USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 25 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 58 · price 0.81066
Ranging, micro higher-lows building.
After the US-session flush from 0.81342 to 0.80892, price has based and ground higher through the thin Asia session, reclaiming 0.81000 and now pressing toward the 0.81100 pivot. A chain of higher lows from 0.80920 holds, RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8092, 0.80892
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.8120, 0.81342
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81100 opens the path to 0.81200
Failure to hold 0.81000 reopens 0.80920 and the 0.80892 session low
Thin Asian liquidity can exaggerate moves on either side
USDCHF bottomed at the 0.80895 session low during NY hours and has ground back to 0.81064 on thin Asia-session flow, RSI mid-range and recovering. CHF firmed off its 0.8140 high as USD eased ahead of US data; price now sits between the 0.81000 psych level and the 0.81100 range top.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.81145
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81100 opens 0.81145 and the prior 0.81348 high
Failure to hold 0.81000 re-exposes the 0.80895 session low
Fri Michigan sentiment and Fed speakers (Williams/Kashkari) could shift this read
23:31 UTC
Pullback off lows, consolidating · RSI 57 · price 0.81064
NY drop into 0.8092 base, grinding back up.
USDCHF slid from 0.8134 to 0.8092 through the NY session as the dollar eased off recent tops; buyers stepped in twice near the 0.8092 swing low and price has ground back to 0.8106. Still capped under the 0.8110 psych level, holding above the 0.8100 round number.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.8119
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81100 psych opens path to 0.81190 prior high
Loss of 0.80920 swing low confirms a lower-low
Fri Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers (Williams/Kashkari) could shift this read
23:31 UTC
Downtrend off NY high, basing · RSI 55 · price 0.81041
Sharp sell-off then sideways recovery.
USD/CHF was sold through the NY session from 0.81348 to 0.80895 as the dollar eased off recent tops following in-line core PCE and CHF profit-taking. Asia hours have based above 0.8090 and ground back to 0.81041 on thin volume, recovering but still capped under the 0.8113 pivot.
Support: 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8113, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8113 pivot opens path back to the 0.81348 day high
Failure to hold 0.80920 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Fri US Michigan sentiment and Fed speakers could shift the dollar read
23:16 UTC
Recovery off lows after sharp NY drop · RSI 54 · price 0.81041
Based and grinding higher within new range.
Sharp NY-afternoon flush from 0.8135 to 0.8089 as USD/CHF longs booked profit off the 0.8140 top, then buyers stepped in repeatedly near 0.8089. Quiet Asia session has ground the pair back toward 0.8104; range top at 0.81050 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8095, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8105, 0.81117
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81117 reopens the path toward the 0.8140 high
Loss of 0.80895 confirms a fresh lower low and ends the recovery read
23:16 UTC
Pullback off highs, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 0.81012
Consolidation near session lows after a leg down from 0.8135.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8135 session high into a 0.80912 low as longs booked profit after the six-day rally, in line with the softer USD tone. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.80912–0.8104 range, RSI back to neutral around 51 with intraday momentum flat.
Support: 0.80912, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8104, 0.8113
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8104 reopens the path toward the 0.8113 prior swing
Loss of 0.80912 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.80895 session low
Fri 14:00 UTC Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations could shift the USD read
23:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 54 · price 0.81012
Consolidation above session low after midday drop.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.81348 session high to 0.80895 around midday on PCE-driven profit-taking, then based and is consolidating in the low 0.8100s through the Asia session. Buyers defended 0.8090 repeatedly; the 0.81029 swing high caps the recovery with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81029, 0.81145, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81029 opens the path back to 0.81145
Failure to hold 0.80895 confirms a lower low
Michigan sentiment and Fed Williams/Kashkari (Fri) could shift this read
23:01 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 0.81012
Range after impulsive selloff.
USDCHF dropped from the 0.81340 session high in a single impulsive bar during NY hours around the US data set, then settled into a 0.80895–0.81029 range. Price sits near the range top at 0.81012 with RSI(14) back to neutral; the range has held both sides for several hours.
Support: 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81029, 0.81134, 0.8134
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81029 range top opens the path to 0.81134
Loss of 0.80895 swing low confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Fed Williams/Kashkari speakers Friday could shift this read
22:46 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 0.81022
Range 0.8092-0.8102 near intraday lows.
NY session sold the pair from 0.8134 down to 0.8092 on profit-taking off the recent USD/CHF highs, then price coiled into a tight 0.8092-0.8102 range through thin Asian hours. RSI(14) back to neutral near 53; current bar pressing the 0.81040 range top with no fresh impulse.
Support: 0.80918, 0.80942
Resistance: 0.8104, 0.81117
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81040 range top reopens 0.8112
Loss of 0.80918 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US Michigan sentiment / Fed speakers (Fri 14:00+ UTC) could break this range
USD/CHF broke down from 0.8134 to the 0.8090 area during NY hours as longs booked profit off the 11-month high ahead of US data, then settled into a 0.8090-0.8104 range. Asia is grinding the range top, price now testing 0.81022 with RSI(14) back to neutral.
Support: 0.8091, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81038, 0.81103
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81038 opens 0.81103
Loss of 0.80895 confirms a lower-low
Fri Michigan sentiment / Fed speak could break the range
USDCHF dropped sharply from the 0.81348 session high into the 0.8090 region on USD profit-taking off recent tops, then went sideways. Price is now consolidating 0.80895–0.81040, with the 0.8090 floor tested repeatedly and a tentative recovery to 0.81006.
Support: 0.80918, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8104, 0.8110, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81040 breaks the consolidation top
Failure to hold 0.80895 confirms a lower low
Fed speaker tone (Williams/Kashkari) could shift the USD read
USDCHF sold off from 0.81348 to 0.80895 around the US PCE window as longs near the 11-month high booked profit, then settled into a 0.80895-0.81040 range through the Asia session. Price is hugging the range mid at 0.81006 with RSI near neutral and ATR around 33 pips; no fresh direction off the lows yet.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.8104, 0.8110, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81040 reopens the path toward 0.81100 and the 0.81348 pre-drop high
Loss of 0.80895 confirms a lower-low and extends the selloff
SNB intervention rhetoric remains a CHF-side risk
22:16 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 47 · price 0.81006
Lower highs into a base near 0.8090.
USDCHF sold off from 0.81348 to 0.80895 through the NY session as the dollar leaned lower post-PCE, then based out and is consolidating 0.8090-0.8104 in thin late/Asia hours. RSI(14) back to neutral near 47 after the slide; price is sitting just under the 0.81038 recent high with the 0.80895 swing low intact.
Support: 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81038, 0.81117
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81038 challenges the lower-high sequence
Break below 0.80895 confirms a fresh lower low
Liquidity thin in Asia hours — moves prone to overshoot
22:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.80985
Post-selloff range near lows.
USD/CHF sold off sharply from 0.8135 around the NY open, sliding to a 0.80895 swing low on broad USD softening after the cooler PCE read. Price has since coiled into a tight range between the 0.80918 session low and 0.81038 swing high, RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR(14) about 33 pips.
Support: 0.80918, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81017, 0.81038
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81038 swing high reopens the upside toward 0.8114
Loss of 0.80895 swing low confirms continuation lower
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 0.80985
NY selloff base, ranging in Asia.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8135 to 0.8089 before stabilising, and is now drifting in a tight 0.8092-0.8101 band on thin Asian-session volume. RSI(14) has reset to neutral around 47 after the decline.
Support: 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8101, 0.8104
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81040 invalidates the consolidation read
Failure to hold 0.80895 confirms a fresh lower-low
USDCHF dropped from 0.8135 to a 0.8089 swing low during NY hours as the dollar softened on the cooler PCE print, then flattened into a tight consolidation around 0.8095-0.8100. RSI(14) recovered off the lows toward neutral; price is hugging EMA20 but capped below EMA50.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.8104, 0.8118
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.81040 recent high reopens 0.81180
Failure to hold 0.80895 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift this read
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.8096
Leg lower then sideways near lows.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8135 to 0.8090 through the NY session as the dollar leaned softer post-PCE, then flattened into low-volume Asia hours. Price is consolidating 0.8092-0.8101, holding just under EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.8092
Resistance: 0.8101, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8101 reopens the 0.8135 prior high
Loss of 0.8092 swing low extends the decline
US Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF sold off roughly 45 pips after the soft US PCE print, then stabilised in a 0.8090–0.8101 band through the back half of NY. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and ATR is ~38 pips; price is grinding near session lows into thin late-session hours.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.8101, 0.8104
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8101 breaks the consolidation top and reopens 0.8104
Loss of 0.8089 confirms a fresh lower-low
Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF sold off from 0.8135 to 0.8090 through the NY session as the dollar eased post-PCE, then consolidated 0.8090–0.8100. Last bar gapped lower to 0.8093 on minimal late-session volume; RSI(14) holding mid-40s, price below both EMAs.
USDCHF slid from the 0.81348 session high during NY hours as the dollar leaned softer post-PCE, then based in a 0.80895-0.81017 range. Price sits at the lower edge near 0.80932, RSI(14) mid-40s, with both EMAs overhead.
Support: 0.80895, 0.80921
Resistance: 0.81017, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.81017 invalidates the consolidation-lower read
Break below 0.80895 confirms a fresh lower low
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
21:16 UTC
Downtrend, now ranging · RSI 42 · price 0.80932
Range after impulsive sell-off, sitting at range low.
USD/CHF sold off through NY hours from 0.8135 to 0.8090 as the softer US PCE print pressured the dollar off recent 11-month highs. Since then price has ranged 0.8090–0.8101; the current bar is parked back at the session low with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.80895, 0.80921
Resistance: 0.8101, 0.81038, 0.81117
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 0.80895 confirms a lower-low and extends the move
Reclaim of 0.81010 range top reopens 0.81038/0.81117
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
21:16 UTC
Downtrend off session high, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 0.80933
Range-break lower, consolidating near lows.
USDCHF dropped sharply from 0.81348 into NY hours as the dollar softened after the cooler PCE print, breaking below the prior range. Price has since consolidated 0.8092–0.8102 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s, sitting near the lower edge of that band.
Support: 0.80912, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81018, 0.81117
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80895 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 0.81018 range top needed to negate the range-break read
US Michigan sentiment in ~17h could shift the dollar read
21:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 0.8101
Ranging near session lows after sharp drop.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8134 session high to 0.8090 after the US PCE slate, with headline MoM missing at 0.4%. Price has since stalled in a tight 0.8090–0.8104 range; current bar at 0.8101 sits back above EMA20 but under EMA50, RSI(14) flat near 51.
Support: 0.8090, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.8104, 0.8118, 0.8134
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8090 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside
Reclaim of 0.8104 puts 0.8118 prior pivot back in play
Fri 14:00 UTC UoM sentiment / inflation expectations could shift this read
21:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 54 · price 0.8101
Consolidation above session low after PCE selloff.
USD/CHF dropped from 0.8135 to 0.8091 around the US PCE print as dollar longs trimmed near YTD highs. Price has since carved a triple-tap base at 0.8091 and is now grinding back up, holding the 0.8094-0.8104 range with RSI(14) recovering to mid-50s.
