BTC/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 13 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the BTC/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 48 · price 62,084.63

Lower highs into a base near session low.

Steady grind lower from ~64300 through the window, printing a session low at 61700 during NY hours before basing between 61700 and the 62200 range top; RSI(14) recovered off oversold to mid-40s. Price is coiling below the 63K supply wall into tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,200.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62200 breaks the consolidation range top
  • Failure to hold 61700 resumes the lower-low sequence
  • US CPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

23:47 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 47 · price 62,084.63

Lower highs, lower lows into 62000 handle.

M15 held a steady downtrend off the 64330 high, stacking lower highs into the 62000 handle. Buyers stepped in around 61700-61775 twice, and price is now basing at 62084 with RSI mid-range. Move sits below the $63K supply wall noted in the wider read, coiling ahead of US CPI.

Support: 61,775.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,200.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 61703 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 62200 recent high would break the lower-high chain
  • US CPI (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next catalyst that could break this range

23:32 UTC

Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 46 · price 62,062.65

Lower highs/lows, now ranging near lows.

BTCUSD bled from 64330 to a session low of 61703 through the window, then based between 61775 and 62163. Price is back above EMA20 with RSI recovering off oversold, but the sequence of lower highs still caps the tape below 62163. CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the flagged pivot.

Support: 61,775.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,163.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62163 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61703 session low confirms continuation lower
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

23:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 47 · price 62,062.65

Lower highs / lower lows, bounce off session low.

BTC ground lower through the NY session from 64330, printing a sequence of lower highs into a 61703 low where buyers stepped in twice. Price has recovered to 62060 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; the descending highs still cap the tape into tomorrow's CPI.

Support: 61,703.05

Resistance: 62,660.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62660 prior high would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 61703 session low confirms continuation lower
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC is a high-impact catalyst that could reset this read

23:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum cooling · RSI 44 · price 61,978.74

Lower highs into a basing range near session low.

BTCUSD sold off through the London-NY session from 63780 to a 61703 low, then bounced to 62200 where supply capped it. Asia session is drifting back toward the lows, price pinned just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s — no fresh extreme.

Support: 61,703.05

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 61703 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
  • M15 close back above 62200 invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the pivotal catalyst for this tape

23:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 45 · price 61,978.74

Lower highs, consolidating above session low.

BTC ground lower through the NY session from 63750 to a 61703 session low, then based into a tight 61800–62200 range as selling eased. Bounce is stalling just under 62000 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold to mid-40s; still capped below the descending highs. US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the pivot flagged in the macro read.

Support: 61,703.05

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 61703 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens 61500 downside
  • Reclaim of 62202 recent high needed to break the descending high sequence
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

23:03 UTC

Downtrend, steady grind lower · RSI 39 · price 61,814.92

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTC has trended lower through the session, printing lower highs and lower lows down to a swing low at 61700 before a shallow bounce to 62170 was rejected and price slid back to 61815. Backdrop stays fragile around the $60K handle per the market read; momentum is soft but not extreme with RSI near 39.

Support: 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,170.00

What it said to watch

  • A close below 61700 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 62170 swing high would stall the downtrend
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is a high-impact catalyst that could reset this read

23:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 61,814.92

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTCUSD ground lower through the NY session and into Asia, bleeding from 63750 to a 61703 session low. A bounce stalled at 62200 and price is back near the lows around 61815; RSI(14) mid-40s with no reclaim of EMA20/50. Tape is defensive ahead of tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 61,703.05

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 61703 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 62200 swing high needed to challenge the descending resistance
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC is the pivot and can override intraday structure

22:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 46 · price 61,993.73

Lower highs into a low base, now consolidating.

BTC slid through the session from ~63800 to a 61700 swing low, a clean chain of lower highs. Last few hours have flattened into a 61700–62200 base with price hugging the 62000 handle; RSI(14) recovered off oversold but sits sub-50.

Support: 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,200.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 61700 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim above 62200 swing high breaks the consolidation upper edge
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the pivot that would reset this read

22:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 46 · price 61,993.73

Lower highs into lows, now basing.

BTCUSD ground steadily lower across the window from the 64,330 spike to a swing low at 61,703, and has since stalled in a 61,775–62,200 base. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold to the mid-40s as the sell-off decelerated, with price pinned just under EMA20; the tape is a holding pattern ahead of US CPI.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62,200 breaks the consolidation upward
  • Failure to hold 61,703 confirms a fresh lower low
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC is a high-impact catalyst that could break this base

22:32 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 46 · price 62,092.62

Lower highs / lower lows, now consolidating.

BTC bled lower through the NY session, fading an early spike to 64330 down to a session low at 61703 before buyers stabilised it around 61900. Price now consolidates 61900–62200 into the Asia session, wedged well under the $63K supply wall ahead of US CPI.

Support: 61,703.00, 61,900.00

Resistance: 62,200.00, 62,660.00

What it said to watch

  • Break below 61703 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Close above 62200 swing high opens the path to 62660
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

22:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 48 · price 62,092.62

Basing above 61700 after leg lower.

BTC bled lower through the window from the 64330 spike to a 61703 base, now recovering to 62092 — still wedged under the $63K supply wall. RSI(14) lifting off the lows near 47; twin lows at 61703/61765 have held, forming a shallow base above 61700.

Support: 61,765.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,202.00, 62,520.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62202 opens path back toward 62520
  • Loss of 61700 confirms a lower low
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst for this pair

22:17 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 49 · price 62,110.60

Lower highs, basing above swing low.

BTC bled lower through the NY session from 63800 to a swing low at 61703, then twin lows around 61780 put a floor under price. Now consolidating 61800-62200 into the Asia session, RSI(14) back near 49 off oversold; the macro tape stays wedged under the $63K supply wall ahead of US CPI.

Support: 61,703.00, 61,780.00

Resistance: 62,200.00, 62,430.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
  • Loss of 61703 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
  • Close above 62200 range top opens the path to 62430

22:17 UTC

Downtrend, bounce forming · RSI 47 · price 62,110.60

Lower highs, lower lows; basing after 61703 low.

BTC slid through the session from ~63800 to a low of 61703, printing a clean chain of lower highs off the dovish-but-capped $63K backdrop. Price has since bounced to 62110 and is consolidating under the 62200 local high, RSI(14) recovered off the lows to the mid-40s.

Support: 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,200.00, 62,660.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62200 breaks the lower-high sequence and opens the 62660 prior swing
  • Failure to hold 61703 swing low confirms continuation lower
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:03 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 44 · price 62,003.72

Lower highs and lower lows, stalling around 61.7-62.0K.

BTC slid steadily through the NY session and into Asia, dropping from 64.3K to a 61.7K session low before stabilising around 62.0K. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to the low-40s but price remains pinned under EMA20/50, keeping the intraday downtrend intact.

Support: 61,703.05, 61,470.00

Resistance: 62,300.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62300 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61703 session low confirms continuation lower toward the 61470 psych level
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is a high-impact catalyst that could override this intraday read

22:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing near lows · RSI 45 · price 62,003.72

Lower highs, base forming at 61700.

BTC sold off through the NY session from 64330 to a session low near 61700, and has since stabilised, printing a matched low at 61797 as buyers stepped in. Price is now hugging the 62000 handle below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) recovering off its lows. Move was macro-driven — dovish Warsh reclaim above $60K capped under the $63K supply wall ahead of CPI.

Support: 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,200.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 61700 session low confirms a fresh lower-low and resumes the downtrend
  • Reclaim of 62200 bounce high would firm up the double-bottom base
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read

21:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 61,862.87

Lower highs, lower lows; basing near session low.

BTC ground lower through the NY session from 64330, printing a chain of lower highs into a 61703 session low as ETF-outflow pressure persists. Price is now consolidating 61700–62200 into the Asia open, RSI(14) recovering off its lows but capped below EMA20/EMA50.

Support: 61,703.05, 61,300.00

Resistance: 62,200.00, 62,428.25

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62200 breaks the lower-high sequence and opens 62428
  • Loss of 61703 session low confirms trend continuation toward 61300
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC then Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:47 UTC

Downtrend, holding just above session low · RSI 43 · price 61,862.87

Lower highs and lower lows through NY session.

BTCUSD extended its NY-session decline, printing a lower low at 61700 before a shallow bounce to 62200 faded back to 61862. Price sits below EMA20/50 in a clean descending channel; micro-range now 61700–62200.

Support: 61,700.00, 61,000.00

Resistance: 62,200.00

What it said to watch

  • Break below 61700 confirms downtrend continuation to the 61000 psych area
  • M15 close above 62200 breaks the micro-range and challenges the descending channel top
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts that could reset this read

21:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing on bounce · RSI 43 · price 61,948.78

Lower highs and lower lows, corrective bounce stalling.

Persistent M15 downtrend through NY hours, printing lower lows down to 61703 before a corrective bounce stalled near the 62200 midpoint of the last leg. Price is fading back toward 61950 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the lower-high chain remains intact ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.

Support: 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,200.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62200 breaks the lower-high chain and challenges the down-move read
  • Failure to hold 61703 confirms continuation to fresh session lows
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts

21:32 UTC

Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 44 · price 61,948.78

Lower highs, lower lows; corrective pop capped.

BTC ground lower through the NY session from 64000 toward sub-62000, a steady chain of lower highs. Buyers stepped in at 61703 and lifted price to 62170, but that pop faded and price sits back near 61950 with RSI recovering off its lows.

Support: 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,170.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 61703 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim above 62170 breaks the near-term down structure
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 46 · price 62,006.71

Lower highs / lower lows, basing near session low.

BTC ground lower through the NY session, printing a chain of lower highs and lower lows from 64330 down to a 61700 session low. Buyers stepped in there and lifted price to 62200 before fading back to 62000, where it's hugging the EMA20; RSI(14) recovered from oversold to mid-range.

Support: 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,200.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 62200 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61700 session low resumes the downtrend toward 61300
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read

21:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 48 · price 62,006.71

Basing after impulsive leg down.

NY session drove BTC from 64k to a 61703 session low before a bounce stalled at 62202 — the 50% retrace of that leg down. Price now consolidating around 62000 into the Asian handover, RSI(14) recovered off oversold to mid-range.

Support: 61,703.05

Resistance: 62,428.25

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 61703 confirms a lower low and resumes the downtrend
  • Reclaim of 62202 opens the path toward the 62428 swing high
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC then Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:06 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 62,128.58

Lower highs and lower lows, basing late NY.

BTC ground lower through the NY session from ~64000 to a 61703 session low, then stabilised into the 61980–62200 band as RSI recovered off its lows. Price is chipping back above the EMA20 but the chain of lower highs stays intact; bounce high at 62202 caps the recovery.

Support: 61,703.05, 61,980.00

Resistance: 62,660.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62202 bounce high opens the path toward the 62660 swing high
  • Failure to hold 61703 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

21:05 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 47 · price 62,128.58

Lower highs / lower lows, basing near session low.

BTC bled from ~64300 through the US session down to a 61703 session low, printing a double bottom near 61700-61780 that sparked a bounce to 62205, RSI cooling back near 46. Price has since faded to 62128 and is coiling just under the descending lower-high line ahead of tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,205.00, 62,660.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 61703 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 62660 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read

20:47 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 62,037.68

Lower highs / lower lows, basing near 61700.

