BTC/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the BTC/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Post-crash rebound fading, below both EMAs · RSI 43 · price 74,888.53
Range floor broken, rebound rejected at the breakdown zone.
Sunday's 75,570–76,125 range gave way at 21:45 UTC, ahead of the Asia session open, in a flash drop to the 73,443 crash low. The bounce retested the broken range floor and stalled at the 75,597 rebound high. Price has slipped back under the 75,000 round number toward the 38.2% fib near 74,775, with Friday's hawkish NFP read and the ETF outflow overhang framing the weakness.
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 74,081 higher low exposes the 73,443 crash low
Reclaiming the 75,000 round number, then a close above the 75,597 rebound high, would put price back inside the broken range floor
Fed's Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin (Mon) ahead of Tue CPI could materially shift this read
23:33 UTC
Sharp flush, retracing most of the drop · RSI 51 · price 75,333.04
Range break lower, flush low, retest of range floor from below.
BTC held a 75,570–76,125 range through Sunday, then broke the range floor and flushed about $2,080 to 73,443 at 21:45 UTC in thin late-weekend trade. Price has since retraced about 78.6% of the drop off the 75,880 drop origin. The 23:15 bar wicked into the old range floor at 75,597 and was rejected, with the 75,102 rebound low now the nearest pivot. There are no fresh BTC headlines; the hawkish post-NFP USD backdrop is the standing headwind into Asia open.
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 75,597 range floor reclaims the prior range and puts the 75,880 drop origin and 76,125 day high back in play
Loss of the 75,102 rebound low and the 74,949 fib 61.8% shifts focus back to the 74,350 flush base
Break of the recovery line from the 73,443 flush low ends the higher-low chain
Fed's Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin speak Monday; US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the larger macro risk
23:18 UTC
V-shaped recovery after a sharp flush, testing breakdown · RSI 54 · price 75,584.76
Weekend range lost then reclaimed; higher lows since flush low.
A thin Sunday-evening flush at 21:45 UTC broke the 75,530–76,125 weekend range low and printed a flush low at 73,443. A post-flush base then held between 74,081 and 74,660 before two strong bars lifted price back to the 75,600 breakdown level into the Asia session, reclaiming roughly 88% of the crash fib. There is no fresh BTC-specific news, and the backdrop stays defensive after Friday's hot NFP. ATR(14) has jumped to about $328.
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 75,600 breakdown turns the flush into a false break and reopens the range high at 75,900, with the 76,125 day high above that
Rejection at 75,600 and a close back below the 74,660 base top undercuts the recovery line and puts the 74,081 base low back in focus
A break of the base low would leave the 73,443 flush low as the only nearby swing reference
Fed's Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin speak Mon ahead of Tue CPI, which could shift the risk tone
23:13 UTC
Range broken lower, sharp rebound in progress · RSI 37 · price 74,712.72
75570–76125 range gave way to a single-bar flush to 73443; rebound now testing 50% fib of the breakdown.
Price held a 75570–76125 range for most of the window and printed lower highs from 76125. Late Sunday it flushed through the range low in a single bar, tagging 73443. Dip-buying set a rebound low at 74081, and the latest bar closed at 74713, just under the 50% fib of the breakdown, with RSI(14) back to 37 and ATR expanded roughly fourfold. There was no fresh BTC headline behind the move; the backdrop remains the hawkish read of Friday's 165K NFP.
Support: 74,081.00, 73,443.00
Resistance: 74,784.00, 75,000.00, 75,570.00
What it said to watch
Close above the 50% fib at 74784 and the 75000 round number opens the path back to the old range low at 75570, now overhead
Failure to hold the 74081 rebound low exposes the 73443 flush low
Rejection under the lower highs line keeps the breakdown structure intact
Fed speakers Mon and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:47 UTC
Downtrend, range broken lower · RSI 23 · price 75,362.01
Lower highs from 76125, range low lost.
The weekend 75570–76125 range broke during late Sunday NY hours. The 13:15 UTC false break to 76125 and the 75900 swing high set a lower-highs sequence, and five straight red bars carried price through the range low to a 75322 session low, RSI(14) near 23. The backdrop is defensive after Friday's hot NFP (165K vs 65K) lifted Fed-hike odds, with thin weekend liquidity amplifying the slide.
Support: 75,322.05, 75,000.00
Resistance: 75,570.00, 75,900.00
What it said to watch
Recovery back above the 75570 range low would recast the drop as a false break
Failure to hold the 75322 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 75000 round number
M15 close above the 75900 swing high and the lower-highs trendline negates the downtrend read
Weekly FX reopen and Fed's Bowman/Goolsbee on Monday could shift liquidity ahead of Tuesday's US CPI
Lower-high sequence from 76125, retesting 75590–75600 lows.
