AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Tuesday, 4 August 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:02 UTC

Uptrend, recovery extending · RSI 65 · price 0.70481

Higher lows since midweek low, pressing week highs.

After sliding to a midweek low near 0.6983, AUDUSD has ground higher across the last two sessions, reclaiming 0.7000 and pushing back to week highs around 0.7050. Price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-60s; the recovery fits the AUD's 0.6980-0.7075 box, with hawkish domestic data offsetting a firmer USD after Monday's strong US ISM. Demand has stepped in on each dip toward 0.7000, keeping the higher-low sequence intact.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6983, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.7050, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 opens the path to the 0.7075 cap
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 breaks the higher-low sequence
  • US ADP/ISM Services and Thursday AU trade balance could shift this read

23:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.70481

Higher lows into week highs.

AUDUSD has ground out a sequence of higher lows since the Friday dip near 0.6983, riding above the H1 EMA20 into the NY session and pressing the week high around 0.7050. The bid follows a two-way AUD tape — hawkish domestic data offset by a strong US ISM print — with pullbacks this session holding the 0.7028 EMA20. Momentum is firm but the tape is now bumping the top of this week's 0.6980–0.7075 range.

Support: 0.7028, 0.7000, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.7050, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 opens the path toward the 0.7075 firm resist
  • Loss of 0.7000 round number would break the higher-low sequence
  • S&P Global Services PMI and Wed ADP/ISM Services could shift this read

22:02 UTC

Recovery, near range top · RSI 65 · price 0.70454

Rounded bottom off 0.6983, back at week highs.

AUDUSD carved a rounded bottom off the 0.6983 swing low late in the week and has climbed back to 0.7046, retesting the top of the 0.6980–0.7075 weekly range. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the mid-60s; the recovery came despite a firmer USD after the strong US ISM Manufacturing beat. The 0.7050 week high has capped the last few hours, with the 0.7075 range cap the next barrier.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834, 0.7014

Resistance: 0.7050, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 opens the path toward the 0.7075 range cap
  • Loss of 0.7000 round number reopens the 0.6983 swing low
  • S&P Global Services PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bars

22:02 UTC

Uptrend, near week high · RSI 62 · price 0.70454

Higher lows off mid-week low.

Since Monday's reopen AUDUSD dipped to a mid-week low near 0.6983 as strong US ISM revived the USD, then built a series of higher lows back to the 0.7048 week-high area. Price is holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half; the 0.70497 week high has capped this recovery. RBA-hawkish tone supports the floor while firm US data caps toward 0.7075.

Support: 0.7000, 0.7025, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.70497 opens the path to the 0.7075 cap
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.6980 pivot area
  • S&P Global Services PMI 23:00 UTC could shift this read

21:03 UTC

Recovery uptrend within weekly range · RSI 65 · price 0.70459

Higher lows off 0.6983, reclaiming range mid.

AUDUSD has ground higher through the NY session, printing a string of higher lows since the Asia dip to 0.6983 and reclaiming the range mid above EMA(20). The recovery keeps price under the 0.70497 week high, the top of a two-day range that has capped every attempt, while the broader 0.6980–0.7075 cage flagged by the hawkish-RBA vs firm-US-data standoff still frames the tape. RSI(14) is cycling in the low-60s, in step with the grind rather than an extreme.

Support: 0.7018, 0.7000, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.70497 opens the path toward the 0.7075 cap
  • Loss of 0.70000 and the higher-low sequence puts 0.69834 back in play
  • S&P Global Services PMI at 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:03 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 0.70459

Higher lows since Thursday's dip, holding above EMAs.

AUDUSD has climbed steadily through the NY session, recovering the full Thursday drop to 0.69834 and pressing back toward the 0.70497 week high. Price is holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s on each pullback, and demand has stepped in repeatedly around 0.7000. The 0.7075 cap flagged in the range narrative remains untested; 0.70497 is the immediate barrier.

Support: 0.7018, 0.7000, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.70497 opens the path toward the 0.7075 cap
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 shifts focus back to the 0.69834 swing low
  • S&P Global Services PMI at 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read; US NFP Friday the dominant risk

20:02 UTC

Recovery within range, momentum firm · RSI 67 · price 0.70457

Range-bound, retesting range top.

