USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 14 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 46 · price 162.18
Ranging after sharp flush and rebound.
USDJPY flushed to 161.60 mid-session on the softer USD backdrop then fully reclaimed the drop, and is now grinding sideways between 162.13 and 162.28 in thin Asian-hours trade. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46; ATR is compressed with volume drying up.
Support: 162.13, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 range top opens 162.37
Break below 162.13 range low re-exposes the 161.60 session low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could shift this read
23:47 UTC
Recovered off CPI low, now flat · RSI 45 · price 162.18
Consolidating under 162.28 after V-recovery.
Soft US June CPI slammed USDJPY to 161.60 around the London-NY session ~11h ago, then price snapped back to the low-162.20s. Since then it has drifted in thin Asia trade, ranging 162.10-162.28 with RSI(14) mid-band and no directional push.
Support: 162.10, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.44
What it said to watch
Break below 162.10 reopens the 161.60 cpi low
M15 close above 162.28 resumes the recovery toward 162.44
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Range after sharp drop · RSI 49 · price 162.192
Consolidating near recovery highs.
The soft US June CPI print triggered a sharp flush to 161.60 before price recovered almost fully, topping at the 162.28 session high. Now consolidating in thin Asia hours around 162.19, holding above the 162.00 psych level with the 162.37 pre-drop area capping upside.
Support: 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
Close above 162.28 session high reopens 162.37 pre-drop area
Failure to hold 162.00 psych reopens 161.60 drop low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could shift this read
23:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 49 · price 162.192
Consolidation after CPI flush and rebound.
USDJPY was flushed to 161.60 on the soft US CPI print before buyers reclaimed the drop back to 162.28. Since then it has stalled into thin late-session trade, coiling between 162.13 and 162.28 with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 162.13, 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.40
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.28 reopens the 162.40 prior high
Loss of 162.13 session low exposes 161.90 swing low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 53 · price 162.21
Consolidation above 162.20 after sharp drop.
USDJPY dropped sharply to 161.60 on the soft US CPI read, then recovered and has been consolidating just above 162.20 through thin, low-volume Asia hours. RSI(14) neutral near 53 with ATR compressed to a few pips; price sits around the 78% retracement of the CPI-day drop.
Support: 162.13, 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
Close above 162.28 targets the 162.37 prior high
Failure to hold 162.13 reopens 161.90 and the 161.60 cpi low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 52 · price 162.21
Consolidating after CPI sweep and recovery.
Soft US CPI drove a sharp spike-down to 161.60 before price fully recovered to 162.20, and it's now consolidating 162.10–162.27 in thin Asian trade. RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR compressed as the volatility from the drop bleeds off.
Support: 162.10, 161.60
Resistance: 162.27, 162.37
What it said to watch
Close above 162.27 opens the 162.37 pre-drop high
Loss of 162.10 exposes the 161.60 sweep low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could reprice the USD leg
23:02 UTC
Recovering after sharp sell-off · RSI 52 · price 162.233
Consolidating in upper half of the drop range.
USD/JPY sold off sharply to 161.60 during NY hours as a soft US dollar undercut the pair, then clawed back roughly two-thirds of the move to a 162.28 range top. Price now consolidates 162.13–162.28 in thin Asia trade with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 162.13, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.85
What it said to watch
Loss of 162.13 range floor reopens the 161.60 session low
Close above 162.28 range top opens the path toward the 162.85 40-yr high, where intervention risk is elevated
PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:01 UTC
Recovered off CPI dip, now flat · RSI 54 · price 162.233
Consolidating below session high after sharp drop and reclaim.
Soft US June CPI knocked USD/JPY to 161.60 in a single bar before buyers reclaimed it back to the mid-162.20s. Since then it has consolidated 162.13–162.28 through thin Asia hours, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 162.13, 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.40
What it said to watch
Break above 162.28 session high reopens the 162.40 prior high
Loss of 162.13 range low turns focus back toward 162.00 psych
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could break this consolidation
Intervention risk elevated as spot sits near the 40-yr high
USD/JPY spiked down to 161.60 on the soft US CPI print at 12:30 GMT, then reclaimed the drop and has consolidated back to 162.22. Asia session is thin and rangebound between 162.13 and 162.28, sitting just under the four-decade high zone.
Support: 162.13, 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 opens the 162.37 pre-cpi high
Loss of 162.13 exposes the 161.90 post-cpi low
162.84 four-decade high overhead keeps intervention risk in play
22:47 UTC
Recovering after CPI drop, now flat · RSI 53 · price 162.216
Consolidation under 162.28 post-recovery.
USD/JPY gapped down to 161.60 on the soft US June CPI print, then clawed back almost the entire move to consolidate near 162.20 in thin Asian trade. RSI(14) neutral and ATR barely 4 pips as volume dries up; price ranging between 162.13 and the 162.28 session high, no setup in play.
Support: 162.13, 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.50
What it said to watch
close above 162.28 opens the path to 162.50
loss of 162.13 exposes the post-cpi base at 161.90
MoF intervention risk elevated near the 40-yr high 162.84
22:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 54 · price 162.221
Range after sharp drop and rebound.
NY session flushed to 161.60 before buyers recovered price through the evening; now consolidating the low-162s around 162.20 in thin late/Asia hours. Soft US June CPI has kept the dollar two-way, and price is grinding sideways inside a 162.13–162.28 range.
Support: 162.13, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 opens the path back toward 162.45
Failure to hold 162.13 reopens the 161.60 session low
Intervention rhetoric risk if 162.70/162.80 tests on renewed USD strength
22:31 UTC
Recovered from spike, now flat · RSI 53 · price 162.221
Consolidation in low-162s after sweep of 161.60.
USDJPY flushed to 161.60 on the soft US June CPI print then fully recovered, and price is now consolidating in a tight 162.13–162.28 band through a thin Asia session (volume near single digits on the latest bars). RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53 with no momentum extreme; the spike low was reclaimed and the session high is capping.
Support: 162.13, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 reopens the 162.70 intervention zone
Loss of 162.13 exposes the 161.60 spike low again
Wed 12:30 GMT US PPI cluster could break this consolidation
22:17 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 55 · price 162.246
Consolidation above spike low after sharp NY-session flush.
USDJPY flushed to 161.60 during NY hours before buyers reclaimed the low-162s, and it has since drifted in a tight 162.13–162.28 band through thin Asian trade. JPY stays defensive near four-decade lows; the 162.70/162.80 intervention zone caps the topside above.
Support: 162.13, 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37, 162.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 opens the path to the 162.37 pre-drop high
Failure to hold 162.13 range low reopens the 161.90 recovery base
Wed 12:30 GMT US PPI cluster could materially shift this read
USDJPY was flushed to 161.60 in the aftermath of the soft US CPI print, then clawed back to the low-162s and has consolidated between 162.13 and 162.28. Late-session bars are thin and directionless with RSI(14) mid-range near 55; the recovery has stalled just under the 162.28 session high.
Support: 162.13, 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37, 162.70
What it said to watch
Close above 162.28 opens the path to 162.37 and the 162.70 jawbone zone
Failure to hold 162.13 re-exposes 161.90 and the 161.60 cpi low
Wed 12:30 GMT US PPI could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, ranging · RSI 56 · price 162.253
Consolidating below session high.
USD/JPY spiked down to 161.60 as the soft US June CPI trimmed the dollar, then recovered through the London-NY session back into the low-162s. Now consolidating in a tight 162.13–162.28 band on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 162.13, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 recent high extends the recovery toward the 162.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 162.13 swing low reopens the 161.60 session low
Fed Warsh testimony Wed 14:00 GMT is the key USD swing factor for this pair
22:01 UTC
Recovering from spike low, now flat · RSI 56 · price 162.253
Consolidation after sweep of 161.60.
A thin-liquidity sweep flushed to 161.60 mid-window before buyers reclaimed the low-162s; soft US June CPI kept the dollar two-way and capped the rebound. Price has since coiled between 162.13 and 162.28, no fresh direction into the Asia session.
Support: 162.13, 161.90, 161.603
Resistance: 162.284, 162.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 opens the path back toward 162.37
Loss of 162.13 re-exposes the 161.90 post-spike area
Warsh testimony + US PPI Wed 12:30/14:00 GMT could reset this read
USDJPY spiked down to 161.60 mid-session then recovered the whole move, now consolidating in the 162.13–162.26 band with RSI(14) neutral near 49. Late-session volume has thinned and price is drifting off the 162.26 range high.
Support: 162.13, 161.60
Resistance: 162.26, 162.38
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.26 range high opens the 162.38 prior high
Loss of 162.13 range low re-exposes the 161.60 sweep low
Fed Warsh testimony is the key USD swing factor for the next sessions
21:46 UTC
Recovered, now flat · RSI 47 · price 162.178
Tight consolidation after flash drop and recovery.
A flash drop into the NY session swept lows to 161.60 as the softer post-CPI USD weighed, then buyers reclaimed the low-162s and price has been coiling in a tight 162.13–162.28 range since. Volume has thinned into the late session with RSI(14) neutral near 47 and price pinned just under EMA20.
Support: 162.13, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.47
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 swing high opens the path back to 162.47
Loss of 162.13 session low re-exposes the 161.60 flash low
Wed PPI + Fed Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
21:32 UTC
Recovered off spike low, now flat · RSI 47 · price 162.163
Consolidating post-recovery, mid-range.
USDJPY flushed to 161.60 around the 12:30 GMT NY window as the dollar stayed soft after the CPI miss, then recovered the entire drop back to 162.28. Price has since gone quiet into the session close, consolidating between 162.13 and 162.28 on thin volume with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 162.13, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
Close above 162.28 opens the path back toward 162.37 supply
Failure to hold 162.13 re-exposes the 161.60 spike low
Fed Warsh testimony / PPI later Wed could reshape the USD read
A sharp flush swept to 161.60 mid-window before buyers reclaimed the low-162s; price has since consolidated between 162.10 and the 162.28 session high on fading volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 162.10, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.10 reopens the 161.60 sweep low
Reclaim of 162.28 extends the post-flush recovery
Direction externally driven — PPI and Fed Warsh testimony Wed could shift this read
21:17 UTC
Recovering from a sweep, now flat · RSI 49 · price 162.162
Consolidation after low sweep.
NY session swept down to 161.60 then recovered the full move; price now consolidating between 162.13 and 162.28 into the late/Asia rollover, RSI(14) neutral near 49. Last bars are thin and low-volatility, ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips.
Support: 162.13, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 swing high reopens the 162.37 pre-drop zone
Loss of 162.13 range low exposes a retest toward 161.60 session low
Fed Warsh testimony and US PPI later could break this low-vol range
21:17 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 49 · price 162.162
Consolidation after downside sweep.
A sharp sweep to 161.60 during NY hours was fully reclaimed, price grinding back to 162.28 then stalling. Now consolidating in thin Asia liquidity around 162.16, RSI(14) neutral near 49 and no setup in play.
Support: 162.13, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.47
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.13 reopens the 161.60 spike low
M15 close above 162.28 targets the 162.47 range high
Wed PPI / Warsh testimony are the near-term USD drivers that could break this range
Sharp spike lower to 161.60 around NY hours was fully recovered within a few bars, a clean sweep of the intraday lows. Price has since ground back up to 162.26 and is consolidating into the Asia session, RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~8 pips.
Support: 162.14, 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
Close above 162.28 session high opens 162.37
Loss of 162.14 rising lows risks a retest of 162.00 psych
Intervention risk band 162.70-162.80 caps upside toward the 40yr high
Sweep to 161.60 fully retraced, consolidating near highs.
USDJPY flushed to 161.60 during the NY session — a sweep fully retraced within two hours. Now consolidating around 162.25 into the late session with RSI(14) mid-range near 57; session high at 162.28 caps for now.
