USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 6 August 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Range-bound after pullback from session high · RSI 48 · price 1.40135
Consolidation mid-range, 50% of prior rally.
USDCAD is grinding sideways around 1.4013 in thin late-session flow after fading from the 1.40374 session high; price sits near the 50% retrace of that rally. Tight 1.4008–1.4016 coil, RSI(14) flat near mid, no setup in play.
Support: 1.4008, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40080 reopens the 1.40000 psych level
M15 close above 1.40200 reasserts the push toward session high 1.40374
US NFP + Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC will drive the next directional break
23:32 UTC
Range after fading rally · RSI 48 · price 1.40139
Lower highs off peak, consolidating.
USDCAD rallied to a session high at 1.40374 earlier before fading, and is now consolidating around 1.40140 in thin late-session trade with RSI near neutral. A chain of lower highs since the peak, but price holds above the 1.40080 session low as the pair grinds toward the 1.4000 psych mark.
Support: 1.4008, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Break below 1.40080 opens the 1.4000 psych mark
Close above 1.40220 challenges the 1.40374 session high
US NFP and Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC Friday could reset this range
23:31 UTC
Pullback then consolidation · RSI 49 · price 1.40139
Faded rally, tight Asia range.
USDCAD rallied to 1.40374 then faded, and is now consolidating in a thin 1.4008–1.4020 range through Asia hours, with the pair grinding near 1.4000 as crude firms. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 and price is pinned around EMA20; no setup in play.
Support: 1.4008, 1.4000, 1.39916
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4008 exposes the 1.4000 psych mark
Reclaim of 1.4022 reopens the 1.40374 session high
US NFP and Canada jobs (Fri 12:30 UTC) will drive the next directional break
23:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.40128
Consolidation after pullback from 1.4037 high.
USD/CAD is coiling in a tight 1.4009-1.4016 band through the quiet Asia session after fading the 1.4037 day high, with RSI(14) mid-range near 47 and ATR compressed. The pair holds just above the 1.4000 psychological mark as firmer crude keeps a lid on any bounce.
Support: 1.40088, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4016, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 psych opens the path toward 1.3930
Reclaim of 1.4016 session high reopens 1.4037 day high
US NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC are the pivot for this range
23:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 1.40147
Range-bound, price mid-range.
Quiet late-Asia trade with volumes drying up; USDCAD is ranging 1.3990–1.4037 after fading a push to the 1.40374 session high, now parked mid-range near 1.4015. Broader tone has the pair grinding toward 1.4000 as oil rebounds, but M15 shows no setup in play with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Break below 1.4000 psych exposes 1.3930
Close above 1.40220 prior high reopens the 1.40374 session high
Dual US NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC will drive the next leg
USDCAD spiked to 1.40374 into the NY session then faded back into the middle of the 1.3990–1.4037 range, now pinned near 1.4015 in thin late-session trade. RSI(14) neutral near 48, price sitting on its EMAs — no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.40088, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40374 would break the session-high range top
Loss of 1.4000 psych exposes the 1.39902 session low
Dual US NFP + Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC is the pivot for this range
Consolidation between 1.4000 and 1.4037, mid-range.
USDCAD ran to 1.4037 mid-window then bled back, now coiling near 1.4014 in thin Asia-hours trade with the 50% retrace of that rally capping. No setup in play — price is trapped between the 1.4000 psych floor and the 1.4020 swing.
Support: 1.40082, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 exposes the 1.3930 fair-value zone
Reclaim of 1.4022 swing high reopens 1.4037 session high
US NFP and Canada jobs both 12:30 UTC could materially reset this range
22:46 UTC
Consolidating after pullback · RSI 48 · price 1.40139
Range-bound near 50% of prior rally.
Asia session grinding sideways on thin volume, coiling around 1.4014 after the London-NY rally to 1.40374 unwound. Price sits near the 50% retrace of that 1.39900-1.40374 move; no directional setup in play ahead of dual US/Canada jobs.
Support: 1.40074, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.40195, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Break below 1.40074 exposes the 1.4000 psych level
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC will drive the next leg — this range read is pre-event
22:31 UTC
Pullback off intraday high, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.40149
Ranging after rejection at session high.
NY session rallied from 1.39902 to a 1.40374 peak then faded, and price is now ranging 1.40080-1.40200 in thin late-session liquidity. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips; no setup in play into the close.
Support: 1.4008, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.40374
What it said to watch
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the pivot and could materially reset this read
Close above 1.40200 range top reopens 1.40374 session high
22:31 UTC
Pullback, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.40149
Consolidation below faded session high.
USDCAD rallied to a session high of 1.40374 through NY hours then faded, and is now consolidating around 1.4008-1.4020 in thin late-NY/Asia trade with volume drying up. RSI(14) neutral near 52, price pinned at EMA20; sits mid the retrace of the 1.39902-1.40374 leg.
Support: 1.4008, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Break below 1.40080 session low exposes the 1.40000 psych level
M15 close above 1.40200 swing high reopens the path toward 1.40374
Dual US NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC will drive the next leg
22:16 UTC
Pullback from session high, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.40153
Consolidation after fade off 1.4037.
NY session peaked at 1.40374 then faded through the afternoon back to the 1.4010 area, and price is now ranging on drying volume into rollover. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with USD/CAD grinding toward the 1.4000 psych level flagged in the CAD read.
Support: 1.40088, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40195, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40088 exposes the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40195 reopens the descending trendline toward 1.40374
Dual US NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Range, pullback from session high · RSI 49 · price 1.40153
Faded off 1.4037 high, consolidating mid-range.
USDCAD rallied to a session high of 1.40374 then faded back toward 1.4010, now grinding near 1.40153 on thin late-session volume. Range holds 1.4009-1.4037 with momentum flat as the pair sits near 1.4000 psychological support ahead of Friday's dual jobs reports.
Support: 1.40088, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.40195, 1.40374
What it said to watch
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC will drive this pair
Clean break of 1.4000 psych exposes 1.3930
M15 close above 1.40374 session high reopens upside
22:01 UTC
Faded from session high, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 1.40153
Range after lower highs off 1.40374.
USDCAD rallied to a session high of 1.40374 during the NY session before fading in a chain of lower highs back toward 1.4010, where it is now ranging on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 51 with price hugging EMA20; the 1.4000 psychological floor held earlier as CAD firmed on rebounding crude.
Support: 1.40082, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40374, 1.4008
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40082 exposes the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40374 needed to end the lower-high sequence
US NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could reset this range
Faded off session high, coiling above session low.
NY session drove USDCAD up to a session high at 1.40374 before it faded back to 1.4010 as the USD stayed defensive into payrolls. Price is now coiling in thin late-session trade just above the 1.40082 session low, capped by the EMA20 near 1.4016; RSI(14) mid-range at ~43.
Support: 1.40082, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4016, 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40160 ema20 reopens the 1.4022 swing high
Break of 1.40082 session low exposes the 1.4000 psych mark
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC are the decisive catalyst for this pair
NY session pushed to a 1.40374 session high then faded steadily through the afternoon, printing lower highs into a thin late session. Price now consolidates around 1.40110, holding just above the 61.8% retrace of the day's rally as it grinds toward the 1.4000 psych level.
Support: 1.4008, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40195, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Clean break below 1.4000 psych opens the path toward 1.3930
M15 close back above 1.40195 negates the lower-high fade
Dual US NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for this pair
USDCAD faded from the 1.4037 session high back toward the 1.4000 psychological mark, printing a chain of lower highs into thin Asia hours. Price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) in the low-40s; 1.4000 has capped downside probes so far.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4037
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 exposes the 1.3990 session low
Reclaim of 1.4020 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst
21:16 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 44 · price 1.40094
Retesting 1.4000 after rejection at session high.
USDCAD rallied to a session high of 1.40374 then rolled over, unwinding into the 1.4000 psychological mark with price retracing ~61.8% of that leg. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s and price now sits below EMA20/50 as the pullback develops ahead of Friday's dual jobs prints.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.40195, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 exposes the 1.3930 fair-value zone
Reclaim of 1.40195 puts the 1.40374 session high back in play
Fed's Musalem speaks 21:30 UTC — could shift USD tone
US NFP & Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC are the pivot for this pair
USDCAD rallied through the London-NY session to 1.40374 then faded back to 1.4012, where it's now consolidating around the 50% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) sits neutral near 45 and price holds below EMA20/50; the pair remains trapped under the 1.4020 pivot with the 1.4000 psych level intact below.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 psych exposes the 1.3990 swing low
Reclaim of 1.4020 pivot needed to re-challenge the 1.4037 session high
US NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:03 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.40125
Lower highs after rally, consolidating above 1.4000.
USDCAD rallied to a session high of 1.40374 during NY hours, then rolled over into a chain of lower highs, retracing to 1.40125 near the 61.8% fib of that leg. Price is consolidating above the 1.4000 psych mark with RSI(14) cooled to mid-range.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 psych exposes 1.3930 fair-value zone
Reclaim of 1.40220 swing high would negate the lower-high sequence
US NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Range after NY rally faded · RSI 46 · price 1.40137
Consolidation below session high, lower highs.
