Higher lows since the 4021 low, capped below 4138.
Gold shed close to 2% this week into the 4021 low on oil-inflation and Fed-hike fears, then rebounded back above 4100 after split FOMC Minutes softened the USD. Since that low H1 has printed a sequence of higher lows and now holds above EMA20/EMA50, but the recovery has stalled into 4138 and price is drifting sideways around 4122 with RSI mid-range. The broader $4,000 floor / $4,180 cap range remains intact.
Support: 4,094.00, 4,064.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,138.00, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4138 opens the path toward the 4180 week high
Failure to hold the 4094 higher low re-exposes 4064 and the 4021 week low
US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Gold sold off sharply mid-week, breaking from the 4120s down to a 4021 weekly low as oil-driven inflation fears revived Fed-hike bets and lifted yields. Buyers stepped in twice near 4021-4033, and the following NY session drove a recovery back above 4100, now coiling in a tight 4118-4138 band. Price sits above a rising EMA20 with RSI(14) flattened around 52, and the 4138 rebound high has capped the last several attempts.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,064.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,138.00, 4,158.00, 4,190.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4138 opens the path to 4158 and the 4190 range cap
Failure to hold 4100 reopens 4064 and the 4021 weekly low
US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Gold shed nearly 2% on the week, capitulating from ~4200 to a 4021 low as oil-driven Fed-hike fears and firmer yields kept rallies sold. Price has since carved a rounded recovery back to ~4123, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling near 53; the move stalls into the 4138 recent high, roughly the 61.8% retrace of the weekly selloff. Softer USD after the split FOMC Minutes underpinned the bounce, but the 4180-4200 cap flagged all week still overhangs.
Support: 4,064.18
Resistance: 4,138.08, 4,160.00, 4,180.40
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close above 4138 opens a path back toward the 4160/4180 cap
Failure to hold the 4093 higher-low reopens 4064 and the 4021 week low
Consolidating below bounce high after mid-week flush.
Gold flushed sharply to a 4021.78 weekly low mid-week before staging a steady recovery back through 4100 and topping out at a 4138.08 bounce high. Price is now consolidating in the 4100–4138 band, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering near 50 as momentum flattens. The market context frames rallies as capped below the 4180–4200 weekly high while persistent official-sector demand cushions the sub-4000 floor.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,064.18, 4,021.78
Resistance: 4,138.08, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4138.08 bounce high opens the path toward the 4180 weekly high
Loss of 4100 round number reopens 4064 swing low and 4021.78 weekly low
US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Gold shed nearly 2% earlier this week from the $4,180 area as the Hormuz oil spike lifted US yields and revived Fed-hike bets, bottoming near $4,021 before a steady recovery. Price has reclaimed EMA(20) and EMA(50) since, printing higher lows into $4,138, but two attempts there have capped the bounce with RSI(14) stalling in the mid-50s. Current $4,123 sits around the 61.8% retrace of the week's drop, keeping the recovery inside the broader down move.
Resistance: 4,138.08, 4,180.40
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4138 opens the path back to the 4180 week high
Failure to hold 4093 breaks the recent higher-low structure
US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Gold shed nearly 2% early week, sliding from the ~4180 week high into a floor near 4021 before recovering back above 4100 as split FOMC minutes softened the dollar. Price has reclaimed EMA20/EMA50 and is now consolidating 4118–4138 with RSI cycling mid-range. Persistent central-bank demand has cushioned the sub-4050 area, but the 4180–4200 cap remains untested on this leg.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,056.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,138.00, 4,180.00, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4138 opens the path back toward the 4180 week high
Failure to hold 4100 reopens the 4056 swing low and 4021 week low
US CPI Tue Jul 14 is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
20:03 UTC
Recovery bounce off week low, momentum slowing near cap · RSI 57 · price 4,122.54
Higher lows since 4021 rebound, capped at 4138.
