USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 13 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Range, recovery faded · RSI 44 · price 1.41477
Rangebound between 1.4146 and 1.4159 late session.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4172 to a session low at 1.4125, then recovered to stall around the 1.4159 swing high before easing back. Now drifting at 1.4148 in thin early-Asia trade, RSI mid-40s, holding a tight 1.4146–1.4159 range with no clean break either side.
Support: 1.4146, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41586, 1.41724
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41586 reopens 1.41724
Loss of 1.41460 exposes the 1.41247 swing low
US CPI (Tue) and Warsh testimony are the next range-breaking catalysts
23:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.41477
Consolidation in thin Asia session.
USDCAD is coiling in a tight 1.4148-1.4153 band through the thin Asia session, volume drying up after the London-NY recovery off 1.41247. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and price is pinned just below EMA20; no setup in play with traders sidelined ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.41452, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.41724
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41598 opens the path back to 1.41724
Loss of 1.41452 reopens the 1.41247 swing low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
23:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, flat into Asia · RSI 52 · price 1.41521
Consolidation near top of intraday bounce.
USDCAD dropped to 1.41247 through the London-NY window then recovered to 1.41598 before stalling. Thin Asia trade now has price coiling tightly around 1.41521, RSI flat near mid-range; traders sidelined ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.41452, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Break above 1.41598 reopens 1.41742
Loss of 1.41452 exposes the 1.41247 session low
Liquidity returns at London open; current thin bars can be misleading
23:31 UTC
Recovery off session low, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.41521
Tight consolidation after bounce.
USDCAD recovered from the 1.41247 swing low and is now coiled in a thin Asia-session range around 1.4152, RSI(14) neutral near 49. Volume has dried up into late hours; no directional development with the pair pinned between 1.41452 and the 1.41598 session high.
Support: 1.41452, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Break above 1.41598 reopens the 1.41742 prior high
Loss of 1.41452 exposes the 1.41247 swing low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
23:16 UTC
Rangebound, drifting off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.4153
Consolidation after recovery from day low.
USDCAD is rangebound around 1.4153 after recovering off the 1.4126 day low, with the recent swing high near 1.4160 capping the bounce. Late-session bars are thin and volatility has collapsed, price coiling into a tight range as traders sit sidelined ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.4146, 1.4126
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.4172
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4160 swing high opens a retest of 1.4172 prior high
Loss of 1.4146 session low reopens the 1.4126 day low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the range-break catalyst
23:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.4153
Consolidating post-recovery, thin Asia tape.
USDCAD recovered from the 1.4125 session low back to 1.4155 and is now flat around 1.4153 in a very thin Asia session, volume drying up. Range top at 1.4160 is capping; move is consolidative with no fresh direction as traders sit sidelined ahead of Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.4146, 1.4125
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4160 opens the path to 1.4172
Failure to hold 1.4146 exposes the 1.4125 session low
BoC hold Wed 13:45 UTC — statement tone is the range breakout catalyst
23:02 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.41523
Consolidation above session low.
Asia session grinding sideways around 1.4152 in thin volume, holding above the 1.4146 dip. Prior NY hours recovered off the 1.41247 session low to stall at 1.41600; RSI(14) neutral near 50 with no setup in play into Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.4146, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41600 reopens the path to the 1.41742 prior high
Loss of 1.41460 exposes the 1.41247 session low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
Thin, quiet Asia session with volume drying up; USDCAD ranging 1.4146–1.4160 after recovering from the session low at 1.4126. RSI(14) mid-range near 48, price hugging EMA20 with no directional impulse. BoC hold Wed and US CPI are keeping traders sidelined.
Support: 1.4146, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4146 reopens the session low at 1.4126
M15 close above 1.4160 exposes prior high 1.4174
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and BoC (Wed) are the range-break catalysts
USDCAD is ranging 1.41460–1.41600 into the NY-Asia rollover, where volume has collapsed to single digits and the tape thins out. Price recovered off the 1.41247 swing low earlier and stalled under the 1.41600 session high; sits right at the 23.6% retrace of that move with RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 1.4146, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.4172
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41600 session high reopens 1.41720
Loss of 1.41460 session low exposes 1.41247 swing low
Thin rollover liquidity can exaggerate wicks; BoC Wed is the week's swing catalyst
22:46 UTC
Rangebound, no directional momentum · RSI 48 · price 1.41518
Sideways range after recovery off 1.4126.
USDCAD ground back to 1.4152 after basing at the 1.4126 swing low mid-window and tagging the 1.4160 session high. Late-session bars are thin and directionless with traders sidelined ahead of Tuesday's US CPI and Wednesday's BoC hold; price is pinned mid-range around 1.4150.
Support: 1.4146, 1.4126
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4160 opens the path back toward 1.4172
Loss of 1.4146 reopens the 1.4126 swing low
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the near-term catalyst that could break this range
USDCAD sold from 1.4174 to 1.4125 through the London-NY session, then recovered to tag 1.41598 before drifting back to 1.4152. Volume has collapsed into the late-NY/Asia transition; price is pinned mid-range with no fresh direction as traders sit on hands ahead of Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.41452, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41598 reopens the path toward 1.4174
Loss of 1.41452 puts the 1.4125 window low back in play
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC then Warsh testimony are the range-breaking catalysts ahead
22:31 UTC
Range after intraday recovery · RSI 48 · price 1.41528
Recovered off 1.4125 low, ranging.
USDCAD sold off through NY to a 1.4125 swing low then recovered to 1.4158; late NY/early Asia trade is thin and rangebound near 1.4152, sitting on EMA20. Traders sidelined ahead of Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.4146, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.4171
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41460 session low reopens the 1.4125 swing low
Reclaim of 1.41598 session high extends the recovery toward 1.41710 prior high
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the swing factor for this range
22:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 1.41529
Range-bound between session low and high.
USDCAD chopping in a 1.4145–1.4160 range into thin late-session liquidity, price pinned near 1.4153 with RSI(14) flat around 52. Loonie steady near 1.4150 with traders sidelined ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold; no intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.41452, 1.4126
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41598 opens the path back toward 1.41742
Failure to hold 1.41452 confirms a lower low toward 1.41260
BoC decision Wed and US CPI are the twin catalysts to break this range
USDCAD bounced from the day low at 1.4126 mid-window and is now ranging 1.4145–1.4160 in thin late-session trade, capped at the session high near 1.4160. RSI(14) sits mid-range with no extreme; traders largely sidelined ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.4145, 1.4126
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4160 session high opens the path back toward 1.4172
Loss of 1.4145 reopens the 1.4126 day low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could break this range
22:02 UTC
Recovery off day low, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 1.41539
Range with higher lows into session high.
USDCAD recovered from the 1.41260 day low back to a session high at 1.41598, then eased to 1.4154 on thin late-NY volume. Ranging roughly 1.4145-1.4160 with buyers holding the 1.41452 shelf; sidelined ahead of US CPI and Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.41452, 1.4126
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.4168
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41598 opens the path to 1.41680
Failure to hold 1.41452 exposes the 1.41260 day low
US June CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could reset this range
22:02 UTC
Range after intraday recovery · RSI 52 · price 1.41539
Consolidating below 1.4160 swing high.
USDCAD sold off to 1.4126 through the London-NY session before buyers recovered it to the 1.4160 swing high, and price is now chopping in a thin Asia-session range around 1.4150. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 with the pair sidelined ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.4146, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41598 opens the path to the 1.4172 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41460 session low reopens the 1.4126 window low
US June CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst that can break this range
21:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.4146
Intraday range, mid-band drift.
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.4126–1.4172; NY session recovered off the 1.4126 swing low to 1.4160 before fading back to 1.4146 into thin post-close conditions. RSI(14) neutral near 45, price sitting just under EMA20 with no directional bias.
Support: 1.4126, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4160 reopens the 1.4172 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4126 confirms a lower low
US June CPI 12:30 GMT is the twin catalyst that can override this range read
USDCAD sold off through the London-NY session from 1.4172 to a 1.4125 low, then recovered to hold 1.4150-1.4160 into the quiet late-session close on thin volume. Price sits just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 46; buyers stepped in twice around 1.4125-1.4127 forming a double bottom.
Support: 1.41247, 1.41321
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.41724
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4160 opens a retest of the 1.4172 prior high
Break below 1.4125 confirms a lower-low and resumes the downtrend
US June CPI 12:30 GMT tomorrow could materially shift this read
21:32 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 44 · price 1.41465
Rangebound, recovered off lows then easing.
USDCAD chopped between 1.4126 and 1.4174 across the London-NY sessions, recovering off the 1.4126 session low toward 1.4158 before easing to 1.4146 on thin post-NY-close volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with no directional setup as traders stay sidelined ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.4134, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4158, 1.4174
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4158 session high reopens the 1.4174 day high
Loss of 1.4134 swing low exposes the 1.4126 session low
US CPI could break this range on the next active session
21:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower into Asia open · RSI 45 · price 1.41465
Rangebound 1.4126–1.4160, mid-range fade.
NY session faded from the 1.4160 session high back toward 1.4147, and price is drifting lower on thin, early-Asia liquidity. Rangebound between 1.4126 and 1.4160 with no setup in play; traders sidelined ahead of US CPI and Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.4134, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4158
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4134 opens the 1.4126 session low
Close above 1.4160 reclaims the session high
US CPI (Tue) and BoC hold (Wed) are the next catalysts that would reset this range
USDCAD ground higher off the 1.4126 day low through the NY session and is now consolidating 1.4150–1.4160 into early Asia, RSI(14) flat near 52. Range top at 1.4160 capping, higher lows holding along the ascending support line.
Support: 1.4145, 1.4126
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.4172
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4160 opens the path back toward the 1.4172 prior high
Loss of 1.4145 breaks the higher-low sequence and reopens 1.4126
BoC hold Wed 13:45 UTC — statement tone is the swing factor for this range
21:16 UTC
Range, recovered off lows · RSI 50 · price 1.41515
Range-bound between 1.4126 and 1.4160, mid-range.
Twin lows near 1.4126 held during the session before a grind back to the session high at 1.4160, and price is now mid-range around 1.4151. Move is choppy with no fresh direction as traders sit sidelined ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.4147, 1.4126
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4160 session high extends the recovery toward 1.4172 prior high
Loss of 1.4147 recent pivot reopens a retest of the 1.4126 session low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating near session highs after V-recovery.
USDCAD bounced from the 1.41247 session low and has retraced roughly 61.8% of the earlier drop, now stalling at the 1.4155-1.4160 session-high band. RSI(14) near 57, no extreme; price coiling just above EMA20 with buyers holding the 1.4147 pivot. Pair remains rangebound with traders sidelined ahead of Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.4147, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4160 opens the path back toward the 1.4174 prior high
Loss of 1.4147 swing low reopens the 1.41247 session low
BoC hold Wed 13:45 UTC — statement tone is the swing factor for this range
Higher lows since mid-window, stalling under 1.4160.
