XAG/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 16 June 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the XAG/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:47 UTC

Uptrend stalled, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 69.978

Consolidation under session highs.

Silver spiked to 71.18 then faded; the last ~10 hours have coiled in a 69.94–70.42 range with price now pressing the floor near 69.97 in thin Asian-hours trade. Sitting below both EMAs and stalling sub the 100-day SMA as traders square up ahead of the FOMC.

Support: 69.94, 69.59

Resistance: 70.42, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.94 confirms a lower-low and exposes 69.59
  • Reclaim of 70.42 reopens the 71.18 session high
  • FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC + Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC can reset this range

23:46 UTC

Range after pullback from highs · RSI 45 · price 69.978

Consolidation, lower highs since 71.18 peak.

Asian session is grinding a tight, low-volume range between 69.94 and 70.17 after the pullback from the 71.18 high, price sitting just under EMA20/50. RSI(14) is mid-range near 44 with no momentum extreme; structure is flat into the Fed.

Support: 69.94, 69.59

Resistance: 70.17, 70.40, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.94 exposes the 69.59 swing low
  • Close above 70.17 reopens 70.40 and the 71.18 session high
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC decision 18:00 UTC can break this range

23:31 UTC

Pullback stalling, two-way · RSI 52 · price 70.087

Consolidating after spike rejection.

Silver spiked to 71.18 during NY hours then faded to a 69.51 swing low before recovering. Price now coils in a tight 69.95–70.17 band through the thin-volume Asia session, RSI neutral near 52 and sitting just under EMA20.

Support: 69.95, 69.85, 69.51

Resistance: 70.17, 70.42, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.17 reopens the 70.42 prior high
  • Loss of 69.85 swing low exposes 69.51
  • FOMC (18:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) ahead can override this range

23:31 UTC

Pullback stalling, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 70.087

Tight consolidation after drop from 71.18 peak.

Silver spiked to 71.18 before fading to 69.40, then settled into a tight 69.97-70.17 grind through thin Asian-session hours. Price is hovering near the 38.2% retrace of that drop with RSI flat near 52; no setup in play pre-FOMC.

Support: 69.97, 69.85

Resistance: 70.17, 70.39

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.17 session high opens 70.39 prior high
  • Loss of 69.85 swing low re-exposes the 69.40 dip area
  • FOMC decision tomorrow 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

23:16 UTC

Pullback stabilising, drifting higher · RSI 56 · price 70.149

Consolidation after retrace from session high.

After the spike to 71.18 and sharp drop to 69.40, price has retraced roughly half the move and is grinding higher on thin Asia-session volume toward 70.15. Consolidating between the 70.00 round number and the 70.40 swing high; range still intact ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC decision.

Support: 70.00, 69.95, 69.50

Resistance: 70.40, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.40 opens the path back toward the 71.18 day high
  • Loss of the 69.95 session low re-exposes the 69.50 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

23:16 UTC

Range after volatility, mild Asia recovery · RSI 53 · price 70.149

Consolidating mid-range below intraday highs.

Silver spiked to 71.18 in the NY session then sold off to 69.40 before stabilising; price now grinds 69.94–70.40 in low-volume Asia hours with a mild upward drift. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 — no momentum extreme into the FOMC week.

Support: 69.94, 69.40

Resistance: 70.40, 70.65, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 70.40 reopens the 70.65–71.18 zone
  • Loss of 69.94 re-exposes the 69.40 session low
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC are the dominant catalysts that can shift this range read

23:02 UTC

Range after spike rejection · RSI 50 · price 70.108

Consolidating below failed high.

Silver spiked to a 71.18 high during NY hours then was rejected hard back to 69.51, a clean false break. Price has since coiled into a 69.97–70.42 range in thin Asian trade, RSI(14) flat near 50, with the spike high left unchallenged ahead of FOMC.

Support: 69.97, 69.51

Resistance: 70.42, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.42 swing high reopens the 71.18 spike high
  • Close below 69.97 session low exposes the 69.51 swing low
  • FOMC decision later opens scope for a range break and could reset this read

23:02 UTC

Ranging, post-spike consolidation · RSI 52 · price 70.108

Tight range under prior highs after a rejection and recovery.

Silver spiked to 71.17 during the US/London session then was rejected, dumping to a 69.50 swing low before recovering. Asia hours have it coiling in a tight 69.97-70.13 band just under 70.40 resistance, RSI(14) neutral near 52 with volume thinning into FOMC.

Support: 69.97, 69.50

Resistance: 70.39, 70.65, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.39 reopens the 70.65 / 71.17 zone
  • Loss of 69.97 session low re-exposes 69.50
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read

22:46 UTC

Range, drifting toward lows · RSI 46 · price 70.069

Intraday range, mid-to-lower third.

XAGUSD is ranging 69.97–70.42 after the spike to 71.18 was rejected and faded back, with price now drifting toward the range low on thin late-session volume. Momentum is neutral, RSI(14) mid-40s, as traders square up ahead of the Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.51

Resistance: 70.42, 70.58

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.000 exposes the 69.51 swing low
  • Close above 70.420 reclaims the range high toward 70.58
  • FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC tomorrow can override this range read

22:46 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 70.069

Ranging after spike rejection.

Silver spiked to 71.17 then was rejected hard down to the 69.51 swing low, since chopping in a 69.97–70.40 range through the NY session on thinning volume. Price sits mid-range at 70.07 with RSI flat near 48, no setup in play ahead of tomorrow's Fed decision.

Support: 69.97, 69.85, 69.51

Resistance: 70.40, 70.60, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.40 swing high reopens 70.60 prior high
  • Loss of the 69.97 session low exposes 69.85 and 69.51 swing low
  • FOMC + dot-plot tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:31 UTC

Pullback off intraday high, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 69.997

Consolidating sub-70.20 after rejection at 71.18.

Silver spiked to 71.18 in the prior NY session then faded, and price now grinds back to the 70.00 round level under EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs. RSI near 43 reflects the cooling momentum; tight 69.94–70.11 range over the last hours shows pre-FOMC caution as the rally stalls below the 100-day SMA.

Support: 69.94, 69.59

Resistance: 70.41, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.94 session low exposes 69.59 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.41 swing high needed to negate the pullback
  • FOMC decision tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:31 UTC

Post-spike pullback, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 69.997

Consolidating below spike high, drifting to 70.00.

NY session faded the 71.18 spike high sharply back to 69.50 before stabilising, and price is now consolidating around the 70.00 round number just under the 100-day SMA. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 as the late-session drift cools momentum into the Fed.

Support: 69.85, 69.50

Resistance: 70.40, 70.69, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.40 reopens the 70.69 / 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 69.85 exposes the 69.50 swing low
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:16 UTC

Range, drifting lower into thin session · RSI 44 · price 70.07

Consolidation after 71.18 rejection.

Silver spiked to 71.18 then was rejected hard back to 69.40 before stabilising; price now sits at 70.07, right on the 38.2% retrace of that fade. Last bars are thin and low-volume into the Asian session, chopping around the 70.00 round number with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 70.00, 69.85, 69.40

Resistance: 70.40, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.00 reopens 69.85 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.40 swing high needed to resume upside
  • Fed decision tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:16 UTC

Pullback from highs, consolidating · RSI 47 · price 70.07

Range after spike rejection.

Silver spiked to 71.18 during NY hours then was rejected hard back to 69.51 before recovering. Price now drifts in thin Asia trade, consolidating between the 70.00 round number and the 70.42 swing high ahead of FOMC, RSI(14) mid-range near 46.

Support: 70.00, 69.59, 69.51

Resistance: 70.42, 70.69, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.42 swing high reopens the 70.69 prior high
  • Loss of 70.00 round number exposes 69.59 swing low
  • FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

22:02 UTC

Pulled back from highs, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 70.02

Rejected at session high, ranging sub-70.

Silver spiked to a 71.18 session high then was rejected hard, unwinding back through the 70 round and now consolidating 69.97–70.10 in thin late-session trade. RSI(14) mid-40s as the move stalls just under the swing high at 70.42 ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.97, 69.59, 69.05

Resistance: 70.42, 70.70, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 69.59 swing low re-exposes the 69.05 session low
  • Close above the 70.42 swing high reopens 70.70
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) then FOMC decision (18:00 UTC) can materially shift this read

22:02 UTC

Recovery stalling, near-term fade · RSI 43 · price 70.02

Pullback from 71.18 spike, ranging into 70.00.

The 71.18 NY-session spike was rejected hard, and price has since fallen back into a 70.00–70.42 band, now fading toward the 70.00 round number in low-volume Asia hours. Momentum has cooled with RSI mid-40s and price holding below EMA20/50 — silver stalling sub the 100-day SMA into the Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.59

Resistance: 70.42, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.00 exposes the 69.59 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.42 reopens the 71.18 session high
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC could materially shift this read

21:46 UTC

Pullback after spike rejection · RSI 43 · price 70.02

Consolidating below session highs after sharp 71.17 rejection.

Silver spiked to 71.17 in the NY session then was sharply rejected, dropping back into a 69.97–70.42 range as traders booked profit ahead of the Fed. Price now drifts at 70.02 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s through the Asia hours.

Support: 69.97, 69.59

Resistance: 70.42, 70.69, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.97 session low re-exposes the 69.59 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.42 session high needed to re-test 70.69
  • FOMC decision plus Retail Sales ahead could materially shift this read

21:46 UTC

Pulling back within range · RSI 43 · price 70.02

Range after spike rejection.

Silver spiked to 71.18 before being sharply rejected and collapsing to 69.50, then settled into a 69.99-70.42 range through the US session. Price is now drifting back toward range lows near 70.00 with RSI(14) sub-45, holding under EMA20/50 ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 69.99, 69.59

Resistance: 70.42, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.99 re-exposes the 69.59 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.42 range top would re-open the upper range
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:31 UTC

Pulling back after spike rejection · RSI 45 · price 70.02

Lower highs into the close, drifting on the lows.

Silver spiked to 71.17 in NY hours then collapsed to the 69.40 session low, a false break that has capped price under the 100-day SMA. It has since chopped back to 70.00 but is making lower highs off the 70.40 swing high as the market parks ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.97, 69.59, 69.40

Resistance: 70.40, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 69.97 recent low re-exposes the 69.59 swing low
  • M15 close above 70.40 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC decision 18:00 UTC tomorrow could materially reshape this read

21:31 UTC

Pullback after spike, momentum cooling · RSI 43 · price 70.02

Rangebound below session high, lower highs into 70.00.

Silver spiked to 71.17 in NY hours then swept back to 69.50 before stabilising; it's now grinding lower highs into the 70.00 round number sub the 100-day SMA. RSI(14) cooling near 43 with price below EMA20/50 as the late-session range tightens ahead of FOMC.

Support: 69.97, 69.85, 69.50

Resistance: 70.40, 70.65, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.40 reopens the 70.65/71.17 highs
  • Loss of 69.85 re-exposes the 69.50 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:16 UTC

Pullback after spike, flattening · RSI 44 · price 70.02

Consolidating under 70.00 post-rejection.

Silver spiked to 71.17 then was rejected, unwinding to the 70.00 psych level where it's now coiling on fading ranges. RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR holding wide after the volatile NY swings; price drifting under EMA20/50 into pre-FOMC chop.

Support: 69.97, 69.59, 69.40

Resistance: 70.40, 70.92, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.40 reopens the 70.92 swing high
  • Loss of 69.59 swing low exposes 69.40
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:16 UTC

Ranging after spike rejection · RSI 46 · price 70.02

Consolidation under 70.40 post spike.

Silver spiked to 71.18 in the NY session then was rejected hard back to 69.51, and has since consolidated in the 69.95–70.40 band as traders pare positions ahead of the Fed. Price now sits on the 70.00 round number, below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 69.97, 69.59

Resistance: 70.41, 70.92, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.41 reopens the 70.92 area
  • Loss of 69.95 session low exposes 69.59
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:04 UTC

Pullback after squeeze, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 70.02

Consolidation below 70.50, lower highs.

Silver spiked to 71.17 then was rejected hard back to 69.59 during NY hours; price has since coiled into a 69.97–70.42 range and is drifting lower into the late-NY/Asia handover on thinning volume. Sub-100-day SMA stall holds with traders booking profit ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.97, 69.59

Resistance: 70.42, 70.69, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.97 re-exposes the 69.59 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.42 needed to challenge the 70.69–71.17 spike zone
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could overwhelm this range

21:04 UTC

Micro pullback, fading off recovery high · RSI 41 · price 70.02

Lower highs since 70.42, drifting toward session low.

