EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 8 June 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Pullback within consolidation · RSI 41 · price 1.15285

Drifting off session high, lower highs into Asia.

EURUSD rallied off the 1.1499 three-month low to a 1.15545 session high before fading through quiet Asia hours, now testing 1.1528 with RSI(14) cooling near 41 and price below both EMAs. Move stalled at 1.1544/1.15545 after the NFP-driven USD bid, with euro pinned just above 1.1500.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15375, 1.1544, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1528 opens the path back toward 1.1500
  • Reclaim of 1.1544 reasserts the upper consolidation band
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

23:46 UTC

Rally stalled, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.15285

Consolidation in the 1.1530s after a session-high rejection.

After London/NY pushed to a session high of 1.1545, EUR/USD rolled over and is consolidating in the 1.1530s, now slipping to 1.1528 — the 50% retrace of the 1.1502-1.1545 rally — in thin early-Asia trade. RSI mid-40s and ATR near 2 pips reflect dead-of-session conditions; the move sits just below EMA20/50.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1514, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1536, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15276 swing low opens the path back toward 1.15140
  • Reclaim of 1.15360 needed to retest the 1.15545 session high
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant near-term catalysts for this pair

23:31 UTC

Consolidation after intraday bounce · RSI 44 · price 1.1530

Range-bound, basing above 1.1500.

EUR based above the 1.1500 three-month low after Friday's selloff, then bounced through the London-NY session to a 1.1554 high before stalling. Now drifting in a thin Asia-session range around 1.1530, with RSI(14) mid-zone and volume drying up into late hours.

Support: 1.1500, 1.1514

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.1500 exposes the 1.1490/1.1445 region
  • M15 close above 1.1554 reopens the upside
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thursday could materially shift this read

23:31 UTC

Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.1530

Consolidation above 1.1500 after Fri sell-off.

Thin Asia session drifting around 1.1530 after the London-NY rally to 1.1554 faded back into the range. Price is basing above the 1.1500 three-month low; RSI(14) neutral near 47 with ATR compressing into the overnight lull.

Support: 1.1508, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1554

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.1500 exposes 1.1490 then 1.1445
  • Close above 1.1554 session high reopens 1.1575
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

23:16 UTC

Rangebound, flat into close · RSI 51 · price 1.15333

Consolidation after NY rally faded.

After basing above the 1.1500 three-month low and rallying to a 1.1554 session high during NY, EURUSD has gone flat, coiling 1.1530-1.1535 on thin post-close volume. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with price pinned just under EMA20/50; no directional structure in play.

Support: 1.1530, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1500 reopens the 3mo low and exposes lower targets
  • Reclaim of 1.15545 session high needed to resume the upside
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next material catalyst for this read

23:16 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.15333

Consolidation in upper 1.1530s after rally faded.

London/NY drove EUR off the 1.1500 base to a 1.15545 session high before fading back into the upper 1.1530s. Asia session is thin and flat, price coiling around 1.1533 with RSI mid-40s; the post-NFP soft basing above 1.1500 holds for now.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15276 confirms a lower low and reopens the 1.1500 floor
  • Reclaim of 1.15473 would put the 1.15545 session high back in play
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu are the defining catalysts ahead

23:01 UTC

Consolidation after intraday rally · RSI 48 · price 1.15333

Tight range below session high, holding mid-1.1530s.

EUR rallied off the 1.14994 low to a 1.15545 session high during the London-NY window, then rejected and settled into a tight Asia-session range around 1.1533. Volume has thinned and ATR collapsed to a few pips with no setup in play; US CPI Wednesday and the ECB later in the week are the catalysts ahead.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15464, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15276 swing low exposes the 1.1500 round number and 1.14994 session low
  • Reclaim and close above 1.15464 swing high reopens the 1.15545 session high
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could break this range decisively

23:01 UTC

Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.15333

Tight consolidation after fade from session high.

London-NY pushed to a session high at 1.15545 before fading back to the 1.1530s, and price has stalled at the 38.2% retrace of that 1.14994-1.15545 run. Asia hours are thin (volume drying up) with EURUSD pinned in a 1.1528-1.1540 band, RSI(14) neutral near 47.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15276 reopens the 1.1500 round level
  • Reclaim of 1.15473 puts the 1.15545 session high back in play
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair

22:46 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.15323

Consolidation after NY high faded.

NY pushed to a session high at 1.15545 then faded back into a tight 1.1528-1.1536 band, with the last hours of thin Asian volume holding price flat at 1.1532. EUR remains pinned near 3-month lows; rejection at 1.15545 capped the rally and price now sits just under the EMA50.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1514, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15464, 1.15545, 1.1539

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.15276 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.1514
  • Reclaim of 1.15464 puts the 1.15545 session high back in play
  • ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

22:46 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.15323

Consolidation after recovery from 1.1499 lows.

EURUSD ranging in the 1.1528-1.1545 band through a thin Asia session after recovering from the 1.1499 3-month lows. Volume has collapsed into the late session and price is pinned around the EMA20 with no momentum; the bounce stalled below the 1.15545 high.

Support: 1.15276, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15276 reopens the path toward the 1.1499 lows
  • Close above 1.15545 breaks the session range
  • ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk for this pair

22:31 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.15329

Consolidation after pullback from session high.

EURUSD is grinding sideways in thin late-Asia trade between 1.1528 and 1.1545, having faded from the session high at 1.1554 to settle around 1.1533. RSI(14) is neutral near 50 and ATR has compressed to a few pips, reflecting pre-ECB positioning with EUR pinned above its 3-month lows.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1528 reopens the path toward 1.1500 lows
  • Reclaim of 1.1545 puts the 1.1554 session high back in play
  • ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read

22:31 UTC

Sideways, settled near range top · RSI 51 · price 1.15329

Recovered off 1.1500 to range 1.1530–1.1545.

EURUSD recovered through the London session from a 1.1499 dip back above the 9-day EMA zone, peaking at 1.1554 before settling into a tight 1.1530–1.1545 band through the thin late session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with no momentum extreme; price is coiling just under the session high with little volume on the latest bars.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1514, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15464

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.1554 session high opens room toward 1.1591
  • Loss of 1.1528 swing low reopens the 1.1514 London low
  • ECB decision Thu and US CPI Wed are the week's catalysts — current range likely holds until then

22:16 UTC

Recovered off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 49 · price 1.15334

Consolidation under session high.

EUR rallied off the 1.1502 low to a session high at 1.15545 before fading; now coiling 1.1530–1.1535 in thin Asian hours with RSI back near 50. Rejection at 1.15545 capped the move and price is drifting sideways with no setup in play.

Support: 1.15276, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1545

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15276 reopens the 1.1502 swing low
  • Close above 1.15545 resumes the intraday recovery
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC are the week's catalysts

22:16 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.15334

Consolidation under session high.

After the NY push to 1.15545, EURUSD has coiled into a tight 1.1528–1.1545 range through thin Asian hours, now sitting at 1.1533 with RSI(14) flat near 47. No setup in play — volume has bled out and price is pinned just under the session-high band.

Support: 1.1528, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1528 reopens the 1.1500 three-month low
  • Reclaim of 1.1545 puts the 1.15545 swing high back in focus
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant catalysts ahead

22:01 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.15343

Consolidating under intraday highs after NY rally.

EURUSD rallied off the 1.1499 low to a 1.15545 swing high through the NY session, then settled into a tight Asia-session range around 1.1530–1.1538 on thin volume. Price is pinned near the 1.1534 area with no setup in play; the asia high at 1.1538 caps and the 1.15276 session low is the floor.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1538, 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 1.1538 reopens the 1.15473 prior high
  • Loss of 1.15276 session low exposes the 1.1500 psych floor
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the catalysts that can break this range

22:01 UTC

Consolidating after pullback · RSI 49 · price 1.15343

Range below session high, holding above rising support.

EURUSD rallied off the 1.1499 three-month low to a session high of 1.15545 during NY hours, then pulled back and is now drifting in a tight 1.1528–1.1545 band through the thin Asia session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49, ATR a subdued ~13 pips; price is pinning to EMA20 with the broader USD bid still capping rebounds after Friday's strong NFP.

Support: 1.15276, 1.15016, 1.1499

Resistance: 1.15436, 1.15545, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15276 swing low reopens the 1.1499 three-month low
  • Close above 1.15545 session high resumes the recovery leg
  • US CPI (Wed) and ECB (Thu) are the week's catalysts that would override this range read

21:46 UTC

Rangebound after NY rally · RSI 52 · price 1.15355

Consolidating below session high.

NY session rallied off the London low near 1.1500 to a session high at 1.15545, then drifted back into a 1.1528-1.1545 range now trading thin into Asia. RSI(14) neutral near 52, no setup in play as price hugs the EMAs.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15464, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15545 resumes the upside leg
  • Break below 1.15276 opens a retest of the 1.1500 three-month low
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the week's catalysts and could reshape this read

21:46 UTC

Range, momentum neutral · RSI 51 · price 1.15355

Consolidating below session high after NY push.

NY session pushed to a session high at 1.15545 then faded, leaving price boxed between 1.15276 and 1.15436 into the thin Asia open. RSI(14) flat near 51 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no setup in play, with EUR pinned near three-month lows after the strong US payrolls print.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1514, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15436, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15436 reopens the 1.15545 session high
  • Break below 1.15276 exposes the 1.15140 pivot and 1.15016 low
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the week's catalysts and can override this range

21:31 UTC

Intraday rally stalling, pulling back · RSI 49 · price 1.15337

Pullback into consolidation below session high.

