USDCAD twice failed at 1.4080 and has since unwound the entire week's rally, trading back to 1.4010 as the USD stayed soft on the 44K ADP miss and Oil firmed. Price is below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 36, and the drop through the 1.4045 midpoint during the NY session confirmed the double-top break. The week low at 1.40027 is now the pivot in play.
Support: 1.40027, 1.40188
Resistance: 1.4045, 1.40798
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.40027 confirms a lower-low and extends the breakdown
Reclaim of 1.40450 (ema20) neutralises the double-top read
Fri 12:30 UTC US NFP and Canada jobs could materially reset this range
22:02 UTC
Downtrend after weekly high rejection · RSI 37 · price 1.40107
Reversal off 1.4080, testing weekly base.
USDCAD ground higher from Monday's 1.4004 base to a double top at 1.4080, twice capped in the NY session before a sharp reversal as the USD softened on the weak ADP print ahead of NFP. Price broke back through the 1.4048 EMA20 and is now retesting the weekly base near 1.4004, with RSI(14) pressed into the mid-30s. CAD strength has been muted by choppy oil, leaving the pair pinned at range support.
Support: 1.4004, 1.4030
Resistance: 1.4048, 1.4080
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4004 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.3960s
Reclaim of the 1.4048 EMA20 would neutralise the double-top break
Canada jobs and US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
Sharp pullback into weekly low after failed push to 1.40798.
USDCAD climbed four sessions to a week high at 1.40798 before rolling over sharply through the NY session, giving back the entire advance to retest the weekly base near 1.4003. Price now trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 36, the momentum firmly with the sellers on this pullback. The soft USD backdrop after this week's ADP miss and a firmer oil tone have capped bulls at the 1.4080 triangle top.
Support: 1.40027, 1.40075
Resistance: 1.4050, 1.40798
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40027 confirms a break of the weekly base
Reclaim of the 1.4050 EMA20 would neutralise the pullback read
Canada jobs and US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Rejected at weekly high, retracing the week's range.
USDCAD ground higher for four straight sessions off crude weakness before stalling into a double top around 1.4080 and reversing hard today, shedding roughly 70 pips into the NY session. Price has now unwound almost the entire week's advance, breaking back below the H1 EMA20 with RSI(14) rolling into the mid-30s. Buyers who lifted the pair to weekly highs found no follow-through — supply capped both attempts at 1.4076/1.4080.
Support: 1.40047, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.40458, 1.4076, 1.40798
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.40000 psych exposes the 1.3991 two-week low
Reclaim of the 1.40458 ema20 needed to negate the pullback
Concurrent US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
21:03 UTC
Uptrend reversing, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 1.40108
Rejection at weekly high, retracing week's gain.
USDCAD ground higher for four straight days from ~1.4003 to a weekly high near 1.4080 on the oil-driven CAD weakness, but the NY session saw a sharp rejection back through the week's rising support, wiping out the entire advance to retest 1.4000-1.4010. Price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) rolled over into the high-30s. Twin failures around 1.4076/1.4080 left a double-top look before the sell-off.
Support: 1.40027, 1.4014, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4055, 1.4076
What it said to watch
Fri NFP + Canada jobs 12:30 UTC is the dominant two-sided catalyst
H1 hold of 1.4000 vs a close below opens the path lower
Reclaim of the 1.4055 EMA20 zone would neutralise the reversal read
20:02 UTC
Uptrend reversing, momentum down · RSI 34 · price 1.40103
Double top rejection, sharp pullback through EMAs.
USDCAD ground higher for four sessions on crude weakness, printing a double top at the 1.40798 week high before rolling over hard through the NY session. The drop sliced below both EMAs and the 1.40520 breakdown zone, with RSI(14) collapsing toward 34 as price retraced almost the entire week's up-move back to the low-1.401s. Domestic CAD data (PMI beat, record trade surplus) has been ignored all week — oil has been the driver.
Support: 1.40047, 1.40022, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4052, 1.40798
What it said to watch
Hold or break of the 1.40047 swing low / 1.40022 week low decides continuation lower toward 1.40000 psych
Reclaim of the 1.40520 breakdown zone would neutralise the reversal read
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is a two-sided event that can override this structure
Double top near 1.4080, sharp reversal back to weekly open.
