Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:01 UTC
Uptrend resuming after mid-window flush · RSI 58 · price 159.306
Higher-lows since 155.03 spike low; basing under 159.40.
Price has rebuilt a steady higher-low sequence from the 155.03 flush three weeks ago, reclaiming both EMAs and pressing back into the 159.38 range high. The last six sessions show tight consolidation between 158.65 and 159.38, with ATR compressing and RSI holding near 58 — a coiled structure rather than an exhausted push. Intervention chatter highlighted in news flow above 159.00 is the obvious cap; structurally the move is constructive while 158.29 holds.
Support: 158.78, 158.29
Resistance: 159.38, 160.72
What it said to watch
- H4 close above 159.38 range high opens path toward 160.72 month high
- Loss of 158.78 ema20 and 158.29 prior pivot breaks the higher-low sequence
- Verbal intervention from MoF/BoJ could materially shift this read near 159+
17:00 UTC
Recovery uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 60 · price 159.349
Higher highs and higher lows since 155.03 swing low.
Price has carved a steady recovery from the 155.03 flush three weeks ago, stacking higher lows through 156.30, 157.85 and 158.78 inside an ascending channel. The latest H4 closed at 159.35, edging above last week's 159.34 high — a tentative breakout that puts the 160.32 prior high back in play. RSI near 60 and EMA20/EMA50 both rising under price confirm momentum is constructive without being stretched.
Support: 158.78, 157.85, 156.30
Resistance: 159.38, 160.32
What it said to watch
- Sustained close back below the 158.78 swing low would break the higher-low sequence
- Acceptance above 159.38 opens the path to the 160.32 prior high
- Failure of the breakout and reversion into 158.78–159.00 would mark a false break