Gold gapped lower into Monday's open near 4079 and ground down through the session to 4017, trading below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) holding in the low 40s. Last week's recovery into 4096 was capped and a sequence of lower highs has formed, in line with a softer haven bid after the US–Iran de-escalation. The 4000 round level is the immediate floor on watch, with the 3960 week low beneath it.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,079.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 4000 opens the 3960 week low, then 3900
Reclaim of 4055 needed to break the lower-high sequence
JOLTS/Chicago PMI Tue and ADP/Warsh/ISM Wed could materially shift this read
Gold gapped down from Friday's 4088 close at the weekly open and has ground steadily lower through Monday's sessions, printing successive lower highs and trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The de-escalation in US–Iran tensions stripped the haven bid while a firm dollar capped each shallow bounce, leaving RSI(14) sub-40. The 4000 round level is now the immediate floor with price hovering just above at 4016.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,050.00, 4,087.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4000 opens the 3960 wk support, then 3900
Reclaim of 4050 swing high needed to challenge the 4087 weekly open
ADP, Warsh and ISM Manufacturing on Wed could materially shift this read
Lower highs since weekend reopen, retracing prior recovery.
Gold rolled over after the weekend reopen near 4079, stamping lower highs through the session back to 4016 with price holding below EMA20 and EMA50. The recovery off the 3960 shelf to last week's 4096 high is now retracing, with price parked around the 61.8% area and the 4000 round level the immediate pivot. Move came as the US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid into a heavy US data week.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,055.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4000 round level opens the 3960 swing low shelf
Reclaim of 4055 swing high needed to repair the lower-high structure
ADP / Warsh / ISM Wed could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend since week open · RSI 40 · price 4,015.41
Lower highs, lower lows.
Gold gapped lower at this week's open near 4079 and has trended down since, tagging 4000.39 intraday before stabilizing around 4015. The slide tracks fading haven demand on US-Iran de-escalation alongside a firmer dollar. Price holds below EMA20 with RSI(14) subdued in the low 40s; the descending lower-high line off the weekly open keeps capping rallies.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,079.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 4079 weekly open invalidates the downtrend read
Failure to hold 4000 round number confirms a lower low toward the 3960 support shelf
ADP + Warsh + ISM Wed could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 38 · price 4,013.27
Lower highs, lower lows since weekend reopen.
Gold has rolled over since the weekend reopen near $4,080, grinding out lower highs and lower lows back toward the $4,000 round number with price trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The US-Iran de-escalation stripped the haven bid, leaving sellers fading each bounce and RSI(14) parked in the high-30s. The bounce off last week's $3,959 low into $4,096 has retraced roughly to its 61.8% level, where supply has capped.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,055.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4000 confirms a lower-low toward the 3960 weekly low
Reclaim of 4055 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
ADP / ISM / Warsh on Wed could materially shift this read
Gold opened the week near $4,079 and has ground lower into the NY session, slipping under both EMA(20) and EMA(50) and printing successive lower highs off Friday's $4,096 peak. The mid-week recovery from the $3,960 low has unwound back to the 50% retrace, with the $4,000 psych pivot now the line under price after the broader break below it last week. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s, consistent with the soft tape flagged by the bearish gold regime into jobs week.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4000 reopens 3900 long-term support
Reclaim of 4055 needed to re-engage the 4096 week high
Wed ADP, Warsh speech and ISM cluster could materially shift this read
Lower highs since Monday open, holding 4000 pivot.
Gold has bled lower since Monday's open near 4079, carving lower highs and testing the 4000 psych pivot where a low of 4000.39 found a modest bounce back to 4024. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) parked in the low-40s, the tape staying heavy as the US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid and a firmer dollar capped recoveries. The 4054 swing high has framed the latest lower high.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,054.00, 4,079.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 4000 psych reopens 3960 7-mo low
Reclaim of 4054 swing high needed to challenge the 4079 weekly open
Wed ADP/Warsh/ISM cluster could materially shift this read
Gold faded off the weekend gap as the US-Iran 'stand down' drained the haven bid, pressing price back to 4026 and below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The bounce from the 3964 7-month low stalled at the 4096 two-day high and has since traced lower highs into the NY session. The 4000 psych pivot is the line in the sand for the stabilization read.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,054.00, 4,096.03
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4000 reopens the 3960 7-mo low then 3900
Reclaim of 4054 then 4096 needed to revive the bounce
Lower highs since Friday's peak, weekend gap-down.
