USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Friday, 17 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.80718
Range after impulsive week drop.
USDCHF sold off hard from Monday's ~0.8145 open, with the dominant leg breaking sub-0.8100 as soft US inflation earlier in the week pared Fed-hike bets. Since then the pair has consolidated in a 0.8060–0.8095 band, holding above the 0.80435 week low after a sweep to 0.80338 was bought back. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45 and price is trading just under EMA20/EMA50, keeping the corrective tone intact.
Support: 0.80601, 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81004, 0.81145
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8100 pivot re-engages bullish structure toward the 0.8150 YTD highs
Failure to hold 0.80435 week low opens the 0.80338 swing low
S&P Global PMIs Fri could break the range; SNB intervention risk caps CHF strength
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.80718
Range after mid-week selloff.
USDCHF sold off from Monday's 0.8144 area to a 0.80338 week low mid-week as softer US CPI/PPI pared Fed-hike bets, then recovered into a 0.806–0.809 range. Price is trading just below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering in the low 40s, holding above the 0.80601 range floor. The 0.80948 range top and 0.8100 pivot have capped the recovery.
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open, with the dominant leg a sharp drop mid-week off the 0.8151 area toward 0.8034 as soft US inflation pared Fed-hike bets. Price has since consolidated in a 0.8042-0.8095 band and sits at 0.8075, hugging the underside of the EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range near 46. The 0.8100 pivot flagged by the SNB-capped franc backdrop has capped the latest bounce.
Support: 0.8065, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8100 pivot re-engages upside toward YTD highs
Failure to hold the 0.80338 weekly low confirms a lower-low
Any SNB intervention commentary could reshape the CHF read
19:02 UTC
Downtrend early week, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.80746
Sharp Tuesday drop, sideways consolidation since.
USDCHF opened the week near 0.8145 and sold off hard through Tuesday's session to a 0.80338 low, with the franc catching a haven bid on Middle East headlines. Price has since carved a 0.8063–0.8093 range, coiling under the 0.8100 pivot and pinned just below the H1 EMA20; SNB intervention risk continues to cap sustained franc strength. RSI is neutral around the mid-40s as the pair drifts sideways into the weekend.
Support: 0.80644, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80928, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8100 pivot re-engages the upside toward the week's earlier levels
Loss of 0.80644 swing low reopens the 0.80338 week low
Any SNB intervention commentary could shift the CHF read
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open, sliding from the weekly high near 0.8152 to Wednesday's 0.8034 low as soft US inflation earlier in the week weighed on the dollar. Price has since consolidated in a 0.8060–0.8095 band, now sitting right on the EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering mid-40s. The prior high at 0.80948 has capped the last two recovery attempts, keeping the lower-high sequence intact.
Support: 0.80601, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8110
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.80338 confirms a lower-low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.80948 breaks the lower-high sequence and opens 0.8110
US-Iran de-escalation or Fed repricing could shift the USD leg
18:02 UTC
Downtrend early week, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.80759
Range-bound after impulsive selloff.
USDCHF fell from Monday's 0.8151 open through a sharp mid-week impulse into the 0.8034 week low, consistent with the digest's dip-buying-into-weakness picture for the franc. Since then price has consolidated in a 0.8063–0.8095 range, pinned just under EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling around 45. The 0.80945 swing high has capped every bounce this week while the 0.80630 range floor keeps absorbing dips.
Support: 0.8063, 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80945, 0.81088
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80945 swing high opens the path back toward 0.81088
Loss of 0.80630 range floor exposes the 0.80435 swing low and 0.80338 week low
US-Iran headlines or Fed hike repricing could shift this read between sessions
17:02 UTC
Downtrend early week, now basing · RSI 45 · price 0.80732
Range after impulsive drop from weekly open.
USDCHF sold off from Monday's 0.8146 open, with the sharp Wednesday leg into 0.80338 doing the damage as softer US inflation trimmed Fed hike bets. Since then price has based in a 0.8060-0.8095 range, capped repeatedly under 0.80948 and holding above the 0.806 floor. RSI(14) is cycling mid-range and price sits just under EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the near-term tone corrective.
