Lower highs from 1.3342 into a 1.3299 low, now a tight 1.3300–1.3312 box.
London open broke below the Asian range before recovering to a 1.3342 day high. The NY selloff then printed lower highs into the 1.3299 NY low as USD firmed on higher Treasury yields. Price has since compressed in a 1.3300–1.3312 box in early Asia, and the thin-liquidity dip to the 1.3296 rollover low was reclaimed within two bars.
Support: 1.3299, 1.3296
Resistance: 1.3312, 1.3332, 1.3342
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3312 swing high breaks the consolidation; the 1.3332 lower high is the next cap
Failure to hold the 1.3299 NY low and the 1.3296 rollover low extends the lower-low sequence
Bounces stalling below the NY selloff 38.2% near 1.3315 keep the intraday downtrend intact
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC, ahead of London open, could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, stalling in Asia · RSI 54 · price 1.33053
Lower highs from 1.3342; tight coil above 1.3300.
London dipped below the Asian range (1.3323–1.3338) at the open, then recovered to a 1.3342 day high before NY printed lower highs down to a 1.3299 day low just above 1.3300, with the USD firmer on rising Treasury yields. The late-NY bounce stalled at the 1.3312 bounce high, short of the 38.2% fib. Early Asia is coiling in a ~10-pip band near 1.3305 with RSI(14) neutral at 54 ahead of UK jobs.
Support: 1.32986, 1.32964
Resistance: 1.3312, 1.33151, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3299 day low and the 1.3296 rollover low extends the lower-low chain
Close above the 1.3312 bounce high and 38.2% fib at 1.3315 breaks the lower highs
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ILO f/c 4.9%, ex-bonus pay f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read
Lower highs from the 1.3342 London high; tight 1.3300–1.3312 range after the NY low.
London pushed above the Asian range to 1.3342, failed to hold there, and turned lower. During NY hours, with the USD steadier on higher Treasury yields, the drop extended into a chain of lower highs and dipped through the 1.3300 round number toward the 1.3296 day low. Price is now edging up to 1.3307 in thin post-rollover trade, below the 1.3312 swing high and the 23.6% retracement of the 1.3342–1.3299 fib.
Support: 1.3300, 1.32964
Resistance: 1.3312, 1.3322
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.3312 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence; a reclaim of the 1.3322 asian low puts price back inside the Asian range
Loss of the 1.3300 round number and the 1.3296 day low extends the lower-low chain
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (wages ex-bonus f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read at London open
Lower highs from London high, tight range above ny low.
Cable sold off from the 1.3342 London high through the 1.3322 asian low and the 1.3307 london low during NY hours as the US 10y yield pushed to 5.13%, bottoming at the 1.3299 ny low. The bounce stalled at the 1.3312 swing high under the descending trendline. Price is now drifting in a 1.3300–1.3306 band after a thin rollover low at 1.3296, with RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR(14) compressed to about 3 pips.
Support: 1.32986, 1.32964
Resistance: 1.3307, 1.3312, 1.3322
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3307 london low and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high sequence; 1.3312 swing high, then the 1.3322 asian low, sit above
Failure to hold the 1.3299 ny low and the 1.3296 rollover low extends the lower-low chain
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (~7.5h) is the likely catalyst to break the overnight range
22:16 UTC
Downtrend from London high, flattening into Asia · RSI 54 · price 1.33054
Lower highs since 1.3342; tight 1.3299–1.3306 base after NY low.
London lost the Asian low at 1.3322 and rejected the 1.3342 session high. NY then carved lower highs down to a 1.3299 NY low as firmer US yields supported the dollar. The late-NY bounce high at 1.3312 stalled near the 38.2% fib, and price is now drifting flat around 1.3305 after a thin rollover low at 1.3296.
Support: 1.32986, 1.32964
Resistance: 1.3312, 1.33223, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3312 bounce high and the downtrend line breaks the lower-high chain; the asian low at 1.3322 is the next level overhead
Failure to hold the 1.3299 ny low and 1.3296 rollover low extends the downtrend
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ILO f/c 4.9%, ex-bonus wages f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read
Session high 1.3342 remains the intraday cap while lower highs persist
Lower highs from the London high, tight compression above the NY low.
After a 1.3342 London high, NY printed a chain of lower highs down to a 1.3299 NY low as DXY firmed on rising Treasury yields. The bounce stalled at a 1.3312 lower high, short of the 38.2% retrace. Price has since compressed in a 4-pip band around 1.3303, with RSI(14) neutral near 45 and ATR down to about 4 pips.
Support: 1.32986, 1.32964
Resistance: 1.3312, 1.3322, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3312 lower high breaks the lower-highs chain and puts the 1.3322 Asian low back in view
Failure to hold the 1.3299 NY low, and the spread-driven 1.3296 rollover low, extends the downtrend
A move back above 1.3322 reopens the 1.3322–1.3338 Asian range and the 1.3342 London high
UK labour data at 06:00 UTC, around London open, could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows from the London high; late-NY coil just under 1.3300.
London's push to the 1.3342 session high failed. NY then carved lower highs and lower lows down to the 1.3299 NY low as higher US yields firmed the dollar, and the bounce stalled at a 1.3312 lower high just under the 38.2% fib of the drop. Price now sits fractionally below 1.3300 psych after a thin rollover low at 1.3296, with RSI(14) near 37 and late-session ranges compressed.
Support: 1.32964, 1.32986
Resistance: 1.3300, 1.3312, 1.33417
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.3312 lower high breaks the descending trendline and the lower-high chain
Sustained trade below the 1.3296 rollover low extends the lower-low sequence
Holding back above 1.3300 psych would turn the late-NY coil into a base rather than a pause
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
21:31 UTC
Downtrend since London high, lower highs through NY · RSI 35 · price 1.32984
Lower-high/lower-low chain from 1.3342; late-NY range 1.3299–1.3312 broken lower at rollover.
London dipped below the Asian range low to 1.3307, then reversed to the 1.3342 day high. NY then printed lower highs along a falling trendline as firmer US yields steadied the USD, and price slipped under the 1.3300 psych level at the daily rollover on thin liquidity, marking a 1.3296 rollover low.
Support: 1.32964, 1.3260
Resistance: 1.3300, 1.3312, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3312 bounce high and the lower-high trendline breaks the NY downtrend structure
Asia session holding below the 1.3296 rollover low extends the lower-low chain toward 1.3260 next support
Quick reclaim of the 1.3300 psych level would mark the rollover dip as thin-liquidity noise inside the late-NY range
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (~8.5h) could materially shift this read; 1.3342 day high is the upper reference
21:16 UTC
Downtrend from London high, extending at rollover · RSI 36 · price 1.32984
Lower highs and lower lows; late-NY range broken lower.
GBPUSD has slid from the 1.3342 London high through NY in a lower-high, lower-low chain, losing the 1.3322 Asian low as firmer US yields steadied the dollar. Late NY compressed into a 1.3299–1.3312 band, and the thin rollover bar produced a range break to a fresh day low at 1.3296. RSI(14) near 36 is soft but not oversold.
Support: 1.32964, 1.3290
Resistance: 1.3300, 1.3312, 1.33222
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3296 day low extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.3290 round number
Reclaim of the 1.3300 psych and the 1.3312 swing high puts price back inside the late-NY range and undercuts the range break
Rollover liquidity is thin, so the move below 1.3300 needs Asia session follow-through to stand
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (unemployment f/c 4.9%, ex-bonus wages f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read
Lower highs from session high, compressing above 1.3300.
GBPUSD peaked at the 1.3342 session high in London, then printed lower highs at 1.3332 and 1.3312. The London-NY drop reached a 1.3299 day low during NY hours as US 10-year yields climbed to 5.13%, and 1.3300 held on two tests. Since London close, price has compressed in a 1.3301–1.3312 band below the 1.3312 swing high, with RSI(14) near 39 and ATR contracting to about 4 pips.
Support: 1.3299
Resistance: 1.3312, 1.3332, 1.3342
What it said to watch
A close below the 1.3299 day low extends the lower-low chain
A close above the 1.3312 swing high breaks the lower-high trendline and exposes the 1.3332 lower high
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC at London open could materially shift this read; the 1.3342 session high caps the day's range
Lower highs from 1.3342, tight range above session low.