AUDUSD has rounded back up off Thursday's 0.6983 sell-off low, climbing through the NY session to retest the 0.7050 range top that has capped this week. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the mid-60s, though the pair remains boxed inside the broader 0.6980–0.7075 range flagged by the hawkish-RBA-vs-firm-USD standoff. The 0.7000 psych level has held as demand stepped in on the recovery.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.7050, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 range top opens the path to 0.7075 range cap
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.6980 pivot
  • S&P Global PMIs tonight and US NFP Friday could break the range deadlock

20:02 UTC

Uptrend, pressing range top · RSI 64 · price 0.70457

Higher-lows since Friday dip, testing weekly high.

AUDUSD has ground out higher-lows since Friday's dip to 0.6983, recovering through the NY session to press the weekly high and the 0.7050 area (100-day SMA). Price sits above both EMAs with RSI(14) cycling in the 60s, backed by a hawkish-RBA read after firm Job Ads and the TD-MI inflation gauge. The 0.7050 cap has held prior attempts this week and remains the pivotal ceiling into event risk.

Support: 0.7014, 0.6990, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.7050, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • Sustained H1 close above 0.7050 opens the path to 0.7075 range top
  • Failure to hold the 0.7014 higher-low reopens 0.6990/0.6980 pivot
  • S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC and US NFP Friday could break the range

19:02 UTC

Recovery grind, nearing range top · RSI 61 · price 0.70451

Higher lows since Monday's dip, range-bound.

AUDUSD has ground back up from Monday's 0.69834 swing low, building higher lows through the Asia and London sessions and holding above EMA20 into the NY session. Price is pressing the 0.7050 100-day SMA zone with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half; the broader 0.6980–0.7075 range still frames the week. The bounce fits the hawkish-RBA read after firm Job Ads and the TD-MI inflation gauge, though a firmer USD post-ISM has kept rallies contained.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.7050, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7075 range top opens fresh range extension
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 round exposes the 0.6980 pivot
  • US ADP tomorrow and NFP Friday could break the range deadlock

19:02 UTC

Recovering within range, momentum up · RSI 63 · price 0.70451

Rangebound, higher lows off midweek dip.

AUDUSD spent the week pinned inside 0.6980–0.7075, opening near 0.6948 Monday and grinding up to a 0.70497 week high before a midweek slide to 0.6984 as firm US ISM revived the USD. Price has since carved a rounded recovery through the NY session, reclaiming EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling back into the low 60s. Week high at 0.70497 is the immediate cap, with the hawkish-RBA floor holding near 0.6980.

Support: 0.7028, 0.69984, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • Sustained H1 close above 0.70497 opens the 0.7075 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6984 reopens the 0.6980 range pivot
  • S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC and US NFP Friday could break the range

18:02 UTC

Recovery grind, momentum firm · RSI 61 · price 0.70388

Range-bound week, higher lows since Monday's dip.

AUDUSD opened the week near 0.7040, slid to a 0.6983 swing low on Monday as a strong US ISM print revived the dollar, then defended that floor and has ground back to the weekly open through the NY session. Price sits above EMA20 (~0.7025) with RSI(14) cycling in the upper-50s to low-60s on each pullback, but the broader 0.6980–0.7075 weekly range still frames the read, with 0.7050 (100-day SMA) capping the upside.

Support: 0.7025, 0.7000, 0.6983

Resistance: 0.7050, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 then 0.7075 would extend the weekly range higher
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.6983 swing low
  • S&P Global PMIs tonight 23:00 UTC and US NFP Friday could break the range

18:02 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.70388

Higher lows off 0.6983, range top intact.

AUD recovered off Tuesday's 0.6983 week low, grinding higher through the NY session with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s to low-60s on each pullback. Price holds above both EMA20 and EMA50, but the 0.7044 week high has capped attempts and remains the near-term ceiling. Hawkish RBA reads after firm Australian inflation and Job Ads keep a floor under the pair, while firm USD post-ISM caps rallies — hence the tight range.

Support: 0.7018, 0.69834, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.7044, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7044 week high opens the path to the 0.7075 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6980 range base confirms a lower low
  • S&P Global PMIs tonight and US NFP Friday could break the deadlock

17:03 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 0.70388

Higher lows since Wed low, near week high.

