Price has reclaimed the week's range top after Tuesday's NY session pushed through 1.3822 and stretched to a new week high at 1.3851. The dip into 1.3795 was bought through the Asia handover and price is now consolidating just under the highs with RSI cycling 55-65 on each leg. Structure remains a sequence of higher lows since Monday's session open, with EMA20 acting as the dynamic floor.
Support: 1.3830, 1.3800, 1.3795
Resistance: 1.3840, 1.3851, 1.3822
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.3800 psych would break the higher-low sequence
Clean break of 1.3851 week high opens path toward 1.3870
Fed speakers (Jefferson, Lane) in Tokyo Asia session could shift USD tone
22:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 58 · price 1.38408
Higher highs into 1.3850 supply, pullback in progress.
USDCAD pushed through the prior week's 1.3820 ceiling during the NY session yesterday, tagged 1.38515 and is now consolidating in the upper third of the week's range. Pullbacks since Monday have held the EMA(20) cleanly, with RSI(14) cycling 50-65 on each dip. Price has stalled below 1.3850 on the latest attempt, with the Asian session compressing into a tight 1.3838-1.3842 range.
Support: 1.3826, 1.3800, 1.37945
Resistance: 1.38515, 1.3842, 1.3829
What it said to watch
Hourly close above the 1.38515 week high opens room toward 1.3870
Loss of 1.3826 intraday low shifts focus back to the EMA20 around 1.3800
Failure to reclaim 1.3850 after retest builds a double-top read
Fed speakers (Jefferson, Lane, Greene) in Tokyo today could shift the read
USDCAD has trended up since Monday's open, climbing from 1.3795 with a sequence of higher-lows and finding buyers each time price tagged the H1 EMA(20). The NY session yesterday pushed to a week high of 1.38515 before sellers stepped in sharply, leaving a clear rejection wick. Price has since stabilised in the 1.3826–1.3840 zone with RSI(14) easing back to ~58 despite the new high — a mild bearish divergence as the week's momentum cools.
Support: 1.3826, 1.3800, 1.3785
Resistance: 1.3840, 1.38515
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.3826 session low breaks the higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.38515 week high reopens the upside
Loss of 1.3800 weekly mid would shift the read to range
Fed speakers Jefferson, Lane, Greene in Tokyo Asia session could move USD
20:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 58 · price 1.38344
Higher-lows since Monday, capped under 1.3850.
USDCAD has built a steady stair of higher-lows since Monday's open, with the NY session yesterday driving the impulse to 1.38515 before sellers stepped in firmly. Price now consolidates in the 1.3826–1.3835 zone, holding above the EMA(20) but with RSI(14) failing to make a fresh high alongside price — a mild bearish divergence into the week high. Range top at 1.38515 has rejected once already and remains the level to watch.
Support: 1.3820, 1.3800, 1.3795
Resistance: 1.38515, 1.3839, 1.3828
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.38515 week high extends the uptrend
Loss of 1.3820 intraday low opens 1.3800 psych/ema20
Failure to reclaim 1.38390 prior high keeps the rejection in play
Steady grind higher through this week with price holding above EMA20 since the Asia session reopen and pullbacks consistently bought into the NY session. The 1.38515 week high printed earlier in NY hours but the spike was fully rejected back to 1.38260, leaving a long upper wick and bearish RSI divergence into a fresh high. Range top around 1.38390-1.38515 is now the focal zone with intraday support compressing at 1.38200.
Support: 1.3820, 1.3800, 1.3795
Resistance: 1.38515, 1.3839, 1.38347
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.38515 confirms continuation of the week's uptrend
Loss of 1.38200 intraday low opens path back to the 1.38000 psych / EMA20 area
Failure at 1.38347 session high on the next attempt reinforces the rejection read
18:00 UTC
Uptrend, range-bound near highs · RSI 54 · price 1.38263
Higher highs into 1.3850 resistance, base at 1.3800.
USDCAD pushed to a fresh week high at 1.3851 in the NY session before sellers stepped in twice, dragging price back into the 1.3826 area. The move from Monday's open held EMA(20) on every pullback, but RSI failed to confirm the latest high, leaving a bearish divergence into prior resistance at 1.3838. Structure remains constructive while 1.3800 psych base holds.
