USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 25 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Range-bound, neutral · RSI 54 · price 161.793
Consolidating after recovery off session low.
USDJPY is ranging 161.75-161.81 in thin Asian-session liquidity after recovering from the London-NY sell-off low at 161.557. Tokyo CPI passed without forcing a directional move; RSI(14) sits neutral near 53, price hugging EMA20.
Support: 161.66, 161.557
Resistance: 161.85, 161.94, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.85 reopens the path to the 161.94 session high
Failure to hold 161.66 exposes the 161.557 session low
162.00 intervention zone remains the capped upper boundary
USDJPY is coiling in a thin Asia-session range around 161.78-161.82 after Tokyo CPI ex-Fresh Food printed in line, holding below the 161.90 session high. Earlier NY action rejected from 161.94 and based at 161.55; price has since drifted back up but momentum is flat with RSI near 54.
Support: 161.75, 161.55
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
Approach to 162.00 is the flagged intervention zone — area to watch for rejection
Close above 161.90 reopens the path toward 162.00
Loss of 161.55 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
USD/JPY is grinding sideways in a tight 161.75-161.80 band through the Asia session as Tokyo CPI (f/c 1.6%) prints, holding just under the 161.94 session high and the flagged 162.00 intervention zone. Earlier London-NY swing low at 161.55 was bought back, leaving price pinned near 40-year highs with low volume and compressed ATR.
Support: 161.75, 161.55
Resistance: 161.94, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI release tonight could break the 161.40-161.90 range either way
Close above 161.94 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention trigger
Failure to hold 161.55 confirms a lower-low
23:31 UTC
Sideways, near multi-decade highs · RSI 53 · price 161.797
Thin Asia consolidation inside broader range.
USDJPY is grinding sideways in thin overnight liquidity, holding a tight 161.75-161.82 micro-range after recovering from the 161.557 session low. Tokyo CPI (f/c 1.6%) just printed at the window close — RSI sits neutral near 53 with price pinned below the 161.946 session high and the 162.00 intervention zone.
Support: 161.75, 161.557
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI result can break the 161.75-161.82 range on the next bars
162.00 flagged intervention trigger — area to watch for rejection
M15 close below 161.75 reopens the 161.557 session low
23:16 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 53 · price 161.797
Consolidation below session high.
USDJPY is caged in a thin Asia-session range around 161.75–161.80 after rejecting the 161.946 session high and bouncing off the 161.557 low. Price holds just above flat EMAs with RSI near 53 — no momentum either way as the market sits pinned below the 162.00 intervention zone into Tokyo CPI.
Support: 161.67, 161.557
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (~15 min out) can break this range either way
A close above 161.95 puts the 162.00 intervention level in play
Loss of 161.557 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
23:16 UTC
Range, near 40-yr high · RSI 47 · price 161.766
Consolidation under 162.00.
USD/JPY is grinding sideways around 161.77 in thin Asia hours, capped below the 162.00 intervention zone and holding above the 161.557 swing low. After a sweep to 161.946 was rejected and a flush to 161.557, price has coiled into a tight 161.74–161.80 range with RSI(14) mid-band; no setup in play.
Support: 161.67, 161.557
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reaction at the 162.00 intervention zone — area to watch for rejection or break
M15 close below 161.557 confirms a lower-low
23:01 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 161.766
Tight consolidation below 162.00.
USD/JPY coiled in a tight 161.70–161.80 band through the quiet late-Asia hours, RSI(14) flat near 48 after the earlier 161.95 rejection. Volume has thinned ahead of Tokyo CPI, with 162.00 — the flagged intervention/40yr-high zone — capping topside.
Support: 161.70, 161.55
Resistance: 161.80, 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) hits next bar — hot print likely pressures the topside
Close above 161.80 reopens the 161.95–162.00 zone
Loss of 161.70 exposes the 161.55 session low
23:01 UTC
Ranging, capped near 40yr high · RSI 49 · price 161.776
Range below 162.00, mid-range.
USD/JPY is coiling around 161.78, pinned in a 161.65–161.90 range just shy of the 162.00 intervention zone after the soft DXY slide off recent tops. Liquidity is thin and ranges have compressed into the Asia handover with Tokyo CPI due imminently.
Support: 161.65, 161.557
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (ex-fresh-food f/c 1.6%) can materially shift this read in the next bar
M15 close above 161.90 opens the path toward the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.65 exposes the 161.557 session low
Thin Asia-session trade pinning USDJPY around 161.78, capped all day below the 162.00 40-yr-high intervention zone where supply has repeatedly stepped in. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with price hugging the EMA20; no directional development into the close.
Support: 161.65, 161.55
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI ex-fresh-food (f/c 1.6%) at 23:30 UTC could break this range
M15 close above 161.95 puts the 162.00 intervention level in play
Failure to hold 161.65 opens 161.55 range low
22:46 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 161.776
Consolidation below session high.
USD/JPY is grinding sideways in thin Asia hours, pinned 161.70–161.82 after recovering off the 161.62 session low. Price sits just shy of the 161.82 session high with RSI(14) flat near 53; the 162.00 intervention zone caps the topside. Tokyo CPI lands at 23:30 UTC, into this coiled range.
Support: 161.70, 161.62, 161.555
Resistance: 161.82, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could break this range either way
M15 close above 161.82 opens the path back toward the 161.946 spike high
Failure to hold 161.70 exposes the 161.62 session low
22:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 161.787
Consolidation between 161.55 and 161.95.
USDJPY is caged mid-range near 161.79 in thin Asian-session trade, holding inside the 161.55–161.95 band carved out during NY hours. Topside stays pinned below the 162.00 intervention zone; RSI(14) is neutral around 53 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 161.557, 161.672
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could break this range within the hour
M15 close above 161.95 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
USDJPY grinding sideways at 161.79 in thin late-session liquidity, pinned just under the 161.94 range high and the 162.00 intervention zone. The 161.55 spike low marked the session floor; price has retraced ~60% of that drop and is sitting on the EMAs with RSI flat near 52.
Support: 161.67, 161.55
Resistance: 161.94, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (ex fresh food f/c 1.6%) could materially shift this read within the next bar
Close above 161.94 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.67 reopens the 161.55 spike low
USDJPY ranging 161.55–161.95 through the Asia session, pinned just below the 162.00 intervention zone with RSI(14) flat near 51. Topside rejections at 161.95 during NY have held, while demand stepped in twice around 161.56; no directional setup in play.
Support: 161.555
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 161.95 puts the 162.00 intervention trigger in focus
Loss of 161.55 confirms a lower-low out of the range
22:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 161.769
Caged below 162.00 after high fade.
USD/JPY rejected 161.95 and flushed to 161.55 during NY hours before reclaiming the 161.75–161.82 band, where it has churned into the Asia open. Price pinned just shy of the 162.00 intervention zone with RSI(14) back at neutral 51.
Support: 161.70
Resistance: 161.82, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could break this range within the next bars
M15 close above 161.95 reopens the 162.00 test
Failure to hold 161.55 confirms a lower-low
22:01 UTC
Rangebound, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 161.769
Consolidating below session high.
USDJPY caged in a 161.55–161.95 range through the session, now consolidating near 161.77 in thin pre-Tokyo liquidity. Price slipped back below EMA20 after stalling at the 161.95 session high; RSI(14) neutral near 50. Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could break the 161.55–161.95 range
Close above 161.95 session high opens the 162.00 psych/intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.70 swing low exposes the 161.557 session low
22:01 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 51 · price 161.773
Caged below 162.00, mid-range.
USDJPY is consolidating near 161.77, mid the 161.55–161.95 session range and pinned below the 162.00 intervention zone. Price faded from the 161.95 session high and tested 161.67 before recovering; the 161.82 intraday hi caps the upside on thin late-session volume.
Support: 161.67, 161.55
Resistance: 161.82, 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this range read
Close above 161.95 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.67 exposes the 161.55 session low
21:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 161.773
Balanced inside intraday range.
USD/JPY is caged 161.55–161.95 and sits mid-range near 161.77 in thin late-Asia liquidity, RSI(14) flat around 49. The pair stalled below the 162.00 intervention zone after a soft US PCE print and MoF/US jawboning capped the topside earlier.
Support: 161.65
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (~1h45m out) is the catalyst — could break this range either way
M15 close above 161.95 opens the path toward the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.55 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
USDJPY is coiling around 161.79, pinned below the 161.946 session high and the 162.00 intervention zone, with demand stepping in repeatedly near 161.70. Two-way chop after the NY session faded from 161.946; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 161.70, 161.65, 161.555
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could break this range
Close above 161.946 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.70 exposes the 161.555 spike low
USDJPY is caged 161.70–161.84 after the NY session spike to 161.946 was rejected and faded to a 161.555 low. Price now sits mid-range at 161.75, capped well below the 162.00 intervention zone, RSI(14) neutral near 44 in thin late-session liquidity.
Support: 161.70, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.70 confirms a lower low toward 161.555
Reclaim above 161.84 reopens 161.95 and the 162.00 zone
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation near 40-yr highs after pullback off 161.95.
USDJPY rejected 161.95 and slid to 161.557 during NY hours before stabilising around 161.75–161.80, now drifting just under EMA20. Topside remains pinned below the 162.00 intervention zone with RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 161.65, 161.557
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI today 23:30 UTC could shift this read sharply
M15 close above 161.90 reopens a test of the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.557 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Range between 161.55 and 161.95, capped below 162.00.
USDJPY is ranging 161.55–161.95 just under the 162.00 intervention zone, with rejection off the 161.946 session high during NY and demand re-emerging near 161.55. Price has slipped back below EMA20/50 into the late-NY/Asia transition and now sits mid-range at 161.75 on flat RSI.
Support: 161.70, 161.55
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (~2h out) could break this range either way
M15 close above 161.95 reopens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.55 confirms a lower-low out of the range
21:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 161.752
Range below 162.00, mid-zone.
USDJPY caged between 161.55 and 161.95, capped just shy of the 162.00 intervention/40-yr-high zone where supply repeatedly faded the topside. Price slipped off 161.80 into 161.75 in late NY, RSI(14) drifting mid-40s with no directional impulse.
Support: 161.65
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could break the 161.55-161.95 range
M15 close above 161.95 puts 162.00 intervention zone in play
Failure to hold 161.55 confirms a lower-low
21:02 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 161.799
Ranging below 162.00, rising intraday lows.
USD/JPY is ranging 161.70-161.90 just under the 162.00 intervention line after recovering from the 161.55 spike low during the prior session. Rising intraday lows but momentum is flat with RSI mid-range; the pair stays magnetized to the 162.00 cap.
Support: 161.70
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could break the range either way
Sustained break above 162.00 vs sharp rejection at the intervention line
Loss of 161.70 reopens the 161.55 spike low
21:01 UTC
Ranging, mild recovery · RSI 53 · price 161.799
Consolidating below session high.
USDJPY is coiling around 161.79 in the NY session after recovering from the 161.55 range low, with supply capping at the 161.84-161.94 zone below the 162.00 line. Price holds above both EMAs but RSI(14) is flat near 53 — no momentum, just chop ahead of Tokyo CPI.