USDCAD recovered from the 1.41247 session low through NY hours and is now consolidating just under the 1.41598 session high, RSI(14) mid-range around 57. Rising lows intact but upside stalling into the level; pair remains largely rangebound with BoC still two days out.
Support: 1.4147, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41598 opens the path back to 1.41742
Loss of 1.41470 breaks the rising-low sequence
BoC hold Wed 13:45 UTC — statement tone the swing factor for the next legs
USDCAD bottomed at 1.41247 through the NY session and has retraced back to 1.41566, now consolidating just under the 1.41600 session high. RSI(14) mid-range near 57; price is holding above EMA20/50 but the grind has flattened into a tight 1.41520–1.41600 band with traders sidelined ahead of Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.4152, 1.4134, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41600 opens the path back to the 1.41742 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41520 reopens the 1.41340 pullback low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could reset this range
20:46 UTC
Recovery off day low, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 1.41566
Consolidating below session high after bounce.
USDCAD dug to a 1.41247 day low mid-session then clawed back through the NY hours to stall just under the 1.41598 session high. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.41520-1.41598 band into the NY close, RSI(14) mid-range near 57.
Support: 1.4152, 1.4134, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.4168
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41598 opens the path to 1.41680
Loss of 1.41520 reopens the day low at 1.41247
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.4125 during NY hours and has recovered to 1.4158, roughly a 67% retrace of the earlier 1.4174-1.4125 drop. Price is now consolidating in a tight band just under the 1.4160 recent high, RSI(14) mid-range near 56 with ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 1.4149, 1.4134, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41600 extends the recovery toward the 1.41742 session high
Failure to hold 1.41490 reopens the 1.41340 swing low
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC could reset this intraday range
NY session ground higher off the 1.41247 low, reclaiming the EMA20/50 and pushing back toward the 1.4160 round number, RSI mid-range near 60. CAD stayed contained as traders sit sidelined ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold; the broader 1.4125-1.4175 range still frames the day.
Support: 1.41475, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4160 opens a retest of the 1.41742 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41475 consol reopens the 1.41247 session low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, consolidating below session high.
NY session recovered from the 1.41247 session low, chaining higher lows into a session high at 1.41600, now stalling around 1.41550. USD stayed firm on safe-haven/energy flows ahead of tomorrow's US CPI; move has flattened into consolidation just under the range top.
Support: 1.4148, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.4165
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41600 reopens 1.41650
Failure to hold 1.41480 breaks the higher-low sequence
USDCAD ground back up from the 1.41247 range low through the NY session, tagging 1.41598 before easing to 1.4155. RSI(14) is neutral near 55 and price sits above both EMAs; move is stalling just under the session high with no fresh impulse.
Support: 1.4153, 1.41451, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.41724
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41598 opens the path toward 1.41724
Loss of 1.41530 shifts focus back to the 1.41451 swing low
BoC decision Wed and US CPI are the pending external risks
USD/CAD carved a double bottom near 1.4125 through the NY session and clawed back to test the 1.41600 session high, now easing to 1.41538 in thin late trade. Price holds above EMA20/50 but RSI(14) near 54 shows momentum leveling as the pair stalls ahead of Wed's BoC hold.
Support: 1.41451, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41724
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41600 opens the 1.41724 prior high
loss of 1.41451 re-exposes the 1.41247 session low
US CPI Tue and BoC Wed can materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, building a chain of higher lows off the 1.41247 session low as a firm USD offset oil-driven CAD support. Price tagged the 1.41600 session high and faded to 1.41538, RSI(14) mid-range near 57 with no extreme.
Support: 1.41451, 1.4134, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41600 opens the path to 1.41742
Loss of 1.41451 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and BoC hold Wed are the key external risks
USDCAD recovered off the 1.41247 session low and ground back to ~1.41580, stalling into the 61.8% retrace of the 1.41742-1.41247 down leg. RSI(14) mid-60s, price holding above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows; 1.41600 caps for now.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4134, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41600 opens the 1.41742 session high
Failure to hold 1.41500 exposes 1.41340 and the 1.41247 session low
BoC hold Wed and US CPI Tue are key external risks that could reset this read
Higher lows since 1.4125 low, retesting session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, recovering the full drop from 1.4125 and now pressing the session high near 1.41598 with RSI(14) around 61. Higher lows have held since the 1.4125 base; price sits just under prior supply at 1.41742.
Support: 1.4147, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41598 opens a run at 1.41742
Loss of 1.41470 higher-low support reopens 1.41247
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue are the near-term catalysts for this pair
USDCAD based twice near 1.41247 and has ground higher through NY hours, now pressing the 1.41580 recent high with RSI(14) around 62. Higher-low chain intact off the session low; move stalls into prior supply at 1.41660.
Support: 1.4145, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4166, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41660 opens the path toward the 1.41742 session high
Failure to hold 1.41450 breaks the higher-low chain
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue are the near-term event risks
NY session afternoon: USDCAD has clawed back from the 1.41247 session low to 1.4158, printing higher lows with RSI(14) mid-60s. Buyers stepped in around the 1.4145 pivot and the pair just broke back above 1.4150; the 1.4165 prior high is the next area to watch for rejection or continuation.
Support: 1.4145, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Break above 1.41650 opens the 1.41742 session high
Loss of 1.41450 pivot reopens the 1.41247 session low
US CPI Tue and BoC hold Wed are near-term risks that could reset this range
19:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 1.41571
Higher lows building into range mid.
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.41247 then ground back up through 1.4150 during NY hours, last bar tagging 1.41571 with RSI(14) around 61. Recovery holds inside the broader 1.41250-1.41720 range; buyers stepped in repeatedly on the higher-low sequence.
Support: 1.4147, 1.4134, 1.4125
Resistance: 1.4172
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41720 session high extends the recovery
Failure to hold 1.41470 reopens the 1.41250 session low
US CPI Tue and BoC Wed are the near-term risks to this read
Late NY hours: USD/CAD has clawed back from the 1.4125 session low to 1.4157, printing a chain of higher lows and now testing the 1.41565 recent high. Pair remains hemmed in the broader 1.4125-1.4172 band as the market waits on Tue US CPI and Wed BoC.
Support: 1.4147, 1.4134, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41565, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41565 opens the path back to 1.41720
Loss of 1.41470 reopens the 1.41340 swing low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next material USD driver
19:02 UTC
Recovery off session low, now flat · RSI 57 · price 1.41503
Consolidating near 50% retrace of the intraday drop.
USDCAD sold off from 1.41724 to a session low at 1.41257 during NY hours, then recovered to a session high of 1.41548 and is now consolidating around 1.415, near the 50% retrace of that drop. RSI(14) sits mid-range and ATR is compressed to ~5 pips as price coils; no setup in play into the late NY session.
Support: 1.4144, 1.41257
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.41724
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41548 opens a retest of 1.41724
Failure to hold 1.41440 exposes the 1.41257 session low
US CPI (Tue) and BoC Wed are the near-term drivers that could break this range
USDCAD based at the 1.41276 session low during NY hours and recovered to consolidate in a tight 1.41440-1.41548 band, RSI(14) neutral near 55. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.41440 while 1.41548 caps the upside; no directional break in play.
Support: 1.4144, 1.41276
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41548 opens the path to the 1.41720 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41440 reopens the 1.41276 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed are the next material drivers
Consolidating below 1.4155 after basing at 1.4125.
USDCAD carved a low at 1.4125 during NY hours then rounded higher to tag the 1.4155 session high, with the pair supported near 1.4160 all week as a firm USD offsets oil-driven CAD strength. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.4147-1.4152 band into the NY afternoon, RSI(14) neutral around 54.
Support: 1.4145, 1.4126
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4155 opens the path back toward 1.4172
Failure to hold 1.4145 reopens the 1.4126 swing low
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT and BoC Wed are the near-term drivers of this range
Consolidating mid-range after bounce from 1.41247.
USDCAD recovered off the NY session low at 1.41247 and is now consolidating 1.4147-1.4155, holding just above the 50% retrace of the earlier 1.41742-1.41247 slide. RSI(14) mid-range near 56; buyers stepped in twice around 1.41441 but the 1.41548 session high is capping.
Support: 1.41441, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.41724
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41548 opens the path back toward 1.41724
Loss of 1.41441 exposes the 1.41247 session low
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT and BoC Wednesday could reset this range
USDCAD popped to a NY session high at 1.41548 then faded, now consolidating in a tight 1.41451–1.41520 band with RSI(14) mid-range. The recovery off the 1.41247 session low has stalled; two-way flow reflects a firm USD versus oil-supported CAD ahead of BoC.
Support: 1.41451, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.41605
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41548 reopens the path toward 1.41605
Loss of 1.41451 puts the 1.41247 session low back in play
USDCAD recovered from the 1.41247 low back into a 1.41455-1.41548 range during NY hours, now stalling around 1.41490 with RSI(14) flat near 53. Price holds above EMA20/50 but the session high at 1.41548 has capped the last two pushes.
Support: 1.41455, 1.4134
Resistance: 1.41521, 1.41548
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41548 opens continuation higher
Loss of 1.41340 confirms a lower low
US CPI 12:30 GMT tomorrow plus BoC Wed are the key drivers
USDCAD carved a double bottom near 1.41247 through NY hours and recovered to reclaim 1.4150, USD steady on safe-haven flows while oil-driven CAD support offsets. Price is mid-range, capped at the 1.41548 session high with the 1.4130 support holding below.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.41724
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41548 opens the path back to 1.41724
Loss of 1.4130 reopens the 1.41247 session low
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT and BoC Wed are back-to-back risks to this read
USDCAD carved a double bottom at 1.4125 and rallied through NY hours to a 1.4155 session high before easing back to 1.4150, RSI(14) neutral near 55. Price now sits mid-range between the 1.4125 base and the 1.4155 session cap with volatility compressing.
Support: 1.4130, 1.4125
Resistance: 1.4155, 1.4172
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4155 opens the path back to 1.4172
Failure to hold 1.4125 confirms a lower-low
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT and BoC Wed are high-impact risks to this read
18:02 UTC
Recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.41474
Consolidating below session high after bounce.
