USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Thursday, 9 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, rolling over · RSI 44 · price 1.41715
Multi-day range, lower highs building.
USDCAD ran from 1.3950 to a 1.4247 peak in mid-window, then stalled into a multi-day range as twin highs at 1.4245/1.4247 capped the advance — a double-top signature with the range floor near 1.4150. Price has since drifted under both EMAs and is pressing the range low, with lower highs forming beneath the 1.4185 EMA20 zone. The pair is pinned near fair value as soft USD and weak crude offset each other; Canada jobs is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4185, 1.4247
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.4150 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.4110 channel base
Reclaim of the 1.4185 ema20 zone would negate the rolling-over read
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this range
The early-month rally from 1.3960 stalled at 1.4248 and price has since carved a multi-day range between 1.4250 and 1.4150, printing lower highs as CAD failed to capitalise on a four-year-high trade surplus. Price now sits at the lower half of that range below both EMA20 and EMA50, with ATR compressing. Momentum has faded from the June push.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4110, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.4150 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.4110 channel base
Reclaim of 1.4200 re-engages the upper range toward 1.4250
Canada jobs Fri 10 Jul 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst that could break the range
Price broke out of the early-month consolidation to 1.4247 but stalled twice there, carving a double top before rolling over below both EMAs. The record C$4.2B trade surplus failed to extend CAD strength, and the pair is now retracing the June-July impulse, fading toward the 1.4150 swing-low cluster. ATR near 20 pips shows a moderate expansion off the highs.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4190, 1.4247
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.4150 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.4110 range base
Reclaim of 1.4190 (EMA20) would neutralise the rollover read
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
17:03 UTC
Range after breakout stalled, drifting to base · RSI 43 · price 1.41637
Multi-day range 1.4150-1.4250, lower highs since peak.
USDCAD broke out toward 1.4248 mid-window then stalled, and price has been carving lower highs while rotating back toward the 1.4150 range base. The June breakout momentum has faded — CAD failed to capitalise on a record trade surplus, and stretched USD longs are capping the topside into Canada's jobs print. ATR is moderate with price now pinned against range support, EMAs rolling over just above.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Canada jobs (12:30 UTC) is imminent and can break the range either way
H4 close below 1.4150 range base opens the 1.4110 channel base
Reclaim of 1.4248 range cap would resume the breakout
13:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 44 · price 1.41713
Lower highs below 1.4247 range top.
The ascending channel off the early-July low near 1.3984 pushed price to a 1.4247 top before momentum stalled, and the pair is now setting lower highs and drifting back into a 1.4150-1.4220 range. Oil-driven CAD support has capped USD/CAD short of the 1.4247 range top while stretched positioning keeps the tape two-way. ATR is steady rather than expanding, consistent with consolidation below the highs.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4220, 1.4247
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.4150 range low confirms a lower-low and breaks channel support
Reclaim of 1.4220 lower-highs shifts the read back toward the 1.4247 range top
Canada jobs Fri 10 Jul 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
13:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 44 · price 1.41713
Range under prior highs after failed push.
The July advance off 1.3953 stalled twice near 1.4248, leaving a double-top and a rolling-over structure that now trades the 1.4150-1.4240 range. Price sits at 1.4171, back below both the 20- and 50-period EMAs, with ATR(14) compressing as the range narrows. CAD held up by the oil bid but capped by the broader bullish USDCAD structure ahead of Friday's Canadian jobs.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4248
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.4150 confirms a lower low and breaks channel support
Reclaim of 1.4200 psych and 1.4248 range top reopens the prior highs
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC (f/c +10K, 6.6%) is the near-term catalyst
09:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, rolling over · RSI 44 · price 1.41785
Range-bound below 1.4250, lower highs into range low.
USDCAD rallied off the sub-1.3950 base early in the window but stalled at a triple test of 1.4247, and price is now consolidating within a 1.4150-1.4250 range with a run of lower highs. Recent bars are pressing the 1.4150 range floor as the Iran-driven oil bid keeps CAD firm and caps the pair. ATR(14) around 38 pips reflects a compressing regime rather than trend extension.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4130, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.4150 confirms a range break, exposing 1.4130 then 1.4075
Reclaim of 1.4250 range high would resume the prior uptrend
Canada jobs Jul 10 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, rolling over · RSI 44 · price 1.41785
Range below 1.4250 after topping.
USDCAD rallied from the early-month 1.3950 base to a 1.4248 top, but the last week has stalled into a 1.4150-1.4250 range as the Iran-driven oil bid keeps CAD firm. Price is trading below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-forties, and repeated rejection near 1.4250 has carved out a rounded top. ATR is holding a moderate ~30-pip regime, no compression squeeze yet.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4130, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4250, 1.4200
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.4150 confirms range break, exposing 1.4130 then 1.4075
H4 close above 1.4250 reopens the prior uptrend
Canada jobs Jul 10 12:30 UTC could force the range break either way
05:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, ranging · RSI 43 · price 1.41661
Range 1.4150-1.4250.
The mid-June impulse from 1.3935 into 1.4247 has since flattened into a multi-day range between 1.4150 and 1.4250, with USDCAD now pressing the floor near 1.4166. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-40s, reflecting the loss of upside momentum despite the broader USD firmness; CAD is drawing support from the oil rally while USD/CAD stays trapped in its consolidation. Repeated rejections around 1.4247 cap the range top.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.4150 range floor confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4075
Break above 1.4250 range top resumes the prior uptrend
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the main risk to break this range
USDCAD rallied from the early-month 1.3935 base to a 1.4248 high, then stalled into a two-week 1.4150-1.4250 range as a firmer USD met a record Canadian trade surplus and the oil bid. Price is now pressing the 1.4150 range floor with the EMA20/EMA50 rolling flat above, and ATR(14) around 34 pips reflects a compressing, rotational tone. Repeated rejections near 1.4248 have capped the top while demand has stepped in around 1.4150 on each retest.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.4150 confirms a range break lower, opening 1.4075
H4 close above 1.4250 invalidates the range read
Canada jobs (Fri 12:30 UTC) into stretched CAD shorts is squeeze risk that could shift this read
The early-July impulse from 1.3931 to 1.4248 has given way to a two-week consolidation, with twin highs near 1.4247 capping and demand stepping in around the 1.4150 range floor. USD/CAD sits mid-band around fair value near 1.4158, ATR(14) compressing as the pair coils below the double top. Price is trading under both EMA20 and EMA50, with recent bars drifting toward the lower edge of the range.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4130, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4247, 1.4200
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.4150 opens the path to 1.4075
H4 close above 1.4247 double top would resume the uptrend
Canada jobs (Fri 12:30 GMT) could break this consolidation either way
01:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, ranging · RSI 43 · price 1.41685
Multi-day range, price near floor.
The early-month advance from 1.3930 stalled into a multi-day consolidation band roughly 1.4150-1.4250 around fair value near 1.4158. Price has drifted back toward the range floor after repeated rejection at the 1.4247 swing high, and now trades below both EMA20 and EMA50. ATR(14) around 25 pips reflects the compressed, rangey tone as the market waits on Canada jobs.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4130, 1.4078
Resistance: 1.4225, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Canada employment Fri 12:30 GMT could break the range in either direction
H4 close below 1.4150 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4078