Support: 0.80601, 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81088, 0.81416
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80948 session high opens 0.81088
Loss of 0.80601 range low reopens 0.80435 swing low and week low 0.80338
SNB intervention or Fed-repricing headlines could shift this read quickly
17:02 UTC
Downtrend early week, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.80732
Range after impulsive selloff.
USDCHF has traded heavy since Monday's open near 0.8142, selling through midweek to a 0.8034 low as softer US inflation earlier in the week pressured the dollar. Since then price has carved a 0.8044-0.8095 range, sitting just under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s. SNB intervention readiness continues to cap CHF gains, keeping USD/CHF dips shallow rather than extending.
Support: 0.8063, 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81088, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80948 challenges the range top and 0.8100 psych
Loss of 0.80435 week low confirms a lower-low continuation
Middle East / risk headlines remain the primary driver for both legs
Lower highs since Monday, drifting into week lows.
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's ~0.8135 open, with the sharpest leg down into Wednesday's slide to the 0.80338 week low before a bounce stalled at 0.80916. Price now trades below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), grinding back toward the session low as lower highs cap each recovery — consistent with the digest's read of a CHF laggard offset by a firm safe-haven USD, keeping the pair pinned near 0.8080. RSI(14) sits in the low-40s, reflecting soft but not exhausted downside momentum.
Support: 0.80601, 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80916, 0.81088, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.80435 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.80338
Reclaim of the 0.80916 session high needed to challenge the 0.81000 psych pivot
Thin US calendar until Jul 24 PMIs; Fed hike repricing or SNB signals drive the next leg
16:02 UTC
Downtrend this week, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.80694
Range after impulsive drop off weekly highs.
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open near 0.8135, with the dominant leg down driven by softer US inflation midweek before pair steadied around 0.807. Price sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) in the mid-40s, and has since coiled between 0.8060 and 0.8095. Two-way safe-haven flows into both USD and CHF, alongside SNB intervention readiness, have kept the pair pinned rather than trending.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81088
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80948 (day high) would break the consolidation upward
Loss of 0.80338 week low confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed hike repricing / Middle East headlines are the key catalysts with a thin calendar
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open, with the dominant leg a sharp NY-session drop into 0.8043 support as soft US CPI trimmed Fed hike bets. Price rebounded but has been capped under the 0.8095 range top on repeated attempts, and now drifts back toward the mid-range with RSI(14) hovering in the mid-40s below EMA20. SNB intervention risk caps CHF strength while soft US inflation limits USD upside, keeping the pair compressed.
Support: 0.80435, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80945, 0.81005, 0.81145
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8043 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.8000 psych level
H1 close above 0.8100 pivot invalidates the range read and exposes prior highs
Middle East / oil headlines remain the swing driver in a thin calendar
USDCHF slid from Monday's ~0.8150 area down to the 0.8034 week low as soft US CPI trimmed Fed hike bets, then rebounded to a 0.8109 rebound cap before rolling over again into the NY session. Price now sits mid-range near 0.8068, below EMA20 with lower highs building, while SNB intervention risk keeps franc strength contained. RSI(14) is holding the low-40s, reflecting fading downside momentum rather than fresh selling.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81088
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.80435 swing low reopens the 0.80338 week low
H1 close above 0.80948 prior high challenges the 0.81088 rebound cap
Middle East / oil headlines remain the swing catalyst with a thin calendar
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.80746
Range above the 0.8042 base after mid-week drop.
USDCHF slid from Monday's 0.8151 area to a 0.80338 base mid-week as soft US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed-hike bets, then steadied around 0.8042 support. Price has since chopped in a 0.8065-0.8095 range, drifting back to 0.8075 and sitting just under EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering near 46. The week cap at 0.80945 has held recovery attempts.
Support: 0.80644, 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80945, 0.81088, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80945 would break the week cap toward 0.8100
Failure to hold the 0.8042 range base opens the 0.8000 psych level
Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read this session
14:02 UTC
Downtrend earlier in week, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.80746
Range near lows after sharp leg down.
USDCHF sold off from the ~0.8150 area early this week into a 0.8034 low, then based and recovered into a 0.8042-0.8095 range as June US CPI softened while safe-haven flows on Middle East risk kept it two-way. Price sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling around the midline; the 0.8095-0.8100 zone has capped the bounce and 0.8042 is the base still respected. SNB CHF-selling and the soft US inflation print leave the pair compressed rather than directional.
