AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Wednesday, 15 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:04 UTC
Recovery uptrend, testing major cap · RSI 67 · price 0.70068
Higher lows off the base, pressing 0.7015 resistance.
AUDUSD has carved a rounded bottom off the 0.6865 base and rallied back through 0.6965 to reclaim the 0.7000 psych pivot, the move fuelled by broad USD weakness after the soft June US CPI and PPI prints. Higher lows are intact and price now sits directly under the 0.7015 major resistance flagged by UOB, with EMA20 and EMA50 both below price. ATR sits mid-range, leaving room for expansion if the 0.7015 cap gives way.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6965, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70412
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7015 confirms breakout beyond the 0.7000 pivot
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.6965 breakout area reopens the base toward 0.6920
21:04 UTC
Recovery, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 0.70068
Higher lows since mid-month base, testing prior range top.
AUDUSD has rounded up off the mid-month base near 0.6867, printing higher lows and reclaiming the 0.7000 psych level on soft US CPI/PPI driving broad USD weakness. Price now presses the 0.7015 major cap that has contained prior rallies, with ATR(14) expanding as the leg extends and price holding above both EMAs. The rally is USD-led, leaving structure vulnerable if US data firms.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6943, 0.68668
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70412
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7015 major cap opens the path beyond the 0.7040 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.7000 psych level reopens the 0.6943 swing low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD read
17:03 UTC
Recovery, momentum building · RSI 69 · price 0.69975
Higher lows since mid-window low, breakout above range.
AUDUSD has recovered off the 0.6865 swing low on a chain of higher lows and broke above the 0.6943 range top, with soft US CPI and PPI misses keeping the USD offered and lifting the pair toward the 0.7000 psych level. Price sits at the 61.8% retrace of the earlier 0.7075-0.6865 decline, capped just under the 0.7015 major resistance flagged by UOB. RSI near 69 shows momentum extending without yet reaching overbought.
Support: 0.6943, 0.69316, 0.68649
Resistance: 0.7002, 0.7015
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7015 confirms upside continuation beyond the 0.7000 pivot
Rejection at 0.7002/0.7015 area to watch for a stall back toward 0.6943
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD-led read
AUDUSD has recovered from the ~0.6865 June low in a series of higher lows, and the leg up off 0.6943 has carried price to the 0.7000 psychological pivot after soft US CPI/PPI kept the dollar offered. The 0.7015 UOB major resistance caps directly overhead, with ATR(14) modest and momentum rebuilding rather than extended.
Support: 0.6943, 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7015 major res opens scope beyond the 0.7000 psych pivot
Failure to hold 0.6943 swing low breaks the higher-low structure
US Retail Sales Thursday 12:30 UTC could reshape the USD-led move
13:03 UTC
Recovery, momentum building · RSI 67 · price 0.69857
Rebound off base, higher lows into 0.70.
AUDUSD has recovered off a double bottom near 0.687 and is grinding higher, with the last leg accelerating toward 0.70 on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI and PPI. Higher lows are intact, price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50, and RSI is pushing toward overbought as the move approaches the 0.6992 swing high and 0.70 round number. The 0.7015 major resistance caps the near-term structure while the 0.6943 breakout zone underpins it.
Support: 0.6943, 0.6912, 0.6884
Resistance: 0.69922, 0.7000, 0.7015
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7015 negates the prior descending channel and opens extension
Rejection at 0.70000 risks a revert toward the 0.69430 breakout zone
Warsh testimony / US Retail Sales could reshape this USD-driven move
13:03 UTC
Recovering, momentum building · RSI 66 · price 0.69857
Higher lows off base, testing range top.
AUDUSD based near the 0.6865 swing low through late month, then broke higher off a soft US CPI/PPI print, clearing the 0.6943 breakout level to trade near 0.6986. Higher-low structure has been intact since that swing low, with EMA20 now above EMA50. Price is pressing the 0.7000 psych level ahead of the 0.7015 major res flagged in the USD-weakness read.
