm · RSI 64 · price 0.69872

Higher lows off session low, retracing prior drop.

AUDUSD sold off from 0.7005 into the London session, bottoming at 0.69618 as a firmer USD (1969-low jobless claims) and Iran risk weighed. Buyers have since built a chain of higher lows back to the session high at 0.6989, price now sitting near the 61.8% retrace of the drop with RSI(14) around 64.

Support: 0.6968, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.6989 opens the path back toward 0.7000
  • Loss of the 0.6968 pivot reopens the 0.69618 session low
  • Q2 CPI (29 Jul) is the decisive AUD catalyst ahead

08:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 68 · price 0.69872

Higher lows off 0.69618, pressing recent highs.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London morning, printing a chain of higher lows off the 0.69618 session low and breaking the 0.69800 consolidation to tag a session high at 0.69890. RSI(14) near 68, hot but not extreme; the recovery follows the reversal off the ~0.6968 pivot after a firm USD (187K jobless claims) capped the topside earlier.

Support: 0.6976, 0.69709, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69890 opens the path to the 0.70000 round number
  • Loss of the 0.69760 intraday pivot breaks the higher-low chain
  • Q2 CPI (29 Jul) is the dominant catalyst for AUD this week

08:17 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 0.69855

Higher lows since Asia low, testing prior-day range.

AUDUSD sold off from 0.7000 to 0.6962 during yesterday's NY session as USD firmed on the 187K jobless-claims print; this London session has rebuilt higher lows and pushed to 0.6989 before easing back to 0.69855. RSI(14) near 57, off its lows but not stretched.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6989 opens the path toward 0.7000 psych
  • Failure to hold the 0.6970 pivot re-exposes the 0.69618 session low
  • Q2 CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) is the decisive catalyst, well outside this window

08:17 UTC

Near-term recovery, higher lows · RSI 64 · price 0.69855

Reclaimed 0.6970 pivot, pressing session high.

AUDUSD ground back up through the 0.6970 pivot during the London session, printing a session high at 0.6989 after the earlier slide to 0.69618. Higher lows are chained on the recovery, RSI mid-60s with room left; USD stays firm on the 187K jobless claims print, keeping the 0.7000 round number as the topside cap to watch.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 0.6970 pivot negates the recovery and re-exposes 0.69618
  • Break above 0.6989 session high opens the path to 0.7000
  • Q2 CPI (29 Jul) is the decisive catalyst beyond this window

08:02 UTC

Recovery off session low, higher lows · RSI 58 · price 0.69838

Higher-low chain since Asian low, testing session top.

London session ground higher off the thin Asian low at 0.69618, printing a clean higher-low chain into a 0.6989 session high before easing to 0.69838. Move is capped near the 0.70 pivot with a firm USD (1969-low jobless claims) holding AUD in check; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.

Support: 0.6976, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6989 opens the 0.70 round number
  • Loss of the 0.69760 higher low threatens a return to 0.69618
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read

08:02 UTC

Recovery off session low, uptrend intact · RSI 61 · price 0.69838

Higher lows since Asian range base.

AUDUSD carved out a base near 0.6964 through the quiet Asian range then climbed steadily into the London-NY window, breaking the 0.6980 consolidation top and tagging a session high at 0.6989 before easing to 0.6984. USD stayed firm on strong jobless claims and safe-haven flows, keeping AUD capped well below the 0.7028 area flagged in the wider read; RSI(14) near 61 leaves room before overbought.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6968, 0.6964

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.6990 opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
  • Failure to hold 0.6976 risks a slip back into the 0.6968 range base
  • Australian CPI on 29 Jul is the next real catalyst for this pair

07:47 UTC

Intraday recovery, higher lows · RSI 59 · price 0.69829

Rebound off session low, chain of higher lows into London.

AUDUSD ground down to a 0.6962 session low through the Asian hours before recovering on the London open, printing higher lows back to a 0.6989 session high then easing to 0.6983. RSI(14) mid-range near 59; broad USD strength (1969-low US jobless claims) keeps the 0.7000 psychological level as the intraday cap.

Support: 0.6972, 0.6964

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6989 session high opens the 0.7000 round number
  • Failure to hold 0.6972 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
  • Loss of 0.6964 session low reopens the 0.6962 area

07:47 UTC

Uptrend, recovery leg maturing · RSI 58 · price 0.69829

Higher lows off session base, testing session high.

