Lower highs from 163.90 into a 163.30–163.55 shelf.
USDJPY sold off from 163.79 through 163.23 as post-FOMC USD longs unwound after the Fed held, then based into a 163.30–163.55 range. Price is now grinding lower near 163.38 in thin Asia/rollover volume, sitting below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.79
What it said to watch
Close below 163.23 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 163.55 swing high neutralises the intraday downdraft
Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) and Friday BoJ are near-term JPY catalysts
USDJPY sold off from 163.90 through the NY session, bottoming at 163.23 before a 50% bounce stalled near 163.567. Price now drifts in a thin Asia session, coiling around 163.35-163.45 below both EMAs with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.45, 163.567, 164.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC lands next bar and can jolt this thin tape
Close below 163.23 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.567 negates the downside drift
164.00 psych level remains the intervention watch zone on any rebound
23:32 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 40 · price 163.378
Sold off from session high, drifting near lows in thin Asia trade.
NY session drove a sharp selloff from 163.90 to 163.23 after the Fed held rates and USD softened. Thin Asia trade has drifted back below 163.45, holding near session lows with lower highs capping at 163.55; RSI(14) sub-42.
Support: 163.23
Resistance: 163.55
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.23 confirms a lower low and extends the session downtrend
Reclaim of 163.55 needed to break the sequence of lower highs
Liquidity is thin in early Asia — moves can overextend on light volume
23:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading into Asia · RSI 40 · price 163.365
Lower highs, grinding session lows.
USDJPY sold off hard on the NY-session drop from 163.90 to 163.23, then bounced and stalled at 163.56 before rolling over. Asia-session bars are thin and drifting back toward the 163.30 session low with RSI(14) mid-30s to low-40s.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.56, 163.90, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.23 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 163.56 lower high negates the downside grind
Proximity to 164.00 keeps intervention-spike risk live on any bounce
USD/JPY sold off through the NY session from 163.90 to a 163.23 low as the Fed's in-line hold trimmed stretched dollar longs. Asia session is now consolidating in a tight 163.37-163.45 band well below the 40-yr-high 164.00 handle.
Support: 163.31, 163.23
Resistance: 163.45, 163.55, 163.89
What it said to watch
M15 reclaim above 163.45 range top puts 163.55 back in play
Break below 163.23 session low confirms a lower-low
Thu Core PCE / GDP cluster is the next major USD/JPY catalyst
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading into thin range · RSI 44 · price 163.369
Post-drop consolidation below broken support.
USDJPY dropped hard through 163.55 around the Fed hold, printing a session low at 163.23 before a shallow bounce. Price now drifts near 163.37 on thin Asian-session volume, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI in the mid-40s.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.55
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.55 bounce high would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 163.23 session low opens the path lower
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:01 UTC
Downtrend after NY sell-off, now drifting · RSI 43 · price 163.404
Range break lower, consolidating near lows.
USDJPY broke down from the 163.73-163.90 session range during NY afternoon after the Fed's in-line hold, tagging a session low at 163.23 before a shallow bounce. Price has since made lower highs and is drifting at 163.40 in thin late/Asia hours, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
Close below 163.23 confirms a lower low and extends the breakdown
Reclaim of 163.55 recent high needed to negate the lower-highs sequence
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the live catalyst that can reprice this pair
Sharp sell-off then consolidation above session low.
USDJPY sold off sharply from 163.90 to 163.23 through the NY session after the Fed held rates in line with consensus. Price has since stalled in thin late-session trade, consolidating 163.37-163.45 with lower highs capping each bounce below 163.567.
Support: 163.31, 163.23
Resistance: 163.45, 163.567
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.23 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.45 range top opens 163.567
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE/GDP cluster is the next material driver for this pair
Sharp drop off 163.90, consolidating above 163.30.
Fed's plain hold at 18:00 UTC sank USD/JPY from 163.90 to a 163.23 session low as stretched dollar longs unwound. Buyers stepped back in above 163.30 and price is now consolidating around 163.44 in thin late-session trade, RSI recovering off oversold.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.55 needed to challenge the session high and 163.90
Failure to hold 163.30 reopens the 163.23 session low
Core PCE/GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC is the next live catalyst for this read
22:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 43 · price 163.413
Sharp break lower, now consolidating near session low.
NY session broke sharply lower after the FOMC hold, USD/JPY sliding from 163.90 to a session low of 163.23 as stretched dollar longs unwound. Price has since based around 163.40 in thin Asian-hours trade, RSI recovering off the lows and ATR compressing.
Support: 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.85
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.55 bounce high opens a retest of the 163.85 pre-drop high
Loss of 163.23 session low extends the down-leg
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the key post-FOMC catalyst for this pair
NY session sold USDJPY off the 163.90 high down to a 163.23 sweep, then bounced to 163.55 before fading into thin Asia hours near 163.40. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; 163.30 prior-high pivot is the immediate floor being tested.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.23 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.55 negates the intraday downdrift
Thu 12:30 UTC US Core PCE/GDP could materially shift this read
NY session dumped USD/JPY from ~163.90 to a 163.23 session low, then bounced to 163.55 before fading to 163.40 in thin late-session trade. Price sits below EMA20/50 and is consolidating in a 163.23-163.55 band; the earlier 40-yr-high premium near 164.00 has cooled well off.
Support: 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.23 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
M15 close back above 163.55 bounce high reopens the 163.90 session high
Thu 12:30 UTC US Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
USD/JPY sold off from ~163.79 into a 163.23 session low on heavy volume as the Fed held rates, breaking the tight sub-164.00 band. A recovery to 163.55 faded, and price is now drifting near 163.39 into early Asia hours with RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.79
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.55 would neutralise the post-FOMC breakdown
Failure to hold 163.30/163.23 confirms a lower-low
Core PCE + GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the key post-FOMC test and could reset this read
FOMC hold around 18:00 UTC triggered a sharp drop from the 163.89 session high to a 163.23 swing low, rejecting the 164.00 handle. Price is now consolidating near 163.40 in thin late-NY/Asia hours with RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s; the bounce high at 163.55 caps the recovery.
Support: 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.89, 164.00
What it said to watch
Break below 163.23 swing low confirms continuation of the post-FOMC leg
Reclaim of 163.55 bounce high needed to neutralise the drop
Core PCE + GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
NY session sold off sharply from the 163.90 session high down to 163.23, cutting through the 163.70 shelf as the dollar trimmed post-FOMC gains. Price has since stabilised near 163.40 on very thin late-hours volume, holding just above the 163.30 prior-high pivot.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.55 swing high negates the downside continuation
Break of 163.23 session low opens the path toward 163.00
US Core PCE/GDP (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next major catalyst for this pair
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, post-FOMC leg lower · RSI 41 · price 163.39
Lower highs, broke intraday support.
USD/JPY sold off sharply into the NY close, breaking the 163.45 shelf on the FOMC hold and printing a 163.23 session low. Price bounced to 163.55 then faded back to 163.39; RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 41, structure remains lower-highs.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.55
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.55 would neutralise the intraday breakdown
Close below 163.23 confirms a fresh lower low
US Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, fading into lows · RSI 41 · price 163.384
Lower highs after breakdown from 163.90.
NY session broke down from the 163.63-163.90 range, dumping into 163.23 before a bounce stalled at 163.55. Price is now fading back toward the lows on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) around 41 with lower highs stacking.
Support: 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.23 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 163.55 negates the breakdown read
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY sold off from the 163.90 session high to a 163.23 low as the FOMC hold trimmed stretched dollar longs. The bounce stalled at 163.55 and price sits back at 163.38 in thin late-session trade, RSI(14) cooling near 39 with price below EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
Close below 163.23 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 163.55 bounce high negates the near-term breakdown
Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold USD/JPY off the 163.90 area down to a 163.23 low as stretched dollar longs trimmed into the Fed hold; the bounce stalled at 163.55 and price is now drifting near 163.38 in thin post-NY liquidity. Structure is a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows, RSI(14) mid-30s but not yet stretched.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.50
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.23 swing low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 163.50 bounce cap neutralises the intraday downtrend read
Thu 12:30 UTC US Core PCE / GDP cluster could materially reset this read
21:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 35 · price 163.439
Breakdown from 163.90, lower highs into Asia open.
NY afternoon delivered a sharp drop from the 163.90 session high to a 163.23 low around the Fed hold, breaking down through the intraday range. A bounce to 163.55 has faded back to 163.44 into the Asia open, RSI(14) sub-40 and price under both EMAs.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.23 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 163.55 bounce high needed to negate the breakdown read
163.30 prior-high area is the near-term pivot being tested
21:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 42 · price 163.439
Sharp drop then consolidation.
USDJPY sold off from 163.90 to 163.23 into the FOMC hold as stretched USD longs unwound, then found footing in a 163.30-163.55 band. Price is drifting back toward the lower edge with RSI(14) near 42, no fresh low since the initial flush.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.65
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.55 bounce high reopens the 163.65 swing high
Loss of 163.30 prior-high pivot exposes the 163.23 session low
Core PCE/GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Downtrend off session high · RSI 42 · price 163.462
Lower highs after sweep of 163.23.
NY session dumped off 163.90 to a 163.23 low as stretched USD longs unwound around the Fed hold. Price bounced to 163.55 then rolled back to 163.46, holding under EMA20/50 with lower highs intact.
Support: 163.23
Resistance: 163.55
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.55 negates the lower-high sequence
Break of 163.23 confirms a fresh lower-low
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE/GDP cluster could reshape this read
NY session sold USDJPY from 163.90 down to a 163.23 session low as stretched USD longs unwound around the FOMC hold. Price has since based twice near 163.25 and clawed back to 163.55; RSI recovering off oversold, still capped below 163.65.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.65, 163.79, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.65 opens the path back toward 163.79 prior support
Failure to hold 163.30 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 163.23 session low
Thu 12:30 UTC US Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially reset this read
NY session sold USDJPY off the 163.90 session high down to a 163.23 low, a sell-the-fact reaction to the Fed's in-line hold. Price is bouncing to 163.55 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold, but sits below EMA20/50 and the 163.65 bounce high still caps.
