AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Tuesday, 14 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:03 UTC

Uptrend after breakout, consolidating · RSI 62 · price 0.69719

Impulse up then tight range below week high.

AUDUSD ripped higher into the NY session after the soft US June CPI print, clearing the 0.6950 prior cap and tagging 0.6992 (week high) before settling into a tight band near 0.6972. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cooling from the impulse peak, and the 0.6967 swing low has contained the pullback so far. The breakout structure stays intact while consolidation continues below 0.6992.

Support: 0.6967, 0.6950, 0.6913

Resistance: 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6992 opens the path higher toward the range extension
  • Failure to hold 0.6950 negates the breakout back into the prior range
  • US PPI cluster and Warsh testimony Wed 12:30-14:00 GMT could reprice USD and shift this read

23:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 0.69719

Post-breakout consolidation above range.

The Aussie broke the week's 0.6910-0.6950 band and spiked to 0.6992 as the dollar sold off on the soft June US CPI miss, before settling into a tight consolidation around 0.697. Price holds above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with the former now acting as the pullback floor, though RSI has flattened in the mid-50s as the impulse loses steam. The 0.6975 former range top is the near line in the sand, now being tested from above.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6950, 0.6932

Resistance: 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • Sustained slip below 0.6950 pivot reopens the 0.6932 weekly-open area
  • A close above 0.6992 week high extends the CPI-driven breakout
  • US PPI cluster and Warsh testimony could reprice the dollar and shift this read

22:03 UTC

Recovery leg, momentum easing · RSI 61 · price 0.69738

Higher lows off week low, capping at range top.

AUDUSD broke out of its 0.6913-0.6950 base and spiked to the 0.6992 week high after June US CPI missed across the board, then eased into a tight consolidation near 0.6975. Price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the high-50s/low-60s. The 0.6975 range top has capped the pullback so far, holding the UOB 0.6890-0.6975 band intact.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6932, 0.6913

Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6975 range top opens the path to 0.6992 week high
  • Failure to hold 0.6950 9-day pivot would negate the recovery leg
  • US PPI / Warsh testimony risk could shift the USD read into the next sessions

22:03 UTC

Recovering, momentum up post-CPI · RSI 61 · price 0.69738

Broke range top, easing into retest.

AUDUSD forced through the 0.6975 range top into the NY session after June US CPI missed across the board, spiking to 0.6992 before easing back to retest the breakout near 0.6974. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half, so the week's range grind has given way to an upside impulse. The 0.6975 line is now the pivot between confirmed break and false start.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6932, 0.6913

Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close back below 0.6950 reopens the prior range
  • Failure to hold 0.6975 on the retest flags a false break
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations Thu 01:00 UTC could shift the read

21:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum consolidating · RSI 61 · price 0.69739

Range break higher, holding gains.

AUD broke the week's 0.6910-0.6950 band and ran to 0.6992 through the NY session as the soft US June CPI miss undercut the dollar. Price now consolidates just under the 0.6975 range top with RSI(14) cooling off from the impulse, holding above EMA20 and EMA50. The prior 0.6950 cap is the first pivot back into the old range.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6932, 0.6912

Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 0.6975 opens the path to the 0.6992 week high
  • Failure to hold 0.6950 puts price back inside the prior range toward 0.6932
  • US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could materially shift the USD read

21:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 61 · price 0.69739

Impulse off week low, consolidating under 0.6975.

AUDUSD cleared the 0.6950 pivot into the NY session and spiked to 0.6983 as the soft US June CPI print unwound USD longs, before easing back to consolidate just under the 0.6975 range top. Price holds above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI near 61, but the well-documented 0.6890-0.6975 weekly band is capping the move again. The rally reversed the earlier week slide from the 0.6917 low.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6932, 0.6917

Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6983

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 0.6975 opens the weekly range top and 0.6983 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6950 pivot drops price back into the mid-range toward 0.6932
  • US PPI and Warsh testimony could reshape the USD leg of this move

20:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after spike · RSI 61 · price 0.69716

Post-breakout consolidation above range top.

