USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, holding two-month highs and now coiling in a tight 0.7965–0.7975 band on fading volume into the late session. The 0.79758 session high caps the move while the 0.8000 psych barrier sits above; CHF stays soft on SNB mispricing into next week's hold.
Support: 0.7962, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79620 breaks the rising intraday support
Quiet late-session drift — Asia open could reset the range
USDCHF is grinding higher on thin late-session volume, holding two-month highs just under the 0.8000 psych barrier. Price coils between 0.79620 and the 0.79750 swing high after rebounding off the 0.79480 swing low earlier; RSI(14) near 60, no extreme.
Support: 0.7962, 0.7948
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79750 opens the path toward the 0.80000 psych level
Loss of 0.79620 range low shifts the read back toward 0.79480
USDCHF ground higher through London-NY before stalling just under the session high at 0.79758, now coiling in a tight 0.7964-0.7969 range as volume dries into the Asia handover. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range, the 0.8000 psychological barrier still untested overhead.
Support: 0.7962, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79620 negates the consolidation and exposes the 0.79479 spike low
SNB rate decision Jun 18 07:30 UTC is the dominant CHF risk into the week
20:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 0.79687
Consolidating near session highs under 0.7975.
Late NY hours have USDCHF coiling in a tight 0.7960–0.7975 band, holding two-month highs after the prior London-NY push stalled at the 0.79758 session high. Pair sits pinned just under the 0.8000 psychological barrier with momentum flat and ATR compressing to ~4 pips into the Friday close.
Support: 0.7962, 0.7956, 0.7948
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 session high opens the path to the 0.8000 barrier
Failure to hold 0.79620 swing low exposes 0.79480
SNB rate decision Jun 18 07:30 UTC is the key swing risk for CHF
20:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 56 · price 0.79685
Ranging near session highs.
Late NY: USDCHF grinding sideways at two-month highs, capped under the 0.79750 session high and holding the 0.79630 base. Pair pinned just below the 0.80000 psychological barrier with momentum flat after the London-NY push.
Support: 0.7963, 0.7956, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.79750 opens the path to the 0.80000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79630 exposes the 0.79560 swing low
Middle East / Hormuz headlines could revive risk-aversion bid and shift this read
Late NY session, USDCHF grinding sideways in the upper end of the day's range with the 0.79760 session high capping rallies and thin Friday-evening volume. Pair holds two-month-high territory just under the 0.8000 barrier; RSI(14) neutral near 56 after the move off 0.79480.
Support: 0.7962, 0.7948
Resistance: 0.7976, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79760 opens the path toward the 0.8000 psych level
USDCHF drifted higher through the NY session and is now coiling tightly in a 0.7963–0.7968 band after rejection at the 0.7975 session high. Pair holds two-month highs with CHF soft, capped just under the 0.8000 psychological barrier; ATR has compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.7960, 0.7945
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.7975 opens the path toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.7960 swing low breaks the rising structure and exposes 0.7945
SNB rate decision Jun 18 07:30 UTC is the next major risk for this read
USD/CHF holding two-month highs, grinding in a tight 0.7960–0.7975 band through the late NY session with CHF soft on SNB mispricing. The 0.8000 psychological barrier caps overhead; buyers stepped in repeatedly above 0.7960 after the earlier dip to 0.79479. RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme — momentum has flattened into the close.
Support: 0.7960, 0.79479, 0.7945
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of the 0.7960 range floor exposes 0.79479 swing low
SNB rate decision Jun 18 07:30 UTC is the key near-term swing factor
Pair climbed off the 0.79479 London low through the NY session, tagging a session high at 0.79758 before stalling. Late-NY price is coiling tight around 0.7965-0.7968, holding above both EMAs with RSI(14) mid-range near 56.
Support: 0.7962, 0.7956, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.7962 exposes the 0.7956 intraday low
SNB rate decision Jun 18 is the dominant CHF risk further out
USDCHF is grinding sideways near 0.7968 after the NY session tagged 0.79758 and stalled; price holds two-month highs just under the 0.8000 psychological barrier, in line with broad CHF softness. RSI(14) sits mid-range with no extreme, and the late-session bars have tightened to single-digit ranges.
Support: 0.7962, 0.7956, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path toward the 0.8000 barrier
Failure to hold 0.79620 exposes the 0.79479 session low
19:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.79647
Consolidation below session high.
Pair climbed through London into NY and tagged a session high at 0.79758 before being rejected, then drifted into a tight 0.7962–0.7968 coil through late NY hours. Momentum has flattened — RSI(14) back near neutral and ATR compressing to ~6 pips, no setup in play right now.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79509
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79758 reopens the path toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.7959 confirms a lower-low and breaks the late-session coil
19:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 0.79647
Consolidation below session high.
USDCHF pushed to a session high at 0.79758 during NY hours then drifted into a tight consolidation around 0.7965, RSI(14) flat near 52. Pair holds well above the 0.79479 session low but lacks momentum to challenge the 0.80000 psych barrier into the Asia handover.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path to the 0.80000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79590 swing low exposes 0.79479 session low
USDCHF coiled in a tight 0.7963–0.7968 range through the NY afternoon after stalling at the session high 0.79758, with ATR cooling to ~4.5 pips. Pair holds its two-month-high zone capped just under the 0.8000 psychological barrier; RSI flat near 49.
Support: 0.79582, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79582 session low confirms a lower low and breaks the range
19:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 0.79648
Range after intraday rally, holding under session high.
Late NY session: USDCHF rallied through London-NY to a session high at 0.79758 then settled into a tight range around 0.7965, holding near two-month highs just under the 0.8000 barrier as Middle East friction kept USD bid. RSI(14) neutral around 51, momentum flat into the close.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the path toward the 0.8000 barrier
Failure to hold 0.79590 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
SNB rate decision Jun 18 07:30 UTC is the key swing risk for CHF
USDCHF ground higher through NY hours off the 0.79479 session low to tag 0.79758, in line with a soft CHF backdrop, and is now consolidating around 0.79670 just below that high. RSI(14) has cooled to the upper-50s as the upmove flattens into a tight late-session range.
Support: 0.7962, 0.79509, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 session high opens the path toward the 0.80000 psych barrier
Loss of the 0.79620 range floor exposes the 0.79509 swing low
Rising lows into a tight upper-range consolidation.
USDCHF is grinding higher with rising lows, now coiling in a tight 0.79600–0.79700 band just under the 0.79758 session high. CHF stays soft into the SNB meeting; price holds two-month highs capped well below the 0.80000 psych barrier, RSI mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 0.7960, 0.7948
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path toward the 0.80000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.79600 exposes the 0.79480 swing low
18:46 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 0.79633
Two-month-high range, mid-band rotation.
USDCHF is rotating inside a 0.79580–0.79758 range after rejecting the session high during NY hours, RSI(14) flat near 46. Price has eased back to mid-range and sits just under EMA20; pair holds two-month highs as CHF stays soft into the SNB.
Support: 0.7958, 0.79487
Resistance: 0.7968, 0.79758
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79580 range floor opens 0.79487 swing low
Reclaim of 0.79680 minor high reopens the 0.79758 session high
SNB rate decision Jun 18 07:30 UTC is the key CHF catalyst
18:46 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 0.79633
Intraday range below session high, lower closes late NY.
NY session pushed to a session high of 0.79758 before fading back to 0.79633, capped well under the 0.8000 psych barrier. Price now drifts in a tight late-session range with RSI(14) flat near 46; no clean directional setup in play.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79590 exposes the 0.79479 Asia low
SNB rate decision Jun 18 07:30 UTC is the key CHF catalyst ahead
USDCHF capped just under the 0.79758 session high after tagging two-month highs, with the pair now drifting in a tight 0.7960-0.7968 band into late NY hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 49; the 0.80000 psychological barrier sits above, the 0.79479 swing low below.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path to the 0.80000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79479 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
SNB rate decision Jun 18 07:30 UTC is the key CHF catalyst ahead
18:31 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 51 · price 0.79646
Consolidation below session high.
USDCHF stalled into late NY hours, drifting in a 0.7958–0.79758 band after the pair held two-month highs capped under the 0.8000 barrier. RSI(14) flat near 51, no momentum extreme; price coiling around the EMAs with the session high at 0.79758 untested for several bars.
Support: 0.7958, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.7958 swing low exposes 0.79479 session low
SNB decision (Jun 18) is the key CHF catalyst ahead
Tight consolidation under session high after London rally.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session to 0.79758 then stalled, now coiling in a 7-pip range near 0.7966 with ATR(14) compressed late in the day. Price holds above EMA20/50 but momentum has flattened, RSI(14) mid-range around 56; session high at 0.79730/0.79758 still caps.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.7973, 0.79758
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the path toward the 0.8000 barrier
Loss of 0.79590 breaks the rising intraday support and exposes 0.79479
SNB (Jun 18) and FOMC (Jun 17) are the larger catalysts ahead
18:16 UTC
Consolidation near 2-month highs · RSI 53 · price 0.79658
Ranging below session high, holding above 0.7958.
Late NY session has USDCHF chopping in a tight 0.7958-0.7975 band after the London-NY push faded under the session high at 0.79758. Pair holds two-month highs as CHF stays soft, but momentum is flat with RSI mid-range and the 0.8000 barrier untested.
Support: 0.7958, 0.7950
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the path toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79580 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
SNB rate decision (Jun 18, 07:30 UTC) is the key CHF catalyst ahead
18:02 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 53 · price 0.79663
Consolidation under session high.
USDCHF is coiling near 0.7966 in thin evening trade after a London-NY range built between 0.79480 and the session high at 0.79760. RSI(14) sits mid-band and ATR has compressed to ~7 pips; pair holds two-month highs just under the 0.8000 barrier with no setup in play.
Support: 0.7958, 0.7948
Resistance: 0.7976, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79760 opens the path toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79580 exposes the 0.79480 session low
SNB decision Jun 18 is the dominant multi-day risk for this pair
18:02 UTC
Recovered, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 0.79663
Range under session high after rebound off lows.
