Lower highs off 4166, consolidating above 4040 low.
Gold pushed to a two-week high near 4166 midweek before reversing hard, sliding back below 4100 as Brent-driven yields and strong US jobless claims (187K vs 212K) firmed the dollar. The drop through the NY session cracked the 4076 shelf and stalled just above the 4040 swing low, where price has since gone flat around 4045-4050. RSI is subdued in the low-40s and price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, confirming the loss of the week's upside momentum.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,076.00, 4,100.00, 4,140.00
What it said to watch
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 4040 confirms a lower-low and opens the 4000 psych floor
Reclaim of 4076 needed to challenge 4100 and the 4140 rejection band
23:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 4,049.58
Gold snapped a four-day rally after rejection near the 4166 week high, sliding below 4100 as Brent above $90 revived inflation fears and firmed US yields. Price has since stabilised into a tight consolidation above the 4040 swing low, sitting below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) reset into the low-40s. The move off the highs printed a clean run of lower highs from the 4166 peak.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,130.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4040 swing low opens the 4000 psych floor
Reclaim of 4090 breakdown needed to challenge the 4130 prior high
S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
22:03 UTC
Pullback after midweek peak, momentum down · RSI 37 · price 4,049.39
Lower highs off 4166, consolidating above 4040.
Gold peaked near 4166 midweek then rolled over, snapping its four-day rally after rejection in the 4165-4185 band as Brent above $90 revived inflation fears and lifted US yields. Price now trades below EMA20 (~4076) around the 61.8% fib of the Monday-to-peak advance, consolidating a 4040-4051 range after Thursday's NY-session flush. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s, tracking the downside momentum.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,076.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4040 opens the path toward the 4000 psych floor
Reclaim of 4076 (EMA20) would neutralise the pullback
S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rallied hard since Monday's open, peaking near 4166 into Wednesday's NY session before rejecting and sliding back below 4100 — TD's digest frames the move as short-covering, not fresh conviction. Price now sits at 4049, roughly the 61.8% retracement of the week's impulse, trading below both EMA20 (~4090) and EMA50. Momentum has rolled over with RSI cycling in the low 40s as lower highs stack off the peak.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 4040 opens the path to the 4000 psych floor
Reclaim of 4090 (EMA20) would neutralise the pullback read
S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold pushed to a weekly peak near 4166 midweek before rejecting and sliding back below 4100 into the NY session, as Brent-driven inflation fears lifted US yields and firmed the dollar. Price is now basing around 4040 after a three-touch defense, trading below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the mid-40s. The 4076/4100 band that gave way on the drop is now the nearest overhead structure.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,076.00, 4,100.00, 4,130.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 4100 reopens the 4130 swing high
Failure to hold 4040 exposes the 4000 psych floor
S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read
21:05 UTC
Week uptrend reversed, pullback in force · RSI 43 · price 4,049.39
Rejection off week high, basing above 4040.
Gold snapped its four-day rally, rejected near the 4166 week high and sliding below 4100 through the NY session as Brent above $90 revived inflation/yield fears and firmed the USD. Price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, consolidating just above 4040 where buyers stepped in twice, forming a near double bottom. RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s reflects the loss of momentum after the reversal.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,076.00, 4,100.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4040 swing low opens the 4000 psych floor
Reclaim of 4076 prior low needed to ease downside pressure toward 4100
S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rallied hard from Monday's 3993 low to a week high of 4166 on the US-Iran haven bid, then faded back below 4100 as oil-driven inflation fears revived Fed-hike bets and firmed the USD. Price has since carved lower highs and is now basing around 4040-4055, holding the 4040 swing low but sitting below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) near 42 reflects the loss of upside momentum after the impulse.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,130.00, 4,166.01
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 4090 broken support reopens the 4130 prior range
Failure to hold 4040 swing low exposes the 4000 psych floor
S&P Global PMIs tomorrow 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold peaked near 4166 mid-week then rolled over through the NY sessions, sliding back below both EMA20 and EMA50 as escalating US-Iran/oil-inflation headlines revived Fed hike bets and firmed the USD. Price now sits around the 61.8% retrace of the week's 3993-4166 impulse, consolidating a tight 4040-4058 band above the $4,000 floor. RSI(14) in the mid-40s reflects the fade in momentum since the run to the highs.
Support: 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
S&P Global PMIs tomorrow 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 4040 opens the path to the $4,000 psych floor
Week's rally rolling over from the highs, lower-highs forming.