Silver faded after a NY-session recovery to 70.42, carving lower highs and grinding back to the 69.97 session-low area with RSI cooling sub-50. Price holds just under the 100-day SMA, consolidating ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.97, 69.40

Resistance: 70.42

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.97 reopens the 69.40 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.42 recovery high negates the lower-high sequence
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC tomorrow can reshape this read

20:46 UTC

Pullback from spike high, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 70.005

Coiling between 69.85 and 70.40 after rejection at 71.18.

Silver spiked to 71.18 then was rejected hard, bleeding back to the 70.00 round number where it is now coiling in a 69.85–70.40 range. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no momentum extreme; traders sidelined ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 70.00, 69.85, 69.398

Resistance: 70.40, 70.918, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.85 reopens the 69.398 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.40 puts the 70.918 session high back in play
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC will redefine this range

20:46 UTC

Pullback after rally, momentum cooling · RSI 44 · price 70.005

Rotating below 70.42 after 71.18 spike rejection.

Silver spiked to 71.18 in the NY session then swept down to 69.51 before stabilising; price has since recovered into a 69.85–70.42 rotation and is drifting back toward 70.00 ahead of the Fed. RSI(14) near 44 with price under both EMAs — momentum has cooled off the highs.

Support: 69.85, 69.51

Resistance: 70.42, 70.65, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.85 re-exposes the 69.51 session low
  • Reclaim of 70.42 swing high reopens 70.65
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow can override this read

20:31 UTC

Pullback after spike, momentum soft · RSI 43 · price 70.052

Consolidating below 70.42 swing high, holding 69.97.

Silver spiked to 71.18 in NY hours then reversed hard, a false break that has since faded back under 70.42 with price now coiling on the 70.00 handle. RSI(14) near 43 reflects the cooling momentum; buyers re-emerged around 69.97 on the latest dip but the descending highs from 70.42 keep capping.

Support: 69.97, 69.59

Resistance: 70.42, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 69.97 exposes the 69.59 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.42 reopens the 71.18 session high
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

20:31 UTC

Pullback within broader bounce, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 70.052

Lower highs off 71.17 spike, drifting into 70.00.

Silver spiked to 71.17 then got rejected, fading through the NY session as traders book profit ahead of the Fed; price now drifting at 70.05, a ~50% retrace of the 69.05–71.17 rally. Series of lower highs from 70.40 keeps the pullback intact while 69.85 holds.

Support: 69.85, 69.59, 69.50

Resistance: 70.40, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.85 confirms a lower low and exposes 69.59
  • Close back above 70.40 negates the lower-high sequence
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:16 UTC

Downtrend, fading off highs · RSI 43 · price 69.996

Lower highs after 71.18 spike rejection.

Silver spiked to 71.18 into the NY session then was sharply rejected, sliding back below the 70.00 psych level as traders book profit ahead of the Fed. Since then it has chopped between 69.85 and 70.40, with price now fading the upper edge and slipping under both intraday EMAs.

Support: 69.85, 69.51

Resistance: 70.40, 70.92, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.40 reopens the 70.92/71.18 highs
  • Loss of 69.85 exposes the 69.51 session low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:16 UTC

Uptrend fading, momentum slowing · RSI 46 · price 69.996

Rally stalled, consolidating below highs.

Silver spiked to a 71.18 session high mid-window then faded into a 70.0–70.4 consolidation through NY hours, with the last bars slipping to 69.996 below EMA20/50 on pre-FOMC profit-taking. Rejection at 70.37 has capped the recovery attempts.

Support: 69.85, 69.59

Resistance: 70.37, 70.69, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.85 exposes the 69.59 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.37 swing high reopens 70.69
  • FOMC and US Retail Sales tomorrow could materially shift this read

20:02 UTC

Range after spike rejection, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 70.08

Ranging 70.00–70.40 below the 71.18 spike high.

Silver spiked to 71.18 in NY hours then was slammed to 69.51 on pre-FOMC profit-taking, since stabilising into a 70.00–70.40 range. Price now drifting toward the range floor with RSI(14) sub-45 and trading below EMA20.

Support: 70.00, 69.51

Resistance: 70.40, 70.65, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.00 re-exposes the 69.51 session low
  • M15 close above 70.40 reopens 70.65
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially reshape this read

20:02 UTC

Range-bound after sharp reversal · RSI 45 · price 70.08

Consolidation between 70.00 and 70.42.

A spike to 71.17 in the NY session was rejected and fully retraced, collapsing to 69.40 before stabilising. Price has since chopped between 70.00 and 70.42 and now sits at 70.08, right on the 38.2% retrace of the spike-and-drop, RSI mid-range with no momentum edge.

Support: 69.99, 69.51

Resistance: 70.42, 70.69

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.42 reopens the 70.69 spike zone
  • Loss of 69.99 exposes the 69.51 swing low
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC can override this intraday range

19:46 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 70.235

Choppy range after spike rejection.

Silver spiked to 71.17 then sold back through 69.50 before settling into a 69.99–70.42 range during NY hours, RSI(14) flat near 49. Price holds just under the 100-day reference with the move stalling into the Fed.

Support: 69.99, 69.59

Resistance: 70.42, 70.69, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.42 reopens the 70.69 spike base
  • Loss of 69.99 re-exposes the 69.59 drop low
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could reset this range

19:46 UTC

Range after volatile spike · RSI 50 · price 70.235

Rangebound, choppy consolidation.

Silver spiked to 71.18 in NY hours then faded hard to a 69.51 low before settling into a 70.00–70.42 range. Move stalling sub-$70 ahead of FOMC; RSI(14) flat near 50, no setup in play.

Support: 70.00, 69.506

Resistance: 70.42, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.42 reopens the 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 70.00 re-exposes the 69.51 session low
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

19:31 UTC

Recovering after sweep, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 70.292

Range 70.00–70.42 after spike rejection.

NY session spiked to the 71.18 spike high then collapsed to a 69.40 session low, a sharp rejection that swept the prior range top before buyers reclaimed 70.00. Price now consolidates 70.00–70.42 with RSI neutral near 53; structure has stalled ahead of tomorrow's Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.40

Resistance: 70.42, 70.91, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.42 session high reopens 70.91 prior high
  • Loss of 70.00 round number re-exposes the 69.40 session low
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could reset this range

19:31 UTC

Choppy, two-way into FOMC · RSI 49 · price 70.292

Consolidation after failed spike high.

Silver spiked to 71.17 in the NY session then dumped back hard, and is now consolidating 70.00–70.42 just under the 100-day SMA. RSI(14) sits flat near 49 with price hugging EMA20 — no directional edge as traders sit on hands ahead of the Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.748

Resistance: 70.42, 70.65, 71.171

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.42 reopens the 70.65 prior high
  • Loss of 70.00 round number exposes 69.75 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

19:16 UTC

Recovery, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 70.183

Consolidation under session high after volatile US-hours spike.

Silver spiked to 71.18 then was swept back to 69.51 through NY hours before stabilising; price now coils between 70.00 and 70.42 as traders book profit ahead of the Fed. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 with momentum flat into the close.

Support: 70.00, 69.51

Resistance: 70.42, 70.92, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.42 reopens the 70.92 prior high
  • Loss of 70.00 round number re-exposes the 69.51 session low
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC (and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC) can materially shift this read

19:16 UTC

Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 51 · price 70.183

Spike high rejected, now ranging mid.

NY session spiked to 71.18 then was sharply rejected back to the 69.51 swing low as profit was booked ahead of the Fed. Price has since recovered into a 69.99–70.42 range and stalled at 70.18 with RSI(14) flat near 51.

Support: 69.99, 69.51

Resistance: 70.42, 70.92, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.42 reopens the 70.92 prior high
  • Loss of 69.99 re-exposes the 69.51 swing low
  • US Retail Sales then FOMC tomorrow can override this range read

19:02 UTC

Recovery, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 70.294

Higher lows off 69.50, capped near 70.42.

NY-session silver clawed back from the 69.50 flush to grind into 70.30, stalling just under the 70.42 session high with RSI(14) mid-range. Price holds above EMA20/50 in a tight recovery channel, the 70.00 round number underpinning the higher-low chain.

Support: 70.00, 69.75, 69.506

Resistance: 70.423, 70.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.42 extends the recovery toward 70.65
  • Loss of 70.00 reopens 69.75 and breaks the higher-low chain
  • Heavy positioning ahead of tomorrow's FOMC may suppress range until the decision

19:02 UTC

Recovered off lows, now consolidating · RSI 55 · price 70.294

Range-bound under session high after sweep.

Silver spiked to 71.18 then collapsed to 69.50 mid-session before clawing back; price now consolidating 70.00–70.42, RSI mid-range near 55. The 70.50 breakout pivot still caps and the move is stalling sub-100-day SMA per the macro digest ahead of the Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.75, 69.50

Resistance: 70.42, 70.50, 70.69

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.42/70.50 pivot reopens the 70.69 spike high
  • Loss of 70.00 round number re-exposes the 69.75 swing low
  • FOMC + Retail Sales tomorrow could materially shift this read

18:46 UTC

Recovery off intraday low, stalling · RSI 56 · price 70.261

Higher lows since 69.40, capped at 70.39.

Silver spiked to 71.17 during NY hours then was rejected hard back to a 69.40 session low, before grinding out higher lows to retest the 70.39 session high. Momentum is cooling on the pullback to 70.26, RSI(14) mid-range as the move stalls into pre-FOMC positioning.

Support: 70.00, 69.85, 69.40

Resistance: 70.39, 70.65, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.39 reopens the 70.65 prior high
  • Loss of 70.00 round number exposes 69.85 swing low
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst into this consolidation

18:46 UTC

Range after spike rejection · RSI 54 · price 70.261

Consolidating, higher lows off 69.40.

Silver spiked to 71.17 then was rejected hard back to 69.40 during NY hours, and has since coiled into a 70.00–70.40 range on higher lows. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 with price holding above both EMAs as profit-taking sets in ahead of tomorrow's Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.59, 69.40

Resistance: 70.40, 70.65, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.40 swing high reopens 70.65 prior high
  • Loss of 70.00 round number exposes the 69.59 swing low
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) then FOMC (18:00 UTC) tomorrow could materially shift this read

18:31 UTC

Recovering after sharp fade, micro-uptrend · RSI 56 · price 70.332

Spike high rejected, grinding back into range mid.

NY session spiked silver to 71.18 then sold off hard to 69.40, a clean false break that flushed the move. Price has since clawed back to 70.33, holding above the 70.00 round number with RSI near 56; broad 69.40–71.18 range still intact ahead of the Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.75, 69.40

Resistance: 70.45, 70.65, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.45 session high reopens 70.65 then the 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 69.75 swing low re-exposes the 69.40 session low
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

18:31 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum building · RSI 57 · price 70.332

Higher lows after sharp reversal from 71.18.

NY session spiked to 71.18 then reversed hard into the 69.40 session low, a clean false break. Price has since rebuilt a higher-low chain back to 70.33, holding above the round 70.00; the 70.50 breakout pivot is the next area to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 70.00, 69.40

Resistance: 70.50, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.50 reopens the 71.18 session high
  • Loss of 70.00 re-exposes the 69.40 session low
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC can override this intraday read

18:16 UTC

Recovering after spike-and-fade · RSI 58 · price 70.362

Rebound off session low, retesting session high.

Silver spiked to 71.18 in NY hours then reversed hard to a 69.40 session low — a clean false break — before grinding back to retest the 70.39 session high. Recovery is steady with RSI mid-range; price is holding above EMA20/50 as traders square up pre-FOMC.

Support: 70.00, 69.398

Resistance: 70.387, 70.657, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.39 reopens the 70.66 prior high
  • Loss of 70.00 re-exposes the 69.40 session low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC ~24h out can override this read

18:16 UTC

Recovering off lows, choppy · RSI 60 · price 70.362

Rising lows, capped sub-70.50.

Silver was rejected hard at the 71.14 spike high then flushed to 69.40 before NY buyers reclaimed 70.36, grinding back toward the 70.50 pivot flagged into FOMC. Rising intraday lows from 69.40 hold, but price remains hemmed below the session high at 70.58.

Support: 69.59, 69.40

Resistance: 70.58, 71.14

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.58 reopens the 71.14 spike high
  • Loss of 69.59 breaks the rising-low chain
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC could override this intraday read

18:02 UTC

Intraday recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 57 · price 70.252

Higher lows since 69.40, capped under 70.33.

Silver was rejected hard at the 71.17 spike high in NY hours and flushed to 69.40 before grinding back to 70.25, holding above EMA20/50. Price now stalls just under the 70.50 pivot per the haven-unwind backdrop, with session high 70.33 the immediate cap and 69.59 the swing low below.

