Friday's sharp sell-off swept price from 1.1640 down through 1.1520, printing the fresh two-month low at 1.1500. This week's session recovered to a 1.15778 high before fading; price is now consolidating around 1.1536, having slipped back below EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s. The 1.15545 session high has capped attempts while 1.15284 marks the consolidation floor.
Support: 1.15284, 1.15176, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15778, 1.16079
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.15284 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1500
Close above 1.15545 reopens the 1.15778 week high
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
EUR slid from Monday's 1.1645 high into the 1.1500 floor mid-week as the USD firmed, then recovered through the NY session to 1.1578 before fading back. Price is now consolidating in a 1.1528–1.1554 band just below EMA(20) with RSI(14) in the mid-40s, the recovery having stalled at lower highs into Wednesday's US CPI and Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15505, 1.15778, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.15280 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.1500
Reclaim of the 1.15505 EMA20 needed to revive the recovery toward 1.15778
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT and ECB Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
EUR/USD bounced off the 1.1500 psych low earlier this week and ran to a 1.1578 week high during the prior NY session before stalling. Price has since slipped back below EMA(20) at 1.1551, with RSI(14) cooling back to the mid-40s as the pullback unfolds. The pair is consolidating inside a 1.1500–1.1578 band as positioning builds into US CPI and Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1551, 1.1578
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.1445 zone
Reclaim of EMA20 at 1.1551 needed to retest the 1.1578 week high
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Double bottom off 1.1500, pullback below week high.
EURUSD slid from Monday's 1.1645 high to a fresh two-month low near 1.1500 mid-week before basing. Demand stepped in twice around 1.1500, fuelling a recovery to a week high at 1.1577, but the move has since faded back below EMA20 with RSI(14) easing to the mid-40s. Price now consolidates between the 1.1528 swing low and the 1.1577 cap into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.1577, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1577 reopens the path toward the 1.1600 round number
Loss of 1.1528 swing low puts the 1.1500 psych level back in play
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation under range top after sharp sell-off.
EUR/USD was knocked from the 1.1645 zone down through 1.1500 on the firm-USD/NFP impulse early in the window, then stabilised and clawed back to a 1.1578 high after the weekend gap. Price now sits at 1.1541, consolidating in the 1.1500–1.1555 band with RSI flat near 49 and trading just under EMA20. The recovery has built a sequence of higher lows off 1.1500.
Support: 1.15284, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15284 reopens the 1.1500 psych floor
Hourly close above 1.15550 range top exposes the 1.1578 week high
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
Consolidating below week recovery high after Friday's drop.
EUR/USD recovered from Monday's two-month low at 1.1500 but the bounce stalled near 1.1578 in the NY session and price is now consolidating around the 1.1555 pivot and EMA20, with RSI(14) cycling near 52. Friday's sharp drop from 1.1640 set the bearish tone for the week; the subsequent grind higher off 1.1500 has retraced part of it. The build into ECB Thursday and US CPI Wednesday is keeping price compressed.
Support: 1.15284, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1578 reopens the path toward the 1.1600 cap
Loss of 1.1528 exposes the 1.1500 two-month low
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu can materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Recovery off lows within a weekly downdraft · RSI 47 · price 1.15482
Range 1.1500–1.1578 after the selloff from 1.1645.
EURUSD carved a two-month low near 1.1500 mid-week and has since recovered into a 1.1500–1.1578 range, with this week's slide from 1.1645 the dominant move. Price stalled at the 1.1578 week high during the NY session and has eased back below EMA(20) toward 1.1548, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. The 1.1555 pivot continues to cap the rebound.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1578, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1555 pivot opens the path back toward 1.1578 then the 1.1600 cap
Failure to hold the 1.1528 swing low exposes the 1.1500 two-month low
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
EUR/USD sold off hard from 1.1645 into Monday's session to a fresh two-month low at 1.1500, then based and recovered to 1.1578 through yesterday's NY hours as the dollar eased on Iran-deal optimism. Price has since faded back to 1.1548 and is sitting just under EMA(20), with the 1.1555 pivot capping and RSI(14) cooling off the recovery high. The week's structure is a range between 1.1500 and 1.1578.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1528 opens the path back toward the 1.1500 low
Reclaim of 1.1555 pivot, then 1.1578, would reassert the recovery leg
US CPI Wednesday and ECB Thursday are the cross-asset drivers that could break this range
18:01 UTC
Choppy, range after midweek drop · RSI 43 · price 1.15413
Consolidating 1.1500–1.1578 after sharp selloff.
