USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 28 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Mild uptrend off the open, stalling near highs · RSI 55 · price 161.778
Higher lows, capped below 161.864.
Thin Asia open after the weekend gap drifted up to a session high of 161.864 before sellers rejected it back to 161.78. Price now consolidating in the upper end of its range, capped well below the 162.00 intervention line flagged by officials.
Support: 161.71, 161.756
Resistance: 161.864, 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.864 opens the path toward the 161.95 july high
162.00 intervention line risk on any extension; thin early-July liquidity raises odds
Failure to hold 161.71 session low confirms a lower-low
Thin Sunday/Asia open gapped down to 161.71 then recovered, printing a session high at 161.86 before settling near 161.79 — still well below the 162.00 BoJ intervention line. RSI(14) neutral around 58 and ATR is compressed at ~4 pips in the low-liquidity tape.
Support: 161.71, 161.55
Resistance: 161.86, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.86 opens the path back toward the 162.00 intervention line
Failure to hold 161.71 reopens the 161.55 swing low
162.00 — area to watch for sharp rejection given flagged intervention risk
Thin early-week liquidity saw USDJPY gap-open and grind up to a session high at 161.86 before easing back to settle near 161.79. The 162.00 intervention line remains the hard cap, with the rally stalling well below it; structure is consolidative just above the 161.71 session low.
Support: 161.71, 161.55
Resistance: 161.86, 162.00
What it said to watch
Approach to 162.00 — area to watch for sharp intervention-driven rejection
M15 close below 161.71 reopens the 161.55 swing
Tankan and JOLTS later this week could shift the read into thin holiday liquidity
23:01 UTC
Mild uptrend off the open, capped under 162.00 · RSI 62 · price 161.787
Weekend gap then push to session high, holding above prior range top.
Thin Monday open after the weekend gap; USD/JPY pushed to a session high of 161.864 then eased back to 161.79, still holding above the prior 161.76 range top. The 162.00 BoJ intervention line sits just overhead and caps the move, with USD softer post-PCE keeping price pinned in the 161.50-162.00 zone.
Support: 161.712, 161.654, 161.54
Resistance: 161.864, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.864 opens the path toward the 162.00 intervention line
Failure to hold 161.712 returns price into Friday's range
Thin early-week liquidity raises spike risk on any approach to 162.00
Thin early-week reopen liquidity pushed USDJPY to 161.864 before fading back to 161.79, keeping price pinned inside the 161.10-162.00 range below the BoJ intervention line. Tokyo CPI firmness offered marginal JPY support but the yield gap leaves dips shallow; no clean structure in play.
Support: 161.71, 161.10
Resistance: 161.864, 162.00
What it said to watch
Approach to 162.00 intervention line risks sharp rejection on official caution
Loss of 161.71 reopen low reopens the 161.10 range floor
ADP/ISM (Jul 1) could materially shift this read amid thin holiday liquidity
22:31 UTC
Consolidating below intervention line · RSI 62 · price 161.787
Thin-liquidity session open, spike rejected.
Thin holiday-open liquidity drove a brief spike to 161.864, swiftly rejected back to 161.79 with USD/JPY still capped under the 162.00 intervention line. Price holds above the 161.71 session open after firm Tokyo CPI; intraday structure is contained, no clean setup in play.
Support: 161.71, 161.10
Resistance: 161.864, 162.00
What it said to watch
Approach to 162.00 invites MoF/BoJ verbal warnings and sharp rejection risk
Failure to hold 161.71 reopens the 161.10 range floor
Jul 1 ADP and ISM cluster could materially shift this read
Ranging below 162.00, capped on the week's reopen.
USDJPY reopened the week in thin early-July liquidity, drifting up off 161.71 with the latest bar spiking to 161.864 before settling at 161.797. Price remains pinned inside the 161.10-162.00 range after firm Tokyo CPI, with the 162.00 intervention line still untested overhead.
Support: 161.71, 161.535, 161.10
Resistance: 161.864, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.864 opens the path back toward the 162.00 intervention line
Failure to hold 161.710 reopens the 161.535 swing low
Thin holiday liquidity raises intervention-spike risk on any 162.00 approach
22:01 UTC
Range-bound, flat · RSI 49 · price 161.728
Consolidation below 162.00.
Thin early-week open liquidity has USDJPY drifting flat around 161.73, holding the prior session's 161.53–161.85 range. Price sits pinned below the 162.00 BoJ intervention line after firm Tokyo CPI failed to break the range; no setup in play.
USDJPY ranging 161.53–161.85 below the 162.00 intervention line, having recovered off the 161.535 swing low through the prior NY hours. Firm Tokyo CPI gave the yen a marginal bid but failed to break the range; the latest bars are thin weekly-open prints with little structural information.
Support: 161.535, 161.10
Resistance: 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.85 opens the path back toward the 162.00 intervention line
Loss of 161.535 confirms a lower-low and exposes 161.10
Approach to 162.00 raises MoF/BoJ verbal-intervention risk into thin early-July liquidity
USDJPY ranged 161.53-161.85 through the session and stalled below the 162.00 BoJ intervention line after firm Tokyo CPI met a softer post-PCE dollar. Latest bars are thin holiday-open prints (volume near zero) hovering at 161.72, no setup in play.
Support: 161.53, 161.10
Resistance: 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.85 reopens the 162.00 intervention line
Loss of 161.53 exposes 161.10 support
Thin early-week liquidity amplifies any intervention-driven spike near 162.00
USDJPY is consolidating in the 161.53–161.78 band, capped well below the 162.00 intervention line after firm Tokyo CPI met a softer USD. Price recovered off the 161.53 swing low earlier in the session and RSI(14) sits neutral near 46; the final bars print on thin Sunday-open liquidity.
Support: 161.53, 161.10
Resistance: 161.78, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.78 reopens the path to the 162.00 intervention line
Loss of 161.53 confirms a lower-low and exposes 161.10 support
Rebound into prior range, capped below session high.
USDJPY recovered from the 161.53 session low back to 161.76 and is now coiling in a tight Asian-hours range below the 161.85 session high, with the 162.00 BoJ intervention line capping above. RSI(14) neutral near 56 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips as liquidity thins; price holds above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 161.62, 161.53
Resistance: 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.85 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention line
Loss of 161.62 reopens the 161.53 session low
Japan Retail Trade (23:50 UTC) could break the tight range