The NFP miss drove a sharp NY-session flush to 0.80098 before buyers absorbed the move; price has since ground back to 0.804 on thin Asia-session volume, carving higher lows. Now pressing the 0.8045 range top with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~3 pips.
Support: 0.8029, 0.8010, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8045, 0.8060
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8045 opens the 0.8060 swing high
Failure to hold 0.8029 reopens the 0.8010 spike low
ISM Services (Mon) is the next catalyst that could shift this read
23:46 UTC
Recovering after NFP flush · RSI 62 · price 0.80399
Grind up off sweep low, higher lows.
The NFP miss drove USD/CHF down to a 0.8010 sweep during NY hours, tagging the 0.8029 pivot area on the way. Since then a slow grind of higher lows through the Asia session has price back near 0.8040, with ATR compressed to ~3 pips in thin trade.
Support: 0.8029, 0.8010, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8043, 0.8054
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8043 session high opens the path to 0.8054
The soft US NFP print knocked USDCHF into a sharp drop to 0.80098, sweeping the lows before buyers stepped in and dragged price back to ~0.8040 — roughly a 50% retrace of that leg. Thin late-Asian-hours consolidation now capped at the 0.8040 pivot with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.8029, 0.8010
Resistance: 0.8040, 0.8057
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8040 pivot opens the path to 0.8057
Failure to hold 0.8029 reopens the 0.8010 nfp low
SNB intervention rhetoric could sharply reverse this recovery
23:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp selloff · RSI 56 · price 0.8039
Consolidation above spike low.
USDCHF was slammed to 0.80098 on the soft US NFP miss, then rounded off and clawed back to the 0.8040 pivot. Low-volume Asian session grind higher; pair now pressing the 0.8040 pivot after a 50% retrace of the drop.
Support: 0.8029, 0.8010
Resistance: 0.8040, 0.8057
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 0.8040 pivot opens 0.8057 swing high
Loss of 0.8029 jun-18 low re-exposes the 0.8010 spike low
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed are the next USD catalysts
Grinding up in 0.8028–0.8041 range after sharp drop.
A single high-volume bar dumped USDCHF from ~0.807 to a 0.80098 low on broad USD selling after the soft NFP read. Since then price has carved higher lows and is now pressing the session high at 0.80406, RSI(14) mid-range near 59. Late-session flow is thin (last bar volume collapsed).
Support: 0.80284, 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80406, 0.80528
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80406 opens the path to 0.80528
Failure to hold 0.80284 re-exposes the 0.80098 crash low
ISM Services / FOMC Minutes later this week could reset the USD read
USDCHF was flushed to 0.80098 during the London-NY window on post-NFP USD selling, then ground back to consolidate 0.80284–0.80406. Current push into 0.804 is stalling near the 50% retrace of that drop, RSI(14) neutral around 59 in quiet Asia hours.
Support: 0.80284, 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80406, 0.80419, 0.8064
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80419 opens the path back toward the 0.80640 pre-drop base
Loss of 0.80284 reopens the spike low at 0.80098
Thin Asia liquidity — moves may not sustain until London reopens
USDCHF flushed to 0.80098 during NY hours on the soft US NFP miss, then recovered and has been consolidating 0.8020–0.8040 through the Asia session. Price is grinding to the top of that range, now testing the 0.8040 pivot with RSI(14) near 59 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.8032, 0.8020, 0.8010
Resistance: 0.8040, 0.8058
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8040 opens path to 0.8058
Failure to hold 0.8032 reopens the 0.8020 session low
Loss of 0.8020 puts the 0.8010 nfp low back in play
USDCHF flushed to 0.80098 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then based and ground higher through thin Asia hours, now pressing the session high at 0.80406 with RSI(14) mid-range. Micro higher lows since 0.80158; still capped by the 0.80406–0.80530 zone.
Support: 0.80284, 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80406, 0.8053
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80406 opens the path to 0.80530
Failure to hold 0.80284 reopens the 0.80098 flush low
USDCHF gapped lower on the soft June NFP print, sweeping to a session low near 0.80098 before basing in a 0.8016–0.8054 range. Price is grinding back up into the 0.804 area with RSI(14) mid-band; the recovery high at 0.80540 caps the bounce so far.
Support: 0.8028, 0.80158, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8054, 0.8070
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80540 opens the path back toward the 0.80700 prior high
Loss of 0.80280 swing low reopens the 0.80158 session low and 0.80000 psych level
ISM Services Mon and FOMC minutes Wed are the next USD risk events
Consolidation above the NFP low, minor higher lows.
USDCHF gapped down through 0.8010 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then based and clawed back into a 0.8029-0.8040 range through the quiet Asian session. Price sits at the range top near 0.80374 with lows grinding slightly higher; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 0.8029, 0.8020, 0.8010
Resistance: 0.8040, 0.8065
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8040 range top opens the path to the 0.8065 swing high
Break below 0.8029 range low exposes 0.8020 swing low and the 0.8010 nfp low
ISM Services PMI Monday could reignite USD volatility and break this range
22:32 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 61 · price 0.80374
Range after NFP flush.
NFP-driven slide dumped USDCHF from ~0.807 to a 0.80098 nfp low, then a grinding recovery carved a 0.8020–0.8040 range through NY into the Asian session. Price is now edging toward the 0.80404 swing high with RSI(14) near 60 and volumes thin.
Support: 0.80294, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.80573
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80404 swing high opens the 0.80573 pivot
Failure to hold 0.80294 june-18 low exposes the 0.80098 nfp low
ISM Services Monday could shift the USD read
22:16 UTC
Recovered off NFP lows, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 0.80349
Range after sharp drop and bounce.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) drove USDCHF down to a session low near 0.8010 during NY hours before buyers recovered it to 0.8040. Price has since gone flat, coiling between 0.8028 and 0.8040 through the late NY/Asia handover with ATR compressed to ~3.5 pips.
Support: 0.8028, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8028 reopens the path toward the 0.8010 spike low
M15 close above 0.8040 range high resumes the post-NFP recovery
ISM Services and FOMC minutes later this week could reprice the USD leg
USDCHF gapped down hard into 0.8010 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then based and drifted into a tight 0.8028–0.8040 range through the Asia session. Price sits just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) flat near 45 — no momentum either way, coiling above the session low.
Support: 0.80284, 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.80713
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80284 reopens the 0.8010 NFP low and 0.8000 psych
M15 close above 0.80404 targets the 0.80713 prior high
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) are the next USD drivers
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 0.80318
Range after NFP flush, drifting lower.
USDCHF flushed to 0.80098 on the soft US NFP print, then recovered into a tight range and is now grinding lower into the Asia session on thin volume (ATR ~3 pips). Price sits below EMA20/50, capped under 0.80404, with the 0.8020 swing low the near-term floor.
Support: 0.8020, 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80404
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8020 exposes the 0.80098 nfp low and 0.8000 psych
Reclaim of 0.80404 needed to break the descending sequence of lower highs
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.80318
Tight range after NFP flush.
USDCHF flushed to 0.80098 on the soft US NFP print, then rebounded and has coiled into a tight 0.8028–0.8040 range through the NY-close into Asia on thin volume. Price sits mid-range at 0.80318, RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404
What it said to watch
Break below 0.80195 reopens the 0.80098 session low
M15 close above 0.80404 breaks the consolidation upward
Thin Asia liquidity can exaggerate any move out of the range
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 42 · price 0.80322
Tight range after impulsive drop.
NFP miss (57K vs 110K) drove an impulsive plunge to 0.80098 during NY hours; the pair has since recovered to 0.804 and coiled into a tight 0.803-0.804 consolidation through Asia. RSI(14) sits neutral near 42 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips, no directional development in play.
Support: 0.80284, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80284 reopens the 0.80098 spike low
M15 close above 0.80404 breaks the consolidation range
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) could shift the USD read
Any SNB intervention rhetoric caps further franc strength
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 45 · price 0.80322
Post-flush range 0.8020-0.8040.
The NFP miss drove a sharp flush from 0.80713 to 0.80098 during NY hours, the lowest since June 18. Price has since ground back into a tight 0.8020-0.8040 range and is drifting sideways with RSI stuck mid-band; no fresh setup in play.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.80713
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80098 nfp low opens the 0.8000 psych handle
Reclaim of the 0.80404 pivot would ease the downside pressure
A soft US NFP print sank USDCHF from 0.8074 to 0.8010 mid-session, with the recovery capping at 0.8040. Price is now grinding lower through thin Asian hours, printing lower highs and drifting back toward the 0.80195 swing low.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.8034, 0.80404
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80195 confirms continuation toward 0.80098 session low
Reclaim of 0.80404 bounce high negates the downside grind
The soft June NFP print triggered a sharp break lower to 0.80098, after which price recovered into 0.804 before rolling over again. Now drifting toward 0.8028 in thin Asia hours, holding above the 0.80195 swing low with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8034
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80195 reopens the 0.80098 spike low
Reclaim of 0.80404 session high would negate the lower-high sequence
21:16 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 39 · price 0.80298
Sharp sell-off then range, drifting lower.
USDCHF sold off sharply midday from 0.80713 to a 0.80098 session low, then recovered to a 0.80404 swing high — roughly the 50% retrace — before drifting back down into thin late-session liquidity. Now consolidating near 0.803, RSI(14) soft around 38 with price below EMA20 and a chain of lower highs capping the tape.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80158 swing low opens a retest of the 0.80098 session low
Reclaim of the 0.80404 swing high breaks the descending resistance and negates the lower-high chain
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves until Asia volume builds
21:16 UTC
Down then recovered, now drifting · RSI 42 · price 0.80298
Consolidation after NFP flush, holding above spike low.