Support: 69.59, 69.40

Resistance: 70.33, 70.50, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.50 pivot opens 71.17 spike high
  • Loss of 69.59 swing low re-exposes 69.40
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC dominate the next session

18:02 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum stalling · RSI 55 · price 70.252

Consolidating below session high after volatile flush.

Late NY session: silver spiked to 71.18 then flushed to 69.50 before grinding back to 70.25, now pressing the 70.33 session high. RSI(14) mid-range near 55 as the recovery stalls; profit-booking dominates ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 69.748, 69.50

Resistance: 70.33, 70.65, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.33 opens the 70.65 prior high
  • Loss of 69.748 swing low re-exposes the 69.50 session low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC could materially shift this read

17:46 UTC

Choppy, no clear bias · RSI 51 · price 70.108

Range after spike rejection.

A spike to 71.18 was sharply rejected back to 69.51 in NY hours, since recovering to chop around the 70.00 round number. Price is pinned just under the 70.33 session high / fib-50% zone with momentum neutral as traders square up ahead of the Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.85, 69.51

Resistance: 70.33, 70.65, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 70.33 reopens 70.65
  • Failure to hold 70.00/69.85 re-exposes the 69.51 session low

17:46 UTC

Range after spike rejection · RSI 49 · price 70.108

Consolidating off the lows, mid-range.

NY hours spiked silver to 71.18 then a sharp rejection dumped price to 69.40 before buyers stepped back in. Now consolidating 69.75–70.33 around the EMA20 with RSI neutral near 49, traders booking risk ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.748, 69.398

Resistance: 70.33, 70.65, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.33 reopens the 70.65 / 71.18 spike zone
  • Loss of 69.75 re-exposes the 69.40 drop low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow can override this intraday read

17:31 UTC

Two-way, ranging post-spike · RSI 47 · price 70.009

Range after 71.18 spike fade.

Silver spiked to 71.18 then was rejected hard into the FOMC, sliding to a 69.506 swing low before recovering to 70.0. Now boxed between 69.85 and the 70.33 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 47 — no setup in play.

Support: 69.85, 69.506

Resistance: 70.33, 70.92, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.33 reopens the 70.92 spike base
  • Loss of 69.85 re-exposes the 69.506 swing low
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:16 UTC

Choppy, range-bound sub-70 · RSI 46 · price 69.985

Intraday range after spike rejection.

NY-session pullback: the spike to 71.18 was sold hard, a 69.40 low caught a bounce to 70.33, and price has since faded back sub-70 to 69.99. Silver is stalling under the 100-day SMA as traders book profit ahead of the Fed; RSI(14) neutral near 46, structure ranging 69.40–70.33.

Support: 69.59, 69.40

Resistance: 70.33, 70.55, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.40 confirms a lower low and re-exposes 69.59 then the session base
  • Reclaim of 70.33 reopens 70.55 and the 71.18 spike high
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) tomorrow are the dominant catalysts that can override this range read

17:16 UTC

Choppy, pulling back after spike · RSI 45 · price 69.985

Range after failed push to 71.18.

Silver spiked to 71.18 in the NY session then sold off sharply to 69.40, a clean false break that capped the rally; price has since chopped between 69.40 and 70.33 and is fading back to 69.99 below both EMAs. Move stalling sub-$70 as traders book profit ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.85, 69.40

Resistance: 70.33, 70.55, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Close below 69.85 re-exposes the 69.40 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.33 needed to reopen the 70.55 area
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC decision could materially shift this read

17:03 UTC

Choppy, mid-range after volatile swing · RSI 48 · price 70.079

Wide intraday range 69.40–71.18, price mid-range.

Silver whipsawed into FOMC: a spike to the 71.18 high was rejected as a false break, then dumped to the 69.40 session low before recovering. Price now stalls mid-range near 70.08, capped under the 70.33 session high with the 70.00 round number just below.

Support: 70.00, 69.85, 69.40

Resistance: 70.33, 70.69, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.33 session high reopens 70.69
  • Loss of 70.00 round number and 69.85 recent low re-exposes 69.40
  • Fed decision tomorrow 18:00 UTC could override this range read

17:03 UTC

Choppy, two-way after spike · RSI 49 · price 70.079

Post-spike range, consolidating sub-70.33.

Silver spiked to 71.18 during the NY session then dumped to 69.40 on pre-FOMC profit-taking, before recovering to a 70.33 session high. Price is now fading to 70.08, mid-range with RSI neutral near 48 — no clean setup while it churns between 69.85 and 70.33.

Support: 69.85, 69.40

Resistance: 70.33, 70.54, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 69.85 re-exposes the 69.40 session low
  • M15 close above 70.33 reopens the 70.54 prior high
  • FOMC decision + dot-plot tomorrow 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can void this range read

16:47 UTC

Volatile range, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 70.251

Spike-and-flush, recovering inside range.

NY session spiked to 71.18 then flushed to 69.40 within the hour — a sweep of the highs ahead of FOMC. Price has clawed back above 70.25 with RSI(14) near 50; buyers held the 69.64 session low on the retest, leaving choppy two-way action between there and the 70.55 prior high.

Support: 69.64, 69.40

Resistance: 70.55, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 70.55 reopens the 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 69.40 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
  • FOMC decision tomorrow 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst; positioning likely to cap range near-term

16:46 UTC

Recovering after sharp selloff, stalling · RSI 54 · price 70.251

Spike rejection then V-recovery into resistance.

NY session printed a spike to 71.18 that was rejected, then a sharp flush to 69.50 before buyers stepped in and dragged price back to 70.25. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54 and price is now stalling under the 70.33 session high. FOMC tomorrow keeps this two-way ahead of the decision.

Support: 69.85, 69.506

Resistance: 70.33, 70.65, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.33 opens the path to 70.65
  • Failure to hold 69.85 re-exposes the 69.50 session low
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:31 UTC

Two-way, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 70.277

Spike high rejected, bounce from 69.40.

NY session spiked to 71.18 then was sharply rejected, dumping to 69.40 before demand stepped in; price has since recovered to 70.28, roughly the 50% retracement of that drop. Volatility is wide as traders position ahead of the Fed, with the 70.50 pivot now the immediate cap.

Support: 69.85, 69.40

Resistance: 70.50, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 70.50 pivot opens the path back toward the 71.18 swing high
  • Failure to hold 69.85 re-exposes the 69.40 spike low
  • FOMC decision ahead keeping intraday ranges stretched

16:31 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum neutral · RSI 54 · price 70.277

Spike high rejected, ~50% retrace of the drop.

Silver spiked to 71.18 during the NY session before a sharp rejection dragged it to a session low of 69.40, then recovered ~50% of that drop to 70.28. Now consolidating just under 70.33 resistance, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) back near mid-range ahead of FOMC.

Support: 70.05, 69.59, 69.40

Resistance: 70.33, 70.58, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.58 reopens the 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 70.05 then 69.59 reasserts the session low
  • FOMC + Retail Sales tomorrow could materially shift this read

16:16 UTC

Choppy, recovering after sharp flush · RSI 51 · price 70.284

Wide intraday range, mean-reverting.

NY session spiked to 71.18 then violently reversed in a false break, washing down to 69.51 before buyers stepped in. Price has recovered to 70.28 and is now mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 51, stalling sub the prior swing high at 70.55 ahead of the upcoming Fed event.

Support: 70.05, 69.51

Resistance: 70.55, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 70.55 swing high reopens the 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 70.05 pivot re-exposes the 69.51 session low
  • FOMC ahead could materially shift this read

16:16 UTC

Recovering after sharp intraday rejection · RSI 53 · price 70.284

Spike high swept, V-recovery off session low.

NY hours spiked silver to 71.18 then rejected hard, sweeping the session low at 69.506 before buyers reclaimed 70.28. RSI(14) back near neutral after the swing; price sits below the 70.50 breakout pivot heading into Fed-week thinning liquidity.

Support: 69.85, 69.506

Resistance: 70.50, 70.65, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.50 reopens the path to 70.65 / 71.18
  • Loss of 69.85 re-exposes the 69.506 session low
  • Retail Sales (tomorrow 12:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read

16:02 UTC

Pullback after rejection, two-way · RSI 49 · price 70.05

Spike high rejected, consolidating below pivot.

NY session pushed XAG to a 71.18 spike before a sharp rejection dumped price to 69.50, draining the haven-unwind move ahead of the Fed. Now consolidating near 70.05 around the 61.8% retrace of the prior rally, RSI back at neutral.

Support: 69.40

Resistance: 70.50, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 70.50 pivot reopens the 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 69.40 session low confirms a lower-low
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

16:02 UTC

Two-way, choppy · RSI 49 · price 70.05

Spike high rejected, session low swept and reclaimed.

NY session printed a sharp spike to 71.18 that was immediately rejected, then a flush swept the session low at 69.40 before buyers reclaimed the 70.00 handle. Price now sits mid-range around the 38.2% retrace of the spike move with RSI(14) back near 50; XAG is stalling sub-100-day SMA as traders square up ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.40

Resistance: 70.55, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 70.55 reopens the 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 69.40 session low confirms a lower-low
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:46 UTC

Downtrend off intraday spike, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 69.753

Lower highs after 71.18 rejection, basing near 69.70.

Silver spiked to 71.18 early NY then collapsed ~1.7 to tag 69.40, with profit-taking ahead of the Fed. Price is now basing in a tight 69.60–69.90 band below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-40s after the flush.

Support: 69.40

Resistance: 70.00, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 69.40 session low re-exposes lower
  • Reclaim of 70.00 psych level needed to ease downside pressure
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC can override this read

15:46 UTC

Short-term downtrend after rejection · RSI 42 · price 69.753

Lower highs since 71.18 spike, holding above session low.

NY session saw a sharp rejection at the 71.18 session high, then a sweep down to 69.40 before a bounce that stalled at 70.015. Price is now drifting back toward the lows around 69.75 as traders book profit ahead of tomorrow's FOMC; ATR is elevated near 330 pips.

Support: 69.506, 69.398

Resistance: 70.015, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.506 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 70.015 needed to ease the downside pressure
  • FOMC + Retail Sales tomorrow could materially shift this read

15:31 UTC

Downtrend off session high, basing · RSI 44 · price 69.869

Sharp rejection from 71.17, consolidating above session low.

Silver spiked to a session high of 71.17 in NY hours then was rejected hard, dumping to 69.40 as traders booked profit ahead of the Fed. Price is now consolidating 69.70–69.90, holding a ~26% retrace of that drop and trading below both intraday EMAs.

Support: 69.40, 69.05

Resistance: 70.25, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 70.25 negates the rejection read
  • Loss of 69.40 session low re-exposes 69.05
  • FOMC dot-plot ahead is the dominant macro risk for this pair

15:31 UTC

Choppy, downside after spike rejection · RSI 44 · price 69.869

False break of 71.18 then sharp reversal, mid-range recovery.

Silver spiked to 71.18 then dumped to 69.40 as profit-taking hit ahead of the Fed, leaving a clear false break of the prior NY-session high. Price has reclaimed half the wash-out to 69.87 but sits below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-range near 44.

Support: 69.40

Resistance: 70.18, 70.55, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~2.5h) can override this intraday read
  • Loss of 69.40 session low confirms a lower-low
  • M15 close back above 70.18 reopens the 70.55 pivot

15:16 UTC

Downtrend, retracing · RSI 43 · price 69.824

Lower high off 71.18 spike, sold to session low 69.40.

NY session spiked to 71.18 and was sharply rejected, then sold off to a 69.40 session low as traders de-risked ahead of the FOMC decision. Price has bounced to 69.82 but stalls under the 70.25 breakdown level, RSI(14) recovering to the mid-40s.

Support: 69.40, 69.05

Resistance: 70.25, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 70.25 invalidates the lower-high structure
  • Loss of 69.40 exposes the 69.05 window low

15:16 UTC

Pullback after rejection, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 69.824

Lower highs since spike to 71.18, stabilising near 69.80.

NY session spiked to a session high at 71.18 then sharply rejected, selling off to 69.50 before a shallow bounce; price now consolidating near 69.80 below EMA20/EMA50. RSI(14) at 43 reflects the cooldown after the drop, with the 70.25 pivot capping the recovery.

Support: 69.506, 69.31

Resistance: 70.25, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.50 swing low confirms continuation lower toward 69.30
  • Reclaim of the 70.25 pivot negates the rejection read
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:02 UTC

Downtrend, off intraday spike · RSI 40 · price 69.76

Lower highs after 71.18 rejection.

NY session spiked to 71.18 then reversed hard, selling off to a 69.40 swing low before a bounce stalled at the 69.98 bounce high; price now consolidating near 69.76 with 70.50 prior high as supply above. RSI(14) at 40, ATR ~340 pips flagging wide intraday ranges as silver sits sub-100-day SMA into the Fed.