Support: 0.8065, 0.8042, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8100, 0.8150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.8100 opens the path to 0.8150
Loss of 0.8042 range base exposes the 0.8000 psych level
Michigan Sentiment / inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the read
USDCHF sold off hard mid-week from the 0.8150 area, printing a 0.8034 low before basing — soft US CPI early in the week trimmed Fed-hike premium while SNB's two-way vise keeps franc gains contained. Price has since coiled in a 0.8064–0.8095 range and now sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering near 46. The 0.8044 range base has held through the recovery.
Support: 0.80644, 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8100, 0.81088
What it said to watch
UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC, ~1h out) could materially shift the USD read
H1 close above 0.8095/0.8100 invalidates the range read and exposes 0.81088 weekly open
Close below 0.8044 range base confirms downside continuation toward 0.8000
13:03 UTC
Range after mid-week selloff · RSI 45 · price 0.80752
Consolidation below broken support.
USDCHF ran up early in the week toward 0.8150 before a sharp mid-week break, sliding to a 0.80338 low as softer US CPI trimmed Fed-hike premium. Since then price has coiled in a 0.8044–0.8095 range with pullbacks capped near the EMA20/EMA50 cluster around 0.8083, and RSI(14) sitting mid-40s. Demand has stepped in twice above 0.8064 while 0.80948 has held as the range ceiling.
Support: 0.80644, 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81088
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80948 range top opens 0.81088 weekly open and YTD highs
Failure to hold 0.80435 range low exposes the 0.80338 week low and 0.8000 psych
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read into the next bars
12:02 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 43 · price 0.80708
Rangebound between 0.8042 and 0.8100 after early-week drop.
USDCHF sold off from the week's YTD highs near 0.8150 as softer US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed-hike bets, bottoming at 0.8034 before a rebound off the 0.8042 range base. Price has since coiled between 0.8042 and the 0.8100 pivot, with the 0.80948 session high capping the latest bounce and price now slipping back below EMA20 as RSI(14) sits mid-range. SNB CHF-selling and two-way safe-haven flows are keeping the tape compressed rather than trending.
Support: 0.80644, 0.8042, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8100, 0.8150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.8100 pivot opens the path back toward 0.8150 ytd high
Failure to hold 0.8042 range base exposes the 0.8000 psych level
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 0.80708
Sequence of lower highs since Monday's peak; bounce off week low fading.
Since Monday's push to 0.8149, USDCHF has rolled into a steady downtrend, carving lower highs into each session. Price based at the 0.8034 week low mid-week and recovered to 0.8092, where supply capped two NY attempts before sliding back below EMA(20) toward 0.807. The pair sits in the compressed range flagged by the SNB-intervention vs safe-haven backdrop.
Support: 0.8063, 0.80338, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.81088, 0.81145
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8063 reopens the 0.8034 week low
H1 close above 0.8092 breaks the lower-high sequence
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
11:02 UTC
Downtrend from weekly high, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 0.80785
Range within lower half of week's move.
USD/CHF sold off from Tuesday's 0.8152 weekly high on the sharp NY-session breakdown, then based near 0.8034 and has ranged 0.8042–0.8092 since. This NY session slipped from the 0.8092 range top back below EMA(20), with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s. SNB intervention risk is capping franc strength while soft US inflation caps the dollar, keeping the pair compressed.
Support: 0.80644, 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8092 range top opens the 0.8100 pivot
Break below 0.8064 session low exposes 0.8042 prior support and 0.8034 week low
Mideast/SNB intervention headlines could shift this range read
Lower highs since Tuesday, consolidating above range base.
USDCHF peaked near 0.8152 early in the week then sold off to 0.8034, with June US CPI softening and steady SNB-capped franc flows keeping the pair range-bound. Price rebounded off the 0.8043 base into the NY session but has drifted back below EMA(20), rejecting 0.80948 twice and stalling at 0.80785. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, reflecting fading upside momentum without fresh downside acceleration.
Support: 0.80644, 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81145
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80948 negates the lower-high sequence and reopens 0.81145
Failure to hold the 0.80435 range base confirms a lower-low toward 0.8034
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift USD tone this session
USDCHF sold off from the midweek 0.81516 peak into a 0.80338 week low, the CHF drawing safe-haven bids alongside USD on Middle East risk while SNB intervention keeps the pair compressed. The recovery has capped at 0.80948 and price is rolling over again, sitting below EMA20 with RSI(14) in the low 40s. Structure is a series of lower highs and demand around the 0.80644–0.80437 shelf remains the base of the range.