Gold rallied from Monday's ~3982 low to a 4166 peak mid-week before rolling over as escalating US-Iran strikes lifted crude and revived Fed-hike bets, dragging price back below 4100. The pullback has reached the 61.8% retracement of that impulse near 4050, with price now trading under EMA20 and RSI(14) cycling toward the mid-30s. Two-way defence of the 4040 day low is the near-term structure to watch, with 4000 the deeper psych floor.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,095.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4095 (EMA20) would reset the pullback read
Failure to hold 4040 opens the path to the 4000 psych level
S&P Global PMIs tomorrow 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs off week high, retracing the up impulse.
Gold's week-long rally peaked near 4166 before a sharp reversal back below the 4100 pivot, the digest tying the fade to firmer crude and revived Fed-hike bets. Price has since worked down to 4040 support, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 40. A clean series of lower highs off the peak marks the pullback into the NY session.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4100 pivot would neutralise the pullback read
Failure to hold 4040 swing low opens the path toward 4000 psych
S&P Global PMIs tomorrow 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
18:03 UTC
Pullback from week high, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 4,043.09
Lower highs since midweek peak, testing support.
Gold rallied through midweek to a peak near 4166 then rolled over, printing lower highs and breaking the 4090 shelf during the NY session to trade back into the 4000-4076 support zone. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) sub-40, reflecting the oil-driven Fed repricing that revived USD demand. The 4040 session low is the immediate floor, with 4000 the deeper psych level dip-buyers defended earlier in the week.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4090 shelf negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 4040 opens the 4000 psych floor
S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold pushed to a two-week high near 4166 midweek on US-Iran safe-haven flows, then rolled over through the NY session as oil-driven inflation revived Fed-hike bets and firmed the dollar. Price has since sliced through the 4076 support shelf and is testing 4040, sitting well below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed into the mid-30s. Buyers defended 4040 twice into the last bars, but each rebound has stalled beneath 4062.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,062.00, 4,095.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 4040 opens the path back to the 4000 psych floor
H1 close back above 4076/4095 needed to negate the breakdown
S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC — nearest catalyst that could shift this read
Gold ran to a two-week high near 4166 through the London-NY session before rolling over sharply, and the pullback has now sliced back below EMA20 near 4090 as the USD firmed on the strong 187K jobless claims print. Price is testing the 4040 swing low after a stall at the 4140 pivot, with RSI(14) down near 40 confirming loss of the week's upside momentum. The 4000 psych base remains the deeper reference below.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,140.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4040 exposes the 4000 psych base
Reclaim of EMA20 near 4090 would ease the pullback read
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rallied through the week to a 4166 high before a sharp NY-session selloff dragged it back to 4040, snapping the 4090 prior-support shelf and stringing together lower highs. Price now sits at 4051, below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) around 40 after the flush. The move fits the digest's picture — a hawkish-Fed/firmer-USD leg pressuring the metal back toward its 4000 base.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,130.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 4090 would negate the breakdown and re-open 4130
Failure to hold 4040 exposes the 4000 psych base
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rallied from Monday's ~3966 open to a week high near 4166 through Tuesday-Wednesday, then reversed hard in the NY session, shedding ~120 points to test the 4040 area — the 61.8% retrace of the week's advance. Price has broken below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) down near 38, as rising oil-driven inflation fears and firm US jobless claims kept the rate headwind on the move. The 4090 shelf that gave way now caps, while 4040 has held on the first test.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,130.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4040 (61.8% retrace) opens the 4000 psych level
Reclaim of 4090 needed to stall the reversal back toward 4130
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rallied from Monday's ~3966 open to a week high of 4166 through Wednesday's USD softness and safe-haven flows, then reversed hard into the NY session, shedding over 100 points to 4040 before a modest bounce to 4049. Price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the mid-30s after the sharp rejection. The move stalled well ahead of the digest's 4200 cap and is now retesting the lower half of the week's range.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4090 breakdown would neutralize the reversal
Failure to hold 4040 session low opens 4000 psychological support
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
15:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 38 · price 4,058.65
Lower highs since the 4166 peak.