USDCAD spiked to a session high 1.4037 during NY hours on the softer USD tone, then faded back to 1.4014 and stalled. Now ranging 1.4013–1.4020 with lower highs into the close; no setup in play.
Support: 1.4013, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4037
What it said to watch
Break below 1.4013 re-exposes the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.4037 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC are the decisive catalysts
Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
20:31 UTC
Pullback stalling into range · RSI 47 · price 1.40163
Consolidation below session high after fade from 1.4037.
NY session ran up to 1.40374 then faded back, now chopping in a tight 1.4012–1.4020 band with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Rejection at the 1.4037 session high capped the move; price is drifting sideways just under EMA20.
Support: 1.4012, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40200 reopens the 1.40374 session high
Break below 1.40120 range floor exposes the 1.4000 psych level
Fed's Musalem speech at 21:30 UTC could shift this read; US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst
20:16 UTC
Uptrend faded, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.40171
Pullback off session high, consolidating.
USDCAD ran up through the NY session to a 1.40374 session high before rejection faded it back, and price now grinds in a tight 1.40112–1.40196 range around 1.4017. Momentum has cooled with RSI mid-range; the move stalling near the 38.2% retrace of the intraday leg from 1.39902.
Support: 1.40112, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40196, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40196 reopens the 1.40374 session high
Loss of 1.40112 exposes the 1.4000 psych level
US NFP and Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC tomorrow are the decisive catalyst
20:16 UTC
Pullback within intraday range · RSI 50 · price 1.40171
Consolidating below NY session high after rejection.
USDCAD spiked to 1.40374 into the NY session, then rolled over and is now consolidating 1.4013–1.4019 around EMA20 as crude and pre-NFP positioning keep it two-way. RSI(14) neutral near 49, no momentum edge in the current range.
Support: 1.40112, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40240 reopens the 1.40374 session high
Break below 1.40112 session low exposes the 1.4000 psych level
Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC could shift the USD leg pre-NFP
20:02 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 1.40145
Consolidating below session high, lower highs.
NY session drove a spike to 1.40374 before rejection dragged price back into a 1.40120–1.40200 range, RSI(14) neutral near 48. Lower highs since the peak show the intraday push has stalled; 1.4000 psych support sits just below the range floor.
Support: 1.4012, 1.4000, 1.39916
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40200 reopens the path to the 1.40374 session high
Break below 1.40000 psych exposes 1.3930
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for this pair
20:01 UTC
Pulled back from session high, consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.40145
Range after failed push at 1.40374.
NY session rallied off the 1.39916 low to a session high of 1.40374 on rebounding crude, then faded back to 1.40145 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price now grinds below EMA20 in a tight 1.40000–1.40220 range, holding above the 1.40000 psych level.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39916
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40000 psych exposes 1.39916 session low
Reclaim of 1.40220 reopens the 1.40374 session high
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for this pair
Faded off session high, consolidating above 1.4012.
USDCAD swept the 1.3990 low then ran to a session high of 1.40374 through the London-NY transition before fading back to the 1.4012 range base; last bars are nudging back up toward 1.4020. Price is grinding near the 1.4000 psych area ahead of Friday's dual US NFP and Canada jobs prints.
Support: 1.4012, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 exposes the 1.3930 area
Break above 1.40374 session high resumes the intraday advance
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for this read
NY session drove USD/CAD up to a 1.40374 session high before rejection, then a steady fade back to 1.4016 through the afternoon as the pair grinds toward the 1.4000 psych mark. ATR is compressed near the close with price consolidating between 1.40112 and 1.40220; no setup in play into the payrolls window.
Support: 1.40112, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the defining catalyst — will override this read
Close below 1.40000 psych exposes the 1.39902 session low
Reclaim of 1.40220 swing high reopens the 1.40374 session high
19:31 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 1.40164
Lower highs off session high, holding above swing low.
USD/CAD rallied through NY morning to a session high 1.40374 before fading all afternoon back to 1.4016, RSI(14) mid-range near 45. The grind lower is stalling around the 1.40112 swing low with the 1.40220 prior high capping bounces.
Support: 1.40112, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40112 swing low opens the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40220 prior high needed to re-challenge the 1.40374 session high
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the defining catalyst for the next session
NY session spiked to a session high at 1.40374 then faded through the afternoon, printing lower highs back into 1.4013 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Price is drifting toward the 1.4000 psych level as the rally retraces; 50% of the up-leg (~1.40138) is being tested.
Support: 1.4006, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4023, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 psych opens the path toward 1.3930
Reclaim of 1.40230 prior high would negate the descending-highs read
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the defining catalyst for the pair
19:16 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 41 · price 1.40134
Faded from session high, drifting toward 1.4000.
NY session pushed USDCAD up to 1.40374 before sellers capped it, and price has since faded back to 1.4013 with RSI(14) cooling near 41. Move fits the broader grind toward the 1.4000 psych mark; a descending series of lower highs now caps at 1.40230.
Support: 1.40112, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4023, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4000 psych exposes the 1.39902 session low
Reclaim of 1.40230 needed to re-challenge the 1.40374 session high
Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC could inject near-term volatility
19:02 UTC
Pullback after NY rally · RSI 43 · price 1.4013
Retracing ~50% of the 1.3990-1.4037 leg.
NY session ran up from the 1.3990 swing low to 1.4037 mid-session, then faded back to 1.4013 on a chain of lower highs, sitting near the 50% retrace of that leg. Price is below EMA20 (~1.4022) with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s; the 1.4000 psych level sits just below into Friday's dual US NFP / Canada jobs risk.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.4037
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4000 psych opens the 1.3990 swing low
Reclaim of the 1.4022 ema20 area negates the pullback and re-tests 1.4037 swing high
US NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could reset this intraday read
19:02 UTC
Short-term down off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.4013
Pullback from 1.4037 peak, lower highs printing.
NY session rallied off the 1.3990 low to a 1.4037 session high, then rejected and has ground lower into the 1.4000 psych level on a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) mid-40s, price back below EMA20/50 as CAD firms on crude strength.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4037
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens the 1.3990 session low
Reclaim of 1.4020 lower high negates the down-grind
Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC could shift this read
18:46 UTC
NY rally faded, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.40141
Retracing the intraday rally, holding 50% fib.
NY session rallied off the 1.3990 session low to a 1.40374 high, then faded back to 1.40141 — sitting right on the 50% retracement of that move. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the pullback holds above the 1.4000 psych level.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 psych opens the 1.3990 session low and Scotia's 1.3930 fair-value area
Reclaim of 1.4022 swing high would restore the rally structure
US NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
NY rally fading, pullback in progress · RSI 43 · price 1.40141
Retracing the intraday up-leg after session-high rejection.
NY session drove a sharp rally off 1.39902 to a session high of 1.40374, then faded back to 1.40141 — roughly the 50% retrace of that leg with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. USD firmed broadly near DXY 99.75 on safe-haven flows, capping the earlier CAD-led push toward the 1.4000 pivot.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 1.40000 opens the session low at 1.39902
Reclaim of 1.40374 session high resumes the up-leg
US NFP and Canada jobs Friday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Pullback after NY-session rally, lower highs forming.
NY session drove USD/CAD from the 1.39916 low up to a 1.40374 session high, then rolled over into a pullback now sitting at 1.40143 — roughly the 50% retracement of that up-move. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as lower highs stack under 1.40374; pair is grinding around the 1.4000 pivot into tomorrow's dual jobs day.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39916
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40000 psych opens the path to 1.39916 swing low
Reclaim of 1.40240 prior high needed to retest the 1.40374 session high
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC are the decisive catalyst for this read
18:31 UTC
NY rally fading, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.40143
Retracing the intraday up-leg toward 1.4000.
NY session drove USDCAD up to a session high of 1.40374 before rejection, and price has since faded to 1.40143 — roughly the 50% retracement of that rally as CAD firmed on rebounding crude. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s with 1.4000 psych the pivot below.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.4000 psych opens continuation toward the 1.39902 swing low
Reclaim of 1.40220 prior high would negate the pullback read
18:16 UTC
NY rally pulling back · RSI 42 · price 1.40132
Retracement within intraday up-leg.
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.39900 low to a session high of 1.40374, then rejected and pulled back to 1.40132 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price now sits back below EMA20/50 as the up-leg unwinds toward the 1.4000 psych level flagged by CAD's oil-supported bid.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens the path toward 1.3930
Reclaim of 1.40220 would resume the NY up-leg
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could reset this read
18:02 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 41 · price 1.40138
Lower highs off 1.40374, retracing recent up-leg.
NY session ran up to a session high of 1.40374 then rolled over, printing a chain of lower highs back to 1.40138 — roughly the 50% retrace of the up-leg from 1.39902. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as price grinds toward the 1.40000 psych level.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.40000 opens the path toward the 1.39900 session low
Reclaim of 1.40240 would negate the lower-high sequence
US NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:02 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 1.40138
Lower highs off 1.40374, holding 50% fib.
NY session rallied to a session high at 1.40374 then rejected, retracing to the 50% fib of the 1.39902-1.40374 leg at 1.40138. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as a chain of lower highs caps the bounce; the 1.4000 psych level sits just below.
