USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Friday, 3 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 48 · price 0.8039
Sharp drop into tight consolidation above week low.
USDCHF sold off hard Thursday into the NY session after the 57K NFP miss reset Fed-hike bets, collapsing from the 0.8120 week high to sub-0.8010. Since then price has based in a tight 0.8010–0.8047 range, now sitting on EMA20 with RSI(14) recovered off oversold to the mid-40s. The lower-highs sequence from the drop still caps the topside while 0.8010 has held on repeated tests.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.8047, 0.8065, 0.8120
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8000 opens 0.7982 then 0.7910
Sustained close above 0.8047 range top negates the lower-highs
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD read
USDCHF slumped from the 0.8120 area to 0.8010 after Thursday's soft 57K NFP print reset Fed-hike pricing and pressured the Dollar broadly. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.8020-0.8047 band through Friday's thin holiday session, holding just above EMA(20) but capped below EMA(50). RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to mid-range as the pair coils above the 0.8000 pivot.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.8047, 0.8063, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8000 opens 0.7982 then 0.7910
Recovery above 0.8063 negates the post-NFP down-leg
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USDCHF sold off through the week, sliding from the 0.8120 high to a 0.8010 base after Thursday's 57K NFP miss knocked the Dollar broadly. Price has since carved a double bottom near 0.8010 and is consolidating around 0.8030-0.8035, holding just above the flattening EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering toward 50. Range top at 0.8047 has capped attempts, with the 0.8000 pivot the key level below.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.8047, 0.8069, 0.8120
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8000 confirms lower-low, exposing 0.7982
Reclaim of 0.8047 range top shifts the base read
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could materially move USD legs
The soft 57K US NFP print Thursday knocked USDCHF from the 0.8120 area down through 0.8010, a two-session slide that broke the week's uptrend structure. Since the NY session yesterday price has consolidated in a tight 0.8016–0.8047 range, with RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s and price pinned to EMA20 but below EMA50. The 0.8010 week low and the 0.8000 psych pivot have twice contained the downside, giving a basing look.
Support: 0.8016, 0.8010, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8047, 0.8067
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8000 confirms downtrend continuation toward 0.7982
Reclaim of 0.80470 range top would neutralise the post-NFP slide
ISM Services PMI Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed are the nearest catalysts for USD
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 50 · price 0.80334
Sharp reversal off week highs, ranging above 0.8000.
The pair pushed toward the 0.8120 one-year-high zone earlier in the week before reversing hard on Thursday's US NFP miss (57K vs 110K), sliding to a week low of 0.80098. Since then price has consolidated in a 0.8010–0.8047 band, sitting on EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat around the midline. The 0.8000 pivot has held on the downside while attempts back toward 0.8047 have been capped.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8047, 0.8066
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.8000 opens 0.7982 then 0.7910
Reclaim of 0.80470 puts the 0.80660 prior high back in play
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed are the week's key USD catalysts
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.80334
Post-NFP selloff, basing above 0.8000.
USDCHF reversed hard off the 0.8120 one-year-high zone after Thursday's 57K NFP miss, printing an 0.80098 week low before basing in a tight 0.8016–0.8045 range through the NY session. Price sits back on EMA(20) but below EMA(50), with RSI(14) recovering to the mid-40s from oversold. The 0.80469 prior high has capped the bounce so far, keeping the post-NFP downdraft the dominant read.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80469, 0.80674
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8000 psych pivot opens the path to 0.7982
Reclaim above 0.80469 prior high would challenge the downtrend read
FOMC Minutes Wed and ISM Services Mon could reprice USD and shift this read
USDCHF sold off sharply Thursday into the NY session after the 57K NFP miss gutted Fed hike bets, driving price from the 0.8120 area to a 0.8010 week low. Since then it has consolidated in a tight 0.8016-0.8044 band, holding above EMA(20) but capped below EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering near 50. The move remains USD-led; Swiss CPI was a non-event for the franc.
