XAG/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 19 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAG/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:03 UTC
Post-CPI recovery stalling, rolling over · RSI 34 · price 56.891
Lower high at 57.84 under Friday's 57.96; testing Friday low.
Wednesday's hot CPI print flushed silver to the 55.385 cpi low. The rebound through Thursday and Friday stalled at 57.962, the friday high, just under 58, as hot PPI and retail sales kept hike bets alive. Monday's gap up from the 57.163 weekly open met rejection at 57.84, a lower high, as US 10y yields firmed about 7bp, and the NY session fade has price back below both EMAs and the 57.00 pivot, testing the 56.88 friday low near the 38.2% retracement of the CPI-low rebound.
Support: 56.88, 56.292, 55.385
Resistance: 57.163, 57.84, 57.962
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 56.88 friday low confirms a lower low and opens the 50% retrace near 56.67 and the 56.29 swing low
Reclaim of the 57.16 weekly open, then a break of the lower-high line through the 57.84 monday high, would negate the rollover read
Acceptance above the 57.96 friday high would break the sub-58 cap on the rebound
Tue housing starts, permits and ADP data, plus Fri S&P Global PMIs (Services f/c 57.9), could shift hike pricing and this read
Lower high at 57.84 under 57.96 rebound high; 56.88–57.96 range.
Wednesday's hot US CPI flushed silver from 58.46 to the 55.385 cpi low during NY hours. The rebound that followed stalled at the 57.96 rebound high on Friday, just above the 61.8% retrace of the CPI drop. Monday's London push capped at 57.84, a lower high, and price faded through NY back below EMA(20) and the 57.16 weekly open, with RSI(14) near 43, testing the 57.05 monday low; the 56.88 friday low sits on the 38.2% retrace.
Support: 57.05, 56.88, 55.385
Resistance: 57.34, 57.84, 57.96
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 57.05 monday low and 56.88 friday low confirms a lower-low and re-opens the 55.385 cpi low
Recovery above ema20 at 57.34 and the 57.84 monday high would break the lower highs line; 57.96 rebound high remains the cap
Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC US ADP/housing data and Friday's S&P Global PMIs could materially shift this read
21:06 UTC
Corrective rebound stalling, rolling over · RSI 38 · price 57.083
Lower highs at 57.96 and 57.84 inside a 56.88–57.96 range.
Wednesday's hot US CPI print flushed silver from 59.36 to the 55.385 cpi low during NY hours. The rebound printed lower highs at Friday's 57.96 and Monday's London high at 57.84, which sits right at the 61.8% fib, with hot PPI and retail sales capping the move. Monday's NY session faded price back below the 50% fib and the 57.16 weekly open, and it now presses the 57.00 pivot under both EMAs with RSI(14) sliding into the high-30s, while the friday low at 56.88 (near the 38.2% retracement) marks the floor of the range.
Support: 57.00, 56.88, 55.385
Resistance: 57.37, 57.84, 57.962
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 56.88 friday low breaks the range floor and re-exposes the 55.385 cpi low
Failure to hold the 57.00 pivot through the Asia session keeps the lower highs sequence intact
Recovery above the 50% fib at 57.37 reopens the 61.8% fib at 57.84 and the 57.96 friday high
A close above 57.96 invalidates the lower-highs read
Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC ADP, housing starts and pending home sales; Friday's S&P PMIs are the week's main catalyst
56.88–57.96 range since Friday after rebound from 55.385; Monday lower high at 57.84.
Silver has rebuilt from Wednesday's CPI-driven low at 55.385 into a 56.88–57.96 range. The week high at 57.962 capped during NY hours Friday, and Monday's early-London push stalled at a lower high of 57.84 as the market again failed to gain acceptance near $58. Price then faded through the NY session as US yields firmed, slipping below the weekly open at 57.163 and EMA(20) to test the day low at 57.056, with RSI(14) easing toward 38 and the Friday low sitting just under the 38.2% retrace of the recovery leg.