The dominant move of the week was a sharp leg lower from 1.1645 into 1.1500 as the dollar held firm post-NFP, before a recovery into Monday's close stalled at the 1.1555 pivot and the 1.1578 session high. Price has since faded through NY hours back to 1.1541, sitting near the 50% retrace of that recovery and below EMA(20). RSI(14) has rolled back to the mid-40s as the bounce loses traction.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1528 reopens the 1.1500 weekly low
Reclaim of 1.1555 pivot needed to re-engage 1.1578 week high
US CPI Wednesday is the cross-asset USD driver into the ECB and could reshape this read
ECB decision Thursday a known event risk
18:01 UTC
Recovery fading, momentum rolling over · RSI 45 · price 1.15413
Range 1.1500–1.1578, mid-range pullback.
EUR/USD bounced off Monday's 1.1500 two-month low and ran through the NY session to ~1.1578 before stalling and rolling back under EMA(20). Price now sits mid-range near the 50% retrace of the recovery leg, with RSI(14) cooling back toward 44 as the 1.1555 pivot caps. The 1.1500–1.1578 range still frames the week ahead of Wednesday's US CPI and Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1578
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.15550 pivot reopens the 1.15780 week high
Failure to hold 1.15280 swing low exposes the 1.15000 two-month low
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu could materially shift this range read
17:01 UTC
Rebound off range low, momentum fading · RSI 52 · price 1.15547
Higher lows off 1.1500, capped sub-1.1580.
EUR/USD recovered through the week off Monday's 1.1500 two-month low, climbing into the NY session to a 1.1577 high before fading back to the 1.1555 pivot, helped by mild USD softness as easing Mideast tensions trimmed the safe-haven bid. The pair has tracked above EMA20 since the rebound, with RSI(14) cycling mid-range and the last few bars pulling lower into the close. A clean weekend gap lower preceded the recovery leg.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1519
Resistance: 1.1577, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1577 reopens the path toward the 1.1600 cap
Failure to hold 1.1519 puts the 1.1500 low back in focus
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the cross-asset swing factors for this read
17:01 UTC
Recovery off the low, pullback underway · RSI 54 · price 1.15547
Higher lows since Monday's low, capped near 1.1578.
EUR/USD has recovered off Monday's 1.1500 area low along a series of higher lows, tagging a session high near 1.1578 into the NY session before fading back to the 1.1555 pivot. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range around 54, leaving the recovery intact but momentum cooling on the pullback. The bounce sits between the 1.1500 floor and the 1.1600 cap flagged in the broader range.
Support: 1.15454, 1.1500, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15778, 1.1600, 1.1645
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.15454 breaks the higher-low sequence and reopens 1.1500
Close above 1.1578 puts the 1.1600 cap in play
US CPI Wednesday and ECB Thursday are the cross-asset drivers that could reset this read
EUR/USD sold off hard into Friday's NFP beat, printing a two-month low near 1.1500 before a weekend gap and a steady recovery this week back through 1.1550. The pair tagged a session high at 1.1578 before easing to 1.1562, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. Higher lows off the 1.1500 base define the near-term structure.
Support: 1.1530, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1578, 1.1600, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US CPI Wednesday could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1578 session high opens the path toward 1.1600 psych
Failure to hold 1.1530 prior range exposes the 1.1500 2mo low
ECB Thursday is the dominant event risk into week-end
16:01 UTC
Recovery off 1.1500, momentum building · RSI 57 · price 1.15617
Higher lows after double bottom.