NY session drove EUR off the 1.1500 floor up to a 1.15545 session high before rejection, then a pullback to 1.15276 (~50% of the leg up). Price now grinds sideways near 1.1533 in thin Asian-hours volume, EUR pinned near two-month lows ahead of Thursday's ECB.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1541, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15410 reopens the 1.15545 session high
  • Break of 1.15276 swing low exposes the 1.1500 psych floor
  • ECB rate decision Thursday is the dominant catalyst this week

21:31 UTC

Uptrend faded, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 1.15337

Range after NY rally, thin Asia tape.

NY session drove EURUSD up to a 1.15545 session high before fading, with price now ranging 1.1528–1.1537 on very thin Asia volume. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral; the pair is holding the 38.2% retrace of the NY leg just above the 1.15276 dip.

Support: 1.15276, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15276 reopens the 1.15016 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.15473 puts the 1.15545 session high back in play
  • ECB rate decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's marquee risk for this pair

21:16 UTC

Pullback, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 1.15337

Ranging below session high.

NY session pushed up to 1.15545 then faded; price now consolidating in the 1.1528–1.1540 zone on thin Asia-open liquidity. The pullback held the swing low at 1.15276, leaving EUR pinned just above the 1.1500 psych ahead of Thursday's ECB.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15464, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15276 swing low opens the 1.1500 psych floor
  • Reclaim of 1.15464 swing high needed to retest the 1.15545 session high
  • Thursday ECB rate decision is the week's pivot for this read

21:16 UTC

Range after intraday pullback · RSI 47 · price 1.15337

Pulled back from session high, consolidating.

NY session pushed to a high at 1.15545 before rejecting, then faded to the session low at 1.15276 and is now coiling in a tight 1.1531-1.1533 band on very thin late-session volume. EUR remains pinned near two-month lows as the dollar holds its NFP-driven bid into Thursday's ECB.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1544, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15440 reopens the session high at 1.15545
  • Break below 1.15276 exposes the 1.1500 psych floor
  • ECB rate decision Thursday is the marquee risk for this range

21:01 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.15315

Rally to session high, now ranging into the lower end.

EURUSD climbed off 1.1500 through London/NY to a session high at 1.15545 before rejection, with EUR otherwise pinned near two-month lows ahead of Thursday's ECB. Price now consolidates 1.15276–1.15454 and is drifting to the lower end in thin late hours, sitting just under EMA20/EMA50.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1514, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15454, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15276 opens the 1.15140 session low
  • M15 close above 1.15454 reopens the 1.15545 session high
  • ECB rate decision Thursday is the marquee risk for EUR

21:01 UTC

Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 50 · price 1.15315

Consolidating below session high.

EURUSD rallied through the London-NY session to a high of 1.15545 before rejecting and grinding back into a tight 1.15276–1.15440 range, now holding 1.15315 into late NY. RSI(14) is neutral near 50 with price sitting just under EMA20/50; EUR remains pinned near two-month lows ahead of Thursday's ECB decision.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15276 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1500 psych floor
  • Reclaim of 1.15473 would put the 1.15545 session high back in play
  • ECB rate decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

20:46 UTC

Pullback after NY high, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 1.15318

Consolidation below session high, lower highs into NY close.

EURUSD peaked at the session high of 1.15545 during NY hours, then faded to a session low of 1.15276 and is now consolidating around 1.1531 into the NY close on thin volume. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 1.15450 range cap has capped each bounce since the high.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15276 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1500 psych floor
  • Reclaim of 1.15450 range cap re-opens the 1.15545 session high
  • ECB rate decision Thursday is the dominant risk but sits days out

20:46 UTC

Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.15318

Consolidating below session high after NY pullback.

EURUSD pushed to a 1.15545 session high during NY hours then faded back to 1.1530, now drifting under EMA20/50 into Asia. Price is consolidating just above the 1.15276 session low with EUR pinned near two-month lows ahead of Thursday's ECB.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1514, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.15470 reopens the 1.15545 session high
  • Loss of 1.15276 session low exposes 1.15140 swing low
  • ECB decision Thursday is the dominant catalyst this week

20:31 UTC

Intraday rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.15318

Pullback from session high, holding above swing low.

NY session pushed EURUSD to a 1.15545 session high before fading back to consolidate around 1.1530 into thin late-session hours, RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s. Price slipped under the EMA20 but is holding above the 1.15276 swing low.

Support: 1.15276, 1.15016, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15473

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15276 swing low exposes the 1.15000 psych floor / session low
  • Reclaim of 1.15545 session high needed to resume the intraday rally
  • ECB rate decision Thursday is the dominant risk for this pair

20:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 1.15318

Consolidating below session high after a fade.

NY session pushed EURUSD to a 1.15545 session high before fading back to ~1.1530, holding above 1.1500 into Thursday's ECB. Now ranging 1.15276–1.15440, RSI(14) flat near 47 with price hugging the EMAs as activity thins into late hours.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1544, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.15276 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1500 psych floor
  • Reclaim of 1.15440 puts the 1.15545 session high back in play
  • ECB rate decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst ahead

20:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 1.15308

Consolidation under session high after pullback.

EUR rallied through NY to a 1.15545 session high before fading; price now consolidating around 1.15310 with RSI(14) near 41 and price back below EMA20/50. Late-session, thin volume — pair pinned just above the 1.1500 zone the digest flags as the defensive floor.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1514, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1542, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.15276 opens the 1.15140 swing low
  • Close above 1.15420 reopens the 1.15545 session high
  • 1.1500 psych floor remains the key downside reference

20:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 1.15308

Post-rally range, fading off session high.

EUR/USD rallied off 1.1502 through the NY session to a 1.15545 session high before fading; price now drifts in a 1.1528-1.1544 range, sitting near the 0.5 retracement of that leg. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s as the move stalled just above the 1.1500 psychological floor.

Support: 1.15276, 1.15188, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1544, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15276 confirms a lower low, exposing the 1.1500 floor
  • Reclaim of 1.15440 reopens the 1.15545 session high
  • ECB rate decision Thursday is the dominant catalyst for this pair

20:01 UTC

Pullback after intraday high · RSI 43 · price 1.15308

Lower highs off 1.1554, holding above 1.1528.

NY session faded off the 1.1554 high, easing back to 1.1531 with RSI cooling toward mid-40s and a chain of lower highs since. Price is holding above the 1.15276 session low, EUR pinned near the 1.1500 zone into Thursday's ECB.

Support: 1.15276, 1.15016, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15467, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.15276 opens the 1.1500 psych floor
  • Close above 1.15467 reopens the 1.1554 session high
  • ECB Thursday is the dominant catalyst for this read

20:01 UTC

Pullback from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.15308

Lower highs after rejection at 1.1554.

EUR/USD rejected the NY session high at 1.15545 and has drifted into a string of lower highs, now sitting near 1.1531 below the short EMAs. RSI(14) cooled into the mid-40s as the post-NFP dollar bid keeps the pair pinned just above the 1.1500 zone.

Support: 1.15276, 1.15016, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15473

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15276 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.15016 swing low
  • M15 close back above 1.15473 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Pair pinned above 1.1500 psych floor into Thursday's ECB

19:46 UTC

Pullback from NY high, momentum cooling · RSI 43 · price 1.15303

Lower highs after rally peak, holding mid-range.

EURUSD rallied off the 1.15016 session low to a 1.15545 NY high before fading; supply capped the 1.1547 retest and price has slipped back to 1.15303, the 50% retrace of that move. RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s and price sits under both EMAs — chop between 1.15276 and 1.15473 with no clean direction into the Asia handover.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1514, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15276 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.15140 area
  • Reclaim of 1.15473 puts the 1.15545 session high back in play
  • ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this read

19:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.15303

Pullback after session-high rejection.

EUR rallied through the NY session to a 1.15545 high before stalling and fading into late NY, now drifting at 1.1530 with RSI cooling toward 42. Price has slipped back under EMA20/EMA50 and is holding the 1.15276 swing low; the 1.1545 consolidation top is the level capping rebounds.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1514, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15448, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15276 swing low opens the 1.1514 intraday low and 1.1500 psych floor
  • Reclaim of 1.15448 consol top would re-engage the session high at 1.15545

19:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 1.15327

Pullback after NY rally peaked at session high.

NY session ran the rally to a session high at 1.15545 before sellers capped it; price slid back to a swing low at 1.15276 and is now consolidating around 1.15327, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s. Move sits against a firm-USD backdrop after Friday's hot NFP, leaving the pullback shallow but persistent.

Support: 1.15276, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.1544, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15276 opens a retest of the 1.15016 session low
  • Reclaim of 1.1544 would put the 1.15545 session high back in play
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant catalysts that could override this intraday read

19:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalling, fading late session · RSI 43 · price 1.15327

Lower highs off 1.15545, holding above 1.15276.

NY session rallied off 1.1500 to a session high at 1.15545, then faded through the late session with price now sitting at 1.15327 below the EMA20. EUR remains pinned near two-month lows after Friday's hot NFP; 1.15276 swing low is the near-term floor, descending highs cap the topside.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1544, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.15276 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1500 psych level
  • Reclaim of 1.15440 negates the fading-highs structure
  • ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst into the next sessions

19:16 UTC

NY rally faded, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.15312

Lower highs off 1.15545, holding above 1.15276 swing low.

NY session pushed to 1.15545 then faded, printing lower highs as the USD held its post-NFP bid; price now consolidating near 1.1531 just above the 1.15276 swing low. RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s and price slipped below EMA20/EMA50, marking a stall in the intraday up-leg.