Support: 0.8091, 0.8094
Resistance: 0.8104, 0.8118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8104 range top opens path back toward the 0.8118 prior swing
Loss of the 0.8091 session low confirms continuation of the PCE downtrend
Fed-speak (Williams, Kashkari) Friday could shift USD direction into next session
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 54 · price 0.81001
Range-bound after sharp breakdown.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8134 into the US data slate, dropping ~40 pips on heavy volume to a session low of 0.8091. Since then price has consolidated in a tight 0.8092-0.8104 band, with the current bar pressing the range top at 0.81001.
Support: 0.80912, 0.80942
Resistance: 0.81038, 0.81117
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81038 reopens the 0.81117 breakdown level
Loss of 0.80912 confirms a lower-low and range break to the downside
20:46 UTC
Down then consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.80987
Range after impulsive drop.
USDCHF dumped from 0.8135 to 0.80895 on the US PCE/GDP slate during NY hours, then settled into a tight 0.8092–0.8103 range. Price is now flat near 0.8099 in late NY trade with RSI(14) mid-zone, no fresh momentum either way.
Support: 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8103, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81030 reopens the path toward 0.81100
Break below 0.80895 confirms a lower low
Fed speakers (Williams, Kashkari) tomorrow could shift this read
20:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 51 · price 0.80987
Consolidation after impulsive drop.
USDCHF dropped from 0.8135 to 0.8090 during NY hours after the US PCE slate, then stalled. Price now ranges 0.8094–0.8104, RSI(14) flat near 51 with the move's momentum spent.
Support: 0.80942, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81038, 0.81117
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81038 invalidates the consolidation read
Failure to hold 0.80895 confirms a lower-low extension
Michigan sentiment + Fed-speak Fri 14:00 GMT could reprice this read
USDCHF sold off from 0.81348 to 0.80895 on the broadly USD-mixed PCE slate, then settled into a tight 0.80895-0.81038 range through the NY session. Price idles near 0.80975 under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; the post-drop range remains intact.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81038, 0.81117
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81038 reopens 0.81117 drop base
Loss of 0.80895 confirms a fresh lower-low
Fri 14:00 GMT Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read
USDCHF sold off through the NY session, dropping from 0.8135 to a session low at 0.80895 after the softer headline PCE print trimmed the dollar bid. Price now consolidates around 0.8098, capped by the 0.81038 swing high with RSI(14) mid-range; late-session, low-volume drift.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8094
Resistance: 0.81038, 0.81117
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80895 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81038 negates the NY downside
Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 GMT could shift this read
20:16 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 0.8096
Range-bound after impulsive drop.
USDCHF dropped from the 0.8134 session high to 0.8089 on the softer US headline PCE print, then settled into a tight 0.8092-0.8104 range through the NY session. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum either way as the consolidation extends.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8090
Resistance: 0.8104, 0.8113, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8104 swing high reopens the path to 0.8113
Loss of the 0.80895 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Michigan inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 GMT) is the next major USD catalyst
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 0.8096
Lower highs after PCE drop, basing above session low.
USDCHF rolled off the 0.8134 pre-PCE high as the soft headline PCE print triggered profit-taking on the crowded rally; price slid through NY hours to base around 0.8089. Late NY now ranging 0.8089-0.8100 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-40s with lower highs capping.
Support: 0.8089, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8118, 0.8134
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8089 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.8100 psych opens the 0.8118 swing high
Fri 14:00 GMT Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations could reset this read
USDCHF sold off sharply from 0.8135 during the NY morning around the US PCE/GDP slate, then drifted into a tight 0.8091-0.8100 consolidation through the afternoon. CHF firmed modestly as the pair pulled back from its 11-month highs; price now sits pinned below the 0.8100 round number with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.8091
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8104, 0.8135
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8100 reopens 0.8104 then the 0.8135 swing high
Failure to hold 0.8091 confirms a fresh lower low
Michigan sentiment + Fed-speak Fri 14:00 GMT could shift this read
19:46 UTC
Pulled back, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 0.81001
Range after rejection of session high.
USDCHF was sold from the session high at 0.8135 after the in-line core PCE print, dropping to 0.8091. Price has since chopped sideways through late NY hours between the range floor 0.8097 and range top 0.8104, RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.80912, 0.80965
Resistance: 0.81038, 0.81117
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80912 session low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81117 swing high needed to undo the PCE drop
Consolidation near session lows after impulsive drop.
USDCHF slid from 0.8135 to 0.8090 after the soft US PCE MoM print eased the dollar's bid, and price is now consolidating 0.8090–0.8104 just above the session low. RSI(14) has recovered off its low to the low-40s as the slide flattens; demand stepping in repeatedly around 0.8090.
Support: 0.8090, 0.8088
Resistance: 0.8104, 0.8117
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8090 confirms a fresh lower-low and exposes the 0.8088 pivot zone
Reclaim of 0.8104 would invalidate the consolidation-at-lows read, opening 0.8117
Fed's Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lower highs into a tight consolidation near session lows.
USDCHF rolled off the 0.8135 area through the US session, the in-line core PCE failing to extend the overbought rally and inviting profit-taking. Price is now consolidating 0.8089–0.8104 below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the session-low cluster around 0.8090 has held repeatedly.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.81038, 0.81117
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80895 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.81038 would challenge the descending lower-high structure
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.80968
Lower highs into a tight range above session low.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8135 into the US PCE dump — in-line core but soft headline — bleeding to 0.8089 before stabilising. Price now chops 0.8090-0.8104 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum either way.
Support: 0.80912, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81038, 0.81117, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80895 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the decline
M15 close back above 0.81117 invalidates the consolidation-low read
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
19:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 45 · price 0.80968
Range after impulsive sell-off.
USDCHF dropped from 0.8135 on the US PCE/GDP dump around 12:30 UTC, sweeping down to 0.80895 before stabilising. Through the NY session price has ranged 0.80895–0.81038, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme; demand stepped in repeatedly near 0.8092.
Support: 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81004, 0.81038
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80895 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.81038 invalidates the range read
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift this read in the next bars
USDCHF rolled over from 0.8135 into the NY session after the softer US PCE headline triggered profit-taking on crowded longs, sliding to a 0.80895 session low. Price has since gone flat, ranging 0.8090–0.8104 with RSI(14) parked mid-40s and price holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.80895, 0.80912
Resistance: 0.8104, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80895 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81040 negates the consolidation lower bias
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift this read
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.80973
Post-drop range near lows.
USD/CHF sold off sharply through the NY session from 0.8135, breaking lower as crowded longs trimmed around US PCE, and has since gone sideways between 0.8090 and 0.8104. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with ATR around 5 pips; price holds just under EMA20.
Support: 0.80895, 0.80918
Resistance: 0.81038, 0.8110, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8104 would break the consolidation higher
Break below 0.8090 confirms a fresh lower low
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speak later could materially shift this read
USD/CHF broke down from 0.81348 around midday UTC to a 0.80895 session low as crowded longs trimmed off the 0.8140 highs ahead of Fed-speak. Price is now chopping just under EMA20 between the session low and 0.81038, with RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s — no clear edge in play.
Support: 0.80895, 0.80921
Resistance: 0.81038, 0.8110
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80895 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.81038 reopens the 0.81100 prior range
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCHF rolled off the 0.8135 session high during NY hours, the drop accelerating into 0.8090 as crowded dollar longs trimmed after the in-line PCE. Price is now basing in a tight 0.8090–0.8104 range, RSI mid-zone, buyers stepping in twice around 0.8089.
Support: 0.80895, 0.80918
Resistance: 0.81038, 0.81117
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.81038 reopens 0.81117
Failure to hold 0.80895 confirms a lower low
Fed-speak (Williams 19:40 UTC, Goolsbee 22:30 UTC) could shift this read
NY session sold USDCHF off the 0.8135 area down to a session low at 0.80895 on profit-taking ahead of Fed-speak, snapping the prior rally. Price is now consolidating in a 0.80895-0.81038 range under a string of lower highs, RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s from oversold.
Support: 0.80895, 0.80921
Resistance: 0.81038, 0.81117
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81117 prior swing invalidates the lower-high downtrend read
Failure to hold 0.80895 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 0.80959
Lower highs since 0.8135 peak, basing at session lows.
USD/CHF rolled off the 0.8135 peak on a heavy NY bar as the dollar stayed bid after firm US data, then ground lower into the session lows. Price is now consolidating in a 0.8089-0.8104 band below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81038, 0.81103
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81103 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.80895 session low confirms continuation lower
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) speech could shift the USD read
NY session rolled over from the 0.8132 high, the move accelerating into a sharp drop around 14:30 UTC as profit-taking hit the crowded USD long after firm-but-in-line US PCE. Price found a floor near 0.8090 and is now consolidating 0.8090-0.8104 late in NY, RSI(14) mid-range and ATR thin around 7 pips.
Support: 0.8090, 0.8088
Resistance: 0.8104, 0.8118, 0.8132
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8104 invalidates the lower-range read
USDCHF sold off from 0.8135 after the in-line US PCE triggered profit-taking on the crowded six-day rally, bottoming at 0.80895 during NY hours. Price is now basing in a tight 0.8090–0.8100 band, RSI(14) recovered off its lows but holding below 50, and price sits under both EMAs.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.81038, 0.8113
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80895 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.81038 swing high opens the path back toward 0.81130
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off sharply from 0.8135 during NY hours, a pullback off the 0.8140 highs as longs booked profit around the in-line US PCE. Price has since carved a tight range under 0.8100, holding the 0.80895 session low; RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward neutral.
Support: 0.80895, 0.80918
Resistance: 0.81018, 0.81067
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81067 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.80895 session low extends the down leg
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off through the NY session, dropping from the 0.81348 session high to 0.80912 as the dollar pared gains on profit-taking after the in-line US PCE print. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.80912–0.81033 band, RSI(14) recovering off lows into the mid-40s.
Support: 0.80912, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.81033, 0.81117, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80912 confirms a lower low and resumes the down leg
Reclaim above 0.81033 challenges the descending sequence
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off from the 0.81348 session high after the midday US data dump, the in-line PCE triggering profit-taking that drove a clean range break down to 0.80895. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.80920–0.81030 band, RSI(14) recovering off the lows toward the mid-40s.
Support: 0.80895, 0.80921
Resistance: 0.81033, 0.81117, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80895 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81033 micro high targets the 0.81117 swing high
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
17:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 47 · price 0.81005
Sharp NY drop into a flat base near 0.81000.
NY session sold USD/CHF off the 0.81348 high down to 0.80895 as profit-taking hit stretched USD longs after in-line PCE, then price stalled into a flat base around the 0.81000 round number. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold to ~47 as the bounce reclaims the 20-bar mean; the 0.81050 bounce high caps so far.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.8105, 0.81117
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80895 confirms a lower low and resumes the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.81117 prior pivot would break the base higher
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) Fedspeak could shift the read
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8135 toward 0.8090, in line with profit-taking on stretched longs after the in-line US PCE print. Price is now consolidating 0.8090–0.8103 just above the session low, RSI(14) recovering off the lows but still sub-50.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.81033, 0.81117
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80895 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the 0.8088 pivot zone
Reclaim of 0.81033 would negate the consolidation's lower-high structure
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could materially shift this read
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.80995
Lower lows into NY, now basing below 0.81000.
