Sharp NY spike to 78007 was fully rejected, with price now grinding to a fresh session low at 75585.76 — classic false break behaviour. RSI(14) at 32 is approaching oversold but not extreme; lower highs intact through the last 6 hours.
Support: 75,585.76, 75,250.00
Resistance: 76,094.20, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 76094 prior pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
Sustained break of 75585 session low extends the leg toward 75250 psych
ATR near 170 USD signals elevated intraday volatility
23:30 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 75,824.50
Lower highs, lower lows after failed spike.
Sharp NY-session spike to 78007 was fully reversed within two bars, and price has since trended lower in a clean lower-high / lower-low sequence to a fresh session low at 75585. RSI(14) at ~32 is weak but not yet washed out, and price remains pinned below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Resistance: 76,094.20, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 76094 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Sharp spike to 78007 during NY hours was fully reversed within two bars, and price has since carved a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows into the Asia session, now pressing a fresh low at 75585. RSI(14) near 31 reflects sustained selling pressure rather than an exhausted move, with price trading well below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 75,200.00
Resistance: 76,094.20, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 76094 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 75585 session low opens room toward the 75200 psych level
RBNZ decision and Australia CPI later in the Asia session could shift risk tone
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 75,770.56
Lower highs, lower lows after failed spike.
Sharp spike to 78007 was fully rejected back through the prior range and price has since carved a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows into a fresh session low at 75585. RSI(14) at ~32 with price pinned below EMA20/50 — sellers in control with no rebound attempt yet.
Support: 75,300.00
Resistance: 76,094.20, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 76094 swing high would invalidate the lower-high chain
Sustained break below 75585 session low extends the leg toward 75300 round number
Failed spike above 78007 still defines the upper rejection
Sharp NY spike to 78007 was fully rejected within two bars, dumping back below 76800 and grinding lower into Asia. Price now probing the session low at 75690 with RSI(14) at 33 — momentum extended but not yet washed out.
Support: 75,690.00
Resistance: 76,100.00, 76,670.00, 78,007.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 76100 recent pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 75690 session low confirms continuation lower
Sustained reclaim of 76670 swing high needed to invalidate the rejection read
Lower highs from 78,007 spike, breaking session lows.
NY session ripped to 78,007 on a sharp impulse then immediately reversed, leaving a false break that has unwound the entire move and pressed price to fresh session lows at 75,694. Lower highs stacking from 76,672 down to 76,094, with the last bar closing on its lows.
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 76,094 swing high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 75,694 session low extends the leg toward the 75,500 psych area
Asia open liquidity could amplify the move given the late-NY break
Sharp spike to 78007 during NY hours was fully rejected, with price unwinding the entire move and printing a fresh session low at 75766. Sellers stepped in repeatedly at the 76094 pivot through the late NY session, leaving structure lower-high / lower-low into the Asia handover.
Resistance: 76,094.20, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 76094 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Break and acceptance below 75703 swing low extends the downtrend
Kashkari hawkish comments still circulating, USD risk-sensitive headlines could re-introduce volatility
A sharp NY-session spike to 78007 was fully reversed within two bars, and price has since cascaded through prior support to print a fresh swing low at 75703. The bounce attempt has stalled into the broken shelf around 76094, with RSI(14) near 35 confirming heavy momentum but not yet stretched.
Resistance: 76,094.20
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 76511 would neutralise the range break read
A clean break of the 75703 swing low extends the leg lower
Hourly bounce stalling at the minor pivot 76094 keeps the lower-high structure intact
NY session saw a vertical spike to 78007 swept and immediately rejected, leaving a textbook false break that has bled price ~2000 points lower. M15 grinding new session lows at 75766 with RSI(14) near 37 — weak but not stretched, and EMA20/50 capping every bounce near 76500.