Support: 161.70, 161.55
Resistance: 161.84, 161.94, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A close above 161.94 opens the path to the 162.00 psych line
Loss of 161.70 reopens the 161.55 range low
20:46 UTC
Range, low-volume drift · RSI 53 · price 161.795
Consolidation under 162.00.
USDJPY is coiled in the upper 161.70s after recovering from the 161.557 NY dip, pinned just under the 162.00 intervention zone. Late-session volume has thinned to a trickle and price is flatlining near 161.79 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 161.74, 161.66, 161.557
Resistance: 161.90, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (~3h out) could break the range either way
Sustained move above 161.90 puts the 162.00 line in play
USDJPY is ranging in the 161.55–161.95 band, pinned just under the 162.00 psych line, after a NY-session flush to 161.55 was bought back. Price has drifted to 161.80, roughly the 62% retrace of the 161.95-to-161.55 leg, RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 161.70, 161.55
Resistance: 161.85, 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 161.85 session high opens a probe of 162.00
Loss of 161.70 swing low reopens the 161.55 session low
20:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear momentum · RSI 52 · price 161.798
Consolidation under session high.
USDJPY is pinned in a 161.74–161.82 band after rejection from the 161.95 session high during NY hours, RSI(14) flat near 52. Price stays magnetized to the 162.00 round number with the 161.55 swing low holding earlier on the day.
Support: 161.74, 161.55
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 161.95 opens the path to the 162.00 round number
USDJPY pinned in a 161.74-161.90 range just below the 162.00 intervention line, with a NY-session sweep of 161.55 quickly bought back. RSI(14) is flat near 54; price is holding above both EMAs but capped by the prior 161.90 high.
Support: 161.745
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (~3h) could break this range materially
M15 close above 161.90 opens the path to the 162.00 zone
USDJPY is ranging 161.55-161.95 just under the 162.00 intervention zone, currently drifting up to 161.80 with RSI(14) neutral near 55. NY session sold off into 161.557 then recovered through London-NY hours; the session high at 161.946 capped the bounce.
Support: 161.744, 161.66, 161.557
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (~3h) could break this range either way
Sustained move into 162.00 vs sharp rejection at the intervention line
M15 close below 161.744 reopens the 161.557 spike low
20:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 51 · price 161.778
Range under 162.00.
USD/JPY chopping in a 161.55–161.95 band through the NY session, pinned just under the 162.00 intervention line. Price coiled near EMA20/50 with RSI flat at 51; no setup in play.
Support: 161.65, 161.555
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (~3h) is the binary risk for this range
Sustained M15 close above 161.95 tests the 162.00 intervention zone
NY session faded a spike to the 161.95 session high then swept the 161.55 session low before recovering into a tight 161.74-161.82 band, magnetised just under the 162.00 intervention line. Price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 161.66, 161.55
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 161.95 session high opens the 162.00 psych line
Failure to hold 161.66 swing low reopens the 161.55 session low
20:01 UTC
Range, capped under 162.00 · RSI 54 · price 161.802
Consolidation below intervention line.
USDJPY is ranging in the 161.55–161.95 band, pinned just below the 162.00 intervention line after repeated rejection at the 161.95 swing high. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; no directional thrust in the last NY hours.
Support: 161.70, 161.55
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained move above 162.00 intervention line invalidates the range read
Failure to hold 161.70 opens the path back to the 161.55 swing low
USDJPY coiled in the 161.65–161.95 band through the NY session, pinned just under the 162.00 intervention line with RSI hovering near 53. The 161.95 session high capped two pushes; demand stepped in at the 161.55 spike low and price now sits mid-range at 161.80.
Support: 161.65, 161.557
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC (f/c 1.6%) could break the range either way
Close above 161.95 puts 162.00 in play
Loss of 161.65 reopens the 161.55 spike low
19:46 UTC
Ranging, near highs · RSI 46 · price 161.759
Consolidation below 162.00.
USDJPY is grinding sideways in the 161.65-161.84 band through the NY afternoon, pinned just under the 162.00 line with RSI(14) mid-range near 46. Price coiled around the EMAs with ATR compressed to ~6 pips; the prior leg up from 161.555 stalled at 161.946.
Support: 161.65, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.84 reopens the 161.946 window high toward the 162.00 psych line
Break below 161.65 session low exposes 161.555
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could break this range
19:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 161.759
Intraday range capped below 162.00.
USD/JPY is ranging roughly 161.56–161.95 through the NY session, sitting mid at 161.76 just under EMA20. The 162.00 intervention line kept capping rallies after the session high at 161.95 was rejected, while buyers stepped in around the 161.69 swing low. No setup in play, pair is coiling ahead of Tokyo CPI.
Support: 161.69, 161.56
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could break this range either way
Close above the 161.95 session high opens the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of the 161.56 session low confirms a lower low
19:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 161.792
Consolidation under 162.00.
USDJPY chopping in a 161.55-161.94 range through the NY session, pinned just under the 162.00 line with intervention fear capping rallies. NY high stalled at 161.94 and demand stepped in twice near 161.66; RSI(14) flat near 50, no setup in play.
Support: 161.66, 161.55
Resistance: 161.94, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC is a high-impact risk that could break this range
M15 close above 161.94 opens the path to the 162.00 line
Failure to hold 161.66 exposes the 161.55 session low
19:16 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff, range-bound · RSI 56 · price 161.788
Rising lows off session low, capped under 161.95.
USDJPY flushed to a 161.557 session low in the NY session after the in-line PCE/hot GDP print, then carved a chain of higher lows back to 161.79. Price now ranges 161.56–161.95 near 40-year highs, with supply capping each push toward 161.84.
Support: 161.70, 161.56
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (f/c 1.6%) could shift this read sharply in thin liquidity
M15 close above 161.95 exposes the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of the rising lows below 161.70 reopens the 161.56 session low
19:16 UTC
Ranging near 40yr highs · RSI 51 · price 161.792
Intraday range, no clean trend.
USDJPY chopping in a 161.55-161.95 band near a 40-year high, with the 162.00 intervention zone capping rallies and in-line US PCE leaving the dollar bid intact. Price pulled back off the 161.94 NY high and is hovering around the EMA20; no setup in play.
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.90 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.55 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Sideways near 40-year high · RSI 53 · price 161.788
Range-bound below 161.95.
USD/JPY is grinding sideways in a 161.55–161.95 band just under the 162.00 40-year high, with supply capping near 161.90–161.95 and demand stepping in around 161.65. Price sits mid-range at 161.79, RSI(14) neutral near 53; no setup in play into the Tokyo CPI release.
Support: 161.65, 161.555
Resistance: 161.90, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could break the 161.55–161.95 range
Fed-speak (Williams 19:40 UTC, Goolsbee 22:30 UTC) may shift this read
162.00 area — monitor for rejection vs acceptance amid intervention risk
NY session swept down to 161.557 then recovered, with price now stalling at 161.80, around the 61.8% retrace of that drop. Range holds between the session low and the 161.84 session high, with the 162.00 intervention zone capping above.
Support: 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.84, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens 161.946 and the 162.00 zone
Loss of 161.70 pivot puts 161.557 session low back in play
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could break this range
18:46 UTC
Range, grinding off the lows · RSI 56 · price 161.805
Consolidation below session high, higher lows since the 161.55 sweep.
USDJPY swept the 161.55 low during NY hours then recovered to grind back near 161.80, holding inside the 161.40–161.90 range below the 162.00 intervention zone. Higher lows since the sweep, RSI(14) mid-range — no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 161.70, 161.40
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (f/c 1.6%) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 161.90 reopens the 162.00 psych/interv test
Loss of 161.70 intraday low reasserts the downside toward the 161.55 swing low
18:46 UTC
Range after pullback, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 161.776
Consolidation off session low, capped below 161.84.
NY afternoon spent grinding in a 161.70–161.80 band after a sweep down to 161.557 during the prior NY hours, with the bounce stalling under 161.84. Price sits just above EMA20, RSI(14) flat near 52 — no directional drive into the close, with the 162.00 intervention zone overhead and Tokyo CPI ahead.
Support: 161.62, 161.557
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 161.62 reopens the 161.557 session low
Break above 161.84 puts the 161.95 session high and 162.00 intervention zone in play
18:31 UTC
Ranging near 40-year high · RSI 52 · price 161.776
Consolidation inside session range.
USD/JPY is ranging between 161.55 and 161.90 just under the 40-year high, with RSI(14) neutral near 52 after the firm-but-in-line US PCE print left the dollar bid. NY session swept the 161.55 low then recovered into mid-range; the 162.00 intervention zone caps overhead.
Support: 161.55
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.90 opens a probe of the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.55 confirms a lower-low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Range-bound near 40-year highs · RSI 52 · price 161.771
Intraday range, 161.55 to 161.95.
NY open swept the session low to 161.55 before buyers recovered price back to the mid-range around 161.77. USD/JPY remains boxed between 161.55 and the 161.95 session high, with the 162.00 intervention zone capping above; Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 161.70
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.95 opens a test of the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.55 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:16 UTC
Recovery within range · RSI 61 · price 161.802
Swept session low, grinding back up.
NY session swept down to 161.557 before buyers recovered the entire move, price back near 161.80. Ranging beneath the 161.94 session high with the 162.00 psych/intervention zone overhead.
Support: 161.66, 161.557
Resistance: 161.94, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.94 session high opens the path to the 162.00 psych zone
Loss of 161.66 swing low reopens the 161.557 session low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:16 UTC
Ranging after pullback off highs · RSI 52 · price 161.771
Recovery within session range below 162.00.
NY session swept down from 161.946 to 161.557 then recovered to mid-range near 161.77, RSI(14) back to neutral. Price sits below the 162.00 intervention zone with supply capping rallies around 161.84-161.90.
Support: 161.65, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.90 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.65 reopens the 161.555 session low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 161.802
Intraday range, holding mid-range.
NY session swept the 161.557 session low then recovered to 161.80, leaving price back in mid-range with RSI(14) near 56. USD held bid after in-line core PCE, but the pair stalls below the 161.946 session high and the 162.00 40-year high.
Support: 161.557
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.946 opens the path to the 162.00 40-year high
Failure to hold 161.557 confirms a lower low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Recovery off session low, grinding up · RSI 58 · price 161.803
Rising lows after a sweep to 161.557.
NY session swept down to 161.557, matching the earlier low for a double bottom, then buyers stepped in to lift price back toward the 161.90 session high. RSI(14) recovered to mid-range; pair sits at the 61.8% retrace of the 161.946-161.557 drop. Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC is the next scheduled risk.
Support: 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.90, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.900 session high reopens the path to the 161.946 swing high and 162.00 psych
Loss of 161.700 rising lows reactivates the 161.557 session low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
17:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 161.803
Range 161.55-161.94, higher lows into NY afternoon.
USDJPY sold off from 161.94 to 161.557 around the NY open, then ground back to 161.80 on a chain of higher lows through the afternoon. The 161.55 area held twice, and price now sits mid-range with RSI near 57 — no fresh momentum either way.
