AUDUSD has trended lower all week, with the Friday NFP beat entrenching hawkish-Fed USD strength and dragging price from 0.7148 to fresh 8-week lows near 0.7005. The 0.7040-0.7070 consolidation gave way during the NY session and price is pinned below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s with no bullish divergence yet on this fresh low.
Support: 0.70048, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7045, 0.70778
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7000 psych opens the path lower
Reclaim above 0.70450 ema20 needed to challenge 0.70778 prior high
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 35 · price 0.70186
Lower highs and lower lows, breakdown extended.
AUDUSD remains in a clear H1 downtrend, pressed to fresh 8-week lows near 0.7005 into the NY session yesterday after a strong US NFP entrenched hawkish-Fed bets. The break below the 0.7040 shelf accelerated supply, and price now consolidates just under 0.7032 with RSI(14) holding in oversold territory. Both EMA(20) and EMA(50) cap from above, keeping the bias structurally heavy.
Support: 0.70048, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7032
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7000 psych confirms downside continuation toward the yield-spread target
Reclaim of 0.70320 prior pivot would ease the breakdown pressure
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
22:03 UTC
Downtrend, pinned at lows · RSI 41 · price 0.70236
Lower highs, basing near 8-week low.
Aussie has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 0.7148 into the 0.7005 region after Friday's strong US NFP entrenched hawkish-Fed pricing. Price is locked below EMA20/EMA50 and has spent the last two sessions chopping in a tight 0.7020–0.7070 band just above the week low. RSI(14) sits sub-45 and has yet to print a divergence at the new lows.
Support: 0.70048, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7045, 0.7070, 0.70778
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70048 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.7000 psych level
H1 close back above 0.70700 would break the lower-high sequence
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Consumer Inflation Expectations Thu 01:00 UTC a secondary AUD risk
AUDUSD remains under pressure beneath EMA20 since Friday's NFP-driven slide, with the week's dominant move a stepped sell-off that printed a fresh low at 0.70048 during the latest NY session on sustained USD strength. Price sits back at 8-week lows around 0.7024 after a shallow bounce, with the 0.7000 psychological handle now the immediate downside reference. Resistance into 0.70620 and the 0.70778 week high has capped each rebound attempt.
Support: 0.70048, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7045, 0.7062, 0.70778
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7000 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of EMA20 near 0.70450 needed to ease downside pressure
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Downtrend extended into the NY session, with AUDUSD breaking below the 0.7050 week range to a fresh low at 0.70048 as post-NFP hawkish-Fed USD strength weighs and the China trade beat failed to hold a bid. The recovery toward 0.70778 earlier in the week was rejected and price has cycled back to 8-week lows. RSI sits sub-45 and price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.70048, 0.7000, 0.70212
Resistance: 0.70622, 0.70778
What it said to watch
US CPI repricing could press AUDUSD toward the 0.70000 psych level
Hourly close back above 0.70622 prior high would question the downside continuation
Failure to hold 0.70048 week low confirms the next lower-low
21:04 UTC
Downtrend, near 8-week lows · RSI 41 · price 0.70268
Lower highs, weekend gap down then failed bounce.
AUDUSD remains pinned near 8-week lows after Friday's blowout NFP entrenched a hawkish-Fed bid; a weekend gap down to 0.70227 was briefly bought back to 0.70778 before sellers reclaimed control. Price sits below EMA20 (~0.7050) with RSI(14) capped under 50 on each rebound, and the latest leg sank to 0.70048 before stabilising near 0.7027. The 0.70778 week high marks a clear lower high against the prior week's failed strength.
Support: 0.70048, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70505, 0.70622, 0.70778
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.70000 psych opens the path toward the lower yield-spread target
Reclaim of EMA20 / 0.70622 prior high would ease the lower-high structure
US CPI (Jun 10 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, near 8-week lows · RSI 41 · price 0.7026
Lower highs, fresh lower low at 0.7005.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week from Monday's 0.7128 open, with the dominant leg the NFP-driven, hawkish-Fed selloff that printed fresh 8-week lows at 0.7005. A relief bounce toward 0.7078 in the NY session faded and price slipped back under EMA20, holding just above the 0.7005 swing low into the close. RSI(14) sits near 41 after basing, with the broader structure of lower highs intact.
