Small session range below spike high, holding session low.
Thin Sunday reopen gapped slightly above Friday's 1.15393 close, then spiked to a 1.15586 session high before fading back to the 1.15422 session low. RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s as the spike unwinds; liquidity is light and ATR is compressed near 6 pips.
Support: 1.15422, 1.15393
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15466
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15586 reopens the session-high break
Failure to hold 1.15422 exposes Friday's 1.15393 close
Eurozone Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) and US ISM Manufacturing (Mon 14:00 UTC) could reset this thin read
Thin Sunday-open flow spiked to 1.15586 then got rejected, price sliding back to 1.15436 near the origin of the move. Lower highs at 1.1552 and 1.1558 cap the top while 1.15422 holds the base; RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s.
Support: 1.15422, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15516
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15422 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1500 pivot
Reclaim of 1.15586 negates the rejection read
Eurozone Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) could inject the first real liquidity of the week
Sunday reopen gapped up above Friday's 1.15393 close and, on thin Asia liquidity, spiked twice to 1.15586 before rejecting back to 1.15449. Price still holds above the prior six-week ceiling, but the paired highs near 1.15582/1.15586 have capped the move and RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range.
Support: 1.15427, 1.15393
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15516
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15586 clears the double top and opens continuation
Loss of 1.15427 exposes the 1.15393 gap fill
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mon 14:00 UTC) could reset the USD-led read
Gap-up open, pushed to session high then retraced.
EURUSD opened the week with a gap higher, clearing Thursday's 1.1537 six-week high, and the thin Asian session ran up to 1.15586 before fading to 1.15449. RSI(14) has cooled from the spike and ATR is a slim ~6 pips on holiday-open liquidity; price is now hovering just above the 1.15427 session low.
Support: 1.15427, 1.15393
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.1550
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.15427 opens the gap-fill path toward 1.15393
Sustained trade above 1.15586 extends the gap-open rally
US ISM Manufacturing (Mon 14:00 UTC) could drive the USD side of this read
23:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling after gap · RSI 56 · price 1.15449
Weekend gap up, pullback from session high.
New week opened with a gap higher, extending Friday's push through the 1.1537 six-week ceiling; price tagged 1.15586 then rejected, easing back to 1.15449. Thin early-Asia liquidity, RSI(14) cooling from the session-high spike with the gap-fill zone at 1.15393 below.
Support: 1.15423, 1.15393, 1.1532
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15466
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.15393 fills the weekend gap and negates the gap-up read
Reclaim of 1.15586 reopens the path higher into fresh territory
Eurozone Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) and US ISM (14:00 UTC) later today could reset this range
EURUSD gapped up on the Monday Asia open from Friday's 1.15393 close and pushed to a session high of 1.15586 before a rejection dragged price back to 1.15485. Move ran on thin weekend-open volume; RSI(14) cooling from the spike into the mid-50s.
Support: 1.15423, 1.15393
Resistance: 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15586 opens further upside toward the six-week ceiling
Loss of 1.15423 fills the weekend gap back toward 1.15393
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 62 · price 1.15485
Weekend gap up, holding above Friday range.
EURUSD gapped higher into the Sunday reopen and pushed to 1.1558, clearing Friday's 1.1546 high and Thursday's six-week peak at 1.1537 on thin volume. Price has since eased to 1.1548, holding above the 1.1543 open; RSI(14) cooling from the spike but still constructive.
Support: 1.1543, 1.1539, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1537
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1543 opens the gap-fill toward 1.1539
M15 close back below 1.1500 revives the sub-1.1500 pullback read
US ISM Manufacturing (Aug 3, 14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Thin Sunday reopen pushed EURUSD up off 1.15424 to a session high at 1.15586 before fading back to 1.1548, RSI(14) cooling from the spike. Move was USD-led as the post-Fed dollar short-covering paused; 1.15466 reopen base is holding so far.
Support: 1.15466, 1.15424
Resistance: 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15586 extends the reopen leg toward round-number levels
Loss of 1.15466 exposes the 1.15424 session low
Eurozone Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) and US ISM Manufacturing (14:00 UTC) could reset this read
22:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling after session high · RSI 57 · price 1.15479
Gap-up open, rejection off session high.
New week opened with a gap higher into thin Sunday liquidity, pushing to a session high at 1.15586 before rejecting back to 1.15480. Price holds above the reclaimed 1.15464 shelf; move stays USD-led into ISM risk.
Support: 1.15464, 1.15423
Resistance: 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15586 extends the session high
Failure to hold 1.15464 reopens 1.15423
US ISM Manufacturing (Aug 3, 14:00 UTC) could shift this read
Sunday reopen gapped up above Friday's 1.15393 close and extended to a session high at 1.15586 before easing to 1.15489 on thin Asia liquidity. Move is USD-led short-covering rather than fresh EUR data; price still holds well above the session low at 1.15423.
Support: 1.15423, 1.15393, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15586
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15423 session low would fill the reopen gap toward 1.15393 friday close
1.1500 psych pivot is the deeper level below on any USD re-bid
ISM Manufacturing (Aug 3, 14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
New-week open above Friday high, spike then pullback.
New-week open gapped above Friday's 1.15466 high and spiked to 1.15586 in thin Asia-session liquidity, then rejected back to 1.15489. Move is USD-led as the post-Fed dollar short-cover stalls; the 1.15586 print is an unconfirmed thin-book high.
Support: 1.15464, 1.15423, 1.15393
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15466
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.15464 puts the 1.15423 session low back in play
M15 close back above 1.15586 confirms the breakout beyond thin liquidity
ISM Manufacturing (Mon 14:00 UTC) could reset the USD-led read
22:16 UTC
Uptrend, thin holiday open · RSI 68 · price 1.15576
Weekend gap higher, extending.