BTCUSD ground lower through the NY session in a clean chain of lower highs, printing a 61700 low before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 62200. Bounce is stalling around 62037 with RSI(14) recovering off the mid-40s; tape is coiled ahead of tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 61,700.00, 61,300.00

Resistance: 62,200.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62200 bounce high would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61700 session low confirms trend continuation toward 61300
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst and can invalidate this intraday read

20:47 UTC

Downtrend, weak bounce fading · RSI 45 · price 62,037.68

Lower highs, lower lows; corrective pop stalling.

BTC ground lower through the NY session from 64.1K, printing a low at 61765 before a shallow bounce to 62202 that is already fading back to 62037. Structure stays a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows below EMA20/50; the tape is coiling above the $60K handle ahead of tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 61,765.00

Resistance: 62,202.00

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 62202 recent high would break the descending sequence
  • Loss of 61765 swing low confirms continuation toward the $60K handle
  • US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony tomorrow are the dominant near-term catalysts

20:32 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off session low · RSI 46 · price 62,122.58

Lower highs, lower lows; stabilising near 61.7k.

Persistent M15 downtrend through the NY session, price grinding from 64.1k to a session low of 61.7k before a modest late-session bounce back to 62.1k. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold to the mid-40s as the recovery holds above EMA20 but stalls under the descending lower-high sequence. Regime is fragile two-way into tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,665.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62665 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 61703 session low confirms downtrend continuation
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC — high-impact, likely reshapes this read

20:32 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 49 · price 62,122.58

Chain of lower highs/lower lows, recent micro higher lows.

BTCUSD sold off through the NY session from 64100 to a low of 61703, then clawed back to 62122 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold and diverging against the lower price low. Recovery is holding above short-term higher lows but 62200 session high still caps; broader structure stays lower-high, lower-low.

Support: 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,200.00, 62,490.00, 62,660.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62200 opens the path to 62490/62660
  • Loss of 61703 confirms a fresh lower low
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC are high-impact risk into the next sessions

20:17 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 45 · price 62,076.64

Chain of lower highs / lower lows, base attempt near 61700.

BTCUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing a chain of lower highs into a 61703/61765 base, with price now bouncing to 62076 and RSI recovering off oversold. Price still trades below EMA20 and EMA50; 62202 caps the rebound so far.

Support: 61,765.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,202.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62202 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61703 confirms continuation of the downtrend
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC are the dominant near-term risks

20:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing on bounce · RSI 45 · price 62,076.64

Lower highs / lower lows, basing at session low.

BTC ground lower through the London-NY session, printing a session low at 61703 before a bounce back to 62202 late in NY hours; a double bottom near 61700 is holding for now. Price remains below EMA20/50 with RSI recovering off oversold to ~45 — corrective, not yet a structural turn.

Support: 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,202.00, 62,660.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 61703 confirms a fresh lower low and negates the base
  • Reclaim of 62660 prior swing needed to break the lower-high chain
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC then Warsh 14:00 UTC — high risk that can override this read

20:04 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off session low · RSI 44 · price 62,143.56

Lower highs and lows, bouncing from 61703.

BTCUSD ground lower through the NY session, sliding from 64300 into a session low at 61703 in a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold as buyers stepped in near 61700, but the bounce is stalling into 62300 intraday resistance with the 62000 round number now the pivot. Tomorrow's US CPI overhangs this fragile, two-way tape.

Support: 61,703.05, 62,000.00

Resistance: 62,300.00, 62,520.00

What it said to watch

  • reclaim of 62520 prior swing needed to break the lower-high chain
  • loss of 61703 session low resumes the downtrend
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC could override this intraday read

20:03 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 46 · price 62,143.56

Lower highs, lower lows; bounce in progress.

NY session drove BTC to a session low at 61703 before a bounce to 62143, RSI recovering from oversold. The lower-high chain stays intact under 62428, with tomorrow's US CPI the dominant near-term risk.

Support: 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,428.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62428 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 61703 extends the downtrend
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC could reset this read

19:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading near lows · RSI 44 · price 62,039.68

Chain of lower highs and lower lows, basing at session low.

Persistent M15 downtrend through the NY session, sliding from 64330 to a 61703 low before a shallow bounce back to 62040. Price is basing above 61765 with RSI(14) lifting off deep-40s; 62250-62500 is the nearest supply band overhead.

Support: 61,765.00

Resistance: 62,250.00, 62,500.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 61765 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward the $60K handle
  • M15 close back above 62500 breaks the lower-high chain and neutralises the downtrend read
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC then Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts and can override this structure

19:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing off lows · RSI 42 · price 62,039.68

Chain of lower highs and lower lows, small bounce forming.

Persistent M15 downtrend across the 24h window, printing lower lows into 61703 before a modest bounce back to the 62k handle in the last hour. Buyers stepped in twice at 61700-61780; RSI(14) lifting off its lows but structure stays sub-EMA20/50. Tape is defensive and range-bound ahead of tomorrow's US CPI, per the macro read.

Support: 61,703.05

Resistance: 62,300.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 61703 swing low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of the 62300 prior high would neutralise the near-term downtrend
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this structure

19:32 UTC

Downtrend, extended into session lows · RSI 40 · price 61,937.79

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

BTCUSD trended lower through the whole 24h window, printing a fresh session low at 61703 before a shallow bounce to 61937; RSI(14) near 40, still soft. Move fits the range-bound-into-CPI tone, with ETF outflows capping any recovery attempts.

Support: 61,703.00, 61,500.00

Resistance: 62,200.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 62200 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 61703 extends the lower-low sequence toward 61500
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

19:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 38 · price 61,937.79

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

NY session extended the slide, BTC bleeding from the 64.3K high down to a 61.7K session low with each bounce capped at a lower high. RSI(14) near 38 as price stabilises around 61.9K; ETF-outflow overhang and pre-CPI caution keep the tape defensive.

Support: 61,703.05

Resistance: 62,200.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 61703 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • M15 close above 62200 breaks the lower-high chain
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next leg

19:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 42 · price 61,963.76

Lower highs and lower lows, minor bounce off session low.

Steady M15 downtrend through the NY session, price bleeding from 64.3K to a session low at 61703 before a modest bounce back to 61963. RSI(14) recovering off its lows near 42; price still capped under the descending lower-high line. Tape is grinding lower into tomorrow's US CPI, consistent with the rangebound-before-catalyst read.

Support: 61,703.05

Resistance: 62,200.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 62200 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 61703 session low opens the $60K psych handle
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this structure

19:17 UTC

Downtrend, sliding into session lows · RSI 39 · price 61,963.76

Lower highs, lower lows.

NY session ground steadily lower from 64100 to a 61703 swing low, an unbroken lower-high/lower-low chain. RSI cooling off oversold as a small bounce prints into the close, but price still sits below EMA20/50 near the session floor.

Support: 61,703.00, 60,000.00

Resistance: 62,245.00

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 61703 opens continuation toward the 60000 psych handle
  • A close back above 62245 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC plus Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read

19:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 32 · price 61,896.83

Lower highs and lower lows, session sliding.

Sustained M15 downtrend through the NY session, price grinding from 64300 down to a fresh session low at 61703, RSI(14) oversold near 31. The $60K reclaimed handle is the next reference below ahead of tomorrow's US CPI, with each bounce capped at lower highs.

Support: 61,703.05, 60,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62300 needed to break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 61700 reopens the 60000 handle
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

19:03 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 36 · price 61,896.83

Lower highs, lower lows chain.

Persistent M15 downtrend through the NY session, price grinding from 64330 to fresh session lows at 61703 with an unbroken chain of lower highs. RSI(14) near 36 but not yet extreme, and sellers keep capping every bounce below 62057. Move is unfolding into tomorrow's US CPI, so structure is one-directional for now.

Support: 61,703.00, 61,000.00

Resistance: 62,057.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62057 breaks the lower-highs chain
  • Loss of 61703 swing low extends the downtrend toward the psych 61000
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

18:47 UTC

Downtrend, extending lower · RSI 32 · price 61,874.86

Clean lower highs, lower lows.

BTC has ground lower through the NY session in a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows, printing a fresh session low at 61703 before a shallow bounce to 61874. RSI(14) near 32, weak but not yet washed out; sellers capping every push into the descending highs.

Support: 61,703.00, 60,000.00

Resistance: 62,245.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 61703 confirms continuation toward the 60000 psych handle
  • Reclaim of 62245 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

18:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 37 · price 61,874.86

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

BTC bled lower through the NY session, printing a steady chain of lower highs and lower lows from ~64300 to a 61703 session low, with sellers capping every bounce. Price has stalled just above the low over the last few bars, RSI(14) recovering off the mid-30s but still below both EMAs.

Support: 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,245.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 62245 challenges the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61703 confirms continuation toward the 60K handle
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

18:32 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 61,802.94

Lower highs and lower lows, no relief bounce.

BTC has bled lower all through the NY session, printing a fresh window low at 61703 with RSI(14) near 31 but not yet oversold. The lower-high, lower-low chain remains intact and every bounce into the 62200 pivot has been sold.

Support: 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,245.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 62245 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 61703 extends the down-leg
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

18:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum sustained · RSI 31 · price 61,802.94

Lower highs, lower lows through NY session.

Persistent M15 downtrend through the NY session — clean lower highs and lower lows dragged BTC from 64000 to a fresh session low at 61703, RSI(14) around 31 but not yet washed out. Price hugging the lows near 61800 with no reclaim of 62000; tape stays fragile into tomorrow's CPI.

Support: 61,703.00, 61,500.00

Resistance: 62,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 62000 would break the descending channel and stall the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 61703 session low opens the path toward 61500
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

18:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 32 · price 61,813.92

Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session lows.

NY afternoon extended the sell-off, breaking to fresh session lows near 61766 with RSI(14) around 31, not yet extreme. Sequence of lower highs stays intact and every bounce into 62245 has been sold; tape is fragile into tomorrow's CPI.

Support: 61,766.00

Resistance: 62,245.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 62245 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 61766 confirms continuation of lower lows
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC Jul 14 is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

18:17 UTC

Downtrend, steady lower lows · RSI 31 · price 61,813.92

Chain of lower highs and lower lows, at session lows.

Steady M15 downtrend through the NY session, price grinding a chain of lower highs and lower lows from 64330 down to a fresh session low at 61765. RSI(14) near 31 and depressed but not yet at a divergent extreme; last bar a shallow bounce off the low into 61814.

Support: 61,765.00, 61,500.00

Resistance: 62,245.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 61765 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 61500 psych area
  • Reclaim of 62245 minor swing would be the first break of the descending sequence
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC Jul 14 is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday structure

18:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 30 · price 61,810.93

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTC bled steadily lower through the NY session, printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows down to a fresh session low at 61776, RSI(14) pinned near 30. The descending channel off the 64330 high remains intact with each bounce capped under 62245.

Support: 61,776.00

Resistance: 62,245.00, 62,717.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 62717 breaks the lower-high chain and voids the channel read
  • Loss of 61776 opens the path toward the $60K psych handle
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

18:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 30 · price 61,810.93

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTCUSD sold off steadily through the NY session, printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows from 64330 down to a fresh session low at 61776; RSI(14) is oversold near 30. Price is capped below the 62000 psych level with 62294 the last lower high, no sign of a base yet.

