USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 23 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Ranging, low volatility · RSI 52 · price 161.563
Asia-session range after London dip recovered.
USDJPY is grinding sideways in the 161.50-161.60 band through the quiet Asia session, having recovered from the sharp London dip to 161.266. Price sits on its EMAs with RSI flat near 52 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 161.50, 161.266
Resistance: 161.60, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 reopens the 161.737 prior high and the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.50 puts the 161.266 swing low back in focus
162.00 — area to watch for MoF intervention / rejection
Tokyo CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could break this range
23:46 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 52 · price 161.563
Asia consolidation after London drop.
USD/JPY is grinding sideways through the Asia session between 161.45 and 161.61 on thin volume, after London hours sold the pair to a 161.27 low and bounced. Price sits mid-range near 161.56 with RSI flat around 52 — no setup in play.
Support: 161.45, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 opens the path back toward 161.74
Failure to hold 161.45 confirms a lower-low and exposes 161.27
Tokyo CPI Thu 23:30 UTC and 162.00 intervention zone could shift this read
23:31 UTC
Ranging after spike-down and recovery · RSI 48 · price 161.552
Mid-range consolidation in low-volume Asia hours.
USD/JPY pushed to 161.74 in the London session before a sharp sweep to 161.27, then recovered and has consolidated around 161.55 through low-volume Asia hours. Price is capped near 161.61 with the 161.51 area holding; the 162.00 intervention zone stays overhead.
Support: 161.51, 161.27, 161.46
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.61 reopens the path toward the 161.74 session high
Loss of 161.51 exposes the 161.27 swing low
Tokyo CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could shift this read; 162.00 carries MoF intervention risk
USDJPY is ranging 161.51–161.61 in thin late-session/rollover liquidity after an earlier flush to 161.32 was bought back toward 161.61. A small rollover gap down to 161.48 has since filled; RSI(14) sits near 50 with no momentum edge. Yen stays pinned near 40-yr lows with intervention jawboning capping the approach to 162.00.
Support: 161.51, 161.43, 161.32
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.61 reopens the 161.74 session high
Failure to hold 161.51 exposes the 161.43/161.32 lows
Tokyo CPI (Thu) and 162.00 intervention zone could reshape this read
Consolidation between 161.45 and 161.60 after spike rejection.
USD/JPY spiked to 161.74 then sold off to 161.266 during the European session as the dollar firmed on beating PMIs; price has since recovered to retrace ~62% of that downmove and is consolidating around 161.55 in thin late-session trade. Range capped at 161.60, floor holding near 161.50.
Support: 161.50, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 reopens the 161.74 session high
Close below 161.50 range floor exposes 161.27 swing low
USDJPY pinned near 40-yr highs, ranging 161.45-161.61 through thin Asia hours after the earlier flush from 161.74 to 161.32. Price coiling around the EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 48; no setup in play.
Support: 161.45, 161.32
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens the path toward 161.74
Failure to hold 161.45 reasserts the lower-low sequence toward 161.32
162.00 multi-decade peak remains an intervention-risk zone to monitor
Tokyo CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation under 161.60 after sweep of session high.
USDJPY swept the session high at 161.74 then dumped to 161.27 before stabilising; price now ranges 161.50–161.60 with momentum flat and RSI(14) mid-zone. Intervention jawboning near the 162.00 40-yr peak keeps a lid on upside while buyers held the 161.50 floor through the quiet Asia hours.
Support: 161.50, 161.46, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 reopens the 161.74 session high
Failure to hold 161.50 exposes the 161.46 swing low and 161.27 session low
162.00 — area to monitor for intervention-driven rejection
A sharp London-hours flush to 161.266 reversed and recovered toward 161.60, since fading into a thin Asia-session range between 161.46 and 161.60. RSI(14) is neutral near 47 and price sits just below EMA20; no setup in play with USD/JPY pinned beneath the 162.00 intervention zone.
Support: 161.46, 161.266
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 reopens the path toward the 161.74 window high
Failure to hold 161.46 exposes the 161.266 swing low
Tokyo CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation under session high after midday washout.
USDJPY is grinding sideways in a tight 161.48-161.60 band through the quiet late-Asia session, having spiked to 161.737 then flushed to 161.266 during the prior NY session. Jawboning around the 162.00 intervention zone keeps a lid on the recovery; RSI(14) sits neutral near 51.
Support: 161.48, 161.40, 161.266
Resistance: 161.60, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 161.60 reopens the path toward 161.737 and the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.48 exposes 161.40 and the 161.266 session low
Tokyo CPI Thu 23:30 UTC is the next catalyst for this range
Consolidation under 162.00, holding 61.8% fib of the down-leg.
A sharp London-NY spike swept down to 161.27 from the 161.74 session high, then recovered into thin Asia hours and is now coiling near the 61.8% retracement around 161.56. Price holds in a tight bullish consolidation under the 162.00 cap, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 161.50, 161.27
Resistance: 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.74 reopens the path toward 162.00 and intervention watch
Failure to hold 161.50 puts the 161.27 spike low back in play
Tokyo CPI (Thu 23:30 UTC) is the next catalyst for this pair
22:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 53 · price 161.572
Ranging under intraday high.
NY session spiked to 161.74 then saw a sharp rejection and sweep down to 161.27 before recovering. Price now consolidating 161.50–161.60 in thin early-Asia hours, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 161.51, 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 reopens the path toward the 161.74 rejection high
Failure to hold 161.51 reopens the 161.40–161.27 lows
162.00 remains the macro cap with BoJ intervention risk in play
22:31 UTC
Range after selloff, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 161.572
Consolidating under 161.60 post 161.74-161.27 drop.
Sharp selloff from 161.74 to 161.27 mid-window stabilised, with price now grinding in a tight 161.48-161.60 band through thin Asia hours; a small gap down printed near the open before buyers reclaimed it. JPY found a modest bid off 40-yr lows on renewed intervention jawboning, keeping price capped below 161.60 with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 161.48, 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 reopens the path to the 161.74 session high
Loss of 161.48 gap low exposes 161.40 and the 161.27 session low
Tokyo CPI (Thu 23:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Range after London flush, neutral · RSI 49 · price 161.544
Consolidating mid-range below 161.60.
London swept the 161.737 high then flushed to 161.266 before recovering; price now consolidating 161.40–161.60 in thin Asia trade, RSI(14) neutral near 49. No setup in play, with Tokyo CPI Thu the next catalyst and intervention chatter capping the 162.00 zone.
Support: 161.40, 161.266
Resistance: 161.60, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 reopens 161.737 and the 162.00 cap
break below 161.40 exposes the 161.266 session low
Tokyo CPI Thu and intervention risk near 162.00 could shift this read
22:16 UTC
Rangebound after recovery · RSI 49 · price 161.544
Consolidation under session high.
Quiet Asia session ranging 161.46–161.62 after price recovered off the 161.27 day low set during earlier hours. A thin late-session gap down to 161.48 was bought back to 161.54; RSI(14) neutral near 49 with ATR compressed to ~9 pips.
Support: 161.457, 161.266
Resistance: 161.616, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.46 (session low) reopens the 161.27 day low
Close above 161.62 (session high) opens the path to the 161.74 prior high
Tokyo CPI Thu 23:30 UTC and the 162.00 intervention-watch cap could shift this read
USDJPY flushed from the 161.74 swing high to 161.27 midday, then clawed back into a tight 161.50-161.60 consolidation. Thin late-session volume left a small gap down to 161.48; RSI(14) neutral near 52 with price pinned around EMA20.
Support: 161.48, 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI Wed 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Close back above 161.60 reopens the 161.74 swing high; 162.00 carries intervention risk
Loss of 161.40 swing low exposes the 161.27 range low
22:01 UTC
Range, no momentum · RSI 51 · price 161.547
Consolidating after intraday drop and recovery.
USDJPY faded from the 161.74 session high to 161.27 mid-window, then recovered to chop between 161.48 and 161.60 in thin Asia-hours trade. A small gap down near 01:00 broker time reflects low liquidity, not direction; RSI(14) flat near 51 with the 162.00 intervention level still overhead.
Support: 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74
What it said to watch
Close above 161.60 reopens the 161.74 session high
Loss of 161.40 swing low confirms a lower low
Tokyo CPI Wed 23:30 UTC could shift this read
21:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 161.507
Consolidating after a sweep low and recovery.
USD/JPY faded a spike to 161.74 during London and swept down to 161.27 before recovering into a 161.48–161.60 range; price now drifting at 161.51 in thin post-NY trade. RSI(14) neutral near 47, ATR ~5 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 161.48, 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 reopens the 161.74 spike high
Loss of 161.48 exposes 161.40 swing low then 161.27 sweep low
Tokyo CPI Thu and intervention risk near 162.00 are the live wildcards
Range between 161.27 and 161.74 after sharp London sell-off and recovery.
USD/JPY faded from the 161.74 session high and flushed to 161.27 during London hours before recovering into a tight range. Price now drifts around 161.50 on thin late-session liquidity, capped at 161.60 and holding above 161.40; RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 reopens 161.74 session high
Failure to hold 161.40 puts the 161.27 swing low back in play
162.00 remains the level that invites MoF intervention
USDJPY sold off sharply from the 161.74 session high to 161.27, then chopped in a 161.40–161.60 range for the rest of the day with JPY pinned near 40-yr lows. Late, thin post-NY volume tipped price to 161.48, back below EMA20/50; no clean setup in play.
Support: 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.40 reopens the 161.27 swing low
Reclaim of 161.60 puts the 161.74 session high back in focus
Tokyo CPI Wed 23:30 UTC and intervention headlines near 162.00 are the live wildcards
21:31 UTC
Range after sharp fade · RSI 40 · price 161.484
Ranging 161.40–161.61, late slip lower.
NY session faded the 161.74 session high with a sharp drop that swept 161.27 before recovering into a 161.40–161.61 range. Late, thin-volume bars have slipped back to 161.48, RSI(14) near 40 with price under both EMAs.
Support: 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74
What it said to watch
Close below 161.40 opens the path to the 161.27 swing low
Reclaim of 161.61 range top negates the fade
Intervention risk live as 162.00 stays in view
21:16 UTC
Range, slipping late session · RSI 43 · price 161.484
Consolidation under session high after spike rejection.
NY session faded the spike to 161.74, with a sharp flush to the 161.27 session low before buyers recovered price back into a 161.50-161.60 band. Last bars slipped to 161.48 on thin late-session volume, leaving price below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.40 opens the 161.27 session low
Reclaim of 161.60 range top needed to retest 161.74 session high
Tokyo CPI Thu and 162.00 intervention level remain live wildcards
21:16 UTC
Range, slipping into Asian close · RSI 39 · price 161.484
Ranging below session highs after spike fade.
USDJPY spiked to 161.737 in the NY session then sold off sharply to 161.266, and has since chopped in a 161.40-161.60 range. Price slipped to 161.48 into the Asian close on thin volume, sitting near the lower half of the range with RSI cooling toward 39.
Support: 161.40, 161.266
Resistance: 161.60, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.40 opens the path back toward the 161.266 session low
Reclaim of 161.60 range top would re-expose 161.737 session high
Tokyo CPI Wed 23:30 UTC and intervention headlines near 162.00 are live wildcards
21:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 51 · price 161.572
Consolidation after V-shaped recovery.
USD/JPY dropped from 161.74 to 161.27 during the London session, then recovered and has been consolidating 161.51–161.60 into late NY hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with ATR around 5 pips — no directional setup in play.
Support: 161.51, 161.40, 161.266
Resistance: 161.60, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 (range top) opens the path back toward the 161.74 session high
Failure to hold 161.51 reopens 161.40 swing low
162.00 remains the level that invites intervention risk if reached
21:01 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 52 · price 161.572
Range after sell-off recovery.