Resistance: 76,512.00, 77,000.00, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 76512 micro pivot would soften the downtrend read
Break of 75703 swing low confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 77000 psych invalidates the spike rejection structure
NY session saw a sharp spike to 78007 get fully reversed inside two bars, and price has since trended lower into a fresh session low at 75766. Lower highs at 76672 then 76119 confirm sellers in control on M15, with RSI(14) at 34 and price below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Resistance: 76,119.17, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 76119 micro lh would stall the downtrend read
Break of 75703 swing low extends the lower-low sequence
Kashkari hawkish Fed headlines keep USD pressure on crypto
NY session printed a sharp spike to 77912 that fully reversed within two bars, then trended down to fresh session lows at 75703. Price is consolidating just above the swing low with RSI(14) at 36, below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Resistance: 76,094.20, 77,912.20
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 76094 minor pivot would ease the downside read
Break of 75703 swing low extends the lower-low sequence
Kashkari hawkish Fed comments still in the tape, USD-sensitive risk
NY session printed a sharp false break to 78007 before fully retracing and rolling into a clean lower-low sequence, with session low at 75766. Price is basing near the lows, RSI(14) at 36 — soft but not oversold — and EMA20/50 capping any bounce attempts.
Resistance: 76,119.17, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
Loss of 75703 swing low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 76119 micro pivot would relieve immediate pressure
Asia session open could reset the M15 range
20:45 UTC
Downtrend resuming after spike · RSI 38 · price 76,098.19
Lower highs, fresh session low at 75703.
M15 spiked to 78007 on a quick NY-hours squeeze, then unwound the entire move within four bars and pressed to a fresh session low at 75703. Price is now grinding sideways above the swing low with RSI(14) around 38 — sellers still in control, no reclaim of the broken 76670 pivot.
Support: 75,703.00
Resistance: 76,670.00, 77,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 76670 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 75703 swing low extends the leg lower
Reclaim of 77000 psych invalidates the downtrend read
NY session saw a sharp spike to 78007 that was fully retraced within two bars, marking a false break and triggering a clean leg lower through prior support at 76500 into a fresh session low at 75766. Price is currently grinding back from oversold RSI near 31, with the broken shelf at 76500 now acting as overhead supply.
Support: 75,700.00
Resistance: 76,500.00, 77,000.00, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 76500 broken shelf would neutralise the lower-low read
Loss of 75700 psych level extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 77000 post-spike VWAP needed to invalidate the false break structure
Sharp NY spike to 78007 was fully reversed within two bars, then sellers drove price through 76500 and 76200 to a fresh session low at 75703. Price is consolidating just above 76000 with RSI(14) at 33, weak but not yet stretched.
Resistance: 76,200.00, 76,500.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 76500 broken shelf would neutralise the lower-high sequence
NY session spike to 78007 was fully reversed within two bars, printing a clear false break and unwinding back through 77000. Price is now grinding lower highs into a fresh session low at 75766, RSI(14) at 33 with no bullish divergence yet.
Resistance: 77,000.00, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 76606 prior swing weakens the lower-high sequence
Loss of 75703 swing low extends the downtrend leg
RSI bullish divergence at session low would shift the read
19:45 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 31 · price 75,879.44
Lower highs, lower lows after failed squeeze.
Sharp NY-session squeeze to 78007 was fully unwound within two bars, then sellers extended into a clean lower-low sequence printing 75703 as the session low. Price is consolidating just above that low with RSI(14) near 31 — stretched but not yet at washout extremes.
Resistance: 76,200.00, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
M15 close below 75703 session low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 76200 prior pivot would neutralise the lower-high structure
Asia session open could shift liquidity and reset the range
NY session printed a sharp spike to 77935 that fully reversed within two bars, then sellers drove price to a fresh 24h low at 75752. RSI(14) at 28 is oversold but price is still pressing the low with no rejection wick yet.
Support: 75,500.00
Resistance: 76,200.00, 77,935.17
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 76200 would neutralise the lower-high structure
Sustained break of 75752 session low extends the leg toward 75500 psych
ATR running hot — wide intraday swings should be expected to continue
NY session produced a sharp squeeze to 77935 followed by an immediate failure, and price has since carved fresh lows at 75703 with a clean break of the 76500 shelf. RSI(14) at 31 shows downside momentum without yet hitting oversold extreme; sellers in control into the late NY hours.
Support: 75,500.00
Resistance: 76,065.23, 76,500.00, 77,935.17
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 76065 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Sustained trade below the 75703 session low extends the leg toward the 75500 psych area
Bounce stalling under 76500 keeps the broken shelf as supply
NY session ripped to 78007 then fully unwound, with the spike origin near 76670 now capping every retest. Sellers pressed into the close, taking out the session low at 75753 and leaving price extended; RSI(14) at 31 is stretched but not yet extreme.