Support: 1.3800, 1.3790, 1.3770
Resistance: 1.3838, 1.38515
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below 1.3800 psych base would break the week's higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.3838 prior high reopens the 1.3851 week high
Crude price swings on Iran headlines remain the dominant CAD driver
Higher highs into 1.3850 spike, pullback to 1.3830.
Holding above EMA(20) since Monday's open with a clean breakout through 1.3820 into NY hours producing a 1.3850 print before sharp rejection back to 1.3830. RSI(14) cycled into the low-70s on the spike and has cooled to 62, consistent with the pullback. Falling crude prices and US-Iran headline risk drove the late NY impulse before that intraday low at 1.3804 absorbed sellers.
Support: 1.3820, 1.3804, 1.3795
Resistance: 1.38515, 1.3839, 1.3828
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.3820 prior high would neutralise the breakout read
Failure to hold 1.3795 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's uptrend
Fresh Iran-deal headlines could materially shift the read given the spike-and-reject reaction this session
Reclaim of 1.3850 week high reopens the path higher
16:00 UTC
Uptrend, fresh six-week high · RSI 71 · price 1.38496
Higher highs, shallow pullbacks holding EMA20.
USDCAD pushed to a fresh six-week high during the NY session, breaking above the 1.3838 resistance that capped Monday and Tuesday. Price spent the week consolidating in a tight 1.3795–1.3838 range above the EMA20 before the impulse, with softer crude prices and broad CAD weakness named in the wires as the driver. RSI(14) at 71 is stretched but momentum is still expanding off the breakout.
Support: 1.3828, 1.3809, 1.3795
Resistance: 1.38515, 1.3860
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below 1.38280 prior high would signal a false break
Sustained acceptance above 1.38515 session high opens path toward the 1.3860 psych level
Failure to hold EMA20 near 1.38090 on a pullback would weaken the uptrend read
15:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 58 · price 1.38278
This-week higher-lows into 1.3835-40 supply.
USDCAD has carved a steady series of higher-lows since Monday's session open, with EMA20 catching the pullbacks through the NY session yesterday. The push to a fresh week high at 1.38393 stalled and price has since retested the 1.38200 breakout zone, holding for now. RSI cycled into the high 60s on the leg up and has cooled to the mid-50s, momentum easing but structure intact.
Support: 1.3820, 1.3800, 1.3795
Resistance: 1.38393, 1.3829
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.38393 week high extends the uptrend
Loss of 1.38200 breakout opens 1.38000 round number
Headline risk from Iran MoU developments could whip the read
14:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 63 · price 1.38267
This-week range 1.3795-1.3840, edging higher.
Price has ground higher since Monday's session open, holding above EMA(20) on every pullback and posting a fresh week high at 1.38393 during NY hours. The break above 1.38200 prior resistance has held as support on retest, and RSI sits in the upper half without yet flagging an overbought reading. Iran peace-talk headlines flowing through risk markets remain the dominant news driver.
Support: 1.3820, 1.3800, 1.3795
Resistance: 1.38393, 1.3850
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.38200 prior res would invalidate the breakout retest read
Loss of 1.37950 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's uptrend
Sustained move through 1.38500 psych opens room into fresh territory
Further Iran-US MoU headlines could materially shift USD risk premium
USDCAD has trended higher since Monday's open at 1.3775, with the NY session breaking above the Mon high at 1.3822 and extending into a fresh week high at 1.3839. Price is holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling 55-68 on pullbacks, and the rising channel from Monday's low remains intact. Momentum is cooling into the highs as the latest hour stalled below 1.3840.
Support: 1.3808, 1.37985, 1.3775
Resistance: 1.38393, 1.3828, 1.3822
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.3808 (ema20) would break the channel and shift the read
Loss of 1.3798 session low confirms a lower-low and ends the week's uptrend
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 68 · price 1.38341
Rising channel into 1.3830 supply.
USDCAD has ground higher through the week, with the NY session yesterday driving a clean break above the 1.3820 prior high and extending to a fresh week high at 1.3836. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 68 — momentum constructive but stretched into the prior supply shelf. Risk tone is shaped by lingering US-Iran headlines and Kashkari's hawkish inflation framing earlier in the European session.