AUD/USD ripped higher into the NY session, tearing from ~0.6944 to a week high 0.6992 as the soft US June CPI miss undercut the dollar. Price has since drifted back to consolidate just above 0.6970, holding well clear of the 0.6932 9-day EMA. The rally cleared the prior 0.6975 cap that had contained action all week, which now acts as the pivot for the breakout.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6932, 0.6890

Resistance: 0.6975, 0.69922

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 0.6992 opens the path higher through the range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6950 negates the CPI-driven recovery back into the prior range
  • US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could materially shift the USD read

20:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing after CPI spike · RSI 59 · price 0.69716

Impulse higher, now consolidating below highs.

AUDUSD broke sharply higher into the NY session after the soft US June CPI print undercut the dollar, spiking from 0.6944 to a session high near 0.6992. Price has since eased back to 0.6972 and is drifting in a tight range below the 0.6975 range top, holding well above EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) has cooled from overbought toward 59 as the post-CPI momentum fades.

Support: 0.6969, 0.6950, 0.6932

Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 0.6975 reopens the 0.6992 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6969 exposes the 0.6950 range mid
  • US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could re-shift the USD read and this range

19:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing after CPI spike · RSI 64 · price 0.69741

Broke this-week range, holding above prior cap.

AUDUSD broke above the week's 0.6913-0.6945 range after the soft US CPI print, spiking to a 0.6992 week high before easing back toward 0.6974. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) elevated near the mid-60s. The 0.6968 breakout zone is the first area to watch on a pullback.

Support: 0.6968, 0.6945, 0.6913

Resistance: 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69680 would put the breakout back in question
  • Reclaim and hold above 0.69920 opens the 0.6992 week high extension
  • PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could shift the USD-driven read

19:03 UTC

Uptrend, pausing after impulse · RSI 62 · price 0.69741

Higher highs, consolidating below week high.

AUDUSD broke out of its 0.6944-0.6975 band during the NY session yesterday, spiking to a week high 0.69922 as the soft US June CPI print undercut the dollar. Price is now consolidating just under 0.6975 and holding above EMA20, with RSI(14) cooling from the impulse but still above 50. The 0.69683 pullback low has held on the retrace so far.

Support: 0.69683, 0.6944, 0.69144

Resistance: 0.69922

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 0.69922 extends the breakout toward fresh highs
  • Loss of 0.69683 opens a deeper retrace to the 0.6944 prior high
  • US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

18:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing after spike · RSI 62 · price 0.69749

Broke week's grind, pulling back below high.

AUDUSD broke the week's 0.6910-0.6950 grind on the soft US June CPI print, spiking through the NY session to a 0.6992 week high before easing back to the 0.6975 range top. Price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low 60s. The range top continues to cap the advance while pullbacks so far hold well above the prior swing low at 0.6944.

Support: 0.6944, 0.6913

Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6992 week high opens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 0.6944 swing low returns price into the week's grind
  • Consumer Inflation Expectations Thu 01:00 UTC could shift the read

18:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 65 · price 0.69749

Higher highs since Wednesday low, breakout above range.

AUDUSD punched off the 0.6913 low through the 0.6950 cap and into the 0.6975 range top after the soft US June CPI print dragged the dollar broadly lower. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-60s, showing the strongest impulse of the week during NY hours; the 0.6992 week high was tagged before a modest pullback to 0.6975. The 0.6944 pullback shelf is the first structural support on any give-back.

Support: 0.6944, 0.6930, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade above 0.6975 range top opens the path back to the 0.6992 week high
  • Loss of the 0.6944 pullback shelf reintroduces the 0.6930 range mid
  • US PPI and Warsh testimony (Jul 15) could reprice the dollar and shift this read

17:04 UTC

Uptrend, fresh momentum after breakout · RSI 65 · price 0.69779

Breakout above weekly range top.

AUDUSD punched through the 0.6970/0.6975 range top that had capped it all week after June US CPI printed soft across the board, knocking the dollar off its highs. The dominant move came in the NY session as one bar spiked from 0.6944 to 0.6992; price is now consolidating just above the former resistance. RSI(14) is elevated near 65 and price sits well above both EMA(20) and EMA(50).

