GBP/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 2 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the GBP/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 52 · price 1.33447

Tight range under session high after impulsive rally.

GBPUSD ran to a session high of 1.33846 on broad USD selling after the soft NFP miss, then pulled back and has consolidated in a tight 1.3340–1.3350 band through Asia hours. RSI sits mid-range near 52 with momentum flat and volume thin into the session tail.

Support: 1.33385, 1.3321

Resistance: 1.33506, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33506 reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • Loss of 1.33385 range low exposes 1.33210
  • BoE Bailey speech (Fri 15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

23:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalled · RSI 50 · price 1.33447

Consolidation below session high.

GBPUSD spiked to 1.33830 on the US NFP miss then faded, and has since gone flat around 1.33447 in thin late-NY/Asian trade. Price is coiling in a tight 1.3340–1.3350 band under the session high, RSI(14) neutral near 50.

Support: 1.3340, 1.3330, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3360, 1.3383

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33600 reopens the 1.33830 session high
  • Loss of 1.33400 range floor exposes 1.33300 swing low
  • BoE Bailey speech Fri 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read

23:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalled · RSI 49 · price 1.33457

Consolidating near session highs after rally.

GBPUSD rallied ~100 pips through the London-NY window as the dollar sagged after the soft US NFP miss, peaking at 1.3385. Price has since coiled into a tight 1.3340-1.3350 band through the thin Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 50.

Support: 1.3340, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3350, 1.3385

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3350 range top opens a retest of the 1.3385 session high
  • Loss of the 1.3340 range floor exposes 1.3300
  • Asia volume thin; BoE Bailey speech later a GBP catalyst

23:31 UTC

Uptrend paused, consolidating · RSI 48 · price 1.33457

Range after post-NFP rally.

GBPUSD spiked to 1.3384 on the soft US NFP print then faded, and is now grinding a tight 1.3340-1.3350 range in the quiet Asia session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 and ATR has collapsed to ~6 pips as volume thins.

Support: 1.33396, 1.3320, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.3350, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3350 range top reopens 1.3384 session high
  • Failure to hold 1.3340 exposes the 1.3320 pivot
  • BoE Bailey speech and Mon ISM Services are near-term catalysts that could break this range

23:16 UTC

Prior uptrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.33442

Consolidation after impulsive rally.

GBP ripped higher through London-NY on the NFP miss and softer dollar, spiking to a 1.33846 session high before fading. Asian session is now consolidating in a tight 1.3339–1.3351 band with RSI back mid-range and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no setup in play.

Support: 1.33385, 1.3320, 1.33036

Resistance: 1.33512, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3351 range top reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • Loss of 1.33385 session low exposes the 1.3320 pivot
  • BoE Bailey speech (Fri 15:00 GMT) is the main near-term GBP catalyst

23:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 48 · price 1.33442

Consolidating near highs after breakout.

GBPUSD spiked to a session high at 1.33846 on NFP-driven dollar selling, then eased into a tight 1.3340–1.3350 consolidation through the Asia session. RSI(14) neutral near 48 and price is pinned to the EMA20, momentum flat.

Support: 1.33385, 1.3330

Resistance: 1.3351, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33510 swing high reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • Loss of the 1.33385 range floor confirms a lower low toward 1.33300
  • BoE Bailey speech (Fri) is the main near-term GBP catalyst

23:01 UTC

Uptrend paused, consolidating near highs · RSI 50 · price 1.33447

Post-rally range at upper end.

GBPUSD spiked to 1.33846 on the NFP miss then stalled, and the Asian session has coiled into a tight 1.3339-1.3351 range around the 50/200-day EMA ceiling flagged near 1.3300/40. Price is hovering at the 38.2% retrace of the rally with RSI(14) neutral; no fresh momentum in play.

Support: 1.33385, 1.3322

Resistance: 1.3351, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33510 range top reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • Loss of 1.33385 session low exposes the 1.33220 pivot
  • BoE Bailey Fri 15:00 GMT could materially shift this read

22:46 UTC

Consolidation after NFP spike, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.33435

Range post-breakout, holding lower third.

GBPUSD spiked to 1.33846 on the soft US NFP print then consolidated in a tight 1.3340–1.3385 range through the NY-to-Asia handover. Price is now grinding along the range low near 1.3344 in thin, low-ATR Asia trade, RSI neutral around 44.

Support: 1.3340, 1.3320

Resistance: 1.3351, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3340 opens the 1.3320 pivot
  • Reclaim of 1.33510 puts the 1.33846 session high back in play
  • BoE Bailey (Fri 15:00 GMT) could materially shift this read

22:46 UTC

Uptrend paused, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.33435

Range after NFP-driven spike.

GBPUSD spiked to a session high of 1.3385 after yesterday's June NFP miss dragged the dollar broadly lower, then stalled into the 50/200-day EMA ceiling flagged near 1.3300/40. Asian-session drift has pulled price back to the range low around 1.3340 on thin volume, RSI(14) mid-range near 46.

Support: 1.3340, 1.3320, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3340 confirms a lower low out of the range
  • M15 close above 1.3385 reopens the post-NFP high
  • Bailey speech Fri 15:00 GMT is a high-impact GBP risk

22:31 UTC

Range-bound after NFP rally · RSI 53 · price 1.33482

Consolidation below session high.

GBPUSD spiked to 1.33846 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) then handed back roughly a third of the move, now flat around 1.3348 in thin Asia-session trade. Ranging 1.3340–1.3350 with RSI neutral near 53; no fresh direction while the session-high ceiling holds.

Support: 1.3340, 1.3320

Resistance: 1.3350, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3350 reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • Break below 1.3340 range floor exposes the 1.3320 pivot
  • BoE Bailey Fri 15:00 GMT is the next material risk to this read

22:31 UTC

Uptrend paused, consolidating · RSI 51 · price 1.33482

Range after NFP rally, mid-range.

GBP spiked to 1.3384 on the June NFP miss and softer dollar, then settled into a 1.3340-1.3385 range through thin Asia hours. Price is drifting mid-range near 1.3348 with RSI(14) flat around 50 and ATR compressing to ~6 pips.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3321

Resistance: 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33846 reopens the upside; the 50/200-day EMA ceiling ~1.3300/40 remains the broader cap
  • Failure to hold 1.33377 exposes the 1.3220 pivot
  • BoE Bailey speech Fri 15:00 GMT could materially shift this read

22:16 UTC

Uptrend paused, ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.33485

Consolidation under session high.

The June NFP miss drove GBP up to a session high of 1.33846 before it faded into a tight 1.3340-1.3350 range through late NY into Asia. Volume has thinned and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 — no setup in play, price coiling above 1.33385 with 1.33512 capping the upside.

Support: 1.33385, 1.33295

Resistance: 1.33512, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33512 reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • Loss of 1.33385 swing low exposes 1.33295
  • BoE Bailey speech Fri 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:16 UTC

Uptrend paused, consolidating · RSI 52 · price 1.33485

Tight range under spike high.

GBPUSD spiked to 1.3383 after the soft US NFP miss, then unwound into a tight 1.3340-1.3350 range through low-volume Asia hours. Price is drifting on the EMA cluster with RSI flat near 50 — no directional momentum in play.

Support: 1.3340, 1.3330

Resistance: 1.3350, 1.3383

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3350 reopens the path to the 1.3383 spike high
  • Failure to hold 1.3340 exposes the 1.3330 swing low
  • Bailey speech Fri 15:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst for GBP tone

22:01 UTC

Up-leg stalled, drifting lower · RSI 48 · price 1.33462

Range after NFP spike, lower highs.

GBPUSD spiked to a session high of 1.33846 on the soft US NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then rolled into a tight range and is drifting lower into thin late-session liquidity. Price is boxed between 1.33396 support and the 1.33506 range top, with descending highs since the spike.

Support: 1.33396, 1.3330

Resistance: 1.33506, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33506 reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • Break below 1.33396 confirms a lower low and a deeper fade of the NFP pop
  • BoE Bailey speech (Fri 15:00 UTC) is the next catalyst that could reset this range

22:01 UTC

Consolidation after NFP rally, momentum faded · RSI 46 · price 1.33462

Lower highs off session top, tight range into NY close.

The soft US jobs report drove GBPUSD sharply higher yesterday, peaking at the 1.3384 session high before rejection set in and price drifted into a tight range around 1.3345. Lower highs have formed since the top and volume has thinned into the NY close, RSI(14) sitting mid-range near 46.

Support: 1.3338, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3355, 1.3384

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3355 reopens the 1.3384 session high
  • Loss of 1.3338 swing low exposes the 1.3300 area
  • BoE Bailey speech Fri 15:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst

21:46 UTC

Uptrend stalled, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.33423

Range after NFP spike, lower highs.

The soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) drove GBPUSD sharply higher to a 1.3385 session high, but the leg has since faded into a tight consolidation between 1.3338 and 1.3350. Price sits mid-way in the NFP impulse, drifting lower off a chain of lower highs with RSI around 43.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3330

Resistance: 1.33512, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3350 opens a retest of the 1.3385 session high
  • Failure to hold 1.3338 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback toward 1.3300
  • BoE Gov Bailey Fri 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:46 UTC

Uptrend stalling, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 1.33423

Consolidation under session high after NFP spike.

GBPUSD spiked to 1.3385 during NY hours on the 57K NFP miss and broad USD selling, then rolled into a tight drift, now sitting at 1.3342 below EMA20/50. Buyers held 1.3338 repeatedly while supply capped attempts back toward 1.3351; range-bound into the late-session/Asia handover on thin volume.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3321

Resistance: 1.33512, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33377 confirms a lower low and opens 1.3321
  • Reclaim of 1.33512 puts the 1.33846 session high back in play
  • BoE Bailey speech Fri 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:31 UTC

Recovery stalling, ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.33406

Consolidation below session high after NFP breakout.

Soft US NFP drove a surge into the NY session, tagging a session high at 1.33846 before rolling over. Price now sits on the 50% retrace of that leg near 1.33406 and is ranging 1.33377-1.33512 into thin Asia liquidity, RSI mid-40s.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3321

Resistance: 1.33512, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33377 swing low opens a deeper retrace of the NFP leg
  • Reclaim of 1.33512 swing high puts the 1.33846 session high back in play
  • BoE Bailey speech Fri 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 1.33406

Consolidating below session high.

GBPUSD ripped to a session high of 1.33846 during NY hours as the dollar sagged into the soft June NFP print, then faded into a 1.3340-1.3350 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s with price idling just under the EMAs; the 1.33377 swing low is holding for now.

Support: 1.33377, 1.33256

Resistance: 1.33503, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33503 then 1.33846 session high reopens the upside
  • Loss of 1.33377 swing low confirms a lower-low toward the 1.33256 session low
  • BoE's Bailey Fri 15:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst for GBP

21:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.33462

Range after impulse, tight late-session drift.