Support: 161.62, 161.557
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.90 reopens the path to the 162.00 40-yr high
Failure to hold 161.62 swing low exposes the 161.557 session low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (f/c 1.6%) could materially shift this read
Lower high after drop to 161.55, retracing higher.
NY session sold off from 161.946 to a 161.55 session low before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 161.77 — roughly the mid-fib of that move. Supply capped at the 161.90 area and the 162.00 40-year high remains the flagged intervention zone overhead.
Support: 161.66, 161.55
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
162.00 is a flagged intervention trigger — area to watch for rejection
M15 close below 161.66 reopens the 161.55 session low
17:31 UTC
Recovering after NY pullback · RSI 53 · price 161.773
Lower high then basing, higher lows building.
NY session sold off from the 161.95 session high toward 161.557, where buyers stepped in repeatedly around 161.61 to carve a string of higher lows. Price has since ground back to 161.77, mid-range of the downleg, with USD pinned near YTD highs after in-line core PCE. Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC is the next catalyst into the Asia handover.
Support: 161.61, 161.557
Resistance: 161.90, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.90 reopens the 162.00 40-yr high
Failure to hold 161.61 confirms a fresh lower low toward 161.557
Tokyo CPI in ~6h could materially shift this read
17:30 UTC
Choppy, off session highs · RSI 54 · price 161.76
Range after rejection at 161.95.
USDJPY rejected the 161.95 session high during NY hours and slid to 161.56 before stabilising; price now grinds back toward the 161.77 pivot with RSI(14) neutral near 54. Pair remains capped well below the 162.00 40-year high, consolidating into the late NY session.
Support: 161.56
Resistance: 161.77, 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 reopens the 162.00 40-year high
Loss of 161.56 confirms a lower-low extension
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (f/c 1.6%) could materially shift this read
NY session rejected the 161.95 session high and sold off to 161.557 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 161.77 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) recovered to neutral near 51; ATR sits around 8-9 pips. Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC is the next scheduled risk and the 162.00 40-year high remains the flagged intervention zone overhead.
Support: 161.66, 161.557
Resistance: 161.82, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 161.82 reopens the path to the 161.95 session high
Loss of 161.66 puts the 161.557 session low back in play
162.00 — area to watch for rejection or intervention
USDJPY rejected at 161.95 during NY hours and sold off to 161.55 before stabilising; price now grinding back toward 161.76 with RSI(14) neutral near 55. Pair remains capped well below the 162.00 40-year high, range-bound between 161.55 and 161.95.
Support: 161.55, 161.10
Resistance: 161.90, 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 reopens the 162.00 40-year high
Failure to hold 161.55 exposes 161.10 trend support
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (f/c 1.6%) could materially shift this read
17:01 UTC
Pullback off highs, basing · RSI 53 · price 161.769
Rejection at 161.94, swept 161.557 low, rising lows since.
NY session rejected the 161.94 high and slid into a 161.557 sweep before buyers stepped in, lifting the pair back to 161.77 on a chain of rising lows. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 after the washout; the 161.85 supply shelf caps for now with the 162.00 40-year high above. Tokyo CPI tonight is the next catalyst.
Support: 161.65, 161.557, 161.61
Resistance: 161.85, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.85 reopens the 162.00 40-year high
Failure to hold the 161.65 rising lows exposes the 161.557 session low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sold off from session high, basing above session low.
NY session faded the 161.94 session high and dropped to a 161.557 spike low, with buyers then stepping in around 161.61 to lift price back to 161.77. Pair is grinding higher off rising lows but stalling under the 161.85 prior high, the air thin into the 162.00 intervention zone.
Support: 161.66, 161.61, 161.557
Resistance: 161.85, 161.94, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.85 reopens the 162.00 intervention area
Failure to hold 161.66 swing low risks a retest of 161.557
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower high near 162.00, session low at 161.56, retracing.
NY session rejected the 161.94 high just under the 162.00 40-year/intervention level, then slid to a 161.56 low before recovering to 161.72 — roughly a 40% retrace of that down leg. RSI(14) near 46, no momentum extreme; price still capped below the 161.81 lower high.
Support: 161.66, 161.557
Resistance: 161.81, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.81 invalidates the lower-high read
Failure to hold 161.56 confirms a lower low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since 161.94, consolidating near lows.
NY session sold USDJPY off the 161.94 high as the dollar's strong-data bid stalled just under the 162.00 intervention trigger, leaving a chain of lower highs and a base around 161.62. Price now consolidates near 161.70 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the low 40s, no fresh extreme.
Support: 161.62, 161.557
Resistance: 161.72, 161.82, 161.94
What it said to watch
Close back above 161.82 breaks the lower-high sequence
Break of 161.557 session low opens further downside
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
162.00 intervention trigger caps upside attempts
16:31 UTC
Pulled back from highs, now ranging · RSI 45 · price 161.698
Rejection at session high, consolidating above session low.
USDJPY was rejected near the 161.946 session high during NY hours and sold to 161.555, which was swept twice. Price now consolidates between 161.55 and 161.76 with RSI mid-range; in-line core PCE denied fresh USD fuel for a 162.00 test.
Support: 161.555
Resistance: 161.76, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.555 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 161.76 reopens the 161.946 session high
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
162.00 intervention trigger remains an upside cap to monitor
16:31 UTC
Pullback from session high, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 161.686
Lower highs after 161.94 rejection.
NY session rejected the 161.94 session high and sold off into a sweep of 161.557 before recovering to consolidate near 161.69. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 43 with price below EMA20/50; pair holding inside the 161.55–161.72 band after the leg lower.
Support: 161.611, 161.557
Resistance: 161.722, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.72 reopens the path back to the 161.94 session high
Loss of 161.557 confirms a lower-low extension
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
162.00 remains the flagged intervention trigger above
16:16 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 44 · price 161.686
Lower highs after rejection at 161.95.
NY session faded USD/JPY from the 161.95 session high down to 161.557 as in-line core PCE denied fresh dollar fuel, price now consolidating near 161.69 below EMA20/50. Lower highs are stacking but sellers stall ahead of the 161.55 floor; the 162.00 40-year barrier and Tokyo intervention zone caps overhead.
Support: 161.557, 161.611
Resistance: 161.821, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.557 confirms a lower-low and opens 161.10
Reclaim of 161.821 negates the lower-high sequence
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC and Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift this read
16:16 UTC
Downtrend off session high · RSI 43 · price 161.699
Lower highs after double top rejection.
NY session rolled over from a double top near 161.94 after in-line core PCE denied fresh USD fuel, sweeping 161.557 before settling mid-range around 161.70. RSI(14) near 43, sitting below EMA20 and EMA50 as lower highs build off the 161.94 cap.
Support: 161.557
Resistance: 161.80, 161.94
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.80 negates the rejection read
Loss of 161.557 confirms a fresh lower-low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC and Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift this read
16:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend, retracing off session high · RSI 41 · price 161.699
Lower highs since 161.94, 161.55 holding.
NY session rejected the 161.94 session high and sold off, with 161.55 holding as support for the second time this window. Price has since stalled near 161.70 under a string of lower highs; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme. USD stayed firm after in-line core PCE and a string of US data beats.
Support: 161.55
Resistance: 161.72, 161.86, 161.94
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.55 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 161.86 negates the lower-high sequence
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
162.00 flagged as Tokyo intervention zone
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, NY pullback · RSI 41 · price 161.688
Lower highs and lower lows since session high.
NY session faded from the 161.946 high into a lower-high, lower-low chain, with a sweep down to the 161.557 session low before stabilising near 161.69. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) is mid-40s; rallies have been capped around 161.75–161.82.
Support: 161.557, 161.611
Resistance: 161.75, 161.82, 161.946
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.82 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 161.557 session low opens further downside
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:46 UTC
Short-term downtrend off session high · RSI 42 · price 161.688
Lower highs, holding above session low.
NY session reversed off the session high at 161.94, grinding lower through a chain of lower highs with RSI(14) in the low 40s. Price is holding above the 161.557 session low after two taps, currently mid-range near 161.69 below both EMAs.
Support: 161.557, 161.611
Resistance: 161.79, 161.94
What it said to watch
Close below 161.557 confirms a lower-low and opens 161.10
Reclaim of 161.79 negates the lower-high structure
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building lower · RSI 36 · price 161.647
Lower highs and lower lows after rejection near 161.94.
USDJPY rejected the 161.94 session high — just below the 162.00 intervention zone — and rolled over through NY hours, printing lower highs and a low at 161.557. RSI(14) near 36 as price grinds at 161.65, with the 161.61 swing low the immediate floor.
Support: 161.61, 161.557, 161.50
Resistance: 161.74, 161.94
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.557 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 161.74 negates the lower-high sequence
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC tonight could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, off the highs · RSI 41 · price 161.647
Lower highs since 161.95, holding 161.56 base.
USD/JPY rejected the session high at 161.95 and rolled over through NY hours to a 161.56 low, easing off the 162.00 intervention zone, and now consolidates near 161.65. RSI(14) has cooled into the low-40s, price sits below EMA20/50; sellers capped the 161.82 pivot on the last bounce.
Support: 161.557, 161.611
Resistance: 161.82, 161.946
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could swing this read sharply
Loss of 161.56 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Close back above 161.82 pivot negates the rollover
NY session rejected the 161.95 session high and slid into a sweep of the 161.557 low, RSI(14) cooling near 41. The bounce has stalled under 161.76, leaving price pinned mid-range as USD holds 13-month highs.
Support: 161.557
Resistance: 161.76, 161.946
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.76 negates the lower-high read
Break below 161.557 confirms a lower low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:16 UTC
Intraday rollover, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 161.708
Rejection at session high, lower highs forming.
USD/JPY was rejected at the 161.946 session high and rolled over through the NY session, printing lower highs into 161.557 before stabilising near 161.71; RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with the 162.00 intervention line still untested overhead.
Support: 161.557
Resistance: 161.82, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close below 161.557 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.820 negates the rollover read
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially move JPY this evening
USDJPY rejected near the 162 intervention zone, peaking 161.946 before rolling over through NY hours and now pressing session lows around 161.66. RSI(14) sits near 40 with price under EMA20/50; sellers capping each bounce below 161.82. Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC is the next event risk.
Support: 161.611, 161.557
Resistance: 161.821, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.557 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 161.82 negates the pullback structure
Tokyo CPI in ~8h could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Intraday pullback after rejection · RSI 40 · price 161.674
Lower highs since 161.95 rejection.
NY session faded the push to 161.95 (just shy of the 162.00 intervention zone), with USDJPY now retracing toward the session low at 161.557. RSI(14) near 40 as lower highs build; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 161.557, 161.10
Resistance: 161.90, 161.82
What it said to watch
Close below 161.557 opens path toward 161.10 support
Reclaim of 161.82 negates the lower-high sequence
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Pullback from session highs · RSI 42 · price 161.674
Rejection at 161.94, sliding lower.
NY session twice rejected the 161.90–161.95 zone before rolling over, RSI(14) cooling near 41. Price has slid into the 161.557 session low and is now hovering at 161.674, below EMA20/50.
Support: 161.557
Resistance: 161.83, 161.946
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.557 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 161.83 swing high re-opens the 161.946 session high
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Rejected near session high, lower highs into the close.
