USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Wednesday, 1 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling after fresh high · RSI 52 · price 162.54
Higher highs / higher lows, pulling into EMA20.
USDJPY has ground higher all week on the wide US-Japan yield gap, printing a fresh 40-year high at 162.84 as JPY stayed pinned and officials kept to verbal-only warnings. A sharp NY-session slide dumped price to 162.29 before it recovered to sit just under the EMA20 near 162.55, with RSI cooling back toward the midline. The week's rising-low structure remains intact while 162.29 holds.
Support: 162.29
Resistance: 162.73, 162.84
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.73 reopens the 162.84 week high
Failure to hold 162.29 swing low breaks the week's rising support
US NFP Fri and thin July holiday liquidity carry acute intervention risk that could sharply shift this read
USDJPY has ground higher all week on the US-Japan yield gap, printing a fresh 40-year high at 162.84 before a sharp NY-session flush to 162.29 stalled the run. Price has since recovered toward 162.55 but sits just under EMA(20), with RSI(14) cycling back to mid-range after the rejection near the highs. The grind up remains intact but thin July-4 liquidity and standing MoF intervention chatter are capping momentum into the 162.84 ceiling.
Support: 162.29
Resistance: 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.84 opens the path toward the 165 area
Loss of 162.29 confirms a lower-low and threatens the uptrend
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
MoF intervention risk elevated into thin July-4 liquidity
USDJPY has climbed steadily since Monday's open, printing a fresh 40-year high at 162.84 on the wide US-Japan yield gap before easing back. The dip into 162.29 during the NY session was bought back, keeping the higher-low sequence intact with price sitting just above EMA(20). RSI(14) is cycling in the mid-50s, leaving room on either side into Friday's US jobs data.
Support: 162.29
Resistance: 162.84
What it said to watch
Fri 12:30 UTC US NFP/wages could materially shift this read
Close above 162.84 opens continuation to fresh highs
Failure to hold 162.29 confirms a lower-low
Intervention headlines near 40-yr highs a rising tail-risk
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling after 40-yr high · RSI 53 · price 162.562
Higher highs and higher lows, pullback holding.
USDJPY has ground higher all week on the wide US-Japan rate gap, printing a fresh 40-year high at 162.84 during yesterday's NY session before a sharp dip to 162.29 was bought back. Price sits back above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling near mid-range, keeping the higher-low sequence from Monday's open intact. USD stayed firm despite soft ADP/ISM, with the pair a barometer for USD strength and JPY intervention risk.
Support: 162.293
Resistance: 162.838
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls Jul 2 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 162.84 extends the trend toward SocGen's 165 threshold
Loss of 162.29 swing low breaks the week's higher-low sequence
Escalating MoF intervention rhetoric a risk near the 40-yr high
USD/JPY ground to a fresh 40-year high at 162.84 this week on the widening US-Japan rate gap, the leg fuelled by hawkish Fed repricing and firm US yields. Price was rejected at the highs into the NY session, slipping below EMA(20) near 162.57 and basing around 162.51. RSI(14) has cooled to ~51 with the pullback so far holding above the 162.29 swing low.
Support: 162.29
Resistance: 162.57, 162.79, 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close back above EMA(20) ~162.57 would reassert the up-leg
A close above 162.84 opens continuation toward the 165 intervention threshold
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY has ground higher since Monday's open, printing a fresh 40-year high near 162.84 on the wide US-Japan yield gap and carry demand. Price rejected that high and pulled back sharply into the NY session yesterday to 162.29 before buyers reclaimed 162.50; RSetting(14) has cooled back to the mid-line. Price now sits just under EMA(20) with the rising trend support from Monday's low still intact.
Support: 162.293, 162.028, 162.00
Resistance: 162.838
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 162.84 opens the path toward the 165 area
Failure to hold 162.29 swing low exposes 162.00 psych
NFP Fri 12:30 UTC and intervention risk in thin Friday liquidity could reshape this read
17:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling off the high · RSI 46 · price 162.451
Higher highs into 40-yr high, now pulling back.
USD/JPY has trended higher since Monday, printing a fresh 40-year high at 162.84 as the wide US-Japan yield gap kept carry in control. That level was rejected in the NY session, dumping price to 162.29 and dragging it back below EMA(20), with RSI(14) cooling toward 46. Price is now consolidating in the low 162.40s above the rising trend from the week's lows.