Support: 162.14, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 opens the path to the 162.37 prior swing
Failure to hold 162.14 reopens the 161.60 flush low
Warsh testimony / core PPI Wed could reprice USD and shift this read
Consolidating below session high after sweep of 161.60.
NY session flushed to 161.60 around 12:30 UTC then reclaimed it all, and price is now consolidating 162.13-162.28 into the late-NY drift with RSI(14) neutral near 59. The 162.28 session high has capped the last few pushes.
Support: 162.13, 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
Close above 162.28 opens the 162.37 prior high
Loss of 162.13 exposes 162.00 then the 161.60 session low
Intervention risk builds toward the 162.84 four-decade high
Sharp spike lower to 161.60 into NY hours got fully bought back to 162.28, leaving a V-recovery. Price now consolidating 162.13–162.28 with RSI(14) mid-range; range top yet to be cleared.
Support: 162.13, 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 opens the 162.70-162.80 band
Failure to hold 162.13 reopens 162.00
Wed PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
V-recovery then tight consolidation near recovery high.
A sharp NY-session washout swept to 161.60 (~8h ago) then reclaimed steadily as the USD stayed two-way after the soft US CPI. Price is now consolidating 162.13–162.28 just under the recovery high, RSI mid-range, no fresh impulse.
Support: 162.132, 161.90, 161.603
Resistance: 162.284, 162.48
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 session high opens the path toward 162.48 prior high
Loss of 162.13 session low exposes the recovery base near 161.90
Fed's Warsh testimony and core PPI (Wed) could materially shift this read
V-recovery off 161.60, higher lows into tight range.
USD/JPY was slammed to 161.60 during NY hours amid this week's soft-US-CPI dollar unwind, then reclaimed the entire drop and is grinding back to 162.24 in a tight late-session range. RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s and price holds above EMA20/50 as buyers stepped in repeatedly around 162.13.
Support: 162.13, 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
Close above 162.28 session high opens the path to 162.37
Failure to hold 162.00 range floor reopens the 161.60 spike low
Warsh testimony / US PPI risk this week could materially shift this read
20:17 UTC
Recovering off the flush, ranging near highs · RSI 56 · price 162.229
Sharp drop fully retraced, now consolidating.
USDJPY flushed to 161.60 on the high-volume drop then fully retraced, and is now consolidating 162.13–162.28 into late NY hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 56 while a rising support line held the recovery; the swing high at 162.28 is capping. Move fits the two-way USD tone after yesterday's soft CPI against a structurally soft yen near 40-yr lows.
Support: 162.13, 162.05
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 swing high opens the path to 162.37 prior high
Failure to hold 162.13 swing low exposes 162.05 session low
Wed 12:30 UTC US PPI and 14:00 UTC Warsh testimony could shift this read
Intervention risk builds toward the 162.80/163.00 zone
20:17 UTC
Recovery off spike low, now flat · RSI 54 · price 162.229
Consolidating post-sweep near range top.
A sharp sweep to 161.60 during the NY session — in line with the softer USD tone post-CPI — was fully retraced, and price has since ground back to the top of the range around 162.23. Now consolidating between 162.13 and the 162.28 swing high; RSI(14) neutral near 54, no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 162.13, 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.284, 162.47
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 swing high opens the path to the 162.47 session high
Loss of the 162.13 range low exposes the 161.90 post-spike base
Wed PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Intervention risk builds if price extends toward the 162.80/163.00 zone
20:01 UTC
Recovered off spike low, now flat · RSI 52 · price 162.214
Ranging after CPI-driven flush and reclaim.
Soft US June CPI drove a sharp flush to the 161.60 session low at the 12:30 GMT print, followed by a full reclaim back into the 162.13-162.28 range where price has since stalled. Late NY into Asia, RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with price ranging just under the 162.28 session high; no setup in play.
Support: 162.13, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.47
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 opens the path back toward the 162.47 prior high
Failure to hold 162.13 swing low reopens the 161.60 cpi low
Intervention risk flagged into the 162.80/163.00 zone on any topside spike
US PPI (Wed 12:30 GMT) is the next catalyst that could break this range
20:01 UTC
Recovered off CPI spike low, now flat · RSI 52 · price 162.214
Spike low reclaimed, consolidating 162.13-162.28.
Soft US June CPI drove a sharp 12:30 GMT spike to 161.60 before buyers reclaimed the move through NY hours, price grinding back to 162.28. Now ranging 162.13-162.28 with RSI(14) neutral near 52; ATR ~8 pips as volatility bleeds off the CPI candle.
Support: 162.13, 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.13 reopens 162.00 and the 161.60 cpi low
Break above 162.28 targets the 162.37 prior high
162.84 40yr low remains the intervention-risk cap on any topside push
USDJPY dropped ~50 pips to the 161.60 cpi low as the soft June US CPI print undercut the dollar around midday, then clawed back most of the move. Price is now ranging 162.10–162.28, stalling just below the session high with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 162.10, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 session high reopens the path toward the 162.37 pre-cpi level
Failure to hold the 162.10 range low exposes the 161.60 cpi low again
PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could materially shift this read
19:47 UTC
Recovered off CPI spike, now flat · RSI 47 · price 162.142
Consolidation after downside sweep and V-recovery.
Soft US June CPI drove a sharp M15 flush to 161.60 during NY hours, immediately swept back and recovered to 162.28. Price now consolidating in the low 162.10s into the late NY session, RSI(14) neutral near 47 after cooling from the recovery high.
Support: 162.106, 161.90, 161.603
Resistance: 162.284, 162.50
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.284 reopens the path toward the 162.50 pre-CPI high
Loss of 162.106 exposes the 161.90 recovery base
Warsh testimony / Wed PPI could reprice USD and shift this read; intervention risk persists near 163.00
NY-session CPI miss (12:30 GMT) drove USD/JPY down ~500 pips to 161.60; the pair has since retraced roughly half the move back to 162.28 before stalling near 162.16. RSI(14) neutral around 48, price hugging EMA20 as the bounce loses steam.
Support: 162.10, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.80
What it said to watch
Close above 162.28 session high extends the recovery
Close below 162.10 reopens a retest of the 161.60 CPI low
USDJPY sold off sharply to 161.60 about 7h ago on the soft US June CPI print, then clawed back through the NY session to stall at 162.28. Now consolidating around 162.15 on rising intraday lows, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum edge.
Support: 162.10, 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.38
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 opens the path back to the pre-CPI high at 162.38
Failure to hold 162.10 exposes 161.90
Intervention risk resurfaces on any push toward the 162.80/163.00 zone
Higher lows since 161.60, pulling back from 162.28.
The soft US CPI print at 12:30 UTC broke USDJPY down to 161.60, but the pair clawed back through the NY session to peak at 162.28 on a rising support base. Price is now drifting back toward 162.10 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s; recovery leg stalling below the 162.28 high.
Support: 162.10, 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.10 exposes 162.00 psych and the 161.60 cpi low
reclaim of 162.28 ny high resumes the recovery leg toward 162.37
intervention risk resurfaces near the 162.80/163.00 area if the topside is retested
The soft US June CPI at 12:30 GMT drove a sharp spike to 161.60, USD selling that was almost fully retraced back to a 162.28 session high into NY afternoon. Price has since faded to 162.14, holding above the reclaimed 162.00 psych level with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s.
Support: 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 resumes the recovery toward 162.37 prior support
Loss of 162.00 reopens the 161.60 CPI low
PPI Wed 12:30 GMT and resumed Warsh testimony could reshape this read
19:02 UTC
Recovering off CPI low, now flat · RSI 54 · price 162.185
Sharp drop then V-recovery into consolidation.
The 12:30 GMT US CPI miss dumped USD/JPY from 162.30 to 161.60, then buyers recovered the entire drop to 162.28. Price is now consolidating 162.11–162.28 into late NY hours, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 162.11, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.10 reopens the CPI low at 161.60
Soft US CPI drove a sharp M15 flush to 161.60, but price recovered the entire move and is now ranging 162.10–162.28 into late NY. RSI(14) neutral near 52; ATR ~24 pips reflects the post-print volatility still bleeding out.
Support: 162.10, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
Close below 162.10 opens a retest of the 161.60 cpi low
Close above 162.28 swing high exposes 162.37 prior high
PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDJPY flushed to 161.60 on the soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC, then ground higher through NY to 162.28. Price sits at 162.24 just under the session high, RSI(14) mid-50s; recovery holding above 162.00.
Support: 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.35, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 opens the path back toward 162.35 pre-cpi supply
Failure to hold 162.00 reopens the 161.60 flush low
40-yr high near 162.84 keeps intervention risk live; Wed PPI is the next catalyst
18:46 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 59 · price 162.242
V-recovery off session low, higher lows.
USD/JPY collapsed to 161.60 on the 12:30 UTC CPI miss (core flat, headline -0.4%), then recovered steadily through NY hours back to 162.24. Chain of higher lows intact off the low; RSI(14) mid-range near 59 with the 162.28 session high capping the bounce.
Support: 162.11, 161.60
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37, 162.84
What it said to watch
Close above 162.28 opens the path back to 162.37 pre-drop high
Failure to hold 162.11 threatens the recovery structure
Sharp break lower then near-full retrace, ranging near top.
NY session flushed to 161.60 on the soft June US CPI print (headline -0.4%), then USD/JPY V-recovered nearly the entire move back to 162.20 and stalled. RSI(14) mid-range near 56 with price coiling just under the 162.24 session high; ATR around 8 pips as volatility drains post-print.
Support: 162.10, 161.60
Resistance: 162.24, 162.35, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.35 reopens pre-cpi levels toward the 162.84 four-decade high
Failure to hold the 162.10 range floor exposes the 161.60 cpi low
Consolidation below session high post spike-low sweep.
Soft US June CPI drove a sharp spike down to 161.60 during NY hours, immediately reversed with a ~60 pip recovery. Price now ranging 162.11–162.24 just under the session high, RSI(14) around 57 after cooling from the recovery push.
Support: 162.11, 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.235, 162.33
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.33 reopens the pre-drop area toward 162.70
Break below 162.11 puts the 162.00 round number back in play
Failure to reclaim 162.235 session high signals recovery stalling
18:17 UTC
Recovered after sharp drop, now flat · RSI 52 · price 162.171
Consolidation under session high post-CPI flush.
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC drove a sharp flush to 161.60, then buyers recovered the pair back to the 162.24 session high where supply capped. Price is now consolidating around 162.15–162.20, RSI(14) neutral near 52 with the recovery leg fully retraced.
Support: 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.24, 162.70
What it said to watch
Close above 162.24 opens the path back toward the 162.70 resistance band
Failure to hold 161.90 base reopens the 161.60 spike low
Wed 12:30 UTC PPI could materially shift this read
18:17 UTC
Recovering after sharp CPI drop · RSI 57 · price 162.171
Consolidating below pre-drop range after downside break.
USD/JPY broke sharply lower into 161.60 as the soft June US CPI print undercut the dollar, then rounded back up toward 162.19. Price is consolidating in the 162.10–162.24 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 57 after the rebound.
Support: 162.106, 161.733, 161.603
Resistance: 162.235, 162.385
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.235 opens path back toward the 162.385 prior high
Loss of 162.106 range low reopens the 161.73 cpi low
Wed PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony could shift this read
USD/JPY dropped ~50 pips to 161.60 on the soft US June CPI print at the 12:30 UTC release, then recovered through the NY session in a chain of higher lows back to 162.19. Buyers stepped in repeatedly near 161.85–161.90; recent swing high at 162.24 is capping the bounce with RSI cooling near 58.