USDJPY sold off sharply to 161.27 during NY hours then recovered, and is now consolidating 161.50–161.61 with RSI(14) neutral near 52. Price holds above both EMAs but momentum has flattened into the late session.
Support: 161.50, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.61 reopens the 161.73 swing high and the 162.00 peak
Failure to hold 161.50 range floor reopens the 161.27 session low
Tokyo CPI Wed 23:30 UTC and intervention headlines could shift this read
20:46 UTC
Ranging after intraday flush · RSI 54 · price 161.575
Consolidating near 66% retrace of the flush.
USDJPY spiked to a session high near 161.74 then flushed sharply to 161.27 on heavy volume before recovering; price now sits at ~66% retrace of that move, consolidating 161.51–161.60. Carry-driven yen weakness keeps it pinned just under the 40-yr peak, with intervention jawboning the only brake.
Support: 161.51, 161.40, 161.266
Resistance: 161.60, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.60 reopens the 161.74 spike high
Failure to hold 161.40 reasserts the flush low at 161.27
162.00 is the 40-yr peak / intervention-risk line
Core PCE Thu and MoF/BoJ intervention headlines are the live wildcards
20:46 UTC
Range-bound, recovered off dip · RSI 53 · price 161.575
Consolidating 161.50–161.60 after the 161.27 flush.
Late NY session has USDJPY ranging 161.50–161.60 after an earlier flush to 161.27 on heavy volume was bought back. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 and ATR is compressed to ~4 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 161.50, 161.40, 161.266
Resistance: 161.605, 161.737
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.605 reopens the path toward the 161.737 session high
Failure to hold 161.50 puts the 161.40 support back in focus
Tokyo CPI Wed 23:30 UTC and intervention headlines near 162.00 are live wildcards
20:31 UTC
Recovering, ranging into session close · RSI 55 · price 161.589
Consolidation above recovery lows after washout to 161.27.
Pair churning 161.50-161.62 into the Asia transition after the earlier washout to 161.27 was bought back. Price holding above the EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, no clean directional break in the last several hours.
Support: 161.51, 161.46, 161.40
Resistance: 161.62, 161.65
What it said to watch
Close above 161.62 reopens the 161.65 prior high
Failure to hold 161.51 confirms a lower-low back toward 161.46
Tokyo CPI (Wed 23:30 UTC) and 162.00 intervention risk could shift this read
20:31 UTC
Recovering, ranging at highs · RSI 57 · price 161.589
Consolidation after intraday sweep low.
USD/JPY sold off sharply to a 161.27 sweep low during NY hours before clawing back, and has since coiled in a 161.51-161.61 band into the Asian session, holding above EMA20/50. RSI neutral near 57; price is pressing the session high again with no clean break yet.
Support: 161.51, 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.65, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 opens the path to 161.65/161.74
Failure to hold 161.51 reopens 161.40 and the 161.27 sweep low
Tokyo CPI Wed and intervention risk near 162.00 could shift this read
20:16 UTC
Recovering, ranging at top · RSI 56 · price 161.594
Range after sharp NY sell-off and rebound.
USDJPY spiked to a 161.74 session high then sold off sharply to 161.27 during NY hours before recovering into a tight 161.50-161.60 range. Price now sits at the range top with RSI(14) mid-range; 162.00 intervention level still caps higher up.
Support: 161.50, 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 range top reopens the 161.74 session high
Loss of 161.40 support exposes the 161.27 session low
Intervention headlines near 162.00 remain a live wildcard
20:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 57 · price 161.594
Consolidation after v-shaped recovery.
Price swept down to 161.27 during the NY session before a v-shaped recovery; the last several hours have ground sideways between 161.51 and 161.62. Late-day volume is thin as the session winds down, with price hovering just under the session high.
Support: 161.51, 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.62, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.62 opens the path back to 161.74
Failure to hold 161.51 reopens 161.40 downside
Tokyo CPI Thu and intervention risk near 162.00 could shift this read
20:01 UTC
Range after sharp pullback · RSI 44 · price 161.539
Consolidating below recovery high.
USD/JPY spiked to a session high of 161.737 then was slammed to 161.266 in one bar — a rejection consistent with intervention jawboning near the 40-year peak. Price has since clawed back into a 161.51-161.60 range and is drifting lower into a thin late-session, RSI(14) neutral around 43.
Support: 161.51, 161.44, 161.266
Resistance: 161.605, 161.737
What it said to watch
Close above 161.605 reopens the 161.737 session high
Failure to hold 161.510 exposes the 161.440 swing low
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain a live wildcard toward 162.00
20:01 UTC
Ranging after sharp drop · RSI 45 · price 161.539
Consolidation 161.51-161.61.
London hours saw a sharp sweep down to 161.32 then a recovery that stalled near the 161.61 range top. NY session has gone quiet, drifting in a tight 161.51-161.61 band with RSI(14) neutral around 45 and no setup in play.
Support: 161.51, 161.396, 161.323
Resistance: 161.606, 161.683, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens the path toward 161.68
Failure to hold 161.51 range floor exposes 161.40
162.00 intervention level keeps upside asymmetric near the 40-yr peak
19:46 UTC
Consolidation after spike-fade · RSI 45 · price 161.529
Range-bound, holding above 161.50.
USDJPY is ranging 161.50-161.60 into the late session after a sharp London-hours rejection from 161.74 dumped price to a 161.27 session low on heavy volume. Recovery off 161.44 has since stalled, with price drifting back to the lower edge of the range as ATR compresses to ~3.6 pips.
Support: 161.50, 161.44, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 reopens the path toward the 161.74 session high
Loss of 161.50 exposes the 161.44 swing low
Intervention headlines near 162.00 remain a live wildcard for this pair
19:46 UTC
Range after sharp flush · RSI 46 · price 161.529
Consolidation, tight late-NY range.
USDJPY spiked to 161.74 then flushed to 161.27 mid-window before recovering and settling into a tight 161.52-161.60 band through late NY. ATR has compressed to under 4 pips and RSI sits mid-range; no setup in play with price drifting toward the lower edge.
Support: 161.42, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.60 reopens the 161.74 session high
Close below 161.42 exposes the 161.27 session low
162.00 remains the intervention-risk line above
Tokyo CPI Thu and Core PCE Thu could break the range
19:31 UTC
Sideways after pullback · RSI 44 · price 161.542
Ranging 161.50–161.61 below the 161.74 spike high.
Early-London hours swept the 161.737 high then collapsed to a 161.266 session low; price has since recovered into a 161.50–161.61 range and drifted sideways through the NY afternoon. RSI(14) sits neutral near 44 with price pinned just under EMA20.
Support: 161.49, 161.40, 161.266
Resistance: 161.61, 161.65, 161.737
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 invalidates the range read and reopens 161.65/161.737
Failure to hold 161.40 reopens the 161.266 session low
162.00 (2024 peak) carries intervention risk if the carry bid resumes
Tokyo CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
19:31 UTC
Ranging, mild downdrift · RSI 46 · price 161.542
Consolidation after spike-down recovery.
USDJPY spiked down to 161.27 during London hours then recovered, and has since coiled into a tight 161.50-161.60 range through the NY session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 and ATR has compressed to under 4 pips; no setup in play with price pinned just under EMA20.
Support: 161.50, 161.27, 161.40
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 reopens the path to the 161.74 session high
Loss of 161.50 range floor exposes 161.40 and the 161.27 session low
162.00 remains the intervention-risk line if the carry bid resumes
Core PCE Thu is the week's main USD catalyst and could reshape this read
19:16 UTC
Sideways, consolidating after midday drop · RSI 51 · price 161.562
Range 161.50-161.62 holding the recovery off 161.27.
USDJPY is consolidating 161.50-161.62 into the NY close after a sharp midday drop swept 161.737 down to 161.27 then recovered, with price now sitting on the 0.618 retracement of that move. RSI(14) is flat near 50 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips, reflecting the late-session range.
Support: 161.50, 161.44, 161.27
Resistance: 161.62, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.62 reopens the 161.74 session high
Failure to hold 161.50 reopens 161.44 then the 161.27 spike low
162.00 remains the live intervention-risk level above
19:16 UTC
Range after sharp dip and recovery · RSI 51 · price 161.562
Consolidating mid-range, choppy.
After tagging the session high at 161.74 in the London morning, USDJPY flushed to 161.27 then recovered, and has since coiled into a 161.50-161.61 range through NY. Price drifts on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) neutral near 50, with the pair still pinned close to 40-year highs on the carry theme.
Support: 161.50, 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.65, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 opens the path back toward 161.74
Loss of 161.50 range floor exposes 161.40 swing low
Tokyo CPI (Thu 23:30 UTC) and intervention risk near 162.00 could reshape the read
19:01 UTC
Ranging, recovered from drop · RSI 48 · price 161.545
Consolidation inside 161.50–161.61 after a bought-back dip.
USD/JPY is consolidating around 161.55 in late NY hours after the London-session flush to 161.32 was fully bought back. Range holds between 161.50 and 161.61, RSI(14) neutral near 48 and ATR(14) compressed to ~4 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 161.50, 161.40, 161.32
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens the path toward the 161.74 prior high
Loss of 161.50 exposes 161.40 then the 161.32 session low
Approach to 162.00 keeps MoF/BoJ intervention headlines the live risk; Tokyo CPI Wed 23:30 UTC ahead
19:01 UTC
Sideways after sharp drop · RSI 49 · price 161.545
Range-bound, grinding off the lows.
USD/JPY is ranging 161.50–161.60 through the NY afternoon after the London session dumped to 161.27 and recovered. The bounce stalled at the 161.74 session high; RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with no setup in play.
Support: 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.74 reopens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.40 support confirms a lower low
Tokyo CPI Thu and live intervention headlines could shift the read
USD/JPY sold off sharply to 161.266 during European hours then ground back through the NY session, now ranging 161.54-161.61 with RSI(14) neutral. Price sits below the 161.737 day high after retracing most of the drop; momentum has flattened into the close.
Support: 161.50, 161.40, 161.266
Resistance: 161.616, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.616 reopens the path to the 161.737 day high
Failure to hold 161.50 reopens 161.40 and the 161.266 session low
162.00 remains the intervention-risk zone above
Tokyo CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
18:46 UTC
Recovering after sell-off, range compressing · RSI 55 · price 161.577
Drop then bounce, now ranging 161.50-161.61.
USDJPY sold off from 161.74 into a 161.27 session low during NY hours, then recovered to stall near the 61.8% retrace around 161.56. Range now compressing 161.50-161.61 into late session on thin volume, RSI mid-range. 162.00 stays the intervention-watch ceiling.
Support: 161.50, 161.40, 161.266
Resistance: 161.61, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens the 161.74 prior high
Loss of 161.50 exposes 161.40 then the 161.27 session low
Approach to 162.00 keeps MoF/BoJ intervention risk live
USDJPY is grinding in a tight 161.50-161.61 NY range after a London-morning flush to 161.266, with ATR compressed near 5 pips. Price has clawed back roughly two-thirds of that drop but stalls at the 161.61 session-high cluster, RSI middling around 54.
Support: 161.50, 161.44, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 opens the path to 161.74
Failure to hold 161.50 reopens 161.44 and the 161.27 spike low
Intervention risk near 162.00 remains a live wildcard
18:31 UTC
Ranging after spike fade · RSI 53 · price 161.569
Consolidation between 161.44 and 161.61.
NY session swept the 161.74 spike high then dumped to 161.27, before grinding back to retrace ~61.8% near 161.56. Price now consolidating 161.54-161.61 into late NY, RSI mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 161.44, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens 161.74 then 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.44 reopens the 161.27 swing low
Intervention headlines remain the live wildcard near 162.00
Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst
18:16 UTC
Recovered off intraday low, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 161.554
Consolidating mid-range after sweep of 161.27.