Support: 162.293, 162.028
Resistance: 162.60, 162.838
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 162.60 (ema20) and 162.838 reopens the 40yr high
Loss of 162.29 swing low exposes 162.03 intraday low
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC — a hot AHE/beat could materially shift this read; intervention risk near 165 flagged
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 162.399
Higher highs into multi-decade highs, first sharp pullback.
USDJPY ground to fresh multi-decade highs near 162.84 this week on the wide US-Japan rate gap and firm Treasury yields, but stalled and rejected 162.79-162.84 before a sharp drop through the NY session took price back to 162.29. Price now sits below EMA(20) for the first time this week while holding above EMA(50), with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s after cycling into overbought at the highs. The 162.29 swing low is the immediate pivot after the pullback.
Support: 162.29, 162.03
Resistance: 162.79, 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 162.79 re-opens the week high at 162.84
Loss of 162.29 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 162.03
US Nonfarm Payrolls tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
MoF intervention rhetoric intensifying — asymmetric squeeze risk on any dovish US surprise
USDJPY has trended higher all week from the 161.67 weekly open toward fresh multi-decade highs at 162.84, carried by the wide US-Japan yield gap and hawkish-Fed pricing. The latest NY session bar rejected the 162.75 area sharply back to 162.29, dropping price below EMA20 for the first time in the run with RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward 44. Structure is still constructive above the week's rising lows, but the impulse has lost pace.
Support: 162.29, 162.03, 161.67
Resistance: 162.60, 162.75, 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 162.60 ema20 keeps the uptrend intact
Loss of the 162.29 day low opens room toward the 162.03 swing low
Nonfarm Payrolls Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
MoF intervention headlines near multi-decade highs raise squeeze risk
USDJPY has climbed steadily since the week reopened near 161.79, printing fresh multi-decade highs at 162.84 into the NY session as the wide US-Japan rate gap and ~4.47% Treasury yields kept the carry bid intact. The final bar dumped sharply to 162.29 before closing 162.37, dragging price below EMA(20) and cooling RSI back to the mid-50s. Verbal intervention from Japanese officials has capped but not reversed the advance.
Support: 162.293, 161.793
Resistance: 162.55, 162.838
What it said to watch
H1 close below 162.293 confirms a lower-low and questions the uptrend
Reclaim of 162.550 puts the 162.838 week high back in play
US NFP Thursday and intervention headlines near the cited 165 level could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
USD/JPY has run three straight sessions higher into fresh multi-decade highs, breaking above the 161.9 shelf during Tuesday's NY session and extending to a week high at 162.838 on the wide US-JP rate gap and hawkish Fed repricing. Price is now consolidating in a tight 162.65-162.80 band, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling near 54 after the impulse. The rising structure since the breakout remains intact while higher lows hold.
Support: 162.55, 162.60
Resistance: 162.838, 162.80
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.838 opens the path to new multi-decade highs
Failure to hold 162.55 breaks the week's rising higher-low structure
Warsh 13:00 UTC and ISM 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Any MoF/BoJ intervention headline risks a sharp reversal from the 1986-low zone
Higher highs into 40-yr high, upper-range consolidation.
USDJPY has ground higher all week, with the dominant leg firing during the NY session as a breakout carried price off 161.53 toward a fresh post-1986 high at 162.84 — a rate-differential move as JPY sinks and USD stays bid on hawkish-Fed pricing. Price is now consolidating in the upper 162.55–162.84 band with RSI(14) cycling around the mid-50s, momentum flattening after the impulse. Pullbacks have held above EMA(20), keeping the week's structure intact.
Support: 162.55
Resistance: 162.84, 162.77
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.84 opens the path to new multi-decade highs
Failure to hold 162.55 breaks the upper-range consolidation
MoF intervention headlines could trigger a sharp reversal from this area
ADP/ISM and Warsh speech today could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to new highs · RSI 61 · price 162.686
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
USDJPY has trended steadily higher since Monday's open, with the dominant leg coming during Tuesday's NY session when price broke 162.00 and ran to a post-1986 high at 162.84 on the wider US-Japan rate gap and rising Treasury yields. Price is now consolidating between 162.55 and 162.84, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half but off its extreme. Verbal intervention rhetoric from Tokyo has capped the pace rather than reversing structure.