Support: 57.056, 56.88, 56.674
Resistance: 57.163, 57.84, 57.962
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 56.88 friday low breaks the range floor and exposes the fib 50% at 56.674
Recovery above the weekly open and EMA(20) near 57.16–57.33 would neutralise Monday's fade
Close above the 57.84 monday high and the lower-highs line reopens the 57.962 week high and the $58 cap
Tue 12:30 UTC housing starts/permits, then Friday's S&P Global PMIs and UoM inflation expectations, could materially shift this read via yields and USD
17:07 UTC
Post-CPI rebound stalling, lower high under 58 · RSI 38 · price 57.129
Range 56.88–57.96 beneath 58.00, Monday lower high.
Wednesday's hot US CPI flushed silver from 59.36 to the 55.385 weekly low, and the Thu–Fri rebound stalled at the 57.96 Friday high, short of 58.00, with hawkish Fed pricing capping the recovery. Monday's Asia-session push to 57.84 printed a lower high at the 61.8% of the CPI drop fib. NY hours then faded price to the 57.056 Monday low, leaving it below a flattening EMA(20) near 57.36 and RSI(14) slipping to ~38.
Support: 57.056, 56.88, 55.385
Resistance: 57.36, 57.84, 57.962
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the EMA(20) at 57.36, near the 50% of the CPI drop fib, would return price to the middle of the range
H1 close above the 57.96 Friday high and the 58.00 round number would break the lower-high trendline read
Failure to hold the 57.056 Monday low exposes the 56.88 Friday low at the 38.2% of the CPI drop
A break below 56.88 undoes the rebound structure, with the 55.385 weekly low the next marked level
Tue 12:30 UTC housing starts/permits are minor; Fri 13:45 UTC S&P PMIs and UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Lower highs below 58.00 after the CPI flush; 56.88–57.96 range since Friday.
Wednesday's hot US CPI print at the NY open drove a flush from 59.36 to the 55.39 cpi low. The Thursday–Friday rebound, which held despite the hot PPI, stalled around the 61.8% retracement. Friday's high at 57.96 and Monday's London push to 57.84 now form lower highs beneath the $58 cap. Price has slipped back below EMA(20) near 57.44 into the NY session and is holding just above the monday low at 57.09, with RSI(14) near 40 and the friday low at 56.88 sitting on the 38.2% level.
Support: 57.09, 56.88, 55.39
Resistance: 57.44, 57.84, 57.96
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 57.96 friday high breaks the lower highs line and challenges the $58 cap
Failure to hold the 57.09 monday low exposes the friday low at 56.88 and the 38.2% retracement
A break of 56.88 reopens the path toward the 55.39 cpi low
Reclaiming EMA(20) at 57.44 and the 50% level near 57.37 would return price to the upper half of the range
US housing starts and permits Tue 12:30 GMT could shift yields and this read; Friday's PMIs and UoM inflation expectations carry larger risk
Lower high at 57.84 under the 57.96 cap; holding 56.88-57.96 range.
Wednesday's hot US CPI drove a flush from 60.54 to the 55.385 low. The Thu-Fri rebound then stalled at the 50% fib near 57.96, which is also Friday's high, before NY-session selling took price back to 56.88. Monday's gap-up stretched to 57.84 into the London open and was rejected, leaving a lower high, with price now back under EMA(20) near 57.50 and sitting on the 38.2% fib with RSI(14) flat around 49.
Support: 57.09, 56.88
Resistance: 57.50, 57.84, 57.96
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 57.96 50% fib and 58.00 would break the lower-high sequence and open the 61.8% retracement near 58.57
Loss of the 57.09 monday low, then the 56.88 friday low, would turn the rebound into a lower-low sequence back toward the 56.30 area
Repeated rejection at EMA(20) near 57.50 keeps the monday high at 57.84 as the near-term lower high
Tue 12:30 GMT US housing starts and permits are the first data risk; Fri PMIs and UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Consolidation 56.88–57.96 after a 50% retrace, Monday printing a lower high.
Wednesday's hot US CPI drove a NY-session flush from 60.54 to 55.39. The recovery on softer USD and yields since Thursday stalled at 57.96, the 50% fib of that drop, and Friday's NY selloff ran back to the 56.88 friday low. Since the week open at 57.16, Monday has printed a lower high at 57.84 and a London dip that held the 38.2% fib near 57.35. Price is hugging EMA(20) around 57.50 with RSI(14) near 54, mid-range after cycling from oversold to near 70 into Friday.
