NY session saw a sharp leg down from 1.1648 to 1.1608 on USD strength from Iran/Hormuz headlines, with buyers stepping in at the session low. Price has since stabilised in a tight 1.1630–1.1637 coil into Asia, RSI back to neutral 52 after the oversold flush.
Support: 1.1627, 1.16083
Resistance: 1.1637, 1.1648
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16270 reopens the 1.16083 session low
Break above 1.16480 prior support area neutralises the downtrend read
Thin Asia liquidity and ongoing Hormuz/Iran headlines could shift the read on any tape move
Intraday range after impulsive drop, sideways base forming.
EURUSD impulsively sold from 1.16645 to 1.16083 during NY hours after stronger US ISM manufacturing, then carved a slow recovery into Asia. Price now coils tightly between 1.16270 session low and 1.16372 recent high with RSI(14) flat near 52; momentum has faded into the Asia open.
Support: 1.1627, 1.16083
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.16469, 1.16645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16372 recent high opens path back to 1.16469 pre-drop pivot
Loss of 1.16270 session low re-exposes the 1.16083 NY swing low
Thin Asia liquidity may exaggerate any break of the current range
NY session sold off sharply from 1.1664 to 1.1608 on strong ISM Manufacturing, then recovered into Asia open and is now stalling around 1.1633. Price is grinding sideways in a tight 1.1627–1.1637 band with RSI neutral, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1627, 1.1620, 1.16083
Resistance: 1.1637, 1.1647, 1.16645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1637 recent high opens path back toward 1.1647 pre-drop
Thin Asia liquidity — moves may not hold until London open
23:00 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 1.16337
Post-drop consolidation near range lows.
EURUSD sold off sharply during NY hours after stronger US ISM manufacturing, bottoming at 1.16047 before a corrective bounce to 1.1635. Asia session has flattened into a tight 1.1630–1.1635 coil holding just below EMA20/50, RSI back to neutral 47.
Support: 1.16205, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.1635, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1645 would break the corrective ceiling and invalidate the downtrend read
Loss of 1.16205 session low reopens 1.1608 spike low and 1.16047 swing low
Tokyo-London handover may break the current coil
22:45 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 46 · price 1.16329
Lower high at 1.1664, base near 1.1610.
EURUSD broke down through the 1.1647 base during NY hours after stronger US ISM manufacturing, printing a swing low at 1.1608 before recovering to 1.1637. Asia session has stalled into a tight consolidation around 1.1632, RSI(14) flat near 46 and ATR(14) at 21 pips reflecting the post-drop cooldown.
Support: 1.16253, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1637 recent high opens path to retest 1.1650 psych
Break of 1.1625 session low reopens the 1.1608 swing low
Headline risk from Israel/Lebanon and Iran rhetoric could break the range abruptly
22:30 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after sell-off · RSI 45 · price 1.16335
Post-drop consolidation under 1.1635.
NY session printed a clean breakdown from 1.1647 to 1.1608 on strong ISM manufacturing, then recovered to consolidate in a tight 1.1628–1.1635 band. Price is capped under the 1.1635 micro high with RSI flat in the mid-40s and intraday ATR around 17 pips.
Support: 1.1628, 1.1614, 1.16083
Resistance: 1.16345, 1.1647
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1647 pre-drop area would neutralise the downtrend read
M15 close below 1.1628 session low reopens 1.1614 drop base
Asia thin liquidity could exaggerate moves on any Middle East headline
22:15 UTC
Downtrend, attempting base · RSI 49 · price 1.16338
Lower high, recovering from session low.
NY session sold the pair hard from 1.1645 down through 1.1620 support into a 1.1608 session low after strong US ISM manufacturing fed dollar strength. Late-session rebound has lifted price back to 1.1634, stalling under the 1.1637 recent high in tight consolidation as liquidity thins.
Support: 1.16205, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.16485
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16372 recent high opens room back toward 1.16485 pre-drop shelf
Loss of 1.16205 NY low reopens the 1.16083 session low
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves on any headline
22:00 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after flush · RSI 43 · price 1.16317
Lower-high then sharp leg down, base building above 1.1608.
NY session saw a sharp impulsive drop from 1.1647 to 1.1608 on stronger ISM manufacturing, breaking the prior intraday base. Price has since stabilised, with a bounce high at 1.16372 capping recovery and a tight consolidation forming around 1.1632 into the late session.
Support: 1.16203, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.16479
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.16479 pre-drop base would invalidate the downtrend read
Break below 1.16083 flush low reopens path to extension
Thin late-session liquidity — moves into Asia open may misrepresent structure
21:45 UTC
Recovery off NY-session low · RSI 48 · price 1.1632
Range with downside sweep, mean reverting.
EURUSD swept the session low at 1.1608 during NY hours after strong ISM manufacturing lifted the DXY, then reclaimed 1.1620 and ground back to 1.1632. Price now drifting in a 20-pip coil between 1.1628 and 1.1637 in late NY / early Asia, RSI flat near neutral.