NY session sold USDCHF off the 0.8133 high down to 0.80895 — profit-taking off this week's 0.8140 11-month peak per the macro read. Price is now basing in a tight 0.80920–0.81000 band, RSI(14) recovering toward neutral; 0.81000 round number is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81033, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 0.81033 session high reopens 0.81100
Failure to hold 0.80895 confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift this read
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 46 · price 0.80998
Lower highs into equal lows near 0.8090.
USDCHF rolled off the 0.8135 session high during NY hours, with a sharp drop to 0.8090 as in-line US PCE removed fresh USD fuel and crowded longs unwound. Price has since carved two near-equal lows around 0.8090 and recovered to 0.8100, RSI lifting off lows but still sub-50; recent high at 0.8103 caps the bounce.
Support: 0.80918, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8103, 0.81117
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80895 confirms a lower low and breaks the base
Reclaim of 0.81117 negates the NY down leg
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 48 · price 0.80998
Lower highs / lower lows, recovering off session low.
USDCHF slid from 0.8135 through the NY session as the dollar lost upside fuel after in-line US PCE, with a sharp leg down printing the 0.80895 session low. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.80910-0.80920 and price is grinding back toward 0.81000; RSI(14) recovered off oversold into the mid-40s. Move still capped by descending highs into 0.81033.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.81033, 0.81117
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80895 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.81100 needed to negate the intraday downtrend
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift this read
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 0.80998
Lower highs/lows, basing near session low.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81348 session high through NY hours, breaking the prior consolidation and printing a string of lower highs down to 0.80895 as longs booked profit off the 0.8140 multi-month high. Price is now basing around 0.8100 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the 0.81030 minor pivot caps the bounce so far.
Support: 0.8091, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8103, 0.8112, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81120 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.80895 confirms continuation lower
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 45 · price 0.80998
Lower highs, lower lows since midday drop.
USDCHF rejected the session high at 0.81348 and stair-stepped lower into the NY session, printing a fresh low at 0.80895 as USD pared gains after in-line core PCE. Price is bouncing back toward 0.81000 but the lower-high chain remains intact below 0.81050.
Support: 0.80895, 0.80912
Resistance: 0.8105, 0.81117, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81050 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.80895 confirms continuation lower
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift USD and this read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 46 · price 0.80998
Lower highs into session low, demand twice near 0.8090.
NY-session selloff dragged USDCHF off 0.8134 to the 0.8090 region as crowded dollar longs took profit around the US PCE batch. Demand stepped in twice near 0.8090 and price has recovered to 0.8100; the chain of lower highs from 0.8134 still caps overhead.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8105, 0.81117
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81117 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80890 confirms continuation lower
Fedspeak (Williams 19:40 UTC) could shift this read
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 41 · price 0.80977
Lower highs and lower lows since NY peak.
USDCHF rejected the 0.81348 NY high and unwound hard into the 0.8088-0.8100 downside pivot, in-line core PCE prompting profit-taking on the crowded six-day rally. Price is bouncing off the 0.80895 session low but holds below the broken 0.81033/0.81117 shelf.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.81033, 0.81117, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.80895 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81117 negates the breakdown read
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 38 · price 0.80919
Lower highs and lower lows since midday selloff.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81348 session high into the US PCE batch, with crowded longs unwinding on in-line core PCE; price has chained lower lows down to 0.80895. RSI(14) sits near 37 with price below both EMAs, the 0.80990 swing high capping bounces during NY hours.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8085
Resistance: 0.80996, 0.81117, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Break below 0.80895 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.80996 swing high needed to ease the downtrend read
Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) Fedspeak could shift the dollar bid
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81348 session high and broke the 0.81100 shelf during NY hours as in-line US core PCE denied fresh dollar fuel, prompting profit-taking on the crowded six-day rally. Price now grinds along the 0.80895 session low with RSI sub-40; the broken 0.81117 shelf is now overhead supply.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8085
Resistance: 0.8103, 0.81117, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.81030 would ease the downside pressure
Break below 0.80895 confirms a fresh lower low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81348 session high as the US PCE print landed in line, denying fresh USD fuel and unwinding crowded longs; price now probing the 0.80912 session low with RSI(14) near 38. A sequence of lower highs through the NY session keeps the structure pointed down.
Support: 0.80912, 0.8088
Resistance: 0.81117, 0.81237, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81117 would challenge the lower-high sequence
Break of 0.80912 exposes the 0.8088 pivot zone
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift the USD tone
NY session sold USD/CHF off the 0.81348 session high after in-line US core PCE triggered profit-taking on an overbought rally, with a clean break lower to 0.80912. Price now hovers at 0.80948, holding a chain of lower highs and lower lows, RSI(14) near 35.
Support: 0.80912, 0.8085
Resistance: 0.81033, 0.8110, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81033 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80912 confirms continuation lower toward the 0.8085 pivot zone
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) speaking soon could shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows after rejection at 0.8135.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8135 session high during NY hours and broke the 0.8100 psych level, printing fresh lows near 0.8091 as crowded longs were unwound after in-line US PCE removed fresh hawkish fuel. RSI(14) sits near 36, momentum heavy but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.80912, 0.8088
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81237, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 psych would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 0.80912 session low opens the 0.8088 pivot zone
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 0.80947
Lower highs and lower lows, grinding at session low.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8135 area during NY hours and broke down through the prior intraday base, printing a chain of lower lows into 0.80912 as USD longs trimmed around the in-line PCE print. Price now hugs the session low with RSI(14) near 38 — soft but not yet oversold; 0.81033 caps bounces.
Support: 0.80912, 0.8090
Resistance: 0.81033, 0.8110, 0.81135
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81033 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80900 confirms continuation of the downtrend
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift this read sharply
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into NY · RSI 38 · price 0.80947
Lower highs and lower lows, pressing session low.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session, sliding from 0.81348 to a 0.80912 session low as crowded six-day longs unwound on in-line US core PCE. Price is pinned near the lows with RSI(14) around 38; each bounce has capped lower, last failing near 0.81033.
Support: 0.80912, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.81033, 0.81117, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81117 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.80912 extends the session low and opens 0.80800
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
NY session reversed the move off 0.81348, slicing through the 0.81135 support and printing a session low at 0.80912 as USD/CHF longs unwound into the US PCE read. Price now hugging 0.8098 with RSI(14) near 36, sellers in control on the lower-high chain.
Support: 0.80912, 0.8088
Resistance: 0.8109, 0.81135, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81090 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.80912 confirms continuation lower
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speeches later could shift USD tone
USD/CHF rolled over from the 0.81348 high into the NY session, breaking below the 0.8113 base in a sharp leg to 0.80912 as USD longs trimmed after the in-line US PCE print. Price is grinding the session low with RSI(14) near 37, no reclaim of broken structure yet.
Support: 0.80912, 0.8090
Resistance: 0.81067, 0.81135, 0.8123
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81135 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.80912 confirms continuation lower
Fed's Williams 19:40 GMT could shift USD direction
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, extended into lows · RSI 26 · price 0.80939
Lower highs, lower lows since session high.
NY session sold the 0.81348 high hard on heavy volume, breaking through 0.8100 into the 0.8088-0.8100 pivot zone after the in-line US PCE triggered profit-taking on a crowded USDCHF rally. RSI(14) is stretched near 26 with price pinned to the session low at 0.80912.
Support: 0.80912, 0.8090
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8110, 0.81237
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80912 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81000 psych needed to relieve oversold pressure
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speeches later today could shift this read
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, off session high · RSI 38 · price 0.81019
Lower highs, lower lows; bouncing off session low.
NY session reversed USDCHF from the 0.81348 high, breaking the 0.8112 shelf in a single bar and extending to 0.8092 — profit-taking on the crowded rally after in-line US PCE. Buyers stepped in twice at 0.80920 (double bottom), with price recovering to 0.8102 and RSI(14) cooling into the high-30s.
Support: 0.8092, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8112, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80920 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.81120 negates the breakdown read
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) & Goolsbee (22:30 GMT) could shift this read
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, sharp NY selloff · RSI 38 · price 0.81019
Lower highs, lower lows after rejection.
USD/CHF rejected the 0.81348 session high and sold off through 0.81100 during NY hours, printing 0.80918 — a profit-taking pullback after the six-day rally as US PCE landed in line. Price now hovering near 0.81020 with RSI(14) leaving oversold; the 0.80918 low is the immediate floor.
Support: 0.80918, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81100 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.80918 confirms the next lower-low
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) / Goolsbee (22:30 GMT) could shift this read
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, sharp leg lower · RSI 37 · price 0.80989
Lower highs and lower lows after range break.
NY session sold off sharply from the 0.81348 session high, breaking below the prior range and bottoming at 0.80921 — profit-taking on the crowded six-day rally after in-line US PCE. RSI(14) near 37, price now pinned just under the 0.81000 psych level.
Support: 0.80921, 0.8088
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8110, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81100 swing high would negate the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.80921 swing low opens the 0.8088 pivot zone
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) could shift the USD tone
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 35 · price 0.80989
Range break to the downside, lower lows.
NY session sliced through the 0.81100–0.81350 range, accelerating down to a session low of 0.80921 as the dollar pared gains after the in-line US PCE print. Price now sits just under the 0.81000 psych level with RSI(14) at 35, off the lows but no reclaim of the broken 0.81117 floor.
Support: 0.80921, 0.8090
Resistance: 0.81117, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81117 would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.80900 psych opens a deeper leg lower
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift the dollar tone this session
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 0.80989
Lower highs and lows since the 0.8135 rejection.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8135 session high after in-line core PCE removed the hawkish catalyst, slicing through the 0.8100 round number and tagging 0.80921. RSI(14) at 34 reflects momentum, not yet oversold; price now hugs the 0.8100 underside as resistance.
Support: 0.80921, 0.8085
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81135, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80921 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
Reclaim of 0.81000 round negates the breakdown read
Fed's Williams 19:40 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
USDCHF was rejected at 0.81348 and dropped sharply to a 0.80921 session low during NY hours as the dollar eased after in-line US PCE. Price is now consolidating just above the 0.81000 round number, holding under the 0.81100 pivot with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 0.80921, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81100 pivot would ease the bearish read
Loss of 0.80921 session low confirms lower-low extension
Fed's Williams 19:40 UTC could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Downtrend after session-high rejection · RSI 38 · price 0.81055
Lower highs, broke below 0.8110 pivot.
USDCHF rejected the session high at 0.81348 and sold off sharply through NY hours as the dollar eased on in-line US PCE, breaking below the 0.8110 pivot to a session low of 0.80921. Price has since recovered to 0.81055, holding just above the 0.8100 pivot with RSI(14) lifting off its lows.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80921
Resistance: 0.8114, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.81000 pivot opens the 0.80921 session low
Close back above 0.81140 negates the lower-high structure
Fed's Williams 19:40 UTC could shift this read
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 36 · price 0.81014
Lower highs, lower lows into session lows.