Support: 163.315, 163.23
Resistance: 163.652, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.65 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 163.315 reopens the 163.23 session low
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
USD/JPY dropped sharply from 163.89 into the NY session, breaking the 163.30 pivot to a 163.23 session low as USD was sold on the dovish-lean FOMC hold at 18:00 GMT. Price is now retracing to 163.53, RSI(14) lifting off its lows; the broken 163.30-163.65 zone is the area to watch on the bounce.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.65, 163.89
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.65 negates the range-break lower read
Failure to hold above 163.30 reopens the 163.23 session low
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE + GDP cluster could shift this read
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, post-FOMC leg · RSI 38 · price 163.438
Lower highs, lower lows off 163.89.
USD/JPY broke lower from 163.89 into the FOMC hold, printing a 163.23 session low on heavy volume before bouncing to 163.44. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38 after the selloff; the 163.50 recent high now caps the retrace.
Support: 163.23, 163.30
Resistance: 163.50, 163.79, 163.89
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.50 opens the path back toward the 163.79 pre-drop area
Failure to hold 163.30 keeps focus on the 163.23 session low
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE/GDP cluster and Fri BoJ could reset this read
NY session FOMC hold at 3.75% triggered a sharp drop from 163.90, breaking the day's 163.70-163.90 range and printing a session low of 163.23. Price is bouncing back to 163.42, sitting between the 163.30 prior-high pivot and the 163.50 reclaim level; RSI(14) recovering off the selloff.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.50, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.50 negates the downside break read
Failure to hold 163.30 confirms a lower-low toward 163.23
Core PCE Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USD/JPY sold off through the 163.30 prior-high pivot after the FOMC hold, printing a session low of 163.23 as stretched USD longs unwound. Buyers stepped in on the retest of the low, lifting price back to 163.42, but the 163.90 session high and 164.00 handle remain distant.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.90
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.30 would repair the range-break lower
Loss of 163.23 session low confirms lower-low extension
US Core PCE / Q2 GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USD/JPY sold off hard into the NY session after the Fed held at 3.75%, unwinding stretched USD longs and dropping from 163.90 to a session low of 163.23 before a shallow bounce to 163.33. Price sliced through the 163.65 floor and is now sitting below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) pressed near 33.
Support: 163.23, 163.00
Resistance: 163.45, 163.65, 163.90
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.45 then 163.55 needed to ease the downside break
Failure to hold 163.23 confirms continuation toward 163.00
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE/GDP cluster and BoJ Friday could materially shift this read
USD/JPY sold off from the 163.90 session high toward a 163.23 low as the FOMC hold triggered a slide off the 40-yr high area; price now 163.33 with RSI(14) near 31. Sellers broke the 163.45 pivot and the prior-high area at 163.30 is being tested.
Support: 163.23, 163.30
Resistance: 163.45, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.23 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 163.45 would relieve the post-FOMC pressure
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE/GDP cluster could reshape this read
USDJPY broke the 163.30–164.00 band it held all session, sliding to 163.30 after the in-line Fed hold left stretched USD longs exposed. Price is printing fresh lows at 163.29 with RSI(14) near 30; the 163.65 bounce was sold quickly.
Support: 163.29
Resistance: 163.65
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 closes below 163.30 confirm the breakdown out of the range
Reclaim of 163.65 would negate the lower-low sequence
Warsh presser and Thu Core PCE could sharply reprice this move
USD/JPY sold off sharply from 163.90 to 163.30 through the NY session as stretched dollar longs unwound around the Warsh press conference, breaking the multi-hour 163.30–164.00 range floor. Price is now retesting the 163.28 prior-low area with RSI(14) near 31; the same double-bottom shelf that held earlier today.
Support: 163.28, 163.00
Resistance: 163.50, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.28 confirms a lower-low and opens the 163.00 psych level
Reclaim of 163.50 breakdown level would neutralise the range-break read
Post-FOMC volatility still bleeding through — further Warsh headlines could extend the move
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, post-FOMC leg lower · RSI 34 · price 163.437
Range break, fresh session lows.
USD/JPY snapped out of its 163.73-163.90 NY range and dumped to 163.42 after the Fed hold and Warsh presser sparked a dollar unwind. Bounce attempts stalled at 163.65, RSI(14) near 34 as price sits on the session low.
Support: 163.42, 163.30
Resistance: 163.65, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.65 negates the post-FOMC breakdown
Warsh presser still live — could extend or reverse this move
Double top rejection, breaking down toward mid-range lows.
The FOMC hold triggered a sharp sell-off from the 163.90 double top, dropping ~45 pips into 163.42 with a spike in volume. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 34.6; a weak bounce to 163.65 was sold back to the session low.
Support: 163.42, 163.30
Resistance: 163.65, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.42 opens the path to the 163.30 swing low
Reclaim of 163.65 negates the downside break
Warsh FOMC presser ongoing could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Sharp intraday breakdown · RSI 34 · price 163.477
Range break lower off FOMC.
USDJPY snapped out of the 163.75-163.90 range on the FOMC hold and Warsh presser, spiking down to 163.449 with RSI(14) diving into the low 30s. The bounce stalled at 163.55 and faded back to 163.48; the range top at 163.885 is now well overhead.
Support: 163.449, 163.298
Resistance: 163.548, 163.61, 163.885
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 163.60 rejection would negate the breakdown
Break of 163.449 session low opens the path to 163.30 prior low
Live Warsh presser can extend or reverse this move within the next bars
18:31 UTC
Sharp downside break from range · RSI 36 · price 163.477
Range break lower, bounce fading.
USD/JPY snapped ~40 pips lower off 163.84 into the FOMC/Warsh presser, sweeping the prior 163.73-163.90 range and printing a session low at 163.45, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s. The bounce stalled at 163.60 and price sits back at 163.48 — the broken range top now caps.
Support: 163.45, 163.30
Resistance: 163.60, 163.84
What it said to watch
Warsh presser live — could reverse or extend this move in the next bars
USD/JPY sliced from 163.79 to a 163.449 session low on the FOMC hold, closing 163.50 as a 'sell-the-fact' unwind hit stretched dollar longs. RSI(14) is crushed near 16 (oversold) and price now sits on the 61.8% retrace of the intraday climb off 163.295.
Support: 163.449, 163.295
Resistance: 163.60, 163.79
What it said to watch
Warsh presser live now (18:30 UTC) — can materially shift this read
M15 close back above 163.60 prior sup would repair the breakdown
Failure to hold 163.449 session low opens the path to 163.295 swing low
USDJPY snapped ~40 pips lower from 163.84 to 163.45 on the 18:00 GMT FOMC decision, rejecting the 163.90 session high and retreating from the 40-yr peak near 163.99. Price now sits around the 61.8% retrace of the prior climb from 163.30, RSI cooling into the high-30s.
Support: 163.449, 163.30
Resistance: 163.904, 163.99
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.90 negates the FOMC-driven break
Failure to hold 163.45 opens the path to 163.30 swing low
FOMC press conference at 18:30 GMT could sharply extend this move
USD/JPY collapsed on the 18:00 GMT FOMC bar, gapping from 163.79 to a 163.46 spike low after holding a NY range near the 163.90 top — a dovish-leaning read unwinding stretched dollar longs. The rising line built off the 163.30 low is now broken and RSI(14) has cooled toward 33.
Support: 163.46, 163.30
Resistance: 163.80, 163.90
What it said to watch
FOMC press conference at 18:30 GMT can extend this volatility
Reclaim above 163.80 prior high would repair the range break
Failure to hold 163.30 prior low confirms a deeper lower-low
18:01 UTC
Recovered off lows, stalling near session high · RSI 47 · price 163.803
Higher lows into 163.90 supply.
USDJPY recovered from the 163.30 session low to retag the 163.90 session high, now easing to 163.80 as traders sit tight into the 18:00 GMT FOMC. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s off the highs; price is parked just below EMA20 within the recovery.
Support: 163.73, 163.30
Resistance: 163.90, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver for the next bars
A clean break of 163.99 cycle high raises intervention chatter
Failure to hold 163.73 breaks the higher-low chain
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into highs · RSI 55 · price 163.842
Recovery off 163.28 flush, consolidating near session high.
USDJPY clawed back the sharp 163.28 London flush and is grinding just under the 163.90 session high, pinned below the 163.99 40-year cycle high as traders sit on hands into FOMC. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) mid-range after the last leg up stalled.
Support: 163.73, 163.53
Resistance: 163.904, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT and presser 18:30 GMT — dominant catalyst, will override this read
Break and hold above 163.904 opens the path to the 163.99 cycle high
Failure to hold 163.73 exposes 163.53
17:31 UTC
Recovered off dip, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 57 · price 163.841
Higher lows into session-high supply.
USD/JPY recovered the full leg from the 163.30 dip low back to the 163.90 session high, then rejected there and eased to 163.84 as traders squared into the imminent FOMC. RSI(14) cooling off the recent push; price holding above EMA20/50 with buyers stepping in around the 163.73 swing low.
Support: 163.73, 163.30
Resistance: 163.90, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~30m) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
M15 close above 163.90 opens the path to the 163.99 cycle high
Failure to hold 163.73 confirms a lower low and re-exposes 163.30
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, recovering into session high · RSI 66 · price 163.888
Higher lows off 163.30 sweep, pressing prior high.