Support: 0.6975, 0.6944, 0.6913

Resistance: 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.6975 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below reverts to the prior range
  • Rejection at the 0.6992 week high would cap the extension
  • Consumer Inflation Expectations (Thu 01:00 UTC) could shift the AUD read

17:03 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout momentum · RSI 66 · price 0.69779

Range break above 0.6970 top.

AUDUSD spiked from ~0.6944 to 0.6992 in the NY session after the soft US June CPI print undercut the hawkish dollar trade, clearing the week's 0.6970/75 range top. Price is holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI elevated near 66 after the impulse. The 0.69683 pullback low is the first level demand needs to hold to keep the breakout structure intact.

Support: 0.69683, 0.6944, 0.6913

Resistance: 0.69922

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.6970 confirms the range break; a close back below 0.6944 negates it
  • US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could revive the hawkish USD trade and cap this rally
  • Failure to hold 0.69683 opens a retest of the 0.6944 breakout area

16:03 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 64 · price 0.69711

Range break above 0.6950 cap.

AUDUSD ripped through the 0.6950 cap and the 0.6975 range top into the NY session after the soft US June CPI print knocked the dollar, tagging a week high at 0.6992 before easing to 0.6971. Price sits well above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) elevated near 64 after the impulse off the 0.6913 swing low. The old 0.6975 range top and 0.6944 breakout shelf now become the reference supports for the move.

Support: 0.6944, 0.6913, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.6975

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.6944 keeps the breakout intact; an H1 close back below negates it
  • Close above 0.6992 week high opens the path higher
  • US core PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC could re-ignite USD and shift this read

16:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after breakout · RSI 64 · price 0.69711

Range break higher, first pullback.

AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned sub-0.6950, basing off the 0.6913 low, before the soft US June CPI miss during NY hours triggered a sharp break to a 0.6992 week high. Price has since pulled back to 0.6971, holding above both EMAs with RSI(14) elevated near 64 but easing off the impulse high. The 0.6950 area that capped for four sessions is now the immediate reference on the downside.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6913

Resistance: 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • Hold above the 0.6950 prior cap keeps the breakout structure intact; a close back below reopens the week low at 0.6913
  • US core PPI tomorrow (15 Jul) could re-price the USD and reshape this read
  • Reclaim of 0.6992 week high needed to extend the CPI-driven move

15:02 UTC

Breakout higher, momentum strong · RSI 71 · price 0.69852

Range break above weekly cap.

AUDUSD spent Monday and Tuesday boxed between 0.6910 and 0.6950, then broke out sharply into the NY session as June US CPI undershot forecasts and softened the USD. Price cleared the 0.6950 cap that held all week and is now testing the 0.6975 range top from underneath, with RSI(14) stretched near 71 after the impulse. EMA20 and EMA50 sit well below spot around the 0.6945 region.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6950, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close back below 0.6950 would negate the range break
  • 0.6992 session high and 0.7000 round number cap the extension
  • Fed speakers and ongoing Warsh testimony this afternoon could shift the USD read
  • US PPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst

15:02 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout momentum · RSI 72 · price 0.69852

Range break to the upside.

AUDUSD broke the 0.6950 weekly cap and cleared 0.6975 during the NY session as a soft US June CPI print (core YoY 2.6% vs 2.8%) knocked the dollar. Price ran to a 0.6992 session high with RSI(14) stretched into the low-70s, holding well above both EMAs after grinding sideways through the 0.6910-0.6950 range earlier in the week. The 0.6975 prior cap now sits as the first support on any pullback.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6944, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6975 would put the breakout back into the prior 0.6910-0.6950 range
  • Fed speakers and Warsh testimony this afternoon could reverse the post-CPI dollar move
  • Wed US PPI (12:30 GMT) is the next material catalyst for this read

14:03 UTC

Breakout higher, momentum strong · RSI 74 · price 0.69817

Week range broken to the upside.