NY session sold off hard from the session high at 0.81348, breaking the prior 0.8110-0.8135 range and printing a fresh low at 0.80921 as the Dollar paused post in-line PCE. Price is hugging the 0.8100 psych level with RSI(14) near 36 — momentum down but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.80921, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81135, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81135 retrace high would neutralise the downside break
Loss of 0.80921 swing low extends the lower-low sequence
Fed Williams (19:40 GMT) / Goolsbee (22:30 GMT) tone could shift this read
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 35 · price 0.81014
Breakdown from 0.8130 area, lower lows.
USDCHF rolled over hard during NY hours, dropping from 0.81348 to a 0.80921 session low as the Dollar eased off highs after in-line US PCE removed fresh hawkish fuel. Price broke the 0.8110 shelf and now hovers on the 0.8100 psych level; RSI(14) near 35, stretched but not extreme.
Support: 0.80921, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81117, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81117 would negate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.8100 confirms continuation toward 0.80921
Fed Williams/Goolsbee speak tonight could re-bid USD and shift this read
14:16 UTC
Short-term downtrend after rejection · RSI 39 · price 0.81079
Double top at session high, lower lows into session low.
USDCHF rejected the 0.81348 session high a second time (double top) and sold off sharply through the London-NY overlap, now probing the session low near 0.81020 with RSI(14) at 39. USD is consolidating off 13-month highs after the in-line PCE print removed fresh hawkish fuel.
Support: 0.8102, 0.81044
Resistance: 0.8122, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81020 confirms a lower low and extends the decline
Reclaim of 0.81220 negates the rejection read
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) / Goolsbee (22:30 GMT) could re-ignite USD bid
14:16 UTC
Downtrend, off session high · RSI 39 · price 0.81079
Lower highs after rejection at session high, pressing session low.
USDCHF rejected the session high at 0.81348 and dropped sharply to 0.81022 as the Dollar consolidated off 11-month highs into the in-line US PCE print. Price is now hovering near session lows, RSI(14) around 39, with ATR(14) ~7.6 pips after the volatility expansion.
Support: 0.81022, 0.8104
Resistance: 0.81237, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.81237 negates the downside push
Break below 0.81022 confirms a fresh lower low
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speeches tonight could shift USD tone
Lower highs and lows after rejection from 0.81348.
NY session rejected 0.81348 and dropped sharply to the 0.81100 zone, with price now grinding to fresh lows near 0.81022 as the Dollar consolidates after in-line PCE. RSI(14) near 39, price below EMA20/50; bounce to 0.81214 was sold.
Support: 0.81022, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81214, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81022 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward 0.81000
Reclaim of 0.81214 needed to neutralise the downside read
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) / Goolsbee (22:30 GMT) could shift the USD read
USDCHF was rejected hard at the 0.81348 session high during the NY session, dropping 30+ pips in one bar and stair-stepping to fresh session lows near 0.81022. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling around 40 as the Dollar consolidates after the in-line US PCE print.
Support: 0.81022, 0.81044
Resistance: 0.8114, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81022 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81140 would ease the downside pressure
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (22:30 GMT) could reignite USD bid
13:46 UTC
Intraday up-leg rejected, rolling over · RSI 41 · price 0.81095
Double top at session high, sharp reversal.
NY session pushed into 0.81348 — a double top with the window's opening high — then dumped on heavy volume back to 0.8110, RSI(14) cooling to ~41. Move reflects the overbought USD/CHF pullback flagged into the PCE consolidation; price now probing the 0.81083 recent low.
Support: 0.81083, 0.8104, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81223, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81223 negates the rejection from 0.81348
Loss of 0.81040 confirms a lower low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could re-rate USD and shift this read
13:46 UTC
Rolling over after session-high rejection · RSI 41 · price 0.81095
Double top at 0.8135, sharp drop into NY hours.
USDCHF was rejected at 0.81348 for a second time during NY hours, printing a double top, then sold off sharply to 0.8108 with the Dollar consolidating off 13-month highs into US data. Price now sits near the session low at 0.81083, RSI(14) around 40.
Support: 0.81083, 0.8104
Resistance: 0.8121, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81083 opens the 0.8104 prior low
Recovery above 0.81348 negates the double top read
Fed speakers (Williams 19:40 UTC, Goolsbee 22:30 UTC) could shift this read
NY session pushed to a session high at 0.8135 then sharply rejected, sweeping back toward 0.8110 as the Dollar consolidated after a soft headline PCE print. RSI(14) cooled into the low 40s and price now trades below EMA20/50, probing recent lows near 0.8108.
Support: 0.81083, 0.8102
Resistance: 0.81237, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81083 recent low opens the path to the 0.81020 swing low
Reclaim of 0.81237 bounce high would put the 0.81348 session high back in play
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift the USD read
USDCHF pushed to a session high at 0.81348 then saw a sharp rejection back to 0.81103 around the NY morning after firm US data (in-line core PCE, GDP and durables beats) kept the Dollar bid. Price has since recovered to 0.81198, sitting on the 50% retrace of the prior up-leg with RSI(14) flat near 50; intraday cap at 0.81250 holding.
Support: 0.8110, 0.8104
Resistance: 0.8125, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81100 spike low reopens the 0.81040 swing low
Reclaim of 0.81250 intraday cap puts the 0.81348 session high back in play
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift this read
13:16 UTC
Rangebound after sharp NY flush · RSI 47 · price 0.81198
Rejection off session high, half-recovered.
NY session pushed to a session high at 0.81348 then a sharp 22-pip flush dumped price to 0.81103, since recovering about half to 0.81198 — USD broadly firm post in-line core PCE but the upside spike was rejected. RSI(14) sitting mid-range near 46 with price back below EMA20, consolidating between 0.81100 and 0.81237.
Support: 0.81103, 0.8104
Resistance: 0.81237, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81100 opens the 0.81040 session low
Reclaim above 0.81237 bounce high negates the rejection read
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift the USD tone
13:16 UTC
Range, capped after sweep of session high · RSI 46 · price 0.81198
USDCHF ran to a session high of 0.81348 then collapsed in one bar to 0.81103 — a sweep of the high and sharp rejection just shy of the 11-month peak near 0.8140 as the Dollar consolidated post in-line core PCE. Price has clawed back to 0.81198, sitting mid-range around the 50% retrace of the prior up-leg with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.8110, 0.8104
Resistance: 0.8127, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81270 reopens the 0.81348 session high
M15 close below 0.81100 confirms the rejection and exposes 0.81040
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
Broke session high then swept lows, mid-range recovery.
USD/CHF was pushing the 0.8135 session high before the 12:30 UTC core PCE print triggered a sharp drop, sweeping the 0.8110 area on the heaviest volume of the window. Buyers recovered roughly half the move to 0.8120; RSI cooled to mid-range and pre-PCE highs at 0.8135 cap above.
Support: 0.8110, 0.8104
Resistance: 0.8125, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8135 reopens the path toward 0.8170
Loss of 0.8110 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.8104
Fed Williams (19:40 UTC) speech could re-shift this read
USD/CHF ran to a session high of 0.81348 then was knocked down to 0.81100 on the 12:30 UTC PCE print, with buyers recovering about half the move. Now sitting at 0.81198, RSI cooled into the mid-40s; the 0.81100 spike low is the near-term pivot.
Support: 0.8110, 0.81049
Resistance: 0.81225, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81100 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.81049
Reclaim of 0.81225 needed to re-challenge the 0.81348 session high
Fed speakers Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
USDCHF was rejected at the session high 0.81348 and dumped ~24 pips on the 12:30 UTC PCE print, the cooler-leaning read sapping the dollar. Price now sits at 0.81108 just above the 0.8100 pivot; RSI(14) rolled off the rally highs into the mid-40s.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8104
Resistance: 0.81195, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8100 pivot opens the 0.81040 swing low
Reclaim of 0.81195 would unwind the post-PCE drop
Fed speakers Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could re-shift the dollar read
12:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend rejected at session high · RSI 45 · price 0.8120
Rising lows reversed by sharp rejection candle.
Rally from the 0.8104 ny low into the 0.8135 session high was sharply rejected on the US PCE release at 12:30 UTC, a single bar erasing the prior eight bars' gains. Price now sits near the 50% retrace of that leg around 0.8120, RSI cooling back to mid-range.
Support: 0.8118, 0.8104, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8135, 0.8139
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8118 swing low exposes the 0.8100 pivot, then 0.8104 ny low region
Reclaim of 0.8135 session high needed to resume the intraday uptrend
Fed speakers Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
NY-session rally stalled at the 0.81348 session high, just shy of the 0.8139 prior high, then a sharp rejection candle on the 12:30 GMT US PCE print dragged price back to 0.8120. Momentum that built through the run-up has unwound with RSI cooling to the mid-40s; the 0.8104 swing low and 0.8100 pivot are the structure to monitor below.
Support: 0.8104, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81348, 0.8139
What it said to watch
Hold above the 0.8100 pivot keeps the intraday up-structure intact; loss opens 0.8104 swing low
PCE-driven volatility still in play — follow-through could extend the move either way
M15 close back above 0.81348 session high re-engages the up-leg
12:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 63 · price 0.81326
Higher lows building after dip.
USDCHF carved a double bottom near 0.8104 and recovered to 0.81342 through NY hours as the dollar squared up ahead of US core PCE at 12:30 GMT. The 0.8100 pivot held twice; RSI(14) at 63 leaves room before short-term heat.
Support: 0.81195, 0.8110, 0.8104
Resistance: 0.81342, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate driver and could materially shift this read
Close above 0.81394 opens the 11-month-high band toward 0.8200
Loss of 0.8100 invalidates the higher-low sequence and opens 0.8088
12:16 UTC
Recovering, higher lows · RSI 64 · price 0.81326
Rebound off intraday low, higher-low chain.
USDCHF recovered ~30 pips off the 0.8102 intraday low to test 0.8133 through NY hours, RSI(14) firming into the mid-60s as a higher-low chain builds. Day high at 0.8139 caps for now. US core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst.
Support: 0.81188, 0.8110, 0.8102
Resistance: 0.81342, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 0.8139 day high opens further upside
Loss of 0.8110 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Higher lows since 0.8104, retaking session range top.
USD/CHF clawed back from a session low at 0.8104 to the range top near 0.8133 ahead of US core PCE (12:30 GMT), printing a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) mid-60s, room before stretched; price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.81195, 0.8110, 0.8104
Resistance: 0.81336, 0.8139
What it said to watch
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.81336 opens the path to 0.8139 prior high
Loss of 0.81100 negates the higher-low recovery toward 0.8104
12:01 UTC
Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 0.81323
Higher lows off 0.8102 base, retracing the prior drop.
USDCHF recovered through the NY session off the 0.8102 intraday base, reclaiming EMA20/50 and now pressing the 0.81336 session high with RSI(14) near 63. The bounce sits below the 0.81394 prior high as traders square up into US core PCE at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 0.8119, 0.8104, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.81336, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and could materially shift this read
Close above 0.81336 opens the path to the 0.81394 prior high
Loss of 0.81190 negates the higher-low structure and reopens 0.81040
12:01 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 0.81323
Higher lows since the 0.8102 swing, pressing session highs.