Support: 69.40, 69.05

Resistance: 69.98, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 69.98 bounce high negates the lower-high structure
  • Loss of 69.40 swing low opens 69.05 prior low
  • FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:02 UTC

Downtrend off session high, bouncing · RSI 41 · price 69.76

Lower highs, sharp drop from 71.18 then partial recovery.

NY session spiked to 71.18 then was sharply rejected, dumping to a 69.40 session low before a bounce to 69.76. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 41; intraday structure is a chain of lower highs into the Fed.

Support: 69.40, 69.05

Resistance: 70.25, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~3h out) can materially shift this read
  • Reclaim above 70.25 swing pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 69.40 session low exposes 69.05 prior low

14:46 UTC

Choppy, leg lower after rejection · RSI 44 · price 69.83

Lower high at 71.18, swing low 69.50.

NY-session spike to 71.18 was rejected hard, with silver dumping to a 69.50 swing low before a shallow bounce to 69.83 as profit-taking set in ahead of the Fed. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 43; the 70.50 pivot now caps the recovery.

Support: 69.50, 69.05

Resistance: 70.50, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.40 exposes the 69.05 prior low
  • Reclaim of 70.50 pivot would neutralise the leg lower
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow could reset this read

14:46 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 41 · price 69.83

Lower highs, lower lows after 71.18 rejection.

NY session rejected hard at 71.18 and dumped ~180 pips into a 69.40 sweep before buyers stepped in, last print 69.83. Price holds below EMA20/50 with momentum still down ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.40, 69.05

Resistance: 70.25, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 69.40 reopens 69.05 and the prior lows
  • M15 close back above 70.25 challenges the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:31 UTC

Sharp downturn, intraday rally fully retraced · RSI 36 · price 69.613

Rejection at 71.18, lower lows back toward session base.

NY session opened with a rejection at 71.18 — a failure to clear the window's prior high — followed by a sharp selloff that erased the entire intraday rally back to 69.60, with profit-taking ahead of the Fed cited as the driver. RSI(14) near 36 and price has slipped below both EMAs.

Support: 69.50, 69.05

Resistance: 70.25, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.50 confirms a lower-low and opens 69.05
  • Reclaim of 70.25 needed to stall the selloff
  • Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and the FOMC decision could materially shift this read

14:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 35 · price 69.613

Lower highs, breakdown through 70.00.

NY session spiked to 71.18 then reversed hard, a false break that flushed price back below 70.00 with profit-taking ahead of the Fed leaving silver stalled sub-$70. The last two bars cut through prior support to a fresh session low at 69.506, RSI(14) at 35 but not yet extreme given the size of the leg.

Support: 69.506, 69.287, 69.052

Resistance: 70.247, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 69.506 exposes the 69.287 swing low then 69.052
  • Reclaim of 70.247 needed to stall the breakdown
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:16 UTC

Pullback after spike rejection · RSI 44 · price 70.156

Spike high rejected, retracing the NY up-leg.

NY session spiked to 71.18 then sharply rejected, dumping price back to 70.15 and unwinding the entire move. Now sitting near the 50% retrace of the 69.05–71.18 up-leg with the session low at 70.13 the immediate floor.

Support: 70.13, 69.85, 69.05

Resistance: 70.47, 70.50, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 70.13 exposes the 69.85 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.50 reopens the 71.18 spike high
  • US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

14:16 UTC

Near-term pullback, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 70.156

Spike high rejected, fading off 71.18.

NY session spiked to 71.18 then sharply reversed, price fading back to 70.16 as silver longs de-risk ahead of the Fed. The false break above 70.50 has handed control back to sellers, with the session low at 70.13 now the immediate pivot.

Support: 70.134, 69.95, 69.31

Resistance: 70.50, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.13 opens 69.95 then 69.31
  • Reclaim of 70.50 needed to repair the rejection
  • FOMC decision later this cycle could materially shift this read

14:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, sharp pullback · RSI 45 · price 70.326

Spike high rejected, retraced ~50% of the rally.

NY session pushed silver to 71.18 before a sharp rejection candle dumped it back to 70.13, profit-taking as bulls de-risk into FOMC. Price has retraced roughly half the 69.05–71.18 rally and is consolidating near 70.30; the 71.18 spike high now caps as resistance.

Support: 70.134, 69.85

Resistance: 70.55, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 70.13 confirms a lower-low and reopens 69.85
  • Reclaim of 70.55 puts the 71.18 spike high back in play
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow and FOMC could materially shift this read

14:02 UTC

Pullback after spike rejection · RSI 46 · price 70.326

Range-bound, recent false break of session high.

Silver spiked to 71.18 then was sharply rejected in a single bar back under 70.50, a false break of the session high as longs de-risked ahead of the Fed. Price now hovers at 70.33, holding the 70.13 session low with RSI mid-range.

Support: 70.134, 69.85

Resistance: 70.58, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 70.58 reopens the spike high at 71.18
  • Loss of 70.13 confirms a lower-low toward 69.85
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

13:46 UTC

Uptrend stalling after rejection · RSI 46 · price 70.408

Rally rejected at session high, retracing.

NY session pushed silver to a session high of 71.18 before a sharp rejection dumped price back to 70.40, with profit-taking ahead of the Fed evident. Pullback is holding near the 38.2% fib of the 69.05–71.18 advance; RSI(14) has cooled to the midline.

Support: 70.23

Resistance: 70.65, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 70.23 swing low confirms a deeper retrace of the rally
  • Reclaim of 70.65 intraday high needed to re-test 71.18 session high
  • US Retail Sales / FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

13:46 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 70.408

Spike to 71.18 rejected, now ranging 70.35–70.60.

NY session pushed silver to a spike high at 71.18 then sharply rejected it back to 70.40, with longs de-risking into the Fed. Price now consolidating between the session low at 70.35 and prior high at 70.92, RSI back near the midline after cooling off the spike.

Support: 70.35, 70.23

Resistance: 70.92, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 71.18 reopens the upside; failure to hold 70.23 confirms a lower-low
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and the FOMC dot-plot 18:00 UTC can materially reshape this read

13:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, pullback after rejection · RSI 50 · price 70.458

Rally to 71.18 rejected, pulling back into range.

NY session spiked to a session high of 71.18 then sharply reversed back to 70.45, RSI(14) cooling from the move to mid-range. Pullback held above the 70.34 swing low so far; price sits near the 34% retrace of the 69.05–71.18 rebound as longs de-risk into FOMC.

Support: 70.34, 69.99

Resistance: 70.92, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dots 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close back above 70.92 reopens the 71.18 session high
  • Loss of 70.34 exposes 69.99 round number

13:16 UTC

Intraday recovery, sharp rejection at highs · RSI 52 · price 70.531

Rally off 69.05 stalled and reversed under 71.18.

NY session spiked to 71.18 then was rejected hard, retracing the entire push back to 70.53 as longs de-risk into FOMC. The intraday recovery off 69.05 keeps price above EMA20/50, but the failure at session high leaves momentum cooling with RSI near the midline.

Support: 70.45, 70.00

Resistance: 71.18, 71.30

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC (~5h) is the dominant risk to this read
  • Reclaim and close above 71.18 reopens the prior high at 71.30
  • Loss of 70.45 then 70.0 psych confirms the rejection extending lower

13:16 UTC

Intraday up-leg, momentum stalling · RSI 51 · price 70.531

Session-high sweep and rejection.

NY session pushed to 70.531 after a spike to 71.18 swept the session high and was sharply rejected, leaving a long upper wick back to the 70.50s. The earlier up-leg off 69.05 is still intact above EMAs, but RSI(14) has cooled to the midline as bulls de-risk ahead of the Fed.

Support: 70.34, 70.00

Resistance: 71.18, 71.307

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim and close above 71.18 reopens prior high 71.307
  • Loss of 70.34 swing low exposes the 70.00 round number

13:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend, stalling at highs · RSI 65 · price 70.868

Rally off 69.05 low, rejection at 71.18.

Silver ripped from the 69.05 intraday low through the 70.80 weekly-high zone into NY hours, tagging 71.18 before the close pulled back to 70.868 on a rejection wick. RSI(14) near 64 — hot but not extreme — as bulls de-risk into the FOMC.

Support: 70.50, 70.23

Resistance: 71.18, 71.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 71.18 reopens the 71.30 prior high
  • Loss of 70.50 round number unwinds the breakout back into the 70.23 swing
  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales tomorrow could materially shift this read

13:03 UTC

Intraday recovery, rally rejected at highs · RSI 63 · price 70.868

Higher lows off 69.05, capped at 71.18.

NY session pushed silver from 70.34 up to 71.18 before a sharp upper-wick rejection dragged the close back to 70.87, RSI(14) cooling from hot. Bulls de-risking under the spike high ahead of the FOMC; price holding above the 70.50 base for now.

Support: 70.50, 69.92

Resistance: 71.18, 71.30

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 70.50 negates the recovery and reopens 69.92
  • Reclaim of 71.18 exposes 71.30
  • FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC can override this read

12:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 70.915

Higher highs/higher lows off intraday low.

Silver clawed back from the intraday low at 69.05 to a session high of 70.92, stacking higher lows through the European session and breaking above the 70.45 pivot into the NY open. RSI(14) near 68 — firm but not stretched; the rebound is unfolding into FOMC, where profit-taking has been capping the broader move.

Support: 70.45

Resistance: 70.92, 71.30

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above 70.92 opens the path to the 71.30 prior high
  • M15 close back below 70.45 breaks the higher-low chain
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC are binary risk into this rebound

12:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extending · RSI 69 · price 70.915

Higher highs / higher lows off mid-window base.

Silver climbed off a ~69.05 base and broke higher through the NY session, printing 70.92 ahead of the Fed as the recent USD bounce paused. RSI(14) near 69 — hot but consistent with the trend; price holding above EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 70.50, 70.00

Resistance: 70.92

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 70.50 keeps the intraday uptrend intact
  • Close back below 70.00 round number breaks the rally structure
  • Rejection at 70.92 session high would cap the move
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

12:31 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 70.58

Higher highs since 69.05, consolidating below session high.

Silver rebounded off the 69.05 low and climbed through the NY session, stalling at 70.70 with RSI cooling from the highs. Now consolidating just under that session high; profit-taking into the FOMC keeps it pinned between 70.34 and 70.70.

Support: 70.34, 70.00

Resistance: 70.70

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.70 extends the rebound toward 70.50+ structure
  • Loss of 70.34 swing low opens a retest of the 70.00 round number
  • FOMC tomorrow (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

12:31 UTC

Uptrend off intraday low, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 70.58

Higher highs/higher lows, stalling under session high.

Silver has ground higher through NY hours off the 69.05 low, reclaiming 70.50 with the session high at 70.70 capping the last push. The recovery follows the relief bounce off YTD lows; RSI(14) near 58 shows momentum cooling as traders lighten up ahead of the FOMC.

Support: 70.00, 69.05

Resistance: 70.70, 71.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.70 extends the recovery toward 71.00
  • Failure to hold 70.00 psych level breaks the higher-low chain
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:16 UTC

Recovery off intraday low, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 70.688

Higher highs and higher lows since the 69.05 base.

Silver bottomed near 69.05 mid-window and has carved a steady chain of higher lows back to 70.69 through London into the NY session, reclaiming EMA20 and EMA50. Price is pressing the 70.80 weekly high, with RSI(14) around 64 — firm but not yet stretched. Move reflects USD softening on yesterday's miss-heavy US data, but two-way risk sits ahead of Wednesday's Fed.

Support: 70.43

Resistance: 70.80, 71.00, 71.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.80 opens the 71.00 round level then 71.30
  • Loss of 70.43 base would break the higher-low chain
  • FOMC and Retail Sales Wed could materially reset this read

12:16 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 70.688

Higher lows off session low, testing range top.

Silver climbed off the 69.05 session low in a chain of higher lows and has broken back above the 70.50 pivot, now probing the 70.80 weekly high with RSI(14) near 63. The leg follows fading geopolitical haven flows; price is two-way ahead of Wednesday's Fed.

Support: 70.40, 70.05

Resistance: 70.80, 71.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.80 weekly high opens the path toward 71.00
  • Failure to hold 70.40 prior pivot risks a slide back to 70.05 swing low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

12:02 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 70.522

Higher lows, consolidating below session high.

Silver clawed back from the 69.05 session low through the London-NY session and now consolidates around the 70.50 mark, just under the 70.657 session high. RSI(14) is mid-range near 54 after the rebound, with price holding above both EMAs.

Support: 70.23, 69.85, 69.05

Resistance: 70.657, 70.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.657 opens the weekly high near 70.80
  • Loss of 70.23 swing low reopens 69.85 and the 69.05 session low
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts and can override this intraday structure

12:02 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 70.522

Rally off 69.05 low, consolidating below session high.