AUDUSD carved a rounded base near 0.6962 mid-window and has ground higher through London hours to a session high of 0.6989, before easing to 0.69829. USD remains firm on the 187K jobless-claims print, capping AUD below the 0.70 round number; RSI(14) sits mid-range at ~58 with room in either direction.

Support: 0.6973, 0.6968, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6990 opens the 0.70 round number
  • Loss of rising support / 0.6968 range floor negates the recovery read
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift USD tone within the next few bars

07:32 UTC

Recovering, micro uptrend into London · RSI 67 · price 0.69882

Higher lows off Asian session low, session high tagged.

AUDUSD ground down through the prior NY session to an Asian low near 0.6962, then rounded higher through the London session, printing a fresh session high at 0.6988 with RSI(14) around 67. USD stayed broadly bid on the 187K jobless claims print, so gains are stalling into the 0.6990/0.70 zone.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6964, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7004

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to the 0.7004 prior high
  • Failure to hold 0.6976 pivot exposes the 0.6964 session low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

07:32 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 0.69882

Higher highs, higher lows off session low.

AUDUSD ground out of a tight Asian range near 0.6967 and London has driven a clean higher-high chain up to 0.69886, RSI(14) around 64. Price now presses the 0.70000 round number after basing at the 0.69618 session low; a firm USD (1969-low jobless claims) still caps the topside.

Support: 0.6972, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70043

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70000 opens the path to the 0.70043 prior high
  • Loss of 0.69720 swing low breaks the rising-low sequence
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

07:17 UTC

Recovery, higher lows building · RSI 63 · price 0.69858

Chain of higher lows off session low, pressing session high.

London session grinding higher off the 0.69618 session low, with buyers stacking higher lows and price now pressing the 0.69878 session high; RSI(14) near 63, not yet hot. USD firmness has kept the pair capped below the 0.70 psych level through the window.

Support: 0.69729, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69878, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69878 opens the 0.70000 psych level
  • Loss of the 0.69729 higher low breaks the rising-lows structure
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

07:17 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum up · RSI 66 · price 0.69858

Higher lows into session high.

AUDUSD recovered off the session low at 0.6962 through the Asian session and pushed to a fresh session high at 0.6988 into the London open, with USD strength (jobless claims at a 1969 low) capping the earlier downside. RSI(14) near 66 — firm but not stretched; higher lows intact.

Support: 0.6971, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.6988, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.6971 breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low chain
  • Break above 0.6988 opens the 0.7000 round number

07:02 UTC

Recovery off session low, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.6984

Rounded base, higher lows building.

AUDUSD carved a rounded base near the 0.6962 session low and has ground back to 0.6984, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI near 63. Recovery stalling into the 0.6983 session high; 0.7000 pivot caps above, consistent with the ~0.70 consolidation the macro read flags.

Support: 0.6972, 0.6962, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.6983, 0.7000, 0.7009

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path back toward the 0.7009 prior high
  • Loss of 0.6972 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.6962
  • RBA Bullock Mon and Q2 CPI Wed are the key catalysts for this pair

07:02 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher off overnight low · RSI 61 · price 0.6984

Series of higher lows since 0.6962.

AUDUSD ground higher through the thin overnight session off the 0.69618 range low, printing higher lows into 0.69842 as early London approaches. Recovery is orderly but USD strength (soft US jobless claims) has capped AUD sub-0.70; price now testing the session high.

Support: 0.69726, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69842, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 psych extends the recovery
  • Failure to hold 0.69726 swing low reopens 0.69618 range low
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the dollar bid

06:47 UTC

Recovering off session low, micro uptrend · RSI 61 · price 0.69797

Rounded base, higher lows into session high.

AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY window to a session low at 0.69618, then based and ground back up through the Asian session to retest the 0.69812 session high, RSI(14) around 61. Higher lows are holding into the current bar, keeping price pinned just under 0.70000.

Support: 0.69709, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69812, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69812 session high opens the path to the 0.70000 psych level
  • Failure to hold the 0.69709 higher low reopens 0.69618 session low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

06:47 UTC

Recovering off lows, choppy · RSI 58 · price 0.69797

Consolidation, grinding back up from session low.

AUDUSD sold off from 0.7006 into 0.6962 through the London-NY window as the USD held firm on the 187K jobless-claims beat, then based twice near 0.6962-0.6970 and is grinding back to 0.6980 in Asia hours. RSI(14) mid-range around 58; still capped below the 0.6981 session high with 0.7000 psych above.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69812, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6981 opens the path back to 0.7000
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 reopens the 0.6962 session low
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD-side read

06:32 UTC

Downtrend stalling, recovery underway · RSI 58 · price 0.69799

Consolidation above session low after retrace.