Support: 1.3808, 1.37985, 1.3772
Resistance: 1.38363, 1.3829, 1.3822
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.38363 week high extends the channel
Loss of 1.3808 ema20 opens 1.37985 midweek low
Failure at session high with rejection wicks would signal exhaustion at supply
11:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 64 · price 1.3824
Ascending channel, capped at 1.3829.
USDCAD has ground higher through the week, with each London-NY session adding a few pips and pullbacks holding the EMA20. The pair pushed to a fresh week high near 1.3829 in the latest NY session and is consolidating just below it, with Kashkari's hawkish inflation lean and soft oil tone keeping CAD on the back foot. RSI(14) at 64 reflects steady momentum without yet stretching into overbought.
Support: 1.3807, 1.3795, 1.3776
Resistance: 1.3829, 1.3822
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.3829 opens room toward 1.3850
Loss of 1.3807 intraday base would break the channel
Further US-Iran headlines could materially shift this read
10:00 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 68 · price 1.38285
Higher highs, shallow pullbacks holding EMA20.
USDCAD has ground higher through the week, with the NY session pushing price to a fresh session high at 1.38290 after consolidating above 1.3800 since Monday. Pullbacks have repeatedly held the EMA20 and the 1.38040 area, while RSI(14) sits in the high-60s confirming sustained momentum without yet extending overbought. Soft oil tone and Kashkari's hawkish inflation lean have kept the loonie capped.
Support: 1.3804, 1.37985, 1.3775
Resistance: 1.3829, 1.3822
What it said to watch
An hourly close above 1.38290 session high extends the breakout
Loss of 1.38040 session low breaks the shallow-pullback structure
A break of 1.37985 prior swing would mark the first lower-low this week
Further US-Iran headlines could shift USD risk premium
09:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 67 · price 1.38285
This-week range 1.3795–1.3829, holding above EMA20.
USDCAD has pushed through the prior high near 1.3822 into the NY session, extending the rally that started Friday and printing a fresh session high at 1.3829. Price has held above EMA20 throughout this week with the week pivot at 1.3798 capping every pullback, and RSI(14) is firm at 67 as buyers stepped back in after the soft dip into 1.3795.
Support: 1.3804, 1.37985, 1.37945
Resistance: 1.3829, 1.3822
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.3798 week pivot would break the higher-low sequence
Failure to hold the 1.3829 session high breakout opens a retest of prior high at 1.3822
US-Iran headline risk remains active and could materially shift this read
08:00 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.38162
Stair-step higher, range top tested.
USDCAD has held above EMA(20) since Monday's open, building a stair-step climb from 1.3760 into a 1.3820 range top that has now been tapped three times. The latest NY session printed another rejection at 1.3820 before buyers reclaimed 1.3815, leaving price coiled near the highs with RSI cycling 50-65. Kashkari's hawkish inflation tone and softer oil have kept the loonie pinned through the week.
Support: 1.3802, 1.3795, 1.3767
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.38236
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.38236 swing high opens room toward the next round figure
Loss of 1.38020 intraday base, then 1.37950 ema20, breaks the stair-step structure
Failure to hold above 1.37670 week open invalidates the uptrend read
07:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 56 · price 1.38133
Ascending range, capped at 1.3820.
Price has been carving an ascending range since Monday's open, with the 1.3820 area repeatedly capping rallies in both the London and NY sessions. EMA(20) has held as dynamic support on every dip, and RSI(14) is cycling in the 45–60 zone without confirming the highs. Buyers stepping in near the 1.3800 psych level keep the week-low at 1.3777 intact.
Support: 1.3800, 1.3795, 1.3777
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.38236
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.3820 range top opens 1.3236 week high
Loss of 1.3800 psych exposes 1.3777 week low
Iran-US headline risk could override the structural read
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing near range top · RSI 55 · price 1.38094
Higher-lows since Monday, capped under 1.3820.