XAGUSD recovered from the 69.05 NY-hours low back through 70.50, stalling below the 70.66 session high with RSI(14) mid-range. Price is consolidating in the upper 70.3–70.6 zone after the relief leg, with the US-Iran de-escalation tone keeping silver two-way ahead of Wednesday's Fed.

Support: 70.23

Resistance: 70.66, 70.80

What it said to watch

  • Close below 70.23 breaks the recovery sequence of higher lows
  • Break above 70.66 session high opens the 70.80 weekly high
  • FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

11:46 UTC

Recovered off lows, now stalling · RSI 49 · price 70.415

Rally from 69.05 capped at 70.66, consolidating.

Silver rallied off the 69.05 intraday low to a session high at 70.66 then stalled, now consolidating near 70.40 below the 70.50 round number. RSI(14) neutral around 49 after the pullback; the broader sub-$70 relief bid reflects US-Iran de-escalation.

Support: 70.29, 70.04

Resistance: 70.50, 70.66

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.29 confirms a deeper pullback toward the 70.04 fib
  • Reclaim of 70.66 reopens the 70.80 weekly high area
  • FOMC and Retail Sales Wed are the dominant catalysts that could override this read

11:46 UTC

Recovery leg, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 70.415

Consolidating below session high after a rally off 69.05.

Silver recovered from the 69.05 low to a session high at 70.66 before stalling, now consolidating in a 70.40–70.66 band as traders book the relief rally ahead of the Fed. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-50s after the pullback off the high; rejection at 70.66 keeps the upper edge in focus.

Support: 70.23, 70.00

Resistance: 70.66

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.66 extends the recovery toward the 70.80 weekly high
  • Loss of 70.23 session low opens the 70.00 psych level
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the dominant catalysts that could reshape this read

11:31 UTC

Recovery fading, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 70.278

Pullback off 70.66 session high.

Silver rallied off 69.25 to a 70.66 session high during NY hours, then faded to 70.28 with a chain of lower highs and RSI(14) cooling toward 43. Price has slipped back below EMA20 as the recovery stalls under the 70.50 pivot flagged ahead of the Fed.

Support: 70.26, 70.00

Resistance: 70.50, 70.66

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.26 session low extends the pullback toward the 70.00 round number
  • Reclaim of 70.50 pivot needed to re-challenge the 70.66 session high
  • FOMC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read

11:31 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 70.278

Higher lows off 69.05, pulling back from session high.

Silver recovered through the NY session from the 69.05 area to a session high at 70.66 before being rejected and fading to 70.28, RSI(14) cooling back toward neutral. The recovery leg's higher lows are intact above 70.00, with supply capping near 70.59-70.66.

Support: 70.00

Resistance: 70.59, 70.66

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 70.00 round number would break the rising-low chain
  • A close above 70.66 session high extends the recovery leg
  • FOMC and Retail Sales Wed are the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

11:16 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 70.387

Higher lows into a pullback below session high.

Silver clawed back from the 69.05 session low through London to a 70.657 high, then stalled and is consolidating around 70.39 as the relief bounce pauses. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and price is hugging the EMA20 into the NY session; the 70.32 pullback low is the near-term floor.

Support: 70.321, 70.044, 69.052

Resistance: 70.657

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.32 opens a deeper retrace toward the 70.04 round level
  • Reclaim of 70.657 session high resumes the recovery leg
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

11:16 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 51 · price 70.387

Consolidating below session high after intraday rebound.

Silver rebounded through the NY session from the 69.05 low back to 70.66, then stalled and is now consolidating near 70.39 below that session high. The leg tracked the broader sub-$70 relief move on the US-Iran de-escalation; price is coiling ahead of Wednesday's Fed.

Support: 70.32, 70.05

Resistance: 70.66, 70.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.66 opens the path to 70.80
  • Failure to hold 70.32 reopens the 70.05 round number
  • FOMC and Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

11:02 UTC

Recovery rally stalling, consolidating · RSI 54 · price 70.508

Higher lows off 69.05, capped at 70.66.

Silver recovered from the 69.05 NY-session low back to 70.66 before stalling, and is now consolidating in a tight 70.40–70.66 band into the London-NY transition. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the rally lost steam below the session high; two-way risk dominates ahead of Wed's FOMC and Retail Sales.

Support: 70.40, 69.99

Resistance: 70.66, 71.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.66 opens the path to 71.00
  • Loss of 70.40 reopens the 69.99 round level
  • FOMC and Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

11:02 UTC

Recovery rally, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 70.508

Higher lows off session low, consolidating below session high.

London session staged a recovery off the 69.05 low back to a 70.66 session high, then stalled into a tight 70.40-70.55 consolidation. Chain of higher lows holds but RSI(14) near 56 shows momentum cooling as the market sits below the weekly high at 70.80 ahead of the week's FOMC catalyst.

Support: 70.40, 70.20

Resistance: 70.66, 70.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.66 session high opens the path to the 70.80 weekly high
  • Failure to hold 70.40 range low exposes the 70.20 swing low
  • Wed Retail Sales / FOMC could materially shift this read

10:46 UTC

Recovery, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 70.442

Consolidating below recent swing high.

Silver clawed back from the 69.05 low through the European session, peaking at 70.66 before stalling. Price is now consolidating in a tight 70.40–70.48 band just under the session high, RSI(14) neutral near 54. Two-way tone holds into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 70.40, 70.00, 69.052

Resistance: 70.58, 70.657, 71.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.58 reopens the 70.66 prior high then 71.00
  • Failure to hold 70.40 session base exposes 70.00
  • FOMC/dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst

10:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 70.442

Recovery off 69.05 low, consolidating below session high.

Silver climbed off the 69.05 morning low to a session high at 70.66, then stalled and is consolidating in a tight 70.40–70.50 band just below the 70.50 pivot flagged in the macro read. RSI(14) cooled to mid-50s as the rally paused; the 70.50 level is the near-term decision point.

Support: 70.40, 70.20

Resistance: 70.50, 70.58, 70.66

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.58 reopens the path toward the session high and 70.66
  • Failure to hold 70.40 risks a deeper pullback toward 70.20

10:31 UTC

Intraday recovery, pausing · RSI 55 · price 70.413

Higher lows off 69.05, consolidating below session high.

Silver climbed off the 69.05 low through the European morning to a 70.579 session high, then faded back into a tight 70.40–70.48 consolidation as buyers paused below the high. The recovery sits above EMA20/50 with RSI cooling to the mid-50s; metal is two-way ahead of Wednesday's Fed.

Support: 70.40, 70.16

Resistance: 70.579, 70.66

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.579 opens the path to 70.66
  • Failure to hold 70.40 exposes 70.16
  • Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

10:31 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 70.413

Swept lows, retraced into prior range, stalling sub-70.60.

Silver swept the 69.29 London low then rallied 1.3% off it into NY, tagging 70.58 before stalling and fading to 70.41. RSI(14) cooled to mid-range after the push; price now coiling just under the 70.58 session high with the geopolitical de-escalation already priced ahead of Wed's Fed.

Support: 70.405, 69.85, 69.287

Resistance: 70.579, 70.657, 71.187

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.58 reopens the 70.66/71.19 zone
  • Loss of 70.40 reopens the 69.85 swing low
  • Wed FOMC/Retail Sales risk could override this intraday read

10:16 UTC

Intraday rebound, stalling under session high · RSI 56 · price 70.47

Higher lows off 69.05, consolidating below 70.66.

Silver rebounded ~1.6% off the 69.05 rebound low through the European session and is now consolidating between 70.40 and the 70.66 session high. RSI(14) near 56 after cooling from the push higher; the move tracks softer USD post the weak Empire/IP prints, but price stays capped below the 70.80 weekly high.

Support: 70.40, 70.00, 69.05

Resistance: 70.66, 70.80

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.66 opens the path to the 70.80 weekly high
  • Failure to hold 70.40 risks a retest of the 70.00 round number
  • US Retail Sales + FOMC dot plot Wed are the dominant catalysts and can reset this read

10:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 70.47

Higher highs off 69.05, consolidating below session high.

Silver rallied from the 69.05 low through the London session to a session high at 70.657, then stalled and is consolidating around 70.47. The leg followed the broader USD-weakness/oil-driven relief bounce; momentum is fading as RSI cools while price holds higher lows.

Support: 70.405, 70.00

Resistance: 70.657, 70.80

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.657 opens the path toward the 70.80 weekly high
  • Failure to hold 70.40 risks a slide back to the 70.00 round number
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts that could reshape this read

10:02 UTC

Recovery uptrend, pausing near session high · RSI 58 · price 70.416

Higher lows off 69.05, stalling under 70.66.

Silver clawed back ~160 pips off the 69.05 low through the London session, tagging 70.66 before stalling, with RSI cooling from the run. Pullback is holding above 70.40 and the session high at 70.66 still caps the move.

Support: 70.20, 70.00, 69.05

Resistance: 70.66, 71.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.66 opens the path to 71.00
  • Failure to hold 70.20 reopens the 70.00 psych level
  • FOMC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst for this read

10:02 UTC

Recovery uptrend, pullback underway · RSI 57 · price 70.416

Higher highs off the session low, stalling under session high.

Silver clawed back from a 69.05 session low to print 70.66 into London hours, riding the broad USD slip and US-Iran de-escalation relief. Last four bars are a mild pullback from the session high toward 70.40, holding above the round 70.00 and EMA20; RSI(14) near 57, no extreme.

Support: 70.27, 70.00

Resistance: 70.66

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 70.27 swing pivot opens the path back to round number 70.00
  • Reclaim of the 70.66 session high resumes the higher-high sequence
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

09:46 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 57 · price 70.45

Higher lows off 69.25, capped under session high.

Silver carved a higher low at 69.25 and rallied through 70 during the Asia-London transition, reclaiming the geopolitical de-escalation gains, before stalling just under the 70.58 session high. Last three bars are flat at 70.45-70.60, RSI(14) cooling from the rally as price consolidates.

Support: 70.27, 69.25

Resistance: 70.58, 71.19

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.58 session high exposes the 71.19 prior high
  • Failure to hold 70.27 reopens the 69.25 swing low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst into this week

09:46 UTC

Uptrend, pullback underway · RSI 59 · price 70.45

Higher highs off intraday low, near session high.

Silver carved a chain of higher lows off the 69.05 intraday low and rallied through 70 into the NY session, tagging a session high at 70.66 on the US-Iran de-escalation/softer-USD theme. Price is now pulling back to 70.45 with RSI cooling from the 60s; the 70.20 breakout area is the first test of the move.

Support: 70.20, 69.80, 69.05

Resistance: 70.66, 71.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 70.20 breakout area opens 69.80 swing pivot
  • M15 close above 70.66 session high exposes the 71.00 round number
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

09:31 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 61 · price 70.452

Higher highs and higher lows since the 69.05 low.

Silver rallied off the 69.05 London-session low through the morning, clearing $70.50 and printing a session high at 70.66 on the back of the US-Iran de-escalation and softer USD. Price is now pulling back to 70.45 with RSI(14) cooling from elevated levels; 70.50 psych pivot and the rising HL chain remain intact.

Support: 70.21

Resistance: 70.50, 70.66

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 70.21 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Reclaim of 70.66 session high reopens the upside
  • US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC could inject volatility into the metal

09:31 UTC

Uptrend, recovery leg · RSI 61 · price 70.452

Higher highs/higher lows off session low.

NY-session rally reclaimed $70 and pushed to a 70.66 session high before pulling back to 70.45, with RSI(14) cooling from the highs — the leg tracks the US-Iran de-escalation and softer USD. The $70.50 psych pivot is the immediate decision point, capping the latest bar.

Support: 70.20

Resistance: 70.50, 70.657

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.657 session high extends the rally
  • Failure to hold 70.20 swing low risks a slip back toward $70
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

09:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 65 · price 70.584

Higher lows off session base, pushing session high.

Silver based around 69.05–69.30 through the Asia-London window then rallied steadily through London hours back above $70, tagging a session high at 70.66 as the broad USD-weakness/Iran-deal bid persists. RSI(14) near 64 — firm but not extended; the recovery is intact while higher lows hold above 70.34.

Support: 70.34, 70.00

Resistance: 70.66, 71.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 70.34 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 70.00
  • Close above 70.66 exposes the 71.00 round number
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales tomorrow could materially shift this read

09:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, recovery rally · RSI 66 · price 70.584

Higher lows off Asian session low, reclaiming 70.

Silver bottomed at 69.05 in the Asian session and ground higher through London, reclaiming 70 on the back of softer USD and the US-Iran de-escalation bid. Last leg pushed to a session high at 70.66 with RSI(14) near 66 — momentum constructive but extended into resistance.