USDCHF rebounded off the 0.79480 swing low through London-NY and pressed the session high at 0.79758 before stalling, with CHF staying soft into the SNB hold. Price is now drifting in a tight range around 0.79660 just above EMA20/EMA50, RSI(14) flat near 51 — no momentum either way as NY winds down.
Support: 0.7959, 0.7948
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the path to the 0.80000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79590 exposes the 0.79480 swing low
SNB rate decision Jun 18 is the key swing factor for CHF
17:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 47 · price 0.79649
Consolidation under session high.
USDCHF is chopping in the NY session between 0.79580 and the 0.79758 session high, holding two-month-high territory just below the 0.80000 barrier as USD softness and CHF mispricing keep flows two-way. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with price pinned around EMA20 — no setup in play.
Support: 0.7958, 0.7948
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79758 opens the path toward the 0.80000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79580 exposes 0.79480 prior low
SNB rate decision Jun 18 is the key swing risk for CHF
17:46 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 49 · price 0.79649
Intraday range 0.7958-0.7976, mid-range now.
USDCHF pulled back from the NY session high at 0.79758 to drift through mid-range near 0.7965, RSI(14) flat around 49. Pair still pinned just under the 0.8000 barrier per the soft-CHF context, ranging 0.7958-0.7976 with no clean break in play.
Support: 0.7958, 0.7949
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Break below 0.7958 range low confirms a lower low
SNB rate decision 18 Jun is the dominant CHF risk ahead
Late NY session consolidating between 0.79585 and 0.79758 after the rally stalled and rejected at 0.79758, RSI(14) neutral near 47. Pair pinned just under the 0.8000 psychological barrier with soft CHF tone; no setup in play.
Support: 0.79585, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.79865
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the 0.79865 prior high
Failure to hold 0.79585 exposes the 0.79479 swing low
SNB rate decision Jun 18 is the dominant CHF catalyst
17:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 0.79636
Balanced range, mid-band.
USDCHF is consolidating through the NY session between the 0.79480 swing low and the 0.79750 session high, last at 0.79636 around EMA20. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 with no momentum extreme; the 0.80000 psych barrier still caps overhead.
Support: 0.7948, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79750 reopens the path toward the 0.80000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79480 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
17:16 UTC
Ranging, mild pullback · RSI 49 · price 0.79642
Range-bound under session high after recovery from 0.79417.
USDCHF is ranging through the NY afternoon between 0.79580 and the session high at 0.79758, holding two-month-high territory just under the 0.80000 barrier. Price has slipped back to 0.79642 after stalling at 0.79758; RSI(14) neutral near 48, no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.7958, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path to the 0.80000 barrier
Failure to hold 0.79580 exposes the 0.79479 session low
Jun 17 FOMC dots and Jun 18 SNB are the dominant catalysts ahead — well beyond this window
17:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 0.79642
Consolidation below session high.
USDCHF is consolidating in the 0.7958–0.7976 band through the NY session, holding two-month highs but rejected twice near the 0.79758 session high and capped well below the 0.8000 psych barrier. RSI(14) sits flat near 48 — no momentum either way as the SNB sits in front of the market.
Support: 0.7958, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the path to 0.8000
loss of 0.79479 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
SNB rate decision Jun 18 is the dominant CHF catalyst
17:02 UTC
Ranging, no clear momentum · RSI 48 · price 0.79644
Intraday range, mid-band.
NY session has USDCHF ranging roughly 0.7948-0.7976 after the pair was capped just under the session high at 0.79758; price has since drifted back to 0.79644 with RSI near neutral. CHF stays soft into next week's SNB, but the 0.8000 psychological barrier remains untested this window.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path to the 0.80000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79479 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
17:02 UTC
Range, no clear bias · RSI 48 · price 0.79644
Balanced range under 0.7976.
USDCHF is ranging 0.7959–0.7976 through the NY session after an early drop off 0.801, with the 0.8000 psych barrier capping the broader move. Price sits mid-range just below EMA20, RSI neutral near 48; no setup in play.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the path toward the 0.8000 barrier
USDCHF sold off from 0.8010 early in the window then settled into a 0.7958–0.7976 range, with rising intraday lows through the NY session. Price sits mid-range at 0.79684, RSI(14) neutral near 54; the 0.7976 session high caps and 0.8000 psych barrier remains the line CHF weakness is leaning on.
Support: 0.7958, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the path toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79580 range floor exposes the 0.79479 swing low
SNB rate decision (18 Jun) is the dominant CHF risk ahead
USDCHF chopping between 0.79590 and 0.79758 through the NY session, pinned just under the 0.8000 psychological barrier at two-month highs. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.79480-0.79590 earlier; RSI(14) sits neutral around 54 with ATR near 7 pips. No setup in play — price is mid-range and momentum flat.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 opens a test of the 0.8000 barrier
Failure to hold 0.79590 exposes the 0.79479 swing low
USDCHF dropped from 0.8010 into the prior NY close and bottomed at 0.7943, then ground higher through London-NY to reject 0.79758. Pair is mid-range near 0.7965, pinned below the 0.8000 barrier as CHF stays on the back foot; RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 0.7948, 0.7943
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79758 session high reopens the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79480 swing low confirms a lower-low back toward 0.79430 range low
16:31 UTC
Range after early sell-off, no clear momentum · RSI 49 · price 0.79645
Ranging 0.7959-0.7975 since the rebound off lows.
USDCHF sold off from 0.801 to 0.794 early in the window then clawed back, and has spent NY hours chopping between 0.7959 and 0.7975 while staying pinned below the 0.8000 barrier. Price now sits mid-range at 0.7964 after fading the 0.79758 session high; RSI(14) flat near 48.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79479, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79745, 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79760 reopens the path toward the 0.8000 barrier
Loss of 0.79590 range base exposes the 0.79479 swing low
16:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.79626
Intraday range, mid-range pullback.
USDCHF dropped off 0.8009 early in the window on heavy volume, bottomed at 0.79432, then ground back up through London-NY to a 0.79758 session high before stalling. Now drifting in the 0.79480–0.79758 range, RSI neutral near 47 and price slipping back below the EMA20.
Support: 0.7959, 0.7948
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the path toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79480 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
SNB rate decision (18 Jun) is the dominant CHF risk into next week
USDCHF dropped to 0.79410 early then ground back up through London-NY hours, tagging a 0.79750 session high before fading to 0.79626 mid-range. CHF stays soft into the SNB week, but the pair is capped well under the 0.8000 barrier; RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with no momentum edge.
Support: 0.7956, 0.7948, 0.7941
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79750 reopens the 0.80000 barrier
Failure to hold 0.79480 confirms a lower-low and resumes the early drop
SNB rate decision Jun 18 is the key CHF swing factor beyond this window
Consolidating below session high after grind up from 0.7943.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8010 to 0.7943 early in the window, then ground higher through the London-NY session to a high of 0.79758 before stalling. Price now consolidates around 0.7964, capped at the session high and holding above the 0.7958 recent-low cluster, with the soft-CHF theme keeping the 0.8000 psych barrier in view.
Support: 0.79582, 0.7949, 0.7943
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the path toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79582 recent low exposes 0.79490 intraday low
16:02 UTC
Recovering from selloff, ranging · RSI 48 · price 0.79636
Intraday range after sharp drop, higher lows building.
USDCHF dropped from 0.8008 to a 0.79410 day low early in the window, then clawed back through London-NY to print a 0.79758 session high. Price is now consolidating around 0.7964 just under EMA20, RSI neutral near 47, with higher lows holding off the recovery base.
Support: 0.7958, 0.7948, 0.7941
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 session high reopens the path toward the 0.80000 psych barrier
Failure to hold the 0.79580 recent low reopens the 0.79480 london low and 0.79410 day low
Rising lows since 0.79432, now ranging sub-0.79760.
USDCHF sold off from 0.801 early then ground back up through the London-NY session to a 0.79758 high, with rising lows off the 0.79432 session low. Price now consolidating around 0.79625 just under EMA20, capped well below the 0.8000 psych barrier; RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.7958, 0.7949, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.7980, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path toward 0.79800 then the 0.80000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79580 exposes the 0.79432 session low
Ranging below 0.7975 after Asia sell-off and grind back up.
USDCHF dumped ~60 pips off 0.801 during Asia to 0.79417, then ground back through London and NY to a session high of 0.79758 before stalling. Now consolidating around 0.79625, with sellers rejecting 0.7975 and the 0.8000 barrier untested this window.
Support: 0.7958, 0.7948, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.79480 reopens the asia low at 0.79417 and breaks the recovery
Reclaim of 0.79758 puts the 0.80000 psych barrier back in play
SNB rate decision (Jun 18) is the dominant CHF risk on the horizon
15:31 UTC
Range, recovering after early drop · RSI 45 · price 0.79597
Consolidation, mid-range after fade from 0.7975.
USDCHF slid from 0.8010 to 0.7943 early in the window on the broad USD safe-haven unwind, then ground back up to a session high at 0.7975 during NY hours before fading to 0.7960. Now pinned mid-range around the 50% retrace of that recovery, RSI(14) near neutral.
Support: 0.7948, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79480 exposes the 0.79432 swing low
Range top 0.79758 — area to watch for rejection or break
15:31 UTC
Recovery stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.79597
Rising lows since the dip, fading off session high.
USDCHF faded from the 0.79758 NY session high back to 0.79597, slipping under the EMA20 as the recovery off the 0.79417 dip stalls. Pair still holds two-month highs and the broad range under the 0.8000 barrier; nothing decisive in play near the mid.
Support: 0.7948, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 reopens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79480 swing low reopens the 0.79417 session low
SNB rate decision Jun 18 is the dominant CHF catalyst ahead
15:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 0.79632
Higher lows off 0.7941, faded from session high.