Support: 61,776.00

Resistance: 62,000.00, 62,294.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62000 psych would be the first sign the downside impulse is stalling
  • Close above 62294 lower high needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

17:47 UTC

Downtrend, extending lower · RSI 32 · price 62,039.68

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

BTCUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 61877 with an unbroken chain of lower highs; RSI(14) near 31, hot but not yet at a washout extreme. Price is pinned to the 62000 handle after a two-day slide, with the descending line off 64330 capping every bounce.

Support: 62,000.00

Resistance: 62,430.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 62430 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61877 confirms continuation of the downtrend
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC plus Warsh testimony can materially shift this read

17:47 UTC

Downtrend, extending lower · RSI 33 · price 62,039.68

Chain of lower highs / lower lows, fresh session low.

BTCUSD has trended down through the NY session in a clean descending channel, printing a fresh session low at 61877 with RSI(14) near 33 but not yet at an extreme. The 62000 psych handle has just given way; every bounce toward 62660 has been sold. Feed is stale — the live catalyst is tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 61,877.00, 62,000.00

Resistance: 62,660.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62660 swing high would break the sequence of lower highs
  • Sustained loss of 61877 session low extends the downtrend
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

17:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum sustained · RSI 35 · price 62,081.63

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh lows into NY.

Steady descending channel across the window, price grinding to fresh lows into the NY afternoon and now printing 62081 just above the 61990 session low. RSI(14) near 35, subdued but no bullish divergence yet as each bounce is sold — the 62717 swing high remains the last lower-high.

Support: 61,990.00

Resistance: 62,717.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 61990 session low opens continuation lower
  • M15 close above 62717 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the next macro catalyst that could reset this read

17:32 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 32 · price 62,081.63

Lower highs, lower lows intact.

BTCUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh low at 61990 and closing near 62081 with RSI(14) around 32. Descending highs are intact and every bounce has been sold into ahead of tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 61,990.00, 61,500.00

Resistance: 62,660.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62660 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61990 extends the downtrend toward 61500
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

17:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum persisting · RSI 40 · price 62,173.53

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Persistent M15 downtrend through the NY session, price grinding from 64000 to a session low at 61989 before a weak bounce capped near 62717. Now back near lows around 62173 with sellers still stepping in on each rally; RSI(14) mid-40s, not yet oversold.

Support: 61,989.00

Resistance: 62,717.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62717 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 61989 confirms a fresh lower low
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

17:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 34 · price 62,173.53

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTCUSD bled through the NY session in a steady descending channel, printing fresh lows near 61990 with RSI(14) hovering in oversold territory. Bounces to 62717 were sold; price is grinding back toward the session low ahead of tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 61,989.73

What it said to watch

  • Close below 61990 confirms continuation to fresh session lows
  • Reclaim of 62717 breaks the descending sequence
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

17:04 UTC

Downtrend, momentum steady · RSI 35 · price 62,156.55

Lower highs, lower lows.

M15 in a persistent downtrend through the NY session, grinding lower highs and lower lows to a fresh session low near 62000. RSI(14) in the mid-30s, not yet oversold; the 62660 swing high and 62833 session high cap the last bounce attempt.

Support: 62,000.00, 61,989.00

Resistance: 62,660.00, 62,833.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 62660 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 62000 round number and the 61989 swing low opens continuation lower
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC remains the dominant catalyst ahead

17:04 UTC

Downtrend, making lower lows · RSI 36 · price 62,156.55

Lower highs and lower lows, near session lows.

NY session grinding lower, downtrend intact with price pressing fresh session lows near 62150 after fading a bounce that capped at 62717. Consistent supply on descending highs; the 61989 session low is the last floor holding ahead of Tue CPI.

Support: 61,989.00

Resistance: 62,717.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 61989 confirms continuation to a new lower low
  • Reclaim of 62717 swing high would break the descending-high sequence
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this structure

16:47 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 39 · price 62,294.40

Lower highs, lower lows.

NY session extended the sell-off, printing a fresh session low at 61990 before a shallow bounce to 62294. Sellers keep capping at successively lower highs (62833, then 62665), RSI(14) mid-30s but not yet stretched. No demand base established.

Support: 61,990.00

Resistance: 62,665.00, 62,833.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 62665 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61990 opens further downside toward the 60K handle
  • Reclaim of 62833 needed to neutralise the downtrend read

16:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum persistent · RSI 36 · price 62,294.40

Lower highs and lower lows.

NY session extended the slide from 64000, slicing through 62500 to print a session low at 61989 before a shallow bounce to 62294. Lower highs intact with the last rejection at 62717; RSI(14) near 36, not yet oversold.

Support: 61,989.00, 60,000.00

Resistance: 62,717.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 62717 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61989 opens continuation toward the 60000 psych level

16:32 UTC

Downtrend, steady selling · RSI 37 · price 62,166.54

Lower highs and lower lows.

BTCUSD grinding lower through the NY afternoon, printing a fresh session low at 61989 before a shallow bounce that faded near 62717. Price back at 62166 with RSI(14) at 37 — soft but not yet stretched — as the market drifts into tomorrow's US CPI.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 62717 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 61989 extends the lower-low chain toward the 60K handle
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

16:32 UTC

Downtrend, steady selling · RSI 33 · price 62,166.54

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

BTC has trended down through the entire window, sliding from 64330 to a session low at 61990 with lower highs capping every bounce. RSI(14) sits near 33, soft but not yet at an extreme, and price is pinned below EMA20/50. Bounce off the low stalled quickly around 62660–62717, keeping the downtrend intact into tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 61,990.00

Resistance: 62,717.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 62717 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61990 session low extends the downtrend toward the 60k handle
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

16:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 41 · price 62,366.32

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

BTC extended lower through the NY session, printing a session low near 61990 before a shallow bounce stalled and got rejected around 62830. Price is sliding back toward 62400 under both EMAs, chain of lower highs intact.

Support: 62,000.00

Resistance: 62,700.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 62700 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 62000 confirms continuation lower
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

16:17 UTC

Downtrend, steady lower lows · RSI 38 · price 62,366.32

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

BTCUSD ground lower through the NY session in a clean descending channel, printing a fresh session low at 61989 before a shallow bounce that stalled near 62660. RSI(14) around 37, soft but not yet extreme; price sits below both EMAs with the $63K supply wall still capping.

Support: 61,989.00

Resistance: 62,660.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62660 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 61989 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read

16:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 62,463.21

Lower highs and lower lows.

BTCUSD grinding lower through NY hours, printing a session low at 61989 before a shallow bounce to 62717 that faded back to 62463. Price stays pinned below EMA20/50 with RSI recovering off oversold; the drift toward tomorrow's US CPI keeps the tape offered under the $63K supply wall.

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 62717 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61989 confirms a fresh lower low toward $60K handle
  • Waller speech 16:30 UTC could inject volatility
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst

16:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum grinding lower · RSI 41 · price 62,463.21

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTC ground lower through the NY session, printing a session low at 61989 before a shallow bounce stalled at 62833 and price is fading again near 62463. Descending highs and lows keep the intraday structure heavy, with price pinned below EMA20/50 as the tape trades as a risk/liquidity proxy into tomorrow's US CPI.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 62833 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 61989 confirms a fresh lower low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

15:47 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 62,494.18

Lower highs, lower lows; recent sweep of 62k.

Persistent NY-session downtrend chained lower highs and lower lows from 64330 down to a 61990 sweep, where buyers stepped in for a bounce to 62834. Price has faded back to 62494 mid-range; the 62834 bounce high caps for now.

Support: 61,990.00

Resistance: 62,834.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62834 challenges the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61990 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 58k zone
  • Fed's Waller speaks 16:30 UTC; US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reset this read

15:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 44 · price 62,494.18

Lower highs / lower lows, bounce off session low.

M15 in a clean downtrend through the NY session, printing a session low at 61990 before a bounce that stalled and was rejected at 62835. Price is back-filling toward the 62250 swing low with RSI(14) mid-40s — no oversold extreme yet.

Support: 62,250.00, 61,990.00

Resistance: 62,835.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 61990 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 62835 breaks the lower-high chain
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant risk for this tape

15:32 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 43 · price 62,686.96

Lower highs / lower lows, corrective bounce underway.

BTC ground lower through the NY session, printing a session low at 61990 before a bounce to 62830 was rejected. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI recovering from oversold; the 62830 session high capped the recovery and 62000 is holding for now.

Support: 61,990.00

Resistance: 62,830.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 63000 would break the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 62000 reopens the session low at 61990
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant risk and can override this intraday structure

15:32 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off session low · RSI 44 · price 62,686.96

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh low bought back.

NY-session afternoon tape: BTC stair-stepped lower from 64100 into a fresh session low at 61990 before buyers stepped in, snapping back to 62834. Structure stays a downtrend of lower highs/lows, RSI(14) lifting off oversold as the bounce holds near 62700.

Support: 61,990.00

Resistance: 62,834.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63000 would challenge the lower-high structure
  • Loss of 61990 session low opens the path toward the 60k handle
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant risk and could shift this read

15:17 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 62,681.97

Chain of lower highs and lower lows, recent recovery off 61990.

BTC ground steadily lower through NY hours from 64100 to a session low at 61990, then bounced roughly 700 dollars to 62680 as RSI lifted off oversold. Price is reclaiming the EMA20 but sits well under the EMA50 with the lower-high structure still intact.

Support: 61,989.73

Resistance: 63,040.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63040 would break the lower-high chain and question the downtrend
  • Loss of 61990 confirms continuation to the next leg down
  • Fed's Waller speaks ~16:30 UTC — could shift this read intraday

15:17 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 62,681.97

Lower highs, lower lows; recovery from session low.

Persistent M15 downtrend through NY hours, printing a session low at 61989 before a bounce back toward 62760. RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 41 as sellers eased at the lows; price stalling just under the 62760 bounce high.

Resistance: 62,760.00, 63,040.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 61989 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 63040 prior range voids the downtrend read
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant risk and can override this intraday structure

15:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing off lows · RSI 43 · price 62,676.97

Lower highs, lower lows; bounce off session low.

BTCUSD sold off through the NY session, printing a fresh low at 61990 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 62676 with RSI(14) cooling out of oversold. Structure stays lower-high, lower-low below EMA20/50; the 62910 swing high caps the bounce so far.

Support: 61,990.00

Resistance: 62,910.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62910 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 61990 confirms downtrend continuation toward 62000 psych
  • Fed's Waller 16:30 UTC could shift this read

15:03 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 41 · price 62,676.97

Lower highs and lower lows, session low swept.

Sustained slide through the NY session printed a fresh low at 61990 before a long lower wick swept the level and buyers recovered price to 62676. RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 41; sequence of lower highs still intact below the 62910 swing.

Support: 61,990.00

Resistance: 62,910.00, 63,050.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 63050 prior range would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61990 session low confirms continuation lower
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the binary risk that could override this read

14:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 35 · price 62,462.21

Lower highs and lower lows, breaking down.

BTCUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 62700-63100 consolidation and printing a fresh session low at 61990 before a shallow bounce to 62462. RSI(14) near 35 with price under both EMAs; the $63K supply wall flagged in context is capping any recovery, sellers still in control into Tuesday's CPI.