GBPUSD spiked to a 1.33846 session high on the soft NFP-driven USD sell-off, then rolled into a tight 1.3340-1.3351 range through late NY. Volatility has collapsed — ATR near 5 pips — with RSI neutral around 47 as price coils just under the EMAs.

Support: 1.3340, 1.3330, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3351, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3351 range top reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • Loss of 1.3340 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.3330
  • BoE Bailey speech Fri 15:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst

21:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 1.33466

Post-NFP rally digesting in a tight range.

GBPUSD spiked on the June NFP miss (57K) around midday to a session high at 1.33846, then stalled as the softer USD read faded. Price now consolidates between the 1.33377 swing low and 1.33512 recent high with RSI back near neutral; the 1.3300 psych zone sits below.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3330

Resistance: 1.33512, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33512 reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • Loss of the 1.33377 swing low exposes the 1.3300 psych zone
  • Bailey speech Fri 15:00 UTC could reshape this read

20:46 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.33475

Consolidation after NFP spike.

GBPUSD spiked to the day high at 1.3385 on the soft US NFP miss, then drifted back and has since gone flat. Price is now ranging between the 1.3338 swing low and the 1.3350 range top in the thin late-NY/Asia transition, volume drained to near nil.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3330

Resistance: 1.3351, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33510 range top reopens the 1.3385 day high
  • Loss of 1.33377 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 1.3330
  • Bailey speech Fri 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 51 · price 1.33475

Consolidation under session high after impulsive rally.

GBPUSD ripped through 1.3300 as the dollar softened into the NFP miss, spiking to a session high of 1.33846 before rejecting. Since then price has consolidated around 1.3345 with RSI(14) neutral near 50 — no fresh directional impulse in play.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3308

Resistance: 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33846 reopens the upside path
  • Loss of 1.33377 confirms a deeper retrace of the rally
  • BoE Bailey speech Fri 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:32 UTC

Uptrend stalled, ranging · RSI 51 · price 1.33495

Range after impulse, capped under EMAs.

GBPUSD spiked to a session high of 1.33846 as the dollar softened on the NFP miss, then faded into a 1.3338-1.3354 range through late NY. Price now hovers mid-range at 1.33495 with RSI(14) flat near 50 and momentum drained into the low-volume close.

Support: 1.3338, 1.3321

Resistance: 1.3354, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3354 reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • Failure to hold 1.3338 exposes 1.3321
  • BoE Bailey (Fri 15:00 GMT) could reset the GBP leg

20:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.33495

Consolidating below session high.

London session drove GBPUSD up to 1.33846 as the dollar softened on the NFP miss, and late NY is now consolidating around 1.3350, holding above the 1.33377 swing low. RSI is neutral near 53 and ATR has cooled to roughly 5 pips — quiet, range-bound conditions into the close.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3320

Resistance: 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33377 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.33846 session high reopens the upside
  • BoE Bailey speech tomorrow 15:00 GMT could shift this read

20:16 UTC

Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.33473

Consolidation under session high.

The NFP miss drove sterling up to a session high of 1.33846, after which price faded and settled into a tight consolidation around 1.3345 through late NY hours. RSI(14) is mid-range near 48 and ATR has compressed to ~8 pips, reflecting the quiet post-data drift.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3321

Resistance: 1.3354, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.33540 swing high reopens the path to the 1.33846 session high
  • Loss of the 1.33377 swing low confirms a lower-low out of the range

20:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 1.33473

Range after breakout, drifting lower.

NY session rallied hard on the soft US NFP print, tagging 1.33846 before rejection. Price has since consolidated late-session between 1.33377 and 1.33632, drifting toward the lower end at 1.33473 with RSI(14) mid-range around 44.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3321

Resistance: 1.33632, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33377 confirms a lower low and breaks the consolidation
  • Reclaim of 1.33632 reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • BoE Bailey speech Fri 15:00 GMT could materially shift this read

20:02 UTC

Up-move faded, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.33436

Consolidating below NFP-spike high.

GBP spiked to a session high of 1.33846 on the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) that knocked the dollar, then stalled and unwound back toward the 50% retracement near 1.3343. Late-NY trade is now boxed between 1.33377 and 1.33512, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum, price holding under EMA20/50.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3329

Resistance: 1.33512, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.33377 confirms a lower-low toward 1.33290
  • Reclaim of 1.33512 reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • Sustained hold of 1.3340–1.3350 keeps the range intact

20:01 UTC

Pullback after NFP spike, momentum cooling · RSI 44 · price 1.33436

Consolidation below session high, lower highs.

The soft NFP print drove GBPUSD sharply higher into the session high at 1.33846, RSI now cooled back to the mid-40s. Price has since drifted into a consolidation between 1.33377 and 1.33520, sitting on the 50% retrace of the impulse with lower highs capping under overhead resistance.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3321

Resistance: 1.3352, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33377 confirms a lower low, opening 1.33210
  • Reclaim of 1.33520 needed to re-challenge the 1.33846 session high
  • BoE Bailey speech Fri 15:00 GMT could materially shift this read

19:46 UTC

Uptrend fading, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 1.33445

Pullback from session high, consolidating on lower highs.

GBPUSD spiked to 1.3384 on the soft US NFP print, then faded through the NY session and now consolidates near 1.3344, slipping back below EMA20 in a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) mid-range around 44, ATR ~48 pips; the session high at 1.3350 has capped attempts to recover.

Support: 1.3338, 1.3320, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3350, 1.3384

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3338 swing low confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.3350 session high needed to challenge the 1.3384 nfp high
  • Loss of 1.3320 pivot exposes the 1.3300 psych level

19:46 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 1.33445

Consolidation under session high after impulsive rally.

Sterling ripped from 1.3297 to a session high 1.3384 as the dollar softened into the soft US payrolls read, then rolled into a slow drift lower. Price now consolidates near 1.3344, slipping under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; the 1.3340 recent low is holding for now.

Support: 1.3340, 1.33036, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3350, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.3340 opens the 1.3304/1.3300 area
  • Reclaim of 1.3384 session high revives the up-leg
  • BoE Bailey Fri 15:00 GMT could reshape this read

19:31 UTC

Pullback after NFP spike · RSI 44 · price 1.33436

Consolidating below session high, lower highs.

The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked GBPUSD to a session high at 1.33846 during NY hours, then the move faded. Price has consolidated 1.3338–1.3351 since, holding above the fib 61.8 zone near 1.3330 but capped under EMA20.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3330, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3351, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33377 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.33510 (ema20) reopens the session high
  • BoE Bailey speech Fri 15:00 GMT could shift the GBP leg

19:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 1.33436

Consolidation below session high after NFP rally.

GBP ripped through NY on the soft US payrolls miss (57K vs 110K), spiking to a session high at 1.33846 before gains stalled under the overhead moving-average ceiling flagged into the 1.3300-1.3340 zone. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.3338-1.3351 range with RSI cooled to mid-40s, sitting just under EMA20.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3330

Resistance: 1.33512, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33377 confirms a lower low and breaks the consolidation
  • Reclaim of 1.33512 reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • BoE Bailey speech (Fri 15:00 GMT) could materially shift this read

19:16 UTC

Uptrend cooling, corrective drift · RSI 46 · price 1.33468

Lower highs under session high, holding above session low.

NFP miss (57K vs 110K) drove Cable ~1% to a 1.33846 session high before it stalled and drifted lower, now chopping around 1.3347 under a chain of lower highs. RSI cooling into the mid-40s, ATR ~7 pips as post-data volatility fades; price holding the 1.33377 session low so far.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3321

Resistance: 1.3350, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33377 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.335 needed to challenge the 1.33846 session high
  • BoE Bailey speech (Fri 15:00 GMT) could reshape this read

19:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 45 · price 1.33468

Consolidation below session high after NFP spike.

The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked Cable to a session high of 1.3385 during NY hours before sellers faded it back. Price is now consolidating around 1.3345-1.3350, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s after the impulse; buyers held 1.3338 on the pullback.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3330

Resistance: 1.33604, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33604 reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • Loss of 1.33377 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
  • Bailey speech tomorrow 15:00 GMT could reset this read

19:01 UTC

Post-spike pullback, lower highs · RSI 45 · price 1.33479

NFP spike then descending drift off 1.3385.

Cable spiked after the 12:30 GMT payrolls miss (57K vs 110K), tagging a session high at 1.3385, then bled lower through the NY afternoon to a session low of 1.3338. A small recovery to 1.3348 into the close leaves price under the 1.3355 pivot with RSI mid-40s.

Support: 1.3338, 1.3320, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3355, 1.3385

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 1.3355 opens the path to session high 1.3385
  • Loss of 1.3338 confirms a lower low toward 1.3300
  • BoE Bailey (Fri 15:00 GMT) could materially shift this read

18:46 UTC

Pullback after NFP spike, consolidating · RSI 48 · price 1.3348

Faded from session high, lower highs.

Cable spiked to a 1.33846 session high after the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K), then faded to 1.33377 and is now consolidating near 1.3348, just under the EMAs. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 47 after the momentum burst cooled; a chain of lower highs caps the pullback.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3330, 1.33036

Resistance: 1.3360, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 1.3360 reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • Loss of 1.33377 confirms a lower low toward 1.3330
  • US ISM Services and FOMC Minutes next week could reset USD direction

18:46 UTC

Uptrend post-NFP, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 1.3348

Impulsive rally, now corrective drift lower.

Cable spiked to the 1.3385 session high on the soft US NFP print (12:30 GMT), then drifted lower through NY into a 1.3338–1.3376 range. Price is sitting mid-range at 1.3348 with RSI(14) neutral near 46; series of lower highs since the spike top.

Support: 1.3338, 1.3330, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3376

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3385 reopens the post-NFP high
  • Loss of 1.3338 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • BoE Bailey speech (Fri 15:00 GMT) could shift this read

18:31 UTC

Pullback off NFP-driven high · RSI 47 · price 1.33475

Lower highs since session peak, consolidating.

NFP miss (57K vs 110K) at 12:30 GMT spiked Cable to a session high of 1.33846; price has since ground lower through NY hours in a descending channel, now consolidating near 1.3348 below EMA20. Buyers stepped in at 1.33377 to hold the recent swing low, but each bounce has capped under 1.33600.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3330, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.3360, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.33377 swing low confirms continuation lower toward 1.33300 psych
  • M15 close back above 1.33600 swing high reopens the 1.33846 session high
  • BoE Bailey (Fri 15:00 GMT) could materially shift this read

18:31 UTC

Pullback off NFP spike, lower highs · RSI 45 · price 1.33475

Post-spike drift, session high rejected.

The 57K NFP miss vs 110K forecast spiked Cable to a session high 1.33846 before supply capped it; price has since carved lower highs and eased to 1.33475, RSI(14) cooling near 45. Sits below EMA20 with the 1.33377 session low the intraday pivot.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3320, 1.33036

Resistance: 1.3354, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33377 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.33540 negates the pullback read
  • BoE Bailey speech Fri 15:00 GMT could reshape this read

18:16 UTC

Up over session, pulling back from highs · RSI 41 · price 1.33457

Lower highs since post-NFP top.