Support: 1.15276, 1.15188, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1544, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15276 opens the 1.15000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 1.15440 would reassert the NY up-leg
  • ECB Thursday and US CPI Wednesday are the dominant risks ahead

19:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 44 · price 1.15312

Rally peaked, lower highs into pullback.

NY session pushed EURUSD up to a session high of 1.15545 before momentum faded; price then consolidated in the 1.1538-1.1545 band and broke lower, tagging 1.15276 before a small bounce to 1.15312. Lower highs are now stacking and price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling toward 44.

Support: 1.15276, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.15276 confirms a lower low and extends the breakdown
  • Reclaim of 1.15470 swing high negates the rollover
  • Hold of 1.15000 psych remains the broader floor

19:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 1.15308

Pullback from session high after consolidation.

NY session drove EURUSD off the 1.15016 low to a session high of 1.15545 before stalling and consolidating near 1.1540. The last two bars slipped to 1.15276 then recovered to 1.1531, leaving price back under EMA20 with RSI cooling toward neutral as the move loses steam.

Support: 1.15276, 1.15016, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15276 opens the 1.1500/1.15016 area
  • Reclaim of 1.15450 would re-engage the session high at 1.15545
  • ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read

19:01 UTC

Uptrend, pullback into close · RSI 45 · price 1.15308

Rally stalling below session high.

NY session drove a clean leg from 1.15016 to the 1.15545 session high, then consolidated around 1.1540 before a pullback into the close toward 1.1530, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. EUR remains pinned near two-month lows; rejection at 1.1544 capped the rebound.

Support: 1.15276, 1.15016, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1544, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 1.15440 re-engages the 1.15545 session high
  • Loss of 1.15276 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.15016
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the defining catalysts for this read

18:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 1.15352

Consolidation near session highs after NY rally.

EUR rallied through London-NY from the 1.1502 session low to a 1.15545 high, then stalled and is consolidating 1.1535-1.1547 into late NY with momentum cooling. Broad USD remains bid post-NFP, but intraday flow kept the euro supported above 1.1530.

Support: 1.1533, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15330 confirms a lower-low, opening the 1.1502 session low
  • Reclaim and close above 1.15545 resumes the intraday uptrend
  • ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant swing risk for this pair

18:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 52 · price 1.15352

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

NY session rallied off the 1.1502 low to a session high at 1.1554, then drifted into a tight 1.1535-1.1545 band as momentum stalled in the late session. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral with EUR holding well above the 1.1500 psych line ahead of Thursday's ECB.

Support: 1.15315, 1.15163, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1554 extends the NY upswing
  • Failure to hold 1.1531 opens the 1.1516 swing low
  • ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially reset this read

18:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 1.15411

Consolidating near session high after NY rally.

NY session drove EUR off the 1.1500 region up to a 1.15545 session high on the broad post-NFP USD pullback, then stalled. Price now coils in a tight 1.1538-1.1547 band just under the high with RSI cooling toward neutral.

Support: 1.15378, 1.15315, 1.15018

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • A close above 1.15473 reopens the 1.15545 session high
  • Loss of the 1.15378 range base exposes 1.15315
  • Wed US CPI and Thu ECB are the larger structural risks ahead

18:31 UTC

Uptrend off intraday low, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 1.15411

Consolidating below session high after London rally.

EUR rallied off the 1.1502 London low to a 1.15545 session high, then settled into a tight 1.1536–1.1547 range during NY hours with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. Price is hugging the EMA20 around 1.1540 — no fresh extension in play.

Support: 1.15362, 1.15315, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15545 reopens the upside leg
  • Failure to hold 1.15362 confirms a lower low toward 1.15315
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

18:16 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 1.1539

Consolidating below NY session high after rally.

EUR rallied off the 1.1500 lows through the NY session, peaking at 1.1554 before stalling into a tight 1.1535–1.1546 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the leg loses steam; price now pinned just under EMA20 in late NY hours.

Support: 1.1535, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1546, 1.1554

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1535 breaks the consolidation floor
  • Loss of 1.1500 psych opens the 1.14 handle per channel base
  • ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read

18:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 1.1539

Higher highs/higher lows, now consolidating below session high.

NY session lifted EURUSD off the 1.1502 low to a 1.1554 session high, with the pair now consolidating around 1.1539 just above the rising swing low at 1.1531. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-range as the late-session push stalled; price is hugging EMA20 with EMA50 below.

Support: 1.1531, 1.1502, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1554, 1.1545

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.1554 session high extends the intraday up-leg
  • Close below 1.1531 swing low confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.1502
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC are the dominant risks ahead

18:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 1.15387

Consolidating below session high after rally off 1.1500.

EUR rallied off the 1.1500 session low up to 1.15545 through NY hours, then stalled and is now consolidating around 1.1539 with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. Pair remains pinned near two-month lows; the move up was a recovery within a broader soft-EUR backdrop ahead of Thursday's ECB.

Support: 1.15355, 1.15016, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15473

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 1.15355 range base puts the 1.1500 session low back in play
  • M15 close above 1.15545 reopens the session-high test
  • ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant near-term risk

18:01 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.15387

Rally off 1.1500 stalling below 1.1554.

NY session rallied EUR off the 1.1500 psych level to a 1.1554 session high, then stalled into a tight 1.1536-1.1547 consolidation as the session matured. Price now drifting back toward the EMA20, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s after the leg up.

Support: 1.15315, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15493, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15315 swing low confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.1500 psych level
  • Close above 1.15493 prior high reasserts the up-leg toward the 1.1554 session high
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu are the dominant near-term risks

17:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 1.15397

Consolidation under session high.

NY session rallied from the 1.1502 London low to a 1.15545 high, then stalled into a tight 1.1538–1.1547 range. RSI(14) has cooled back near 53 as price drifts just under EMA20; the higher-low chain holds above 1.15356.

Support: 1.15356, 1.15315, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.15545 resumes the intraday upmove
  • Loss of 1.15356 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the larger near-term risks to this range

17:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 1.15397

Rally off session low, consolidating below session high.

EUR climbed through the NY session off the 1.1502 low to tag a session high at 1.1554, then stalled and is consolidating around 1.1540 with RSI(14) easing back to neutral. The recovery keeps price comfortably off this week's 1.1500 region despite the firm-USD, soft-EZ-growth backdrop.

Support: 1.15356, 1.15016, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1535 swing low confirms a lower-low and ends the intraday uptrend
  • Break above 1.1554 session high reopens the upside
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the week's pivots and can override this intraday read

17:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 51 · price 1.15377

Higher lows off 1.1500, consolidating below session high.

EUR rallied through the NY session off the 1.1500 base to a 1.15545 session high, then stalled and is now consolidating in a 1.1538-1.1547 band with RSI(14) back to neutral. Demand stepped in repeatedly around 1.1531; the session high capped the move on the latest push.

Support: 1.15315, 1.15016, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15545 extends the rally toward next resistance
  • Loss of 1.15315 breaks the rising-low chain off the session low
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant upcoming macro risk for this cross

17:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 53 · price 1.15377

Higher highs into consolidation below session high.

NY session rallied from 1.15016 to a session high at 1.15545 before stalling; price now consolidates 1.1538-1.1545 with RSI cooling off the high. EUR is holding gains off its lows but supply is capping below 1.15545.

Support: 1.15315, 1.15188, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15474, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15315 breaks the consolidation and confirms a lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.15545 reopens continuation higher
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

17:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.15397

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

NY session drove EUR off the 1.15018 ny low up to a 1.15545 session high before fading, now consolidating around 1.1540 with RSI cooling back to mid-50s. The rally was a recovery within the broader near-1.1500 base; rejection at 1.15545 has capped the upside into late session.

Support: 1.15356, 1.15018

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15473

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15545 reopens the session-high break
  • Loss of 1.15356 swing low signals the NY rally stalling
  • ECB decision Thu and US CPI Wed sit outside this window but frame the days ahead

17:16 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 1.15397

Rally off session low, consolidating below high.

NY session rallied off the 1.1502 session low to a 1.1554 session high, recovering the early grind near 1.1500. Price is now consolidating around 1.1540 below the high with RSI(14) cooling from the rally; 1.1536 has held on the pullback.

Support: 1.15362, 1.15315, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15545 reopens continuation toward the highs
  • Failure to hold 1.15315 negates the recovery and reopens 1.1502
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant near-term risks for this cross

17:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 1.15399

Consolidating below session high after intraday rally.

NY session lifted EUR off the 1.1502 swing low to a session high at 1.1554, a sharp intraday recovery from the area just above the 1.1500 psych pivot. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as price stalls and consolidates near 1.1540, holding the 1.15315 pullback low.

Support: 1.15315, 1.15016, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15436

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 1.15315 reopens the 1.15016 swing low and the 1.1500 psych pivot
  • Break and hold above 1.15545 extends the intraday uptrend

17:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 55 · price 1.15399

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

NY session drove EUR off the 1.15016 session low to a 1.15545 high, RSI(14) cooling from overbought as price now consolidates in a 1.1536-1.1547 band. Dollar strength on the hot NFP keeps EUR pinned, so the rally is stalling rather than extending. No fresh setup in play while price holds mid-range.

Support: 1.15362, 1.15315, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15464, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15545 reopens the upside leg
  • Loss of 1.15315 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • US CPI Wed and ECB decision Thu are the defining catalysts that could override this read

16:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 1.15415

Higher highs/lows off 1.1502, consolidating below session high.