Gold rebounded from the week low near 4021 back through 4100 into 4138 as the USD softened on divided FOMC minutes, carving a series of higher lows through the NY session. Momentum is flattening into the 4138 area, which has capped the last few attempts, with price now stalling near the 61.8% retrace of the 4180-4021 drop. Weekly bias stays two-way — recoveries have been sold below 4200 while official-sector demand cushions sub-4000.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,076.00
Resistance: 4,138.00, 4,180.00, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4138 opens the path back to the 4180-4200 cap
Loss of 4100 and the higher-low line risks a retest of 4076 then 4021
US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Gold sold off nearly 2% across the week, sliding from the 4202 high into a 4021 week low on the sharp NY-session flush mid-week as firmer US yields revived Fed-tightening bets. Price has since carved a rounded base and reclaimed EMA20/EMA50, rebounding above 4120 after the divided FOMC Minutes and softer USD, but the recovery has stalled at the 4136 day high. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 56, consistent with a corrective bounce rather than a fresh trend.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,064.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,136.00, 4,160.00, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4136 day high opens the path toward 4160 and the 4180 weekly cap
Failure to hold 4100 psych exposes 4064 swing low then the 4021 week low
US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
19:03 UTC
Recovery within weekly decline · RSI 60 · price 4,125.93
Rebound off weekly low, capped below 4138.
Gold recovered from Wednesday's weekly low near 4021 back above 4100, the bounce softened by a divided FOMC Minutes read that pressured the USD. Price is holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling back to the low-60s, but the advance has stalled at 4138 twice into the NY session and the weekly cap below 4180 remains intact. Structure is a rounded recovery pressing into resistance rather than a clean trend continuation.
Support: 4,102.00, 4,064.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,138.00, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4138 opens a retest of the 4180 weekly high
Failure to hold 4102 (EMA20) risks a lower low back toward 4064
US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
Gold fell nearly 2% WTD, failing near the 4180 week high before sliding through 4100 to a 4021 low, then rounding higher into the NY session to trade back at 4135 — right on the 61.8% retracement of the week's decline. Price has reclaimed both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering toward 60 as the FOMC Minutes offered no fresh hawkish surprise. The 4158 lower high caps the recovery for now.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,158.00, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4158 opens the path back toward the 4180 week high
Failure to hold 4100 recent base re-exposes the 4021 week low
US CPI Tue 14 Jul 12:30 UTC is the pivot and could reset this read
Gold slid nearly 2% since Monday's open, tagging a 4021 week low as the oil-driven inflation/Fed-hike repricing bit, before basing into a double bottom and grinding back to 4135. The recovery leg is holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the low 60s, but the falling weekly high at 4202 remains untested and 4138 has capped the last few bars. Softer USD post-FOMC minutes underpinned the bounce.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,064.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,138.00, 4,177.00, 4,202.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4138 recent high opens the path to the 4177 weekly open
Failure to hold 4100 round number re-exposes the 4064 swing low and 4021 week low
US CPI Tue 14 Jul 12:30 UTC is the pivot that could materially shift this read
17:04 UTC
Downtrend this week, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 4,126.29
Sharp selloff into 4021, higher lows since.
Gold shed nearly 2% this week into a $4,021 low as oil-driven inflation revived Fed-hike bets, then stabilised after Wednesday's FOMC Minutes delivered no fresh hawkish shift. Since that low H1 has carved higher lows back toward 4138, with price now holding above EMA(20) and RSI(14) recovering to the high 50s. The bounce has stalled just under the 4138 day high after tagging it in the last NY session.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,064.00
Resistance: 4,138.00, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4138 opens the path back toward 4180 week high
Failure to hold 4100 puts 4064 swing low back in play
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the pivot and could materially reset this read
Gold recovered from Wednesday's $4,021 four-day low, grinding higher through the NY session to trade back near $4,127 and holding above both EMA20 and EMA50. The bounce retraces roughly two-thirds of this week's decline from the $4,180 area, helped by a softer USD after the FOMC minutes and benign jobless claims. The $4,180-4,200 ceiling that capped the week still stands overhead.