NFP spiked Cable off 1.3297 to a session high of 1.33846 during NY hours as the 57K miss softened the dollar. Price has since bled lower in a descending sequence to 1.33457, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s and holding above the 1.33377 session low.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3321

Resistance: 1.33552, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33377 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
  • Reclaim of 1.33552 puts the 1.33846 session high back in play
  • BoE Bailey speech (Fri 15:00 GMT) could reshape this read

18:16 UTC

Post-NFP rally correcting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.33457

Lower highs since session peak.

Cable spiked to a 1.3384 session high on the 57K US NFP miss, then rejected and drifted lower into a chain of lower highs, retracing roughly half the NFP leg to 1.3346. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price sits below EMA20 but is still holding above EMA50.

Support: 1.33377, 1.3330

Resistance: 1.3354, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3338 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.3300
  • Reclaim of the 1.3354 lower-highs line reopens the 1.3384 session high
  • BoE Bailey speech (Fri 15:00 GMT) could shift this read

18:01 UTC

Corrective pullback after NFP spike · RSI 40 · price 1.33413

Lower highs off session high, testing 50% fib.

US June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) at 12:30 UTC spiked Cable to a session high of 1.33846; price has since faded through the NY session to 1.33413 in a chain of lower highs, sitting on the 50% fib of the NFP leg. RSI(14) cooling near 40, price back below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 1.33377, 1.33328, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.3350, 1.33755, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.33500 negates the pullback read
  • Break of session low 1.33377 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.33328 fib
  • BoE Bailey (Fri 15:00 GMT) and NFP aftermath could shift this read

17:46 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 40 · price 1.33426

Lower highs off session high after NFP spike.

The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) drove Cable up to a session high near 1.3385 around 12:30 GMT, but NY hours have printed a chain of lower highs and price is now grinding back to ~1.3343. RSI(14) near 40 with the pair sitting on the 50% retrace of the NFP leg; buyers holding 1.3341 for now.

Support: 1.33411, 1.3329

Resistance: 1.3353, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.3341 opens the 1.3329 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.3353 would break the lower-high chain
  • BoE Bailey (Fri 15:00 GMT) a fresh GBP catalyst

17:46 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 39 · price 1.33426

Lower highs off session high, testing recent low.

Cable spiked to a session high of 1.3385 during NY hours after the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the USD, then rolled over into a chain of lower highs. Price is now grinding back to the recent low near 1.3341 with RSI cooling toward 39 and price back under EMA20.

Support: 1.3341, 1.3330, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3341 confirms a lower low, opening the path to 1.3330
  • Reclaim of 1.3384 session high needed to revive the NFP-driven leg
  • NFP aftermath continues to steer USD and drive Cable near-term

17:31 UTC

Post-spike pullback, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 1.33442

Lower highs off session high after NFP breakout.

The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) drove Cable off 1.3300 to a session high 1.3384 during NY hours. Price has since faded ~40 pips into the NY afternoon and now sits at 1.3344 below EMA20, RSI cooling toward 42 as the post-data spike unwinds.

Support: 1.3342, 1.3330, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3358, 1.3384

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3342 confirms a lower low toward 1.3330 / 1.3300
  • Reclaim of the 1.3358 EMA20 needed to re-challenge the 1.3384 session high
  • BoE Bailey (Fri 15:00 GMT) could materially shift this read

17:31 UTC

Post-NFP spike fading, retracing · RSI 41 · price 1.33442

Lower highs off session high, half the NFP move retraced.

Cable spiked to a session high of 1.33846 on the soft US June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) before stalling and retracing roughly half the move to 1.3344. RSI(14) has cooled to ~40 as lower highs stack up; price is holding just above the 1.3340 round number and the 1.33421 swing low.

Support: 1.33421, 1.3340, 1.33036

Resistance: 1.33755, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33421 confirms a lower-low, opening the 1.33036 pre-nfp base
  • Reclaim of 1.33755 would re-engage the session high at 1.33846
  • Continued NFP fallout in USD still steering price near-term

17:16 UTC

Up off NFP, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 1.33479

Post-breakout pullback, lower highs since peak.

Cable rocketed to a 1.33846 session high on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then rolled into a pullback now testing the session low at 1.33475. Lower highs have formed since the peak and RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as price slipped back under the EMA20.

Support: 1.33475, 1.3338, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.3363, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33380 swing low confirms a deeper leg lower
  • Reclaim of 1.33630 intraday would put the 1.33846 session high back in play
  • Bailey speech (Fri 15:00 GMT) is a key catalyst for the next GBP move

17:16 UTC

Post-spike pullback, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 1.33479

Corrective drift under session high, lower highs.

The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked Cable off 1.3297 to a 1.3385 session high as USD sold off. Price has since drifted lower into late NY, easing back to 1.3348 with RSI(14) cooling toward 42; sits on the recent low near 1.3348.

Support: 1.33475, 1.3338, 1.3321

Resistance: 1.3366, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33475 recent low opens the 1.33380 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.33660 swing high revives the post-NFP push toward the 1.33846 session high

17:01 UTC

Post-NFP uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 1.33517

Consolidating below session high, drifting lower.

Cable spiked to 1.3384 on the 12:30 GMT NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then rolled over through the NY session, printing lower highs into 1.3352. Price sits below EMA20 with RSI cooling to ~45, holding just above the 1.33489 swing low.

Support: 1.33489, 1.33036

Resistance: 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33846 resumes the upside push
  • Failure to hold 1.33489 confirms a lower-low toward 1.3330
  • Bailey speech Fri 15:00 GMT could materially shift the GBP read

17:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 45 · price 1.33517

Post-NFP rally now consolidating below session high.

The 57K US NFP miss drove Cable off 1.330 to a 1.33846 session high, then price rolled into a 1.334-1.338 consolidation and is now pressing the lower edge near 1.335 with RSI(14) back below 50. Session high rejected once; buyers held the 1.33452 area on the last dip.

Support: 1.33489, 1.33452, 1.3340

Resistance: 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33452 confirms a deeper pullback and lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.33846 reopens the path higher
  • BoE Bailey speech (Fri 15:00 GMT) could materially shift this read

16:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling off highs · RSI 45 · price 1.33546

Post-NFP breakout consolidating below session high.

The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) at 12:30 GMT spiked Cable off ~1.3300 to a 1.33846 session high as the USD sold off. Price has since consolidated and is drifting toward 1.3350 into the NY afternoon, RSI(14) cooling near 44 with rejection capping the 1.3380/1.3385 zone.

Support: 1.33489, 1.3329

Resistance: 1.33846, 1.33805

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33846 session high reopens the NFP-driven leg higher
  • Failure to hold the 1.33489 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.3330
  • NFP aftermath continues to steer USD and Cable near-term

16:46 UTC

Up off NFP, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.33546

Post-spike consolidation drifting lower.

Cable spiked to 1.3385 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then rolled over into a tightening pullback with RSI(14) cooling toward 43. Price is holding above the 1.3349 session low but stacking lower highs under 1.3373 into late NY.

Support: 1.33489, 1.3334

Resistance: 1.3373, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.33489 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
  • Break back above 1.33846 resumes the NFP breakout leg
  • Reaction around the 1.33340 prior range if the fade extends

16:31 UTC

Up post-NFP, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.33507

Lower highs off session high, drifting down.

NFP miss (57K vs 110K) at 12:30 GMT spiked Cable off 1.3297 to a session high 1.3385 as USD sold off. Through NY afternoon the move has faded, printing lower highs and slipping back under EMA20 to 1.3350; RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s.

Support: 1.3350, 1.3338, 1.33036

Resistance: 1.3375, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 1.33750 reopens the session high at 1.33846
  • Loss of the 1.33500 session low confirms a lower low toward 1.33380
  • BoE Bailey (Fri 15:00 GMT) is a live GBP risk after the hawkish hold

16:31 UTC

Uptrend fading, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 1.33507

Pullback from session high after impulsive rally.

Cable ripped ~90 pips into the NY session on the soft US NFP print, tagging a 1.33846 session high before fading. Price is now drifting back to 1.33500 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s and the run of lower highs off 1.3385 keeping the recovery corrective under overhead resistance.

Support: 1.3350, 1.3338

Resistance: 1.3375, 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.33750 recent high reopens the 1.33846 session high test
  • Loss of 1.33500 round number exposes the 1.33380 swing low
  • Bailey speech (Fri 15:00 GMT) could materially shift this read

16:16 UTC

Post-NFP uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 46 · price 1.3357

Consolidation at highs after impulsive break.

The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) at 12:30 GMT spiked Cable off 1.3297 to a session high of 1.33846. NY afternoon has since consolidated between 1.3356 and 1.3385, now drifting toward the range low with RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s and price back below EMA20.

Support: 1.3356, 1.33525, 1.33036

Resistance: 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3356 range low opens a pre-nfp retest toward 1.33525 prior low
  • Reclaim of 1.33846 session high needed to resume the post-NFP advance
  • Fed's Daly / NFP aftermath could reprice USD and shift this read

16:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near highs · RSI 48 · price 1.3357

Post-breakout consolidation below session high.

Cable spiked to 1.3385 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) during NY hours, then rolled into a tight consolidation between 1.3356 and 1.3385. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral as the pair drifts along the range floor; sellers capping at 1.3377 while 1.3356 holds.

Support: 1.3356, 1.3330, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3377

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3356 opens the 1.3330 swing low
  • Break above 1.3385 session high resumes the post-NFP leg
  • Bailey (Fri 15:00 GMT) could materially shift this read

16:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 1.33601

Range after NFP spike, at lower edge.

NFP miss (57K vs 110K) at 12:30 GMT spiked Cable from 1.3300 to 1.3385 on a broad USD offer. Since then price has ranged 1.3356-1.3385 through the NY session, now testing the lower edge with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s.

Support: 1.33558, 1.33525, 1.3330

Resistance: 1.33846, 1.3383, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33558 breaks the range floor and confirms a lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.33846 reopens the path toward 1.3400
  • Fed's Daly comments and NFP aftermath could shift this read intraday

16:01 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.33601

Post-NFP rally, ranging under session high.

Cable spiked into the NY session on the soft US June NFP (57K vs 110K) at 12:30 GMT, driving from ~1.3297 to a session high at 1.33846. Price has since coiled between 1.33566 and the high, RSI(14) cooling from post-spike extremes into the mid-50s.

Support: 1.33566, 1.33289, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.33846, 1.33829

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33846 opens continuation of the NFP rally
  • Loss of 1.33566 confirms a lower-low and stalls the recovery
  • Ongoing NFP aftermath / Fed speaker headlines could drive the next leg

15:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 1.33643

Post-NFP impulse, consolidating below session high.