NY session rallied from the 1.1502 session low to a 1.15545 high, EUR catching an intraday bid despite USD firmness off Friday's NFP beat. Price now consolidates in the 1.1540s with RSI(14) cooling from the move; 1.15545 caps and the 1.15362 micro-low holds the base.

Support: 1.15362, 1.15315, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15545 extends the intraday uptrend
  • Failure to hold 1.15315 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising structure
  • ECB decision Thu and US CPI Wed are the week's defining catalysts

16:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 1.15415

Consolidating below session high after intraday rally.

NY session rallied EUR from the 1.1502 session low to a 1.1554 high, and price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1539–1.1545 band just below that high with RSI(14) cooling off near 58. Buyers have defended 1.1539 repeatedly; session high at 1.1554 remains the immediate cap.

Support: 1.1539, 1.15315, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15545 extends the intraday up-leg
  • Loss of 1.15390 opens the path back toward 1.15315
  • Lagarde speech (post-16:30 UTC) could shift this read into the next bars

16:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 1.15431

Higher highs off session low, consolidating near top.

EUR clawed back the Friday slide during NY hours, rallying from the 1.1502 session low to a 1.1554 high before stalling. Price now consolidating in the 1.1540s, RSI(14) mid-range with momentum cooling; the bounce comes despite soft German factory orders and a firm dollar.

Support: 1.15315, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15473

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15545 extends the intraday high chain
  • Failure to hold 1.15315 breaks the rising-low structure
  • ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's defining catalyst

16:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 1.15431

Higher highs/higher lows off 1.1502, consolidating below session high.

EUR/USD rallied through the NY session off 1.1502 to a session high at 1.15545, recovering Friday's slide; price now consolidating in the 1.1536–1.1545 band with RSI(14) easing back to the high-50s. The intraday higher-high/higher-low chain holds while 1.1536 is defended.

Support: 1.1536, 1.15315, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15464

What it said to watch

  • Lagarde speech (16:30 UTC) could shift this read as guidance lands
  • Close below 1.1536 breaks the rising-support sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.15545 reopens the path toward prior session highs

16:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 1.15438

Higher highs/higher lows off 1.1499 base.

NY session rallied EUR off the 1.14994 session low to a session high at 1.15545 before pulling back; price now consolidating near 1.1544 with RSI cooling from the move. Higher-low chain holding at 1.1531, keeping the intraday up-structure intact just above the 1.1500 floor.

Support: 1.15315, 1.1500, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15493

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15315 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Close above 1.15545 reopens upside continuation
  • ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could reset this read

16:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 1.15438

Higher highs/lows, consolidating below session high.

NY session rallied off the 1.15016 low and swept up to 1.15545 before stalling, EUR/USD now consolidating ~1.1544 with RSI cooling from overbought. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50; the bounce off two-month lows comes despite a broadly bid USD after Friday's strong NFP.

Support: 1.15362, 1.15315, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15493

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.15545 extends the NY leg
  • Loss of 1.15315 swing low ends the higher-low chain
  • Lagarde speech (Tue 16:30 UTC) could shift this read

16:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 59 · price 1.15436

Higher highs / higher lows off 1.1500.

NY session extended the rally off the 1.1500 round level, tagging a session high at 1.15545 before stalling, RSI(14) easing back near 59. EUR is grinding higher despite the broadly bid USD tone post-NFP; price is now consolidating just below the highs in the 1.1535–1.1545 band.

Support: 1.15362, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15473

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15545 extends the higher-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.15362 swing low breaks the rising support chain
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

16:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 1.15436

HH/HL chain off 1.1499, pulling back from session high.

NY session ran an uptrend off the 1.1499 low, tagging a session high at 1.15545 before easing back to 1.1544 with RSI(14) cooling from the high-60s. Buyers stepped in around 1.15315–1.15360 on the pullback; price holding above EMA20/50 keeps the intraday structure intact despite the broadly firm USD tone.

Support: 1.1536, 1.15315, 1.15244

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15315 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Reclaim and close above 1.15545 reopens the session high
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read

15:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.15406

Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.

EURUSD ground higher off the 1.1500 area through NY, tagging a session high at 1.15545 before rejecting back to 1.1536. Price now holds mid-range near 1.1541 above EMA20/50, with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral after the push.

Support: 1.15315, 1.1514, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15315 swing low confirms a lower-low and stalls the intraday uptrend
  • Close above 1.15473 reopens the 1.15545 session high
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the binary catalysts that could reset this read

15:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.15406

Higher highs into consolidation below session high.

EUR rallied through the NY session off the 1.1500 round level to a session high at 1.15545, then settled into a 1.1532–1.1547 consolidation with RSI(14) cooling from overbought. Move follows EUR pinned near two-month lows after Friday's strong US jobs; ECB Thursday is the binding event.

Support: 1.15315, 1.1514, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15545 extends the higher-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.15315 negates the rising support line
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC can override this intraday read

15:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 1.1539

Higher highs off 1.1500, pulling back near session high.

NY session rallied off the 1.1500 area to a session high at 1.1554 before fading back toward 1.1540, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price holds above EMA20/50 but the move stalled at 1.1545–1.1554 with a rejection wick into the close.

Support: 1.1532, 1.1515, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1554

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1554 extends the intraday higher-high chain
  • Failure to hold 1.1532 opens a retest of 1.1515
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read

15:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 1.1539

Higher highs and higher lows off 1.1500.

NY session lifted EUR off the 1.1500 round level to a session high of 1.15545 before rejecting, now consolidating near 1.1539 with RSI(14) cooling from the rally. The bounce comes against a backdrop of EUR pinned near two-month lows, so this is a recovery within a weak weekly tone rather than a trend shift.

Support: 1.15315, 1.1524, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15315 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Reclaim of 1.15545 session high reopens the upside
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu can override this intraday structure entirely

15:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 1.15458

Higher highs / higher lows off 1.1500.

NY session rallied off the 1.1500 base to a session high at 1.15545, then pulled back to 1.15315 before recovering toward 1.15458; RSI(14) cooling from the highs near 59. EUR is bouncing within a broadly USD-firm backdrop, with the 1.1500 pivot holding as the floor.

Support: 1.15315, 1.1516, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15464

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 1.15315 breaks the rising-low chain and reopens the 1.1500 pivot
  • Reclaim of 1.15545 extends the session uptrend
  • US CPI Wed and ECB decision Thu are the dominant near-term catalysts

15:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend off 1.1500 · RSI 59 · price 1.15458

Higher highs and higher lows since the 1.14994 low.

NY session built a steady uptrend off the 1.14994 low, breaking above the 1.1535 cap and tagging a session high at 1.15545 before easing back to 1.15458. RSI(14) near 59 leaves room; pullbacks into 1.15315 have so far been bought.

Support: 1.15315, 1.15171, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15591

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 1.15315 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Break and hold above 1.15545 opens 1.15591
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant catalysts ahead

15:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 53 · price 1.15431

Higher highs / higher lows off 1.1500.

NY session rallied EUR off the 1.1500 base to a 1.15545 session high, then faded on rejection back toward 1.15315 where buyers stepped in. RSI(14) cooled to ~53; price is holding the rising structure but capped under the session high.

Support: 1.15315, 1.1514, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15493

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15545 opens the path toward the 1.1591 area
  • Failure to hold 1.15315 reopens 1.15140 and the 1.1500 pivot
  • US CPI Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

15:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 1.15431

Higher highs/higher lows off 1.1502, pullback from session high.

NY session drove EURUSD off the 1.1502 base to a session high of 1.15545 before fading to 1.1543, with RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward the mid-50s. Price holds above the 1.15315 swing low; the rally tracks USD softening off DXY highs but stays capped under 1.15545.

Support: 1.15315, 1.15244, 1.1514

Resistance: 1.15493, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.15545 extends the higher-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.15315 confirms a lower-low and stalls the uptrend
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that can reset this read

14:46 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 55 · price 1.15361

Higher highs/lows off session low, retracing from session high.

NY session pushed EURUSD up from the 1.15016 session low to 1.15545 before rejection capped the high and price eased back to 1.15361, holding above EMA20. RSI(14) cooling from the rally near 55; move sits around the 38.2% retrace of the intraday leg with USD firm into Wednesday's CPI.

Support: 1.15315, 1.1514, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15436, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15315 opens the path back toward the 1.15140 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.15436 puts the 1.15545 session high back in play
  • US CPI Wed and Lagarde guidance could materially shift this read

14:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 1.15361

Higher highs into NY, now pulling back.

NY session rallied off the 1.15016 low to a session high at 1.15545 before fading back to 1.15360, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Move came against a broadly firm USD pinning EUR near two-month lows; pullback is holding the 1.15300 swing for now.

Support: 1.1530, 1.1514, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15436, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15300 negates the higher-low chain and reopens 1.15140
  • Reclaim of 1.15545 needed to extend the intraday uptrend
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant catalysts that can override this read

14:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.15351

Higher highs/lows off 1.15016, pulling back from session high.

NY session drove EUR/USD up from 1.15016 to a session high at 1.15545 before rejection, RSI cooling from the highs. The pullback is holding the 38.2% fib near 1.15343, with broad USD strength post-NFP capping above the session high.

Support: 1.15343, 1.1528, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15436

What it said to watch

  • Close below the 50% fib at 1.15280 negates the intraday higher-low chain
  • Reclaim of the 1.15545 session high reopens upside

14:31 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 55 · price 1.15351

HH/HL chain off the NY low, retracing from session high.