USDJPY recovered the full drop that swept to 163.30 during Asian hours and is now pressing the session high at 163.90, just under the 163.99 cycle extreme. RSI(14) elevated near 66 as price grinds higher into the FOMC; buyers stepped in repeatedly through the London-NY session.
Support: 163.75, 163.30
Resistance: 163.90, 163.99, 164.00
What it said to watch
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT / presser 18:30 GMT is imminent and dominates this read
A close above 163.99/164.00 opens the path higher but thickens intervention risk
Failure to hold 163.75 breaks the rising-low chain
17:01 UTC
Recovery uptrend into resistance · RSI 64 · price 163.888
V-recovery, grinding to session high.
NY session ground back to the session high near 163.895 after a sharp mid-window flush to the 163.277 swing low; RSI elevated near 63 but not extreme, ATR compressing to ~8 pips as price coils just under resistance. The 40-yr high at 163.99 caps overhead with FOMC (18:00 GMT) roughly an hour out.
Support: 163.75, 163.63
Resistance: 163.895, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC in ~1h is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Close above 163.99 40-yr high opens fresh cycle territory
Loss of the 163.75 minor low reopens the 163.63 swing low
USDJPY recovered the full leg from the 163.30 session low back to 163.90, now grinding into the 163.99 40-year high with RSI(14) around 66. Price is stalling at the session high just ahead of FOMC.
Support: 163.73, 163.30
Resistance: 163.90, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC in ~1h (18:00 GMT) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
A clean break above 163.99 opens the 164.00 handle where intervention risk thickens
Loss of 163.73 swing low breaks the rising-low chain
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing prior high · RSI 64 · price 163.879
Recovery leg, HH/HL into resistance.
USDJPY clawed back through the NY session from the 163.30 session low to press the 163.90 session high, back within reach of the 163.99 40-year cycle high. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; price holding above EMA20/50 as buyers stepped in around 163.63.
Support: 163.77, 163.63, 163.30
Resistance: 163.904, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~1h) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 163.99 breaks the cycle high; area to watch for rejection or break
Failure to hold 163.77 reopens the 163.63 swing low
USD/JPY sold off sharply mid-window to a session low of 163.295, then carved a rounded recovery back to 163.90, printing higher lows into the NY session ahead of the FOMC. Price is now pressing the session high, capped just shy of the 163.99 40-year high, with RSI(14) elevated but not stretched.
Support: 163.73
Resistance: 163.90, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this structure
A clean break of the 163.99 40yr high extends the recovery toward the 164.00 handle
Loss of the 163.73 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
USDJPY recovered from the mid-window flush to 163.28 and is grinding back toward the 163.99 40-year high, printing higher lows through the NY session. RSI(14) firm near 66, price above both EMAs as it retests the 163.90 session high into the FOMC.
Support: 163.63, 163.28
Resistance: 163.90, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC statement in ~1.5h is the dominant catalyst for this read
A clean break above 163.99 opens the 164.00 handle and intervention chatter
Loss of 163.63 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
16:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum easing near session high · RSI 63 · price 163.876
Higher lows off 163.30, pressing session high 163.885.
USDJPY recovered from a NY-session flush to 163.30 and ground back up in a chain of higher lows, now consolidating just under the 163.885 session high. RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme; price holds above EMA20/50 as traders sit tight into the FOMC.
Support: 163.73, 163.30
Resistance: 163.885, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
A push through 163.885 opens the 163.99 40-yr high, where intervention risk sits
Loss of the 163.73 recent low breaks the higher-low chain
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, back at session high · RSI 62 · price 163.855
Recovery to range top after midday flush.
USDJPY has ground back to the session high at 163.885 after the sharp midday flush to 163.28, with buyers stepping in near 163.63 to build a higher-low chain into NY hours. RSI(14) mid-60s, not stretched. Price is coiling just under the 163.99 40-year high with the 18:00 GMT FOMC as the immediate catalyst.
Support: 163.63, 163.28
Resistance: 163.885, 163.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.885 opens the path to the 163.99 40yr high
Failure to hold 163.63 breaks the higher-low sequence
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, recovering to session high · RSI 61 · price 163.845
Higher lows since flush, retesting range top.
USD/JPY has ground back to the 163.885 session high after an Asian-hours flush to 163.28, building higher lows through the NY session with RSI(14) around 61. Price is pinned just under the range top ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC, with the 163.99 40-year high the next hurdle.
Support: 163.73, 163.63, 163.28
Resistance: 163.885, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT + Warsh presser 18:30 GMT will dominate this read
M15 close above 163.885 opens the path to the 163.99 40-yr high
Failure to hold 163.73 confirms a lower-high and reopens 163.63
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, recovering into resistance · RSI 64 · price 163.842
Higher lows off the 163.28 dip, testing session high.
USDJPY recovered the sharp dip to 163.28 and is grinding back up to the session high at 163.885, holding above both EMAs with RSI(14) near 63. The 163.99 40-year high sits just overhead — an intervention-sensitive zone — with the FOMC decision due at 18:00 GMT.
Support: 163.73, 163.28
Resistance: 163.885, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT (~2.5h out) is the dominant catalyst and can override this structure
A close above 163.99 tests the 40-yr high and the MoF intervention zone
Failure to hold 163.73 breaks the higher-low chain off the spike low
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, pressing cycle high · RSI 71 · price 163.884
Higher highs, higher lows into 163.99.
USDJPY recovered the earlier flush to 163.28 and NY hours have driven it back to the session high at 163.885, closing in on the 163.99 40-year cycle high. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the grind higher; price holds above both EMAs.
Support: 163.735, 163.277
Resistance: 163.885, 163.99
What it said to watch
163.99 cycle high is the intervention zone — area to watch for rejection or break
FOMC at 18:00 GMT plus Warsh presser is the live driver and can override this read
Loss of 163.735 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, recovered to session high · RSI 68 · price 163.884
Higher lows off 163.28, retesting 163.88 top.
USD/JPY has clawed back the morning slide to 163.28 and is retesting the 163.88 session high into the NY afternoon, RSI(14) near 68. Repeated touches near 163.88 leave that as the immediate cap, with the 163.99 cycle high just above marking the intervention zone.
Support: 163.53, 163.30
Resistance: 163.88, 163.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.99 opens path to 165 and draws intervention risk
Failure to hold 163.53 negates the recovery and reopens 163.30
FOMC at 18:00 GMT (~3h) is the live driver for this read
Higher lows off the 163.28 low, pressing session highs.
USDJPY has clawed back the full NY-session drop to 163.28 and is now pressing the 163.88 session high, RSI(14) around 63 with room before extremes. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on the way up, keeping the 163.99 40-year high in sight ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 163.73, 163.28
Resistance: 163.88, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~3h) is the dominant driver and can override this structure
Break and hold above 163.88 opens a retest of the 163.99 cycle high — area to watch for rejection given intervention risk
Loss of 163.73 breaks the recent higher-low chain
14:46 UTC
Recovering, grinding back to session highs · RSI 63 · price 163.837
Higher lows off the 163.30 low, testing session high.
USDJPY carved a V-recovery off the 163.30 session low, climbing back through NY hours to retest the 163.84 session high with RSI(14) around 63. Higher lows since 163.30 keep the intraday recovery intact, but the pair is stalling just below the 163.885 session high ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 163.63, 163.30
Resistance: 163.885, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 163.885 opens the path to the 163.99 cycle high
Failure to hold the 163.63 rising low breaks the recovery structure
Higher lows off 163.28, consolidating under session high.
USDJPY recovered the early-London flush to 163.28 and pressed back up to a session high of 163.82, now consolidating around 163.75 just below the 163.99 cycle high. RSI(14) mid-range at ~56 after the bounce, higher-low chain intact off the dip.
Support: 163.63, 163.28
Resistance: 163.82, 163.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.82 opens the path to the 163.99 cycle high / intervention zone
Failure to hold 163.63 breaks the higher-low chain off the recovery
FOMC 18:00 GMT in ~3h could materially shift this read
USDJPY swept the session low at 163.277 mid-window then ground back up in a chain of higher lows, stalling under 163.82. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 53; the pair remains pinned below the 163.99 cycle high into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 163.63, 163.53, 163.277
Resistance: 163.82, 163.88, 163.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.82 opens the path to the 163.99 cycle high
Failure to hold 163.63 threatens the higher-low chain toward 163.53
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, recovering from flush · RSI 61 · price 163.788
Higher lows off 163.28 session low.
NY session grinding higher after a flush to 163.28 was swept and reclaimed, building higher lows into the 163.82 session high. Momentum steady with RSI(14) mid-60s; FOMC at 18:00 GMT is the live driver into the 40-year-high zone.
Support: 163.63
Resistance: 163.82, 163.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.82 session high opens the path to the 163.99 cycle high
FOMC decision in ~3.5h (18:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 163.63 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
USDJPY recovered from the 163.28 session low along a chain of higher lows, tagging the 163.82 session high before fading to 163.745 as traders squared up into FOMC. RSI(14) mid-range near 53, momentum flattening as the pair holds above EMA20/50 but stalls below the 163.99 cycle high.
Support: 163.64, 163.28
Resistance: 163.82, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 163.82 opens the path to the 163.99 cycle high
Loss of 163.64 breaks the higher-low chain toward 163.28
USDJPY sold off to a session low of 163.28 mid-window then climbed back to a session high of 163.82 through the NY hours; price has since eased to 163.733 as traders square up pre-FOMC. Chain of higher lows off 163.28 intact but the advance is stalling below the 163.99 cycle high, with intervention wariness capping approaches to the 164.00 handle.
Support: 163.63, 163.53, 163.28
Resistance: 163.82, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~4h out) is the live driver and can override this read
M15 close above 163.82 opens the path back to the 163.99 cycle high
Loss of 163.63 higher low breaks the recovery structure toward 163.53
Recovery off session low, higher lows into resistance.