Support: 162.55, 162.40
Resistance: 162.84, 163.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.84 opens the path to the 163.00 psych level
Failure to hold 162.40 breaks the week's higher-low structure
ADP 12:15 UTC and ISM 14:00 UTC could add yield fuel and shift the read
MoF/BoJ intervention signal near 162.70 is a sharp snap-back risk
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 61 · price 162.743
Higher highs, consolidating near week high.
USDJPY has ground higher for a third straight day toward multi-decade highs, with the dominant impulse coming in the NY session as price broke from the 161.9 base up through 162.40 on firm US yields and relentless JPY weakness. Price holds above EMA(20) with pullbacks shallow; the 162.84 week high capped the latest push and price is now consolidating in the 162.55–162.74 battleground flagged near the 1986 lows. RSI(14) around 61 sits elevated but off extremes as the grind continues.
Support: 162.55, 162.41
Resistance: 162.84, 163.00
What it said to watch
US ADP at 12:15 UTC and ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC are the near-term drivers of US yields and this read
H1 close above 162.84 week high opens the path toward the 163.00 round number
Loss of the 162.55 swing low would break the higher-low sequence
Actual MOF intervention near 162.60-162.73 could sharply reverse the uptrend
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
USD/JPY ground to fresh multi-decade highs near 162.84, extending the rate-gap advance that accelerated on the NY-session breakout after the JOLTS beat. Price holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) in the low-60s, but recent bars have stalled and eased back to 162.66, capping just under the 162.70 psych level that carries acute intervention risk. Higher lows since Monday's open remain intact.
Support: 162.55
Resistance: 162.70, 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.84 opens the path to fresh highs
162.70+ is the intervention-risk zone; MoF action could force a sharp reversal
ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM Manufacturing (14:00 UTC) today could shift momentum
Failure to hold 162.55 breaks the near-term higher-low structure
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 61 · price 162.67
Higher highs and higher lows above EMA20/50.
USDJPY has ground to fresh multi-decade highs all week, with a clean NY-session breakout above 162.00 accelerating the carry-driven move to 162.84. Price holds above EMA20 near 162.55 and RSI is elevated but rolling off the highs after this morning's stall around 162.67. The 40-year-low yen backdrop and wide US-Japan rate gap remain the driver behind the trend.
Support: 162.55, 162.02
Resistance: 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 162.02 breakout would neutralise this-week's continuation
Failure to reclaim 162.84 week high keeps the pullback in play
ADP (12:15 GMT) and ISM Mfg (14:00) plus intervention rhetoric above the decades-high could sharply shift this read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, at multi-decade highs · RSI 59 · price 162.672
Series of higher highs and higher lows since breakout.
USD/JPY has ground higher all week, breaking above the 162.27 2024 high into multi-decade territory as the US-Japan rate gap keeps the yen offered despite a strong Tankan. The pair cleared 162 during the NY session and extended to 162.84 before easing back to 162.67, holding above both EMAs with RSI in the upper half. The 162.84 week high now caps the latest push while pullbacks have been shallow into the rising-lows structure.
Support: 162.55, 162.28
Resistance: 162.84
What it said to watch
Break-and-hold above 162.84 extends the multi-decade high sequence
BoJ/MoF intervention risk elevated above 162 — a sharp reversal would break the rising-lows structure
Loss of 162.28 negates the breakout retest
ADP (12:15 UTC), Warsh (13:00 UTC) and ISM (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
USDJPY cleared the 162.00 multi-decade breakout on a strong NY-session candle mid-week and has ground higher to a week high at 162.84, holding above EMA(20) throughout the advance as pullbacks toward 162.20 were bought. The move tracks the well-established US-Japan rate gap / carry theme with JPY at four-decade lows. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s — firm but not stretched — with the round-number 163.00 the next reference overhead.
Support: 162.20, 162.00
Resistance: 162.84, 163.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 162.00 breakout would negate the continuation read
ADP (12:15 GMT), Warsh (13:00 GMT) and ISM (14:00 GMT) could materially shift the read into jobs week
Any BoJ/MoF FX intervention headline risks a sharp squeeze off these highs
05:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 64 · price 162.727
Higher highs after 162.00 breakout.