AUDUSD sold from 0.7012 to a 0.6962 session low, then buyers stepped in twice at the same level to build a base into the London session. Price is now grinding back up to the 0.6980 session high, testing the 38.2% retrace of the drop, with RSI mid-range; USD firmness on strong US jobless claims and Middle East risk keeps the Aussie capped sub-0.70.

Support: 0.6968, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69805, 0.7002

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69805 opens the path to the 0.7002 pivot
  • Failure to hold 0.69680 reopens the 0.69618 session low
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD read

06:32 UTC

Prior downtrend, now consolidating higher · RSI 56 · price 0.69799

Base built after slide, recovering into session high.

AUDUSD slid ~50 pips from 0.7012 to 0.6962 during the London-NY window as the USD firmed on the strong US jobless claims print and Middle East safe-haven bid. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.6963, and Asia has recovered price back to the 0.6980 session high; still consolidating below the 0.7000 pivot.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6962 resumes the lower-low sequence toward 0.6800
  • Reclaim of 0.7000 needed to negate the downside break
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

06:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69758

Consolidating above session lows.

AUDUSD sold off through the London session to 0.69618 before buyers stepped in and lifted price back into a 0.6970–0.6980 range, holding near the 0.7000 psych level after Thursday's strong jobs print. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 53 with the recovery stalling under the 0.6980 session high.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens a retest of the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 reopens the 0.69618 range low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

06:17 UTC

Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 52 · price 0.69758

Range after intraday decline.

AUDUSD slid from 0.7011 to a 0.69618 swing low earlier, then recovered and has been ranging 0.6970–0.6980 into Asia hours, with AUD anchored near the round number after Thursday's strong jobs print. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 and ATR is compressed around 4 pips — no directional impulse in the last few hours.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69803

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6970 confirms a push toward the 0.69618 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.6980 session high opens room back toward 0.7000
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the range read

06:03 UTC

Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 0.69738

Consolidation after drop off 0.7012.

AUDUSD leaked from 0.7012 down to 0.6962 through the prior NY/London hours before basing, and is now chopping in a tight 0.6970-0.6980 band in thin Asian-session trade. Recovery stalled at the 0.69803 session high; AUD stays capped by a firmer USD on oil-driven risk-off despite Thursday's strong jobs beat.

Support: 0.6966, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69803, 0.6985, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69803 opens a run at 0.6985 and the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69660 reopens the 0.69618 range low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift USD direction

06:02 UTC

Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.69738

Consolidation after NY leg lower.

AUDUSD sold off through NY from 0.7012 to 0.6964 on a firmer USD and oil-driven risk-off, then based out. Asia session has consolidated in a tight 0.6970–0.6980 band, RSI(14) neutral near 49 with price pinned to EMA20.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6964

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6979 opens a retest of 0.7000
  • Loss of 0.6970 exposes the 0.6964 swing low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the range

05:47 UTC

Range after intraday sell-off · RSI 54 · price 0.69762

Consolidation above the swing low.

AUDUSD sold off from 0.70140 to 0.69669 through the prior London-NY window, then bounced and has coiled in a 0.69710–0.69800 range as Asia stayed quiet. Price sits at 0.69762 just above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; no directional structure in play into the London approach.

Support: 0.6971, 0.6964

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69800 opens the path back toward 0.70000
  • Failure to hold 0.69710 exposes the 0.69640 swing low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read via the dollar

05:47 UTC

Recovering off session low, consolidating · RSI 54 · price 0.69762

Downleg stalled, tight range building.

AUDUSD slid from 0.7012 to a 0.6962 session low through the Asian hours before buyers stepped in twice around 0.6962, forming a double bottom, and pushed price back to 0.6980. Now consolidating 0.6970–0.6980, RSI(14) back to neutral near 54; AUD stays glued below 0.7000 as a firmer USD caps the recovery.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.6980 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 re-exposes the 0.6962 session low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift USD tone and this range

05:32 UTC

Downtrend fading, recovering · RSI 58 · price 0.69783

Consolidation above swing low.

AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY window from 0.7014 to a 0.69618 swing low on firm USD, then based twice near 0.6962 and ground back to 0.6978 through the Asian session. Price now presses the 0.69803 session high with RSI(14) around 58; the 0.7000 psych level caps above.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • close above 0.69803 opens the path to 0.70000 psych
  • failure to hold 0.69700 reopens the 0.69618 swing low
  • US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

05:32 UTC

Downtrend stabilising, grinding higher · RSI 59 · price 0.69783

Recovery off base after intraday decline.

AUDUSD sold off from 0.7013 to a 0.69618 base during the London-NY session, then carved a tight 0.6970–0.6980 recovery range through thin Asian hours. Price is grinding back toward the 0.6980 session high with RSI near 59; buyers held 0.6970 on the last dip.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path back to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 re-exposes the 0.69618 session low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

05:17 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.69769

Range after a lower-low sequence.

AUDUSD sold off from 0.7015 through the London-NY window on a firm safe-haven USD bid, printing a double bottom near 0.6962. Price has since based and is consolidating 0.6970-0.6980 through the Asia session, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69926

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path toward 0.6992
  • Loss of 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower-low and breaks the double bottom

05:17 UTC

Downtrend stalling, base forming · RSI 55 · price 0.69769

Recovered off session low, ranging 0.6970–0.6980.

AUDUSD drifted off 0.7014 through the London-NY hours, bottoming at 0.69618 before buyers lifted it back to 0.6977. Into the Asia session it is ranging 0.6970–0.6980 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 0.7000 handle caps above.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69803 opens the path back toward 0.7000
  • Loss of 0.69700 reopens the 0.69618 session low
  • RBA Bullock (Mon 03:05 UTC) and Q2 CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) are the catalysts that can shift this read

05:03 UTC

Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.6973

Tight consolidation after London-NY leg down.

AUDUSD sold off from 0.7014 to 0.6962 through the London-NY hours, then went flat — Asian session is coiling in a tight 0.6962-0.6980 band with price at 0.6973 and RSI(14) neutral. No setup in play; the 0.7000 pivot and UOB's 0.6970 support are the reference points while the market waits on US PMIs.

Support: 0.6962, 0.6947

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path back to 0.7000
  • Break below 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower low
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this range read

05:03 UTC

Downtrend earlier, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.6973

Consolidation after slide from 0.7014.

AUDUSD slid from 0.7014 through the session and is now coiling in a tight 0.6963-0.6979 range around the 0.6970 pivot flagged by UOB. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips; the strong jobs beat is priced while a firmer USD caps recovery.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6963 confirms a lower low
  • M15 close above 0.6979 breaks the range top
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read

04:47 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.69721

Recovery off 0.6962 low into a tight range.

M15 sold off from 0.7016 through London-NY, bottoming at 0.69618 before drifting into a quiet Asian-session range of 0.6968-0.6980. AUD held near 0.6970 on the jobs-beat support but the bounce is capped by a firm USD; RSI(14) mid-range near 46 with no momentum edge.

Support: 0.6968, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69803 opens the path toward the 0.7000 round number
  • Loss of 0.69618 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this range read

04:47 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising into range · RSI 48 · price 0.69721

Based after decline, consolidating 0.6968-0.6980.

AUDUSD slid from 0.7014 through the London-NY hours to a 0.6962 swing low, then based and recovered to stall at 0.6979. Into the Asia session price is consolidating 0.6968-0.6980, RSI(14) neutral near 48 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.

Support: 0.6968, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path back toward 0.7000
  • Failure to hold 0.6968 exposes the 0.6962 swing low
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read

04:32 UTC

Downtrend easing, basing · RSI 51 · price 0.69746

Range 0.6962-0.6980 after sell-off.

AUDUSD leaked from 0.7015 through London-NY into a 0.6962 low, then based and recovered to 0.6975 during Asia. Now consolidating 0.6962-0.6980 with RSI(14) neutral near 51; no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.6962, 0.6968

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path to 0.7000
  • Failure to hold 0.6962 confirms a lower low
  • RBA Bullock (Mon) and Wed Q2 CPI are the dominant AUD catalysts ahead

04:32 UTC

Downtrend stalling, basing · RSI 50 · price 0.69746

Sold off then ranging 0.6972–0.6980.

AUDUSD slid off 0.7015 through the session to a low at 0.69618 under a firm, safe-haven-bid USD, then based via a double bottom and recovered into a tight 0.6972–0.6980 range. RSI(14) back to neutral near 50; momentum flat into the Asian session with the pair holding just above its EMAs.