Cable has carved lower highs off the 1.3342 high set mid-London. The slide broke the asian low at 1.3322 during the London-NY transition and printed a 1.3299 session low in NY as USD firmed on higher Treasury yields. The 1.3312 bounce high stalled just under the 38.2% fib, and price is now compressing below a 1.3306 range top into the NY close, with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.32986
Resistance: 1.3306, 1.3312, 1.3322
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3299 session low extends the lower-low chain
Break of the 1.3306 range top, then the 1.3312 bounce high and 38.2% fib (~1.3315), opens a deeper retracement toward the asian low at 1.3322
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, compressing after NY close · RSI 46 · price 1.33026
Lower highs from 1.3342; tight 1.3302–1.3306 band above the 1.3299 NY low.
Cable failed at the 1.3342 day high in London as US yields firmed. NY sold it to the 1.3299 NY low, tested twice, and every bounce has printed a lower high, most recently the 1.3319 lower high and the 1.3312 swing high. Late-NY trade is compressed in a 1.3302–1.3306 band pressed against the descending trendline, with ATR shrunk to about 4 pips.
Support: 1.3299
Resistance: 1.3312, 1.3319, 1.3342
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3299 ny low extends the lower-low chain
Close above the 1.3312 swing high breaks the descending trendline and the lower-high sequence
Recovery through the 1.3319 lower high would put the 1.3342 day high back in view
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (09:00 broker) could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 1.3342 session high; tight 1.3300–1.3312 base after NY low.
London's 1.3342 session high faded as USD firmed on the 10-year yield rising to 5.13%. NY broke below the asian low at 1.3322 and the london low at 1.3307, printing a 1.3299 day low that was tested twice. Price is now compressing between 1.3300 and the 1.3312 bounce high after NY close, below the descending trendline.
Support: 1.32986
Resistance: 1.3307, 1.3312, 1.3322
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3299 day low extends the lower-low sequence
Close above the 1.3312 bounce high and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high chain; asian low 1.3322 is the next cap
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ILO unemployment f/c 4.9%, earnings ex-bonus f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read
London's push through the Asian range to a 1.3342 session high failed. Firmer Treasury yields lifted USD and pulled NY below the London low to a 1.3299 day low. Late NY is now basing in a 1.3299–1.3312 band under a descending trendline, with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.32986
Resistance: 1.3312, 1.3322, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3312 swing high and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high sequence; the 1.3322 Asian low is the next level overhead
Failure to hold the 1.3299 day low and the 1.3300 handle extends the lower-low chain
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC: a print away from the 4.9% ILO forecast could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 1.3342; late-NY compression above 1.3299.
Cable has printed lower highs since the 1.3342 London-session high. NY broke the 1.3307 London low and reached a 1.3299 day low, where price stalled twice at the 1.3300 psych. Late NY trade is compressing between that low and the 1.3312 lower high, with a firmer USD on higher Treasury yields capping rebounds ahead of UK jobs data.
Support: 1.32986
Resistance: 1.3307, 1.3312, 1.3322
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3312 lower high and the descending trendline would break the lower-high chain, with the 1.3322 Asian low next overhead
Reclaim of the 1.3307 London low is the first sign of the decline losing traction
Failure to hold the 1.3299 day low and the 1.3300 psych would extend the lower-low sequence
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ILO f/c 4.9%, earnings ex-bonus 3.6%) could materially shift this read
Lower highs from the 1.3342 day high, base forming at the session low.
London took out the Asian high and was rejected at the 1.3342 day high. NY then extended the selloff through a chain of lower highs to a 1.3299 session low, with the 1.3300 round number holding twice as a firmer USD on higher Treasury yields capped cable. After London close, price is compressing between that session low and the 1.3312 lower high.
Support: 1.32986
Resistance: 1.3312, 1.33195, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3299 session low extends the lower-low chain
Close above the 1.3312 lower high breaks the descending trendline and the lower-high sequence; 1.3319 breakdown zone sits next
Recovery back to the 1.3342 day high would negate the selloff structure
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ILO f/c 4.9%, earnings ex-bonus f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 36 · price 1.3303
Lower highs and lower lows; late-NY bounce capped below broken Asian low.
London pushed above the Asian range to a 1.3342 London high, then reversed. NY broke through the 1.3322 Asian low and the London low to a 1.3299 session low as USD firmed on higher Treasury yields. The late-NY bounce stalled at 1.3312 under the lower-highs trendline, and price is back near the 1.3300 session low with RSI(14) around 36.
Support: 1.3299
Resistance: 1.3312, 1.3322, 1.3342
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3299 session low extends the lower-low chain
Recovery above the 1.3312 bounce high and the 1.3322 Asian low would break the lower-highs trendline
Reclaiming the 1.3342 London high would negate the intraday downtrend read
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 1.3342 session high, base at 1.3299 session low.
The late-London 1.3342 session high gave way to a NY slide as USD firmed on higher Treasury yields. The move broke the 1.3310–1.3312 floor and printed a 1.3299 session low just above the 1.3300 psych level. A late-NY bounce stalled at the 1.3312 broken floor, below the 38.2% fib of the 1.3342–1.3299 drop, with the lower-highs trendline intact and RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 1.3299
Resistance: 1.3312, 1.3342
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3312 broken floor and the lower-highs trendline invalidates the intraday downtrend read
Failure to hold the 1.3299 session low and 1.3300 psych confirms a fresh lower-low
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (09:00 broker) could materially shift this read; a recovery toward the 1.3342 session high would need a hawkish print
Lower highs since London session high; equal lows at 1.3299 holding.
London's push above the Asian range high to 1.3342 failed. NY then broke the london low at 1.3307 and briefly lost 1.3300, with firmer Treasury yields capping the pair. Two holds at the 1.3299 day low have lifted price into the falling trendline from the session high near 1.3310, with RSI(14) at 43, and price is sitting just under EMA20 after London close.
Support: 1.3307, 1.32986
Resistance: 1.3312, 1.3315, 1.3321
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3312 bounce high and the 1.3315 ny pivot (38.2% fib) breaks the lower-high chain and exposes the 1.3321 asian low
Rejection at the falling trendline keeps the downtrend intact; failure to hold the london low at 1.3307 puts the day low back in play
A break of the 1.3299 day low extends the lower-low sequence below the 1.3300 psych level
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could reset the Asian range and this structure
London's false break above the Asian range peaked at 1.3342. NY then printed lower highs below the trendline, broke the Asian low at 1.3322 and set a session low at 1.3299, as the Treasury yield bounce firmed USD. Late NY, a double bottom at 1.3299 has price retaking 1.3300 and pressing the trendline near 1.3310, with RSI(14) neutral at 44.
Support: 1.3299
Resistance: 1.3310, 1.3319, 1.3322
What it said to watch
Close above the trendline at 1.3310 and the 1.3319 lower high breaks the lower-high chain; the 1.3322 Asian low sits just above
Failure to hold the 1.3299 session low resumes the downtrend
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ex-bonus wages f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows from the 11:15 UTC peak; basing just above 1.3299 after London close.
Lower highs off the 1.3342 session high carried price through the 1.3306 weekly open and the London low during NY hours, reaching a 1.3299 session low as the 10y Treasury yield bounce to 5.13% lifted USD. Price is now basing just above 1.3300 with RSI(14) near 38. The fib 38.2 retrace of the slide sits at 1.3315, close to the descending trendline.
Support: 1.3299
Resistance: 1.3306, 1.3315, 1.3342
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 1.3306 weekly open reclaims the broken level and weakens the downtrend read
Failure to hold the 1.3299 session low extends the lower-low chain
A break of the descending trendline and the fib 38.2 near 1.3312–1.3315 ends the NY lower-high sequence
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ex-bonus wages f/c 3.6%, ILO unemployment f/c 4.9%) could materially shift this read
17:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since late London · RSI 31 · price 1.33004
London low broken, sequence of lower highs into late NY.
A chain of lower highs from the 1.3342 late-London peak (1.3332 ny high, 1.3319 lower high) carried GBPUSD through the 1.3307 london low during NY hours. Firmer US yields fed the selloff, and price is now pinned to the 1.3300 handle just above the 1.3299 session low, with RSI(14) near 31.
Support: 1.32986
Resistance: 1.3307, 1.33189, 1.3332
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3307 (london low) negates the breakdown
Acceptance below the 1.3299 session low extends the lower-low chain
Break of the lower-highs trendline and 1.3319 lower high shifts structure to range
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ex-bonus wages f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read at London open
17:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through NY · RSI 34 · price 1.33028
Lower-high/lower-low chain from 1.3342 session high; London low broken.
London open had a false break below the Asian range to 1.3307, then rallied to a 1.3342 session high before the NY session turned it into a run of lower highs. That NY sell-off broke the London low and tagged a 1.3299 session low just under the 1.3300 round number, with USD firmer on 10y yields at 5.13%. RSI(14) is near 34, not yet oversold.