Resistance: 4,136.12, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
US CPI Jul 14 could materially shift this read
H1 close above the 4136 session high opens the path toward 4160/4180
Failure to hold the rising trendline near 4093 exposes the $4,000 psych floor
16:03 UTC
Recovery bounce, momentum building · RSI 62 · price 4,127.68
Higher lows off the week's floor.
Gold has clawed back from Wednesday's four-day low near 4021 to 4127, grinding higher through the NY session as a softer USD followed the non-hawkish FOMC minutes and benign jobless claims. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling up into the low 60s, printing higher lows since the bounce. The 4136 day high has capped the latest push, with the 4180-4200 area still the wider weekly ceiling.
Support: 4,108.00, 4,064.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,136.00, 4,156.00, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4136 opens the path toward the 4156 swing high
Failure to hold 4108 threatens the higher-low sequence and reopens 4064
US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
15:03 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 4,126.99
Lower highs into 4021 base, bounce back above 4100.
Gold spent the week grinding lower from a failed 4180-4200 test down to a 4021 four-day low, with the sharpest leg during the NY session as the oil/inflation channel revived Fed-hike pricing. Since the low, price has carved higher-lows back through the 4100 pivot into 4127, and RSI has recovered from oversold while price held a higher base than the prior sell-off. The 4146 failed-rally zone remains the immediate cap overhead.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,075.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,146.00, 4,180.00, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4146 opens the path back toward 4180 week high
Failure to hold 4100 pivot reopens the 4075 and 4021 lows
US CPI (Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
Gold slid nearly 2% WTD from a failed 4180 test to a four-day low near 4021 as the oil-driven inflation/rates story firmed the USD. Price has since recovered above the 4100 pivot into the NY session, carving higher lows off the base with RSI(14) cycling back toward 60. Overhead the 4146 prior high and the 4180 failed-rally zone remain the capping levels.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,021.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,146.00, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4146 opens the path toward the 4180 failed-rally zone
Failure to hold the 4100 pivot re-exposes the 4021 four-day low and 4000 psych floor
US CPI (Tue Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
14:03 UTC
Recovery leg, higher lows off the base · RSI 63 · price 4,130.11
Basing above 4021 week low, grinding higher.
Gold slid to a 4021 four-day low midweek as the Iran ceasefire collapse lifted oil, yields and the dollar, then based and recovered through Thursday after split FOMC Minutes softened the USD. Price has carved a series of higher lows off that base and now sits at 4130, back above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling into the low-60s. The 4146-4180 zone that capped rallies earlier this week is the next overhead reference.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,146.00, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4146 opens the path back toward the 4180 week high
Failure to hold the 4100 pivot reopens the 4021 week low
US CPI Tue Jul 14 is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
Gold sold off hard through Wednesday's NY session, sliding from a failed 4200 push to a 4021 week low as the Hormuz oil spike revived Fed-hike bets and firmed the dollar. It has since carved a rounded base and recovered above the EMA(20)/EMA(50) cluster into 4130, with RSI(14) cycling back above 60 after a bullish divergence at the lows. The 4100 pivot is now the near-term reclaim; rallies remain capped by the 4146-4180 zone that rejected price earlier in the week.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,064.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,146.00, 4,180.00, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
Hold above the 4100 pivot keeps the recovery structure intact; loss of it reopens 4064 then the 4021 week low
A close through 4146 targets the 4180 week high where rallies have failed
US CPI Tue Jul 14 is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Gold slid all week from a stall below 4200 to a four-day low at 4021 as the Iran-driven oil spike lifted yields and the USD, with hawkish FOMC minutes offering no dovish relief. Since the 4021 print price has rounded higher through the NY session, reclaiming the 4100 pivot and pushing EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold — a shallower low than the 4052 dip built a bullish divergence. The 4122 session high has capped the first attempt, aligning with the 50-61.8% retrace band of the week's decline.