USDJPY was rejected from the session high at 161.946 and sold off twice to 161.557 during NY hours, with the in-line US core PCE removing a fresh hawkish catalyst. Price now hovers at 161.738 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s after lower highs at 161.88 and 161.81.
Support: 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.88, 161.946
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI ex-Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC (f/c 1.6%) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 161.557 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 161.880 reopens the path back toward the 161.946 session high
Rejection from session high, retracing into range.
NY session pushed to a 161.946 session high then saw two sharp rejection candles back to 161.557, with price now sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the prior leg up near 161.70. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s after the in-line US PCE print removed fresh upside fuel; supply capped the move shy of the 162.00 intervention zone.
Support: 161.557
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.557 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
Reclaim of 161.946 reopens the path to the 162.00 2024 high
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 39 · price 161.70
Session high swept, rejected back into range.
NY session pushed to 161.946 then was rejected hard, with a sweep of the 161.557 low before recovering to 161.70 near the 61.8% retrace of the prior up-leg. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling to ~39; the run toward the 162.00 zone has stalled.
Support: 161.557, 161.665
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close below 161.557 confirms a lower-low and breaks the session range
Reclaim of 161.946 reopens the path to the 162.00 zone
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 161.728
Rejection near 161.95, retracing prior up-leg.
NY session pushed USD/JPY to 161.95, a whisker shy of the 162.00 intervention/2024-high trigger, then rejected and pulled back to 161.73 — into the 50-61.8% retracement of the 161.55-161.95 up-leg. RSI(14) has cooled to ~41 as price dropped under EMA20/50; in-line US PCE removed fresh hawkish fuel.
Support: 161.70, 161.665
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close back above 161.95 reopens the 162.00 trigger
Loss of 161.70 confirms deeper retrace toward 161.55
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and Fed Williams 19:40 GMT could shift this read
14:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 161.728
Rejection at session high, easing toward support.
NY session pushed to a session high of 161.946 just shy of the 162.00 2024 high, then rejected; price is now easing back toward the 161.70 swing low with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Repeated intervention warnings near 162.00 are capping the topside, and price sits below EMA20/EMA50 after the pullback.
Support: 161.70, 161.555
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close below 161.70 opens the 161.555 spike low
Break above 161.95 puts the 162.00 intervention zone in play
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling after rejection near 162 · RSI 43 · price 161.728
Rejected at session high, pulling back.
NY session pushed USD/JPY to 161.95 stalking the 162.00 intervention level, then sharply rejected with a wick to 161.751 as RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s. Price has since pulled back to the 161.70s, sitting near the 0.618 retrace of the prior intraday rally; the in-line US PCE earlier removed fresh upside fuel.
Support: 161.70
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 reopens the 162.00 intervention level
Failure to hold 161.70 confirms a lower-low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speak this evening
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, stalling near highs · RSI 51 · price 161.819
Consolidating below 162.00 after marginal high.
USD/JPY pushed to a fresh session high at 161.946 during NY hours before fading back to 161.819, with in-line US PCE removing fresh upside fuel. Price is now grinding sideways just below the 162.00 2024 high; the 161.773 swing low has held on the pullback.
Support: 161.773
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.946 reopens the 162.00 2024 high
Loss of 161.773 confirms a lower-low and shifts the intraday structure
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially move this read
162.00 flagged as intervention trigger — area to watch for sharp two-way reaction
13:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 47 · price 161.778
Pullback off 161.95 session high.
NY session ground up to 161.946, a whisker short of the 162.00 all-time/intervention zone, then rejected; price has since rolled back to 161.78 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. The advance tracks a firm USD after in-line core PCE, but repeated intervention warnings are capping the approach to 162.00.
Support: 161.75, 161.66, 161.55
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.95 reopens the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.75 exposes 161.66 then 161.55
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY pushed to a session high of 161.946 during the NY session — a whisker shy of the 162.00 all-time-high zone — before being rejected and fading to 161.78 as USD held firm post-PCE. RSI(14) cooling near 44 after the rejection; price now mid-range against the 161.555 to 161.946 move.
Support: 161.555
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 162.00 raises intervention risk into Tokyo CPI
Tokyo CPI + US Core PCE near 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 161.55 confirms a lower-low
13:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 46 · price 161.778
Rejection at 161.95, pulling back.
NY session ground USD/JPY up to 161.95, a whisker shy of the 162.00 all-time high, then rejected and faded back to 161.78 — intervention caution capping near the figure. Twin highs at 161.94/161.95 left a double top; price now below EMA20 with RSI cooled to mid-40s.
Support: 161.75, 161.55
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 162.00 trips the all-time high / intervention trigger zone
Failure to hold 161.75 swing low opens 161.55 session low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 162.00, pullback from session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the session toward the 162.00 all-time high but was rejected at 161.946, fading back to 161.79 before recovering to 161.83 as firm US PCE/GDP data kept the dollar bid. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range after the rejection; price now sits around EMA20 with the 161.75 swing holding.
Support: 161.75, 161.665
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.946 reopens the 162.00 all-time high / intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.75 confirms a lower-low and turns structure corrective
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC plus US PCE reaction could materially shift this read
NY session pushed USD/JPY to a 161.946 session high before stalling just shy of the 162.00 all-time-high / intervention zone, with the dollar firm after in-line core PCE. Price has since faded to the 38.2% fib near 161.79 where buyers stepped in, holding above the 161.555 session low.
Support: 161.79, 161.71, 161.555
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.946 reopens the 162.00 ath zone, where intervention risk is flagged
Failure to hold the 161.79 38.2% fib exposes the 161.71 swing low
Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) and Fed speakers Williams/Goolsbee could shift this read
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into all-time-high zone · RSI 54 · price 161.814
Higher lows intact, rejection at session high.
USDJPY ground to 161.946 into the London-NY transition before sellers capped it just shy of the 162.00 all-time high, last back at 161.814 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Climb from the 161.555 session low holds higher lows, but the 161.95/162.00 zone has rejected each probe.
Support: 161.77, 161.555
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 opens the 162.00 all-time-high / intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.77 breaks the higher-low chain
Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) and US data could materially shift this read
Price ground to 161.946 in the NY session, just shy of the 40-year-high pivot at 161.93, then sold off on the 12:30 UTC Core PCE print (volume spike, dip to 161.773) before stabilising near 161.81. Buyers reclaimed half the drop but RSI(14) has cooled off the highs and price sits back under EMA20.
Support: 161.773, 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.946, 161.93
What it said to watch
Close above 161.946 reopens the 162 area, where intervention chatter thickens
Failure to hold 161.77 exposes the 161.66 swing low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and Fed speakers later could shift this read
Higher highs into 161.95, first pullback off the high.
USD/JPY ground up to 161.946 near the 40-year high before the 12:30 UTC Core PCE print sparked a sharp spike-and-drop to 161.77 on heavy volume, now hovering 161.81. The session high was rejected and price is back below EMA20; structure stays up but momentum has cooled into the multi-decade pivot.
Support: 161.773
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 161.946 reopens the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.773 confirms a lower-low and shifts the intraday read
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially move this read
Fed Williams (19:40 UTC) speech a near-term risk
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at highs · RSI 49 · price 161.789
HH/HL chain capped near 161.95, sharp rejection.
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC sparked a high-volume drop from the 161.945 session high straight back to 161.79, RSI cooling to ~49 from the uptrend. The 40-year-high pivot near 161.93-162.00 capped the run and now stands as the level to monitor for rejection or break.
Support: 161.75, 161.665, 161.555
Resistance: 161.945, 162.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 161.945 reopens the 162.00 psych level where intervention risk thickens
Failure to hold 161.75 intraday sup confirms a lower-low toward 161.665 swing low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at highs · RSI 56 · price 161.814
Higher highs into 40y-high cap, last bar rejected.
USD/JPY ground up through the NY session to tag the 40-year-high band at 161.93-161.95, then the last bar wicked to 161.946 and snapped back to close at 161.814 — a clean rejection. RSI(14) cooling from the highs near 56; price now back below EMA20 but holding the rising support off the 161.555 session low.
Support: 161.751, 161.665, 161.555
Resistance: 161.93, 161.946
What it said to watch
A close above 161.95 breaches the 40y high and thickens intervention risk
Failure to hold 161.75 wick low opens 161.665
US Core PCE / Tokyo CPI could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through NY hours toward the 161.95 multi-decade high before the last bar swept to 161.946 and rejected sharply to close 161.814. Price is pinned near the 40-yr high with intervention risk capping follow-through; RSI cooling off the spike. US Core PCE and Tokyo CPI are the imminent catalysts.
Support: 161.75, 161.665
Resistance: 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 enters intervention-risk territory
Failure to hold 161.75 confirms a deeper pullback off the high
US Core PCE (12:30 GMT) and Tokyo CPI tonight could materially shift this read
12:31 UTC
Uptrend grinding into yearly high · RSI 61 · price 161.868
Higher highs/lows, capped at 161.93.
NY session ground USD/JPY higher to test the 161.93/161.95 multi-decade high; a spike to 161.946 was rejected straight back to 161.866. Price holds an intraday HH/HL chain off the 161.55 low, but the yearly-high ceiling is capping follow-through.
Support: 161.75, 161.66
Resistance: 161.93, 162.00
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 161.93 yearly high opens 162.00 psych — and invites intervention talk
Failure to hold 161.75 swing low breaks the intraday HL chain
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst for this pair
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into multi-decade high · RSI 62 · price 161.868
Higher highs/higher lows, capped near yearly high.
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session toward the 161.93/161.95 multi-decade ceiling; a spike to 161.946 drew an upper-wick rejection back to 161.866 as RSI cooled from overbought. Carry-driven advance with intervention caution capping follow-through near 162.
Support: 161.75, 161.665
Resistance: 161.946, 161.95
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst
A clean break above 161.95 invites verbal/actual intervention
Loss of 161.75 breaks the rising-low chain
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into yearly high · RSI 61 · price 161.879
Higher highs/higher lows, capped at 161.93/162.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session toward the 40-yr high, spiking to 161.946 before being rejected back to 161.879 — the 161.93 ceiling held. Structure stays a clean chain of higher lows off 161.555, with intervention caution capping follow-through near 162. US Core PCE lands at 12:30 GMT, the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 161.75, 161.665, 161.555
Resistance: 161.93
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
A 15m close above 161.93 opens the path to the 162 psych level
Loss of 161.75 wick low breaks the recent higher-low chain
12:01 UTC
Uptrend grinding into ceiling · RSI 63 · price 161.879
Higher highs, testing 40-yr high.
NY session ground USDJPY up to the 40-yr high zone, with the last bar sweeping to 161.946 before rejecting back to 161.866. Price stalls just under the 161.93/161.95 ceiling that has capped repeated attempts; US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the imminent driver.
Support: 161.75, 161.66
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 161.95 opens 162.00 and raises intervention risk
Failure to hold 161.75 confirms loss of the intraday higher-low chain
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, pressing yearly high · RSI 69 · price 161.929
Higher highs into 161.93 ceiling.