USDCHF ground higher off the 0.7941 London low through NY, tagging a 0.79758 session high before fading to 0.7963 into the NY afternoon. Pair holds above the recent base near 0.7959; the 0.8000 barrier and Wed's SNB decision dominate the broader read but are off this timeframe.
Support: 0.7959, 0.7948, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79758 resumes the upside toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79480 session low reopens the 0.7941 swing low
USDCHF sold off from 0.8008 to 0.7941 during the prior session, then ground higher to retest 0.7976 before stalling. Price now consolidating 0.7960-0.7976, RSI(14) neutral near 47, capped well below the 0.8000 barrier.
Support: 0.7948, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.7976, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7976 reopens the path toward 0.8000
USDCHF sold off early from just under 0.8000 to 0.7943, then ground back up through the NY session to tag 0.79758 before rejecting. Price now sits mid-range near 0.79649 with RSI neutral around 54; higher lows from the 0.7948 base remain intact.
Support: 0.79596, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Sustained move above 0.79758 session high opens the path to the 0.80000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79596 swing low reopens the base toward 0.79479
15:02 UTC
Recovering after early drop, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.79649
Ranging under session high after grind-back.
USDCHF dropped from 0.801 early in the window then ground back up through the London-NY hours, now ranging just under the 0.79758 session high; the current pullback is roughly a 50% retrace of that drop. RSI(14) is neutral near 50 as the recovery stalls, with rising support off the 0.79479 swing low holding above the 0.79596 recent low.
Support: 0.79596, 0.79479, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 session high reopens the 0.80000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79479 swing low resumes the downside toward the range low
Break below rising support flips the intraday read
14:46 UTC
Recovery off lows, grinding up · RSI 56 · price 0.79713
Rounded base, higher lows since intraday low.
USDCHF sold from 0.8013 to a 0.7941 intraday low early in the window, then ground steadily back to 0.797 through the London-NY transition on broad USD safe-haven demand. RSI(14) mid-range near 56; price holds above EMA20/50 but is capped under the 0.79758 session high, still well below the 0.8000 psych barrier.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79498, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path toward the 0.8000 psych level
Loss of 0.79590 reopens the 0.79432 intraday low
Break of rising support off the 0.7941 low invalidates the recovery read
NY session has dragged USDCHF up off the 0.79479 London low in a chain of higher lows, last printing 0.79758 before the current bar eased back to 0.79713. RSI(14) mid-50s with price holding above EMA20/50; the 0.80000 psychological barrier sits just overhead with 0.79758 as the immediate session cap.
Support: 0.79624, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.79624 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Sustained M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path to the 0.80000 psych barrier
USDCHF sold off sharply to 0.7942 early in the window, then built a chain of higher lows through London-NY and ground back up to a 0.7976 session high. Price is consolidating just below that high near 0.7971, RSI(14) around 60 with no extreme; the firm-USD/soft-CHF backdrop keeps the pair pinned under the 0.8000 barrier.
Support: 0.7962, 0.7949
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7976 opens the path toward the 0.8000 barrier
Loss of 0.7962 rising support breaks the higher-low sequence
Mideast de-escalation headlines could unwind the USD safe-haven bid
Higher lows off 0.7942, capped under session high.
USDCHF recovered through NY hours from the 0.7942 low, printing higher lows and stalling under the 0.79758 session high. RSI(14) near 59, no extreme; pair grinds just below the 0.8000 psych barrier with ATR ~7 pips.
Support: 0.79624, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79758 opens the path toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79624 higher low risks a slide back to the 0.79479 swing low
Higher lows off 0.7941, capped under session high.
USDCHF sold off early in the window to 0.7941, then ground out higher lows through the London-NY transition back to a 0.7975 session high before drifting to 0.7969. CHF stays soft on the SNB policy mispricing; price now consolidates just under the session high.
Support: 0.79624, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79751, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7975 opens path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.7960 intraday low risks a retest of the 0.7941 swing low
Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
14:16 UTC
Intraday recovery off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.7969
Higher lows from 0.7943, capped at 0.7975.
USDCHF sold off early from 0.8010 to a 0.7943 swing low, then ground back up through the NY session to a 0.7975 session high on the renewed Hormuz-driven USD bid. Price now sits at 0.7969 inside a chain of higher lows, with 0.7975 twice rejected and 0.8000 still the overhead psych barrier.
Support: 0.7960, 0.7943
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7975 opens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.7960 reopens the 0.7943 swing low
Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift this read on the next bars
USDCHF crashed from 0.8013 to 0.7942 mid-window, then ground back up on a chain of higher lows into the NY session, now testing the session high near 0.7975. RSI firm at ~60, not stretched; the 0.8000 psych barrier remains the cap above.
Support: 0.79624, 0.79487, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79751, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79751 session high opens the path to 0.80000
Failure to hold 0.79624 breaks the rising-low chain
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
HH/HL chain off session low, capped under session high.
USDCHF clawed back from the session low near 0.79480 in a steady London-NY grind, now pressing the 0.79750 session high with RSI cooling off the climb. Hot US PPI yesterday keeps the dollar underpinned, but price remains capped under the 0.8000 psych barrier.
Support: 0.7962, 0.7948
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79750 session high opens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79620 recent low breaks the ascending support chain
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows since 0.79411, retesting session high.
USDCHF sold off from 0.80127 into a 0.79411 session low during the prior NY session, then carved higher lows back toward the 0.79751 session high through London-NY hours. Price holds above EMA20/50 near 0.7971, retracing ~40% of the earlier drop with RSI in the mid-50s.
Support: 0.79624, 0.79498, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79751, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.79751 opens the path to the 0.80000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79624 risks a lower low back toward 0.79411
US Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read in the next bar
13:46 UTC
Recovery uptrend after early selloff · RSI 56 · price 0.79709
Base-building, higher lows since 0.79411 low.
Early NY selloff dumped price from 0.80127 to 0.79411 yesterday; since then a steady grind has retraced ~40% of that move, with price now pressing the 0.79751 session high. RSI(14) mid-range near 56 and price holds above EMA20/50 — USD firm on hot PPI while CHF stays soft sub-0.8000.
Support: 0.7962, 0.79479
Resistance: 0.79751, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.79751 opens the path to the 0.80000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79620 risks a lower low toward 0.79479
13:32 UTC
Intraday recovery, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.79615
Higher lows off session low, capped near 0.79751.
USDCHF sold off from 0.80127 into the prior NY afternoon then carved higher lows through Asia and London, grinding back to a session high at 0.79751 before being rejected. Last bars pulled back to 0.79615, slipping under EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling near 46. CHF stays soft into next week's SNB hold, keeping the 0.80000 barrier in focus.
Support: 0.7948, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79751, 0.8000, 0.80127
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79480 breaks the rising-lows structure
Reclaim of 0.79751 reopens the path to the 0.80000 psych level
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone into the next bars
Higher lows since session low, capped under 0.7973.
USDCHF dropped sharply to 0.7941 some 20h ago then ground higher through the London-NY window, tagging a 0.79733 session high before fading back to 0.79615. RSI(14) near 52 as the pullback into the 50% retrace cools momentum; price slipped just under EMA20 but holds above EMA50, with the recovery's higher-low chain still intact.
Support: 0.7948, 0.7941
Resistance: 0.79733, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79733 reopens path toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79480 session low confirms a lower low
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read
USDCHF spent the European-into-NY session grinding higher off the day low near 0.7941, tagging a session high at 0.7973 before easing to 0.79698 with RSI cooling from the mid-60s. USD stays underpinned by hot PPI and Hormuz-driven safe-haven flow while CHF trades soft ahead of next week's SNB; the 0.8000 psych barrier caps any extension.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79479, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79733, 0.79751, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7973 session high opens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.7959 swing low risks a slide back toward 0.79479 session low
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read into the next bars
Higher lows since base near 0.7944, pressing session high.
USDCHF based around 0.7944 after the earlier slide to 0.79417 and has ground back up to the session high at 0.79751, RSI(14) mid-range near 56. Pair holds two-month highs as a firm USD bid keeps the 0.8000 psych barrier in view; ATR ~6 pips signals a compressed intraday range.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79479, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79751, 0.8000, 0.80127
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79751 opens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79590 risks a return to the 0.79479 swing low
US Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF sold off through 0.8000 yesterday into a 0.79427 low, then carved a rounded base around 0.79480–0.79590 before NY today grinded a higher-low sequence back to the session high at 0.79751. RSI(14) mid-range near 58, price holding above EMA20/50; pair stalling just under the recent high with the 0.8000 barrier overhead.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79479, 0.79427
Resistance: 0.79751, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79751 opens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79590 then 0.79479 breaks the higher-low sequence
US Michigan Sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD this session
Higher lows since London low, grinding toward session high.
USDCHF clawed back from the London-session drop near 0.79410, building higher lows and pressing the 0.79751 session high into the NY transition; RSI(14) around 62. Price holds above EMA20/50 but the 0.80000 psych barrier still caps the broader picture.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79479, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79751, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC (~1h out) could shift this read
Close above 0.79751 opens path back toward 0.80000
Failure to hold 0.79590 reopens the 0.79479 swing low
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8013 into the NY afternoon yesterday to a 0.79411 session low, then ground back up through the Asia-London transition along a rising sequence of higher lows. Price now presses the 0.79750 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s, the 0.8000 psych barrier the next overhead reference.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79479, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000, 0.80127
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79750 opens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79590 breaks the rising-low sequence
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations ~14:00 UTC could shift the read
Higher lows off session low, pressing session high.
USDCHF sold off from early 0.80127 to a session low at 0.79411, then carved higher lows through the London-NY transition back to the 0.79750 session high. RSI(14) near 64, room before extremes; pair remains capped well under the 0.8000 psych barrier flagged in the CHF read.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79479, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79750 opens the path toward the 0.80000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79590 reopens the 0.79411 session low
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows after early drop, testing session high.