EURUSD has clawed back from Monday's sharp leg down to the 1.1500 two-month low, with a double bottom near 1.1499/1.1518 holding and a sequence of higher lows building through yesterday's NY session and today. Price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s as the recovery extends ahead of Wednesday's US CPI and Thursday's ECB. The 1.15780 session high capped the latest push before a shallow pullback to 1.1562.
Support: 1.1530, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1578, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15780 opens the path toward the 1.1600 round number
Failure to hold 1.1530 reopens the 1.1500 double-bottom base
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Recovering off two-month low · RSI 61 · price 1.15684
Higher lows since the 1.1500 base.
EUR/USD has carved a series of higher lows off the 1.1500 two-month base set after Friday's blowout NFP-driven selloff, grinding back through 1.1555 and into the NY session at 1.1568. Price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling into the low 60s, and the prior 1.1555 cap has flipped to near-term support. The 1.1578 session high and the 1.1600 psychological level remain the immediate barriers overhead.
Support: 1.1555, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1578, 1.1600
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read
Close above 1.1600 opens the path back toward last week's highs
EUR/USD has clawed back from the 1.1500 two-month low through the week on firming ECB hike bets, posting higher lows and tagging 1.1578 in the NY session before easing to 1.1568. Price sits above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-62 band, but the 1.1578 week high has capped the latest push and 1.1600 remains the heavier overhead barrier flagged repeatedly.
Support: 1.1540, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1578, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1578 opens the path to the 1.1600 strong-resistance zone
Failure to hold 1.1540 EMA20 would expose the 1.1500 two-month low again
Lagarde speech today 16:30 UTC and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
14:01 UTC
Recovery uptrend off the lows · RSI 63 · price 1.15744
Higher lows since the 1.1500 base, range top broken.
EURUSD has recovered off the 1.1500 two-month low, carving higher lows and breaking back above the 1.1555 range top through the latest sessions after a double-bottom base near the figure. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s with price holding above EMA20, though the advance is stalling into the session high near 1.1577. The dollar's hawkish-Fed bid has capped EUR rallies, with US CPI Wednesday and Thursday's ECB the next structural drivers.
Support: 1.1555, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15773, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1600 reopens upside toward the weekly cap
loss of 1.1555 puts the 1.1500 low back in play
US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
14:01 UTC
Recovery, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 1.15744
Higher lows off the 1.1500 base, retracing prior drop.
EUR/USD has clawed back from the sharp slide to a 2-month low near 1.1500 — a move triggered by the firm dollar after Friday's strong NFP and Middle East risk. Price has since carved higher lows and pushed through the 1.1555 range top into the NY session, now trading above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) climbing into the low 60s. The 1.1600 psych cap, which has limited rallies all week, is the next overhead reference.
Support: 1.1555, 1.1540, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1644
What it said to watch
US CPI Wednesday is the key external driver — a hot print could revive the dollar and pressure EUR/USD back toward 1.1500
ECB decision Thursday + Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.1555 negates the breakout and re-opens the range
A close above 1.1600 would clear the week's resistance cap toward 1.1644
Higher lows since Monday's open after Friday's slump.
EURUSD slid through Friday's session from 1.1645 to a two-month low near 1.1500, then carved higher lows since Monday's open, grinding back to 1.15725 and now testing the 1.1575 psych resistance flagged ahead of US CPI. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling up through 60, and the move has retraced roughly half of Friday's drop. The 1.1500 two-month low and the 1.15-area twin lows form the base of the recovery.
Support: 1.1545, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600, 1.1645
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1575 opens the path to the 1.1600 prior high
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
ECB Thu 12:15 UTC press conference is the week's key risk
Loss of the higher-low line risks a retest of the 1.1500 two-month low
EUR/USD sold off hard Friday after the blowout US NFP (172K vs 85K) and gapped into a fresh two-month low near 1.1500 over the weekend. Since the recovery began this week price has carved higher lows and now sits at 1.15725, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) pushing into the mid-60s. The 1.1575 week-high zone is the immediate cap, retesting prior support from below.
Support: 1.1540, 1.1500, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600, 1.1645
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1575 opens the path toward the 1.1600 round number
Failure to hold EMA20 / 1.1540 reopens the 1.1500 two-month low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 65 · price 1.15662
Rebound off 1.1500, higher lows building.