USDJPY recovered from the 163.28 session low in a clean higher-low chain, tagging 163.82 during NY hours before easing to 163.74 as traders squared up ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC. RSI(14) near 56 with price still above EMA20/50; supply capped the move just under the 163.99 40-year high.
Support: 163.64, 163.28
Resistance: 163.82, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~4h) and Warsh presser are the live drivers for this pair
M15 close above 163.82 opens the path back toward the 163.99 high
Failure to hold 163.64 breaks the higher-low chain
13:31 UTC
Recovering, higher lows building · RSI 64 · price 163.777
HL chain off session low, grinding toward session high.
USDJPY carved a session low at 163.277 and has recovered in a steady HL chain to press the 163.82 session high, RSI(14) mid-60s and price holding above EMA20/50. USD is squaring modestly softer into the FOMC, keeping the pair pinned just below the 163.99 40-year high.
Support: 163.644, 163.277
Resistance: 163.82, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT plus Warsh presser can override this intraday read
Break and hold above 163.82 session high opens the path to the 163.99 cycle high
USDJPY sold off to a session low of 163.28 early London hours then recovered on a chain of rising lows, printing a session high at 163.82 before easing to 163.78 as traders square up ahead of the FOMC. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-60s — momentum intact but stalling just under the session high.
Support: 163.64, 163.28
Resistance: 163.82, 163.88, 163.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.82 opens the path back to the 163.99 cycle high
Failure to hold 163.64 breaks the rising-lows structure
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~5h) is the live catalyst and can override this read
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
USDJPY recovered from the early-London flush to 163.30 in a steady chain of higher lows, and is now pressing the session high near 163.82 into NY hours, RSI in the low 60s. The 163.99 40-year high remains the intervention-sensitive cap above.
Support: 163.64, 163.30
Resistance: 163.82, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~5h) is the live driver and can reset this read
Break and hold above 163.82 opens the path to the 163.99 cycle high
Loss of 163.64 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
13:01 UTC
Recovery, higher lows building · RSI 64 · price 163.796
Rebound off session low, testing session high.
USDJPY rebounded from the 163.277 session low made in the London-NY window and ground higher lows back to the 163.82 session high, RSI(14) around 63. Price stalled just under 163.82 into the FOMC decision, with the 163.99 40-year high looming as the next reference.
Support: 163.64, 163.55
Resistance: 163.82, 163.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.82 opens the path to the 163.99 40yr high
Failure to hold 163.64 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT + Warsh presser 18:30 GMT could reset this read entirely
Higher lows since the 163.28 spike, pressing session highs.
USDJPY swept down to 163.28 then recovered on a chain of higher lows, now testing the session high at 163.79 with RSI(14) around 64. Price holds above EMA20/50 as traders square up ahead of tonight's FOMC.
Support: 163.53, 163.30
Resistance: 163.79, 163.885, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 opens the path to 163.885 and the 164.00 cycle high
Failure to hold 163.53 flags a return toward the 163.30 spike low
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~5h) could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Recovering off session low, near full retrace · RSI 64 · price 163.771
V-shaped bounce from 163.277 into prior range top.
USDJPY swept the 163.277 session low then rallied ~50 pips, retracing roughly 80% of the earlier drop and now sitting sub-163.78 with RSI(14) around 64. Chain of higher lows off 163.277 intact; buyers stepped back in through the London-NY hours ahead of tonight's FOMC.
Support: 163.64, 163.277
Resistance: 163.884, 164.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~5h out) is the live driver — will override this micro structure
Close above 163.884 opens the path to the 164.00 handle
Failure to hold 163.640 breaks the rising-lows sequence
Higher lows since Asian sweep, nearing session high.
Recovery off the 163.28 session-low sweep during the Asia session has carried USD/JPY back to 163.78, RSI(14) firm near 64. Higher lows built steadily through the London session; the 164.00 cycle-high zone sits just above with FOMC tonight.
Support: 163.64
Resistance: 163.78, 163.88, 164.00
What it said to watch
Break above 163.88 opens the 164.00 cycle high / intervention zone
M15 close below 163.64 breaks the recovery higher-low chain
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
USDJPY sold off to 163.28 in the Asian session, then ground back up through London to retest the session high near 163.72. Chain of higher lows intact and RSI(14) mid-range around 58 — no overbought stretch, grinding into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 163.53, 163.28
Resistance: 163.72, 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.72 opens the path to 163.88
Failure to hold 163.53 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Pair recovered from the 163.28 session low set on the sharp selloff, grinding back into the NY hours on a chain of higher lows; last print 163.716 with RSI(14) around 61. Move stalls under the 163.80 prior swing, still shy of the 163.99/164.00 cycle-high zone where intervention risk sits.
Support: 163.55, 163.28
Resistance: 163.80, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.80 opens the path to the 164.00 cycle high
Failure to hold 163.55 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
12:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 52 · price 163.645
Ranging after V-recovery into FOMC.
USDJPY sold off from 163.92 to a 163.28 low through the London session, then V-recovered to 163.68 and is now ranging 163.60-163.69 as traders square up into tonight's FOMC. Price sits around the 61.8% retracement of that selloff with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 163.60, 163.53, 163.28
Resistance: 163.69, 163.79, 163.92
What it said to watch
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT is the live driver and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 163.69 range top opens the path to 163.79
Failure to hold 163.60 range base exposes 163.53 swing low
Consolidating below 163.69 after V-recovery from 163.28.
USDJPY carved a V off the 163.28 session low during London hours and has since consolidated in a 163.54–163.69 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 55. Price holds above EMA20/50 but has stalled just under the session high with FOMC ahead.
Support: 163.54, 163.30, 163.277
Resistance: 163.69, 163.99
What it said to watch
Close above 163.69 reopens the path toward the 163.99 cycle high
Loss of 163.54 exposes the 163.30 support band
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can invalidate this range read
USDJPY flushed to 163.28 during the Tokyo-London window then recovered, printing higher lows and grinding back to 163.67. Supply capped the bounce at the 163.73 session high, with the prior high at 163.88 above; RSI(14) mid-range near 55.
Support: 163.54
Resistance: 163.73, 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.73 opens the path back toward 163.88
Loss of 163.54 confirms a lower low and negates the recovery
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT plus Warsh presser is the dominant catalyst — can override this read
11:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 54 · price 163.648
Consolidation under 163.69 after rebound.
London recovered the pair off the 163.28 day low back to 163.69, and price is now consolidating in a tight 163.60-163.69 band into the pre-NY window. RSI(14) sits neutral near 54 with ATR around 6 pips; no directional setup in play ahead of the Fed.
Support: 163.588, 163.527, 163.30
Resistance: 163.693, 163.80
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
M15 close above 163.69 recent high extends the recovery toward the 163.80 prior high
Loss of the 163.588 swing low reopens the 163.527 session low and 163.30 day low
Higher lows since 163.28, now consolidating near 163.65.
USDJPY sold off to 163.28 mid-window then recovered on a chain of higher lows through the London session, now stalling just under the 163.69 session high with RSI(14) mid-range near 54. Price consolidating around 163.65 as traders square into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 163.55, 163.30
Resistance: 163.69, 163.88
What it said to watch
Close above 163.69 opens the path toward 163.88
Failure to hold 163.55 confirms a lower low back toward 163.30
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
11:31 UTC
Recovery uptrend off the lows · RSI 57 · price 163.681
Higher lows since the 163.30 sweep.
USDJPY swept the 163.30 low in early London and has since ground back up in a chain of higher lows, now retesting the 163.69 session high. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 57 with room either way; the 40-year cycle high at 163.99 remains the ceiling ahead of tonight's FOMC.
Support: 163.54, 163.30
Resistance: 163.69, 163.80, 163.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.80 opens the path toward the 163.99 cycle high
Loss of the 163.54 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC decision ~6.5h out is the dominant catalyst and can override this structure
Higher lows since the flush, grinding into session high.
USD/JPY recovered from an Asia-session flush to 163.28 and has climbed in a chain of higher lows, now grinding into the session high at 163.69 with RSI(14) mid-range. Price stalling in a tight band just under that high as traders square up ahead of tonight's FOMC.
Support: 163.60, 163.54, 163.277
Resistance: 163.693, 163.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.69 opens the path to 163.80
Loss of 163.54 reopens the 163.28 day low
FOMC 18:00 GMT is the live driver and could reset this read
USDJPY flushed to a 163.28 session low then rounded higher through London, printing higher lows back into 163.65. Buyers stepped in on the rising support line; session high at 163.69 caps for now with the 163.99 cycle high still overhead.
Support: 163.527, 163.277
Resistance: 163.693, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 163.69 opens the path back toward the 163.99 cycle high
Failure to hold the higher-lows support near 163.53 reopens 163.28
USDJPY spiked down to a 163.28 session low late in the Asian session before buyers stepped in, grinding back through the London session on a chain of higher lows. Price is stalling into the 163.69 session high with RSI(14) around 60; 163.55 is the last defended swing low.
Support: 163.55, 163.28
Resistance: 163.69, 163.80, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.69 opens the path toward 163.80
Failure to hold 163.55 threatens the higher-low chain back toward 163.28
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the live driver, with the 164.00 psych handle an intervention-risk zone
11:01 UTC
Recovering, higher lows · RSI 59 · price 163.684
Rising off spike low, HL chain intact.
USD/JPY swept the 163.30 spike low early in the London session then recovered steadily, printing higher lows back to a session high near 163.70. RSI mid-range and ATR ~7 pips; pair holding well below the 40-year cycle high at 163.99 ahead of tonight's FOMC.