Support: 1.40138, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4023, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40230 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.40000 psych opens the 1.39900 swing low
Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC could inject volatility into this range
17:46 UTC
Uptrend leg, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.40168
NY rally retracing after break above 1.4000.
NY session rallied from the 1.3990 session low through the 1.4000 psych level to 1.40374, then retraced to ~1.40168 near the 50% fib. RSI(14) has cooled back toward the midline as the pullback found footing above 1.4000.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40000 psych re-opens the 1.39902 session low
Reclaim of 1.40240 swing high puts session high 1.40374 back in play
Canada jobs + US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
17:46 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, momentum cooling · RSI 44 · price 1.40168
Impulse up to 1.40374 then fade, holding above EMA50.
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.39902 swing low up to a 1.40374 session high on the softer-USD backdrop, then faded ~20 pips with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price now sits below EMA20 but above EMA50, drifting back toward the 1.40240 recent pivot as support; the 1.40000 psych level marks the next area to watch below.
Support: 1.4012, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40120 recent low exposes the 1.40000 psych level
Sustained break below 1.40000 opens the 1.39902 swing low
Reclaim of 1.40240 recent pivot needed to retest the 1.40374 session high
Canada + US jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 1.40197
Higher highs into NY, retracing off session high.
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.399 lows to a session high of 1.40374, then faded back into the 1.40138–1.40197 fib zone with RSI(14) cooling to ~48. Price is grinding around the 1.4000 pivot flagged in the CAD read, still holding above the broken 1.40130 shelf.
Support: 1.40138, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.40000 opens the path toward 1.3930
Reclaim of 1.40240 puts the 1.40374 session high back in play
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for this pair
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.3990 low to a 1.40374 session high before fading to 1.40197, roughly the 50% retrace of that leg, with RSI(14) cooling from the rally into the low-50s. Move fits the oil-supported CAD / softer USD backdrop; price now sits just under the EMA20 at 1.40220.
Support: 1.4013, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40374
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.40374 session high resumes the intraday uptrend
Close below 1.40000 psych opens a retest of the 1.39900 session low
US NFP / Canada jobs (Fri 12:30 UTC) could override this intraday read
17:16 UTC
Uptrend off day low, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 1.40228
NY rally, pullback holding above 1.4020.
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.3990 low to a session high of 1.40374 before rejecting and pulling back to 1.40228, RSI(14) cooling from overbought back near 52. The move fits the two-day CAD firming on oil, but price is now consolidating above the 1.4020 swing low ahead of Friday's jobs data.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4013, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40374, 1.40345
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4020 exposes the 1.40130 breakout retest
Reclaim of 1.40374 session high resumes the up-leg
Dual Canada + US jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.39902 session low to 1.40374 before rejection capped the move; RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-range as price retraces to 1.4022. The advance runs against the CAD-firming digest, reflecting a NY safe-haven USD bid ahead of Friday's dual jobs data.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.40374, 1.40314
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40374 resumes the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.40000 psych opens a retest of the 1.39902 session low
CA and US jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for this pair
Higher highs off 1.3990 low, now pulling back from session high.
NY session drove a sharp rally off the 1.3990 swing low to a session high of 1.40374, RSI(14) cooling from overbought as price pulls back toward the 1.4013 breakout zone. The move fits the two-way USD tone into Friday's jobs data; 1.4000 psych remains the pivot below.
Support: 1.4013, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40000 reopens the 1.39902 swing low and Scotia's 1.3930 area
Close above 1.40374 extends the NY session high
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and can reset this read
USDCAD rallied off the 1.3990 base through the NY session to a session high at 1.40374, CAD giving back ground as the USD firmed on a safe-haven bid. Price is now consolidating near 1.40257, RSI(14) cooling from the highs; buyers stepped in twice around 1.3990 earlier in the window.
Support: 1.4024, 1.40065, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40374
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40240 swing low would confirm the pullback deepening toward 1.40000 psych
M15 close above 1.40374 session high reopens upside momentum
Friday 12:30 UTC US NFP and Canada jobs could materially shift this read
Higher highs since 1.3990, pulling back from session high.
NY session rallied hard off the 1.3990 session low, printing a high at 1.40374 before easing back to 1.40288 around the 1.4000 psych zone. RSI(14) cooling from the rally into the mid-50s; structure of higher highs still intact.
Support: 1.40203, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4000 reopens the path toward 1.3930
Break above 1.40374 extends the intraday higher-high sequence
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, pulling back from session high.
NY session swept the 1.39900 session low then rallied back through the 1.4000 psych pivot to a session high of 1.40374, RSI cooling from the high as price consolidates near 1.40288. Move fits a firmer USD on safe-haven bids offsetting CAD's oil-linked strength ahead of Friday's jobs data.
Support: 1.4013, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40000 reopens the 1.39900 session low
Close above 1.40374 extends the session high
US NFP + Canada jobs Friday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs off 1.3990 NY lows, pausing below session high.
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.3990 low to a session high of 1.40374, CAD giving back ground ahead of Friday's jobs double-header. Price is now easing to 1.40298 with RSI(14) cooling from the rally; the 1.4020 breakout zone is holding on the pullback.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.40374
What it said to watch
Sustained close back below 1.4000 psych reopens the 1.3990 session low
Close above 1.40374 session high extends the intraday leg
Friday 12:30 UTC CA + US jobs is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Higher highs off intraday low, breakout in progress.
USDCAD rallied through the NY session off the 1.39900 swing low, tagging a session high at 1.40374 as the CAD-supportive tone faded on a firmer USD safe-haven bid. RSI(14) near 66 shows momentum extended but not extreme; the 1.40200 breakout level is now the nearest reference on any pullback.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.40374, 1.4040
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40200 puts the 1.40000 psych level and swing low at 1.39900 in play
Sustained trade above 1.40374 session high extends the uptrend
Canada + US jobs Friday 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and can override this read
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, NY-session leg higher · RSI 64 · price 1.40309
Higher highs off session low, minor pullback from high.
NY session reclaimed the 1.4000 psych level and drove to a session high at 1.40374 before easing to 1.4031, RSI cooling from the push. CAD had been probing sub-1.4000 earlier on firmer crude; the late leg reversed that into higher highs.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.40374
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
Break and hold above 1.40374 extends the session leg higher
Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC and Friday CA/US jobs can reset this read
NY session drove a sharp reversal off the 1.3990 swing low, breaking above the 1.4020 prior high and running to a session high at 1.40374, RSI(14) near 73. Buyers stepped in repeatedly through the London-NY transition; price now stalling into the session high.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.40374
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40374 extends the up-leg toward the 1.4080 area
Loss of 1.4020 prior high would negate the breakout and reopen 1.4000 psych
Canada + US jobs Friday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session swept the 1.3990 session low then reclaimed the 1.4000 psych level, rallying ~40 pips to 1.4033 with RSI(14) running hot near 71. Rising lows off 1.3999 kept the recovery intact into the 1.40345 session high.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.40345
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
Failure to clear 1.40345 session high caps the NY rally
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, NY session leg extending · RSI 74 · price 1.40305
Higher highs off 1.3990, pressing session high.
NY session reversed off the 1.3990 swing low and rallied through 1.4020, now printing a fresh session high at 1.40314 with RSI(14) stretched near 74. The move reclaims the 1.4000 psych level despite the broader softer-USD tone into NFP.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.40314, 1.4040
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40200 breakout level reopens the 1.4000 psych area
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold above 1.40000 confirms the range back toward 1.3990
15:01 UTC
Recovering off intraday low · RSI 61 · price 1.40216
Higher lows since double bottom at 1.3990.
USDCAD carved a double bottom at 1.3990 during NY hours and rallied back through 1.4020, tagging a session high at 1.4024 with RSI(14) mid-60s. Buyers stepped in on the pullback to 1.4012, holding the higher-low chain; the 1.4000 psych pivot remains the near-term reference.
Support: 1.4012, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.4028
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.4012 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 1.4000 psych level
Break above 1.4024 session high extends the bounce toward 1.4028
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Recovery off session low · RSI 62 · price 1.40216
Double bottom, higher lows since.
NY session staged a recovery off a double bottom at 1.3990; the dip below the 1.4000 psych reversed sharply and price has reclaimed the level, now pressing the session high at 1.4024. RSI(14) mid-60s with EMA20 and EMA50 back below price.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.40281
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4024 opens the path back toward 1.4080
Failure to hold 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 double bottom
CA employment + US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 58 · price 1.4017
Range, NY bounce toward top.
USDCAD held the 1.3990 area twice and rallied through NY hours back to the 1.4022 session high before pulling back to 1.4017, CAD supported by firmer crude and a soft USD. Still boxed inside the 1.3990–1.4028 range with the 1.4000 psych level below now acting as pivot.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.4028
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.4000 reopens the session low at 1.3990
Reclaim of 1.4022 session high needed to extend the NY bounce
CA jobs + US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC could break this range decisively
NY session dipped through the 1.4000 psych to a session low at 1.3990 before buyers recovered price back above the figure and pushed to a session high of 1.4022. Move stalled and pulled back to 1.4017 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-50s; double-bottom base near 1.3990 holding.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.4028
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4022 extends the recovery toward 1.4028
Loss of 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
Canada + US jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could override this intraday read
NY session swept the 1.3990 session low then reversed hard, rallying to 1.4024 as CAD firmed toward the 1.4000 pivot before easing back to 1.40171. Price holding above the reclaimed 1.4000 psych level with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.4026
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
Break above 1.4024 extends the recovery leg
CA + US jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum up · RSI 69 · price 1.40234
Higher lows off 1.3990, reclaiming range.