Gold posted its best week in months, rallying from the 4000 defense to a 4166 high on US-Iran safe-haven flows and Wednesday's softer dollar, but supply capped the move and price has since faded through EMA20 to test the 4040 week low. RSI(14) has cycled down toward the mid-30s as each bounce set a lower high; the recovery to 4058 leaves 4100 as the first hurdle back. Rising oil and firmer yields remain the counterweight to the geopolitical bid.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 4040 confirms a lower low, opening the path to 4000
Reclaim of 4100 needed to negate the pullback toward the week high
S&P Global PMIs Fri 24 Jul 13:45 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
Gold's best-week-in-months rally stalled near 4166 mid-week and has faded below 4100 through the NY session, with firmer oil rekindling inflation/Fed-hike bets weighing on the metal. Price has carved lower highs since Wednesday's peak and now sits around the 50% retrace of the week's impulse near 4058, holding just above the 4040 session low. RSI(14) near 39 with price below both EMAs reflects the corrective leg.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,095.00, 4,118.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4095 negates the lower-high sequence and reopens 4118
Failure to hold 4040 opens the 4000 psych support
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold ran four sessions higher into a two-week peak near 4166 before rolling over hard through the NY session, shedding over $100 to test the 4043 day low. The rally was safe-haven and short-covering driven per the digest, and the leg has now stalled below EMA20 with RSI(14) rolling into the 40s. Price sits well under the 4095 EMA20 shelf after the rejection off the week high.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,095.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4043 day low opens the 4000 psych floor
Reclaim of the 4095 ema20 needed to stabilise the pullback
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold ran four straight days into a two-week high near 4166 on safe-haven flows and a softer dollar, then reversed hard through the NY session back to 4040. Price is now below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) rolling into the high-30s after the drop, and the 4076 area that was intraday support this week now caps as resistance. The broader weekly bounce off 4000 is intact, but this H1 leg has erased the top of the move.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,076.00, 4,100.00, 4,166.01
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4040 confirms a lower-low and opens the 4000 psych floor
Reclaim of 4076 needed to stabilise the pullback toward 4100
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
13:04 UTC
Uptrend rolling over, momentum down · RSI 34 · price 4,061.33
Lower highs off 4166 week high, pullback in progress.
Gold rallied off the 3964 area early week to a two-week high at 4166, then rolled over through the NY session with a run of lower highs. The 4093 shelf gave way and price is now testing the 4046 swing area, RSI(14) sagging into the mid-30s and price back below EMA20/50. Softer USD and Hormuz safe-haven flows drove the rebound, but repeated rejection below 4200 has capped it.
Support: 4,046.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,093.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4046 confirms a lower low and opens the 4000 psych floor
Reclaim of 4093 needed to stabilise the pullback
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC — nearest catalyst that could shift this read
13:04 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back hard · RSI 37 · price 4,061.33
Week rally rejected at 4166, lower highs into NY.
Gold rallied to a two-week high near 4166 this week on Strait-of-Hormuz safe-haven flows and a softer dollar, but the push stalled and price has unwound sharply through the NY session, breaking back below EMA20 and EMA50 toward 4061. The 4140-4166 zone capped repeated attempts and RSI(14) has rolled into the mid-30s, with the second high into 4166 printing weaker momentum than the earlier 4141 push. Buyers had stepped in near 4000 earlier in the week; that psychological floor now frames the downside.
Support: 4,061.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4090 would negate the intraday breakdown
Close below 4000 psych floor opens a retest toward 3900
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
12:03 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 41 · price 4,083.46
Lower highs off weekly peak, below EMA20.
Gold ran from Monday's ~3994 open to a weekly high of 4166 mid-week as the DXY eased toward 101 and safe-haven flows returned, but the 4141-4166 band capped the advance and price has since rolled over. The last two sessions carved a string of lower highs and slipped back through the EMA20 near 4115, with RSI(14) cooling toward 40 as the pullback reached the 4073 day low before stabilising at 4083. The broader week remains higher, but momentum has stalled below the resistance band.
Support: 4,073.10, 4,054.48, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,115.00, 4,141.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
Failure to hold the 4073 day low confirms a lower low and exposes the 4054 swing low
Reclaim of the EMA20 near 4115 needed to re-challenge the 4141-4166 band
Loss of 4054 opens the path back toward 4000 psych
12:03 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 42 · price 4,083.46
Higher highs into week high, first lower high forming.
Gold ran from the 3964 week low up to a 4166 high mid-week as DXY softened toward 101, its strongest weekly push in months. Price has since rolled over below EMA(20), slipping back to 4083 and testing the 38.2% retrace of that impulse; RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s. The 4140-4166 band capped the advance and prior support at 4118 now sits overhead.