Gold rolled back over this week after the 3964 selloff low and Friday's 4096 recovery high; it has gapped lower over the weekend and slid back below EMA20, printing a sequence of lower highs into 4052. Price now sits near the 50% retrace of the 3964–4096 bounce with RSI(14) under 45, and the 4000 psych pivot flagged by the macro digest is the next downside reference. The move tracks a firmer dollar as the hawkish-Fed/high-for-longer narrative reasserts.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,052.46, 4,096.03
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4000 reopens the 3964 week low and the 3900 area
Reclaim of 4052 negates the lower-high sequence and re-tests 4096
Wed ADP, Warsh speech and ISM Manufacturing could materially shift this read
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, pullback leg lower · RSI 43 · price 4,032.92
Lower highs since Friday peak, mid-range.
Gold sold off from the week's 4140 open to a 3960 low on hawkish-Fed/firm-dollar flow, then recovered to a 4096 Friday high before fading. A small weekend gap down and a string of lower highs since the NY session leave price back near 4032 — roughly the 50% retracement of the recovery leg — and below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) sits in the low-40s as the pullback extends.
Support: 4,024.00, 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,068.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4024 confirms a lower low and reopens 4000 psych then 3960 weekly low
Reclaim of 4068 needed to re-challenge the 4096 friday high
Wed ADP/ISM + Warsh speech could materially shift this read
Gold based near 3964 mid-week and rallied to a 4096 Friday high before a weekend gap lower into Monday's session, with US-Iran de-escalation cooling the haven bid. Price has since drifted to 4049, printing lower highs beneath 4096 and slipping back under EMA20 while RSI sits mid-range. Demand stepped in around 4024, keeping the move above the 4000 pivot intact for now.
Support: 4,024.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,096.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4024 swing low opens the path to the 4000 psych pivot, then 3964 week low
Reclaim of the 4096 week high needed to resume the recovery
ADP and Warsh speech on Jul 1 could materially shift this read
Gold cracked below $4,000 to a ~7-month low near 3960 mid-window then bounced to Friday's $4,096 as the dollar eased post-PCE, but this week reopened lower and has slid back to 4040, capped under EMA(20). Price tracked a broad risk-off slide after US-Iran de-escalation drained war premium; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with the dominant weekly move still to the downside. The 4000-4096 band frames recent action with rallies fading toward the lower-highs line.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,096.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4000 round number reopens 3960 support shelf, then 3900
H1 close above 4096 week high negates the lower-highs sequence
ADP, Warsh and ISM Mfg on Wed (12:15-14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Gold rebounded off the 3960 week low to a 4096 Friday high, but the metal stays heavy into a fourth straight monthly loss as the US-Iran truce drained haven premium and hawkish-Fed pricing held. Price has rolled back over since, capped well below the 4096 high and slipping under EMA(20) near 4055 into the NY session, with the 4000 round-level pivot back in focus. RSI(14) sits sub-45, tracking the renewed downside.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,096.03
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4000 reopens the 3960 week low
Reclaim of EMA(20) near 4055 stalls the pullback
Wed ADP + Warsh + ISM cluster could materially shift this read
Gold sold from the weekly open near 4114 to a 3960 low mid-week, then staged a relief bounce into Friday's NY session capped at 4096 as yields and the dollar eased post-PCE. Since Monday's open price has rolled over again, printing a lower high near 4083 and fading back toward the 4000 pivot as the US-Iran truce drained safe-haven demand. RSI(14) sits sub-50 with price below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,080.00, 4,096.00, 4,114.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4000 reopens 3960 then the long-term 3900 area
Reclaim of 4080 would challenge the 4096 cap on the bounce
Wed ADP/Warsh/ISM cluster is a high-impact catalyst that could shift this read
09:03 UTC
Drifting lower within a broader range · RSI 44 · price 4,048.26
Lower highs since this week's open, capped under 4096.
Gold opened the new week with a weekend gap lower near 4079 and has since printed a sequence of lower highs (4074, 4068, 4066), slipping back to 4048 below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). Friday's push to the 4096 week high — the relief bounce off the 3964 seven-month low — remains the cap, with sellers fading each attempt back toward 4070-4083 as hawkish-Fed pricing reasserts. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, reflecting the soft tone without yet reaching oversold.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,083.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
Close below 4043 reopens the 4000 round-number pivot, then 3964 week low
Reclaim of 4083 prior high would neutralise the lower-high sequence and put 4096 back in play
Wed ADP, Warsh speech and ISM Manufacturing cluster could materially shift this read
Consolidation above 4000 after recovery off 3960 low.
Gold cracked to a seven-month low near 3960 mid-week then staged a relief bounce into 4096 before stalling; the move reads as short-covering after in-line core PCE, per the macro digest. Price gapped lower into this week's open and is now consolidating around 4063, pinned under the 4068 EMA20 but holding above the 4000 pivot. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48 with lower highs since the 4096 stall.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,096.00, 4,068.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4096 two-day high reopens room toward 4100+
Loss of 4000 pivot reopens the 3960 low
ADP and ISM Manufacturing (Jul 1) could materially shift this read
Gold cracked to a seven-month low near 3960 mid-week then staged a relief bounce to 4096 as the USD eased off its highs post-PCE. Price has since drifted back to 4059 after a small weekend gap down, slipping under the H1 EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering mid-40s. The 3983-3960 zone was defended twice this week; the broader move remains a corrective bounce within a down-leg.