Support: 162.10, 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.24, 162.35
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.24 extends the recovery toward the pre-CPI 162.35 shelf
Loss of 162.00 reopens the 161.60 session low
Warsh testimony and US PPI on Jul 15 could reset this read
Higher lows off 161.60 spike low, now consolidating.
Soft US June CPI drove a sharp NY-session flush to a 161.60 spike low, but USD/JPY reclaimed the drop and has clawed back to 162.19. Price now consolidating 162.11–162.24 just under the 162.235 session high with RSI(14) cooling from the recovery push.
Support: 162.106, 161.88, 161.603
Resistance: 162.235, 162.37
What it said to watch
Close back below 161.88 swing low reopens the 161.60 spike low
Break and hold above 162.235 session high exposes 162.37 pre-drop high
Warsh testimony and PPI batch (Jul 15) could materially shift this read
17:47 UTC
Recovering after CPI-driven drop · RSI 57 · price 162.162
V-shaped rebound off session low, grinding higher-lows.
Soft US June CPI drove a sharp NY-session drop to 161.60 before buyers stepped in around 161.90; price has since ground back to 162.16 in a shallow higher-low recovery. Momentum is neutral-constructive with RSI(14) near 57, and the recovery is stalling into the 162.24 rebound high.
Support: 162.10, 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.24, 162.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.24 extends the recovery toward 162.37 pre-drop supply
Failure to hold 162.10 reopens the 161.90 cpi base
Warsh testimony Jul 15 14:00 UTC and PPI batch could reset this read
17:47 UTC
Recovering after CPI-driven flush · RSI 56 · price 162.162
Rounded recovery, consolidating below 162.24.
The soft US June CPI print (~12:30 UTC) slammed USD/JPY from 162.10 to a 161.60 spike low, then NY hours saw a steady grind back to 162.16. Price is now consolidating just under the 162.24 session high after a rounded recovery, RSI cooled to the mid-50s.
Support: 162.10, 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.235, 162.35
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.235 session high opens the path back to 162.35 pre-cpi
Failure to hold 162.00 psych reopens the 161.60 cpi low
Warsh testimony and US PPI batch on Jul 15 could materially shift this read
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC drove a sharp sell-off to 161.60, then NY hours saw a steady recovery grinding back to 162.24. Price is holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) near 57, but the bounce is stalling into the session high.
Support: 162.10, 161.94, 161.60
Resistance: 162.235, 162.385
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.235 opens the path back toward 162.385
Failure to hold 162.10 exposes the 161.94 base and 161.60 cpi low
PPI (Jul 15 12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony are the next catalysts and could reset this read
17:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp selloff · RSI 56 · price 162.174
Rounded base off session low, higher lows.
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC slammed USD/JPY down to 161.60 in the NY morning, a spike that swept below the range before buyers reclaimed. Price has since ground back to the 162.235 session high through the NY afternoon, RSI(14) recovering near 56.
Support: 162.11, 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.235, 162.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.235 opens the path to 162.30
Failure to hold 162.11 exposes the 161.90 recovery base
PPI and Warsh testimony Jul 15 could reset this read
17:17 UTC
Recovery uptrend after CPI drop · RSI 63 · price 162.212
Higher lows since 161.60 spike low.
USDJPY spiked down to 161.60 on the soft US June CPI print, then recovered through the NY session to reclaim 162.20. Higher-low chain intact off the 161.60 low and RSI(14) sits mid-60s with no extreme.
Support: 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.35, 162.46
What it said to watch
Hold above 162.35 opens the pre-drop range toward the 162.46 window high
Loss of 162.00 psych puts the 161.60 session low back in play
Warsh testimony / PPI (Jul 15) are the next USD catalysts
17:16 UTC
Recovering after CPI flush · RSI 57 · price 162.212
V-shaped rebound off swept low.
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC flushed USD/JPY ~50 pips into a sweep of 161.60 before demand stepped in through the NY session and grinded price back to 162.21. RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s; the pair is retracing most of the CPI drop but the pre-drop 162.33 shelf still caps.
Support: 162.10, 161.60
Resistance: 162.33, 162.48
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.33 opens the pre-drop range toward 162.48
Failure to hold 162.10 reopens the 161.60 sweep low
PPI batch and Warsh testimony Jul 15 could reset this recovery
17:02 UTC
Recovering after sharp CPI drop · RSI 47 · price 162.119
Post-drop consolidation, higher lows.
The soft US June CPI at 12:30 GMT slammed USDJPY from ~162.13 to a 161.60 low in one bar. NY session then clawed back to a 162.20 session high before easing to 162.12; RSI(14) has cooled to mid-40s and price is consolidating between 161.90 and 162.20.
Support: 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.20, 162.31
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.90 recovery low reopens the 161.60 cpi low
Close above 162.20 session high extends the recovery toward the 162.31 pre-drop shelf
Warsh testimony / Fed speaker cluster could reprice this read within the hour
Range break lower then partial recovery into consolidation.
The soft US June CPI print knocked the dollar off its highs during NY hours, driving a sharp M15 drop to a 161.60 session low. Price has since recovered roughly 60% of that move and is now consolidating 162.05–162.20 with RSI(14) back to a neutral ~52.
Support: 161.94, 161.60
Resistance: 162.20, 162.35
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.20 recent high extends the recovery toward 162.35 pre-drop area
Failure to hold 161.94 recent low reopens the 161.60 session low
Fed speaker / Warsh testimony reaction and PPI tomorrow could shift this read
16:47 UTC
Recovered from CPI flush, now consolidating · RSI 56 · price 162.132
V-shaped bounce off session low, ranging under session high.
USD/JPY flushed to 161.60 during NY hours on the soft US June CPI miss, then reversed sharply to reclaim 162.20. Price is now consolidating around 162.13, holding above the 162.00 psych level with RSI near 56.
Support: 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.20, 162.37
What it said to watch
Close above 162.20 session high reopens the path toward 162.37
Failure to hold 162.00 exposes the 161.60 session low again
PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT and further Fed speakers could reprice this recovery
16:46 UTC
Recovering after sharp CPI drop · RSI 56 · price 162.132
Sweep of 161.60 then higher lows into 162.13.
Soft US June CPI knocked USD/JPY sharply lower into a 161.60 session low, before a steady grind of higher lows rebuilt price back to 162.13. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s; the 162.19 session high caps the bounce while 162.00 psych holds as the pivot underneath.
Support: 162.00, 161.85, 161.60
Resistance: 162.19, 162.385
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.19 session high reopens the path to 162.385 prior high
Loss of 162.00 psych and 161.85 recovery base reasserts the CPI-driven downside
US PPI tomorrow and Fed speakers could materially shift this read
16:32 UTC
Rebound after CPI-driven drop · RSI 57 · price 162.145
Base at 161.60, higher lows into NY.
The 12:30 GMT US CPI miss triggered a sharp drop to 161.60, after which a base formed and price ground back up through NY hours to 162.15 on higher lows. Stalling now just under the 162.20 session high; RSI(14) mid-range around 57.
Support: 161.85, 161.60
Resistance: 162.20, 162.33
What it said to watch
Close above 162.20 opens the path to 162.33
Failure to hold 161.85 reopens the 161.60 low
Fed speakers/Warsh testimony could shift this read
16:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 56 · price 162.145
Base building above CPI low, grinding higher.
USDJPY snapped ~50 pips lower to 161.60 on the soft US June CPI miss, then carved a base and recovered toward 162.20. RSI(14) has climbed back to mid-50s off oversold, price reclaimed the EMA20 but the pre-CPI 162.385 high remains untested.
Support: 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.20, 162.385
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.20 session high opens the path back to 162.385
Loss of 161.90 base risks a retest of the 161.60 cpi low
PPI and further Fed-speak reaction to the CPI miss could reprice the USD leg
16:17 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 162.147
Session low swept, base building.
USD/JPY sold off sharply to 161.60 around the soft US CPI print, then clawed back through the NY session to 162.15. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s off the flush; the base above 161.85 is holding for now.
Support: 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.35
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.35 signals the recovery extends
Loss of 161.90 base reopens the 161.60 session low
NY session sold off hard to 161.60 around the US June CPI miss, an across-the-board undershoot that capped the dollar. Buyers reclaimed to 162.20 with RSI(14) back near 54; price now grinding higher against a rising intraday support line off the 161.60 low.
Support: 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.20, 162.35
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.35 pre-drop level opens the path back into the prior range
Failure to hold 161.90 recovery base reopens the 161.60 session low
Fed speakers today could re-shift the USD side of this read
16:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 162.143
V-recovery, pressing prior support from below.
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC slammed USD/JPY to 161.60 before NY hours base-built around 161.90 and price ground back to 162.14. Recovery now testing the 162.20 old-support shelf from below; RSI(14) back to mid-range after the oversold spike.
Support: 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.20, 162.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.20 opens the path to the 162.37 pre-drop high
Failure to hold the 161.90 recovery base reopens the 161.60 session low
US PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC could reset this recovery
16:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 54 · price 162.143
Sweep of 161.60, grinding higher lows.
Soft US June CPI drove a sharp flush to 161.60 mid-session before buyers stepped in and dragged price back to 162.14. Structure has built rising higher lows off the low; the 162.168 session high is the immediate cap, price now testing back into the pre-drop shelf near EMA50.
Support: 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.168, 162.35
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.168 opens the path back to the 162.35 prior swing
Failure to hold 161.90 reopens the 161.60 sweep low
US PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC could reset this recovery read
15:47 UTC
Recovering after CPI sell-off · RSI 53 · price 162.082
Sharp drop then retrace back toward broken floor.
USD/JPY dropped ~50 pips into 161.60 on the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss, which capped the dollar across the board. Price has since retraced the bulk of that move back to 162.08 and is now retesting the broken 162.13 range floor from below.
Support: 161.83, 161.60
Resistance: 162.13, 162.23
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 162.23 negates the CPI break lower
Failure to hold 161.83 reopens the 161.60 CPI low
Core PPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC could re-price this move
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 58 · price 162.082
Sharp break lower then basing recovery.
The soft US June CPI print during NY hours dropped USD/JPY ~50 pips to 161.60 in a single bar, breaking the prior range. Price has since based around 161.85-162.00 and ground back to 162.08, now testing the 162.13 swing high with RSI recovering into the high-50s.
Support: 162.00, 161.85, 161.60
Resistance: 162.13, 162.21
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.13 extends the recovery toward 162.21 prior high
Failure to hold 162.00 round number reopens the 161.85 base
Loss of 161.60 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC could reset the USD-side read
15:31 UTC
Downtrend post-CPI, now flat · RSI 44 · price 161.968
Range break lower, consolidating at lows.
The soft US June CPI print at 12:30 UTC drove USDJPY down from 162.13 to 161.60 during NY hours, snapping the prior 162.2-162.4 balance. Price has since stabilised in a 161.83-162.03 band, RSI(14) recovering off the flush into the mid-40s.
Support: 161.60, 161.83
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 reopens the 162.13 pre-drop zone
Break below 161.60 extends the CPI leg lower
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook) could reshape the USD read
15:31 UTC
Sharp down-leg, now stabilising · RSI 45 · price 161.968
Post-drop consolidation above 161.60.
USDJPY dumped ~50 pips into the 161.60 session low as the soft June US CPI print undercut the USD, before buyers stabilised it back toward 162.00. Now consolidating 161.85–162.03 in the NY session, RSI(14) recovering from the sell-off but still sub-50.
Support: 161.85, 161.60
Resistance: 162.03, 162.23
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 reopens the pre-drop 162.23 zone
Failure to hold 161.85 exposes the 161.60 session low
Fed speakers (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook) this afternoon could reprice USD after the CPI miss
15:17 UTC
Downtrend on CPI, now consolidating · RSI 41 · price 161.936
Sharp break lower, basing above 161.60.