AUDUSD spent Monday–Wednesday grinding sideways-to-lower in a 0.6913–0.6953 band before the soft US June CPI print cracked the USD and drove a sharp breakout above the 0.6950 cap into the NY session, spiking to 0.6983. Price now sits well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) stretched into overbought after the impulse. The 0.6950 prior cap flips to the first area to watch on any pullback.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6944, 0.69123

Resistance: 0.6983

What it said to watch

  • Fed Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
  • H1 close back below 0.6950 negates the range break
  • Holding above 0.6950 on a retest keeps the breakout intact

14:02 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 72 · price 0.69817

Range break to the upside.

AUDUSD tore through the week-long 0.6975 range top after a soft US June CPI print softened the Dollar, spiking from the 0.6944 breakout base to test 0.6983. Price sits well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pushed to ~71, reflecting the momentum of the NY-session move. The prior 0.6950 cap and 0.6975 range top now sit below spot as the first reference on any pullback.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6944, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.6983, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.6975 range top keeps the range break intact; loss of it signals a false break back into the prior range
  • A sustained push through 0.6983 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Fed Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

13:03 UTC

Breakout, momentum turning up · RSI 71 · price 0.69713

Cleared weekly range top on CPI.

AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned in a 0.6910-0.6950 range before the last NY hour surged through the 0.6950 cap to a session high at 0.6983 on the soft US June CPI print. Price now trades above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pushing into the low-70s. The 0.6975 range top is the immediate area to watch for either acceptance or rejection.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6932, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6983

What it said to watch

  • Sustained H1 close above 0.6975 range top keeps the breakout intact toward 0.6983+
  • Failure to hold the former 0.6950 range cap puts price back inside the week's range
  • Fed Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

13:03 UTC

Recovering, breakout higher · RSI 68 · price 0.69713

Range break above 0.6950 cap.

AUDUSD popped through the 0.6950 cap that held all week as a soft US June CPI print took the USD bid off, driving a ~130-pip candle off the 0.6912 week low into NY hours. Price now presses the 0.6975 range top with RSI(14) near 68 and holding above both EMAs. The week's descending drift has been reversed by this single impulse; the range top is the next structural test.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6944, 0.69123

Resistance: 0.6975

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade above 0.6975 opens room beyond the week's range top
  • A close back below 0.6950 negates the breakout and returns price to the range
  • Fed Warsh testimony and Fed speakers this session could reshape the USD read

12:03 UTC

Rangebound, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 0.69431

Range with higher lows into 0.6950 cap.

AUDUSD stabilised on a double-bottom around 0.6913 mid-week and pushed back to 0.6953 in the London session, but the 0.6950 cap held and price sits mid-range near 0.6943, back above EMA20 (~0.6932). Domestic data firmed on the margin while a risk-off USD bid tied to US-Iran headlines has kept the pair boxed in 0.6910-0.6953. RSI(14) cycling near 53 reflects the two-way, capped price action.

Support: 0.6932, 0.69144, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69531

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 0.6950 cap opens the path to the week high and 0.6975
  • Failure to hold 0.69144 swing low risks 0.6900 and confirms a lower-low

12:03 UTC

Range, mild recovery bias · RSI 58 · price 0.69431

Week range holding, higher lows off 0.6913.

AUDUSD has churned within the 0.6913-0.6953 band all week, slipping from Friday's highs on US-Iran risk-off before buyers stepped in twice around 0.6913 to build a series of higher lows. Price sits back above EMA20 (~0.6935) with RSI cycling in the mid-50s, but the 0.6950 cap has repeatedly held. The pair is coiled directly ahead of US June CPI, which will set the next impulse.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6913, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69531, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 0.6950 opens the path to the 0.69692 range top
  • Loss of 0.6913 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.6900

11:03 UTC

Range within descending channel, near-term bounce · RSI 54 · price 0.69396

Boxed 0.6913-0.6970, higher lows off Tuesday low.

Since Monday's open AUDUSD slid into Tuesday to a 0.6913 week low before buyers stepped in twice around that level and lifted the pair back to 0.6953 into today's NY hours. The 0.6970 weekly high has capped repeated attempts this week, keeping price boxed in a descending channel. Price now sits just above EMA20 (~0.6931) with RSI mid-range, coiling ahead of US CPI.