Support: 57.35, 57.16, 56.88
Resistance: 57.84, 57.96, 58.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 57.96 50% fib and the 58.00 round number breaks the lower-highs line and opens the 61.8% at ~58.57
Loss of the 38.2% fib at 57.35 and Monday's higher-lows line exposes the week open at 57.16, then the 56.88 friday low
Rejection again at the 57.84 monday high would extend the lower-highs sequence beneath 58.00
Tue Oct 20 12:15–14:00 UTC US housing data, then Fri PMIs and UoM inflation expectations, could shift USD and yields and this read
Silver has clawed back from Wednesday's hot-CPI flush to 55.385, helped by a softer USD, but the recovery has stalled. Friday's NY session faded the 57.962 friday high back to 56.88, and today's session high at 57.84 sits just under the 50% fib of the week's decline near 58.03, in line with the $58.00 cap. Price holds above EMA(20) near 57.50 with RSI(14) around 57. Demand has stepped in on dips from the 57.163 week open to the 57.346 london low, forming a rising line of monday lows.
Support: 57.346, 57.163, 56.88
Resistance: 57.84, 57.962, 58.033
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 57.962 friday high and the 50% fib near 58.03 would break the cap that has held since Friday
Loss of the monday lows trendline and the 57.346 london low puts the 57.163 week open and 56.88 friday low back in play
A second stall at the 57.84 session high would leave a lower high under Friday's peak
Tue US housing data and Fri S&P Global PMIs / UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Higher lows from 55.385, lower high at 57.84 under 57.96; 56.88–57.96 range.
Wednesday's hot US CPI drove a NY-session flush to the 55.385 cpi low. The rebound since Thursday, helped by a softer USD, reached the 57.962 friday high before Friday's NY selling pulled price back to the 56.88 friday low, near the 38.2% rebound fib at 56.98. Monday gapped above the weekly open at 57.16 and stalled at the 57.84 monday high into London open, a lower high under 57.96 and the 58.00 cap. Price sits above EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 59, mid-range rather than stretched.
Support: 57.163, 56.88, 55.385
Resistance: 57.84, 57.962
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 57.962 friday high and the 58.00 cap breaks the lower highs and opens the broken 60 level
Failure to hold the weekly open at 57.16 brings the 56.88 friday low and the 38.2% rebound fib back into play
A break of 56.88 would set a lower low on this rebound and expose the 55.385 cpi low
US Housing Starts/Permits Tue 12:30 UTC and Fri PMIs/UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Range 56.88–57.96 below the 50% retracement, lower high Monday.
Wednesday's hot US CPI print broke the $60 handle during NY hours and drove the selloff to 55.385. The Thursday–Friday recovery stalled at the 38.2% fib near 57.40 and was capped three times at the friday high around 57.96, with the recovery line giving way in Friday's NY session. Monday's Asia session rebound off the monday low at 57.09 printed a lower high at the monday high of 57.84, before London open pulled price to a 57.35 session low, back onto flat EMA(20) and EMA(50) near 57.45 with RSI(14) parked around 51.
Support: 57.35, 57.09, 56.88
Resistance: 57.84, 57.96, 58.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above the friday high at 57.96 and the 58.00 round number (50% fib of the CPI selloff) breaks the range top and the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the session low at 57.35 and the monday low at 57.09 exposes the friday low at 56.88; a break there resumes the post-CPI downtrend structure
Tue US housing starts/permits at 12:30 UTC and Fri S&P Global PMIs could materially shift this read via USD and October-hike pricing
Higher lows off 55.385; lower high at 57.84 under 57.96 cap.
Wednesday's hot US CPI print drove a 60.72-to-55.39 collapse during NY hours. The rebound since, helped by a softer USD and fading October-hike pricing, has stalled at the 38.2% retracement of that CPI drop, with the 57.962 Friday high and 57.840 Monday high both falling short of 58.00 and forming lower highs. Monday's Asia session gain faded at the London open, pulling price back under EMA(20) near 57.47 with RSI(14) easing to ~52, while the 57.09 Monday low and 56.88 Friday low define the floor of the range.