Support: 0.8016, 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8044, 0.8066, 0.80745
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8010 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.8000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.80440 range top would ease the downside pressure toward 0.80660
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed could materially shift the USD-led read
USDCHF sold off through Thursday's NY session, sliding from 0.8120 to a 0.8010 week low as the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) forced a dovish Fed repricing and pressured the dollar broadly. Since Friday the pair has consolidated in a tight 0.8016-0.8047 band, with RSI hovering near 50 and price holding just above a flattening EMA20 while EMA50 caps overhead. The 0.8047 swing high has capped the bounce; the 0.8010 week low and 0.8000 psychological level define the floor being defended.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80469, 0.80613
What it said to watch
An H1 close below 0.8010 exposes the 0.8000 psych level and confirms downtrend continuation
A close above 0.80469 swing high breaks the lower-highs sequence
ISM Services PMI Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed are the dominant USD-side risks for this read
USDCHF sold off hard through Thursday's NY session after the NFP miss (57K vs 110K) hammered the dollar, cutting from the 0.8120 area to a 0.80098 low. Price has since based in a tight 0.8010–0.8047 range, sitting just above a rising EMA20 but capped below EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the mid-40s. Lower highs off 0.80469 keep the near-term structure heavy.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80469, 0.8066
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.8000 opens 0.7982 continuation lower
Reclaim of 0.80469 range top would neutralise the lower-high sequence
ISM Services and FOMC Minutes this week could reprice USD and break the range
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 47 · price 0.80345
Week-long drop into a tight consolidation above 0.8010.
USDCHF ran to a 0.8120 high early in the week then reversed hard, accelerating lower through Thursday's NFP miss (57K vs 110K) that broadly sold the dollar and drove the pair to 0.80098. Since then price has consolidated in a 0.8010–0.8047 band, holding just above the week low with RSI(14) recovering off oversold. Price sits back on EMA20 but remains capped below EMA50, keeping the weekly downtrend intact.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80469, 0.8053, 0.8063
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80098 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.8000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.80469 prior high opens the path to the 0.80630 swing high
SNB intervention rhetoric flagged as CHF strength approaches the 0.8000 handle
USDCHF gave up its 0.8120 mid-week high and sold off hard through the NY session Thursday after the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the USD broadly. Price bottomed near 0.8010 and has since chopped sideways in a tight 0.8010–0.8045 band, with RSI(14) recovering off its lows and price hugging EMA20 while remaining capped under EMA50. The prior-high shelf at 0.80448 has capped the bounce, and 0.8000 remains the pivot below.
Support: 0.80105, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80448, 0.8063
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8000 confirms lower low, exposes 0.7982/0.7910
Reclaim of 0.80630 cycle low negates the downside pressure
ISM Services Mon and FOMC minutes Wed could reshape the USD leg
Lower highs into a tight consolidation off the lows.
USDCHF slid a second day into the NY session, the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) driving broad USD selling and stamping a fresh ten-day low near 0.8010. Price has since gone flat, coiling in a 0.8010–0.8047 band just below the EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering toward the mid-40s. The 0.8000 psych pivot sits directly beneath and remains the reference for the down leg.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8047, 0.8063
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.8000 extends the down leg toward 0.7982
Reclaim of 0.8063 cycle low negates the current lower-high structure
ISM Services (Mon) could re-price the USD side and shift this read
USDCHF sold off hard into the NY session Thursday, dropping from the 0.81200 week high to 0.80098 as the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the USD broadly. Since then price has consolidated 0.80100–0.80470, carving a series of higher lows and reclaiming EMA(20) while capped below EMA(50). RSI(14) has recovered to ~50 from oversold, marking a pause rather than a reversal.
Support: 0.8016, 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80469, 0.8055, 0.8074
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80098 week low confirms downtrend continuation toward 0.80000 psych pivot
H1 close back above EMA50 / 0.80550 needed to shift the read constructive
FOMC minutes Wed and ISM Services Mon are the key USD catalysts that could reset this range
Since Monday's open near 0.8085 the pair pushed to a 0.8120 midweek high before collapsing on Thursday's NFP miss (57K vs 110K), dropping to a 0.8010 low as the USD sold off broadly. Price is now consolidating in the mid-0.8030s, holding a shallow rebound off twin lows around 0.8010 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold. Descending highs since the 0.8120 peak keep the near-term structure heavy despite price nudging back above EMA20.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8047, 0.8067
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8010 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.8000 psych pivot
Reclaim of 0.8047 needed to challenge descending resistance
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) are the key USD-side catalysts for this read
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 0.80327
Lower highs since mid-week, basing above 0.8010.