Pair carved a base near the 0.79410 day low overnight and ground higher through the London-NY session, now probing the session high at 0.79733 with RSI in the low-60s. The 0.80000 psych barrier still caps the wider move per the firm-USD backdrop; current leg is a recovery of the earlier drop from 0.80127.
Support: 0.7954, 0.7941
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79750 opens the path back to the 0.80000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79540 swing low reverts price toward the 0.79410 day-low base
US Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows since session low, capped below 0.8000.
USDCHF sold off from 0.80127 toward 0.7941 earlier in the window as a firm USD bid hit CHF, then carved a chain of higher lows through the NY session back toward the 0.79748 session high. Price now grinds at 0.7972 with the 0.8000 psych barrier still untested.
Support: 0.7949, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000, 0.80127
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79748 session high opens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79490 swing low reopens the 0.79411 session low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg of this read
12:16 UTC
Recovering after sell-off, consolidating · RSI 56 · price 0.79683
Range above session lows, higher lows forming.
USDCHF dumped from 0.8012 to 0.7941 during NY hours yesterday as the pair was capped under the 0.8000 psych barrier, then based and ground higher into the London session. Now consolidating 0.7948–0.7975 with RSI(14) near 56; price reclaimed EMA20/50 and is pressing the upper end of the range, USD firm on hot PPI while CHF stays soft.
Support: 0.7948, 0.7941
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79750 opens a retest of the 0.8000 barrier
Loss of 0.79480 reopens 0.79410 session low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
12:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding up · RSI 59 · price 0.79683
Higher lows since 0.7941 base.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8012 into the NY afternoon, bottoming at 0.7941, then carved higher lows through the Asian and London sessions to retest 0.7968. USD stays firm on safe-haven flows while CHF trades soft; RSI(14) mid-50s leaves room before the 0.7975 swing high comes back into play.
Support: 0.79487, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79750 opens the path toward the 0.80000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79487 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.79411 session low
SNB decision 18 Jun is the next major event risk for this pair
12:02 UTC
Recovering off lows, ranging · RSI 54 · price 0.79625
Range after intraday selloff, micro higher lows.
USDCHF sold off through late NY June 11 to a session low at 0.79480, then ground back up through the Asian and London sessions into the NY open, now ranging 0.79565–0.79676 below the 0.80000 psych barrier. Move tracks the firmer USD on hot PPI plus Hormuz safe-haven flows; RSI(14) neutral near 54 with price holding above EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 0.79565, 0.7948
Resistance: 0.79676, 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79676 swing high opens path to the 0.79748 session high
Failure to hold 0.79565 swing low exposes the 0.79480 session low
US Michigan Sentiment ~14:00 UTC could shift this read
12:02 UTC
Recovery off lows, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 0.79625
Range after selloff, 0.7948–0.7969.
NY session has price grinding in a 0.7948–0.7969 range after yesterday's late-session drop to 0.7941 on the USD bid from hot PPI and Hormuz risk aversion. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with the recovery off lows stalling under 0.7969; price holds just above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.7948, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.7969, 0.79748
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79690 opens the path to 0.79748
Failure to hold 0.79480 exposes session low at 0.79411
US Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
11:47 UTC
Consolidating after prior-session drop · RSI 48 · price 0.79574
Range-bound, 0.7948–0.7975.
USDCHF sold off ~0.5% during the prior NY session toward 0.79411 as soft Swiss CPI met a firm USD, and has since coiled into a 0.7948–0.7975 range. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 with price pinned between EMA20 above and EMA50 below — no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.79479, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.7969, 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79748 reopens the 0.80000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79479 swing low exposes 0.79411 session low
US Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
11:47 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 49 · price 0.79574
Ranged 0.7948–0.7967 after breakdown.
USD/CHF broke down from 0.801 to a session low at 0.79417 in NY afternoon, then recovered along a drop retrace into a 0.7948–0.7967 range. Now drifting at 0.79574 mid-range with RSI neutral; CHF stays soft under the 0.8000 barrier as the USD holds firm on hot PPI.
Support: 0.7948, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.7967, 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79670 recent high opens the path back toward the 0.79748 swing high
Loss of the 0.79480 swing low re-exposes the 0.79417 session low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows after NY selloff, capped under 0.7975.
Yesterday's NY session sold USDCHF from 0.801 to 0.7942 as the pair shed ~0.5%; Asia based around 0.795 and London has clawed back to 0.796 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR ~6 pips — a slow grind, with 0.7975 the session cap still intact.
Support: 0.7948, 0.7942
Resistance: 0.7965, 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7975 session high opens the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.7948 swing low reopens 0.7942
US Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:32 UTC
Down then recovering, now flat · RSI 51 · price 0.79603
Range after sharp NY sell-off.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours from 0.8013 to 0.7942, then recovered and is now consolidating 0.7948–0.7969 with RSI(14) neutral near 51. Pair held capped under the 0.8000 psych barrier as USD stays firm on hot PPI and Hormuz haven flows.
Support: 0.7948, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.7969, 0.7975
What it said to watch
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
M15 close above 0.79690 breaks the range top
Failure to hold 0.79480 reopens the session low at 0.79417
NY-session drop then basing, higher lows building.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours from 0.80127 to 0.79417 as the USD faded, then based overnight and is grinding higher into the London session. Price now sits at 0.79622 between the 0.79498 swing low and the 0.79676/0.79748 session-high band, with RSI(14) mid-range and higher lows building.
Support: 0.79498, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79676, 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.79498 resumes the lower-low sequence toward the 0.79417 session low
Reclaim of 0.79748 session high needed to extend the recovery
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
Base building after NY selloff, micro higher lows.
USDCHF sold off from ~0.8013 to 0.7941 during the NY session yesterday on the broad USD wobble, then carved out a base and ground back to 0.7962, capped well under the 0.8000 barrier. Price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral; the 0.79690/0.79750 swing high is the immediate ceiling.
Support: 0.7948, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.7969, 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.79750 would extend the recovery toward 0.80000 psych
Loss of 0.79480 swing low reopens the 0.79411 range low
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially move USD legs
USDCHF sold off through NY hours yesterday from 0.8012 to 0.7941 as the USD caught a haven bid, then recovered into a 0.7948-0.7969 range. Price is grinding back toward the 0.7969 swing high in London hours with RSI(14) neutral near 54; the 0.8000 psych barrier still caps above.
Support: 0.79479, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79691, 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7969 swing high opens the 0.7975 session high
loss of 0.7948 swing low reopens the 0.7941 session low
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
11:02 UTC
Recovery off lows, choppy · RSI 51 · price 0.79617
Basing above 0.7943 after NY sell-off, higher lows.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session yesterday from 0.80127 to a 0.79417 base, then carved higher lows back to 0.79617, holding above EMA20/50. Price is mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 51; 0.79748 caps recovery attempts while 0.79479/0.79417 mark the base. CHF stayed soft just under the 0.8000 barrier.
Support: 0.79479, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79748 session high opens path back toward 0.80000 psych
Loss of 0.79479 session low re-exposes the 0.79417 swing low
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:46 UTC
Range after intraday slide · RSI 47 · price 0.79567
Consolidating in lower half of session range.
USDCHF is ranging 0.7948–0.7975 through the NY session after the earlier slide from 0.8013 down to 0.7942. The last bar faded off 0.79647 back to 0.79567; RSI(14) is neutral near 47 with ATR around 7 pips, and the 0.79479 floor has held twice.
Close above 0.79748 session high needed to re-engage the 0.80000 psych barrier
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:46 UTC
Choppy, ranging after selloff · RSI 47 · price 0.79567
Range-bound, fading recoveries.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8000 psych barrier through London, basing near 0.79432 before a recovery into the 0.79750 session high stalled. Price now drifting mid-range around 0.79567, RSI(14) flat near 47 — no clean direction, capped under 0.79690.
Support: 0.7948, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.7969, 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79750 reopens the path toward 0.80000
Failure to hold 0.79432 confirms a lower-low
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:31 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 0.79595
Basing range after NY selloff.
USDCHF sold off ~70 pips during NY hours yesterday from 0.8013 into 0.7941, then based and has chopped in a 0.7948–0.7975 range, last at 0.7960 with RSI(14) flat near 50. Demand stepped in twice around 0.7948 and supply capped attempts near 0.7975; price sits mid-range, pinned just under the 0.8000 psych barrier.
Support: 0.7948, 0.7941
Resistance: 0.7969, 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7948 reopens the 0.7941 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7975 range top needed to re-challenge 0.8000 psych
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could break this range
10:31 UTC
Downtrend off NY highs, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.79595
Range after NY sell-off, higher low forming.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours yesterday from 0.8013 down to 0.7942, then settled into a 0.7948–0.7975 range overnight. London session is bouncing off the session low at 0.7948 with RSI(14) neutral near 46; price still capped under the 0.7967 swing high.
Support: 0.7948, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79675, 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79675 swing high reopens the 0.79748 session high
Loss of 0.79480 session low confirms a lower low toward 0.79417 swing low
0.80000 psych remains the upside barrier capping any extension
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 43 · price 0.79543
Ranging in lower half after NY sell-off.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8013 to 0.7941 through the NY session yesterday as the dollar gave back its PPI/safe-haven spike, then bounced to 0.7975. Price has since coiled between 0.7948 and 0.7962, with RSI(14) neutral near 43 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.7948, 0.7941
Resistance: 0.7962, 0.79748
What it said to watch
Close below 0.79410 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.79620 needed to re-target the 0.79748 session high
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could break this range
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, now ranging in lower zone · RSI 43 · price 0.79543
Range after London sell-off, 0.79480–0.79748.
USDCHF broke down from the 0.800 psych barrier into the London session, shedding ~70 pips to 0.79411 before stabilising. Since then price has churned in a 0.79480–0.79748 range; current 0.79543 sits mid-range below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43, no setup in play. CHF stayed capped under 0.8000 ahead of next week's SNB.