Support: 0.80644, 0.80437, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81088, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Break of 0.80644 exposes the 0.80338 week low
H1 close above 0.80948 breaks the lower-high sequence
SNB intervention headlines the dominant cap on CHF strength
USDCHF pulled back from this week's 0.8150 area after softer US CPI trimmed Fed-hike bets, then stabilised in a 0.8042–0.8095 range as safe-haven bids and SNB CHF-selling keep the pair compressed. Price is trading below EMA20 and EMA50 with a series of lower highs since yesterday's NY session, the last two attempts capped at 0.80948. RSI(14) sits near 43, reflecting the mild downward drift back toward the 0.80644 swing low.
Support: 0.80644, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.80644 opens the 0.8042 range base
Reclaim of 0.80948 lower high would ease the downward drift
Close above the 0.8100 pivot re-opens the path toward 0.8150 highs
Middle East / SNB intervention headlines the main swing factor absent scheduled data
09:03 UTC
Pullback range after mid-week drop, momentum lower · RSI 41 · price 0.8065
Range between 0.8042 support and 0.8094 top.
USDCHF sold off from the week's 0.8150 area into Wednesday's NY session, printing 0.8043 before demand stepped in and lifted it back toward 0.8094. That bounce has faded and price is sliding again, now trading below EMA20 with RSI cycling in the low 40s — the pair has spent the last two days ranging between the 0.8042 pivot and 0.8094 with USD broadly firm and SNB intervention capping franc strength.
Support: 0.8042, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8042 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.8000 psych level
Close above 0.8094 range top and the 0.8100 pivot reopens the upside
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF rolled over from the midweek peak near 0.8115 and has traded a 0.8043-0.8090 band for two days, with CHF pressured by SNB intervention talk and a firm USD. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), and the range top at 0.8090 capped the last NY-session attempt before the current slide toward the week low at 0.8043.
Support: 0.8043, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8043 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.8000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.8090 range top would neutralise the downside pressure
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Pullback from week highs, rolling over · RSI 42 · price 0.80719
Lower high after 0.8034 bounce.
USDCHF ran to fresh week highs near 0.8150 early in the window before unwinding to the 0.8034 week low, in line with the softer US CPI/PPI arc that pared Fed-hike bets. The 0.8034 low held and produced a bounce that stalled at the 0.80948 session high, and price has since drifted back below EMA20/EMA50 to 0.8072. Recovery attempts are making lower highs while support at the pivot around 0.80435 remains untested.
Support: 0.8063, 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81126
What it said to watch
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of the 0.80630 recent low opens the path back to the 0.80435 pivot and 0.80338 week low
Reclaim of the 0.80948 session high negates the lower-high structure
USDCHF has trended lower since Tuesday's 0.8149 peak, with softer US CPI/PPI earlier in the week driving the slide before resilient claims data steadied the dollar. The 0.8042 pivot and week low at 0.80338 held on the flush, but the bounce to 0.80942 was rejected and price is now back below the weekly open at 0.80823, sitting under both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the low 40s.
Support: 0.80434, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80823, 0.80942, 0.81088
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80942 would break the week's lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80338 confirms a lower low toward the 0.8000 psych level
Michigan sentiment and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend from midweek, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.80769
Based at 0.8034 after lower highs, range 0.806-0.809.
USDCHF sold off from midweek highs near 0.8151 into a 0.80338 week low as softer US CPI/PPI pared hawkish bets, before demand at the 0.8042 pivot sparked a recovery. The bounce stalled at the 0.80948 recent high and price is now consolidating just below EMA20/EMA50, drifting back toward the swing low on the last bar. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no clean momentum signal.