USD/JPY ground higher through NY hours to 161.929, parked right under the 161.93/161.95 multi-decade high, RSI(14) near 69. Momentum intact off the 161.555 spike low but the move is grinding into known intervention territory.
Support: 161.79, 161.71, 161.555
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 opens 162.00 and invites intervention risk
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and US Core PCE are imminent catalysts
Failure to hold 161.79 breaks the recent higher-low chain
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing decade high · RSI 69 · price 161.929
Higher highs into 161.93 ceiling.
NY session ground USDJPY back up to the 161.93 multi-decade high, RSI(14) near 69 but not yet stretched. Buyers held the 161.55 spike low through the London-NY transition and price is now testing the ceiling with intervention risk lurking at 162.
Support: 161.81, 161.71, 161.55
Resistance: 161.93, 162.00
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 161.93 opens the path toward 162.00
US Core PCE due ~12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 161.81 reopens the 161.71 session low
11:46 UTC
Uptrend grinding into resistance · RSI 67 · price 161.893
Higher highs, capped under multi-decade high.
USDJPY ground higher through the London session to 161.89, stalling just under the 161.93/162 multi-decade high, RSI(14) firm near 67 but not yet stretched. Buyers stepped in repeatedly at the 161.81 intraday base; the 162 psych line remains the cap with intervention warnings near it.
Support: 161.81, 161.75
Resistance: 161.93, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.93 opens the path toward 162.00
Failure to hold 161.81 exposes the 161.75 swing low
US Core PCE (12:30 GMT) and Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) can shift this read
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 68 · price 161.893
Higher highs and higher lows, pressing multi-decade high.
USDJPY ground higher through the session to 161.90, stalling just shy of the 161.93/162 multi-decade high after holding a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) firm near 68 but not stretched; carry-driven bid intact while intervention warnings cap the approach to 162.
Support: 161.80
Resistance: 161.93, 162.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
A clean M15 close above 161.93 opens the path toward 162.00
Failure to hold 161.80 breaks the higher-low chain
MoF verbal intervention near 162 risks a sharp squeeze
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 64 · price 161.876
Higher highs into multi-decade ceiling.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to 161.88, stalling just shy of the 161.93/162 multi-decade ceiling with RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not extreme. Buyers held above 161.79 on the last pullback; the prior 161.897 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 161.79, 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.93, 161.897
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.93/162 opens path higher but raises MoF intervention risk
US Core PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT (~1h) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 161.79 puts 161.66 swing low back in play
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 64 · price 161.876
Higher highs/higher lows, pressing decade high.
USDJPY is grinding higher through NY hours, retesting the session high at 161.897 and sitting just under the 161.93 multi-decade high. RSI(14) near 63 leaves room, with buyers stepping in repeatedly off the 161.79 base after the 161.55 spike low was bought.
Support: 161.79, 161.55
Resistance: 161.897, 161.93
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.93 opens the path toward 162
Loss of 161.79 base breaks the rising-low chain
US Core PCE in ~75min could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 64 · price 161.882
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to 161.88, retesting the 161.897 session high and just shy of the 161.93 multi-decade high. RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not extreme; pullbacks held above 161.79 through the afternoon. Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) and US core PCE are the cross-currents into the next sessions.
Support: 161.79
Resistance: 161.897, 161.93
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.93 opens the path toward 162
Loss of 161.79 swing low breaks the rising sequence
Tokyo CPI later today could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 64 · price 161.882
Higher highs/higher lows toward yearly high.
NY session pushing USD/JPY back toward the 161.93 yearly high, RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not extended. Dips held the 161.75 floor through the session after the earlier 161.555 spike low was reclaimed; price now stalling just under the 161.90 session high.
Support: 161.75, 161.555
Resistance: 161.90, 161.93, 162.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Break above 161.93 toward 162.00 invites intervention risk rather than clean follow-through
NY session grinding USD/JPY higher toward the 161.93 yearly high, RSI(14) mid-60s and not yet stretched. The pair recovered from a 161.555 sweep during London and has chained higher lows since, with dips holding above 161.79 into the close.
Support: 161.79, 161.75, 161.555
Resistance: 161.93, 162.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Move into 161.93/162.00 invites intervention risk rather than clean follow-through
USD/JPY grinding higher through the NY morning toward the 161.93 yearly high, holding above the 161.75 intraday floor with RSI(14) mid-60s — extended but not stretched. Dips found a floor near 161.55 after the earlier spike low, and the pair is pinned just under 162. US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst.
Support: 161.75, 161.67, 161.55
Resistance: 161.93
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 161.93 opens the path to the 162 psych level where intervention risk caps
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Loss of 161.75 then 161.67 would break the rising structure
10:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into yearly high · RSI 57 · price 161.83
Higher lows, coiling below 161.93.
USDJPY ground higher through the London session to 161.90 before stalling, now coiling around 161.83 just under the 161.93 yearly high. Dips have held above 161.79 with the broader sequence of higher lows intact since the 161.55 spike low. Price is pinned below the 162 intervention zone into the US Core PCE release.
Support: 161.79, 161.66, 161.55
Resistance: 161.90, 161.93
What it said to watch
US Core PCE (~2h) is the key near-term catalyst for this read
Close above 161.93 opens the path to 162 where intervention risk caps
Failure to hold 161.66 breaks the higher-low chain
NY session has USDJPY grinding to 161.897 then stalling, now coiling tight around 161.82 just under the 161.93 yearly high and 162 area where intervention risk is live. RSI(14) near 57, momentum cooling as bars compress into the highs.
Support: 161.79, 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 161.897 exposes the 162 psych level where intervention risk caps follow-through
Loss of 161.79 turns focus to the 161.66 swing low
US Core PCE (12:30 GMT) and Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) are session catalysts that could reset this read
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into yearly high · RSI 58 · price 161.83
Higher lows, capped below 161.93.
USDJPY is grinding higher toward the 161.93 yearly high, rejecting twice near 161.88-161.90 before settling at 161.83. Dips held at 161.79 through the last few hours after a sweep of 161.55 earlier in the window; range top still capping into US PCE.
Support: 161.79, 161.66, 161.50
Resistance: 161.93
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.93 opens the 162 psych level, where intervention risk caps follow-through
Loss of 161.66 confirms a lower-low and breaks the higher-low chain
US Core PCE and Tokyo CPI later this session could materially shift this read
USDJPY pushed to a 161.897 session high during the London hours then rejected, now consolidating near 161.80 just under the 161.93 yearly high and the 162 psych level. RSI(14) flat near 51 — momentum cooled after the failure to clear, with dips holding the 161.75 session floor.
Support: 161.75, 161.665, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897, 161.93
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the imminent catalyst that could materially shift this read
A close above 161.93 opens the 162 psych zone where intervention risk caps follow-through
Failure to hold 161.75 exposes the 161.665 swing low
NY session drifting sideways near 161.82 after a rejection at the 161.90 session high, which sits just under the 161.93 yearly high. RSI(14) mid-range and ATR around 5 pips — momentum has stalled into the US PCE catalyst, with dips holding above 161.75.
Support: 161.75, 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.90, 161.93
What it said to watch
Close above 161.93 tags yearly high and invites intervention risk rather than clean follow-through
Loss of 161.75 opens 161.66 session low
US Core PCE (12:30 GMT) and Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) can materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after intraday rally.
London session pushed up from 161.555 to a 161.897 session high, then stalled into a tight 161.79–161.84 consolidation just under the 161.93 yearly high. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral as price coils below resistance, with US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT the next catalyst.
Support: 161.75, 161.555, 161.50
Resistance: 161.897, 161.93
What it said to watch
Close above 161.93 yearly high opens the path to the 162 round number, where intervention risk caps follow-through
Break below 161.75 swing low negates the consolidation and exposes 161.555
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 57 · price 161.82
Higher lows since the 161.55 sweep, pressing yearly high.
NY session has USD/JPY grinding back toward the 161.93 yearly high after a sweep of the 161.55 low during London. Price stalled just shy of 161.90 and pulled to 161.82, RSI(14) mid-range with room either way; the 161.93/162 zone is the area to watch for rejection or break, where intervention risk caps follow-through.
Support: 161.75, 161.55
Resistance: 161.93, 162.00
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 161.93 confirms a new high but invites intervention near 162.00
Loss of 161.75 reopens the 161.55 swing low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and US Core PCE this session could materially shift this read
USDJPY recovered off the 161.555 spike low through London hours, tagging a session high at 161.897 before fading; price now consolidates 161.79–161.84 with RSI(14) mid-range. Pair sits just under the 161.95 multi-decade high as USD strength meets intervention caution.
Support: 161.79, 161.71, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897, 161.95
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP batch at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
Close above 161.897 opens a test of the 161.95 40yr high
Loss of 161.79 session low exposes 161.71 swing low
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding toward range high · RSI 56 · price 161.815
Higher lows since spike, capped below 161.90.
USDJPY recovered from a 161.555 spike low to retest the session high at 161.897, just shy of the 40-year high near 161.93, before stalling at 161.815. Buyers held the 161.75 swing low on the latest pullback, but momentum has cooled with RSI mid-range as traders sit on the sidelines ahead of US Core PCE.
Support: 161.75, 161.665, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897, 161.935
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP batch at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
Sustained M15 close above 161.897 opens the path to the 161.93 40yr high
Loss of 161.75 swing low reopens 161.665 and the 161.555 spike low
Price pushed a fresh session high at 161.897 during the London session before fading to consolidate near 161.81, just shy of the 161.93-95 multi-decade high. RSI(14) back to mid-range after the rejection; demand held the 161.79 swing low while the 40yr ceiling caps upside.
Support: 161.79, 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.895, 161.93
What it said to watch
Clean break and hold above 161.93 opens the path toward 162
Loss of 161.79 exposes the 161.66 swing low
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
USD/JPY rallied off 161.55 into the London session and tagged 161.897 before stalling, now consolidating around 161.81 just below the 161.93-161.95 multi-decade high. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 after the rejection; price holds above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 161.79, 161.75, 161.66
Resistance: 161.89, 161.95
What it said to watch
Break above 161.90 reopens the 161.95 multi-decade high
Loss of 161.75 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding near range high · RSI 56 · price 161.82
Higher lows into the 40-year high zone.
USDJPY is pinned just below the 161.93-161.95 40-year high after rallying off the 161.55 spike low, with price coiling in the 161.77-161.89 band. RSI(14) sits mid-50s, leaving room either way as traders sideline ahead of the US data batch.
Support: 161.79, 161.66, 161.55
Resistance: 161.89, 161.94, 162.00
What it said to watch
Clean break above 161.94 tags the 162.00 intervention zone
US Core PCE batch ~3h out could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 161.66 opens the 161.55 spike low
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding near highs · RSI 56 · price 161.82
Higher lows below 40yr high, consolidating.
USDJPY pushed to 161.90 during early NY before easing back to consolidate around 161.82, still pinned just under the 161.93-161.95 40-year high. RSI(14) mid-range near 56; the pair is holding higher lows off the 161.55 spike low as traders sit on hands ahead of US Core PCE.