AUDUSD has carved a sequence of higher lows since Wednesday's 0.69834 low, recovering back toward the week high at 0.70497 through the NY session. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half, consistent with the hawkish-RBA floor the digest describes as sticky Australian inflation offsets a firm USD. The 0.70497–0.70750 band remains the cap that has framed the week.

Support: 0.7020, 0.7000, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.70497 opens the path to the 0.70750 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.70200 breaks the higher-low sequence
  • S&P Global PMIs tonight and US NFP Friday could break the deadlock

17:03 UTC

Recovering, grind higher · RSI 64 · price 0.70388

Higher lows off Thursday's dip.

AUDUSD has ground back up from Thursday's dip to the 0.69834 swing low, printing a clean series of higher lows through the NY session and reclaiming EMA20 and EMA50. The bounce leans on a hawkish-RBA read after firm ANZ Job Ads, though a firm USD post-ISM has kept price boxed inside the broader 0.6980–0.7075 range. Price now presses the 0.70495 week high with RSI(14) mid-60s.

Support: 0.7018, 0.69834, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70495, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.70495 opens the path to the 0.7075 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.70180 breaks the higher-low sequence
  • US S&P Global PMIs tonight and NFP Friday could break the range

16:02 UTC

Recovery, near week highs · RSI 62 · price 0.70366

Higher lows off 0.6983, capped under 0.7044.

AUDUSD has ground back toward the week highs after defending the 0.6983 swing low, carving higher lows through the NY session with RSI(14) holding the mid-60s. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50, with pullbacks finding the rising trendline; sticky Australian inflation and a rebound in Job Ads have kept a hawkish-RBA floor under the pair. The 0.7044 week high has capped the latest push, with the 0.7050 100-day SMA and 0.7075 range top the levels above.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.7044, 0.7050, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7044 opens the path to 0.7050/0.7075 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.6980 week pivot
  • S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read

16:02 UTC

Uptrend, recovering into range top · RSI 59 · price 0.70366

Higher lows since Tuesday dip, capped near week high.

AUDUSD carved a base near 0.6983 during Tuesday's NY session and has ground back up on a run of higher lows, now sitting above both EMA20 and EMA50 near 0.7037. The move fits the hawkish-RBA floor from resurgent Aussie inflation gauges, but the week high at 0.7044 and the 100-day SMA near 0.7050 continue to cap. RSI(14) has cycled back to the high-50s without pushing into overbought.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834, 0.7015

Resistance: 0.70442, 0.7050, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7044 opens the path toward the 0.7075 range top
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych level would break the higher-low sequence toward the 0.6983 swing low
  • US ADP and ISM Services today plus NFP Friday could break the range read

15:02 UTC

Recovery within range · RSI 62 · price 0.7038

Range, testing upper edge.

AUDUSD has recovered through the NY session back toward the weekly high near 0.7050 after basing twice around 0.6983 midweek. Price sits above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) back above 60, but the 0.7050/0.7075 zone has capped every rally this week amid firm USD post-ISM and a soft China PMI. The 0.6980–0.7075 range remains intact.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6983, 0.7015

Resistance: 0.7050, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 exposes the 0.7075 range cap
  • Loss of 0.7000 reopens the 0.6983 swing low
  • US ISM Services and ADP later could shift the USD read

15:02 UTC

Recovery within week range · RSI 61 · price 0.7038

Higher lows off 0.6983, boxed under 0.7050.

AUDUSD has clawed back from the Asia-session dip to 0.6983, printing higher lows through the NY session to retest 0.7040 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s to 60. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50), but the 0.7050 100-day SMA and week high near 0.70497 have kept the pair boxed in the 0.6980-0.7050 band all week amid the hawkish RBA vs firmer USD standoff. This remains a recovery inside range rather than a clean breakout.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7050, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 opens the path toward the 0.7075 cap
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.6980 pivot
  • US ISM Services tonight and NFP Friday are the week's main USD cues for this range

14:02 UTC

Recovering, higher lows building · RSI 61 · price 0.70351

Rebound off week low, higher lows into 0.7050 shelf.