Support: 70.34, 69.80, 69.052

Resistance: 70.657, 71.20

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 70.66 session high exposes 71.20
  • Loss of 70.34 pivot threatens the higher-low chain back toward 69.80
  • US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC could shift this read ahead of Wed FOMC

09:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 71 · price 70.592

Higher highs and higher lows off 69.05 base.

NY session rally reclaimed $70 and pushed to a session high of 70.59 off the 69.05 low, with USD slipping into the Fed meeting. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but not extreme — and price holds well above EMA20/50; the breakout level at 70.20 is the immediate floor.

Support: 70.20, 69.86

Resistance: 70.84, 71.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.84 prior high opens path toward 71.00 round number
  • Loss of 70.20 breakout level reopens 69.86 swing low
  • FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

09:03 UTC

Uptrend, recovering off lows · RSI 70 · price 70.592

Higher highs and higher lows since the 69.05 base.

Silver based at 69.05 in the Asian session and has rallied through the European morning, reclaiming 70.00 and the breakout area at 70.20 on a clean chain of higher lows, in line with the broader US-Iran de-escalation bid. Price now presses 70.80 prior-high resistance with RSI(14) near 70 — short-term hot but normal in this push.

Support: 70.20, 70.00

Resistance: 70.80, 71.00, 71.30

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.80 exposes 71.00 psych and the 71.30 session high
  • Failure to hold 70.20 breakout area risks a slip back toward 70.00 round
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read

08:46 UTC

Recovering uptrend off lows · RSI 68 · price 70.396

Higher lows since 69.05, reclaiming 70.

Silver carved a base at 69.05 mid-session and rallied steadily through London hours, reclaiming $70 and pressing the 70.40 session high, RSI(14) firm near 67. The advance retraces ~0.618 of the prior 71.30-69.05 drop, with 70.50 the next overhead zone to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 70.00, 69.65

Resistance: 70.50, 71.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.50 exposes the 71.30 swing high
  • Failure to hold 70.00 reopens 69.65 swing low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next legs

08:31 UTC

Uptrend, recovering off lows · RSI 67 · price 70.39

Higher lows, pressing range top.

London session has silver grinding higher off the 69.05 low, reclaiming 70.00 on a soft USD/Iran-deal relief tone and now retesting the 70.50 psych level. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; a chain of higher lows is intact from 69.25.

Support: 70.00, 69.25

Resistance: 70.50, 70.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.50 opens the path to the 70.84 prior high
  • Failure to hold 70.00 risks a slip back toward the 69.25 double bottom
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read

08:31 UTC

Recovery off the lows, short-term uptrend · RSI 67 · price 70.39

Higher lows since the Asian-session base, reclaiming 70.00.

Silver based near 69.05 during the Asian session and ground higher through London, reclaiming 70.00 and printing 70.39 with RSI(14) around 67. The recovery rides the softer USD and US-Iran de-escalation tone; 70.50 is the immediate area to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 70.00, 69.69

Resistance: 70.50, 71.19

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.50 opens the path toward 71.19
  • Loss of 70.00 reopens the 69.69 swing low
  • FOMC and US Retail Sales tomorrow could materially shift this read

08:16 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 70.285

Higher lows since 69.05 base, reclaimed $70.

XAGUSD recovered off the 69.05 session low, reclaiming the $70 psych level with the last six bars printing higher lows on the US-Iran de-escalation and soft-USD bid. RSI(14) lifting through the mid-60s; the 70.32 session high is the immediate cap.

Support: 70.00, 69.79, 69.25

Resistance: 70.32, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.50 extends the recovery toward higher resistance
  • Failure to hold 70.00 reopens the 69.79/69.25 swing lows
  • FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

08:16 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 65 · price 70.285

Higher lows off 69.05 base, reclaiming 70.00.

Silver carved a double bottom around 69.05/69.25 and rallied back through 70.00 into the NY session, riding the US-Iran deal relief and softer USD. RSI(14) mid-60s, supporting the recovery; price has reclaimed the round number and is pressing the 70.32 session high.

Support: 70.00, 69.25

Resistance: 70.32, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.50 psych opens the path toward $74-75 zone
  • Failure to hold 70.00 round risks a slip back to 69.25 swing low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:03 UTC

Recovery off session low, reclaiming $70 · RSI 60 · price 70.032

Higher lows since the 69.05 base, stalling at session high.

Session downtrend from 71.30 bottomed at 69.05 during Asia hours; the London recovery built higher lows and reclaimed the $70 psych level on broad USD softness. Current bar stalling just under the 70.13 session high, RSI(14) cooling near 60.

Support: 69.80, 69.05

Resistance: 70.13, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.13 opens the path to 70.50
  • Failure to hold 69.80 swing reopens the 69.05 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:02 UTC

Recovery, higher lows off base · RSI 57 · price 70.032

Rebound from 69.05 low, reclaiming 70.00.

Silver bottomed at 69.05 and has recovered to reclaim the 70.00 handle, riding the broad USD slip off the US-Iran de-escalation. Micro structure shows a chain of higher lows off that base; 70.13 is capping the bounce with 70.50 the next watched level above.

Support: 69.74, 69.05

Resistance: 70.13, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.13 opens the path toward 70.50
  • Failure to hold 69.74 risks a slip back toward the 69.05 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could shift this read

07:46 UTC

Downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 53 · price 69.805

Recovery off session low, micro higher lows.

Silver sold off through London hours from 71.30 to a session low at 69.05 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to a rejection at the 70.00 round number. Now consolidating near 69.80 having carved a chain of higher lows off the low; the broad post-deal rally remains capped under 70.00 short term.

Support: 69.45, 69.05

Resistance: 70.00, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 70.00 would extend the recovery toward 70.50
  • Loss of 69.45 reopens the session low at 69.05
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

07:46 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off session low · RSI 53 · price 69.805

Higher lows since 69.05, capped under 70.00.

Silver sold from ~71.30 to a session low at 69.05 through the US session amid the post US-Iran USD swings, then carved higher lows and reclaimed 69.80. RSI(14) is mid-range near 53 and price sits back above EMA20 but stalls under the 70.00 round number.

Support: 69.45, 69.05

Resistance: 70.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.00 reopens the 70.50 area
  • loss of 69.45 higher-low risks a retest of the 69.05 session low
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

07:31 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 54 · price 69.864

Lower highs from 71.30, recovery off 69.05.

Silver faded from the 71.30 peak through the session, printing a 69.05 low before buyers stepped in twice near 69.25 and reclaimed 69.86. RSI(14) back to mid-range from oversold; price is back above EMA20 but capped under the 200-pip-wide structure and the 70.00 psych level.

Support: 69.25, 69.05

Resistance: 70.00, 70.20

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 70.00 would invalidate the lower-high sequence and open 70.20
  • Loss of 69.25 swing low reopens the 69.05 session low
  • FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) and Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) are the next material catalysts

07:31 UTC

Intraday downtrend, recovery bounce in play · RSI 55 · price 69.864

Slide from 71.30 bottomed at 69.05, now grinding higher lows.

Silver rolled over from the 71.30 peak and slid through $70 to a session low at 69.05, then carved a higher low at 69.29 and recovered to ~69.86. Price is now stalling just under the 69.94 swing high and the $70 psych level after the post US-Iran deal rally; RSI(14) mid-range near 55.

Support: 69.29, 69.05

Resistance: 69.94, 70.00, 70.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.00 reopens the path toward 70.20
  • Failure to hold 69.29 reopens the 69.05 session low
  • FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

07:16 UTC

Recovery off session low · RSI 60 · price 69.882

Higher lows after sweep of lows, reclaiming 69.90.

Silver bled from 71.30 through the US session into Asia, then wicked to 69.05 before buyers stepped in; the sharp dip to 69.29 was rejected and price has reclaimed 69.90 into the London open on a softer USD post US-Iran deal. RSI(14) near 60, momentum constructive but capped at the 69.94 session high.

Support: 69.45, 69.29, 69.05

Resistance: 69.94, 70.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 69.94 opens the path to the 70.00 psych level
  • Failure to hold 69.45 risks a retest of the 69.29 swing low
  • US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC could inject intraday volatility

07:16 UTC

Session downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 61 · price 69.882

Lower lows into early London, now bouncing with higher lows.

Silver bled from the 71.0 region overnight to a 69.05 session low, then a sharp dip to 69.29 at the London open was bought straight back. Price now sits at 69.88 with RSI(14) back near 60 and the recent high at 69.94 the immediate cap; the bounce has carved higher lows off the 69.05/69.25 base.

Support: 69.45, 69.254, 69.052

Resistance: 69.941, 70.20, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 69.94 exposes 70.20 and the 70.50 psych level flagged in context
  • Failure to hold the 69.45 higher low reopens 69.25 then 69.05
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read

07:03 UTC

Downtrend, bounce in progress · RSI 49 · price 69.70

Lower highs and lows off 71.30, recovering off 69.05.

Silver trended lower through the window from 71.30 to a 69.05 session low, with a sharp rejection from 69.95 mid-window dragging price down as the USD firmed into FOMC week. The London session has bounced back to 69.70, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI(14) back to neutral near 49.

Support: 69.45, 69.05

Resistance: 69.95, 70.20

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and M15 close above 69.95 negates the rejection read and exposes 70.20
  • Loss of 69.45 reopens the 69.05 session low
  • US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC could inject intraday volatility

07:02 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 48 · price 69.70

Lower highs, lower lows; recovery off 69.05.

Silver slid through London hours from the 71.30 peak down to 69.05 as the post-Iran-deal squeeze faded, then bounced; price now hovers at 69.70, reclaiming EMA20 but capped under 69.95. RSI(14) near 47, neutral after the wash-out, with the 200-DMA/$70 zone still acting as overhead supply.

Support: 69.25, 69.05

Resistance: 69.95, 70.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 69.95 / 70.00 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.25 confirms a fresh lower low toward 69.05
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

06:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum cooling · RSI 43 · price 69.474

Lower highs, lower lows since the 71.30 top.

Persistent M15 downtrend off the 71.30 top; price broke the 69.95 shelf into early London and printed 69.05 before a shallow bounce stalling near 69.57, now back at 69.47. RSI mid-40s, no oversold extreme — silver unwinding the geopolitical-driven rally with Wed FOMC the dominant overhead risk.

Support: 69.287, 69.052

Resistance: 69.95

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 69.95 broken shelf would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.287 recent low reopens the 69.05 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:46 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs intact · RSI 41 · price 69.474

Lower highs / lower lows since the 71.30 rejection.

Silver has bled lower through the Asian session after rejecting 71.30, printing a chain of lower highs back to the 200-DMA region; a sharp flush at 05:30 UTC broke 69.79 down to 69.25. Price now hovers at 69.47 between the 69.05 session low and the 69.58 lower high, the broad-USD-driven rally from Monday's US-Iran de-escalation cooling. FOMC Wednesday remains the dominant catalyst.

Support: 69.287, 69.052

Resistance: 69.575

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 69.58 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.287 swing low exposes the 69.05 session low
  • Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

06:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 69.465

Lower highs and lower lows off 71.30.

Silver faded all session from the 71.30 high, stacking lower highs and slipping under both EMAs. A sharp drop to 69.05 was followed by a higher low near 69.25 and a shallow bounce, leaving price at 69.465 mid-range between 69.25 support and the 69.89 swing high. Pullback retraces the de-escalation rally flagged in the digest into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 69.25, 69.052

Resistance: 69.89, 70.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 69.05 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 70.00 round number negates the downside leg
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:31 UTC

Downtrend, bounce capped · RSI 43 · price 69.465

Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating sub-70.

Silver rolled over from the 71.30 high and is grinding lower under $70, pressured into FOMC week. A sharp flush to 69.05 was bought back to 69.89 but the bounce was rejected, leaving price at 69.465 inside a 69.05–69.89 band.

Support: 69.26, 69.05

Resistance: 69.66, 69.89

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 69.66 swing high needed to ease downside pressure toward 69.89 session high
  • Failure to hold 69.26 recent low exposes the 69.05 swing low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

06:16 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 47 · price 69.485

Stepping lower off the 71.30 peak; bounces capped.

M15 is in a downtrend: silver peaked near 71.30 and has stepped lower through the session, the geopolitical relief rally fading. A sharp drop into the Asia session swept to 69.05; the recovery stalled at 69.89 and price rolled over again toward 69.25. RSI(14) near 47, not yet oversold.

Support: 69.254, 69.052

Resistance: 69.889

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.05 confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
  • Reclaim of 69.89 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read

06:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 41 · price 69.485

Lower highs, lower lows since ~71.30 peak.