Support: 0.6972, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6962 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
  • Reclaim of 0.6980 session high puts 0.7000 psych back in play
  • RBA Bullock (Mon 03:05 UTC) and Wed Q2 CPI are the dominant catalysts

04:17 UTC

Down early, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 0.69757

Recovered off lows, ranging 0.6972-0.6980.

AUDUSD slid from 0.7019 to a 0.6962 window low, then based and recovered into a tight 0.6972-0.6980 consolidation, now flat near 0.6976 in early Asia hours. RSI(14) back near neutral, ATR compressed to ~5 pips; no setup in play while price coils below the 0.6980 session high.

Support: 0.6966, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens a retest of the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.6966 reopens the 0.6962 window low
  • Volatility is thin — larger moves likely deferred to next week's RBA Bullock and CPI risk

04:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 55 · price 0.69757

Higher lows since 0.6962 base.

London-NY selloff bottomed twice around 0.6962 before a grind back to the 0.6980 session high. Asian hours now consolidating near 0.6975 on thin volume, holding above the 0.6970 pivot with higher lows intact.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 pivot re-exposes the 0.6962 swing low

04:03 UTC

Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 0.69737

Recovered off session low, ranging near lows.

AUDUSD slid from 0.7020 through the London hours to a session low at 0.69642 as a firm USD capped the post-jobs recovery, then based and ranged 0.6964-0.6980. Quiet late-Asia trade has price coiled around 0.6974 with RSI(14) neutral near 49; the 0.6980 swing high is the immediate cap.

Support: 0.69642, 0.6972

Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69803 opens the path back toward the 0.7000 round number
  • Break below 0.69642 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD-driven read

04:03 UTC

Downtrend easing, recovery underway · RSI 48 · price 0.69737

Session low set, consolidating higher.

AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY session from 0.7020 to a 0.6962 session low, then based and recovered to a 0.6980 session high in Asia. Now ranging near 0.6974 with RSI mid-range and no extreme in play.

Support: 0.6968, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • close above 0.6980 session high opens a path to 0.7000 psych
  • failure to hold 0.6968 swing low exposes the 0.6962 session low

03:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 0.69731

Sold off then consolidating above the low.

AUDUSD slid from 0.7020 to a 0.69618 low through the prior session then recovered, and is now ranging 0.6970–0.6980 with RSI(14) flat near 47. Asia hours are quiet (thin volume) and the 0.6980 session high is capping while the 0.6970 psych pivot holds beneath.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69803 opens the path back toward 0.7000
  • Loss of 0.6970 exposes the 0.69618 swing low
  • AUD Q2 CPI (Wed) and Bullock (Mon) are the catalysts that could break this range

03:47 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.69731

Range after decline, holding above session low.

AUDUSD sold off from 0.7020 through the London-NY sessions into a 0.69618 session low, then went flat through the quiet late-NY hours and into the Asia session, coiling between 0.6967 and 0.6980. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips, reflecting the low-volume drift around the 0.7000 pivot.

Support: 0.69669, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path back toward 0.7000
  • Loss of 0.69669 exposes the 0.69618 session low
  • US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could reprice this later in the session

03:32 UTC

Downtrend easing, consolidating · RSI 52 · price 0.69747

Recovery off lows after intraday slide.

Asian session is consolidating after the London-NY slide dragged AUDUSD from 0.7020 down to a 0.69618 low, in line with a firm USD and oil-driven risk capping the pair. Price recovered to a 0.69803 session high then eased back to 0.6975, holding the 23.6% retrace of the drop with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 0.69669, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69803, 0.69926, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • close above 0.69803 opens the path to 0.69926
  • loss of 0.69618 confirms a lower low
  • US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this pair

03:32 UTC

Downtrend, basing in Asia · RSI 53 · price 0.69747

Recovery off session low, capped below 0.6980.

Slide from 0.7020 bottomed at 0.6962 during thin late-US hours, then the Asia session has ground price back to 0.6975 with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Session high 0.6980 is capping the recovery so far.

Support: 0.69669, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path back toward the 0.7000 round number
  • Failure to hold the 0.6962 base low resumes the downtrend
  • AUD stays two-way ahead of next week's RBA Bullock speech and Q2 CPI

03:17 UTC

Downtrend, recovering into Asia · RSI 56 · price 0.69765

Session low carved, consolidation then bounce.

AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY window from 0.7020 to a session low at 0.6962, then went flat in thin Asian trade before recovering to reclaim EMA20/50 near 0.6980. RSI(14) has lifted back to the mid-50s off the lows; price now sits mid-range at 0.6977.