Support: 57.091, 56.88, 55.385
Resistance: 57.47, 57.84, 57.962
What it said to watch
H1 acceptance back above the ema20 and then 57.962 (friday high) breaks the lower-highs line and brings the 58.05 fib 50% into play
Failure to hold the 57.09 monday low exposes the 56.88 friday low; a break there sets a lower low below the range
Loss of 56.88 puts the 55.385 cpi low back in focus
Tue US housing starts/permits (12:30 UTC) and Thu jobless claims could shift October-hike pricing and this read
Silver lost $60 on Tuesday and flushed to 55.385 in NY hours after Wednesday's hot CPI. It has since printed higher lows, with the rebound helped by softer yields and USD as Warsh's neutral tone cut October hike odds. Friday's NY session saw a rejection at the 57.96 friday high, just under the fib 50% retracement of the Tuesday–Wednesday cpi drop at 58.05, and the pullback held the higher-lows line at the 56.88 friday low. Monday's Asia session opened with a gap above Friday's 56.98 close, set the weekly open at 57.16, and has reclaimed ema20 (~57.50), with RSI(14) near 63 as price presses back toward the cap.
Support: 57.50, 57.163, 56.88
Resistance: 57.962, 58.053, 58.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 57.96 friday high and the 58.05 fib 50% opens the 58.40–58.70 cpi shelf left before Wednesday's breakdown
Failure to hold ema20 and the 57.16 weekly open puts the higher-lows line and the 56.88 friday low back in focus
A third stall at 57.93–57.96 with RSI failing to clear Friday's readings would point to a range forming under the cap
US housing data Tue 12:30 UTC, then Fri PMIs and UoM 5y inflation expectations, could revive October hike odds and shift this read
06:05 UTC
Rebound within a broader downtrend, testing the overhead cap · RSI 63 · price 57.781
Higher lows off the CPI low, capped at 57.93–57.96.
Silver has climbed from Wednesday's CPI flush to the 55.385 week low through a series of higher lows. Monday's Asia session lift from the 57.16 open has brought price back under the 57.93–57.96 recovery cap, which produced a rejection on Thursday and again on Friday before the NY session sell-off to 56.88. Price holds above EMA(20) near 57.45 with RSI(14) in the low 60s, and the recovery cap sits just below the 50% fib of the 60.72–55.385 decline at 58.05; the bounce has come on softer yields and a softer USD despite the hot US data.
Support: 57.45, 56.88, 55.385
Resistance: 57.96, 58.05, 58.40
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 57.96 recovery cap and the 58.05 fib 50% opens the path toward the 58.40 pre-CPI low
Loss of EMA(20) at 57.45 leaves the 56.88 Friday low exposed; a break there ends the higher-low sequence
The 55.385 week low remains the structural floor of the post-CPI move
US housing data and ADP average on Tue Oct 20 from 12:15 UTC could move yields and the USD enough to shift this read
Higher lows off the 55.39 CPI low, capped at the 57.95 Friday high.
Wednesday's hot US CPI print drove a NY-session flush from 58.47 to the 55.39 week low, below the broken $60 area. Since then the rebound has printed higher lows into the 38.2–50% zone of the 60.72-55.39 drop as softer yields and the USD fade underpinned silver. The Friday high at 57.95 capped three tests before a NY fade to the 56.88 Friday low. Monday's Asia session gapped higher and has pushed back above the ema20 near 57.45, now back at that cap with RSI(14) around 62.
Support: 57.45, 57.09, 56.88
Resistance: 57.96, 58.05, 58.68
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 57.95 Friday high and the 58.05 50% fib opens the path to the 58.68 61.8% fib
Failure to hold the 57.09 Monday low breaks the rebound higher lows and puts the 56.88 Friday low back in play
Repeated rejection at 57.95 with RSI(14) failing above 60 keeps the 56.88–57.96 range intact
US housing data and ADP Tue 12:15–12:30 UTC, then Fri PMIs and UoM inflation expectations, could shift yields and this read
Higher lows off the 55.39 CPI low, capped at 57.95.
Wednesday's hot CPI print broke silver from 58.46 to 55.39 in the NY session, the dominant move of the window. Thursday and Friday built higher lows as softer yields and USD lifted price, but supply capped the friday high at 57.95 three times, just under the fib 50% of the CPI drop at 58.05, before NY hours pulled price back to the 56.88 friday low. Monday's Asia session gapped above Friday's close and the week open at 57.16, reclaimed the ema20 near 57.41 with RSI(14) back in the mid-50s, and is now retesting that cap.