XAG rolled over from the ~71.30 peak and London hours pushed a fresh leg lower, sweeping below 69.40 to 69.26 before a shallow bounce to 69.49. Price sits under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40, and the swing-high band at 69.90 still caps as silver fades off the geopolitical relief rally.

Support: 69.26, 69.05

Resistance: 69.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 69.90 invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.05 confirms continuation lower
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC + US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC are the dominant catalysts ahead

06:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum bearish · RSI 36 · price 69.282

Lower highs, pressing session low.

XAG faded through the NY session off the 71.3 peak, carving lower highs; a sharp sell-off in the final bars dropped it from 69.95 to 69.28, RSI(14) cooling toward 36. Price now sits just above the 69.05 session low after rejection at 69.95.

Support: 69.052, 69.00, 69.16

Resistance: 69.56, 69.95

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.05 confirms a lower low and exposes the 69.00 round level
  • Reclaim of 69.56 needed to ease the bearish micro-structure
  • FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

06:02 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating into Asia · RSI 36 · price 69.282

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session lows.

XAGUSD rolled over from the 71.30 peak and printed a chain of lower highs and lower lows, breaking the 69.66 swing into Asia where price now sits at 69.28 — back below $70 after the geopolitical-relief rally faded. RSI(14) near 36 with price well under EMA20/50; sellers are still in control short-term.

Support: 69.052

Resistance: 69.66

What it said to watch

  • Break below 69.05 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 200-DMA zone
  • Reclaim of 69.66 would challenge the M15 downtrend
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially reset this read

05:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending lower · RSI 34 · price 69.331

Lower highs, range broken downside.

Silver broke below the 69.66–69.90 consolidation that held through the Asian session, sliding to 69.29 as a softer USD backdrop gives way to pre-FOMC caution. RSI(14) near 34 and ATR around 197 pips; the 69.05 swing low is the next downside reference.

Support: 69.287, 69.052

Resistance: 69.66, 69.90

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 69.66 invalidates the downside range break
  • Loss of 69.05 swing low confirms continuation lower
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst and could shift this read

05:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 36 · price 69.331

Lower highs, lower lows.

XAG sold off through the Asian session, breaking the 69.70 base with the last bar puncturing to 69.29 before settling at 69.33 — a fresh session low extending the chain of lower highs from the 71.31 peak. RSI(14) near 36 reflects the down-leg but is not yet stretched; the broad slide tracks USD steadying ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 69.05, 69.00

Resistance: 69.95, 70.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 69.05 swing low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 70.00 psych level would neutralise the M15 downtrend
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC + Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

05:31 UTC

Downtrend, bounce stalling · RSI 49 · price 69.764

Lower highs, lower lows; basing off 69.05.

M15 slid from 71.31 to a 69.05 low through the prior session on the broad risk-on / USD slip read, then bounced and stalled near the 38.2% fib at 69.89. RSI(14) lifting off the lows shows mild bullish divergence; price is now hugging EMA20 below the 70.00 handle.

Support: 69.05

Resistance: 69.89, 70.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 69.89 (fib 38.2) exposes the 70.00 round number
  • Loss of 69.05 session low confirms lower-low continuation
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read

05:31 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 47 · price 69.764

Lower highs, consolidating sub-70.

Silver leaked lower through the US session, sweeping to 69.05 before buyers stepped in and lifted it back toward 69.95. Price is now consolidating in the 69.66-69.95 band during Asia hours, holding under 70 on thin volume ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 69.40, 69.05

Resistance: 69.95, 70.20

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of session high 69.95 reopens 70.20
  • Loss of 69.40 puts session low 69.05 back in play
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could override this intraday read

05:16 UTC

Downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 54 · price 69.88

Lower lows into 69.05, recovering.

Silver pulled back from the 71.27 swing high, sliding to a session low of 69.05 through the slow overnight hours before buyers stepped in for a sharp recovery to 69.91. Price is now consolidating 69.70–69.91 with RSI(14) recovering toward mid-range; the broader US-Iran relief move and softer USD set the backdrop.

Support: 69.70, 69.05

Resistance: 69.91, 70.20

What it said to watch

  • Close above 69.91 opens the path to 70.20
  • Loss of 69.70 reopens the 69.05 session low
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next sessions

05:16 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 51 · price 69.88

Sold from 71.30 to 69.05, recovering.

Silver bled from the 71.30 mid-window high to a 69.05 session low through the European hours as the USD found a footing, then recovered to ~69.88, now stalling under the 70.00 round level. Price sits around the 38% retracement of that down leg; intraday structure is a basing bounce, not yet a trend reversal.

Support: 69.70, 69.05

Resistance: 70.00, 70.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.00 opens the path back to 70.20
  • Loss of 69.70 reopens the 69.05 session low
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

05:03 UTC

Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 44 · price 69.701

Lower highs into session low, corrective bounce stalling.

Silver bled off the 71.3 highs through the session to a 69.05 low, then bounced to 69.89 before fading back to 69.70 as the Iran-relief rally lost steam. RSI(14) near 44; price sits below EMA20/50 with the bounce high capping for now.

Support: 69.05

Resistance: 69.89, 70.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 69.89 negates the fade and reopens 70.13
  • Loss of 69.05 session low confirms a lower-low extension
  • FOMC dot plot Wed is the dominant catalyst but sits well beyond this window

05:03 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 43 · price 69.701

Lower highs off 71.30, holding above 69.05.

Silver bled lower through NY hours from the 71.30 peak to 69.05, then bounced as the post-Iran-deal short-covering steadied; price is now consolidating 69.70–69.89, capped under the 0.382 fib at ~69.89. RSI(14) mid-40s after basing — no momentum extreme.

Support: 69.05

Resistance: 69.89, 70.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.05 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
  • Reclaim of 69.89 needed to challenge the 70.20 prior low
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next leg

04:46 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 69.742

Lower lows into 69.05, bounce stalling.

Silver faded from the 71.2 session peak down to a 69.05 range low, then recovered into 69.89 where the bounce was rejected. Price now consolidates in a tight 69.70–69.89 band through thin Asia hours, RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s after the sell-off.

Support: 69.70, 69.40, 69.05

Resistance: 69.89

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.70 session low reopens the 69.40 swing low
  • Reclaim of 69.89 bounce high needed to extend the recovery
  • Thin Asia liquidity; FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst this week

04:46 UTC

Downtrend, bounce stalling · RSI 47 · price 69.742

Consolidating above session low after leg down.

Silver slid from the 71.30 peak to a 69.05 session low through Asian hours as the post-Iran-framework rally cooled, then bounced to 69.89 — the 38.2% retrace of that leg — before stalling. Price is now ranging 69.70–69.89 ahead of London, RSI(14) recovered to the mid-40s.

Support: 69.31, 69.05

Resistance: 69.89

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 69.89 invalidates the consolidation read
  • Loss of 69.31 reopens the 69.05 session low
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC dot plot Wed could materially shift this read

04:31 UTC

Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 43 · price 69.713

Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating above session low.

Silver rolled over from 71.30 through the NY-Asia handoff to a session low of 69.05, retracing part of this week's relief bounce as the broader USD-slide unwind cooled. The recovery to 69.89 was rejected and price is drifting at 69.71 in early Asia trade, lower highs still intact.

Support: 69.052

Resistance: 69.888

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 69.89 bounce high breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 69.05 session low confirms continuation lower
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

04:31 UTC

Downtrend, bounce stalling · RSI 45 · price 69.713

Lower highs into 69.05 low, corrective bounce fading.

Silver bled from the 71.30 area through the session, bottoming at 69.05 before a corrective bounce to 69.888 stalled; price now drifts at 69.71 as the war-premium unwind and softer USD cap two-way interest. Bounce is holding above EMA20 but rejecting under the 69.89 swing high.

Support: 69.31, 69.052

Resistance: 69.888, 70.20

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 69.888 swing high would extend the bounce toward the 70.20 prior high
  • Loss of 69.31 swing low reopens the 69.05 session low
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this read

04:16 UTC

Downtrend, near-term bounce · RSI 49 · price 69.806

Lower highs from 71.30 into 69.05 low, short-term higher lows forming.

Silver bled lower through the session from the 71.30 area to a 69.05 low as the US-Iran framework and softer USD unwound the war premium, then recovered to a 69.888 bounce high. Price is now consolidating around 69.80, holding above a rising intraday support line but capped below the broader down-leg.

Support: 69.41, 69.052

Resistance: 69.888, 70.136

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 69.41 reopens the 69.05 session low
  • Reclaim of 69.888 needed to challenge 70.13
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

04:16 UTC

Downtrend, bounce in progress · RSI 48 · price 69.806

Lower highs into 69.05 low, corrective bounce.

Silver bled lower through the session from ~71.3 to a 69.05 session low as a softer USD/US-Iran relief unwind capped the metal, then bounced to a 69.89 bounce high in late hours before stalling at 69.81. RSI(14) has lifted back to neutral off the lows; the bounce is corrective within the broader M15 downtrend.

Support: 69.052

Resistance: 69.888

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 69.888 bounce high needed to extend the recovery
  • Close below 69.052 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this read

04:03 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off the low · RSI 52 · price 69.854

Lower highs into 69.05 session low, recovering.

Silver sold off through the session from 71.3 to a 69.05 session low, then bounced to a 69.89 high on the broader US-Iran-driven USD softness. Price is now consolidating just under that bounce high, sitting on the 38.2% retracement of the down leg.

Support: 69.41, 69.05

Resistance: 69.89, 70.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 69.89 extends the bounce toward 70.13
  • Failure to hold 69.41 reopens the 69.05 session low
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read

04:02 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 69.854

Lower highs into 69.05 base, bouncing.

Silver slid from 71.30 through the late session to a 69.05 base, then recovered to 69.89 into Asia hours as the USD stayed soft on the US-Iran framework. Price now hovers at 69.85, just under the bounce high with RSI back near neutral.

Support: 69.40, 69.05, 69.00

Resistance: 69.89, 70.13

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 69.89 bounce high opens the path to the 70.13 prior range
  • Loss of 69.40 pivot reopens the 69.05 swing low
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this read

03:46 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 58 · price 69.871

Lower highs/lows, recovery in progress.

Silver bled to a session low of 69.05 before buyers stepped in, recovering to 69.87 and retracing ~38% of the 71.31→69.05 down leg as a softer USD underpinned the metal. RSI(14) has lifted back near 58 off the lows; 70.06 is the next overhead area to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 69.65, 69.05

Resistance: 70.06

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.06 would break the chain of lower highs
  • Loss of 69.65 reopens the 69.05 session low
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read

03:46 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 69.871

Lower highs into session low, bouncing.

Silver sold off from ~71.30 to a session low at 69.05 through the US session as the USD found late support, then recovered ~80 pips into the Asia session with RSI lifting back to neutral. Bounce is constructive but still capped under the 70.06 prior pivot, leaving the broader down structure intact.

Support: 69.052

Resistance: 70.06, 70.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.20 invalidates the downtrend read
  • Failure to hold 69.05 session low reopens the slide
  • Recovery stalling below 70.06 keeps the down structure intact

03:31 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 69.672

Lower highs, lower lows; recovery off 69.05.

Silver bled lower through the Asia session, sweeping a low of 69.05 before a modest recovery to 69.67; the broader US-Iran relief bounce stalled and gave back ground. Price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with a clean lower-high chain, RSI(14) mid-40s after lifting off the lows.

Support: 69.05

Resistance: 69.96

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 69.96 needed to break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 69.05 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens downside
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read

03:31 UTC

Downtrend, bounce in progress · RSI 44 · price 69.672

Lower highs into 69.05 low, retracing.

Silver sold from 71.3 down to 69.05 through the US session as risk-on energy unwind and softer USD faded the geopolitical-relief bounce. Price is now retracing into 69.67, roughly a 70% pullback of the last down leg, still capped below EMA20/EMA50.

Support: 69.05

Resistance: 69.94

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 69.94 prior base would neutralise the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 69.05 session low confirms continuation lower
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this market

03:16 UTC

Downtrend, modest bounce · RSI 41 · price 69.512

Lower highs, lower lows.

Asian-session slide extended the downtrend, sweeping to 69.05 before a shallow bounce capped at 69.66; price sits at 69.51, below EMA20 and EMA50. This is part of silver's broader giveback after the geopolitical-relief spike, with the market drifting ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 69.052

Resistance: 69.66

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 69.66 bounce high would stall the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 69.05 session low confirms continuation lower
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst this week

03:16 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 42 · price 69.512

Lower highs and lower lows, sweep of session low then recovery.