EUR/USD sold off hard into Friday's NY session as the firm dollar (NFP beat) drove a clean break of the 1.1640 high down to a two-month low near 1.1500. Price has since carved a double bottom around 1.1500 and climbed back through EMA(20), with RSI(14) cycling up toward 64 as higher lows build off the base. The 1.1575/1.1600 zone has capped prior attempts and remains the area to watch overhead.
Support: 1.1540, 1.1530, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600, 1.1645
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1575 opens the path toward 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1530 risks a retest of the 1.1500 two-month low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Recovering off the lows, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 1.15662
Rounded bottom, higher lows since Monday.
EUR/USD has clawed back from last Friday's sharp 1.16440→1.14994 sell-off, carving higher lows since Monday's open and now pressing 1.1566 in the NY session. Price trades above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 63 as the recovery extends. The 1.1575/1.1600 zone, flagged in the broader EUR picture, is the next overhead area to watch ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.15276, 1.15094, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1575 opens the path toward the 1.1600 round number
Failure to hold the 1.15276 higher low reopens 1.1500 two-month low
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off the lows · RSI 63 · price 1.15609
Bounce from 1.1500 base, reclaiming EMA20.
EUR/USD spent the week grinding lower from Monday's 1.1645 area into a 1.1500 two-month low, where demand stepped in twice to form a base. The pair has climbed back through EMA20 since yesterday's NY session, RSI(14) cycling up toward 63, as the dollar's safe-haven bid eased on the Iran-Israel ceasefire. Price now presses the 1.1563 session high with the 1.1575 supply cap just above.
Support: 1.1535, 1.1500, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15633, 1.1575
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1575 needed to clear the supply cap toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1500 reopens the path toward 1.1490/1.1445
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the main external driver and could shift this read
11:01 UTC
Recovering off two-month low, momentum building · RSI 62 · price 1.15609
Higher lows since the weekend gap low.
EURUSD slid from the 1.1645 week high through Monday's NY session to the 1.1500 two-month low, then reopened lower over the weekend gap and printed 1.14994 before turning higher. Price has since carved higher lows back above EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) cycling near 62 as the recovery presses the 1.1575 resistance cap flagged into the ECB. Move sits against a firm-USD backdrop with Wednesday's US CPI as the swing risk.
Support: 1.1535, 1.1500, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600, 1.16441
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.1575 opens the path toward 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1535 (ema20) risks a return to the 1.1500 area
US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.15504
Higher lows off 3-month low.
The week's dominant move was the sharp sell-off from 1.1645 into the 1.1499 three-month low after Friday's blowout NFP firmed the dollar. Since then EUR/USD has ground higher in a rising channel of higher lows, reclaiming EMA20 and now probing 1.1550 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s. Price is recovering ~34% of the week's drop; 1.1575 resistance has yet to be tested this leg.
Support: 1.1530, 1.1499, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1645
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1575 opens the path toward week high 1.1645
Failure to hold 1.1499 confirms a lower low toward 1.1445
US CPI Wed and ECB decision Thu can materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Recovering off lows, short-term up · RSI 56 · price 1.15504
Basing after weekly selloff, higher lows forming.
EUR sold off hard mid-window from the 1.1645 area into a three-month low near 1.1499, then carved a double bottom around 1.1499/1.1508 and has been grinding higher since, reclaiming EMA20 into the NY session. Price is now stalling at the 38.2% retracement of that drop, with the 1.1554 week high capping the recovery. RSI has cycled back to the mid-50s as the bounce matures.
Support: 1.1508, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1554, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1554 opens the path toward 1.1575
Failure to hold 1.1508 reopens the 1.1499 three-month low
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are material risk events that could reset this read
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 52 · price 1.15372
Consolidating above 3-month low.
Friday's NFP-driven dollar surge dragged EUR/USD to a 3-month low near 1.14994, and the new week gapped lower at Monday's open. Price has since based and clawed back to 1.1537, holding just above EMA(20), but resistance at 1.15545 has capped the recovery and the broader structure remains lower. RSI(14) is cycling mid-range with no clear divergence.