USDCHF carved a rounded base at the 0.8102 session low and has chained higher lows back up to 0.81323, now testing the 0.81336 session high. RSI(14) near 63 with room before extremes; US core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the imminent catalyst into this level.
Support: 0.81189, 0.81089, 0.8102
Resistance: 0.81336, 0.81394
What it said to watch
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read within the next bar
A close above 0.81336 opens the path toward the 0.81394 prior high
Loss of 0.81189 breaks the higher-low chain off 0.8102
11:46 UTC
Recovering, micro-uptrend off base · RSI 63 · price 0.81303
Higher lows building from 0.8102 base.
USDCHF based around 0.8102 through the NY session and has stair-stepped back to 0.8130, printing higher lows into the European-US transition. Buyers reclaimed the 0.8125 minor level; session high at 0.81323 caps for now with the 11-month high at 0.8139 above. US PCE in ~45 min is the swing factor.
Support: 0.8125, 0.8110, 0.8102
Resistance: 0.81323, 0.8139
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~45 min) is a clustered high-impact release — expect a volatile leg that can override this structure
Loss of the 0.8100 pivot / base low opens 0.8088
Close above the 0.8139 11mo high extends the recovery
USDCHF carved a double bottom near 0.8104 then climbed through the NY session, reclaiming the 0.8113 pivot and pressing the 0.81295 session high, RSI(14) around 63. Recovery follows USD consolidating off its highs into core PCE.
Support: 0.8113, 0.8104, 0.8102
Resistance: 0.81295, 0.8139
What it said to watch
Core PCE in ~45min could materially shift this read
Close above 0.81295 opens the path to the 0.8139 prior high
Loss of 0.8113 reopens the 0.8104 session low
11:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 62 · price 0.81275
Double bottom, higher lows into NY.
USDCHF based twice at 0.8104 during NY hours and has recovered to 0.81275, carving higher lows back toward the 0.81306 swing high. RSI(14) near 62 with ATR around 8 pips; price reclaimed both EMAs but the recovery is now pressing into resistance just below 0.8131.
Support: 0.81181, 0.8104, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~1h) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.81306 opens the path back to the 0.81394 session high
Loss of 0.81040 session low confirms a lower-low
11:31 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 0.81282
Higher lows since 0.8102 base, reclaiming mid-range.
USDCHF based twice around 0.8102-0.8104 and has climbed steadily through London hours, now pressing the 0.81295 session high with RSI(14) near 64. The recovery reclaimed both EMAs after the slide from 0.8139, but US PCE in roughly an hour is the immediate driver.
Support: 0.8110, 0.8104, 0.8102
Resistance: 0.81295, 0.8139
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~1h) can override this micro-structure
Close above 0.81295 extends the recovery toward 0.81390
Loss of 0.81100 pivot re-exposes the 0.8104/0.8102 base
11:16 UTC
Intraday recovery off lows · RSI 64 · price 0.81275
Higher lows since session low, reclaiming mid-range.
USDCHF carved a double bottom near 0.8105 mid-window and has ground out higher lows into the NY session, reclaiming the 61.8% retrace of the prior drop around 0.8126. Price now presses 0.8129 with RSI in the low 60s; US Core PCE in ~78 min is the obvious binary risk for the next leg.
Support: 0.81147, 0.81049
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.81394
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT — clustered release likely to spike ranges in the next bars
Close above 0.8129 micro high opens the path back to 0.8139
Loss of the 0.81147 rising low reopens the 0.8105 session low
11:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.81259
Higher lows off 0.8104 base.
USDCHF carved a double bottom near 0.8104 through the European session and is grinding back up, last 0.81259 with RSI(14) recovering to ~61. Higher lows intact but the 0.81268 swing high still caps; US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the next driver.
Support: 0.81145, 0.8104
Resistance: 0.81268, 0.81306
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~78m) could materially shift this read
Pair sold off from 0.81394 to a session low at 0.81020 through London hours, then recovered to 0.81259 — now stalling near the 61.8% retrace of that drop. RSI(14) back near 59 off the lows. US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the key near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.8110, 0.8102
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 0.81290 swing high extends the recovery
Loss of 0.81100 swing low re-exposes the 0.81020 session low
11:01 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.81259
Double bottom near 0.8102, higher lows since.
USDCHF swept a session low at 0.8102, printed a double bottom and has recovered to 0.8126 with RSI(14) lifting off its lows. The bounce comes as the dollar consolidates off its 11-month high ahead of US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 0.8102, 0.81104, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.8139
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 0.8129 swing high extends the recovery toward 0.8139
USDCHF carved a session low at 0.8102 and has clawed back to 0.81242, stair-stepping higher lows through the London session and stalling at the 61.8% fib of the earlier drop. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 62 with room either way; price is back above EMA20/50 but the 0.8100 pivot is the floor underpinning the recovery.
Support: 0.8110, 0.8102
Resistance: 0.81268, 0.81306
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is the dominant near-term catalyst and could override this structure
Loss of 0.8100 pivot opens 0.8088 and negates the recovery read
Close above 0.81268 extends the higher-low chain toward 0.81306
Double-bottom base near 0.8102, recovery into NY hours.
USDCHF sold from 0.81268 to a 0.8102 session low through NY hours, then carved a double bottom and recovered to 0.81197. RSI(14) reset off the lows back to neutral as price reclaimed both EMAs; the 0.8100 psych pivot held throughout.
Support: 0.8110, 0.8102
Resistance: 0.8120, 0.81268
What it said to watch
US Core PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is the key near-term catalyst
Loss of 0.8102 confirms a fresh lower low and reopens 0.8088
Close above 0.81268 reasserts the prior intraday high
Lower highs into 0.8102 session low, corrective recovery underway.
USDCHF ground lower through the London session to a 0.8102 session low before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 0.81195 — roughly a 50% retrace of the 0.8139-0.8102 decline. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range from the lows, and the bounce is now testing the lower-highs structure near 0.8120-0.8127.
Support: 0.8102, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81268, 0.81394
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is a high-impact catalyst that could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.8100 pivot opens the path back below the 0.8102 session low
M15 close above 0.81268 swing high negates the lower-highs sequence
USDCHF slid to a session low at 0.8104 during NY hours then carved a double bottom and recovered to 0.8119, RSI(14) back to mid-range. The pair is consolidating just under the 11-month high, with US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT the immediate catalyst.
Support: 0.8104, 0.8100, 0.8088
Resistance: 0.8127, 0.8139
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT — high-impact, could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.8100/0.8104 reopens 0.8088
Close above 0.8127 negates the recent lower-high sequence
USDCHF sold off through the London session to a 0.8102 swing low before buyers stepped in twice, lifting price back to 0.81195. Recovery is roughly 70% of the prior decline but the 0.81268 swing high still caps; 0.8100 psych pivot held on the dip.
Support: 0.8102, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81268, 0.8139
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8100 psych pivot opens 0.8088
Reclaim of 0.81268 swing high confirms the bounce
US PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Price slid off the 0.8138 high through the London-NY window to a session low at 0.8102, where buyers stepped in twice to form a small base. RSI(14) back near neutral as the pair recovers to 0.8115, but the 11-month-high USD bid is consolidating into the US Core PCE release.
Support: 0.8102, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8120, 0.81268
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.8100 pivot opens 0.8088
Reclaim of 0.8120 needed to challenge the 0.81268 swing high
USDCHF sold off through the London-NY transition from the 0.8139 session high to a 0.81020 session low, then twice based near 0.8104 and is recovering toward 0.81157. Descending resistance off the session high caps near 0.81188; RSI(14) has lifted back to ~48 from the lows.
Support: 0.8110, 0.8102
Resistance: 0.81188, 0.81268
What it said to watch
US PCE at 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close above 0.81268 (session high) breaks the descending resistance
Loss of 0.81020 (session low) confirms continued lower lows
USDCHF sold off through the session from 0.8139 to a 0.8102 low as the dollar consolidated ahead of US PCE, then twin lows near 0.8102/0.8104 drew buyers back to 0.81157. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s; price is now retesting the 0.81188 recent high.
Support: 0.8102, 0.8088
Resistance: 0.81188, 0.81268, 0.8139
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Loss of the 0.8100 pivot opens 0.8088
M15 close above 0.81188 extends the bounce toward the 0.81268 lower high
USDCHF ground lower through the NY session, printing a session low at 0.81040 and bouncing back to the 0.8110 area as the dollar consolidated off 11-month highs ahead of US PCE. Price sits below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs capped at 0.81188; the 0.8100 psych pivot is the line in play.
Support: 0.8104, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81188, 0.81268
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2.75h) is the swing factor for the next dollar leg
Loss of 0.81040 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.8100 pivot
M15 close back above 0.81188 swing high neutralises the downtrend read
USDCHF drifted off the 0.81390 session high in a chain of lower highs, with demand stepping in twice near 0.8104 to hold the 0.8100 pivot as the dollar consolidates pre-PCE. RSI(14) at ~40, price below EMA20/50; the bounce off 0.8104 has stalled into 0.8114 resistance.
Support: 0.8104, 0.8100, 0.8088
Resistance: 0.8119, 0.8127, 0.8139
What it said to watch
US Core PCE batch at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the swing factor — likely to redefine this read
Loss of 0.8104/0.8100 opens 0.8088
Reclaim of 0.8119 negates the lower-high chain
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 45 · price 0.81115
Lower highs / lower lows off 0.8139.
USDCHF slid through London from the 0.8139 11-month peak to a 0.8040 swing low before a shallow bounce back to 0.8112, RSI(14) recovering off the low into the mid-40s. Price sits just under EMA20 with US PCE/GDP batch (12:30 GMT, ~3h) the next swing factor.
Support: 0.8104, 0.8102
Resistance: 0.8119, 0.81268
What it said to watch
US PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.8119 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.8104 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
Lower highs into fresh session low, holding above 0.8102.
USDCHF slid through the NY session to a fresh low at 0.8102 as the pair eased off its 11-month peak ahead of US PCE, then bounced toward 0.81125. RSI(14) recovering off lows, price still capped below 0.81188 and pinned under EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 0.8102, 0.8100, 0.8104
Resistance: 0.81188, 0.81268
What it said to watch
US Core PCE batch at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the immediate USD driver
Close below 0.81020 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.8100
Reclaim of 0.81188 negates the lower-high sequence
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81268 session high through the London session, printing a fresh low at 0.81020 before a shallow bounce to 0.81098; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 40. The pullback fits the overbought unwind flagged into US PCE, with the broader 11-month uptrend still intact above 0.8100.
Support: 0.8102, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81188, 0.81268
What it said to watch
US PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the swing factor and could reset this read
Loss of 0.81000 psych confirms a deeper lower-low
Close back above 0.81188 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
USD/CHF ground lower through London hours from 0.81268 to 0.8104, stamping a clean lower-high/lower-low chain as the franc found marginal relief into US PCE. A small bounce is underway from 0.8104 with RSI(14) near 40; the descending lower-high line still caps.
Support: 0.8104, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81188, 0.81268
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.3h) is the swing driver for the next leg
M15 close above 0.81188 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.81040 confirms continuation toward 0.81000
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, off the highs · RSI 39 · price 0.81098
Lower highs, lower lows into NY.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81394 11-month high through NY hours, breaking below 0.8110 and printing a 0.81020 session low before steadying at 0.81098. Price sits on the 0.8100 pivot with RSI(14) cooled to the high-30s; Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the next driver.