Cable ripped higher off the 57K US NFP miss, breaking out from the 1.3300 area to a session high at 1.3385. Price has since coiled between 1.3355 and 1.3385 into the NY session, RSI(14) cooling from the impulse but holding above 60.

Support: 1.33525, 1.3350, 1.3330

Resistance: 1.33846, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3385 opens the path toward 1.3400
  • Failure to hold 1.3355 signals the post-NFP breakout is fading
  • US NFP aftermath still steering the pair; two-way USD risk into NY hours

15:46 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.33643

Post-breakout range under session high.

Cable ripped through 1.3340 on the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K), tagging a session high at 1.33846 before settling into a tight range around 1.3364. Price is holding well above EMA20/50 with RSI cooling from the spike, buyers defending the 1.3356 area repeatedly.

Support: 1.33566, 1.33525, 1.33039

Resistance: 1.33846, 1.33829

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33846 opens continuation higher
  • Loss of 1.33525 range base signals a fade back toward 1.3300
  • Fed's Daly comments could re-price the USD and shift this read

15:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.33665

Impulsive leg up, now consolidating below session high.

Cable gapped higher through 1.3340 after the US June NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c) drove the dollar offered, printing a session high at 1.33846 during NY hours. Price is now consolidating in a 1.33525–1.33846 band with RSI(14) cooling from the spike; the post-NFP base at 1.33036 held on the retrace.

Support: 1.33525, 1.33036

Resistance: 1.33846, 1.33804

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33846 resumes the post-NFP leg
  • Loss of 1.33525 session low opens the path back toward the nfp base at 1.33036
  • BoE Bailey (Fri 15:00 UTC) could shift the read once in range

15:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.33665

Post-NFP range after breakout.

Cable spiked from 1.3304 to 1.3384 on the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then settled into a 1.3357-1.3385 range through the NY session. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s off the post-print high; price holds above EMA20/50.

Support: 1.33566, 1.3338

Resistance: 1.33846, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33846 opens the path toward the 1.3400 psych level
  • Close below 1.33566 breaks the post-NFP range base
  • BoE Bailey speech tomorrow 15:00 UTC could reset this read

15:16 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 59 · price 1.33695

Impulsive breakout then range at session high.

Cable ripped through 1.3380 during NY hours after the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c) dented the dollar, printing a session high at 1.3385. Price is now consolidating between 1.3357 and 1.3385 with RSI cooling off the spike.

Support: 1.33566, 1.3338

Resistance: 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.33846 session high extends the breakout
  • Failure to hold 1.33566 swing low opens a deeper retrace toward 1.33380 prior low
  • US-side headlines post-NFP could reprice the dollar and shift this read

15:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 1.33695

Consolidation under session high after NFP breakout.

Cable ripped ~80 pips off 1.3297 on the 57K NFP miss, USD sold across the board, tagging a session high at 1.33846. Price is now chopping between 1.3357 and 1.3385, holding gains; RSI(14) has cooled from post-spike highs into the upper-50s.

Support: 1.33566, 1.33036

Resistance: 1.33846, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above 1.33846 opens the path to 1.34000
  • Loss of 1.33566 signals the post-NFP breakout is stalling
  • BoE Bailey speech Fri 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 1.33711

Post-breakout range under session high.

Cable spiked ~80 pips off 1.3304 on the soft US June NFP print (57K vs 110K) at the 12:30 UTC release, tagging 1.33846 during the NY session. Price has since consolidated between 1.33566 and the 1.33846 session high, RSI cooling toward mid-range as the initial impulse stalls.

Support: 1.33566, 1.33525, 1.3330

Resistance: 1.33846, 1.33804

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33846 session high extends the breakout toward 1.3400
  • Loss of 1.33566 swing low signals the post-NFP consolidation breaking down
  • BoE Bailey Fri 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:01 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 1.33711

Higher highs/lows, ranging under session high.

Cable ripped through 1.3380 after the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c) hit the dollar during the NY session. Price is now consolidating 1.3357-1.3385, RSI(14) cooling off the highs while holding above both EMAs.

Support: 1.33566, 1.33036

Resistance: 1.33846, 1.33804

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33846 opens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 1.33566 confirms a lower-low back toward 1.3303
  • Bailey speech tomorrow 15:00 UTC could reshape this read

14:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 1.33634

Post-breakout consolidation below session high.

GBPUSD ripped through the 1.3300 former ceiling on the 57K US NFP miss (12:30 UTC), extending to a session high at 1.33846 before cooling. Price is now consolidating around 1.3363, holding the 1.3357 swing low with RSI(14) easing from the spike.

Support: 1.33566, 1.3345, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.33846

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33846 opens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 1.33566 signals a deeper pullback toward the 1.3300 prior ceiling
  • BoE Bailey speech tomorrow could shift this read

14:46 UTC

Uptrend post-NFP, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 1.33634

Breakout above 1.3300, consolidating below session high.

NFP miss (57K vs 110K) drove a sharp break of the 1.3300 ceiling, spiking GBPUSD to 1.33846 before it settled into a range near the highs. RSI(14) has cooled off the post-spike peak; buyers held around 1.3352 on the pullback while supply caps at 1.3385.

Support: 1.33525, 1.3330, 1.33036

Resistance: 1.33846, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33525 breaks the post-NFP consolidation and reopens 1.3330
  • Reclaim of 1.33846 puts the 1.3400 psych level in view
  • Ongoing NFP-driven USD flows could shift this read intraday

14:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 1.33689

Post-breakout consolidation near session highs.

The 57K NFP miss vs 110K forecast spiked GBPUSD through the 1.3300 EMA ceiling in one bar, and price is now consolidating between 1.3355 and 1.3385 just under the 1.33846 session high. RSI(14) has cooled off from overbought as the post-spike drift flattens.

Support: 1.33525, 1.3330

Resistance: 1.33846, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33846 extends the breakout toward 1.3400
  • Failure to hold the 1.33525 spike base reopens the broken 1.3300 ceiling
  • Bailey speech tomorrow could reprice this move

14:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 63 · price 1.33689

Higher highs post-breakout, consolidating under session high.

NY session ripped through the 1.3300 ceiling on the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K), tagging a session high at 1.33846. Price is now consolidating just below the high around 1.3369, RSI(14) easing back from the rally extreme.

Support: 1.33586, 1.33525, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.33846, 1.33804

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.33525 session low would break the post-breakout higher-low chain
  • M15 close back under 1.33000 would negate the breakout
  • Bailey speech tomorrow 15:00 UTC could re-shift this read

14:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 66 · price 1.33803

Post-breakout consolidation near session high.

GBP surged after the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c), clearing the 1.3300 EMA ceiling in one impulsive leg. Price is now consolidating between 1.3355 and the 1.33832 session high, RSI cooling from stretched levels while holding above 60.

Support: 1.33525, 1.3321, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.33832

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 1.33525 breaks the consolidation and marks a lower high
  • Break and hold above 1.33832 extends the NFP leg
  • BoE Bailey speech Fri 15:00 UTC could reprice this move

14:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended post-NFP · RSI 68 · price 1.33803

Higher highs after breakout, now consolidating under session high.

The 12:30 UTC NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked GBP/USD ~80 pips through the 1.3300 EMA ceiling into a session high of 1.33832. Price is now coiling in a 1.3358–1.3383 band, RSI(14) hot near 67 but not extreme; buyers reclaimed 1.3375 into the NY afternoon.

Support: 1.3358, 1.33525, 1.3330

Resistance: 1.33832, 1.33804

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33832 extends the breakout leg
  • Failure to hold 1.3358 range low opens a slip back toward the 1.3330 prior high
  • Bailey speech Fri 15:00 UTC could shift this read

14:01 UTC

Uptrend, extended after NFP spike · RSI 67 · price 1.33736

Higher highs, breakout above 1.3300 cluster.

GBPUSD spiked to a session high 1.3383 after the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked USD lower and cleared the 1.3300 EMA ceiling. Price is consolidating just under 1.3380 with RSI(14) around 67; the pre-spike base sits at 1.3304.

Support: 1.33525, 1.33036

Resistance: 1.33804, 1.33829

What it said to watch

  • BoE Mann speech 14:00 UTC and US Factory Orders could re-price this move
  • Failure to hold 1.3352 would signal the post-NFP breakout is stalling
  • M15 close above 1.3383 extends the session high

14:01 UTC

Uptrend, post-spike consolidation · RSI 66 · price 1.33736

Higher highs, consolidating below session high.

GBPUSD spiked ~80 pips to 1.33829 on the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) around the NY open, then consolidated between 1.33525 and the session high. Price is holding in the upper third of the post-NFP range near 1.33736, RSI(14) cooling from spike highs but still firm.

Support: 1.33525, 1.3321, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.33829, 1.33804

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33829 extends the breakout
  • Loss of 1.33525 signals the post-nfp move is stalling
  • BoE Mann (14:00 UTC) and Fed Daly (13:45 UTC) could reprice this range

13:46 UTC

Uptrend, sharp NFP-driven leg · RSI 71 · price 1.33774

Higher highs, price at session high.

GBPUSD ripped through 1.3300 into the session high after the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the dollar, with the 1.33039-1.33829 spike printing on heavy volume. Price is consolidating just under the 1.33829 session high, RSI(14) hot near 71.

Support: 1.33525, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.33829

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 1.33525 would signal the NFP spike is fading
  • BoE Mann (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Daly (13:45 UTC) due imminently — could shift this read

13:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 67 · price 1.33774

Post-NFP breakout, holding gains.

GBPUSD spiked through the 1.3300 ceiling to 1.33829 on the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) during NY hours, RSI(14) elevated but cooling off the extreme. Pullback held the 1.33525 area and price is pressing back toward the session high.

Support: 1.33525, 1.3330, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.33829

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 1.33525 invalidates the breakout retest
  • 1.33829 session high — area to watch for rejection or break
  • BoE Mann 14:00 UTC could shift the read

13:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after spike · RSI 58 · price 1.33617

Impulse leg then consolidation below session high.

The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked cable ~80 pips to a session high of 1.33829, clearing the 1.3300 EMA band that had capped price all session. Since the spike GBPUSD has been consolidating around 1.3362 with RSI(14) near 58 — off the highs, not overbought. The prior 1.3300 cap now sits below as broken resistance.

Support: 1.33525, 1.3330, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.33829

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33829 session high opens continuation
  • Failure to hold 1.33525 pullback low exposes 1.3300 prior cap
  • Fed's Daly speech and Factory Orders could reshape the USD-side read

13:31 UTC

Uptrend after NFP breakout, pausing · RSI 62 · price 1.33617

Breakout then consolidation below session high.

The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked cable from ~1.3300 to a 1.33804 session high in one M15 bar, clearing the prior overhead. Price is now consolidating around 1.3360, holding above 1.33520 with RSI(14) cooling from the impulse peak.