USDJPY spiked down to 161.27 during the London morning before buyers reclaimed the move, and price now consolidates 161.50-161.61 just under the 61.8% retracement of the drop. RSI(14) sits flat near 51 with the pair pinned by intervention risk around the 162.00 multi-decade peak.
Support: 161.50, 161.266
Resistance: 161.61, 161.737
What it said to watch
Close above 161.61 reopens the 161.737 session high
Failure to hold 161.50 reopens the 161.266 swing low
Tokyo CPI Thu and 162.00 intervention zone could materially shift this read
USDJPY was knocked from the 161.74 session high to 161.27 on a fast London-morning drop, then ground back to range between 161.50 and 161.60 through the NY session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with price pinned to EMA20; no momentum either way.
Support: 161.50, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 opens a retest of the 161.74 session high
Loss of 161.50 reopens the 161.27 swing low
Tokyo CPI Thu and BoJ intervention risk near 162.00 could shift this read
18:01 UTC
Recovered, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 161.563
Range in upper half of post-flush move.
London morning flushed USDJPY from the 161.74 session high to 161.27 before buyers ground it back toward 161.56. Price is now ranging in the upper half of that move, RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR compressed around 5 pips into late NY hours.
Support: 161.50, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens the 161.74 session high
Failure to hold 161.50 reopens the 161.27 session low
162.00 remains the intervention line in the sand on any extension
18:01 UTC
Recovering, consolidating near highs · RSI 51 · price 161.563
Range after a sharp NY drop, higher lows since.
USDJPY spiked down to 161.27 during NY hours as intervention-speculation around the Katayama-Bessent talks capped the topside, then ground back to consolidate 161.50–161.61. RSI(14) neutral near 51, price holding above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows since the flush.
Support: 161.50, 161.266
Resistance: 161.613, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens the 161.74 prior high
Failure to hold 161.50 exposes the 161.27 session low
162.00 psych level remains intervention-risk zone after MoF rhetoric
17:46 UTC
Recovering after sharp NY drop · RSI 60 · price 161.607
Higher lows off 161.32, grinding back up.
USDJPY swept the 161.27 low during NY hours on a single high-volume bar before buyers stepped back in, recovering to 161.60. Late-session flow is thin and the grind higher has stalled just under the pre-drop 161.68 cap, with RSI(14) neutral near 60.
Support: 161.50, 161.32, 161.27
Resistance: 161.68, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close back below 161.50 reopens the 161.32 session low
Close above 161.68 reopens 161.74 and the 162.00 area
Tokyo CPI Thu and intervention risk near 162.00 could reshape this read
17:46 UTC
Recovery off London low, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 161.607
Higher lows grinding back into prior range.
USDJPY flushed to 161.27 during London hours then ground back through NY to stall under 161.63. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on the rebound but RSI sits mid-range and price is stalling just below the session high.
Support: 161.50, 161.27
Resistance: 161.63, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.74 prior high opens path toward the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.50 swing low reopens 161.27 london low
Tokyo CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since London flush, capped under 161.74.
USDJPY flushed to 161.266 on heavy volume during the London session, then clawed back through NY hours to 161.60 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) sits neutral near 60 and price holds above both EMAs; 161.74 session high caps and 162.00 remains the intervention line above.
Support: 161.50, 161.266
Resistance: 161.62, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.74 reopens the path toward the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.50 breaks the rising support and reopens 161.266 sweep low
Tokyo CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
17:31 UTC
Recovering after NY drop · RSI 58 · price 161.599
Rebound off session low, back near range top.
NY session swept lower to 161.27 mid-window then ground steadily back to retest the 161.63 range top, RSI(14) firm near 58. Buyers defended 161.50 on the way up; pair now pressing the upper edge with the 162.00 intervention zone overhead.
Support: 161.50, 161.27
Resistance: 161.63, 161.73, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 opens the path back to prior high 161.73
Failure to hold 161.50 reopens the session low at 161.27
162.00 intervention zone overhead — area to watch for rejection
Core PCE Thu and Tokyo CPI Thu could materially shift this read
Higher lows since London flush, capped near 161.60.
London session flushed USD/JPY down to 161.27 on the morning drop before buyers reclaimed the move, and NY hours have ground a chain of higher lows back to 161.60. Price now stalls at the 161.61 recent high with RSI mid-range; the 161.50 swing low is holding as near support.
Support: 161.50, 161.34, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.61 opens the path toward the 161.74 london high
Loss of 161.50 reopens 161.34 and the 161.27 session low
162.00 intervention zone remains the topside line in the sand
Tokyo CPI Thu and Core PCE could materially shift this read
17:16 UTC
Recovering after midday flush · RSI 56 · price 161.598
Consolidating in upper half of intraday range.
USDJPY flushed from the 161.74 session high to 161.27 during London hours, then ground back to retrace most of that drop and is now consolidating around 161.55-161.60. Price holds above both EMAs with RSI(14) mid-range; demand stepped in repeatedly near 161.40 through the NY session.
Support: 161.46, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.74 reopens the path toward the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.46 exposes the 161.27 spike low again
Tokyo CPI Thu and Core PCE could materially shift this read
USDJPY swept down to 161.27 during the NY session before buyers stepped back in, now consolidating 161.50-161.63 with RSI(14) near 59. Price grinds along a rising support line, holding firm tone but well short of the 162.00 intervention zone near the 40-year peak.
Support: 161.50, 161.44, 161.27
Resistance: 161.63, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.74 reopens the path to the 162.00 area
Failure to hold 161.44 reverts toward the 161.27 spike low
Proximity to 162.00 keeps BoJ/MoF intervention risk live
17:01 UTC
Range after sharp intraday drop · RSI 55 · price 161.598
Consolidation between 161.50 and 161.61.
Late NY session ranging 161.50–161.61 after a sharp London-NY drop to the 161.27 session low from the 161.74 session high. RSI(14) neutral near 55 and ATR(14) ~5 pips, with price grinding back above EMA20/50 inside the range.
Support: 161.50, 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens the 161.74 session high and the 162.00 psych level
Failure to hold 161.50 range floor reopens 161.40 swing low and the 161.27 session low
Tokyo CPI and intervention risk near 162.00 could shift this read
16:46 UTC
Range, recovering after sharp drop · RSI 53 · price 161.574
Range-bound 161.27-161.61 after spike rejection.
Pair spiked to 161.737 then dumped to 161.266 on heavy volume during the London-NY transition, a clean rejection short of the 162.00 peak. Since then it has clawed back into a 161.27-161.61 range and sits mid-range near 161.57 with RSI neutral around 53.
Support: 161.40, 161.266
Resistance: 161.61, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens the 161.737 spike high and 162.00
Failure to hold 161.40 reopens the 161.266 session low
Tokyo CPI (Jun 25 23:30 UTC) and intervention chatter near 162.00 could shift this read
16:46 UTC
Recovery off lows, ranging · RSI 54 · price 161.574
Consolidating after a flush to 161.27.
USD/JPY flushed from a 161.74 session high down to 161.27 mid-window before recovering, and has since coiled in a 161.46–161.60 range with RSI(14) hovering near 54. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 but lacks momentum to retest the highs into the NY-Asia transition.
Support: 161.46, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
A close above 161.60 reopens the 161.74 swing high and 162.00 psych level
Failure to hold 161.46 reopens the 161.27 session low
Tokyo CPI (Jun 25 23:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
16:31 UTC
Range after spike-and-fade · RSI 51 · price 161.552
Consolidation, prior spike rejected.
A London-morning spike to 161.737 was sharply rejected and faded to 161.266 before buyers recovered the move. Price has since coiled in a tight 161.48-161.61 range through NY hours with RSI(14) flat near 51. The 162.00 40-year peak sits overhead, where intervention chatter remains live.
Support: 161.48, 161.40, 161.266
Resistance: 161.61, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens 161.737
Failure to hold 161.48 reopens 161.266
162.00 area — proximity to 40yr peak keeps intervention risk live
Core PCE Thu and Tokyo CPI could materially shift this read
16:31 UTC
Ranging after selloff and recovery · RSI 52 · price 161.552
Consolidation between 161.46 and 161.60.
USD/JPY spiked to 161.74 in the NY session then flushed to 161.27 before buyers stepped in, and it now ranges 161.46–161.60 with RSI(14) flat near 52. Price sits just above both EMAs but lacks direction inside the recovery band.
Support: 161.46, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 reopens 161.74 and the 162.00 peak
Break below 161.46 exposes the 161.27 day low
162.00 area keeps BoJ/MoF intervention risk live near 40-yr highs
16:16 UTC
Ranging after sharp rejection · RSI 53 · price 161.552
Consolidating 161.46-161.60 post-drop.
USD/JPY rejected from 161.74 just shy of the 162.00 intervention zone during London hours, then flushed to a 161.27 london low before recovering. NY hours have it boxed between the 161.46 swing low and the 161.60 range top, RSI neutral near 53.
Support: 161.266
Resistance: 161.601, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.60 range top reopens the 161.74 session high and 162.00 psych zone
Loss of 161.46 swing low exposes the 161.27 london low
Tokyo CPI (Jun 25) and Thu US Core PCE could shift this read
16:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 161.552
Range after sharp NY drop and bounce.
USD/JPY spiked to 161.74 then was slammed to 161.27 during NY hours on a high-volume bar, before buyers recovered the loss. Now ranging 161.44-161.61 with RSI(14) neutral near 53; 162.00 intervention zone caps the upside on this stretch.
Support: 161.44, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens the path toward 161.74 / 162.00
Loss of 161.44 reasserts the move back toward the 161.27 session low
Tokyo CPI and US Core PCE later this week could shift the read
16:01 UTC
Range after sharp fade, flat · RSI 48 · price 161.519
Consolidating 161.46-161.61 post spike-and-drop.
USD/JPY spiked to 161.74 into the London hours then dumped to 161.27 on a high-volume bar, rejecting just shy of the 40-year peak. Price has since clawed back into a 161.46-161.61 range through the NY session, RSI(14) flat near 48 with ATR around 6-7 pips.
Support: 161.44, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.61 / 161.74 reopens the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.44 session low exposes the 161.27 swing low
Tokyo CPI Thu and Core PCE could materially shift this read
London hours swept the downside to 161.27 before fully recovering, and price now ranges 161.44–161.60 with USD pinned near 40-yr highs after firm US PMIs. RSI(14) neutral near 49, holding above EMA50 but capped under EMA20; the 162.00 intervention zone overhead remains untested.
Support: 161.44, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 reopens the 161.74 session high and 162.00
Failure to hold 161.44 reopens the 161.27 sweep low
MoF/BoJ intervention risk into 162.00 could trigger a sharp snap-back
Tokyo CPI and US Core PCE later this week could reset the range
NY session faded a spike to 161.737 with a sharp drop into 161.266 before buyers reclaimed back to mid-range; USD/JPY now oscillates 161.46-161.61 with RSI(14) flat near 51. Price sits just above EMA20/50 as the session low holds, intervention chatter near the 40-yr peak capping upside.
Support: 161.46, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 opens the path to 161.74 and the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.46 reopens 161.27 session low
162.00 area to monitor for rejection given Tokyo intervention risk
15:46 UTC
Range, mid-range coil · RSI 52 · price 161.536
Intraday range after spike rejection.
NY afternoon ranging between 161.46 and 161.60 after the spike high at 161.74 was sold sharply down to the 161.27 session low. RSI(14) neutral near 52 with price coiling mid-range, no setup in play.