The pair pushed to a 0.8120 week high mid-week on Fed-hike pricing before Thursday's soft US NFP (57K vs 110K) drove a sharp leg down to 0.8010. Since then price has been basing in a 0.8016–0.8044 band below EMA20 and EMA50, with each bounce capped by lower highs. RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-50, keeping the weekly downside intact.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80442, 0.80523
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8000 opens 0.7982 then 0.7910
Reclaim of 0.80442 prior high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) and FOMC minutes (Wed) could reprice USD and shift this read
Consolidation above week low after impulsive drop.
USDCHF sold off hard through Thursday's NY session, dropping from 0.8120 to 0.80098 as the soft US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) forced a USD unwind. Price has since flatlined between 0.8010 and 0.8045, coiling just around the flattening H1 EMA(20) while sitting below the EMA(50). RSI(14) has recovered off oversold into the mid-40s, tracking the sideways drift.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80448, 0.8056
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.80100 confirms a fresh lower-low and re-opens the 0.8000 psych level
Reclaiming 0.80448 would break the consolidation ceiling and challenge the sequence of lower highs
FOMC minutes Wed and ISM Services Mon could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off from Monday's 0.8120 area through the week, with the sharpest leg lower on the NFP miss (57K vs 110K) that dragged the dollar broadly to ten-day lows near 0.8010. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8010–0.8045 band below EMA20, with RSI cycling in the mid-40s and matched lows near 0.8010 forming a double-bottom base. The 0.8000 psychological pivot sits just under the range floor.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8030, 0.80448, 0.80669
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8010 exposes the 0.8000 psych pivot
Reclaim of EMA20 (~0.8030) and 0.8045 range top would ease downside pressure
USD follow-through / Fed commentary could reprice this read
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near range lows.
USDCHF has trended lower since Wednesday, with the sharp NFP miss (57K vs 110K) driving broad USD selling and dumping the pair from the 0.8120 area to ten-day lows near 0.8010. Price has since carved a shallow base but bounces are stalling below EMA(20) around 0.8035, keeping lower-high structure intact. The 0.8000 psychological pivot remains the immediate line of focus.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.8035, 0.80469, 0.8066
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8000 opens the path to the 0.7982/0.7910 support band
Reclaim of EMA(20) near 0.8035 and 0.80469 prior high needed to ease the downside read
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) and FOMC Minutes could materially shift the USD leg
USDCHF sold off sharply Thursday after the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) hammered the dollar, driving a leg from 0.8120 to a 0.80098 week low. Price has since stabilised into a tight 0.8010-0.8045 consolidation just above the 0.8000 psych pivot, with RSI(14) recovering back toward neutral off oversold. Sequence of lower highs since Wednesday's peak keeps the weekly structure heavy while 0.8000 holds.
Support: 0.80105, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80469, 0.80819
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8000 exposes 0.7982 then 0.7910
Reclaim of 0.80469 prior high needed to challenge the lower-high sequence
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC is the next USD catalyst; US markets closed today
USDCHF broke lower into Thursday's NY session as the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) drove a broad USD sell-off, slicing through 0.8060 to a week low at 0.80098. Price has since stabilised in a tight 0.8016–0.8047 band, holding above the 0.8000 psych pivot with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the mid-40s. Both EMA20 and EMA50 sit above spot, capping the bounce so far.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80469
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80098 exposes the 0.8000 psych pivot
H1 close back above 0.80469 prior high eases the downside pressure
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read materially
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, holding lows · RSI 44 · price 0.80324
Lower highs and lower lows since Wednesday.
USDCHF has trended lower since Wednesday's 0.81201 peak, with the decline accelerating through Thursday's NY session after the sharp NFP miss (57K vs 110K) hammered the dollar and kept the franc bid. Price broke below the 0.8074 shelf and printed a 0.80105 session low before stabilising; RSI(14) has ticked up off oversold as the last bounce made a higher RSI reading against a lower price low. Both EMA20 and EMA50 cap from above, keeping structure heavy near the 0.8000 psych pivot.