NY session rallied off the 1.15016 low to a session high of 1.15545, then faded back to 1.15351 — roughly a 38% retrace of that move. EUR stays pinned near 1.1530 with a 25bp ECB hike fully priced; RSI cooling from the rally peak as buyers held the 1.15315 area on the last bar.

Support: 1.15315, 1.1514, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15436

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.15140 breaks the HL chain off the NY low
  • Reclaim of 1.15545 reopens the session high
  • ECB rate decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant upcoming risk

14:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.15384

Higher highs into session high, now pulling back.

NY session rallied off 1.15016 to a session high of 1.15545 before rejecting and fading to 1.15384, RSI(14) cooling from overbought. USD strength post-NFP is capping EUR, with the climb stalling at the 1.15464–1.15545 zone.

Support: 1.15372, 1.15331, 1.1524

Resistance: 1.15464, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.15331 negates the higher-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.15545 reopens the session-high break
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

14:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.15384

Higher highs into session high, now retracing.

NY session drove a clean rally off 1.14994 to a session high at 1.15545, RSI(14) cooling from hot toward 56 as price pulls back to 1.15384. Pullback holding above the 38.2% fib at 1.15330; prior swing-low support sits at 1.15188.

Support: 1.1533, 1.15188, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15436, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15330 deepens the retrace toward 1.15188
  • Reclaim of 1.15436 reopens the path to the 1.15545 session high
  • ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US CPI Wed sit outside the next bar window but frame the broader range

14:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 1.15421

Higher highs into session high, pulling back.

NY session drove EURUSD off the 1.15016 low to a session high at 1.15545, with the move accelerating despite a soft USD-positive macro backdrop after Friday's strong NFP. Price is now consolidating just under 1.15464, RSI(14) cooling from the rally; 1.15401 holding as near support.

Support: 1.15401, 1.15356, 1.15244

Resistance: 1.15464, 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 1.15356 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
  • Reclaim of 1.15545 reopens the path higher
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

14:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 1.15421

Higher highs/lows off 1.1502, pulling back from session high.

EUR/USD bounced off the 1.15016 session low and ground higher through the NY session despite the soft German Factory Orders (-3.8%), printing a session high at 1.15545 before being rejected. Price is now pulling back to 1.15421, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI cooling near 59.

Support: 1.15349, 1.15188, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15464

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 1.15349 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.15545 session high opens room higher
  • US CPI Wed could materially shift this read

13:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 67 · price 1.15456

Higher highs and higher lows off session low.

EUR/USD climbed off the 1.14994 session low through the London-NY window, printing a chain of higher lows and breaking to a session high at 1.15545 before settling near 1.1546. RSI(14) around 66 — hot but not extreme — and price holds above EMA20/50; the rebound runs against this week's broadly firm USD tone after Friday's strong NFP.

Support: 1.15356, 1.15154, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1560

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15356 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
  • Acceptance above 1.15545 opens the 1.1560 round number
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the week's USD risk and can override this intraday read

13:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 67 · price 1.15456

Higher highs / higher lows off session low.

NY session rally lifted EUR/USD off the 1.1500 session low to a 1.15545 high, a breakout above the prior 1.1534 swing; EUR firmed intraday despite the weak German Factory Orders print. Last bar pulled back to 1.15456 with RSI cooling from the high-60s — 1.15340 is the breakout retest zone.

Support: 1.1534, 1.1524, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1560

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15545 extends the rally toward 1.1560
  • Failure to hold 1.15340 negates the breakout and reopens 1.15240
  • US CPI Wed could materially shift the USD leg of this read

13:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 71 · price 1.15511

Higher highs and higher lows off 1.1500.

NY session rallied off the 1.1500 session low, breaking the prior 1.1535 range top and printing fresh session highs at 1.15545. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but normal in this push; buyers stepped in repeatedly through the European-NY transition.

Support: 1.15356, 1.15188, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1560

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15356 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.15188
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • Sustained move above 1.15545 opens the path to 1.1560

13:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 71 · price 1.15511

Higher highs, higher lows off 1.1499.

EUR/USD ground higher through the NY session, rallying off the 1.1499 low to a session high at 1.15545, RSI(14) near 71 and hot but not extreme. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with a clean chain of higher lows; the move runs against the broader bearish week, so it reads as an intraday recovery rather than a trend shift.

Support: 1.1541, 1.1524, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15545 extends the leg higher
  • Failure to hold 1.15410 breaks the rising-low structure
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT and ECB Thu 12:15 GMT could override this read

13:16 UTC

Uptrend, intraday recovery · RSI 69 · price 1.15428

Higher highs/higher lows off 1.14994 base.

EUR/USD ground higher through the NY session, stacking higher lows off the 1.14994 base to a session high at 1.15464; RSI(14) elevated near 68. The pair is recovering from two-month lows after Friday's NFP-driven slide, with price now stalling just under 1.1546.

Support: 1.1535, 1.15244, 1.1514

Resistance: 1.15464, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 1.15350 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • Acceptance above 1.15464 opens the path toward 1.15500
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

13:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, near session high · RSI 66 · price 1.15428

Higher highs and higher lows off 1.1500.

EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1500 session lows through NY hours, stacking higher highs to 1.15464 with RSI(14) near 66 — firm but not yet stretched. USD held strong post-NFP, but EUR found demand at the round 1.1500 and is now pressing the session high.

Support: 1.1535, 1.15154, 1.15018

Resistance: 1.15464, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • A close above 1.15464 opens the path toward 1.1550
  • Loss of 1.15350 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • US CPI later this week is the dominant risk to this read

13:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend, recovering off lows · RSI 66 · price 1.15436

Higher highs / higher lows since 1.1499.

NY session has staged a steady recovery off the 1.14994 low, printing higher lows into a session high at 1.15449; RSI(14) firm near 66, not yet stretched. EUR remains heavy on the week after the German Factory Orders miss (-3.8%) and Friday's strong NFP, but the intraday leg is constructive while 1.15355 holds.

Support: 1.15355, 1.1514, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15449, 1.15436

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15355 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.14994
  • M15 close above 1.15449 extends the session uptrend
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the dominant USD risk and can override this read

13:01 UTC

Intraday recovery off the lows · RSI 66 · price 1.15436

Higher lows since 1.1500, pressing session highs.

NY session lifted EUR off the 1.1500 lows in a clean chain of higher lows, now testing the session high at 1.15449 with RSI(14) near 66 — firm but not stretched. Move comes despite a soft German Factory Orders print, as USD bulls paused in European hours.

Support: 1.1534, 1.1508, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15449

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15449 extends the recovery toward 1.1559
  • Loss of 1.15340 reopens the 1.1508 zone and breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

12:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, recovering · RSI 64 · price 1.15407

Higher lows off session low, pressing range top.

NY session staged a steady recovery from the 1.15016 session low, carving higher lows and breaking back above the prior intraday balance toward the 1.15436 session high. Price is consolidating just under that high with RSI(14) elevated near 64; EUR firmer despite Friday's strong NFP keeping USD bid.

Support: 1.1514, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15436, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15436 opens the path to 1.1550
  • Failure to hold 1.1514 reopens the 1.15016 session low
  • US CPI Wed could materially shift this read

12:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend off session low · RSI 64 · price 1.15407

Higher highs, higher lows since the 1.1502 low.

NY session has driven a steady recovery off the 1.1502 session low to a 1.15436 high, with EUR clawing back ground after German Factory Orders fed earlier weakness. RSI(14) elevated near 63 but not stretched; higher-low chain intact and price holding above EMA20/50.

Support: 1.15356, 1.15154, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15436, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15356 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.15154
  • Sustained close above 1.15436 extends the session uptrend toward the 1.1550 psych level
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant near-term tape risks

12:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 64 · price 1.15382

Higher highs and higher lows off session low.

EUR/USD rallied through the NY session off the 1.14994 session low to tag 1.15436, with RSI(14) easing back near 64 as price consolidates around 1.1538. A clean chain of higher lows holds, but the session high is capping for now after the soft German data and firm USD backdrop.

Support: 1.1514, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15436, 1.15403

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 1.15140 keeps the higher-low chain intact; a close below confirms a lower-low
  • M15 close above 1.15436 opens continuation toward 1.1560
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC are the near-term tape-movers

12:16 UTC

Intraday recovery off session low · RSI 61 · price 1.15368

Higher lows into session high, consolidating below 1.1544.

NY session rebounded sharply off the 1.15016 low to a 1.15436 session high, then stalled and is consolidating near 1.1537 with RSI(14) cooling from the rally. EUR remains heavy on the bigger picture after weak German Factory Orders, but intraday flow has carved a chain of higher lows.

Support: 1.1514, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15436, 1.1555

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15436 opens the path toward 1.1550
  • Failure to hold 1.15140 reopens the 1.15016 session low
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

12:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend, near session high · RSI 64 · price 1.15387

Higher highs/higher lows off session low.

EURUSD rallied through the NY session off the 1.15016 low to print a session high at 1.15436, now holding 1.15387 as price consolidates just under the high. RSI(14) near 64, supportive but not stretched; the soft German Factory Orders (-3.8% vs -1.2%) earlier kept rebounds capped near 1.1530 before this leg up.

Support: 1.1514, 1.15016

Resistance: 1.15436, 1.15394

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15436 extends the higher-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.1514 breaks the rising intraday support
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could reset this read

11:46 UTC

Intraday rebound off the lows · RSI 63 · price 1.1536

Higher lows since 1.1500, pushing into session high.