NY session saw a soft June CPI (misses across the board) knock USD/JPY ~50 pips lower to 161.60, the sharpest bar in the window. Price has since based around 161.90, holding below EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 41; the 162.03 post-drop high caps the bounce.
Support: 161.60
Resistance: 162.03
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.03 would negate the downside break
Loss of 161.60 session low opens 161.26
Fed speakers this afternoon could reshape the post-CPI read
15:16 UTC
Downtrend post-CPI, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 161.936
Sharp break lower, base building above 161.85.
The soft US June CPI print at the 12:30 UTC NY open drove USDJPY off 162.10 down to 161.60 in one bar. Price has since based between 161.85 and 162.02, RSI recovering from the oversold flush; both EMAs sit overhead.
Support: 161.83, 161.60
Resistance: 162.02, 162.13
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.02 range high reopens 162.13 pre-drop level
Loss of 161.83 exposes the 161.60 cpi low
Fed speakers (Barr 16:40, Goolsbee 17:00 UTC) could shift this read
USDJPY dropped ~50 pips into 161.60 on the 12:30 GMT soft US CPI print, gutting the near-term hike thesis and pulling USD lower. Price has since recovered and coiled between 161.83 and 162.01, holding under the round 162.00, RSI(14) climbing back to ~43 off the lows.
Support: 161.83, 161.60
Resistance: 162.01, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.13 reclaims the pre-drop range
Failure to hold 161.83 reopens the 161.60 cpi low
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers this afternoon could reprice the read
USD/JPY dropped ~80 pips into 161.60 after the soft US June CPI print landed early NY, gutting the rate-hike fuel behind the USD bid. Price has since based between 161.83 and 162.01, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 45 but still below both EMAs.
Support: 161.83, 161.60
Resistance: 162.01, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.13 negates the post-CPI break lower
Failure to hold 161.83 reopens the 161.60 spike low
Warsh testimony and Fed speakers this afternoon could shift this read
14:47 UTC
Sharp intraday leg down, now stabilising · RSI 43 · price 161.928
Bearish break then consolidation above session low.
Soft US June CPI (core YoY 2.6% vs 2.8% miss) drove a sharp NY-session leg down from 162.13 to 161.60 on the cpi drop. Price is now consolidating 161.83-162.01 above the session low with RSI recovering off the flush; both EMAs cap overhead.
Support: 161.83, 161.60
Resistance: 162.01, 162.13
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.13 negates the downside range break
Loss of 161.60 session low opens toward Friday's 161.26
Fed speakers this afternoon (Warsh, Barr, Goolsbee) could shift this read
14:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 44 · price 161.928
Sharp break lower, holding above 161.60.
USDJPY sold off hard around the US June CPI miss, dropping from 162.10 to 161.60 in a single bar before buyers stabilised price back near 161.90. Since then it's consolidating in a tight 161.85-162.00 band, RSI(14) recovering off oversold to the mid-40s.
Support: 161.60, 161.85
Resistance: 162.00, 162.10
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 162.10 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 161.60 confirms continuation lower
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Bowman) could reprice USD and shift this read
14:32 UTC
Sharp down leg, now stabilising · RSI 45 · price 161.994
Post-drop consolidation under 162.00.
USD/JPY dumped through 162.00 into a 161.60 low as the soft US June CPI miss (core YoY 2.6% vs 2.8%) hit the dollar during NY hours, then reclaimed the 162.00 psych level. Now consolidating just under 162.00 with RSI recovering off the sell-off, sitting at the 50% retrace of the drop.
Support: 161.85, 161.60
Resistance: 162.00, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.13 negates the CPI drop
Failure to hold 161.85 reopens the 161.60 session low
Fed speakers this afternoon (Warsh/Barr/Goolsbee) could shift this read
Soft US June CPI at the 12:30 GMT print gutted the USD bid, dropping USD/JPY ~50 pips from 162.10 to the 161.60 session low. Price has since recovered to retest the 162.00 round number, RSI(14) lifting off its lows but pair still trading below EMA20/50. Rangebound between 161.85 and 162.00 into the NY afternoon.
Support: 161.85, 161.60
Resistance: 162.00, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.13 negates the post-CPI drop and reopens 162.30+
Failure to hold 161.85 confirms a lower low back toward 161.60
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) could reshape this read
14:16 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after impulse · RSI 42 · price 161.934
Range break lower, now consolidating above spike low.
USD/JPY snapped lower through 162.10 into the NY session on the soft US June CPI print, spiking to 161.60 before recovering. Price is now consolidating in a tight 161.85-161.97 band, RSI(14) lifting off the post-drop oversold read.
Support: 161.85, 161.60
Resistance: 161.97, 162.13
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.13 breakdown level would negate the downside break
Failure to hold 161.85 reopens the 161.60 spike low
Warsh testimony and heavy Fed speaker slate could materially shift this read
Soft US June CPI hitting around 15:30 broker time drove a sharp ~50-pip flush from 162.10 to a 161.60 session low, breaking the day's grind lower. Price has since based and clawed back toward 161.97, RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the session high at 161.976 caps the bounce.
Support: 161.603
Resistance: 161.976, 162.13
What it said to watch
Fed's Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 161.98 reopens the 162.13 pre-drop area
Loss of 161.60 confirms continuation of the downside break
14:01 UTC
Sharp downdraft, now stalling · RSI 42 · price 161.911
Breakdown then consolidation near lows.
USDJPY dropped ~50 pips to 161.60 on the soft US June CPI print (12:30 UTC), unwinding the prior USD rally. Price has since consolidated in a tight 161.85–161.97 band with RSI(14) recovering off the flush; 162.00 psych sits just overhead.
Support: 161.85, 161.60
Resistance: 161.97, 162.00, 162.13
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 162.00 psych reopens 162.13 pre-drop zone
Loss of 161.85 range low exposes the 161.60 cpi low
USD/JPY broke lower into the 12:30 UTC US CPI print — headline and core both missed — puncturing the 162.13 shelf with a ~49-pip drop to 161.60. Price has since consolidated in the 161.83–161.97 band during NY hours, RSI(14) recovering off the spike low.
Support: 161.83, 161.60
Resistance: 162.13
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.13 would neutralise the CPI breakdown
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is a live risk that could extend or reverse this move
Loss of 161.60 spike low opens the path toward 161.26
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC snapped the multi-hour 162.20-162.37 consolidation, with USD/JPY dumping ~50 pips to a 161.60 session low. Price has since bounced to 161.92 on rising micro-lows, RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward 41 while the broken 162.13 shelf now caps.
Support: 161.60, 161.26
Resistance: 162.13, 162.22
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.13 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 161.60 opens the path to 161.26
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY broke down out of the 162.10–162.23 range into the NY session, tagging 161.60 as the soft June US CPI print undercut the Dollar. Price has since stabilised and is consolidating around 161.90, RSI recovering off oversold; session high at 161.97 caps the bounce so far.
Support: 161.60
Resistance: 161.97, 162.10, 162.23
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC (imminent) could materially shift this read
Close back above 162.10 negates the breakdown
Break below 161.60 session low opens the path toward 161.26
Range broken to the downside, recovering off session low.
USDJPY flushed from the 162.20-162.40 range to 161.60 on the soft US June CPI print, unwinding the hawkish USD lean into NY hours. Price recovered to 161.87 but holds below the broken 162.13 support; RSI(14) ~37 after the drop.
Support: 161.60
Resistance: 162.00, 162.13
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.00 would negate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 161.60 opens the path lower
Fed's Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
Price ranged 162.20-162.47 through the Asian/London hours before a sharp 49-pip breakdown on the soft US June CPI print, tagging 161.60. A shallow bounce to 161.97 has stalled with RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 34; the prior range floor at 162.13 now caps as resistance.
Support: 161.60
Resistance: 161.97, 162.13
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.13 invalidates the breakdown read
Break below 161.60 opens the path toward 40-yr low structure
Fed Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Range break below 162.13, bouncing off session low.
NY session sold off hard as the soft US June CPI print undercut the dollar — price sliced from the 162.13 breakdown to a 161.60 session low in one bar, RSI(14) tagging ~34. Buyers stepped in off 161.60 and the bounce stalled near 161.95, back under the 162.00 psych level.
Support: 161.60
Resistance: 162.00, 162.13
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.13 would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 161.60 confirms a lower low
Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) could materially shift the USD leg
USD/JPY snapped out of its 162.15-162.40 NY range, dropping ~50 pips to a 161.60 session low as soft US June CPI undercut the dollar. Price has since bounced to 161.92 and is stalling under the broken 162.13 floor; RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 39.
Support: 161.603
Resistance: 162.13
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.13 would invalidate the breakdown and re-open the prior range
Fed's Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC triggered a sharp USD/JPY drop from the 162.13 breakdown to a 161.60 session low as JPY caught relief. RSI(14) near 31 after the impulse; price has bounced to 161.95 and now sits mid-recovery at 161.87.
Support: 161.60
Resistance: 161.95, 162.13
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.13 would negate the downside break
Failure to hold 161.60 opens further downside
Fed Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could reset this read
USD/JPY dropped ~50 pips on the 12:30 UTC US CPI print, sweeping down to 161.60 before buyers stepped in near the figure. Price recovered to 161.95 then eased to 161.87; RSI(14) rebounding off oversold. Breakdown from the 162.15–162.40 consolidation that held all session.
Support: 161.60, 161.00
Resistance: 161.95, 162.13, 162.40
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.13 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 161.60 opens the path toward 161.00
Fed Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:47 UTC
Range broke lower, momentum down · RSI 28 · price 161.706
Range breakdown below 162.10.
USDJPY chopped in a 162.15–162.28 range through the London-NY transition, then dumped nearly 50 pips to 161.603 as the in-line/soft US June CPI print sparked JPY relief and offered the dollar. Price is holding just above the session low with RSI(14) near 27; the 162.10 breakdown level now caps.
Support: 161.60, 161.00
Resistance: 162.10, 162.28
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.10 invalidates the breakdown read
Sustained hold below 161.60 opens 161.00
Fed Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reshift the USD read
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC snapped the 162.20-162.50 range, dumping USD/JPY ~50 pips to a session low of 161.60, RSI(14) into oversold near 25. Price is holding the 161.70 area on the retrace off the spike low with prior range floor 162.20 now capping.
Support: 161.60
Resistance: 162.10, 162.20
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.10 would negate the breakdown and re-open the range
Failure to hold 161.60 confirms continuation lower
Fed Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could re-shape this move
12:32 UTC
Range broke lower on CPI · RSI 31 · price 161.767
Downside break of intraday range.
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC drove a sharp break below the 162.13-162.47 range that had held through the London-NY session, USD offered on the softer print. The final bar swept 161.60 then snapped back to close 161.77 on a long lower wick, RSI cooling toward 31.
Support: 161.603
Resistance: 162.128, 162.47
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.13 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 161.60 spike low extends the leg down
Fed Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
US June CPI at the 15:30 broker (12:30 UTC) print sent USDJPY through the 162.10-162.50 consolidation, dropping ~50 pips to a 161.60 session low before closing 161.77 — a soft-print JPY relief move. RSI(14) around 30 as price sits below both EMAs, well outside the day's earlier range.
Support: 161.60, 161.00
Resistance: 162.13
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.13 broken base negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 161.60 session low opens the 161.00 21d ema area
Fed Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
USDJPY faded from the 162.48 session high and swept to 162.05 mid-morning before recovering; it has since coiled in a tight 162.16-162.27 band into the NY session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43, JPY still pinned near 40-year lows.
Support: 162.16, 162.05
Resistance: 162.27, 162.35, 162.48
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (imminent) could materially shift this read
Close below 162.16 opens the 162.05 spike low
Close above 162.27 range top exposes 162.35 then 162.48
12:16 UTC
Downtrend off intraday peak, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 162.21
Lower highs since 162.48, range 162.16-162.28.
