AUDUSD firmed toward 0.6949 through the week on soft-US-NFP USD weakness (57K vs ~110K), then handed some back and has coiled around 0.6936 since. Price holds above EMA(50) but has flattened into EMA(20) with RSI(14) back near 50, and resistance at 0.6945-0.6949 has capped the advance. Support has held around 0.6912 on the pullbacks.
Support: 0.6912, 0.6887, 0.68649
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69491, 0.6980
What it said to watch
TD-MI Inflation Gauge ~01:00 UTC Jul 6 could shift the AUD leg
H1 close above 0.69491 opens the 0.6980 range top
Loss of 0.6912 swing low exposes the 0.6887 support zone
US ISM Services / FOMC minutes drive the USD leg this week
AUDUSD ground higher through the week off Monday's 0.6865 base, spiking to 0.6949 into Friday's NY session as Thursday's soft US payrolls (57K vs ~110K) kept the USD offered. Since then price has stalled, coiling around 0.6935-0.6940 with RSI(14) drifting back to the low-50s as the weekend gap opened flat. The 0.6949 week high has capped the advance and price is now hovering on EMA(20).
Support: 0.6900, 0.6887, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6949 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
Loss of 0.6887 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6865 support zone
TD-MI Inflation Gauge ~01:00 UTC and US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher-lows into a tight consolidation below week high.
AUDUSD ground higher through the week off the 0.6865 base, spiking to a 0.69491 week high on Thursday's soft US payrolls before settling into a tight coil near 0.6935-0.6940. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 but the last two sessions have flattened with RSI(14) stalling mid-range, the pair trading as a USD/risk passenger. The week high has capped the advance while pullbacks keep finding demand around 0.6914.
Support: 0.6914, 0.6887, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.69491 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.69140 exposes the weekly open at 0.68870
US ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
22:02 UTC
Range, capped near week high · RSI 55 · price 0.69389
Consolidation below 0.6949 after NFP spike.
AUD pushed to a 0.6949 week high after Thursday's soft US payrolls trimmed the dollar, then stalled and has coiled in a tight 0.6928–0.6949 band into the holiday-thin session. Price holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering mid-range, showing no follow-through beyond the range top. The 0.6949 cap has rejected repeated probes while 0.6928 has contained the downside.
Support: 0.6928, 0.6887, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6949 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.6928 exposes 0.6887 and the 0.6865 week low
US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) and Waller could break the range
AUDUSD ran to 0.6949 after Thursday's soft US payrolls miss lifted risk and pressured the dollar, then handed back most of the move to consolidate near 0.6935 above the 200-DMA. Price is now hugging the EMA(20) with RSI(14) back at the midline after the impulse, holding a series of higher lows off Monday's 0.6865 base. The 0.6949 week high has capped follow-through, keeping the week's advance corrective within a broader 0.6870-0.6980 band.
Support: 0.6914, 0.68865, 0.68649
Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6949 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.6914 exposes the 0.6865 week low
US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC + Waller could shift the USD-driven read
AUDUSD climbed off Monday's 0.6866 base and spiked to a 0.69491 week high after Thursday's soft US payrolls trimmed the dollar, then faded back to consolidate around 0.6935 just above its 200-DMA. Price is holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling mid-range, but the last dozen bars have coiled tightly under the week high without conviction. The 0.69430–0.69491 band has capped every attempt this week.
Support: 0.6911, 0.6887, 0.6866
Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6943
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.69491 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.69110 confirms a lower low back toward 0.6887
US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) and Waller could shift this USD-driven read