USDJPY cleared 162.00 on a sharp NY-session impulse and has since printed higher highs toward 162.84, a fresh multi-decade high on the widening US-Japan rate gap. Price holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) in the low-60s; pullbacks into the 162.45 area have been shallow. The 162.00 breakout level now sits as the reference base below.
Support: 162.45, 162.00
Resistance: 162.84
What it said to watch
ADP (12:15 UTC), Warsh (13:00) and ISM (14:00) could materially shift this read
Any confirmed Japanese FX intervention above 162.00 would trigger a sharp reversal
H1 close back below 162.00 negates the breakout structure
04:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 162.796
Higher highs, shallow pullbacks.
USDJPY has trended up since this week's open near 161.72, with the decisive break through 162.00 during the NY session pushing to fresh multi-decade highs at 162.84. Price holds well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) elevated near 71; pullbacks have stayed shallow and the breakout above the 161.95 2024 high has not been retested. Carry demand on the wide US-Japan rate gap continues to underpin, with month-end USD flows only briefly pausing the grind.
Support: 162.65, 161.95
Resistance: 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 162.65 would signal the breakout losing momentum
ADP, Warsh and ISM today could materially shift this read
Confirmed BoJ/MoF intervention above 162 risks a sharp reversal
USDJPY broke the 162.00 pivot on Monday's NY session and has ground higher into the 162.65 multi-decade high, printing fresh peaks near 162.79. Price holds well above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) elevated in the high-60s as the wide US-Japan rate gap keeps the pair bid despite JPY intervention warnings. The 162.00 breakout level has since acted as the pivot the rally is built on.
Support: 162.00
Resistance: 162.79
What it said to watch
ADP 12:15 UTC, Warsh 13:00 UTC and ISM 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Intervention risk rises the further price extends above 162.65
H1 close back below 162.00 negates the breakout structure
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 67 · price 162.685
Higher highs into fresh multi-decade highs.
USDJPY broke decisively out of the 161.70–161.95 range that held through midweek, tearing above the 161.95/162.00 zone into 40-year highs on the wide rate gap and a firm USD. The impulse ran through NY hours to 162.773 and price is consolidating just below that print, holding well above EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) sits elevated near 67 after the run, with the 162.27 breakout now the first reference on any pullback.
Support: 162.27, 162.00, 161.95
Resistance: 162.773
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 162.27 would signal the breakout is being retested
Failure to reclaim 162.773 leaves the high as capping resistance
ADP + Warsh + ISM (12:15–14:00 UTC today) could shift USD direction into the next bars
MoF/BoJ intervention risk elevated at these levels — a disorderly reversal would invalidate the grind read
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 70 · price 162.693
Higher highs, higher lows; breakout above 162.
USD/JPY cleared the four-decade 162.00 pivot during Tuesday's NY session and has printed a fresh 40-year high at 162.773, with the JOLTS beat and a behind-the-curve BoJ driving the rate-gap bid. Price holds well above EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 70, and the 162.00 breakout level has since acted as a floor. Momentum is strong but stretched into uncharted territory.
Support: 162.00, 161.71
Resistance: 162.773
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 162.00 negates the breakout and reopens the 161.71 weekly open
ADP (12:15 UTC), Warsh at Sintra (13:00) and ISM Manufacturing (14:00) can drive the USD leg
Intervention headlines near these levels risk a sharp counter-move given crowded positioning
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 67 · price 162.664
Higher highs above broken 162.00 pivot.
USDJPY cleared the 162.00 pivot mid-week and printed a fresh four-decade high near 162.67, the move driven by the wide US-Japan rate gap and hawkish-Fed USD bid. Price is holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with pullbacks staying shallow, and RSI(14) is elevated into the high 60s as momentum stays one-sided. The broken 162.00 level and the old July-2024 high at 161.95 now sit below as prior structure.
Support: 162.00, 161.95
Resistance: 162.67, 162.55
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 162.00 broken pivot would neutralise the breakout read
ADP/ISM (Wed) and NFP (Thu) could materially shift this read
JPY intervention risk skews toward a sharp short-covering reversal on any official action