Support: 163.53, 163.30
Resistance: 163.70, 163.85, 163.99
What it said to watch
Close above 163.70 session high opens the path back to the 163.85 prior range
Loss of the rising support / 163.53 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
USD/JPY rebounded off the 163.28 spike low toward the session high at 163.70, stringing higher lows through London with RSI(14) mid-range near 58. Pair holds above EMA20; the 40-year high at 163.99 stays overhead into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 163.54, 163.277
Resistance: 163.70, 163.85, 163.99
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the live driver — likely to override this intraday structure
M15 close above 163.70 opens the path back toward 163.85
Failure to hold 163.54 breaks the recovery higher-low chain
USDJPY flushed to 163.28 mid-window then ground back up through the London session, printing a chain of higher lows into the NY approach and reclaiming 163.65. RSI(14) near 59, capped so far below the 163.68 recent high; the 163.99 cycle high remains the intervention-sensitive ceiling.
Support: 163.53, 163.277
Resistance: 163.68, 163.80, 163.99
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.53 session low breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 163.80 prior high opens the path back to 163.99 cycle high
USDJPY carved a session low at 163.28 during London hours then recovered in a steady grind to 163.65, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 59. Higher lows are building along an ascending support line; the 163.68 session high caps for now.
Support: 163.54, 163.48, 163.28
Resistance: 163.68, 163.87
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.68 opens the path back toward 163.87
Loss of 163.54 higher low breaks the ascending structure
FOMC at 18:00 GMT (~7h out) is the live driver and can reset this read
10:31 UTC
Recovering after sell-off, choppy · RSI 55 · price 163.637
Bounce off session low, higher lows building.
USDJPY spiked down to a session low of 163.28 in early London before buyers stepped in, grinding back to 163.64 with a chain of higher lows. Price is now mid-range between the 163.50 pullback low and the 163.69 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 163.50, 163.28
Resistance: 163.69, 163.80
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the live driver — will override this intraday read
M15 close above 163.69 opens the path back toward 163.80
Failure to hold 163.50 reopens the 163.28 session low
10:17 UTC
Short-term uptrend off the flush low · RSI 57 · price 163.637
V-recovery, higher lows into consolidation.
London session flushed to 163.29 then snapped back in a sharp V-recovery, price now consolidating near 163.64 having retraced roughly two-thirds of the drop with RSI(14) mid-range. Rising support since the flush low still holds; session high at 163.69 caps the bounce. FOMC at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 163.50, 163.29
Resistance: 163.69, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.69 opens the path toward 164.00 handle
Failure to hold 163.50 floor reopens the 163.29 session low
Break below rising support invalidates the recovery read
USD/JPY sold off through the session to a 163.28 spike low before demand stepped in and drove a recovery back toward the 163.69 swing high. Price now consolidates near 163.63, holding above the 163.50 floor with FOMC still ahead as the dominant catalyst.
Support: 163.50, 163.28
Resistance: 163.69, 163.94, 164.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Close above 163.69 opens the path toward 163.94 and the 164.00 psych handle
Failure to hold 163.50 reopens the 163.28 spike low
Sharp sell-off to a session low at 163.28 in early London, then buyers recovered price to 163.69 before stalling. Now grinding sideways in the 163.53-163.63 zone as USD holds firm into FOMC, with RSI mid-range and no fresh momentum either way.
Support: 163.53, 163.28
Resistance: 163.69, 163.87
What it said to watch
FOMC 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
M15 close above 163.69 swing high extends the recovery toward 163.87
Failure to hold 163.53 swing low reopens 163.28 session low
USDJPY flushed to 163.28 in early London before buyers reclaimed the drop, peaking at 163.69, and is now pulling back to 163.56 with RSI(14) near neutral. Price is pinned in the well-flagged 163.5-164.0 band as markets sit tight ahead of the Fed; EMA20 is acting as the near-term pivot.
Support: 163.50, 163.28
Resistance: 163.69, 163.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.69 reopens the 163.77 area
Loss of 163.50 puts the 163.28 day low back in play
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
Sold off to 163.28, bounced to 163.69, now drifting lower.
USDJPY broke down to 163.28 in the late Asia/early London window, then recovered to 163.69 before rolling over; price now fades back to 163.56 below both EMAs with RSI(14) mid-range. Bounce has stalled against 163.69, a series of lower highs capping the recovery.
Support: 163.50, 163.28
Resistance: 163.69
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.69 invalidates the fading-bounce read
Loss of 163.50 reopens the 163.28 swing low
FOMC 18:00 GMT + press conference the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read
USDJPY sold off from 163.94 to a session low at 163.30 during London hours, then bounced to a 163.69 lower high — roughly the 61.8% retrace of the drop — before fading back to 163.53. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with lower highs stacking; the FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst ahead.
Support: 163.48, 163.295
Resistance: 163.69, 163.94
What it said to watch
Close below 163.30 confirms a lower low and resumes downside
Reclaim of the 163.69 bounce high breaks the lower-high sequence
USD/JPY swept the session low to 163.28 in early London before recovering to 163.69, RSI cooling from the bounce. Price is now fading back toward 163.53 on a chain of lower highs into the FOMC risk event.
Support: 163.48, 163.30
Resistance: 163.69
What it said to watch
Close above 163.69 negates the lower-highs sequence
Break below 163.48 reopens the 163.30 swing low
FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovery leg fading · RSI 43 · price 163.53
Rolling over from session high after sweep of session low.
USDJPY faded from the 163.69 session high back to 163.53, RSI(14) rolling over near 42 after a sharp sweep of the 163.28 session low recovered earlier in London. Price now trades below EMA20/50 with the recovery leg's rising lows under pressure ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 163.42, 163.28
Resistance: 163.69
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.42 recovery low opens the path to the 163.28 session low
Reclaim of 163.69 session high negates the rollover
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY was sold to 163.28 in early London before bouncing to a 163.69 swing high, and is now fading back to 163.53 as dollar bulls square up ahead of FOMC. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46; price holding between the 163.48 swing low and the 163.69 rejection.
Support: 163.48, 163.30
Resistance: 163.69, 164.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 163.30 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 163.69 swing high reopens the 164.00 psych level
London session swept the 163.28 low then rallied to 163.69 before stalling, RSI(14) cooling back toward neutral. Price now consolidating around 163.60 as USD squares up ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 163.55, 163.28
Resistance: 163.69, 163.87
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.55 reopens the 163.28 session low
Close above 163.69 extends the recovery toward 163.87
FOMC decision ~9h out could materially shift this read
London session swept the 163.29 swing low then recovered to a session high of 163.69, and price is now consolidating around 163.61. Rate-differential pair sidelined into the FOMC, with intervention wariness near 164 capping the topside.
Support: 163.55, 163.48, 163.29
Resistance: 163.69, 163.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.69 session high opens 163.80
Loss of 163.55 pullback low reopens the 163.29 swing low
FOMC 18:00 UTC + Powell presser will drive the next leg
London morning flushed USD/JPY to 163.28 before buyers reclaimed to 163.69; pair now consolidating around 163.60 as traders sideline into FOMC. RSI(14) neutral near 50, price holding the shallow end of the recovery fib.
Support: 163.55, 163.28
Resistance: 163.69
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.55 pullback low reopens the 163.28 session low
Close above 163.69 session high extends the recovery
FOMC statement 18:00 UTC and Powell presser could override this intraday read
V-recovery off 163.28 low, easing back from 163.69.
London session swept the lows down to 163.28 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 163.69; RSI(14) cooling near 54 as the pair eases to 163.59. Rate-differential-driven grind continues below the 164.00 intervention zone.
Support: 163.50, 163.28
Resistance: 163.69, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close below 163.50 pivot reopens the 163.28 session low
Reclaim of 163.69 session high needed to extend the recovery
USDJPY flushed to a session low of 163.28 during early hours then recovered in a stair-step of higher lows to 163.69, yen giving back its intervention-driven bid. Price now consolidating near 163.62 with RSI mid-range; the 163.50 pivot underpins the pullback ahead of FOMC.
Support: 163.50, 163.28
Resistance: 163.69, 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.69 reopens the path toward the 163.88 prior high
Loss of 163.50 recent pivot exposes a retest of the 163.28 session low
FOMC 18:00 UTC / Powell 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sweep of 163.28 low, higher lows into consolidation.
USDJPY was slammed to a 163.28 session low through the London pre-open before a steady recovery reclaimed 163.69, and price is now consolidating around 163.62 with RSI(14) back at mid-range. The yen failed to hold its bid despite the flush, but the recovery has stalled just under the 163.69 high.
Support: 163.55, 163.48, 163.30
Resistance: 163.69, 163.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.69 opens the path toward 163.80
Loss of 163.55 reopens the 163.30 session low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst ahead and could reset this read
08:31 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 58 · price 163.647
V-recovery after flush, higher lows forming.
Price flushed to a 163.277 session low during NY hours then recovered sharply, reclaiming 163.65 with buyers stepping in on each dip along a rising support. USD stayed capped near cycle highs as position-trimming precedes the FOMC decision; move looks like a corrective bounce off the low.
Support: 163.55, 163.415, 163.277
Resistance: 163.692, 163.85
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.692 session high opens the path back toward the 163.85 prior pivot
Failure to hold 163.550 pullback low exposes 163.415 recovery base
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC + presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Recovering after early-London flush · RSI 58 · price 163.647
Sharp drop reclaimed, sitting at 61.8% retrace.
USDJPY flushed to 163.28 in early London then recovered to 163.65, now stalling right at the 61.8% retrace of that drop with RSI near 58. Buyers stepped in twice above 163.50; recent session high at 163.69 caps for now.