NY session bounced hard off the 1.3990 session low, printing higher lows back to 1.4023 with RSI(14) near 69 — CAD giving back its earlier oil-driven bid. Price is now testing the 1.4035 session high after reclaiming the 1.4000 psych level.
Support: 1.4017, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4035, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.4035 opens the path to 1.4050
Loss of 1.4000 psych re-exposes the 1.3990 session low
US NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could reset this read
14:16 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 68 · price 1.40234
Higher lows after sweep of 1.3990.
USDCAD carved a double bottom near 1.3990 through the London-NY transition then broke back above the 1.4000 psych level, rallying to a fresh session high at 1.4024 with RSI(14) around 67. Recovery is CAD-supported by firmer oil but stalling right into the session-high supply.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.40351
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4024 opens the path to prior high 1.40351
Loss of 1.4000 psych reopens the 1.3990 session low
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could reset this read
14:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 1.40138
False break of 1.4000, back inside range.
USDCAD swept the 1.4000 psych level down to 1.39902 during London hours, then rallied ~20 pips into the NY session with buyers reclaiming the round number. Price now consolidating near 1.4014, RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the 1.4020 swing high caps for now.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4035
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4000 reopens 1.39902 session low
Close above 1.4020 exposes the 1.4035 prior high
Canada + US jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.40138
Recovery after sweep of 1.4000.
Price dipped below the 1.4000 psych to 1.3990 twice through the London-NY transition before buyers stepped in, reclaiming the figure and rallying to 1.4020. Now consolidating near the 50% retrace of the day's decline with RSI(14) mid-range around 56.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.40202, 1.40361
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4000 and 1.39902 confirms a lower low
M15 close above 1.40202 session high opens 1.40361
Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC and Fri US NFP / Canada jobs could reset this read
13:46 UTC
Recovering after sweep, momentum up · RSI 61 · price 1.40192
Double bottom off 1.3990, back above 1.4000.
USDCAD swept the 1.4000 handle down to a double bottom at 1.3990 during NY hours, then rebounded to press the 1.40200 session high with RSI(14) recovering to the low 60s. Buyers stepped in twice at the psych level; price now trades just under the session high.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4028
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40200 opens the 1.40280 prior high
Sustained trade back below 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 swing low
US/Canada jobs risk could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the session to a low of 1.3990, briefly cracking the 1.4000 psych level before a sharp bounce reclaimed it toward 1.4020 — a false break driven by a USD safe-haven bid off multi-week lows. RSI(14) has cooled the downside and turned back near 60 as price sits mid-range against the earlier 1.4046 session high.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.40463
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
A close back above 1.4020 exposes the 1.40463 session high
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD dipped below the 1.4000 psychological level to 1.3990 through the London-NY overlap, then reclaimed it with a push to the 1.4020 session high — a false break lower off a double bottom. CAD firmness on rebounding crude framed the fade; RSI(14) has recovered near 61 and price is back above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.40274
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.3990 session low reopens the downside toward the failed break
M15 close above 1.4020 session high extends the recovery toward the 1.40274 prior swing
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Price swept the 1.4000 psych level down to 1.39902 during the London-NY transition, then snapped back sharply to a session high at 1.40200 — a clean false break and rejection of the round number. RSI(14) near 58 after the bounce; USD/CAD grinding back above EMA20/50 with CAD supported by firmer crude ahead of Friday's jobs.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.40505
What it said to watch
Sustained close back below 1.4000 reopens the 1.3930 fair-value area
Close above 1.40200 session high extends the rebound toward 1.4050
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
13:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 64 · price 1.40164
Swept sub-1.4000, rebounding.
NY session swept below the 1.4000 psych level to 1.39902 then snapped back, a false break that ran ~30 pips into 1.40200 before easing to 1.40164. RSI(14) near 63 after the rebound; price back above EMA20/50 with the 1.4000 line reclaimed.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39902
Resistance: 1.4020
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close back below 1.4000 reopens the 1.39902 swing low
Break above 1.40200 session high extends the recovery
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC can materially reset this range
USD/CAD swept below the 1.4000 psych level to a session low at 1.3990 during NY hours, then reclaimed it with a sharp push to 1.4020. RSI(14) back to mid-range and price is above EMA20/50 after the recovery.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4013
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 trade below 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
Close above 1.40200 extends the recovery toward the 1.4013 prior range top break
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, stalling at 1.4000 · RSI 52 · price 1.40059
Lower highs into psych level, bouncing off session low.
USDCAD ground lower through the session toward the 1.4000 psych level, sweeping to 1.39902 before buyers stepped in twice and lifted price back to 1.4006. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold into the mid-50s; the 1.4000 pivot is now capping the bounce ahead of Friday's dual US/Canada jobs risk.
Support: 1.3990, 1.3944
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4017
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.3990 opens the path toward 1.3944 swing low
Reclaim of 1.4017 recent high negates the lower-high sequence
US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD ground lower through the NY session toward the 1.4000 psychological pivot, printing a double bottom near 1.3990 before bouncing to 1.4006. Move fits the softer-USD / firmer-CAD read into Friday's jobs data; RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 50.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4015, 1.4065
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.4000 opens the path toward 1.3930
Reclaim of 1.4065 would negate the intraday lower-high sequence
Dual Canada + US jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could sharply reset this range
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, at session low · RSI 42 · price 1.3999
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCAD ground lower through the NY session and cracked the 1.4000 psych level as rebounding oil underpinned CAD. Session low at 1.3990 held twice before the pair stalled just under 1.4000, RSI(14) mid-range with no divergence.
Support: 1.39902, 1.39944
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40017, 1.40112
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3990 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.4000 negates the psych-level break
US NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could sharply reprice this read
USDCAD ground lower through the NY session, slipping under the 1.4000 psych level and sweeping the 1.3990 session low before a shallow bounce, consistent with firmer oil underpinning CAD. RSI(14) near 41, no oversold extreme; price capped below EMA20/EMA50 with 1.40017 the immediate recent high.
Support: 1.39902, 1.3981
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40017, 1.40155
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.40000 psych would neutralise the lower-low read
Break above 1.40155 swing high needed to signal recovery
Failure to hold 1.39902 session low extends the downtrend
USDCAD ground lower through the NY session, sweeping to 1.39902 before snapping back above the 1.4000 psych mark. RSI(14) near 42, off its lows; price capped at the 1.4015 session high on the recovery.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4015, 1.4030
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3990 confirms a lower low
Reclaim and hold above 1.4015 invalidates the downtrend read
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC will drive the next leg
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 32 · price 1.39917
Lower highs, lower lows; break below 1.4000.
USDCAD broke the 1.4000 psych mark late in the window and printed a fresh session low at 1.39912 as rebounding oil underpinned the Loonie and a soft USD capped the pair. Structure is a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows, RSI(14) pressing into the low 30s.
Support: 1.39912, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4013
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4000 psych invalidates the break
Canada jobs and US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sliced below the 1.4000 psychological mark during the London session, printing a fresh session low at 1.3991 as rebounding oil underpinned the Loonie and a soft USD stayed pinned. RSI(14) near 28 shows the leg is stretched short-term, but each bounce has capped under 1.4014.
Support: 1.39912, 1.3985
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4014, 1.4026
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.4000 invalidates the breakdown read
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD ground lower through NY hours toward the 1.4000 psychological mark, printing a session low at 1.3994 before a shallow bounce to 1.40006 as rebounding oil underpins CAD. RSI(14) near 40, price capped under a chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3994
Resistance: 1.40113, 1.40162
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3994 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.3930
Reclaim of 1.40113 would break the sequence of lower highs
US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT could shift this read ahead of Fri NFP
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.39956
Lower highs, breaking 1.4000.
London session pushed USDCAD through the 1.4000 psychological level after a full day coiling around 1.4010, printing a fresh session low at 1.3994 as the USD stayed defensive and oil steadied. RSI(14) near 31, momentum firmly to the downside with price below both EMAs.
Support: 1.3994, 1.3930
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4013
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4000 would negate the break lower
US jobless claims at 12:30 GMT could shift near-term USD tone
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 32 · price 1.39983
Range break below 1.4000.
USDCAD ground lower through the day and just cracked the 1.4000 psych level, printing a session low at 1.39944 with RSI(14) around 31. The prior 1.4010–1.4016 consolidation floor has flipped to resistance as the pair leaves the range on the downside; Scotiabank's ~1.3930 fair-value reference sits below.
Support: 1.39944, 1.3930
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4011, 1.4026
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4000 back into the range invalidates the breakout read
US jobless claims at 12:30 GMT and Fri NFP/Canada jobs could shift this read
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.39957
Lower highs, broke consolidation and 1.4000.