Support: 4,064.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,133.00, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4122 opens the path toward the 4133 fib and 4180 prior high
Failure to hold 4064 swing low reopens 4021 and the 4000 psych floor
Williams speech (13:00 UTC) and jobless claims could shift the USD/yield read
Gold leaked lower all week from the ~4180 open, hitting a four-day low near 4021 as the oil-inflation-yields channel dominated over any safe-haven bid. Since then a steady recovery through the NY session has lifted price back above EMA(20) to 4109, with RSI(14) climbing back to ~60 off oversold. Resistance at 4120 is the near-term cap; the 4021–4040 base held twice.
Support: 4,075.00, 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,135.00, 4,155.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4120 opens the path toward 4135 and 4155
Failure to hold the 4075 base reopens the 4040 four-day low
US CPI Jul 14 pivotal; oil/Hormuz headlines remain the primary driver
Gold leaked lower all week after failing at 4200, the oil-into-inflation channel and firmer USD/yields dominating the safe-haven bid down to a four-day low near 4021. Price has since based twice around 4021–4040 and recovered through the NY session to reclaim the 4100 pivot, now pressing prior-swing supply at 4131. RSI(14) has cycled back to 60 as price holds above EMA(20).
Support: 4,100.00, 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,131.00, 4,180.00, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4131 opens the path back to 4180 capped resistance
Failure to hold 4100 pivot re-exposes the 4040 four-day low
Clean break of 4000 floor would be a regime signal
Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and Williams (13:00 UTC) could shift this read
Gold slid from an early-week rejection near 4203 toward Wednesday's 4021 week low as the oil-inflation and USD bid dominated the tape. Price has since recovered through today's NY session, breaking the 4055-4090 range and reclaiming EMA20, but the push stalled at the 4117 session high before pulling back to 4099. RSI(14) has climbed off its lows to the mid-50s, though price still sits below EMA50, keeping the weekly sequence of lower highs intact.
Support: 4,054.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,132.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4117 session high opens the path back toward the 4132 prior high
Failure to hold the 4054 range base reopens the 4021 week low and the 4000 psych floor
Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold has trended down all week from the early-week ~4200 rejection to a 4021 week low, driven by oil-inflation and Fed-hike repricing. A NY-session bounce reclaimed EMA20 and stalled at the 4108 bounce high before drifting back to 4099; RSI has recovered near 59 but price still sits under EMA50, keeping the lower-highs structure intact.
Support: 4,064.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,108.00, 4,125.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4108 bounce high, then 4125, would challenge the lower-highs sequence
Loss of 4064 swing low reopens the 4021 week low and the 4000 psych floor
Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
US CPI Jul 14 is the week's pivotal driver
10:03 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 4,105.03
Rounded bottom off 4021, testing 4100 pivot.
Gold rolled over from Monday's ~4200 peak toward the 4021 four-day low as the Iran oil-inflation impulse revived rate-hike bets and firmed the USD. The NY session yesterday drove a rounded recovery off 4021, lifting price back to the 4100 pivot with RSI(14) cycling back above 50. The 4117 session high is now capping the push and price is pressing back up through EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 4,064.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,131.15, 4,172.33
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4117 session high opens the path toward 4131 prior high and 4172 supply
Failure to hold 4064 swing low reopens the 4021 four-day low and 4000 psych floor
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:03 UTC
Downtrend this week, stabilizing off lows · RSI 55 · price 4,105.03
Recovery off 4021 low, capped below 4117.
Gold rolled over from Monday's 4200 area toward a 4021 four-day low mid-week as the Iran/oil-inflation impulse revived hawkish-Fed bets, before buyers stepped in and drove a recovery back to the 4100 pivot. Price is now holding above EMA(20) around 4080 but stalling just under EMA(50), roughly the 50% retracement of the weekly decline. The 4117 session high has capped the bounce so far.