USDCHF flushed from 0.8071 to 0.80098 on the soft June NFP miss around 12:30 UTC, then recovered into the 0.804 area before rolling back over. Price now consolidates near the lower end of the post-NFP range at 0.803, capped by 0.80404 and holding above the 0.80195 range low.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8053
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80195 confirms a lower low toward the 0.80098 spike low
Reclaim of 0.80404 recent high needed to reopen the 0.80530 area
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could reprice this read
21:03 UTC
Sideways after post-NFP flush · RSI 46 · price 0.80342
Consolidation near recovery highs.
USDCHF flushed to 0.8010 on the soft June NFP headline, then recovered to 0.8040 and has coiled tightly around 0.8034 with ATR compressed to ~3.5 pips. Price holds the upper half of the recovery but is drifting into the 0.80313 swing low with RSI mid-range; no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.80313, 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80313 opens the path back toward 0.80195 session low
Reclaim of 0.80404 needed to extend the recovery leg
ISM Services (Mon) is the next macro driver for USD
21:03 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 46 · price 0.80342
Consolidation after sharp flush.
USDCHF flushed to 0.80098 in a single bar during the US session as the soft June NFP hit the dollar, then immediately reclaimed 0.803. Since then it has consolidated in a tight 0.8020–0.8040 band with ATR compressed to ~3.6 pips.
Support: 0.8020, 0.8010
Resistance: 0.8040, 0.8050
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8040 swing high opens 0.8050
Loss of 0.8020 range low re-exposes the 0.8010 flush low
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could break this range
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, now flat post-selloff · RSI 41 · price 0.80336
Consolidation after sharp drop.
USDCHF gapped sharply lower to 0.80100 during the US session on soft-USD flow, then recovered into a tight 0.80313–0.80404 range. Price now drifts at 0.80336 just under EMA20 with RSI mid-range; no fresh directional move in play into the Asia handover.
Support: 0.80313, 0.80195, 0.8010
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.80535
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80404 session high opens the path back to 0.80535
Break below 0.80313 range low exposes 0.80195 swing low and the 0.80100 spike low
ISM Services PMI Mon is the next USD catalyst that could break this range
20:46 UTC
Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 43 · price 0.80336
Post-NFP drop, recovery stalled, tight range.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) drove a sharp M15 drop to 0.80098 during NY hours, followed by a grind back that stalled at the 0.80404 range top. Price is now consolidating around 0.8034 and drifting lower into the late-NY tape, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80195 reopens the 0.80098 nfp low
Close above 0.80404 range top invalidates the consolidation read
ISM Services and FOMC Minutes next week are the next USD catalysts
USDCHF collapsed from 0.8074 to 0.80098 in a single bar during the NY session on the soft-USD, post-NFP tape, then based and recovered to 0.804. Price has since drifted back to 0.8032 and is consolidating, RSI(14) cooling near 42 with sub-4-pip bars into late NY.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8053
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80195 reopens the 0.80098 session low
Close above 0.80404 swing high would extend the recovery toward 0.80530
ISM Services Mon and thin late-session liquidity can widen ranges quickly
USDCHF cratered ~60 pips on one bar during NY hours in the aftermath of yesterday's NFP miss, tagging 0.80098 before a bounce back to 0.80404. Since then price has consolidated in a 0.80158–0.80404 range, drifting toward the lower half into the late session with RSI mid-40s and volume thinning.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80158 opens the path back to the 0.80098 crash low
Close above 0.80404 breaks the consolidation to the upside
ISM Services Mon is the next major catalyst, currently outside this window
20:17 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.80337
Ranging 0.8033–0.8040 after a sharp drop.
USDCHF sold off hard mid-window, spiking to 0.80098 on soft US data before recovering into a 0.8033–0.8040 range. Price has since drifted to the lower end of that range, holding below both EMAs with RSI(14) subdued near 44.
Support: 0.8030, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8053
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80404 opens the path back toward 0.80530
Loss of the 0.80300 range low reopens the 0.80098 spike low
20:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 45 · price 0.80337
Sharp drop then rounded recovery, now consolidating.
USD/CHF flushed sharply to 0.80098 on the soft US payrolls print before buyers stepped back in to reclaim 0.8040. Late in the NY session the pair is consolidating in a tight 0.8033–0.8040 band with RSI mid-range, no follow-through in either direction.
Support: 0.80333, 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.80528
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80333 reopens the path toward 0.80195 and the 0.80098 spike low
M15 close above 0.80404 resumes the recovery leg toward 0.80528
ISM Services Mon is the next USD catalyst, outside this window
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after NFP drop · RSI 53 · price 0.8036
Sharp break lower then sideways grind above 0.8020.
USDCHF cratered from 0.8071 to 0.8010 on the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K), then based and clawed back to a tight 0.8033-0.8040 range. Price is holding at the 38.2% retrace of that drop, RSI(14) back near neutral after the flush.
Support: 0.8020, 0.8010, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8040, 0.8058, 0.8070
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8040 session high opens the path to the 0.8058 bounce high
Failure to hold 0.8020 swing low exposes the 0.8010 nfp low
ATR compressed to ~4 pips — range likely persists until fresh drivers
Rounded base off session low, grinding into resistance.
NFP flush during NY hours drove a spike to 0.80098 before a rounded recovery lifted price back to 0.8036, now pressing the 0.8040 prior high. RSI(14) neutral near 56 as the last few bars coil in a tight 0.8034-0.8040 band; buyers have defended the rising-lows trendline off the session low.
Support: 0.8020, 0.8010
Resistance: 0.8040, 0.8057
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8040 opens the path toward the 0.8057 swing high
Loss of the 0.8020 swing low exposes the 0.8010 session low
Break of the rising-lows trendline would end the recovery structure
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 52 · price 0.80364
Consolidation above session low.
USDCHF sold off sharply to 0.80098 during NY hours on the soft US data, then based and clawed back to a recovery session high at 0.80404. Price is now coiling in a tight range floor around 0.80326, RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.80326, 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404
What it said to watch
close above 0.80404 session high extends the recovery
failure to hold 0.80326 range floor reopens the 0.80195 swing low
Basing after NFP flush, ranging near recovery highs.
USDCHF flushed from 0.8069 to 0.8010 on the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K f/c), then built a base and recovered toward 0.8040. Now coiling 0.8033-0.8040 during NY hours, RSI(14) mid-range near 56 with tight ~6 pip bars.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.80547
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80404 opens the path back toward 0.80547
Failure to hold 0.80158 reopens the 0.80098 crash low
Thin post-NFP tape; next US data risk is ISM Services Mon
19:32 UTC
Recovery off NFP low, now flat · RSI 54 · price 0.80368
Consolidation below session high after sharp drop.
USD/CHF cratered on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), plunging to 0.80098 before buyers stabilised the tape. Price has since retraced into a tight 0.802–0.804 band and now sits at 0.80368, coiling just under the 0.80404 session high with RSI neutral.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80217, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8053
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80404 opens the path toward 0.80530
Failure to hold 0.80158 reopens the 0.80098 nfp low
ISM Services PMI (Mon) could shift the USD read materially
19:31 UTC
Recovery after NFP drop, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.80368
Sharp sell-off then consolidation near 0.8035.
The June payrolls miss (57K vs 110K) drove a sharp drop from 0.807 to the 0.80098 spike low during NY hours. Price has since ground back up and is consolidating around 0.8035–0.8040 into late NY, RSI back to neutral.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80404 session high extends the recovery
Loss of 0.80195 swing low reopens the 0.80098 spike low
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 0.80356
Range 0.8016–0.8040 after sharp drop.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked USD/CHF from ~0.807 to the 0.80098 flash low around the 12:30 UTC print. Price has since recovered into a 0.8016–0.8040 range, chopping near the top through late NY hours with RSI(14) flat around 50.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80404 range top opens the path toward 0.80510 prior high
Break below 0.80195 swing low re-exposes the 0.80098 nfp low
19:16 UTC
Recovering off NFP low, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.80356
Consolidating after sharp NFP drop, higher lows into 0.8035.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) crushed USDCHF from 0.807 to 0.80098 at the 12:30 UTC print; buyers recovered the pair into 0.8035-0.8040 through the NY session. Price now consolidating in the upper half of the post-NFP range, RSI back to neutral near 52 after the washout.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8053
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80404 opens the path back toward 0.80530
Loss of 0.80195 range low exposes the 0.80098 nfp low
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate any break
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c) knocked USDCHF from 0.807 to a 0.80098 session low as the dollar was sold. Buyers recovered price to 0.80404 before stalling; pair now consolidates near 0.8035, roughly a 50% retrace of the drop, with RSI back at neutral.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8053
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80404 opens the path back toward 0.80530
Failure to hold 0.80158 recovery base reopens the 0.80098 session low
19:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after NFP drop · RSI 53 · price 0.80353
Sharp sell-off then recovery range.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) at 12:30 UTC knocked USDCHF from 0.807 to a spike low of 0.80098, driving broad USD softness. NY hours since built a base and ground price back to 0.8035; now ranging roughly 0.8020–0.8040 with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8053
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80404 session high extends the recovery toward 0.80530
Close below 0.80195 swing low reopens the 0.80098 spike low
Loss of rising recovery support flips the read back to downside
Higher lows off crash low, capped below session high.
USDCHF cratered to the 0.80098 nfp low as the dollar softened on the 57K payrolls miss, then clawed back toward 0.804. Since the low it has built higher lows along a rising support line, now consolidating below the 0.80404 session high with RSI(14) mid-range near 53.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8051
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.80404 session high opens the path toward the 0.80510 pre-nfp base
Loss of rising support and the 0.80195 swing low re-exposes the 0.80098 nfp low
18:46 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.80353
Consolidation after NFP breakdown.