Support: 1.15266, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1575
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15545 wk high would extend the recovery toward 1.15750
Failure to hold 1.14994 3mo low reopens the path to 1.1445
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are major risks that could reset this read
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after the drop · RSI 49 · price 1.15372
Range-bound recovery off 3-month lows below EMA50.
Friday's blowout US payrolls drove a sharp selloff from 1.1645 down to the 1.1500 region, and EUR/USD gapped lower into Monday's open before recovering to tag the 1.15545 week high. Price is now consolidating 1.1528–1.1545 around EMA20 but capped beneath EMA50, with RSI(14) mid-range — the dominant move this week remains the impulsive drop. The 1.15276 area has held twice as a floor while the week high has capped the bounce.
Support: 1.15276, 1.15059, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1575
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the week's main catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low, opening the path toward 1.1445
Reclaim of 1.15545 week high needed to extend the recovery toward the 1.1575 cap
08:01 UTC
Downtrend off Friday, basing/recovery · RSI 55 · price 1.15448
Sharp drop then higher-lows above the 3-month low.
EUR/USD sold off hard into Friday's NFP-driven USD surge, sliding from 1.1645 to a three-month low at 1.1499. Price has since based above 1.1500 and climbed on higher-lows back through EMA(20), with RSI(14) cycling up to the mid-50s. The week high at 1.1554 capped the latest push and the pair sits just under EMA(50).
Support: 1.1499, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.1554, 1.1575
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1554 opens the path toward the 1.1575 ecb cap
Failure to hold 1.1499 confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI Wednesday is the main USD catalyst into this read; ECB Thursday follows
Friday's USD surge on the blowout NFP drove the sharp leg from 1.1645 down to the 1.1499 area, the week's dominant move. After a weekend gap lower, EUR has clawed back above EMA20 and EMA50, building higher lows since Monday's open with RSI cycling back to the mid-50s. The 1.1554 week high has capped the recovery, with the 1.1575/1.1600 zone the broader cap flagged into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.15276, 1.15059, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1575
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thursday (deposit f/c 2.25%) could materially shift this read
US CPI Wednesday is the key USD catalyst into the next sessions
Close above 1.1554 week high opens the path toward the 1.1575 cap
Failure to hold 1.1499 confirms a lower low and ends the recovery
Friday's blowout US NFP drove a sharp ~75-pip EUR/USD slide off 1.1645, with a weekend gap lower to 1.1509 extending toward the 3-month low at 1.1500. Price has since clawed back to 1.1543, sitting just above EMA(20) but capped below EMA(50), and RSI(14) has recovered to the low-50s. The 1.15545 week high and the 1.1575 ECB cap have framed the recovery range.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15176
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
US CPI Wednesday is the main pre-ECB USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1500 weekly low opens the path toward 1.1490/1.1445
Reclaim of EMA(50) and a close above 1.15545 week high would neutralise the downtrend read
A sharp Friday USD surge on the blowout NFP dragged EUR/USD off 1.1645 to the 1.1499 3-month low, with a weekend gap down extending the move. Price has since carved a recovery off 1.1499 and is grinding along rising higher-lows, back above EMA(20) but still capped under EMA(50); this week's high at 1.1554 has yet to be tested again. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-50s as the consolidation holds ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.1499, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1554, 1.1575
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1499 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1445
Reclaim of 1.1554 then 1.1575 cap needed to extend the recovery
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the key pre-ECB USD catalyst
ECB decision Thu could materially shift this read
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, recovery off lows · RSI 57 · price 1.15434
Rebound from 3-mo low, higher lows building.
EUR/USD slid 0.75% into Friday's NY session and gapped lower at Monday's open, printing a 3-month low at 1.1499 before buyers stepped in. Price has since rounded higher with RSI(14) cycling back toward 57, but the 1.1555 week high has capped two attempts and price still sits below EMA50. The Trump ceasefire headlines trimmed the safe-haven USD bid, easing pressure on EUR off its lows.