Support: 1.32986, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3307, 1.33189, 1.33417
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 1.3319 swing high breaks the NY lower-highs trendline sequence.
Reclaiming the 1.3307 london low puts price back inside the morning range.
Sustained trade below the 1.3299 session low and the 1.3300 round number extends the lower-low chain.
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ex-bonus wages f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read at London open.
LH/LL sequence from London high; London low broken in NY.
Lower highs from the 1.3342 London day high carried GBPUSD through the 1.3307 London low during NY hours, printing a 1.32986 day low just under the 1.3300 handle. A rebound was capped at 1.3306 on a retest of that broken London low. RSI(14) is near 38 and not stretched; firmer USD on higher Treasury yields keeps the pair under pressure ahead of UK jobs data.
Support: 1.32986, 1.3290
Resistance: 1.3307, 1.33189, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3307 london low negates the break and puts the 1.3319 lower high back in play
Sustained trade below the 1.32986 day low exposes the 1.3290 range floor cited in the intraday 1.3290-1.3360 range
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ex-bonus wages f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 33 · price 1.33037
Asian high swept, then lower highs and lower lows; London low broken.
London briefly ran above the Asian high to a 1.3342 session high, then reversed. The NY selloff has carved lower highs, broken the 1.3307 london low and tagged a 1.3299 day low at the 1.3300 handle, with a 5.13% US 10y keeping USD firm after London close. RSI(14) is near 33, soft but not stretched.
Support: 1.32986
Resistance: 1.3307, 1.33189, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3307 london low would weaken the break
Acceptance below the 1.3299 day low extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.3260/1.3250 area
A break of the lower-highs trendline and the 1.3319 lower high would neutralise the NY selloff structure
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ex-bonus wages f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read
LH/LL chain from 1.3342 session high; London low broken.
Since the 1.3342 session high, NY hours have printed a chain of lower highs. That run broke the 1.3307 London low and briefly the 1.3300 handle to a 1.3299 session low, as firmer US yields kept USD bid. RSI(14) near 31, short of oversold; the descending trendline across the lower highs sits near the 1.3319 lower high.
Support: 1.32986
Resistance: 1.3307, 1.33189, 1.33417
What it said to watch
Close back above the 1.3307 london low would mark the break below it as a false break
Hold above the 1.3319 lower high and the descending trendline breaks the LH/LL chain
Sustained trade below the 1.3299 session low extends the lower-low sequence beneath 1.3300
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst that could reset this read
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower lows into late NY · RSI 36 · price 1.33022
Lower highs from the 1.3342 London high; London low at 1.3307 broken.
London pushed briefly above the Asian range to 1.3342, then reversed. NY has carved lower highs at the 1.3332 swing high and the 1.3319 lower high, and has now closed through the 1.3307 London low. Price is testing the 1.3300 round number, which the digest flags as the GBP floor; RSI(14) is near 35, soft but not oversold.
Support: 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3307, 1.33189, 1.3332
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 1.3307 London low would turn the break into a false break
Acceptance below the 1.3300 round number extends the lower-low chain; the window shows no further support beneath it
A reclaim of the 1.3319 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the 1.3332 swing high back in play
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ILO f/c 4.9%, pay ex-bonus f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since late London · RSI 36 · price 1.33051
Lower highs from session high, NY broke London low.
Cable has printed lower highs from the 1.3342 session high set mid-London. Late NY pushed through the 1.3307 London low and the 1.3310 Friday low despite the soft NAHB miss. Price is now pressing the 1.3304 gap low from Sunday's open, with RSI(14) near 36 and not yet oversold.
Support: 1.3304, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3310, 1.3332, 1.3342
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3310 Friday low would mark the break as a false break
Loss of the 1.3300 round number extends the lower-low chain below the gap low
Close above the 1.3332 lower high clears the descending trendline and negates the downtrend read
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could reset this structure before London open
15:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since late London · RSI 41 · price 1.3316
Lower highs and lower lows from the 1.3342 session high, pressing Friday's low.
London dipped below the Asian range to 1.3307, then ran to a 1.3342 session high late morning that was rejected. Since then a lower-high, lower-low chain through NY has taken cable to a 1.3310 NY low, just above Friday's low, with price below both EMAs. RSI(14) is near 41 and ATR is about 7.6 pips, as USD steadies on hawkish-Fed expectations ahead of UK jobs data.
Support: 1.3310, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3320, 1.3328, 1.3342
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3307 london low would also clear the 1.3310 friday low and extend the lower-low chain
Recovery above the 1.3320 lower high and the descending trendline from the session high would stall the downtrend; the 1.3328 breakdown area is next above
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through NY · RSI 37 · price 1.33137
London sweep of Asian high rejected, NY lower highs into session low.
London lifted cable from the 1.3307 London low through the 1.3338 Asian high to a 1.3342 day high, but NY rejected the sweep and printed lower highs at 1.3332 and 1.3328. Price is pinned near the 1.3312 session low, around the 78.6% retrace of the London leg, with RSI(14) near 37 and no bounce despite the soft NAHB print.
Support: 1.3312, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3328, 1.33384, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3307 london low fully erases the London leg and extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 1.3328 lower high breaks the NY lower-highs trendline
Asian high 1.3338 and day high 1.3342 cap any recovery; failure there keeps the rejection read intact
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ILO f/c 4.9%, wages excl. bonus f/c 3.6%) could reset this range before London open
15:16 UTC
Downtrend from London high, lower highs into NY · RSI 39 · price 1.3317
Lower highs below 1.3342, price back under Asian low.
London opened with a sweep of the Asian low down to the 1.3307 london low. Price then made a false break above the 1.3338 Asian high and stalled at the 1.3342 session high. Since then, NY hours have printed lower highs at 1.3332 and 1.3328 along the lower-high trendline, with price back under the 1.3322 asian low, RSI(14) near 39 and the 1.3312 intraday low under test as USD steadies on hawkish-Fed pricing.
Support: 1.3312, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3322, 1.3332, 1.3342
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3312 intraday low exposes the 1.3307 london low, the base of the day's range
Recovery above the 1.3322 asian low and the 1.3332 lower high breaks the lower-high trendline
Close above the 1.3342 session high invalidates the reversal read
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through NY · RSI 33 · price 1.33143
Lower highs/lower lows below Asian range.
London recovered from its 1.3307 low and ran to a 1.3342 session high above the Asian range. NY then rejected that high, printing lower highs at 1.3342 and the 1.3332 NY high and pushing to a fresh 1.3312 session low back below the 1.3322 Asian low. RSI(14) sits near 33 as USD steadies and cable stays capped below 1.3335–1.3371 resistance into UK data.
Support: 1.3312, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3322, 1.3332, 1.3342
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3322 Asian low and the NY lower-highs trendline would invalidate the intraday downtrend read
Failure to hold the 1.3307 London low, with Friday's 1.3310 low alongside, would confirm a lower-low extension
Reclaim of the 1.3342 session high would reopen the London range top
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through NY · RSI 35 · price 1.33141
Lower highs from the 1.3342 session high pressing the 1.3313 NY low.
London took out the Asian range low to the 1.3307 london low, rallied, then false-broke the Asian top. It was rejected at the 1.3342 session high. In the NY session price has printed lower highs at 1.3332 under the descending trendline and is pressing the 1.3313 NY low, now past the 61.8% retrace of the London rally, with RSI(14) near 35 and ATR around 7 pips.
Support: 1.3313, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3332, 1.3342
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3307 london low (Friday low 1.3310 sits just above) breaks the day's range floor
M15 close above the 1.3332 lower high and the lower-highs trendline negates the NY lower-high sequence
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ILO f/c 4.9%, wages excl. bonus f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read; US housing data follows Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC
14:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since late London · RSI 39 · price 1.33157
Lower highs from 1.3342 with a flat base at 1.3315.
Rejection at the 1.3342 session high led to a chain of lower highs, and the NY session is now testing the 1.3315 ny low for a second time. That area also marks the 78.6% retrace of the London rally from the 1.3307 london low. Price is below EMA20 and EMA50 and back under the 1.3323–1.3338 Asian range, with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 1.33146, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.33282, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3315 ny low exposes the 1.3307 london low
Reclaim of the 1.3328 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline sequence
Only a move back above the 1.3342 session high restores the London rally structure
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:16 UTC
Sideways, range compressing · RSI 47 · price 1.33271
Both Asian extremes swept and rejected; lower highs and higher lows contracting mid-range.