USD/CAD recovered off the 1.41247 session low through the NY afternoon, tagged 1.41548 then eased back to 1.41474; now ranging with RSI(14) mid-band. Loonie caught between oil-driven support and a firm USD into Tuesday's US CPI and Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.4134, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41548 session high opens the path to 1.41742
Failure to hold 1.41340 swing low reopens the 1.41247 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant next-session catalyst
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.4125–1.4155 through NY hours, with the push to the session high at 1.41548 rejected back to 1.41470. Price sits above EMA20/50 but RSI(14) near 53 shows no momentum, consistent with the pair pinned into Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.4136, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41548
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41548 opens a retest of higher levels
Loss of 1.41247 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD leg
USDCAD carved a double bottom around 1.4125 and clawed back to a session high of 1.41548 before fading to 1.4146; RSI(14) neutral near 52. Price is oscillating in a 1.4125–1.4155 band with buyers stepping in at the lows twice, ATR a tight ~7 pips.
Support: 1.4134, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41548 opens the 1.4172 prior high
Loss of 1.4125 double bottom confirms a lower low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed are the near-term drivers for this pair
NY session recovered from the 1.41247 low, tagging a session high at 1.41548 before rejecting back to 1.41459 with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Pair remains rangebound around 1.4135–1.4155, no clear break in play.
Support: 1.4136, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41548 opens the path back toward 1.41742
Failure to hold 1.41360 exposes the 1.41247 swing low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD carved a base around 1.4125 during NY hours and recovered to a 1.4155 session high before easing back to 1.4148. Price sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 53; the 1.4155 session high still caps and 1.4125 marks the floor into Wed's BoC and Tue's US CPI.
Support: 1.4134, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41548 session high opens the path back to 1.41720 prior high
Loss of 1.41247 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed are the key external risks for this range
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.4125 and recovered through NY hours, tagging 1.41548 before easing back to 1.41485 on rejection at that session high. Price is ranging 1.4125-1.4155 with no clean setup; ATR near 9 pips reflects the muted intraday move ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.4139, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41548 opens the path back toward 1.41720
Loss of 1.41390 exposes the 1.41247 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed could materially shift this read
17:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 60 · price 1.4152
Range, bouncing from lows.
USDCAD bounced off the session low at 1.4126 through the NY afternoon and is now retesting the 1.4155 swing high, RSI(14) firming near 60. Pair remains inside the 1.4126-1.4172 day range with USD holding firm on safe-haven flows while oil-linked CAD demand caps upside.
Support: 1.4137, 1.4126
Resistance: 1.4155, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4155 opens the path to 1.4172
Failure to hold 1.4137 risks a retest of the 1.4126 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed are the near-term risks that could shift this read
USDCAD carved a base at 1.4126 through NY hours and rallied to a fresh session high at 1.4155, RSI(14) around 63 with room before overbought. Loonie support from firmer oil is being offset by a bid USD; price now presses the session-high band into thin late-NY liquidity.
Support: 1.4130, 1.4126
Resistance: 1.4155, 1.4172
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4155 opens the path to the 1.4172 prior high
Loss of 1.4130 confirms the recovery has failed and reopens 1.4126
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed are the near risks that reshape this read
17:03 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 1.41503
Higher low set at 1.4125, reclaiming mid-range.
USDCAD carved a double bottom near 1.4125 during NY hours and pushed to a session high at 1.41548, RSI(14) firming into the low 60s as USD safe-haven flows offset oil-driven CAD support. Price now hovers just under the session high with EMA20/50 reclaimed.
Support: 1.4136, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.41724
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41548 session high opens the 1.41724 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41360 pivot exposes the 1.41247 swing low again
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue could reset this intraday read
17:02 UTC
Short-term recovery, momentum building · RSI 60 · price 1.41503
Rising lows off session base.
Recovery off the 1.41247 session low through NY hours, price pushed to the 1.41548 session high before easing to 1.41503 with RSI mid-range. Chain of rising lows holds; the session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4139, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.4168
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41548 session high opens 1.41680 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41390 pivot reopens the 1.41247 session low
US CPI Tue and BoC decision Wed could materially reshape this read
16:47 UTC
Near-term recovery, pushing to session high · RSI 65 · price 1.41499
Higher lows off 1.41247, testing session top.
Late NY push carried USDCAD to a fresh session high at 1.41548 into Waller's remarks, before settling at 1.41499. Price has built higher lows off the 1.41247 session low, with RSI(14) in the mid-60s and no overbought stretch yet.
Support: 1.4132, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.41724
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41548 opens the path to the prior high at 1.41724
Failure to hold 1.41320 exposes the session low at 1.41247
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the key cross-market risk ahead
USDCAD recovered off the 1.41247 session low and pushed to a fresh session high at 1.41548 on the last bar, RSI(14) firm near 63. Higher lows have built since 1.4133 as oil-linked CAD demand and a firm USD keep the pair pinned in its recent range; the 1.41548 session high is now the near-term cap.
Support: 1.4133, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.41721
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41548 opens the path to 1.41721
Loss of 1.4133 re-exposes the 1.41247 session low
US CPI (Tue) and Waller remarks are near-term USD risks that could shift this read
16:31 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 56 · price 1.41475
Choppy consolidation under 1.4160 pivot.
USDCAD is chopping between 1.4130 support and the 1.4152 session high in NY hours, coiling under the 1.4160 pivot with safe-haven USD bid and oil-backed CAD keeping it two-way. Price recovered off the 1.4126 low, RSI(14) back near mid-range at 56 — no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4152, 1.4160
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4160 pivot opens 1.4174
Break below 1.4130 support exposes 1.4075
BoC (Wed) and US CPI (Tue) are the near-term catalysts
USDCAD ground back to 1.41475 during NY hours after basing at the 1.41247 session low, with buyers stepping in near 1.4130 twice. Price is mid-range under the 1.41518 session high; RSI(14) neutral near 57, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.4134, 1.41247, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41518, 1.41724
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41518 opens the path back to 1.41724
Loss of 1.41300 confirms a lower low toward 1.41247
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed 13:45 UTC are the key cross-market risks that can override this range read
16:16 UTC
Downdrift stalling into range · RSI 49 · price 1.41405
Ranging under session high, higher lows forming.
USDCAD faded from the session high at 1.41742 to 1.41247 during NY hours, then recovered into a tight 1.41340–1.41450 range, RSI(14) flat near 49. Oil-driven CAD support keeps the pair heavy while the broader 1.4160 pivot caps upside; higher lows are building off 1.41247.
Support: 1.4134, 1.41247, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4145, 1.41518, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41450 range top opens a retest of 1.41518
Loss of 1.41340 range low exposes 1.41247 session low again
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next cross-market risk into this read
16:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 1.41405
Consolidation between session low and high.
USDCAD is grinding in a 1.4126–1.4152 range through the NY session, hovering just under EMA20 near 1.414 with RSI(14) flat around 48. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.4126 to reclaim the mid-range; no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.4126, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41518, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4126 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.4075 area
M15 close above 1.41518 puts the 1.4172 prior high back in play
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Range, mid-range drift · RSI 50 · price 1.4141
Ranging 1.4126-1.4174 after session-high rejection.
USDCAD is ranging 1.4126-1.4174 in the NY session, pinned near 1.4141 after the session-high rejection at 1.4174 faded into a 1.4126 low. Oil strength is supporting CAD but a firm USD offsets it, keeping price mid-range with RSI(14) neutral around 49.
Support: 1.4130, 1.4126
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.4174
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4130 support opens 1.4126 session low and lower
Reclaim of 1.4160 pivot needed to re-target the 1.4174 session high
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst that can break this range
16:02 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 1.4141
Consolidation after intraday dip and recovery.
USDCAD dipped to a session low at 1.4126 then recovered, now pinned around 1.4141 and ranging 1.4126–1.4152 with RSI(14) flat near 50. Price sits on the EMA20 but under the EMA50, consistent with the digest's 'stuck ~1.4160' read as traders sit tight ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.4126, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4152, 1.4172
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4152 session high opens the path back to 1.4172 prior high
Break below 1.4126 session low exposes the 1.4130 pivot area failing
USDCAD sold off from 1.4174 into a 1.41247 day low then bounced, and is now chopping mid-range around 1.4140 with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Price recovered roughly half the down-leg before stalling; 1.4152 session high caps and 1.4133 is holding on the pullback.
Support: 1.4133, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41518, 1.41595
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41518 opens the path back toward 1.41595
Failure to hold 1.41330 exposes the 1.41247 day low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key USDCAD catalyst and could break this range
15:46 UTC
Sideways, no clear intraday direction · RSI 49 · price 1.41405
Ranging mid-band after fade from day high.
USDCAD faded from the 1.41742 day high to a 1.41260 session low, then bounced to 1.41518 and is now stalling near 1.41405 mid-range during NY hours. RSI(14) neutral around 49, price hugging EMA20 with no momentum edge; oil and Tue US CPI keep the pair pinned per the digest.
Support: 1.4126, 1.4134
Resistance: 1.41518, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41518 reopens the 1.41742 day high
Break below 1.41260 exposes 1.41300 support region
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the main catalyst that could break this range
15:31 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 1.41384
Mid-range after failed push above 1.4152.
USDCAD is ranging 1.4125–1.4172 with price pinned mid-range near 1.4138, offered after failing to hold above 1.4152 in the last hour. RSI(14) sits neutral around 46, ATR near 9 pips; traders sitting tight ahead of Tuesday's US CPI and Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.41247, 1.4113
Resistance: 1.41518, 1.41724
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4152 reopens the 1.4172 session high
Break below 1.4125 session low exposes the 1.4130 range floor
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could break this range on either side
15:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 1.41384
Consolidation inside a tight intraday range.
USDCAD is chopping between roughly 1.4126 and 1.4152 through the NY session, price pinned near 1.4140 with RSI(14) neutral around 47. The pair remains flat as a firm USD and oil-supported CAD offset each other; a spike to 1.41518 was faded back into the range.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41518, 1.4160
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41518 would break the session high and extend toward the 1.4160 pivot
Loss of 1.4130 support opens 1.41247 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
USDCAD faded from the session high at 1.4174 to a low of 1.4125 during NY hours, then recovered to consolidate near 1.4139, roughly a 38% retrace of that drop. RSI(14) sits neutral around 47 with price pinned between 1.4130 support and the 1.4148 swing high; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41476, 1.41742
What it said to watch
close below 1.4130 support opens 1.4125 session low
reclaim of 1.41476 swing high needed to challenge session high 1.4174
Waller speaks 16:30 UTC — could shift this read intraday
15:16 UTC
Sideways, no clear momentum · RSI 48 · price 1.41389
Intraday range, mid-range chop.
NY session has USDCAD boxed between the session low at 1.41247 and the 1.41518 high, price hovering mid-range near the EMA20 with RSI(14) flat around 48. No directional setup in play; the pair is pinned as traders sit tight ahead of US CPI Tuesday and the BoC hold Wednesday.