Support: 61,990.00

Resistance: 63,050.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63050 supply would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Loss of 61990 session low confirms continuation lower
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the binary risk that can override this structure

14:47 UTC

Downtrend, extending lower · RSI 33 · price 62,462.21

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

NY-session grind lower, price sliding from the 63050 shelf and breaking the 62000 area to print a session low at 61990 before a small bounce to 62462. RSI(14) near 33, low but not extreme, as the lower-high/lower-low chain stays intact ahead of tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 61,990.00, 62,000.00

Resistance: 63,050.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 63050 shelf would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61990 session low confirms downside continuation
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

14:32 UTC

Downtrend, extended lower · RSI 34 · price 62,469.20

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTC has ground steadily lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 61990 before a modest bounce to 62469, with RSI(14) near 33 and price pinned under EMA20/50. The tape is drifting into tomorrow's US CPI with no fresh catalyst; each rally into the 62750 area has been sold.

Support: 61,990.00

Resistance: 62,750.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 61990 confirms lower-low continuation
  • Reclaim of 62750 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • Waller comments 16:30 UTC (~2h) a minor pre-CPI risk; US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could reset this read

14:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 32 · price 62,469.20

Lower highs and lower lows.

Steady NY-session slide, an unbroken chain of lower highs and lower lows dragging BTC from 64330 to a fresh session low at 61990. RSI(14) near 31 as price stretches below both EMAs; drift lower is happening into tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 61,989.73

Resistance: 63,040.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63040 swing high would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 61990 session low extends the downtrend
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

14:17 UTC

Downtrend, extending lower · RSI 31 · price 62,293.40

Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session low.

NY-session downtrend intact on BTCUSD; price broke the 62800 shelf and printed fresh lows at 62046, RSI(14) near 31 with no bullish divergence yet. The tape is grinding lower into tomorrow's US CPI, with the earlier 63040 range now acting as resistance overhead.

Support: 62,046.00, 61,600.00

Resistance: 62,800.00, 63,040.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 63040 prior range would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 62046 session low confirms continuation toward the 61600 next low
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC can override this intraday structure

14:17 UTC

Downtrend, extending lower · RSI 33 · price 62,293.40

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

NY session grinding lower in a steady lower-high, lower-low sequence; price broke the 63000 handle and printed a fresh session low at 62046 before a shallow bounce to 62293. RSI(14) near 33 with price pinned below EMA20/50 — momentum still with the sellers ahead of tomorrow's US CPI.

Resistance: 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 62046 extends the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 63000 psych level would neutralise the downtrend read
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially reset this tape

14:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 31 · price 62,221.48

Lower highs, lower lows into new session lows.

BTC grinding steadily lower through the NY session, printing fresh session lows at 62046 with RSI(14) near 31 but not yet extreme. The 63000 shelf gave way earlier and price now drifts into tomorrow's US CPI with each rebound capped at a lower high.

Support: 62,046.00, 62,000.00

Resistance: 62,633.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 62633 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 62000 psych opens continuation lower
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

14:03 UTC

Downtrend, extending lower · RSI 33 · price 62,221.48

Lower highs, lower lows into session lows.

BTC ground steadily lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 62046 and closing at 62221 below both EMAs. RSI(14) near 32 is soft but not yet washed out; the descending channel of lower highs remains intact into tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 62,046.00

Resistance: 62,633.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 62046 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • M15 close back above 62633 breaks the descending channel
  • US CPI (Jul 14 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can override this structure

13:47 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 31 · price 62,210.49

Lower highs, lower lows.

Sustained M15 downtrend through the NY session, price cutting fresh lower lows to 62132 with no bounce holding. RSI(14) pressed toward oversold as the leg down from 63196 extended; 62630 caps every recovery attempt.

Support: 62,132.00, 62,000.00

Resistance: 62,630.00, 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 62630 needed to break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 62132 opens the 62000 psych level
  • US CPI (per digest) is the swing catalyst that could reset this read

13:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 30 · price 62,210.49

Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session low.

Persistent NY-session selloff, price sliding from 64330 to a fresh session low at 62132 with RSI(14) pressed near 30. Every bounce has been capped by lower highs; 62750 prior range now overhead.

Support: 62,000.00

Resistance: 62,750.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62750 would break the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 62000 psych extends the lower-low sequence
  • US CPI (Jul 14 12:30 UTC) is the swing catalyst; Waller speech 16:30 UTC a lesser risk

13:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 31 · price 62,444.23

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

BTCUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 62251 before the current bar stalled at 62444 with RSI(14) sub-31. Sellers rejected every attempt back toward 62660; the broken 63050 shelf now caps overhead.

Support: 62,251.44, 62,000.00

Resistance: 62,660.00, 63,050.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62660 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 62251 confirms continuation toward the 62000 round number
  • US CPI (Jul 14 12:30 UTC) is the swing catalyst and could reset this read

13:32 UTC

Downtrend, extending lower · RSI 32 · price 62,444.23

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

BTCUSD ground lower through the session in a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows, printing a fresh low at 62251 before the current bar hovers near 62444. RSI(14) sits in the low 30s, hot but not yet extreme; supply capped every bounce below 62760.

Support: 62,251.44, 62,000.00

Resistance: 62,760.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 62251 confirms the next lower low toward the 62000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 62760 would break the sequence of lower highs
  • US CPI (Jul 14 12:30 UTC) and Waller speech today are outsized catalysts for this tape

13:17 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 31 · price 62,384.30

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTC in a steady M15 downtrend through NY hours, printing fresh session lows at 62380 with RSI(14) near 31 but not yet extreme. The 62880 swing high capped the last bounce; sellers have held the lower-high chain intact into the 62380 print.

Support: 62,380.30, 62,000.00

Resistance: 62,880.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62880 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 62380 opens the 62000 round number
  • Waller speech 16:30 UTC and US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC are near-term catalysts

13:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 34 · price 62,384.30

Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session lows.

BTC ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 62380 with a clean chain of lower highs/lower lows from the 64330 spike earlier in the window. RSI(14) sub-35 but not yet extreme; sellers have absorbed every bounce below the 62790 swing high.

Support: 62,380.30, 62,000.00

Resistance: 62,790.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 62790 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 62380 opens the 62000 handle
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and can reset this read

13:05 UTC

Downtrend, extending lower · RSI 35 · price 62,482.19

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

BTC ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 62432 with price closing on its lows near 62482. The $63K supply wall capped every bounce; RSI(14) at ~34 is soft but not yet at an extreme, consistent with an orderly slide rather than a flush.

Support: 62,432.00, 62,000.00

Resistance: 62,750.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62750 then 63000 would neutralise the lower-low sequence
  • Loss of 62432 opens continuation lower toward the 62000 psych
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read

13:05 UTC

Downtrend, extending lows · RSI 39 · price 62,482.19

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

BTC ground lower through NY hours, printing a fresh session low at 62445 with the current bar closing 62482. Rejection off the 63196 swing high defined a clean lower-high chain, and the sub-63050 break has held; RSI(14) near 39, not yet oversold.

Support: 62,445.00, 62,000.00

Resistance: 63,050.00, 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 62445 opens the path toward the 62000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 63050 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Waller speaks 16:30 UTC — potential intraday catalyst

12:47 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 34 · price 62,506.16

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTC ground lower through the NY session, printing fresh lows at 62432 and holding under the $63K supply wall flagged in the digest. Bounce to 63135 was sold, and price is back on session lows with RSI(14) near 34 — not yet oversold.

Support: 62,432.00

Resistance: 62,900.00, 63,135.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 62432 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • M15 close back above 62900 needed to challenge the downtrend
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

12:47 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 35 · price 62,506.16

Lower highs, lower lows.

Persistent M15 downtrend into the NY session — the down leg off the 63135 swing high has printed fresh session lows near 62432, with price capped under a descending resistance chain and pinned below the $63K supply wall. RSI(14) around 34 but not yet stretched, leaving room lower.

Support: 62,432.00

Resistance: 62,800.00, 63,135.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62800 needed to break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 62432 session low extends the down leg
  • Waller speaks 16:30 UTC — could shift this read

12:33 UTC

Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 39 · price 62,647.01

Lower highs, retesting session low.

M15 downtrend: BTC sold off from 64330 through the Asian session to 62430, bounced to 63196 where it was rejected, and is now grinding back toward the session low with price under EMA20/50. No reversal structure in play as the market drifts lower into tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,050.00, 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 62432 confirms a lower low and extends the downleg
  • Reclaim of 63050 needed to challenge the 63196 lower high
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could reprice this range

12:32 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs intact · RSI 38 · price 62,647.01

Sequence of lower highs / lower lows, sliding into session lows.

BTCUSD ground lower through the session, printing lower highs after the drop from 64330; the bounce into 63135 was rejected and price is now pressing the 62540 session low. RSI(14) near 38, no oversold extreme yet. CPI is not until tomorrow, so this is drift into thin conditions.

Support: 62,540.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,050.00, 63,135.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 62432 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 63050 needed to challenge the descending highs
  • Fed's Waller ~4h out could inject volatility into this drift

12:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 62,750.89

Lower highs into a base near session low.

BTC sold off through the NY session from 64150 to a 62432 session low, and is now consolidating in a 62540–63196 band with RSI(14) mid-range. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with lower highs still capping — the drop from 63196 stalled just above the session low.

Support: 62,540.13, 62,432.24

Resistance: 63,000.00, 63,196.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 62432 session low confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of the 63000 psych level then 63196 swing high would neutralise the downtrend read
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this base either way

12:17 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs intact · RSI 41 · price 62,750.89

Successive lower highs and lows.

BTC ground lower through the session, carving successive lower highs off the 64330 spike; the bounce to the 63196 swing high was rejected and price is now retesting the 62685 recent low above the 62432 session low. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no momentum extreme, and 8 straight weeks of ETF outflows keep the tape heavy into tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 62,685.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,000.00, 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 62432 confirms a fresh session low
  • Reclaim of the 63000 round number needed to challenge the descending highs
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could reset this range

12:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 41 · price 62,787.85

Lower highs, probing session lows.

BTC rolled off the 64.3K spike and stair-stepped lower through the London-NY window, printing a day low at 62432 before a shallow bounce stalled at the 63196 session high. Price is grinding back toward the lows near 62787 with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s; two-way tone ahead of tomorrow's US CPI keeps this consolidative below 63K.

Support: 62,432.24

Resistance: 63,000.00, 63,196.40

What it said to watch

  • close back above 63000 would ease the lower-high pressure
  • loss of 62432 day low confirms continuation lower
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

12:03 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 42 · price 62,787.85

Lower highs, retesting session low.

BTC slid through the session from 64000, swept the 62432 low then bounced to 63196 before rolling back over; price now presses the session low again with RSI(14) in the low-40s. Move sits inside the two-way pre-CPI chop the digest flags, with the $63K supply wall capping bounces.

Support: 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,035.00, 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 62432 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 63035 would break the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can invalidate this read

11:47 UTC

Downtrend, recovery attempt fading · RSI 43 · price 62,848.79

Lower highs, pressing back toward session lows.

M15 remains in a downtrend after the sharp mid-window flush from 64330 to the 62432 session low. The recovery stalled at 63196 and rejected there, and price is now sliding back to test the 62800 zone with RSI(14) cooling near 43.

Support: 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 63196 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of the 62432 session low opens the path toward $62K
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is a two-way risk once in view

11:47 UTC

Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 43 · price 62,848.79

Lower high after recovery off session low.