Support: 1.3352, 1.3321, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.33804

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 1.33520 confirms a pullback toward the 1.33210 base
  • BoE's Mann speech at 14:00 UTC could shift the GBP-side read
  • Reclaim of 1.33804 session high reopens the extension

13:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after spike · RSI 60 · price 1.33584

Higher highs into NFP, now retracing.

Cable spiked from ~1.3304 to a session high of 1.33829 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then rejected and pulled back to 1.33584. RSI(14) cooling from the spike toward 60; price now sits just above the session low at 1.33558.

Support: 1.33558, 1.3330, 1.33036

Resistance: 1.33708, 1.33829

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33558 opens the path to 1.3330 round number
  • Reclaim of 1.33708 puts the 1.33829 session high back in play
  • BoE Mann (14:00 UTC) and Fed Daly (13:45 UTC) speeches could shift this read within the next bars

13:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 1.33584

Higher highs post-NFP, pulling back from session high.

The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked cable through 1.3300 to a session high of 1.33829, before profit-taking pulled it back to 1.33584. RSI(14) cooling from the spike but still constructive; the prior 1.3300 EMA band now sits below as reclaimed support.

Support: 1.3330, 1.33008, 1.32969

Resistance: 1.33829

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 1.33300 negates the breakout and reopens 1.33008 swing low
  • Break and hold above 1.33829 session high exposes the 1.3355 cap
  • Fed's Daly speech and Factory Orders (14:00 UTC) could reprice the USD leg

13:01 UTC

Uptrend, cooling after spike · RSI 63 · price 1.33656

Higher highs post-NFP breakout, now consolidating.

Cable ripped ~80 pips at the NY NFP print (57K vs 110K miss), tagging a session high at 1.33829 before pulling back to 1.3365. RSI(14) cooled from the spike but structure stays higher-high; breakout level near 1.33300 flipped to support.

Support: 1.3330, 1.3303

Resistance: 1.33829, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 1.33300 would negate the NFP breakout read
  • Reclaim of 1.33829 opens the 1.3400 round number
  • Fed's Daly speech and continued NFP digestion could shift this read

13:01 UTC

Uptrend, post-spike consolidation · RSI 63 · price 1.33656

Higher highs, cooling after NFP spike.

The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked cable to a session high 1.33829 before it faded ~19 pips into 1.3365. Price holds above the EMA band with RSI(14) cooling from the spike; pullback low at 1.33606 is the near-term marker.

Support: 1.33606, 1.3320, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.33829, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.33829 reopens the session high
  • Loss of 1.33606 pullback low signals the spike is being retraced
  • Fed's Daly (13:45 UTC) could re-price the USD reaction to NFP

12:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum spiking · RSI 66 · price 1.33723

Breakout above 1.3355 cap, fresh session high.

US NFP at 12:30 UTC drove a ~75-pip spike that pushed GBP/USD through the 1.3355 cap into a session high at 1.33829, closing back at 1.33723. Price holds above the prior swing high at 1.33628; RSI(14) hot near 66 but short of extreme.

Support: 1.33628, 1.3355, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.33829

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 1.3355 would invalidate the breakout
  • BoE Mann speech 14:00 UTC could shift this read

12:46 UTC

Uptrend, breakout extension · RSI 69 · price 1.33723

Higher highs, broke prior session high.

US NFP reaction spiked GBP/USD ~80 pips to a session high at 1.33829, clearing the 1.3355 cap and the prior 1.33628 high, with RSI(14) hot near 69. Price eased to 1.3372 into the print's aftermath; the prior high at 1.3357 is now the level to watch as support.

Support: 1.3357, 1.3321, 1.33008

Resistance: 1.33829

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 1.3357 negates the breakout and reopens 1.3321
  • Fed's Daly 13:45 UTC could extend the NFP-driven move

12:31 UTC

Uptrend, NFP-driven spike · RSI 61 · price 1.33485

Reclaim above 1.3340 after session-low sweep.

US NFP at 12:30 GMT spiked GBPUSD +45 pips in a single bar, reclaiming 1.3340 after the pullback to the session low at 1.33008. Price now presses the 1.3355 UOB cap with the session high at 1.33628 just above; RSI(14) rebounding into the low 60s.

Support: 1.33008, 1.3321

Resistance: 1.3355, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33628 opens the path toward fresh session highs
  • Failure to hold the 1.33008 session low confirms a lower-low
  • Fed's Daly 13:45 GMT could reprice the dollar and shift this read

12:31 UTC

Uptrend resuming after pullback · RSI 62 · price 1.33485

Higher highs, NFP-driven breakout bar.

June NFP just printed and GBPUSD spiked ~45 pips off 1.3300 into the 1.3355 cap, echoing the soft-USD scenario. Earlier the pair rallied to a session high of 1.33628 before a pullback to 1.33008; that pullback is now being bought back into.

Support: 1.33008, 1.3321, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3355, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3355 opens the path back to 1.33628 session high
  • Failure to hold 1.3300 reopens 1.3321 and the 1.33008 swing low
  • Fed Daly speech 13:45 GMT could extend post-NFP volatility

12:16 UTC

London rally faded, retracing lower · RSI 42 · price 1.33011

Pullback unwinding the morning up-leg.

GBPUSD ran up through the London session to a 1.33628 session high, then rejected and has retraced the entire move back to the 1.3300 round number, price now sub-EMA20/50. Lower highs off 1.3362 with RSI cooling to the low-40s; prior base at 1.3290 is the next reference below.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3290, 1.3213

Resistance: 1.33355, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US June NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read
  • M15 close below 1.3290 confirms a full retrace of the London up-leg
  • Reclaim of 1.33355 needed to re-open the 1.33628 high

12:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback underway · RSI 41 · price 1.33011

Rally to 1.3363 then lower highs into 1.3300.

NY session saw GBPUSD break higher to 1.3363 as the dollar softened into NFP, but the move was rejected and price has retraced back to the 1.3300 round number, printing lower highs. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as the pullback deepens toward the session low at 1.33004.

Support: 1.33004, 1.32877

Resistance: 1.33355, 1.3357

What it said to watch

  • US NFP due ~12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could invalidate this read
  • M15 close below 1.33004 confirms a lower-low toward 1.32877
  • Reclaim of 1.33355 reopens the 1.3357 swing high

12:01 UTC

London rally fading, pullback in play · RSI 43 · price 1.33097

Lower highs since session peak.

London session pushed Cable up to 1.33628 before fading roughly 50 pips into the US NFP release, price now holding the 38.2% retrace near 1.33077. Lower highs have stacked since the 08:45 UTC peak; RSI(14) sits soft at 43 with price back below EMA20.

Support: 1.33077, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3357, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the immediate driver and could break this read either way
  • Close below 1.33077 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.3300 psych
  • Reclaim of 1.33570 swing high revives the London upside toward 1.33628

12:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 1.33097

Rally stalling below session high, pulling back.

Cable ripped from 1.3290 to a 1.33628 session high on soft US ADP and Warsh's less-hawkish tone, then rejected and faded back to 1.3310 into NFP. RSI(14) cooled to ~44 as price slipped under its EMAs, consistent with the digest's 1.3300/1.3355 EMA cap.

Support: 1.33077, 1.32975, 1.32877

Resistance: 1.33335, 1.33355, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~30m) is the immediate driver — will override this structure
  • M15 close below 1.33077 confirms a lower low toward 1.3298
  • Reclaim of 1.33355 ema cap reopens the 1.33628 session high

11:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback in progress · RSI 44 · price 1.33219

Lower highs off 1.33628 rejection, holding above 1.3300.

Cable rallied through the London-NY window to a session high of 1.33628 before stalling into the ~1.3355 falling-EMA cap flagged by the GBP digest, then rejected into a sequence of lower highs down to 1.3321. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s with price now under EMA20; the 1.3300 round number is the pivot below.

Support: 1.3321, 1.3305, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.33445, 1.3355, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~45m out) is the immediate catalyst and likely overrides this intraday structure
  • M15 close back above the 1.3355 ema cap reopens the 1.33628 session high
  • Failure to hold 1.3300 confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.3305/1.3300 base

11:47 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.33219

Impulsive rally into 1.3363, now retracing.

London session drove Cable from ~1.3290 to a 1.3363 session high on GBP outperformance and soft US ADP, then rejected there and retraced to 1.3322 — roughly 60% of the move. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as price slipped back beneath the EMA20 and the 1.3355 cap.

Support: 1.3321, 1.3305, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.33355, 1.33565, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of the 1.3355 cap reopens the 1.3363 session high
  • Loss of 1.3321 session low exposes the 1.3305 swing low

11:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 1.33303

Rally stalled, consolidating below session high.

Cable ran from ~1.3290 to a session high of 1.33628 through the London-NY window on the soft-USD, hawkish-BoE tone, then rejected the 1.3355/1.3363 cap flagged as resistance. Price is now consolidating around 1.3330, holding above rising session lows near 1.3325 with RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak.

Support: 1.33256, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3357, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and could invalidate this consolidation read
  • M15 close above 1.33628 opens the path back toward the 1.3355 cap area
  • Failure to hold 1.33256 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the rally

11:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.33303

Impulsive break higher, now consolidating below session high.

Cable ripped through 1.3300 into the NY session, peaking at 1.33628 before stalling under the 1.3355 falling-average cap flagged in the digest. Price has since drifted back to 1.3330 and is consolidating above the 1.33256 breakout shelf; RSI cooling off from its rally highs.

Support: 1.33256, 1.33051

Resistance: 1.33628, 1.3354

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and could override this structure
  • M15 close back below 1.33256 negates the breakout and reopens 1.33051
  • Reclaim of 1.33540/1.33628 needed to extend the up-leg

11:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 50 · price 1.33289

Higher highs, pulling back from session high.

Cable ran from 1.3220 through the 1.3300 ceiling to a 1.33628 session high before rejecting and fading back to 1.3329, RSI(14) cooling off overbought to neutral. The leg up followed the soft US ADP undercutting the dollar; price now consolidating below the session high into NFP.

Support: 1.33256, 1.3318

Resistance: 1.3338, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver — could materially shift this read within the next bars
  • M15 close back above 1.33380 puts the 1.33628 high back in play
  • Loss of 1.33180 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising structure

11:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 48 · price 1.33289

Pullback from session high.

Cable ran from the 1.3220 London low to 1.3363 into the NY session on a softer USD after the weak ADP print, then stalled and rejected the 1.3355/1.3363 area. Price has since faded to 1.3329, dipping under the EMA20 while holding above the 1.3325 swing low; momentum has cooled with RSI mid-range.

Support: 1.33256, 1.3300, 1.3295

Resistance: 1.33628, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and could reprice this read sharply
  • M15 close below 1.3300 opens a deeper retracement toward 1.3295
  • Reclaim of 1.3363 puts the 1.3355 cap and session high back in play

11:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.3332

Impulse leg then shallow pullback under session high.

