GBP/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Friday, 13 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the GBP/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
22:24 UTC
Downtrend, oversold but extending · RSI 27 · price 1.32108
Lower highs and lower lows since the 1.3503 peak.
Cable has carved lower highs and lower lows since the 1.3503 peak. The hot US CPI drove a break from the 1.3459 Nov 10 high that cut through the late-October 1.3272 swing low, now sitting with the ema20. Price trades below both the ema20 and the ema50 after their bearish cross, while a falling-highs line from 1.3355 caps each bounce, with the latest lower high at 1.3251. RSI is oversold at 26.6 and the 1.3205 week low only marginally undercut the prior low on a flat RSI, while ATR(14) has eased from 32 to 27 pips, so the slide is grinding rather than accelerating.
Support: 1.32047, 1.3140
Resistance: 1.32508, 1.32716, 1.33272
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 1.3251 lower high breaks the falling-highs sequence and puts the ema20 at 1.3272 in play
Sustained trade below the 1.3205 week low extends the lower-low structure toward the 1.3140 4-month low
Fed Chair Warsh Mon 17:00 UTC is the main swing risk: a gradual-hikes message could prompt a retracement of the Nov 10 drop toward the ema50 near 1.3327
UK wages Tue and UK CPI Wed could materially shift this read; Fed's Jefferson speaks within ~2h
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, oversold but still extending · RSI 25 · price 1.32071
Lower highs and lower lows below 1.3459.
Cable has printed lower highs at 1.3503 and 1.3459, and the hot US CPI on Nov 10 broke the 1.3342 swing low. The leg extended to 1.3205 as Fed-hike repricing outweighed solid UK GDP and production beats. EMA(20) crossed below EMA(50) early in the slide and both slope lower, with price under each. RSI(14) at 25.2 is oversold but only marginally above the 24.7 low on the prior push, while ATR(14) holds steady near 28 pips, so the move is grinding rather than accelerating toward the 1.3200 round number.
Support: 1.3200, 1.3140
Resistance: 1.32779, 1.3332, 1.3459
What it said to watch
H4 close below the 1.3200 round number opens the path toward the 4-month low area near 1.3140
Recovery and close above the ema20 at 1.3278 would mark the first pause in the lower-low sequence; ema50 at 1.3332 caps any retracement of the 1.3459-1.3205 leg
Only a move through the 1.3459 lower high would break the lower-highs trendline structure
Fed's Jefferson tonight and Warsh on Mon Nov 16 could materially shift this read via December hike pricing
UK labour data (Tue) and October CPI (Wed) are the next GBP-side risks to the downtrend read
Lower highs from 1.3503; lower lows down to 1.3218.
Cable has carved lower highs from the 1.3503 peak through 1.3459. The hot US CPI print broke the 1.3342 swing low and set off a four-day decline from 1.3459 to a 1.3218 swing low, as Fed-hike repricing kept the dollar bid despite solid UK GDP. EMA(20) has crossed below EMA(50) with price under both. RSI at 28.8 is oversold but holding above its 24.7 trough, while ATR(14) eases to 27 pips, so the leg is compressing just above support.
Support: 1.3218, 1.3140
Resistance: 1.32854, 1.3310, 1.33371
What it said to watch
H4 close below the 1.3218 swing low extends the lower-low sequence and opens the 1.3140 4-month low
Recovery above the ema20 at 1.3285 and the 1.3310 prior pivot would stall the downtrend read; the ema50 at 1.3337 is the next cap
Fed's Bowman and Daly speak today, and Warsh on Mon; any 50bp December hike talk could materially shift this read
UK labour data on Tue and October CPI on Wed are the main sterling risk to the structure
Lower highs at 1.3503 and 1.3459, lower lows through the Oct low.
Cable has carved lower highs at 1.3503 and 1.3459 since the double peak near 1.3500. The hot US CPI on Nov 10 drove the slide through the oct low at 1.3272 to a swing low at 1.3221, and UK data beats have been ignored against a hawkish-Fed USD. Price sits below a falling ema20 (1.3291) that has crossed under the ema50 (1.3341); RSI at 28.9 is oversold, and ATR has eased to 26.6 pips from 32.4, which points to a pause at the lows rather than fresh expansion.
Support: 1.3221, 1.3200, 1.3140
Resistance: 1.3272, 1.3291, 1.3341
What it said to watch
US PPI at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read; a hot print puts the 1.3221 swing low and 1.3200 round number in play
H4 close below the 1.3200 round number extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.3140 next support
Equal lows near 1.3221 with RSI lifting from 24.7 to 28.9 hint at slowing downside momentum; a reclaim of the oct low at 1.3272 and the ema20 at 1.3291 would confirm the slide is stalling
38.2% fib of the 1.3459-1.3221 drop sits near 1.3312, just under the ema50 at 1.3341; a close back above both would break the lower-highs sequence on this leg
Lower highs at 1.3503 and 1.3459 and a fresh lower low at the 1.3221 swing low frame a clean H4 downtrend. The hot US CPI on Tuesday broke the 1.3342 pivot and then the late-October 1.3272 prior low, and EMA20 (1.3297) has crossed below a falling EMA50 (1.3346), with price below both. RSI at 27.1 is oversold and ATR has eased to 26.9 pips from 32.4, so the slide is losing pace just above the 1.3200 psych handle.
Support: 1.3221, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3272, 1.32972, 1.33458
What it said to watch
US PPI at 13:30 UTC today could materially shift this read; a hot core print keeps the dollar bid pressing toward the 1.3200 psych level
Failure to hold the 1.3221 swing low extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.3200 psych
H4 close back above the 1.3272 prior low and the ema20 at 1.3297 would mark the first recovery; the 38.2% retracement of the 1.3459-1.3221 leg sits near 1.3312, with the ema50 at 1.3346 next
The lower-highs trendline from 1.3503 remains the broader cap while price trades below it
UK labour data Tue 17 Nov 07:00 GMT could reprice BoE expectations and shift the read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, oversold near lows · RSI 28 · price 1.32377
Lower highs and lower lows since the 1.3503 peak.
Lower highs at 1.3503 and 1.3459 set the downtrend, and the break of the late-October low at 1.3272 confirmed it. The hot US CPI print drove the leg from 1.3459 to the 1.3221 swing low as Fed hike pricing lifted the dollar. EMA(20) has crossed below EMA(50) with price under both, and RSI at 28.4 is oversold, while ATR(14) near 28 pips shows no expansion as price stalls just above the swing low and the 1.3200 round number.
Support: 1.3221, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3272, 1.33045, 1.33506
What it said to watch
US PPI at 13:30 UTC today could materially shift this read; a hot print puts the 1.3221 swing low under direct pressure
H4 close below the 1.3200 round number extends the lower-low sequence
Recovery through the 1.3272 oct low and ema20 near 1.3305 would test the 38.2% level of the CPI leg fib
H4 close back above ema50 at 1.3351 would break the lower highs rhythm of the downtrend
UK labour data (Nov 17) and UK CPI (Nov 18) are the next GBP-side risks to the structure