The NFP miss around 15:30 broker time slammed USDCHF from 0.807 down to 0.80098 in a single bar. Price has since ground a recovery back to the 0.804 area and is now consolidating near 0.8035, holding above the rising intraday support but capped under the 0.80404 swing high.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80404 opens the path toward 0.80510
Loss of 0.80158 reopens the 0.80098 NFP low
No high-impact USD/CHF data in the next 8h; ISM Services and FOMC Minutes are next week's tests
The NFP miss slammed USDCHF from 0.80694 to a 0.80098 low earlier in the window; since then price has clawed back on a chain of higher lows and is now testing the 0.80404 session high. RSI(14) mid-range near 58, price back above EMA20 but still under EMA50.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8051
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80404 opens the path to 0.80510
Failure to hold 0.80158 reopens the 0.80098 crash low
The 57K NFP miss slammed USDCHF from 0.807 to a 0.80098 session low, before a steady NY-session recovery carved higher lows back to the 0.80404 area. Price is now stalling just under that session high with RSI near 56, well off the earlier washout.
Support: 0.80195, 0.8010
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8053
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80404 opens the path back toward the 0.80530 prior swing
Loss of 0.80195 swing low re-exposes the 0.80100 session low
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC Minutes (Wed) are the next USD catalysts
18:16 UTC
Recovering after NFP-driven flush · RSI 58 · price 0.80362
Higher lows building off session low.
Soft US NFP (57K vs 110K) knocked USDCHF from 0.8074 to 0.80098 around the 12:30 GMT release, relieving the franc. NY hours have ground the pair back up on rising lows; price now presses the 0.80404 session high with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.8029, 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80404 opens the path to 0.80510
Failure to hold rising support / 0.80290 puts 0.80158 recovery low back in play
The 57K NFP miss slammed USDCHF from 0.807 to 0.80098 during NY hours before buyers stepped in. Price has since ground back up in a higher-low chain to 0.80362, stalling just under the 0.80404 session high; RSI(14) mid-range near 58.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8053
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80404 opens the 0.80530 shelf
Failure to hold 0.80158 reopens the 0.80098 crash low
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked USD/CHF off a cliff at the 12:30 GMT print, driving the pair from 0.807 to a 0.80098 spike low. NY afternoon has since built higher lows, grinding price back to test session-high resistance at 0.80404.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.80534
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80404 opens the path to 0.80534
Failure to hold 0.80195 reopens the 0.80098 crash low
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) flushed USDCHF from ~0.807 to 0.80098 during NY hours on heavy volume. Price has since based around 0.802 and ground back to the session high at 0.80404, RSI recovering to the low-60s. Higher lows building off 0.80158.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.80613
What it said to watch
Break above 0.80404 session high opens the 0.80613 pre-crash area
Loss of 0.80195 base low reopens the 0.80098 crash low
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed are the next USD risk events
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) smashed USDCHF from 0.807 to 0.801 in one bar during NY hours. Price has since based between 0.802 and 0.803 and is now grinding higher, stalling at the session high 0.80404 — the 50% retrace of the drop.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8053
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80404 extends the recovery toward the 0.80530 shelf
Loss of 0.80195 base low reopens the 0.80098 nfp low
USDCHF collapsed to 0.80098 on the 57K June NFP miss during NY hours, then based and has clawed back to 0.804 with a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 63, ATR ~6.5 pips; recovery is retesting the 0.80530 supply that capped the pre-crash consolidation.
Support: 0.80195, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.8053, 0.8060
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80530 extends the recovery toward 0.80600
Loss of 0.80195 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.80098
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) drove a vertical drop from 0.807 to the 0.80098 nfp low. Price has since carved a rounded base and is grinding higher on rising lows, now testing the 0.80385 recent high with RSI near 59.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80385, 0.80534
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80385 recent high opens the 0.80534 prior range
Failure to hold 0.80158 session low reopens the 0.80098 nfp low
17:31 UTC
Recovering after NFP-driven drop · RSI 61 · price 0.80367
Grinding higher off session low, minor HH/HL.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) slammed USDCHF from ~0.8074 to a session low at 0.80098 during NY hours. Price has since ground steadily higher and is now pressing the session high at 0.80386, with RSI recovering into the low 60s.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.8053
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80386 opens the path toward the 0.80530 post-drop high
Failure to hold 0.80158 reopens the 0.80098 nfp low
ISM Services Mon is next major USD risk, outside this window
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after flush · RSI 57 · price 0.80352
Consolidation above NFP low.
USDCHF flushed from 0.8069 to 0.8010 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), a sharp USD-led downside break. Price has since consolidated between the 0.80158 session low and the 0.80386 bounce high, grinding higher on rising lows with RSI(14) recovering near 57.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.8053
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80386 opens the path to 0.80530
Failure to hold 0.80158 reopens the 0.80098 nfp low
The 57K June NFP miss sank USD/CHF from 0.807 to a 0.80098 low in the NY session. Price has since ranged 0.80158–0.80386 and is now grinding toward the range top with RSI near 57.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.8051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80386 range high opens the path to 0.80510
Failure to hold 0.80158 range low reopens the 0.80098 nfp low
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after impulse · RSI 49 · price 0.80315
Consolidation above NFP spike low.
USDCHF cratered ~60 pips from 0.8074 into 0.8010 on the 12:30 UTC June NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c), then stabilised. Since the drop the pair has consolidated in a 0.80158–0.80386 range, RSI(14) back to neutral near 49 with volatility compressing (ATR ~7 pips).
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.8040
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80158 session low reopens the 0.80098 nfp low
Reclaim of the 0.8040 pivot would negate the post-NFP breakdown
Fed's Daly commentary could revive volatility in this range
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after drop · RSI 52 · price 0.80315
Sharp NFP leg down, now ranging 0.8016-0.8039.
USDCHF collapsed from 0.807 to 0.801 as June NFP badly missed (57K vs 110K), a ~60-pip impulse candle that broke the prior range. Price has since consolidated between 0.80158 and 0.80386 through NY hours, RSI(14) recovering off the lows to mid-range as the sell-off pauses.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.80534
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80386 opens the path back toward 0.80534
Failure to hold 0.80158 confirms a lower low toward the 0.80098 nfp low
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.8027
Sharp NFP break then basing 0.8016-0.8039.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) collapsed USDCHF from 0.807 to a 0.80098 spike low during NY hours. Price has since consolidated in a 0.8016-0.8039 band, RSI(14) recovering off its post-print low to mid-40s with no fresh direction.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.80713
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80158 exposes the 0.80098 spike low
Reclaim of 0.80386 drop high needed to challenge the pre-nfp 0.80713 area
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed are the next macro catalysts
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 0.8027
Sharp NFP drop then tight range near lows.
USDCHF gapped lower into the US session on the 57K NFP miss, cratering from 0.8071 to a 0.8010 spike low. Price recovered to 0.80386 then rolled over and has been grinding sideways in a 0.8016–0.8039 range, RSI(14) mid-40s with no fresh push either way.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80158 reopens the 0.80098 spike low
Reclaim of 0.80386 session high would negate the low-range read
Thin liquidity into weekend close can distort late moves
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) sent USDCHF sharply lower from 0.807 to a 0.80098 spike low. Price has since based and is consolidating in a 0.8016–0.8039 range, RSI recovering off the lows and ATR cooling to ~7 pips as the initial reaction settles.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.8070
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80386 swing high opens the path back toward the 0.807 pre-nfp level
Loss of 0.80158 session low reopens the 0.80098 nfp low
Range holding 0.8016–0.8039 keeps consolidation intact
16:31 UTC
Downtrend post-NFP, now ranging · RSI 43 · price 0.80287
Range within post-drop consolidation.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) hit the Dollar at 15:30 broker time, driving USDCHF down ~60 pips from 0.8071 to 0.8010. Since then price has ranged 0.8016–0.8039 through the NY session, now sitting in the lower half near 0.8029; RSI(14) mid-range, no fresh momentum.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80386 range high would end the post-NFP consolidation
Loss of 0.80158 session low reopens the 0.80098 nfp low
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed could shift the USD read
Post-NFP crash, consolidating in lower half of new range.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) slammed USDCHF from 0.807 to a 0.80098 crash low as hike bets faded. Since then it has consolidated between 0.80158 and 0.80386, currently sitting in the lower half near 0.80224 with RSI(14) subdued and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098, 0.8004
Resistance: 0.8028, 0.80386
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80158 session low opens the 0.80098 crash low and 0.80040 key support
Reclaim of 0.80386 post-nfp high would negate the downside consolidation read
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 43 · price 0.80224
Sharp impulse lower, then range near lows.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) slammed USDCHF from 0.8074 to a 0.8010 spike low during NY hours, RSI bouncing off oversold. Price has since consolidated between 0.8016 and 0.8039, holding below the broken structure with the session low at 0.80158 intact.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80324, 0.80386
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80386 range top would ease the bearish read
Failure to hold 0.80158 session low opens the 0.80098 spike low
16:02 UTC
Downtrend after NFP, now consolidating · RSI 43 · price 0.80222
Sharp break lower then range near lows.
NFP miss at 12:30 UTC (57K vs 110K) sank USDCHF ~60 pips from 0.807 into 0.801 during the NY session. Pair now consolidating 0.8016–0.8035, RSI(14) mid-40s after the flush; the NFP low at 0.80098 remains untested.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.8035, 0.80386
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80158 session low opens the 0.80098 nfp low
Reclaim of 0.80350 range top needed to challenge the 0.80386 bounce high
The NFP miss (57K vs 110K) drove a sharp NY-session drop from 0.80740 to a 0.80098 spike low; price bounced to 0.80386 then faded into a lower-high sequence. Now grinding around 0.80220, holding just above the 0.80158 session low with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80324, 0.80386
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80386 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Break below 0.80158 exposes the 0.80098 spike low
Fed's Daly speeches could reprice USD and shift this read
15:46 UTC
Downtrend after NFP break, consolidating at lows · RSI 41 · price 0.80202
Sharp breakdown then tight range near session lows.