Support: 161.46, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.60 session high opens the path to the 161.74 spike high and the 162.00 psych/intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.46 swing low reopens the 161.27 session low
15:31 UTC
Range, choppy after spike · RSI 54 · price 161.547
Consolidating above mid-session spike low.
USDJPY is ranging 161.40–161.60 into NY hours after a sharp mid-session sweep to 161.32 was bought back, with the firm USD tone (June PMIs beat) keeping the pair pinned near 40-yr highs. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53; price has clawed back above EMA20/50 but the 161.60 range top is still capping.
Support: 161.40, 161.32, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 opens the path to the 161.74 session high and 162.00
Failure to hold 161.40 reopens the 161.32 spike low
162.00 area and intervention rhetoric remain the upside cap
USDJPY sold off into 161.27 during the NY session after the spike from 161.74, then carved a chain of higher lows back to mid-range with USD firm on beat PMIs. Price now balancing around 161.55 between the 161.61 swing high and the rising 161.40 floor, RSI neutral near 53.
Support: 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens the 161.74 session high
Loss of 161.40 floor exposes the 161.27 session low
Intervention rhetoric near the 162.00 cap could spike volatility
15:16 UTC
Recovering off intraday low, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 161.553
Range after a sharp dip and recovery.
NY session swept the lows to 161.27 before buyers reclaimed the 161.44–161.61 range, USD broadly firm after the beat June flash PMIs. RSI(14) neutral near 53; price coiling just under the 161.61 swing high.
Support: 161.44, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.61 opens the path back to the 161.74 session high
Failure to hold 161.44 reopens the 161.27 session low
162.00 remains the upside cap with intervention rhetoric live
15:16 UTC
Ranging, recovered off lows · RSI 53 · price 161.553
Range after sweep of session low, higher lows building.
NY afternoon saw a sharp flush to 161.27 sweeping the session low, then a steady recovery into a 161.44–161.61 range. RSI(14) neutral near 53; price sits just above EMA20/50 with higher lows building off the low.
Support: 161.44, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens 161.74 session high and the 162.00 psych cap
Loss of 161.44 swing low reasserts the move toward 161.27 session low
Core PCE Thursday and any MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric could materially shift this read
14:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 161.496
Intraday range, rising lows off the low.
USDJPY is ranging 161.27–161.61 through the NY session after the spike to the 161.74 session high was sold off into the 161.27 low. Price has since carved rising lows back to the mid-range, RSI neutral near 48, well shy of the 162.00 intervention zone flagged by MoF/BoJ.
Support: 161.44, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 opens a retest of the 161.74 session high
Failure to hold 161.44 exposes the 161.27 session low
162.00 remains the intervention zone — verbal-warning risk caps upside
14:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear momentum · RSI 49 · price 161.496
Rangebound 161.27–161.61, mid-range.
USDJPY is ranging 161.27–161.61 through the NY session after a sharp drop to 161.32 was bought back; price sits mid-range at 161.50 with RSI(14) flat near 49. No setup in play — the pair coils below the 162.00 intervention zone flagged by MoF.
Support: 161.32, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens the path toward 161.74
Loss of 161.32 confirms a lower-low and exposes 161.27
Tokyo CPI Thu and US PCE later this week are the next catalysts
13:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear intraday direction · RSI 49 · price 161.499
Intraday range, lower high after 161.74 spike.
USDJPY ranging roughly 161.27-161.74 through the London-NY session, with a rejection off 161.61 capping the latest push higher. RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR compressed to ~7 pips; price idling mid-range after the 161.74 spike faded. Dollar held firm near 13-month highs but the 162.00 four-decade peak remains the verbal-intervention wall.
Support: 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.61 then 161.74 opens the path back to the 162.00 intervention zone
Close below 161.27 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday range floor
S&P Global PMIs landing now could shift the dollar read in the next bars
13:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 161.499
Consolidation mid-range after recovery.
USDJPY is ranging 161.27-161.61 through the NY session, with price drifting back to mid-range near 161.50 after stalling at the 161.61 session high. RSI(14) sits neutral around 46 and price is pinned between EMA20 and EMA50 — no momentum either way, with the broader 162.00 intervention zone capping above.
Support: 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens the path toward 161.74
Loss of 161.27 swing low confirms a lower-low and shifts the range lower
Tokyo CPI Thu 23:30 UTC and US PCE Thu could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Ranging, mild recovery · RSI 53 · price 161.551
Intraday range, grinding off lows.
USDJPY chopping in a 161.27–161.60 band through the London-NY session after two sharp dips to the 161.27 swing low were bought back. Price now grinding up to 161.55 just under the 161.60 session high; RSI neutral, no setup in play. Pair stays pinned near 4-decade highs on the rate gap, capped only by intervention rhetoric.
Support: 161.44, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 162.00
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
M15 close above 161.60 opens the path to 162.00
Failure to hold 161.44 reopens the 161.27 swing low
13:31 UTC
Sideways, mild recovery · RSI 54 · price 161.551
Intraday range, higher lows late.
USD/JPY ranging roughly 161.42-161.60 through NY hours after the early dip to 161.07, holding firm on hawkish-Fed dollar support. The latest push stalled under 161.60 with RSI mid-range; higher lows since 161.34 give the move a mild upward tilt, but intervention warnings near 162.00 cap the upside.
Support: 161.42, 161.27, 161.07
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 opens the path to 161.74 then the 162.00 peak
Failure to hold 161.42 reopens 161.27 session low
Intervention rhetoric near 162.00 could trigger a sharp squeeze
13:16 UTC
Range, mild recovery · RSI 56 · price 161.554
Consolidation after London drop.
USDJPY is ranging 161.27–161.60 after the early London leg lower, with price grinding back to the session-high band into NY hours. The pair holds just above EMA20/50, capped by repeated rejection at 161.60; intervention jawboning keeps the 162.00 peak a hard ceiling.
Range-bound after early spike, higher lows building.
NY session has USDJPY grinding back from the 161.27 session low after an early spike sold off to 161.07; bounce capped at 161.61 with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Pair holding above EMA20 inside a 161.44–161.61 range, with the 162.00 four-decade peak and intervention line still overhead.
Support: 161.44, 161.27, 161.07
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the 161.44–161.61 range
Close above 161.61 opens path back toward 161.74
Loss of 161.44 reopens the 161.27 session low
162.00 — intervention-risk zone to watch on extension
USDJPY chopped through two intraday flushes (to 161.07 early, then 161.27 in NY hours) and has recovered to 161.55, holding the 161.10–161.90 consolidation band against the 162.00 ceiling. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 with no momentum extreme; price ranging 161.27–161.74 with no clean break.
Support: 161.27, 161.07
Resistance: 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read in the next bar
Close above 161.74 opens the path toward the 162.00 psych ceiling
Close below 161.27 confirms a lower low and reopens 161.07
13:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 161.554
Consolidation between 161.27 and 161.73.
USDJPY is chopping in a 161.27–161.73 band through the NY session after twin flush lows earlier in the window. Price reclaimed 161.55 with RSI(14) flat near 52; no directional structure in play. US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC land inside the next bar.
Support: 161.44, 161.27
Resistance: 161.73, 162.00
What it said to watch
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the 161.27–161.73 range
M15 close above 161.73 reopens the path to 162.00
Failure to hold 161.44 exposes the 161.27 swing low
USDJPY is ranging 161.27–161.61 through the NY session, drifting back to mid-range at 161.48 after a rejection at 161.61. Two sharp flush lows (161.20 and 161.27) were bought back, but the last few closes ticked lower and price slipped under EMA20/50; RSI sits neutral near 47.
Support: 161.27, 161.39
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 reopens the path toward 161.74
Failure to hold 161.27 confirms a lower-low and exposes 161.20
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
USDJPY rejected the 161.74 session high and slid back into the 161.27–161.61 band, with the last bar stalling at 161.48 below both EMAs. Price is grinding inside the 161.10–161.90 consolidation flagged by officials; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 161.27, 161.07
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range either way
Close below 161.27 confirms a lower-low toward 161.07
Reclaim of 161.61 reopens the 161.74 session high
12:31 UTC
Choppy, range-bound · RSI 49 · price 161.524
Ranging within session band, rising lows off 161.27.
USDJPY chopping in a 161.27–161.60 band through the NY morning, pinned near 40-year highs as intervention chatter from MoF/Bessent coordination capped the move off 161.90 earlier. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 161.27, but 161.60 rejected the latest push and price has eased back to 161.52, RSI flat near 49.
Support: 161.42, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 161.60 reopens 161.74
Failure to hold 161.42 exposes the 161.27 swing low
12:31 UTC
Rangebound, no clear drive · RSI 48 · price 161.524
Choppy range after early flush, ascending lows.
USDJPY is rangebound 161.27–161.60 after an early flush from 161.92 to 161.07, with price now pinning the EMAs near 161.52 and RSI flat around 47. Buyers stepped in twice near 161.27 while supply capped each push at the 161.60 session high.
Support: 161.266, 161.072
Resistance: 161.601, 161.737, 161.925
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 161.601 reopens 161.737; loss of 161.266 confirms a lower-low toward 161.07
USDJPY swept down to 161.27 mid-session before buyers stepped in, grinding a chain of higher lows back to the 161.61 session high. Price stalled there into the close at 161.591, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 60 — momentum constructive but capped under the 161.74 prior high.
Support: 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.61, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.61 opens the path to 161.74 and the 162.00 area
Failure to hold 161.40 reopens the 161.27 session low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read quickly
USDJPY clawed back to 161.59 after a London-session flush to 161.27, printing a higher low and reclaiming both EMAs. Price is mid-range between 161.34 support and the 161.74 swing high; RSI(14) near 60, no extreme.
Support: 161.34, 161.27
Resistance: 161.74, 161.92, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close below 161.34 reopens the 161.27 session low
Break above 161.74 swing high targets the 161.92 prior high
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
162.00 40-yr top remains an intervention-risk cap if approached
12:01 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 161.585
Ranging 161.27–161.74, price mid-upper.
USDJPY based twice near 161.27–161.32 through the London-NY transition and has climbed back to 161.59, RSI(14) firming into the low-60s. Price sits between the session low and the 161.74 session high; the 162.00 40-year top remains the de-facto intervention cap above.
Support: 161.45, 161.27
Resistance: 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 161.74 reopens the path to 162.00
Failure to hold 161.45 puts the 161.27 session low back in play
12:01 UTC
Recovery off session low, short-term up · RSI 64 · price 161.585
Rising lows, reclaiming mid-range after early drop.
USDJPY ground out a session low at 161.27 during NY hours, then snapped back through 161.50 to print 161.60, RSI(14) firming to the mid-60s. The pair stays pinned below the 162.00 40-year top where MoF/BoJ intervention talk keeps the upside capped.
Support: 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.74, 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.74 opens the path back toward 161.90 and the 162.00 intervention line
Failure to hold 161.40 reopens the 161.27 session low
US Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst into this read
11:46 UTC
Ranging, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 161.508
Rising lows after two sell-offs, capped under 161.74.
USD/JPY sold off twice toward 161.07 then 161.27 before grinding back to 161.51, with rising intraday lows building under the 161.74 session high. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and price sits just above EMA20 but below EMA50 — a recovery within range, not a breakout. The 162.00 40-year peak continues to cap as a de-facto intervention line.
Support: 161.27, 161.07
Resistance: 161.65, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC (~2h out) could materially shift this read
Close above 161.74 reopens the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.27 confirms a fresh lower low toward 161.07
11:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 54 · price 161.508
Intraday range 161.27-161.74.
USDJPY is chopping in a 161.27-161.74 range after an early NY-hours drop swept the lows near 161.07; price has since clawed back to 161.51 with RSI(14) neutral around 54. The 162.00 multi-decade top remains the de-facto cap, with verbal intervention warnings keeping the topside heavy.