London open drove a false break below the Asian range to a 1.3307 london low. Price then pushed to a 1.3342 session high above the 1.3338 asian high late in London, and both extremes were rejected. Since the 1.3315 swing low, a lower high at 1.3332 and a higher low at 1.3319 have pinned price onto flat EMAs near 1.3327, with RSI(14) at 47 as cable idles into Tuesday's UK jobs data.
Support: 1.3319, 1.3315, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3332, 1.3338, 1.3342
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3332 lower high breaks the contraction, with the 1.3338 asian high and 1.3342 session high next overhead
Failure to hold the 1.3319 higher low exposes the 1.3315 swing low, then the 1.3307 london low
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ILO f/c 4.9%, wages excl. bonus f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read
14:01 UTC
Two-way, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 1.33223
Range 1.3307–1.3342, NY lower high.
London broke below the Asian range low at 1.3322 to a 1.3307 london low, then reversed to a 1.3342 session high. NY has faded since, with a 1.3315 ny low and a lower high at 1.3332. Price is back near the 61.8% retrace around 1.3320 as GBP stalls ahead of UK jobs data, with RSI(14) neutral at 45.
Support: 1.33146, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3332, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3315 ny low exposes the 1.3307 london low and breaks the higher-low sequence
Reclaim of the 1.3332 lower high puts the 1.3342 session high back in play
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ILO f/c 4.9%, pay f/c 3.6% ex-bonus) could materially shift this read
London swept both Asian extremes; NY lower high and higher low compressing mid-range.
After Monday's 20-pip opening gap filled in the first Asia hour, London swept the Asian low to 1.3307 (london low) and then the Asian high to a 1.3342 session high. Early NY reversed to a 1.3315 NY low. The pair now sits near the 50% of the london swing around 1.3325, with a 1.3332 lower high and RSI(14) flat near 49 as GBP stalls into UK jobs data.
Support: 1.33146, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3332, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3332 lower high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 1.3342 session high
Failure to hold the 1.3315 NY low exposes the 1.3307 london low and Friday's 1.3310 trough
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ILO f/c 4.9%, pay 3.6% ex-bonus) could break the 1.3307–1.3342 range
London-built range 1.3307–1.3342, higher low at 1.3315, price mid-range.
The London open dipped below the Asian low to 1.3307, then a London leg rallied to a 1.3342 session high that was rejected into the NY open, with the drop holding a higher low at the 1.3315 NY low. Price sits mid-range near 1.3327 with RSI(14) neutral around 51 and flat EMAs, as GBP stalls against USD ahead of Tuesday's UK labour data.
Support: 1.3315, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3342, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3342 session high breaks the range and opens the Friday high at 1.3371
Failure to hold the 1.3315 NY low breaks the higher-lows line and exposes the 1.3307 London low
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ILO f/c 4.9%, pay 3.6% ex-bonus) could materially shift this read
Session range 1.3307–1.3342; failed breaks on both sides.
Monday's weekend gap lower filled in Asia. London then dropped below the Asian low to the 1.3307 london low and rallied through the Asian high to a 1.3342 session high. That break failed into early NY: price slid to the 1.3315 ny low, near the 78.6% retrace of the London leg, and bounced back to 1.3325. Softer USD on falling Fed hike odds is offset by GBP stalling ahead of UK data, leaving price mid-range below both EMAs.
Support: 1.3315, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3342, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3342 session high reopens the 1.3371 friday high
Failure to hold the 1.3315 ny low and 78.6% of the London leg exposes the 1.3307 london low
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:01 UTC
Intraday pullback inside a London-session range · RSI 43 · price 1.33199
False break of Asian low, rally to 1.3342, now retracing.
London open made a false break below the Asian range to the 1.3307 London low, then rallied through the 1.3338 Asian high to a 1.3342 session high. Price was rejected there, and selling into the London-NY transition has pulled it back to 1.3320, the 61.8% fib of that leg. It now sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 43. GBP is stalled vs USD ahead of UK jobs data.
Support: 1.33146, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.33244, 1.33384, 1.33417
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3315 intraday low (78.6% fib) exposes the 1.3307 London low
Recovery above the 1.3324 fib 50 and the 1.3338 Asian high puts the 1.3342 session high back in play
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Intraday range, rolling over from session high · RSI 41 · price 1.33216
London higher low at 1.3321 under test after a false break above the Asian high.
London opened with a dip below the Asian range to a 1.3307 london low. It then ran to a 1.3342 session high that failed just above the 1.3338 asian high, well short of the 1.3371 friday high. Late-London selling has taken price back to the 1.3321 higher low, near the 61.8% retrace of the London move, with GBP/USD stalled against USD into this week's UK jobs and CPI.
Support: 1.3321, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3342, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3321 higher low breaks the London HL chain and exposes the 1.3307 london low
Recovery back above the 1.3338 asian high puts the 1.3342 session high back in play; Friday high 1.3371 remains the cap above
NY open is the next liquidity window; the US calendar is empty in the next 8h
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled GBP catalyst
False break below Asian range, then rally above it; now back inside.
The London open drove price below the Asian range to a 1.3307 session low. That break failed and the pair rallied to a 1.3342 session high, above the 1.3338 Asian high. Price has since slipped back to 1.3328 into the London-NY transition, sitting at the 38.2% fib of that move, with RSI(14) neutral at 50 and GBP stalled into Tuesday's UK jobs data.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3321, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3342, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3338 asian high and 1.3342 session high reopens the friday high at 1.3371
Loss of the 1.3322 asian low and the 1.3321 higher low breaks the London rising trendline and exposes the 1.3307 session low
Failure to hold the 50% fib near 1.3324 shifts the London move toward a full retrace
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (unemployment f/c 4.9%, pay f/c 3.6% ex-bonus) could materially shift this read
Higher lows off London low, back inside Asian range.
The weekend gap lower was filled early in the Asia session. London open then swept the Asian range low to 1.3307, and the London recovery built higher lows to a session high at 1.3342 that briefly cleared the Asia high. Price is easing back to 1.3333 near the ema20 into the NY open, stalling under the 1.3335–1.3371 cap ahead of UK data, with RSI(14) neutral at 57.
Support: 1.3330, 1.33212, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.33417, 1.33714
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.3342 session high reopens the Friday high at 1.3371
A break of the 1.3321 higher low breaks the rising trendline from the London low
Failure to hold the 1.3307 London low would confirm a lower low and negate the recovery
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Intraday higher lows, stalling at session high · RSI 59 · price 1.33332
London swept the Asian low, then a HH/HL chain into 1.3342; pulling back below the Asian high.
London opened with a sweep of the Asian low to the 1.3307 london low. A higher-low sequence through 1.3321 then lifted price to a 1.3342 session high, but the move above the 1.3338 asian high was rejected and price is back near 1.3333 late in London. GBP is holding firm on BoE November-hike pricing, and the Monday open gap is already filled.
Support: 1.3321, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3342, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3342 session high reopens Friday high at 1.3371, near the 1.3360 range top
Break below the 1.3321 higher low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the london low at 1.3307
Pullback holding the 38.2–50% fib zone of the London leg (1.3328–1.3324) keeps the HH/HL chain intact
UK jobs data Tue 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read; CPI follows Wed
11:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend since London open, momentum steady · RSI 66 · price 1.33378
HH/HL chain off the London low, pressing the Asian range top.
London open dipped briefly below Friday's low and reversed from a 1.3307 london low. The rebound built a higher low at 1.3321, and price now sits at the 1.3338 asian high after a 1.3342 session high, RSI(14) near 66. GBP is holding firm on BoE November-hike bets into Tuesday's jobs data, with the 1.3371 friday high the next reference above.
Support: 1.33212, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.33384, 1.33417, 1.33714
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3342 session high confirms the Asian range break and brings the 1.3371 friday high into view
Loss of the 1.3321 higher low and the rising trendline breaks the intraday HL chain; the 61.8% retracement of the london rally sits at 1.3320
UK labour data Tue 06:00 GMT (ILO unemployment f/c 4.9%) could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since London open · RSI 59 · price 1.33353
London open sweep of Asian and Friday lows reversed; price pressing Asian high.
London open sold through the Asian range and Friday's 1.3310 low to a 1.3307 london low before reversing. A rising trendline of higher lows, including the 1.3321 higher low at the Asian range floor, has carried price back to the 1.3338 asian high late in London, inside the 1.3290–1.3360 range the digest cites ahead of UK jobs and CPI.
Support: 1.33212, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.33384, 1.33714
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3338 asian high opens the path to the 1.3371 friday high
Break of the rising trendline and the 1.3321 higher low returns price toward the 1.3307 london low
NY open in roughly 1–2h may test whether the Asian high holds as a cap
UK labour data Tue 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, pressing range top · RSI 59 · price 1.33341
Higher lows since London low, capped below Asian high.