Support: 1.41247, 1.41321
Resistance: 1.41518, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41518 opens the path back to 1.41742
Close below 1.41247 exposes the 1.4130 support zone
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the primary catalyst that could break this range
USDCAD is churning near 1.4140 after fading from the 1.41742 high to a 1.41247 session low, with buyers stepping in twice around 1.4125-1.4132. Price now sits mid-range as traders park ahead of Tuesday's US CPI; RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 1.41321, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41518, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41518 opens the path back toward 1.41742
Loss of 1.41247 confirms a fresh session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the binary USD-side risk that could break this range
15:02 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.41427
Choppy range after recovery off 1.4125 low.
NY afternoon has USDCAD ranging 1.4130–1.4150, chopping either side of the EMAs after buyers absorbed the dip to 1.4125. A spike to 1.41518 was rejected and faded back to mid-range; RSI(14) flat near 49, no momentum edge.
Support: 1.41321, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41476, 1.41518
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41518 opens the path back toward 1.4174
Loss of 1.41247 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC is the binary USD-side risk that could break this range
14:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 1.41437
Range-bound between session low and high, mid-range now.
USDCAD is chopping in a 1.4126–1.4152 range with price back at the middle near 1.4144 after a recovery off the session low. RSI(14) is neutral around 50 and the pair is pinned to its EMAs, with oil headlines and the US CPI/BoC risk cluster keeping traders parked.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4152, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4152 opens a retest of the 1.4172 prior high
Loss of 1.4126 session low confirms a lower-low and range break
US CPI / BoC decision this week could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 1.41437
Recovering off intraday lows, mid-range.
NY session has USDCAD chopping between 1.41247 and 1.41518 after fading the 1.41724 high; buyers stepped in twice near 1.4126 and price now sits mid-range at 1.4144, RSI(14) flat around 49. No setup in play while the range holds.
Support: 1.41247, 1.4134
Resistance: 1.41518, 1.41724
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41518 opens the path back to 1.41724
Loss of 1.41247 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
US CPI (Tue) then BoC (Wed) are the week's binary risk for this pair
14:32 UTC
Ranging after intraday decline · RSI 48 · price 1.41376
Mid-range between 1.4126 low and 1.4174 high.
NY afternoon has USDCAD chopping mid-range after the earlier slide from 1.4174 to 1.4125. The last bar spiked to 1.41518 and was rejected straight back to 1.4137, with RSI(14) hovering neutral near 47. Loonie stayed firm on the oil bid but capped ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.4136, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41448, 1.41518, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41518 reopens the 1.4174 day high
Loss of 1.41247 confirms a fresh lower-low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could reset this range
USDCAD is ranging 1.4126-1.4174 through the NY session, with the last bar sweeping up to 1.41518 before rejecting back to 1.41376 — RSI(14) neutral near 46. Loonie stayed pinned near 1.4160 on the oil bid offsetting a firm dollar, with traders parked ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.4126, 1.4134
Resistance: 1.41518, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41518 reopens 1.41742
Loss of 1.41260 confirms a lower low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key USD catalyst and can break this range
USD/CAD sold off through the London-NY transition to a session low at 1.41247, then recovered and has been ranging 1.41339–1.41476 into NY hours. Price sits mid-range at 1.41428, holding above EMA20 but capped below the session high; pair stuck near value with US CPI (Tue) awaited.
Support: 1.41247, 1.41339
Resistance: 1.41476, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41247 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside
Close above 1.41476 extends the recovery toward the 1.41742 prior high
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key USD catalyst that could break this range
14:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 50 · price 1.41428
Bounce from 1.4125, capped near 1.4148.
USDCAD sold from 1.4174 into 1.4125 during NY hours before buyers stepped in twice near 1.4125; recovery stalled at 1.4148 with the pair now hovering at 1.4143. Price sits pinned between the 1.4125 swing low and the descending session-high cap, no clean setup in play ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.41247, 1.4120
Resistance: 1.41476, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4148 opens the path back to 1.4170
Failure to hold 1.4125 confirms a lower low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst and can override this range read
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.41438
Lower highs, session low held twice.
USD/CAD ground lower through the NY session to a low at 1.41247, where buyers stepped in twice for a near double bottom. Price has since recovered to 1.41438, still capped by the lower-high sequence and holding below the 1.41476 recent high; digest keeps the pair sticky near 1.4160 into US CPI and BoC.
Support: 1.41247, 1.4134
Resistance: 1.41476, 1.41645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41476 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.41247 confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD carved a session low near 1.4125 during NY hours and has since recovered to 1.4144, holding a shallow higher-low chain. Price is sticky mid-range as traders sit sidelined ahead of US CPI, with oil-driven CAD support offset by a firm USD.
Support: 1.4134, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.41476, 1.41645
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41476 opens a retest of prior high 1.41645
Loss of 1.41247 session low confirms a lower-low
Waller (16:30 UTC) and US CPI (Tue) could materially shift this read
Pullback into range after double bottom at 1.4126.
USDCAD sold off from the 1.4174 session high through the London-NY transition to a 1.4126 low, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom. Price has since recovered to 1.4142, RSI(14) back near 52; the bounce stalled at 1.41476 with the broader range still intact.
Support: 1.41247, 1.4134
Resistance: 1.41476, 1.41589, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41476 opens the path back toward 1.41589
USDCAD sold off from the 1.41742 session high to a 1.41250 double bottom, then recovered to mid-range around 1.41420 with RSI back near 50. Pair sticky and directionless ahead of the US CPI / BoC week; no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.4126, 1.4134
Resistance: 1.41476, 1.41645, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41476 opens the path back to 1.41645 / 1.41742
Failure to hold 1.41260 confirms a fresh lower low
Lower highs into 1.4126 session low, bounce underway.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session into a 1.4126 session low, printing a twin low there before bouncing to 1.4142. RSI(14) recovering back toward mid-range from the lows; USD firm on haven flows keeps the pair sticky under the 1.4172 session high.
Support: 1.4126, 1.4135
Resistance: 1.4145, 1.4172
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4145 swing high opens the path back toward 1.4172
Break of 1.4126 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Waller speech ~16:30 GMT could shift the USD read intraday
USDCAD slid from 1.41724 through the NY session to a 1.41247 low, then bounced to reclaim 1.41400 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range. Price now sits between 1.41247 and the 1.41448 recent high, oil-driven CAD strength offset by a firm dollar.
Support: 1.41247, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41448, 1.4160, 1.41724
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41247 confirms a lower low, opening 1.41300 breakdown toward 1.4130 digest support
Reclaim of 1.41448 puts the 1.41600 session high back in play
US CPI Tue and BoC Wed are the near-term catalysts that could break this range
Lower highs off session high, basing near session low.
USDCAD faded from the 1.41742 session high through NY to print a low at 1.41247, then stalled and is consolidating around 1.41370 as a firm USD offsets the oil tailwind on CAD. RSI(14) near 48, no extreme; price capped under the descending lower highs with the 1.41430 swing as the near line to reclaim.
Support: 1.41247, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4143
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41430 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.41247 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.41300 break
Waller speech (~16:30 GMT) could shift the USD read
USDCAD drifted lower through the NY session, printing lower highs off 1.4172 and basing at 1.4125 before a shallow bounce to 1.4137; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range. Pair stays sticky near the 1.4130 pivot as a firm USD offsets the oil-driven CAD bid ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.4125, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4125 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.4143 swing high would neutralise the downtrend read
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
13:03 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.41333
Lower highs, low at 1.41247 held.
USDCAD ground lower through the London-NY session, printing lower highs from the 1.41742 session peak into a 1.41247 low. Buyers stepped in there for a bounce to 1.41415, now fading back to 1.41333 — price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.41247, 1.4120
Resistance: 1.41415, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41415 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.41247 opens the 1.41200 round level
US CPI Tue and BoC Wed could reset this range
13:03 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.41333
Lower highs, testing swing low.
USDCAD ground lower through the NY session in a chain of lower highs off the 1.41742 session high, printing a session low at 1.41247 before a shallow bounce to 1.41333. Price trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43; the firm USD safe-haven bid is offset by oil-supported CAD, keeping the tape heavy but slow.
Support: 1.41247, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.41415, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41415 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.41247 confirms continuation toward 1.41171
Lower highs and lower lows into session low, minor recovery.
USDCAD ground lower through the NY session, printing a chain of lower highs off 1.41742 down to a 1.41247 session low, RSI cooling with the slide. Buyers stepped in around 1.41250 and price is recovering toward the 1.41430 swing high; pair remains sticky near 1.4135 with CAD backed by firm oil into Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.41247, 1.4121
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41430 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.41247 session low confirms continuation to 1.41210
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows; minor bounce off session low.
USDCAD slipped from the 1.4174 session high in a descending channel, printing a low at 1.41247 before a shallow bounce to 1.41430 during NY hours. Price now hovers at 1.41351, below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-40s — no reversal signal, just a pause after the leg down.
Support: 1.41247, 1.4113
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.4160, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41247 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.4113
Reclaim of 1.41430 opens the path back to 1.41600
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reset the USD leg and this read
Lower highs off 1.4174, session low held twice near 1.4125.
USD/CAD sold off from the 1.4174 session high down to 1.4125, where buyers stepped in twice during NY hours. Price is bouncing back toward the 1.4142 swing high with RSI(14) recovering from mid-range; a broad USD bid and soft oil frame the drift.
Support: 1.41247, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41415, 1.41603, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41415 opens a retest of 1.4160
Loss of 1.41247 confirms a lower low toward the 1.4130 pivot
Lower highs off session high, holding above 1.4125.
USDCAD leaked from the 1.41742 session high down to 1.41247 through NY hours, then snapped back to 1.4140 at the EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 50. Firm USD keeps the pair sticky above 1.41; the move reads consolidative rather than trending, no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.41247, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.4165, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41430 eases downside pressure toward 1.41650
Break of 1.41247 confirms a lower low, opening 1.4130 then below
USDCAD leaked lower through the session from the 1.41742 high, printing a chain of lower highs and lows into a 1.41247 session low before a bounce back to 1.41391. Price is grinding under EMA20/EMA50 with the 1.41 area still holding; USD safe-haven bid keeps the pair sticky above support.
Support: 1.41247, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41247 confirms continuation toward 1.41171
Reclaim of 1.41430 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst for the USD leg
USDCAD drifted lower through the NY session from the 1.4174 session high toward the 1.4130 pivot, tracking a firm USD bid ahead of Tuesday's US CPI. Session low 1.41247 was tested with only a shallow bounce back to 1.4133; RSI(14) cooling near 39.