Support: 0.8063, 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8100, 0.81088
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8042 pivot exposes the 0.8000 psych level
H1 close above 0.8100 pivot reopens the 0.81088 prior high
US Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
The early-week climb to 0.815 reversed hard on Wednesday as softer US CPI/PPI pared hawkish Fed bets, driving price into the 0.8044 week low before a bounce. Since then USDCHF has ranged 0.806–0.809, with price now drifting back below EMA20 and RSI hovering near neutral. Demand held twice around the 0.8044 area, keeping the range floor intact.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80435
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8100 pivot reopens the upside toward 0.8115
Loss of the 0.80435 week low exposes the 0.8000 psych level
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this range read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend from midweek peak, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 0.80857
Range building above week low after sharp selloff.
USDCHF rallied to a week high near 0.81516 early in the week before a sharp reversal, accelerated by cooler US CPI/PPI, dumped price to 0.80338. A USD recovery since — with resilient jobs/Philly Fed data and SNB intervention capping the Franc — has lifted price back to consolidate around the EMA20 at 0.8085. Resistance at 0.80945 has capped the bounce while price holds above the 0.8066 swing low; RSI(14) is sitting flat near 50.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8066, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80945, 0.8109, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80945 opens the path to 0.81090 prior high
Failure to hold 0.8066 swing low re-exposes the 0.80338 week low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read into the NY session
06:02 UTC
Recovery within a broader pullback, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.80857
Bounce off week low, consolidating below lower highs.
USDCHF opened the week near 0.8093, rallied to 0.8150 by mid-week then sold off sharply into Wednesday's session to the 0.8034 week low as softer US CPI/PPI weighed. Price has since recovered to the 0.808-0.809 band and is consolidating below a series of lower highs, with USD firm on resilient activity data and Mideast risk while SNB intervention risk caps the Franc. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 52 and price is holding just above the H1 EMA(20).
Support: 0.80631, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81088, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.80948 range top puts the 0.81088 lower high back in play
Failure to hold 0.80631 swing low exposes the 0.80338 week low
US Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Recovered ~50% of week's decline, consolidating below 0.8100.
USDCHF opened the week near 0.8099 and pushed to a 0.8152 high through Monday-Tuesday before a sharp sell-off dragged it to the 0.8034 week low into Wednesday's NY session, as softer US CPI trimmed Fed hike odds. Price has since ground back above EMA20 to consolidate around 0.809, recovering roughly half the decline. The 0.8100 pivot has capped the bounce, with RSI(14) hovering in the mid-50s.
Support: 0.8066, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8100 opens the path toward 0.81145 and the week high
Failure to hold 0.8066 puts the 0.8034 week low back in focus
Michigan Consumer Sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USDCHF sold off from the 0.81516 week high through Wednesday-Thursday as softer US CPI trimmed Fed hike odds, printing a week low at 0.80338 before the Dollar firmed on strong claims and Philly Fed data. Price has since recovered and is consolidating in a tight 0.808-0.8095 range, holding just above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) back near 53. The 0.80942 recent high has capped the bounce.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80437, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80942, 0.81088, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.80942 recent high reopens the path to 0.81088
Loss of the 0.8080 range floor exposes the 0.80437 swing low
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Consolidation above weekly low following lower highs.
USD/CHF slid from the midweek high at 0.81516 to a 0.80338 low as softer US CPI/PPI dragged the dollar to a one-month low, then based and recovered into a tight 0.808–0.8095 consolidation. Price now hugs EMA20 with RSI near 53, the safe-haven bid on CHF offset by the USD rebound off Thursday's firm claims and Philly Fed. The session high at 0.80948 has capped the last two pushes.
Support: 0.8082, 0.80437, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80948 opens the path back toward 0.81145
Loss of 0.8082 exposes the 0.80437 swing low and weekly low at 0.80338
UoM Consumer Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Recovered off weekly low, consolidating below 0.8100.
USDCHF sold off from the mid-week peak near 0.8152 to a weekly low at 0.8034 after softer US CPI trimmed Fed pricing, then based and clawed back toward 0.809. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.8100 pivot with RSI(14) recovered to neutral and holding above EMA20/EMA50. The 0.8100 pivot / 0.80948 session high has capped the bounce so far.
Support: 0.80805, 0.80463, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81004, 0.81145
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81004 opens the path back toward 0.8115
Failure to hold 0.80805 re-exposes 0.80463 and the 0.8034 week low
UoM Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 54 · price 0.80901
Recovery off week low, higher lows into consolidation.