Support: 0.6931, 0.6913, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6953, 0.6970

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 GMT today is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
  • H1 close above 0.6970 would break the weekly range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6913 confirms a lower-low toward 0.6900

11:03 UTC

Recovery within a broader range · RSI 54 · price 0.69396

Bounced off week low, capped near 0.6953.

AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6913 into Tuesday's Asia hours and recovered through the NY session, tagging 0.6953 before rejection pared the move back to 0.6939. Price holds above the ~0.6932 nine-day/EMA pivot but the week's repeated failures at 0.6970 keep the descending-channel range intact. US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst.

Support: 0.6932, 0.6913, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6953, 0.6970

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI (12:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 0.6953 opens the path to the 0.6970 cap
  • Failure to hold the 0.6932 ema pivot exposes the 0.6913 week low

10:03 UTC

Recovery off week low, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 0.69507

Higher lows since Tuesday, retracing weekly decline.

AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6913 into Monday's Asia session and has climbed back above both EMAs, retracing the decline from the 0.6970 weekly high. The advance accelerated through the NY session with RSI(14) pushing into the low-60s, and price now presses the 0.6953 prior-high shelf. The week's descending-channel top around 0.6970 remains the cap that stopped two earlier attempts.

Support: 0.6928, 0.6913, 0.6922

Resistance: 0.6953, 0.6970

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 GMT today is the dominant USD driver and could reset this read
  • H1 close above 0.6953 opens the path back to the 0.6970 week high
  • Failure to hold the 0.6928 EMA20 reopens the 0.6913 week low

10:02 UTC

Recovering off week low · RSI 63 · price 0.69507

Range, testing upper third.

Aussie has clawed back from the ~0.6913 week low set overnight, reclaiming EMA20/EMA50 and pushing into the 0.6950 session high with RSI(14) near 63. The week has been boxed between 0.6913 and the 0.6970 week high, which capped repeated attempts as US-Iran risk-off underpinned the dollar. The bounce off 0.6913 forms a rough double bottom against the earlier week open, but the range top remains intact.

Support: 0.6932, 0.6913, 0.6890

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6970

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 GMT today is the dominant near-term catalyst
  • H1 close above 0.6970 week high opens the path higher
  • Loss of 0.6913 week low confirms a lower-low toward 0.6890

09:04 UTC

Range-bound, recovering off week low · RSI 59 · price 0.69444

Lower highs within broader descending channel.

AUDUSD carved this-week's low at 0.6913 during the London session and has since retraced most of the week's decline back toward the 0.6946 weekly open ahead of today's US CPI. Price now holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovered to the high-50s, but the pair stays inside the broader 0.6913-0.6969 range with lower highs still capping. The 12:30 UTC CPI print is the dominant near-term driver.

Support: 0.6928, 0.6913

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could break the 0.6913-0.6969 range
  • Reclaim of 0.6969 range top needed to resume the risk-on bounce
  • Failure to hold 0.6913 confirms a lower low toward the channel base

09:03 UTC

Range-bound, near-term recovery · RSI 58 · price 0.69444

Recovering off week's low, back inside range.

AUDUSD has recovered from Monday's dip to 0.6913 back through the 0.6932 pivot, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling back above 55. Price remains boxed in the 0.6890-0.6975 band that has held all week after Friday's rejection near 0.6969. Move sits ahead of US June CPI (12:30 UTC), the dominant driver for the next session.

Support: 0.6932, 0.6913, 0.6890

Resistance: 0.69458, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could break the 0.6890-0.6975 range either way
  • H1 close back below 0.6932 pivot reopens the 0.6913 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69692 week high needed to challenge range top

08:03 UTC

Range, recovering off week low · RSI 56 · price 0.69409

Range-bound, higher lows forming.