USDCAD has built a series of higher-lows since Monday's NY session, with EMA(20) and EMA(50) stacked beneath price and pullbacks finding demand around 1.3795-1.3800. The 1.3820 area has now been tagged three times this week and rejected each time, including yesterday's NY-session push to 1.3820. Price is consolidating just below that cap into mid-week with RSI(14) flat in the mid-50s.
Support: 1.3800, 1.3795, 1.3784
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.38236
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.3820 opens path toward 1.3850+
Loss of 1.3795 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Failure at psych 1.3800 on a retest would shift the read to range
05:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 55 · price 1.38108
Higher lows since Monday, capped at 1.3820.
Holding above EMA(20) since last week's push to 1.3823, with price building higher lows through the NY session yesterday. The 1.3820 area has capped three attempts this week, while dips into 1.3795–1.3800 have been bought. RSI(14) cycling 50–60 reflects momentum easing into a tight consolidation just under the week high.
Support: 1.3800, 1.3795, 1.3784
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.38236
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.3820 reopens the prior high at 1.3824
Loss of 1.3795 swing low breaks the higher-lows sequence
Failure at psych 1.3800 with EMA20 break shifts the read to range
USDCAD has climbed since Monday's open, with the week high printed at 1.3822 and repeatedly defended as resistance into the NY session. Price is holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) on H1, but the last two days show consolidation in a 1.3795–1.3820 band with RSI flattening around 50–60, signalling slowing momentum. The 1.3800 psych level has absorbed multiple pullbacks during NY hours.
Support: 1.3800, 1.3795, 1.3777
Resistance: 1.3822, 1.3815
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.3822 week high opens path to extension
Break below 1.3795 swing low breaks the rising structure
Loss of 1.3800 psych invalidates the consolidation read
USDCAD has held the gains from last week's push off 1.3760, with the NY session yesterday tagging 1.3820 for a second time and stalling — a double top forming at the week high. Price is consolidating just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling around the midline, no momentum either way into the Asian session. The 1.3800 round number is acting as the pivot of the current range.
Support: 1.3800, 1.3795, 1.3782
Resistance: 1.3822, 1.3818
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.3820 week high opens path higher
Loss of 1.3795 swing low exposes 1.3782 prior break
Asia-session Australian CPI miss may add residual USD bid
USDCAD pushed through the 1.3775 area mid-week and printed a week high at 1.3822 during the NY session, then settled into a tight 1.3800–1.3820 range over the last two sessions. Pullbacks have repeatedly held the psych 1.3800 line with price sitting just above EMA20, and RSI has cooled to mid-range as the tape consolidates. Structure remains constructive while 1.3795 holds, but momentum has flattened into the Asia handover.
Support: 1.3800, 1.3795, 1.3775
Resistance: 1.3822, 1.3814
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.3822 week high opens path to 1.3850
Loss of 1.3795 h1 swing low breaks the consolidation lower
Light news docket — China data and broader risk tone the main drivers into London
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 54 · price 1.38067
Stair-step higher into 1.3820 supply, capped twice.
Price has ground higher since Monday's open, building a stair-step from 1.3755 into 1.3820 with EMA(20) tracking pullbacks cleanly. The 1.3820/1.3823 area has now capped two attempts this week, forming a double top, while RSI(14) has cooled to the low 50s as the latest leg stalled. Hawkish Fed-side commentary (Kashkari) and a quiet calendar leave the pair pressed against week-high supply with momentum easing.
Support: 1.3800, 1.3795, 1.3775
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.3823
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.3823 invalidates the double top read at the week high
Loss of 1.3795 swing low opens the week pivot at 1.3775
Headlines around the unconfirmed Middle East deal could whip USD and disrupt the range
USDCAD pushed from the 1.3747 week open up to 1.3822 over the first two sessions, then settled into a tight 1.3795–1.3820 range through the NY session. Price sits mid-range above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling around 50, and the two attempts at 1.3820 this week have both been rejected. Kashkari's hawkish remarks on Middle East inflation risks have kept a floor under USD without forcing a fresh break.
Support: 1.3800, 1.37945, 1.3767
Resistance: 1.3822, 1.3814
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.3820 week high opens path to extension
Loss of 1.3800 psych and 1.3795 session low shifts read to range break lower
Australian CPI print in next session could add cross-CAD volatility