Support: 0.8104, 0.8102, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8113, 0.81268, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8100 pivot confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 0.81020
Reclaim of 0.81130 would stall the intraday decline
Core PCE (12:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 40 · price 0.81098
Lower highs, lower lows; bouncing off 0.8102.
USDCHF rolled over through the London session, printing a fresh session low at 0.8102 before a modest bounce to 0.8110; price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40. The intraday leg lower has unwound part of the prior push toward 0.8139, structure now a chain of lower highs.
Support: 0.8102, 0.8104
Resistance: 0.8120, 0.81268
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8102 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.8120 swing high would neutralise the intraday downtrend
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCHF rolled over from 0.81268, breaking the prior session base to print a fresh low at 0.8104 with RSI(14) near 34. The move trims the broader USD strength into today's Core PCE; price now sits just above the 0.81000 round number after a clean leg lower.
Support: 0.8104, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81188, 0.81268
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.81188 swing high negates the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.8104 session low opens 0.81000 psych
08:46 UTC
Intraday pullback off highs · RSI 35 · price 0.81055
Lower highs into session low.
London session faded USDCHF from the 0.8127 swing high down to a session low at 0.8104, slipping under the 0.8100 area before stabilising at 0.81055. Move sits against the broader USD bid; RSI(14) near 34 reflects the intraday cooling rather than a trend turn.
Support: 0.8104, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8120, 0.8127, 0.8139
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Sustained break below 0.8104 opens 0.8100 round number
Reclaim of 0.8120 pivot negates the lower-high sequence
USD/CHF drifted lower through the London session, printing a fresh session low at 0.81049 before a shallow bounce to 0.81085; RSI(14) near 43, price below EMA20/50. The Asian-hours USD softening ahead of PCE is showing on the tape as the six-day rally pauses.
Support: 0.81049, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81188, 0.81268
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.81049 opens the 0.81000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.81188 would break the lower-high sequence
USDCHF rolled over through the European morning, breaking the 0.8110 floor and printing a fresh session low at 0.8104 with RSI(14) near 31. Price is pinned at the lows after a six-day rally stalled near the 0.8139 11-month high, with a soft USD lean creeping in ahead of US PCE.
Support: 0.8104, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81135, 0.81268, 0.8139
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 0.8104 confirms continuation toward the 0.8100 round level
Reclaim of 0.81135 would negate the downside break and restore the range
USDCHF is ranging in the low 0.811s after a London-hours push to 0.81268 was rejected and faded back toward 0.81112. The Asian-session low at 0.81064 held earlier; RSI(14) near 42 with price below EMA20/50, no clean intraday trend in play.
Support: 0.81064, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81226, 0.81268, 0.8139
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81064 exposes the 0.8100 round level
Reclaim of 0.81268 needed to reopen the upside
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Choppy, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.81112
Lower highs since 0.8139, holding above 0.8100.
USDCHF rolled off the 0.8139 high through NY and Asia, tagging a 0.8106 session low before a London bounce to 0.8127 was rejected. Price now hovers at 0.8111, just above the 0.8100 psych pivot, RSI in the mid-40s. US PCE at 12:30 UTC is the next swing.
Support: 0.8100, 0.81059
Resistance: 0.81268, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8100 exposes the 0.81059 session low and below
Reclaim of 0.81268 swing high reopens the path to 0.8139
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 43 · price 0.81112
Lower high posted, probing recent low.
USDCHF drifted off the 0.81306 high through London hours and is grinding back toward the 0.81059 swing low, with a modest USD softening in Asian hours ahead of today's PCE cluster. The bounce to 0.81268 was rejected, leaving a lower high and price pinned near 0.8111; RSI(14) sits mid-range around 43.
Support: 0.81059, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81188, 0.81268, 0.81306
What it said to watch
Close below 0.81059 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.8100 psych
Reclaim of 0.81268 swing high negates the lower-high read
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC is the key swing for the next USD leg
Rotating within 0.8106–0.8139, holding above session low.
USDCHF was rejected at the 0.81268 swing high during NY hours and has rolled back toward the 0.81112 area, with the 0.8106 session low the next reference below. Price is rotating inside a 0.8106–0.8139 range; ATR near 4.6 pips signals quiet, compressed conditions ahead of the US PCE data cluster.
Support: 0.81059, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81268, 0.8139
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81059 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.8100 psych pivot
Reclaim of 0.81268 puts the 0.8139 prior high back in play
US PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF slid to a session low at 0.81059 in the Asian–early-London window, then recovered; the last impulsive bar tagged the recent high at 0.81268 before rejecting back to 0.81184. RSI(14) mid-range near 51, price consolidating well below the prior high at 0.81394.
Support: 0.8110, 0.81059
Resistance: 0.81268, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81268 reopens the path toward 0.81394 prior high
Loss of the 0.81100 round exposes 0.81059 session low again
US PCE/GDP/Durable Goods cluster at 12:30 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 0.81184
Base built at 0.8106, higher lows into current bar.
USDCHF carved a base at 0.81059 through the Asian session and ground back to 0.81268 before fading to 0.81184; RSI(14) recovered to mid-range from oversold. Pair holds above EMA20/50 with higher lows intact ahead of the 12:30 UTC US data cluster.
Support: 0.8110, 0.81059
Resistance: 0.81268, 0.8139
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81100 reopens the 0.81059 session low
Reclaim of 0.81268 puts the 0.8139 prior high back in play
US Core PCE / GDP / Durable Goods cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Recovering off overnight low · RSI 60 · price 0.81236
Higher lows after double bottom.
USDCHF recovered from an overnight session low at 0.81059, grinding higher through London to 0.81236 — roughly the 50% retrace of the 0.8139-0.8106 slide, with RSI(14) near 60 and EMA20 reclaimed. A US data cluster including Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst and dominant driver.
Support: 0.81147, 0.81059, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81306, 0.8139
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81306 opens the path to the 0.8139 ytd high
Failure to hold 0.81147 reopens the 0.81059 session low
US Core PCE / GDP / claims cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF carved a session low at 0.81059 late in the Asian session and has clawed back to 0.81236 through the London morning, printing a chain of higher lows. Price sits mid-range between the 0.811 round number and the 0.8139 prior high, RSI(14) recovering near 60 with no extreme in play.
Support: 0.8110, 0.81059
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.8139
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.811 round number reopens the 0.81059 session low
Reclaim of 0.8129 swing high puts the 0.8139 prior high back in focus
US data cluster (Core PCE) at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF slid through NY hours to a 0.81059 session low before twin lows held and price recovered into London, now stalling at the 0.81220 intraday high with RSI(14) back near 54. The bounce has retraced roughly half the 0.81306–0.81059 decline.
Support: 0.8110, 0.81059
Resistance: 0.8122, 0.81306
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81220 intraday high opens the path back toward the 0.81306 swing high
Loss of 0.81059 session low resumes the slide
US Core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Based at 0.8106, rising lows back toward mid-range.
USDCHF slid from the 0.81394 session high into Asia, basing at 0.8106 before a steady chain of higher lows lifted price back to 0.812. Recovery is gradual with RSI(14) back near mid-range; the broad USD bid remains intact but the US Core PCE/GDP data cluster at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 0.8106, 0.81092
Resistance: 0.8123, 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8123 then 0.81306 reopens the path to the 0.81394 high
Loss of 0.8106 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8139 YTD high to a session low at 0.8106 through Asia, then recovered into the London session and is now stalling at the 38.2% retracement near 0.8119. RSI(14) is back near neutral and the chain of lower highs from 0.8139 still caps. Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the day's catalyst.
Support: 0.8110, 0.81059
Resistance: 0.8124, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8124 swing high breaks the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the round 0.811 reopens the 0.8106 session low
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF slid through the London session to a session low around 0.8106, twice basing there before buyers stepped in. Price has since recovered to 0.81189, capped under the 0.81220 bounce high; lower highs from 0.81394 still intact.
Support: 0.8106, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8122, 0.8129, 0.81394
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key USD catalyst — could materially shift this read
Close above 0.81290 negates the lower-high sequence
Recovery off a base near 0.8106 after lower highs.
Price drifted lower for several hours from the 0.8139 region, basing around 0.8106 before recovering into early London to 0.81176. RSI has lifted back to the high-50s and price has reclaimed EMA20 but sits capped below EMA50; 0.81230 is the first cap overhead.
Support: 0.81115, 0.8106
Resistance: 0.8123, 0.81306
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81230 prior high negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.81115 reopens the 0.8106 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key USDCHF catalyst and can override this read
06:46 UTC
Downtrend off 0.8139, basing · RSI 50 · price 0.81176
Pulled back from session high, rounding off the low.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8139 YTD high through the NY/Asia hours, printing a session low at 0.8106 before basing and grinding back to 0.8118 into the London open. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range as price reclaims EMA20; recent high at 0.8120 caps the bounce.
Support: 0.81059, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81195, 0.8129, 0.8139
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC is the key USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.81195 (recent high) reopens the path to the 0.8139 ytd high
Failure to hold 0.81059 (session low) confirms a fresh lower-low
USDCHF slid to a session low at 0.81059 during Asia, then ground back up through 0.8117 into the London open with RSI lifting off the lows. Price now sits mid the recent decline, below the 0.81291 prior high; the 12:30 UTC US data block (Core PCE, GDP) is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 0.81059, 0.81086
Resistance: 0.8123, 0.81291
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81059 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81291 prior high needed to repair structure
US PCE/GDP avalanche at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.81173
Decline to 0.81059, recovery into London open.
USD/CHF slid through the Asia session to a low of 0.81059 before buyers stepped in, lifting price to 0.81173 into the London open with RSI recovering through midline. The drop made a lower low while momentum held firmer — a bullish divergence — but price still sits below the 0.81230 prior swing.
Support: 0.81086, 0.81059
Resistance: 0.8123, 0.8129
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81230 would negate the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.81059 confirms continuation of the downtrend
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
06:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, base forming · RSI 51 · price 0.81153
Lower highs into session low, bounce underway.
USDCHF slid through a string of lower highs to a session low at 0.81059 during Asia hours, then carved a base and bounced into the London open with RSI recovering toward 50. Price now sits just under the recent high at 0.81175 after a six-day USD/CHF rally; US PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 0.81059, 0.81086
Resistance: 0.81175, 0.8123
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81175 opens the path back toward the 0.81230 swing high
Failure to hold 0.81059 confirms a lower low
US PCE at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Downtrend stabilizing, bounce in play · RSI 53 · price 0.81153
NY down-leg, double bottom at session low.
USDCHF slid through the NY session from 0.8129 to a 0.81059 low as broad USD strength held, then carved a double bottom near 0.8106 and recovered to 0.81153. RSI(14) has lifted back to mid-range off oversold; price reclaimed EMA20 but sits below EMA50.