Support: 0.80105, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.80469, 0.8074, 0.8120
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 0.8000 psych opens 0.7982 then the 0.7910 swing low
Reclaim of 0.80469 prior high would ease the lower-high sequence
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC + Waller could re-shift the USD read
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, USD-led · RSI 43 · price 0.80324
Lower highs and lower lows since Wednesday.
USDCHF has trended lower all week, with the decline accelerating Thursday after the sharp US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the dollar broadly and drove the pair to ten-day lows near 0.8010. Price is pinned below EMA20/50 and consolidating just above the 0.8000 psych pivot after the impulsive drop from 0.8120. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold into the low 40s as the slide stalls.
Support: 0.80105, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80469, 0.8074
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8000 psych opens the path toward 0.7982
Reclaim of 0.80469 prior high needed to challenge the descending sequence
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC + Waller are the next USD catalysts
USDCHF ground up to a 0.8120 cycle high midweek before the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) hammered the dollar Thursday, driving a clean break through the 0.8063 pivot and a sustained downtrend into the NY session. Price is pinned near the 0.80100 week low with RSI(14) around 39; two probes of 0.8010 have held, forming a tentative double bottom, but every rally has stalled below EMA20. Structure remains lower-high, lower-low.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80469, 0.8063
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.8000 psych exposes downside continuation
Reclaim of the 0.80630 pivot would break the sequence of lower highs
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed are the key event risk for the Fed-path repricing driving this pair
Lower highs into 0.80 support, tentative higher low.
USDCHF ground toward 0.8120 into midweek before Thursday's soft US NFP (57K vs 110K) hammered the dollar, driving a second leg down to the 0.801 area. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with a sequence of lower highs, but the second dip held just above the prior 0.80098 low while RSI printed a shallower trough — a mild bullish divergence into the 0.80 handle. Rejection off the 0.8120 top remains the dominant structure this week.
Support: 0.80105, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.80469, 0.8066
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 0.80000 exposes 0.79820
Reclaim above 0.80469 breaks the lower-high sequence
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift USD pricing and this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 41 · price 0.80197
Lower highs and lower lows since midweek.
USDCHF unwound its early-week rally as the dollar slid on the soft US NFP miss (57K vs 110K), tipping the pair to a fresh week low near 0.8010 in the NY session. Price has traded below EMA20 since the payroll drop, and after a brief consolidation around 0.8030-0.8045 it broke lower again into the Asia-London transition. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s with the pair pinned to the 0.8000 pivot flagged as this-week's key floor.
Support: 0.80105, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8032, 0.80469
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.80098 confirms a lower low, exposing the 0.8000 pivot
Reclaim of the EMA20 near 0.8032 would ease downside pressure
ISM Services Mon and FOMC minutes Wed are the next USD catalysts in a holiday-thinned week
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, extending · RSI 36 · price 0.80197
Lower highs and lower lows, pressing week low.
USDCHF has trended lower since Wednesday, with the drop accelerating after the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) dragged the dollar to a two-week low. Price is carving lower highs and lower lows well below EMA(20), which has capped each bounce, and now hovers just above the 0.80105 week low. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s after the impulsive leg down, with the pair consolidating right on the 0.8000 pivot flagged in market context.
Support: 0.80105, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8035, 0.80469
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.8000 exposes 0.7982 and keeps lower-low structure intact
Reclaim of 0.80469 prior high needed to challenge the descending sequence
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could re-arm USD and shift this read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, extending lows · RSI 38 · price 0.8018
Lower highs, lower lows since NFP.
USD/CHF has bled lower since Thursday's soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K f/c) knocked the dollar broadly weaker; the pair broke 0.8063 and 0.8035 in the NY session and is now printing fresh lows near 0.8010. Price is trading well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with each pullback capped, and RSI(14) hovering in the high-30s. The 0.8000 psychological pivot is the immediate area to watch after a clean breakdown through the week's structure.