Support: 4,048.00, 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,096.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 4048 opens 4000 then the 3960 swing low
H1 close back above 4096 extends the relief bounce
ADP + ISM Manufacturing Wed (12:15/14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, attempting base · RSI 42 · price 4,055.49
Recovery off 7-month low, capped under 4090.
Gold cracked to a 7-month low near 3960 mid-week before dip-buyers carved a rounded base back above 4000, with the recovery peaking at 4096 into yesterday's NY session as the USD eased off its highs post-PCE. Price has since rolled back under EMA20 (~4055) and is grinding lower into Monday's session, RSI(14) easing to the low-40s. The 3983-3960 zone, defended twice this week, remains the structural floor; 4090 capped the rebound.
Support: 4,039.40, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,096.03
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4090 reopens the path toward the 4096 week high
Failure to hold 4039 exposes the 3987-3960 support zone again
JOLTS/Consumer Confidence today and ADP+ISM Wed could materially shift this read
Gold cracked under the 4000 psych pivot to a seven-month low at 3960 mid-week before the USD eased off its highs post-PCE, sparking a relief bounce that topped out at the 4096 week high. Price has since carved lower highs back to 4049, slipping under EMA(20) while still holding above the week low. The move is corrective: rallies are fading as the 4000 pivot now caps from below and supply sits into 4076-4096.
Support: 4,030.00, 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,076.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4076 reopens the 4096 week high
Failure to hold 4030 puts the 4000 pivot and 3983 support zone back in focus
ADP + ISM Manufacturing on Jul 1 could materially shift this read
Gold sold off from 4193 to a 7-month low near 3960 earlier this week before recovering roughly $130 into 4096, the bounce framed as tentative stabilization after in-line PCE eased the firm USD. Price gapped lower over the weekend and is now consolidating around 4068, holding above the $4,000 pivot with RSI(14) cycling near the midline. The 4087-4096 area has capped the recovery; demand has stepped in twice at the 4048 swing low.
Support: 4,048.31, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,096.03
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 4048 then 4000 reopens the 3960 week low
Reclaim of 4087-4096 needed to extend the recovery
High-impact ADP and ISM Manufacturing Wed could materially shift this read
Gold sold off hard from 4193 at Monday's open to a 3960 base, with demand stepping in twice around there to print a double bottom before the relief bounce ran to 4096 — framed against the soft US data offering bullion a reprieve. Price reopened lower after the weekend gap and is now consolidating near 4065, slipping back under EMA20 while holding above the rising EMA50. The 4000 pivot remains the line for the stabilization story.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,096.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4000 pivot reopens 3960 then 3900
H1 close above 4096 needed to extend the relief bounce
ADP and ISM Manufacturing Wed could materially shift this read
Gold sold off from Monday's open near 4190 to a 3960 weekly low before a relief bounce the digest ties to a softer USD after in-line PCE. Price is now ranging roughly 4048-4090, holding the 4000 psych pivot with RSI(14) hovering near 50 and price pinned to EMA(20). The 4090 prior high and 4096 wk high have capped the recovery, with a small weekend gap below 4080.
Support: 4,048.00, 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4048 session low reopens the 4000 psych pivot then 3960 weekly low
Reclaim of 4090 prior high needed to extend the recovery toward 4096 wk high
ADP and ISM Manufacturing (Wed) could materially shift this read
Gold sold off from above 4190 early in the week to a 3960-3983 floor, then bounced toward 4096 as the dollar eased after an in-line PCE print. That recovery stalled and, since the weekend gap, price has drifted back to the 4048-4070 area, hugging EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling near 50. The 4096 cap held two attempts and demand is stepping in around 4048.
Support: 4,048.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,096.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4048 reasserts the downtrend toward the 3960 week low
Reclaim above 4096 opens the broken 4100 zone
ADP and ISM Manufacturing (Wed) could materially shift this read
Lower highs into mid-week floor, relief bounce now rolling over.
Gold slid from ~4198 early-week to a 3960-3983 floor mid-window, then staged a corrective bounce toward the 4096 wk high into NY hours as in-line PCE cooled hawkish-Fed bets and eased the USD. That 4096 cap held and price has rolled back to 4059, sitting under EMA20 but above EMA50. The week's structure stays net lower despite the relief leg.
Support: 4,050.00, 4,000.00, 3,962.00
Resistance: 4,096.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4096 wk high would extend the recovery toward the broken 4100 zone
Loss of the 4050 recent low reopens the 3962 wk low and 4000 psych
ADP/ISM Wed 1 Jul could materially shift this read