EURUSD gapped higher into the Sunday/Asia open, clearing Friday's 1.15466 high and pushing to 1.15586 on thin volume. RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet stretched; the move is running above both EMAs with no pullback yet.
Support: 1.1544, 1.1539, 1.1520
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15466
What it said to watch
A slide back below 1.15390 fills the weekend gap and negates the breakout read
Eurozone Retail Sales (Aug 3 06:00 UTC) and US ISM Manufacturing (Aug 3 14:00 UTC) could reprice this open
New week opened with a small weekend gap up, EUR extending Friday's push into 1.1552 six-week-high territory on thin Asian-session volume. Price is grinding above the prior 1.15466 high with RSI(14) firm near 63; move was USD-led after Friday's short-covering faded.
Support: 1.15423, 1.1533, 1.15268
Resistance: 1.15519, 1.15466
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.15423 negates the fresh-high break
ISM Manufacturing (Aug 3, 14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 1.15519 opens continuation; rejection there caps the session
22:01 UTC
Uptrend, thin Sunday open · RSI 64 · price 1.15517
Gap-up, probing new highs above Fri range.
Friday spiked down to 1.1455 then fully recovered to 1.15466 highs; the Sunday reopen gapped up from the 1.15393 close and is grinding to new highs at 1.15517 on thin liquidity. Price is now above Thursday's six-week high area, driven by lingering USD short-covering wobble rather than fresh EUR flow.
Support: 1.15429, 1.15393, 1.1532
Resistance: 1.15519
What it said to watch
Thin Sunday-open ranges — a drop back under 1.15393 fills the weekend gap
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and US ISM 14:00 UTC could reset this read
Hold above 1.15429 keeps the higher-low sequence intact
EURUSD opened the new week with a small gap up above Friday's 1.15393 close and is coiling in a 1.1542-1.1547 range on very thin Asia-reopen liquidity. Price sits just under the 1.15466 session high after last week's recovery off the 1.1455 low; no directional development in play yet.
Support: 1.15429, 1.15393, 1.1532
Resistance: 1.15466
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15393 fills the gap and reopens Friday's range
M15 close above 1.15466 extends the recovery
ISM Manufacturing (Aug 3, 14:00 UTC) could drive the USD side and shift this read
21:46 UTC
Recovery, stalling near highs · RSI 62 · price 1.15459
Weekend gap up, thin consolidation under session high.
EURUSD gapped higher into Sunday's reopen near 1.1545 and is idling just under the 1.15468 session high in very thin, low-volume trade. Friday's recovery off the 1.1455 washout stalled here; the euro stays firm on sticky HICP but this leg is USD-led as the dollar short-covers.
Support: 1.15393, 1.1532, 1.1503
Resistance: 1.15468, 1.1550
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.15393 fills the weekend gap and undoes the pop
Sustained break above 1.15468 opens the 1.1550 psych level
US ISM Manufacturing Aug 3 14:00 UTC can reset this read
21:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling into thin open · RSI 61 · price 1.15424
Recovery HH/HL chain, weekend gap up.
Friday's session rallied off the 1.1455 spike low up to 1.1547, and the week reopened with a small gap higher to 1.1545. Monday Asia open is thin — price consolidating just above the 1.1539 pre-gap close, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme.
Support: 1.15393, 1.1532, 1.15236
Resistance: 1.15466
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1539 fills the weekend gap and reopens the 1.1532 swing low
M15 close above 1.1547 fri high extends the recovery
ISM Manufacturing PMI 14:00 UTC could shift dollar direction and this read
Sunday reopen gapped up from Friday's 1.15393 close to 1.15453 and is now settling at 1.15424 on very thin volume. Price holds above Thursday's 1.1537 six-week high, with the 1.15468 session high capping the first hour of trade.
Support: 1.15393, 1.1532, 1.15236
Resistance: 1.15468
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.15393 fills the weekend gap and negates the gap-up read
Break above 1.15468 extends the recovery leg
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3, 14:00 UTC) could drive the next USD-led move
Friday's session swept to 1.1455 then reclaimed 1.1500 and climbed steadily back to 1.15466 into the close, USD short-covering having capped the euro sub-1.1500 earlier. The new week opened thin at 1.15442, holding just under Friday's high with RSI near 60 and no fresh direction yet established.
Support: 1.1530, 1.1500, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.1550
What it said to watch
A close above 1.15466 opens the path toward 1.1550
Failure to hold 1.1500 reopens the downside toward the sweep low
Eurozone Retail Sales (Aug 3, 06:00 UTC) and US ISM Manufacturing (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
EURUSD recovered steadily from the midweek flush to 1.14550 back to the 1.15466 session high, USD short-covering the dominant driver into the weekend. Thin Sunday reopen prints near those highs at 1.15442, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 60 — no fresh extension yet.
Support: 1.1530, 1.1503, 1.14648
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.1550
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15466 opens the path toward the 1.1550 area
Failure to hold 1.15300 signals a pullback into the range
ISM Manufacturing (Mon 14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Recovery uptrend off the lows · RSI 63 · price 1.15393
Higher highs, higher lows since the 1.1455 sweep.
A sharp sweep to 1.1455 was fully reversed as EURUSD reclaimed 1.1500 and ground up to a session high at 1.15466 on the USD short-covering unwind. Micro-structure is a clean chain of higher lows, with price holding above both EMAs and RSI(14) around 63 — firm, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.15236, 1.1500, 1.14648
Resistance: 1.15466
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15236 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.1500
M15 close above 1.15466 extends the recovery toward Thursday's 1.1537 zone area to monitor
Eurozone Retail Sales (Aug 3 06:00 UTC) and ISM later could shift this read