USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Friday, 13 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
22:25 UTC
Uptrend, extended into overbought · RSI 77 · price 0.83906
Higher highs / higher lows since the 0.8174 CPI-day low; prior 0.8313 high cleared and retested.
The hot US CPI print on Tuesday triggered a range break out of the 0.8130-0.8220 base, and the CPI impulse has since run more than 220 pips. Price cleared the prior high at 0.8313, retested it Thursday at the 38.2% fib, and resumed higher. It has now printed a fresh week high at 0.8397, just under the 0.8400 round number. The EMA20 has crossed above the EMA50 and both slope higher with price above each. RSI at 77.3 is overbought without bearish divergence so far, and ATR easing to 21.7 pips points to an orderly grind rather than a blow-off.
Support: 0.83449, 0.83284, 0.8312
Resistance: 0.83966, 0.8400
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 0.8400 round number extends the higher-high sequence beyond the week high
Loss of the 0.8345 swing low breaks the higher-lows trendline and opens the ema20 near 0.8328
Failure to hold the prior high at 0.8312 (38.2% of the CPI impulse) undermines the breakout read
Fed's Jefferson speaks in ~95 min; Warsh on Mon 17:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RSI rolling over from overbought while price makes a new high would flag bearish divergence
USD/CHF has printed higher highs and higher lows since Tuesday's 0.8174 swing low. The hot US CPI print and the repricing toward a 50bp Fed hike carried price through the late-October 0.8313 high, and it is now pressing the 0.8395 week high just under the 0.8400 psych level. RSI at 79.3 is overbought, while ATR(14) has eased from about 27 to 23 pips, so the leg is extending without range expansion. EMA20 crossed above EMA50 early in the move, and the nearest support layers are the 0.8345 swing low and ema20 at 0.8322.
Support: 0.83449, 0.83219, 0.83114
Resistance: 0.83953, 0.8400
What it said to watch
0.8400 psych above the 0.8395 week high is the area to watch for rejection or break
H4 close below the 0.8345 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and the rising support line
Loss of ema20 (0.8322) and the 0.8311 pullback low, near the old 0.8313 high, would unwind the CPI breakout
Fed's Jefferson tonight and Warsh Mon 17:00 UTC on 50bp December sizing could materially shift this read
A risk-off flare-up would bring CHF safe-haven demand back against the trend
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended and overbought · RSI 78 · price 0.83798
Higher highs and higher lows since the 0.8127 double low.
Higher highs and higher lows since the 0.8127 double low. The hot US CPI impulse and Fed hike repricing carried price through the 0.8313 prior high, which held on retest before the push to a 0.8390 week high. EMA20 crossed above EMA50 early in the leg, and RSI at 77.5 is overbought while ATR eases to 21.6 pips as the rally extends.
Support: 0.8345, 0.8313, 0.82671
Resistance: 0.8390, 0.8400
What it said to watch
H4 close below the 0.8345 swing low and the rising trendline would print the first lower low of the leg
0.8390 week high and 0.8400 round number: area to watch for rejection or break
Loss of the 0.8313 prior high, with ema20 at 0.8314, puts the ema50 at 0.8267 and the CPI impulse 50% retracement back in focus
Fed's Bowman and Daly today and Warsh on Monday could shift the 50bp December pricing behind this rally
Higher highs and higher lows from the 0.8127 base; breakout above the 0.8313 prior high held on retest.
Higher lows have built from the 0.8127 base. The rally on the strong NFP and hot US CPI cleared the 0.8313 prior high, held a retest there, and has now pushed to a 0.8373 week high as Fed-SNB divergence weighs on the franc. EMA20 crossed above EMA50 early in the rally and price sits well above both, with the ema20 at 0.8307. RSI at 75.7 is overbought and ATR has eased from 27 to 21.5 pips as the advance grinds higher in small steps above a shelf low near 0.8345.
Support: 0.8345, 0.8313, 0.8307
Resistance: 0.8373, 0.8400
What it said to watch
US PPI at 13:30 UTC, then Fed's Bowman and Daly, could materially shift this read
H4 close below the 0.8345 shelf low exposes the 0.8313 prior high and the ema20 near 0.8307
Failure to hold the 0.8313 prior high would undo the breakout and retest
H4 close above the 0.8400 round number extends the higher-high sequence; rejection there with overbought RSI points to a deeper pullback into the rally fib
Break of the higher lows trendline would end the swing structure
06:02 UTC
Uptrend, overbought and stretched · RSI 74 · price 0.83568
Higher highs / higher lows since 0.8174; prior high 0.8337 broken.
The pair defended the 0.8130 area three times early in the window. It has since printed higher lows from 0.8174, as the hot US CPI and Fed-SNB divergence drove a break through the late-October 0.8313 high and the 0.8337 prior high toward the 0.8364 swing high. EMA20 is above EMA50 after this week's cross, with both rising and price above each. RSI is overbought, and its new price high came with a lower RSI reading, a mild bearish divergence, while ATR has eased from 27 to 21 pips. That leaves the 0.8311 swing low and the ema20 at 0.8301 as the higher-low reference beneath the advance.
Support: 0.83374, 0.83114, 0.83007
Resistance: 0.83638, 0.8400
What it said to watch
US PPI at 13:30 UTC, followed by Bowman and Daly, could materially shift this read
H4 close below the 0.8311 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and puts ema20 at 0.8301 in play
Hold of the 0.8337 prior high on a pullback keeps the breakout retest intact
H4 close above the 0.8364 swing high opens the 0.8400 round number
A further RSI fade on any new high would deepen the bearish divergence
02:02 UTC
Uptrend, overbought near highs · RSI 73 · price 0.8352
Higher highs and higher lows from 0.8127, breakout above 0.8313.
Repeated tests of the 0.8127-0.8135 base gave way to a run of higher lows, and the hot US CPI print took the pair through the late-October prior high at 0.8312 to a swing high at 0.8364. Price holds above a rising ema20 (0.8295) and ema50 (0.8254), with the EMA20 having crossed above the EMA50 during the advance. RSI at 73.1 is overbought, while ATR has eased from ~27 to 22 pips, so the move is stretched with the trend extending on narrowing ranges; the fib of the 0.8127-0.8364 leg puts 38.2% near 0.8274.
Support: 0.8312, 0.82949, 0.82541
Resistance: 0.8364, 0.8400
What it said to watch
US PPI at 13:30 UTC, followed by Bowman and Daly, could materially shift this read
H4 close back below the 0.8312 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
Clearance of the 0.8364 swing high opens the path to the 0.8400 round number
A fresh high on a lower RSI would mark bearish divergence from the overbought peak
Loss of the ema20 and the higher-lows trendline points to a deeper retracement within the fib