AUDUSD tagged the 0.6969 week high early in the window before sliding back to the 0.6914 week low as fresh US-Iran risk-off revived the USD bid. Since then price has clawed back above EMA20, printing higher lows into 0.6928 and now stalling near the 0.6946 recent high; RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-50s. Move is roughly a 50% retrace of the 0.6969-0.6914 leg — US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant swing factor.

Support: 0.6928, 0.6914, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
  • Close above 0.6946 opens the path back to the 0.6969 week high
  • Failure to hold 0.6914 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6900 psych level

08:02 UTC

Range, short-term recovery · RSI 57 · price 0.69409

Basing off week low, higher lows building.

AUDUSD has clawed back from the 0.6913 week low tested repeatedly during the Asia session, and price now sits back above EMA20 and EMA50 into the NY morning. The pair remains boxed in the digest's 0.6890–0.6975 range with 0.6946 capping the last two attempts higher; RSI(14) has recovered through 55 as the base held. Domestic AU data was constructive this week but US-Iran safe-haven flows have kept the Aussie pinned mid-range.

Support: 0.6913, 0.6890

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could break this range read
  • H1 close above 0.6946 opens the path back to the 0.6969 week high
  • Loss of 0.6913 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6890 range floor

07:03 UTC

Range-bound, near-term recovery · RSI 51 · price 0.69275

Week-long range, bounce off floor.

AUDUSD spent the week boxed between 0.6913 and a 2.5-week high near 0.6970, with the midweek NY-session slide pulling it back after Iran-driven safe-haven USD demand. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.6913, and price is now recovering through EMA20 while EMA50 (~0.6935) caps the bounce. Range structure remains intact ahead of the day's US June CPI print.

Support: 0.6913, 0.6916

Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6946, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary driver for this range
  • H1 close above 0.69350 (ema50) opens room toward the 0.69460 swing high
  • Loss of 0.69130 confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's floor

07:02 UTC

Range-bound, recent leg lower · RSI 49 · price 0.69275

Capped below week high, holding above week low.

AUDUSD has held the 0.6890-0.6970 range all week, with rejection at the 0.6969 week high midweek giving way to a slide back toward 0.6913 as US-Iran escalation revived a safe-haven USD bid. Price has since stabilised and reclaimed EMA(20) near 0.6924, but sits below EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering around the 50 mark. The prior high at 0.6946 caps the recovery.

Support: 0.6913, 0.6890

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary driver for the next bars
  • H1 close below 0.6913 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6890 range floor
  • Reclaim of 0.6946 prior high reopens the 0.6969 week high

06:03 UTC

Range-bound, recovering off week low · RSI 51 · price 0.6934

Range 0.6900-0.6970, higher lows off the base.

AUDUSD has spent the week grinding inside 0.6900-0.6970, slipping from Friday's 0.6970 high toward a 0.6913 base as a firmer USD and US-Iran risk-off weighed. Since Monday's session price carved higher lows off 0.6913 and reclaimed EMA(20) at 0.6934, though it sits under EMA(50) with RSI back near 50. The 0.6946 lower high has capped the recovery so far.

Support: 0.6927, 0.6913, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6970

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the primary catalyst for this range
  • Close below 0.6913 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.6900
  • Reclaim of 0.6946 needed to re-challenge the 0.6970 week high

06:03 UTC

Range, sideways bias · RSI 51 · price 0.6934

Range-bound above 0.6900, mid-range recovery.

AUDUSD has held a 0.6900-0.6970 range all week, sliding from Friday's 0.6970 top toward 0.6913 into Monday's session as a firmer USD and US-Iran risk-off weighed. Price has since twice based near 0.6913 and recovered to 0.6934, reclaiming EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling back to the mid-line. The week open at 0.6946 caps the bounce for now.

Support: 0.6913, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6970

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 GMT today is the primary catalyst and could break the range either side
  • Hourly close above 0.6946 then 0.6970 opens the path higher and flips the range read
  • Failure to hold 0.6900 exposes 0.6860

05:03 UTC

Downtrend from Friday high, bounce underway · RSI 54 · price 0.69329

Lower highs since 0.6970, holding above week low.