Support: 161.75, 161.66, 161.55
Resistance: 161.90, 161.95
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the swing factor and could materially shift this read
A clean break above 161.95 opens the 162 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.75 breaks the higher-low chain toward 161.66
09:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 161.82
Rising lows below 161.90 cap.
USDJPY ground higher off the 161.55 spike low into a 161.897 session high, then faded back to 161.82 as RSI cooled into the high-50s. Consolidating sub-161.90, buyers stepping in around 161.75 on the pullback; the 40-yr peak at 161.95 remains the overhead cap.
Support: 161.75, 161.55
Resistance: 161.90, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.90 opens the path to the 161.95 peak
Failure to hold 161.75 exposes the 161.55 spike low
US Core PCE 12:30 GMT and Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 59 · price 161.82
Higher lows since mid-window low, capped below 161.90.
USDJPY recovered off the 161.555 swing low and pushed a higher-low chain into the NY session, topping at 161.897 before easing to 161.82. Price is consolidating just under the 161.95 40-year peak; RSI(14) mid-50s, no exhaustion yet.
Support: 161.75, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897, 161.95
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 161.95 extends the upside; rejection there keeps the consolidation intact
Loss of 161.75 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT can materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling near peak · RSI 47 · price 161.782
Rejection below 161.95, pulling back.
London session pushed to a session high of 161.897 before stalling under the 161.95 40-year peak, with price now slipping back toward 161.78 and below EMA20. Third straight consolidation session under the intervention-capped peak; the Asian range low spiked to 161.555 before recovering.
Support: 161.65, 161.50, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897, 161.95
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Clean M15 close above 161.95 signals the cap is giving way
Loss of 161.65 opens the path back toward 161.50
08:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling near session high · RSI 52 · price 161.782
Rally to 161.90 faded, consolidating sub-161.95.
USD/JPY pushed up through London hours to a session high of 161.897 before fading back to 161.78, with the 161.95 40-year peak still capping as it has all week. Price holds above the 161.70 swing low and RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range after the rejection.
Support: 161.70, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897, 161.95
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Clean break above 161.95 signals the 40yr cap giving way
Loss of 161.70 opens the path back toward the 161.555 spike low
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 52 · price 161.782
Consolidation below yearly high.
Early London pushed to 161.897 before being rejected and fading back to 161.78, a third session pinned below the 161.95 yearly high. RSI(14) cooling near 52 with price slipping under EMA20; broader structure still consolidating in the upper part of the prior day's range.
Support: 161.70, 161.65, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897, 161.95
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A close above 161.897 opens a test of 161.95 yearly high / intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.70 confirms a deeper pullback toward 161.65
USD/JPY ground back up through London hours to tag 161.897 before settling near 161.81, still pinned below the 161.95 yearly high. RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme; the pair is consolidating just under the session high ahead of the US data cluster.
Support: 161.80, 161.665, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897, 161.95
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained M15 close above 161.897 opens a test of the 161.95 yearly high
Loss of 161.80 exposes 161.665 swing low
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at highs · RSI 56 · price 161.806
Higher lows into resistance, pullback in progress.
London session pushed toward the yearly high, stalling at 161.897 before easing back to 161.806, third day capped below the 161.95 line. Buyers stepped in repeatedly off the 161.55 spike low, building higher lows, but supply at 161.90 is holding for now.
Support: 161.752, 161.665, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897, 161.95
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key swing for the next USD/JPY leg
Break and hold above 161.897 exposes the 161.95 yearly high where intervention risk spikes
London push tagged 161.897 but stalled into the 161.95 yearly high before fading to 161.81, RSI(14) cooling from the rally. USD/JPY holds a grind higher off the 161.555 spike low while intervention risk continues to cap the upper edge ahead of the 12:30 UTC US PCE cluster.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897, 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 opens the path to 162.00 where intervention odds spike
Failure to hold 161.66 swing low breaks the rising structure
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Tokyo CPI tonight 23:30 UTC is a JPY swing factor
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into yearly high · RSI 64 · price 161.843
Higher highs, capped below 161.95.
London session drove USD/JPY off the 161.555 spike low up to a session high of 161.897, a third straight day pressing the 161.95 yearly high where intervention risk does the capping. RSI(14) near 64, no extreme; price holding above EMA20/50 with the 161.95/162.00 zone unbroken.
Support: 161.70, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897, 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 opens the path to 162.00 psych
Failure to hold 161.70 swing low breaks the rising structure
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into yearly high · RSI 61 · price 161.843
Rising lows, capped below 161.95.
NY session ground higher toward the 161.95 yearly high, printing a session high of 161.897 before fading back to 161.84 — intervention risk capping the push. The thin Asian session swept the 161.555 low and reversed, with rising lows building back up into the highs; RSI(14) near 61, not yet stretched.
Support: 161.80, 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 yearly high exposes 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.80 intraday low opens 161.66 swing low
US Core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC is the key swing for the next USD/JPY leg
07:46 UTC
Mild uptrend, capped near session high · RSI 57 · price 161.814
Higher lows grinding into 161.90 resistance.
London hours pushed USDJPY to 161.897 before a wick rejection dragged it back to 161.81, with the multi-decade 161.95 cap still untested. Price holds a chain of higher lows off the 161.555 sweep; structure constructive but stalling under resistance.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.897 opens the path to the 161.95 cap
Failure to hold 161.66 confirms a lower low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 62 · price 161.814
Higher highs/higher lows toward the 161.95 cap.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, breaking the 161.83 area and printing a session high at 161.897 before stalling and easing back to 161.814. Price is consolidating just beneath the 161.95 multi-decade cap, where intervention risk has repeatedly blunted upside; RSI mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 161.756, 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.897, 161.95
What it said to watch
Repeated rejection at 161.897/161.95 keeps the grind capped; a clean M15 close above 161.95 opens the path higher
US PCE/GDP/Durable Goods cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC is a JPY-side risk into the next sessions
Loss of 161.66 would break the intraday higher-low chain
07:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into cap · RSI 65 · price 161.87
Higher highs into 161.95 ceiling.
London hours pushed USD/JPY to a session high of 161.89, breaking the prior 161.78 consolidation and grinding just under the 161.95 multi-decade cap. RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not extreme; the differential trade keeps a bid as price stalls under the intervention-watched ceiling.
Support: 161.75, 161.66
Resistance: 161.89, 161.95
What it said to watch
Clean close above 161.95 opens the path toward 162.00
Failure to hold 161.75 breaks the rising intraday support
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could trigger a short-covering snap lower
London hours pushed USD/JPY to a session high at 161.887, grinding toward the 161.95 multi-decade cap with RSI(14) near 68. Move extends the broad USD bid; price holds above EMA20/50 after demand stepped in around 161.55 on the earlier spike.
Support: 161.75, 161.665
Resistance: 161.887, 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Repeated rejection at 161.95 keeps the grind capped; a clean M15 close above opens the path to 162.00
Failure to hold 161.75 breaks the recent higher-low chain
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding toward cap · RSI 71 · price 161.875
Higher lows, breakout from 161.70 base.
London session pushed USD/JPY off the 161.70 base to a fresh session high at 161.887, extending the grind toward the 161.95 multi-decade cap on broad USD strength. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but normal in this trend; intervention risk and Tokyo CPI tonight sit over the upside.
Support: 161.70
Resistance: 161.887, 161.95
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 161.95 opens the path to 162.00
Failure to hold 161.70 negates the breakout structure
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could trigger a short-covering snap lower
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into cap · RSI 70 · price 161.875
Higher lows, pressing prior session high.
USD/JPY pushed off the 161.55 spike low and ran into London hours, clearing the 161.84 prior high and printing 161.88 just under the 161.95 multi-decade cap. RSI(14) near 70 — hot but normal in this grind; intervention risk caps the upside while Fed-BoJ differential keeps the bid intact.
Support: 161.76, 161.71, 161.66
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 161.95 opens the path toward 162.00
Loss of 161.71 breaks the higher-low chain
US data cluster (Core PCE/GDP) 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC is the next JPY-side catalyst
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding toward cap · RSI 66 · price 161.839
Higher highs into session high, capped sub-162.
London-morning grind higher pushed USD/JPY to a fresh session high at 161.851, with price now pinned near the 40-yr peak and the 161.95/162.00 intervention cap. The earlier spike to 161.555 in the Asia window was fully bought back, and RSI(14) sits elevated near 66 but not yet stretched.
Support: 161.665, 161.555
Resistance: 161.851, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 opens the path to the 162.00 cap, where intervention nervousness is acute
Failure to hold 161.665 reopens the 161.555 spike low
Clustered US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs since the 161.555 sweep, pressing session top.
USDJPY ground higher through NY hours, breaking back above 161.80 after the 161.555 sweep earlier in the window, now pressing the session high at 161.851 with RSI(14) near 66. Price sits just below the 161.95/162.00 cap where intervention nervousness has repeatedly capped upside.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.851, 161.95
What it said to watch
Close above 161.85 opens the path to the 161.95 intervention cap
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 161.66 reopens the 161.555 sweep low
06:46 UTC
Grinding higher, testing range top · RSI 63 · price 161.83
Range, retesting session high.
USDJPY ground back up to retest the 161.84 prior high — a second tap that builds a possible double top, with RSI(14) near 63, not yet hot. Price has held a 161.55–161.84 range through the Asia session; demand stepped in at 161.55 after the earlier spike low and lifted prints back toward the top.
Support: 161.77, 161.66, 161.55
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens the path to the 161.95 psych cap
Failure to hold 161.77 puts the 161.66 low back in play
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Recovering, pressing session high · RSI 63 · price 161.83
Swept low, back at range top.
USDJPY swept the 161.555 low into the NY session then recovered to retest the 161.84 session high, where a prior wick capped — a double-top look building below the 161.95 intervention cap. RSI(14) near 63, price holding above EMA20/50; this is consolidation under the 40-yr peak zone ahead of US Core PCE.
Support: 161.76, 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens the path to the 161.95/162.00 cap
Loss of 161.66 reopens the 161.555 sweep low
US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the key USD catalyst and could break this read
06:31 UTC
Range, edging higher into early London · RSI 64 · price 161.81
Tight consolidation below 161.95 ceiling.
USDJPY has chopped in a tight Asian range and popped to 161.83 into the early London hours, RSI(14) lifting toward 64 but still well shy of extreme. Price sits pinned just under the 161.95 2024-high ceiling, with intervention caution capping any test of that line.
Support: 161.66, 161.55
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
A close above 161.95 (2024 high) opens the path higher but invites intervention headlines
Failure to hold 161.66 ny low reopens 161.55 spike low
US Core PCE / GDP block at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 64 · price 161.81
Compressed range below 161.84, recent push to session high.
USDJPY ground back to the 161.84 session high after basing near 161.66, holding the compressed 161.55–161.84 band just under the 161.95 yearly/40-year high. RSI(14) at ~64 with price above both EMAs; intervention caution continues to cap the upper edge rather than letting it press 162.
Support: 161.66, 161.55
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens a retest of the 161.95 ceiling
US Core PCE block at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 161.66 reopens the 161.55 spike low
06:16 UTC
Rangebound, drifting up · RSI 61 · price 161.803
Range below 161.84, higher lows since spike.