Support: 0.7005, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7062, 0.7078, 0.7148
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.7005 swing low confirms continuation toward the 0.7000 psych level
H1 close back above 0.7062 prior high would challenge the lower-high sequence
AUD/USD extended this week's downtrend, breaking the 0.7042-0.7070 consolidation during the NY session to print a fresh 8-week low at 0.7005 — the legacy of Friday's hot US NFP entrenching hawkish-Fed bets, with the soft China trade prop fading. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near oversold. The bounce off 0.7005 has stalled under 0.7035.
Support: 0.7005, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7062
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
An hourly close below 0.7000 confirms the next leg of the downtrend
Recovery above 0.7062 negates the breakdown
19:02 UTC
Downtrend, near 8-week lows · RSI 38 · price 0.70314
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh leg down.
AUDUSD remains pinned in a downtrend, having broken the 0.7040–0.7070 consolidation during the NY session to print a fresh leg low near 0.7005 before a shallow bounce to 0.7031. Post-NFP USD strength and fading RBA hike bets keep price below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) sitting in the mid-30s after the latest impulse. The week high near 0.7078 has capped every rebound attempt since Monday's open.
Support: 0.70048, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7052, 0.7070, 0.7078
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.7000 psych confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
H1 close back above the 0.7052 ema20 would soften the downtrend read
19:02 UTC
Downtrend, near 8-week lows · RSI 40 · price 0.70314
Lower highs and lower lows, bounce off week low.
AUDUSD extended its slide into the NY session, breaking down through 0.7050 to a fresh week low at 0.70048 before a shallow bounce back to 0.7031 — keeping the pair pinned near 8-week lows after Friday's strong US NFP entrenched a firmer dollar. Price sits below both H1 EMA20 (~0.7050) and EMA50, with RSI lifting off oversold after the impulse lower. The descending sequence of lower highs from this week's 0.70778 peak remains intact.
Support: 0.70048, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7050, 0.70778
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 0.7000 psych confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.70500 ema20 would neutralise the downside structure
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, near 8-week lows · RSI 37 · price 0.70291
Lower highs and lower lows since Friday.
Clean downtrend since Friday's blowout US NFP knocked the Aussie off 0.7140; price sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) and has carved successive lower highs through the week. The NY session yesterday drove a fresh 8-week low at 0.70048 before a shallow bounce back to 0.7029. RSI(14) near 37 reflects the persistent pressure, with the China trade beat earlier this week failing to prop the move.
Support: 0.70048, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7048, 0.7062, 0.7078
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next major driver for this read
Failure to hold 0.7000 psych confirms continuation lower
H1 close above 0.7080 resistance would break the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD remains in a clear H1 downtrend, pinned below EMA20/EMA50 and printing a fresh 8-week low at 0.7005 in the latest NY session as post-NFP USD strength and the hawkish-Fed repricing weighed. Tuesday's relief pop toward 0.7078 on China trade-beat and ceasefire optimism faded, and price has since broken the 0.7050 shelf to the downside. A modest bounce off 0.7005 has stalled near 0.7029.
Support: 0.70048, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7050, 0.70778
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close back above 0.7050 would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.7005 opens the 0.7000 psych level
AUDUSD has been heavy all week since Friday's blowout US NFP reset Fed bets hawkish, and the late NY session has driven a fresh leg down through the 0.7020 area to 8-week lows near 0.7016. Price sits well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pinned in the low 30s; the bounce to 0.7078 mid-week has fully unwound. The 0.7062 prior high now caps, with 0.7000 the next psychological reference below.
Support: 0.70048, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7062, 0.70778
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the key near-term USD driver and could reset this read
Sustained break below 0.7000 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.70620 would challenge the run of lower highs
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 0.70168
Lower highs, range break lower.
AUDUSD broke down through this-week's 0.7044–0.7077 range during the NY session, accelerating to fresh two-month lows near 0.7016 as post-NFP USD strength reasserted. Price sits well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pressed into the low-30s; the 0.7000 area flagged by analysts is now the next downside pivot. The earlier rebound toward 0.7077 on China trade and Mideast de-escalation has fully unwound.
Support: 0.70048, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7062
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the key near-term USD driver and could materially shift this read
Sustained break below 0.7000 extends the downtrend toward the well-telegraphed target
An hourly close back above 0.7062 would relieve the immediate downside pressure
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 36 · price 0.70272
Lower highs, range floor broken.