Support: 161.266, 161.072
Resistance: 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.74 reopens the path toward 162.00
Failure to hold 161.27 confirms a lower-low back toward 161.07
Lower highs after morning drop, consolidating off session low.
NY session pressed USD/JPY to a 161.27 session low before buyers stepped in, and price now consolidates 161.34-161.48 just under the pivot. Rate-gap keeps the yen offered near the 40-year peak, but intervention risk into 162.00 is capping the topside.
Support: 161.34, 161.27
Resistance: 161.48, 161.65
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.48 pivot reopens 161.65 swing high
Loss of 161.34 swing low exposes the 161.27 session low
Tokyo CPI Thu and MoF/BoJ intervention talk near 162.00 could shift this read
NY session has carved a string of lower highs off the 161.74 session high, with a sharp drop to the 161.27 session low; USD stays firm near DXY's 13-month high keeping JPY offered. Price now consolidating 161.34-161.48 just under EMA20, RSI(14) mid-range near 46.
Support: 161.27, 161.07
Resistance: 161.48, 161.66, 161.74
What it said to watch
Close above 161.48 (ema20) then 161.66 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Lower highs into a 161.27 session low, shallow recovery.
London session pushed USDJPY down from 161.74 to a 161.27 session low before a shallow recovery into 161.45, with the rate-gap bid still capped near the 162.00 peak by intervention risk. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI mid-range; 161.52 pivot is the level recovery has to clear.
Support: 161.266, 161.072
Resistance: 161.52, 161.737
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 161.52 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 161.27 confirms continuation toward 161.07
USDJPY rolled over from the 161.74 session high during London hours, printing lower highs and tagging 161.27 before stabilising; price now chops in a 161.34-161.48 band under EMA20/50. RSI(14) mid-range near 46, no momentum extreme. Rate-gap keeps the pair pinned just under the 162.00 peak with intervention talk capping upside.
Support: 161.34, 161.27
Resistance: 161.48, 161.60, 161.74
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 161.27 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.60 prior high negates the lower-high sequence
USD/JPY drifted lower through the European session, carving lower highs from the 161.74 peak down to 161.41 after a dip to the 161.27 session low. Price has based with higher lows over the last two hours; RSI(14) near 41, off the bottom. US PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next catalyst into a stretched-USD backdrop.
Support: 161.27, 161.07
Resistance: 161.48, 161.65
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.48 breaks the descending highs sequence
Loss of 161.27 resumes the lower-low sequence toward 161.07
US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Pullback lower within range · RSI 42 · price 161.412
Lower highs into session low.
USDJPY rolled off the 161.74 swing high and slid to a 161.27 session low during NY hours, now hovering near 161.41 below EMA20/50. Move stays well shy of the 162.00 four-decade cap; RSI(14) near 42 after the leg down.
Support: 161.27, 161.07
Resistance: 161.50, 161.65
What it said to watch
Close above 161.50 round level negates the lower-high sequence
Break below 161.27 session low confirms continuation toward the 161.07 day low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY drifting lower through London hours, carving lower highs from the 161.74 session high back toward the 161.27 swing low after rejection near 161.65. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 at 161.39 with RSI(14) around 41, no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 161.27, 161.20
Resistance: 161.48, 161.57, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.27 swing low confirms a fresh lower low toward 161.20
Reclaim of 161.48 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 161.387
Lower highs into session low.
USDJPY rolled over from the 161.737 NY swing high and is grinding lower highs back toward the 161.266 session low, RSI(14) mid-40s with price below EMA20/50. Firm USD is offset by intervention jitters capping the pair well short of the 162.00 four-decade peak.
Support: 161.266, 161.072
Resistance: 161.479, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.266 confirms a lower low and opens 161.07
Reclaim of 161.479 negates the lower-high sequence
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could reset this read
Lower highs and lower lows since the early spike rejection.
USDJPY ground lower through NY hours, sliding from 161.74 to a session low at 161.266 as the USD stayed firm near cyclical highs. Price now hovers around 161.39 below EMA20/50, lower highs still capping every bounce near 161.54.
Support: 161.266, 161.072
Resistance: 161.54, 161.737
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.54 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 161.27 opens the 161.07 day low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 39 · price 161.386
Lower highs, lower lows.
NY-transition drift lower after rejection at 161.737; price has carved lower highs and a session low at 161.266, now ticking down at 161.386. RSI(14) near 39, no oversold extreme, momentum still pointed down.
Support: 161.34, 161.266
Resistance: 161.48
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.480 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 161.266 confirms next lower low
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower lows · RSI 40 · price 161.397
Lower highs since session high, drifting toward session low.
USD/JPY rolled over from the 161.74 session high, with a sharp rejection through 161.50 dragging price to a 161.27 session low before stabilising near 161.40 in London hours. RSI(14) sits sub-40 with intervention nerves capping upside just below the 162.00 four-decade peak.
Support: 161.27, 161.07
Resistance: 161.50, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.27 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 161.07 window low
Reclaim of 161.50 negates the downside drift back toward the session high
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since the early spike high.
USDJPY is grinding lower through London, chaining lower highs off the 161.737 session high down to the 161.266 session low, with the late-NY 161.925 spike now well faded. Price sits at 161.40 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) near 40 — drift not yet exhaustion, with intervention nerves near the 162.00 peak capping rebounds.
Support: 161.266
Resistance: 161.50, 161.737
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.50 swing pivot would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 161.266 confirms a fresh lower low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY rolled over after the NY rejection at 161.74 and is grinding out lower highs, now pressing the 161.40 area with price under both EMAs and RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Pair holds the JPY-negative, USD-firm backdrop but spot is pinned well below the 162.00 intervention ceiling for now.
Support: 161.27, 161.07
Resistance: 161.74
What it said to watch
Break of 161.27 confirms a fresh lower low toward 161.07
M15 close back above 161.74 invalidates the lower-high sequence
USDJPY rolled over from the 161.74 session high and ground down to a 161.27 session low during London hours, printing lower highs along the way. Price now sits at 161.41, capped under 161.51 with RSI(14) near 41; rejection persists on bounces back into the 161.45-161.51 band.
Support: 161.27
Resistance: 161.51, 161.65, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.51 invalidates the lower-high structure
Break below 161.27 confirms a fresh lower low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 161.398
Lower highs and lower lows off 161.74.
USDJPY rolled over from the 161.74 swing high through the London-into-NY hours, printing lower highs into a session low at 161.27 before steadying at 161.40. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, price holds below EMA20 (~161.55); pair pinned well off the 162.00 40-year peak as intervention nerves cap the topside.
Support: 161.266, 161.072
Resistance: 161.55, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close back above 161.55 (ema20) breaks the chain of lower highs
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 39 · price 161.398
Lower highs and lower lows since 161.74.
USD/JPY rolled over from the 161.74 session high through London-NY hours, printing lower highs and a fresh push to 161.27 as intervention nerves capped the run toward the 162.00 peak. Price holds just above the session low at 161.40, RSI(14) near 39, ATR ~11 pips.
Support: 161.27, 161.20
Resistance: 161.50, 161.65, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.27 confirms a lower low toward the 161.20 spike low
Reclaim of 161.50 swing needed to ease the downside pressure
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
London session has carved a stair-step lower from 161.74, printing a session low at 161.27 before a shallow bounce to 161.39. RSI(14) near 40 with ATR elevated after the intraday flush; price holds below EMA20/50 and a chain of lower highs caps rallies.
Support: 161.27, 161.07
Resistance: 161.55, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.27 opens the path toward 161.07
Reclaim of 161.55 negates the lower-high sequence
US S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 161.393
Lower-high chain into session lows.
USD/JPY ground lower through the European session, sliding from the 161.74 swing high to a 161.27 session low with RSI(14) holding the low-40s. Price trades below EMA20/50 with a clean lower-high chain; the 162.00 intervention cap continues to weigh on upside attempts.
Support: 161.266, 161.072
Resistance: 161.479, 161.737, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.48 breaks the lower-high chain
Break below 161.27 session low opens 161.07
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, NY fade in play · RSI 43 · price 161.46
Lower highs off session peak, slipping below EMAs.
USD/JPY faded through NY hours from the 161.74 session high back toward 161.27, trading below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43. The pair stays pinned beneath the 162.00 40-year peak where intervention fears keep capping; earlier spike to 161.92 was sharply rejected.
Support: 161.27, 161.07
Resistance: 161.57, 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.57 swing area would neutralise the downtrend read
Loss of 161.27 session low confirms a lower-low toward 161.07 spike low
Approach to 162.00 raises MoF/BoJ intervention risk
USD/JPY slipped from the 162.00 cap and printed a lower high at 161.74 before fading to 161.27 into the NY session, RSI(14) at 37 reflecting the downside grind. Intervention jitters near the 40-year peak kept rallies capped while price holds above the 161.27 session low.
Support: 161.27, 161.07
Resistance: 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.74 invalidates the lower-high read
Loss of 161.27 opens the path toward the 161.07 window low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
162.00 zone — area to watch for intervention-driven reversal
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, recent leg lower · RSI 42 · price 161.46
Lower highs into fresh session low.
Prior NY session spiked then crashed from 161.925 to 161.07; Asia consolidated near 161.55-161.60. London selling resumed, marking a fresh low at 161.266 before a shallow bounce to 161.46, with RSI(14) mid-40s. JPY remains pinned near 4-decade lows under verbal-intervention overhang.
Support: 161.266, 161.072
Resistance: 161.55, 161.925
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.55 prior range would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 161.266 session low reopens the path toward the 161.072 day low
NY-into-London hours sold USD/JPY from 161.74 down to a 161.27 session low, then a corrective bounce to 161.46 with RSI(14) recovering off the low. Lower highs intact and price below EMA20/50; carry grind capped near 161.74 with verbal-intervention overhang the only brake.
Support: 161.27, 161.07
Resistance: 161.60, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 161.27 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 161.07
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into London · RSI 40 · price 161.422
Lower highs / lower lows, sub-EMA.
London open brought renewed selling, USD/JPY breaking the 161.55 pivot and pressing the 161.27 session low with RSI(14) near 39. USD stays firm into PMIs while verbal intervention near 162 caps the topside; price is sitting at the lower end of the 24h range.
Support: 161.266, 161.072
Resistance: 161.55
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.266 confirms continuation toward the 161.07 spike low
Reclaim of 161.55 pivot neutralises the lower-high sequence
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift the USD-side read
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 39 · price 161.422
Selling off from session high, lower highs into 161.42.
USDJPY rolled over from the 161.737 session high during London hours, printing lower highs down to 161.266 before stabilising at 161.42. RSI(14) near 38, price below EMA20 and EMA50, with supply capping at 161.59.
Support: 161.266, 161.203
Resistance: 161.51, 161.59, 161.737
What it said to watch
Close below 161.266 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 161.59 negates the lower-high structure
S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
London session rolled over from the 161.74 swing high into a fresh session low at 161.266, RSI(14) pressed down to ~31. The grind lower remains intact below the broken 161.55-161.65 shelf despite USD/JPY pinned near multi-decade highs on rate differentials.
Support: 161.266, 161.072
Resistance: 161.65, 161.737
What it said to watch
A close below 161.27 opens the path to the 161.07 swing low
Reclaim of 161.65 would negate the lower-high sequence
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY rolled over from the 161.737 session high and broke the prior range floor, printing a fresh lower low at 161.266 with RSI(14) near 37. Price sits at 161.39, below EMA20/50, with carry-trade flows offset by recurring verbal-intervention warnings near the 162 4-decade high.