EURUSD bounced off the 1.1500 area twice during NY hours and rallied into the session high at 1.1543 before easing to 1.1536, RSI(14) around 63. Buyers stepped in repeatedly near the descending-channel base flagged ~1.1510, with the pair holding heavy after the weak German Factory Orders (-3.8% vs -1.2% f/c).

Support: 1.1515, 1.1500, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15436, 1.1560

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.15436 extends the higher-high sequence toward the 1.1560 prior low
  • Loss of 1.1515 reopens the 1.1500 swing low
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

11:31 UTC

Intraday rebound, momentum up · RSI 70 · price 1.15404

Higher lows since 1.1502, pressing session high.

EUR/USD rebounded off the 1.1502 session low and pushed to a session high at 1.15416, RSI(14) near 69 as the rally extended into NY hours. Move comes against a heavy backdrop — EUR pinned near 2-month lows after the German Factory Orders miss — so this reads as a bounce within the broader 1.1510 channel base.

Support: 1.1520, 1.15016, 1.1510

Resistance: 1.15416, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15416 opens the path toward the 1.1550 psych zone
  • Failure to hold 1.1520 swing low reopens 1.15016 session low
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the dominant risk to this read

11:16 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum up · RSI 59 · price 1.15312

Higher lows building off 1.1500.

EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1500 channel base, rallying ~36 pips to a session high of 1.15356 before stalling near 1.1539 supply; RSI(14) cooling from the push. German Factory Orders miss (-3.8%) keeps EUR heavy, but buyers stepped in twice at the channel base.

Support: 1.1510, 1.15016, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15356, 1.15394

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15356 extends the recovery toward 1.15394
  • Failure to hold the 1.1500 channel base opens fresh lows
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

11:01 UTC

Downtrend stalling, bounce in play · RSI 54 · price 1.15249

Bounced off session low, capped below 1.1530.

EUR drifted to a session low near 1.1500 — just above the digest's 1.1510 channel base — before buyers stepped in and lifted the pair back toward the 1.1530 swing high, where supply has capped twice. German factory orders missing at -3.8% kept rebounds shallow; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no extreme.

Support: 1.1500, 1.1514

Resistance: 1.15315, 1.15394

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15315 reopens the 1.1539 prior high
  • Failure to hold 1.1500 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1510 channel base
  • US CPI Jun 10 and ECB Thu could materially shift this read

10:46 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 45 · price 1.15167

Lower highs into session low, modest recovery.

EUR stayed heavy through London after German factory orders cratered -3.8%, grinding to a session low at 1.15018 just above the 1.1500 psych level before a ~15-pip bounce to 1.1517. Sequence of lower highs from 1.1539 keeps the intraday tone offered; RSI(14) near 45, no extreme.

Support: 1.15018, 1.1500, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15193, 1.1534, 1.15394

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.15193 ema20 needed to ease the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.15000 psych / 1.14994 channel base opens fresh downside
  • US CPI Jun 10 12:30 GMT is the next macro pivot for the cross

10:31 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 46 · price 1.15165

Lower highs into session low, short-term recovery.

EUR drifted lower through the London session, pressing toward the descending-channel base after the weak German Factory Orders read; price swept to a session low of 1.1499 then bounced back to 1.1516. RSI(14) recovering from the dip but capped under the 1.1524 swing high; pair holds heavy below EMA20/EMA50.

Support: 1.1510, 1.1499

Resistance: 1.1524, 1.1534, 1.1539

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.1499 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1510 channel base break
  • Reclaim above 1.1534 session high needed to flip the intraday structure
  • US CPI Jun 10 and ECB Thu are the dominant risks into the next sessions

10:16 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs into session lows · RSI 42 · price 1.15102

Lower-high / lower-low chain, probing 1.1500.

EURUSD gapped lower from Friday's close and drifted down through the session, carving lower highs from 1.15394 to a 1.14994 session low before a shallow bounce to 1.15102. RSI(14) near 42 with price under EMA20/50; soft German Factory Orders (-3.8%) keep the tone heavy into ECB week.

Support: 1.14994, 1.15045

Resistance: 1.15193, 1.1534

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 1.14994 confirms continuation lower
  • M15 close back above 1.15193 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

10:00 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 36 · price 1.1506

Lower highs, lower lows into 1.1500.

EURUSD ground lower through the NY session in a clean descending channel, printing a fresh low at 1.14994 before a small bounce to 1.1506. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 36 — soft but not yet stretched — and the round 1.1500 psych level is the immediate pivot.

Support: 1.1500, 1.14994

Resistance: 1.15256, 1.15394

What it said to watch

  • Sustained break below 1.1500 confirms continuation toward the swing low extension
  • M15 close back above 1.15256 breaks the chain of lower highs
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

09:45 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 32 · price 1.15027

Lower highs, lower lows since session high.

EUR/USD sold off through the session from the 1.15394 high to fresh lows at 1.15014, slipping below the 1.1510 channel bottom flagged into the ECB. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 31 — soft but not yet stretched. German Factory Orders missing badly (-3.8%) reinforced the soft-growth backdrop.

Support: 1.15014, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1520, 1.15394

What it said to watch

  • A close back above 1.15200 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.1500 round number extends the downside leg
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

09:31 UTC

Downtrend, fading from session high · RSI 34 · price 1.15063

Lower highs after rejection at 1.1539.

EUR/USD rejected the 1.1539 session high and bled lower through NY hours into a fresh low at 1.15054, RSI(14) near 34 but not yet extreme. Price sits at the lows after a clean string of lower highs; sellers have capped each bounce around 1.1526.

Support: 1.15054, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15262, 1.15394

What it said to watch

  • A close below 1.15054 confirms continuation toward the 1.1500 psych level
  • Reclaim of 1.15262 breaks the lower-high chain
  • ECB decision Jun-11 and US CPI Wed are the dominant catalysts ahead

09:16 UTC

Downtrend, drifting to session low · RSI 39 · price 1.15079

Lower highs, retesting session low.

EURUSD ground lower through the London session after rejection from the 1.1539 high, sliding back to retest the 1.1506 session low with RSI(14) near 39. EUR remains pinned around the 1.1500 two-month-low zone with the pair offered into the ECB decision.

Support: 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15343, 1.15394

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15059 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1490s
  • Reclaim of 1.15343 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant catalysts for the next sessions

09:00 UTC

Ranging, mild downward drift · RSI 44 · price 1.15157

Intraday range after weekend gap down.

EURUSD opened the week with a gap down toward 1.1509 then recovered into a 1.1514–1.1539 range; rejection at the 1.15394 session high has price fading back near 1.1515. RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme as EUR sits pinned near two-month lows ahead of US CPI and the ECB decision.

Support: 1.1514, 1.15076, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1533, 1.15394

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15140 opens the path to the 1.15000 psych level
  • reclaim of 1.15394 session high invalidates the range read
  • US CPI Wed and ECB decision later this week are the defining catalysts for this pair

08:46 UTC

Sideways, range-bound · RSI 46 · price 1.15201

Intraday range, price hugging EMAs.

EURUSD is ranging 1.1514–1.1535 through the London session after stalling at the 1.1539 spike high. RSI(14) neutral near 46 and ATR(14) ~9 pips; price is pinned near two-month lows with no clean break in either direction ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.

Support: 1.1514, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1534, 1.15394

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1514 opens the 1.1500 round number
  • M15 close above 1.1535 session high reopens upside toward 1.1539
  • US CPI Jun 10 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

08:31 UTC

Ranging, slight downward drift · RSI 47 · price 1.15182

Intraday range, capped after rejection at 1.1539.

EURUSD ranging roughly 1.1514–1.1539 through the London session, RSI(14) neutral near 47. Price was rejected at the 1.1539 session high and is drifting back into the lower half of the range; EUR stays pinned near two-month lows with the move all about Wednesday's US CPI and the Jun 11 ECB decision.

Support: 1.1514, 1.15059, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15394, 1.1533

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1514 session low opens the 1.1500 psych level
  • Close above 1.1539 session high needed to reactivate upside
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Jun 11 are the defining catalysts for this range

08:16 UTC

Range, faded off highs · RSI 44 · price 1.15162

Rejection at session high, back to range lows.

London push lifted EURUSD off 1.1506 to tag 1.15394 before sellers capped it, fading the pair back to the 1.1515 range floor. RSI(14) mid-range near 44 with price under both EMAs; the move has near-fully retraced as the euro stays pinned by weak-growth data (German factory orders -3.8%) ahead of CPI/ECB risk.

Support: 1.15134, 1.15059, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15394, 1.1525

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15394 negates the rejection
  • Loss of 1.15134 opens the 1.1506 asia low and 1.1500 psych
  • US CPI Jun 10 and ECB Jun 11 are the defining catalysts ahead

08:01 UTC

Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 1.15248

Consolidation between 1.1515 and 1.1539.

EURUSD ground higher through the Asia session to a session high at 1.15394 before being rejected, and is now consolidating in a 1.1515-1.1535 band into the London open with RSI(14) hovering near 50. Price is pinned at two-month lows as soft German Factory Orders (-3.8%) reinforce the weak-growth story; chop, no clean intraday structure in play.

Support: 1.15134, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15394, 1.15344

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15394 reopens the path toward 1.16
  • Failure to hold 1.15134 exposes the 1.1500 psychological line
  • ECB decision Jun 11 and US CPI Jun 10 are the defining catalysts ahead

07:46 UTC

Range, slight recovery off lows · RSI 48 · price 1.15245

Intraday range with higher low after rejection.