USD/CHF collapsed from 0.8069 to 0.8010 at the 12:30 UTC NFP miss (57K vs 110K), a ~60 pip M15 spike that lifted ATR sharply. Since then price has been ranging roughly 0.8016–0.8039 and is drifting back toward the lows into the close; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no reversal signal yet.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80386 negates the breakdown structure
Failure to hold 0.80098 opens fresh lows
ATR elevated post-NFP — expect wider bars into NY close
USD/CHF collapsed ~60 pips on the 57K NFP miss, snapping below 0.8060 during the NY session. Price has since consolidated 0.8016–0.8039 with RSI recovering off the drop lows, now drifting back toward the session low into late NY.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80302, 0.80386
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80158 confirms a lower-low continuation
The 57K NFP miss knocked USDCHF ~60 pips lower in a single bar from 0.807 to 0.801 as USD longs were trimmed. Since then price has chopped in a 0.8010–0.8038 band; the 0.8010 session low held and 0.8022 sits mid-range with RSI(14) recovering off the flush.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8018
Resistance: 0.8038, 0.8065
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8010 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
M15 close above 0.8038 bounce high reopens the 0.8065 pre-drop zone
ISM Services (Mon) is next USD driver but outside this window
15:31 UTC
Downtrend after NFP miss · RSI 39 · price 0.8022
Sharp breakdown, consolidating near lows.
USDCHF collapsed from 0.8070 to 0.8010 on the June payrolls miss (57K vs 110K), a one-bar 60-pip plunge during NY hours. Price is now grinding in a 0.8018–0.8038 range just above the session low, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 39.
Support: 0.80178, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.80713
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80098 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.80386 swing high would ease the breakdown read
ISM Services (Jul 6) could extend the USD-negative move
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after drop · RSI 41 · price 0.80232
Sharp breakdown, consolidating near lows.
USDCHF collapsed through 0.807 in the NY session on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), tagging 0.80098 before stabilising. Price is now consolidating in a 0.80178–0.80386 band, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-50.
Support: 0.80178, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80386 breaks the consolidation and eases the downside pressure
Loss of 0.80098 extends the post-NFP breakdown
ISM Services (Mon) is the next USD driver for this range
15:16 UTC
Downtrend after NFP break, now consolidating · RSI 42 · price 0.80232
Sharp breakdown, basing above session low.
USDCHF collapsed from 0.807 to 0.80098 on the 57K NFP miss vs 110K, a clean USD-negative break during NY hours. Price has since based between 0.80178 and 0.80386, consolidating the drop with RSI recovering off oversold; the nfp low still holds.
Support: 0.80098, 0.80178
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.80324
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80098 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.80386 negates the breakdown read
ISM Services (Mon) is the next USD growth read that could reshape this
USDCHF broke down through 0.8069 on the 57K NFP miss (vs 110K f/c) during NY hours, cratering to the 0.80098 nfp low as USD longs were unwound. Price has since stabilised in a 0.80178–0.80386 range, RSI(14) recovering off oversold with the post-nfp high capping.
Support: 0.80178, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80386 invalidates the breakdown read
Break below 0.80098 confirms a fresh lower low
15:02 UTC
Downtrend after NFP break, consolidating near lows · RSI 42 · price 0.80262
Sharp breakdown then sideways drift above the low.
USDCHF gapped lower on the 57K NFP miss, dropping from 0.807 to a session low at 0.80098 in a single M15 bar. Price is now consolidating between 0.802 and 0.804, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling in the low-40s after the washout.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80386
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80386 recent high would ease the post-NFP breakdown pressure
Loss of 0.80098 session low opens the path to the 0.8000 round number
Elevated ATR (~118 pips) from the NFP spike means wide swings persist
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after drop · RSI 44 · price 0.80301
Sharp break, now consolidating above low.
USDCHF gapped lower off the NY-session 57K NFP miss, slicing from 0.807 to a 0.80098 spike low. Price has since recovered and is consolidating in a 0.80178–0.80386 range, RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 43.
Support: 0.80178, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.80694
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80386 opens the path back toward 0.80694
Loss of 0.80098 spike low confirms a fresh lower-low
Sharp break lower, now consolidating above session low.
The 57K US NFP miss slammed USDCHF from 0.807 to a session low at 0.80098 in a single bar. Price has since stabilised in a tight 0.801-0.804 band through the NY session, RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward 40. The post-drop high at 0.80386 caps the bounce.
Support: 0.80098, 0.80178
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.80694
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80386 breaks the post-NFP consolidation
Failure to hold 0.80098 session low resumes the decline
Fed's Daly speech today could reprice USD and shift this read
USDCHF collapsed nearly 60 pips on the 12:30 UTC NFP miss (57K vs 110K), snapping the 0.807-0.809 range down to a 0.80098 spike low. Price bounced to 0.80386 but has since drifted lower into the NY session; now pinned between the 0.80178 swing low and the fading 0.80386 bounce high.
Support: 0.80178, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80178 opens a retest of the 0.80098 spike low
Reclaim of 0.80386 would neutralise the post-NFP downside break
Continued USD softness (ISM Services, Fed speak) could extend pressure
Sharp range break lower, consolidating above the low.
The 57K NFP miss vs 110K forecast slammed USD around the NY open, dropping USD/CHF from 0.8069 to a 0.80098 spike low. The dead-cat bounce stalled at 0.80386 and price is now leaking back toward the low, holding a lower-high, lower-low structure with RSI subdued in the low 40s.
Support: 0.80178, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.8064
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80386 would ease the downside pressure
A close below 0.80098 confirms continuation to new lows
0.80178 session low is the immediate pivot being tested
14:16 UTC
Downtrend after NFP break · RSI 36 · price 0.80224
Lower highs, sweep of session low.
USDCHF collapsed ~60 pips on the 57K NFP miss, sweeping to 0.80098 before a shallow bounce capped at 0.80386. Price is fading toward the session low again with lower highs intact, RSI(14) subdued near 36 and ATR ~12 pips.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8004
Resistance: 0.80386
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80386 bounce high needed to ease downside pressure
Close below 0.80098 session low opens 0.80040 key support
US ISM/FOMC risk later this week could reshape the USD read
Lower highs after range break, holding above spike low.
The 57K NFP miss slammed USDCHF from 0.8070 to a 0.8010 spike low as the dollar sold off. A bounce to 0.80386 has since faded into a chain of lower highs, and price is leaking back toward the spike low near the NY session.
Support: 0.80199, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.8070
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80098 spike low extends the downside
Reclaim of 0.80386 post-nfp high needed to ease selling pressure
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, sharp NFP-driven leg down · RSI 34 · price 0.80282
Broke down, consolidating above session low.
USDCHF collapsed ~60 pips from 0.807 to 0.80098 as the NFP miss (57K vs 110K) hit the USD hard during NY hours. Price has since ground back to consolidate between 0.80098 and 0.80386, holding well below both EMAs with RSI cooling near 34.
Support: 0.80098, 0.80244
Resistance: 0.80386
What it said to watch
A close below 0.80098 session low extends the down-leg
Reclaim of 0.80386 post-drop hi would ease the breakdown read
Factory Orders / Daly speech in the coming hours could re-price USD
USD/CHF collapsed on the 57K NFP miss, plunging from 0.807 to a session low of 0.80098 during NY hours before a bounce to 0.80386 stalled. Price is now fading back toward 0.80280, holding a tight consolidation above the session low with RSI(14) recovered off crash extremes to ~41.
Support: 0.80244, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.8070
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.80244 exposes the 0.80098 session low
Reclaim above 0.80386 bounce high would ease downside pressure
US Factory Orders (14:00 UTC) and Daly speech could re-accelerate this move
NY session sold USDCHF hard on the NFP miss (57K vs 110K), a single bar dumping from 0.8069 to a 0.80098 spike low before buyers reclaimed toward 0.8030. Price is now basing in a 0.8026–0.8039 range, RSI(14) recovering off the flush to ~41.
Support: 0.80257, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.80649
What it said to watch
Reclaim above the 0.80386 session high extends the recovery toward pre-drop 0.80649
Failure to hold the 0.80257 swing low re-exposes the 0.80098 spike low
US Factory Orders (14:00 UTC) and Daly could re-price USD and shift this read
The 57K NFP miss hammered USD in the NY session, dropping USD/CHF from 0.807 to a 0.80098 spike low in a single bar. Price has since recovered and is consolidating in a 0.802-0.804 band, with RSI(14) lifting off its lows near 36.
Support: 0.80098, 0.80257
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.8070
What it said to watch
Recovery above the 0.80386 swing high would ease the downside pressure
M15 close below 0.80098 spike low confirms continuation lower
US Factory Orders (14:00 UTC) and Daly speech could re-inject USD volatility
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) slammed USDCHF from 0.807 to a 0.80098 spike low before buyers stepped in, dragging price back to 0.8034. Now consolidating 0.8030-0.8038, RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 38.
Support: 0.80257, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.8051, 0.80694
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80386 bounce high opens the 0.80510 prior base
Failure to hold 0.80257 recent low reopens the 0.80098 spike low
Fed's Daly speech (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 0.80345
Sharp break down, recovering.