London session drove cable from 1.3297 up through 1.3300 to a session high of 1.33628, stalling right under the 1.3355 falling-average cap flagged in the macro read before retracing to 1.3332. RSI(14) cooling from the highs as price holds a ~47% pullback of the impulse leg; 1.3325 the near-term pivot.

Support: 1.3325, 1.3300, 1.3297

Resistance: 1.3355, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and could reshape this read within the next bar
  • M15 close back above 1.3355 reopens the 1.33628 session high
  • Failure to hold 1.3325 exposes 1.3300 round number

11:01 UTC

Uptrend, pullback in progress · RSI 52 · price 1.3332

Higher highs stalled under 1.3363, retracing.

Cable ran from the 1.3220 London low to a session high of 1.3363 on the hawkish-BoE bid before rejecting the 1.3355/63 falling-average cap, now easing back to 1.3332 with RSI cooling toward neutral. The near-term structure is corrective within the broader intraday uptrend; buyers defended 1.3326 on the first dip.

Support: 1.3326, 1.3300, 1.3277

Resistance: 1.3355, 1.3363

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver — likely to override this structure
  • M15 close above 1.3363 clears the session high and the 1.3355 cap
  • Loss of 1.3300 confirms a deeper retrace toward 1.3277

10:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading on pullback · RSI 47 · price 1.33294

Breakout above 1.3300 then retracement from session high.

London session drove GBPUSD through the 1.3300 ceiling to a session high of 1.33628 after soft US ADP undercut the dollar, briefly clearing the 1.3355 UOB cap. Price has since retraced to 1.3329, roughly the 50% pullback of the rally, with RSI(14) cooling back near midline.

Support: 1.3328, 1.3300, 1.3280

Resistance: 1.3355, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
  • Loss of 1.3300 prior-ceiling support would confirm a deeper retracement
  • A reclaim of 1.3355 puts the 1.33628 session high back in play

10:32 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back off highs · RSI 58 · price 1.33279

Higher highs into 1.3363, now retracing.

NY session drove cable from ~1.3290 up to 1.33628 as the soft US ADP print undercut the dollar and the hawkish BoE narrative supported sterling. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought and price is now retracing to 1.33279, slipping back below EMA20. The 1.3355 cap capped the advance and demand is being tested into the pullback.

Support: 1.3318, 1.3304

Resistance: 1.33355, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT (in ~2h) is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
  • Close below 1.33180 confirms a deeper pullback
  • Reclaim of 1.33355 reopens the 1.33628 session high

10:31 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 52 · price 1.33279

HH-HL chain, retracing off session high.

NY session drove a clean breakout from 1.3300 up to 1.33628, but price has since faded back to 1.33279 and slipped under the EMA20 as the move cooled. Sellers capped the advance near the 1.3355 UOB level; the pullback is holding above the prior 1.3278 pivot for now.

Support: 1.33267, 1.3300, 1.3278

Resistance: 1.33355, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst and could override this structure
  • Loss of 1.3300 psych opens the path back toward the 1.3278 pivot
  • Close back above 1.33355 reasserts the breakout toward 1.33628

10:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 1.33405

Higher highs into 1.3363, shallow pullback.

Cable rallied through the 1.3300 ceiling to a session high of 1.33628 during London hours as the dollar softened post-ADP, then eased back to 1.334. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought while buyers hold the 1.3338 swing low; US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst.

Support: 1.33383, 1.33051, 1.32909

Resistance: 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 1.33383 swing low opens the 1.3305 breakout base
  • Close above 1.33628 session high resumes the impulse

10:16 UTC

Uptrend, pausing near highs · RSI 62 · price 1.33405

Chain of higher highs and higher lows, first pullback off session high.

Cable ran from 1.3290 through the 1.3300 ceiling to a session high of 1.33628, aided by pre-NFP dollar softness after the ADP miss. Price has since eased to 1.3340 and is retesting the breakout zone, RSI(14) cooling from the highs but structure still stacked with higher lows.

Support: 1.33379, 1.3300, 1.32909

Resistance: 1.33628, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver — likely to override current structure
  • Loss of 1.33379 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.3300
  • A close above 1.33628 puts the 1.3355 area cap back in focus

10:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 1.3339

Higher highs into session peak, now pulling back.

London session drove Sterling from 1.3218 up to a 1.3363 session high, GBP the week's outperformer on a hawkish BoE. Price rejected 1.3363 and is pulling back to 1.3339, RSI(14) cooling off the highs while holding above EMA20/50.

Support: 1.3338, 1.3320, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.33628, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 1.3338 opens deeper pullback toward 1.3320
  • Break and hold above 1.33628 resumes the session uptrend toward the 1.3355+ cap

10:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after pullback · RSI 56 · price 1.3339

Higher highs into 1.3363, now consolidating below the high.

London session drove a clean breakout above the 1.3300 area, extending to 1.3363 as Sterling held its hawkish-BoE bid before easing back to 1.3339. RSI(14) has cooled off overbought to mid-range on the pullback; the 1.3355 UOB cap and session high at 1.3363 remain the near-term ceiling.

Support: 1.3338, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.3355, 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • A hold above 1.3338 keeps the higher-low sequence intact; a break opens 1.3300 breakout retest
  • A close above 1.3363 clears the session high and 1.3355 cap

09:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 1.33428

Impulsive breakout, first pullback.

London session drove Sterling through the 1.3300 EMA band and printed a session high at 1.33628 on a clean breakout, aided by hawkish-BoE tone. Price is now unwinding to 1.3343, capped near the 1.3355 prior cap with RSI(14) easing off its highs; the breakout base at 1.33051 remains intact.

Support: 1.33379, 1.33051, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.33628, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
  • Loss of 1.33379 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Close back below 1.33051 negates the breakout

09:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after breakout · RSI 61 · price 1.33428

Higher highs into session peak, shallow pullback.

London session drove GBPUSD up through the 1.3300 EMA ceiling to a session high of 1.33628, with Sterling the week's outperformer ahead of US NFP. Price rejected the high and eased back to 1.33430; RSI cooling from the push but holding above midline, and the 1.33379 swing low remains intact.

Support: 1.33379, 1.33042

Resistance: 1.33628, 1.3354

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 1.33379 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
  • Reclaim of 1.33628 opens the 1.3355 cap zone above

09:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling at highs · RSI 63 · price 1.3340

Higher highs into overhead EMA cap, pulling back.

London session ran GBP from the 1.3290 range up to 1.33628 on Bailey's hawkish 'no cuts' line, before rejection into the 1.3355 EMA cap left price back at 1.3340. Sharp intraday breakout, RSI cooling off the highs as the move stalls under resistance.

Support: 1.3338, 1.3305, 1.3290

Resistance: 1.33628, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~3h) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
  • Loss of 1.3338 pullback low opens the 1.3305 prior range
  • M15 close above 1.33628 session high extends the breakout toward the 1.3355 cap

09:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 64 · price 1.3340

Higher highs into session high, first pullback.

GBPUSD ran from the 1.3220 London low to a session high of 1.3363, sterling firming after Bailey's 'no cuts' stance, and cleared the 1.3300 area cap. Last two bars pulled back to 1.3340 with RSI(14) cooling from the low-70s; the 1.3338 swing low is the first line holding the rally.

Support: 1.3338, 1.3318, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver — could materially shift this read
  • Close above 1.33628 extends the uptrend toward the 1.3355 cap
  • Failure to hold 1.3338 opens a deeper pullback toward 1.3300

09:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 66 · price 1.33451

Higher highs into 1.3355-1.3363 supply, first pullback holding.

GBPUSD ripped through 1.3300 during the NY session on broad USD softness and Bailey's hawkish 'no cuts' stance, tagging a session high at 1.33628 in the 1.3355-1.3363 EMA cap zone flagged in the macro read. Price then pulled back to a 1.33379 swing low and now trades ~1.33451; RSI(14) cooling from overbought as the first retrace develops.

Support: 1.33379, 1.3300, 1.32909

Resistance: 1.33628, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver — will decide the 1.3363 cap break or a slide back through 1.3300
  • Loss of 1.33379 swing low opens the path back toward the 1.3300 psych level
  • M15 close above 1.33628 session high extends the leg past the ema cap

09:16 UTC

Uptrend, strong momentum · RSI 71 · price 1.33451

Steep HH/HL rally off session low.

London session drove a steep rally from 1.3220 to 1.33628, GBP firming on Bailey's 'no cuts' stance while USD softened after the ADP miss. Price is cooling into 1.33450 after the first pullback off the high, RSI(14) around 71. Breakout above 1.33051 remains respected.

Support: 1.3338, 1.33051, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reprice this move sharply
  • M15 close back below 1.33380 breaks the HL chain
  • 1.33628 session high — area to watch for rejection or break

09:01 UTC

Uptrend, extended · RSI 74 · price 1.33542

Impulsive breakout, higher highs.

GBPUSD broke out of the 1.3275-1.3290 London range and ran to 1.33628, clearing the 1.3300-1.3355 cap flagged into NFP, RSI(14) hot near 74. Move is one-directional with no clean pullback yet; 1.33355 marks the breakout shelf below current price.

Support: 1.33355, 1.33051, 1.32909

Resistance: 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
  • Loss of 1.33355 breaks the intraday breakout structure
  • Close above 1.33628 extends the leg higher

09:01 UTC

Strong uptrend, extended · RSI 79 · price 1.33542

Chain of higher highs / higher lows.

GBPUSD ripped through 1.3300 during London hours, extending to a session high at 1.33628 on the hawkish Bailey/soft-USD mix, RSI(14) now hot near 79. The rising HH/HL chain is intact but stretched, holding above the 1.3336 higher low.

Support: 1.3336, 1.33051, 1.32877

Resistance: 1.33628

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold 1.3336 breaks the rising intraday support line
  • M15 close above 1.33628 extends the session high

08:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 77 · price 1.33536

Breakout, higher highs into London session.

GBPUSD accelerated through the London open, breaking above the 1.3300 breakout level and clearing the 1.3355 area to a session high at 1.33598, RSI(14) running hot near 76. Move follows a soft US ADP print with the pair now consolidating just under the high ahead of US NFP.

Support: 1.33426, 1.33051, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.33598

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could sharply shift this read
  • Failure to hold the 1.33051 breakout would signal the impulse stalling
  • Close back below 1.33000 psych level negates the breakout structure

08:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 78 · price 1.33536

HH/HL chain, breakout in progress.

GBPUSD ran hard through the London session, breaking the 1.3290 consolidation base and pushing to a session high of 1.33598 into pre-NFP flows as the dollar stayed soft after weak ADP/ISM. RSI(14) near 78 is hot but consistent with the impulse; price is stalling just under the 1.3355 UOB cap.