Support: 0.80105, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.8035, 0.8063
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 0.8000 exposes 0.7982 then 0.7910
H1 close back above 0.8035 broken low would neutralise the breakdown
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed could materially shift the USD read
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session yesterday after the sharp US NFP miss (57K vs 110K), slicing from the 0.8120 cycle high down to a 0.80098 low and holding a clean sequence of lower highs into today's Asia session. Price trades below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pinned in oversold territory; the 0.8035 broken low has capped the latest bounce. The 0.8000 psych pivot is the immediate downside reference just beneath the 0.8010 session low.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.8035, 0.8063, 0.8090
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8000 opens the path toward 0.7982 then 0.7910
H1 close back above 0.8035 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC and FOMC Minutes Wed could materially shift this read
USDCHF broke down sharply after yesterday's soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K), tumbling from the 0.8120 cycle high to a 0.80098 week low during NY hours. Price has since stalled in a tight consolidation just above the 0.8000 psych level, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s. The 0.80440 bounce high capped the only meaningful recovery attempt.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.8044, 0.8063, 0.8120
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8000 exposes 0.7982 then 0.7910
Reclaim of 0.80440 would ease the downside pressure
ISM Services PMI Mon Jul 6 could materially shift this read
The week rolled over from the 0.8120 cycle high, with the decline accelerating on yesterday's US NFP shock (57K vs 110K) that dragged the pair through 0.8063 to a 0.8010 low. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.8020-0.8047 band into the Asia session, holding below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the low-40s. Demand around 0.8010-0.8000 has so far contained the slide.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.8047, 0.8063
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8000 opens the path to 0.7982 then 0.7910
Reclaim of 0.8047 needed to ease near-term downside pressure
ISM Services PMI Jul 6 is the next major USD catalyst and could reshape this read
USDCHF has been on the back foot all week, with the decisive leg lower coming through the NY session yesterday as the soft US June payrolls miss (57K vs 110K) sank the dollar and drove the pair to a two-week low near 0.8010. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 and has since consolidated in a tight 0.8020–0.8047 band, with RSI(14) hovering in the low 40s after basing out of oversold. The prior swing high at 0.80469 and EMA20 near 0.8038 have capped the corrective attempts.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8038, 0.80469
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80098 week low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward the 0.8000 psych level
H1 close back above the 0.80469 prior high would neutralise the downtrend read
ISM Services PMI (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next catalyst and could reset this structure
USDCHF broke down through the week's 0.8090 base and sold off toward 0.8010 after Friday's soft US payrolls (57K vs 110K f/c) hammered the dollar into the NY session. Price is now consolidating just above the 0.80098 week low, capped below EMA20 with RSI grinding in the high-30s. The bounce off the low stalled at 0.8047 and rolled over again into the Asia session.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80469
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80098 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.8000 psych pivot
H1 close back above 0.80469 would neutralise the breakdown read
ISM Services PMI (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next catalyst for this pair
Lower highs and lows, consolidating above week low.
USDCHF broke lower into the NY session yesterday, sliding from the 0.8120 area to a 0.80098 week low as the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) hit the dollar broadly. Price has since stabilised in a tight 0.8025–0.8045 band and trades below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) recovering off oversold but stalling near 42. The 0.8040 shelf has capped the bounce and remains the pivot for the post-NFP range.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8040, 0.8052, 0.8066
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.80098 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.8040 opens the path back toward the 0.8052 EMA20
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC a key risk for this range
USD/CHF drifted lower all week and accelerated into yesterday's NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c), which dragged the pair to a week low at 0.8010. Price has since based in a tight 0.8025-0.8045 band, holding well below EMA20 and EMA50 as the broad USD offer persists. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s, flattening as the down-leg loses pace.
Support: 0.80244, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80469
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80469 breaks the week's lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80098 opens the week low downside
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reprice the USD leg
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating near week low.
USDCHF broke sharply lower into Friday's NY session as the 57K NFP miss (vs 110K f/c) gutted USD, driving the pair from 0.8120 to a 0.8010 week low. Price sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) after the impulse and is now consolidating in the low 0.803s, with a shallow bounce to 0.8044 already faded. RSI(14) recovered off oversold but holds below 50, consistent with the prevailing down-leg.