Support: 4,073.00, 4,054.00
Resistance: 4,118.00, 4,141.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4118 would re-engage the 4141-4166 highs
Hourly close below 4073 confirms a lower low and opens 4054
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
Gold rallied ~2.5% this week to a two-week high at 4166 on USD softness and US-Iran haven flows, but has since rolled over, slipping below both EMA20 and EMA50 through the London session. The 4130-4146 zone capped the advance twice before price retraced toward the 4086 session low, with RSI(14) cycling back below 50. Structure stays constructive above 4059 but this-week momentum has stalled.
Support: 4,086.00, 4,059.00
Resistance: 4,130.00, 4,146.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4086 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 4130 needed to re-engage the week high at 4166
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
11:03 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 4,092.60
Off week high, lower highs forming.
Gold rallied hard this week to a two-week high at 4166 on USD softness and Iran haven flows, but has since rolled over into a pullback, printing lower highs and slipping back under EMA20 toward 4092. The 4141 prior high capped the last bounce and price is now testing the 4086 session-low shelf; a hold there keeps the broader uptrend structure intact, while losing it exposes the 4056 swing low. Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC is the near-term swing factor.
Support: 4,086.00, 4,056.00
Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,141.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4120 (ema20) re-engages the 4141 prior high
Failure to hold 4086 session low opens the 4056 swing low
Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:03 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 4,089.46
Higher highs into 4166 then lower highs on the fade.
Gold ran ~2.5% higher this week to a two-week high at 4166 on USD softness and US-Iran haven flows before rolling over into the NY session. Rejection off 4166 has strung together lower highs and dragged price back through the 4100 pivot to test the 4088 session low, with RSI cooling from overbought and price now below EMA20. The rising support off the week's higher lows near 4044 still frames the pullback.
Support: 4,088.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,166.01
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4100 pivot needed to re-engage the week's uptrend
Close below 4044 higher low breaks the rising support line
Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum rolling over · RSI 41 · price 4,089.46
Pullback from weekly high, rising support broken.
Gold rallied ~2.5% this week off the $4,000 base to a two-week high at $4,166 through the NY sessions, driven by a softer Dollar and US-Iran haven flows. The last several bars have rolled over, breaking the week's rising support and slipping back under the $4,100 pivot as RSI cooled from overbought toward the low-40s. Price is now testing the $4,076 swing low with the $4,100 level capping.
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,141.00, 4,166.01
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4100 reopens the 4141-4166 zone
Loss of 4076 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward the 4000 psych level
Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC / PMIs Friday could materially shift this read
Gold ran a clean impulse from the sub-4000 base early week to a two-week peak at 4166 through the NY-into-Asia handover, riding the safe-haven bid and a softer DXY. The last few hours have unwound that, slipping back under EMA20 with RSI cooling toward 40 after a bearish divergence into the high. Price now sits on the 4090 session low with the week's rising support already breached.
Support: 4,090.00, 4,063.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,125.00, 4,146.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4090 confirms a lower low, exposing 4063
Reclaim of 4125 (ema20) needed to re-engage the 4146 week high
US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT and Friday's S&P Global PMIs could shift this read
Higher highs into the week, now pulling back below EMA20.
Gold rallied through the week to a two-week high near 4166 in the NY session, driven by a safe-haven bid and a softer USD. Price has since rejected the 4140-4166 band and slipped back below EMA(20) to 4093, with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. The pullback has erased most of the breakout leg and is now testing the week's rising support.
Support: 4,087.08
Resistance: 4,141.00, 4,166.01
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4087 confirms a lower low and breaks the week's rising support
Reclaim of 4141 would re-engage the 4166 week high
US Jobless Claims today 12:30 GMT and S&P Global PMIs Friday could reprice USD and shift this read
Higher-highs into rejection, rolling over from week high.
Gold rallied through the week to a session high of 4166 in NY hours before rolling over; the last bar sliced from 4118 to close 4092.8, breaking below EMA(20) near 4125 on the safe-haven-driven pullback. RSI(14) has unwound into the low-40s after the surge, and the 4140-4166 band capped upside twice, printing a bearish momentum divergence. The 4000 psychological floor remains the deeper reference this week.
Support: 4,090.14, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,125.00, 4,146.00, 4,166.01
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4125 (ema20) re-engages the uptrend toward the 4146 prior high
Loss of the 4090 session low exposes the 4000 psych floor
Initial Jobless Claims today 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Higher highs into pullback, consolidating below week high.
Gold ran a four-day rebound off the 4000 floor, cracking the trendline into the NY session to a two-week high near 4166 as the USD softened. Since that high price has cooled back into a 4110–4141 consolidation, slipping just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) rolling off from overbought toward mid-range. EMA(50) still sits well below, keeping the weekly up-structure intact while the week high caps.