Support: 0.6943, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7015 major res negates the descending channel and opens extension
Rejection at 0.7000 psych risks reversion toward the 0.6943 breakout retest
Warsh testimony and US Retail Sales could reshape this USD-driven move
AUDUSD has clawed back from the 0.68649 swing low with a clean higher-low sequence, and the soft US CPI print drove a USD-led leg that broke through the 0.695 shelf toward the 0.69922 prior high. EMA20 and EMA50 have crossed bullish with price extended above both, and ATR is expanding as the move accelerates. Price now sits just under the 0.70000 psychological pivot, the key line the market is pressing.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6932, 0.68649
Resistance: 0.69922, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.70000 opens room past the 0.69922 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.695 breakout shelf reopens 0.6932 (ema20)
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could re-arm USD strength and cap this leg
AUDUSD carved a two-week base between 0.6867 and 0.6950 before breaking higher on the soft US CPI print, which drove broad USD weakness. Price cleared the consolidation and pushed to 0.6992, with EMA20 crossing above EMA50 as momentum firmed. The move stalls just under the 0.7000 psychological level; ATR has picked up on the breakout leg after the prior compression.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6932, 0.6867
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000, 0.7013
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7000 opens the path toward 0.7013
Failure to hold the 0.6950 pivot returns price into the prior base
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could re-arm USD and shift this read
05:03 UTC
Recovering, upside momentum building · RSI 66 · price 0.69882
Range break toward 0.7000 after basing.
AUDUSD based twice near 0.6867 through late month then broke its multi-day 0.6887-0.6975 range, rallying toward 0.7000 as the soft US CPI print flipped the USD lower. Price is stalling just under the 0.7000 psychological level, close to the 61.8% retrace of the 0.7075-0.6867 downswing. ATR expanded on the breakout candle, confirming the momentum shift off the base.
Support: 0.6943, 0.6887, 0.6867
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7075
What it said to watch
China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent — the near-term directional catalyst for AUD
H4 close above 0.7000 opens the path back toward 0.7075
Failure to hold the 0.6943 breakout level would negate the range break
05:03 UTC
Recovery, uptrend from base · RSI 66 · price 0.69882
Higher lows off mid-June low, testing 0.7000.
AUDUSD carved a rounded base near 0.6867 through late June and has printed higher lows since, with the recent impulse above 0.6945 driven by the soft US CPI USD-weakness leg. Price now presses the 0.7000 psychological level with ATR(14) expanding as the move extends, and EMA20/EMA50 both below price. The 0.6943 breakout shelf is the first reference on any pullback.
Support: 0.6943, 0.6890, 0.68668
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70185
What it said to watch
Sustained H4 close above 0.7000 opens the path toward the 0.70185 prior high
China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.6943 on a retest reopens the 0.6890 range base
The early-month downtrend from 0.7075 stalled into a multi-day range between the 0.6890 range floor and 0.6975 range cap. Soft US June CPI unwound USD longs and drove the last leg up, pushing price to the range cap and back through the 50% retracement of the 0.7075-0.6865 move. ATR(14) is expanding as the pair probes the top of the band.
Support: 0.6932, 0.6890, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6975 range cap invalidates the range read and opens 0.6992 swing high
Failure to hold the 0.6932 pivot reasserts the lower half of the range
US PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Double-bottom base broken, higher lows since mid-window.
AUDUSD sold off from early-month 0.7075 into a 0.6865 double-bottom base, then broke higher with a sharp impulse above 0.6950 to 0.6992 as the soft US June CPI print knocked the dollar lower. Price is now pressing the 0.6975 band cap with both EMAs turning up and ATR expanding off the base. Structure has shifted to higher lows, though the move stalls at the top of the well-worn 0.6890-0.6975 range.
Support: 0.6943, 0.6932, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992, 0.7013
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6975 range cap opens the path to 0.7013
Failure back below 0.6943 negates the breakout and returns price into the range
AUD Consumer Inflation Expectations Thu 01:00 UTC could shift the near-term read