USDCAD ground up for four straight days from ~1.4002 toward the 1.40798 weekly high on oil-driven CAD softness, then rejected twice at that level forming a double top before an abrupt NY-hours selloff wiped out the week's gain back to the weekly open near 1.4010. Price now sits below EMA20 (~1.4050) with RSI(14) rolling to the low-30s after the drop through 1.4046. Demand is being tested at the 1.40045 session low with the 1.4000 round number just beneath.
Support: 1.40045, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4050, 1.40798
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.40045 session low and 1.4000 round number confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of the 1.40500 ema20 area negates the reversal read
Canada jobs and US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
USDCAD ground higher for four straight sessions from the ~1.4000 weekly open to weekly highs at 1.4080 on oil-driven CAD softness, but twin peaks near 1.4076/1.4080 capped and the NY session saw a sharp rejection all the way back to the weekly open. Price has now slipped below both EMA20 and EMA50 for the first time this week with RSI rolling toward oversold. The 1.4058 shelf that framed the grind higher is the immediate reference overhead.
Support: 1.4005, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4058, 1.4080
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4000 confirms a lower low, opening the path to the 1.3991 two-week low
Reclaim of 1.4058 would negate the rejection and re-expose 1.4080
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT is the decisive two-sided catalyst for this pair
USDCAD ground higher for four straight days from Monday's 1.4000 open toward 1.4080 as oil weakness weighed on the Loonie, but the pair was rejected at that week-high triangle top and unwound the entire advance during the NY session. The drop back to 1.4008 has cleared the rising support off Monday's low and RSI(14) has slid toward oversold, with price now sitting on the weekly open and below both EMAs. Softer USD tone into Friday capped the top even as CAD data stayed firm.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4045, 1.4080
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.40450 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.39910 two-week low
Fri 12:30 GMT US NFP + Canada jobs — two-sided catalyst that can reset this read
This week's grind higher stalled with twin peaks at 1.4080 (Wed and Thu NY hours), and the NY session has since driven a sharp reversal, slicing through the week's rising lows down to 1.4009. The move lines up with a softer USD after the ADP miss and easing safe-haven demand, with RSI(14) rolling down toward 37 as the double top plays out. Price now sits well below EMA20 (~1.4053) for the first time this week.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.4053, 1.4080
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4000 confirms the breakdown and opens the 1.3995 week low
Reclaim of 1.4053 EMA20 would negate the reversal read
US NFP and Canada jobs both 12:30 UTC Fri — two-sided event for this pair
Lower high after failing weekly high, breakdown underway.
USDCAD ground four days higher to a weekly high near 1.4080 on oil weakness, but the twin peaks there were rejected and price broke sharply lower through the NY session, slicing prior support at 1.4045 to test the 1.4000 round number. RSI(14) has rolled toward oversold and price now sits below EMA20 for the first time this week. Weekly open at 1.3995 sits just below as the next reference.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.4045, 1.40798
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4000 confirms a lower low toward the 1.3995 weekly open
Reclaim of 1.4045 prior support would negate the breakdown
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is a two-sided event that can reset this read
17:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 1.40251
Week-long grind higher rejected at 1.4080, rolling over.
USDCAD climbed a fourth straight session toward the 1.4080 weekly high as sliding oil dragged CAD, but the level capped repeated attempts and price rejected there into late NY hours. The subsequent selloff pushed price back below the EMA20 for the first time this week, with RSI(14) cooling toward 40. The move up remains oil-led rather than USD-led, with soft US data capping the dollar side.
Support: 1.4017, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4055, 1.4080
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.4055 ema20 reopens the 1.4080 weekly high
Failure to hold 1.4017 session low confirms a lower low toward 1.3991
Friday 12:30 GMT dual US NFP / Canada jobs prints can reset this read
Week high rejected, breaking below the multi-day range.
USDCAD ground higher through the week to a 1.4080 session high as sliding oil weighed on CAD, but that level rejected in the NY session and price snapped back sharply to 1.4017. The drop pushed price below EMA20 for the first time this week and broke the 1.404-1.408 range that had held since Monday, with RSI(14) rolling into the high-30s. The move stays oil-led on the CAD side while soft US data keeps the dollar capped ahead of Friday's payrolls.