Support: 1.16205, 1.16083, 1.1576
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.16485
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16372 recent high opens path back to 1.16485 pre-drop shelf
Loss of 1.16205 swing low re-exposes 1.16083 session low
Asia open thin liquidity may exaggerate any move out of the coil
21:30 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 39 · price 1.16279
Lower high at 1.1645, range-bound base 1.1605-1.1635.
EUR sold off sharply during NY hours after strong ISM Manufacturing lifted DXY, printing a session low at 1.1608 before a recovery stalled at 1.1637. Price has since drifted lower into late NY, holding above the session low but capped by the ema50 around 1.1645.
Support: 1.16253, 1.16083
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1625 session low opens path to 1.1608
Reclaim of 1.1645 ema50 would neutralise the downtrend read
Asia open liquidity could extend or fade the NY move
21:15 UTC
Downtrend, base building near lows · RSI 41 · price 1.16279
Sharp NY selloff, sideways consolidation since.
NY session opened with a sharp leg lower from 1.1647 down to 1.1608 after the strong ISM print lifted the dollar, sweeping prior intraday support. Price has since stabilised in a 1.1620-1.1635 consolidation through the late NY hours, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-50.
Support: 1.16203, 1.16083
Resistance: 1.1635, 1.1650
What it said to watch
Close below 1.16203 session low reopens 1.16083 spike low
Reclaim of 1.16500 pre-drop base would invalidate the downtrend read
Asia session opening with thin liquidity around current consolidation
21:00 UTC
Downtrend, base building after flush · RSI 47 · price 1.16318
Lower-high into 1.1664 flush, recovering off 1.1608 low.
NY session delivered a sharp flush from 1.1664 down to 1.1608 on the ISM-driven USD bid, with price now consolidating in a tight 1.1628–1.1635 band. Buyers stepped in twice at 1.1608 and price has clawed back to mid-flush, but the move sits below both EMAs and RSI is back at neutral after the oversold print.
Support: 1.1628, 1.1608, 1.1576
Resistance: 1.1635, 1.1664
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1635 micro pivot opens path back to the 1.1664 pre-drop high
Break of 1.1608 flush low exposes the 1.1576 range floor
Asia session tomorrow is light-calendar; expect range-bound development unless Middle East headlines escalate
20:45 UTC
Downtrend, basing after flush · RSI 48 · price 1.16308
Range reasserting after sharp NY sell-off.
NY session delivered a sharp ~60 pip flush from 1.1648 down to 1.1605 on strong ISM Manufacturing, taking out the prior London consolidation. Price has since recovered to 1.1631 and is now coiling tight just under the recent high at 1.1637, RSI(14) back to neutral after sub-30 oversold during the drop.
Support: 1.16205, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.16485
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16372 recent high would neutralise the NY downside impulse
Loss of 1.16205 swing low reopens the 1.16083 session low
Persistent USD bid from Middle East tension could pressure the basing structure
Lower-high at 1.16645, then sharp leg down to 1.16047, now consolidating mid-range.
NY session saw a sharp rejection from 1.16645 down to 1.16047, with price now consolidating around 1.1631 just above the recent low at 1.16264. RSI(14) has recovered from oversold back to mid-40s while ATR sits elevated near 23 pips reflecting the earlier impulse. Forexlive flagged the broader 1.1576–1.1669 range as the controlling structure into Asia.
Support: 1.16264, 1.16203, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.16522, 1.16645
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16203 reopens the session low at 1.16047
Reclaim of 1.16522 shelf would neutralise the NY downside leg
Thin Asia calendar ahead per forexlive — drift risk into the session
20:15 UTC
Downtrend, base building · RSI 43 · price 1.16321
Post-drop consolidation under 1.1635.
NY session printed a sharp drop from 1.1647 to 1.1608 on USD strength after upbeat US manufacturing data, then mean-reverted to 1.1637 before rolling back to 1.1632. Price now drifting sideways into late NY, capped by the 1.16372 bounce high and holding above the 1.16264 session low.
Support: 1.16264, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.16499
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16264 session low reopens the 1.1608 NY drop low
Reclaim of 1.16372 bounce high would neutralise the downtrend read
Asia calendar is light tier, limited catalyst risk into the next session
20:00 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after flush · RSI 47 · price 1.16314
Lower-high rejection, range forming above session low.
NY session sold off hard from 1.1647 into a 1.1605 flush low, then recovered to 1.1637 before stalling. Last 6 bars consolidating tightly around 1.1631 with RSI(14) back near 47 — momentum neutral after the impulse, no fresh structure breaking.
Support: 1.16205, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.16469
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16372 session high opens retest of the 1.16469 pre-drop pivot
Loss of 1.16205 swing low re-engages the 1.16083 session low
Headline risk around Israel/Lebanon escalation can override structure
19:45 UTC
Intraday downtrend, late recovery · RSI 50 · price 1.16322
Lower-high break, bounce off 1.1608.