AUDUSD has clawed back from the mid-week dip to 0.6983, stacking higher lows through the NY session and now pressing back toward the 0.7050 shelf that capped the earlier bounce. The recovery reflects a soft USD floor into JOLTS/payrolls against a hawkish-RBA cushion after firm AU inflation and job ads. RSI(14) has cycled back to the low-60s and price holds above both EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7050, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.70497 exposes the 0.7075 week cap
  • Loss of 0.7000 round number would break the higher-low sequence
  • Break of 0.6980 pivot neutralises the recovery read
  • US payrolls Friday and AU trade balance Thu could reset this read

14:02 UTC

Recovery, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 0.70351

Range, rebounding off 0.6983 base.

AUDUSD has clawed back to 0.7035 after basing near the 0.69834 week low, with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50 through the NY session as the pair grinds higher on a sequence of higher lows. The USD firmed on Monday's strong ISM (55.6), keeping rallies capped below the 0.70497 week high, while resurgent AU inflation cushions the downside. RSI(14) sits mid-60s, tracking the recovery without stretching.

Support: 0.7014, 0.69834, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7050, 0.7075

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above 0.70497 opens the path to the 0.7075 cap
  • Loss of 0.70140 higher low reopens the 0.6980 pivot
  • AU Services/Composite PMI tonight and Thu trade balance could reset this read

13:03 UTC

Range, mild recovery off lows · RSI 59 · price 0.7032

Boxed 0.6990-0.7050, higher lows building.

AUDUSD has been boxed between 0.6990 and the 0.7050 100-day SMA all week as a firmer USD post-ISM (55.6) offset hawkish-RBA support. Price recovered from the 0.6983 swing low through the NY session and sits back above EMA20/50 near 0.7032, with RSI cycling in the mid-to-high 50s. The 0.7050 cap has repeatedly rejected attempts and remains the range top.

Support: 0.7010, 0.7000, 0.6983

Resistance: 0.7044, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 invalidates the range-cap read and opens the path higher
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 confirms a lower low toward 0.6983
  • US JOLTS today and Thu Trade Balance could materially shift this read

13:02 UTC

Range, recovering off lows · RSI 61 · price 0.7032

Sideways 0.7000-0.7050, higher lows building.

AUDUSD has been boxed between 0.7000 and the 0.7050 100-day SMA all week, slipping from the highs after the stronger US ISM print revived the USD before dip-buying near 0.7000 kept the floor intact. Since the Asia session low at 0.6983 price has ground out a series of higher lows back to 0.7032, now above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling near 60. The week high at 0.70495 and the 0.7050 SMA cap remain the ceiling on this recovery.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6990, 0.7012

Resistance: 0.7050, 0.70495

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 opens the path back toward the week high extension
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.6990 support
  • US JOLTS 14:00 GMT and Services PMI tonight could reset this range read

12:02 UTC

Recovery within range, momentum building · RSI 62 · price 0.70319

Higher lows off 0.6983, range top 0.7050 intact.

AUDUSD carved a base at 0.6983 midweek and has ground back above 0.7000 with a string of higher lows through the NY session, RSI(14) cycling into the low-60s. Price sits above both EMAs but the week's 0.70497 high and the 0.7050 100-day SMA remain the cap, having rejected earlier attempts. Dips near the 0.7000 psychological pivot have been bought, keeping the range structure intact.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834, 0.6990

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 100d SMA opens the path back toward the week high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych pivot exposes the 0.6990 support and 0.6983 swing low
  • S&P Global Services PMI tonight (23:00 UTC) could shift this read

12:02 UTC

Range, recovering off lows · RSI 61 · price 0.70319

Boxed 0.6990-0.7050, higher lows into NY.

AUDUSD has chopped inside 0.6990-0.7050 all week, with the 0.7050 100-day SMA capping and dips near the 0.7000 psych level being bought. Price recovered off the 0.6983 swing low through the Asia and London sessions and now sits back above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s to low-60s. Momentum is constructive within the range but 0.7044/0.7050 remains the ceiling.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.7044, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 100d sma invalidates the range cap
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych opens a retest of the 0.6983 swing low
  • S&P Global Services PMI tonight and Thu Trade Balance could shift this read

11:02 UTC

Range, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 0.70301

Consolidation below 0.7050 cap.