Support: 161.266, 161.072
Resistance: 161.55, 161.65, 161.737
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.55 ema20 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Loss of 161.266 session low extends the down leg toward 161.07 spike low
S&P Global US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD side of this read
08:16 UTC
Lower, fading off session high · RSI 41 · price 161.452
Range with a fresh lower high.
Rejection at the 161.74 session high triggered a London-open flush back to 161.32, mirroring the earlier NY-session drop that bottomed at the 161.07 day low; RSI(14) cooling near 40. Pair sits at 161.45 after the leg lower, with the 162.00 intervention cap unchallenged given verbal MoF warnings.
Support: 161.32, 161.07
Resistance: 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.32 session low opens the 161.07 day low
Reclaim of 161.74 session high needed to repair the lower high
Proximity to 162.00 psych cap keeps intervention risk live; Tokyo CPI Thu 23:30 UTC the next BoJ catalyst
08:16 UTC
Downtick within wider range · RSI 43 · price 161.452
Rejected 161.74, holding 161.32.
USDJPY rolled over from 161.74 into London hours and printed 161.32, the same level swept earlier in the window; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42. Holding just above the 161.32 session low after a soft bounce to 161.51.
Support: 161.323, 161.20
Resistance: 161.66, 161.737
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.32 opens the path to the 161.20 spike low
Reclaim of 161.66 intraday high negates the lower-high read
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
08:01 UTC
Range, slipping lower late · RSI 41 · price 161.50
Intraday range, lower high into London drop.
Price held a 161.50-161.65 range through Asia before a London-session push to 161.74 was rejected and sold sharply to a 161.32 low, closing back at 161.50. RSI(14) near 41 after the leg down; intervention chatter keeps the 162.00 cap in focus.
Support: 161.32, 161.07
Resistance: 161.74, 161.92, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.32 confirms a lower-low toward the 161.07 monday low
Reclaim of 161.74 swing high reopens the 161.92 spike high
MoF intervention risk intensifies on any drift back toward 162.00
08:01 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 161.50
Lower high then sharp leg down, shallow bounce.
London open rejected 161.74 (session high) and dumped to 161.32 in two sharp candles, with price now hovering 161.50 on a shallow bounce. RSI(14) near 42, both EMAs overhead; intervention-alert remains a feature near the 162.00 cap noted in context.
Support: 161.32, 161.20, 161.07
Resistance: 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.74 (session high) negates the pullback read
Break of 161.32 session low exposes 161.20 swing low and 161.07 prior low
MoF intervention rhetoric near 162.00 could trigger violent short-covering
London session opened with a sharp drop from the 161.74 swing high through 161.55 toward 161.32, now hovering at 161.47 below both EMAs. The prior 161.55-161.66 consolidation gave way to the downside; RSI(14) near 40 reflects the pullback without an extreme. Yen weakness theme intact but intervention rhetoric near 162.00 caps the upside.
Support: 161.388, 161.323
Resistance: 161.572, 161.66, 161.737
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.572 broken level negates the downside break
Failure to hold 161.388 session low opens 161.32 spike low
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 161.472
Range, sharp leg down from 161.74.
USDJPY was rejected at the 161.74 session high and dumped to 161.32 into the London handover, now stabilising near 161.47 with RSI(14) around 41. Price sits back inside the broader 161.32-161.74 range; intervention chatter near 162.00 continues to cap the upside.
Support: 161.323, 161.072
Resistance: 161.737
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.32 session low confirms a lower-low and opens 161.07
Reclaim of 161.74 session high re-tests the 162.00 cap zone
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 49 · price 161.541
Rise off 161.40 capped at 161.737, sweep of 161.32.
Early London probed the session high at 161.737 then a sharp wick swept 161.323 before recovering to close 161.54; RSI(14) neutral near 49. The move has retraced over half the rise off 161.40, with the session high capping and price now back below the EMA20.
Support: 161.323
Resistance: 161.737, 161.925
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.32 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 161.737 reopens the upside toward the 161.92 prior high
Approach to the ~162 intervention zone could trigger sharp two-way moves
07:31 UTC
Sideways near highs, fading from 161.74 · RSI 44 · price 161.541
Range with sharp downside spikes.
USD/JPY rejected at the 161.74 session high and snapped down to 161.32 before recovering to 161.54, the second sharp downside spike in the window. Pair remains pinned just below the 162.00 psych zone where intervention risk sits; price now back below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 161.32, 161.07
Resistance: 161.74, 161.92, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.74 reopens 161.92 and the 162.00 psych zone
Failure to hold 161.32 spike low exposes the 161.07 window low
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines near 162.00 could force an outsized snap lower
USD/JPY flushed ~85 pips lower during NY hours, sweeping to 161.07 before grinding back to 161.62 through Asia. Price now consolidates under the 161.737 session high in early London, RSI(14) neutral near 52; the 161.49 range low has held repeatedly.
Support: 161.49, 161.20, 161.07
Resistance: 161.737, 161.92
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.737 reopens the path toward the 161.92 prior high
Loss of 161.49 range low exposes the spike low at 161.20
162 zone remains the line in the sand for Tokyo intervention
Pair snapped lower in the NY session to a 161.07 spike low on the USD-firm/Iran-risk impulse, then ground back up through Asia into a 161.49–161.60 consolidation. Push to the 161.737 session high faded, pulling back to 161.63; RSI(14) mid-range with ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 161.543, 161.494, 161.072
Resistance: 161.737, 161.925
What it said to watch
Close above 161.737 session high opens the path toward 161.925 prior high
Failure to hold 161.543 swing low reopens the 161.494 range low
162 zone remains the four-decade-high intervention line in the sand
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 161.676
Higher lows after earlier flush, retesting session high.
USDJPY has ground back to the 161.74 session high after the earlier sharp flush to 161.07 was fully recovered, with JPY pinned near multi-decade lows. Price stair-stepped higher through the Asian/London transition on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) near 58 with room before extremes; last bar eased off 161.74 to 161.68.
Support: 161.54, 161.07
Resistance: 161.74, 161.92, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.74 opens the path toward the 161.92 spike high and the 162.00 psych/intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.54 swing low breaks the rising-low structure
162.00 is a known MOF intervention trigger — area to monitor for sharp rejection
07:01 UTC
Recovering, micro uptrend off the lows · RSI 60 · price 161.676
Range base ~161.54 holding, higher highs into session.
USDJPY swept down to 161.20 yesterday before clawing back, and is now grinding higher in a tight micro uptrend, last printing 161.68 just under the 161.74 session high. Buyers have defended the 161.54 base repeatedly; price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 60, not yet stretched.
Support: 161.54, 161.40, 161.20
Resistance: 161.74, 161.92
What it said to watch
Close above 161.74 opens the path back toward 161.92
Failure to hold 161.54 base reopens 161.40 and the 161.20 spike low
S&P Global US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
06:46 UTC
Recovering, micro-uptrend after sweep · RSI 61 · price 161.715
Higher lows grinding back toward pre-spike highs.
A sharp NY-session sweep yesterday flushed price from 161.92 down to 161.07 before buyers reclaimed the move, and the pair has since carved higher lows back to the 161.737 session high. RSI(14) near 61 with price above both EMAs; recovery intact while 161.55 holds.
Support: 161.55, 161.49, 161.07
Resistance: 161.737, 161.78, 161.92
What it said to watch
Close above 161.78 opens the path back to the 161.92 pre-spike high
Failure to hold 161.55 pivot stalls the recovery and reopens 161.49
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off the spike low, back near pre-drop range.
A flash drop during the NY session swept down to 161.07 before snapping back, leaving a false break below the range. Price has since carved higher lows back to 161.72, RSI(14) firm near 63 as it presses the 161.78 session high; range top still capping for now.
Support: 161.55, 161.20, 161.07
Resistance: 161.78, 161.92, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.78 session high opens the path toward the 161.92 spike high
162.00 is the noted intervention zone — area to watch for sharp rejection
Failure to hold 161.55 range floor reopens the 161.20 sweep low
A sharp spike to 161.92 reversed hard into a 161.07 flush mid-session, then price recovered through the day building higher lows back to 161.66. RSI(14) near 61 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips as the Asia session grinds toward the 161.68 swing high.
Support: 161.543, 161.072
Resistance: 161.683, 161.904, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.683 reopens the path toward the 161.90 prior high
Failure to hold 161.54 breaks the rising-low sequence
Tokyo CPI Jun 25 and the 162.00 intervention zone are the key risks above
Climbing back toward pre-spike highs after flash drop.
USDJPY snapped lower in a violent spike earlier in the window — a wick to 161.07 after a rejection at 161.92 — then recovered through the Asia session, now grinding back toward the 161.68 session high. RSI(14) near 58, price holding above EMA20/50 with demand stepping in around 161.55.
Support: 161.55, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.68, 161.75, 161.92
What it said to watch
Sustained move above 161.68 opens the path back toward 161.75/161.92
Loss of 161.55 reopens the 161.42 session low
USD/JPY near 162.00 four-decade high keeps MOF intervention risk live on any extension
Higher lows off 161.07 sweep low, consolidating below session high.
USDJPY dropped ~85 pips from 161.92 to a 161.07 session low during NY hours, then ground steadily back through the Asia session to 161.66 on a chain of higher lows. Price now consolidates just under the 161.69 session high with RSI(14) mid-range near 60 — no fresh extreme. The 161.75/162.00 intervention zone caps overhead.
Support: 161.49, 161.07
Resistance: 161.69, 161.75, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.75 opens the path toward the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.49 range low breaks the recovery's higher-low chain
MOF intervention risk intensifies on any approach to 162.00
USDJPY flushed from ~161.90 to a 161.07 spike low mid-window before buyers reclaimed most of the move; price now grinds back up to 161.66 on ascending lows. Recent micro-structure is constructive with the 161.55 swing low holding, but the 161.68/161.77 band still caps.
Support: 161.55, 161.49, 161.07
Resistance: 161.68, 161.77, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 reopens the path toward the 161.90 pre-flush high
Failure to hold 161.55 risks a retest of the 161.49 range low
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Thin Asian session grinding higher in a tight 161.54-161.62 band after the NY-session flush to 161.07 and recovery. Higher lows are stacking with RSI(14) mid-range near 60; the 161.69 swing high caps the move for now.
Support: 161.54, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.69, 161.77, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.69 opens the path back toward the 161.77 prior high
Loss of 161.54 asia low reopens the downside toward 161.42
162.00 remains the four-decade-high intervention zone
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
A sharp flush to 161.07 mid-window swept lows before buyers reclaimed back to 161.62; since then price has coiled in a tight 161.54–161.68 band with RSI(14) near 60. Now grinding the upper edge of that range, retesting the 161.68 session high.
Support: 161.54, 161.07, 161.00
Resistance: 161.68, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.68 opens the path to 161.90
Failure to hold 161.54 reopens the 161.07 spike low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY swept down to 161.07 during NY hours yesterday before recovering ~62% of the drop; price now grinds a tight 161.52-161.63 band through the Asian session with ATR compressed near 4 pips. Sub-decade-high carry pressure keeps the 162.00 intervention zone the upside reference.
Support: 161.49, 161.52, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.63 extends the recovery toward 161.69
Failure to hold 161.49 reopens downside toward the 161.07 spike low
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD read
A sharp Asia-session flush to 161.20 was bought back through the London hours, and price has since coiled in a 161.54-161.63 range with lows steadily lifting on rising support. RSI(14) near 58 and price holding above both EMAs as it presses the range top.
Support: 161.54, 161.49, 161.20
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 161.75
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.69 reopens the 161.75 ceiling
Loss of 161.54 exposes the 161.49 session low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Recovery off flush low, now flat · RSI 56 · price 161.61
Consolidation after sharp flush and grind-back.