Support: 1.4017, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4065, 1.4080
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4017 opens the path toward 1.4000 and the 1.3991 prior low
Reclaim of the 1.4065 EMA20 would repair the range break
Friday 12:30 UTC dual US/Canada jobs reports could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Weekly uptrend, momentum rolling over · RSI 38 · price 1.40173
Rejection off week high, pullback below EMAs.
USD/CAD ground higher all week on oil-led CAD weakness, but twin highs near 1.4080 built a double top and buyers were rejected. The NY session drove a sharp slide from 1.4044 back below EMA(20), tagging 1.4017 with RSI(14) rolling into the high-30s. Price now sits deep in the pullback of the Monday-to-Thursday impulse, testing the 1.4000 psychological floor.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4051, 1.4080
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.4051 / EMA20 invalidates the double-top breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.4000 opens the two-week low at 1.3991
NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Week's higher-lows broken after failure at 1.4080.
USDCAD ground up from Monday's 1.3990 open toward a 1.4080 week high on oil-led CAD weakness, but twin rejections near 1.4076-1.4080 capped the advance and the late NY session saw a sharp break lower to 1.4017. That drop sliced through the rising higher-lows and both EMAs, with RSI(14) rolling toward 34. Price now sits on the 0.618-0.786 retracement of the week's impulse.
Support: 1.40142, 1.3999, 1.39947
Resistance: 1.4050, 1.4065, 1.40798
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.40500 would repair the break
Failure to hold 1.39990 opens the two-week low
Canada jobs & US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
USDCAD ground higher all week from ~1.3995 toward the 1.40798 weekly high on oil-led CAD weakness, but two failed attempts near 1.4080 formed a double top and the NY session today drove a sharp break down to 1.4018, slicing below EMA20. RSI(14) has rolled over into the mid-30s as the pair unwinds the week's advance. The 1.4030 weekly pivot now sits overhead as resistance, with the two-week low at 1.3991 the next reference below.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4030, 1.40798
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.3991 confirms a lower low and extends the reversal
Reclaim of 1.4030 weekly pivot would neutralise the breakdown
Friday NFP and Canada jobs (12:30 UTC) are the week's decisive catalysts for this pair
Week-long grind higher rejected at week high, reversing into session.
USDCAD ground higher all week from ~1.4030 to a 1.4080 week high on oil-led CAD weakness, with Canadian data beats failing to lift the Loonie. The last handful of H1 bars sold off sharply back to the 1.4017 session low, snapping the string of higher lows; RSI(14) has rolled under 50 and price is back below both EMA20 and EMA50. The 1.4080 area capped repeatedly, and 1.4046 is now the near-term pivot overhead.
Support: 1.4017, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4046, 1.4080
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4000 confirms a lower low and negates the week's uptrend
Reclaim of 1.4046 pivot re-opens the 1.4080 week high
Fri 12:30 UTC US NFP + Canada jobs — decisive catalyst that could reset this read
14:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.40418
Rejection at weekly high, retracing the week's advance.
USDCAD climbed four sessions to a weekly high near 1.4080 on oil weakness before supply capped the move; price has since rolled over and slipped below EMA20 into the NY session, now sitting on the session low at 1.4040. The advance ignored firm Canadian data, trading on crude and US-Iran headlines while a soft ADP print kept the USD side heavy. The pullback is holding around the midpoint of the week's impulse.
Support: 1.40405, 1.40027
Resistance: 1.4064, 1.40798, 1.4090
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.4064 EMA20 would re-engage the weekly uptrend
Break of 1.4090 triangle top opens further upside; loss of 1.4040 exposes 1.4003 week low
Friday Canada/US dual jobs prints could materially shift this read
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.40418
Higher highs into weekly top, now pulling back.
USDCAD has run four straight up-sessions on oil-driven CAD softness, tagging a fresh weekly high near 1.4080 before rolling over into the NY session. Price has now slipped back below EMA(20) with RSI cooling toward 42 after failing to hold the highs — supply capped repeatedly around 1.4076-1.4080 while the rising trendline off Tuesday's low is being tested near 1.4040.