USD/JPY faded from the 162.48 session high into a lower-high sequence, with a sharp sweep to 162.05 during NY hours bought back to 162.27. Now coiling 162.16-162.28 below EMA20/50 as the pair holds near 40-year highs ahead of US CPI.
Support: 162.16, 162.05
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37, 162.48
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is imminent and will likely set the next M15 leg
Close above 162.28 reopens 162.37 and the 162.48 session high
Loss of 162.16 exposes the 162.05 spike low
12:01 UTC
Downtrend fading into range · RSI 44 · price 162.198
Lower highs off 162.48, consolidating near lows.
USDJPY faded from the 162.48 session high and is consolidating 162.15-162.28 near the lows; a sharp spike to 162.05 was bought straight back. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s, and US June CPI (~12:30 UTC) is imminent.
Support: 162.156, 162.051
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37, 162.48
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range read
M15 close above 162.28 reopens the 162.37/162.48 highs
Failure to hold 162.156 exposes the 162.05 spike low
USDJPY rolled off the 162.48 window high and printed a sharp sweep to 162.051 before recovering, now consolidating 162.18-162.26 into the US CPI print. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 42; the 40-year high at 162.84 remains untested above.
Support: 162.156, 162.051
Resistance: 162.276, 162.365, 162.483
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst and can materially shift this read
Loss of 162.156 swing low reopens the 162.051 spike low
Reclaim of 162.276 session high needed to challenge the 162.36 swing high
11:47 UTC
Intraday pullback, now ranging · RSI 43 · price 162.207
Consolidation under prior swing highs.
London session drifted off the 162.47 session high, with a sharp spike to 162.05 near 08:30 UTC immediately bought back. Price now boxed between 162.15 and 162.28, holding the 38.2% retrace of the down-move as the market waits on US CPI.
Support: 162.15, 162.05
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37, 162.47
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst for this range
Close above 162.28 range top reopens the 162.37 prior swing
Loss of 162.15 range low exposes the 162.05 spike low
11:46 UTC
Consolidation after intraday pullback · RSI 44 · price 162.207
Ranging below a session sweep, mild lower drift.
London session saw a sharp sweep to 162.05 mid-morning, immediately bought back; price has since coiled in a 162.15–162.28 range near the 40-year-low zone. RSI(14) mid-40s and price under both EMAs, but no directional break — no setup in play ahead of US CPI.
Support: 162.15, 162.05
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~45m) is highest-impact and could break this range either way
M15 close above 162.28 reopens the 162.37 swing high
Loss of 162.15 exposes the 162.05 sweep low
11:32 UTC
Downtrend intraday, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 162.226
Range after sweep of session low.
USDJPY faded from the 162.48 session high through London hours, spiking down to sweep 162.05 before recovering into a tight 162.18–162.28 range. Price sits back below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 46; the 162.37 swing high caps rebounds.
Support: 162.18, 162.05
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37, 162.48
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h) is the immediate catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close below 162.18 reopens the 162.05 sweep low
Reclaim of 162.28 range top puts 162.37 swing high back in play
11:31 UTC
Mild downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 162.226
Consolidating after sweep of intraday low.
USD/JPY drifted off the 162.48 session high and printed a sharp downside spike to 162.051 during European hours before recovering. Price is now consolidating in a tight 162.18–162.28 band, RSI(14) balanced near 46, with US CPI due in roughly an hour the immediate catalyst.
Support: 162.181, 162.051
Resistance: 162.282, 162.483
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h) is the dominant near-term driver for this read
M15 close below 162.181 confirms a lower low and reopens 162.051
Reclaim of 162.282 puts the 162.48 session high back in range
London session swept the 162.051 spike low then snapped back to 162.24, now consolidating just under the 162.276 range top. Price sits below EMA20/50 after fading from the 162.366 swing high; RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 162.156, 162.051
Resistance: 162.276, 162.366
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~75m) is the immediate driver for this pair
Close above 162.276 reopens the 162.366 swing high
Break below 162.156 confirms a lower low back toward the 162.051 spike low
A sharp spike down to 162.051 swept the lows before buyers stepped back in, price now consolidating 162.15–162.28 below EMA20/50. RSI(14) neutral near 47; range holding into US CPI at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 162.156, 162.051
Resistance: 162.282, 162.385, 162.478
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 162.385 reopens the path to the 162.478 session high
Failure to hold 162.156 exposes the 162.051 spike low
USDJPY swept down to 162.05 mid-morning before buyers stepped back in, and it now ranges 162.15–162.27 just under the 162.37 swing high. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51, ATR ~8 pips. US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the near-term driver and can break this range either way.
Support: 162.156, 162.051
Resistance: 162.37, 162.48
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 162.37 reopens the path toward the 162.48 session high
Loss of 162.156 puts the 162.05 sweep low back in play
USDJPY spiked down to 162.051 mid-morning (broker 11:30) then recovered — a sweep that failed to hold below the range. Price is consolidating around 162.26, below EMA20/50, capped by the 162.366 swing high after fading from the 162.478 session high. Momentum neutral with RSI mid-range.
Support: 162.156, 162.051
Resistance: 162.366, 162.478
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst and could break this range
Close above 162.366 reopens the 162.478 session high
Failure to hold 162.156 exposes the 162.051 spike low
10:46 UTC
Pullback after intraday uptrend · RSI 45 · price 162.247
Recovering off swept session low, capped below EMAs.
London session swept the session low to 162.051 on a single spike then reclaimed, price now grinding back to 162.25 but stalling below EMA20/50. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45 with no momentum extreme; structure has flattened into a 162.156–162.37 range after the earlier push to 162.478.
Support: 162.156, 162.051
Resistance: 162.37, 162.478
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.37 reopens the day high at 162.478
Failure to hold 162.156 puts the 162.051 sweep low back in play
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT could sharply reprice this range
USD/JPY drifted lower through the NY session, printing a sharp spike to 162.051 before snapping back to 162.20; that flush swept the range low then reversed. Price now consolidates in a tight 162.16-162.28 band, RSI(14) mid-range, holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 162.156, 162.051
Resistance: 162.282, 162.37
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.282 reopens the 162.37 swing high
Failure to hold 162.156 exposes the 162.051 sweep low
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
10:32 UTC
Pullback after uptrend stall · RSI 43 · price 162.207
Sweep of 162.05 then consolidation below EMAs.
London session drove a sharp spike down to 162.051 two hours ago before an immediate recovery, and price has since consolidated 162.15–162.27 below both EMAs. Current 162.207 sits on the 38.2% retrace of that drop, RSI(14) mid-range near 43.
Support: 162.156, 162.051
Resistance: 162.274, 162.37
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 162.156 confirms a lower low
Reclaim above 162.274 reopens the 162.37 swing
10:31 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 162.207
Lower highs since the 162.48 top.
USDJPY faded off the session high at 162.48 into a chain of lower highs, now pressing the 61.8% retrace of that leg around 162.20 with RSI(14) mid-40s. A sharp downside wick to 162.051 was bought back, but recent structure sits below EMA20/50 as the market squares up ahead of US CPI.
Support: 162.156, 162.051, 162.00
Resistance: 162.274, 162.483
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the near-term driver and could break this range
M15 close below 162.156 confirms continuation toward the 162.051 spike low
Reclaim of 162.274 negates the lower-high sequence
10:16 UTC
Pullback within near-highs consolidation · RSI 43 · price 162.216
Lower highs after sweep of 162.05.
USDJPY spiked down to 162.05 then snapped back to 162.27 as the dollar eased into US June CPI, with JPY defensive near its 40-year lows. Price now drifting in the 162.15-162.28 band under a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) mid-range near 43.
Support: 162.156, 162.051, 162.00
Resistance: 162.282
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is the near-term catalyst for this pair
M15 close above 162.28 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 162.156 reopens the 162.05 sweep low
Intervention risk elevated near the 162.84 record on any upside push
USDJPY sold from the 162.385 swing high and spiked down to a 162.051 session low before snapping back, a sweep that left price boxed in the low 162.20s. It now sits near the 50% retrace of that drop with RSI(14) around 43; the swing low at 162.156 has held on the last two dips into London-NY.
Support: 162.156, 162.051
Resistance: 162.282, 162.385
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) could break this range
M15 close below 162.156 opens the 162.051 session low
Reclaim of 162.282 recent high negates the lower-high sequence
USDJPY has drifted off the 162.46 session high, with a sharp spike to 162.05 quickly bought back to 162.27 before sellers returned; price now sits at 162.17 below both EMAs with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. The 162.05–162.46 range still frames the last 24h, momentum tilting to the lower half into US CPI.
Support: 162.05
Resistance: 162.27, 162.37, 162.46
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) is the primary catalyst and could override this structure
M15 close below 162.05 confirms a range break lower
Reclaim of 162.27 negates the drift lower
10:01 UTC
Downtrend off session highs · RSI 40 · price 162.17
Lower highs after downside sweep.
USDJPY spiked down to 162.05 during London hours then reclaimed into 162.27 before rolling over — a downside sweep with sellers capping subsequent bounces on lower highs. Price now grinds near 162.17 with RSI(14) mid-40s, sitting just above the 162.16 session low.
Support: 162.16, 162.05
Resistance: 162.27
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 162.16 exposes the 162.05 sweep low
Reclaim of 162.27 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
09:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 162.203
Lower highs since session high, sweep of lows then recovery.
Price rolled off the 162.478 session high with a chain of lower highs, then a sharp bar swept the lows to 162.051 before snapping back to close near 162.20. Now consolidating below EMA20/50 in a tight 162.19–162.28 band with RSI(14) mid-40s, ahead of US CPI.
Support: 162.19, 162.051
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37, 162.478
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 162.05 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 162.28 reopens the 162.37 swing high
09:46 UTC
Intraday pullback after London spike-down · RSI 43 · price 162.203
Consolidating below prior range after sweep of lows.
London session drove a sharp spike to 162.051 before an immediate recovery, leaving a long lower wick; JPY stays soft on the rate-gap/energy story. Price is now grinding sideways around 162.20, capped by the 162.28 recovery high and holding above the swept low.
Support: 162.05, 162.00
Resistance: 162.28, 162.38, 162.48
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 162.38 puts the 162.48 session high back in play
Break below 162.05 confirms a lower low and exposes 162.00
09:32 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 42 · price 162.208
Lower highs, spike low swept and recovered.
USDJPY rolled off the 162.48 session high in a lower-high chain, then a sharp spike swept 162.05 before buyers pulled it back to 162.20. RSI(14) mid-range near 42, price under both EMAs; US June CPI in ~3h is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 162.18, 162.05
Resistance: 162.37, 162.48
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 162.37 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 162.05 spike low opens further downside
Lower highs after 162.48 top, sweep low bought back.
USDJPY grinds off the 162.48 session high in a chain of lower highs, price now 162.21 below EMA20/50. London session printed a sharp sweep to 162.05 that was immediately bought back, but the recovery stalled under 162.30 with RSI(14) mid-range near 43.
Support: 162.05, 161.98
Resistance: 162.30, 162.48
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 162.30 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 162.05 sweep low reopens 161.98 session low
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
09:17 UTC
Pullback off session high, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 162.21
Lower highs, sharp break below intraday range.
London hours saw USD/JPY sold sharply from 162.33 to 162.05 in a single M15 candle, breaking the tight 162.29-162.37 consolidation as JPY stayed soft near the intervention zone. Price bounced to 162.27 and eased back to 162.21; RSI(14) recovering off the drop but still sub-50, prior session high at 162.48 unchallenged.
Support: 162.19, 162.05
Resistance: 162.28, 162.37, 162.48
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 162.05 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 162.28 negates the range break lower
09:16 UTC
Pullback from session high, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 162.21
Rolled over from 162.48, swept the 162.05 low then recovered.