Support: 1.3333, 1.3290, 1.32687

Resistance: 1.33598, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and could reprice this move sharply
  • M15 close above 1.33598 opens the path toward 1.3400
  • Failure to hold 1.3333 signals the breakout is fading back toward the 1.3290 base

08:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 79 · price 1.33509

Breakout to fresh session highs.

London session ripped through the 1.3300 cluster and printed fresh session highs at 1.33539, GBP firm on hawkish-BoE carry and a soft-dollar tilt into NFP. RSI(14) is hot near 79 with price stretched from EMA20, and the 1.3355 UOB cap sits just overhead.

Support: 1.3304, 1.32809, 1.32656

Resistance: 1.33539, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver — capable of reshaping this read within the next few hours
  • Close above 1.33550 opens room beyond the uob cap
  • Failure to hold 1.33040 breakout would confirm the move fading back into range

08:31 UTC

Uptrend, extended · RSI 80 · price 1.33509

Chain of higher highs, breakout above 1.3300.

GBPUSD accelerated through the London session, clearing the 1.3300 EMA cluster and printing a fresh session high at 1.3354 as a soft US ADP kept the dollar heavy. RSI(14) near 80 flags the move as stretched into the 1.3355 UOB cap, with the 1.33051 breakout shelf the first level below.

Support: 1.33051, 1.3290, 1.3272

Resistance: 1.33539, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and can materially shift this read
  • Close above 1.3355 opens the path higher; rejection there caps the run
  • Loss of 1.33051 breakout shelf signals the impulse is fading

08:15 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 77 · price 1.33381

Higher highs, fresh breakout above 1.3300.

London session drove a breakout above 1.3300, extending to a session high 1.3338 with RSI(14) hot near 77. GBP firm as BoE cut-repricing supports carry, but the leg is stalling just beneath the 1.3355 overhead cap.

Support: 1.3305, 1.3276, 1.32187

Resistance: 1.33381, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • 1.3355 overhead cap — area to watch for rejection or break
  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4.8h) could materially shift this read
  • loss of the 1.3300 breakout level opens a pullback toward 1.3275

08:15 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 74 · price 1.33381

Chain of higher highs, breakout leg in play.

London session pushed GBPUSD through 1.3300 to a fresh session high at 1.33381, RSI(14) running hot near 74 as the breakout leg extended off the 1.3290 base. Price is now sitting just under the 1.3355 overhead EMA band flagged as the corrective cap; buyers held every dip above 1.32900 into the run.

Support: 1.33051, 1.3300, 1.32901

Resistance: 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4.5h) could materially shift this read
  • Rejection at 1.3355 ema cap would stall the breakout
  • Loss of 1.33051 breakout level opens a pullback toward 1.3300

08:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stretched · RSI 79 · price 1.33381

Breakout from consolidation, higher highs.

GBPUSD broke the 1.3280 consolidation shelf during the London session and ran sharply to a session high at 1.3338, RSI(14) hot near 79. Price is now pressing into the 1.3355 EMA cap flagged as overhead resistance, with US NFP the key event later today.

Support: 1.33051, 1.3292, 1.3280

Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4.5h) is the dominant driver for the next legs
  • Rejection at 1.3355 EMA cap would stall the breakout
  • Loss of 1.33051 breakout base signals the move is fading

08:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 78 · price 1.33381

Higher highs, breakout to session high.

London session drove a clean breakout above the 1.3290-1.3300 range, price pushing to a session high of 1.3338 with RSI(14) running hot near 78. GBP momentum is firm ahead of US NFP, with the 1.3355 EMA band the immediate overhead cap.

Support: 1.3330, 1.3295, 1.3272

Resistance: 1.3355, 1.3338

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4.5h) is the key risk and could reprice this move
  • Rejection at the 1.3355 EMA cap would stall the breakout
  • Loss of 1.3300 breakout level negates the upside break

07:46 UTC

Uptrend, strong momentum · RSI 78 · price 1.33309

Impulsive breakout, HH/HL intact.

London session drove GBPUSD in a near-vertical push from 1.3290 through the 1.3300 breakout base to a session high of 1.3338, RSI(14) running hot near 78. The move is approaching the 1.3355 EMA cap flagged overhead; momentum strong but stretched into US NFP in ~4.8h.

Support: 1.3304, 1.3280, 1.32656

Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4.8h) is the key swing factor and could reset this read
  • Rejection at the 1.3355 ema cap would stall the breakout
  • Loss of the 1.33040 breakout base signals momentum fade

07:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 74 · price 1.33214

Range break above 1.3300, printing higher highs.

Cable broke above the 1.3300 psych level early in the London session, printing a session high at 1.3326 as the prior 1.3276–1.3295 range gave way on the last four bars. RSI(14) is running hot near 74, and price now sits above both EMAs.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3286, 1.3276

Resistance: 1.33257, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold 1.3300 reopens the 1.3276 range base
  • Sustained push into 1.3355 hard cap — area to watch for rejection or break

07:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 72 · price 1.3307

Breakout above 1.3300 after tight consolidation.

Cable pushed through the 1.3300 50/200-EMA ceiling into the London session, spiking to 1.33257 before settling near 1.3307 with RSI(14) running hot around 72. The prior 1.3278–1.3292 range was resolved to the upside; 1.3300 is now the retest pivot. US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the key event that could reprice this leg.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3278, 1.3266

Resistance: 1.3326, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close back below 1.3300 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Sustained hold above 1.3326 opens the path toward the 1.3355 cap

07:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 66 · price 1.3301

Higher highs, rising lows intact.

GBPUSD in a London-session uptrend, spiking to a session high 1.33257 before easing back to 1.3301 with RSI(14) cooling from hot. The breakout above the 1.3295 round level is holding, but NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant risk into the next session.

Support: 1.3295, 1.3275, 1.3240

Resistance: 1.3326, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • NFP at 12:30 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold the 1.3275 pivot breaks the rising-low chain
  • Close above 1.3355 ceiling opens further upside

06:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.32978

Higher highs and higher lows into 1.3300.

London morning extending a steady HH/HL grind off the 1.3219 low, now pressing the 1.3300 round number with RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not yet extreme. ATR is compressed at ~5 pips into the US session, and NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant risk for the dollar side of the pair.

Support: 1.3289, 1.3280, 1.3274

Resistance: 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3300 opens continuation; failure there keeps price capped
  • Loss of 1.3289 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

06:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 1.32953

Higher highs / higher lows, printing session high.

London morning has ground steadily higher off the 1.32187 spike low, with GBPUSD now testing the session high at 1.32995 and RSI(14) elevated near 68. The move is orderly, small-bodied bars stacking higher lows — no rejection yet at the round-number 1.33000.

Support: 1.3286, 1.32775, 1.3266

Resistance: 1.32995, 1.3300, 1.33355

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
  • Close above 1.33000 opens the path toward the 1.33355 ceiling
  • Failure to hold 1.32775 breaks the rising sequence

06:16 UTC

Uptrend, pressing session highs · RSI 68 · price 1.32954

Higher lows into a breakout above the Asian range.

Thin Asian-session consolidation between 1.32750 and 1.32920 resolved higher, price printing a fresh session high at 1.32995 and testing the 1.33000 round number just ahead of the London open. RSI(14) elevated near 68 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips, reflecting pre-London liquidity.

Support: 1.3275, 1.3266

Resistance: 1.32995, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • Sustained hold above 1.33000 keeps the breakout intact; a slip back under 1.32750 range floor negates it
  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) is the primary catalyst and could override this intraday read

06:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 64 · price 1.32948

Higher highs and higher lows since the London spike low.

London session grinding higher along a rising support line, printing fresh highs near 1.3295 with RSI(14) around 64 — hot but not stretched. Buyers have defended each pullback into the 1.3278–1.32853 zone; the 1.3300 round number sits just above as the next area to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 1.32853, 1.3278, 1.3270

Resistance: 1.3295, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.3295 opens the path to the 1.3300 round number
  • Loss of 1.32853 breaks the higher-low chain and threatens the rising support line
  • BoE Mann speech 14:00 UTC could shift the intraday read

05:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.32891

Higher lows into session high.

GBPUSD rallied off the 1.3219 flush and has ground higher through the Asia/early-London hours, printing higher lows and pressing the 1.3295 session high. RSI(14) near 62 with price above EMA20/50 — momentum intact but no extreme; the pair sits in the upper part of the 1.3180–1.3355 weekly box.

Support: 1.3276, 1.3268

Resistance: 1.32946, 1.3292

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above 1.32946 opens a probe toward the 1.3355 cap
  • Loss of 1.32760 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US jobs data ahead is the key GBPUSD catalyst and can override this read

05:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 58 · price 1.32882

Consolidating near session highs after intraday rally.

GBPUSD rallied off 1.3220 through the NY session after soft US ADP/ISM undercut the dollar, topping near 1.3295. Price has since ground sideways in a tight 1.3280–1.3295 band through the Asian session, RSI easing to the mid-50s as momentum flattens.

Support: 1.3280, 1.3270

Resistance: 1.32946, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.32946 opens the path toward 1.3300
  • Loss of 1.3280 range floor signals rollover from the highs
  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could break this consolidation

05:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.32884

Higher highs off 1.3219, consolidating under session high.

GBPUSD rallied off 1.3219 into the NY session yesterday after soft US ADP and ISM undercut the dollar, then ground higher through Asia to a session high at 1.32946. Price is now coiling tight between 1.3285-1.3290, RSI mid-range around 58.

Support: 1.32763, 1.32656, 1.32187

Resistance: 1.32946, 1.3355

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.32946 opens the path toward the 1.3355 range cap
  • Failure to hold 1.3276 swing low signals a lower low
  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could reset this read

05:01 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 62 · price 1.32895

Higher highs / higher lows, grinding into session high.

GBPUSD ground higher through the Asian session, tagging 1.32946 before easing to 1.3290 as RSI cools from the mid-60s. Price is coiling just under the 1.3292–1.3295 session-high band with the rising sequence of higher lows intact.

Support: 1.3280

Resistance: 1.3292, 1.32946

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.32946 extends the session high; failure to hold 1.32800 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the key GBP/USD catalyst and could override this intraday read

04:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 1.32854

Higher highs since the spike, now consolidating near session top.

GBPUSD spiked off 1.32187 into the London-NY session and has since ground higher, tagging the 1.32946 day high before easing to 1.32854 in early Asia. Price is consolidating above a 1.3277 range floor with RSI(14) around 60 — no extreme. Pair still boxed inside its wider 1.3180–1.3355 range ahead of US jobs data.

Support: 1.3277, 1.3270

Resistance: 1.32946, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • US NFP 12:30 UTC is the key GBPUSD catalyst and can override this read
  • Close above 1.32946 day high opens the path toward 1.33000
  • Loss of the 1.3277 range floor exposes the 1.3270 swing low

04:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session highs · RSI 62 · price 1.32898

Higher highs / higher lows since the 1.3219 low.

