19:03 UTC
Recovery uptrend into range top · RSI 63 · price 1.41918
Broad range, testing upper boundary.
Price has been range-bound roughly between the 1.3481 swing low set in late January and the 1.48 area from early 2025, and the recovery off that low has now carried price into the top of the range at the 1.4248 15-month high. The rising EMA(50) sits beneath near 1.385 and price holds well above it, keeping the macro structure constructive, though the last two weekly bars wicked into 1.4247 and closed back near 1.419 — a rejection at the range ceiling. The pullback from the highs coincides with a softer USD after the 57K NFP miss, while CAD's own headwinds (soft oil, dovish BoC, USMCA overhang) keep USDCAD structurally bid.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3850, 1.3481
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4500
What it said to watch
- Weekly close above 1.4250 breaks the range top and opens the path toward 1.45
- Failure to hold 1.4000 exposes the rising EMA50 near 1.385
- Canada jobs Jul 10 could materially shift this read