Support: 0.7948, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79480 confirms a lower low toward 0.79411
Close above 0.79748 reopens the 0.80000 barrier
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
10:01 UTC
Range after early drop, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.79549
Consolidation between 0.7948 and 0.7975.
USDCHF flushed from 0.8010 to 0.7943 in the prior session then based and recovered through London, stalling at 0.79748 before fading back to 0.7955. Pair is mid-range with RSI(14) near 43; CHF stays soft into next week's SNB but no fresh driver in the window.
Support: 0.7948, 0.7943
Resistance: 0.7968, 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79480 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.7943
Reclaim of 0.79680 puts the 0.79748 session high back in play
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:01 UTC
Range after sharp drop, pullback in play · RSI 45 · price 0.79549
Consolidation 0.7948–0.7975, mid-range pullback.
Sharp slide to 0.79432 during the prior session, then a grinding recovery that capped at 0.79748 before fading back to 0.79549 — squarely mid-range. Price sits just below both EMAs with RSI near 44; USD two-way after in-line CPI and the Iran de-escalation fade leaves no clean intraday direction.
Support: 0.79479, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79688, 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79479 confirms a lower low and resumes the decline
Close above 0.79748 reopens the 0.80000 psych barrier
Michigan Sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD
USDCHF sold off from 0.8013 through the NY session yesterday into 0.7942, then ground back to 0.7975 overnight before being rejected. London hours have rolled the pair over again toward the 0.7948 lows, RSI(14) near 41 and price below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.7948, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.7968, 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79480 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.79417
Reclaim of 0.79680 swing high would negate the fade
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum soft · RSI 42 · price 0.79522
Lower highs, retesting recent swing low.
USDCHF drifting lower through the London session, last at 0.79522 after fading the 0.79748 swing high. Price slipped back below the 0.795-0.796 consolidation and is probing the 0.79479 swing low; RSI(14) soft near 42. CHF stayed capped under the 0.8000 barrier across the window.
Support: 0.79479, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.7962, 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79479 confirms a lower low toward 0.79411
Reclaim of 0.79620 puts the 0.795-0.796 range back in play
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 0.79511
Recovery faded, pressing session lows.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8013 session high during London hours and the bounce stalled at 0.79748, leaving lower highs. Price is now fading back toward the 0.79479 session low with RSI(14) near 41, CHF capped under the 0.8000 barrier as the USD stays firm.
Support: 0.79479, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79676, 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.79479 confirms a lower low and extends the downside
Reclaim of 0.79676 needed to ease the lower-high sequence
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
09:31 UTC
Downtrend resuming after recovery · RSI 41 · price 0.79511
Lower high off 0.79748, retesting session low.
USDCHF was rejected at the 0.79748 session high and has rolled back toward the 0.79479 low, printing a lower high. RSI(14) near 41 with price below EMA20/50; recovery off the earlier 0.79411 base is stalling as USD fails to hold its highs.
Support: 0.79479, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79676, 0.79748
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79479 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.79411
Reclaim of 0.79676 negates the lower-high read
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:16 UTC
Down then basing, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.79558
Range after NY-session breakdown, recent lower high.
USDCHF is consolidating near 0.7956 in the London session after a NY-session breakdown from 0.8010 yesterday left price basing in the 0.794-0.797 zone. The recovery into 0.79748 was rejected and price faded back below EMA20, with RSI(14) mid-range; the pair stays well capped under the 0.8000 psych barrier flagged in soft-CHF context.
Support: 0.79479, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79748 session high reopens the path to 0.80000
Loss of 0.79479 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.79411 range low
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 43 · price 0.79558
Consolidating in lower half after NY drop.
USDCHF was rejected at 0.80127 during NY hours yesterday and dropped to 0.79417 on the broad USD fade, then recovered to 0.79748. London is now drifting back toward the lows, holding a 0.79479–0.79748 range with RSI(14) mid-40s. Demand stepped in near 0.79479 but the bounce is shallow.
Support: 0.79479, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79479 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.79748 needed to re-engage the recovery
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 45 · price 0.79572
Ranging after sharp London drop.
USDCHF sold off hard in the London window from 0.8013 down to 0.79417, then settled into a 0.79479-0.79748 range. NY rejected the 0.79748 session high and price slipped back to 0.7957, holding mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 0.79479, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79479 reopens the 0.79417 session low
Reclaim of 0.79748 needed to challenge the 0.8000 psych barrier
Michigan Sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
09:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.79572
Range after NY leg lower.
USDCHF sold off through prior NY session from 0.8010 to the 0.79432 swing low, then ranged 0.7948-0.7975 across Asia into London. The 0.79748 session high rejected on this morning's push and price faded to 0.79572, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and price hugging both EMAs.
Support: 0.79479, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79748 reopens the 0.80000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79479 session low confirms a lower-low toward 0.79432
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
08:46 UTC
Choppy, recovery fading · RSI 44 · price 0.79568
Range after NY selloff, capped under 0.7975.
Price fell from the 0.8013 area during NY hours to a 0.79432 day low, then ground back to a 0.79748 session high before fading. London hours saw rejection at 0.7975 and a slip back to 0.79568, RSI(14) mid-40s with USD soft just under the 0.8000 barrier.
Support: 0.79479, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79750 reopens the path to 0.8000
Failure to hold 0.79479 confirms a lower low toward the 0.79432 day low
USDCHF sold off sharply during yesterday's NY session from 0.80100 to a 0.79411 base as the broad USD bid faded. London ground the pair back to the 0.79748 session high where it was rejected twice; price has since pulled back through EMA20 to 0.79568, mid the recovery fib.
Support: 0.79479, 0.7943
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79748 reopens the 0.80000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79479 session low exposes the 0.79430 swing low
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
08:31 UTC
Intraday down, now ranging · RSI 41 · price 0.79558
Range after sharp sell-off, low base near 0.7943.
USDCHF sold off sharply through the US-into-London transition, breaking from 0.8012 down to 0.7943, then based and clawed back toward 0.7975 before fading. Price is back at 0.7956, ranging between 0.7943 and 0.7975 with the 0.8000 psych barrier still capping above; SNB tone keeps the franc soft into next week's decision.
Support: 0.79479, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7943 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 0.7975 needed to challenge the 0.8000 barrier again
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after NY selloff · RSI 41 · price 0.79558
Range below 0.7975 swing high; pressing session low.
Pair sold off from the 0.8010 area during NY hours and has chopped between 0.7941 and 0.7975 since. London session is fading the recent recovery, with rejection at 0.7975 and price now leaning on the 0.79479 session low; RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.79479, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79676, 0.79748
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79479 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.79411
Reclaim of 0.79676 negates the fade and reopens the 0.7975 top
UoM Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone into NY
Rebound after NY selloff, pulling back from session high.
A sharp NY-session selloff dumped the pair from 0.8013 to a 0.79432 session low; the Asian range consolidated near the base and London has ground a recovery back to 0.7962. RSI(14) neutral near 53 as price pulls back from the 0.79748 session high after rejection there.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79748 session high extends the recovery toward the 0.80000 psych barrier
Failure to hold the 0.79590 pivot reopens the 0.79432 session low
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows after NY sell-off, capped under 0.7975.
USDCHF sold off sharply through the NY session from 0.8013 to 0.7941, then ground higher overnight and into London, building a chain of higher lows. The recovery stalled at 0.79748 and faded back to 0.7962, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range; CHF stays soft but the pair remains capped well under the 0.8000 barrier.
Support: 0.7959, 0.7943
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79748 reopens the path toward 0.8000
Loss of 0.79590 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.79430
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
08:02 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff · RSI 56 · price 0.79648
Double bottom base, higher lows.
Pair sold off hard during NY hours from 0.80127 to 0.79417, then carved a double bottom and ground higher through Asia and into London, tagging 0.79748 before easing back to 0.7965. Recovery holds above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-50s; recent higher lows intact while 0.79748 caps the rebound.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.79748 opens the path back toward the 0.80000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79590 swing low reopens the 0.79417 session low
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF dumped from 0.8013 to 0.7941 during the NY session yesterday as the hot PPI USD bid faded, then based through Asia and is grinding back up in London hours toward the 0.79748 session high. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53 with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50; current bar stalled at 0.79648 after rejecting 0.79748.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79748 opens the path back to the 0.80000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79590 reopens the 0.79411 prior low
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
07:46 UTC
Recovering, higher lows · RSI 60 · price 0.79711
Ascending recovery off NY low.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours yesterday to a 0.79411 session low, then carved a steady chain of higher lows back into the London session toward the 0.79748 session high. RSI(14) near 60 with price holding above EMA20/50; the 0.80000 psych level is the next overhead pivot.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79748, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79748 session high opens path toward 0.80000 psych
Failure to hold 0.79590 swing low breaks the ascending recovery
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
07:46 UTC
Recovery leg off lows, momentum building · RSI 62 · price 0.79711
Double bottom then higher lows.
USDCHF dumped from 0.8013 to 0.7941 during the NY session, then carved a double bottom near 0.7941 and ground higher through Asia and London. Price now retesting the 0.79750 session high with RSI(14) around 62; the 0.80000 psych barrier caps above.