A sharp flush mid-NY hours swept 161.07 from 161.92, then price recovered steadily through the Asian session. Now consolidating 161.49–161.68 with RSI(14) mid-range near 56; the recovery range is holding into the European open.
Support: 161.49, 161.07
Resistance: 161.68, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.49 reopens the path toward the 161.07 spike low
161.90/162.00 cycle high — area to watch for rejection or break, and the flagged intervention zone
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Recovering from spike low, now ranging · RSI 57 · price 161.61
Consolidation after sharp flush and rebound.
A violent flush from 161.92 to 161.07 mid-window — intervention caution per the JPY read — was bought back, leaving price grinding in a tight 161.52–161.63 range. RSI(14) neutral near 57; the recovery has stalled just under the session high.
Support: 161.52, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.63 reopens the path toward the 161.92/162.00 cycle high
Failure to hold 161.52 reopens the 161.07 session low
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Recovering, ranging after sharp drop · RSI 58 · price 161.625
Range with mild higher lows post-spike.
USDJPY took a violent drop from 161.92 to 161.07 around the London-NY session (intervention caution noted in the digest), then recovered and has since ranged roughly 161.49-161.68. Price is grinding back toward the range top near current 161.63, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 161.49, 161.07
Resistance: 161.69, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.69 session high reopens the path toward the 162.00 cycle high
Failure to hold 161.49 range low reasserts downside toward the 161.07 monday low
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
A sharp sell-off swept down to 161.07 from the 161.90 spike high before buyers stepped in and dragged price back into a 161.52–161.63 band through the Asia session. Current bar sits at the top of that recovery range with RSI(14) mid-50s; the 161.68 swing high caps the upside.
Support: 161.52, 161.07
Resistance: 161.68, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.68 swing high reopens the path toward the 161.90 spike high
Loss of 161.52 range base exposes the 161.07 session low again
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Intervention risk near 162.00 remains live
05:01 UTC
Recovering after sharp selloff, grinding up · RSI 58 · price 161.625
Consolidation above the selloff low, slow higher closes.
A sharp ~85-pip selloff from 161.90 to 161.07 hit during London-NY hours (consistent with intervention caution near JPY's four-decade lows), then price clawed back roughly 60% of the move through the Asia session. Now consolidating ~161.55-161.63 with RSI mid-range, holding above EMA20/50; 161.69 caps the recovery.
Support: 161.54, 161.49, 161.07
Resistance: 161.69, 161.90
What it said to watch
Close above 161.69 opens the path to the 161.90 cycle area
Failure to hold 161.54 reopens 161.49 then the 161.07 flash low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
05:01 UTC
Recovery grind after sharp drop · RSI 57 · price 161.625
Consolidation off the session low.
USD/JPY collapsed from 161.92 to 161.07 mid-window then clawed back, now grinding around 161.62 in thin Asian-session trade with RSI(14) neutral. Price is pressing the 161.63 session high after retracing ~62% of the drop; below sits range support at 161.52.
Support: 161.52, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 opens the path to 161.69/161.70
Failure to hold 161.52 reopens the 161.42 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Tight consolidation post-sweep, inside Asian range.
USDJPY is grinding in a tight 161.49–161.63 range through the Asia session, recovered to ~0.6 of the violent earlier spike that probed 161.92 (near the four-decade high zone) before collapsing to the 161.07 Monday low on intervention caution. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and ATR is compressed at ~4 pips — no momentum in play right now.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.68, 161.92
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
M15 close above 161.63 reopens the 161.68/161.92 spike high zone
Failure to hold 161.49 exposes the 161.42 swing low
Asian session grinding in a tight 161.52-161.63 range, ATR(14) just ~3 pips with thin volume. The prior NY session saw a sharp sweep down to 161.07 before buyers reclaimed back to 161.68; price now sits mid-range at 161.58 with USD broadly firm post-Fed.
Support: 161.49, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.70
What it said to watch
Close above 161.70 pivot opens the 161.90/162.00 cycle high zone
Loss of 161.49 session low reopens the 161.07 spike low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
04:31 UTC
Range after flush, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 161.577
Ranging post-spike, 161.52-161.63.
USD/JPY flushed sharply to 161.07 in early session then snapped back, and has since coiled in a tight 161.52-161.63 range with RSI(14) flat near 51. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 161.49 while supply caps the 161.63 area; intervention watch stays live up near the 161.90/162.00 zone.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.68, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 opens the path back toward the 161.68 recovery high
Failure to hold 161.49 exposes the 161.42 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range
04:31 UTC
Range after sharp selloff · RSI 51 · price 161.577
Consolidation between 161.49 and 161.63.
USD/JPY spiked to 161.92 then flushed to 161.07 during NY hours on intervention caution, and has since coiled into a tight 161.49–161.63 range. Price sits mid-range near 161.58 with RSI(14) flat around 51 in early Asia hours.
Support: 161.49, 161.072
Resistance: 161.631, 161.925
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.49 reopens the 161.07 spike low
M15 close above 161.63 reopens the path toward the 161.92 cycle high
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
04:16 UTC
Ranging after sharp drop · RSI 46 · price 161.549
Tight range, partial recovery off spike low.
A sharp ~85 pip flush from 161.92 — right under the four-decade high and flagged intervention zone — reversed hard during London-NY hours, printing the 161.07 spike low. Price has since stabilised into a tight Asia-session range between 161.49 and 161.63, RSI back near neutral and momentum flat.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 reopens the path toward the swing high at 161.69
Break below 161.49 range low exposes the 161.42 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this range
Intervention risk near 162.00 remains live on any push back up
04:16 UTC
Ranging after sharp drop · RSI 46 · price 161.549
Consolidation between 161.49 and 161.63.
A vertical drop from 161.92 to 161.07 during NY hours — flagged around intervention caution — wiped out the prior grind higher. Since then USDJPY has settled into a tight Asia-session range between 161.49 and 161.63, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and price hugging the EMA50.
Support: 161.49, 161.40, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 161.92
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 reopens the path toward 161.69
Failure to hold 161.49 exposes 161.40 then the 161.07 range low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range
04:01 UTC
Range after sharp spike down · RSI 49 · price 161.551
Consolidation in tight range, choppy.
USD/JPY rejected the 161.90 cycle-high zone mid-window and spiked to 161.07 before recovering, consistent with intervention caution near four-decade highs. Since then it has chopped in a tight 161.49–161.63 range into the Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 50 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 reopens the 161.69 session high then 161.90 cycle high
Loss of 161.49 range low exposes 161.42 swing low and the 161.07 spike low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Ranging after sharp drop · RSI 51 · price 161.551
Consolidation post-sweep, mid-range.
USDJPY spiked to 161.92 then dumped to 161.07 in a sharp sweep, intervention caution capping the four-decade-high zone. Since then it has consolidated between 161.49 and 161.63, RSI neutral near 51 with no setup in play.
Support: 161.49, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.90
What it said to watch
Close above 161.63 reopens the 161.90 cycle high
Close below 161.49 reopens the 161.07 monday low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
03:46 UTC
Consolidating after sharp flush · RSI 53 · price 161.594
Tight range, holding 61.8% retrace.
Thin Asia-session trade, USD/JPY consolidating 161.52–161.63 after the sharp NY-session flush from 161.92 down to 161.07 the prior day. Price is parked on the 61.8% retrace of that drop near 161.60, with the 161.63 range top capping and RSI(14) neutral around 53.
Support: 161.52, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.70, 161.92
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 opens the path toward the 161.70 prior high
Loss of 161.52 reopens the 161.42 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Pullback from highs, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 161.594
Range after sharp drop from 161.92.
USD/JPY spiked to 161.92 near the four-decade high before collapsing roughly 85 pips to 161.07 — intervention caution is flagged in context. Since then price has based and is consolidating 161.49–161.63 with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 161.49, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.92
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.49 reopens the 161.07 swing low
Reclaim of 161.63 puts the 161.92 cycle high back in play
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range
03:31 UTC
Ranging after sharp drop and recovery · RSI 52 · price 161.568
Consolidation inside 161.52–161.63.
USD/JPY swept down to 161.07 during the NY session — an intervention scare near the 162.00 trigger zone — then recovered and has consolidated between 161.52 and 161.63 through Asia. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 with ATR compressed to about 5 pips; no directional setup in play.
Support: 161.52, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.71
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 reopens the path toward 161.71
Loss of 161.52 exposes the 161.42 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range
Intervention headline risk persists near 162.00
03:31 UTC
Ranging after sharp sell-off · RSI 52 · price 161.568
Tight range, 161.49-161.63.
Asia session grinding sideways in a tight 161.49-161.63 band after a sharp sell-off ~13h earlier rejected the 161.92 high near the 162 intervention zone. RSI(14) neutral around 52 with ATR thin at ~5 pips, no setup in play.
Support: 161.49, 161.42
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 161.92
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 reopens the path toward the 161.69 recovery high
Failure to hold 161.49 exposes the 161.42 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range
Intervention headline risk persists near the 162 area
Range-bound 161.52-161.63 after a sharp downside sweep.
Quiet Asia session grinding in a tight 161.52-161.63 range, RSI(14) neutral near 52. The structure follows a violent NY-hours sweep down to 161.07 that fully recovered into the mid-161.50s; price has since stalled around the 50% retrace of that drop.
Support: 161.52, 161.49, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 ends the consolidation range
Loss of 161.49 reopens the 161.07 spike low
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range; intervention risk persists near 162
03:16 UTC
Ranging after volatility spike · RSI 52 · price 161.574
Tight range, no clear HH/HL chain.
USDJPY is grinding sideways in thin Asia trade between 161.52 and 161.63 after a sharp two-way spike during the prior session swept the lows to 161.07 and snapped back. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips; no setup in play.
Support: 161.521, 161.49
Resistance: 161.631, 161.677
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 reopens the 161.68 swing high
Failure to hold 161.49 confirms a lower-low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
Intervention headline risk persists toward 162.00
03:01 UTC
Range after volatility spike, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 161.549
Consolidation inside post-spike range.
Quiet Asia session ranging 161.52-161.63 after the prior-session flush that spiked to 161.07 and recovered. RSI(14) neutral near 45, price hugging the lower edge of the range with thin volume.
Support: 161.52, 161.40, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 reopens the 161.69 lower high
Loss of 161.52 confirms a lower low toward 161.40
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
Proximity to 162.00 keeps MoF/BoJ intervention risk elevated
03:01 UTC
Ranging after NY spike · RSI 49 · price 161.549
Consolidation in low 161.50s.
USDJPY is chopping in a 161.49–161.63 range through the quiet Tokyo open after a violent NY-session spike that wicked to 161.92 then flushed to 161.07. Price has rebuilt into the mid-161.50s with RSI flat near 48; the pair sits near multi-decade highs and within striking distance of the 162.00 intervention line.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.68, 161.92
What it said to watch
Close above 161.63 range top reopens the 161.68 swing high
Loss of 161.49 session low exposes 161.42
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range
Proximity to 162.00 keeps MoF/BoJ intervention risk elevated
02:46 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 161.552
Tight range after NY spike.
USDJPY is grinding sideways through the Asia session between 161.49 and 161.63, ATR compressed to ~5 pips. The earlier NY spike that swept down to 161.20 was fully bought back, but price has since stalled below the 161.63 session high with RSI(14) hovering mid-range.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.20
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 reopens the swing high at 161.69
Loss of the 161.49 range low exposes the 161.42 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
162.00 four-decade-high zone keeps intervention risk elevated on any upside extension
02:46 UTC
Range after sharp drop, fully recovered · RSI 46 · price 161.552
Consolidation in the mid-161s.
