USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Friday, 13 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
22:25 UTC
Uptrend, pausing near highs · RSI 73 · price 1.42695
Higher highs and higher lows since 1.3929; tight range under 1.4274.
Higher-high, higher-low structure has held since the 1.3929 early-November low. The roughly 345-pip rally took a leg up on Tuesday's hot US CPI and Fed-BoC divergence, with the rising trendline from 1.3942 through the 1.4077 swing low still intact. Price is now holding a 50-pip range between the 1.4224 range low and the 1.4274 range high, above a rising ema20 (1.4228) and ema50 (1.4157). RSI is overbought at 72.7 and ATR has compressed from 30 to 23 pips, consistent with a pause at the top of the move rather than an extension.
Support: 1.4224, 1.4157, 1.4077
Resistance: 1.4274, 1.4300
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 1.4274 range high opens the 1.4300 round number
H4 close below the 1.4224 range low and the rising trendline exposes ema50 at 1.4157, near the 38.2% rally fib
Loss of the 1.4077 swing low would break the higher-low sequence
Fed's Jefferson tonight, Canada CPI Mon 13:30 UTC and Warsh Mon 17:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows from 1.3929; tight range 1.4228-1.4271 under the highs.
USDCAD has carved higher highs and higher lows since the 1.3929 trough. The hot US CPI print drove the break through the prior 1.4137 high toward the 1.4210 cpi high, with Fed-BoC divergence and soft Canadian jobs data extending the leg. Over the last two days price has gone sideways between the 1.4228 range low, which sits with the rising EMA(20) at 1.4224, and the 1.4271 swing high. RSI is still overbought at 71.8 but has faded from 82 while price edged to a marginal new high, a bearish divergence, and ATR(14) has compressed from about 30 to 23 pips.
Support: 1.4228, 1.4210, 1.4152
Resistance: 1.4271, 1.4300
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 1.4271 swing high resumes the uptrend and opens the 1.4300 round number
H4 close below the 1.4228 range low and ema20 shifts focus to the 1.4210 cpi high and the 38.2% rally fib near 1.4141
Loss of the rising trendline from the 1.3929 low, near 1.4200, would break the higher-low sequence; ema50 at 1.4152 sits beneath it
Canada CPI (Mon 13:30 UTC) and Warsh (Mon 17:00 UTC) could break the range either way; Fed's Jefferson speaks tonight
Higher highs and higher lows from 1.3929; tight range 1.4224-1.4271 at the top.
Higher highs and higher lows since the 1.3929 swing low, with the hot US CPI print extending the impulse to 1.4271 before price stalled into a tight 1.4224-1.4271 range. The range high has been tested three times while RSI eased from 82 to 68.1, a bearish divergence, and ATR(14) compressed from 30.3 to 22.5 pips, consistent with consolidation above a rising EMA(20) at 1.4220. Price holds well above the ema50 at 1.4148, and the 1.4077 swing low anchors the higher-lows trendline.
Support: 1.4224, 1.4148, 1.4077
Resistance: 1.4271, 1.4300
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 1.4271 range high opens the 1.4300 round number and YTD high
Close below the 1.4224 range low and EMA(20) shifts focus to the 38.2% fib near 1.4141 and the ema50 at 1.4148
Break of the 1.4077 swing low would end the higher-low sequence
Fed's Bowman and Daly today, then Canada CPI and Warsh on Monday, could materially shift this read
Higher highs / higher lows since 1.3929; tight consolidation under 1.4271.
USDCAD has carved higher highs and higher lows from the 1.3929 early-month low. The leg was driven by the strong US payrolls, soft Canadian jobs data and Tuesday's hot US CPI, with price holding well above a rising ema20 and ema50. The last few days have compressed into a narrow consolidation between the 1.4224 swing low and the 1.4271 swing high, with ATR(14) falling from 30 to 22 pips. RSI is overbought at 73.9 but printed a lower peak on the latest swing high, a bearish divergence against the higher price high.
Support: 1.42241, 1.42169, 1.41436
Resistance: 1.42714, 1.4300
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 1.4271 swing high opens a test of the 1.4300 round number
H4 close below the 1.4224 swing low breaks the consolidation and exposes the ema20 at 1.4217 and the 38.2% fib near 1.4141
Loss of the higher-lows trendline and the ema50 at 1.4144 would end the higher-low sequence
US PPI at 13:30 UTC today, followed by Fed speakers, could break the ATR compression
Canada CPI on Monday could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since 1.3929; tight range under 1.4271.
Higher highs and higher lows since the 1.3929 swing low, as last Friday's US/Canada jobs split and Tuesday's hot US CPI drove a roughly 340-pip rally. Price is now in a tight range between the 1.4224 swing low and the 1.4271 swing high. Both the rising ema20 (1.4213) and the ema50 (1.4139) sit below price. RSI is overbought at 74.8 but has eased from 82 even as price edged to a marginal new high, a mild bearish divergence. ATR has compressed from 30 to 22.4 pips, so the move is pausing rather than extending.
Support: 1.4224, 1.42126, 1.4139
Resistance: 1.42714, 1.4300
What it said to watch
US PPI at 13:30 UTC today, followed by Bowman and Daly, could break the 1.4224-1.4271 range
An H4 close above the 1.4271 swing high exposes the 1.4300 round number
A close below the 1.4224 swing low opens a test of the ema20 near 1.4213 and the higher-lows trendline
Loss of the ema50 at 1.4139 would break the higher-low sequence on the rally fib
Canada CPI on Mon 13:30 UTC is the main CAD-side risk to the read
02:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 74 · price 1.42538
Higher highs and higher lows since 1.3929; tight range under 1.4271.
The two-week grind lower bottomed at 1.3929. A rally of roughly 340 pips followed, building higher highs and higher lows along a rising higher-low line. Strong US payrolls against a Canadian jobs loss started the move, and Tuesday's hot US CPI extended it. Price now sits above both EMAs, with the ema20 well clear of the ema50. Price is pressing a 1.4224–1.4271 range, where the new swing high came on lower RSI than the 1.4265 peak, a bearish divergence while RSI holds overbought. ATR(14) has contracted from 30 to 23 pips, so the rally is pausing rather than extending.
Support: 1.42241, 1.42076, 1.4134
Resistance: 1.42714, 1.4300
What it said to watch
H4 close below the 1.4224 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the ema20 at 1.4208
Deeper pullback would test the ema50 at 1.4134, close to the 38.2% level of the rally fib
Clearing the 1.4271 swing high opens the 1.4300 round number flagged as resistance
US PPI at 13:30 UTC today and Fed speakers later could materially shift this read
Canada CPI on Monday is the next CAD-specific risk to the stretched move