The early-week push to a 0.8151 high reversed hard after soft US CPI/PPI dragged the dollar to a one-month low, driving USDCHF down to a 0.80338 week low mid-week. Price has since based and carved higher lows, now consolidating in the low 0.809s just above EMA20 with RSI cycling back near 54. The 0.80948 session high and the 0.8100 round level cap the recovery for now.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.8100 opens the path toward the prior day high at 0.81145 and week high near 0.8151
Loss of 0.80338 week low exposes the 0.8000 psych handle
UoM Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg materially
SNB intervention headlines remain the key brake on CHF strength
03:02 UTC
Reversal off week high, now consolidating · RSI 56 · price 0.80901
Sharp selloff, base building above 0.8080.
USDCHF pushed to the week high near 0.8152 early, then reversed hard after cooler US CPI trimmed Fed pricing, selling down to 0.8034. Since then price has based and recovered roughly half the drop, now sitting near the weekly open at 0.8098 with RSI mid-range and holding above EMA20. The 0.8109 shelf capped the bounce; the 0.8080 area is where demand has repeatedly stepped in.
Support: 0.8073, 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80983, 0.81088, 0.81516
What it said to watch
UoM Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg materially
H1 close above 0.81088 reopens the path toward the 0.81516 week high
Failure to hold 0.80435 confirms a fresh lower-low
USDCHF sold off from the week's high near 0.8150 into mid-week, bottoming at the 0.8034 weekly low as cooler US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed-hike pricing and knocked the dollar to a one-month low. Since then a grind of higher lows has lifted price back above EMA20 and EMA50, now consolidating near 0.8090 with RSI(14) mid-range around 53. The 0.8095 range top has capped the latest bounce.
Support: 0.8082, 0.8047, 0.8034
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8115, 0.8150
What it said to watch
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg materially
H1 close above 0.8115 opens the path back toward the 0.8150 weekly high
Failure to hold 0.8047 swing low reopens the 0.8034 weekly low
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8151 week high to 0.8034 midweek after cooler US CPI trimmed Fed-hike bets, the dominant move of the week. Price has since ground back to 0.8089, reclaiming EMA20 and EMA50 with a series of higher lows, but the 0.8095 session high has capped the last few attempts. RSI cycling in the mid-50s reflects a steady recovery rather than fresh impulse.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8043, 0.8034
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8115, 0.8151
What it said to watch
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
Close above 0.8115 prior high opens the path back to the 0.8151 week high
Failure to hold 0.8080 exposes the 0.8043 prior low and 0.8034 week low
USDCHF reversed sharply off the week high near 0.8151 after Wednesday's cooler US CPI trimmed Fed-hike bets, bottoming at the 0.80338 week low into the NY session yesterday. The recovery stalled at 0.80948 and price has since drifted back to hover around EMA(20), with RSI(14) mid-range. Consolidation between the 0.8034 week low and 0.8095 recent high defines the near-term structure.
Support: 0.8063, 0.80338, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80948 recent high would extend the recovery toward the 0.8100 psych level
Loss of the 0.80338 week low confirms a fresh lower-low
UoM Michigan Sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
00:03 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.80849
Since Monday's push to the 0.8150 week high the pair rolled over, the dominant move a sharp NY-session slide Wednesday to 0.80338 as soft US PPI trimmed Fed-hike bets and pressured the dollar. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.8047-0.8094 consolidation, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering back to the mid-50s. The recent high at 0.80942 has capped the bounce while a series of higher lows off 0.80654 holds.
Support: 0.80654, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80942, 0.81105, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80942 recent high opens the path toward the 0.81105 lower high
Loss of the 0.80654 higher low reopens the 0.80338 week low
Michigan Sentiment / UoM inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) is the week's last high-impact USD catalyst
00:02 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 50 · price 0.80849
Basing above weekly low after mid-week selloff.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8150 area mid-week as soft US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed-hike bets, bottoming at 0.80338 before buyers stepped in twice around 0.8043. Price has since based between 0.8043 and 0.8095, now hugging EMA20 near 0.8080 with RSI(14) flat around 50. The 0.80948 prior high has capped the recovery, keeping the consolidation intact.
Support: 0.8063, 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.80338 confirms a fresh lower-low
Close above 0.80948 opens the path back toward the 0.81000 psych level
Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Fri 14:00 UTC) is the week's last USD catalyst and could shift this read