USDCAD broke below the 1.4000 psychological level in the last hour, snapping a long consolidation around 1.4010 and extending the M15 downtrend to fresh session lows at 1.39957. Move aligns with a soft-USD tone and Scotiabank's ~1.3930 fair-value reference below.
Support: 1.3930
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4015
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40000 psych would neutralise the breakdown
US jobless claims 12:30 GMT could shift near-term USD tone
USDCAD ground lower through the window and broke the 1.4000 psychological level in the last hour of London trade, printing a session low at 1.39957. RSI(14) near 31 shows momentum stretched but not yet at extreme; prior 1.4010–1.4014 range has flipped to resistance.
Support: 1.39957, 1.3930
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4014
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4000 invalidates the breakdown read
US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT and NFP Fri could shift USD tone sharply
Failure to reclaim 1.4014 keeps the lower-high chain intact
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.40024
Broke below intraday range into new session lows.
USDCAD ground sideways in a tight 1.4008-1.4016 band through the Asia/early-London hours before slipping to fresh session lows at 1.4002, pressing the 1.4000 psychological level. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 33 and soft, consistent with the pair easing off weekly highs as the USD stays defensive into jobs risk.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3993
Resistance: 1.40155, 1.4035
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 1.4000 psych opens 1.3930 fair-value area
Reclaim of 1.40155 range top invalidates the breakdown read
Canada jobs and US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCAD spent most of the window coiling around 1.4010 before slipping late in the NY session, now testing the 1.4000 psychological level with RSI(14) near 34. The pair stays capped well below the 1.4090 triangle top, easing as oil firmed and the USD held defensive ahead of Friday's jobs data.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40021, 1.3930
Resistance: 1.4011, 1.40166
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens the path toward the ~1.3930 fair-value area
Recovery above 1.40110 negates the breakdown back into the range
Canada jobs and US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCAD slid from 1.4065 through Asia and coiled in a tight 1.4007-1.4016 band overnight before the latest bar broke lower to retest the 1.4000 psych level. RSI(14) near 39 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips reflects a low-volatility grind ahead of catalysts; pair remains capped well below the 1.4090 weekly top.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4016, 1.40261
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 confirms the range break and exposes the 1.40021 swing low area
Reclaim of 1.40160 range top negates the downside break
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could inject volatility into this quiet range
USDCAD leaked lower through the London session after an early drop from 1.4065, then coiled between 1.4007–1.4016 for hours before the last bar broke the floor toward the 1.4000 round number, RSI(14) cooling near 40. ATR is compressed at ~4 pips; pair pinned ahead of tomorrow's US and Canadian jobs.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.4016
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.4016 range top invalidates the downside break
Hold or loss of 1.4000 round number defines the next leg
Canada and US jobs Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold from 1.4066 through the Asia session to a 1.4002 low, then flatlined into the London morning coiling tightly around 1.4010. ATR has collapsed to ~4 pips with RSI mid-range — no directional structure in play, pair pinned between 1.4000 and 1.4017.
Support: 1.4002, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.4026
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.40174 opens the path back toward 1.40260
Canada jobs and US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT could break the coil
10:01 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.40104
Tight consolidation after selloff.
USDCAD sold from 1.4068 to 1.4002 through the NY session then coiled into a ~15-pip range (1.4002–1.4017) overnight and through the London morning, holding just above the 1.4000 psych level. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48 and ATR is compressed around 4 pips — price is pinned ahead of Friday's US and Canadian jobs.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40281
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 confirms a lower-low toward 1.3930
Close above 1.4017 range top reopens 1.4028
NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could break this coil
09:46 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now flat near lows · RSI 46 · price 1.40104
Lower highs into consolidation above 1.4000.
USDCAD sold off through London from 1.4066 to a 1.40021 swing low, then coiled tight in a 1.4000–1.4017 band as the soft USD tone and steady oil kept the pair pinned. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 with ATR compressed to ~8 pips — no directional impulse into the NY handoff.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.40166, 1.40281
What it said to watch
Break below 1.4000 psych opens the path back toward the 1.40021 swing low
M15 close above 1.40166 recent high reopens the 1.40281 session high
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could break the consolidation
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.40094
Tight range after leg down.
London hours sold USD/CAD off 1.4066 down to 1.40021 as the USD stayed soft post-ADP, then price coiled into a tight 1.4002–1.4017 band. Now pinning the session low with the 1.4000 psychological level just below; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4017, 1.4026
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.40170 negates the flat-at-lows read
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Fri NFP could shift this read
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading into range · RSI 42 · price 1.40082
Lower highs from session top, now compressing above 1.4000.
USDCAD sold off from the 1.4068 session high toward 1.4002 as the USD stayed soft after the ADP miss and firmer crude supported CAD. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.4008-1.4017 band through the London session and is now leaking back toward the 1.4000 psych level, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.40166, 1.40261
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.3990s
Reclaim of 1.40166 would negate the drift lower
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.4000-1.4017 range
09:02 UTC
Prior downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.40104
Ranging near 1.4000 after sell-off.
USDCAD sold from the 1.4066 session high toward 1.4000 as the USD softened on the weak ADP print, then went flat — ranging roughly 1.4000–1.4017 for the last several hours with RSI(14) neutral near 46. ATR(14) around 4 pips shows compressed intraday movement; the 1.4000 psych level is holding as support.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.4066
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 psych confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.40174 swing high needed to lift out of the range
Dual US NFP / Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst for this pair
09:02 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.40104
Consolidation above 1.4000 after leg down.
USDCAD sold off through the London morning from 1.4066 to test 1.4000, then coiled into a tight 1.4000–1.4017 range as the USD stayed soft after yesterday's weak ADP. RSI(14) flat near 48, ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no directional impulse in the last several hours.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.40166, 1.40274
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens the path toward Scotia fair-value ~1.3930
Close above 1.40166 range top challenges 1.40274
Dual US NFP / Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst and could break this range
08:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.40115
Based near 1.4000 after intraday decline.
USDCAD sold from 1.4069 through the Aug-5 London/NY sessions to a base at 1.40021 as a softer USD dragged the pair toward the 1.4000 handle. Asia and early London Aug-6 have gone flat, ranging 1.4000–1.4017 with RSI(14) mid-band and no fresh momentum.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40169, 1.4026
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Close above 1.40169 breaks the range top
Dual US NFP / Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst
08:46 UTC
Downtrend faded into range · RSI 48 · price 1.40115
Consolidation after decline, holding above 1.4000.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4069 to 1.4002 during London hours on broad USD softness, then stalled into a tight 1.4000-1.4017 range near the psych handle. Price is coiling at 1.4011, RSI(14) flat near 48; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40261
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens a probe of the swing low and CAD-bull extension
Reclaim above 1.4017 range top would target 1.4026 prior high
Fri US NFP / Canada jobs (12:30 GMT) is the decisive catalyst and can override this range read
08:31 UTC
Downtrend faded into consolidation near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.40107
Ranging 1.4002–1.4017 after leg down.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4075 to the 1.4000 handle through the London-NY window as a soft USD leaned into NFP, then flatlined in a tight 1.4002–1.4017 range for most of the last 12 hours. ATR has compressed to ~4 pips; price sits mid-range at 1.4011 with RSI neutral, no directional setup in play.
USDCAD slid off the 1.4073 opening area yesterday and coiled around 1.4010 through the Asian session before rolling lower into London toward the 1.4000 psychological support. Fresh push down to 1.40062 with RSI(14) near 39; the 1.4016 range top now caps.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.4016, 1.40265
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens the path toward 1.3930
Reclaim of 1.4016 range top negates the downside break
Friday NFP + Canada jobs at 12:30 GMT could dominate this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating at lows · RSI 41 · price 1.40062
Range breaking lower toward 1.4000.
USDCAD leaked lower through the Aug-5 NY session then coiled tight around 1.4010 overnight; London morning has pressed the pair out of that range, now probing session lows at 1.40062 with the 1.4000 psych in view. ATR is compressed (~4 pips) and RSI(14) near 40 — momentum soft but not extreme, in line with a broadly defensive USD ahead of jobs data.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.40166, 1.40274
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 confirms the range break and lower-low
Reclaim of 1.40166 range top negates the breakdown attempt
US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT could inject volatility into a thin range
08:02 UTC
Down leg stalled, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.40117
Consolidation near session lows.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4075 to 1.4002 early in the window as the soft USD backdrop bit, then went flat, coiling in a tight 1.4008-1.4017 band through Asia into the London morning. ATR has compressed to ~3 pips and RSI sits mid-range at 46 — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.4008, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.40166, 1.4026
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40166 range top opens 1.40260
Loss of 1.40080 exposes the 1.40021 session low
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could break the coil
08:01 UTC
Early downtrend faded into range · RSI 50 · price 1.40117
Tight consolidation above session low.