Support: 163.50, 163.28
Resistance: 163.69, 163.85
What it said to watch
FOMC ~10h away (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
M15 close above 163.69 opens the path back to 163.85
Failure to hold 163.50 reopens the 163.28 swing low
08:16 UTC
Recovery leg after session-low sweep · RSI 63 · price 163.69
Higher lows off 163.28, reclaiming ground.
London session swept the session low at 163.28 then reversed sharply, and price has since chained higher lows back to 163.69 with RSI(14) near 63. The 163.55 recovery floor is holding; 163.77 swing high is the next area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 163.55, 163.28
Resistance: 163.77, 163.88, 164.00
What it said to watch
FOMC today 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
Loss of 163.55 reopens the 163.28 session low
Close above 163.77 extends the recovery toward 163.88
164.00 handle remains an intervention-risk zone on any push higher
08:01 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum up · RSI 62 · price 163.69
V-recovery from 163.28 sweep low.
USD/JPY swept the 163.28 low during early London then recovered ~40 pips back to 163.69, retracing most of the prior drop from 163.88. Price is grinding into the 163.80 prior-range area, RSI(14) near 62 after basing.
Support: 163.55, 163.28
Resistance: 163.80, 163.94
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — likely to override this intraday read
M15 close above 163.80 opens the path back to the 163.94 session high
Failure to hold rising support near 163.55 exposes the 163.28 sweep low again
London session sold USD/JPY from 163.94 down to a spike low at 163.28, then recovered ~30 pips to 163.60 as USD longs trim ahead of the FOMC. RSI(14) back near 48 after the wash-out; price reclaimed EMA20 but still sits under EMA50.
Support: 163.48, 163.28
Resistance: 163.61, 163.72
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Close below 163.48 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 163.72 swing pivot negates the recovery stall
London session sold through 163.48 to a swept low of 163.28 before buyers stepped in, dragging price back to 163.60. Pair sits below EMA20/50 after the leg down, RSI(14) recovered to neutral around 52 with the 163.80 prior high still capping.
Support: 163.48, 163.28
Resistance: 163.60, 163.80
What it said to watch
Break below 163.28 session low resumes the downtrend
Reclaim of 163.80 negates the intraday lower-high sequence
FOMC 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
07:46 UTC
Recovering after selloff · RSI 58 · price 163.596
Sweep low then higher-low grind.
USDJPY swept the session low at 163.28 before a steady recovery back to 163.60, JPY bid faded into the Fed. Higher lows have built since the spike, price now holding above EMA20 but capped under the 163.68 swing pivot.
Support: 163.40, 163.28
Resistance: 163.68, 163.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.68 opens the path back toward 163.80
Loss of 163.40 reopens the 163.28 sweep low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
07:32 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 163.596
Swept session low, retracing downleg.
USDJPY swept to a session low of 163.277 during Asian hours before buyers recovered the move; price now consolidates near 163.60, back above EMA20 but below EMA50. RSI(14) neutral near 54, retracing roughly half the 163.88–163.277 downleg. FOMC later today is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 163.40, 163.277
Resistance: 163.70, 163.80
What it said to watch
Close above the 163.70 swing high opens the path to the 163.80 prior high
Failure to hold the 163.40 pullback low reopens the 163.277 session low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and likely to override intraday structure
London session flushed USD/JPY down to 163.277, sweeping the lows before a recovery stalled around the 163.578 session high. RSI(14) lifting off oversold as price consolidates mid-range; sidelined, FOMC-driven positioning ahead of the 18:00 UTC decision.
Support: 163.277, 163.48
Resistance: 163.578, 163.685
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
M15 close above 163.685 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 163.277 confirms a fresh lower low
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 45 · price 163.541
Lower highs into session-low sweep, recovery underway.
USD/JPY sold off through the London session to a spike low of 163.28 before buyers recovered price into 163.54; RSI(14) lifting off the lows near 44. Pair now consolidating just below the 163.58 bounce high, sidelined ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 163.48, 163.28
Resistance: 163.578, 163.75
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 163.578 bounce high opens 163.75
Loss of 163.28 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USD/JPY sold off from 163.88 into a sweep of 163.28 during the Asia-London transition, then recovered to 163.53. Price now ranging 163.38-163.58 with RSI(14) mid-range, JPY sidelined ahead of today's FOMC.
Support: 163.383, 163.295
Resistance: 163.578
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 163.58 session high breaks the recovery range top
Failure to hold 163.38 swing low reopens the 163.28 sweep low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 163.535
London session sold USDJPY off from 163.88 down to a 163.30 session low, an air-pocket drop on position-trimming ahead of the Fed. Price has since retraced to 163.53, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 42.
Support: 163.30, 163.48
Resistance: 163.70
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.70 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Break below 163.28 opens the path to fresh lows
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 163.535
Lower highs, session low swept then reclaimed.
USD/JPY sold off through the Asia-London transition from ~163.94 to a 163.277 swing low, RSI(14) dipping toward oversold before a recovery to 163.53. Price is now grinding back up toward the 163.578 session high but still capped below the descending line of lower highs, coiled ahead of FOMC.
Support: 163.277
Resistance: 163.578, 163.70, 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.578 session high opens the path back to 163.70
Loss of 163.277 swing low confirms downside continuation
Lower high then sharp break, recovering from swing low.
USD/JPY sold off sharply through the Asian-into-London hours, spiking down to 163.277 before buyers stepped in and lifted price back toward the 50% retrace near 163.55. Move stalled below the 163.65 fib band; wider 163.80 pivot from the news caps above.
Support: 163.277
Resistance: 163.65, 163.80
What it said to watch
Close above 163.65 opens path back to the 163.80 news pivot
Lower highs into session low sweep, corrective recovery.
USDJPY sold off through Asia hours, spiking to 163.277 before wicking back up — a clean sweep and rejection of the session low. Price has clawed back ~28 pips and is now pressing the 163.57 bounce high; RSI(14) recovered off oversold to ~44 and price sits below both EMAs.
Support: 163.38, 163.28
Resistance: 163.57, 163.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.57 opens the path back toward the 163.80 prior swing
Failure to hold 163.38 pivot reopens the 163.28 session low
FOMC decision/statement today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London open drove a sharp selloff to 163.277 before a strong reversal candle swept the lows and recovered to 163.50, stalling right at the 38.2% retrace of the drop. RSI(14) lifting off the mid-30s; price still trading below EMA20/50 with FOMC the dominant risk later today.
Support: 163.343, 163.277
Resistance: 163.568, 163.70
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.568 bounce high opens the path back to the 163.70 prior swing
Failure to hold 163.343 exposes a retest of the 163.277 session low
FOMC 18:00 UTC + Powell 18:30 UTC will override this intraday structure
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off low · RSI 42 · price 163.504
Lower highs into session low, early recovery.
USD/JPY sold off through early London to a session low at 163.277, then bounced with price recovering toward 163.50. RSI(14) lifting off its low; the sequence of lower highs from 163.88 remains intact and the 163.568 bounce high caps for now. FOMC later today is the key event risk.
Support: 163.277
Resistance: 163.568
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.568 bounce high breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 163.277 session low extends the downtrend
FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 163.504
Lower highs into a 163.28 swing low, corrective bounce underway.
USD/JPY sold off through the NY session, dropping from the 163.94 area to a 163.277 low before a wick recovery back to 163.50 — a coiled consolidation shy of 164 as traders square ahead of the Fed. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling but off its lows.
Support: 163.277
Resistance: 163.568
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Powell 18:30 UTC will drive the next leg
Reclaim of 163.568 would ease the intraday lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 163.277 confirms fresh lower low toward 163.00
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 163.474
Lower highs into a low sweep, recovering.
USD/JPY sold off from 163.88 through the London-into-NY approach, sweeping the 163.295 session low before recovering to 163.47 into the FOMC vacuum. RSI(14) lifting off sub-40, price now pressing the 163.494 recent high after the flush.
Support: 163.295, 163.383
Resistance: 163.494, 163.55, 163.877
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.55 would negate the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 163.295 reopens the downside
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read
Lower highs into a session low, corrective rebound.
Sharp sell-off during early London drove USD/JPY from the 163.88 range top down to 163.277, breaking the prior 163.70 base with RSI(14) dipping oversold. Price has since rebounded to 163.47 but sits below EMA20/50 with lower highs still intact.
Support: 163.277, 163.38
Resistance: 163.52, 163.70, 163.88
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 163.55 needed to challenge the broken 163.70 base
Failure to hold 163.38 reopens the 163.277 session low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC dominates the next session and could reshape this read
USDJPY broke down out of the 163.65-163.88 range and sold off sharply into a 163.277 session low during the European morning, RSI(14) near 27 and stretched. A weak bounce to 163.42 has since stalled, price hovering around 163.40 in a pre-Fed drift.
Support: 163.277
Resistance: 163.424, 163.55
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.28 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
USDJPY sold off sharply in the Asia session, breaking below the 163.60-163.90 range and printing a 163.28 session low before a bounce to 163.52. RSI(14) near 34 after the drop; price now grinds under EMA20/50 with the bounce high capping.
Support: 163.28, 162.80
Resistance: 163.52, 163.87
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.52 bounce high would ease the downside break
Loss of 163.28 session low confirms continuation lower toward 162.80
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, sharp leg lower · RSI 41 · price 163.399
Lower highs, fresh session low.
USDJPY broke down from the 163.80-163.88 consolidation during Asian hours, cutting through 163.60 to print a session low at 163.277 before a partial bounce back to 163.40. RSI(14) recovering from the low-30s after the flush; move driven by intraday JPY firmness in a pre-Fed vacuum.
Support: 163.277
Resistance: 163.516, 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.516 negates the fresh session low
Failure to hold 163.277 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC will reset the USD leg
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, sharp leg lower · RSI 34 · price 163.399
Lower highs and lows, session low swept then bounced.