London open swept the Asian range low and Friday's low down to the london low at 1.3307, then recovered on higher lows at 1.3321 and 1.3324. Mid-London, price is back at the top of the 1.3323–1.3338 Asian range, where 1.3335–1.3338 has capped three times this session. GBP is holding firm into this week's UK data while the USD steadies. RSI(14) is 59 and ATR(14) is near 7.5 pips.
Support: 1.33212, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.33384, 1.33714
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3338 asian high breaks the session cap and opens the path to the 1.3371 friday high
Failure to hold the 1.3321 higher low breaks the London higher-lows structure and exposes the 1.3307 london low
NY open later today may extend or fade the London recovery
UK labour data Tue 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Sideways, higher lows off the London low · RSI 58 · price 1.33301
Asian range intact after London false break lower.
London open broke below the Asian range to a london low at 1.3307, then reclaimed it. Price is back in the 1.3321–1.3338 band mid-London, with higher lows at 1.3321 and 1.3324. Supply is capping the london high at 1.3335 as GBP consolidates below 1.3360 ahead of UK jobs data.
Support: 1.33212, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.33355, 1.33384
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3338 asian high breaks the range top and the session's lower-high cap
Failure to hold the 1.3321 higher low breaks the rising line and reopens the 1.3307 london low
UK labour data Tue 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Rangebound, mid-London chop · RSI 49 · price 1.33248
Asian low swept and reclaimed; lower high under Asian high, higher low forming.
After the USD open gap was filled, London open swept below the Asian range and Friday's low to a 1.3307 London low, then reclaimed the range. The rebound stalled at a lower high of 1.3335 under the 1.3338 Asian high. Price is now flat on EMA20 with RSI(14) near 49, holding a higher low at 1.3321 (50% of the bounce) as GBP consolidates ahead of Tuesday's UK jobs data.
Support: 1.3321, 1.3307, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3335, 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
A close above the 1.3338 Asian high clears the lower high and opens the path to the 1.3371 Friday high
A break of the 1.3321 higher low and the rising lows trendline reopens the 1.3307 London low and the 1.3300 round number
UK labour data Tue 06:00 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst; no calendar risk inside the next session
Inside Asian range after London-open sweep; lower high vs higher low compressing.
London open swept below the Asian range and Friday's 1.3310 low to the 1.3307 london low, then rebounded back inside the 1.3321–1.3338 Asian range. Price is now pinned on flat EMAs between a 1.3335 lower high and a 1.3321 higher low, which held at the 50% fib of the London rebound. GBP is holding Friday's range on a soft USD, with RSI(14) at 46 and no momentum ahead of UK jobs data.
Support: 1.3321, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3335, 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3321 higher low and rising trendline exposes the 1.3307 london low again
Close above the 1.3335 lower high and 1.3338 asian high reopens the 1.3371 friday high
UK labour data Tue 06:00 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst; until then range conditions dominate
Higher lows off 1.3307 beneath a 1.3335 lower high, inside the Asian range.
London open was rejected under the asian high at 1.3338, then swept the asian low to a 1.3307 london low before price reclaimed the range on higher lows. A lower high at 1.3335 is now capping, with price back at the 61.8% retrace of the London drop near 1.3325. RSI(14) sits neutral at 48 as GBP holds Friday's range ahead of Tuesday's UK jobs data.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3335, 1.3338
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3335 lower high and the 1.3338 asian high breaks the range top
Loss of the 1.3322 asian low breaks the higher lows line and reopens the 1.3307 london low
UK labour data Tue 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since London low · RSI 58 · price 1.33338
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338 intact after a false break lower; price testing the range top.
Monday's roughly 20-pip gap lower filled within the first hour, and Asia then held 1.3322–1.3338. London open was rejected at the asian high and swept below the asian low to a london low of 1.3307. A chain of higher lows since has lifted price back to 1.3338, with sterling boxed in ahead of Tuesday's UK jobs data.
Support: 1.3325, 1.3322, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3338 asian high breaks the Asian range and opens 1.3371, the friday high
Failure to hold the 1.3325 swing low and the higher-low trendline returns price to the 1.3322 asian low
A break below the 1.3307 london low turns the false break into a lower-low
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst; pre-data positioning may keep price inside the Asian range
09:46 UTC
Range, recovering after London flush · RSI 52 · price 1.33272
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338 reclaimed after a false break lower; higher lows since 07:45 UTC.
London open was rejected at 1.3336, just under the Asian high at 1.3338. Price then broke the Asian low at 1.3322 and swept Friday's low into a 1.3307 London low before a V-reclaim back inside the range as the Monday USD bounce faded. Price now sits between the 61.8% and 78.6% fib of the London drop, with higher lows building up to 1.3325 and RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 1.3325, 1.3322, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3330, 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3325 higher low and the 1.3322 Asian low reopens the 1.3307 London low
M15 close above the 78.6% fib at 1.3330 and the 1.3338 Asian high opens the path to the 1.3371 Friday high
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC (ILO unemployment f/c 4.9%) could reset the Asian range read
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338 restored after London false break lower.
London open broke below the asian low at 1.3322 and reached 1.3307, near Friday's 1.3310 low. Price was then pulled back inside the Asian range and has retraced about 70% of the London drop, with RSI(14) neutral near 50. Sterling is boxed in ahead of Tuesday's UK jobs data, per the macro read, and the 1.3322–1.3338 range is intact.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the asian low at 1.3322 reopens the 1.3307 london low
Break above the asian high at 1.3338 brings the 1.3371 friday high into view
Rejection near the top of the London drop fib (1.3336) keeps the range read
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst likely to break the range
09:16 UTC
Intraday range, recovering from London dip · RSI 47 · price 1.33269
False break below Asian range, back inside 1.3322–1.3338.
London open spiked to 1.3336, then broke the 1.3322 asian low to a 1.3307 london low, just under Friday's 1.3310 trough, before reversing back inside the Asian range. Price is near 1.3327, about 68% back on the London drop fib. The 08:45 swing high at 1.3331 is the nearest cap, with RSI(14) near 47 and EMAs flat as GBP stalls ahead of UK data.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3331, 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3338 asian high opens the path toward the 1.3371 friday high
Rejection at the 1.3331 swing high (78.6% of the London drop fib) keeps the range read intact
Failure to hold the 1.3322 asian low exposes the 1.3307 london low again
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London broke below the Asian range and reclaimed from 1.3307; price is retesting the Asian low from below.
London open was rejected at the 1.3336 asian high and broke the Asian range, sweeping Friday's low to the 1.3307 london low before reclaiming. Price is now pressing the 1.3323 asian low from below, near the 61.8% of the London drop, with a 1.3313 higher low under it. GBP is stalling ahead of Tuesday's UK jobs data.
Support: 1.3313, 1.3307
Resistance: 1.3323, 1.3336, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3323 asian low puts price back inside the Asian range, with the 1.3336 asian high next
Rejection at 1.3323 and loss of the 1.3313 higher low reopens the 1.3307 london low
Break below 1.3307 turns the Friday-low sweep into a lower-low
Only a move through the 1.3336 asian high brings the 1.3371 friday high back into view
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC can reset the range; positioning ahead of it may keep moves contained
Asian range broken lower at London open; holding just above the session low.
London open broke the 1.3322–1.3338 Asian range lower and ran to a 1.3307 session low, dipping under Friday's 1.3310 low as French fiscal stress gave the USD a haven bid. The bounce has stalled near 1.3316, below both EMAs. RSI(14) sits at 41 and the old Asian low is now overhead.
Support: 1.3307, 1.33035
Resistance: 1.3322, 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the asian low at 1.3322 (50% of the london leg) neutralises the range break
Loss of the 1.3307 session low exposes the Sunday gap low at 1.3304 and confirms a lower-low
Asian high at 1.3338 caps the overnight range; Friday high at 1.3371 sits above
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled GBP catalyst; French yield headlines drive the USD leg until then
08:31 UTC
Intraday downturn, bouncing off london low · RSI 42 · price 1.3316
London broke below the Asian range; lower high at 1.3336, low at 1.3307.
London open was rejected at 1.3336 and broke below the Asian range. The drop briefly undercut Friday's low before buyers stepped in at the 1.3307 london low, lifting price to 1.3316. RSI(14) is near 42 and price is below both EMAs, with a steadier USD capping the pair under the 1.3338 asian high.
Support: 1.3307, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3322, 1.3338
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.3322 asian low, near the 50% fib of the London drop, would neutralise the range break
M15 close below the 1.3307 london low and 1.3300 round number extends the lower-low sequence
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend after London open · RSI 35 · price 1.3310
Asian range broken lower, lower low printed at 1.3307.