Support: 1.40388, 1.40285, 1.40027
Resistance: 1.4056, 1.40798
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.40388 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising trendline
Reclaim of 1.40560 puts the 1.40798 weekly high back in play
Friday's Canada + US jobs prints (12:30 GMT) are the decisive catalyst for this range
13:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.40536
Four-day advance capped by double top at 1.4080.
USDCAD has ground higher for four straight sessions off Monday's ~1.4003 open, driven by oil weakness on US-Iran talk optimism that outweighed firm Canadian data. The advance stalled twice near 1.4080 into the NY session, forming a double top, and price has since eased below EMA(20) toward the 1.4040 recent low. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) back to the mid-40s as the pullback develops.
Support: 1.4040, 1.4012, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.4080, 1.4090
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4080 negates the double top and reopens the 1.4090 triangle top
Failure to hold 1.4040 opens the path to Monday's 1.4012 weekly open
Canada and US jobs prints Friday 12:30 GMT could reset this read
USDCAD has climbed four straight sessions off the 1.4004 weekly open toward a 1.4080 week high, driven by oil weakness on US-Iran talk optimism rather than firm Canadian data. The 1.4080-1.4090 triangle top capped the advance and price has since drifted back to 1.4054, slipping under EMA(20) with RSI(14) rolling off toward 46. The recent low at 1.4040 is the first structural marker on the pullback.
Support: 1.4040, 1.4004
Resistance: 1.4080, 1.4090
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4090 clears the triangle top and extends the four-day advance
Failure to hold 1.4040 opens a return toward the 1.4004 week open
Canada + US jobs dual prints Friday 12:30 GMT carry high two-way risk
USDCAD has trended higher since Monday's open, climbing from the 1.3990 area toward 1.4080 as sliding oil on US-Iran headlines dragged the loonie despite firm Canadian data. The 1.4080 week high capped the advance during NY hours and price has since slipped back below the H1 EMA(20) near 1.4067, with RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s. Higher lows off 1.4003 remain intact for now.
Support: 1.40388, 1.40201, 1.3999
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.4067
What it said to watch
ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg this session
H1 close below 1.40388 confirms a lower-low and breaks the higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.40670 EMA(20) would re-align with the week's uptrend
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT is the key CAD risk into week-end
USDCAD has ground higher for a fourth straight session since Monday's open, lifted from the 1.3991 low toward the 1.4076/1.4080 week high as sliding crude offset a softer USD and strong Canadian data. Price has since rejected the 1.4076 pivot and slipped back under EMA(20) into the NY session, with RSI(14) cooling off the highs. The rising sequence of higher-lows off 1.4003 remains intact for now.
Support: 1.4039, 1.4003, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4076, 1.4080
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4039 breaks the higher-low sequence
Close above 1.4080 resumes the weekly uptrend
ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg materially
Canada jobs + US payrolls Fri 12:30 GMT are the week's key risk
USDCAD has run a four-day uptrend off the 1.3991 two-week low toward the 1.4080 week high, with the oil slide on US-Iran de-escalation hopes keeping the loonie soft despite firm Canadian data. Since the NY session yesterday price has consolidated in the 1.4062-1.4080 band as RSaround 50 flags cooling momentum after two rejections at the highs. The rising higher-low sequence off Monday's base is still intact above EMA(50).
Support: 1.40388, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.40798
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4080 opens continuation of the week's uptrend
Failure to hold 1.4039 breaks the higher-low structure
US ADP 12:15 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC today could shift the USD leg materially
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT is the key CAD risk into week-end
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's 1.4003 open, a four-day advance the CAD digest ties to the oil slide overriding firm Canadian data. Price capped twice at 1.40798 to leave a double-top look, and the drift back under EMA(20) with RSI cooling toward 48 shows the momentum fading into the NY session. The rising higher-low sequence off 1.40027 remains intact while 1.4060 holds.
Support: 1.4060, 1.40388, 1.40027
Resistance: 1.40798
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4060 breaks the rising higher-low support
H1 close above 1.40798 week high reopens the uptrend
ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) can shift the USD leg this session
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT is the primary CAD risk into week-end
10:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 55 · price 1.4064
Higher highs into congestion below 1.4080.