AUDUSD broke below the 0.7040–0.7077 range it held through the prior NY session and printed fresh 8-week lows near 0.7027 into this NY session, with price trading under both EMA20 and EMA50. The slide extends the post-NFP USD bid; the midweek bounce off 0.7020 to 0.7077 has fully unwound. RSI(14) sits near 36 with no bullish divergence as the lower-high sequence stays intact.
Support: 0.7020, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7052, 0.7077
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 0.7020 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.7052 (EMA20) would neutralise the breakdown read
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the key near-term USD driver and could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, near week lows · RSI 37 · price 0.70272
Lower highs, retest of weekly low.
AUDUSD remains in a downtrend after Friday's blowout US NFP dragged it to two-month lows; price reopened with a weekend gap down and the midweek bounce off 0.70195 toward 0.70778 has since faded. Sellers capped the rebound below the H1 EMA20 (~0.7050) and price is retesting the weekly low into the close, with RSI(14) back in the high-30s. The 0.70195 weekly low is the immediate pivot ahead of the 0.7000 psych level.
Support: 0.70195, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70505, 0.7062, 0.70778
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.70195 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of EMA20 (~0.7050) and 0.70620 would ease the lower-high structure
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the key near-term USD driver and could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
Downtrend, ranging near lows · RSI 43 · price 0.70404
Lower highs, basing above week low.
AUDUSD has been pinned near 8-week lows since Friday's NFP-driven slide from 0.7148, with the May NFP beat (172K vs 85K) reinforcing a hawkish Fed. Price has since ranged 0.7032–0.7078 below EMA20 and EMA50, RSI cycling in the 40s. The latest NY session leg probed 0.7032 before stabilising near 0.7040.
Support: 0.70319, 0.70195
Resistance: 0.70622, 0.70778, 0.7080
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70319 range low exposes the 0.70195 weekly low
Hourly close back above 0.70622 reclaims the range mid
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the key near-term USD driver and could reset this read
15:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 42 · price 0.70404
Lower highs after week-low recovery.
AUDUSD remains pinned near 8-week lows after Friday's blowout US NFP drove the leg down to ~0.7037. Monday's session gapped lower then recovered to 0.7077 on the China trade beat and Middle East de-escalation, but that bounce has faded into successive lower highs and price is back below EMA(20) testing the week-low band. RSI(14) is sub-45 with momentum rolling over as the latest NY session printed a fresh 0.7032 low before stabilising.
Support: 0.70372, 0.70319, 0.7000
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the key near-term USD driver and could reset this read
Sustained break below 0.7037/0.7032 opens the path toward 0.7000
H1 close above 0.7077 week high needed to negate the lower-high sequence
Friday's blowout US NFP drove the impulsive slide to ~0.7020, AUDUSD's weakest in roughly eight weeks. Since then price has based and ground back into a 0.7042-0.7078 range, sitting on its EMA20/EMA50 cluster with RSI(14) cycling near the midline. The recovery into the NY session has lacked follow-through, with supply capping each push toward 0.7078.
Support: 0.7042, 0.7025, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7078, 0.7080, 0.7105
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7042 reopens the 0.7025 week low and 0.7000 psych
Break above 0.7078 challenges the 0.7080/0.7105 cap
US CPI Wed 10 Jun could materially shift this read
Friday's blowout US NFP drove the slide to the 0.7034 recent low, with a weekend gap extending to the 0.7022 weekly low. A rounded recovery since carried price back toward the 0.7078 week high before stalling; AUDUSD is now consolidating around its EMA20 near 0.7050 with RSI flat mid-range, the higher-lows sequence still intact.
Support: 0.7034, 0.7022, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7078, 0.7105
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7078 reopens the 0.7105 cap
Loss of 0.7034 reopens the 0.7022 weekly low and 0.7000 psych
AUDUSD cratered through Friday's strong US NFP and printed a two-month low at 0.70195 on Monday's open before a steady recovery into the NY session lifted price back to mid-0.7000s. China's blowout trade surplus helped floor the move, and price now grinds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling around 55. The 0.70778 session high capped the rebound, leaving the pair consolidating between there and the 0.7037 reaction low.
Support: 0.70372, 0.70195, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70778, 0.7105
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70778 opens the path to 0.71050 prior congestion
Failure to hold 0.70372 reopens the 0.70195 two-month low and 0.7000 psych level
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
13:03 UTC
Downtrend, recovery off the lows · RSI 56 · price 0.70596
Consolidating above 2-month low after NFP drop.