Support: 4,064.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,117.00, 4,133.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4117 opens the path toward 4133
Failure to hold 4064 reopens the 4021 four-day low
Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC + Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
Gold sold off through the week from the $4,200 area to a $4,021 low as the oil-to-yields-to-USD channel dominated after Trump's Iran remarks and hawkish FOMC minutes. Price has since recovered through the $4,100 pivot into the NY session, reclaiming EMA(20) with RSI(14) lifting off oversold. The 4118 session high and EMA(50) overhead now cap the bounce, with the $4,000 psych floor and $4,021 week low framing downside.
Support: 4,076.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,118.00, 4,155.00
What it said to watch
Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC + Williams 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back below 4076 ema20 threatens the recovery and re-exposes 4021
Sustained trade above 4118 opens the path back toward 4155
09:04 UTC
Downtrend this week, recovering · RSI 59 · price 4,106.66
Higher lows building off 4021 base.
Gold's dominant move this week was Wednesday's slide to a 4021 four-day low as Trump's Iran remarks lifted oil, yields and the USD. Since then price has carved higher lows off 4064 and pushed through the 4082-4090 consolidation into the current session, reclaiming EMA20 and now testing the 4117 session high. RSI(14) has cycled back toward 60, with the 4054 low holding above 4021 marking a bullish divergence off the base.
Support: 4,064.00, 4,000.00
What it said to watch
Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could reshape this read
H1 close above 4117 opens the path toward the 4133 prior swing
Failure to hold 4064 reopens the 4021 four-day low and 4000 psych floor
08:03 UTC
Downtrend this week, bouncing · RSI 61 · price 4,107.25
Recovery off Wednesday's low, reclaiming 4100 pivot.
Gold sold off from the 4200 cap early week to a 4021 low Wednesday as Trump's Iran rhetoric spiked oil, yields and the USD, reviving Fed-tightening bets. Since then price has ground higher and reclaimed the 4100 pivot into this session, with RSI(14) cycling back above 55 and price holding above EMA(20). The 4021 week low remains the downside line PBoC demand is defending.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,000.00
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 4100 pivot keeps the recovery intact; rejection there reasserts the week's downtrend
Failure to hold 4021 week low exposes the 4000 psychological floor
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC + Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold sold off from the ~4200 week ceiling to a 4021 week low, pressured by a firmer USD and oil-driven yields after Iran/Hormuz headlines capped every rebound. Since basing above 4021 the metal has recovered ~85 dollars and is now retesting the 4100 pivot, with RSI(14) cycling back to 60. The 4110 area is the immediate cap; 4130 prior swing sits above.
Support: 4,064.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,110.00, 4,130.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4110 opens the path back toward 4130 prior swing
Failure to hold 4064 swing low reopens the 4021 week low
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC + Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
Gold sold off to a weekly low of 4021 during Wednesday's NY session as firm oil and Treasury yields plus a stronger USD pressured bullion. Price has since clawed back above EMA20, breaking the 4064-4090 consolidation and reclaiming the 4100 pivot at 4107. RSI(14) has recovered from oversold into the low-60s, but the wider structure this week remains a downtrend with resistance at 4131 the first test above.
Support: 4,064.00, 4,021.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,131.00, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 4064 reopens the 4021 weekly low and the 4000 psych handle
Break above 4131 opens the path toward the 4180 wk ceiling
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
06:03 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 55 · price 4,098.71
Lower low at 4021, recovering.
Gold sold off through the week from the 4202 high to a 4021 low as firm oil and Treasury yields propped the USD after hawkish FOMC minutes. Since the flush price has carved a double bottom near 4021-4033 and recovered above the 4064 base, now testing the 4100 pivot into the current session with RSI(14) lifting off oversold. Price sits back above EMA(20) but the falling EMA(50) still caps overhead.