Sunday's push to the 76125 session high faded into a lower-high sequence (76029, 75899, 75880), and the late-evening slide through the 75780 breakdown has price retesting the 75590–75600 swing low for a second time. Hot Friday NFP and wage data keep the backdrop heavy, and the descending trendline from 76029 is capping rebounds while RSI(14) sits near 33.
Support: 75,600.00, 75,569.00
Resistance: 75,780.00, 75,899.00, 76,125.00
What it said to watch
A close below the 75600 swing low exposes the 75569 window low and extends the lower-low chain
A reclaim of the 75780 breakdown, then the 75899 lower high, breaks the descending trendline read
Weekend liquidity is thin; Fed speakers Monday and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower-high sequence off the Sunday high; price retesting the evening swing-low zone.
Thin weekend trade peaked at the sunday high of 76125 before a sharp 16:45 UTC drop to the 75592 swing low. The rebound stalled at a 75899 lower high near the 61.8% fib, and the breakdown from 75838 has pushed price back to a 75622 late low. Price sits under both EMAs with RSI near 45, against a defensive BTC backdrop after the hot NFP print.
Support: 75,591.75, 75,471.88
Resistance: 75,838.48, 75,899.41, 76,125.17
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 75592 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 75472 window low
M15 close back above the 75838 breakdown level and then the 75899 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence
Rejection under the trendline from the sunday high keeps the sequence intact
Fed speakers Mon (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:04 UTC
Rolling over within a range, lower highs since 13:15 UTC · RSI 47 · price 75,705.63
Lower-high sequence off the 76,125 day high; price back near the lower third of the 75,592–76,125 range.
Thin weekend trade broke above the 75,958 Saturday range top to a 76,125 day high at 13:15 UTC, then rejected. Highs have stepped lower since, through 76,029 and the 75,880 lower high, and the 20:45 UTC swing low at 75,683 now sits above the 75,592 session low. With no fresh BTC headlines, Friday's hot NFP and wage beat remains the hawkish backdrop, and price is back below both EMAs.
What it said to watch
A close below the 75,592 session low confirms a lower-low and puts the 75,472 window low in play
A close above the 75,880 lower high and the trendline breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 76,029 prior high
Spike retrace bounce stalled near the 61.8% at ~75,921; failure there keeps the rejection read intact
Fed's Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin (Mon) ahead of Tue CPI could shift this read as liquidity returns
In thin weekend trade, the 76,125 24h high was rejected and the 17:15 UTC sell-off bottomed at the 75,592 sell-off low. The rebound stalled at the 75,899 lower high, just under the 61.8% retrace. The latest bar wicked to a 75,709 swing low and recovered, leaving price compressing near 75,780 below both EMAs. There is no fresh BTC news, and the post-NFP hawkish backdrop still frames the tape.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 75,899 lower high breaks the descending-highs sequence and reopens the 24h high at 76,125
Failure to hold the 75,709 swing low ends the higher-low chain and exposes the 75,592 sell-off low
Fed speakers Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin on Monday, ahead of Tuesday's 13:30 UTC CPI, could break this compression
Lower highs from 76,125 against higher lows off 75,592, a tightening range.
Sunday trade was rejected at the 76,125 day high (13:15 UTC), printed a 76,029 lower high, then flushed at 16:45 UTC to the 75,592 day low. The rebound stalled at the 75,899 range top, between the 50% and 61.8% retracements of that drop, and price is now compressing above the 75,758 higher low, just under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 44. The post-NFP hawkish USD backdrop still hangs over BTC.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 75,899 range top breaks the lower-high sequence and clears the 61.8% of the drop fib
Failure to hold the 75,758 higher low reopens the 75,592 day low
Reclaim of the 76,029 lower high would put the 76,125 day high back in focus
Asia session open and Monday Fed speakers (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) could shift this read ahead of Tuesday's 13:30 UTC CPI
Lower highs at 76,029 and 75,899 after the 75,592 flush; price mid-range.
A sharp drop from 75,930 flushed to a 75,592 day low before the rebound stalled at 75,899, between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the 76,125–75,592 leg, and printed a second lower high. Price is now back under both EMAs near the 75,758 swing low, with no fresh BTC headlines; the hawkish post-NFP backdrop is unchanged.
What it said to watch
Close above the 75,899 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens 76,125 day high
Failure to hold the 75,758 swing low exposes the 75,592 day low
Fed's Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin on Monday, ahead of Tuesday's US CPI, could materially shift this read