Support: 0.6964, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of the 0.6964 session low resumes the down-leg
  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the read via DXY

03:17 UTC

Downtrend, basing and recovering · RSI 56 · price 0.69765

Session low carved at 0.6962, recovery into session highs.

AUDUSD slid from 0.7017 through the window to a session low at 0.6962, then based through the low-volume Asian hours and recovered to a session high of 0.6980. Price now holds 0.69765 mid-range with RSI(14) back near neutral; 0.6980 caps and the 0.7000 psych level sits above.

Support: 0.6972, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69803 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69720 exposes the 0.69618 session low again

03:03 UTC

Downtrend stalling, base forming · RSI 54 · price 0.69733

Recovered off session low, ranging 0.6970-0.6980.

AUDUSD slid from 0.7020 through London-NY to a 0.6964 swing low, then based out through the quiet Asian hours near 0.6968. Early Asia has recovered to 0.6980 and pulled back to 0.6973, RSI(14) recovering to mid-range; the pair stays capped under the 0.7000 pivot after this week's jobs beat.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6964

Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69803 opens the path back toward the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6964 resumes the prior downleg
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD side of this read

03:03 UTC

Downtrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.69733

Basing range after impulsive sell-off.

Prior NY/London session sold AUDUSD from 0.7020 to 0.69669; Asia session is now consolidating in a tight 0.6967-0.6980 range near 0.7000 psych. RSI(14) mid-range around 53 as the earlier momentum fades; buyers stepped in twice at 0.69669 to hold the low.

Support: 0.69669, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69803, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69803 opens the path back to 0.70000
  • Failure to hold 0.69669 confirms a lower low
  • RBA Bullock (Mon) and Q2 CPI (Wed) are the key catalysts that could break this range

02:47 UTC

Recovering after intraday downtrend · RSI 58 · price 0.69761

Based near session lows, modest higher lows building.

AUDUSD slid through the prior session from 0.7016 to a 0.69618 low, then based near 0.6965 in thin Asian liquidity. Price has since recovered to 0.6976 with RSI(14) back near 58; the 0.69803 session high caps the bounce for now.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69655, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69803

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69803 opens the path toward 0.7000
  • Failure to hold the 0.6965 base reopens the 0.69618 swing low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD side of the pair

02:47 UTC

Downtrend stabilising, minor bounce · RSI 61 · price 0.69761

Consolidation off session lows, grinding higher.

AUDUSD leaked from 0.7020 through London into a 0.6970 base, then Asia lifted it off the flat range to a session high at 0.6980 with RSI(14) around 60. Price holds above both EMAs but 0.6980 is capping the recovery so far.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69632

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path back toward 0.7000
  • Loss of 0.6970 reopens the 0.69632 swing low
  • Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the marquee AUD risk beyond this window

02:32 UTC

Downtrend, basing and recovering · RSI 58 · price 0.6979

Session low carved at 0.6963, higher lows since.

AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY window into a 0.6963 session low, then based around 0.6967 through late NY. Early Asia trade has lifted price back to 0.6979 with RSI(14) near 58; sub-0.7000 still capping and 0.6970 psych now flipped to support.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.7000 psych would extend the recovery
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 reopens the 0.6963 session low
  • US PMIs (13:45 UTC) and Aussie CPI Jul 29 are the swing catalysts ahead

02:32 UTC

Recovering off Asian low, short-term up · RSI 60 · price 0.6979

Bounce within prior down leg, testing session high.

AUDUSD sold off through London-NY to a 0.6962 Asian low before grinding back up, now retesting the 0.6980 session high with RSI(14) near 60. Aussie stayed pinned near 0.6970-0.6980 after this week's jobs beat while a firm USD capped the recovery.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path toward 0.7000
  • Loss of 0.6970 reopens the 0.6962 asian low

02:17 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 59 · price 0.69771

Double bottom, higher lows into Asia.

AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY session to a double bottom at 0.6962, then recovered overnight into Asia along a chain of higher lows. Price is pressing the session high at 0.6979 with RSI(14) near 60, having retraced roughly a third of the down-move; the 0.7000 round number caps above. AUD remains pinned near 0.70 after the strong jobs beat, with Q2 CPI the swing factor.

Support: 0.6962, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6979 opens the path to 0.7000
  • Failure to hold 0.6962 resumes the prior downtrend, confirms lower low
  • US S&P PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg

02:03 UTC

Downtrend easing, basing · RSI 58 · price 0.6975

London/NY sell-off, Asian base, mild recovery.