USDCAD has ground higher for a fourth straight up-day off the 1.3991 week low, with sliding crude on US-Iran de-escalation the dominant CAD drag despite firm Canadian data. Price is now consolidating just under the 1.4080 week high, where two pushes this week have stalled and RSI has flattened as new highs failed to extend. The 1.4060 hourly base has capped pullbacks, keeping the run of higher lows intact.
Support: 1.4060, 1.4039, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4080
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4080 opens continuation of the week's uptrend
Failure to hold the 1.4060 base exposes 1.4039 swing low
ADP 12:15 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
10:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 53 · price 1.4064
Higher lows, stalling under 1.4080.
USDCAD has ground higher for a fourth straight session, pushing toward the 1.4080 week high as a slide in crude on US-Iran de-escalation kept the loonie offered despite firm Canadian data. RSI(14) is easing back near the mid-50s with price stalling under 1.4080 and slipping to the EMA20. Pullbacks have held higher lows since Monday's reopen near 1.4003, keeping the rising support intact.
Support: 1.4039, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4080
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4080 opens continuation of the week's up-move
Loss of 1.4039 higher-low breaks the rising support line
ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg this session
USDCAD has stair-stepped higher for a fourth straight day, with the loonie lagging on the oil slide despite firmer Canadian data. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 and is now consolidating in a tight 1.4060–1.4080 band beneath the week high at 1.40798, RSI(14) flattening near 57 as the up-leg loses pace. Pullbacks this week have found support around the ascending higher-lows without breaking structure.
Support: 1.40388, 1.40201, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.40798 extends the uptrend toward the 1.4100 round number
Loss of the 1.40388 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Canada jobs + US payrolls Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCAD has printed a fourth straight up-day, grinding from the 1.3991 week low to a 1.40798 week high as sliding crude on US-Iran de-escalation kept the Loonie offered despite firm Canadian data. Price now consolidates just under the 1.4070 one-week pivot with RSI cycling in the mid-50s and pullbacks holding above EMA(20). Momentum has flattened into the highs after the impulsive push through NY hours yesterday.
Support: 1.4056, 1.40388, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.40798
What it said to watch
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg materially
H1 close above 1.40798 extends the week-high breakout
Loss of 1.40560 opens a deeper pullback toward the 1.40388 higher low
Canada jobs + US NFP Friday are the dominant risk into week-end
08:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening near week high · RSI 58 · price 1.40657
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday's open.
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's ~1.4006 open, printing a week high near 1.4080 as crude weakness offset firm Canadian data and a broadly soft USD. Pullbacks have been shallow and repeatedly found the rising EMA(20), keeping RSI in the mid-50s to low-60s without pushing overbought. Price is now consolidating just under 1.4073 into the ADP/ISM data slate.
Support: 1.4062, 1.4050, 1.4039
Resistance: 1.4073, 1.4080
What it said to watch
US ADP 12:15 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.4080 extends the week's uptrend toward new highs
Failure to hold the 1.4062 EMA20 / 1.4050 prior high opens a deeper pullback to 1.4039
Higher highs and higher lows, capped near weekly high.
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's open, printing a string of higher lows and stalling into the 1.4068-1.4080 weekly-high zone despite firm Canadian data — the soft oil tape on US-Iran talk hopes has done the heavy lifting even as the broader USD stays heavy. RSI(14) is cycling in the mid-50s and flattening as price bumps the range top, and pullbacks have repeatedly held the rising EMA(20) near 1.4060.
Support: 1.4060, 1.40388, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.4068, 1.40798
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4080 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.4044 breaks the rising higher-low line
US ADP 12:15 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, grinding to weekly high.
USDCAD has ground higher all week, reclaiming the prior 1.4068 weekly high as crude weakness weighed on the Loonie despite firm Canadian data. Price is holding above EMA20 with each pullback finding support into the NY session, and RSI(14) is elevated near 62 as the tape stalls just under 1.4080. Momentum is cooling into the highs with candle ranges compressing over the last several bars.
Support: 1.4060, 1.40388, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.4080, 1.4100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4080 opens the path toward the 1.4100 round number
Failure to hold 1.4060 breaks the week's higher-low structure
ADP and ISM Services today plus Canada jobs Friday could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher through the week, extending to a session high at 1.40798 as crude slipped on US-Iran talk headlines — oil, not the firm Canadian data, is driving the Loonie. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper 50s-60s, and the last several bars have coiled between 1.4065 and 1.4073 just under the highs.