AUDUSD was driven sharply lower by Friday's strong US NFP, dropping from the 0.7140s to a two-month low near 0.7020. Since the gap, price has carved a rounded recovery back toward mid-0.7000s, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling around 50-56. The 0.7070 session high has capped the rebound, while the 0.7080/0.7105 zone remains the broader cap.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7050, 0.7020
Resistance: 0.7070, 0.7080, 0.7105
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.7045 swing low reopens the 0.7020 two-month low and the 0.7000 area
H1 close above 0.7080 needed to extend the squeeze toward 0.7105
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation above week lows after sharp Friday drop.
AUDUSD sold off hard into Friday's strong US NFP, sliding from the mid-0.715s to a 0.7019 gap low, then staged a relief bounce on China's trade surplus beat and Mideast de-escalation to a wk high of 0.7078. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.7046–0.7060 range below EMA50, with RSI(14) flat near 52 — the recovery has lost momentum while holding above the range low. The whole structure is parked ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.7046, 0.70195, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7078, 0.7105
What it said to watch
US CPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range either way
Close back below 0.7046 range low reopens the 0.7019 gap low and 0.7000 psych
Close above 0.7078 wk high needed to extend the bounce toward 0.7105
Consolidation above Friday's low after sharp drop.
AUDUSD sold off hard on Friday's blowout US NFP, slicing from ~0.7143 to an 8-week low and gapping lower into Monday's open near 0.7020. Price has since clawed back toward the mid-0.7050s on the China trade surplus beat and Mideast de-escalation, but the move reads as a relief bounce within a broader downtrend, capped under the 0.7078 bounce high. RSI(14) has recovered to the low-50s as price holds above EMA(20).
Support: 0.70372, 0.70195, 0.7020
Resistance: 0.70778, 0.71026, 0.71433
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close below 0.70372 reopens the 0.7020 pivot and the week low
Close above 0.70778 extends the recovery toward the 0.7102 pre-drop shelf
Friday's blowout US NFP drove the sharp leg down to a week low at 0.7019, since when price has based and ranged 0.7044–0.7078. Price now sits just above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) back near 53, the recovery off the low rounding out rather than extending. Two attempts at 0.7078 capped this week; the range top still holds.
Support: 0.7044, 0.7019, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7070, 0.7078, 0.7105
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the primary directional driver — could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7078 breaks the range top and opens 0.7105 supply
Loss of 0.7044 reopens the week low at 0.7019 and the 0.7000 psych level
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after slide · RSI 51 · price 0.70561
Range-bound base above 0.7035.
AUDUSD slid hard Friday on the blowout US payrolls, dropping from 0.714 to the 0.704 base, and has since chopped sideways in a 0.7042-0.7078 range. Price is holding just above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling near 50, while EMA50 caps overhead. The China trade beat failed to lift the Aussie meaningfully, leaving US CPI Wednesday as the swing factor.
Support: 0.7042, 0.70195, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7070, 0.70778
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.70778 invalidates the range top
Failure to hold 0.70420 reopens the week low at 0.70195
10:02 UTC
Downtrend stabilising, sideways base · RSI 49 · price 0.70496
Range after impulsive drop and weekend gap.
AUD/USD sold off hard into Friday's strong US NFP, sliding from ~0.7143 to 0.7037 before a weekend gap opened the week near 0.7020. Price has since clawed back to a 0.7078 high and now coils in a 0.7040-0.7060 range, hugging EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat around 49. EMA(50) still sits overhead, keeping the broader bias below the pre-NFP highs.
Support: 0.7037, 0.70195, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70778, 0.7105
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the primary directional driver for the next sessions
H1 close above 0.70778 wk high opens the path toward 0.7105 resistance
Failure to hold 0.7037 session low exposes the 0.7020 week low and 0.7000 psych
10:02 UTC
Downtrend stabilising into range · RSI 48 · price 0.70496
Consolidation above week low after NFP slump.
Friday's blowout US payrolls drove AUDUSD off the 0.717 region down to the 0.702 week low, its sharpest leg this week. Price has since recovered into a 0.704-0.707 consolidation and now sits near 0.7050, capped by the 0.70778 recovery high and holding above the 0.70341 day low. Momentum is flat with RSI cycling mid-range and price tracking a flat EMA(20).
Support: 0.70341, 0.70195, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70701, 0.70778, 0.7120
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the primary directional driver for this read
H1 close above 0.70778 invalidates the consolidation cap
Failure to hold 0.70341 opens the path back to the 0.70195 week low then 0.7000
09:03 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 49 · price 0.70519
Range above post-NFP lows after sharp decline.