USDJPY rolled off the 162.48 session high and spiked down to 162.05 during London hours before recovering to 162.21; JPY stays soft on the rate-gap/energy story near the 40-year high. The 162.05 sweep low held and price is now consolidating below the 162.37 pivot, RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 162.05, 162.18
Resistance: 162.37, 162.48
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.37 negates the rollover and reopens 162.48
Loss of 162.05 confirms a lower low
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 162.264
Consolidation after morning advance, lows swept.
USDJPY drifted sideways in the 162.18-162.39 band after the earlier intraday advance off 161.98 stalled short of 162.48. A one-bar spike down to 162.051 was fully recovered, leaving a sweep of the lows before price settled back near 162.26, roughly the 43% retrace of that move; JPY stays soft near the multi-decade high with US CPI the pending catalyst.
Support: 162.181, 162.051
Resistance: 162.385, 162.483
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver via the USD leg
M15 close above 162.385 reopens the path to the 162.48 session high
Failure to hold 162.181 exposes the 162.051 sweep low again
Consolidation broke lower via sweep, quick recovery.
Price ground sideways in a 162.30-162.37 band through London before a sharp spike down to 162.05 swept the lows, then snapped back to 162.26 — a false break rather than a sustained breakdown. RSI(14) cooling near 46 and price now sits below EMA20/50 after the flush; US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 162.18, 162.05, 161.98
Resistance: 162.37, 162.48
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 162.05 sweep low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 162.37 consolidation reopens the 162.48 session high
London session ground higher toward 162.48 before a sharp flush to 162.05 swept intraday lows, price recovering to 162.20 with RSI cooling to the low 40s. Pair still pinned well below the 162.84 four-decade high; US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 162.051, 162.00
Resistance: 162.353, 162.478
What it said to watch
US June CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 162.35 restores the earlier grind
Failure to hold 162.05 opens the path toward 162.00
London session sold off in one 15-min bar, sweeping down to 162.05 before an instant recovery back to 162.20 — a false break lower with no follow-through. Price sits below EMA20/50 after fading from the 162.48 session high; RSI(14) around 42.
Support: 162.05, 162.23
Resistance: 162.35, 162.48
What it said to watch
US June CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD leg
Failure to reclaim 162.35 keeps price capped below EMA20
A close back below 162.05 confirms the spike low as a break rather than a false break
08:32 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 162.323
Consolidation below session high.
USD/JPY is consolidating in the low-162.30s after fading from the 162.48 session high, holding a floor around 162.26. Price sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) neutral near 46; US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term binary the pair is coiling into.
Support: 162.26, 162.23
Resistance: 162.48, 162.37
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read
Close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.80 high
Failure to hold 162.26 exposes the 162.23 range low
08:31 UTC
Consolidation under session high · RSI 45 · price 162.323
Range-bound, drifting off intraday highs.
USD/JPY is chopping in the low-162.30s after Asia faded from the 162.47 session high, holding the 162.26 recent low through the London morning. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 45 — no momentum edge, market coiling ahead of US CPI.
Support: 162.26, 162.23
Resistance: 162.47, 162.80
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary that sets direction
M15 close above 162.47 opens the path to the 162.80 40yr high
Failure to hold 162.26 confirms a lower low toward 162.23
08:16 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 162.36
Consolidation under session high.
USDJPY pushed to a 162.48 session high during London before stalling and drifting back into a 162.23–162.48 range, now hovering at 162.36 with RSI(14) neutral near 52. The move up from 161.98 has cooled into consolidation, holding above the 162.30 swing low with the 40-year 162.80 high still untested.
Support: 162.30, 162.23
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term binary for this pair
M15 close above 162.48 session high reopens the run toward 162.80
Loss of 162.23 session low confirms a lower low and breaks the range
08:16 UTC
Range after early uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 162.36
USDJPY rallied through London to 162.48 then rolled into a tight range, chopping 162.23–162.48 and now sitting at 162.36 into the US CPI window. Price holds just above rising intraday lows, capped well below the 40-year high at 162.80.
Support: 162.30, 162.23
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term binary and can break this range either way
M15 close above 162.48 opens a run at the 162.80 40-yr high
Loss of 162.23 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
Consolidation under 162.48 after London push stalled.
USD/JPY is ranging 162.26–162.48 through the London session, holding just under the session high after Monday's push toward the 40-year high stalled. Price is coiling near EMA20 with RSI(14) flat around 49 ahead of US June CPI.
Support: 162.26, 162.23
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term binary and could break the 162.26–162.48 range
M15 close above 162.48 opens the path back toward the 162.80 40yr high
Failure to hold 162.26 confirms a lower-low into the CPI print
Range-bound after intraday push, holding above session lows.
USDJPY pushed from 161.98 to a 162.47 session high before rejecting and settling into a 162.26–162.37 range, RSI(14) neutral near 49. Price sits pinned just below the 162.47 top and well under the 162.80 40-year high, with US June CPI at 12:30 UTC the next binary.
Support: 162.26, 161.98
Resistance: 162.47, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.47 opens the path toward the 162.80 40-yr high
Failure to hold 162.26 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
US CPI at 12:30 UTC can materially shift this read
London session ranging 162.23–162.48 after rejection at the session high near 162.48; price sits mid-range around 162.35 with RSI neutral. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the imminent catalyst and dominates the next-bar read.
Support: 162.23, 162.26
Resistance: 162.48, 162.40, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the 162.80 four-decade high
Loss of 162.23 session low confirms a lower low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY drifted higher through London toward the 162.47 session high before stalling, RSI(14) neutral near 55 as ATR compresses to ~5 pips. Buyers defended 162.26 into the NY approach; price coiling between 162.26 and 162.47 with the four-decade 162.80 cap still untested. Hormuz-driven oil bid and wide rate gap keep JPY offered.
Support: 162.26, 162.10, 161.98
Resistance: 162.47, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.47 reopens the run at 162.80
Loss of 162.26 exposes 162.10 and the asian low near 161.98
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Pullback off session high, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 162.329
Consolidation between 162.23 and 162.48.
USDJPY rallied through the Asian session to a 162.48 high before rejection faded it back to 162.23, and it has since been ranging 162.26–162.37 into the London session. Price holds firm sub-162.80 four-decade high, underpinned by the Hormuz oil spike and USD strength; RSI(14) is neutral near 52 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 162.23, 161.98
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 162.48 reopens the path toward the 162.80 40yr high
Failure to hold 162.23 confirms a lower-low toward the 161.98 session low
07:31 UTC
Range after early push higher · RSI 49 · price 162.329
Consolidation mid-range.
USDJPY is ranging 162.26–162.47 after the London-hours push stalled below the 162.47 session high; RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 and price is pinned around EMA20. No setup in play ahead of US CPI.
Support: 162.261, 162.227
Resistance: 162.37, 162.465, 162.80
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 162.47 opens the path toward the 162.80 four-decade high
Failure to hold 162.26 confirms a lower-low
07:16 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 162.34
Range 162.23–162.48 after failed push to 40y high.
USDJPY is boxed 162.23–162.48 after the London/NY drive stalled short of the 162.48 session high, JPY still soft on the oil/Hormuz-led rate-gap trade. Price recovered off the 162.23 swing low into the London open and sits mid-range near 162.34, RSI(14) flat around 51.
Support: 162.23, 162.10
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~5h out) is the primary catalyst for this range
M15 close above 162.48 reopens the path toward the 162.80 40y high
Loss of 162.23 confirms a lower low and shifts focus to 162.10
07:16 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 162.34
Consolidation below session high.
USDJPY ran from 161.98 up to a 162.48 session high then stalled, now ranging 162.23–162.48 through the Asian and early London hours, RSI(14) flat near 53. Pair grinds below the four-decade 162.80 high on the wide rate gap and Hormuz oil bid; no fresh intraday direction in play.
Support: 162.23
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the path to the 162.80 four-decade high
Failure to hold 162.23 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Range, drifting off NY high · RSI 52 · price 162.35
Boxed 162.24–162.48, mid-range recovery.
USD/JPY topped at 162.48 during NY hours, then bled back into a 162.24–162.48 range as Asia faded Friday's verbal-intervention move; London has the pair recovering toward mid-range at 162.35. Yen stays soft on the rate gap and oil/Hormuz premium, but the 162.80 four-decade high remains the hard cap overhead.
Support: 162.24, 162.10
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary — will drive the next leg
M15 close above 162.48 reopens the run at 162.80
Failure to hold 162.24 confirms a lower-low toward 162.10
07:01 UTC
Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 162.35
Range, mid-band chop.
USDJPY is ranging between 162.23 and 162.48 through the London session, price recovering off the session low back to the mid-band at 162.35 with RSI(14) flat near 53. Yen stays soft above 162 but the 162.80 four-decade high remains the untested ceiling.
Support: 162.23, 162.10
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the path back toward 162.80
Loss of 162.23 confirms a lower low and exposes 162.10
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary catalyst for the next leg
06:46 UTC
Range after pullback from session high · RSI 52 · price 162.323
Consolidation, lower highs since NY peak.
USDJPY topped at 162.48 during the NY session then faded into a tight 162.26–162.40 range through Asia, with the drift now stabilising near 162.32. RSI neutral around 52; US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary catalyst for the next leg.
Support: 162.26, 162.23, 162.00
Resistance: 162.48, 162.40, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the path back toward the 162.80 40-yr high
Failure to hold 162.23 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 162.00
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower off session high · RSI 47 · price 162.323
Consolidation between 162.26 and 162.48.
USD/JPY faded from the session high at 162.48 and is grinding in a tight 162.26–162.48 range, price hugging the EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 47. The broader topside stays capped by the twice-rejected 162.80 four-decade high.
Support: 162.26, 162.10, 161.83
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) is the binary catalyst for this pair
M15 close above 162.48 reopens the path toward 162.80
Loss of 162.26 exposes the 162.10 base and 161.83 session low
06:31 UTC
Sideways, drifting after pullback · RSI 54 · price 162.353
Range-bound, mid-range.
USDJPY has coiled between 162.23 and 162.48 through the overnight session, thin volume keeping the range tight near four-decade highs. Price is ticking up off 162.23 into the London open, RSI(14) neutral around 53 with no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 162.227, 162.10
Resistance: 162.478, 162.80
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the primary catalyst and can break this range either side
Close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.80 40-year high
Failure to hold 162.23 exposes the 162.10 prior low
USDJPY ranged 162.23-162.48 through the Asia session, with a rejection capping at the 162.48 session high and buyers defending 162.23 twice. Price is now grinding back toward mid-range near 162.35, RSI(14) neutral around 56 with sub-6-pip bars.
Support: 162.227, 162.303
Resistance: 162.483, 162.40
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.80/162.84 40-year high
Failure to hold 162.23 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Consolidation after fading session high · RSI 46 · price 162.315
Range, drifting off the highs.
USDJPY consolidating in the low 162.30s early in the London session after fading from the session high at 162.48, with sellers capping at the 162.34 pivot. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 and ATR is a subdued ~5 pips; price holds above the 162.26 range low with 40-year-high territory at 162.84 still overhead.
Support: 162.26, 162.23
Resistance: 162.34, 162.48
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~6h) is the primary catalyst and could reprice this range
M15 close below 162.26 confirms a lower-low toward the 162.23 swing low
Reclaim of 162.34 reopens the 162.48 session high
06:16 UTC
Pullback stalling, now flat · RSI 47 · price 162.315
Consolidation after intraday fade from session high.
USDJPY faded from the 162.48 session high through the Asian range and is now consolidating 162.26-162.34 into early London, RSI(14) neutral near 47. Price sits below EMA20/50 with buyers stepping in twice at 162.26 to hold the floor.