Support: 1.40611, 1.40388, 1.39916
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Canada employment and US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.40798 opens the path toward the 1.41000 psych area
Loss of 1.40388 swing low would break the week's higher-low sequence
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.40737
Higher lows into weekly high.
USDCAD has ground higher since midweek on the oil slide, printing a fresh weekly high at 1.40798 as crude weakness outweighed strong Canadian data. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling in the upper half, and the last several bars are coiling in a tight consolidation just under the highs. Demand has stepped in repeatedly around 1.4064, keeping the rising sequence of higher lows intact.
Support: 1.4064, 1.40388, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.4100
What it said to watch
ADP 12:15 UTC then ISM Services 14:00 UTC today could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.4064 breaks the higher-low sequence
H1 close above 1.40798 opens the path toward the 1.4100 psych level
Canada employment Fri 12:30 UTC alongside US NFP
05:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 1.40736
Higher highs and higher lows into weekly high.
USDCAD has ground higher through the week, extending off the 1.3991 base toward the 1.4080 weekly high as slumping crude on US-Iran talk drags the Loonie despite firm Canadian data. Price holds above EMA(20) with each NY-session dip finding demand near the rising support line, and RSI(14) sits in the low-60s without stretching. Resistance at 1.4080 has capped the latest push, keeping the advance orderly.
Support: 1.4062, 1.4039
Resistance: 1.4080, 1.4076
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4080 opens the path higher above the weekly high
Failure to hold 1.4062 breaks the higher-low sequence
Canada employment and US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.40736
Higher highs, higher lows since Monday.
USDCAD has ground steadily higher since Monday's open near 1.4003, printing a fresh weekly high around 1.4080 as the crude slide on US-Iran talk headlines outweighed firm Canadian data. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper-50s/low-60s on each pullback, and the 1.4057 area has repeatedly absorbed dips. Momentum is intact but flattening just under the weekly high.
Support: 1.4057, 1.4039, 1.4003
Resistance: 1.4080, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.4080 opens the path toward 1.4100
Failure to hold 1.4057 threatens the higher-low sequence
US ADP at 12:15 UTC and ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
Canada jobs and US NFP Friday are the week's key catalysts
04:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.40697
Higher-lows into weekly high.
USDCAD has ground higher off the 1.3990 low printed mid-window, stacking higher-lows through the NY sessions to tag a fresh weekly high near 1.4080 as the oil slide on US-Iran talks pressured CAD despite firm Canadian data. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the upper half, and the 1.4080 weekly high has capped the latest push. Pullbacks have been finding demand around 1.4060.
Support: 1.4060, 1.4044, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4080
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4044 breaks the higher-low structure
Close above 1.4080 opens continuation toward new weekly highs
ADP 12:15 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
Fri Canada jobs + US NFP the marquee risk into week-end
04:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.40697
Higher highs and higher lows into weekly high.
USD/CAD has ground up to a fresh weekly high near 1.4080 as the slide in crude drags the Loonie despite firm Canadian data. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the 55-65 zone; the last several hours have coiled into a tight consolidation between 1.4060 and 1.4080. The 1.4080 weekly high has capped the latest push, with demand stepping in around 1.4060.
Support: 1.4060, 1.40388, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.40728
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40798 opens continuation toward round 1.4100
Failure to hold 1.4060 shifts focus back to the 1.40388 swing low
ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Canada jobs Friday and oil direction remain the dominant CAD drivers
03:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.40717
Higher highs and higher lows since midweek low.
USD/CAD has ground higher all week, pushing to a fresh week high near 1.4080 as the crude slide on US-Iran deal hopes outweighed strong Canadian data. Price holds above EMA20 with pullbacks into the 1.4055 area getting bought, and RSI(14) cycling in the upper half without stretching to extremes. The 1.4080 week high has capped the last two probes into the NY session.