Support: 0.7959, 0.7941
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79750 opens the path back toward the 0.80000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79590 swing low reasserts the down leg toward 0.79410 double bottom
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift USD direction this session
A sharp NY-session selloff dumped USDCHF from 0.8013 to a 0.7941 base low as the USD safe-haven bid faded on Iran de-escalation. Through Asia into London the pair has carved higher lows back to 0.7968, RSI recovering to the high-50s; 0.79775 bounce high is the first overhead area to watch.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79775, 0.79865, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Loss of 0.79590 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 0.79775 opens path back toward the 0.79865 NY high
07:31 UTC
Recovery off NY low, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 0.79681
Higher lows since 0.7941, testing session high.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours to a 0.79411 swing low, then carved a rounded base and ground back up through the London session toward the 0.79692 session high. RSI(14) mid-60s, momentum constructive but not extended; price holding above both EMAs.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79692, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.79590 base reopens the 0.79411 swing low
Close above 0.79775 bounce high exposes the 0.80000 psych barrier
US Michigan Sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF sold off sharply from the 0.8000 barrier earlier in the window to a session low at 0.79417, with the franc finding intermittent bid on Hormuz risk headlines. Price has since carved higher lows and is grinding back toward the 0.79691 session high; RSI(14) mid-range near 58.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79691, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79691 extends the recovery toward 0.79775
Loss of 0.79590 reopens the 0.79417 session low
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read
07:16 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 59 · price 0.79669
Higher lows off range base.
After a sharp NY-session flush from 0.80127 down to 0.79411, USDCHF built a base and has ground out higher lows back into London hours, now testing the session high at 0.79691. RSI(14) mid-range near 59 with the 0.80000 psych barrier capping above.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79691, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79691 session high opens the path to the 0.80000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79590 rising support exposes the 0.79432 range low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:02 UTC
Recovering off NY lows, higher lows building · RSI 54 · price 0.79623
Rebound from swing low after sharp NY drop.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8013 to a 0.79432 swing low after rejection near the 0.8000 psych barrier, then ground higher through Asia in a chain of higher lows. Early London has it at 0.79623, pressing the 0.79676 session high; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79676, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79676 session high extends the higher-low sequence
Loss of 0.79432 swing low reopens the NY sell-off lows
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
07:02 UTC
Recovering after sharp selloff · RSI 55 · price 0.79623
Higher lows off 0.7941, consolidating.
USDCHF sold off hard during NY hours from 0.8013 down to 0.7941, then ground steadily back up on a chain of higher lows. Price now consolidates around 0.7962, just under the 0.79676 session high; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79676, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79676 extends the recovery toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.79590 rising support reopens the 0.79411 swing low
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
NY session drove a sharp drop from 0.8013 to the 0.79417 session low; Asia and early-London have since ground back up to 0.7966, recovering over half the move with RSI(14) near 58. Price stays capped below the 0.7967 recent high and the 0.8000 psychological barrier.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.7967, 0.7980, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79800 reopens the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79590 intraday low risks a retest of the 0.79417 session low
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Sharp rejection at the 0.8000 psychological barrier during NY hours dumped USDCHF ~70 pips to 0.7941; price has since ground higher through Asia and into London on rising lows, now near 0.7966. RSI ~56, ATR ~30 pips; structure is a slow recovery, not a fresh breakout.
Support: 0.7959, 0.7943
Resistance: 0.7977, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79770 bounce high opens path back toward the 0.8000 barrier
Failure to hold 0.79590 recent low reopens the 0.79430 swing low
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
06:31 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff · RSI 56 · price 0.7962
Rounded base off 0.7943, rising lows.
USD/CHF sold off through NY hours from 0.8013 to a 0.7943 session low, then ground back up through the Asian range to a 0.7967 high before easing to 0.7962 into the London open. RSI mid-range and ATR thin; the recovery is a slow rounded base with rising lows, capped under 0.7967.
Support: 0.7959, 0.7943
Resistance: 0.7967, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7967 opens the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.7959 reopens the 0.7943 session low
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
06:31 UTC
Downtrend off NY high, stabilizing · RSI 56 · price 0.7962
Base-building above 0.7943 swing low after range break.
A sharp NY-session selloff drove USD/CHF from 0.8012 to 0.7943, breaking the prior intraday range. Asia and early-London have base-built and recovered to 0.7962, reclaiming the EMA20 with RSI(14) climbing off the lows but still capped under the 0.7967 swing high. CHF stays soft into the 18 Jun SNB hold.
Support: 0.7959, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.7967, 0.8000, 0.80127
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7967 opens the path back toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.7959 reopens the 0.7943 swing low
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF dumped from 0.8013 to 0.7941 during the NY session as USD longs trimmed on the mixed inflation read, then based and ground back up overnight in a chain of higher lows. Now at 0.7962, capped by the session high at 0.7967; the 0.8000 psych barrier remains the bigger ceiling above. RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.7955, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79668, 0.7977, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.79668 session high opens the path back toward 0.79770
Loss of 0.79550 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
06:16 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff · RSI 53 · price 0.79615
Consolidation above swing low.
NY session saw a sharp rejection from just under the 0.8000 barrier, dumping ~70 pips to 0.79411. Asian hours have ground the price back into a tight 0.7955–0.7967 consolidation, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.7955, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79668, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79668 opens the path back toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79550 range low reopens the 0.79432 swing low
Rounded recovery after NY selloff, higher lows building.
NY session drove a sharp ~70-pip drop from 0.8013 down to the 0.79430 intraday low. Asian session has been a slow, low-volatility grind higher, now reclaiming toward the 0.79669 session high; RSI(14) firming near 60 but ATR is compressed around 3-4 pips.
Support: 0.79551, 0.7943
Resistance: 0.79669, 0.79865, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.79551 resumes the lower-low sequence toward 0.79430
Reclaim of 0.79865 reopens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD bid
06:01 UTC
Recovery off NY lows, momentum modest · RSI 57 · price 0.79639
Rejected 0.8000, based at 0.7941, grinding higher.
USDCHF was rejected hard at the 0.8000 barrier during NY hours and sold off to 0.79411, in line with the franc finding intermittent safe-haven support. Asia and early London have built a base, grinding back to 0.79668 with RSI(14) near 57; price holds above the EMA20/50 cluster but the session high at 0.79668 is yet to break.
Support: 0.79551, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79668, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79668 opens the path back toward 0.79775
Loss of 0.79551 reopens the 0.79411 session low
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
05:46 UTC
Recovering, grinding higher off NY low · RSI 60 · price 0.79644
Higher lows since NY drop, testing intraday high.
NY session saw a sharp rejection just above the 0.8000 barrier (high 0.80127), dumping to the 0.79417 drop low. London hours have ground back up in a chain of higher lows, with price now retesting the intraday high near 0.79644.
Support: 0.79551, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.7970, 0.79865, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79700 extends the recovery toward 0.79865
Failure to hold 0.79551 reopens the 0.79417 drop low
0.8000 psych barrier remains the cap on any extension higher
05:46 UTC
Recovering after NY sell-off, grinding higher · RSI 59 · price 0.79644
Double bottom near 0.7941, higher lows into Asia.
USDCHF sold off sharply during NY hours from 0.8012 to 0.7941, then carved a double bottom around 0.7941 before grinding back up. Asia session now sees a slow chain of higher lows into 0.7964, RSI(14) mid-range near 59. Move stays capped well below the 0.8000 barrier.
Support: 0.7955, 0.7941
Resistance: 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.79775 bounce high extends the recovery toward 0.8000 psych
Loss of 0.79550 swing low re-exposes the 0.7941 double bottom
SNB risk and Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) sit outside this window but can shift CHF tone
05:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp sell-off, slow grind up · RSI 56 · price 0.79637
Consolidation above swing low post-rejection.
The 0.8000 barrier was rejected hard during NY hours — price swept above 0.8012 then dumped roughly 70 pips to 0.79432. Since the low it has ground higher into Asia, consolidating in the 0.7955–0.7964 zone with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to under 4 pips.
Support: 0.7955, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79775 reopens the 0.8000 barrier test
Failure to hold 0.79550 exposes the 0.79432 swing low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
05:16 UTC
Recovery after sharp sell-off, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.79609
Base built post-breakdown, tight range.
USDCHF was knocked from 0.8013 to a 0.7942 swing low in a fast NY-session sell-off, then built a base overnight. Asian-session grind has recovered price to 0.7961 but it is capped below the 0.79624 session high, RSI(14) back to neutral near 53 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips.
Support: 0.7955, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79624, 0.7979, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79624 extends the recovery toward 0.7979
Failure to hold 0.7955 risks a retest of the 0.7942 swing low
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could break the tight range
05:16 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff · RSI 54 · price 0.79609
Consolidating below 0.7962 after sharp drop.
USDCHF was rejected at the 0.8000 barrier during NY hours and dumped to 0.79411, then ground back up through the Asian session to consolidate just under 0.7962. RSI(14) is neutral near 54 and ATR has collapsed to ~6 pips — no momentum in play right now.
Support: 0.7955, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.7962, 0.8000, 0.80127
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7962 reopens the path to the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of 0.7955 swing low exposes the 0.79411 session low
SNB decision 18 Jun is the dominant medium-term risk for this pair
05:02 UTC
Down off 0.8000, now flat · RSI 41 · price 0.79576
Tight Asian range under recovered NY lows.
USDCHF was rejected from a false poke above 0.8000 (high 0.80127) during NY hours and dumped to 0.79432 before stabilising. Asia has gone quiet — a 0.79551–0.79626 range with ATR collapsing to ~4 pips, price drifting back toward the lows at 0.79576.
Support: 0.79551, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.8000, 0.80127
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79626 reopens the path toward the 0.8000 barrier
Loss of 0.79551 exposes the 0.79432 NY low
Iran/haven headlines can re-energise this calm range
05:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 44 · price 0.79576
Consolidation after NY sell-off.
USDCHF rejected the 0.8000 barrier during NY hours and sold off sharply to 0.7943, with haven flows favouring the dollar on Iran headlines. Asia session has since coiled into a tight 0.7955–0.7962 band, RSI(14) neutral near 44 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 0.7955, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79624, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79624 opens a retest of the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79550 reopens the 0.79432 swing low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could break this Asian range
04:46 UTC
Down then ranging, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 0.79568
Consolidation above swing low after 0.8000 rejection.