Support: 162.26, 162.227
Resistance: 162.34, 162.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.227 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
Reclaim of 162.34 puts the 162.48 session high back in play
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~6h) is the primary catalyst and could override this range read
USDJPY faded from the session high at 162.48 and is now chopping between 162.23 and 162.34, price sitting below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range at 44. Trade is holding well under the 40-year high at 162.84 into the US CPI print later today.
Support: 162.23, 162.10
Resistance: 162.40, 162.48, 162.84
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the primary catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close above 162.48 reopens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
Loss of 162.23 confirms a lower-low and exposes 162.10
06:01 UTC
Range near highs, easing · RSI 44 · price 162.293
Range 162.23-162.48, drifting to floor.
USD/JPY held near four-decade highs through the Asian session, ranging 162.23-162.48 after a recovery off the 161.83 spike low. Price is now drifting back toward the range floor with RSI(14) cooling near 43, below both EMAs, as USD/JPY stays pinned by the wide rate gap and oil-driven yen weakness.
Support: 162.227, 162.00
Resistance: 162.483, 162.84
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the primary catalyst and could break this range
Break above 162.483 session high opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
Loss of 162.227 swing low exposes the 162.00 round number
Asia session grinding lower off the overnight 162.47 high; USDJPY ranges 162.23–162.47 and now sits on the lower edge with RSI(14) mid-40s. Price is below EMA20 and EMA50 after the pullback, holding just above the 162.23 pivot.
Support: 162.23, 162.00
Resistance: 162.30, 162.47
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.23 confirms a lower low and opens 162.00
Reclaim of 162.30 puts the 162.47 high back in play
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) could materially shift this read
USD/JPY quiet through the Asian session, holding above 162 and drifting toward the 162.23 swing low after rejection at the 162.48 session high. Lower highs stacking but no clean break; yen stays soft on the wide rate gap ahead of US CPI.
Support: 162.23, 162.00
Resistance: 162.32, 162.48
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the key catalyst for this pair
Break below 162.23 confirms a lower-low and opens 162.00
Reclaim of 162.32 pivot negates the downside drift
Rejection at the 162.48 session high during NY hours has given way to a quiet Asian-session drift, with price consolidating 162.26–162.34 and RSI(14) mid-range near 42. Lower highs are stacking under 162.34 but 162.26 is holding on thin overnight volume.
Support: 162.26, 162.04
Resistance: 162.34, 162.48
What it said to watch
Clean M15 break above 162.48 resumes the uptrend toward the 162.80 zone
Loss of 162.26 session low opens the path to 162.04
US June CPI in ~7h could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 162.294
Consolidation below session high, lower highs into Asia close.
USDJPY grinding lower through the Asia session after topping at 162.48, now boxed 162.23–162.48 with price in the lower half and RSI mid-40s. Volume thin into the London handover; no fresh setup, the market is parked ahead of US June CPI at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 162.23, 162.00
Resistance: 162.40, 162.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.23 confirms a lower low and opens 162.00
Reclaim of 162.48 session high needed to reopen upside
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the dominant near-term catalyst
05:16 UTC
Sideways, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 162.302
Range after topping at 162.47.
USDJPY is ranging in the Asia session, capped near the 162.47 session high after repeated rejections and now drifting to 162.30. Price sits just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; buyers stepped in at the 162.23 session low. No setup in play inside 162.23–162.47.
Support: 162.23, 162.02
Resistance: 162.47, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.47 opens the path toward 162.80 key resist
Failure to hold 162.23 session low exposes 162.02 range low
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) could materially shift this read
Consolidation below session high, easing toward range base.
USDJPY grinds sideways in quiet Asian hours after rejecting the 162.48 session high, now easing to 162.30 with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Price sits below EMA20/50 as the intraday rally cools; the range base at 162.26 held on the last dip.
Support: 162.26, 162.23
Resistance: 162.40, 162.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.26 opens the 162.23 swing low
Reclaim of 162.40 puts the 162.48 session high back in play
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) can materially reset this read
05:02 UTC
Pulling back off session highs · RSI 44 · price 162.313
Lower highs since 162.48 peak, consolidating near 162.30.
USDJPY rolled off the 162.48 session high and is grinding lower, now consolidating around 162.31 with RSI(14) mid-range near 44. Price sits below EMA20/50 after a series of lower highs; 162.23 swing low is the immediate floor as Asia trades thin ahead of US CPI.
Support: 162.23
Resistance: 162.40, 162.48
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 162.23 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 162.40 negates the pullback structure
05:02 UTC
Range, edging lower off session high · RSI 46 · price 162.313
Capped at 162.48, holding above 162.23 swing low.
USDJPY grinding within 162.23–162.48 near 40-yr highs, price now 162.31 after supply capped the advance at 162.48 during late Asia. Rejection from the session high, then buyers stepped in twice at 162.23; RSI(14) neutral near 46, ATR modest at ~7 pips.
Support: 162.23, 162.00
Resistance: 162.34, 162.48
What it said to watch
Close above 162.48 opens the 162.80/162.84 40-yr-high zone
Loss of 162.23 confirms a lower low toward 162.00
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 162.302
Pullback from session high, holding above intraday support.
USDJPY tagged a session high at 162.48 during the London-NY run then faded through Asia hours, now drifting near 162.30 with RSI(14) neutral around 46. Pullback holding above the 162.22 swing low; the broader intraday uptrend is intact but momentum has flattened just under the 40-yr high.
Support: 162.22, 162.00
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 session high opens the 162.80 40-yr high
Failure to hold 162.22 swing low exposes the 162.00 round number
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the immediate driver for this pair
04:46 UTC
Pullback within broader uptrend · RSI 44 · price 162.302
Drifting off session high, lower highs.
USD/JPY faded from the 162.48 session high through Asia hours toward 162.30, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s and price slipping below both EMAs. Pair holds near 40-yr highs but momentum has stalled ahead of US June CPI at 12:30 UTC, the immediate directional cue.
Support: 162.23
Resistance: 162.40, 162.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.23 confirms a lower low
Break of 162.48 reopens the 40-yr high extension
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, fading from session high · RSI 44 · price 162.315
Consolidation below 162.48 after NY push.
NY session pushed USD/JPY to 162.48 but stalled well short of the 162.80 band, and the Asian session has drifted back to 162.26 with price now below EMA20/50. Higher oil and the wide rate gap keep the bid intact, but momentum has cooled with RSI(14) mid-40s and no fresh setup in play.
Support: 162.26, 162.09
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.48 session high reopens the path toward the 162.80 supply band
Loss of 162.26 session low exposes 162.09
US June CPI 12:30 UTC / Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 46 · price 162.315
Consolidation below session high after rejection.
USD/JPY pushed to a 162.48 session high then rejected, drifting back to test 162.23 where buyers stepped in on the latest bars. Pair remains capped well below the 162.80 band that has held all week; RSI(14) mid-range near 46, momentum flat.
Support: 162.23, 162.04, 162.00
Resistance: 162.40, 162.48
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.40 pivot would reopen the 162.48 session high
Loss of 162.23 session low exposes 162.04 swing low
US June CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:17 UTC
Range, easing off highs · RSI 44 · price 162.298
Lower highs under session high, range floor holding.
USDJPY drifting sub the 162.48 session high through Asia hours, printing lower highs as it eases to 162.30. RSI(14) mid-range near 44, JPY soft on the wide rate gap and higher oil. Range floor at 162.23 has held so far.
Support: 162.23, 162.10
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the 162.80 40yr-high band
Break below 162.23 confirms a lower low and exposes 162.10
US June CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Topped near 162.48, lower highs into quiet Asia hours.
USD/JPY rejected the 162.48 session high and has drifted back to 162.30 in thin Asia-hours trade, RSI(14) cooling near 43 and price slipping below EMA20/50. Grinding within 162.23–162.41 with no fresh test of the 162.80 band flagged higher up.
Support: 162.26, 162.23
Resistance: 162.41, 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.41 reopens the 162.48 session high
Loss of 162.23 session low confirms a lower low
US June CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 40 · price 162.286
Faded from session high, lower highs into Asia.
USD/JPY faded from the 162.48 session high through early Asian hours, RSI(14) cooling toward 40 as lower highs stacked up. Price has pulled back to the 162.23 recent low and holds above 162, with the 162.80 40-year-high band still overhead and US June CPI looming.
Support: 162.23, 161.83
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.23 opens the path to the 161.83 session low
Reclaim of 162.48 needed to re-target the 162.80 band
US June CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 162.286
Lower high off session top, drifting to session low.
USDJPY faded from the session high at 162.48 and is now grinding down to the 162.23 session low, price back below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling near 42. The pair remains capped well under the 162.84 40-year high, with the 162.80 band the flagged intervention-risk zone.
Support: 162.227, 162.00
Resistance: 162.483, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.227 confirms a lower low and opens 162.00
Reclaim of 162.483 revives the push toward the 162.84 high
Intervention/MoF headlines can spark sharp two-way moves near these levels
03:46 UTC
Uptrend rolling over, pullback in play · RSI 41 · price 162.244
Lower highs after 162.48 cap, testing 162.23 support.
USD/JPY stalled repeatedly at the 162.46–162.48 band through thin overnight hours and has since slipped to 162.24, holding above 162 with the wide rate gap and firmer oil keeping the Yen offered. Price now sits on the 38.2% retracement of the 161.83–162.48 rise, RSI(14) cooling near 41 as the pullback develops.
Support: 162.227, 162.018
Resistance: 162.465, 162.483, 162.40
What it said to watch
Loss of 162.23 session low opens the 162.018 prior low
Reclaim of 162.465 session high re-tests the 162.48 range top
US June CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony can reset this read
Asian session grinding just under the 162.48 session high after repeated failures there; last bar sagged to 162.23 with RSI(14) around 42. Two-way chop between the 162.48 cap and 162.00 round number, no clean setup in play.
Support: 162.23, 162.00
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.80 res band
Failure to hold 162.23 swing low exposes the 162.00 round number
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC can materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 162.325
Pullback after test of 162.48.
USD/JPY ground up through the prior NY session to a 162.48 session high, then rejected and drifted back to 162.32 in thin Asia hours, RSI(14) cooling near 42. Buyers repeatedly leaned in around 162.30 but the pair remains capped well below the 162.80 40-year-high band.
Support: 162.30
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.30 confirms a lower low and breaks the pullback support
Reclaim of the 162.48 session high needed to resume the up-leg toward 162.80
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY grinding sideways in the upper 162s after rejection at 162.48 during NY hours, now drifting to 162.32 into the Asia session with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Price has slipped below EMA20/50 but holds the 162.30 shelf; the 40yr-high band at 162.84 remains untested.
Support: 162.30, 162.23
Resistance: 162.48, 162.84
What it said to watch
Close above 162.48 reopens the path to the 162.84 40yr high
Failure to hold 162.30 exposes 162.23 spike low
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY was rejected twice at the 162.48 session high during the prior NY-to-Asia handover and has drifted back to 162.34, holding the 0.236 fib of the recovery off 161.83. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; ranging with no fresh impulse into early Asia.
Support: 162.30, 162.23, 161.83
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.30 opens the spike low at 162.23
Reclaim of 162.48 session high revives the push toward the 162.80 40yr high
Intervention risk elevated this close to the 40yr high
03:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 162.339
Consolidating below session high after pullback.
USDJPY pushed to a session high at 162.48 through the NY session then faded into Asia, now drifting in a 162.23–162.42 range near four-decade highs as JPY stays soft on the wide rate gap and higher oil. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 43 — momentum has cooled but the higher-timeframe bid is intact.