Support: 1.41247, 1.4130, 1.4116
Resistance: 1.4161, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41247 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4116
Reclaim of 1.4160 negates the intraday downtrend
Fed Waller 16:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, testing support · RSI 42 · price 1.41332
Lower highs into 1.4126 session low.
USDCAD drifted lower through the NY session off the 1.4172 session high, printing lower highs and now probing the 1.4126 pivot/support zone that context flags. Firm USD kept the pair sticky above 1.41 despite Friday's Canadian jobs beat; RSI(14) near 42, no oversold stretch yet.
Support: 1.41247, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.4165, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4126 confirms a lower low and opens 1.4075
Reclaim of 1.4143 would break the descending high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed 13:45 UTC could override this intraday read
USDCAD sold off from the session high at 1.41742 through the London hours, printing successive lower highs and lows into 1.41278 with the 1.4130 area now giving way. Move is USD-led and RSI(14) near 36 shows momentum still soft, not yet oversold, ahead of tomorrow's US CPI.
Support: 1.41247, 1.41075
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41247 session low opens the 1.41075 socgen level
Reclaim of 1.41430 minor swing would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst for this pair
USDCAD has ground lower through the NY session, printing a chain of lower highs from 1.41742 down to the 1.41247 session low, with price now pressing the 1.4130 support flagged by the desk. RSI(14) near 37 and no oversold extreme yet; move is USD-driven consolidation ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41247
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Break and close below 1.4130 opens the 1.4075 area
Reclaim of 1.4143 lower high would neutralise the descending sequence
Waller speaks 16:30 UTC — USD headline risk within the session
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.4172 week high and is grinding lower through the NY session, now pressing the 1.4130 support flagged by SocGen with the session low at 1.4126. Move is USD-led into Tuesday's US CPI; a sustained break below 1.4126 opens 1.4108/1.4075.
Support: 1.4126, 1.41075
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.4172
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41260 confirms continuation toward 1.4075
Reclaim of 1.41430 negates the lower-high sequence
Waller speaking 16:30 UTC could shift the USD tone
USDCAD has been grinding lower through the NY session from the 1.41742 high, breaking below prior support at 1.41320 to print a fresh session low at 1.41276, RSI(14) near 33. Move is broadly USD-driven ahead of Tuesday's US CPI; price is trading below both EMAs with no sign of a base yet.
Support: 1.4126, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4142, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41420 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.41260 opens the path toward 1.41000
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst that could reshape this read
11:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, testing support · RSI 40 · price 1.4131
Lower highs, grinding into 1.4130.
NY session drifting lower off the 1.4174 session high, price pressing the 1.4130 support flagged by SocGen with RSI(14) near 40. Move is USD-driven on the Iran-led safe-haven bid rather than CAD-specific; sellers capping each bounce below 1.4155.
USDCAD ground down through the session from the 1.4174 high to a fresh session low at 1.4126, price now hugging 1.4131 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39. Move is more USD-driven than CAD-specific, drifting ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.4126, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4142, 1.4165, 1.4174
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4126 opens 1.4110 then 1.4075
Reclaim of 1.4142 would stall the lower-high sequence
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.4174 session high and is grinding to fresh lows near 1.4127, a USD-driven leg with lower highs intact. Price sits on the 1.4130 support flagged by the digest, RSI(14) around 36 but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.4127, 1.4130, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4142, 1.4165, 1.4174
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4127 confirms a lower low, opening 1.4075
Reclaim of 1.4142 would break the chain of lower highs
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key external catalyst that could reset this read
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 36 · price 1.4129
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCAD ground lower through the London-NY transition, breaking the 1.4130 support flagged by the desk and printing a fresh session low at 1.41275, RSI(14) around 36. Move is USD-driven on the safe-haven bid; price sits just under the broken level.
Support: 1.41275, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41411
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4130 would neutralise the breakdown read
Sustained trade below 1.41275 confirms the lower-low extension toward 1.4110
Waller speaks 16:30 UTC — could shift the USD tone intrabar
USDCAD rolled off the session high at 1.41742 down to 1.41321, a USD-driven slide, and is now consolidating in a tight 1.4132-1.4143 band. Move reads more USD-flow than CAD-specific with US CPI the near-term catalyst; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41321 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.4130
Reclaim above 1.41430 negates the consolidation and reopens 1.41742
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD drifted lower through London off the session high at 1.41742, printing lower highs into a base around 1.41321; the move is USD-led ahead of Tuesday US CPI rather than CAD-specific. Now hovering at 1.41354 between 1.41321 and the 1.41437 swing, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41437, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41321 opens the 1.4130 support, then 1.4075
Close back above 1.41437 challenges the 1.41742 session high
Sold off from session high, now consolidating above session low.
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.41742 session high into a 42-pip leg down to 1.41321, a USD-driven drift more than a CAD story ahead of US CPI. Twin lows near 1.41320 have held and price is now consolidating 1.41340-1.41430 below EMA20/50, RSI mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.4132, 1.4120
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.4160, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41320 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.41200
Reclaim of 1.41430 puts the 1.41600 mid-range back in play
Waller speaks 16:30 UTC; US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
USDCAD rolled off the 1.41742 session high into 1.41321 through early London, a USD-driven leg with the pair holding below EMA20. Price has since stabilised near 1.41400 with RSI(14) mid-range around 43; consolidating under the descending lower-highs line into the NY session.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4113
Resistance: 1.41645, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41645 breaks the descending lower-highs line
Failure to hold 1.41321 opens 1.41130
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key external catalyst for this pair
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.4174 session high in a chain of lower highs, bottoming at 1.4132 before stalling around 1.4140 into London hours; move is USD-driven on the safe-haven bid rather than CAD-specific. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows to the mid-40s while price holds below EMA20/EMA50 — a shallow bounce inside the downdraft.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.4162, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4143 breaks the intraday descending resistance and eyes 1.4162
Failure to hold 1.4132 confirms a lower low toward 1.4130
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term USD catalyst
USD/CAD faded from the 1.4174 session high through Asian hours to 1.4132 on softening USD demand, then stabilised near 1.4140. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s; 1.4132 support has held once, 1.4160 caps the recovery.
Support: 1.41321, 1.41216
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4132 confirms a lower low toward 1.4120
Reclaim of 1.4160 negates the down-leg read
Waller speaks 16:30 UTC — could shift the USD tone
Lower highs off 1.4174, holding above session low.
USDCAD faded from the 1.4174 session high to a 1.4132 low, printing lower highs on the way down before a shallow bounce back to 1.4140. Move is USD-driven on the safe-haven bid; RSI(14) mid-range near 44 with no momentum extreme into Tuesday US CPI.
Support: 1.4132, 1.41075
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.4159, 1.4174
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.41430 then 1.41590 negates the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.41320 session low opens the 1.41075 area
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term USD catalyst that could reset this read
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.41398
Lower highs into 1.4132 low, small recovery.
USD/CAD rolled over from the 1.41742 session high through NY, sliding to 1.41321 where buyers stepped in twice; price now consolidating near 1.4140 below EMA20/50. Move is USD-driven into Tuesday's US CPI, RSI(14) recovering off the mid-40s.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41321 opens the 1.4110 context support
Reclaim of the 1.4165 intraday pivot negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst for this pair
Lower highs off session high, holding session low.
London session drifted lower after topping at 1.41742, printing a chain of lower highs into a session low of 1.41321. A small bounce to 1.41412 is underway with RSI(14) recovering from the low 40s; price still sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41642, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41321 opens the 1.41300 support flagged in the CAD read
Reclaim of 1.41642 needed to break the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term USD driver for this pair
London hours saw USDCAD roll over from the 1.41742 session high, printing lower highs into a 1.41321 swing low before a shallow bounce to 1.4141. The move is USD-led into Tuesday's US CPI; price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI near 43.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41321 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 1.4130 psych
Reclaim of 1.41430 bounce cap would ease the downside pressure
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst for this pair
USDCAD sold off through the London session from the 1.41742 high to 1.41321, printing a clean run of lower highs. Price is bouncing modestly to 1.414 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the move is USD-driven ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41321 extends the down leg toward 1.41300
Reclaim of 1.41600 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst for this pair
Lower highs from 1.4174, tagged 1.4132 then recovered.
USDCAD drifted lower through the session from 1.4174 in a chain of lower highs, printing 1.4132 before a modest bounce back to 1.4140. Move is more USD-driven than CAD-specific ahead of Tuesday US CPI; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41645, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4165 breaks the lower-high chain and negates the downtrend read
Failure to hold 1.4132 confirms a lower-low toward 1.4130
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst for this pair
09:16 UTC
Downtrend into support · RSI 42 · price 1.41382
Lower highs, testing session low.
USDCAD rejected at 1.41742 and sold off through the London hours, printing lower highs into a 1.41321 session low before a shallow bounce to 1.41382. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41; the 1.4130 support just underneath is the pivot in focus.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41320 opens the 1.4130 support then lower
Reclaim of 1.41600 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst for this pair
USDCAD rolled over through the London session, printing lower highs off 1.41742 and tagging 1.41321 before a shallow bounce to 1.41382 — move is USD-driven ahead of Tuesday US CPI. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41, no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41321 confirms continuation toward the 1.4130 support
M15 close back above 1.41650 breaks the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key external catalyst for this pair
09:03 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 35 · price 1.41362
Lower highs into session low.
London session drove USD/CAD lower off the 1.4174 high, breaking the 1.4160 consolidation and printing a session low at 1.4132 as CAD stays firm after Friday's jobs beat. RSI(14) near 35 and price sits below EMA20/50; the 1.4130 pivot is the immediate line in the sand.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4130 pivot opens the path toward 1.4075
Reclaim of 1.4160 intraday res would neutralise the leg lower
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the main CAD catalyst this week
London session broke below the 1.4152 shelf and pressed a fresh session low at 1.41321 before steadying near 1.41362, RSI(14) subdued in the high-30s. Sequence of lower highs off the 1.41742 pivot keeps the intraday tilt lower ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4130, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41520 negates the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.4130 opens the path toward 1.4075
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the main CAD catalyst
USDCAD rolled over through the London morning, breaking down from the 1.4160s and printing a session low at 1.41321 as CAD holds its post-jobs firmness. RSI(14) near 33 with price stacked below both EMAs; the descending sequence of lower highs off 1.41742 remains intact.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41646, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4130 psych opens the path toward 1.4075
Reclaim above the 1.41646 lower high would neutralise the downside break
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue sit outside this window but are the week's catalysts
London session has slid off the 1.4174 session high, breaking through the 1.4160 swing pivot to press the 1.4130 pivot, with CAD firm after Friday's jobs beat. RSI(14) near 33 and cooling but not yet stretched; no reversal signal in play.