GBPUSD ground higher through the Asia session, printing a fresh session high at 1.32946 before easing to 1.32898, RSI(14) around 62 with room left. Buyers repeatedly defended the 1.3280 base after the London-session breakout off 1.3219; move is extended but not yet overbought.

Support: 1.3280, 1.32743, 1.3243

Resistance: 1.32946, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 1.32946 opens the path to the 1.3300 round number
  • Loss of 1.3280 base breaks the higher-low chain
  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the key near-term catalyst and can reset this read

04:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher in tight range · RSI 63 · price 1.32898

Consolidation near session highs after data spike.

Consolidation near the session high after yesterday's ADP-driven spike from 1.3219 up to 1.3295. Price has ground higher through Asian hours holding above 1.3280, RSI mid-60s, with the 1.3295 range top capping so far.

Support: 1.32797, 1.32734, 1.32687

Resistance: 1.32946, 1.32919

What it said to watch

  • US jobs data at 12:30 UTC is the key near-term driver for this pair
  • Close above 1.3295 opens the path toward the 1.3355 cap
  • Failure to hold 1.3280 exposes the 1.3273 swing low

04:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 60 · price 1.3288

Higher lows into session high.

Asia into early-London ground higher, tagging a session high at 1.32946 before easing to 1.3288, RSI(14) mid-range near 60. Grind is orderly on a chain of higher lows off 1.32686; ATR compressed to ~9 pips as price coils below the high.

Support: 1.3275, 1.32686, 1.3254

Resistance: 1.32946, 1.3305

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.32946 opens room toward the 1.33050 round number
  • Loss of 1.32750 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 1.32686
  • US jobs data 12:30 UTC is the near-term GBPUSD catalyst

03:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 1.32831

Higher highs into session top, now consolidating.

GBPUSD spiked off 1.32187 during NY hours and ground higher to a session high at 1.32946, GBP resilient after the soft US ADP print undercut the dollar. Asia session is now drifting sideways just under that high, pullback holding above 1.32800.

Support: 1.3280, 1.3270, 1.32656

Resistance: 1.32946, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.32946 opens the path toward the 1.33000 psych level
  • Loss of 1.32800 puts the 1.32700 swing low back in play
  • US jobs report 12:30 UTC is the near-term dollar catalyst and could reshape this read

03:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 1.32826

Higher highs into session high, consolidating.

Asia session ground steadily higher off the NY-session recovery, printing a session high at 1.32946 before easing back to 1.32826. GBP clawed back through the session after the soft US ADP print; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme, price now consolidating just under the high.

Support: 1.3277, 1.32686, 1.32187

Resistance: 1.32946, 1.3335

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the key GBP/USD catalyst for the next bars
  • Close above 1.32946 opens the path toward the 1.3335 prior high
  • Failure to hold 1.3277 exposes the 1.32686 swing low

03:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 1.32824

Higher highs, above NY breakout level.

Asia extended the NY rally to a fresh session high at 1.32946 before easing back to 1.3282, RSI(14) cooling from overbought. Price is holding above the 1.3275 breakout level — the prior two-week resistance flagged in the macro read — with rising intraday lows intact.

Support: 1.3275, 1.32686

Resistance: 1.32946

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.3275 negates the breakout and reopens 1.32686
  • Close above 1.32946 extends the session high sequence
  • US NFP 12:30 UTC is the main external catalyst and could reset this read

03:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing into Asia · RSI 63 · price 1.32863

Higher highs, holding above prior cap 1.3275.

GBPUSD rallied off the 1.32187 spike low and broke the two-week 1.3275 cap, printing a session high at 1.32946 before easing to 1.32863. Price holds above EMA20/50 in the Asia session with RSI(14) around 63, momentum cooling but structure intact above the reclaimed 1.3275 level.

Support: 1.3275, 1.32686

Resistance: 1.32946, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.3275 would negate the breakout and re-open 1.32686
  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this read
  • A close above 1.32946 extends the uptrend toward 1.3300

02:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher into session high · RSI 69 · price 1.32891

Higher highs, breakout from consolidation.

GBPUSD ground higher through the Asian session, breaking the 1.3280 consolidation top to print a session high at 1.32946 before stalling; RSI(14) near 69, hot but not extreme. Move fits the digest's carry-supported, dip-shallow tone with dips into 1.32743 bought during the quiet hours.

Support: 1.3280, 1.32743, 1.32656

Resistance: 1.32946

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.32946 opens the path back toward the 1.3275+ area flagged in context
  • Loss of the 1.3280 breakout base signals failed breakout and a return into the prior range
  • US NFP 12:30 UTC is the dominant external catalyst and could override this intraday read

02:31 UTC

Uptrend, pushing new highs · RSI 67 · price 1.32904

Higher highs into Asia session, breakout intact.

GBPUSD ground higher through the Asia session, breaking the 1.3280 consolidation shelf and printing a session high at 1.32946, RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not yet stretched. Price cleared the 1.3275 two-week high flagged earlier as sterling held firm on carry/gilt support; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.32760.

Support: 1.3276, 1.3268, 1.3251

Resistance: 1.32946, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 1.32760 breaks the higher-high chain
  • Acceptance above 1.33000 round number extends the breakout
  • US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant external catalyst

02:16 UTC

Uptrend, pushing new highs · RSI 69 · price 1.32921

Higher highs off intraday low, breaking prior high.

Asian session is grinding GBPUSD back into the prior session high near 1.3292 after a long consolidation off the 1.3276 floor, with RSI(14) around 69. The push extends the recovery from the 1.3219 spike low as a firmer dollar tone eased ahead of US payrolls; the prior-high band is the level to watch for rejection or a clean break.

Support: 1.3276, 1.3270, 1.3243

Resistance: 1.3292, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3292 opens the path toward the 1.3300 round number
  • Loss of the 1.3276 consolidation floor reopens 1.3270 swing low
  • US NFP later today (12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

02:01 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 64 · price 1.32857

Impulse then range under session high.

London impulse ripped off the 1.32187 spike low to the 1.32919 session high, and Asia has since coiled in a 1.3275-1.3290 range. Price is grinding back to the top of that range at 1.32857 with RSI(14) mid-60s, session high untested since.

Support: 1.3275, 1.32686, 1.32187

Resistance: 1.32919

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.32919 extends the impulse toward the 1.3300 area
  • Loss of 1.32750 range low reopens 1.32686 swing low
  • US NFP 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

01:46 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 1.32835

Range top holding after London leg up.

Sharp London leg carried GBPUSD from 1.32187 to 1.32919 around 13:00 UTC as USD softened post ADP/ISM misses. Asia hours have been quiet, coiling 1.3270-1.3292 with price now grinding back toward the session high at 1.32835.

Support: 1.3270, 1.32656

Resistance: 1.32919, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.32919 opens a retest of 1.3300
  • Loss of 1.3270 confirms a lower-high off session top
  • US NFP 12:30 UTC (~11h) could materially shift this read

01:31 UTC

Up then consolidating · RSI 53 · price 1.32799

Post-breakout range, thin Asia.

GBPUSD spiked from 1.32187 to the 1.32919 session high through the London-NY session as GBP retested its two-week high, then rolled into a tight consolidation between 1.3273 and 1.3285 on thin Asia volume. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 with price hugging EMA20; no fresh setup in play while the range holds.

Support: 1.3273, 1.32656, 1.32187

Resistance: 1.3285, 1.32919

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.32919 session high reopens the upside
  • Loss of 1.3273 range base confirms a lower-low back toward 1.32656 swing low
  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~11h) could break this consolidation

01:16 UTC

Consolidating near session highs after rally · RSI 53 · price 1.32789

Range bound below 1.3292 top.

GBPUSD ripped from 1.3219 to 1.3292 during the US session on the yield-driven dollar wobble, then went sideways into thin Asian hours. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.3273-1.3290 band with RSI(14) neutral around 53; no fresh direction in play.

Support: 1.3273, 1.32656

Resistance: 1.32919, 1.3282

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.3292 opens the path back toward 1.3320+
  • Failure to hold 1.3273 exposes the 1.3266 swing low
  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

01:01 UTC

Up off NY rally, now flat · RSI 52 · price 1.3278

Tight Asia consolidation under session high.

NY session drove GBPUSD up from a 1.3219 sweep low to a 1.3292 session high as firm US yields and a hawkish Bailey hold set the tone. Asia session has since gone flat, consolidating in a tight 1.3269-1.3283 band with RSI(14) neutral near 52.

Support: 1.3269, 1.3243, 1.3219

Resistance: 1.3283, 1.3292

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3292 opens the path toward 1.3355
  • Loss of 1.3269 confirms a downside range break
  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~12h) could materially shift this read

00:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.3275

Spike higher then tight range near highs.

London-NY hours drove a sharp spike from 1.3220 to 1.3292 as USD paused near DXY 101.37; Asia session has since coiled into a tight range around 1.3278 on thin volume. Price is pinned just under the 1.3283 session high with no fresh direction in play.

Support: 1.3270, 1.3243, 1.3220

Resistance: 1.3283, 1.3292

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3270 opens the path to 1.3243
  • Break above 1.3283 reopens the 1.3292 spike high
  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the main risk to this range

00:31 UTC

Up then flat, momentum stalled · RSI 48 · price 1.3275

Consolidation after NY breakout.

NY session drove a breakout off 1.3219 up to the 1.3292 session high, after which price coiled into a tight Asian range around 1.3278 on compressed ATR. Now leaking to the range low near 1.3275, RSI neutral.

Support: 1.3270, 1.3243

Resistance: 1.3292

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3292 session high resumes the breakout
  • Loss of 1.3270 range low exposes 1.3243 swing low
  • US NFP ~12h out (12:30 UTC) can materially reset this range

00:16 UTC

Rally stalled, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.32765

Consolidation near session highs.

GBPUSD ran higher through the NY session to a high of 1.3292 as the dollar eased intraday, then stalled into a tight range. Asian session is drifting flat near 1.3277 on thin volume with RSI(14) neutral around 47; range top at 1.3285 and range low at 1.3273 still contain price.

Support: 1.3273, 1.32686

Resistance: 1.3285, 1.32919

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 1.3285 reopens the 1.3292 session high
  • Close below 1.3273 range low exposes 1.3266 ny low

00:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 55 · price 1.32793

Tight consolidation near session highs after impulsive rally.

GBPUSD swept the 1.32187 low then ripped to 1.32919 during the NY session as the softer US data run failed to extend dollar strength. Price has since coiled into a tight 1.32686-1.32805 range through the Asia session on thin volume, RSI(14) flat near 55.

Support: 1.32686, 1.32626, 1.32473

Resistance: 1.32919, 1.32805

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.32919 opens continuation of the rally
  • Break below 1.32686 negates the consolidation and exposes 1.32626
  • US NFP (12:30 UTC) later today can materially shift this read

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