London open rejected the 1.3336-1.3338 Asian high and broke the Asian low at 1.3323, printing a session low at 1.3307 just under Friday's 1.3310 low. RSI(14) sits near 35 and is not yet oversold, while a steadier USD keeps the pair below 1.3335 resistance.
Support: 1.3307, 1.3304, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3323, 1.3338
What it said to watch
Recovery back above the 1.3323 Asian low would turn the break into a false break
M15 close below the 1.3304 gap low and the 1.3300 round number extends the lower-low sequence
Fib 50% retrace near 1.3322 lines up with the Asian low as the first cap
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next major risk for this read
08:01 UTC
Intraday range broken lower at London open · RSI 43 · price 1.33209
Asian range low lost; lower high at 1.3336 under the Asian high.
London open was rejected at 1.3336, just under the asian high at 1.3338, then broke the asian low at 1.3322 to a session low at 1.3315. Price at 1.3321 is now retesting the broken asian low from below, with RSI(14) near 43 and below both EMAs. The digest describes GBP stalling near 1.3330 under a USD cap ahead of Tuesday's UK jobs data.
Support: 1.33148, 1.33098, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3322, 1.33384, 1.33714
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3322 asian low negates the range break
Failure to hold 1.3315 session low exposes the 1.3310 friday low, then the 1.3300 round number
Recovery through 1.3338 asian high reopens the 1.3371 friday high
Positioning into Tue 06:00 UTC UK jobs may keep the move compressed for the rest of today
07:46 UTC
Intraday downturn after Asian range break · RSI 42 · price 1.3319
London open broke below the 1.3322–1.3338 Asian range.
Asia filled the weekend gap and then held a 1.3322–1.3338 range. In the first hour of London, price was rejected at 1.3336, under the Asian high, and broke the Asian low to a 1.3315 session low as the hawkish-Fed and haven-supported USD capped the pair near 1.3330. Price is below both EMAs, with RSI(14) at 42 and not stretched.
Support: 1.3315, 1.3310, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3322, 1.3338
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3322 Asian low turns the break into a false break and puts the range back in play
Failure to hold the 1.3315 session low exposes the 1.3310 Friday low, then the 1.3304 gap low from Sunday's open
Reclaim of the 1.3338 Asian high invalidates the range-break read
UK jobs data Tue 06:00 UTC (unemployment f/c 5%, earnings f/c 3.8%) could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Sideways, soft below EMAs · RSI 45 · price 1.33242
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338; London open rejected, price back at range base.
The weekend gap down to the 1.3304 gap low on safe-haven USD filled within the first Asia hour. The Asian range then held at 1.3322–1.3338, capped near the 1.3335 area the digest flags. The London open spiked to 1.3336, reversed to a fresh 1.3321 london low and left price at the range base below both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 45.
Support: 1.3321, 1.33035
Resistance: 1.33384, 1.33714
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3321 london low breaks the Asian range lower and brings the 61.8% gap-fill fib near 1.3317, then the 1.3304 gap low, into view
Close above the 1.3338 asian high ends the lower-high sequence and opens Friday's 1.3371 prior high
Nothing on the calendar in the next 8h; UK jobs Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled driver for this range
07:16 UTC
Sideways, pressing range top into London open · RSI 59 · price 1.33353
Asian range 1.3323–1.3338 after weekend gap fill.
The weekend gap down to the 1.3304 gap low was filled within the first hour as the opening safe-haven USD bid faded. Asia then held a tight 1.3323–1.3338 range, with the Asian low defended three times. London open is pressing the Asian high, which sits near the 50% retracement of Friday's drop from the 1.3371 Friday high.
Support: 1.3323, 1.33035
Resistance: 1.33384, 1.3350, 1.33714
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3338 Asian high breaks the range and opens the 1.3350 round number, then the 1.3371 Friday high
Rejection at the Asian high and a slip back below 1.3323 Asian low exposes the 1.3304 gap low
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled GBP catalyst; quiet calendar until then
07:01 UTC
Flat, compressing into London open · RSI 50 · price 1.33269
Tight Asian range 1.3322–1.3338 with marginally lower highs after the weekend gap filled.
Sunday's ~20-pip gap lower to the 1.3304 gap low filled within the first hour. Asia has since held a tight 1.3322–1.3338 range, with the asian low tested three times and slightly lower highs into the London open. RSI(14) near 50 and a sub-5-pip ATR reflect compression, as BoE hike pricing for GBP is offset by a steady USD below 1.3350.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3338 asian high breaks the Asian range and opens the path to the 1.3371 friday high
Failure to hold the 1.3322 asian low exposes the 1.3304 gap low
Asian lower highs trendline capping near 1.3335 is the first test for London session
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst; today's London session is light on data
06:46 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower inside Asian range · RSI 49 · price 1.33248
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338 with lower highs pressing the floor.
Sunday's gap down to 1.3304 filled within the first hour. Asia then held a tight 1.3322–1.3338 range, with lower highs since midnight compressing price toward the asian low. Early London rejected 1.3335 and is back near 1.3325, with RSI(14) neutral and ATR(14) near 4.6 pips as GBP stalls under 1.3330 ahead of UK data.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3322 asian low breaks the range and exposes the 1.3310 friday low, then the 1.3304 gap low
Close above the lower-highs trendline and the 1.3338 asian high reopens the 1.3371 friday high
Haven USD flows on Hormuz or French headlines could break the London range early
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled GBP driver; pre-data positioning may keep ranges compressed
Tight Asian range after weekend gap fill, price mid-range ahead of London open.
The weekend gap down to the 1.3304 gap low filled in the first hour of the Asia session as Monday's haven USD bid faded. Price has since held a 16-pip Asian range of 1.3322–1.3338, and the latest rejection near 1.3335 leaves it mid-range just under EMA20, RSI(14) flat near 49. Price sits in the lower part of Friday's drop from the 1.3371 friday high to the 1.3310 friday low.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3322 asian low exposes the 1.3310 friday low, then the 1.3304 gap low
Break above the 1.3338 asian high puts the 50% retrace of Friday's drop (~1.3341) and the 1.3371 friday high in play
London open is the first test of the Asian range; failure to break either side keeps the range read intact
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC and UK CPI Wed could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Sideways, compressed Asian range · RSI 54 · price 1.33292
Tight 1.3323–1.3338 range after weekend gap fill.
The weekend gap down to the 1.3304 gap low was filled within the first hour of Asia. Price has since held a tight range between the 1.3323 swing low and the 1.3338 asian high, capped near the 38.2% retrace of Friday's NY drop. RSI(14) is neutral at 54 and ATR(14) is near 4 pips as GBP marks time ahead of Tuesday's UK jobs data.
Support: 1.3323, 1.3310, 1.33035
Resistance: 1.33384, 1.3350, 1.33714
What it said to watch
A London open close above the asian high at 1.3338 opens a test of the 1.3350 round number, with the fri ny high at 1.3371 beyond
Failure to hold the 1.3323 swing low exposes the fri ny low at 1.3310 and the 1.3304 gap low
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:01 UTC
Sideways, mild upward drift in late Asia · RSI 58 · price 1.33329
Tight Asian range 1.3322–1.3338 after weekend gap fill.
Monday's 20-pip gap down to the 1.3304 gap low filled within the first hour of Asia on a dip toward 1.3300 that drew buyers. Price has since held a 1.3322–1.3338 Asian range, with lows edging higher. It is now pressing the Asian high and the 38.2% fib of Friday's NY drop near 1.3333 ahead of London open. RSI(14) sits near 58 and ATR is about 4 pips, so the range is compressed.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3304, 1.3293
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3341, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3338 asian high, then the 1.3341 fib 50%, breaks the range and opens a path toward the 1.3371 friday high
Loss of the rising lows and the 1.3322 asian low exposes the 1.3304 gap low, with the 1.3293 friday low below
London open in about 1h is the first test of the Asian range; UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled GBP catalyst
05:46 UTC
Sideways, range after weekend gap fill · RSI 51 · price 1.3332
Tight Asian range with higher lows.
Monday opened with a ~20-pip gap down to the 1.3304 gap low, which filled within the first hour. Since then, Asia has held a 1.3322–1.3338 range, from the range floor to the Asian high, with a chain of higher lows. Price is pressing the upper half of the range into late Asia, with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3349
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3338 asian high breaks the Asian range and puts Friday's 1.3349 prior high in play
Failure to hold the 1.3322 range floor breaks the higher lows line and exposes the 1.3304 gap low
London open is the first test of the Asian range
UK labour data (Tue 06:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Flat, compressing inside Asian range · RSI 52 · price 1.33302
Lower highs from 1.3338 against a flat 1.3323 floor.