NY session saw USDCHF collapse ~60 pips on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), sweeping to a 0.80098 session low before buyers stepped in. Price has retraced to 0.803, roughly the 38% of the drop; supply from 0.80386 has capped the bounce so far.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80386, 0.80694
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80386 opens the path back toward the 0.807 pre-drop zone
Loss of 0.80098 confirms fresh session lows toward 0.8000
Fed's Daly speech (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCHF collapsed ~60 pips into a 0.80098 session low as the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) hit the dollar broadly, cleanly breaking the 0.8070-0.8080 range that had held all session. Price has retraced to 0.80339 and RSI(14) is lifting off oversold, but the pair remains well below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8004
Resistance: 0.80356, 0.8053, 0.8070
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80530 prior floor would neutralise the breakdown
Loss of 0.80098 session low opens 0.80040 support
Fed's Daly speech (13:45 UTC) could re-price the USD move
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) sank the dollar and USD/CHF collapsed from 0.80694 to 0.80098 in a single bar, RSI(14) into oversold. Price has since bounced to 0.80339, holding above the session low but capped well under the pre-drop 0.80510 base.
Support: 0.80098, 0.80257
Resistance: 0.8051, 0.80694
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80510 negates the impulsive break lower
Failure to hold 0.80098 opens further downside
Fed's Daly speech (13:45 UTC) could re-drive USD flows
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) hammered the dollar; USD/CHF collapsed ~600 pips from 0.80700 to a 0.80098 session low in a single bar, then bounced to 0.80322. RSI(14) recovering off oversold but price sits well below EMA20/50 after the range break.
Support: 0.80098, 0.80283
Resistance: 0.80513, 0.8070
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80513 prior range would signal the bounce extending
Failure to hold 0.80098 session low opens further downside
Fed's Daly speech 13:45 UTC could reshape this read
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, sharp selloff · RSI 39 · price 0.80322
Lower low, corrective bounce.
USD/CHF broke the 0.8080-0.8095 range and collapsed to a 0.80098 session low on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then bounced to 0.803. RSI(14) recovering off oversold as the drop retraces its first leg.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8051
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80510 would ease the downside break read
Failure to hold 0.80098 opens the 0.8000 psych level
Fed's Daly speech 13:45 UTC could extend the USD move
USDCHF collapsed ~60 pips on the NFP print, slicing through the 0.8080-0.8090 range floor to a session low of 0.80098 as the dollar was sold. RSI(14) is deeply stretched near 29 and the current bar is a shallow bounce off the low.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8004
Resistance: 0.8051
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80510 would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.80098 opens the 0.80040 support
Fed's Daly at 13:45 GMT and NFP follow-through could extend the move
NFP at 12:30 UTC triggered a sharp USD selloff; USD/CHF plunged ~60 pips from 0.8070 to a 0.80098 session low on a volume spike, snapping the 0.8080-0.8095 range that held all session. RSI(14) near 29 flags short-term oversold after a one-bar collapse; price is stabilising around 0.8015.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8004
Resistance: 0.8050, 0.8069
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80500 would repair the range break
Fed's Daly at 13:45 UTC could extend or reverse the NFP move
Failure to hold 0.80098 opens the 0.80040 support
12:31 UTC
Downtrend accelerating · RSI 33 · price 0.8037
Lower highs, fresh session low on NFP.
USDCHF was knocked sharply lower into 0.8037 on the 12:30 GMT US NFP print, breaking the 0.8040 support and the prior swing lows after a failed bounce to 0.80713. The pair spent the London session grinding down from 0.8115 and NY has now extended that with a clean range break lower; RSI(14) near 33 and stretched but not extreme.
Support: 0.8037, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80713, 0.8080
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80713 would negate the fresh lower low
Failure to hold 0.8037 opens the path toward 0.8000
Fed's Daly at 13:45 GMT could reshape the post-NFP move
Sharp drop on the latest bar to a new session low at 0.8037, slicing the 0.8040 support flagged in the news as USD softened post-NFP. Price had recovered to 0.8070 through the NY session before this leg lower; RSI(14) rolling toward oversold near 33.
Support: 0.8037, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8070
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.8070 would repair the lower-high structure
Sustained trade below 0.8040 confirms the downside break
Post-NFP volatility and Fed's Daly speech could extend this move
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 61 · price 0.80712
Double bottom bounce off 0.8040.
London hours sold USDCHF down to a 0.8040 session low with two rejections carving a double bottom, then buyers stepped in through the London-NY transition to grind back to 0.807. RSI(14) recovered to the low-60s off the washout, price back above EMA20 but capped under the 0.80868 pre-drop base.
Support: 0.8051, 0.80398
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.80868
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT imminent — could materially shift this read
Close above 0.80800 opens the path back toward 0.80868
Failure to hold 0.80510 reopens the 0.80398 session low
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 0.80712
Session selloff then base and bounce.
USDCHF sold off sharply to a 0.80398 session low as the softer USD narrative and NFP positioning weighed, then based around 0.804-0.805 and recovered to 0.807. Price has reclaimed its short EMAs, RSI(14) back near 57 from oversold; recovery high at 0.80720 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8051, 0.80398
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8088
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT imminent — could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.80720 opens the path back toward the 0.80880 prior range
Failure to hold 0.80510 re-exposes the 0.80398 session low
London session dumped USDCHF from 0.809 to a 0.8040 correction low around 08:00 UTC, RSI printing oversold before buyers stepped in. Price has since ground back to 0.8065, holding above the EMA20 but capped under 0.8080 into US NFP.
Support: 0.8040, 0.8051
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.8089, 0.8110
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
M15 close above 0.8080 opens the path back to 0.8089/0.8110
Failure to hold 0.8040 confirms a fresh lower low
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.8065
Lower low at 0.8040, corrective bounce underway.
USDCHF slid through London hours to a session low at 0.8040 as the dollar softened on Warsh's less-hawkish tone, then based and recovered to 0.8065 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold. Bounce is testing the 0.8068 session high; the 0.8040/0.8051 base held twice.
Support: 0.8051, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8068, 0.8080, 0.8090
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Close above 0.8080 reopens the 0.8090 swing high
Loss of 0.8040 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
USDCHF sold off through the London session from 0.812 to a session low at 0.80398, where near-equal lows around 0.80410 stalled the decline. Price has since ground back to 0.806, reclaiming EMA20 but capped under 0.80670 as it bases ahead of US NFP.
Support: 0.80398, 0.8051
Resistance: 0.8067, 0.8080, 0.8087
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — likely to break this basing range on any deviation
Reclaim of 0.80800 breakdown lvl would negate the downtrend read
Loss of 0.80398 session low confirms continuation lower
USDCHF sold off through the London-NY transition to a session low at 0.80398 before a corrective bounce lifted price to 0.80634, reclaiming the EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold. A marginal lower low against firmer RSI hints at bullish divergence, but the pair sits capped below the 0.80680 bounce high into US payrolls.
Support: 0.80398, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8068, 0.8080
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~45m out) is the dominant driver and could override this bounce
Reclaim and hold above 0.80680 would extend the corrective bounce toward 0.80800
USDCHF sold off from 0.809 to a session low at 0.80398 as the dollar drifted soft ahead of US NFP, then bounced ~20 pips to 0.80617. Price now consolidates around 0.8057, holding above the 0.80510 area with RSI recovering to mid-range.
Support: 0.8051, 0.80398
Resistance: 0.80617, 0.80674
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~1h) is the dominant near-term driver and can break this consolidation either way
M15 close above 0.80617 opens a retest of 0.80674
Loss of 0.80510 reopens the 0.80398 session low
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 48 · price 0.80571
Lower highs, lower lows into a session base.
USDCHF sold off through the NY morning into a 0.80398 session low as the dollar stayed soft after the ADP miss, then based and recovered to 0.8057. Price is holding above a reclaimed 0.8047, with the bounce capped so far at 0.80617; RSI(14) has lifted from oversold as the down-leg stalls.
Support: 0.8047, 0.80398
Resistance: 0.80617
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and can override this structure
Failure to hold 0.80398 confirms the lower-low continuation
M15 close above 0.80617 negates the immediate downside read
London session drove USD/CHF from 0.811 down to the 0.80398 session low around 09:00 UTC, RSI(14) hitting oversold before buyers stepped in. The pair has since retraced the drop to 0.806, holding above 0.80510; 0.80674 pre-drop high caps the bounce. US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.8051, 0.80398
Resistance: 0.80674, 0.8080
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~1h out) can materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.80674 pre-drop high extends the correction toward 0.80800
Failure to hold 0.80398 session low confirms a lower-low
USDCHF sold off through the London morning from the 0.812 area to a session low of 0.80398, then buyers stepped in twice near 0.804 to lift the pair back to 0.806. Price is now pressing the broken 0.80670 shelf as resistance with RSI recovering to mid-range; NFP is the dominant driver into the next hour.
Support: 0.80398, 0.8047
Resistance: 0.8067, 0.8087
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~1h) is the primary catalyst for this pair
M15 close above 0.80670 opens the path toward the 0.80870 range top
Loss of 0.80398 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 0.80572
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near 0.8040.
London-into-NY selling broke the 0.809 consolidation and drove USDCHF to a session low of 0.80398 around 09:00 UTC, in line with the softer USD tone ahead of payrolls. Price has since bounced to 0.8057 but stalls under the 0.80613 lower high; RSI(14) recovering from the mid-30s.
Support: 0.8051, 0.80398
Resistance: 0.80613, 0.8067
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read
M15 close above 0.80670 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80398 confirms continuation of the down leg
USDCHF sold off through the London session from 0.81201 to a 0.80398 double bottom, RSI dipping toward oversold before the current bounce to 0.80572. Price now presses the 0.80613 bounce high; the session low held twice. NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.8051, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.80613, 0.80669, 0.8080
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.80400 breaks the double bottom and confirms a lower low
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Reclaim of the 0.80669 prior swing needed to unwind the downtrend
10:47 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 47 · price 0.80585
Sharp selloff, early recovery.