London session ranging 1.1513-1.1539 after a rejection at the 1.15394 session high pushed price back toward the lower band. Buyers stepped in at 1.15134, forming a higher low; price now hovers mid-range near 1.15245 with EUR pinned near two-month lows on weak German data.

Support: 1.15134, 1.15059, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15394, 1.1533

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15394 opens a retest of the 1.1560 area
  • Loss of 1.15134 reopens the 1.15059 post-gap low
  • US CPI Jun 10 and ECB Jun 11 are the defining catalysts ahead

07:31 UTC

Range, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 1.15215

Ranging inside session highs/lows.

EUR/USD is ranging through the London morning between 1.15134 and the 1.15394 session high, with sellers rejecting the 1.1539 push before a fade back to 1.1521. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46; price holds just below EMA20/50 after the post-gap recovery stalled.

Support: 1.15134, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15394, 1.1535

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15394 reopens the 1.1550s
  • Break below 1.15134 exposes the 1.15059 post-gap low
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 and ECB Jun 11 dominate the week's path

07:16 UTC

Short-term pullback, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 1.15152

Rejected at session high, pressing session lows.

London hours saw EUR/USD rejected at the 1.1539 session high and roll over, RSI(14) cooling toward 40 as price now presses the 1.1513 session low. Pullback has erased the post-Asia push; chart sits below EMA20/50 with the dollar still carrying residual NFP strength.

Support: 1.15134, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15394, 1.1533

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1513 opens path toward the 1.1506 Asia low
  • Reclaim of 1.1539 needed to reverse the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:01 UTC

Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.15192

Intraday range, rejection at 1.1539.

EURUSD ground higher off the 1.1506 Asia low to a 1.1539 session high before sellers rejected the level, fading the move back to 1.1516. Price now sits mid-range near 1.1519 with RSI cooling toward neutral; the dollar stays firm after Friday's strong NFP.

Support: 1.15158, 1.15113, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15394, 1.1533

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15113 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1506 area
  • Reclaim of 1.15394 session high needed to resume the intraday climb
  • US CPI Jun 10 is the dominant near-term risk for this pair

06:46 UTC

Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 44 · price 1.1521

Intraday range, higher lows fading.

Monday Asia carved a range between 1.1508 and 1.1539 after the weekend gap left EUR near 2-month lows on the strong US NFP. Latest bars rejected the 1.1539 session high and slipped back to 1.1517 before stabilising around 1.1521; price now sits mid-range, slightly below EMA20.

Support: 1.1517, 1.1508

Resistance: 1.1539, 1.1530

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1517 reopens the 1.1508 asia low
  • Reclaim of 1.1539 session high needed to extend the recovery
  • US CPI Jun 10 and ECB Jun 11 are the dominant near-term risks

06:31 UTC

Recovery stalling, pullback in play · RSI 41 · price 1.15193

Intraday range, rejected at session high.

Monday Asian session recovered off 1.15059 and pushed to a session high at 1.15394, but the move was rejected and price has retraced back to 1.15193, slipping under EMA20. Range now defined roughly 1.1516–1.1539 with momentum cooling, RSI(14) near 41.

Support: 1.1516, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15394, 1.15333

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15160 reopens the 1.15059 session low
  • Reclaim of 1.15394 needed to negate the rejection
  • US CPI Jun 10 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this pair

06:16 UTC

Intraday recovery stalling · RSI 46 · price 1.15206

Rejection off session high, pulling back.

Post-gap, EUR/USD recovered from the 1.15059 session low up to 1.15394 through Asia, then sellers rejected the 1.1539 high into early London and price slid back to 1.15206. RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range as the recovery stalls; broader tone stays heavy near two-month lows after Friday's strong US NFP.

Support: 1.15113, 1.15059, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15394, 1.1534

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15113 reopens the 1.15059 session low
  • Reclaim of 1.15340 needed to retarget the 1.15394 session high
  • US CPI Jun 10 could materially shift this read

06:01 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 1.15278

Ranging near session highs after recovery off 1.1506.

EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1506 session low through the morning toward 1.1535, holding the post-NFP two-month-low regime. The last bar spiked to 1.15394 and was sold straight back to 1.15278, leaving price ranging roughly 1.1525–1.1535.

Support: 1.15247, 1.15174, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15394, 1.1533

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15394 opens the path back toward 1.1559 pivot
  • Loss of 1.15174 risks a revisit of the 1.15059 session low
  • US CPI Jun 10 and ECB Jun 11 are the dominant risks that can override this range

05:46 UTC

Short-term uptrend off session low, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 1.15335

Higher lows grinding up into 1.1539 cap.

EUR/USD opened the Asia session after a weekend gap down near 1.1509 and has ground higher to a 1.1539 session high before stalling, RSI(14) easing back near 58. Price recovers within the broader two-month-low zone after Friday's strong US NFP capped EUR; 1.1559 remains overhead resistance.

Support: 1.1519, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15394, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • Sustained move above 1.1539 exposes the 1.1559 two-month-low pivot
  • Loss of 1.1519 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.1506
  • US CPI (Jun 10) and ECB decision (Jun 11) could reshape this read

05:31 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding · RSI 61 · price 1.15325

Higher lows off session low, near session high.

Asia session has ground higher from the weekend gap open near 1.1509, posting a chain of higher lows into the 1.15352 session high. RSI(14) around 60 and ATR compressed near 4 pips — slow, low-volatility drift with no breakout in play yet.

Support: 1.15191, 1.15113

Resistance: 1.15352, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 1.15191 keeps the higher-low chain intact; loss of it flattens the structure
  • Close above 1.15352 extends the session range toward 1.1550
  • US CPI Jun 10 and ECB Jun 11 are the dominant catalysts that can override this intraday read

05:16 UTC

Recovering off session low, grinding higher · RSI 59 · price 1.15327

Higher-low chain into session high.

Asia session clawed back from the session low near 1.15059, building a higher-low chain and now pressing the session high at 1.15344. EUR sits just off its two-month low after Friday's strong US NFP; tape is quiet pre-CPI with the ECB decision Jun 11 the larger event ahead.

Support: 1.15174, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15344

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15344 extends the recovery higher
  • Failure to hold 1.15174 reopens the session low at 1.15059
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Jun 11 can materially shift this read

05:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend off session low, momentum easing · RSI 61 · price 1.1531

Higher lows since 1.1506, grinding into session high.

Asia session has ground higher off the 1.1506 low after the weekend gap down, posting higher lows and stalling just under the 1.15344 session high. EUR remains pinned near its post-NFP two-month low (1.1559), and the grind up here is corrective in scope rather than a trend shift.

Support: 1.1520, 1.15113, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15344, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.15344 opens the path back toward the 1.1559 two-month low
  • Loss of 1.1520 reopens the 1.15059 session low
  • German Factory Orders / Sentix today could disturb the Asian range

04:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.1533

Higher highs/higher lows recovering weekend gap.

Asia session opened with a weekend gap-down to 1.15094 but buyers stepped in and a steady chain of higher lows has reclaimed Friday's close, pushing price to the session high at 1.1533. RSI(14) elevated near 66 on the grind; ATR thin at ~5 pips reflects a quiet pre-CPI tape.

Support: 1.15216, 1.15094, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15344, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15094 session low breaks the higher-low chain
  • 1.1559 two-month pivot is the next overhead area to watch for rejection or break
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Jun 11 are the catalysts that could override this intraday read

04:31 UTC

Recovering off lows, momentum mild · RSI 60 · price 1.15316

Consolidation above post-NFP low, micro higher-lows.

Quiet Asia session grinding higher off Friday's post-NFP slide, EUR clawing back toward the 1.15344 session high with RSI(14) mid-range near 60. Price holding a chain of higher-lows above 1.1519 after demand stepped in at 1.15113; range top still capping.

Support: 1.1519, 1.15113, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15344, 1.1540

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15344 opens the path back toward 1.1540
  • Loss of 1.15113 reopens the 1.15059 post-gap low
  • US CPI Jun 10 and ECB Jun 11 are the dominant catalysts ahead

04:16 UTC

Intraday recovery off session low · RSI 59 · price 1.15314

Higher low after dip, consolidating below session high.

Early-Monday Asia session: EUR recovered from the 1.15059 low, tagged 1.15344 then flushed to 1.15113 before stabilising near 1.1530. RSI(14) mid-50s, ATR thin at ~6 pips — quiet consolidation under the session high with the 1.1559 two-month low still the broader anchor after Friday's NFP-driven USD bid.

Support: 1.15113, 1.15059, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15344, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.15344 opens the path toward the 1.1559 pivot
  • Failure to hold 1.15113 reopens the 1.15059 session low
  • Liquidity thin pre-London — moves can over-extend on light volume

04:01 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 1.15302

Tight consolidation under session high.

Asia session recovered from the 1.1506 open to a session high of 1.1534, was rejected, then flushed to 1.1511 before stabilising into a tight 1.1527-1.1530 band. EUR remains pinned near two-month lows after Friday's 172K NFP beat powered a broad USD bid; price is coiling just under the session high.

Support: 1.15113, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15344, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1534 reopens the 1.1559 area
  • Loss of 1.1511 confirms a lower low and ends the recovery read
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant catalysts ahead

03:46 UTC

Recovery off weekend low, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 1.15285

Consolidating after gap-down rebound.