USDJPY held a tight Asia-into-London range, capped repeatedly near 161.84 with the 161.95 yearly ceiling untested. A quick spike to 161.555 was bought back, and early London has lifted price to 161.83 again; RSI(14) mid-range near 60. Intervention caution continues to compress price just under the 161.95/162.00 line.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens a test of the 161.95 ceiling
Loss of 161.66 reopens the 161.555 spike low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could break this range
USDJPY consolidating just below the yearly high, with a late push to 161.83 retesting the session high at 161.84. The earlier sweep of 161.555 during NY hours found buyers and price recovered to the range top; intervention caution keeps the 161.95 ceiling intact.
Support: 161.665, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 (yearly high) clears the range top and invites intervention risk
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
Failure to hold 161.665 reopens the 161.555 sweep low
USDJPY is consolidating around 161.76, holding the upper half of a tight intraday band after a sweep down to 161.55 during NY hours was bought straight back. Price sits just below the 161.84 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 55; no setup in play ahead of US PCE.
Support: 161.65, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens the path to the 161.95 yearly-high ceiling
Failure to hold 161.65 reopens the 161.55 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY is pinned in a tight intraday band, drifting back to 161.76 after a brief sweep of 161.555 during the quiet Asia hours. Price holds below the 161.84 session high with the 161.95 yearly ceiling still untested; momentum is neutral with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR thin near 5 pips.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens a test of the 161.95 yearly high
Failure to hold 161.66 reopens the 161.555 spike low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
USDJPY is ranging 161.55–161.84, pinned below the 161.95 yearly high as intervention caution caps upside. A sharp spike swept the lows to 161.555 mid-window, since reclaimed, with price grinding back to 161.74 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR thin at ~3.6 pips.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next several bars
M15 close above 161.95 opens the path toward the 165 scenario; loss of 161.555 marks a fresh lower-low
USDJPY is pinned in a tight Asian-session range around 161.74, holding below the 161.84 session high and the 161.95 2024 ceiling. A sharp wick to 161.555 during the prior session was bought back quickly, and price has since recovered to mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 161.665, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens the path toward the 161.95 yearly high
Failure to hold 161.665 reopens the 161.555 spike low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
05:31 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 55 · price 161.754
Consolidation below yearly-high ceiling.
USDJPY is grinding sideways in the 161.66–161.84 band through the Asia session and into London open, pinned below the 161.95 yearly-high ceiling on intervention caution. A thin-volume spike to 161.555 was bought back, and price has since recovered roughly 0.68 of that drop to 161.75. ATR is compressed near 4 pips.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens a retest of the 161.95 yearly high
Failure to hold 161.66 reopens the 161.555 spike low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
USDJPY is grinding in a tight Asia-session range, recovering from a 161.555 spike low back to 161.75 while the 161.84 session high caps. Price holds just under the 161.95/162.00 ceiling, with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens the path to the 161.95 ceiling
Failure to hold 161.66 reopens the 161.555 spike low
US PCE/GDP block at 12:30 UTC could break this range
05:16 UTC
Ranging, drifting back to range top · RSI 56 · price 161.765
Consolidation below yearly high.
USDJPY is hemmed in a tight 161.555–161.84 range, consolidating a third session just below the 161.95 yearly/40-year high as intervention caution caps upside. A quick sweep to 161.555 was bought back, and price has ground back to the upper third near 161.76 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens a test of the 161.95 yearly high
Failure to hold 161.66 reopens the 161.555 spike low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC is the next catalyst for this range
USDJPY is consolidating around 161.76, recovering through the Asian session after a brief sweep of 161.55. Price has clawed back roughly three-quarters of the prior drop from the 161.84 session high but remains capped well below the 161.95 yearly ceiling.
Support: 161.66, 161.55
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens the path back to the 161.95 ceiling
Loss of 161.66 reopens the 161.55 spike low
US Core PCE / GDP block at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Consolidation below session high · RSI 55 · price 161.765
Ranging under 161.84 ceiling, holding above 161.66.
USDJPY is consolidating around 161.76 in the Asian session, pinned below the 161.84 session high. A sharp dip swept 161.555 mid-window before buyers stepped back in toward 161.66; price has since ground back up, RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.82
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens a retest of the 161.95 yearly ceiling
Loss of 161.66 reopens the 161.555 spike low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 161.765
Intraday range below 161.84 ceiling.
Asia session grinding around 161.76 after a sweep of 161.555 during the prior session was bought back. Range capped by the 161.82-161.84 ceiling, which has held repeatedly; RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 161.665, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.82
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.840 opens path back toward the 161.95 yearly high
Failure to hold 161.665 reopens the 161.555 sweep low
US PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 161.714
Consolidation below session high.
USDJPY is ranging 161.66–161.84 below the 161.95 yearly ceiling, with price consolidating around 161.71 into the Asia session. A thin-liquidity wick swept 161.555 then recovered immediately; RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens the 161.95 ceiling test
Failure to hold 161.66 exposes the 161.555 sweep low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could break this range
04:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 47 · price 161.714
Consolidation under session high after spike low recovery.
USDJPY is consolidating around 161.71 in thin Asia-session trade, holding below the 161.84 session high after a sharp spike to 161.555 was bought back within two bars. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 with price pinned just under EMA20; the 161.95 yearly ceiling remains untested.
Support: 161.665, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 161.84 session high reopens the 161.95 ceiling
Loss of 161.665 swing low exposes the 161.555 spike low
161.95 remains an intervention-sensitive level to monitor
04:31 UTC
Ranging, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 161.728
Range below 161.84 session high.
USD/JPY consolidating around 161.73 during Asia hours, holding below the 161.84 session high while the dollar stays firm and intervention fears cap upside near the yearly peak. A sharp wick to 161.555 was bought back instantly, leaving a sweep low; price has since recovered above EMA20 into the middle of the 161.66-161.84 range.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.787, 161.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.660 reopens the 161.555 sweep low
Reclaim of 161.840 puts the 161.95 yearly barrier in play
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could break this consolidation
04:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 161.728
Range under session high, swept lows recovered.
USDJPY is ranging 161.66–161.79 through the Asia session, pinned just under the 161.84 range top and the 161.95 yearly barrier. A spike down to 161.555 was swept and bought back within the hour; RSI(14) sits flat near 50 with no momentum either way.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.79, 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 161.84 reopens the 161.95 barrier
Loss of 161.66 reinstates the 161.555 sweep low as target
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could break this range
04:16 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 52 · price 161.723
Ranging below 161.84, sweep low reclaimed.
USD/JPY ranging 161.66-161.73 through Asia hours after a brief sweep to 161.555 in late NY trade was reclaimed, RSI(14) mid-range near 52. Price capped under the 161.84 session high; the 161.95 yearly barrier remains untested.
Support: 161.66, 161.555, 161.541
Resistance: 161.84, 161.815, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens the 161.95 barrier
Close below 161.66 confirms a lower low toward the 161.555 sweep
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (~20h) is the next catalyst for this pair
Consolidation under 161.84, recovering from a sweep.
USDJPY is grinding sideways just under the 161.84 session high, holding the 161.20-161.80 carry range below the 161.95 yearly barrier. A quick wick to 161.555 during NY hours was bought straight back, with price now reclaimed to 161.72 and RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 puts the 161.95 barrier in play
Intraday range under yearly high, sweep of lows bought back.
USDJPY held a tight Asian range between 161.66 and 161.84, just under the 161.95 yearly barrier. A brief sweep to 161.555 was bought straight back to 161.71, RSI(14) neutral near 52. Tokyo CPI tonight is the catalyst into this consolidation.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 161.84 opens a retest of the 161.95 yearly high
Failure to hold 161.66 reopens the 161.555 sweep low
USDJPY is grinding sideways in the 161.66–161.84 band, pinned just under the 161.95 yearly barrier as a firm dollar meets intervention-wary yen. A sharp dip to 161.555 during NY hours was bought back within two bars; price has since recovered to 161.74 with RSI neutral near 52.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift this read sharply
M15 close above 161.84 opens a test of the 161.95 barrier
Failure to hold 161.66 reopens the 161.555 spike low
03:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulled back · RSI 46 · price 161.712
Range after rejection from session high.
USDJPY rejected the 161.84 session high and slid back, with a sharp wick down to 161.555 swept and bought back into the 161.66-161.72 range. Price now grinds just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 46, consolidating below the 161.95 yearly barrier.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.74, 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.84 reopens the 161.95 yearly high
Loss of 161.66 confirms a lower-low toward the 161.555 spike low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC tonight could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 161.712
Ranging below 161.95 barrier after sweep low.
USDJPY held a tight Asia-session range under the 161.95 yearly barrier, with a brief sweep to 161.555 quickly bought back toward 161.71. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 and price is back below EMA20/50; no directional setup in play.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens the path to the 161.95 barrier
Failure to hold 161.66 reopens the 161.555 sweep low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (~20h) is the key catalyst for this read
Consolidation under session high, sweep of lows bought back.
USDJPY is consolidating around 161.71, hovering just below the 161.84 session high and the 161.95 40-year barrier. A brief spike down to 161.555 was bought back within two bars, and price has since drifted sideways with RSI(14) near 47 — no momentum in either direction.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.79, 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 161.84 reopens the 161.95 barrier
Failure to hold 161.66 exposes the 161.555 sweep low
03:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 161.711
Ranging below session high, swept the downside.
USDJPY is ranging through the Asia session between 161.66 and 161.84, pinned just under the 161.95 yearly barrier as intervention risk caps upside. A quick spike swept 161.555 before buyers recovered price back to 161.71; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum bias.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.815
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.840 reopens the path toward the 161.95 barrier
Loss of 161.660 reasserts the move toward the 161.555 sweep low
USDJPY ranged 161.55-161.84 through the session, pinned below the 161.95 40-yr high barrier on the firm dollar/wide rate gap. Early Asia swept the 161.555 low then reclaimed back to 161.71; RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens the path to the 161.95 yearly-high barrier
Loss of 161.555 sweep low confirms a lower-low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY is ranging 161.66–161.84 through Asia hours, pinned just under the 161.95 40-year barrier as carry keeps the dollar firm. A spike swept the lows to 161.555 before buyers recovered price back to 161.71; RSI(14) neutral near 46, ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.66 confirms a lower-low and opens 161.555
Break above 161.84 puts the 161.95 yearly high / intervention zone in play
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (~20h) could reset this range
03:01 UTC
Range, edging lower · RSI 45 · price 161.697
Ranging below 161.95 cap, sweep of 161.55 then recovery.
USDJPY chopped in a 161.55-161.84 band through Asia hours, holding just under the 161.95 40-yr high where intervention talk caps upside. A sharp Asia-session flush swept the 161.55 low and snapped back to 161.70, but price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range — no momentum either way.
Support: 161.66
Resistance: 161.80, 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens the 161.95 yearly cap
Loss of 161.55 confirms a lower-low and extends the down leg
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC is the next material catalyst for this pair
Rangebound below session high, one downside sweep.