AUDUSD gapped lower over the weekend and slid from Friday's 0.6970 high toward the 0.69123 week low as a firmer USD and US-Iran risk-off tone weighed. Price has since recovered off that low back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling up through 50, but the sequence of lower highs into the weekly open at 0.69463 still caps. The week has largely honoured the 0.6900 psych pivot on the downside.

Support: 0.69123, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69463, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Break below 0.69123 exposes the 0.6900 psych pivot
  • H1 close above 0.69463 weekly open negates the lower-high sequence

05:03 UTC

Downtrend stabilising, bounce off lows · RSI 48 · price 0.69329

Range above 0.6900, higher lows forming.

AUDUSD spent this week grinding sideways above 0.6900 before slipping from the Monday weekly open near 0.69460 into Tuesday's session low around 0.69130 as a firmer, hawkish-leaning USD weighed. Twin lows near 0.6913 have since drawn a recovery back to 0.6933, with price reclaiming EMA(20) but still capped below EMA(50). RSI(14) has lifted off its lows to the mid-40s as the bounce develops.

Support: 0.6913, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6953

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close below 0.6900 confirms a lower-low and exposes the pivot
  • Reclaim of 0.69460 weekly open reopens the 0.69530 week high

04:03 UTC

Range, slight bounce off lows · RSI 49 · price 0.69311

Sideways above 0.6900 pivot, recovering from week low.

AUDUSD drifted off Friday's 0.6969 top toward a week low near 0.6912 as a firmer safe-haven USD kept the Aussie heavy, then recovered into 0.6931 late in the session. Price has held the 0.6900 pivot all week and is now nudging back above EMA(20) while still sub-EMA(50), leaving structure range-bound. RSI(14) is cycling around the mid-line, consistent with the sideways read.

Support: 0.69123, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69458, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close below 0.6900 pivot exposes 0.6860
  • Reclaim of 0.69458 prior high opens the path to the 0.6969 week high

04:03 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off week low · RSI 47 · price 0.69311

Lower highs, holding above 0.6913 within weekly range.

AUDUSD slid off Friday's 0.6969 high through the week as a firmer safe-haven USD on US-Iran risk-off pressured the Aussie, bottoming near 0.6913 before a modest recovery to 0.6931. Price is grinding back above EMA20 but the lower-high sequence and sub-EMA50 position keep the near-term tilt heavy. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 47, reflecting the shallow bounce.

Support: 0.6913, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI today 12:30 UTC could break the weekly range
  • H1 close above 0.6946 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 0.6913 exposes the 0.6900 pivot

03:03 UTC

Downtrend, shallow bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 0.69242

Lower highs, week low retested.

AUDUSD has been grinding lower since Friday's 0.6970 top, with a weekend gap down accelerating the slide as US-Iran risk-off firmed the safe-haven Dollar. Price bottomed at 0.6913 into the Asia session and has bounced modestly to 0.6924, but stays below EMA20 near 0.6932 which is capping the recovery. RSI(14) is mid-40s, off the lows without confirming a turn.

Support: 0.6913, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6932, 0.6946, 0.6970

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Tuesday (core f/c 2.9% YoY) is the dominant near-term driver
  • Failure to hold 0.6913 opens the 0.6900 psych pivot
  • H1 close back above 0.6932 EMA20 would ease the downside pressure

03:03 UTC

Downtrend since Friday, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 0.69242

Lower highs, basing above 0.6913.

AUDUSD reversed from Friday's 0.6970 top and drifted lower into this week's open as fresh US-Iran risk-off firmed the safe-haven USD. Price is capped below EMA(20) with RSI(14) sub-45, but demand near the 0.6913 Monday low has held and produced a shallow bounce back to 0.6924. The weekend gap down from 0.69526 to 0.69463 was never filled, keeping supply active around 0.6935.

Support: 0.6913, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6970

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Tuesday is the dominant near-term driver for this read
  • Failure to hold 0.6913 opens the 0.6900 pivot
  • H1 close back above 0.6935 EMA20 neutralises the lower-high sequence

02:03 UTC

Pullback lower, momentum soft · RSI 43 · price 0.69204

Lower highs since Friday peak, below EMAs.