Support: 4,110.00, 4,076.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,141.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above the 4141 resist band, then 4166 week high, resumes the uptrend
Failure to hold the 4110 swing low exposes the 4076 prior low
US Jobless Claims today 12:30 UTC and S&P Global PMIs Thu 13:45 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
Pullback from week high, consolidating above EMA50.
Gold ran a four-day rebound to a two-week high at 4166 on a softer USD before fading into a 4113–4141 consolidation, and price now sits just below EMA(20) at 4117 while holding above EMA(50). The impulse off the 4076 low has stalled with RSI(14) rolling back toward the mid-40s. Prior-day high at 4141 has capped the last two attempts, keeping the 4113 swing low as the base of the range.
Support: 4,113.00
Resistance: 4,141.00, 4,166.01
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4113 opens the path back toward the 4076 prior low
Reclaim of 4141 needed to re-expose the 4166 week high
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and PMIs Thu could shift this read via USD
Gold ran a four-day rebound off the 3980 base into a 4166 week high through the NY session, printing a two-week high near 4146 on USD softness before easing back. Price is now consolidating around 4127, hovering under EMA(20) but holding well above EMA(50), with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-line. The 4076 prior low and 4110 swing low mark the base of the impulse; the 4146-4166 band is capping the rally.
Support: 4,110.00
Resistance: 4,146.00, 4,166.00, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 4166 opens the path toward the 4200 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 4110 swing low confirms a lower-low and threatens 4076
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift the USD-dependent read
Gold ran to a two-week high of 4166 into Wednesday's NY session on a soft USD before easing back into a 4117-4133 consolidation, holding above the EMA(50) but slipping under the EMA(20). The week's rally off the 4076 base kept defending higher lows, with RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward the midline as the impulse stalls under the 4141-4166 band. Extension has stayed USD-weakness dependent per this week's DXY slide toward 101.10.
Support: 4,117.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,141.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4117 opens the path to the 4100 psych level and 4076 swing low
Reclaim of 4141 reopens the 4166 week high
Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and S&P PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
Higher highs into 4166, now fading below prior peak.
Gold ran from Monday's ~3980 open to a two-week high at 4166 during Wednesday's NY session on USD softness. Since that peak price has faded to 4121, slipping just under EMA(20) while holding above the 4112 swing low; RSI has cooled off overbought back toward the mid-40s. The 4140 supply band flagged in the macro read continues to cap attempts, keeping this a shallow consolidation inside the weekly uptrend.
Support: 4,112.00
Resistance: 4,140.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4112 swing low would confirm a lower-low and break the this-week higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 4140 supply zone reopens the path to the 4166 week high
Initial Jobless Claims today 12:30 UTC could shift the USD tone and this read
05:04 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling after week high · RSI 47 · price 4,121.33
Pullback from 4166 peak, consolidating below EMA20.
Gold ran nearly 2.5% off Monday's $3,980 open to a two-week high at $4,166 overnight, driven by USD softness, before fading through the NY session back to $4,121. Price now sits just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling toward the midline, and the $4,141 lower-high band has capped attempts since the peak. Higher lows off $4,110 still hold, keeping the broader climb intact.
Support: 4,110.00, 4,076.00
Resistance: 4,141.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4141 reopens the 4166 week high
Loss of 4110 this-wk low confirms a deeper pullback toward the 4076 pivot
Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift USD and this read
Higher highs into 4166, now consolidating below the high.
Gold ran from Monday's ~3991 open to a two-week high of 4166 on the US-Iran safe-haven bid, then stalled as the 4140-4166 band capped the move. Since then price has consolidated around 4124, hovering at the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling near 50. Buyers defended the 4112 area on the latest pullback while supply above 4140 keeps follow-through limited.
Support: 4,112.00
Resistance: 4,140.00, 4,166.01
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4140 reopens the 4166 week high
Failure to hold 4112 confirms a lower low toward 4076
Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC today could shift this read
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC is the week's key catalyst
Gold has trended up all week off Monday's ~3991 open, running to a 4166 week high on the Mideast safe-haven bid before stalling into the 4140-4200 resistance band. Price has since pulled back to ~4124 and is now sitting on the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling back to ~51 from overbought. The rising higher-low structure since the 4000 psych level remains intact, but 4141 has capped the last attempt.