USDCAD sold from 1.4069 to a 1.4002 session low overnight, then went flat — the last ~8 hours are coiled between 1.4002 and 1.4017 on thin Asian-into-London volume. Range-bound near 1.4012 with no setup in play; the pair remains rich vs fundamentals as USD leaks lower post the ADP miss.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40261
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40000 confirms a lower-low and opens fresh downside
Close above 1.40174 invalidates the consolidation read
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could break the range
07:46 UTC
Downtrend faded into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 1.40142
Ranging near session lows after morning slide.
USDCAD leaked from 1.4075 to a session low at 1.40021 through the prior session, then went flat — coiling between 1.40090 and the 1.40170 range top for the last several hours as USD stayed soft after the weak ADP/ISM Services prints. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 51 and ATR is compressed under 4 pips; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4009
Resistance: 1.4017, 1.40261
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40170 reopens the path to 1.40261
Break below 1.40021 confirms a lower low
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could break the compression
07:46 UTC
Downtrend faded into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 1.40142
Basing after leg lower, tight range.
USDCAD slid from 1.4075 through the Asian session to a 1.4002 low, then flattened into a tight 1.4009-1.4017 range through the London morning as the softer USD and oil-driven CAD offset each other. Price is pinned mid-range at 1.4014 with RSI near 53 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no directional development yet.
Support: 1.4009, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40281
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4017 opens the path to 1.4028
Failure to hold 1.4009 reopens the 1.4002 session low
US NFP and Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC will drive the next move
07:31 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 52 · price 1.40136
Tight range near session lows.
London session sold USDCAD from 1.4075 down to a 1.4002 session low, where a double bottom held. Price has since chopped in a tight 1.4009–1.4017 band through the Asian hours with RSI(14) neutral near 52 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4009, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.4026
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4009 reopens the 1.4002 session low
M15 close above 1.4017 breaks the range toward the 1.4026 swing high
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC today, then NFP + Canada jobs 12:30 UTC Friday could reset this read
07:31 UTC
Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 50 · price 1.40136
Consolidation after decline.
USDCAD sold from 1.4075 through the Asian session to a 1.4002 low as the soft US ADP print kept the dollar heavy, then stalled into a tight 1.4009–1.4017 band through early London. RSI(14) flat near 50, ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40274
What it said to watch
Break above 1.40174 range top reopens 1.4027 swing high
Loss of 1.40021 session low / 1.4000 round number resumes the downtrend
US NFP and Canada jobs both 12:30 UTC (~5h) — decisive catalyst that will override the current range
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.40115
Consolidation near session lows.
USDCAD sold off through the Asia session from 1.4075 to a 1.4002 session low, tracking a softer USD after weak ADP/ISM. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.4008-1.4017 range into early London, RSI(14) mid-band with no momentum.
Support: 1.4008, 1.4002
Resistance: 1.4017, 1.4055
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4002 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.4017 range top opens 1.4055 prior high
US and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could reset this range
07:16 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.40115
Tight range after intraday sell-off.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4075 through the Asia session to a 1.4002 low, then coiled into a tight 1.4008–1.4017 range as early London opens. RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — traders sidelined ahead of Friday's jobs, with the softer USD post-ADP not yet extending lower.
Support: 1.4008, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.4017, 1.4026
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4002 confirms a fresh lower low
M15 close above 1.4017 breaks the range top toward 1.4026
Fri 12:30 UTC US + Canada jobs is the dominant near-term driver
07:01 UTC
Overnight downtrend, now flat · RSI 52 · price 1.40134
Consolidating near session lows after leg down.
USDCAD sold off through the London-NY session from 1.4075 to 1.4002 as the dollar softened post the weak ADP/ISM combo, then flatlined into Asia. Price is now ranging 1.4004-1.4017 in early London, RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 1.40043, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40261
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4017 session high opens the path back toward 1.4026
Loss of 1.4004 range floor reopens the 1.4002 swing low
Canada + US jobs Fri 12:30 UTC will drive the next directional move
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 53 · price 1.40134
Consolidation above 1.4000 after leg down.
Pair sold from 1.4073 to a 1.4002 session low as the USD stayed soft post the weak ADP print, then went flat overnight between 1.4000 and 1.4017. Into London hours it's grinding at 1.4013 with RSI(14) back near neutral; the 1.4000 round number is holding.
Support: 1.4002, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.4030
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.40174 swing high shifts the short-term structure
Canada jobs + US NFP at 12:30 UTC Friday can materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 1.40132
Ranging near session lows after leg down.
USDCAD sold off through the London-NY window from 1.4074 to a 1.4002 base, then flattened into a tight 1.4008-1.4017 range during Asia hours. RSI(14) back near 50 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no directional impulse in play ahead of Friday's jobs prints.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40261
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4002 session low reopens the downside toward the 1.4000 round number
Close above 1.40174 swing high shifts the near-term range higher toward 1.40261
Canada employment and US NFP at 12:30 UTC Fri are the dominant risk for this cross
06:46 UTC
Downtrend faded into consolidation · RSI 52 · price 1.40132
Based above session low, ranging 1.4002–1.4017.
USDCAD slid from 1.4075 through the Asian session to a low at 1.4002, then flattened into a tight consolidation around 1.4010–1.4017 with RSI(14) neutral near 52. The soft-USD tone is capping upside while easing oil limits CAD gains, leaving the pair rangebound ahead of jobs data.
Support: 1.40021, 1.40085
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40281
What it said to watch
Dual Canada employment + US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the dominant risk to this range read
Close above 1.40174 recent high opens the path back toward 1.40281 swing high
Loss of 1.40021 session low confirms downtrend continuation
06:31 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 54 · price 1.40149
Consolidation above session low after sell-off.
USDCAD sold off through the Asian session from 1.4075 to a low of 1.4002, then coiled into a tight 1.4008–1.4017 range as oil weakness and a soft USD offset each other. Momentum has flattened; RSI(14) back to neutral near 54 after the earlier slide.
Support: 1.40021, 1.40085
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40265
What it said to watch
Canada employment and US NFP both at 12:30 UTC — dual print will likely break this range
M15 close below 1.4002 confirms a lower-low continuation
NY session pushed USD/CAD down from ~1.4073 to a base at 1.4002 amid a softer dollar and firmer oil; the Asian session has since ground sideways between 1.4002 and 1.4017 with RSI(14) back near neutral. A shallow recovery off the low, but no directional break yet.
Support: 1.40021, 1.40085
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40265
What it said to watch
Canada employment and US NFP both at 12:30 GMT can break this range
M15 close above 1.4017 opens the path to 1.4026
Loss of 1.4002 confirms a lower low
06:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 49 · price 1.40107
London sell-off into consolidation near lows.
USDCAD sold from 1.4079 through the London hours down to a session low of 1.4002, then flatlined in a tight 1.4004-1.4017 band with RSI(14) back to neutral near 49. Grind lacks conviction as the market waits on the simultaneous US NFP and Canada jobs prints; ATR has collapsed to ~4 pips in this coil.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40275
What it said to watch
Dual US NFP + Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC will drive the next leg
Close above 1.40174 swing high reopens 1.4027
Break of 1.40021 session low resumes the downtrend
06:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.40104
Consolidating near session lows after a steady decline.
USDCAD ground lower through the session from 1.4077 to a 1.4002 low, with oil firmer capping the pair despite a soft USD. Price has since gone flat, consolidating a tight 1.4002-1.4017 range with RSI(14) mid-zone and ATR compressed to a few pips.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4017, 1.40355, 1.4066
What it said to watch
Dual Canada jobs and US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~6.5h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4017 breaks the consolidation and reopens 1.4035
Failure to hold 1.4002 session low confirms a lower-low toward the 1.4000 round number
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, flattened into consolidation · RSI 46 · price 1.40104
Leg lower, now ranging near lows.
USDCAD sold off through the London-NY sessions from 1.4079 to a session low at 1.4002, then flattened into a tight Asian-session range around 1.4008-1.4017 with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Move fits the soft-oil grind noted in the digest; the pair is drifting, not trending, into the dual jobs risk.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40281
What it said to watch
US NFP and Canada employment at 12:30 UTC (~6.5h out) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.4002 confirms a lower-low and reopens the round-number 1.4000
Break above 1.40174 range top would end the consolidation read
05:46 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.40132
Sold off from 1.4080, basing above 1.4002.
USDCAD sold off through the Asia session from 1.4080 to a 1.4002 low, then base-built and is grinding sideways near 1.4013. Two touches held around 1.4002 and price has crept back above short EMAs, but the move lacks conviction ahead of dual jobs prints.
Support: 1.40021
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.4026, 1.4080
What it said to watch
Canada employment + US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the dominant risk and could reset this read
M15 close above 1.40174 opens a retest of 1.40260
Loss of 1.40021 session low confirms a lower-low
05:32 UTC
Prior downtrend, now basing · RSI 57 · price 1.40164
Consolidation after swing low, grinding higher.
USDCAD sold off through yesterday's London-NY session from 1.4080 to a 1.40021 swing low, then based through the Asian session and ground back to 1.4016 as the USD stayed soft post-ADP. Volumes thinned into Asia; RSI(14) near 57 after recovering off the lows, with the 1.40085 range low holding as intraday support.