AUDUSD remains in a downtrend after Friday's blowout US payrolls drove it to its weakest since mid-April, with the dominant move down to the 0.70195 weekly low. Since then price has based in a 0.7037–0.7078 range, with demand stepping in twice around the swing low to form a double bottom and a recovery now stalling under the 0.70700 prior high. Price hugs EMA20 near 0.7050 while RSI(14) cycles around the midline — the China trade beat failed to lift the Aussie meaningfully.
Support: 0.7037, 0.70195
Resistance: 0.7070, 0.70778
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the primary driver and can break this range
H1 close above 0.70778 week high invalidates the range read
Failure to hold the 0.70195 weekly low opens the path toward 0.7000
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after the drop · RSI 49 · price 0.70519
Range-bound base 0.7034-0.7070 post-NFP slide.
AUDUSD sold off hard from the 0.717 region into Friday's NFP beat (172K vs 85K), bottoming near 0.7034 before a weekend gap-down and recovery. Since the gap, price has chopped sideways in a 0.7034-0.7070 base, with RSI(14) flat near 49 and price hugging EMA20 while EMA50 still caps overhead. China's trade surplus beat failed to lift the Aussie, leaving US CPI Wednesday as the swing factor.
Support: 0.7034, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7070, 0.7080
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.7034 confirms a lower low and opens 0.7000 psych
Close above 0.7070 range top targets the 0.7080 supply cap
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the primary directional driver for this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sweep of lows · RSI 51 · price 0.70505
Lower highs into weekly low, now ranging.
AUDUSD has been pinned in a downtrend since Friday's blowout US NFP supercharged hawkish-Fed bets, dragging price to a near eight-week low at 0.70195 over the weekend gap lower. NY hours yesterday saw a recovery off that base, lifting price back to the EMA(20) around 0.7050 with RSI(14) cycling back to neutral. The 0.70778 week high has capped the bounce and the 0.7035–0.7078 range now defines the picture.
Support: 0.70341, 0.70195, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70778
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver for this read
Sustained break of 0.70195 weekly low opens the 0.7000 psych level
H1 close above 0.70778 week high would shift the range top higher
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.70505
Post-drop range above week low.
AUDUSD sold off hard from 0.71764 through Friday's NFP shock into a near eight-week low, with the bulk of the damage in the NY session as hawkish-Fed repricing lifted the USD. Since the weekend gap, price has based and recovered toward 0.70778 before settling back into a 0.7034–0.7062 range, with price hugging EMA(20) and RSI(14) flattening near 49. The 0.7080 area aligns with the 38.2% retracement of the week's decline and has capped the relief bounce.
Support: 0.70339, 0.70195
Resistance: 0.7062, 0.70778
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed Jun 10 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver for this read
H1 close below 0.70339 reopens the week low at 0.70195
Base building after impulsive sell-off, higher lows forming.
AUDUSD opened the week near 0.7165 and sold off hard after Friday's strong US NFP, bottoming at the 0.70195 week low. Price has since built a base with higher lows and RSI recovering through 50, but the 0.70778/0.7080 zone has capped the rebound. Buyers stepping in repeatedly above 0.7034 while supply caps the 0.7080 area.
Support: 0.70339, 0.70195, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70778, 0.7080, 0.7105
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7080 opens the path toward the 0.7105 prior high
Loss of 0.70195 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
US CPI Wed could materially shift this read via the USD leg
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovery off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.70593
Higher lows since Monday's low after NFP slide.
Friday's blowout US NFP drove the dominant move of the week, slamming AUDUSD from 0.7176 to a near eight-week low at 0.7020 into Monday's open. Price has since carved a series of higher lows back above EMA(20), reclaiming the 0.7050s with RSI(14) recovering through 56. The 0.7070 session high and the 0.7080 cap flagged in the digest are the levels capping the rebound; downside still anchored to the 0.7034 week low.
Support: 0.7048, 0.7034, 0.70195
Resistance: 0.7070, 0.7080, 0.7105
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant USD driver — could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7080 cap opens the path back toward 0.7105
Loss of 0.7034 week low reopens the 0.7020 / 0.7000 zone
Failure to hold EMA(20) near 0.7048 stalls the recovery
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to base · RSI 52 · price 0.70559
Consolidation above week low after Friday's selloff.