USD/JPY sold off sharply into late Asian hours, sweeping a session low of 163.28 before buyers bounced it to 163.42. RSI(14) near 33 after the flush; price now sits below the broken 163.52 shelf in a pre-FOMC market that had pinned the pair just under 164.00.
Support: 163.28
Resistance: 163.52
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.52 negates the fresh lower-low
Loss of 163.28 opens continuation toward 163.00
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 34 · price 163.414
Lower highs / lower lows, sharp break down.
Asia session sold off sharply from 163.88, breaking the 163.52 shelf and printing a low at 163.28 with RSI(14) into oversold near 33. Price has bounced to 163.41 but sits well below EMA20/50; the descending chain of lower highs is intact.
Support: 163.28, 163.00
Resistance: 163.52, 163.75, 163.88
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.52 breakdown level would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 163.28 session low confirms continuation lower toward 163.00 psych
FOMC rate decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Late-Asia session sold off hard from 163.88, breaking through the 163.55 area to print a swing low at 163.28 before a partial bounce to 163.41. RSI(14) reached oversold near 33 on the drop; price now sits below EMA20/50 with the break level at 163.52 capping the recovery.
Support: 163.28, 163.48
Resistance: 163.52, 163.88
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 163.55 would neutralise the downside break read
Loss of 163.28 confirms continuation to a lower low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
USDJPY sold off sharply through the Asian session, breaking the 163.70 swing and sweeping down to 163.277 before a fast recovery back to 163.42. RSI(14) rebounding off the low near 41; the bounce high at 163.516 caps the retrace for now.
Support: 163.277, 163.20
Resistance: 163.516, 163.70
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.516 bounce high reopens the 163.70 prior swing
Failure to hold 163.277 session low confirms lower-low continuation
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, sharp leg lower · RSI 34 · price 163.425
Lower highs and lows, low swept then recovered.
USDJPY sold off hard through late Asia, accelerating from 163.55 to sweep the session low at 163.277 on the heaviest volume of the window before snapping back to 163.42. RSI(14) near 34 reflects the exhausted downside; 163.55 is the first resistance capping the bounce.
Support: 163.277
Resistance: 163.55
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.55 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 163.277 confirms continuation of the down leg
FOMC statement 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially reset this read
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 27 · price 163.321
Lower highs, fresh session low.
Sharp late-Asia selloff broke the 163.55 shelf and printed a fresh session low at 163.28, RSI(14) sagging toward 27 (oversold). Chain of lower highs from 163.88 intact; the last bar's 23-pip drop dominates the move as USD holds firm pre-FOMC.
Support: 163.28, 163.00
Resistance: 163.55, 163.70, 163.85
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.55 breakdown level would ease downside pressure
Close above 163.70 old support breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 163.28 session low opens 163.00 psych
FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) could reshape this read
USDJPY broke down through the 163.55 range floor into early London, a sharp final bar tagging 163.277 with RSI(14) sub-25 — short-term oversold. Sellers pressed a chain of lower highs after the 163.88 session top failed; price now sits at fresh session lows heading into the FOMC session.
Resistance: 163.55, 163.88
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.55 would negate the breakdown read
FOMC statement 18:00 UTC is the dominant next-session driver for this pair
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low printed.
USD/JPY extended lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 163.48 after rejection from the 163.88 prior high. RSI(14) near 30 as the slide steepens; the 163.50 psych handle is the immediate floor with the 163.63 swing pivot the nearest reclaim level.
Support: 163.50, 163.48
Resistance: 163.63, 163.877
What it said to watch
Break below 163.48 session low opens further downside
Reclaim of 163.63 swing pivot needed to stall the slide
FOMC 18:00 UTC today is the dominant cross-driver for USD/JPY
USDJPY slid through the Asia session, breaking below the 163.63 pivot and printing fresh lows at 163.48 with RSI(14) near 30. Sellers pressed a clean lower-high chain from 163.877; price stalling on the 163.50 handle after the drop.
Support: 163.48, 163.50
Resistance: 163.63, 163.877
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.630 would break the lower-high chain and neutralise the downtrend read
Failure to hold 163.480 confirms continuation lower
FOMC 18:00 UTC / Powell presser is the major catalyst for this pair today
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 31 · price 163.561
Lower highs, lower lows into Asia.
USDJPY has ground lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 163.537 with RSI(14) near 31. The lower-high chain from the 163.88 swing stays intact and price is pinned at the base of the move ahead of the Fed cross-driver later today.
Support: 163.537, 163.50
Resistance: 163.71, 163.777, 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.71 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 163.537 opens 163.50 round number
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~14h) is the key USD-side risk that could reset this read
USDJPY has ground out a chain of lower highs and lower lows through the Asia session, breaking the 163.65 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 163.537 before closing 163.561. RSI(14) near 28 shows momentum stretched to the downside but not yet at an extreme; move remains USD-driven positioning ahead of the Fed.
Support: 163.537, 163.50, 163.647
Resistance: 163.63
What it said to watch
A close back above 163.630 recent high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 163.500 psych opens continuation toward the next figure
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and could reset this read
Asia session extended the slide, printing lower highs from 163.88 and sweeping to 163.561 on the last bar before a shallow close back at 163.61, RSI(14) cooling into the low 30s. Move is USD-driven ahead of the Fed rather than yen strength; no bounce structure yet confirmed.
Support: 163.561, 163.50
Resistance: 163.733, 163.877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.561 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 163.733 needed to challenge the descending swing highs
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY leaked lower through the Asian morning, sweeping to a fresh session low at 163.561 before closing 163.61 with RSI(14) near 31. Move is USD-driven consolidation into the FOMC decision; price stalled just under the 163.73 swing high on the last bounce.
Support: 163.561, 163.50
Resistance: 163.733
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.733 reclaims the swing high and negates the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 163.561 opens the path toward 163.50
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY slid through the Asian session to a fresh session low at 163.586, extending a lower-high, lower-low sequence off 163.877. Move is USD-driven positioning into FOMC rather than genuine yen strength; RSI(14) near 31 but not yet extreme.
Support: 163.586, 163.50
Resistance: 163.73, 163.79, 163.877
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 163.73 breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver into the next sessions
Failure to hold 163.586 opens the path toward 163.50
Asia session grinding lower off the 163.87 supply, price broke the 163.65 range floor and printed a fresh session low at 163.586, RSI(14) near 31. Move is USD-led as the pair holds well below 164.00 into the Fed decision.
Support: 163.586, 163.50
Resistance: 163.72, 163.87
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.72 swing high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 163.586 opens the 163.50 psych level
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant cross-driver for this pair
USDJPY grinding lower through Asia, carving lower highs from the 163.88 swing and now probing the 163.65 session low, RSI(14) sub-40. Move is Fed-positioning drift rather than yen strength — price stayed pinned under 164.00 all window.
Support: 163.65, 163.50
Resistance: 163.77, 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.65 opens the path to 163.50
Reclaim of 163.77 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 43 · price 163.694
Lower highs, probing session lows.
USD/JPY is drifting lower into early Asia, carving lower highs from 163.94 down to 163.88 and now probing the session low near 163.65. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price below both EMAs; churn persists under the 164.00 handle as markets sideline ahead of the Fed.
Support: 163.65, 163.50
Resistance: 163.78, 163.88, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.78 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 163.65 opens the path to 163.50
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the cross-driver that could reset this read
03:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 43 · price 163.694
Lower highs, testing range floor.
USDJPY has ground into the range floor around 163.65 after a chain of lower highs from 163.88 through the late window, keeping the pair pinned below EMA20/50 in thin Asia-session flow. RSI(14) near 42 with price stalling just off 163.65 — no clear break either way while the market sidelines into the Fed.
Support: 163.647
Resistance: 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.65 opens the 163.55 area
Reclaim of 163.88 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary USD driver into this range
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 42 · price 163.714
Lower highs, 24h range 163.64-163.90.
USD/JPY has ground lower from the 163.88 swing high through the Asian session, printing lower highs and probing the 163.656 session low. Price sits at 163.71 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the low-40s; the 24h range of 163.64-163.90 remains intact ahead of the Fed.
Support: 163.656, 163.64
Resistance: 163.77, 163.88
What it said to watch
Break below 163.64 swing low confirms a lower low
M15 close above 163.77 intraday high negates the downdrift
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Intraday pullback within range · RSI 43 · price 163.714
Lower highs off 163.94, holding above 163.65.
USDJPY drifting in the low-163.70s after being rejected twice near 163.88 and grinding to a 163.65 session low during the quiet Asia session. Price is capped by a lower-high chain from the 163.94 prior high while demand keeps propping the 163.65 floor; no clean intraday setup, just chop between 163.65 and 163.94.
Support: 163.656, 162.80
Resistance: 163.77, 163.88, 163.942
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.65 opens a lower low toward the 162.80 support zone
Reclaim of 163.88 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser is the session's main risk
02:46 UTC
Near-term downtrend after rejection · RSI 43 · price 163.706
Lower highs, testing session low.
USD/JPY was rejected at the 163.885 session high during Asian hours and sold to 163.656, printing a chain of lower highs. Price is back at 163.71, below EMA20/50, holding just above the session low with RSI cooling to the low 40s.
Support: 163.656, 163.70
Resistance: 163.775, 163.885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.656 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.885 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision later today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant risk for this pair
USDJPY rolled over from 163.88 into the Asia session, stringing lower highs and lower lows down to 163.65. Price sits mid-range near 163.71 with RSI(14) around 42 — no reclaim of the 163.77 swing high yet.