Support: 1.4132, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.4174
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4130 pivot opens the path toward 1.4075
Reclaim of 1.4160 swing pivot negates the intraday downside
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the main CAD catalyst this week
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 32 · price 1.41365
Lower highs, pressing fresh session low.
London session drove USDCAD down through 1.4160 to a fresh session low near 1.4132, extending CAD strength after Friday's jobs beat. RSI(14) around 31 as the pair prints lower highs; the 1.4130 pivot is now the tell.
Support: 1.4132, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4162
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4130 opens the path toward 1.4075
Reclaim of 1.4162 negates the lower-high sequence
Waller remarks (16:30 UTC) could shift the USD read
London-hours slide off the 1.41742 session high, breaking lower to a 1.41321 session low before steadying near 1.41365; RSI(14) around 34, price under EMA20/50. Sellers pressed a clean chain of lower highs, with 1.4130 the near-term support pivot flagged into Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41645, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4130 opens 1.4075 per context
Reclaim of 1.41645 negates the lower-high chain
BoC hold Wed 13:45 UTC is the main CAD catalyst this week
USDCAD sold off through the London morning, breaking the 1.4155 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 1.41321, RSI(14) near 32. The move extends the lower-high sequence off the 1.41724 session high; price trades below EMA20/50 with no bounce yet established.
Support: 1.41321, 1.4130, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41724
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4130 opens the path toward 1.4075
Reclaim of 1.41600 pivot needed to negate this leg lower
Fed's Waller (16:30 UTC) could inject USD volatility
London session grinding lower off the 1.4174 high, price now breaking through the 1.4130 pivot (SocGen) after four consecutive red bars. RSI(14) sub-35 as the decline extends. BoC decision Wednesday remains the main CAD catalyst.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41742
What it said to watch
A close below 1.4130 opens the path toward 1.4075
Reclaim of 1.4160 swing would negate the breakdown
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
London session grinding lower, printing lower highs off the 1.4174 swing top with price now pressing the session low at 1.4142; RSI(14) sub-35 but not yet washed out. Move sits above the 1.4130 pivot flagged into Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.41422, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4162, 1.41724
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4130 opens the path toward 1.4075
Reclaim of 1.41620 breaks the lower-high sequence
BoC decision and US CPI Wed are the dominant catalysts for this pair
08:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 35 · price 1.41432
Lower highs, pressing session low.
London session grinding lower after rejection at the 1.41742 session high, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s. Price is carving lower highs and now testing the session low near 1.41422, with the 1.4130 pivot the next reference below.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41422
Resistance: 1.4168, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Break below 1.4130 opens the path toward 1.4075
Reclaim of 1.41680 negates the lower-high sequence
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 1.41485
Faded from session high, testing lows.
USDCAD rejected the session high at 1.41742 and rolled over through the London session, now pressing the session low near 1.41485 with RSI(14) sub-40. Lower highs stack from 1.41742 as the pair unwinds the earlier rally.
Support: 1.41483, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41598, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41483 opens the 1.4130 range support
Reclaim of 1.41598 would stall the intraday slide
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could reset this read entirely
USDCAD rejected the session high at 1.41742 and has ground lower through London hours, now pressing the 1.4145 session low with RSI(14) near 35. Chain of lower highs intact; CAD stays firm after Friday's jobs beat pinned the pair near 1.4160.
Support: 1.4145, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4164, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Break below 1.4145 opens the 1.4130 range support
Reclaim of 1.4164 breaks the lower-high sequence
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could reset this read
07:31 UTC
Mild downdrift off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.41537
Range, pressing lows.
USDCAD faded from the 1.41742 session high through the Asia-London handover, slipping back to the lower end of the 1.41506–1.41742 range near 1.41537. Sellers capped the 1.4170 area twice; RSI(14) mid-40s, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41506 opens 1.4130 context support
Reclaim of 1.4170 negates the intraday downdrift
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed could reset this range
USDCAD peaked at 1.41742 early in the session then drifted lower in a sequence of lower highs, now pressing the 1.41506 session low with price under EMA20/50. CAD stays firm after Friday's jobs beat; BoC Wed and next-week US CPI are the decisive catalysts.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4168, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Break below 1.41506 opens the 1.4130 range low
Reclaim of 1.4168 negates the lower-high sequence
BoC hold Wed 13:45 UTC could reshape this read
07:16 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 45 · price 1.41597
Post-open range, lower highs into mid-range.
Price pushed up to a session high at 1.41742 after the open, then faded through a series of lower highs to sit mid-range near 1.4160, back below EMA20/50. RSI(14) cooling near 45; still boxed between 1.41506 and 1.41742 with BoC (Wed) the dominant catalyst ahead.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41705, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Break below 1.41506 opens the path toward 1.4150 psych
M15 close above 1.41742 session high negates the lower-high sequence
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 48 · price 1.41597
Intraday range, mid-range.
USDCAD is chopping between the 1.41506 session low and the 1.41742 session high, price mid-range near 1.4160 with RSI(14) flat around 47. No directional structure in play after CAD firmed on Friday's jobs beat; Bowman speech (~09:25 UTC) is the next near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.41705
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41742 opens the path back toward 1.4170s and above
Break below 1.41506 targets the 1.4130 range base
Bowman speech ~09:25 UTC could inject volatility into this range
07:02 UTC
Rangebound, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 1.41626
Range between 1.4150 and 1.4174, mid-range now.
USDCAD is chopping mid-range after rejection at the 1.41742 session high, with buyers stepping in near 1.4150 twice. CAD stays firm after Friday's jobs beat; price sits back on EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral at 51.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 opens the path to the 1.4200 pivot
Loss of 1.4150 exposes the 1.4130 range base
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Post-weekend open gapped to 1.41492, popped to a session high at 1.41742, and has since faded into a 1.4150–1.4174 range with RSI(14) hovering near 50. Price is coiling just under EMA20/50 with no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4174, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4174 reopens the 1.4200 area
Loss of 1.4150 exposes the 1.4130 range support
Bowman/Waller speeches today could inject volatility ahead of Tue US CPI
06:46 UTC
Ranging, mild pullback · RSI 46 · price 1.41613
Range between 1.4150 and 1.4174.
Asian-session Monday chop, ranging 1.4150–1.4174 after Friday's CAD jobs beat pushed USDCAD to a 2-week low near 1.4136 before stabilising. Price rejected the 1.41742 session high and drifted back through EMA20; buyers stepped in twice at 1.4150. RSI(14) neutral near 46, ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4150 opens the 1.4130 range low
Reclaim of 1.41742 session high revives the upside
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
USD/CAD is ranging through the Asia-into-London hours, pinned near 1.4160 after tagging a session high at 1.41742 and fading. Price sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral around 44; CAD holds a firmer tone after Friday's jobs beat while the market waits on Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 breaks the session high and opens 1.41800
Break below 1.41506 confirms a lower low toward 1.41300
BoC decision Wed and US CPI tomorrow are the dominant catalysts for this pair
06:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.41603
Lower highs into 1.4160, range floor 1.4150.
USDCAD faded from the session high at 1.41742 and is grinding lower highs into 1.4160 on thin early-session volume, RSI mid-range. Pair remains pinned around 1.4160 into Wednesday's BoC decision, with the 1.41506 session floor holding on the last dip.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.41705
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41742 breaks the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.41506 opens the 1.4130 range support
BoC hold Wed 13:45 UTC (guidance-driven) is the dominant catalyst
06:31 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 49 · price 1.41603
Range-bound between 1.4150 and 1.4174.
USDCAD is ranging 1.4150-1.4174 through the Asia-London handover, with the session high at 1.41742 rejected and buyers stepping in near 1.41506. RSI(14) sits neutral around 49 and price is hovering just under the moving averages — no setup in play.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 opens the path back toward 1.4200
Break below 1.41506 exposes the 1.4130 range support
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 1.41609
Session range, mid-band.
Asian session carved a 1.4150–1.4174 range; the early push to the 1.41742 session high was rejected and price faded back to mid-band near 1.4161 into the London open, roughly a 50% retrace of the down leg. No clean intraday structure in play — thin, two-way trade ahead of Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4152
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 breaks the session high and opens the upper range
Loss of 1.41506 confirms a lower low and shifts the range lower
BoC decision Wed is the dominant catalyst and will override this range read
Asian session opened firm near 1.4174 then faded to 1.41506, where buyers stepped in and lifted price back toward 1.416. Pair sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral around 52; no clean setup, chop between the 1.41506 low and 1.41742 high.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41506 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4130 range support
Reclaim of 1.41742 session high would end the range read
BoC hold Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst ahead — not in the next 8h
06:02 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 50 · price 1.41622
Ranging between 1.4150 and 1.4174.
USDCAD is pinned near 1.4160 in the Asian session, drifting off the 1.41742 session high back to a 1.41506 low before recovering. Price holds inside a tight 1.4150–1.4174 range with RSI(14) flat near 50 — no intraday setup in play as the pair coils ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41724, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41506 opens the path toward 1.41300 range support
Reclaim of 1.41724 puts the 1.41742 session high back in play
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue are the dominant catalysts that would break this range
06:02 UTC
Sideways, no clear momentum · RSI 52 · price 1.41622
Range-bound after intraday pullback.
USDCAD is chopping in the 1.41506–1.41742 range through the Asia session, pinned near 1.4160 after CAD's jobs-beat strength late last week. Price rejected 1.41742 and dipped to 1.41506 before buyers lifted it back to mid-range; RSI(14) neutral near 51, price just under both EMAs.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 session high opens room back toward 1.4200
Break below 1.41506 exposes 1.41300 range support
BoC decision Wed is the dominant near-term catalyst
05:46 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.41589
Faded from 1.4174, holding 61.8% retrace.
Thin Monday open rallied to a session high of 1.41742 then got rejected, fading to 1.41506 before bouncing to sit around the 61.8% retrace near 1.4159. CAD stayed firm into the week after Friday's jobs beat; price is coiling ahead of Wednesday's BoC decision.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4170
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41506 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4130 range support
Reclaim of 1.41700 negates the intraday fade
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
05:46 UTC
Intraday drift lower off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.41589
Lower highs, testing session lows.
USDCAD pushed up to 1.41742 early in the session then rolled over, printing lower highs and now retesting the 1.41506–1.41520 session floor near 1.4159. Pair remains pinned around 1.4160 with CAD firmer after Friday's jobs beat; range-bound into the BoC hold.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4168
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41506 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4130
Reclaim of 1.41680 negates the lower-high sequence
BoC hold/guidance Wed is the dominant catalyst for this pair
05:31 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.41601
Capped near 1.4174, lower highs into Asia.