Monday Asia session reclaimed ground after the weekend gap-down to 1.15059, tagging a session high at 1.15344 before a sharp two-bar flush to 1.15113 was bought back. Price now grinds sideways near 1.1528, RSI(14) mid-range — no extension in play with EUR still pinned near two-month lows post-NFP.

Support: 1.15113, 1.15059, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15344, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15344 extends the recovery toward 1.1550
  • Loss of 1.15113 reopens the 1.15059 session low
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant macro risks framing the week

03:31 UTC

Consolidation after Friday slide · RSI 53 · price 1.1527

Range-bound post-gap, 1.1519–1.1533.

Monday Asia opened with a small gap to 1.1509 after Friday's NFP-driven slide, then recovered to a 1.1533 session high before settling into a tight 1.1519–1.1533 range around 1.1527. RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR around 7 pips — momentum flat into the new week.

Support: 1.1519, 1.1509

Resistance: 1.1533, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.1533 opens path back toward the 1.1559 two-month low
  • Loss of 1.1509 gap low reopens downside continuation
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair

03:16 UTC

Recovering off Asia low, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.15285

Consolidating after bounce from 1.1506.

Asia session recovered off the 1.1506 low to tag 1.1534 before fading back to consolidate around 1.1528, holding above EMA20. RSI(14) sits near neutral with no extreme; price is pinned in a tight 1.1519–1.1534 band after Friday's NFP-driven slide toward the 1.1559 two-month low.

Support: 1.1519, 1.15113, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15344, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.1534 session high opens room toward the 1.1550 psych area
  • Loss of 1.1519 swing low reopens the 1.1511 / 1.1506 base
  • US CPI Tue and ECB Thu are the next catalysts that could break this range

03:01 UTC

Recovering off weekend gap low, ranging · RSI 55 · price 1.1528

Post-gap range 1.1506-1.1533, higher low forming.

Asia session reopened with a downside weekend gap to 1.1506, then recovered into a 1.1511-1.1533 range with EUR still pinned near 2-month lows after Friday's strong US NFP. Session high at 1.1533 capped the bounce; price now mid-range near 1.1528 with RSI(14) neutral.

Support: 1.15113, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15344, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1533 opens path back toward the 1.1559 prior low
  • Failure to hold 1.1511 reopens the 1.1506 weekend low
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant catalysts ahead

02:46 UTC

Recovery off weekend gap low, range-bound · RSI 53 · price 1.15265

Rebound from session low, holding mid-range.

EURUSD gapped lower into the Monday Asian session, extending Friday's post-NFP slide, then recovered off 1.15059 to retest the session high at 1.15344. Pair has since settled around 1.15265, holding a tight 1.15176–1.15344 range with RSI(14) neutral near 53.

Support: 1.15176, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15344, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.15059 invites continuation lower toward Friday's 1.1559 area break
  • Reclaim of 1.15344 opens the path back toward 1.16
  • US CPI Wed Jun 10 and ECB Thu Jun 11 are the dominant catalysts ahead

02:31 UTC

Recovering off Monday gap, near-term range · RSI 52 · price 1.15244

Weekend gap down, dip bought back into range.

Monday opened with a gap down below Friday's 1.1521 close after the NFP-driven USD bid, but Asia bought the dip and pushed back to 1.1524. Ranging 1.1511–1.1533 with RSI(14) neutral near 52; the Friday gap above is still partially open.

Support: 1.15113, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15333, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15333 opens the path toward the 1.1559 prior low
  • Failure to hold 1.15113 reopens the gap low and 1.1500 round number
  • German Factory Orders 06:00 UTC and US CPI Wed could shift this read

02:16 UTC

Downtrend pausing, recovering off lows · RSI 49 · price 1.15272

Intraday range above the gap-down low.

Thin Sunday reopen into Asia: EUR clawed back off the weekend gap-down low at 1.15059 toward a session high of 1.15344, then was rejected and flushed to 1.15113 before stabilising at 1.15272. Move sits inside the broader slide from Friday's NFP-driven USD bid; ATR is a quiet ~6 pips with RSI mid-range.

Support: 1.15113, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15344, 1.1521

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 1.15344 reopens the path back toward 1.1521 pivot from above
  • Loss of 1.15113 exposes the 1.15059 gap low
  • US CPI (Jun 10) and ECB (Jun 11) ahead are the dominant catalysts beyond this session

02:01 UTC

Recovering off lows, choppy · RSI 53 · price 1.1525

Intraday range with higher lows.

Monday Asia open recovered off the 1.15059 session low and pushed to a 1.15344 high before a sharp dip to 1.15113 and bounce back to 1.1525. EUR remains pinned near two-month lows after Friday's strong US NFP; price is back above EMA20 but capped under EMA50, holding a tight range with no clean setup.

Support: 1.15113, 1.15059, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15344, 1.15333

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.15344 reopens the 1.1535+ session high zone
  • Failure to hold 1.15059 confirms a lower-low
  • US CPI Jun 10 is the dominant catalyst that could break this range

01:46 UTC

Thin Asia range, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 1.15154

Rejection at session high, pullback in play.

Thin early-Asia tape: price built from the 1.1506 session low up to 1.1533, then was rejected and dropped back to 1.1515 on the heaviest bar of the session. Sits below EMA20/50 with RSI near neutral; no clean structure beyond the 1.1506–1.1533 session range.

Support: 1.15076, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15333, 1.1528

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15059 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
  • Reclaim of 1.15333 reopens the session-high break
  • US CPI Jun 10 is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

01:31 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 1.15281

Higher highs/lows off session low, pullback in progress.

Thin early-Asia tape printed a steady recovery off the 1.15059 session low, tagging 1.15344 before easing back to 1.15281. RSI(14) cooling from the highs and ATR running tight near 5 pips; price holding above EMA20 but capped by the broader EUR weakness that pinned the pair to 2-month lows after Friday's strong US NFP.

Support: 1.15176, 1.15059, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15344, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15176 swing low ends the higher-low sequence
  • Close above 1.15344 session high reopens the path toward the 1.1559 two-month low overhead
  • Liquidity remains thin until London open

01:16 UTC

Intraday recovery, grinding higher · RSI 69 · price 1.15333

Higher highs / higher lows off session low.

New-week open recovered off the 1.15059 session low and ground steadily up to the session high at 1.15333, RSI(14) near 69. EUR remains pinned just below its two-month low at 1.1559 after Friday's strong US NFP; the climb is corrective within that broader heaviness.

Support: 1.15206, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15333, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15206 breaks the rising support
  • Reclaim of 1.1559 needed to undo two-month-low pressure
  • German Factory Orders 06:00 UTC could shift the read

01:01 UTC

Recovering off session low, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.15278

Higher-low chain since Asia open.

Thin early-week Asian tape: EURUSD has climbed steadily off the 1.15059 session low to 1.15281 on a clean higher-low chain, RSI(14) firm around 63. ATR is just ~4 pips so moves are small; price sits at the session high after the weekend gap lower from Friday's NFP-driven slide.

Support: 1.15166, 1.15059, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15281, 1.1533

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15166 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Acceptance above 1.15281 opens 1.15330
  • Liquidity returns at London open; thin-tape moves may not hold

00:46 UTC

Short-term uptrend off session low · RSI 63 · price 1.15232

HH/HL chain within Asia range.

Monday Asia opened with a small weekend gap down to 1.1506, then ground higher into 1.1524 forming a tidy HH/HL chain; RSI(14) mid-60s, not stretched. EUR remains pinned near two-month lows after Friday's strong US NFP, so this is a shallow intraday recovery rather than a structural turn.

Support: 1.15176, 1.15059, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15244, 1.15327

What it said to watch

  • Break above 1.15244 session high opens path toward 1.15327
  • Failure to hold 1.15176 risks a return toward the 1.1506 session low
  • US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant risk events for the next sessions

00:31 UTC

Short-term recovery off the low · RSI 61 · price 1.15223

Higher lows since Sunday open, gap filled.

Sunday open gapped down to 1.1506 then recovered back through Friday's 1.1522 close, filling the gap, and is grinding into the 1.15243 session high with RSI(14) near 61. Move sits inside a broader post-NFP downdraft that has kept EUR heavy near two-month lows.

Support: 1.15172, 1.15059

Resistance: 1.15243, 1.1530

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15243 extends the recovery toward 1.1530
  • Failure to hold rising support / 1.15172 reopens the 1.15059 low
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:16 UTC

Intraday recovery, higher lows · RSI 56 · price 1.15211

Grinding off session low toward session high.

Asia session opened soft near 1.15059 then recovered, stacking higher lows up to 1.15216 — price now sits just under the 1.15225 session high. The move follows Friday's NFP-driven slide that pinned EUR at two-month lows; this is a measured intraday bounce, not a structural shift.

Support: 1.1509, 1.15059, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15225, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15225 opens the path toward the 1.1559 two-month low zone
  • Failure to hold the 1.15090 rising support reopens the 1.15059 session low
  • German Factory Orders Mon 06:00 UTC (~6h) could shift this intraday read

00:01 UTC

Downtrend, recovery bounce · RSI 58 · price 1.15187

Basing near 2-month lows after NFP selloff.

Asia reopened near Friday's NFP-driven 2-month lows; price recovered off the 1.15059 session low to tag 1.15203 before stalling. Thin early-session volume, RSI(14) mid-range — a corrective bounce inside the broader decline rather than a structural turn.

Support: 1.15059, 1.15099

Resistance: 1.15203, 1.1525

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15203 then 1.1525 extends the recovery bounce
  • Loss of the 1.15059 session low resumes the NFP downtrend
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this read

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