Asia session grinding in a 161.55-161.84 band, holding under the 161.95 yearly-high cap where intervention talk lingers. A sharp sweep to 161.555 late in the prior session was bought back to 161.70, but price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 161.555, 161.66
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.84 reopens the path to the 161.95 yearly high
Loss of 161.555 sweep low confirms a lower-low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could break the range
02:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 161.678
Ranging below 161.95 yearly cap.
USDJPY ground sideways under the 161.95 yearly cap through the session, then a single bar swept the 161.555 low early in Asia before snapping back to 161.67. Price now sits mid-range below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41, no fresh extension either way.
Support: 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.840 reopens the path to the 161.95 cap
Failure to hold 161.555 confirms a lower-low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (~21h) could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 161.678
Intraday range under yearly high.
USD/JPY rolled off the 161.84 session high and swept to 161.555 before buyers reclaimed 161.66, leaving a tight Asia-session range under the 161.95 yearly cap. RSI(14) near 43 with price below both EMAs; momentum has cooled after the failed push higher.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.79, 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.79 reopens the 161.84-161.95 cap
Failure to hold 161.66 exposes the 161.555 sweep low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY pulled back from the 161.84 session high and is consolidating into Asia hours after a sweep of 161.555 was bought back to 161.71. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 44; range between 161.64 and 161.74, no clean structure in play.
Support: 161.637, 161.555
Resistance: 161.74, 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens path to the 161.95 ceiling
Failure to hold 161.555 sweep low confirms a lower-low
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Range, no clear momentum · RSI 44 · price 161.678
Intraday range, lows swept and reclaimed.
USD/JPY held a 161.55-161.84 range through the Asian session, capped near the 161.84 high by hawkish BoJ commentary against broad USD strength. A sharp spike down to 161.555 swept the session lows before buyers reclaimed back to 161.68; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.813
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.840 invalidates the range top
Failure to hold 161.555 opens a lower low
Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Ranging, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 161.724
Range below session high, sweep of lows reclaimed.
Asia session ranging roughly 161.55-161.84 below the July-2024 peak. A single bar swept the lows to 161.555 then reclaimed back to 161.72; RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with the session high at 161.840 capping.
Support: 161.637, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.637 reopens the 161.555 sweep low
M15 close above 161.840 puts the 161.95/162.00 ceiling in play
Core PCE bundle at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Intraday range 161.55-161.84, sweep of range low then bounce.
USDJPY held a thin Asian-session range between 161.55 and 161.84 before a sharp wick to 161.555 swept the range low, buyers stepping back in to 161.72. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 47; range top at 161.84 remains the structural ceiling.
Support: 161.66, 161.555
Resistance: 161.79, 161.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 invalidates the range read
Failure to hold 161.555 confirms a lower-low
Intervention headlines could trigger a sharp JPY spike
02:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 161.687
Lower highs off session high, sharp dip then bounce.
USDJPY rejected the 161.84 session high and rolled into a series of lower highs, then spiked down to 161.555 before recovering to 161.69 — JPY firmer on the crosses after a hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43; the dip wick was quickly bought back inside the 161.55–161.84 range.
Support: 161.665, 161.555, 161.622
Resistance: 161.79, 161.84
What it said to watch
Close back above 161.79 re-engages the 161.84 session high
Failure to hold 161.66 reopens the 161.555 swing low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 161.687
Lower highs off session top, sweep low reclaimed.
USDJPY rolled over from the session high at 161.84 and swept down to 161.555 on thin Asian-hours flow before recovering to 161.69. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs capping near 161.78; the carry grind stays pinned under the 161.95 July-2024 ceiling.
Support: 161.66, 161.555, 161.50
Resistance: 161.78, 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.555 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 161.80 negates the pullback
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Range, rolling over from highs · RSI 41 · price 161.654
Capped at 161.84, lower highs into Asia.
USD/JPY rolled over from the 161.84 session high into Asia, the last bar swept down to 161.555 before reclaiming 161.65. A hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions and the 162.00 2024-high ceiling are capping the weak-yen grind; RSI(14) near 40 with price below EMA20/50.
Support: 161.64, 161.555, 161.528
Resistance: 161.84, 161.79, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens the 162.00 2024-high ceiling
Failure to hold 161.555 confirms a lower low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Uptrend rolling over · RSI 38 · price 161.654
Grind to 161.84 high, now lower highs.
Window ground higher into a 161.84 rejection before rolling over; the last Asia-hour bar swept down to 161.555 then recovered to 161.654, leaving a string of lower highs. RSI(14) near 38 after the flush, price below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 161.555, 161.64
Resistance: 161.787, 161.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.555 confirms a lower-low and opens 161.50
Reclaim of 161.787 needed to neutralise the lower-high sequence
162.00 ceiling and intervention chatter cap any retest of the highs
01:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 40 · price 161.709
Lower highs off 161.84, pullback through thin Asia.
USD/JPY rejected at the session high 161.84 during NY hours and has bled back to 161.70 through thin Asia trade, RSI cooling near 40. A chain of lower highs has formed below the 161.84 cap, with the broad weak-yen trend still pinned under the 161.95/162.00 2024 ceiling and live intervention risk.
Support: 161.697, 161.622
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.84 reopens the 161.95 ceiling
Loss of 161.70 exposes the 161.62 swing low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 161.709
Consolidation below session high after rejection.
USD/JPY rejected the session high at 161.84 and has drifted back to 161.70 on thin Asia-session volume, parking right on the 0.618 retrace of the 161.62-161.84 leg. Price is back under EMA20/50 with RSI cooling toward 42; pair remains pinned beneath the 161.95/162.00 ceiling flagged into US PCE.
Support: 161.697, 161.622, 161.555
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.70 opens 161.62 swing low
Reclaim of 161.84 reopens the path toward the 161.95 ceiling
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Grind higher then consolidation, shallow pullback.
USD/JPY ground higher through NY to a 161.84 session high, supported by the hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions offsetting broad USD strength, then stalled and slipped into the Asia session. Now consolidating in the low 161.70s below EMA20, capped well under the 161.95/162.00 ceiling.
Support: 161.697, 161.622
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens the path toward the 161.95 ceiling
Failure to hold 161.697 confirms a deeper pullback
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~11h) and Tokyo CPI later today could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 161.738
HH/HL chain rolled over below 161.84.
USDJPY ground higher through London-NY to a 161.84 session high then rolled over, with the BoJ-driven yen firmness on crosses capping the move shy of the 161.95/162.00 ceiling. Thin Asia bars pulled price back to 161.70 before a modest bounce to 161.738; RSI(14) near 46 reflects cooled momentum.
Support: 161.697, 161.654
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
Close back above 161.840 reopens the path to the 161.95/162.00 ceiling
Failure to hold 161.697 confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback
US Core PCE in ~11h is the dominant near-term USD catalyst
London/NY drove the grind up to a session high of 161.840 before sellers stepped in; Asian hours have drifted back to 161.74 on thin volume. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and the 161.95 multi-decade cap, where intervention risk thickens, remains untested.
Support: 161.697, 161.622
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.840 opens a retest of the 161.95 cap
Loss of 161.697 confirms a lower-low and ends the rising structure
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could sharply shift JPY direction
Consolidation below session high after NY grind up.
USDJPY ground up through the NY session to a session high at 161.84, then faded into thin Asia trade and is now ranging 161.70–161.80 just under the 161.95 multi-decade cap. Momentum has cooled with price slipping below the EMA20; RSI sits mid-range as the move flattens below the level intervention warnings are defending.
Support: 161.697, 161.55
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens the 161.95 cap test
Loss of 161.697 confirms a lower-low into Asia
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (~22.5h) could shift this read
USDJPY ground up through the session to a high at 161.840, capped well under the 161.95 multi-decade line, then drifted back to 161.74 in thin Asian trade with EMA20 now overhead. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral as the advance stalls; price is holding above the rising intraday support off 161.62.
Support: 161.727, 161.687, 161.622
Resistance: 161.788, 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.840 reopens the 161.95 cap
Loss of 161.727 confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London-NY hours pushed USDJPY up to a session high at 161.840 before rejection capped it; the pair has drifted into a thin Asian-session consolidation around 161.74 with RSI(14) back near neutral. The 161.95 40-year high overhead remains the line intervention warnings are defending.
Support: 161.70
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.840 reopens the 161.95 cap
Loss of 161.700 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower-low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through the prior sessions and is now coiling in a thin Asian-session range near 161.77, just under the 161.84 session high and capped well below the 161.95 2024 peak. Volume has thinned sharply; the 161.72 swing low has held the base of the consolidation.
Support: 161.72, 161.65
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens the 161.95 peak ceiling
Loss of 161.72 swing low breaks the consolidation toward 161.65
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY span to tag a session high at 161.84, then settled into a tight 161.73-161.79 band as Asia trade thinned out, RSI(14) neutral near 53. Hawkish BoJ rhetoric and intervention risk continue to cap the 161.95 July-2024 peak while broad USD strength underpins the consolidation.
Support: 161.73
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens the path back to the 161.95 peak
Failure to hold 161.73 confirms a lower-low and shifts the range lower
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant near-term catalyst
Higher highs into session high, now ranging in thin Asia.
USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY window to a session high at 161.840 before stalling; price now coils around 161.77 in thin Asia-hours trade with RSI(14) neutral near 54. Hawkish BoJ rhetoric and intervention threat are capping the push toward the 161.95 July-2024 peak while broad USD strength keeps a floor under the recent 161.745 lows.
Support: 161.745, 161.66
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.840 reopens the path toward the 161.95 ceiling
Failure to hold 161.745 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising structure
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12.5h) is the dominant near-term catalyst
Higher highs into tight consolidation near session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY session to a 161.84 session high, then stalled into a tight 161.74-161.79 band in thin Asian-hours liquidity. Hawkish BoJ rhetoric and intervention fear are capping upside just below the 161.95 2024 peak while broad USD strength supports the floor; RSI is neutral and ATR sits near 2 pips.
Support: 161.74, 161.69, 161.62
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 opens the path toward the 161.95 ceiling
Loss of 161.74 would break the consolidation lower toward 161.69
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant near-term catalyst
USDJPY ground higher through the prior session to a 161.840 high before stalling; price now ranges 161.745-161.790 in thin Asia trade. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and the session high was rejected once, with intervention-fear keeping a lid on the upside despite broad USD strength.
Support: 161.745, 161.70
Resistance: 161.84, 161.82
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.840 opens path toward the 161.95 ceiling
Failure to hold 161.745 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Tokyo CPI fallout could shift this read in the next bars
Higher highs into 161.84, now consolidating in thin Asia hours.
USDJPY ground higher through London-NY to a 161.84 session high then drifted back to 161.76 in thin Asia hours, holding well below the 161.95 2024 ceiling as hawkish BoJ rhetoric and intervention fear cap upside. Price is now stalling just under EMA20 inside a tight consolidation, RSI(14) flat near 52.
Support: 161.74, 161.682, 161.622
Resistance: 161.84, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens the 161.95 ceiling test
Loss of 161.74 confirms a deeper pullback toward 161.68
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and US Core PCE 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read