USDCHF sold off through the London session, breaking to a 0.80398 session low as soft ADP and less-hawkish Warsh remarks eased Fed-hike bets. Price is now retracing the downleg back toward the 0.80613 recent high, holding the 23.6% fib around 0.80585 with RSI off the lows.
Support: 0.80398, 0.80448
Resistance: 0.80613
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~1h45m out) is the swing factor and could materially shift this read
close back below 0.80448 reopens the 0.80398 session low
reclaim of 0.80613 recent high needed to confirm the bounce
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 47 · price 0.80585
Impulsive selloff, basing near session low.
USDCHF sold off steadily through the session from 0.81201 to a 0.80398 session low, RSI printing oversold on the flush before a bounce back to 0.80585. Price has based around 0.8040-0.8051 and is grinding up into recent supply at 0.80613, still capped well below the 0.8087 swing and 0.8100 pivot.
Support: 0.80398, 0.8051
Resistance: 0.80613, 0.8087, 0.8100
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the swing factor and could materially shift this read within the next bars
Loss of 0.80398 session low confirms downtrend continuation
Reclaim of 0.80613 recent high opens room toward the 0.80870 swing high
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 0.80582
Lower-low into 0.8040, recovering.
NY session sold USDCHF sharply through 0.8067 into a 0.80398 low as a soft ADP print and less-hawkish Fed commentary trimmed hike bets. Buyers stepped in at 0.8040 and price has recovered to the 38.2% retracement near 0.8058, RSI(14) lifting off oversold territory.
Support: 0.80398, 0.8051
Resistance: 0.8067
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and could reset this read entirely
Close back above 0.80670 negates the breakdown structure
Loss of 0.80398 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 0.80582
Lower highs/lows, recovering into EMA20.
London session sold off sharply from 0.807 into a session low at 0.80398, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold as buyers stepped in twice near 0.804. Bounce to 0.8058 is stalling just under EMA20; US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the swing factor for the pair.
Support: 0.80398, 0.80448
Resistance: 0.8067
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.80670 negates the breakdown structure
Failure to hold 0.80398 confirms a fresh lower-low
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 41 · price 0.80533
Lower highs, lower lows, new session low then stabilising.
USDCHF sold off through the European session, sweeping down to 0.80398 as pre-NFP caution and a soft ADP print firmed CHF against the dollar. Price is stabilising near 0.8053 with buyers stepping in twice around 0.8040; the descending sequence of lower highs is still intact.
Support: 0.80398, 0.8047
Resistance: 0.80547, 0.80671
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.80398 confirms a fresh lower low
Recovery through 0.80671 breakdown point would challenge the downtrend structure
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.
USDCHF sold off through the European afternoon, sliding from 0.8089 to a 0.80398 session low as a soft US ADP print and Warsh's remarks trimmed Fed-hike bets. Price has since stabilised in a tight 0.80510–0.80547 band, RSI(14) recovering off oversold to ~41.
Support: 0.80398, 0.80448
Resistance: 0.80547, 0.8066, 0.8080
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80660 would neutralise the intraday breakdown
Loss of 0.80398 confirms a fresh lower low
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and can reset this read
USDCHF sold off through the 0.80850 support during London hours as Fed-hike bets eased, printing a session low at 0.80398 before a shallow bounce to 0.80524. RSI(14) recovering from oversold territory while price consolidates just above the low; 0.80547 recent high caps the rebound.
Support: 0.80398, 0.80448
Resistance: 0.80547, 0.8085
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, holding above swing low.
USDCHF slid through the 0.8085 shelf during the London session, breaking down toward the 0.8040 support with RSI(14) still soft near 35. Buyers stepped in at 0.80398 and the pair is consolidating just under the 0.80547 session high.
Support: 0.80398, 0.80448
Resistance: 0.80547, 0.8066
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and could override this structure
Loss of the 0.80398 swing low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 0.80660 would neutralise the intraday breakdown
European session broke below the 0.8085-0.8090 shelf that capped price for ~12 hours, sliding to 0.80398 before a shallow bounce to 0.80514. RSI(14) near 35 off the lows; price trades under EMA20/50 with the recent USD softening theme intact ahead of payrolls.
Support: 0.80398, 0.80448
Resistance: 0.80547, 0.8087
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the swing factor and could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.80400 confirms a fresh lower low
M15 close back above 0.80870 negates the breakdown
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 31 · price 0.80514
Lower highs, lower lows; range broken to the downside.
USDCHF sold off through the London session, breaking the 0.8085 range floor and cascading to a 0.80398 session low as USD softened at the margin ahead of NFP. RSI(14) near 31 shows short-term stretch; buyers stepped in at 0.8040 and the pair is holding just above it at 0.80514.
Support: 0.80398, 0.80448, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80547, 0.80674
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and can override this read
Failure to hold 0.80398 opens the path toward 0.8000
Reclaim of 0.80674 needed to ease downside pressure
Lower highs and lower lows, sharp NY-session leg down.
USDCHF sold off through the London-NY transition, breaking the 0.8085 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 0.80398 as softer US data (weak ADP, easing ISM) pressured the dollar. RSI(14) near 31 and price stretched below EMA20/50; a shallow bounce to 0.8052 into the current bar has yet to challenge the broken 0.80674 area.
Support: 0.80398, 0.80448
Resistance: 0.80535, 0.80674, 0.8085
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.80398 confirms continuation to the 0.8040 key support
Reclaim of 0.80674 would neutralise the fresh lower-low
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, sharp leg lower · RSI 35 · price 0.80527
Lower highs / lower lows, bouncing off session low.
USDCHF broke down through 0.80800 during the London session as the dollar softened post-Warsh, dumping to a session low of 0.80398 before a shallow bounce to 0.80527. RSI(14) lifting off oversold territory; sellers capped the pair at every level on the way down and 0.80535 is the first hurdle overhead.
Support: 0.80398, 0.8004
Resistance: 0.80535, 0.8080
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) is the dominant driver and will decide the break
Reclaim above 0.80800 would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 0.80398 opens the 0.80040 key support
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 31 · price 0.80508
Chain of lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.
London session drove USD/CHF off the 0.8087 shelf down through 0.80448 to sweep 0.80398, tracking broad USD softness after weak ADP and Warsh's dovish tilt. RSI(14) near 31 and price is pinned below both EMAs; a shallow bounce to 0.80508 has yet to reclaim any prior structure.
Support: 0.80398, 0.80448
Resistance: 0.80674, 0.80869
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
Close below 0.80398 confirms another lower low
Reclaim of 0.80674 lower high would neutralise the downtrend read
USD/CHF broke down through the 0.809 consolidation during NY hours and slid to 0.8040, tracking a softer dollar after weak ADP and Warsh's dovish tone. RSI(14) near 29 shows the move is stretched, but price is holding just above the 0.8040 key support with no bounce yet.
Support: 0.80398, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.80671, 0.80869
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant catalyst for the next move
M15 close below 0.8040 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.80671 needed to ease downside pressure
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 25 · price 0.80424
Clean lower highs/lows, breakdown through 0.8080.
USDCHF broke the 0.8080 shelf and sliced through the 0.8040 key support over the last ~3 hours, printing a session low at 0.80411 with RSI(14) oversold near 25. Selling accelerated on a softer dollar after weak ADP/ISM, and there's no bounce structure yet — closes are pinned to the lows.
Support: 0.80411
Resistance: 0.8067, 0.8080
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst — could sharply extend or reverse this move
Reclaim of 0.80670 swing high would ease the breakdown read
Sustained trade below 0.80411 session low opens further downside
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 22 · price 0.80424
Lower highs and lower lows, range broken to downside.
USDCHF sold off sharply through the London session, breaking a multi-hour 0.8085-0.8095 range and printing lower lows down to 0.80411 as the dollar softened after weak ADP and Warsh's inflation comments. RSI(14) is oversold near 22 with ATR expanded to ~68 pips; price now presses the 0.8040 key support.
Support: 0.80411, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.80534, 0.8087
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
A hold and reclaim of 0.80534 would ease the downside pressure
A clean break of 0.8040 opens continuation toward the next round level
Range break lower, fresh session lows, chain of lower highs/lows.
USDCHF broke down out of a tight 0.8086-0.8095 range during the London session and slid to fresh session lows at 0.80448, RSI(14) sub-30 as the dollar eased ahead of NFP. Price now hugs 0.80502 just above the 0.8040 support zone flagged in the SNB-watched franc backdrop.
Support: 0.80448, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8066, 0.8080, 0.80891
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT is the primary near-term driver and could reprice this move
Close below 0.8040 confirms a lower low and extends the breakdown
Reclaim of 0.80660 would negate the fresh session-low read
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 27 · price 0.80502
Lower highs and lower lows, breakdown from range.
USDCHF broke down out of the 0.8086 prior range during the London session, sliding to a session low at 0.80448 and printing toward the 0.8040 YTD support. RSI(14) is oversold near 27 after a run of expanding-range bearish bars; the move is USD-side driven ahead of NFP.
Support: 0.80448, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8066
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3.75h out) is the primary near-term driver
A close back above 0.80660 negates the breakdown
A break and hold below 0.8040 ytd support confirms the next lower low
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 25 · price 0.80519
Lower highs, fresh session low.
USDCHF broke down through the 0.8087 consolidation floor during London hours and extended to a fresh session low at 0.80512, RSI(14) pressed near 24 as the move steepened. The pair has left behind a multi-hour balance around 0.8090 and is trading below both EMAs with no sign of a base yet.