AUDUSD has churned sideways below the 0.7050 100-DMA cap all week, with the week high at 0.70497 unbroken. Price popped toward 0.7050 early on risk-on then faded to the 0.6983 low as a strong US ISM print revived the dollar; buyers have since stepped back in, lifting price above EMA(20) and EMA(50) into the NY session. Range holds between 0.7000 support and the 0.7050 cap.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 opens a retest of the week high
  • Loss of 0.7000 exposes the 0.6983 swing low
  • S&P Global Services PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read

11:02 UTC

Recovering within range, momentum neutral · RSI 57 · price 0.70301

Higher lows into 0.7050 cap.

AUDUSD is grinding higher off the 0.69834 swing low posted into yesterday's NY session, back above EMA20 and EMA50 as it presses the 0.7050 100-DMA cap that has framed the week. RSI(14) is cycling mid-range near 57 as buyers built a sequence of higher lows above the 0.7000 psych level. The 100-DMA and 0.70495 week high remain the ceiling; two-way flows persist between the hawkish RBA lean and a firmer post-ISM dollar.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.7050, 0.70495

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 exposes the June highs
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.69834 swing low
  • S&P Global Services PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read

10:02 UTC

Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.70267

Consolidation inside 0.6990–0.7050.

AUDUSD has been boxed between 0.6990 and 0.7050 all week, with the 0.7050 100-day SMA capping two rally attempts. Price faded to a 0.6983 swing low during the Asia-into-London hours before demand stepped in, lifting it back above EMA20 and EMA50 into the current 0.7027. The recovery follows hawkish RBA data offset by a firm USD after the ISM Manufacturing beat.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6990, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.70497 puts the 0.7050 100-day SMA cap back in play
  • Failure to hold 0.6990 opens the 0.6983 swing low and range floor
  • S&P Global Services PMI tonight 23:00 UTC could break the range read

10:02 UTC

Rangebound, edging higher · RSI 59 · price 0.70267

Recovering within weekly range.

AUDUSD has churned inside a 0.6990–0.7050 band all week, rejected earlier at the 0.7050 100-day SMA and then dipping to a 0.69834 low before buyers rebuilt. Price has climbed back above EMA20 into the NY session with RSI(14) cycling near 59; the recovery reflects hawkish RBA data offset by a firm USD after the strong US ISM beat. Resistance at the week high 0.70495 remains untested since the pullback.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834, 0.7008

Resistance: 0.70495, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 opens continuation toward the pre-intervention range
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.6990/0.69834 floor
  • US JOLTS (14:00 UTC) and S&P Services PMI (23:00 UTC) could shift this read

09:03 UTC

Range-bound, holding above EMA20 · RSI 56 · price 0.70218

Range 0.7000-0.7050, near-term higher lows.

AUDUSD has oscillated inside 0.7000-0.7050 all week, with the 100-DMA near 0.7050 capping every rally attempt. Price bounced off the 0.7000 round handle after upbeat domestic data (ANZ Job Ads +2.0%, TD-MI Inflation Gauge) revived RBA pricing, though a hot US ISM (55.6) kept the USD firm and limited follow-through. It now sits at 0.7022, back above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.70441, 0.70497

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 (100-dma) would shift the range read bullish
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 opens the 0.6983 swing low
  • S&P Global Services/Composite PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reset this range

09:03 UTC

Range, edging higher off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.70218

0.6990-0.7050 weekly range, mid-range recovery.

AUDUSD has spent the week oscillating in a 0.6990-0.7050 band, with the 100-DMA near 0.7050 capping every rally. Price carved a rounded base off the 0.69834 low late in the NY session and has recovered above EMA20 and EMA50 back to 0.7022, helped by upbeat domestic data reviving hawkish RBA pricing while a hot US ISM keeps a firmer USD in the picture. RSI(14) has cycled back to 56 as the recovery holds above the 0.7000 handle.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.70497 week high needed to challenge the 0.7050 100-dma cap
  • Loss of 0.70000 psych re-exposes the 0.69834 swing low
  • S&P Global Services/Composite PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read

08:02 UTC

Recovering off week low, capped sub-0.7050 · RSI 57 · price 0.70178

Range between 0.7000 and 0.7050, higher lows building.