Price sold off from 64330 to a 62432 session low, recovered to 63196, and is now rolling over into a lower high with RSI(14) mid-40s. Back near 62850 in the NY session, still below EMA20/50 as the relief bounce stalls.

Support: 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 62432 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 63200 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Fed's Waller ~16:30 UTC could shift near-term tone

11:32 UTC

Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 44 · price 62,922.70

Range after impulsive sell-off.

BTC dumped from the 64330 session high to a 62432 session low, then recovered to 63196 before rolling over again toward the 63000 round number. Now ranging 62432–63196 with price back below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) mid-40s; bounce off the low is fading.

Support: 62,432.24

Resistance: 63,000.00, 63,196.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 63196 invalidates the range-top rejection
  • Loss of 62432 session low confirms a lower low
  • Fed's Waller (16:30 UTC) and Tue CPI could reprice this read

11:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 45 · price 62,922.70

Lower highs off 64.3K, now consolidating above session low.

BTC sold off from 64.3K to a 62.4K session low during Asian hours, then stabilised in a 62.4K–63.2K range. Price is back at the lower half around 62.9K after rejection at 63.2K, RSI mid-range with no clear momentum. Thin demand and a two-way CPI setup keep this rangebound.

Support: 62,432.00, 62,000.00

Resistance: 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 62432 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens 62000
  • Reclaim of 63196 needed to challenge the downtrend line
  • Fed's Waller speaking ~16:30 UTC could inject volatility

11:17 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 46 · price 62,990.63

Lower highs off 64330, base built above 62432.

M15 sold off through the Asia hours from the 64330 session high to a 62432 low, printing a chain of lower highs on the way down. Since the low buyers have built a base between 62432 and 63196; the push to the 63196 recent high was rejected and price sits back at 62990, RSI(14) mid-range near 46.

Support: 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,196.00, 63,465.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 63196 recent high opens the path back toward the 63465 swing high
  • Loss of 62432 session low confirms a fresh lower low and resumes the downtrend
  • Fed's Waller speaks 16:30 UTC — could shift this read

11:17 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 49 · price 62,990.63

Sold off then consolidating around 63k.

BTC dumped through the London-NY session from ~64200 to a session low at 62432 before buyers stepped in, recovering to 63135 then fading back to the $63K handle. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 after the flush; price is holding the round number for now with thin sponsorship into this week's CPI.

Support: 62,540.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,135.00, 63,200.00, 64,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 63135 opens the path toward the 63200 supply and 64000 round number
  • Loss of 62540 reopens the 62432 swing low
  • Fed's Waller speaks 16:30 UTC — could shift this read

11:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 40 · price 62,833.80

Lower highs, lower lows after session breakdown.

BTCUSD sold off from 64330 to 62432 across the session, then bounced into a 62500-63200 consolidation before rolling back under 62800. Price sits near session lows at 62833, RSI(14) around 40 after the bounce to 63196 was rejected.

Support: 62,430.00

Resistance: 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63196 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 62430 session low opens a fresh leg lower
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the week's catalyst and will reset this read

11:03 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 42 · price 62,833.80

Selloff, failed bounce rolling over.

BTC sold off from 64330 into a 62432 session low during the London-NY window, then chopped into a corrective bounce that stalled at 63196. Price is rolling over again, printing lower highs with RSI(14) around 41 — supply capping the 63035-63196 band.

Support: 62,432.24

Resistance: 63,196.40

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 62432 confirms a fresh lower low
  • M15 close back above 63196 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Fed's Waller (16:30 UTC) could inject volatility this session

10:47 UTC

Downtrend, basing after bounce · RSI 46 · price 62,901.73

Range after selloff, rejected at recovery high.

Sharp selloff from the 64330 spike bottomed at 62432 into the Asian range, then ground back to 63196 before getting rejected and rolling over to 62901. Now chopping between 62650 support and the 63196 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 46.

Support: 62,650.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 62650 reopens the 62432 session low
  • Reclaim of 63196 needed to negate the rejection
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially reset this range

10:47 UTC

Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 44 · price 62,901.73

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTC rolled over from the 64330 high through the London session, printing lower highs and lows down to 62432. The bounce to 63196 was rejected and price is back under the 63000 round number, holding just above the 62540 session low.

Support: 62,540.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,000.00, 63,196.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 62540 opens a retest of the 62432 swing low
  • A reclaim of 63196 breaks the lower-high chain

10:32 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 63,030.59

Sold off then reclaimed, now consolidating.

BTC sold off through the London-Asia hours from 64330 to a 62432 session low, then recovered ~700 points and stalled at the 63K supply wall. Price is now coiling in a tight 63020-63080 band, RSI(14) neutral near 51 with no directional impulse.

Support: 62,658.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 63196 (session high) resolves the consolidation upward; loss of 62658 reopens the 62432 session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst — positioning is tired and range likely holds until then

10:17 UTC

Intraday downtrend, stabilising · RSI 51 · price 63,025.59

Sold off then consolidating off the low.

Overnight sell-off dumped BTC from 64,200 to 62,430, and London recovered it back to 63,200 before stalling. Now coiled tightly around 63,000 with RSI(14) back to neutral — no directional impulse in the last few bars.

What it said to watch

  • Close below 62,430 resumes the downtrend and prints a new session low
  • Reclaim of 63,200 swing high needed to extend the recovery
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that can override this range

10:17 UTC

Downtrend, bounce stalling · RSI 49 · price 63,025.59

Recovered off session low, consolidating below 63K wall.

Sharp selloff from 64330 down to the 62432 session low during Asia hours, then a staged recovery that has stalled right at the $63K supply wall, RSI(14) back to neutral near 49. Price is pinned in a tight 63000-63200 consolidation after the bounce, holding above rising support off the lows.

Support: 62,650.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,196.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 63196 needed to challenge the 63K supply wall
  • Loss of 62650 rising support reopens the 62432 session low
  • Waller speech 16:30 UTC could inject volatility

10:04 UTC

Downtrend easing, consolidating · RSI 53 · price 63,044.57

Sold off to session low, recovered into $63K.

BTC sold off through the Asian session to 62432, then recovered and is now consolidating just above the $63K psych level between 63028 and the 63196 session high. RSI(14) has climbed back to mid-range after basing; the 63196 session high caps the bounce so far.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,660.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,196.00, 63,500.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 63196 opens the path back toward the 63500 swing zone
  • Loss of 63000 psych and 62660 swing low reopens 62432 session low
  • Fed's Waller (16:30 UTC) could inject volatility into this consolidation

10:03 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 63,044.57

Sharp selloff then rounded base, higher lows building.

BTC dumped from the 64330 spike through 63000 into a 62432 Asian-session low, then based and clawed back to 63044 through the morning. Recovery has printed higher lows off the base, but momentum stalled at the 63196 session high; RSI(14) neutral near 53. Still boxed below the 63700 prior high.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,700.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,196.00, 63,700.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 63196 session high extends the recovery toward 63700
  • Failure to hold 62700 base opens a retest of the 62432 swing low
  • Fed's Waller 16:30 UTC and CPI Tue could materially shift this read

09:48 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 53 · price 63,039.58

Sharp Asia selloff, basing above session low.

BTC broke down through 63000 during Asian hours, sweeping to 62432 before buyers stepped in and drove a rounded recovery. That bounce stalled at the 63196 session high and price is now easing back toward 63000 on fading momentum, RSI(14) parked mid-range near 53.

Support: 62,660.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,196.00, 63,700.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 63196 opens the path toward the 63700 supply zone
  • Loss of 62660 rising support re-exposes the 62432 session low
  • US CPI (Jul 14 12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read

09:48 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 63,039.58

Based at 62.4k, higher lows into 63k.

BTC sold off through the session from the 64.2k area to a 62432 spike low, then based and recovered back above the 63k handle. The push stalled at 63196 and has eased to 63039; rising lows off 62432 remain intact.

Support: 62,900.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,196.00, 63,465.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63196 opens the path toward 63465
  • Loss of 62900 puts price back into the 62.5k base
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

09:33 UTC

Downtrend, recovery underway · RSI 59 · price 63,038.58

Sharp selloff into 62432, basing and grinding higher.

BTC sold off through the NY-Asia window from the 64300 area into 62432, then based and recovered to 63038 with RSI(14) back near 59. Price is now testing the 63000 psych level with the 63196 session high just above; the selloff fib caps overhead into tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,650.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 62650 base reopens the 62432 session low
  • Reclaim of 63196 session high needed to extend the recovery
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

09:18 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 63,066.55

Based after NY selloff, rising lows.

BTC swept to a 62432 session low during NY hours off the 64330 high, then based through the Asian session; London recovery pushed back to 63135 and reclaimed the 63000 handle, RSI(14) firming near 54. Rising support off the 62432 low is holding for now.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,660.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,465.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 63200 session high opens the path toward the 63465 swing
  • Loss of 62660 swing low re-exposes the 62432 session low
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

09:17 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 63,066.55

Session low based, higher lows building.

BTC slid from ~64100 through the Asian session to a low at 62432 near the London open, then based twice and recovered to 63066. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold to ~57 as higher lows build, but price is still below EMA50 and the 63465 swing.

Support: 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,465.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63465 would negate the intraday downtrend
  • Loss of 62432 reopens the downside toward the $60K handle
  • US CPI tomorrow (12:30 UTC) can override this intraday read

09:05 UTC

Intraday downtrend, retracement underway · RSI 56 · price 63,108.50

Lower highs, recent higher lows on the bounce.

BTC sold off through the Asian session from 64330 to a 62432 low, then recovered to the $63K handle and is now grinding under the 63200 swing high. Higher lows since 62432 mark an intraday retracement, RSI(14) back into the mid-50s after basing near oversold. The move sits ahead of US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC), the key risk into the coming sessions.

Support: 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,200.00, 63,700.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 63200 opens the path toward the 63700 prior high
  • Failure to hold 62432 session low confirms continuation lower
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

09:05 UTC

Recovery off session low · RSI 61 · price 63,108.50

Asian selloff, base building.

BTC sold off through the Asian session from the $64K area to a 62432 session low on the fading USD safe-haven bid; buyers stepped in twice near the 62660 base low and price is grinding back to 63100 into London hours. RSI(14) has recovered to the low-60s off oversold, but the 63196 session high still caps the bounce.

Support: 62,660.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,196.00, 63,465.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 63196 session high opens the path to 63465 swing high
  • Failure to hold the 62660 base low reopens the 62432 session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

08:47 UTC

Downtrend, recovery underway · RSI 56 · price 63,029.59

Swept session low, base-building above 62500.

BTC sold through the session from the 64330 spike down to 62432, sweeping the session low before buyers stepped in around 62500 twice, forming a double bottom. Price has since recovered to reclaim the 63K handle but grinds under the 63K supply wall; RSI has cooled back to neutral from the oversold flush.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,500.00

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 63000 keeps the recovery intact; loss of 62500 confirms a fresh lower low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

08:47 UTC

Downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 54 · price 63,029.59

Recovered off swing low, higher lows forming.

BTC sold off through the session from 64330 to a 62432 swing low, now grinding back to reclaim the 63000 psych level while the $63K supply wall referenced in the macro read caps the rebound. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to ~54 with a chain of higher lows building above the recent low near 62650.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,650.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,340.00, 63,700.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 63340 swing high opens the 63700 breakdown zone
  • Failure to hold 62650 recent low exposes the 62432 swing low
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

08:32 UTC

Downtrend, recovery attempt off base · RSI 53 · price 63,006.61

Double bottom near 62500, price reclaiming 63K.