Support: 0.8050, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8067, 0.8087
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80670 needed to ease the breakdown; failure keeps the lower-low sequence intact
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~4h) is the primary catalyst and could materially shift this read
0.80400 is the next reference on continuation per the digest
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 23 · price 0.80519
Range break lower, fresh session low.
London session broke down hard from the 0.808–0.809 range that held through Asia, USD softening pre-NFP and driving USDCHF to a fresh session low at 0.80506. RSI(14) is deep in oversold near 22 after the vertical drop; the move is stretched into US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 0.80506, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.80669, 0.8080
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the primary driver for the next bars
Reclaim of 0.80669 would repair the session-low break
Loss of 0.8040 confirms extension of the downtrend
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 27 · price 0.8065
Lower highs, lower lows, breaking session range.
USDCHF sold through the 0.8090 base during the London session and printed fresh session lows at 0.8065, RSI(14) near 27 and stretched. The drop follows soft Swiss CPI (0% MoM) but the pivot at 0.8100 now sits well overhead; next reference is the 0.8040 area.
Support: 0.8065, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
A close back above 0.8090 would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.8065 opens the path toward 0.8040
08:15 UTC
Downtrend, making fresh lows · RSI 30 · price 0.8065
Lower highs, lower lows; sliding into session low.
USDCHF ground lower through the London hours, breaking the 0.8090 consolidation and printing a fresh session low at 0.8065 with RSI(14) near 30. The prior grind toward the 0.81201 high has fully reversed, with each bounce capped at lower highs into the current bar.
Support: 0.8065, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100, 0.81201
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4h) is the dominant driver and could reset this read entirely
Loss of 0.8065 opens the path toward 0.8040 support
A reclaim of 0.8090 would neutralise the downside break
USDCHF sold off through the London session, breaking the 0.8080 floor and printing a fresh session low at 0.8065 as the dollar softened post-Warsh and soft Swiss CPI failed to cap franc demand. RSI(14) near 29 shows momentum stretched into the decline; each bounce has capped at a lower high.
Support: 0.8050, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8080
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4.5h) is the dominant driver and can reset this read
Reclaim of 0.8080 would negate the lower-low sequence
Sustained close below 0.8050 opens the path to 0.8040 support
London session drove USDCHF to a fresh window low at 0.8065, breaking below the multi-hour 0.809 consolidation with RSI(14) sliding toward oversold. The soft Swiss CPI MoM print offered the franc no support, but this leg is stretched ahead of US payrolls.
Support: 0.8065, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8090
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4.5h) is the dominant near-term driver and can shift this read
Close back above 0.8090 invalidates the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.8065 opens the path to 0.8040
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 0.80722
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCHF broke the mid-session consolidation and printed fresh lows at 0.80703 into the London morning, easing from the 0.8100 pivot as the dollar consolidated after soft ADP. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 31 — extended but not yet at extreme.
Support: 0.80703, 0.8064
Resistance: 0.8087, 0.80969, 0.8100
What it said to watch
US NFP + AHE at 12:30 UTC (~4.8h) is the dominant driver and can flip this read
Reclaim of 0.80870 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Sustained close below 0.80703 opens the path toward 0.80640
07:31 UTC
Downtrend into NFP · RSI 33 · price 0.80761
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.
USDCHF ground lower through the London session, breaking the 0.8087 consolidation floor to print a fresh session low at 0.80743 with RSI(14) around 33. Price is pinned below EMA20/50 sub-0.8100 ahead of US NFP, extending the run of lower highs.
Support: 0.80743, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8087, 0.80958, 0.8100
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.80870 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 0.80743 confirms continuation lower toward 0.807
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 38 · price 0.80795
Broke below consolidation, printing lower lows.
London session drifting to fresh session lows at 0.80743 ahead of US NFP, breaking below the 0.80860-0.80940 consolidation that held through Asia. RSI(14) near 38 with price under both EMAs; move follows the NY selloff from 0.81201 on July 1.
Support: 0.80743, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.80905, 0.8097
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80905 negates the downside break
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst and can materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Downtrend from session high, fresh leg lower · RSI 42 · price 0.80823
Lower highs since 0.81201 peak, breaking session support.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.81201 session high and has printed lower highs since; the latest leg to 0.80743 came on the Swiss CPI print, with CHF firming into it. Price sits below EMA20/50 at 0.80823, RSI(14) mid-40s with no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 0.80743, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8087, 0.80969, 0.81025
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8087 recent pivot would neutralise the fresh downside push
Loss of 0.80743 session low confirms continuation lower
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant next catalyst for this pair
06:46 UTC
Downtrend after high rejection, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 0.80845
Lower highs since 0.81201 spike, chain of sub-0.80970 caps.
USDCHF spiked to 0.81201 mid-window then reversed hard, and price has ground out lower highs back to 0.80845 into the Swiss CPI print. A 06:00 UTC dip swept 0.80803 before buyers steadied it; consolidation now sits just above that swing low with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.80803, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100, 0.81201
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80803 confirms continuation toward the 0.80780 session low
Reclaim of 0.80970 would negate the lower-high structure
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reshape this read
False-break high then lower highs into session low.
The NY-session spike to 0.81201 was sharply rejected, dumping price back to the 0.809 area where it consolidated for hours. Price is now drifting lower, testing the session low at 0.80803 with RSI(14) mid-range around 42. Swiss CPI hit at 06:30 UTC — the driver behind the last-bar wobble.
Support: 0.80803, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8109, 0.81201
What it said to watch
Break below 0.80803 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.80970 range top reopens the 0.81090 swing high
Swiss CPI (06:30 UTC) and US NFP later today can override this intraday read
NY session rejected the 0.81201 spike high mid-session, dumping to 0.8078 before settling into a 0.808–0.809 Asian range. Bars are grinding lower into the London open, last candle dipping to 0.80803 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.80803, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8096, 0.8100, 0.81201
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
Close below 0.80780 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.80960 negates the drift lower
06:01 UTC
Downtrend from session high, now grinding lower · RSI 39 · price 0.80843
Lower highs into session lows after mid-window sell-off.
USDCHF was rejected at 0.81201 mid-window and sold off toward 0.80780, since ranging 0.80780–0.80970 before edging back to session lows at 0.80843. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39; the drift lower comes just ahead of Swiss CPI, with USD/CHF held near YTD-high territory.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8091, 0.80969, 0.81201
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC (~30m) can break the 0.80780–0.80970 range
US NFP later is the dominant USD driver for the next session
Close below 0.80780 confirms a fresh session low; reclaim of 0.80910 negates the drift lower
05:46 UTC
Down off session high, now flat · RSI 42 · price 0.8087
Post-rejection consolidation.
USDCHF pushed to a session high of 0.8120 then got firmly rejected, sliding to 0.8078 before settling into a tight 0.8085-0.8093 band. Price now drifts at 0.8087, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 42 — quiet ahead of the imminent Swiss CPI print.
Support: 0.80842, 0.80799
Resistance: 0.80926, 0.8100, 0.81201
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC (~45min) could break this consolidation either way
Close below 0.80799 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.80926 opens the path back toward the 0.8100 pivot
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 44 · price 0.80872
Lower highs, ranging above session low.
Sharp sell-off from 0.81201 into the London-NY handoff bottomed at 0.80799, since which price has ground sideways with lower highs between 0.80840 and 0.80970. Volatility has collapsed (ATR ~3 pips) as the market waits on Swiss CPI, RSI subdued near 44.
Support: 0.8084, 0.80799, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8110, 0.81201
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF spiked to 0.81201 late in the NY session then sold off hard, and the Asia session has drifted lower into 0.80870 with price pinned under EMA20/50. Structure is a slow grind of lower highs off that rejection, RSI mid-40s and flattening.
Support: 0.80842, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100, 0.81201
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC (~75m) can materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.80842 opens the 0.80780 session low
Reclaim of 0.80970 negates the lower-high sequence
05:01 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 42 · price 0.80863
Consolidating below post-selloff pivots.
USDCHF sold off sharply from 0.81201 to the 0.80780 area and has since ground sideways in a tight 0.80842–0.80960 band, price hugging just under EMA20. RSI(14) near 42, no momentum extreme; Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC sits inside the next bar window and can break this quiet range.
Support: 0.80842, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8096, 0.8102
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI 06:30 UTC can break the 0.80842–0.80960 range
Close below 0.80780 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.80960 range top would neutralise the selloff read
04:46 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 43 · price 0.80875
Ranging under prior swing high after NY sell-off.
USDCHF sold off sharply from 0.81201 during yesterday's NY session, then consolidated 0.80840–0.80970 through the Asian range. Price is drifting toward the lower edge into pre-London with RSI(14) mid-40s and holding below EMA20/50; no clean directional setup in play.
Support: 0.8084, 0.8080, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8102
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.80840 confirms a break of the range low toward 0.80780
Reclaim of 0.80970 range top negates the current downside drift
04:31 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower within range · RSI 43 · price 0.8087
Ranging 0.8080-0.8095 after rejection from 0.8120.
USD/CHF rejected the 0.8120 NY-session high yesterday and sold off to 0.8078, then settled into a 0.8080-0.8095 range. Price is grinding toward the lower end at 0.8087 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.8078, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8100, 0.8120
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8078 confirms a lower-low, opens 0.8040 key support
Reclaim of 0.8095 range top puts the 0.8100 pivot back in play
Swiss CPI 06:30 UTC and US NFP 12:30 UTC could reset the range
04:16 UTC
Downtrend off 0.8120, now consolidating · RSI 42 · price 0.8087
Range near session lows after NY rejection.