Support: 75,500.00
Resistance: 76,200.00, 76,670.00, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 76200 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Sustained loss of 75753 opens the 75500 round number
Late-session liquidity thins — continuation moves can extend on light flow
18:45 UTC
Downtrend resuming after failed pop · RSI 31 · price 75,973.33
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 78007 then immediately reversed, with sellers driving price through prior support and pressing a fresh session low at 75766. RSI(14) at 31 shows momentum extended to the downside but not yet washed out; the 76197 micro pivot is the first level to reclaim if the downside flush is done.
Resistance: 76,197.09, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 76197 micro pivot would neutralise the downside push
Break of 75766 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Failure at 76672 rejection level keeps supply in control
Lower highs into breakdown, current bar at session low.
NY session printed a violent spike to 78007 followed by an immediate reversal that swept through prior support; price has since carved fresh lows at 75766 with RSI(14) at 28 confirming oversold momentum. The 78k spike high reads as a false break, and sellers have driven roughly 2,200 points off that wick with no meaningful pullback yet.
Resistance: 76,500.00, 77,000.00, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 76500 broken shelf would neutralise the breakdown read
Sustained acceptance below the 75766 session low extends the leg lower
RSI oversold leaves room for a snapback toward the 77000 psych level
Lower highs after failed breakout, fresh session low printing.
NY session saw a violent spike to 78007 fully retraced within two bars, then sellers pressed price to a fresh session low at 75766. RSI(14) at 28 reflects oversold conditions after the rejection, with price now consolidating just above the lows.
Resistance: 78,007.09
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 76672 pivot would neutralise the post-spike downtrend read
M15 close below 75766 session low confirms continuation of the leg lower
Oversold RSI bounce attempt likely if 75766 holds on retest
NY session staged a sharp spike to 78007 then immediately reversed, printing a false break and dumping over 2000 points into a fresh session low at 75766. RSI(14) at 28 shows oversold conditions but momentum is still pressing lower with each bar making lower highs below the 77000 round number.
Resistance: 77,000.00, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 76606 recent LH would stall the downtrend read
M15 close below 75766 session low confirms continuation
Oversold RSI raises odds of a relief bounce into 77000 round number
NY session printed a violent spike to 78000 that fully retraced within two bars, then sellers drove a clean break of the 76600 shelf into a fresh session low at 75800. RSI(14) at 28 is stretched but in line with the impulsive leg; price is below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 75,800.00
Resistance: 76,600.00, 77,400.00, 78,000.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 76600 would neutralise the lower-low break
Acceptance below 75800 session low extends the downtrend
Sustained move back above 77400 voids the spike-fade read
Lower highs reasserted after failed breakout to 78007.
Sharp NY-session spike to 78007 was fully rejected, with price unwinding the entire move and pressing back to a session low at 76171. Sellers stepped in again at 76950 on the bounce attempt, RSI(14) near 32 reflecting persistent downside pressure rather than exhaustion.
Support: 76,171.11
Resistance: 76,950.00, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 76950 rejection zone would neutralise the downside read
Break of 76171 session low extends the lower-low sequence
ATR is elevated (~200 pts) — moves are oversized vs typical M15
Sharp NY-session spike to 77935 was fully rejected, with price unwinding the entire move and printing fresh session lows at 76171. Sellers stepped back in below 77100 psych and price is now grinding the low end of the range with RSI in oversold territory.
Support: 76,171.11
Resistance: 77,100.00, 77,935.17
What it said to watch
M15 close below 76171 swing low extends the leg lower
Reclaim of 76672 micro pivot would stall the downside
NY session printed a sharp spike to 78007 before being fully reversed within two bars, leaving a clean rejection wick and dragging price back through the prior range. Sellers have since pressed lower lows into 76171, and the bounce off 76505 is shallow with RSI(14) at 33.
Support: 76,171.11
Resistance: 78,007.09
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 76672 micro pivot would ease the downside pressure
Break of 76171 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Return above 77405 spike base would neutralise the rejection
Lower highs and lower lows, failed breakout above 78k.