Support: 57.41, 57.16, 56.88
Resistance: 57.96, 58.05, 58.68
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 57.96 friday high exposes the fib 50% at 58.05, then the fib 61.8% near 58.68 at the pre-CPI shelf
Another rejection at the friday high followed by a close back below the ema20 and the 57.16 week open turns focus back to the 56.88 friday low
US housing starts and permits Tue 12:30 UTC could revive hike-odds repricing and shift this read
Wednesday's hot US CPI print drove the week's dominant move during NY hours, a flush from the 58.78 pre-cpi high to the 55.39 weekly low. A yield-driven rebound through Thursday's sessions then built higher lows. Friday's high at 57.96 capped three tests just under the 50% fib of the week's decline, and the NY-session fade held the 56.88 Friday low on the higher-low line, while Monday's Asia session opened slightly above Friday's close and has reclaimed the flat EMA(20)/EMA(50) cluster near 57.37 with RSI(14) back near 50.
Support: 57.37, 56.88, 55.39
Resistance: 57.96, 58.05, 58.78
What it said to watch
Hourly close above the 57.96 friday high and the 50% fib at 58.05 opens the path toward the 58.78 pre-cpi high
Failure to hold the 56.88 friday low breaks the higher-low line and exposes the 55.39 weekly low
Hourly closes back below the ema20 near 57.37 would return price to the middle of Friday's 56.88–57.96 range
US housing and ADP data Tue Oct 20 at 12:15–14:00 UTC; Friday's PMIs and UoM inflation expectations are the larger repricing risk
Double top at 57.95 caps the post-CPI bounce; Monday gap back above EMA(20).
Silver broke through the 58.45 pre-CPI base in Wednesday's NY session on the hot CPI print, flushing to the 55.39 CPI low before an Asia- and London-led relief bounce stalled in a double top at the 57.95 friday high, just under the 50% retracement of the week's 60.72–55.39 drop. Friday's NY fade to the 56.88 friday low was followed by a weekend gap higher at the Asia open. Price has reclaimed EMA(20) near 57.32 and sits on the 38.2% level around 57.42, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 57.32, 56.88, 55.39
Resistance: 57.50, 58.45
What it said to watch
Hourly close above the 57.50 thu high, also Monday's high so far, opens a retest of the 57.95 friday high; acceptance above it voids the double top
Loss of EMA(20) at 57.32 and a gap fill toward the 56.88 friday low would return focus to the 55.39 CPI low
Close above the 58.45 pre-cpi base would neutralise the CPI breakdown leg
Hormuz/oil headlines at the Asia open and Tuesday's 12:30 UTC US housing data could shift this read; Thursday claims and Friday PMIs are the week's bigger tests
Post-CPI impulse low at 55.385, bounce capped at 57.96 below 50% retrace.
Wednesday's hot US CPI print drove the week's dominant leg, breaking the 58.40 cpi shelf around the NY open and running to the 55.385 weekly low. The Thursday–Friday rebound came off a 56.29 thu low and tracked falling yields rather than the hot PPI data. It met rejection at the 57.96 rebound high, just shy of the 50% retracement, then faded through Friday's NY session to a 56.88 friday low. Monday's Asia open gapped modestly higher, and price now sits on the fib 38.2 at 57.42, flat between EMA(20) near 57.32 and EMA(50) near 57.39 with RSI(14) near 48.
Support: 56.88, 56.29, 55.385
Resistance: 57.42, 57.96, 58.40
What it said to watch
Rejection at the fib 38.2 near 57.42–57.43 (Monday's Asia high) keeps the lower high under 57.96 intact
H1 close above the 57.96 rebound high reopens the 50% retracement at 58.05 and the 58.40 cpi shelf
Failure to hold the 56.88 friday low confirms the bounce has rolled over; a break of the 56.29 thu low re-exposes the 55.385 weekly low
Tue 12:30 UTC housing starts/permits and weekend Hormuz headlines could shift yields and USD, the driver of this week's rebound