AUDUSD rallied to a 0.7050 week high on Tuesday but was rejected at the 100-day SMA cap and slid back to the 0.7000 pivot as a stronger US ISM print revived the dollar. Since Wednesday's Asia session buyers have stepped in around 0.6983 to build a series of higher lows, lifting price back above EMA20 and EMA50 into the 0.7018 area. The 0.7000–0.7050 range remains the dominant this-week structure with RSI cycling back through the mid-50s.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7028

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 invalidates the range top and reopens the 100-day cap test
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.69834 week low
  • Australia Services PMI tonight 23:00 UTC could shift this read

08:02 UTC

Range-bound, capped sub-0.7050 · RSI 55 · price 0.70178

Consolidation off week high, recovering from 0.6983 low.

AUDUSD stalled at the 0.7050 100-day SMA and slid back toward 0.7000 as a stronger US ISM print revived the dollar earlier this week. Price has since carved a range between the 0.6983 swing low and 0.70495 week high, and is recovering back above the H1 EMA20 (~0.7005) with RSI(14) cycling in the low-50s. Weekly open at 0.70397 has capped the current bounce.

Support: 0.7005, 0.7000, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.70397, 0.70495, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.70495 week high re-opens the 0.7050 SMA cap
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych exposes the 0.69834 swing low
  • Australia Services PMI tonight 23:00 UTC and US jobs data are the near-term drivers

07:02 UTC

Range, recovering off week low · RSI 53 · price 0.70154

Capped below 0.7050, higher lows since 0.6983.

AUDUSD spent this week pinned below the 0.7050 100-DMA, which rejected repeated attempts before a slide to the 0.6983 swing low after the US ISM Manufacturing beat revived the dollar. Price has since rebuilt a run of higher lows into the 0.6990 pivot and is trading back above EMA20 near EMA50 around 0.7015, with RSI(14) cycling mid-range. The 0.7028 prior high is the immediate hurdle capping the recovery.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6990, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.7028, 0.70497

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.70280 opens the path back toward the 0.7050 100-dma cap
  • Loss of the 0.69900 pivot and 0.69834 swing low reopens downside
  • AU Services/Composite PMIs tonight (23:00 UTC) could shift this read

07:02 UTC

Range, capped at 0.7050 · RSI 55 · price 0.70154

Lower highs under 0.7050, holding above 0.6983.

AUDUSD spiked to the week's high near 0.7050 on Monday but the 100-DMA has capped every attempt since, dragging price to a 0.6983 swing low as the US ISM Manufacturing beat revived USD demand. Buyers have stepped back in through the last NY-to-Asia sessions, lifting price to 0.7015 and back above EMA20, with RSI(14) cycling mid-range around 55. The 0.6990 pivot has held as the lower boundary of this week's range.

Support: 0.7005, 0.6990, 0.6983

Resistance: 0.7044, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 100-DMA opens the path back to week highs
  • Failure to hold 0.6990 pivot confirms a lower-low toward 0.6983
  • AU Services/Composite PMIs tonight 23:00 UTC could shift this read

06:02 UTC

Recovering after midweek pullback · RSI 57 · price 0.70179

Higher lows off 0.6983 base.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.7044 week high after the 0.7050 100-DMA rejection, dipping to 0.6983 during the Asia session as a firm US ISM print rebuilt the USD bid. Buyers stepped back in around 0.6990/0.7000 and price has ground back above EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) recovering into the mid-50s. The 0.7000 handle is holding as near-term support while 0.7023 caps the current-day range.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834, 0.69219

Resistance: 0.7023, 0.70442, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.7000 reopens the 0.6983 swing low
  • Close above 0.7044 puts the 0.7050 100-dma back in play
  • S&P Global Services/Composite PMI today 23:00 UTC could shift this read

06:02 UTC

Range, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 0.70179

This-week range 0.6983–0.7050, back above 0.7000.

AUDUSD spent the week rangebound between 0.6990 support and the 0.7050 100-DMA cap, where two attempts stalled after the firm US ISM print (55.6) rebuilt the USD bid. Price faded to a 0.6983 swing low mid-week before demand stepped in twice around 0.6990–0.7000 and pushed back above the handle into the NY session, now trading 0.7018 with RSI cycling back toward 57.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834, 0.6990

Resistance: 0.70233, 0.70497, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7023 reopens the 0.7050 100-DMA test
  • Loss of 0.6990/0.7000 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6983 swing low
  • AUD Trade Balance Aug 6 (f/c -1100M) and RBA Aug 11 are the week-defining risks

05:03 UTC

Range, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 0.7018

Rangebound below 0.7050 cap.