London session saw a sharp mid-window flush from ~64330 to 62432, but demand stepped in twice around 62500 to form a double bottom. Price has since ground back through the $63K psych level, RSI(14) recovering from oversold toward the mid-line as the tape stabilises under the 63K supply wall.

Support: 62,500.00

Resistance: 63,340.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 62500 reopens the session low
  • Reclaim of 63340 needed to confirm the recovery leg
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

08:17 UTC

Downtrend, selloff basing · RSI 51 · price 62,959.66

Sharp leg down into a base, higher lows forming.

BTC dumped from the 64330 spike high down to 62432 during Asian hours, then carved a double base at 62432/62540 and is grinding higher lows into London, now recovering toward the 63000 round number. Price is back above EMA20 but capped well under the sub-63K supply wall flagged in context; RSI has lifted off oversold to neutral.

Support: 62,432.24, 62,540.13

Resistance: 63,000.00, 63,340.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63000 round number opens the path to the 63340 swing high
  • Loss of the 62432 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

08:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 62,959.66

Sharp sell-off basing near lows.

BTCUSD sold off hard from 64330 to 62432 through the Asian session and London open, RSI(14) rebounding off oversold to ~46. Price is now basing above the 62650 base low and grinding back toward the 63000 psych level; still capped below EMA50 and the noted $63K supply wall.

Support: 62,650.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,000.00, 63,340.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63000 psych opens the path toward the 63340 prior swing
  • Loss of the 62650 base low exposes the 62432 session low
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could shift this read

08:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 62,914.71

Lower highs/lows, basing near session low.

BTC sold off through the Asian session from 64,000 to a 62,432 swing low, then based through the London morning with buyers stepping in twice around 62,500. Price now grinding back toward the 62,972 session high; RSI recovering off oversold as momentum flattens.

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and M15 close above 62,972 opens the path back toward 63,340
  • Loss of 62,432 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • US CPI 14 Jul 12:30 UTC and Fed speakers (Bowman, Waller) today could shift this read

08:03 UTC

Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 48 · price 62,914.71

Lower highs into 62432 low, now recovering.

Overnight Asia-hours selloff dragged BTC from 64200 to a 62432 session low, part of a broader tug-of-war under the $63K supply wall. Price has since based around 62660 and ground back to 62914 into London hours, RSI recovering off oversold. Recovery remains shallow, still under the 62972 recent high.

Support: 62,660.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 62,972.00, 63,340.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62972 recent high would extend the recovery toward the 63340 swing high
  • Loss of 62432 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • US CPI (Jul 14 12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read

07:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 46 · price 62,889.74

Lower highs into a base near session low.

Steady Asian-session selloff dragged BTC from 64330 to a 62432 session low before London buyers stepped in twice around 62500, lifting price to 62889. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to ~46 as the drop stalls, but structure remains a chain of lower highs under the ~63K psych level.

Support: 62,500.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,000.00, 63,340.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 63000 psych would ease the lower-high sequence
  • Reclaim of 63340 swing high needed to challenge the downtrend
  • Failure to hold 62432 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read

07:47 UTC

Downtrend, base building off lows · RSI 46 · price 62,889.74

Sell-off then higher lows near session low.

BTC sold off hard from 64330 through 63000 into a 62432 session low during the Asian/early-London hours, RSI dipping into oversold. Buyers have since stepped in to build a chain of higher lows above 62500, with price now recovering toward 62971 — the immediate area to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 62,540.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 62,971.00, 63,340.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62971 opens the path back to the 63340 prior swing
  • Failure to hold 62540 exposes a retest of the 62432 session low
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read

07:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 62,862.77

Lower lows into 62432, now basing.

BTC sold off through the overnight hours, slicing below 63000 and printing a session low at 62432. Price is now basing 62540–62900 into the London morning with RSI(14) lifting off the lows; the 63000 round number caps the recovery so far.

Support: 62,432.00, 62,540.00

Resistance: 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 63000 would negate the intraday downtrend read
  • Loss of 62432 confirms a fresh lower low
  • US CPI Tue/Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

07:32 UTC

Downtrend, selling pressure easing · RSI 45 · price 62,862.77

Chain of lower highs/lows, basing above session low.

BTC sold off through London hours from the 64330 high to a 62432 session low, then stalled into a tight base around 62660. Price is grinding back toward the 62908 recent high with RSI recovering off oversold; still below EMA20/50. Note the news feed is dated — CPI Wed is the flagged pivot, not a same-session driver.

Support: 62,500.00, 62,660.00

Resistance: 62,908.00, 63,340.00

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 62500 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 62908 recent high opens the path to the 63340 swing high
  • US CPI Wed is the cited catalyst — expect thin, range-bound trade until then

07:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 62,754.89

Lower highs into consolidation off session low.

BTC sold off through the last several hours from ~64300 to a session low at 62432, then based. Price now chops in a tight 62540–62830 range with RSI recovering off oversold; the dovish-Warsh relief read is stale and demand is thin ahead of Wed CPI.

Support: 62,540.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 62,830.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62830 breaks the consolidation to the upside
  • Loss of 62432 session low confirms continuation lower
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant pending catalyst

07:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 62,754.89

Lower-low then consolidation.

A steady selloff dragged BTC from the 64330 swing high down to a 62432 session low, printing a clean lower-low chain. Price is now consolidating between 62540 range floor and 62830 range top, RSI(14) recovering off the lows to mid-40s. US CPI Wed remains the pivot per the macro read.

Support: 62,540.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 62,830.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62830 range top would break the consolidation higher
  • Loss of 62432 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

07:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 42 · price 62,712.93

Lower highs, lower lows; basing near session low.

BTC unwound the 64,330 peak in a stair-step selloff through the NY-Asia transition, printing a 62,432 session low before stabilising. Price now chops in a tight 62,540–62,830 band below EMA20/50; RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 41.

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 62,830 swing high needed to challenge the 63,000 round number
  • Failure to hold 62,432 session low confirms continuation lower
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

07:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 40 · price 62,712.93

Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating near session low.

London session drove a steep selloff from the 64330 high toward 62432, unwinding the earlier push above 64000. Price is now consolidating tightly in the 62650-62830 band just above the session low, RSI stabilising in the high-30s after the flush.

Support: 62,432.24

Resistance: 62,829.81, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 62432 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 63000 needed to challenge the descending highs
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

06:47 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 42 · price 62,741.90

Lower highs and lower lows, basing after selloff.

BTC sold off hard from the 64330 spike high, shedding roughly 1900 points into a 62432 low before basing in a tight 62540-62830 range. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; supply capped the last two bounces near 62830.

Support: 62,540.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 62,830.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 62432 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 62830 needed to break the near-term downtrend structure
  • US CPI (Jul 14 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read

06:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling near lows · RSI 40 · price 62,741.90

Lower highs and lower lows, now consolidating above session low.

M15 sold off from 64330 to a 62432 session low before stalling, RSI(14) basing near 40. Last ten bars are consolidating 62540–62830 with no fresh low. US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst overhanging the tape.

Support: 62,432.24, 62,540.00

Resistance: 62,830.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 62432 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 62540 area
  • Reclaim of 62830 needed to challenge the downtrend line
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could reset this read

06:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 41 · price 62,759.88

Lower highs into a base at session low.

BTC sold off ~1,900 points from 64330 through the Asia session, printing a session low at 62432 before basing. Price now chops 62540–62830 below EMA20/50; RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward 41 as selling pressure eases.

Support: 62,432.00, 62,540.00

Resistance: 62,830.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 62830 swing high would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 62432 session low confirms downside continuation
  • Fed Bowman speech ~09:25 UTC could inject volatility into this base

06:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 42 · price 62,759.88

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

BTC sold off steadily through the Asia session from the 64300 spike down to a 62432 session low, staying pinned well below the $63K supply wall. Price has bounced modestly to 62760 and is holding above the low, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 42.

Support: 62,432.24

Resistance: 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Break of 62432 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
  • Reclaim of 63000 needed to challenge the $63K supply wall and shift the M15 read
  • Fed's Bowman speech ~09:25 UTC could inject near-term volatility

06:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 35 · price 62,673.98

Lower highs, lower lows into session lows.

BTC rolled over from the 64330 spike around the Asia open and sold off in a chain of lower highs to print a session low at 62432, with price now pinned near 62673 below the 63k supply wall. RSI(14) near 35 reflects an extended down leg rather than a fresh reversal; last few bars are stalling in the low-62Ks.

Support: 62,432.24, 62,000.00

Resistance: 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63000 (63k wall) would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 62432 session low confirms continuation toward the 62000 round level
  • Fed's Bowman speech ~09:25 UTC could shift the read ahead of tomorrow's US CPI

06:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling near lows · RSI 39 · price 62,673.98

Lower highs and lower lows, basing at session low.

BTC broke down through the $63K supply wall in a steady sell-off from the 64330 spike high, cutting to 62432 before finding a floor. Price is now consolidating in a 62540–62830 band during early London hours, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still below 40; no reclaim of the broken 63K handle yet.

Support: 62,540.00, 62,432.00

Resistance: 62,830.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 63000 psych would negate the breakdown read
  • Loss of 62432 swing low confirms lower-low continuation
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

06:03 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 62,749.89

Lower highs, lower lows.

A steady sell-off through the early hours dragged BTC from 64330 down to a 62432 low, a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows. RSI(14) dipped into oversold as price probed 62432, and buyers have since nudged it back to 62750; the 63000 psych/supply wall now caps.

Support: 62,432.24

Resistance: 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63000 psych would question the downtrend read
  • Loss of 62432 session low confirms another lower low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

06:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 42 · price 62,749.89

Lower highs, lower lows; basing at session low.

Steady sell-off through the session unwound the 64330 high down to a 62432 low, a leg tied to the two-way tone below the $63K supply wall. Price is now basing around 62750 with RSI recovering off oversold; consolidation, no clean structure yet.

Support: 62,432.00

Resistance: 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 62432 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 63000 psych level needed to ease the downtrend read
  • US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

05:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 34 · price 62,712.93

Lower highs and lower lows through Asia hours.

BTC sold off hard through the Asia session, breaking below 63000 and printing a fresh session low at 62432 with price now pinned under both EMAs. RSI(14) near 33 shows extended downside but no divergence yet; sequence of lower highs remains intact.

Support: 62,432.00

Resistance: 62,830.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62830 would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 62432 confirms continuation to fresh session lows
  • Fed's Bowman speaks ~09:25 UTC, could inject volatility

05:47 UTC

Downtrend, extended · RSI 34 · price 62,712.93

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTC ground lower through the Asian session, sliding from a rejected 64330 spike to a 62432 low, RSI(14) mid-30s after the drop. Price is stalling around 62700 above the 62500 session low; the descending sequence of lower highs stays intact into tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 62,500.00, 62,432.24

Resistance: 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 62432 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 63000 psych would ease the downside pressure
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

05:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 30 · price 62,506.16

Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the session high.

BTCUSD swept the session high at 64330 then sold off hard through the London session, printing successive lower lows into 62432 with price now sitting at 62506. RSI(14) near 30 shows momentum stretched but no reversal structure yet; every bounce has been capped below the prior high.