Support: 1.15276, 1.14994, 1.1508
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1555 exposes the 1.1600 cap noted as resistance
Failure to hold 1.1528 swing low reopens the 1.1499 3-mo low
Break below 1.1499 opens the 1.1445 area
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.15434
Based above 1.1500 after Friday's slide, building higher lows.
EUR/USD sold off through last week's range into Friday, printing 3-month lows near 1.1499 on firm USD after the blowout NFP. Since the weekend gap price has based above 1.1500 and ground back to ~1.1543, reclaiming the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling back to mid-50s. The 1.15545 swing high has capped the recovery so far, with the 1.1575 zone above.
Support: 1.15076, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15545 swing high opens the 1.1575 resist zone
Failure to hold 1.1500 reopens the 3-mo low and downside toward 1.1445
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
EUR sits near 3-month lows after Friday's 0.75% slide off 1.1644 to 1.1499, driven by the blowout 172K US NFP and firm USD. Price gapped lower into the new week's open then carved a rounded bottom, recovering off 1.1499 toward the 1.15545 week high and now consolidating around the EMA20. Two probes above 1.1545 have stalled, while demand keeps stepping in around the 1.1519 swing low.
Support: 1.15176, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1575
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.14994 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1445
Reclaim of 1.15545 week high needed to challenge the 1.1575 resist zone
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant upcoming risk
05:01 UTC
Downtrend, recovery off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.15372
Bounce from 3-mo low, consolidating.
EUR/USD sold off hard Friday on the blowout US NFP print, slicing from 1.1645 to a 3-month low at 1.14994 before stabilising. Price has since clawed back above EMA(20), printing higher lows into 1.1554 week high, but EMA(50) overhead and the broader weekly decline still cap the recovery. RSI(14) has cycled back to mid-range as the consolidation tightens between 1.1528 and 1.1554.
Support: 1.15276, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.1544, 1.15545, 1.1575
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.15545 challenges the 1.1575 resistance zone
Failure to hold 1.14994 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.1445
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is a primary risk into this consolidation
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 52 · price 1.15366
Range after Friday's drop, higher lows forming.
EUR/USD stayed in a downtrend after Friday's blowout-NFP slide dropped it from 1.1645 to the 1.1499 three-month low. Price has based since the weekend reopen, carving higher lows back to 1.1554 before settling near 1.1537 with RSI(14) recovered to neutral. The week-high cap at 1.1554 and supply near 1.1575 frame the corrective bounce.
Support: 1.15076, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1574
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1499 reopens the 1.1490/1.1445 downside
Reclaim of 1.1554 and 1.1575 needed to negate the lower highs
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 49 · price 1.15366
Range above 1.1500 after Friday's impulse drop.
Friday's USD surge on the blowout NFP drove EUR/USD off 1.1640 to a 1.1499 three-month low. Since Monday's open price has consolidated 1.1500-1.1554, holding above the round number with RSI(14) flat near the midline; the weekend gap left the prior swing untested. Price is hugging EMA20 around 1.1534 while EMA50 caps higher near 1.1555.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1490
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1575, 1.1534
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.1490 then 1.1445
Reclaim of 1.1554 week high needed to ease downside pressure
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.15391
Lower-high series, basing above 1.1500.
EUR/USD broke down sharply into Friday's NY session as the 172K NFP beat drove a broad USD bid, tagging three-month lows near 1.1499 before a weekend gap and grind back to 1.1539. Price is basing above 1.1500, reclaiming EMA(20) with RSI(14) lifting back to the mid-50s off oversold, but it sits under EMA(50) and capped below this week's 1.1555 high. Demand has stepped in twice around 1.1527 since Monday's open.
Support: 1.1535, 1.1508, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1555 opens the path back toward the 1.1575 resistance cap
Failure to hold 1.1508 re-exposes the 1.1499 three-month low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after the bounce · RSI 54 · price 1.15391
Lower lows into 1.1499, now consolidating.