USDCAD ran to a 1.41742 session high early in Asia, then faded back to 1.416 on a chain of lower highs, price now under EMA20/50. Pair pinned in its post-jobs-beat range as CAD stays firm and USD sits near three-week lows; ATR is thin at ~4 pips.
Support: 1.41506, 1.41492, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.41705
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41506 session low opens 1.4130 range support
Close back above 1.41742 negates the lower-high sequence
BoC hold Wed and US CPI Tue are the dominant near-term catalysts
Asian-session USDCAD opened after a small weekend gap near 1.41490, ran to a session high of 1.41742, then rolled into a sequence of lower highs. Buyers stepped in near 1.41520 to lift price back to 1.41601; RSI(14) sits mid-range around 44 with price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.4152, 1.4139
Resistance: 1.41705, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 negates the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.41520 opens the 1.41390 range support
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue are the dominant near-term catalysts
05:16 UTC
Short-term downtrend off session high · RSI 39 · price 1.41525
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.41742.
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.41742 session high and has fully retraced the earlier leg up, printing lower highs into 1.41525 with RSI(14) sub-40. CAD firmer after Friday's jobs beat; BoC hold Wed is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41705, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41506 opens 1.4130 range support
Reclaim of 1.41705 negates the lower-high sequence
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could reset this read
05:16 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 41 · price 1.41525
Fading off 1.41742, testing lower band.
Asia session faded from the 1.41742 high back toward the 1.41506 low, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s with price under both EMAs. USDCAD is stabilizing near 1.4160 after Friday's CAD jobs beat; move is corrective rather than a fresh break.
Support: 1.41506, 1.4134
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41506 opens the 1.41340 prior low
Reclaim of 1.41742 puts the session high back in play
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue are the dominant catalysts ahead
Topped at 1.41742, grinding back toward session open.
Asian session ran up from the 1.41490 open to a 1.41742 high, then rejected and faded back to 1.41531 with RSI(14) cooling near 38. Sequence of lower highs since the peak; price now sitting on the lower half of the session range as CAD holds firm after Friday's jobs beat.
Support: 1.4149, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41700 invalidates the lower-highs read
Break below 1.41490 session low opens the path to 1.41300
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue are the near-term catalysts
05:03 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.41531
Lower highs, probing session low.
USDCAD rejected the session high at 1.41742 and has carved a chain of lower highs, now pressing the 1.41529 session low with RSI(14) near 40. CAD firmness after Friday's jobs beat keeps the pair heavy into the BoC hold Wednesday; price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.41529, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41705, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close below 1.41529 opens the 1.4130 range support
Reclaim of 1.41705 negates the lower-high sequence
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
04:47 UTC
Pulling back within session range · RSI 41 · price 1.41573
Post-gap range, lower highs into session low.
Thin Asia session opened post-gap and ranged 1.41560–1.41742; price rejected the 1.41742 session high and has ground back to the low at 1.41573, printing lower highs with RSI cooling toward 40. ATR is minimal at ~4 pips — no momentum in play.
Support: 1.4156, 1.41492
Resistance: 1.41705, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41560 opens the gap low at 1.41492
Reclaim of 1.41705 puts the session high back in play
BoC hold + guidance Wed is the dominant CAD catalyst ahead
Post-weekend open near 1.41492 rallied to a session high at 1.41742, then rolled over into a chain of lower highs, printing 1.41705 on the retest. Price now grinds at 1.41573 just above the session low at 1.41561, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 1.41561, 1.41492
Resistance: 1.41705, 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41561 confirms a lower low toward the 1.41492 open low
Reclaim of 1.41705 needed to re-challenge the 1.41742 session high
BoC hold Wed and US CPI Tue could reset this intraday read
04:31 UTC
Pullback after post-weekend pop · RSI 43 · price 1.41562
Retracing the Asia rally, back near open.
Post-weekend open rallied to 1.41742 then rolled over, and price is back at 1.41562, retracing most of the Asia-session move as CAD holds firm after Friday's jobs beat. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) mid-40s and price back below EMA20.
Support: 1.41492, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41492 opens the 1.4130 range support
Reclaim of 1.41742 needed to resume the Asia-session rally
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and BoC hold (Wed) are the dominant near-term catalysts
04:31 UTC
Session pullback after early pop · RSI 41 · price 1.41562
Rolled over from session high, drifting toward session low.
Monday Asia session opened after the weekend gap and pushed to a session high of 1.41742 before rejecting; price has since drifted back to 1.41562, now sitting below EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 41 as the intraday bid fades, leaving the pair mid-range between 1.41492 and 1.41742.
Support: 1.41492, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4168
What it said to watch
Break below 1.41492 session low opens 1.4130 range base
Reclaim of 1.41680 pivot puts the 1.41742 session high back in play
BoC hold + guidance Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
04:16 UTC
Ranging, mild pullback off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.41607
Consolidation between 1.4158 and 1.4174.
USDCAD is ranging 1.4158–1.4174 in the early week session, drifting back to 1.4160 after tagging the 1.41742 session high, with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price sits just under EMA20/50; no setup in play while the range holds.
Support: 1.41582, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 breaks the session high and opens 1.4170+ extension
Failure to hold 1.41582 exposes the 1.4130 range support
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue are the dominant catalysts that would shift this read
04:16 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 45 · price 1.41607
Post-gap rally faded, now ranging.
USDCAD gapped up out of the weekend and rallied to a session high of 1.41724 before fading back to 1.416, RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Price now sits below EMA20 but holding above the 1.41582 swing low, mid-range and directionless ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.41582, 1.41492
Resistance: 1.41724, 1.41702
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41724 reopens the session-high push
Break below 1.41582 exposes the 1.41492 session low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
04:02 UTC
Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 43 · price 1.41612
Intraday range 1.4159-1.4174, retreating to lows.
USDCAD carved a Monday range between 1.4159 and the 1.41742 session high, then rejected the top and slid back to the range low near 1.41612 — pair pinned around 1.4160 into Wednesday's BoC. RSI(14) mid-range, ATR modest at ~4 pips.
Support: 1.41608, 1.4159, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4171
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4159 opens the 1.4130 support zone
reclaim of 1.41742 session high needed to resume the up-leg
BoC hold Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst
04:02 UTC
Mild pullback within range · RSI 44 · price 1.41612
Ranging under session high, fading from 1.4174.
Asian session Monday, USDCAD drifting near 1.4161 after fading from the 1.41742 session high, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum edge. Price sits back at the session low band having given up the week's early push; CAD firmer after Friday's jobs beat.
Support: 1.41608, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 reopens upside toward 1.4180+
Break below 1.41608 exposes 1.4130 range support
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
03:46 UTC
Early push higher, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.41638
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD reopened after the weekend gap and rallied to a session high at 1.41742 before stalling; price now consolidates 1.4161–1.4172 with RSI(14) near neutral. CAD stays firm after Friday's jobs beat pinned the pair near 1.4160, with Wednesday's BoC hold the dominant catalyst ahead.
Support: 1.4161, 1.41582
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.41705
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 reopens the upside
Loss of 1.4161 exposes 1.41582 prior low
BoC decision Wed could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.41638
Post-gap recovery, now consolidating.
Monday Asia session opened with a small gap lower from Friday's close, then recovered to a session high at 1.41742 where price stalled. Thin holiday-thin volume, now boxed between 1.41610 and 1.41742 with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.4161, 1.41582
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.41705
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 opens the path back toward 1.41800
Loss of 1.41610 exposes the 1.41582 asia low
BoC decision Wed is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Monday Asia reopened after the weekend gap and pushed to 1.41742 before easing back toward 1.4165; CAD stays firm after Friday's jobs beat. Price is now oscillating between 1.4160 and the session high, RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 1.4160, 1.4158, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 extends the post-gap push
Break below 1.41580 opens 1.4130 range base
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
03:31 UTC
Ranging near session highs · RSI 52 · price 1.4165
Consolidation, 1.4162-1.4174 range.
Thin Asia-session reopen has USDCAD chopping in a tight 1.4162-1.4174 band after Friday's CAD jobs beat pinned the pair near 1.4160. Price rejected 1.41742 and is holding mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 52 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4162, 1.4149, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 opens the 1.4200 prior range
Loss of 1.4162 exposes the 1.4149 session low then 1.4130
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI are the dominant catalysts that would reset this range
USDCAD ground higher off the session open at 1.41492 and stalled at 1.41742, now coiling in a tight 1.4161–1.4174 band with ATR compressed near 5 pips. CAD firmed after Friday's jobs beat; price is holding above EMA20/50 but momentum has flattened into the pre-BoC session.
Support: 1.4161, 1.41492, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 reopens continuation higher
Break below 1.41610 signals a lower low and rollover toward 1.41492
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Thin early-Asia Monday trade after a small down gap on the open; USDCAD ground back up to the 1.4174 session high before easing to 1.4168, RSI(14) neutral near 56. Higher lows building off 1.4158/1.4161 but ATR is compressed at ~6 pips — no clean expansion yet.
Support: 1.41615, 1.41582, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 extends the session high push
Loss of 1.41615 breaks the higher-low sequence
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue are the dominant catalysts ahead
Monday Asia reopen is thin (volumes sub-400). USDCAD recovered off the 1.41492 open to print a session high at 1.41742, then eased back; price now consolidates ~1.41678 above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range. CAD stayed firm after Friday's jobs beat but chop is dominant ahead of Wed's BoC hold.
Support: 1.4161, 1.41492
Resistance: 1.41742
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 extends the Asia advance
Loss of 1.41610 exposes the 1.41492 open low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC are the dominant near-term catalysts
Asia session opened after the weekend gap and rallied to a session high at 1.41742 before easing; price now oscillates in a tight 1.4158-1.4174 band, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme. Quiet early-session tone with BoC and US CPI still ahead.
Support: 1.41582
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4171
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 extends the post-gap up move
Loss of 1.41582 opens the gap-fill toward 1.4149
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed are the dominant catalysts that would reshape this read
Recovering off Friday's low, easing from session high.
Asia session clawed back Friday's drop and tagged a session high at 1.41742 before easing to 1.41627. Rejection there with RSI back near neutral; price has slipped under EMA20 with the 1.41582 session low as the near-term floor.
Support: 1.41582, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 resumes the intraday climb toward the 1.4200 round number
Loss of 1.41582 session low exposes the 1.4130 range pivot
BoC Wed and US CPI Tue are the week's catalysts and could reset this read
02:46 UTC
Intraday up, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 1.41627
Higher-lows into 1.4174 then retrace.