Sharp vertical spike to 78,007 during NY hours was rejected immediately, with price collapsing back through 77,000 and breaking session lows at 76,171. RSI(14) at 36 confirms downside momentum without yet reaching oversold; ATR is elevated after the volatility burst.
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 77,000 psych level would neutralise the rejection read
Break below 76,171 session low extends the lower-low sequence
ATR remains elevated — expect wide ranges into late NY
NY session printed a violent spike to 78007 then immediately reversed, with the entire 1300-pt impulse retraced inside two bars — a clean false break above 77361. Price has since carved lower highs and just made a fresh session low at 76171, RSI on M15 pressing into the low-30s.
Support: 76,171.11
Resistance: 76,920.00, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
Close back above 76920 spike VWAP would neutralise the rejection read
Break and hold below 76171 intraday low extends the leg lower
Volatility elevated post-spike; ATR expansion may continue
Lower highs after failed breakout, back near range lows.
Sharp NY-hours spike to 78007 was fully rejected within two bars, slamming price back below 77000 and printing fresh session lows at 76219. Price now drifts near the lows with momentum lower and RSI sub-40; the 76300–76500 zone is the immediate area to monitor.
Support: 76,219.06, 76,499.75
Resistance: 77,000.00, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
M15 close below 76219 swing low extends the downside
Reclaim of 77000 psych level neutralises the rejection read
ATR is elevated post-spike, expect continued wide bars
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, sharp reversal from spike high · RSI 35 · price 76,424.84
Lower highs returning after failed breakout above 78000.
NY session printed a violent spike to 78007 then fully reversed within two bars, with sellers pressing price back below the prior consolidation. Lower highs since the failed breakout and current bar trading near session low at 76305 — momentum firmly to the downside, RSI cooling toward 35.
Support: 76,219.06
Resistance: 76,950.00, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
Loss of 76219 swing low extends the downside leg
Reclaim of 76950 rejection zone neutralises the bearish read
Violent two-way action during NY hours: price spiked to 78007 then collapsed 1500 points in two bars, sweeping back through prior session range. Current bar prints 76537 with sellers controlling the post-spike unwind, RSI cooling into low-40s after the rejection.
Resistance: 77,000.00, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 77000 psych level would neutralise the post-spike sell pressure
Break of 76446 swing low confirms continuation of the downtrend
ATR is elevated — expect wide bars to persist near US close
Lower lows into 76550, violent mean-reversion spike rejected.
NY session printed a vertical spike to 77935 then immediately reversed the entire move back to 76760, leaving a clear rejection wick and false break of the prior 77550 swing high. Price is now mid-range between the 76550 swing low and the 77200 spike retest zone, RSI(14) back to neutral after the whipsaw.
Support: 76,550.00
Resistance: 77,200.00, 77,550.00, 77,935.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 76550 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 77200 spike retest invalidates the rejection read
ATR is extreme — further headline-driven spikes likely on thin liquidity
Lower highs into 76550 sweep, violent reclaim then rejection.
Persistent downtrend through London hours bottomed with a sweep of 76550, then NY hours delivered a violent vertical squeeze to 78007 before instantly rejecting back into the prior range. Price now sits mid-range around 76920 with RSI(14) back near neutral after the round-trip; the spike high at 77935 is the immediate rejection level to monitor.
Support: 76,660.00, 76,550.00
Resistance: 77,400.00, 77,935.00, 78,007.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 77400 rejection hi would reopen the spike high
Loss of 76660 session low puts the 76550 sweep low back in play
ATR is elevated post-squeeze, expect follow-through volatility
Lower lows into 76446, violent reflex bounce now fading.
NY session printed a violent two-way move — a spike to 78007 was fully reversed in a single bar back to 76723.51, leaving a clear rejection wick at the reflex high. Price is now mid-range around 76922, with the swing low at 76446.81 still the key downside reference and 77405–77598 capping the bounce.
Support: 76,723.51, 76,446.81
Resistance: 78,007.09
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 77598 would invalidate the rejection read at the reflex high
Break of 76446.81 swing low confirms continuation of the downtrend
ATR is elevated post-spike; expect wider bar ranges than earlier in the session