AUDUSD sold off through London/NY to a session low of 0.6962, then based around 0.6968 on thin Asian volume before recovering to a 0.6979 session high; price now sits at 0.6975 with RSI(14) back mid-range. The 0.6970 psych level cited by desks is holding as near-term support ahead of Q2 CPI (Jul 29), the pair's key catalyst.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6962 session low resumes the downtrend / prints a lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.6979 session high opens the 0.7000 pivot
  • Q2 CPI Jul 29 is the key catalyst and could reset this read

01:47 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 61 · price 0.69784

Consolidation, testing range top.

AUDUSD slid from 0.7013 through the London-NY sessions to a session low at 0.69618, then coiled in a tight 0.6967 range through the quiet Asian hours. The late Asia push back to the 0.6979 session high has nudged RSI(14) to ~61 and lifted price above EMA20/50 — a shallow retracement of the prior down-move.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.6986

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 0.6979 extends the recovery toward 0.69860
  • Loss of 0.6970 drops price back into the Asian range
  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

01:47 UTC

Downtrend stalling, early Asia bounce · RSI 58 · price 0.69784

Overnight range, breaking upper edge.

AUDUSD sold off through London-NY hours from 0.7020 to 0.6962, then flatlined overnight in a tight 0.6963-0.6969 band on thin volume. An early Asia bounce pushed through 0.6970 to a recovery high at 0.6979; RSI(14) near 58 with price back above both EMAs.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6966, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69791, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 0.6970 returns price to the overnight range
  • Break above 0.6979 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower low

01:32 UTC

Downtrend easing, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.69722

Sold off to 0.6962, ranging then lifting.

AUDUSD bled from 0.7015 through the NY session down to a 0.69618 swing low, then coiled into a tight 0.6966-0.6970 consolidation. Asia lifted price back to a 0.69763 session high before easing to 0.6972; RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range from oversold, ATR sitting near 3.6 pips.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69763, 0.6979

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 0.697 pivot re-exposes the 0.69618 swing low
  • M15 close above 0.69763 session high extends the Asia recovery
  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

01:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 52 · price 0.69722

Base carved at 0.6962, shallow recovery.

AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY session from 0.7020 to a 0.69618 swing low, then based and clawed back to 0.6976 before easing to 0.6972 in Asia hours. Recovery holding above the 0.6970 psych level with RSI back near neutral; session high at 0.69763 is the immediate cap.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69763, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69618 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 0.698 prior swing needed to shift the intraday read
  • US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially move this read

01:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 0.69733

Lower highs into a base, early Asia recovery.

AUDUSD ground lower through the London-NY session from 0.7020 to a 0.69618 swing low, with declining highs capping each rebound, then based near 0.6966 through thin Asia hours. Early Asia has lifted price back to the 0.69763 session high, RSI(14) recovering off the lows — still a shallow retrace of the day's decline. Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the real catalyst per the live RBA hike debate.

Support: 0.6966, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69763, 0.6982, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69763 session high extends the recovery toward the 0.6982 prior high
  • Loss of the 0.6966 asia base reopens the 0.69618 swing low
  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

01:17 UTC

Intraday downtrend, basing off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.69733

Lower highs into 0.6962 low, shallow recovery.

AUDUSD slid through the London-NY hours from 0.7020 to a 0.69618 session low, then based in a tight Asian range around 0.6967. The current Asia session pushed a leg back to 0.69763 on rising volume before easing to 0.69733; RSI(14) has recovered off lows to mid-range, and the 0.6970 area cited as support is holding.

Support: 0.6967, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.69763, 0.6979, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6979 breaks the intraday lower-high chain
  • Loss of 0.69618 confirms a fresh lower low
  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the read

01:03 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.69752

Lower highs into 0.6962 base, modest recovery.

AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from 0.7020 to a 0.6962 low, with tightening RBA-hike pricing capping any recovery. Asia has since based twice near 0.6962-0.6970 and edged back to 0.6975; RSI(14) recovered off oversold to mid-range.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6970 and a close under 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 0.6979 session high opens the 0.7000 psych pivot
  • US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read

01:03 UTC

Intraday downtrend, stabilising · RSI 54 · price 0.69752

Recovering off session low after daylong slide.