Support: 162.232
Resistance: 162.483, 162.42
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.48 session high opens the path back toward the 162.80 area
Loss of 162.23 session low confirms a lower low and deeper pullback
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Intraday fade off NY high · RSI 42 · price 162.317
Lower highs after 162.48 rejection.
NY session tagged 162.48 and stalled; Asia has since drifted lower, printing lower highs and dipping to 162.23 before steadying near 162.32. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s — ranging 162.23-162.48 with no clean break either way.
Support: 162.232, 162.09
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 invalidates the fade and re-opens the 162.80 macro band
Close below 162.232 confirms a lower low toward 162.09
US CPI 12:30 UTC / Warsh testimony later could reset this range
NY session drove USD/JPY to a session high at 162.48 on the soft-yen rate-gap and higher-oil theme, but price has drifted back through the Asia session and is now testing 162.30. RSI(14) cooling near 42 and price back below EMA20/50 as the pullback develops; still holding well above the 161.83 sweep low.
Support: 162.30, 162.10, 161.83
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.30 opens the path to 162.10
Reclaim of 162.48 puts the 162.80 resistance band in play
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony later could materially shift this read
02:47 UTC
Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 44 · price 162.335
Consolidation below session high after HH chain.
USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY session to a 162.48 session high, then rejected and eased back into a low-volume Asian consolidation around 162.33-162.40 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Move fits the broad yen-soft/USD-bid backdrop, but the 162.80 resistance band remains untested.
Support: 162.30, 162.23
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 session high opens the path toward the 162.80 resist band
Failure to hold 162.30 recent low exposes the 162.23 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read once liquidity returns
USDJPY ground higher through the session to a 162.48 session high before rejection set in, price now drifting back to 162.34 with RSI(14) cooling near 43. Yen stays soft on the wide rate gap and firmer USD, but the advance has stalled below the 162.80 range top.
Support: 162.23
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.23 swing low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 162.48 session high reopens the path to the 162.80 range top
US CPI later today (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
USD/JPY is grinding sideways just above 162.30 in the thin Asia session after tagging a 162.48 session high overnight; RSI(14) has cooled near 43 as price slipped back under EMA20. Rejections at 162.48 held on repeated tests, with the 162.80 four-decade cap noted in context untested.
Support: 162.30, 162.23
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 reopens the path toward 162.80
Loss of 162.23 confirms a lower low
Intervention risk elevated near 40yr highs — could jolt this read
USDJPY ground higher through London-NY on the wide rate gap and Iran-driven USD bid, topping at the 162.48 session high before stalling. Price has drifted back to 162.35 in the Asia session, RSI cooling to the mid-40s; rejection at 162.48 keeps it capped for now.
Support: 162.30
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.80 40yr high
Failure to hold 162.30 swing low confirms a lower-low
Intervention/verbal signals into Marine Day holiday could sharply reverse this read
02:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 162.353
Range under session high after NY leg up.
USDJPY peaked at 162.48 during NY hours then drifted back into the Asia session, now consolidating in the 162.30–162.48 band above 162.00. RSI(14) neutral near 50 and ATR ~7 pips point to a quiet range with no clear structural break in play.
Support: 162.30, 162.23, 162.00
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward 162.80
Failure to hold 162.30 exposes the 162.23 sweep low
US CPI 12:30 UTC then Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY pushed to a 162.48 session high through the London-NY hours before easing back to 162.35 in thin Asia trade, in line with the soft yen backdrop near four-decade highs. Price is now consolidating between 162.30 and 162.48; RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and the current overnight bar is near-flat on minimal volume.
Support: 162.30, 162.23
Resistance: 162.48, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 reopens the path toward the 162.80 area
Loss of 162.30 exposes the 162.23 session low
Intervention/verbal-intervention risk near the Marine Day holiday could sharply shift this read
02:02 UTC
Range-bound, drifting off highs · RSI 51 · price 162.391
Range 162.30–162.48, mid-range.
USDJPY is ranging 162.30–162.48 in thin Asia-session trade near 4-decade highs, capped after the NY drift off 162.48. A dip to 162.23 was bought back to mid-range; RSI(14) neutral around 51 with ATR compressed to ~7 pips.
Support: 162.30, 162.23
Resistance: 162.45, 162.48
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 session high opens the path toward the 162.80 resistance zone
Failure to hold 162.30 swing low confirms a lower low toward the 162.23 spike low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could break this range
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session to a 162.48 session high before rejecting, with the yen soft near four-decade highs on a firm USD bid. Price dipped to 162.23 and recovered; now consolidating around 162.39 in early Asia, RSI back to neutral.
Support: 162.30, 162.23
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 session high opens the path toward 162.80
Loss of 162.23 recent low confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read later today
USD/JPY reclaimed 162 through the prior NY session on the firmer-USD, higher-energy thread and is now ranging in low-volume Asia hours below the 162.48 session high. A quick dip swept 162.23 and was bought back to 162.39, RSI(14) neutral near 48; price sits just under EMA20/50 with no fresh direction.
Support: 162.23, 162.00
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the 162.80 40yr-high area
Failure to hold 162.23 sweep low exposes 162.00
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the next major driver for this pair
USD/JPY holding above 162 near multi-decade highs, capped at the 162.48 session high through the NY session. A dip swept the 162.23 session low into Asia hours where buyers stepped back to 162.39; ranging 162.23-162.48 with volume thin and RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 162.23, 162.00
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward 162.80
Failure to hold 162.23 confirms a lower-low and exposes 162.00
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through London-NY to a session high 162.48, then stalled and drifted in thin post-NY liquidity, dipping to a 162.23 swing low before recovering to 162.38. Rate-gap flows keep the pair pinned near 40-year highs; the 162.48 cap has now rejected twice.
Support: 162.23
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 reopens the run toward the 162.80 area
Loss of 162.23 confirms a lower low after the rally stalled
MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near the 162.80 40-yr high could spike JPY sharply
01:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now sideways · RSI 46 · price 162.378
Consolidation under session high after grind up.
USD/JPY ground up through the London-NY session to a 162.48 session high, then stalled into Asia and is now consolidating in the 162.30-162.48 band on thin overnight flow. A dip into early Asia swept the 162.23 session low before buyers reclaimed 162.38; RSI(14) mid-range near 46 with momentum flat.
Support: 162.30, 162.23
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
Close above 162.48 reopens the 162.80 40yr high area
Loss of 162.23 confirms a lower low and cracks the range base
Intervention risk elevated near 162.80 — area to watch for sharp rejection
01:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back off highs · RSI 44 · price 162.335
Ranged near highs then swept the floor.
NY session ground USD/JPY up to 162.48 on the wide rate gap and energy-driven risk-off, then faded into a tight 162.35-162.48 range. Early Asia swept the floor down to 162.23 before recovering to 162.34; price now sits below EMA20, RSI cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 162.232
Resistance: 162.483, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the path to the 162.80 40yr high
Failure to hold 162.23 confirms a lower low
Intervention risk elevated near 40yr highs — could shift this read sharply
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst
Pullback off session high after climb from 161.94.
USDJPY ground up through the NY session to a 162.48 session high before rejecting and slipping back to 162.34 in thin Asia trade. Price now sits below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; the pair holds near 40-yr highs with 162.80 the capping resistance and intervention risk in play.
Support: 162.23, 162.30
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.23 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
Break above 162.48 session high reopens the run toward 162.80
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through prior sessions to a 162.48 session high, still capped well below the 162.80 macro resistance. The Asian session pulled back to 162.30 on thin volume before recovering to 162.38; RSI(14) sits neutral near 53, no setup in play.
Support: 162.30, 162.03
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.80 macro cap
Failure to hold 162.30 exposes the 162.03 prior base
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, consolidating below day high · RSI 46 · price 162.378
Range-bound after pullback from 162.48.
USDJPY holds above 162.00 near 4-decade highs, grinding up to a 162.48 day high during NY before fading into Asia. A quick dip swept 162.23 and recovered to 162.38; price is now mid-range, RSI(14) neutral around 46 with the day high untested.
Support: 162.232, 162.10
Resistance: 162.483, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.483 opens the path toward the 162.80 range top
Loss of 162.23 confirms a lower low and pressures the 162.10 swing low
MOF intervention headlines rise in probability this close to the 4-decade high
00:47 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 43 · price 162.311
Session high rejected, rolling lower.
Asia session grinds off the earlier NY grind that topped at 162.48; the last bar swept down to 162.23 and closed 162.31, rejecting the session high. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s and price slipped under EMA20/50 as the up-move loses steam.
Support: 162.23, 162.10
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.23 swing low opens the path to 162.10
Reclaim of 162.48 session high resumes the grind toward the 162.80 macro cap
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 44 · price 162.311
Session high rejected, pulling back.
USD/JPY ground up through NY to a session high at 162.48 on the wide rate gap and firm oil, then rolled over into thin post-rollover Asia trade. The last bar swept down to 162.23 before closing 162.31, dropping price back below the EMA20/50 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 162.23, 162.10
Resistance: 162.44, 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.23 opens the path to 162.10
Reclaim of 162.44 needed to re-engage the session high
162.80 range top remains the capped level higher; US CPI 12:30 UTC could reset this read
USD/JPY ground higher through the London-NY sessions to a 162.48 session high, then stalled and is consolidating 162.39-162.46 in thin Asia trade. RSI(14) neutral near 54 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips; the pair remains pinned near 4-decade highs on the wide US-Japan rate gap, with 162.80 the next capped resistance.
Support: 162.39, 162.10
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 session high reopens the path toward 162.80
Loss of the 162.39 range floor exposes 162.10 swing low
MOF intervention headlines into the holiday could sharply compress this range
USD/JPY ground higher through London-NY on the wide rate gap and firmer oil, tagging 162.48 before stalling. Asia session is now consolidating tight around 162.42, RSI(14) cooled to mid-range as momentum flattens beneath the session high.
Support: 162.35
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.80 4-decade-high resistance
Failure to hold 162.35 signals a lower-low and unwinds the intraday grind
MOF intervention risk rises with each push toward the 4-decade high
USDJPY ground up through the NY session to a 162.48 session high, then flatlined into thin Asia-session, holiday-affected trade around 162.40 with RSI(14) neutral near 51. Price is pinned just below the 162.80 40-year high resistance; the 162.39-162.48 band is the current holding range.
Support: 162.39, 162.20
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward 162.80 double top
Break below 162.39 range floor exposes 162.20 swing low
MoF intervention rhetoric near 40-yr highs could trigger a sharp reversal
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 162.421
Consolidating below session high.
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session to a 162.48 session high before stalling; thin Asian-hours trade has price pinned in a tight 162.39-162.47 band. RSI(14) neutral near 53 with the broader multi-decade-high grind still capped by the 162.80 double-top.
Support: 162.35
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 session high opens the path to 162.80
Loss of 162.35 swing low breaks the consolidation lower
US CPI 12:30 UTC / intervention risk into Marine Day could reshape this read
USD/JPY ground up from a 161.83 sweep low into the 162.48 session high, then stalled — last ~20 bars consolidating 162.39–162.48 on thin overnight volume, RSI(14) flattening near 51. Broad JPY weakness keeps price pinned just under the 162.80 double-top resistance flagged into Marine Day.
Support: 162.35, 161.83
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.80 double top
Loss of 162.35 swing low breaks the current consolidation lower
MoF intervention rhetoric into Marine Day could sharply reverse this read
Consolidating near session highs after NY grind up.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a 162.48 session high, then went flat into thin Asia hours around 162.43 with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range. Yen stays pinned near four-decade lows; the 162.80 prior peak remains the capping level above, 162.35 the near support.
Support: 162.35, 162.20
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 162.48 session high opens the path to the 162.80 double top
Loss of 162.35 swing low signals a deeper pullback toward 162.20
MoF intervention rhetoric into Marine Day could sharply reverse this read