Support: 4,064.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,126.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 4064 reopens 4021 and the 4000 handle
Reclaim of 4126 needed to challenge the week's downtrend line
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:03 UTC
Downtrend, rebound off lows · RSI 54 · price 4,098.71
Lower highs into 4021, bounce underway.
Gold sold off through the week from the 4202 high to a 4021 low as hawkish FOMC minutes and the Iran/oil-driven yield and USD bid pressured bullion via the inflation-through-rates channel. Price is now rebounding into the 4100 pivot, with RSI(14) carving a higher low against the price low — a bullish divergence off the 4021 base. The broader H1 sequence of lower highs remains intact and 4100 has yet to be reclaimed on a close.
Support: 4,056.00, 4,021.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4100 pivot would challenge the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 4056 reopens the 4021 weekly low and 4000 psych level
Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC + Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs into a four-day low, recovery stalling.
Gold has trended lower since Monday's 4202 high, capped below 4200 as Trump's Iran remarks lifted oil, yields and the USD — a rates story that keeps a lid on bullion. A heavy NY-session selloff drove price to a four-day low near 4021 before the bounce stalled around 4091. Price now sits below EMA(20), consolidating in the low 4060s with RSI cycling in the low 40s.
Support: 4,021.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,091.00, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4021 week low opens the path to the 4000 psych floor
Reclaim of 4091 recovery high needed to challenge the 4100 pivot
Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
05:04 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 44 · price 4,064.87
Lower highs, four-day low tested then held.
Gold has been heavy all week, rolling over from the 4200 cap into a sharp NY-session flush that printed a four-day low at 4021 as Iran-driven oil and firmer US yields revived Fed-tightening fears. Price has since steadied into a 4060–4091 consolidation, still trading below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the mid-40s. The 4021 low and 4000 psych floor have absorbed selling twice, while 4100 remains the first recovery pivot.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4100 pivot opens the path back toward the 4180 reject cap
Failure to hold 4021 four-day low exposes the 4000 psych floor
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Gold is down ~2% on the week, with the dominant leg lower coming as Trump's Iran remarks lifted the USD and Treasury yields — a rates story, not a haven bid. Price flushed to a four-day low of 4021 before a bounce stalled below 4091 and faded back to 4062, keeping it under both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) has lifted off oversold but sits sub-50, and the last session has coiled into a 4040–4090 range.
Support: 4,021.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,091.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4100 recovery pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 4021 four-day low opens the 4000 psych floor
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, mid-range after flush.
Gold has trended lower all week, accelerating on the Iran/oil-driven yield spike that revived Fed-tightening fears, flushing to a four-day low of 4021 during the NY session before steadying near 4059. The bounce has stalled below the 4090 recovery pivot, with price capped under EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) recovering off oversold to the mid-40s. The 4021 low and the 4000 psychological floor mark the downside reference zone official-sector demand is expected to defend.
Support: 4,021.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,120.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4090 would ease the lower-high sequence and open the path to 4120
Failure to hold 4021 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 4000 floor
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could reshape this read
Gold has trended lower all week, rolling over from the 4200 cap and breaking the 4120 shelf into a 7-month low near 4021 as the Iran-ceasefire collapse and Hormuz-driven oil spike revived Fed hike bets and firmed the USD. Price has since based in the 4040-4090 band, with the latest NY session probing 4091 before fading back to 4065, holding below both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) sits mid-40s after basing off oversold, reflecting a pause rather than a turn.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,021.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,091.00, 4,120.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4021 week low exposes the 4000 psych level and the 3941 reference
Reclaim of 4091 session high needed to challenge the 4120 prior range
Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD/rate read materially
Gold has trended lower all week, shedding ~2% off the $4,200 cap after Trump called the Iran ceasefire 'over' and oil-driven inflation fears revived Fed hike bets. Price swept the 4021 wk low and is now consolidating 4040–4091, pinned below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) basing in the low 40s. The session high near 4091 has capped the bounce; 4040 swing low is the pivot into the 4021 low.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,091.00, 4,114.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4040 swing low re-exposes the 4021 wk low and 4000 psych
Reclaim of 4091 session high and 4114 prior range would ease the downtrend read
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC + Fed Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
02:03 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 4,073.79
Lower highs off 4200, week low probed.