AUDUSD slid all session from the 0.7020 spike down to a 0.69618 session low, then based through thin Asian hours in a tight 0.6963-0.6968 range. Last few bars pushed back above the 0.6970 psych level, RSI(14) recovering from oversold territory into the low-50s.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6979 swing high opens the path back to the 0.7000 round number
  • Loss of the 0.69618 session low resumes the intraday downtrend
  • US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) later today could shift the USD-side read

00:47 UTC

Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 51 · price 0.69705

Consolidation after impulsive drop.

AUDUSD sold from 0.7020 down to the 0.6962 range low through the London-NY session, then flattened into a tight 0.6964-0.6977 band during the Asian lull with price nudging back to 0.6970. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows to ~50 as volume thins; the earlier blowout AU jobs print had kept the pair pinned near 0.7000 before the fade.

Support: 0.6964, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.69776, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69776 negates the drift and reopens 0.7000
  • Loss of 0.6964 range low extends the down leg toward 0.6960
  • US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read

00:47 UTC

Downtrend fading into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 0.69705

Session decline, basing near lows.

AUDUSD sold off from the 0.70203 early-session high through to a session low of 0.69618, then flattened into a tight 0.6963-0.6970 base through quiet Asian hours. Price has ticked back to 0.697 with RSI recovering to mid-range; the 0.7000 pivot flagged in context caps the immediate upside.

Support: 0.69618, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6978, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69618 extends the session downtrend
  • M15 close above 0.6978 challenges the 0.7000 round number
  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

00:32 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69684

Slide off 0.7020, consolidating under 0.6970.

AUDUSD slid off the early 0.7020 spike through London-NY, printing a swing low at 0.6962 as much of the RBA hike story was already priced. The Asian session flatlined in thin volume just under the 0.6970 range top, RSI(14) neutral near 50 with price pinned below descending lower highs.

Support: 0.69618, 0.69655

Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69779, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6978 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.6962 swing low confirms a fresh lower low toward the asian low
  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

00:32 UTC

Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 0.69684

Lower highs from 0.7020, base building near session low.

AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY session from 0.7020 to a low of 0.69618, then stalled. Thin early-Asia hours have it pinned in a tight 0.6963-0.6970 band around the 0.7000-area psych pivot, RSI(14) flat near 46.

Support: 0.69618, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69786

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69618 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.6970 psych needed to challenge the 0.69786 swing high
  • Asian range thin; London open may resolve the consolidation

00:17 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69682

Session low holding, tight consolidation.

AUDUSD sold off through London/NY from 0.7020 to a session low of 0.6962 as a firm USD (record-low jobless claims) capped the post-jobs bid. The last several hours have flattened into a thin Asia consolidation between 0.6966 and 0.6970, RSI back to neutral. Round-number 0.6970 is capping for now.

Support: 0.69618, 0.6956

Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6978, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69700 reopens the 0.69780 swing high
  • Loss of 0.69618 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this consolidation

00:17 UTC

Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.69682

Lower highs into 0.6962 low, Asia consolidation.

Sold off through the London-NY session from 0.7020 to a 0.6962 swing low as USD firmed on record-low jobless claims. Asia is now consolidating tight around 0.6968 in thin volume, RSI(14) mid-range near 46 with price capped below the 0.6970 pivot.

Support: 0.6962

Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6977, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.6970 pivot eases the intraday downside pressure
  • Loss of 0.6962 swing low opens fresh session lows
  • US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read

00:03 UTC

Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 43 · price 0.69662

Sold off then tight consolidation.

AUDUSD leaked from 0.7020 down to 0.6962 through the London-NY session and is now ranging tightly between 0.6963 and 0.6969 into Asia hours on thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43 with ATR compressed to ~3 pips, reflecting the stall after the sell-off.

Support: 0.6963, 0.69618

Resistance: 0.6969, 0.69742, 0.6998

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6963 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.69618
  • Reclaim of 0.6969 range top puts the 0.69742 swing back in play
  • US flash PMIs (Fri 13:45 UTC) the next scheduled catalyst for this pair

00:02 UTC

Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 44 · price 0.69662

Lower highs into 0.6962 low, consolidating.

AUDUSD sold off from 0.7020 through the NY session in a chain of lower highs and lower lows, bottoming at 0.6962 before flattening near 0.6966 in a thin Asia session. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with ATR compressed to a few pips as volume dried up.

Support: 0.69618, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6979 breaks the descending sequence of lower highs
  • Loss of 0.6962 confirms continuation of the downtrend
  • US flash PMIs (Jul 24 13:45 UTC) could shift this read

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