AUDUSD has drifted off Friday's 0.6970 weekly high through the Monday session, printing lower highs and slipping under both EMAs as weekend US-Iran headlines bid the USD. Price is pinned to the 0.6913 Monday low with RSI(14) hovering in the low-40s; the 0.6931 EMA20 has capped the latest bounce. The move sits inside the broader 0.6890-0.6975 range flagged into today's US CPI.

Support: 0.6913, 0.6890

Resistance: 0.6931, 0.6946, 0.6970

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
  • H1 close back above 0.6931 EMA20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 0.6913 opens the path toward the 0.6890 range floor

02:02 UTC

Downtrend off Friday's high · RSI 42 · price 0.69204

Lower highs, basing near week low.

AUD/USD has faded from Friday's 0.6969 two-and-a-half-week high toward the 0.6913 week low as weekend US-Iran escalation soured risk and kept the USD firm ahead of US CPI. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-30s-low-40s, and the last few sessions have carved lower highs into 0.6946. Demand has stepped in twice above 0.6900, keeping the pair pinned in a tight base near the lows.

Support: 0.6913, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • US June CPI at 12:30 UTC today is the dominant catalyst and could break this base
  • H1 close below 0.6913 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6900 psych floor
  • Reclaim of 0.6946 lower high needed to challenge the 0.6969 week high

01:03 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 39 · price 0.69182

Lower highs since Friday's 0.6969 top, testing week lows.

AUDUSD has rolled over from Friday's 0.6969 top, printing lower highs through the week as weekend US-Iran risk-off propped the USD. Price is pinned below EMA20/50 and has slipped under the 0.6930-0.6950 pivot into the NY-Asia transition, now probing the 0.6913 swing low with RSI(14) sub-40. Range floor at 0.6900 remains the key line into US CPI.

Support: 0.6913, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6946, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (core f/c ~2.9% YoY) is the primary near-term driver for this read
  • H1 close below 0.6900 psych confirms continuation lower
  • Reclaim of the 0.6935 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence

01:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening near lows · RSI 43 · price 0.69182

Lower highs into a low base.

AUD/USD has bled lower since the weekly open at 0.69463, sliding from the 0.6950 shelf to a 0.6913 base and trading below both EMA20 and EMA50 on H1. RBA's hawkish tone and a soft dollar have capped the downside, leaving price boxed in the 0.6930-0.6950 pivot region that has now flipped to resistance. The last several bars have flattened around 0.6916-0.6918, RSI drifting in the low 40s.

Support: 0.6913, 0.6900, 0.6890

Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69463, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could break this base either way
  • Loss of 0.6900 psych opens the 0.6890 range floor
  • Reclaim of the 0.6930 pivot neutralises the lower-high sequence

00:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 38 · price 0.69182

Lower highs and lower lows since week open.

AUDUSD has drifted lower since this week's open near 0.6946, slipping from Friday's 0.6970 high after weekend US-Iran headlines soured risk appetite. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the high-30s, and buyers so far holding the 0.6913 swing low above the 0.6890 range floor flagged in the digest. Lower highs into the NY-to-Asia transition keep the near-term structure defensive.

Support: 0.6913, 0.6900, 0.6890

Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6949, 0.6970

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony are the dominant catalysts and could override this read
  • Loss of 0.6913 swing low opens the 0.6900 psych and 0.6890 range floor
  • H1 close back above 0.6930 EMA20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence

00:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum sliding · RSI 38 · price 0.69182

Lower highs off Friday's peak, testing range base.

Since Friday's 0.69692 week high, price has ground lower through the weekend gap and into the current session, now pinned near the 0.6913 recent low. RSI(14) is sub-40 and price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50, with rallies capped at the 0.6946 prior high. The 0.6890 range floor flagged in the two-way read remains the pivot into US CPI.

Support: 0.6913, 0.6890

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6890 range floor opens the path toward 0.6860
  • Reclaim of the 0.6946 prior high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Tuesday is the dominant USD catalyst and can break this range

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