Friday's hot US NFP (172K) drove AUD/USD into an eight-week low near 0.7020, with the steep drop concentrated in the NY session. This week reopened with a weekend gap lower then a recovery toward 0.70778, since faded into a tight 0.7044–0.7060 consolidation. Price sits just above EMA(20) but capped under EMA(50) with RSI mid-range; the base is holding but the recovery lacks follow-through.
Support: 0.7043, 0.7020, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70778, 0.7080
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.70778 opens the path toward the 0.7080 supply band
Failure to hold 0.70430 re-exposes the 0.7020 week low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the key external catalyst for this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 51 · price 0.70559
Lower highs, recovery off weekly low.
AUDUSD slid from Monday's 0.716 zone to a weekly low near 0.7020 on Friday's hot US NFP print, then recovered through the weekend gap to ~0.7078 before fading. Price is consolidating just above EMA(20) but under EMA(50), with the bounce capped at the 0.70778 week high; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 51 after lifting off oversold. The 0.7042 swing low has held the most recent pullback.
Support: 0.7042, 0.7020, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70778, 0.7105
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the main external catalyst and could reshape this read
H1 close below 0.7042 swing low reopens the 0.7020 weekly low and 0.7000 psych
Reclaim of the 0.70778 week high needed to expose the 0.7105 resist band
Consolidation above two-month low after NFP slide.
Friday's blowout US NFP triggered a sharp slide from the 0.7143 area to a two-month low at 0.7019, with the weekend gap reopening lower before demand stepped in. Price has since carved a rounded base, bouncing to a session high of 0.7078 and now consolidating in the mid-0.7050s, holding back above EMA20 while EMA50 still caps overhead. RSI(14) has recovered to neutral, reflecting the pause rather than fresh momentum.
Support: 0.70195, 0.70339, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70778, 0.7080, 0.7105
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Sustained break of 0.7020 opens the 0.7000 handle
H1 close above 0.7080 invalidates the lower-high structure
AUDUSD remains heavy after Friday's blowout US NFP (172K vs ~85K) dragged the pair to a two-month low near 0.7020, with a weekend gap down compounding the slide. Since the gap, price has based in a 0.7034–0.7078 range, with demand stepping in around the base and supply capping the 0.7078 week high. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold toward the mid-40s but price sits below EMA(50), keeping the broader tone soft into US CPI.
Support: 0.7042, 0.70339, 0.70195
Resistance: 0.70778
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.7034 base reopens the 0.7020 2mo low and the 0.7000 handle
H1 close above 0.7078 week high invalidates the consolidation read
Consolidation above week low after sharp sell-off.
AUD/USD fell hard from 0.7170 across the week as a blowout US NFP and hawkish Fed repricing drove broad USD demand, bottoming near 0.7020 into Monday's session. A corrective bounce stretched to 0.7078 before stalling, and price is now drifting back toward 0.7044 below the EMA(20), with RSI(14) cycling in the low-40s. Demand has stepped in twice around 0.7020 but the rebound lacks follow-through.
Support: 0.70339, 0.70195, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7052, 0.70587, 0.70778
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant USD driver and could materially shift this read
Hourly close back above 0.7058 would reopen the 0.7078 bounce high
Loss of 0.7034 puts the 0.7020 week low back in play
AUDUSD sold off sharply Friday into the weekend on the blowout US NFP (172K) and a firmer USD, bottoming near 0.7020 before a corrective bounce to 0.70778 stalled. Price has since drifted back under EMA(20) and EMA(50), with supply capping at the 0.7058 prior high and demand holding the 0.7034 swing low. RSI(14) sits in the mid-40s, reflecting a fading rebound rather than fresh momentum.
Support: 0.70339, 0.70195
Resistance: 0.70587, 0.70778
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70587 reopens the 0.70778 week high
Failure to hold 0.70339 exposes the 0.70195 weekly low
US May CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term USD driver for this read
AUDUSD sold off hard mid-week as the hot US NFP print (172K) fuelled USD demand, driving the pair to an 8-week low near 0.7020. A corrective recovery has lifted price back toward 0.7078, but it has stalled and now sits just under the EMA20 around 0.7051 with RSI(14) cycling mid-range — the bounce is corrective rather than a trend turn. Demand has stepped in twice around 0.7034 in the latest NY session while supply caps below the EMA cluster.