Support: 0.81059, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81175, 0.8126
What it said to watch
US PCE block at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back below 0.81059 confirms a lower low and ends the bounce
Reclaim of 0.81175 opens the path back to the 0.81260 pivot
USDCHF sold off from the 0.81394 window high through NY hours to a 0.81059 session low, then based and ground back to 0.81153 in the Asian session. RSI(14) has lifted off its lows to neutral; 0.81200 former support now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.81059, 0.81087
Resistance: 0.8120, 0.8129, 0.81394
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.81200 reopens the path toward 0.81290
Failure to hold 0.81059 confirms a lower-low extension
06:01 UTC
Pullback off lows, recovering · RSI 48 · price 0.81153
Lower highs into 0.8106 base, bounce in progress.
Price faded from the 0.8139 high through late Asia to a 0.8106 session low, where demand stepped in twice to form a double base before recovering to 0.81153. RSI(14) lifting off mid-40s; back above EMA20 but still under EMA50.
Support: 0.8106, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.81175, 0.8123, 0.8129
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81230 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.81060 confirms a fresh lower-low
US PCE block at 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
Lower highs from session peak, holding above 0.8106.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81306 session high through NY hours, printing lower highs and bottoming at 0.81059 before a shallow bounce back to 0.81145 — broad USD strength intact but the pair has corrected off 10-month highs. Price is pressing back up to EMA20 with EMA50 capping near 0.8120.
Support: 0.8110, 0.81059
Resistance: 0.8120, 0.81306
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81200 would negate the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.81059 confirms continuation of the intraday downtrend
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this read
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81394 day high, printing lower highs into the Asian session and basing around 0.81060. Early London is recovering off that low to 0.81145, but price sits below EMA20/50 with the lower-high chain intact. Today's 12:30 UTC US PCE block is the dominant catalyst into the next sessions.
Support: 0.8106, 0.81043
Resistance: 0.81177, 0.8129, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81177 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.81060 confirms a fresh lower-low
US PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Downtrend off session high · RSI 42 · price 0.81114
Lower highs, pressing session low.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81394 session high, carving lower highs through the late session and breaking down to a fresh session low at 0.81059 before a shallow bounce to 0.81114. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the low 40s; the prior high at 0.81185 is the nearest cap after the broad USD/CHF advance stalled.
Support: 0.81059, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81185, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81059 confirms a lower low and extends the downside
Reclaim of 0.81185 prior high neutralises the corrective read
US PCE block at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session broke below the 0.8124-0.8128 range and slid to a session low of 0.81059 as broad USD strength pressured the franc to fresh lows. A modest bounce into Asian hours has stalled under 0.8118, with RSI(14) recovering off lows but price holding below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.81059, 0.81086
Resistance: 0.81177, 0.81245, 0.81306
What it said to watch
US Core PCE block at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.8118 negates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 0.81059 confirms continuation lower
05:16 UTC
Intraday downdrift off the high · RSI 36 · price 0.81105
Lower highs, lower lows since the 0.81394 peak.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81394 session high and ground lower through the Asia session, printing a 0.81059 low before a shallow stall near 0.81100. RSI(14) at 36 and price below both EMAs; the slide is part of the broad USD bid, but US PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.81059, 0.81088
Resistance: 0.81185, 0.8129, 0.81394
What it said to watch
US PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.81059 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 0.81185 neutralises the intraday downdrift
USDCHF slid through the Asia session from 0.81306 to a 0.81059 low, RSI(14) pressed near 31 and price below both EMAs. Now consolidating around 0.81105 just under the 0.81146 swing high, having unwound part of the multi-day USD rally ahead of US PCE.
Support: 0.81059, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81146, 0.81306
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81059 opens the path toward the 0.8100 psych level
Reclaim of 0.81146 swing high would ease the intraday downside
US PCE block at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
USDCHF rolled over from 0.81306 through the Asia session, paring part of the six-day USD rally; it printed a 0.81059 session low before stabilising at 0.81105. The 0.8100 pivot is the key downside marker, with the US PCE data block at 12:30 UTC as the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.81059, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81177, 0.81306
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81059 opens the path toward the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.81177 negates the lower-high sequence
US Core PCE / GDP block at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has bled lower from the session high near 0.81291, printing a clean lower-high chain down to 0.81105 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s. Price now sits just above the 0.8100 psych pivot after sweeping the 0.81059 swing low.
Support: 0.81059, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81145, 0.81291
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81145 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.8100 pivot opens further downside
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the USD leg
USD/CHF drifted lower through the Asia session, shedding ~23 pips off the 0.8130 high in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain, with price now pinned at the 0.8106 session low. RSI(14) near 34 reflects sustained downside momentum but isn't yet at an extreme; the 0.8100 pivot sits just below.
Support: 0.8106, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8114, 0.8129
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8106 exposes the 0.8100 pivot
M15 close back above 0.8114 breaks the lower-high sequence
US PCE block at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF rolled over from the 0.8130 session high through Asia hours, printing lower highs and lower lows into 0.8107 with RSI(14) near 34 but not yet oversold. The 0.8100 psych pivot sits just below as the next reference. Today's 12:30 UTC US PCE block is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.81059, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8113, 0.81306
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8100 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 0.8113 neutralises the intraday downtrend
US PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
USD/CHF rolled off the 0.81306 session high and broke below the 0.8100-area pivot, grinding into a 0.81059 session low with RSI(14) near 34. This is a counter-trend pullback within the broader multi-day dollar advance; lower highs are intact at 0.81146 and 0.81205.
Support: 0.81059, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81146, 0.81205, 0.81306
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81146 stalls the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.81059 extends the pullback toward the 0.81000 pivot
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~8h) is the dominant catalyst and can shift this read
04:31 UTC
Intraday pullback off the highs · RSI 33 · price 0.81068
Lower highs, lower lows since 0.81306.
USDCHF rolled over from 0.81306 and has printed a steady chain of lower highs into early London hours, now pressing the session low at 0.81059 with RSI(14) near 32. The broader 6-day USD trend is stretched; this is a counter-trend fade within it, with 0.8100 psych the next reference below.
Support: 0.81059, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81146, 0.81306
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8100 confirms continuation of the pullback
Reclaim of 0.81146 swing high stalls the lower-high sequence
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, intraday pullback from NY highs · RSI 34 · price 0.81076
Lower highs, pressing session lows near 0.8107.
USDCHF drifted lower through Asia hours toward the 0.8100 pivot after stalling at 0.81394 during the prior NY session. Chain of lower highs into 0.8107 with RSI(14) cooling near 34; broader hawkish-Fed flow keeps the 0.8126 ten-month high in view above.
Support: 0.81064, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81146, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8100 pivot opens a deeper intraday correction
Reclaim of 0.81146 would break the lower-high sequence
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant dollar catalyst
USD/CHF rolled over from the 0.8139 session high and has ground steadily lower through Asia hours, now pressing the 0.8106 session low with RSI(14) near 35. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 after a clean chain of lower highs; the broader trend is stretched into Thursday's US PCE.
Support: 0.81064, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.8139
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8100 pivot extends the corrective leg
Reclaim of 0.8129 invalidates the lower-high chain
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 34 · price 0.81076
Lower highs and lower lows into session low.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81306 session high through Asia hours, breaking the 0.81100 pivot and printing fresh session lows at 0.81064 with RSI(14) near 33. Price is stalling just above 0.81064 ahead of the 0.81000 psych level; the broader USD-bid context from hawkish-Fed repricing still frames the trend lower in CHF terms.
Support: 0.81064, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81177, 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81177 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.81064 opens the path toward 0.81000 psych
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst and could reshape this read
Asian session drifted lower off the 0.81306 high, printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows down to 0.81064 as stretched dollar longs eased ahead of Thursday's PCE. Price now hovers at 0.8108 with RSI(14) cooling near 36; the 0.8100 pivot flagged below is the next structural reference.
Support: 0.81064, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81146, 0.81242, 0.81306
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8100 pivot signals a deeper correction of the prior rally
Reclaim of 0.81146 would break the lower-high sequence
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
03:46 UTC
Pullback from highs, momentum down · RSI 32 · price 0.81108
Lower highs into Asian session, testing 0.8110.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81390 session high and printed a chain of lower highs through the Asian session, now grinding the 0.8110 area with RSI(14) near 32. The franc-weak USD-strength rally is pausing; price holds just above the 0.8100 pivot.
Support: 0.81092, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.8139
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81000 pivot extends the corrective leg
Reclaim of 0.81290 negates the lower-high sequence
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and can reset this read
03:46 UTC
Pulling back from session highs · RSI 37 · price 0.81108
Lower highs, lower lows since 0.8139.
USDCHF rolled off the 0.81394 session high and is grinding lower into the Asia session, now near 0.81108 with a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows. RSI(14) at 37 reflects the fade but is not yet stretched; price is probing toward the 0.8100 pivot flagged as the structural line for the broader USD-strength move.
Support: 0.81092, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8100 pivot opens the path lower and signals the stretched move correcting
Reclaim of 0.81290 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver for this pair
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81394 NY-session high and has carved lower highs back into Asia, now probing the 0.81093 session low with RSI(14) near 38. The pair stays inside the broader six-day uptrend but is correcting off stretched levels; 0.8100 pivot is the line that keeps the bullish structure intact.
Support: 0.81093, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81242, 0.81306
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81093 extends the intraday lower-low sequence toward the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.81242 would neutralise the intraday lower-high chain
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and could reset this read
03:31 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 38 · price 0.81108
Lower highs, lower lows since 0.81306.
USDCHF rejected 0.81306 and slid through Asia hours, printing a fresh session low at 0.81093 with RSI(14) cooling toward 37. Price now hovers just above the 0.8100 pivot flagged as the key structural floor for the broader USD-strength run.
Support: 0.81093, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81185, 0.81306
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8100 signals the stretched rally correcting
Reclaim of 0.81185 would stall the intraday slide
US Core PCE 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and could reset this read
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81390 session high and ground lower through the Asia session, with the down leg finding buyers at 0.81100 before a shallow bounce to 0.81142. RSI(14) near 41 and ATR around 6 pips — a tired, low-range drift below EMA20/50, holding above the 0.8100 pivot.
Support: 0.8110, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.8139
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81100 opens the path toward the 0.8100 psych pivot
Reclaim of 0.81290 swing high needed to repair the lower-high sequence
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
03:16 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 37 · price 0.81142
Lower highs into session low.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81394 session high and is now grinding the lower edge near 0.81100, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s during Asia hours. The broader move is USD-strength driven, but the intraday tape has carved a clean lower-high chain since the 0.8139 rejection.
Support: 0.8110, 0.8101
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81100 confirms a lower low toward 0.81010
Reclaim of 0.81290 negates the intraday rollover
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and could reset this read
03:01 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 0.81142
Lower highs since 0.81394 peak.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81394 session high through the NY session into Asia, printing lower highs and now testing the 0.8100 pivot near 0.81142. Rejection at 0.81306 capped the bounce; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8110, 0.81069
Resistance: 0.8120, 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Sustained loss of 0.8100 signals the stretched move correcting deeper
M15 close back above 0.81200 negates the intraday decline
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver for the next session
03:01 UTC
Pullback off intraday high · RSI 39 · price 0.81142
Lower highs since 0.81394, sliding to range base.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81306 session high through late NY into Asia, part of a stretched six-day USD run into Thursday's US PCE. Price bounced off 0.81100 round number and sits at 0.81142, below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 0.8110, 0.81069
Resistance: 0.8120, 0.81306
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81069 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81200 puts the 0.81306 session high back in play
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver for the next several bars
02:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 40 · price 0.81117
Lower highs off session high into 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF rejected the session high at 0.8131 and slid into the late session, now probing the session low at 0.81101 just above the 0.8100 pivot. RSI(14) cooled into the low-40s as the six-day USD rally pauses ahead of Thursday's US Core PCE.