A violent spike lower mid-window stabbed to 161.07 (Monday's low area) and was fully retraced within the hour, a clean downside sweep. Price has since drifted in a tight 161.49-161.63 range through the Asia session with RSI(14) neutral near 46 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 161.49, 161.40, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69
What it said to watch
Close below 161.49 session low opens 161.40 then 161.07
Close above 161.63 swing high reopens the 161.69 recovery high
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range
Proximity to 162.00 keeps intervention risk elevated
02:31 UTC
Rangebound after recovery · RSI 48 · price 161.54
Consolidation off the spike low.
USDJPY is grinding in a tight Asia-session range around 161.54 after a sharp sell-off to the 161.07 Monday low got fully bought back, peaking at 161.68. Price now coils between 161.49 and 161.63 with RSI near neutral and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.68, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.68 swing high reopens the path toward 162.00
Loss of 161.49 session low exposes 161.42 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
162.00 four-decade-high zone carries elevated intervention risk
Thin Asia session, USDJPY ranging 161.49–161.63 after a violent drop to 161.07 during the prior session that swept lows before recovering. Price sits mid-range at 161.54, RSI(14) flat near 46, no setup in play.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.68
What it said to watch
Close above 161.63 session high reopens the path to 161.68
Loss of 161.49 session low exposes 161.42 swing low
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range; 162.00 remains the intervention line
02:16 UTC
Ranging after spike rejection · RSI 53 · price 161.574
Tight consolidation in Asia after NY sweep.
NY session spiked to 161.93 near the 162.00 intervention line and was sharply rejected, sweeping down to 161.07 before recovering. Asia is now consolidating tightly between 161.49 and 161.63 with thin volume; RSI neutral near 53 and ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 161.49, 161.072
Resistance: 161.63, 161.925
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 reopens the move toward the 161.92 spike high
Loss of 161.49 puts the 161.07 spike low back in focus
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the Asian range
Proximity to 162.00 keeps intervention risk elevated
02:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 161.574
Consolidation after spike low.
Asia session grinding sideways in a 161.49–161.63 band on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral near 50. The earlier sharp spike down to 161.07 during prior hours swept lows before a recovery; price has since stabilised mid-range, holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 161.49, 161.40, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 162.00
What it said to watch
Break above 161.63 opens path back toward the 161.69 swing high
Loss of 161.49 asia low reopens 161.40
162.00 intervention zone overhead; US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read
02:01 UTC
Ranging after volatile recovery · RSI 53 · price 161.594
Range between 161.49 and 161.68.
USDJPY swept down to 161.07 during the NY drop before recovering to 161.677; Asia session has since gone quiet, ranging 161.49-161.63 on thin volume with RSI(14) neutral near 53. No setup in play while the pair coils mid-range.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.68, 161.90
What it said to watch
Close above 161.68 session high reopens the path toward 161.90
Loss of 161.49 range low exposes the 161.42 swing low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
02:01 UTC
Ranging after sharp drop · RSI 54 · price 161.594
Consolidation, mid-161s.
A violent NY-session flush from ~161.90 down to 161.07 erased the day's USD gains; price has since recovered to a ~61.8% retrace and is grinding sideways. Asia session now ranges quietly between 161.49 and 161.63 on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.69 reopens the path toward the 161.90 spike high
Failure to hold 161.49 exposes 161.42 swing low
Proximity to 162.00 keeps intervention risk elevated
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
01:46 UTC
Recovering after sharp flush, now flat · RSI 50 · price 161.574
Tight range above recovery low.
USD/JPY spiked to 161.92 in the NY session then flushed to 161.07 in a sharp move, consistent with the intervention-warning backdrop, before recovering. Price has since coiled into a tight 161.52–161.63 range through Asia with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 161.90
What it said to watch
Close above 161.69 reopens the 161.90 session high
Loss of 161.42 exposes the 161.07 low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range
01:46 UTC
Ranging after sharp flush · RSI 52 · price 161.574
Consolidation in mid-161s post-spike.
USD/JPY is consolidating in the mid-161s through Asia after a violent flush from the 161.90 pre-flush high down to 161.07 in the prior NY session, near the 162.00 four-decade line officials have flagged for intervention. Price now holds a tight 161.49–161.63 range with RSI(14) neutral around 52.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 session high opens 161.69 prior swing
Loss of 161.49 session low exposes 161.42 swing low then 161.07 monday low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range
01:31 UTC
Ranging after sharp shakeout · RSI 52 · price 161.568
Consolidation above the recovery low, sub-161.70.
USD/JPY spiked to 161.93 mid-window then collapsed to 161.07 — a sharp rejection just shy of the 162.00 intervention line — before grinding back into a tight 161.49-161.63 range in the thin early-Asia session. Price now sits on its EMAs with RSI(14) neutral near 52, no directional conviction in play.
Support: 161.49, 161.40, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.70, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.70 reopens the path to the 161.93 spike high and 162.00 intervention line
Loss of 161.49 exposes 161.40 and the 161.07 session low
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift the USD leg of this read
01:31 UTC
Recovered into range after NY flush · RSI 51 · price 161.568
Ranging 161.49–161.63 post-sweep.
A sharp NY-session flush swept down to 161.07 before snapping back, leaving price coiled in a 161.49–161.63 band. Asia hours are quiet on thin volume, RSI(14) flat near 51, no setup in play.
Support: 161.49, 161.42
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 161.92
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 opens 161.69 then the 161.92 spike high
Failure to hold 161.49 exposes 161.42 swing low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
162.00 four-decade high remains the de facto intervention line
USD/JPY is grinding a tight Asian-session range between 161.49 and 161.63 after the earlier London/NY washout to 161.07 was bought back. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 and ATR has collapsed to ~4.6 pips in thin overnight trade, leaving price pinned just under the 162.00 four-decade high.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.20
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.69 opens the path back to the 161.90 pre-drop high
Loss of 161.49 session low exposes 161.42, then the 161.20 spike low
US flash PMIs today 13:45 UTC could break this range
162.00 remains the de facto intervention line
01:16 UTC
Consolidating after sharp flush · RSI 52 · price 161.576
Range-bound, mid prior down-leg.
USD/JPY spiked to 161.925 then flushed to 161.07 during NY hours on the USD/Iran-risk swings before recovering into mid-range. Asia session now grinds quietly between 161.52 and 161.63 on thin volume, RSI back near neutral.
Support: 161.52, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.92
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 session high reopens the 161.92 spike high
Loss of 161.52 session low exposes the 161.42 swing low
162.00 remains the intervention line officials are flagging
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
01:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 161.576
Consolidation after spike-driven sweep.
USDJPY was swept down to 161.07 mid-window on a sharp high-volume spike, then clawed back to consolidate in the 161.49–161.63 band. RSI(14) is back near 52 and price is sitting on EMA20, with 161.63 capping as session resistance into thin late-session liquidity.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.631, 161.70, 161.925
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 session high reopens the 161.70 swing and the 161.92 spike high
Failure to hold 161.49 session low exposes the 161.42 swing low
USDJPY near the ~162 four-decade high keeps Tokyo intervention risk live
01:01 UTC
Recovered, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 161.576
Range after volatile sweep, 161.49–161.63.
USDJPY saw a violent NY-session flush from 161.925 to 161.072 before clawing back above mid-161.00s, in line with the firm-USD/weak-JPY backdrop near 40-year highs. Thin Asia trade since has it pinned in a tight 161.49–161.63 range, RSI back to neutral after the spike.
Support: 161.49, 161.42
Resistance: 161.63, 161.70, 161.925
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 reopens the 161.70 prior high
Loss of 161.49 exposes 161.42 swing low
Proximity to ~162 four-decade high keeps Tokyo intervention risk live
00:46 UTC
Range after volatile drop · RSI 46 · price 161.544
Consolidation, mid-range.
A sharp NY-session spike down swept 161.07 from 161.92 before buyers recovered the move; price now consolidates in a tight 161.49-161.67 band on thin Asia liquidity. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 with price holding the 50-61.8% retracement of the drop, no setup in play.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.67, 161.92
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.67 reopens the path toward the 161.92 spike high
Failure to hold 161.42 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 161.07 session low
US Flash PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could break this range
Ranging in low-volume Asia after volatile selloff.
A sharp London-session selloff swept down to 161.07 before buyers recovered to 161.69; price has since drifted back to mid-161.50s and is now coiling in a thin Asia-session range. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46, ATR compressed to ~5 pips as volume dries up.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.63 reopens the post-spike high at 161.69
Loss of 161.49 session low exposes 161.42 swing low
US Flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this Asia range
00:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 51 · price 161.56
Rangebound after a sharp flush and recovery.
A sharp NY-session flush to the 161.07 spike low was fully rejected, price recovering to the 161.55–161.60 area where thin Asia hours have ranged. RSI(14) neutral near 51; the 161.49 range floor has held repeatedly with the 161.67 session high capping the bounce.
Support: 161.49, 161.42
Resistance: 161.67, 161.78
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.67 reopens the path toward the 161.78 swing high
Loss of 161.49 range floor exposes the 161.42 swing low
US Flash PMIs (Tue 13:45 UTC) the next catalyst for this read
London hours saw a sharp wick to 161.07, swept below the prior range before buyers recovered price back to 161.67. Since then USDJPY has drifted into a quiet Asia-session range between 161.49 and 161.67, ATR compressed to ~4 pips with RSI(14) flat near 48.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.67, 161.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.67 reopens the 161.77 pre-crash structure
Loss of 161.49 floor exposes 161.42 and the 161.07 sweep low
USDJPY ~162 is the line for Tokyo intervention risk
US flash PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could break this range
00:16 UTC
Recovered off spike low, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 161.559
Consolidation in thin Asia hours.
USD/JPY took a sharp spike lower to 161.07 during the prior session as verbal intervention warnings hit near 161.70, then recovered and is now ranging quietly between 161.49 and 161.69 in thin Asia hours. RSI(14) sits neutral around 52 with price pinned just under EMA20; no setup in play.
Support: 161.49, 161.40, 161.07
Resistance: 161.69, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.69 session high reopens the path toward the 161.95 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.49 range low exposes 161.40 swing low
Verbal intervention risk rising near the July-2024 high
Consolidation above spike low, capped near 161.63.
NY session saw a violent spike down to 161.07 from the 161.92 area, fully recovered within the hour back above 161.50. Thin Asia hours since have ranged 161.49–161.63, RSI(14) flat near 52, no fresh direction.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 161.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.69 reopens the 161.77 / July-2024 high test
Failure to hold 161.49 exposes the 161.42 swing low
USD/JPY ~161.75 break enters the intervention zone — verbal-warning risk rising
US Flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could break the range
00:01 UTC
Recovering off flush, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 161.57
Range after sharp London flush and recovery.
USDJPY flushed from 161.92 to 161.07 during the London-NY window before recovering to 161.67, the move tied to USD strength on Fed-hike repricing near the July-2024 high. Asia hours have been thin and coiling between 161.49 and 161.67, RSI(14) flat near 52 with price pinned around EMA20.
Support: 161.49, 161.40, 161.07
Resistance: 161.67, 161.78, 161.92
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.67 reopens 161.78 and the 161.92 pre-drop high
Failure to hold 161.49 puts the 161.07 flush low back in play
US Flash PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Ranging after volatility spike · RSI 48 · price 161.57
Consolidation inside recovered range.
NY session printed a violent spike to 161.92 then a flush to 161.07 on heavy volume before recovering to 161.67. Thin Asia hours since have coiled into a tight 161.49–161.63 range around 161.57, RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 161.49, 161.42, 161.07
Resistance: 161.63, 161.69, 161.92
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.69 reopens the 161.92 spike high
Loss of 161.49 exposes 161.42 swing low
USD/JPY ~161.75 July-2024 high keeps intervention risk live