The Sunday-open gap lower to 1.3304 filled within the first hour. Since then Asia has held a 1.3323–1.3338 range, with intraday lower highs off the asian high pressing into a flat asian low near 1.3323. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR is a thin 4 pips ahead of London open. GBP is steady on the Rightmove beat and BoE hike pricing, while a supported USD caps it.
Support: 1.3323, 1.3310
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3323 asian low breaks the floor and exposes Friday's 1.3310 prior low and 1.3300
M15 close above the 1.3338 asian high voids the lower-highs read and opens Friday's 1.3371 prior high
London open is the likely trigger for a range break from the current compression
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst; no UK/US releases are due before then
05:16 UTC
Flat, range-bound in Asia · RSI 48 · price 1.33275
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338 after Sunday gap filled.
Sunday's ~20-pip gap down to the 1.3304 gap low filled within the first hour. The gap-fill rally stalled at the 1.3338 Asian high, and Asia has since held a tight 1.3322–1.3338 range with price mid-range at 1.3328 about two hours before London open. RSI(14) sits at 48 and ATR is near 4 pips, both compressed, while the digest notes buyers absorbed the early dip toward 1.3300 as the USD bid faded.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3350, 1.3371
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.3338 Asian high exposes the 1.3350 round number, then Friday high 1.3371
Loss of the 1.3322 Asian low reopens 1.3310 friday low and the 1.3304 gap low
Holding the Asian low keeps the gap-fill rally's 50% retracement intact
London open range expansion out of a ~16-pip Asian range sets the session direction
UK jobs data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Flat, compressing in Asia · RSI 53 · price 1.33284
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338, highs stepping lower.
The weekend gap down to the 1.3304 gap low was filled in the first hour of Asia as the early USD haven bid faded, and price has since held a tight Asian range between 1.3322 and 1.3338. Highs are stepping lower against a flat 1.3322 asian low into London open, with RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR(14) compressed near 4 pips.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3350, 1.3371
What it said to watch
A London-session break of the 1.3322 asian low opens the 1.3310 friday low and the 1.3304 gap low
A close above the lower highs line and the 1.3338 asian high exposes the 1.3350 round number, then the 1.3371 friday high
No tier-1 events are scheduled in the next 8h; UK labour data on Tue at 06:00 UTC is the next GBP catalyst
04:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum fading late Asia · RSI 45 · price 1.33263
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338 after weekend gap fill, lower highs.
The weekend gap open at 1.3306 filled within the first hour of Asia, and buyers stepped in on GBP strength from BoE hike bets. Price then capped at the 1.3338 session high and has since printed lower highs inside a tight range above the 1.3322 range low, near the 50% fib of the Monday spike. RSI(14) is neutral at 45 and ATR(14) is about 4 pips, with late-Asia activity thin ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3306, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3350, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3322 range low exposes the 1.3306 gap open and the 1.3300 round number
Break of the lower highs line and the 1.3338 session high opens the 1.3350 round number, then the 1.3371 friday high
London open in roughly 2.5h is the likely trigger for a break of the Asian range
UK labour data (Tue 06:00 UTC) is the next scheduled event that could materially shift this read
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338, lower highs into flat lows.
Monday's opening gap lower from 1.3304 was filled in the first hour of Asia as the early safe-haven USD bid faded. The 1.3338 Asian high has since capped price with lower highs at 1.3336 and 1.3331. Price is compressing just above the 1.3322 Asian low on the 38.2% retracement of the gap-fill rally, slightly below EMA20/EMA50, with RSI(14) neutral at 45.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3331, 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3322 asian low opens the friday low at 1.3310 and the 61.8% fib near 1.3317
Close above the 1.3331 lower high breaks the compression; 1.3338 asian high is next, then the 1.3371 friday high
London open in under 3h typically resolves the Asian range
UK jobs data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled GBP risk
Monday opened about 20 pips lower at the 1.3304 gap low on a USD haven bid, and the gap filled within the first hour. Asian session has since compressed between the 1.3322 post-gap low and the 1.3338 asian high, holding above the 38.2% of the gap-fill fib. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and ATR(14) is about 4 pips, with price sitting on EMA20 ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3349, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3322 post-gap low reopens the 1.3304 gap low
Break of the 1.3338 asian high exposes Friday's 1.3349 london high, then the 1.3371 friday high
London open in ~3h typically expands the Asian range
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Sideways after Monday gap fill · RSI 54 · price 1.33293
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338, price mid-range.
Monday opened with a gap down of about 20 pips to 1.3304 on a haven USD bid. The bid faded and the gap filled within the first hour. Late Asia session has since held a tight 1.3322–1.3338 range around a flat EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR(14) under 5 pips.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3350, 1.3371
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.3338 asia high opens the 1.3350 round number, then the friday high at 1.3371
Failure to hold the 1.3322 asia low exposes the fri ny low at 1.3310 and the 1.3304 gap low
London open in roughly 3h is the likely catalyst for a break of the Asian range
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Sideways, flat after gap fill · RSI 50 · price 1.33271
1.3322–1.3338 Asian range above filled weekend gap.
Monday Asia opened about 20 pips lower on a haven USD bid, down at the 1.3304 gap low. The gap filled within the first hour as the dollar gave the move back. Price has since held a 1.3322–1.3338 Asian range, capped near the 38.2% retrace of Friday's NY drop, with RSI(14) at 50 and price flat on EMA20. Nothing directional is in play ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
A London-open close above the asian high at 1.3338 opens the fri high at 1.3371
Failure to hold the asian low at 1.3322 exposes the fri ny low at 1.3310, then the gap low at 1.3304
Renewed haven USD headlines (French yields, Hormuz) could repeat the open's gap-down move
03:31 UTC
Sideways after gap fill, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 1.3325
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338, price at range floor.
Monday opened with a 20-pip gap lower near the 1.3300 round number. Demand stepped in and filled the gap within the first hour, matching the Asia dip-and-recover read, but firm USD on hawkish-Fed and geopolitical risk has kept the Asian range tight at 1.3322–1.3338. The Asian high capped just under the 50% retrace of Friday's NY drop, and price is now back at the Asian low, slightly under EMA20/EMA50 on 4.8-pip ATR.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
Close below the 1.3322 Asian low exposes the 1.3310 Friday low and the 1.3300 round number
Close above the 1.3338 Asian high and the 50% retrace reopens the 1.3371 Friday high
London open in roughly 3.5h is likely to set direction out of the Asian range
UK jobs data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled GBP catalyst
03:16 UTC
Sideways after weekend gap fill, mild downward drift · RSI 49 · price 1.33261
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338 with a lower high at 1.3336; price mid-to-low range.
Monday opened with a ~20-pip weekend gap down to 1.3304 (gap low). The gap filled within the first hour of Asia as USD opened on the back foot. Price has since held a 1.3322–1.3338 Asian range, printed a lower high at 1.3336 and is now sitting on the 38.2% retrace of the gap-fill leg near 1.3325, with RSI(14) neutral and EMAs flat overhead.
Support: 1.3322, 1.33035
Resistance: 1.33362, 1.33384, 1.33714
What it said to watch
A break of the 1.3322 asian low exposes the 50% retrace near 1.3321 and the 1.3304 gap low
A close above the 1.3338 asian high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 1.3371 friday high back in view
London open in ~4h typically resolves the Asian range
UK jobs data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled GBP catalyst and could materially shift this read
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338 after a weekend gap fill, lower highs inside it.
The weekend gap to 1.3306 filled within the first hour of the Asia session. Price has since held a 1.3322–1.3338 Asian range, capped near the 38.2% fib of Friday's NY selloff from the 1.3371 friday high to the 1.3310 friday low. Lower highs at 1.3338 and 1.3336 have price drifting toward the asian low, with RSI(14) near 46, as BoE hike bets support GBP and a firm USD caps it.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close below the asian low at 1.3322 opens a retest of the friday low at 1.3310 and the 1.3300 psych level
Break of the asian high at 1.3338 and the Asia lower-highs line puts the friday high at 1.3371 back in view
London open could reset the session range; UK jobs data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled GBP risk
Tight Asian range 1.3322–1.3338, higher lows since the gap fill.