Asia session pushed USD/CAD from 1.41492 up to a session high of 1.41742 before rejection stalled the move; price has since retraced to 1.41627, roughly the 46% mark of that leg. CAD firmness after Friday's jobs beat keeps the pair pinned near 1.4160, holding above the 1.41610 swing low.
Support: 1.4161, 1.41582, 1.41492
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.41703
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41610 opens 1.41582 then session open at 1.41492
Reclaim of 1.41742 session high needed to resume the up leg
BoC Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Monday Asia open lifted USDCAD off 1.41589 to a session high of 1.41742 before sellers faded it back to 1.41643 — CAD still firm after Friday's jobs beat. Price now boxed between 1.41615 and 1.41742 with RSI near neutral.
Support: 1.41615, 1.41589
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 extends the asia leg toward 1.41800
Loss of 1.41615 puts 1.41589 asia low back in play
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed are the dominant catalysts
02:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.41643
Consolidating below session high after rejection.
Thin early-Asia trade Monday: USDCAD probed the session high 1.41742 then faded to 1.41616, now steadying near 1.41643 with RSI(14) neutral. CAD stays firm after Friday's jobs beat pushed the pair to three-week lows, but price is boxed 1.41582–1.41742 with no directional follow-through.
Support: 1.4161, 1.41582
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 opens the path back toward 1.41800
Loss of 1.41582 exposes the recent three-week low zone
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant CAD catalyst
Thin early-Asia trade ground USDCAD up from 1.41492 to a session high of 1.41742 before rejection pulled it back toward 1.41640. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s; price now sits between the 1.41610 swing low and the 1.41742 high, no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.4161, 1.41582
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4170
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41610 exposes the 1.41582 session base
Reclaim of 1.41742 would resume the higher-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed are the dominant catalysts ahead
Monday Asia reopened with a slim gap lower to 1.41492 then recovered, tagging a session high at 1.41742 before rejection dragged price back to 1.41641. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the push stalled below the highs; Friday's CAD jobs beat still frames the tone.
Support: 1.4161, 1.41492, 1.41341
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.41702
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41610 exposes the 1.41492 open level
Reclaim of 1.41742 needed to resume the intraday uptrend
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed 13:45 UTC are the dominant catalysts ahead
Monday Asia open climbed off the weekend gap low at 1.41492 to a session high of 1.41742, then rejected and eased back to 1.41624 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Thin early-week volume; pair boxed between 1.41582 and 1.41742 with CAD firmer after Friday's jobs beat.
Support: 1.41582, 1.41492
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.41702
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 extends the session rally toward 1.4200 pivot
Failure to hold 1.41582 opens the gap low at 1.41492
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed 13:45 UTC are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read
Thin Asian reopen rally lifted USDCAD off 1.41492 toward the 1.41742 session high before sellers capped it, price now easing to 1.41624 with RSI cooling to mid-range. CAD is firmer overall after Friday's jobs beat, keeping the pair near three-week lows.
Support: 1.4161, 1.41582, 1.41492
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.41702
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41582 breaks the rising reopen structure
Reclaim of 1.41742 reopens the session high
Liquidity is thin into the Monday open — moves may not hold
USDCAD reopened after the weekend gap and ground higher through the Asian session to a high of 1.41742, buoyed by soft-USD tone near three-week lows; RSI(14) cooling near mid-50s as price slipped back to 1.41651. Move stalled below 1.41700 psych level with the session low at 1.41582 still intact.
Support: 1.4163, 1.41582
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.41742
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.41630 swing low undercuts the higher-low chain
Break above 1.41742 session high extends the uptrend toward the 1.41700 psych retest
BoC hold Wed and US CPI Tue are the dominant catalysts ahead
Recovery off session low, pulling back from session high.
Thin Asia-session Monday trade: USDCAD recovered from the 1.41582 session low to tag a 1.41742 session high before fading to 1.41651, RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range. Loonie remains firm after Friday's jobs beat, keeping the pair capped ahead of Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.41582, 1.41629
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.41702
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 extends the intraday recovery toward 1.4180
Loss of 1.41582 confirms a lower low and negates the recovery
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed 13:45 UTC are the dominant catalysts
01:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.4171
Higher highs into Asia session.
Post-weekend gap opened at 1.4149 and Asia has ground steadily higher to a session high of 1.4174, RSI(14) firm near 63. CAD firmed after Friday's jobs beat but soft oil is blunting the loonie; USD/CAD holding its climb above 1.4158.
Support: 1.4158, 1.4149, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4174, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Break above 1.4174 opens the path toward 1.4200
Loss of 1.4158 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed are the week's catalysts
01:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.4171
Higher highs and higher lows since Asia open.
USDCAD gapped up on the weekly reopen and ground steadily higher through the Asia session, printing a session high at 1.41742 with RSI mid-60s. Price holds above EMA20/50 with a clean HH/HL chain; the loonie's post-jobs firmness has not dented this leg.
Support: 1.4163, 1.41582, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41742, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41742 extends the intraday advance toward 1.4200
Failure to hold 1.41582 breaks the rising sequence
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the near-term CAD catalyst
01:16 UTC
Micro uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 66 · price 1.41711
Higher lows since weekend reopen, testing session high.
Thin early-Asia Monday trade after the weekend reopen at 1.41582; USDCAD has ground higher on a chain of higher lows to press the session high at 1.41724, closing 1.41711. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not stretched, and volumes remain light this early in the session.
Support: 1.41631, 1.41582
Resistance: 1.41724, 1.4177
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41724 opens the path to 1.4177
Failure to hold 1.41631 breaks the higher-low chain
Liquidity picks up as Asia matures; CAD firm from Friday jobs beat still in play
01:16 UTC
Mild intraday uptrend · RSI 63 · price 1.41711
Higher lows into session high.
Asia session grinding higher off the 1.41492 open, USD/CAD pressing the session high at 1.41724 with RSI(14) mid-60s. Loonie stayed firm after yesterday's jobs beat but the topside is capped near 1.41724; each dip has been bought on a higher-low chain.
Support: 1.4166, 1.41582, 1.41492
Resistance: 1.41724, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41724 opens the path toward the 1.4200 round number
Failure to hold 1.41660 breaks the higher-low chain toward the 1.41582 session base
Sunday/Asia open gapped slightly lower to 1.41492 then recovered in a steady HH/HL chain up to the session high at 1.41710, where price is now stalling; RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet hot. CAD firm after Friday's jobs beat but soft oil is capping the loonie, keeping USD/CAD grinding sideways at the top of the intraday range.
Support: 1.4163, 1.41582, 1.41492
Resistance: 1.4171
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41710 opens continuation; failure holds the range
Loss of 1.41630 swing low breaks the rising HL chain
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
Thin Sunday open gapped slightly lower to 1.41492 then buyers lifted price steadily into the low-1.417s, capped at the 1.41710 session high. RSI mid-60s in light holiday-open liquidity; CAD firm after Friday's jobs beat while the soft-USD lean caps topside ahead of Tue US CPI.
Support: 1.4163, 1.41492
Resistance: 1.4171, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41710 opens the path toward 1.42000
Failure to hold 1.41630 higher low targets the 1.41492 sunday open
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed are the near-term catalysts
New week gapped higher to 1.4159 and pushed to a session high of 1.41702 during thin Asia hours, with CAD still firm after Friday's jobs beat. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4163–1.4170 band just under the high, RSI mid-range around 57.
Support: 1.41629, 1.41582, 1.41492
Resistance: 1.41702
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41702 opens room higher
Loss of 1.41629 exposes 1.41582 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed could reset this read
USDCAD is grinding along the session high near 1.41710 after Friday's CAD jobs beat had pulled it off the 1.4135 three-week low. Price is coiling in a tight 1.41630–1.41710 band with RSI(14) cooling from the low-60s; buyers stepped in twice around 1.41630.
Support: 1.4163, 1.41582
Resistance: 1.4171
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41710 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.41630 confirms a lower-low back toward 1.41582
Thin Asian session opened with an early push to the session high at 1.41699, then stalled into a tight 1.41630–1.41699 range. RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR compressed; CAD stays firm after the jobs beat while USD sits soft into Tuesday's CPI.
Support: 1.4163, 1.41582, 1.41492
Resistance: 1.41699, 1.41712
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41699 reopens 1.41712 topside
Loss of 1.41582 confirms a lower-low back toward 1.41492
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's swing event and could reset this read
Early-week Asia trade opened with a gap up to 1.41589, pushed to a session high at 1.41702 and is now consolidating near 1.4166 in thin volume. RSI sits mid-range with ATR under 5 pips, reflecting a muted range after Friday's CAD jobs beat firmed the loonie.
Support: 1.41631, 1.41492
Resistance: 1.41702
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41702 extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 1.41631 opens a retest of the 1.41492 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed are the swing events for this pair
Thin early-week open gapped lower then rallied to 1.41702, and price is now coiling in a tight 1.41630-1.41702 band on light volume. CAD stayed firm after Friday's jobs beat; RSI(14) neutral near 55 with ATR compressed around 8 pips.
Support: 1.4163, 1.41582
Resistance: 1.41702, 1.41712
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41702 opens the pre-gap high at 1.41712
Failure to hold 1.41630 exposes the post-gap low at 1.41582
Liquidity remains thin until full session flow returns
USDCAD gapped up at the week open to a 1.41702 session high, then settled into a tight range around 1.41670 through thin Asia-session flow. CAD stays firm after Friday's jobs beat, but volumes are light and no directional push is developing.
Support: 1.4163, 1.41588
Resistance: 1.41702
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41702 extends the week-open leg higher
Drop below 1.41588 fills the gap and negates the pop
BoC decision Wed is the near-term structural driver
Monday Asia open gapped up and tagged 1.41702 before fading to 1.4164 on thin volume, with RSI(14) neutral near 52. Price is holding an early session range beneath the 1.41702 session high; CAD stays firm after Friday's jobs beat while USD sits near three-week lows.
Support: 1.41582, 1.41492, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41702, 1.41721
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41721 opens the path back toward Friday's highs
Loss of 1.41582 exposes the 1.41492 gap open and 1.4130 three-week low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after weekend gap.
USDCAD gapped slightly lower into the new week then rallied off 1.41492 to tag 1.41702, unwinding some of the CAD strength that followed Friday's firm jobs beat. Price now drifts sideways around 1.4164, holding above 1.41630 with the session high capping.
Support: 1.4163, 1.41492
Resistance: 1.41702, 1.4177
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41702 opens the 1.41770 prior high
Loss of 1.41630 exposes the 1.41492 gap low
US CPI Tue and BoC Wed are the swing events for this pair