AUD/USD spiked to the 0.7050 100-DMA cap mid-week then faded toward 0.6983 into yesterday's session as a firm US ISM print rebuilt the USD bid. Buyers stepped back in overnight, lifting price above EMA(20) and EMA(50) to 0.7018 with RSI cycling back through the mid-50s. The 0.7050 zone has rejected twice this week while 0.7000/0.6983 has held on the downside.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.70497 reopens the 0.7050 100-DMA rejection zone
  • Loss of 0.7000 exposes the 0.69834 swing low
  • ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and ADP could shift the USD-driven read
  • AUD Trade Balance Aug 6 is the near-term catalyst

05:02 UTC

Recovering off week low, range-bound · RSI 54 · price 0.7018

Consolidation under 0.7050, holding above 0.6990.

AUDUSD ran to 0.7050 mid-week before the 100-DMA rejection and a US ISM-driven USD bid faded it back to the 0.6983 low. Price has since recovered through 0.7000 into the NY session and sits at 0.7018, back above EMA20 with RSI cycling near 54. The 0.6990/0.7000 zone has absorbed selling repeatedly while 0.7050 continues to cap.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6983, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 invalidates the range top and opens the path higher
  • Failure to hold 0.6990 confirms a lower low toward 0.6983
  • US ISM Services / ADP today and AUD Trade Balance Aug 6 could shift this read

04:03 UTC

Consolidation, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 0.70188

Pullback within week's range, higher lows forming.

AUDUSD peaked near 0.7050 (100-DMA) midweek then slid to 0.6983 into the prior session as a firmer USD and the soft Q2 CPI weighed. Since Friday's low the pair has carved higher lows and recovered back above the 0.7000 psych level through the Asia session, with RSI(14) cycling back above 50. The weekly open at 0.7040 and week high at 0.7044 remain the near-term cap.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834, 0.6996

Resistance: 0.70397, 0.70442, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.70442 opens the 0.7050 100-dma zone
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.69834 swing low
  • S&P Global Services PMI (Tue 23:00 UTC) could shift this read

04:02 UTC

Range-bound, near mid · RSI 55 · price 0.70188

Consolidation between 0.6983 and 0.7050 this week.

The week opened near 0.7040 and capped just shy of the 0.7050 100-DMA before sliding to a 0.6983 low into the NY session, with the soft AU CPI and weak China PMI keeping upside contained. Price has since recovered to 0.7019, reclaiming the EMA20 as RSI cycles back toward mid-range. The 0.6983-0.7050 range remains intact with buyers stepping in twice around 0.6990.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834, 0.69915

Resistance: 0.70497, 0.7044, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 invalidates the range cap and opens the path higher
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.6983 week low and a lower-low
  • Trade Balance Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:02 UTC

Range, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.7017

Range below 0.7050, retest of 0.7000 pivot from below then reclaim.

AUDUSD slid from Monday's ~0.7044 open toward 0.6983 as the USD rebounded from its six-week low and China's soft PMI weighed on the proxy. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.6983 and price has reclaimed the 0.7000 pivot into the Asia session, now testing 0.7020. The 100-DMA cap at 0.7050 has kept a lid on every rally this week.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6983, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7050, 0.7044

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 opens a retest of the week high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.6983 session low
  • AUD Trade Balance Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:02 UTC

Range, edging higher off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.7017

Range between 0.7000 and 0.7050 cap.

AUDUSD has held a 0.7000–0.7050 range since midweek, with the 100-DMA near 0.7050 capping the week's high at 0.7044 and 0.7000 acting as the pivot. Price dipped to a 0.6983 swing low before recovering through the NY session back to 0.7017, holding above EMA20. USD stayed firm after the ISM Manufacturing beat, keeping rallies contained below the 0.7050 ceiling.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6983, 0.6922

Resistance: 0.7044, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.7050 invalidates the range-cap read
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.6983 swing low
  • AUD Trade Balance Thu 01:30 UTC could shift this read

02:02 UTC

Range-bound, faded off week high · RSI 51 · price 0.70127

Capped near 0.7050, holding 0.7000 pivot.