NY session sold the 1.1664 high hard, breaking through 1.1647 support and printing a session low at 1.1608 before a clean bounce to 1.1637. Price now consolidating around 1.1632 below the recent high at 1.1637, RSI back to neutral after washing out.
Support: 1.16203, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.16485, 1.16644
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1637 recent high opens path back to 1.1648 prior pivot
Failure to hold 1.1620 swing low reopens 1.1608 session low
US-Iran ceasefire headlines driving USD bid — sensitive to further geopolitical updates
NY session sold the 1.1660 area aggressively, flushing to 1.1604 on Middle East-driven USD demand before reclaiming 1.1630. Price now consolidating in a tight 1.1629–1.1637 band after the rebound stalled at 1.1637; RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s, momentum neutral.
Support: 1.16205, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.16482, 1.16604
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.1620 swing low reopens 1.1608 session low
Close above 1.1637 rebound high extends recovery toward 1.1648 pre-drop base
Further Middle East headlines could re-trigger USD bid
EURUSD sold off sharply during NY hours as Middle East tensions lifted the Greenback, sweeping from 1.1647 down to 1.1605 in four bars. Buyers stepped in at 1.1605 and price has clawed back to 1.1630, but the recovery stalled at the 1.1637 recent high and is now fading back toward the session low.
Support: 1.16205, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.16469
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.16372 recent high would extend the recovery toward 1.16469 pre-drop area
Failure to hold 1.16205 session low reopens 1.16083 spike low and 1.16047 swing low
Further Middle East / Iran headlines remain the dominant driver and could materially shift this read
NY session sold off sharply through 1.1640 into 1.1605 as Middle East headlines lifted the dollar, before buyers stepped in for a recovery back to 1.1637. Price now consolidating just below the bounce high with RSI(14) at 55 after a bullish divergence into the session low.
Support: 1.16205, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1637 bounce high opens path back to the 1.1650 prior shelf
Failure to hold 1.1620 swing low reopens 1.1608 session low
Headline-driven tape — further Iran/Israel updates can override structure
18:45 UTC
Recovering from NY-session flush · RSI 55 · price 1.16325
Lower low printed at 1.1608, retrace into 1.1635.
Sharp NY-session flush drove price from 1.1648 to 1.1608 on Middle East headlines lifting the dollar, with sellers stepping in around 1.1647 pre-drop. Buyers reclaimed half the move into 1.1637 before stalling, current bar parked at 1.1633 with thin late-NY volume.
Support: 1.16205, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.16479
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.16372 retrace high opens path back to 1.16479
Failure at current level and break of 1.16205 swing low re-engages the downtrend toward 1.16083 session low
Headline-driven tape — fresh Iran/Israel comments can override structure
EUR/USD sold off sharply in the NY session as Middle East risk-off bid the dollar, breaking 1.1640 support and printing a session low at 1.16047 before stabilising. Price is now retracing into the broken 1.1640 zone with RSI(14) recovering to 58; the 1.16372 bounce high is the immediate level to watch.
Support: 1.16205, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.1647
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 1.16372 bounce high keeps the lower-low structure intact
M15 close above 1.16470 pre-drop base would neutralise the downtrend read
Loss of 1.16205 swing low reopens the 1.16083 session low
NY session drove a sharp break through 1.1640 down to 1.1608 on Middle East risk-off flows, then buyers stepped in to retrace roughly half the move back to 1.1637. RSI(14) recovering from oversold into the low 60s as the bounce extends toward the pre-drop base near 1.1647.
Support: 1.16205, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.1647
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.1647 pre-drop base would neutralise the downtrend read
Rejection at 1.1637 bounce high keeps the lower-low structure intact
Fresh Middle East headlines remain the dominant intraday driver
NY session saw a sharp drop from 1.1648 into 1.1608 on Middle East risk-off flows, with buyers stepping in at the session low twice. Price has since clawed back to 1.1635 and is now testing the recent high at 1.1637, RSI(14) recovering from oversold to mid-range.
Support: 1.16203, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16372, 1.16479
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.16372 recent high opens path back to 1.16479 pre-drop base
Failure to hold 1.16203 swing low reopens 1.16083 session low
Headline-driven tape on US-Iran / Hezbollah ceasefire flows can override structure
Lower high at 1.1664, sweep low 1.1605, recovery in progress.
NY session opened with a sharp leg lower on Middle East risk-off, slicing from 1.1647 through to a 1.1605 sweep low before buyers stepped in. Price has since base-built and recovered toward 1.1630, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold but capped under the 1.1634 session high.
Support: 1.16205, 1.16083, 1.16047
Resistance: 1.16344, 1.16499
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1620 reopens the 1.1608 sweep low
Reclaim above 1.1634 session high would extend the recovery toward the 1.1650 pre-drop shelf
Headline risk from US-Iran/Israel remains the dominant driver