Support: 0.80098, 0.80248
Resistance: 0.80442, 0.8074, 0.81001
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.80098 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.80442 bounce high would ease downside pressure
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) are the next USD catalysts that could shift this read
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 0.80292
Impulsive leg down, basing above week low.
USDCHF broke sharply lower into the NY session yesterday, dumping from the 0.8115 week high to 0.8010 as the dollar sold off on the 57K NFP miss. Price is now basing just above the 0.8029 June-18 low, holding well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) after the impulse. The 0.80469 bounce high has capped the recovery, keeping the week's structure clearly to the downside.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8029
Resistance: 0.80469, 0.80669, 0.81152
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.80098 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.80469 would ease the downside pressure
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next major USD catalyst for this pair
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after break · RSI 42 · price 0.80317
Impulsive break to week low, consolidating above 0.8010.
USDCHF broke sharply lower into the NY session, sliding from the 0.812 area to a week low at 0.80098 as the soft US payrolls print (57K vs 110K) dragged the dollar to two-week lows. Price is now consolidating in the 0.8020–0.8047 zone, holding just above the news-cited 0.8029 support with RSI(14) recovering off oversold. Both EMA(20) and EMA(50) sit above price, capping the bounce.
Support: 0.8029, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80469, 0.8065, 0.8040
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.80098 confirms a lower low and extends the break
reclaim of 0.80469 challenges the sequence of lower highs
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC and FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 43 · price 0.80317
Range break lower, basing above week low.
USDCHF broke down through the week's range and printed a fresh low at 0.80098 as the dollar sagged on Thursday's big NFP miss (57K vs 110K), the move driven entirely by USD flow. Price has since based between 0.80158 and 0.80469, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold into the low-40s. The weekly open at 0.80969 sits well above and remains untested since the break.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80469, 0.80969
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80469 would challenge the downtrend structure
Failure to hold 0.80098 week low opens the path lower toward 0.8029
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) and FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCHF unwound this week's push toward 0.8120 in a sharp NFP-driven leg lower, printing 0.80098 before stabilising around 0.8035. The soft US payrolls miss (57K vs 110K) trimmed Fed-hike odds and drove the pair to its lowest since mid-June. Price is basing under EMA20 near 0.8060 with RSI recovering off oversold; the day high at 0.80469 has capped the bounce.
Support: 0.8016, 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80469, 0.8060, 0.80649
What it said to watch
Break below 0.80098 confirms a fresh lower low
Hourly close above the 0.80469 day high, then EMA20 near 0.8060, would signal recovery
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off hard through Thursday's NY session, the soft US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) accelerating the break under 0.8065 and driving price to a week low near 0.8010. Since then the pair has consolidated in a tight 0.8020–0.8047 band with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the mid-40s. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), keeping the weekly downtrend intact.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80469
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.80469 recent high would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.80098 week low opens the 0.8000 psych handle
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next USD driver and could shift this read
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after impulsive drop · RSI 43 · price 0.80428
Sharp lower-low into 0.8010, basing near lows.
USDCHF broke sharply lower into Friday's NY session, sliding from the 0.8120 area to a 0.8010 week low as the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) gutted the Fed-hike premium built through the week. Price has since based in a tight 0.8020-0.8044 consolidation, trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the mid-40s. The 0.8065 bounce high and 0.8080 pivot cap the corrective attempts so far.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8065, 0.8080, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.8010 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward 0.8000
H1 close back above 0.8080 pivot would neutralise the post-NFP break
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 GMT is the next high-impact catalyst and could reset this read
The week was a USD story: USDCHF pushed toward 0.8100 on Fed-hike bets before Thursday's soft NFP miss triggered a sharp NY-session slide, printing 0.80098 — the lowest since June 18. Price has since based in a tight 0.802-0.804 consolidation below EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward 45. The 0.8029 area is holding as a pivot while 0.80677 caps the bounce.
Support: 0.8029, 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80677, 0.8080, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.80677 negates the immediate lower-high
Failure to hold 0.8029 opens the 0.8000 psych handle
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 GMT is the next catalyst for this pair