Gold has bled lower all week from the 4200 week cap, with a sharp NY-session break through 4127 prior high accelerating the slide into a 4021 week low as Iran/oil-driven inflation fears lifted the USD. Price is now consolidating in a tight 4070-4091 range beneath both EMAs, RSI(14) recovering from oversold toward the mid-40s. The 4091 session high has capped the bounce, keeping the retest of the 4000 psych level in play.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,127.00, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4021 week low exposes the 4000 psych handle and 3941 reference
Reclaim of 4091 session high needed to challenge 4127 prior high
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC + Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could break the consolidation
Gold shed roughly 2% this week, with the dominant leg lower coming on a sharp sell-off from the 4120s to a 4021 low as renewed Iran risk lifted the safe-haven USD and Oil-driven inflation fears revived Fed hike bets. Since that flush price has based between 4040 and 4090, holding just above the EMA(20) while capped by descending lower highs. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to the mid-40s but has yet to reclaim the midline.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,021.78, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,091.00, 4,126.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4040 then 4021.78 exposes the 4000 psych handle and the 3941 7-month low
H1 close back above 4091 session high reopens the 4126 prior range
Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
Gold rolled over from the ~4200 week high and shed ~1.4% as Trump scrapped the Iran MOU and the USD firmed, breaking through 4100 into a 4021 week low before stabilizing. Price is now consolidating 4070-4090 just below EMA(20), with RSI(14) recovering off the selloff lows. The 4091 session high has capped the bounce so far.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,091.00, 4,125.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4091 opens the path back toward the 4125 prior-support shelf
Failure to hold 4040 confirms a lower-low toward 4021 and the 4000 psych level
Initial Jobless Claims + Williams (12:30/13:00 UTC) could shift this read
01:04 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 45 · price 4,075.55
Lower highs into consolidation above week low.
Gold rolled over from above 4200 this week, breaking down sharply during Tuesday's session as USD firmed on the Iran-driven safe-haven bid, with the ~$70 impulse lower punching through 4120. Price has since based near the 4021 week low and is consolidating tightly around 4075, coiling below a falling EMA50 while RSI recovers off its lows. The 4091 session high has capped the bounce.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,121.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4091 then 4121 would ease the downtrend read
Failure to hold 4040 reopens the 4021 week low and 4000 psych
Jobless Claims + Williams today (12:30/13:00 UTC) could shift this read
Gold has trended lower all week, rejecting the 4200 area twice and breaking down through 4120 into a lower low near 4021 on the Iran/oil-driven inflation impulse that firmed yields and the USD. The last several bars have stalled in a tight 4076–4080 consolidation, holding below EMA20 with RSI recovering off its lows toward mid-range. Resistance at 4091 caps the bounce; 4040 is the immediate demand shelf.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,021.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,091.00, 4,120.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4091 opens the path back toward the 4120 prior range
Failure to hold 4040 reopens the 4021 weekly low and 4000 psych level
Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC + Williams speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rejected the 4200 handle twice earlier this week before shedding ~1.4% into a sharp NY-session slide, as renewed Iran/Hormuz oil risk and firm yields revived the inflation-rates channel weighing on the metal. Price bottomed near 4021 and has since based in a 4040–4091 consolidation, now curling back to the H1 EMial(20) around 4078 with RSI(14) recovering to the mid-40s. The broader H1 structure stays a sequence of lower highs and lower lows despite the near-term bounce.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,120.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4091 needed to challenge the 4120 broken-support zone and question the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 4040 reopens the 4021 week low toward the 4000 psych level
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC + Williams speech could shift yields and this read