Support: 0.70339, 0.70195
Resistance: 0.7051, 0.70778, 0.7105
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7078 session high opens the 0.7105 supply zone
Failure to hold 0.7034 day low reopens the 0.7020 week low
US May CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could reshape this read
AUDUSD sold off hard on Friday's hot US NFP, dropping from the 0.7140s to a near two-month low around 0.7020 — the dominant move of the week. Price has since recovered into a 0.7034–0.7078 range and is now drifting back below EMA20 and EMA50, with the corrective bounce losing momentum. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, reflecting the stall after the rebound.
Support: 0.70339, 0.70195
Resistance: 0.70505, 0.70778, 0.7105
What it said to watch
US May CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could reshape this read
H1 close below 0.70195 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.7000
Reclaim of the 0.70778 session high reopens the 0.7080/0.7105 resistance zone
AUDUSD sold off hard into Friday's NY session after the hot US NFP (172K) reset Fed bets, printing a week low near 0.7020. Since the Monday reopen the pair has staged a corrective recovery to 0.7057, reclaiming EMA20 while the session high at 0.7078 caps the bounce. RSI(14) has lifted back toward 52 off oversold but price remains below EMA50, keeping the broader decline intact.
Support: 0.7034, 0.7020
Resistance: 0.7078, 0.7105
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7078 opens the path back to the 0.7105 supply zone
Loss of 0.7034 reopens the 0.7020 week low
US May CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant USD driver and could reshape this read
AUDUSD sold off hard through the NY session after Friday's strong US NFP and a safe-haven USD bid, printing an 8-week low near 0.7020. A corrective bounce since the weekly reopen carried back to 0.70778 before fading, with price now stabilising above EMA(20) and RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward 50. The 0.70666 fib zone caps the rebound while EMA(50) sits overhead — US CPI Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.70339, 0.70195
Resistance: 0.70666, 0.70778
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70666 fib opens the path to 0.70778 swing high
Failure to hold 0.70339 swing low exposes the 0.70195 week low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the week from ~0.7180 into an 8-week low at 0.7020, driven by hawkish-Fed repricing after Friday's 172K NFP and a USD risk premium. Price has since clawed back to a 0.7070 bounce high — a corrective rebound rather than a turn — and is now consolidating around 0.7045, holding above the 0.7034 recent low while staying below EMA20. RSI sits mid-range as the bounce loses momentum.
Support: 0.7034, 0.7020
Resistance: 0.7070, 0.7080, 0.7105
What it said to watch
US May CPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could redefine this read
H1 close above 0.7070 bounce high opens the 0.7080 resistance
Loss of 0.7020 8-week low confirms continuation toward 0.7000
A USD-dominated week — Friday's 172K NFP and Mideast risk drove AUD to an 8-week low near 0.7020. Price gapped down into Monday's open then bounced to 0.70778 during the NY session before fading back to consolidate around 0.7045, capped under the EMA20 (~0.7051). The recovery looks corrective; RSI(14) is sitting mid-40s and pullbacks are not reclaiming the moving averages.
Support: 0.7034, 0.70195
Resistance: 0.7051, 0.70778
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.7051 ema20 needed to extend the bounce toward 0.70778
Loss of 0.70340 swing low reopens the 0.70195 8wk low and the 0.7000 zone
US May CPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) is the dominant external catalyst and could override this read
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 41 · price 0.70376
Lower highs below EMAs after gap-down.
AUDUSD sold off hard through Friday's NY session on the strong US NFP print and USD safe-haven bid, then opened with a weekend gap-down to a fresh week low at 0.70195. The recovery into the latest session stalled at 0.70778 and price is fading back toward 0.7040, holding below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) sub-45. Lower-high structure remains intact below 0.70700.
Support: 0.70195, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7054, 0.7070
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.70195 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.70540 EMA20 would soften the lower-high read
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
AUDUSD trended lower all week, with the dominant leg a sharp NY-session sell-off from ~0.7142 to 0.7037 as the strong US NFP and Mideast risk lifted USD. A Monday-into-NY recovery stalled at 0.7078 and faded back below EMA(20), printing a lower high while the 0.7020/0.7025 floor holds. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering in the low-40s as the Asian range compresses.
Support: 0.7025, 0.7020, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7050, 0.7078, 0.7105
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.7020 opens UOB's 0.7000 target
Reclaim of 0.7078 lower high needed to challenge the 0.7105 supply zone
US May CPI Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read