USDCHF was rejected at the 0.8000 barrier in the NY session and sold ~70 pips to a 0.7941 swing low. Price has since recovered and is consolidating 0.7955-0.7962 through the Asia session, RSI mid-40s with ATR thin around 5 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 0.7955, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.7962, 0.79684, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79620 range high opens the 0.79684 fib 38.2 retrace
Failure to hold 0.79550 session low exposes the 0.79411 swing low
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.79568
Sharp NY selloff, partial recovery, drifting sideways.
Price was rejected just shy of the 0.8000 barrier near 0.80127 and dumped through NY hours to a 0.79411 swing low. A recovery stalled at the 0.79626 session high, and the Asian session has it drifting sideways around 0.7957 with ATR thin near 3 pips.
Support: 0.7949, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.79490 reopens the 0.79411 swing low
Reclaim of 0.79626 session high needed to extend the recovery
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
04:31 UTC
Downtrend off 0.8000, now flat · RSI 42 · price 0.79575
Rejection then consolidation under cap.
Price was capped under the 0.8000 psychological barrier and sold off sharply to a 0.79432 session low. The bounce stalled at the 0.79620 session cap and price is now drifting back toward the lower half of the range around 0.79575, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum either way.
Support: 0.7955, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.7962, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.79620 session cap would reopen the path to the 0.79775 swing high
Loss of 0.79432 session low confirms continuation of the down leg
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
04:31 UTC
Recovery stalling, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.79575
Consolidation after NY sell-off, holding above swing low.
NY session saw a false break above the 0.8000 psych barrier, then a sharp sell-off to 0.79432 amid USD haven flows. Asian session recovered into 0.79626 but stalled; price now consolidating around 0.7955-0.7962, RSI mid-range and ATR thin into the late-Asia lull.
Support: 0.79551, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.7968, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79551 reopens the 0.79432 swing low
Reclaim of 0.79626 puts the 0.79680 drop origin back in play
US Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
04:16 UTC
Down then sideways, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.79571
Consolidation after sharp NY-session drop.
USDCHF was rejected hard at the 0.8000 barrier during NY hours, shedding ~70 pips to 0.79432 as the four-day climb stalled. Asian session has since coiled in a tight 0.79508–0.79626 band, RSI neutral near 44 with ATR compressed under 4 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 0.79508, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79626 reopens the path toward the 0.79775 bounce high
Loss of 0.79432 confirms a lower low and extends the breakdown
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
04:16 UTC
Downtrend off 0.8000, now basing · RSI 44 · price 0.79571
Consolidation above session low after NY selloff.
NY session rejected the 0.8000 psych barrier and dropped hard to 0.79411; Asia rebuilt a base and recovered to the 0.7962 session high before fading back to 0.79571. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI near 44, range-bound between 0.79551 and 0.7962.
Support: 0.79551, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.7962, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7962 session high reopens the 0.7990/0.8000 zone
Loss of 0.79551 session low exposes the 0.79411 swing low
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 0.79573
Consolidation above session low after sharp drop.
A sharp NY-hours flush off the 0.80127 high swept down to 0.79411 as the sub-0.8000 barrier held, with the dollar's haven bid fading on cooler core inflation. Price has since recovered into a tight 0.79550–0.79626 range and is now drifting back toward the range low, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.7955, 0.7943, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79550 reopens the 0.79430/0.79411 session-low area
Reclaim of 0.79626 needed to extend the recovery toward 0.79775
US Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 46 · price 0.79573
Tight Asian range after NY sell-off.
USDCHF was sold hard through the NY session from 0.80127 to a 0.79432 swing low on broad dollar softness, then based and coiled into a tight Asian range between 0.79551 and 0.79626. Price sits at 0.79573, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 46 — no momentum either way inside the range.
Support: 0.79551, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.7968
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79626 range top opens path back to 0.79680
Loss of 0.79551 asian low reopens 0.79432 swing low
US Michigan Sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Range-bound after NY sell-off, basing above 0.7943.
USDCHF was rejected at the 0.8000 barrier during NY hours and dumped to 0.79430, a leg tied to the firmer USD tone on hot PPI. The Asian session has clawed back into 0.79626 but is now drifting lower around 0.7956 with RSI mid-range — consolidating between 0.7950 and 0.7963, no fresh structure in play.
Support: 0.79508, 0.7943
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79626 reopens the path toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.79508 exposes the 0.79430 range low
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Ranging after NY selloff, holding above swing low.
USDCHF sold off sharply in the NY afternoon — a ~70-pip flush from 0.8013 to 0.7941 as CHF caught a bid into the SNB-hold week. Since then price has based around 0.7950–0.7962 through the Asian session; the recovery stalled at the 0.79626 session high and price is drifting back toward the lower edge, RSI(14) hovering mid-40s.
Support: 0.7949, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.79775
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79490 reopens the 0.79411 swing low
Reclaim of 0.79626 would extend the bounce off the selloff low
Asian-session range stays tight; thin liquidity until London open
Double bottom base, higher lows into session high.
NY session swept the 0.8000 barrier at 0.8012 then sold off hard to 0.7941, where a double bottom held. Asia session has ground back up to the 0.79626 session high on shrinking ATR, and price is now stalling just under it near EMA50.
Support: 0.7949, 0.79411, 0.79569
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79626 opens the path toward 0.79775
Loss of 0.79490 reopens the 0.7941 session low
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovery off lows · RSI 47 · price 0.79578
Higher lows building after selloff, capped under 0.79626.
USDCHF was rejected at 0.80127 and sold off sharply to 0.79417 during NY hours, then ground back up through Asian trade on higher lows to 0.79626 before pulling back to 0.79578. Price sits just below the EMA20 with RSI near neutral; recovery intact while 0.79569 holds.
Support: 0.79569, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.7968, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79569 reopens the path toward the 0.79417 session low
Reclaim of 0.79626 extends the recovery toward 0.79680
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read intraday
03:16 UTC
Recovering after sharp NY sell-off · RSI 54 · price 0.79612
USDCHF sold off sharply during NY hours from 0.80127 toward 0.79417 after stalling below the 0.8000 barrier. Price has since clawed back to 0.796 and is now grinding in a tight Asian-session range under the 0.79700 pivot, ATR compressed near 3 pips.
Support: 0.79569, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.7970, 0.79865
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79700 would extend the recovery toward the 0.79865 swing high
Failure to hold 0.79569 reopens the 0.79417 swing low
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could inject volatility into this range
03:16 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.79612
Basing then grinding up under prior range.
NY session rejected the 0.8012 area and dumped to 0.7943, USDCHF tracking the soft core-PPI signal. Asia has clawed back to a tight 0.7957–0.7962 range, RSI(14) flat near 53 and ATR thin into the early hours.
Support: 0.79569, 0.79427
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.79775
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79569 reopens the path to the 0.79427 session low
Reclaim of 0.79626 puts the 0.79775 bounce high back in play
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift USD and break this range
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.79613
Consolidating after NY selloff.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours from 0.8012 to a 0.7943 swing low as the franc steadied, then ground back up through the Asia session into 0.796. Price is now coiling between the session low at 0.79569 and session high at 0.79626 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips — quiet, no clean setup.
Support: 0.79569, 0.7943
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.7980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79626 opens the path back toward the 0.7980 supply zone
Failure to hold 0.79569 reopens the 0.7943 swing low
0.8000 psychological barrier remains the cap above
03:02 UTC
Recovering after NY sell-off · RSI 56 · price 0.79613
Higher lows building off 0.7941 base.
A sharp NY-session break dumped USDCHF from 0.8013 to 0.7941 yesterday, since clawing back to 0.7961 through the Asian range. Higher lows have formed off 0.7941 but the 0.79626 session high is capping; price is coiling in a tight 0.7957–0.7962 band ahead of London.
Support: 0.79569, 0.79432, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79626 session high opens the path back toward the 0.79775 bounce high
Failure to hold 0.79569 reopens the 0.79432 swing low
SNB hold and Michigan sentiment later this week are the macro swing factors for CHF
02:46 UTC
Recovering after NY breakdown · RSI 63 · price 0.79604
Higher lows off 0.79417, grinding up.
NY session broke the 0.7985–0.8012 range hard, dumping to 0.79417 on a high-volume candle. Asian session has clawed back roughly a third of that move, printing higher lows into the 0.79626 session high with RSI(14) near 63. The 0.8000 psych barrier still caps the structure above.
Support: 0.79569, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.79626 session high opens the path to the 0.79775 50% fib
Loss of 0.79569 session low stalls the recovery back toward the 0.79417 swing low
UoM Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift USD
02:46 UTC
Recovering off lows, micro-uptrend · RSI 57 · price 0.79604
Higher lows since NY sell-off, basing under session high.
NY session swept above 0.8010 and failed at the 0.8000 barrier, dumping ~80 pips to a 0.7943 double bottom amid the firm-USD/safe-haven backdrop. Asia hours have ground back up in a chain of higher lows to a 0.7962 session high, RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s; range building below prior-swing 0.7977.
Support: 0.7951, 0.7943
Resistance: 0.79624, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79624 session high opens 0.79775
Failure to hold 0.79510 reopens the 0.79430 double bottom
0.8000 psych barrier remains the capping level above
USDCHF rejected 0.8012 then sold ~70 pips into a double bottom near 0.7942 during NY hours, with the 0.8000 psych barrier capping the prior push. Asia has ground back up in a steady higher-low chain, RSI near 60, now testing the 0.7962 session high.
Support: 0.7958, 0.7942
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.8000, 0.80127
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7962 session high extends the recovery toward the 0.8000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.7958 risks a retest of the 0.7942 swing low
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could reset the USD read
02:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp breakdown · RSI 58 · price 0.79602
Rising lows off 0.7941, capped near 0.7963.
USD/CHF is grinding higher through the Asia session after a sharp NY-session breakdown from 0.8012 to 0.7941, USD broadly firm on sticky PPI and Iran safe-haven flows. The recovery has retraced roughly a third of that drop and is stalling just under 0.79626; the 0.8000 barrier capped the earlier move. RSI(14) near 58, no extreme.