Support: 62,432.00, 62,000.00

Resistance: 63,000.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63000 needed to arrest the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 62432 confirms continuation toward 62000
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

05:32 UTC

Downtrend, extending · RSI 31 · price 62,506.16

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTC sold off through 63,000 during Asia hours, extending the slide from the 64,330 high to a 62,432 session low. RSI(14) hanging near oversold as bounces keep getting capped at 62,830; slide fits the thin institutional demand / ETF-outflow tone ahead of CPI.

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63,000 would stall the lower-low sequence
  • Loss of 62,432 confirms downtrend continuation
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the live catalyst and could reset this read

05:17 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 31 · price 62,710.94

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

BTC broke down through the $64K shelf during Asia hours and cascaded to a session low at 62432, RSI(14) pinned near 31. Last bar bounced to 62742 before fading back to 62710 — supply wall up at 64330 still caps, no basing yet.

Support: 62,432.00

Resistance: 62,830.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 62432 extends the lower-low sequence toward the $60K pivot
  • M15 close back above 62830 would pause the downtrend
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony are the dominant catalysts into this decline

05:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 31 · price 62,710.94

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

Steady sell-off through the Asia session, price sliding from the 64,330 high to a 62,432 low with a clean lower-high/lower-low chain. RSI(14) around 31 and short-term hot to the downside but not yet sub-20; last bar stalling near 62,710 just above the session low.

What it said to watch

  • Close below 62,432 confirms the next lower low
  • Reclaim of 63,000 needed to stall the downtrend
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the live catalyst and could reshape this read

05:05 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 28 · price 62,596.06

Lower highs and lower lows, breaking down.

M15 is in a clean downtrend, sliding from the 64330 spike high through the $63K handle and losing 62432 on the last bar into the pre-London hours. RSI(14) near 28 shows the move is stretched, but each bounce has been sold at lower highs with no base yet formed.

Support: 62,432.24, 62,000.00

Resistance: 63,000.00, 64,330.15

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63000 would ease the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 62432 opens the path toward 62000
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

05:05 UTC

Downtrend, extending · RSI 32 · price 62,596.06

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTC has slid in a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows since the 64330 rejection early NY, breaking through 63000 and 62800 into the Asia session and printing 62432. RSI(14) near 32, momentum firmly down but not yet washed out; last bar closed at 62596 off the low.

Support: 62,432.00, 62,000.00

Resistance: 62,800.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 62432 opens the path toward the 62000 psych handle
  • Reclaim of 62800/63000 would stall the lower-low sequence
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

04:48 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 17 · price 62,657.00

Chain of lower highs and lower lows, breakdown from 63K.

BTC has been sold hard through the Asia session, breaking the 63000 round level and the 62800 bounce zone to print a session low at 62540, with RSI(14) near 17 and deeply oversold. Sellers rejected every attempt back toward the descending lower-highs line; the tape stays offered into the CPI event risk flagged in the digest.

Support: 62,540.00, 62,000.00

Resistance: 62,800.00, 63,000.00, 63,300.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62800 bounce zone would ease the downside pressure
  • A close back above 63000 round targets the 63300 prior swing
  • Loss of the 62540 session low extends the breakdown toward 62000 round
  • US CPI event risk flagged in digest could materially shift this read

04:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 26 · price 62,657.00

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTC broke down hard through the Asian session, shedding over 1,600 points from the 64,330 swing high to a 62,540 session low, RSI(14) pressing into oversold near 26. Price is stalling at 62,657 just off the low with no sign of a base yet; the 62,800 swing high caps immediate rebounds.

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 63,000 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Loss of 62,540 confirms continuation to fresh lows
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

04:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum strong · RSI 29 · price 62,796.84

Lower highs, lower lows; range broke down.

BTC spent most of the window pinned in a 63,800–64,200 range before a sharp Asia-hours breakdown sliced through the 63K psych level to a 62,604 session low. RSI(14) near 29 flags short-term oversold as sellers press each bounce, with the descending lower-high chain still intact.

Support: 62,604.05, 62,500.00

Resistance: 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63000 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Loss of 62604 opens the path toward 62500 and below
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

04:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 29 · price 62,796.84

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.

Asia session sold off hard from the 64330 spike high, slicing through 63700 and 63300 in a clean lower-low sequence to a fresh session low at 62604. Price is pinned near 62800 with RSI(14) around 28 — short-term oversold but no reversal signal yet.

Support: 62,604.00, 62,500.00

Resistance: 63,300.00, 63,700.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 62604 confirms downtrend continuation toward 62500
  • Reclaim of 63300 needed to neutralise the lower-high structure
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

04:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 28 · price 62,754.89

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTC spiked to 64330 then reversed hard through Asian hours, cascading below 63000 and 63385 support to probe the 62604 session low. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 27 with the down leg still driving fresh lows; the 64330 print now reads as a false break.

Support: 62,604.05

Resistance: 63,000.00, 64,330.15

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63000 round number would ease downside pressure
  • Close below 62604 session low confirms trend continuation
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

04:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 22 · price 62,754.89

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

BTCUSD sold off hard through the NY-Asia transition, breaking the 63296 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 62604, RSI(14) pinned near 22. Price is stacked below EMA20/50 with no sign of a base yet; final bar is a thin low-volume print.

Support: 62,604.05

Resistance: 63,296.29

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63296 would ease the downside pressure and question the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 62604 extends the leg lower
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

04:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 25 · price 62,729.92

Lower highs, lower lows, fresh session low.

Asian session sold off hard from 64330, slicing through 63000 to a fresh session low at 62663 with RSI(14) pinned near 25. Steady lower highs and no bounce yet; the breakdown below the $63K supply wall flagged in the macro read is the dominant feature.

Support: 62,663.00, 62,000.00

Resistance: 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63000 would ease the downside continuation read
  • Failure to hold 62663 opens continuation toward 62000
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

04:03 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 28 · price 62,729.92

Clean lower highs and lower lows.

BTCUSD broke down hard through the NY-Asia transition, dropping from the 64330 session high to a fresh session low at 62662 with RSI(14) near 27. Price is pinned at the lows and holding well below both EMAs — no relief bounce yet.

Support: 62,000.00

Resistance: 63,000.00, 64,330.15

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 62662 session low extends the downtrend toward the 62000 psych handle
  • Reclaim of the 63000 round number would ease the selling pressure
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 25 · price 62,750.89

Lower highs, lower lows; range floor broken.

Sharp Asia-session selloff broke the 63300 range floor and printed fresh lows at 62663, RSI(14) oversold near 25. Downside momentum still intact with no base forming yet; ATR is elevated as the drop extends.

Support: 62,663.00, 62,000.00

Resistance: 63,296.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63296 would neutralise the breakdown
  • Loss of 62663 opens fresh lows toward 62000
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially reshape this read

03:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 25 · price 62,750.89

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.

BTC spiked to 64330 then reversed hard, unwinding the entire move into the Asia session and printing a fresh low at 62663 with RSI(14) oversold near 25. Price is pinned below EMA20/50 with no reclaim of the 63000 round number yet; the sweep-high at 64330 caps upside.

Support: 62,663.00, 62,000.00

Resistance: 63,000.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 62663 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 62000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 63000 round number would ease the oversold selloff
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst and could reset this read

03:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum strong · RSI 27 · price 62,972.65

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

Persistent M15 selloff through the Asia session, price breaking the 63000 round level and printing a fresh session low at 62750 with RSI(14) near 27. No sign of a base yet — each bounce has been sold into lower highs.

Support: 62,750.00

Resistance: 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63000 psych level needed to stall the downtrend
  • Loss of 62750 session low opens further downside
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum strong · RSI 28 · price 62,972.65

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session lows.

Asian session extended the US-afternoon slide, breaking down through 63340 and printing fresh lows at 62750 with RSI(14) sub-30. The move is one-directional off the 64330 session high; no reclaim of broken support yet.

Support: 62,750.00, 62,000.00

Resistance: 63,340.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63340 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Loss of 62750 opens the 62000 handle
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially reprice this move

03:17 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 28 · price 62,985.63

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.

Asia session broke down hard from the 64330 high, sliding to a fresh session low at 62818 with RSI(14) near 28. Sellers keep printing lower lows with no reclaim; 63296 is the nearest supply overhead. US CPI tomorrow is the dominant risk into this move.

Support: 62,818.00, 60,000.00

Resistance: 63,296.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 63296 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 62818 extends the decline toward the 60000 handle
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially reshape this read

03:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 27 · price 62,985.63

Series of lower highs and lower lows, breakdown in progress.

Late NY hours saw BTC slide out of the 63700-64150 range that held most of the session, cascading through 63300 to a session low of 62818 before closing 62985. RSI(14) near 27 flags short-term oversold as the sell-off extends, with the broader complex soft into tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 62,818.00

Resistance: 63,300.00, 63,700.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 63300 would invalidate the breakdown and re-open the 63700 swing
  • Failure to hold 62818 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the decline
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 31 · price 63,264.33

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Sharp selloff through the Asian session: price spiked to 64330 then reversed hard, breaking below 63700 and pressing the 63170 session low with RSI(14) near 31. The 64330 print looks a false break — supply capped there and every bounce has stalled into a lower high.

Support: 63,170.00, 63,000.00

Resistance: 63,465.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 63170 confirms continuation to the 63000 round psych
  • Reclaim above 63465 bounce high would ease downside pressure
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and can reset this read

03:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 33 · price 63,264.33

Lower highs and lower lows, breaking down.

BTC rolled over from a spike to 64330 and sold off in a steady sequence of lower lows, printing a fresh session low at 63170 before the current bar. Price is now pinned just under 63700 swing pivot with RSI(14) near 33; the prior range around 64000 is well overhead. News feed is stale, so no clean intraday driver.

Support: 63,170.00, 63,000.00

Resistance: 63,700.00, 64,000.00

What it said to watch

  • A close below 63170 session low confirms downside continuation toward the 63000 round number
  • Reclaim of 63700 swing pivot would neutralise the current lower-low sequence
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is a HIGH-impact catalyst that could materially shift this read

02:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 34 · price 63,324.26

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Asia session spiked to 64330 then fully retraced in one bar — a clean false break that flipped into a cascade down to the 63170 session low. Sequence of lower highs/lower lows intact; RSI(14) near 33 but not yet oversold as price hovers just above the low at 63324.

Support: 63,170.43

Resistance: 63,700.00, 64,330.15

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63700 would break the descending lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 63170 opens continuation lower
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is high-impact and could override this intraday read

02:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 33 · price 63,324.26

Lower highs, lower lows.

BTC spiked to 64330 then reversed hard, unwinding through Asia hours to print fresh lows near 63170; RSI(14) around 32, short-term stretched but not extreme. Each bounce has been sold, keeping the sequence of lower highs and lower lows intact below the 63700 breakdown.

Support: 63,170.43

Resistance: 63,700.00, 64,330.15

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 63700 would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of the 63170 session low opens continuation lower
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is a scheduled catalyst that could reshape this read

02:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 32 · price 63,355.23

Lower highs and lower lows, at session low.

Asia session saw a spike to 64330 instantly rejected, then a clean breakdown through 63700 to a fresh session low at 63170; price now hugging lows near 63355 with RSI(14) around 32. The move stair-stepped lower on rising ranges, no reclaim of 63700 yet.