Sharp rejection at 0.8120 during NY hours dumped price ~40 pips, and Asia has since consolidated in a tight 0.8086–0.8095 band. Price is now probing the lower edge near 0.8087 with RSI mid-range; no fresh momentum in play.
Support: 0.8084, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8084 session low opens a retest of the 0.8078 swing low
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC (~2h out) could break the consolidation
Reclaim of the 0.8095 range top negates the drift lower
04:01 UTC
Downtrend within range after failed push to 0.812 · RSI 43 · price 0.80871
Consolidating 0.8078–0.8096 after rejection of the 0.812 spike.
The push to 0.81201 during London hours was rejected hard, dropping ~40 pips and leaving a false break; price has since consolidated 0.8078–0.8096 through the quiet Asian session. RSI(14) near 43 with price under both EMAs, drifting toward the 0.80800 swing low into Swiss CPI.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.80958, 0.81201
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80780 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 0.80958 reopens the 0.81100–0.81200 rejection zone
Swiss CPI 06:30 UTC and US NFP 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Downtrend cooled into consolidation · RSI 48 · price 0.80901
Range after rejection off 0.8120.
Price spiked to 0.81201 then reversed hard, sellers rejecting the 0.8120 high and driving back to a 0.80780 session low. Since then it has coiled tightly between 0.80860 and 0.80970, now sitting mid-range at 0.80901 into Swiss CPI, ATR having compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.8086, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8105
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC could break this range read
M15 close above 0.80970 opens the path toward 0.81050
Failure to hold 0.80860 exposes the 0.80780 session low
03:31 UTC
Consolidation after spike rejection · RSI 44 · price 0.80901
Range-bound 0.8086–0.8097, drifting lower.
USDCHF is consolidating around 0.8090 through the Asia session after yesterday's spike to 0.81200 was rejected and unwound toward 0.8078. Price is pinned in a tight 0.8086–0.8097 range with RSI(14) near 44 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips; both EMAs sit just overhead.
Support: 0.8086, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8102
What it said to watch
Break below 0.8086 session low opens a retest of 0.8080 swing low
Close above 0.8097 recent high exposes 0.8102 prior high
Swiss CPI 06:30 UTC and US NFP 12:30 UTC are the dominant catalysts that could break this range
03:16 UTC
Pulled back, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.80909
Range after sharp rejection off session high.
USDCHF spiked to a session high of 0.81201 mid-window before a sharp ~40-pip rejection dumped price to 0.80800. Since then it has been consolidating in a 0.80860–0.80970 band with RSI(14) back near neutral; USD held broadly firm into NFP while the franc drew no lift from strong Swiss retail sales.
Support: 0.8086, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8102
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC and SNB FSR at 04:30 UTC could shift this read
M15 close above 0.80970 breaks the consolidation top
Loss of 0.80800 confirms a lower low and reopens the session low
03:01 UTC
Pulled back from highs, ranging lower · RSI 44 · price 0.80887
Range after sharp reversal, lower highs.
USDCHF spiked to 0.81201 then reversed sharply and has held a 0.80800–0.80970 range through the Asian session, now drifting toward the lower end at 0.80887. RSI sits mid-40s and price is below both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR near 3.6 pips reflects the compressed overnight tone.
Support: 0.80844, 0.8080, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8105, 0.81201
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC and SNB stability report at 04:30 UTC could break the range
Close below 0.80800 confirms a lower-low toward 0.80780
Reclaim of 0.80970 reopens the 0.81050 area
02:46 UTC
Mild downtrend after NY rejection · RSI 43 · price 0.80872
Range below session high, drifting to lower half.
USD/CHF spiked to a session high 0.81201 during NY hours then reversed sharply, and has since consolidated in the 0.8080–0.8097 band through Asia with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. Price is drifting into the lower half of the range at 0.80872, holding just above the asia low near 0.80844.
Support: 0.80844, 0.8080, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100, 0.81201
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80800 swing low opens the path toward 0.80780 range low
Reclaim of 0.80970 range high needed to re-test 0.81000 psych
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC and US NFP at 12:30 UTC could break the Asian consolidation
02:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.8087
Consolidating below faded spike.
The push to 0.8120 during the London-NY window was faded hard back to 0.8080, and Asia has since consolidated 0.8080–0.8097 with price easing to 0.8087. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, price below both EMAs — no directional impulse, sideways after the spike fade.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100, 0.8120
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8080 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 0.8097–0.8100 range top reopens the 0.8120 prior high
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC and US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Ranging 0.8078-0.8097 following false break of 0.8120.
A spike to 0.81201 during the US session was sharply rejected, flushing price back into the 0.8078-0.8097 range. Now drifting toward range lows at 0.80857 in thin Asian hours with RSI(14) in the mid-40s; buyers stepped in twice near 0.8078 earlier.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8102, 0.81201
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80780 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 0.80970 needed to challenge the range top
Swiss CPI (06:30 UTC) and US NFP (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Consolidating after sharp rejection · RSI 44 · price 0.80892
Tight range post NY drop.
USDCHF spiked to 0.81201 during the NY session then dumped hard to 0.80799, a clean rejection of the 0.812 area. Since then price has coiled in a tight 0.80867-0.80969 range through the Asia session on thin volume, now drifting near the range low at 0.80892.
Support: 0.80867, 0.80799
Resistance: 0.80969, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80969 reopens the 0.81000 psych level
Break below 0.80867 exposes the 0.80799 swing low
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant external driver for this range
01:46 UTC
Consolidating after rejection · RSI 44 · price 0.80902
Range-bound 0.8078–0.8097 post-spike.
USDCHF spiked to 0.81201 during the London-NY session then got rejected hard back to 0.80780. Asia hours have been flat, coiling around 0.809 between the swing low and session high, RSI mid-range near 44.
Support: 0.8084, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read
Close below 0.80780 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.80970 reopens the 0.81000 psych level
01:31 UTC
Range after spike rejection · RSI 48 · price 0.80929
Consolidation mid-range.
London/NY pushed to 0.81201 and was rejected, then sold off to a 0.80780 session low. Price has since coiled in a quiet Asia session, ranging 0.80880-0.80970 with RSI(14) flat near 48.
Support: 0.8088, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8105, 0.81201
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80970 recent high opens the path to 0.81050
Close below 0.80780 session low confirms a lower low
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC (~5h) and US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~11h) could break the range
01:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.80925
Range after rejection of the 0.812 spike.
USDCHF pushed to a 0.81201 spike high during NY hours before a sharp rejection dumped price back to 0.808, and it has since gone quiet, consolidating around 0.809 through the Asian session. RSI(14) neutral near 51 with ATR compressed to a few pips — no intraday setup in play, range bound 0.80878–0.80970.
Support: 0.80878, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8102, 0.81201
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80970 reopens the 0.81020 area
Loss of 0.80878 puts the 0.80800 swing low back in focus
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC and US NFP at 12:30 UTC could break this range decisively
01:02 UTC
Consolidating after NY selloff · RSI 48 · price 0.80927
Tight Asia range post drop from 0.8120.
USDCHF is grinding a quiet Asia range between 0.80878 and 0.80969 after the NY-session slide from the 0.81201 high down to 0.80780. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 and price sits right on EMA20; no intraday setup while overnight volume is thin.
Support: 0.80878, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.80969, 0.8102
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC could break the range either side
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next session
M15 close above 0.80969 reopens the 0.81020 area; loss of 0.80878 exposes 0.80780
00:46 UTC
Down then consolidating · RSI 55 · price 0.80961
NY sell-off, Asia basing under 0.81000.
NY session sold off hard from the 0.81201 high to 0.80780, then Asia has consolidated tightly between 0.80880 and 0.80960, now nudging the 0.81000 pivot at 0.80961 with RSI neutral near 55. Range-bound with no clean setup ahead of Swiss CPI and US NFP.
Support: 0.8088, 0.8080, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81047, 0.81201
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81000 opens the path back to 0.81047 and the 0.81201 day high
Loss of the 0.80880 asia low exposes 0.80800 and the 0.80780 session low
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC and US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Range after selloff, flat · RSI 53 · price 0.80961
Asia consolidation below prior NY high.
London-NY pushed to 0.81201 before a sharp rejection dragged price back to 0.80780; Asia has since gone quiet, coiling between 0.80878 and the round-number 0.81000. RSI(14) is neutral near 53, ATR compressed to ~11 pips as the market waits on Swiss CPI and US NFP.
Support: 0.80878, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8109
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC and Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC are the dominant catalysts for the next sessions
M15 close above 0.81000 reopens the path toward the 0.81090 swing high
Failure to hold the 0.80878 asia low exposes the 0.80780 swing low
00:16 UTC
Range after spike rejection · RSI 53 · price 0.80933
Consolidation post false-break.
USDCHF spiked to 0.81201 during London-NY hours before a sharp rejection dumped price to 0.80780, a clean false break of the highs. Asian session has since gone quiet, coiling tightly around 0.8092 with RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.8088, 0.8081
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.81201
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80990 opens the path back toward the 0.81201 spike high
Failure to hold 0.80880 exposes the 0.80810 swing low
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC and US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Range after failed breakout · RSI 52 · price 0.80933
Consolidation inside 0.8078–0.8099.
USDCHF spiked to a session high of 0.81201 mid-session then reversed sharply to 0.80780, a false break rejected back into range. Asia hours since have been quiet and thin, coiling around 0.8093 between 0.8086 and 0.8099 with RSI(14) flat near 52.
Support: 0.8078, 0.80856
Resistance: 0.80988, 0.81201
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80780 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
Close above 0.80988 puts the 0.81201 session high back in play
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC and US NFP at 12:30 UTC could break this range