Asia session extended the slide, sweeping the 69.05 session low before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 69.51, RSI(14) recovering from oversold. The chain of lower highs into 69.66 still caps; broader tone is the war-premium unwind in silver after the US-Iran framework. FOMC dot plot Wed is the dominant overhead risk.

Support: 69.05

Resistance: 69.66, 69.94

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 69.94 prior high would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 69.05 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read

03:02 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 35 · price 69.52

Lower highs and lower lows, recovery in progress.

Asia session extending the slide off the 71.31 peak; price swept the 69.05 low then bounced to 69.52 with RSI(14) recovering from sub-35. Move ties to the broad risk-on USD pullback, but the descending highs cap rallies and FOMC Wednesday looms.

Support: 69.05

Resistance: 69.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 69.96 would break the descending highs
  • Loss of 69.05 session low reopens downside
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for this read

03:02 UTC

Downtrend, oversold bounce · RSI 42 · price 69.52

Lower highs into 69.05 low, minor bounce.

Silver bled lower through the late NY-into-Asia hours, printing a fresh session low at 69.05 before a thin early-Asia bounce back to 69.52. Price sits below EMA20/50 with the chain of lower highs intact; ATR near 268 pips keeps swings wide.

Support: 69.05, 69.00

Resistance: 69.59

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 69.59 invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 69.05 reopens the 69.00 psych area
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:46 UTC

Downtrend, mild bounce · RSI 37 · price 69.34

Lower highs, lower lows.

Steady M15 selloff from the 71.30 area into 69.05 through the late session, with silver giving back its earlier rebound as USD steadied ahead of FOMC. Price bounced off 69.05 to 69.34 but remains below EMA20/50; RSI(14) near 37, not yet stretched.

Support: 69.05

Resistance: 69.48

What it said to watch

  • Close below 69.05 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
  • Reclaim of 69.48 needed to stall the downtrend read
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:46 UTC

Downtrend, near session low · RSI 35 · price 69.34

Lower highs, lower lows.

Silver sold off steadily through the Asia session, sliding from the 71.3 high to a 69.05 low as the war-premium unwind extended; RSI(14) near 35, off oversold. A small bounce off 69.05 has stalled near 69.34, with the recent 69.48 high capping the recovery.

Support: 69.05, 69.31

Resistance: 69.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.05 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Close back above 69.48 eases the downside pressure
  • FOMC dot plot Wed could materially shift this read

02:31 UTC

Downtrend, sliding into Asia hours · RSI 36 · price 69.324

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

Silver bled lower through the late NY-Asia transition, printing a fresh session low at 69.052 before a shallow bounce to 69.32, with price holding under EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 36 — soft but not yet oversold — as the post-Hormuz relief rally hands back ground ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 69.052, 69.00

Resistance: 69.598

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 69.598 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 69.052 opens the path toward the 69.000 round number
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:31 UTC

Downtrend, modest bounce · RSI 37 · price 69.324

Lower highs / lower lows into Asia session low.

Silver leaked steadily lower through the NY close and into Asia, breaking 69.50 and printing a session low at 69.052 as the post-deal relief bounce faded ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. A small recovery to 69.324 is underway, but the lower-high/lower-low chain remains intact and RSI is cooling near 37.

Support: 69.052, 68.80

Resistance: 69.566

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 69.566 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.052 confirms another lower-low toward 68.80
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:16 UTC

Downtrend, freshly extended · RSI 31 · price 69.193

Lower highs, lower lows into a new session low.

Silver sold off through the Asian session, breaking 69.84 and printing a fresh low at 69.05 before a marginal bounce to 69.19. Price is now pinned on the 9-day EMA at 69.16 with RSI(14) near 31; the haven-unwind tone keeps pressure on into the FOMC week.

Support: 69.16, 69.05

Resistance: 69.62

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.05 confirms continuation of lower lows
  • Reclaim of 69.62 would ease the downside pressure
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed are the dominant catalysts for the next sessions

02:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 31 · price 69.193

Lower highs, lower lows.

Silver slid through $70 into late hours, printing a fresh session low at 69.05 as the US-Iran peace deal and Hormuz reopening kept unwinding haven demand. RSI(14) near 30 and price well below EMA20/50 — sellers in control with no base yet built. Bounce stalled at 69.84 on the way down.

Support: 69.052, 69.00

Resistance: 69.84, 70.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 70.00 would neutralise the downtrend read
  • Failure to hold 69.05 opens the 69.00 round number
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 19 · price 69.323

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Asia-session drift lower; silver rolled over from the 71.30 peak and is printing fresh session lows near 69.26 with RSI(14) at ~19, deeply oversold. The haven unwind on the US-Iran deal capped the earlier rally, and the 9-day EMA support around 69.16 is now the line into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 69.264, 69.16

Resistance: 69.94

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.26 confirms lower-low continuation toward 69.16
  • Reclaim of 69.94 swing high needed to ease the downside pressure
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:02 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 69.323

Lower highs, lower lows.

Silver rolled over through the session from the 71.30 peak, printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows into a fresh session low at 69.26 as the US-Iran relief rally unwound. RSI(14) near 32 — soft but not yet oversold — and price holds below both EMAs with the 70.00 psych level now overhead.

Support: 69.264, 69.00

Resistance: 69.84, 70.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 69.84 swing high needed to stall the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 69.26 session low opens the 69.00 psych level
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 31 · price 69.369

Lower highs, lower lows into Asia.

Silver slid steadily through the late US session into Asia, breaking to fresh lows at 69.31 with price trading well below EMA20/50. RSI(14) in the low-30s reflects sustained selling, with the relief bounce above $70 fully reversed.

Support: 69.31, 69.00

Resistance: 69.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 69.84 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.31 opens the path toward 69.00

01:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 69.369

Lower highs, lower lows into Asia session.

Silver rolled over through the Asia session, printing a chain of lower highs and lower lows to a fresh session low at 69.31 after the post-peace-deal relief bounce stalled near 71.3. RSI(14) is cooling toward oversold around 31 as price slips below the 9-day EMA cluster near 69.16.

Support: 69.31, 69.16

Resistance: 69.84

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 69.84 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 69.16 (9d ema) opens deeper downside
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:31 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs/lows · RSI 36 · price 69.579

Stair-step decline off 71.31 peak.

Silver leaked lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 69.41 before stabilising near 69.58 — a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows off the 71.31 peak as the Iran-peace haven unwind fades. RSI(14) sits low near 36 but not yet at an extreme, with 70.00 now acting as overhead resistance.

Support: 69.41, 69.16

Resistance: 70.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 70.00 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 69.41 confirms continuation toward 69.16
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the swing factor into the next sessions

01:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 69.579

Lower highs, lower lows.

Silver bled through 69.94 and the 70.00 handle into the Asian session, printing a fresh swing low at 69.41 before bouncing to 69.58. Downtrend intact with momentum still soft, RSI(14) mid-30s; the V-shaped recovery off last week's lows has stalled ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 69.41

Resistance: 69.94

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 69.94 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.41 confirms continuation lower
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:16 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs into Asia · RSI 37 · price 69.617

Lower highs / lower lows off 71.30.

Silver has bled lower through the Asia session, carving lower highs from the 71.30 peak after the relief rally stalled. The last bar swept the 69.41 session low before recovering to close 69.617; RSI(14) near 37, not yet stretched. Sub-70 again as the US-Iran haven unwind meets the hawkish-Fed wall into Wednesday.

Support: 69.41, 69.16

Resistance: 69.94

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 69.94 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.41 opens the path toward 69.16 ema support
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:16 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs and lows · RSI 37 · price 69.617

Stair-step decline from 71.30, below 70.00.

Asia session grinding lower; XAG has stair-stepped down from 71.30 and broke the 70.00 round number, with the latest bar sweeping 69.41 before recovering to 69.617. RSI(14) near 36, not yet at an extreme, as the post-Hormuz relief bid unwinds ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 69.41

Resistance: 70.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 70.00 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 69.41 confirms the next lower-low
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:03 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 43 · price 69.94

Lower highs from 71.30 peak, low swept at 69.65.

Silver bled lower through the Asia session off the 71.30 peak, printing a chain of lower highs and sweeping the 69.65 session low before a modest bounce to 69.94. RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the broader move reflects fading haven demand on the US-Iran peace deal, with price pinned below the 70.00 psych line.

Support: 69.65

Resistance: 70.00, 70.19

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 70.19 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.65 confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:03 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 69.94

Lower highs into 69.65 base, early recovery.

Silver slid through the Asia session from the 71.30 peak, printing a 69.65 swing low before a shallow recovery to 69.94 on thin volume. The move extends a haven/oil unwind after the US-Iran deal; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering off the low.

Support: 69.65, 69.50

Resistance: 70.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.13 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.65 opens path toward 69.50
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk into this read

00:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 40 · price 69.732

Lower highs and lower lows through Asia.

Asia session grinding lower, silver lost the 70.00 round and printed a fresh low at 69.653 as the post-deal haven unwind stalls into a hawkish-Fed wall. RSI(14) near 40, not yet stretched; price pinned at the lows after a 30-tick final bar.

Support: 69.653

Resistance: 70.065

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 70.065 neutralises the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 69.653 confirms continuation of lower lows
  • Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC dots (Wed 18:00 UTC) can reset this read

00:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 35 · price 69.732

Lower highs, lower lows since 71.30.

Silver has bled steadily off the 71.30 swing high through the Asian hours, printing fresh session lows at 69.65 as the post-peace-deal relief rally fades. Price sits sub-70.00 with RSI(14) at 35, holding the descending structure intact; the round 70.00 now caps as overhead resistance.

Support: 69.653, 69.16

Resistance: 70.00

What it said to watch

  • A close below 69.65 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 69.16 base
  • Reclaim of 70.00 would ease the intraday selling pressure
  • Thin late-session liquidity below 70.00 — moves can overshoot

00:31 UTC

Downtrend, fading off session high · RSI 35 · price 69.803

Lower highs and lower lows since 71.30 peak.

Silver faded the US-Iran-deal relief rally, sliding from the 71.30 session high to a 69.65 low before steadying near 69.80 in Asian hours. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the mid-30s; the haven-unwind bounce has stalled and structure is a clean chain of lower highs.

Support: 69.653

Resistance: 70.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.65 swing low extends the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 70.00 round level needed to ease downside pressure
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 69.803

Lower highs, lower lows since session peak.

Silver faded steadily from the 71.30 session peak, slicing the 70.00 psych level and printing fresh lows at 69.65. RSI(14) near 38, sub-zero momentum but not yet oversold; price grinding lower beneath EMA20/50 with no bounce of note.

Support: 69.65, 69.16

Resistance: 70.00

What it said to watch

  • A reclaim of 70.00 would neutralise the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 69.65 confirms continuation toward the 69.16 area
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC are the dominant swing risk for this read

00:16 UTC

Downtrend off session high, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 69.881

Lower highs since 71.31, now coiling sub-70.00.

Silver faded from the session high at 71.31 back below the 70.00 round number, carving a chain of lower highs through the London-NY decline. Price now drifts in a tight Asia-session range around 69.80-69.95 on thin volume, RSI(14) mid-40s — the post-Hormuz relief bounce has stalled into the hawkish-Fed wall.

Support: 69.806

Resistance: 70.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 70.00 round number would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 69.81 session low confirms downside continuation
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:16 UTC

Downtrend, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 69.881

Lower highs off 71.30, basing near 69.80.

Silver faded steadily from the 71.30 session peak through NY and into Asia hours, printing a chain of lower highs and now hovering at 69.88 just above the 69.81 session low. A small session gap at the Asia restart held below 70.00, with the round level and the 70.06 lower high capping attempts.

Support: 69.81, 69.80

Resistance: 70.06

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.06 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.81 confirms continuation lower
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:02 UTC

Pullback from highs, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 69.927

Lower highs since 71.30 peak, back below 70.00.

Silver's US-Iran relief rally topped near 71.30 then faded, carving lower highs back below the 70.00 round number and now testing the session low at 69.81. RSI(14) sub-40 with price under both EMAs — momentum is down into FOMC week.

Support: 69.806

Resistance: 70.00, 71.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 70.00 would challenge the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 69.81 confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC dots/Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

00:02 UTC

Downtrend off 71.30, momentum easing · RSI 41 · price 69.927

Lower highs, lower lows; now coiling near lows.

Silver rolled over from the 71.30 peak and broke the 70.00 psych level, now consolidating tightly between 69.81 and 69.99 in thin early-Asia hours. RSI(14) near 41, price under EMA20/EMA50 confirming the intraday fade after the US-Iran relief rally stalled.

Support: 69.806

Resistance: 70.00, 70.21

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 70.00 psych and a close above 70.21 would break the consolidation higher
  • Failure to hold 69.81 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC the swing factor for this read

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