Friday's blowout NFP triggered the impulsive leg lower, driving EUR/USD from 1.1640 to the 1.1499 three-month low. Price reclaimed 1.1540 on the weekly reopen but has consolidated in a tight 1.1519-1.1555 band, sitting above EMA(20) yet capped below EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling mid-range. The 1.1555 session high has held the recovery in check.
Support: 1.1519, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1575
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1555 opens the path back toward 1.1575
Failure to hold 1.1519 reopens the 1.1499 low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating off lows · RSI 49 · price 1.15329
Sharp selloff then recovery, ranging near EMA20.
Friday's hot-NFP USD bid drove EUR/USD from the 1.1644 area through every support to a 1.1499 three-month low. Price has since recovered and is consolidating around 1.1530, hugging EMA20, with the 1.1545 week high capping the bounce. Demand has stepped in repeatedly just above the 1.1500 psych level.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15575
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1545 reopens the path toward 1.1575/1.1600
Clean break of 1.1500 psych exposes 1.1490 then 1.1445
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC can materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating off lows · RSI 50 · price 1.15329
Range above 1.1500 after Friday sell-off.
Friday's hot 172K NFP drove a 0.75% leg lower through 1.1545, parking EUR/USD at a three-month low near 1.1499. Since the weekend gap price has consolidated in a 1.1500–1.1545 band, hugging EMA(20) but capped below EMA(50), with RSI cycling around the mid-line. Demand stepped in twice around 1.1499/1.1508 to form a double-bottom base, while supply has repeatedly capped attempts at 1.1545.
Support: 1.1499, 1.1508
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1575
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1499 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1490 then 1.1445
Reclaim of 1.1575 needed to ease downside pressure
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sell-off · RSI 48 · price 1.15271
Consolidation above 3-month low.
EUR/USD was knocked through 1.1600 and 1.1545 on Friday's hot 172K NFP print, bottoming at the 1.1499 three-month low before a weekend gap and a grind back toward 1.1530. Price has since consolidated in a 1.1499–1.1545 band, with 1.1545 capping the recovery and a deeper 1.1575 cap above. RSI(14) has cycled back to mid-range and price sits just under EMA20, leaving the prior down-leg intact.
Support: 1.1499, 1.1508, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1499 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1445 path
H1 close above 1.1545 reclaims the session high toward the 1.1575 cap
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.15271
Lower highs above 1.1500 floor.
EUR/USD gapped lower into the new week after Friday's NFP-driven 0.75% selloff dragged price from 1.1644 to a 1.1499 three-month low. Since the weekend gap it has consolidated in a tight 1.1508–1.1545 band, with lower highs capping each bounce and RSI(14) hovering mid-40s below EMA20 and EMA50. The 1.1499 floor has held, but 1.1545 session resistance has rejected the last two attempts.
Support: 1.1508, 1.1499, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1499 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1445 path
Reclaim of 1.1575 would unwind the lower-high structure
ECB rate decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
EUR sold off sharply into the week on dollar strength after Friday's NFP beat (172k vs 85k), gapping to fresh three-month lows near 1.1499 at Monday's open. Price has since recovered to ~1.1535 and is consolidating below EMA50, with RSI(14) back around the midline. The bounce high at 1.1547/1.1554 capped the recovery, while demand has held above the 1.1499 weekly low.
Support: 1.14994, 1.1508
Resistance: 1.15474, 1.15545
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1554 invalidates the consolidation read
Break of 1.1499 confirms a lower-low, opening the path toward 1.1445
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 47 · price 1.15334
Lower highs, basing above 1.1500.
Friday's NFP beat (172k vs 85k) crushed EUR/USD through Thursday's supports, with the bulk of the 100-pip impulse driven in the NY session from 1.1640 to the 1.1499 three-month low. Price re-opened with a small gap down at the new week and has since coiled between 1.1500 and 1.1554, reclaiming the EMA20 but capped well under the falling EMA50. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to mid-40s, reflecting the pause rather than a turn.
Support: 1.1499, 1.1519
Resistance: 1.1554, 1.1575
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1499 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward the 1.1445 area
Reclaim of 1.1554 would challenge the lower-highs sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read