Support: 4,110.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,141.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 4110 swing low breaks the rising higher-low sequence
H1 close above 4141 res band reopens the 4166 week high
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Fri PMIs (13:45 UTC) are the week's key catalysts
Gold ran ~4% off the $4,000 base to a two-week high at 4166 through the NY session, driven by the US-Iran safe-haven bid, before easing into a pullback now holding around 4128. Price has slipped back to the EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s, while the 4141-4166 zone capped the advance twice. The broader higher-low sequence off Monday's open stays intact above 4112.
Support: 4,112.00, 4,100.00, 4,080.00
Resistance: 4,141.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4141 reopens the 4166 week high
Loss of 4112 swing low exposes 4100 psych and 4080
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold ran from the ~3960 base early in the window to a two-week high at 4166 through Wednesday's NY session, powered by the US-Iran safe-haven bid noted in the macro read. The last leg stalled at 4141-4166 and price has slid back to test EMA20 around 4133, with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Buyers defended 4113 on the latest dip but the impulse has lost steam near the flagged 4140-4200 supply wall.
Support: 4,113.00
Resistance: 4,141.00, 4,166.01
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4113 confirms a lower low and opens 4076 swing low
Reclaim of 4141 supply wall re-exposes the 4166 week high
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read
Gold has rallied from Monday's base near 3978 to a week high of 4166 in the NY session, a ~2.5% run driven by the US-Iran safe-haven bid. Price stalled and rejected the 4141-4166 zone and is now pulling back to 4117, slipping under the EMA20 with RSI cooling toward 49. The rising-lows structure off 4000 remains intact above the EMA50.
Support: 4,110.00, 4,080.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,141.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4110 breaks the rising-lows line and opens 4080
Reclaim of 4141 reopens the 4166 week high
Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read
Gold has trended higher since Monday's open, running from near 3978 to a week high at 4166 in the NY session as safe-haven flows from ongoing US-Iran strikes underpinned the bid. That advance stalled into the 4140-4166 supply zone and price has since faded to 4117, slipping under EMA20 with RSI cooling back below 50. EMA50 still sits well below, so the broader weekly structure remains constructive despite the intraday pullback.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,140.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4140 reopens the 4166 week high
Failure to hold 4100 swing low exposes the 4000 psych level
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Initial Jobless Claims today 12:30 UTC a near-term risk
Higher highs into 4166, now consolidating below the high.
Gold extended a strong multi-day advance off the 4000 base on the US-Iran safe-haven bid, printing a week high at 4166 in the NY session before rejection dragged it back to 4116. Price is now consolidating around 4130-4137, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling back toward mid-range. The 4140 band remains the rally cap flagged in the wider context, while 4116 marks the pullback floor.
Support: 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,140.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4166 opens the path to the 4175-4200 band
Failure to hold 4116 confirms a lower low and threatens 4100 psych
Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC and Fri PMIs could materially shift this read
Four straight up-days into this week's peak at 4166 during the NY session, driven by the US-Iran safe-haven bid noted in the digest. Price has since eased back to the 4130s, with the 4140 rally cap holding and RSI(14) cooling off overbought as momentum slows. Pullbacks are still finding the rising EMA20 near 4123, keeping the up-structure intact above the 4100 psych level.
Support: 4,123.00, 4,110.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,140.00, 4,166.00, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 4140 reopens the 4166 week high and the 4200 resist band
Loss of 4110 swing low and 4100 psych would break the higher-low sequence
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC and Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold ran a fourth straight up day, driven by Iran safe-haven flows, peaking at 4166 before rejecting and easing back to sit right on the H1 EMA20 near 4130. The 4140–4166 band has capped this week's rally exactly as the macro read flags, while price holds well above EMA50 and RSI has cooled from overbought to the low-50s on this pullback. Higher lows off Monday's 3960 base remain intact.
Support: 4,117.00, 4,100.00, 4,130.00
Resistance: 4,140.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4166 opens the path to the 4175–4200 supply band
Failure to hold 4117 threatens the week's higher-low sequence toward 4100 psych
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could reprice the USD/yield cap on this rally
Gold ran a fourth straight up-day on Iran safe-haven flows, tagging 4166 in the NY session before easing back toward 4131. RSI(14) has cooled off overbought as price slips to the EMA20, but the move holds well above EMA50 and the 4100 handle. The 4140–4166 band capped the rally, matching the news read of supply near 4140.
Support: 4,110.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,145.00, 4,166.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4145 opens the path back to the 4166 week high
Failure to hold 4110 confirms a lower-low and exposes 4100
US PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC and jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
US-Iran de-escalation headlines would drain the safe-haven bid