Support: 1.4055, 1.4039, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4080, 1.4100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40800 opens the path to the 1.41000 round number
Loss of the 1.40550 EMA20 shifts focus back to the 1.40390 swing low
ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could materially shift the USD leg of this read
03:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.40717
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDCAD has ground steadily higher since mid-window, clearing the 1.4068 weekly high and printing a fresh session high near 1.4080 as the oil slide on US-Iran deal hopes weighs on CAD despite firm Canadian data. Price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50 with pullbacks holding the rising channel of higher lows. RSI(14) is cycling in the low-60s, elevated but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4056, 1.40388, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.4076
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.4056 EMA20 would break the higher-low sequence
ADP 12:15 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC today could shift the USD leg
Failure to sustain above 1.4068 weekly high reopens the 1.4039 area
02:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into weekly high · RSI 63 · price 1.40731
Higher lows since Monday, testing week high.
USDCAD has climbed off Monday's 1.3990 low to fresh weekly highs near 1.4080, with the pair holding above EMA20 and EMA50 as falling crude on US-Iran de-escalation talks kept CAD offered despite firm domestic data. Price is consolidating in a tight hourly base around 1.4063–1.4073 into the Asian session after the NY push, RSI(14) elevated but not stretched. The 1.40798 week high has capped the latest attempt.
Support: 1.4062, 1.40489, 1.40388
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.4100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40798 opens continuation toward the 1.4100 round number
Failure to hold 1.40620 exposes the 1.40489 weekly open
US ADP and ISM Services today can shift the USD leg of this read
USDCAD has ground steadily higher through the NY session, clearing the prior 1.4068 weekly high and printing a fresh top near 1.4080 as CAD lagged firm domestic data — oil weakness on US-Iran headlines has dominated. Price holds above EMA20 with pullbacks finding the rising higher-low structure, and RSI(14) sits in the low-60s. The final bar is thin liquidity into the Asia handover.
Support: 1.40595, 1.4056, 1.40385
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.4068
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4080 extends the weekly-high breakout
Loss of 1.4059 higher-low breaks the rising structure
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) today could reset the USD leg
01:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.40677
Higher lows since Monday's low.
USD/CAD has ground higher since Monday's session, printing a fresh weekly high near 1.40798 overnight as the Loonie trades as an oil proxy and shrugs off strong Canadian data. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the upper half; the 1.4050 pivot has capped pullbacks and structure remains a series of higher lows off the 1.39904 low. The move has stalled just under the weekly high into the Asia session, consolidating between 1.4063 and 1.4080.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.40798
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4050 pivot breaks the higher-low structure
Friday's US/Canada jobs double-header could shift this read
Reclaim of 1.40798 weekly high opens fresh weekly range extension
01:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.40677
Higher highs into fresh weekly high.
USDCAD ground to a fresh weekly high near 1.4080 through the NY session, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band on each pullback. The bid persists as crude slides on US-Iran headlines, with strong Canadian data failing to lift the Loonie. The 1.4050 pivot has capped shallow dips and structure remains a sequence of higher lows off Monday's 1.3992 base.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4000, 1.39916
Resistance: 1.40798
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4050 pivot breaks the higher-low sequence
A close back under 1.4000 reopens the two-week low at 1.3991
Simultaneous US and Canada jobs Friday could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.40672
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday.
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's open, printing a fresh weekly high near 1.4080 during the last NY session as an oil slump on US-Iran deal hopes kept the CAD heavy despite firm domestic data. Price sits above EMA(20) around 1.4050 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half on each pullback, and dips have found demand near the rising trendline of higher lows. The 1.4000 psych pivot and the 1.3991 two-week low remain the structural floor beneath the advance.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4080
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.4050 (EMA20) would stall the higher-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.4000 psych opens the path back toward 1.3991
ADP and ISM Services today could materially shift this read ahead of Friday's twin jobs prints
USDCAD has ground higher since Wednesday's open, breaking the 1.4065 prior high into the NY session to tag a fresh weekly high at 1.40798 as an oil slump on US-Iran deal hopes pressured CAD despite strong Canadian PMI and trade data. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI cycling in the upper half but flattening as the last few bars stall near 1.4067. The 1.40388 swing low marks the base of this week's late-week advance.
Support: 1.40388, 1.4020, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.4065
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40798 extends the weekly-high advance
Loss of 1.40388 breaks the string of higher lows
ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) today could shift this read