AUD rallied off Monday's 0.6920 base to a week high near 0.7050 but stalled at the 100-DMA cap, then faded back toward the 0.7000 pivot as the USD rebounded and China's PMI miss weighed. Softer Q2 CPI (3.8%) that cooled RBA hike bets kept the topside pinned all week; price has since coiled in the 0.6983–0.7050 band and is edging back above EMA(20) into 0.7013. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 51, reflecting the sideways drift after the rejection.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.7029, 0.70497

What it said to watch

  • AU S&P Global Services PMI (Tue 23:00 UTC) could shift this read
  • H1 close below 0.7000 confirms a lower-low toward the week low
  • Close above 0.70290 reopens the 0.7050 week high

02:02 UTC

Uptrend stalled, faded to range · RSI 53 · price 0.70127

Week range, holding above 0.7000 pivot.

AUDUSD pushed to a week high near 0.7044 into Wednesday before fading to 0.6983 as the USD rebounded on firm ISM Manufacturing and China's PMI miss capped the topside. Price has since recovered back above the 0.7000 pivot and is pressing EMA20, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold toward the mid-50s. The 0.7044-0.7050 zone has capped every attempt this week and remains the range top.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834

Resistance: 0.70442, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6983 confirms a lower low and reopens the 0.7000 handle break
  • H1 close above 0.70442 reopens the 0.7050 100-DMA cap
  • AU Services PMI (Tue 23:00 UTC) could shift this read at the 0.7000 pivot

01:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 0.69976

Lower highs, coiling under 0.7000.

AUDUSD opened this week near 0.7040 and was rejected at the 0.7050 100-day SMA ceiling before fading through the NY session into a 0.6983 low. Price is now pinned just under the 0.7000 psych pivot as the USD rebound and a soft China PMI cap the pair, with RSI(14) mid-40s and price holding below EMA20/EMA50. The pullback has stalled around the 50% retrace of Monday's advance.

Support: 0.6983, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7050, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7050 ceiling
  • Loss of 0.6983 confirms a lower low toward 0.6935
  • AU Trade Balance Thu 01:30 UTC (f/c -1100M) could shift this read

01:03 UTC

Weekly uptrend, pullback in progress · RSI 45 · price 0.69976

Faded from week high, coiling at 0.7000.

AUDUSD rallied from Monday's 0.6948 open to a week high near 0.7050, where the 100-day SMA capped price and faded it back toward the 0.7000 pivot. It has since coiled in a tight Asian-session range just under EMA20 (0.7001), with RSI(14) drifting to the mid-40s after the pullback. The 0.6983 swing low is the nearest floor holding the retracement.

Support: 0.6983, 0.6948

Resistance: 0.7001, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close back above 0.7010 would re-engage the 0.7050 ceiling
  • Failure to hold 0.6983 opens the path toward the 0.6948 week open
  • Trade Balance Thu 01:30 UTC could break the current range

00:02 UTC

Uptrend faded, pullback stalling · RSI 43 · price 0.69973

Retrace off week high, coiling below 0.7000.

AUDUSD ran to a week high near 0.7050 before fading through Tuesday as the USD rebounded off its low and China's PMI miss capped the pair. Price has since drifted back under the 0.7000 psych level and coiled in a tight band, sitting just below EMA20 with RSI(14) around 43. The 0.69834 session low has held so far while the descent from 0.7050 marks lower highs.

Support: 0.69834, 0.69347

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70497

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back above 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.70497 100d sma zone
  • Loss of 0.69834 session low confirms a lower-low toward 0.6935
  • S&P Global Services PMI (23:00 UTC) could break this coil

00:02 UTC

Pullback from weekly high, momentum lower · RSI 42 · price 0.69973

Faded off 0.7050 rejection, holding 0.7000.

AUDUSD ran to a weekly high near 0.7045 and was rejected at the 0.7050 100-day SMA before fading through the NY session, with the USD rebound and soft China PMI capping the move. Price has since ground back to the 0.7000 psychological pivot and stalled in a tight, low-volume Asian range below EMA20. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s, consistent with the loss of upside momentum.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69834, 0.69219

Resistance: 0.70495, 0.7005

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6983 opens the path toward the 0.6924 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.7045 re-tests the 0.7050 100-day SMA ceiling
  • S&P Global Services/Composite PMI (Tue 23:00 UTC) could shift this range read

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