Support: 163.65, 163.55
Resistance: 163.77, 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.65 confirms the next lower-low
Reclaim of 163.77 swing high negates the downside pressure
FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) could reset this read
Quiet Asia session drifting lower after a rejection at 163.88, price now pressing the 163.68 session low with RSI(14) around 41. Pair stayed pinned near 40-year-low territory, directionless ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 163.68, 163.647
Resistance: 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.647 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.88 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will drive the next leg
USDJPY rolled over from the 163.95 session high, printing lower highs at 163.88 then 163.78 through Asian hours and now probing the 163.65 session low. RSI(14) near 41, price sitting below EMA20/50 as the pullback develops inside the 163.65–163.95 range.
Support: 163.65, 163.60
Resistance: 163.78, 163.88, 163.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.65 session low confirms a lower low and range break
Reclaim of 163.78 recent high stalls the pullback
FOMC at 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Intraday pullback within range · RSI 43 · price 163.707
Rolled off 163.88, testing session lows.
USD/JPY faded from a rejection at 163.88 through the Asia session, sliding back toward the session lows with price at 163.707 and RSI(14) mid-range. Demand has stepped in twice around 163.67-163.70; the pair remains boxed inside a 163.65-163.88 range with the FOMC still ahead.
Support: 163.672, 163.647
Resistance: 163.775, 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 163.775 negates the pullback and reopens 163.88
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Pulling back off intraday high · RSI 42 · price 163.707
Lower high at 163.88, testing session low.
Asian session faded from the 163.88 swing high back toward the session low near 163.65, RSI cooling to the low 40s. Price is sitting below EMA20/50 with a lower high in place; USD/JPY remains rangebound sub-164 with Fed and BoJ still ahead this week.
Support: 163.65
Resistance: 163.77, 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.88 swing high negates the pullback read
Loss of 163.65 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) is the primary USD-side risk into this range
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, late session selloff · RSI 43 · price 163.727
Lower highs, testing session low.
Asia session sold off from the 163.88 session high, tagging the 163.672 low before a shallow bounce to 163.77 that faded; price now sits at 163.727 below EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 42, no oversold extreme yet as the pair carves lower highs.
Support: 163.672, 163.643
Resistance: 163.777, 163.877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.643 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.777 bounce high negates the downleg
FOMC statement 18:00 UTC is the session's key risk event
02:01 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 163.727
Recovery faded back toward session low.
Asia-session grind: the bounce off 163.65 stalled at 163.88 and price has faded back to 163.72 on thin volume, price under EMA20/50. USD/JPY is holding a 163.65–163.94 range with no genuine JPY demand ahead of the Fed later this week.
Support: 163.65, 163.70
Resistance: 163.77, 163.88, 163.94
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.88 reopens the 163.94 range high
FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDJPY chopping between 163.64 and 163.88, flat ahead of today's Fed decision. Early Asia dipped to 163.672 and recovered to 163.766, mid-range; the 163.88 swing high capped the prior push during the Asian session.
Support: 163.672, 163.643
Resistance: 163.88, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.88 reopens the 163.94 day high
Close below 163.64 confirms a lower-low out of the range
FOMC statement 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Range, pulling back off session high · RSI 45 · price 163.766
Range-bound between 163.64 and 163.88.
Asia session faded off the 163.88 swing high back to 163.68 where buyers stepped in, price now 163.766 and below EMA20/50. Still boxed inside the 163.64–163.88 range with RSI(14) mid-band; no clean directional structure in play ahead of the Fed.
Support: 163.68, 163.643
Resistance: 163.88, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.64 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
M15 close above 163.88 reopens 163.947
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Quiet Asia session leg down from 163.88 to a session low at 163.67, then a shallow bounce to 163.73 on thin volume. RSI(14) mid-40s and price under EMA20/50; 163.67 is holding for now with 163.88 capping above.
Support: 163.67, 163.64
Resistance: 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.64 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.88 negates the intraday pullback
FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Pullback within range, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 163.729
Lower high at 163.88, testing session low.
USDJPY broke below the 163.85–163.88 Asian consolidation, selling off to a session low of 163.672 before bouncing to 163.729. RSI(14) sits mid-40s after the leg down; the 163.88 swing high now caps as a lower high into the FOMC session.
Support: 163.672, 163.647
Resistance: 163.762, 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.88 negates the lower-high read
Failure to hold 163.672 session low opens the 163.647 swing low
FOMC statement today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY chopped the Asia session in a 163.64–163.88 band into the Fed, then the last three bars broke lower off 163.88 and are now testing 163.67. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s with price back below EMA20/50.
Support: 163.67, 163.64
Resistance: 163.88, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.64 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.88 session high reopens the 164.00 handle
FOMC statement today 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk for this pair
01:16 UTC
Pullback within broad range · RSI 40 · price 163.725
Lower high at 163.88, pressing session lows.
USDJPY broke down from the quiet Asian band around 163.80-163.88 after rejection at the range top, tagging 163.672 before a shallow bounce to 163.725. RSI(14) near 40, price back below EMA20/50; sellers stepped in each test of 163.88.
Support: 163.672, 163.647
Resistance: 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.88 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 163.647 confirms a lower low toward 162.80
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Range breaking lower · RSI 34 · price 163.702
Overnight consolidation broke down late Asia.
USDJPY drifted in a tight 163.84-163.88 overnight band before a sharp last-hour flush dropped it to 163.70, snapping the prior range and pinning RSI(14) near 34. Price now sits between the 163.80 prior range floor above and the 163.647 session low, well short of the 163.88 swing high and 164.00 handle.
Support: 163.647, 162.80
Resistance: 163.80, 163.88, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close below 163.647 confirms a lower low toward 162.80 key support
Reclaim of 163.80 prior range negates the breakdown
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk and can override this intraday read
01:02 UTC
Pullback, rolling over · RSI 38 · price 163.702
Lower highs after rejection at 163.88.
Asia session: price rejected the 163.88 session high (78.6% retrace of the prior down leg) and broke lower, sliding through 163.76 to test 163.70 with RSI(14) near 37. Buyers defended 163.647 earlier; that swing low is now back in focus. FOMC today at 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk into the next sessions.
Support: 163.67, 163.647
Resistance: 163.88
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.647 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.88 negates the breakdown
FOMC 18:00 UTC could override this intraday read
00:47 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 42 · price 163.762
Lower highs, rolled over into Asia.
USD/JPY rolled over from the 163.88 session high into Asia hours and now sits at 163.762, on the 50% retrace of the 163.647–163.885 recovery. RSI(14) cooling near 42 with price back below EMA20/50; pair sidelined ahead of today's FOMC.
Support: 163.647, 163.766
Resistance: 163.88, 163.947
What it said to watch
Close below 163.647 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.88 reopens the 163.947 day high
FOMC statement 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:47 UTC
Range, edging lower into Asia · RSI 43 · price 163.762
Pullback off session high, testing 50% of the intraday rally.
USDJPY rejected 163.88 late and slid to 163.76 in thin Asia trade, now parked on the 50% retrace of the 163.647–163.885 recovery. Range-bound 163.65–163.94 with no session momentum, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 163.647, 163.70
Resistance: 163.88, 163.94
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.647 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 163.88 reopens 163.94 and the 164.00 handle
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk and can override this intraday read
00:31 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 163.802
Range-bound in tight band.
USDJPY chopped in a tight 163.65-163.94 band through the London-NY hours and into Asia, with the last bar rejecting off 163.88 back to 163.80. No directional structure in play — price is pinned below 164.00 as the market sidelines ahead of upcoming central bank risk.
Support: 163.75, 163.647
Resistance: 163.88, 163.942, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.88 session high opens the path to 163.94 then 164.00
Failure to hold 163.75 range floor exposes the 163.647 swing low
BoJ decision and Tokyo CPI later this week could materially shift this read
USDJPY chopped in a tight 163.79-163.88 band through the thin Asia session before rejecting the 163.88 range top and slipping to 163.80. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price is back below EMA20/50; no directional setup in play into the Fed.
Support: 163.74, 163.65
Resistance: 163.88, 163.94
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.88 reopens the 163.94 session high
Loss of 163.74 confirms a lower-low toward the 163.65 drop low
FOMC statement 18:00 UTC + presser 18:30 UTC can override intraday structure
Higher lows off NY drop, coiling near session highs.
USDJPY dropped to 163.647 during the NY session then recovered on a chain of higher lows; Asia session now grinding in thin volume just under 163.88. Range-bound below the 163.947 prior high with the 164.00 handle in view.
Support: 163.74, 163.647
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.947 opens the path to the 164.00 handle
164.00 zone carries escalating intervention risk — area to watch for rejection
Failure to hold 163.74 breaks the rising support off the NY low
00:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 59 · price 163.875
Higher lows into range top after late drop.
USDJPY swept down to 163.64 on a high-volume late-session flush, then climbed back to consolidate near 163.87 just under the 163.95 prior high. Price sits pinned below the 164.00 handle with trade sidelined ahead of the Fed, per the digest's flat pre-FOMC read.
Support: 163.79, 163.643
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.95 opens the 164.00 handle and 40-year-high intervention zone
Loss of 163.79 swing low re-exposes the 163.64 session low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Rebound off session low, consolidating near highs.
USDJPY dropped to 163.64 during NY hours then recovered through the late session; now consolidating around 163.87 in thin Asia trade, capped just under the 163.95 session high. RSI(14) neutral near 58, price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 163.79, 163.647
Resistance: 163.895, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.947 opens a retest of the 164.00 handle
Loss of 163.79 reopens the 163.647 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 163.65, testing supply near session high.
USDJPY recovered off a 163.65 double bottom and is grinding higher through a thin Asia session, now stalling at 163.88-163.90 just below the session high at 163.947. RSI mid-60s, no extreme, with the pair effectively sidelined ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.79, 163.647
Resistance: 163.895, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.947 opens the path toward the 164.00 handle
Failure to hold 163.79 puts the 163.647 double bottom back in play
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read