Support: 63,170.43, 63,000.00

Resistance: 63,700.00, 64,330.15

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63700 would invalidate the breakdown read
  • Loss of 63170 opens the path toward the 63000 psych level
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is a binary catalyst that could reset this structure

02:32 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating lower · RSI 30 · price 63,355.23

Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session low.

NY session sold off hard after a false break of the 64330 spike high, driving BTC to a fresh low at 63170 with RSI(14) around 30. Price broke the 63700 shelf and is now consolidating just above the low; the last bounce stalled at 63465.

Support: 63,170.00

Resistance: 63,465.00, 63,700.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 63170 confirms continuation to next leg lower
  • Reclaim of 63465 needed to ease downside pressure
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC are binary catalysts that could reshape this read

02:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 32 · price 63,400.18

Lower highs, lower lows after failed push.

Asian-session spike to 64330 was rejected hard, flipping into a sustained selloff that printed a fresh session low at 63170 before a shallow bounce to 63400. RSI(14) near 32, price capped below the 64100 supply wall cited in the macro read; each rally into 63700 has met sellers.

Support: 63,170.00

Resistance: 63,700.00, 64,100.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 63170 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 63700 would neutralise the intraday downdraft
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is a binary catalyst that could override this read

02:17 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating lower · RSI 33 · price 63,400.18

Lower highs, fresh session low.

Asian session spiked to a false break of 64330 then dumped hard to a fresh low at 63170, price now 63400 and RSI(14) near 33. Sequence of lower highs and lower lows intact after the rejection off 64330.

Support: 63,170.00

Resistance: 63,700.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 63700 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 63170 session low opens continuation lower
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next binary catalyst for this tape

02:03 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 30 · price 63,325.26

Lower highs, fresh session low.

Sharp selloff through Asia hours: the spike to 64330 was swept and rejected, and price is now printing a fresh session low at 63296 with RSI(14) near 30. Lower highs are stacking below the 63640 swing, tape one-directional into the close.

Support: 63,296.00, 63,000.00

Resistance: 63,640.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 63640 swing needed to ease downside pressure
  • Failure to hold 63296 session low extends the leg toward the 63000 psych level
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is a binary catalyst that could reset this read

02:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum strong · RSI 29 · price 63,325.26

Lower highs, lower lows after sweep of highs.

Asia session spiked to 64330 then instantly reversed — a false break that triggered an aggressive breakdown into 63296 on rising volume. RSI(14) near 29, short-term oversold, with the last bar closing on its low; no bounce established yet.

Support: 63,296.29, 63,000.00

Resistance: 63,700.00, 64,330.15

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63700 would ease the downside pressure
  • Loss of 63296 session low opens the 63000 psych level
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's binary catalyst

01:47 UTC

Downtrend, choppy after spike · RSI 42 · price 63,606.95

Lower highs, pressing session lows.

Volatile spike into the Asia session tagged 64330 then reversed hard, sweeping the highs before dumping to 63465. Price now grinding at session lows near 63606 with RSI(14) in the low 40s; the 63840 swing has capped every bounce.

Support: 63,465.00

Resistance: 63,840.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 63465 confirms a lower low and extends the leg
  • Reclaim of 63840 negates the pressing-lows read
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is a binary catalyst that could overrun this structure

01:47 UTC

Choppy, tilting lower after failed spike · RSI 40 · price 63,606.95

Range with a swept high, pressing lows.

Asian session saw a violent sweep to 64330 immediately rejected back to 63465, and price has since drifted to the lower end near 63600. Structure is a volatile range between 63465 and 64200; RSI(14) around 40 with lower highs stacking since the spike.

Support: 63,465.00, 63,600.00

Resistance: 64,000.00, 64,200.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 63465 confirms a lower low and opens the downside
  • Reclaim of 64000 neutralises the failed-spike read
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is a binary catalyst that would reset this range

01:32 UTC

Choppy, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 63,620.93

Range with volatile whipsaw at top.

Asia session printed a violent whipsaw — a spike to 64330 was instantly rejected and dumped to 63465, a false break of the range top. Price now sits at 63620 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 48; ATR is elevated after the spike so ranges are wide.

Support: 63,465.00

Resistance: 64,000.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 64000 psych reopens the 64330 spike high
  • Break below 63465 session low confirms a lower low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the binary catalyst for this tape

01:32 UTC

Choppy, fading after spike · RSI 43 · price 63,620.93

Post-sweep chop below session highs.

A sharp late-session spike swept the session high to 64330 then dumped straight to 63465, a clean false break that has left price grinding back near 63620. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price holds below EMA20/50; buyers stepped in around 63575 to stall the fade.

Support: 63,575.00, 63,465.00

Resistance: 63,840.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 63465 confirms lower-low extension
  • Reclaim of 63840 needed to negate the post-spike fade
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's binary catalyst

01:17 UTC

Choppy, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 63,843.69

Volatile whipsaw, sweep and reversal.

Asian session turned violent: a spike swept the highs to 64330 then reversed hard, flushing to 63465 before recovering to 63843. RSI(14) back near neutral around 46 after the two-way whipsaw; ATR is elevated, so bars are running large.

Support: 63,465.00

Resistance: 64,150.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 64150 would repair the failed break above 64330
  • Loss of 63465 confirms a lower low and opens the $63K area
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reset this read entirely

01:17 UTC

Range, two-way volatility · RSI 48 · price 63,843.69

Choppy range after a two-sided sweep.

Asia session printed a violent two-way sweep — a spike to 64330 was immediately flushed to 63465 before price snapped back to 63843, now mid-range. RSI(14) neutral near 48; no directional structure with markets sidelined ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.

Support: 63,700.00, 63,465.00

Resistance: 64,000.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64000 round number opens the path back to the 64330 sweep high
  • Failure to hold 63700 swing low exposes the 63465 session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and can void this range read

01:05 UTC

Range, high volatility · RSI 52 · price 63,924.60

Whipsaw, spike swept then reversed.

Violent whipsaw in early Asia hours: price spiked to the 64330 session high then reversed hard to a 63465 spike low within two bars before snapping back to 63924. Now chopping in mid-range under the 64000 round level with RSI neutral; no clean structure in play.

Support: 63,465.00

Resistance: 64,000.00, 64,150.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64150 prior high reopens the 64330 session high
  • Loss of 63465 spike low confirms a lower-low toward the $63K wall
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and can reset this read

01:04 UTC

Choppy, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 63,924.60

Range with lower-timeframe sweep.

Violent whipsaw into early Asia: a spike to 64330 was rejected, then price flushed to a 63465 sweep low before snapping straight back to 63924. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 with price hugging its EMAs — no directional setup, just two-sided volatility around the 63700–64200 range.

Support: 63,465.00, 63,700.00

Resistance: 64,200.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 64200 reopens the 64330 spike high
  • Failure to hold 63465 confirms a lower low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:47 UTC

Range-bound, volatility spiking · RSI 48 · price 63,870.66

Wide intraday range, recent sweep of highs then sharp reversal.

Asia session saw a violent sweep of the session high at 64330 immediately rejected back to 63465, and price has since settled mid-range near 63870 with ATR blown out. No clean structure in play — chop between the 63465 session low and 64130 supply. Move sits inside the broader $63K supply wall / $60K handle context ahead of US CPI.

Support: 63,465.00

Resistance: 64,130.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64130 reopens the 64330 sweep high
  • Loss of 63465 confirms a lower low toward the $60K handle
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:47 UTC

Range, volatile two-way · RSI 49 · price 63,870.66

Range with sweeps of both extremes.

Whippy pre-CPI Asia session: a fast spike to 64330 was immediately reversed with a flush to 63465, sweeping both sides of the range before snapping back to 63870. RSI(14) back at neutral after the two-way sweep; price still capped by the 64150 prior high and holding the 63700 low cluster.

Support: 63,700.00, 63,465.00

Resistance: 64,150.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64330 opens the path back to the 64K+ supply wall
  • Loss of 63465 confirms a lower-low and extends the downside
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially reshape this read

00:32 UTC

Volatile, upside spike fading · RSI 55 · price 64,071.44

Sweep of lows then sharp rally rejected at highs.

Asian session swept the 63595 low then ripped 600+ points to 64330 before rejecting, price pulling back to 64071. RSI cooled from the spike and ATR is elevated (~16700 pips), reflecting the volatility burst; 64206 supply now caps and 63700 is the first swing low below.

Support: 63,700.00, 63,595.00

Resistance: 64,206.00, 64,330.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 63950 puts the 63595 session low back in play
  • Failure below 64330 keeps the spike rejection intact
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst

00:32 UTC

Recovering after V-shaped bounce · RSI 58 · price 64,071.44

Sweep of lows then sharp reclaim, rejected at highs.

Price bled into the 63594 session low late in the NY-Asia handover, then a sharp V-recovery spiked through 64206 to tag 64330 before rejecting back to 64071. RSI(14) cooling from the spike; buyers reclaimed the 64000 round handle.

Support: 64,000.00, 63,700.00, 63,594.00

Resistance: 64,330.00, 64,206.00

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 64000 keeps the reclaim intact
  • Loss of 63700 swing low reopens the 63594 session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

00:17 UTC

Downtrend flipped by sharp reversal · RSI 61 · price 64,255.24

Double bottom then breakout off session low.

Price bled to a session low at 63594 before a single-bar burst higher printed a double bottom and broke back through the 64150 prior high, tagging 64330 and closing 64255. RSI(14) recovered off oversold with the last bar swelling volume; the reversal has reclaimed both EMAs.

Support: 64,150.00, 63,700.00

Resistance: 64,330.15

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 64150 prior high back into the range negates the breakout
  • Failure to hold above 63700 pivot reopens the 63594 session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst ahead

00:17 UTC

Recovering, sharp momentum push higher · RSI 66 · price 64,255.24

Sweep of lows then breakout above range.

Price swept the 63611 swing low and reversed hard, printing a 500-point green candle before clearing the 64174 prior high; last bar tagged 64330 and pulled back to 64255. RSI(14) at ~66, momentum stretched but not extreme after the impulsive push.

Support: 63,700.00, 63,611.00

Resistance: 64,330.00, 64,174.00

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 63700 negates the breakout and puts the 63611 sweep low back in play
  • Sustained trade above 64330 opens continuation higher
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

00:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum intact · RSI 38 · price 63,660.89

Lower highs, lower lows off 64150.

Asia session sold off hard from the 64150 supply shelf, breaking down to a session low at 63594 on expanding volume; BTC now stalling near 63660 with RSI(14) around 37. Weak bounce so far — the 63840 recent high caps and the leg remains a chain of lower highs.

Support: 63,594.00, 63,500.00

Resistance: 63,840.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 63840 recent high needed to stall the downtrend
  • Failure to hold 63594 session low opens the 63500 psych level

00:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fresh · RSI 35 · price 63,660.89

Rolled over from session high, printing lower lows.

Price capped at the session high near 64170 then broke down through the 63900-64150 consolidation into the Asia hours, dropping to 63611 before stabilising near lows. RSI(14) cooling around 35, not yet oversold; sellers pressed the drop on rising activity.

Support: 63,611.00, 63,565.00

Resistance: 63,840.00, 64,170.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 63840 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 63611 confirms continuation of lower lows toward 63565
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read

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