Support: 0.7949, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79626, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79626 extends the recovery toward 0.79775
Failure to hold 0.79490 risks a retest of the 0.79411 session low
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD
02:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 0.79586
Higher lows since 0.7941, capped at 0.7962.
NY session sold USDCHF from 0.80127 down to 0.7941 on the mixed US PPI read and safe-haven swings. Asia session has ground it back up in a tight ascending channel, but the last bar was rejected at 0.7962 with RSI cooling near 55.
Support: 0.79411, 0.7949
Resistance: 0.7962, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7962 opens the path to 0.79775 and the 0.8000 psych barrier
Loss of the 0.79411 session low resumes the lower-low sequence
02:02 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 0.79613
Higher lows since 0.79410 base after NY selloff.
NY session dumped USDCHF from 0.80127 to 0.79410 before the Asian session ground out a steady recovery to 0.796 on thin volume. Higher lows since the base hold, RSI(14) near 63; the 0.79680 bounce high is the next area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.7954, 0.7943, 0.7941
Resistance: 0.7968, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79680 extends the recovery toward 0.79775
Failure to hold 0.79540 rising lows reopens the 0.79430 session low
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:46 UTC
Recovering after NY sell-off · RSI 60 · price 0.79616
Higher-low grind off session low.
NY session dumped USDCHF from 0.8013 to a 0.79410 session low, then Asia hours ground back up in a steady higher-low recovery to 0.7962, RSI near 60. The broader USD-firm-into-FOMC tone is supporting the bounce; price now retracing roughly a quarter of the NY drop.
Support: 0.7949, 0.7941
Resistance: 0.7979, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.79790 bounce high would extend the recovery toward the 0.80000 psych level
Loss of 0.79490 swing low breaks the rising higher-low sequence
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
01:46 UTC
Recovering after sharp selloff · RSI 61 · price 0.79616
Higher lows off 0.7942 double-bottom base.
A sharp NY-session selloff dumped USDCHF from 0.8012 to 0.7942 as the dollar's earlier bid faded, RSI(14) hitting oversold. Price has since carved a double bottom near 0.7942 and ground higher through the Asian session, reclaiming EMA20 at 0.79616 with the 0.79700 bounce cap still overhead.
Support: 0.7951, 0.7942
Resistance: 0.7970, 0.79865, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79700 opens the path back to the post-drop high at 0.79865
Loss of 0.79420 session low resumes the downside move
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:31 UTC
Recovering off lows, micro-uptrend · RSI 64 · price 0.79603
Rounded base, HH/HL chain post selloff.
A sharp NY-session selloff dumped USDCHF from 0.80127 to a 0.79417 low, after which price carved a rounded base and ground back to 0.79603 through Asia hours on a clean HH/HL chain. RSI(14) sits mid-60s with ATR around 5 pips, reflecting thin late-session conditions; firm USD into FOMC and soft CHF frame the backdrop.
Support: 0.7949, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.7970, 0.7979, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.79700 drop zone reopens the path toward 0.79790
Failure to hold 0.79490 base reasserts the lower-low sequence
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
01:16 UTC
Recovering after sharp selloff · RSI 61 · price 0.79596
Higher lows grinding off the swing low.
Sharp NY-session drop from 0.80127 (rejection above the 0.80000 psych level) bottomed at the 0.79432 swing low. Asia hours are grinding back up in a steady chain of higher lows, now testing toward the 0.79621 session high; RSI mid-range and ATR thin in the quiet session.
Support: 0.7949, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79621, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79621 extends the recovery toward 0.79775
Failure to hold the 0.79490 recovery low risks a retest of the 0.79432 swing low
01:16 UTC
Recovering after NY sell-off · RSI 58 · price 0.79596
Basing off double bottom, higher lows.
NY session dumped USDCHF from 0.8012 to 0.79411 before Asia stabilised. Price has carved a double bottom near 0.7941 and printed higher lows back toward 0.796, RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s; the 0.79621 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.79508, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79621, 0.7968, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79621 opens the path back toward 0.7968
Loss of 0.79508 reopens the 0.79411 double bottom
SNB decision Thu and US Michigan Fri are the dominant CHF/USD risks
01:02 UTC
Intraday recovery after NY sell-off · RSI 60 · price 0.79585
Higher lows off the 0.7943 base, capped at session high.
USDCHF dumped from the 0.80127 NY high to 0.7943 as the dollar leg unwound, then based through the thin Asian session, carving a double bottom and grinding to 0.79585. Recovery is printing higher lows but stalls at the 0.79604 session high; RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched.
Support: 0.7949, 0.7943
Resistance: 0.79604, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79604 session high opens the path back toward 0.79775
Loss of the 0.79430 double bottom reopens the 0.7940 lows and negates the recovery
UoM Michigan Sentiment later Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
01:02 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff · RSI 57 · price 0.79585
Higher lows off 0.79411 base.
Sharp NY-session break off the 0.8000 barrier dumped USDCHF to 0.79417, with CHF firming as USD softened from the day's highs. Asia hours have ground a chain of higher lows back toward 0.7960; RSI(14) recovered from oversold to mid-range and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.7950, 0.79417
Resistance: 0.79604, 0.79775, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79604 session high opens the path toward 0.79775
Failure to hold 0.79417 swing low reopens the lows
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off base · RSI 62 · price 0.79585
Base built after NY selloff, higher lows forming.
NY session dumped USDCHF from 0.80127 to a session low of 0.79411 as the 0.80000 barrier held. A rounded base then formed around 0.79430 and the Asia session is grinding back up on higher lows, RSI(14) recovering near 62; price has reclaimed EMA20 but sits under EMA50, with 0.79680 the first overhead pivot.
Support: 0.7943, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.7968, 0.79865, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.79680 swing pivot opens path back toward 0.79865 swing high
Loss of 0.79430 base low reopens the 0.79411 session low
SNB decision (Jun 18) is the dominant CHF catalyst into next week
00:46 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff · RSI 56 · price 0.79585
Higher lows off 0.7941 base.
NY session sold USDCHF sharply from 0.80127 to a 0.7941 base as soft core PPI weighed on the dollar. Asian session has carved higher lows back to 0.79585, RSI(14) recovering off oversold; prior swing at 0.79775 is the next ceiling to watch.
Support: 0.79432, 0.79411
Resistance: 0.79775, 0.8000, 0.80127
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79775 would extend the recovery toward 0.80000 psych
Failure to hold 0.79432 swing low reopens the 0.79411 session low
SNB rate decision Jun 18 is the dominant CHF catalyst beyond this window
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing in Asia · RSI 56 · price 0.79541
NY breakdown, Asian recovery off swing low.
NY session broke USDCHF sharply from 0.8012 down through 0.7966 to a 0.79411 swing low. Asia has based on a double-bottom around 0.7942 and ground back to 0.7954 on thin volume, RSI recovering off oversold. 0.79562 session high caps for now; the 0.8000 barrier stays the bigger pivot above.
Support: 0.79411, 0.79427
Resistance: 0.79562, 0.79679, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79562 opens a retest of the 0.79679 breakdown
Failure to hold 0.79411 confirms a fresh lower low
SNB decision Jun 18 and Fri Michigan sentiment are the wider catalysts
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 54 · price 0.79541
NY sell-off, Asia consolidation off the low.
NY session dumped USDCHF from 0.80127 to 0.79417 on the dovish US core inflation repricing. Asia has based with a double bottom near 0.79417 and ground back to 0.79541; RSI(14) recovered off the lows to mid-range, ATR thin at ~5 pips in low-volume hours.
Support: 0.79417, 0.7949
Resistance: 0.79562, 0.79679, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79417 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.79679 needed to challenge the downtrend
0.80000 psych barrier caps any extended recovery
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after NY selloff · RSI 49 · price 0.79557
Broke below intraday range, grinding off the lows.
USDCHF was sold hard in the NY session, dropping from 0.8013 to 0.79411 as the dollar lost its earlier bid. Price has since based above 0.79411 through the Asia session, posting a near double-bottom and grinding back to 0.79557; ATR(14) has collapsed to ~5 pips as the move stalls.
Support: 0.79411, 0.7949
Resistance: 0.7970, 0.79865
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79700 would challenge the post-selloff range
Loss of 0.79411 confirms a lower low and resumes the downleg
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sell-off · RSI 51 · price 0.79557
Consolidation above session low.
NY session produced a sharp sell-off from 0.80127 down to a 0.79417 session low, with the 0.80000 psych level capping beforehand. Through the Asian session price has ground sideways-to-higher between 0.79490 and the 0.79557 area; the 0.79680 bounce high remains the near-term ceiling.
Support: 0.79417, 0.7949
Resistance: 0.7968, 0.8000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79680 opens the path back toward 0.80000
Failure to hold 0.79417 confirms a lower low
Fresh Middle East headlines could revive CHF safe-haven bid and pressure this read
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 50 · price 0.79525
Sharp NY drop, now consolidating.
USDCHF sold off sharply through NY hours, breaking from 0.8013 down to 0.7941 — over 70 pips as the dollar's earlier bid faded ahead of FOMC week. Price has since coiled into a tight 0.7941–0.7952 range during the Asia session, RSI(14) recovered to neutral and the current bar is pressing the session high at 0.7952.
Support: 0.79411, 0.79427
Resistance: 0.79526, 0.79665, 0.80127
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7952 session high opens the path back toward 0.79665 breakdown level
Failure to hold 0.7941 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
Consolidation after sharp drop, minor higher lows.
USDCHF sold off sharply during NY hours from 0.8013 to 0.7966 amid post-PPI dollar churn, then based twice around 0.7942. Price is grinding higher in thin Asia-session trade, now pressing the 0.7952 session high with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.79411, 0.79432
Resistance: 0.79526, 0.7967, 0.80127
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7952 opens the path toward the 0.7967 bounce high
Break below 0.7941 confirms a lower low
Holding above 0.7943 keeps the higher-low base intact