Monday opened about 20 pips below Friday's close at the 1.3304 gap low, and the gap filled within the first hour on the GBP-firm, USD-soft open. The Asian range has since held between the 1.3322 asian low and the 1.3338 asian high, with price pinned to a flat EMA20/50 cluster near 1.3327 and RSI(14) at 53. Price is testing the rising-lows line, inside the lower half of Friday's NY drop from the 1.3371 prior high to the 1.3310 friday low.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3350, 1.3371
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.3322 asian low breaks the rising-lows line and exposes the 1.3310 friday low and the 1.3304 gap low
An M15 close above the 1.3338 asian high, near the 50% of the friday drop fib, puts the 1.3350 london high and then the 1.3371 prior high in view
London open is the next test of the Asian range; no scheduled GBP or USD data in the next 8h
Strait of Hormuz headlines are the main unscheduled risk for a haven USD bid that would shift this read
02:31 UTC
Neutral, recovering after Monday gap · RSI 55 · price 1.33313
Asia range 1.3322–1.3338 after gap fill, higher lows.
Monday opened with a ~20-pip gap down to the 1.3304 gap low. The gap was filled within the first hour as the dip toward 1.3300 drew buyers, helped by firm UK data and Fed-pause pricing, and Asia has since ranged 1.3322–1.3338 with a higher low at 1.3326. Price sits mid-range near the 38.2% retracement of Friday's NY drop from the friday high at 1.3371.
Support: 1.33256, 1.3322, 1.33035
Resistance: 1.33384, 1.3350, 1.33714
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3338 asia high and the 1.3350 round number opens the friday high at 1.3371
Break of the 1.3326 higher low and the 1.3322 asia low ends the higher-lows sequence and puts the 1.3304 gap low back in play
No scheduled events in the next 8h; UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst likely to break this range
02:16 UTC
Neutral, compressing after gap fill · RSI 54 · price 1.33304
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338 with a rising low and a lower high.
The weekly open gapped about 20 pips lower to 1.3304, and that gap filled within the first hour. Asia session has since compressed into a 1.3322–1.3338 range, with a rising low at 1.3326 and price near the 38.2% retrace of Friday's NY sell-off. RSI(14) is neutral at 54 as GBP holds firm despite haven USD demand on weekend Hormuz headlines.
Support: 1.3326, 1.3322, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3350, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3338 asian high opens the 1.3350 round number, then the 1.3371 fri ny high
Loss of the 1.3326 rising low and the 1.3322 asian low exposes the 1.3304 weekly open low and the 1.3300 area
Fresh Hormuz/Iran headlines during the Asia session could revive haven USD demand; UK jobs data (Tue 06:00 UTC) is the next scheduled risk
01:46 UTC
Flat, consolidating after weekend gap fill · RSI 48 · price 1.33273
Asia session range 1.3322–1.3338 above a filled opening gap.
Monday's Asia session opened with a ~20-pip gap lower to the 1.3304 gap low on weekend Hormuz/Iran headlines, but the gap filled within the first hour. Price is now coiling between the 1.3322 swing low and the 1.3338 session high, back near Friday's close and below Friday's NY spike high at 1.3371.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3338 session high puts the 1.3371 Friday high back in play
Failure at the 1.3322 swing low exposes Friday's 1.3310 NY low and the 1.3304 gap low
Fresh Hormuz/Iran escalation headlines during Asia hours could reopen the gap-low test
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst; no events in the next 8h
01:31 UTC
Intraday range after weekend gap fill · RSI 54 · price 1.33284
Asian range 1.3322–1.3338 inside Friday's NY sell-off.
Monday opened with a gap down to the 1.3304 gap low on the Hormuz-driven haven USD bid, and the gap filled within the first hour of Asia. The asian high at 1.3338 stalled between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of Friday's NY sell-off fib. Price is now mid-range above the 1.3322 pullback low, with RSI neutral and EMA20/EMA50 flattening just below.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3350, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3338 asian high and the 1.3350 round number reopens the 1.3371 friday high
Failure at the 1.3322 pullback low exposes the 1.3310 friday low and the 1.3304 gap low
Fresh Hormuz/Iran headlines in Asia could revive the haven USD bid behind the open gap
London open in roughly 4.5h is the likely trigger for a break of the Asian range; UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next major GBP risk
01:16 UTC
Sideways after gap fill, momentum neutral · RSI 56 · price 1.33277
Sunday gap filled; holding a 1.3322 higher low inside a 1.3304–1.3338 early-Asia range.
The Sunday open gapped about 20 pips below Friday's 1.3327 close on a Hormuz-driven haven USD bid, setting a 1.3304 gap low. The gap filled inside the first hour. Early in the Asia session, price is back at the Friday close, near the 38.2% fib of the open-to-session-high leg. It is holding above the 1.3322 swing low with RSI(14) at 56 and ATR around 7 pips.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3349, 1.3371
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.3338 session high puts the 1.3349 prior high and the 1.3350 breakout area in play, with the 1.3371 Friday high above
Failure to hold the 1.3322 swing low reopens the 1.3304 gap low
Further Iran/Hormuz headlines through Asia hours could materially shift this read
UK labour data on Tue at 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled GBP risk
00:46 UTC
Neutral, gap filled; bounce stalling under Friday highs · RSI 53 · price 1.33271
Early Asia range 1.3304–1.3338 after a weekend gap down was filled.
Monday opened with a ~20-pip gap down to the 1.3304 gap low on weekend Hormuz headlines. The gap filled within the hour, but the early Asia session high at 1.3338 capped the bounce below Friday's 1.3349 London high. Price is pinned to EMA20/EMA50 near the 38.2% retracement of the Monday open swing, with RSI(14) neutral at 53.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3349, 1.3371
What it said to watch
Break of the 1.3322 pullback low exposes the 1.3310 Fri NY low, then the 1.3304 gap low
Close above the 1.3338 session high reopens the 1.3349 London high / 1.3350 breakout zone, with the 1.3371 Friday high above
Further Hormuz or oil headlines during Asia hours could drive a retest of the gap low
00:31 UTC
Recovering intraday, higher lows since the open · RSI 55 · price 1.33342
Weekend gap filled; higher low at 1.3322, fresh Asia high at 1.3338.
Monday's open gapped about 20 pips below Friday's 1.3327 close to a 1.3304 gap low. The gap was filled within the first hour, and the gap-fill leg has since held a higher low at 1.3322 and printed a fresh Asia high at 1.3338, with RSI(14) neutral near 55. Price is now sitting just under the 1.3350 fri breakout zone from Friday's soft-Fed-odds rally, with the 1.3371 friday high above.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.33035
Resistance: 1.33384, 1.3350, 1.33714
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3350 fri breakout opens the path to the 1.3371 friday high
Failure to hold the 1.3322 asia low breaks the higher-low sequence and the rising trendline
A slip under the 1.3310 Friday ny low brings the 1.3304 gap low back into view
Hormuz headlines during the Asia session carry renewed gap risk; UK jobs data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled driver
00:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since open · RSI 57 · price 1.33379
Gap down at open filled; pressing asia high.
Early Asia session: GBPUSD gapped about 20 pips lower at the open to a 1.3304 gap low on weekend Hormuz risk, then a single 28-pip bar filled the gap back above Friday's 1.3327 close. The pullback low at 1.3322 held, and price is now testing the 1.3338 asia high and the 38.2% of Friday's 1.3371–1.3310 selloff.
Support: 1.3322, 1.3310, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.3338, 1.3349, 1.3371
What it said to watch
A close above 1.3338 asia high puts the 1.3349 prior high and 61.8% fib in play, with the 1.3371 friday high above that.
Loss of the 1.3322 pullback low breaks the higher-lows line and exposes the 1.3310 ny low and 1.3304 gap low.
Further Hormuz shipping incidents could reopen haven USD demand during Asia hours.
UK labour data Tue 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled GBP catalyst.
Gap lower at open filled, early Asian range 1.3304–1.3337, higher low at 1.3322.
Early Asia session: the open gapped about 20 pips lower to the 1.3304 gap low amid Hormuz headlines. One spike bar then filled the gap and tagged the 1.3337 Asian high, and the pullback low at 1.3322 held, putting price back at Friday's 1.3335 breakout area. Price sits near the 38% level of the NY selloff fib, measured from 1.3371 down to the 1.3310 NY low. RSI(14) is neutral near 55.
Support: 1.3322, 1.33098, 1.3304
Resistance: 1.33365, 1.33492, 1.33714
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3337 Asian high puts the 1.3349 London high and the 50% NY selloff fib at 1.3341 in play
Failure to hold the 1.3322 pullback low breaks the Asian rising support and exposes the 1.3310 NY low and the 1.3304 gap low
Fresh Hormuz or oil headlines into the London open could reopen gap-style volatility
The 1.3371 Friday high caps the session unless the London high gives way