Support: 1.40085, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.4026
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40260 opens a retest of the prior swing zone
Loss of 1.40021 confirms a fresh lower low
Canada jobs + US NFP at 12:30 UTC Fri could materially shift this read
Sell-off into 1.4002 low, double bottom, grinding back up.
USD/CAD sold off through the NY-Asia session to a low at 1.4002, based there twice and is now grinding back up to 1.4016 into early London, back above its short EMAs. RSI(14) recovering to the high-50s from the lows; the bounce lacks conviction with Canada jobs and US labour data the session's key catalyst.
Support: 1.4008, 1.4002
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4026, 1.4046
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4002 confirms a lower low and breaks the double bottom
Reclaim of 1.4026 prior swing would extend the recovery
Canada jobs / US labour data at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
05:17 UTC
Prior downtrend, now basing · RSI 61 · price 1.40168
Sell-off into a flat base, grinding higher.
USDCAD sold off through the prior sessions from 1.4079 to a 1.4002 base, then consolidated tight and is grinding higher into the early London hours near 1.4017 as oil weakness supports the pair. RSI(14) recovered above 60 and price is back over EMA20/50, but the move is small-range with ATR compressed to ~3 pips.
Support: 1.4009, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.4019, 1.4026
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4019 opens the path to the 1.4026 swing high
Loss of 1.4009 base exposes the 1.4002 session low
Canada jobs + US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 61 · price 1.40168
Based near 1.4002, higher lows building.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4080 through the prior NY session to a 1.4002 base, then chopped sideways through Asia before grinding back up to 1.4017 into the London open. RSI(14) has recovered near 61 as higher lows build off the base; 1.4026 prior swing is the nearest resistance.
Support: 1.4010, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.4026, 1.4035
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40260 prior swing extends the recovery toward 1.40350
Loss of 1.40100 base reopens the 1.40021 session low
Canada employment and US NFP both at 12:30 GMT — decisive catalyst for this cross
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 56 · price 1.40142
Consolidation above session low after NY decline.
USDCAD sold off through NY hours from 1.4080 to a 1.4002 session low, then based and ground back to 1.4014 during Asia on the softer USD read. Price now holds above the 1.4008 range floor with RSI recovering to mid-range; session high at 1.4015 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4008, 1.40021
Resistance: 1.40155, 1.4026
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40155 session high opens path to the 1.40260 prior swing
Loss of 1.40080 range floor reopens the 1.40021 session low
Dual US NFP / Canada jobs prints (12:30 GMT) are the decisive catalyst and can override this intraday read
USDCAD slid from 1.4080 through the London-NY session to a 1.4002 session low, then based in a tight 1.4002-1.4015 range through Asia hours. A double-bottom at 1.4002 has held and price is grinding back toward the range top near 1.4015 into the London open.
Support: 1.4002, 1.4008
Resistance: 1.4019, 1.4026
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40190 swing high opens the path back toward 1.40260
Loss of the 1.40020 session low reopens the downtrend
Canada jobs and US NFP at 12:30 GMT are the decisive catalysts and can override this range read
USDCAD sold off from 1.4080 to a 1.4002 low through the NY session as oil firmed and the USD softened post-ADP, then flattened into a tight 1.4004-1.4015 range in Asian hours. RSI(14) has recovered off the lows near 57 and the current bar sits at the range top; no directional break yet.
Support: 1.40021, 1.40035
Resistance: 1.40155, 1.4026
What it said to watch
Break above 1.40155 opens the path back toward 1.40260
Loss of 1.40021 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Canada jobs and US NFP at 12:30 GMT are the decisive catalysts and could override this range read
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 54 · price 1.40146
Consolidation above 1.4002 session low.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4079 to a 1.4002 base, pressured by the softer USD and firmer oil. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.4008–1.4015 band with a double-bottom around 1.4002; slow grind higher but the recent high at 1.40155 still caps.
Support: 1.40021, 1.40085
Resistance: 1.40155, 1.40275
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40155 opens the path back toward 1.40275
Loss of 1.4002 confirms a fresh lower low
Canada jobs + US data ~8h out could break this coil
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 55 · price 1.40137
Consolidation above session low after NY decline.
USD/CAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4080 to a 1.4002 base, then went quiet in Asia hours, holding a tight 1.4002-1.4015 range. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.4002 forming a double bottom, with RSI(14) recovering off the lows toward neutral.
Support: 1.40021, 1.40004
Resistance: 1.4019, 1.40261, 1.40487
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4019 opens the 1.4026 swing
Break of the 1.4002 base confirms a lower low
Canada jobs + US NFP at 12:30 GMT could reshape the range
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, flattening near lows · RSI 52 · price 1.40137
NY decline into Asia consolidation.
NY hours drove USDCAD from 1.4080 down to the session low at 1.4002, extending the four-session grind lower. Asia is consolidating tight (ATR ~2.6 pips) just above that low with a mild bounce back to the 1.4015 recent high; buyers stepped in twice around 1.4002.
Support: 1.40021
Resistance: 1.40145, 1.40255
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.40021 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
M15 close above the 1.40255 swing high negates the downtrend read
Dual Canada jobs + US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst — will break this Asian range
04:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 58 · price 1.40129
Decline into base, consolidating near lows.
Steady slide through NY hours from 1.4080 to 1.4002 as USD softened post-ADP; price now consolidating in the Asian session around 1.4010. Micro-recovery has lifted price to the 1.40137 session-high cap, RSI(14) mid-range near 58 — no directional break yet.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40137, 1.4026
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40137 opens path back toward 1.4026 pivot
Failure to hold 1.4000 psych confirms lower-low continuation
Canada jobs + US NFP at 12:30 GMT are the decisive catalyst — can override this range read
04:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling, base forming · RSI 57 · price 1.40129
Sold off from 1.4080 to 1.4000, now basing and grinding up.
USDCAD leaked from 1.4080 through the session to a 1.4002 base, then drifted higher into thin Asian hours to reprint 1.4013, RSI(14) recovering to the mid-50s. Ranges have compressed to ~4 pips ATR — grinding, no momentum, capped under the 1.40145 session high.
Support: 1.4002, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40145, 1.40261
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40145 opens a retest of prior high 1.4026
Failure to hold 1.4000 round number confirms a fresh lower low
Canada jobs and US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation above session low after NY sell-off.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4068 to a session low at 1.4002 on the softer dollar and firmer oil, then flattened into Asia hours. Price is grinding back to 1.4013 in a tight low-volume range, with buyers defending 1.4002 and the 1.4018 swing high capping the recovery.
Support: 1.4002, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4035
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4018 opens a retest of 1.4035
Loss of 1.4002 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
NFP and Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~8h out) is the decisive catalyst
04:02 UTC
NY downleg, basing on lows · RSI 57 · price 1.4013
Consolidation above session low after decline.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4055 to a 1.4002 low as the dollar softened after the weak ADP print, then based through the Asia session around 1.4005-1.4013, now grinding back to 1.4013. RSI(14) recovered off the lows to mid-50s and ATR is thin at ~4 pips in dead Asian hours.
Support: 1.4002, 1.4008
Resistance: 1.40145, 1.4025
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4002 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.4025 unwinds the NY downleg
Canada jobs and US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:47 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 58 · price 1.40137
Consolidation off session low, minor recovery.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4080 to a 1.4002 session low, then double-bottomed and based in a tight 1.4004-1.4014 range. Asia session is thin (volume collapsing) with price ticking up to the range top at 1.40145; RSI(14) recovering to the high 50s.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40145, 1.4026
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40000 reopens the session low at 1.40021
Break above 1.40145 range top exposes prior high at 1.40260
Dual US NFP + Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could break this range decisively
NY session sold USDCAD from 1.4080 down to a 1.4002 session low on soft USD and a firmer oil tone. Asia session has based between 1.4008 and the 1.40145 range top, with buyers stepping in twice near 1.4002; RSI(14) recovered off the lows to mid-range and ATR is compressed at ~3 pips.
Support: 1.40085, 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40145, 1.40261, 1.4047
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40145 range top opens the path back toward 1.40261
Failure to hold 1.40021 session low confirms a lower-low
Dual US NFP + Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.40102
Consolidation near session lows.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4080 to 1.4002 on softer USD, then coiled into a tight range around 1.4010 through the Asia session. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 with ATR compressed to ~9 pips — no momentum in play right now.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40145, 1.40188
What it said to watch
A close below 1.40021 confirms a fresh lower-low
A close above 1.40145 range top reopens 1.40188
Dual US NFP + Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC will drive the next move
03:17 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.40093
Declined to session lows, tight consolidation near 1.4000.
USD/CAD sold off from 1.4080 through the London-NY session to a low at 1.40021, in line with the four-session grind faltering as oil firmed. Asia hours have gone quiet — price coils in a 1.4000–1.4013 range on compressed ATR and thin volume, RSI holding mid-range.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4013, 1.4026
What it said to watch
Break below 1.40021 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.40130 shifts the consolidation read higher
Dual Canada employment + US NFP at 12:30 UTC could break the range decisively
03:16 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.40093
Consolidation near session lows.