Support: 0.81101, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81306, 0.8126
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81100 opens the path toward the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.8126 nov-25 top keeps the upside structure intact
US PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the key cross-driver for this pair
02:46 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 0.81117
Lower highs into session lows.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81306 session high and slid below the 0.8120 pivot, now probing session lows near 0.8110 with RSI(14) cooling toward 40. Late in the session the rally that ran six straight days is stalling, with price pressing the 0.8100 pivot the franc-weak context flags as structurally key.
Support: 0.8110, 0.81046
Resistance: 0.8120, 0.81306
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8100 confirms the overstretched move correcting
Reclaim of 0.8120 reasserts the prior intraday range
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and could reset this read
02:31 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 41 · price 0.81148
Lower highs since 0.8139, retracing prior rally.
USDCHF pulled back from the session high at 0.8139 set during NY hours; Asia session is drifting lower, now probing 0.8112 with RSI(14) near 40 and price below both EMAs. The leg down is a deep retracement of the prior intraday rally ahead of US Core PCE.
Support: 0.81118, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8112 opens the path toward the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.8129 negates the lower-high sequence
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Short-term down, off the highs · RSI 39 · price 0.81148
Consolidation broken to the downside.
USDCHF drifted off the 0.81394 session high and broke below the 0.8120-0.8130 consolidation into Asia, printing a 0.81118 low before settling at 0.81148. RSI(14) near 39 reflects the cooling after a stretched six-day USD/CHF run; this is a corrective slip within YTD-high territory.
Support: 0.81118, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8123, 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81230 negates the downside break
Loss of 0.81118 opens room toward the 0.8100 pivot
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF slid off the 0.8139 session high to 0.81118 during the late NY-to-Asia handover, then bounced to 0.8120; RSI(14) recovering from the mid-40s. Move sits within a wider six-day rally, so this is corrective rather than structural — price hovering just above the 0.8100 pivot.
Support: 0.81118, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81118 confirms a lower low and presses the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.81290 reopens the 0.8139 session high
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver — could reset this read
02:16 UTC
Pullback off the highs, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 0.81196
Lower high posted, testing session low.
Price drifted off the 0.81394 window high and posted a lower high at 0.81306 before selling to a session low of 0.81118 in late Asia hours, part of a six-day USD/CHF advance now cooling. It is hovering at 0.81196, back below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.81118, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81306 reasserts the prior up-leg
Loss of 0.81118 opens the path toward the 0.8100 pivot
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key cross-driver later today
02:01 UTC
Short-term pullback within uptrend · RSI 42 · price 0.81196
Leg lower off session high, recovering.
Asia session saw a sharp drop from 0.81306 to the 0.81118 session low around 00:00 UTC, with USD/CHF easing back from its 7-month highs; price is now recovering to 0.81196 and is retracing roughly half of that move. RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s and price sits under EMA20/50 after the pullback.
Support: 0.81118, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81118 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81306 needed to negate the pullback
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the primary catalyst and could reshape this read
02:01 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 44 · price 0.81196
Lower highs after rejection at 0.81306.
USDCHF rejected at 0.81306 and slid to a session low of 0.81118 before stabilising near 0.81196 in quiet Asian hours. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; the broader USD bid into 7-month highs remains the backdrop ahead of US PCE.
Support: 0.81118, 0.81064
Resistance: 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81118 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81306 negates the pullback read
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.81159
Lower highs after session top, dropping into session low.
USDCHF stalled below 0.81290 and rolled over late, slicing into the session low at 0.81118 before closing 0.81159; RSI(14) cooled to ~40 as price slipped under both EMAs. The 7-month high near 0.81394 capped earlier supply and now sits well above price after the pullback.
Support: 0.81118, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC today is the primary risk for this pair
Loss of 0.81100 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 0.81290 re-engages the prior session high
USDCHF stalled at seven-month highs after the 0.81394 print, drifting into the Asia session on broad USD strength. Rejection at 0.81306 has carved a chain of lower highs; the slide to 0.81118 marks the session low with RSI cooling near 41.
Support: 0.81118, 0.81064
Resistance: 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81118 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.81064
M15 close back above 0.81306 reasserts the push toward 0.81394
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Range after intraday rally, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 0.81178
Ranged 0.8116-0.8131, testing lower bound.
Asia session drifting lower after the prior NY push peaked at the 0.81394 window high; price slipped from the 0.81306 session high to retest the 0.8116 range low on thin volume, hovering near the 50% fib of the intraday up-move. RSI(14) cooled to ~41, no longer overbought on this TF after the broad USD bid into seven-month highs.
Support: 0.8116, 0.81137
Resistance: 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81137 confirms a lower low and range break
Reclaim of 0.81306 session high reopens the 0.81394 window high
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.81178
Rejected at session high, retracing into mid-range.
USDCHF pushed to a 7-month session high at 0.81394 during NY hours then faded; the last two bars sold off from 0.81306 back to 0.81173 on thin Asia-session volume, dropping price below EMA20/50 near the 50% retrace of the prior up-leg. RSI(14) at 41 reflects cooling momentum after the crowded franc-bearish run.
Support: 0.81161, 0.81137
Resistance: 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81137 confirms a lower low and deepens the retrace
Reclaim and acceptance above 0.81306 reopens the 0.81394 high
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key risk and could materially shift this read
USD/CHF at 7-month highs but stalled, drifting in a tight 0.8118-0.8131 range through quiet Asian hours after the NY session rejected 0.8139. Recent bars are flat near 0.8124 with RSI(14) mid-range; no momentum in play.
Support: 0.81177, 0.81137
Resistance: 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8131 reopens the path to the 0.8139 ny high
Failure to hold 0.8118 confirms a lower-low out of the range
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant USD catalyst and can break this range
01:16 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.81242
Consolidation after pullback from session high.
USDCHF is ranging 0.8118–0.8130 through a thin Asia session after rejection from the 0.81394 swing high earlier. Price coils near the EMA20 with no setup in play; broad USD strength keeps the franc pinned at 7-month lows.
Support: 0.81177, 0.81137, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81306 reopens the 0.81394 swing high
Failure to hold 0.81137 confirms a lower low
US Core PCE in ~12h is the dominant USD catalyst
01:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 0.81242
Consolidation under session high.
USDCHF holding 7-month-high territory, consolidating around 0.8124 through the quiet Asia session after stalling below the 0.81306 session high. The earlier London/NY push topped at 0.81394 and has since coiled into a tight 0.81177–0.81306 range, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.81177, 0.81137
Resistance: 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.81306 reopens the path to the 0.81394 day high
Failure to hold 0.81137 breaks the range to the downside
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant USD catalyst and could break this range
USDCHF rallied off 0.81006 to a 0.81394 session high then settled into a tight Asia-session range around 0.8124, RSI(14) flat near 50 on thin volume. Price is pinned to EMA20 with 0.81306 capping and 0.81177 holding on the downside.
Support: 0.81177, 0.81137, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81306, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81306 reopens the 0.81394 session high
Loss of 0.81137 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
USDCHF is coiling tightly around 0.8124-0.8128 in thin Asia-session trade after pulling back from the 0.8139 session high, with broad USD strength still the backdrop. RSI is mid-range and ATR has compressed to ~12 pips; price holds above EMA20/50 but the 0.8132-0.8139 area has capped attempts higher.
Support: 0.8118, 0.8107, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8132, 0.8139
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8139 opens path to fresh multi-month highs
Failure to hold 0.8118 confirms a lower low and deeper retrace toward 0.8107
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant near-term USD catalyst
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 60 · price 0.8128
Range near highs after grind up.
Thin Asia-session grind has lifted price back to the 0.81285 session high, sitting just under the 0.81394 seven-month high tagged during the prior session. Range between 0.8118 and 0.81285 holding on very low volume, USD/CHF still pinned near multi-month highs on broad dollar strength.
Support: 0.8118, 0.81145, 0.8108
Resistance: 0.81285, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance above 0.81394 seven-month high signals continuation
Loss of 0.8118 range low opens the 0.81145 swing low
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant near-term USD catalyst
USDCHF coiled in a thin Asia-session range between 0.8118 and 0.8130 after the earlier push to the 0.8139 seven-month high. Volume has dried up and ATR is compressing; price is holding above EMA20/50 but failed to extend on broad USD strength.
Support: 0.8118, 0.8107
Resistance: 0.8130, 0.8139
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8139 reopens continuation toward fresh multi-month highs
Loss of 0.8118 exposes the 0.8107 prior pivot
US Core PCE in ~12h is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
USDCHF pushed to a session high at 0.81394 through NY hours on broad USD strength, then drifted into a tight Asian-session range around 0.8124. Price is coiling just under 0.8130 with ATR compressed to ~3 pips; the 0.8122 swing low has capped the downside.
Support: 0.8122, 0.81137, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8130, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 acceptance above 0.8130 reopens the 0.81394 swing high
Loss of 0.8122 swing low shifts the read toward 0.81137
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant USD catalyst
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 0.81274
Consolidating below session high.
NY pushed USD/CHF to a 0.81394 session high then faded, and the Asia session is now ranging quietly between 0.8116 and 0.8129 on thin volume, holding above the 0.8100 pivot. RSI(14) sits neutral near 57 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips. Broad USD strength on Fed-hike bets remains the backdrop into Core PCE.
Support: 0.8116, 0.8110, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.81394
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
M15 close above 0.81394 reopens continuation toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 0.81160 exposes the 0.8110 pivot
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 0.81274
Consolidation under session high.
USDCHF pushed to a 0.81394 session high during the London-NY window on broad USD strength, then drifted back into a tight 0.8118-0.8128 band. Asia session is quiet on thin volume, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 0.81177, 0.81137
Resistance: 0.81309, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81309 reopens the path to the 0.81394 session high
Loss of 0.81137 breaks the Asian range low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant near-term catalyst
USDCHF pushed to a 0.81394 session high on broad USD strength then drifted into a tight Asia-session range, now coiling 0.8118-0.8129 on thin volume. Price holds just above EMA20 with RSI mid-range — no momentum extension, just chop.
Support: 0.81177, 0.81145
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.81394
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8139 reopens continuation toward the seven-month high
Loss of 0.8114 swing low confirms a deeper pullback
US Core PCE/GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, paused at highs · RSI 56 · price 0.81274
Consolidation under session high.
USDCHF holds seven-month highs after London/NY drove a push to 0.8139, now grinding sideways near 0.8127 in a thin, low-volume Asia session. Price coils just under the 0.8129 range top with RSI mid-range, ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.8118, 0.8114
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.8139
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8129 reopens the 0.8139 session high
Loss of 0.8118 swing low confirms a deeper pullback
US Core PCE/GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC can break this range