London/NY sold USDCAD from 1.4080 down to the 1.40021 session low as oil weighed on the pair, and Asia has since flatlined around 1.4009 on very thin ATR (~3 pips). Price is pinned between the 1.4014 swing high and the 1.4000 psych level with no directional momentum.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4014, 1.4026
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40140 breaks the consolidation to the upside
Break below 1.40000 psych opens a retest of the 1.40021 session low
Canada jobs and US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 45 · price 1.40079
NY selloff into consolidation near session low.
USDCAD sold off through NY hours from 1.4080 to 1.4002 as oil rebounded and USD softened after the ADP miss. The Asia session has gone flat, coiling in a 1.4000-1.4015 band just above the session low, RSI(14) mid-40s with volatility drained to ~3 pips ATR.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40145, 1.40261
What it said to watch
Break below 1.40000 psych opens continuation of the NY downtrend
M15 close back above 1.40145 asia high would signal the consolidation is resolving up
Canada employment and US NFP at 12:30 GMT will drive the next directional move
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 47 · price 1.40079
Lower highs into a tight base near session low.
USD/CAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4080 to a session low at 1.40021 on soft oil, tracing descending highs the whole way down. Price is now grinding in a tight range capped at 1.4013 through Asian hours, RSI(14) mid-range and ATR near 3 pips on the thin overnight tape.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4013, 1.4025
What it said to watch
Break below 1.40021 session low exposes the 1.4000 round number
Reclaim of the 1.4013 range top opens the 1.4025 swing high
Canada jobs and US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Downtrend flattening into range · RSI 43 · price 1.40068
Consolidation just above session low.
USDCAD ground down from 1.4079 through London-NY and has stalled in a tight Asian-session range around 1.4007, holding just above the 1.4002 session low. RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no momentum in play as oil-driven flows stay muted ahead of Friday's jobs prints.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40145, 1.4026
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40145 invalidates the range read
Failure to hold 1.40021 opens the 1.4000 psych level
Simultaneous US NFP and Canada employment at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USD/CAD trended lower through the London-NY sessions on soft oil and a softer USD, bottoming at 1.40021 before stalling into thin Asia trade around 1.4007. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and ATR near 28 pips; price is coiling just above the session low with EMA20/50 capping overhead.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40142, 1.40281
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40021 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40142 swing high needed to challenge the downtrend
Canada jobs and US NFP at 12:30 GMT could break this range
02:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.40079
Sold off then tight consolidation near lows.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4080 to 1.4002 through the NY session then stalled into a tight, thin-volume consolidation around 1.4008 in Asia. Price holds just above the 1.4000 psych level with RSI(14) flat near 43; no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40142, 1.4026
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens a retest of the 1.40021 swing low and lower
M15 close above 1.40142 minor high shifts the read out of consolidation
Canada jobs and US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially reprice this pair
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.40079
Lower highs into session low, now flat.
USDCAD slid through the London-NY window from 1.4080 to a session low at 1.4002 as soft oil pressured CAD, then stalled. Asian session is now consolidating 1.4002-1.4013 on thin volume with RSI(14) mid-range near 44.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4013, 1.40281
What it said to watch
Break below 1.4002 opens the 1.4000 round number
M15 close above 1.4013 negates the consolidation-at-lows read
Canada employment + US NFP at 12:30 UTC Fri could reset this range
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4080 to 1.4002 and has since gone flat in the Asian session, grinding in a tight 1.4002–1.4013 band on ATR barely 3 pips. Price sits pinned to the session low with the psych 1.4000 handle just below.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4013, 1.40255
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 psych extends the down leg
Reclaim of 1.4013 range top needed to break the drift
Dual Canada jobs / US NFP at 12:30 GMT later today is the key range breaker
USDCAD sold off from 1.4080 through the NY session, softer USD after the ADP miss doing little to lift CAD as oil stays the swing factor. Price then based around 1.4010 and is now leaking to fresh session lows near 1.4002 in thin Asia hours; RSI(14) mid-low, ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.40021, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4014, 1.40261
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40140 reclaims the consolidation range
Failure to hold 1.40000 confirms continuation lower
Dual US NFP and Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC will override this intraday read
Lower highs / lower lows, now consolidating at lows.
USDCAD ground lower through the NY session from 1.4080 to a low near 1.4002, with the move tracking the oil-driven bid fading as the USD stayed soft. Price then coiled around 1.4010 through Asian hours and is now edging to a fresh session low, RSI(14) subdued near 39.
Support: 1.4002
Resistance: 1.40115, 1.40255, 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40115 range top negates the fresh-low breakout
Loss of 1.4002 session low confirms continuation lower
Canada employment and US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially reset this read
USDCAD bled lower through NY into Asia, printing fresh session lows near the 1.4000 round number as the USD stayed soft post-ADP; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 38. ATR has compressed to ~4 pips in thin Asian hours, so the move down is a slow grind rather than an impulsive break.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40024
Resistance: 1.4012, 1.40281, 1.4030
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens continuation toward the weekly base
Reclaim of the 1.40281 swing high invalidates the lower-high sequence
Fri 12:30 UTC US NFP and Canada jobs are the decisive catalysts for this pair
01:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.40068
Consolidation near session lows after leg down.
USDCAD ground lower through the London-NY session from 1.4080 to a low at 1.4004, in line with the softer USD read after the ADP whiff. Asia hours have flattened into a thin consolidation around 1.4007 just above the session low; RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR compressed near 3 pips.
Support: 1.40043, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4014, 1.4026
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4014 range top would break the Asia consolidation
Loss of 1.4004 opens the path toward 1.4000 psych
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive near-term CAD catalyst
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.40069
Consolidation at session lows after NY selloff.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4080 to 1.4005 as the USD softened post-ADP/ISM miss and Oil rebounded. Price has flatlined in thin Asian hours between 1.4005 and 1.4013, holding just above the session low.
Support: 1.40047, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4013, 1.40261
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40047 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close above 1.40130 breaks the consolidation range
Fri 12:30 UTC US NFP and Canada jobs are the decisive catalyst for this pair
01:02 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now flat · RSI 42 · price 1.40069
Consolidation near session lows.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4080 to a 1.40047 low as the USD stayed soft post-ADP, then coiled into a tight 1.4008-1.4014 range through Asia hours. Price sits pinned to session lows with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.40047, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40142, 1.4026
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40047 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.40142 swing high would ease the downside pressure
USDCAD ground lower through the London-NY session from 1.4080 to a 1.4004 base, tracking a softer USD after the ADP miss while CAD stayed capped by oil. The bounce to 1.4026 faded and price is now flat between 1.4008-1.4013 in thin Asian trade, RSI mid-40s with no directional push.
Support: 1.4004, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4026
What it said to watch
Break below 1.4004 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.4026 swing high needed to challenge the lower highs
Fri 12:30 UTC US NFP + Canada jobs are the decisive catalysts for this pair
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 42 · price 1.4008
Consolidation near session low after NY sell-off.
USD/CAD sold off through the NY session into a 1.4005 low as the dollar stayed soft post-ADP and oil rebounded, then flattened into a tight 1.4005-1.4013 band in the low-volume Asian session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 42 with ATR compressed to ~2.5 pips — no active setup, price basing at the lows.
Support: 1.4005, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4013, 1.4026, 1.4040
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4013 exits the micro-range toward 1.4026
Failure to hold 1.4005/1.4000 confirms a lower-low
Fri 12:30 UTC US NFP and Canada jobs are the decisive catalysts
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.40088
Sold off, consolidating at base.
USDCAD leaked from the 1.4073 area down to a 1.40047 low through the session as the USD stayed soft post-ADP, and has since gone flat around 1.4009 in thin late/Asian trade. Price sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI mid-40s — no momentum either way, just base-building above the 1.40047 low.
Support: 1.40047, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40142, 1.40281
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40047 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.40142 needed to break the flat base upward
Fri 12:30 UTC US NFP + Canada jobs is the decisive catalyst
USDCAD ground lower through the NY session from 1.4080 to a low at 1.40047, with USD soft after the ADP miss. Price is now pinned in a tight 1.4008–1.4013 coil on thin Asia-session volume, holding just under EMA20.
Support: 1.40047, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40261
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40261 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.40047 confirms continuation lower toward 1.4000
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC can break this consolidation
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, flattening at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.40102
Lower highs into a base near session low.
NY session sold USDCAD from the 1.4080 downleg top to a 1.40047 session low as USD softened post-ADP and Oil rebounded. Asian session is now flat-lining around 1.4010, RSI mid-range, holding a tight base just above the 1.4000 psych level.
Support: 1.40047, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40261, 1.4046, 1.40797
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40047 session low opens the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40261 swing high would negate the down leg
Friday jobs (US NFP + Canada employment, 12:30 UTC) can materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.40102
Consolidation above session low after NY selloff.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4080 to 1.4005 as the USD softened post-ADP and oil firmed. Asian session is now a tight, thin consolidation between 1.4008 and 1.4014 just above the session low, ATR compressed to ~3 pips with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.40047, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40145, 1.40265
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40145 asia high opens room toward the 1.40265 swing high
Loss of 1.40047 session low and the 1.4000 round number resumes the downtrend
Friday Canada jobs and US NFP (12:30 UTC) can materially shift this read