AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 17 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:47 UTC
Range, drifting lower into NY close · RSI 46 · price 0.69795
Capped below 0.7000, holding above session low.
AUDUSD faded from 0.6985 into the NY close and is drifting on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) mid-range near 46. The pair stays pinned below the 0.7000 handle flagged as a repeated rejection point; intraday action is confined to 0.6970-0.6985 with no clean setup in play.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6985, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69850 reopens the 0.7000 handle
Failure to hold 0.69700 exposes the session low at 0.69656
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves before the Asia open
Consolidation above 0.6966 base, capped near 0.6985.
Late NY session drifting; AUDUSD faded a 0.7000 rejection early in the window, bottomed twice at 0.6966 and recovered to 0.6985 before easing back toward 0.6980 in thin volume. Two-way tone as USD haven bid caps price below the 50-day EMA (~0.7012).
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7000 handle early in the window and bottomed at 0.69656, then coiled into a tight 0.6980–0.6986 range through the NY afternoon. The 0.7000 handle/50-day EMA continues to cap per the macro read; RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69866 reopens the 0.7000 handle test
Loss of 0.6980 range floor exposes the 0.69656 swing low
Australia jobs Jul 23 01:30 UTC is the next material catalyst
20:32 UTC
Range after decline, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69811
Consolidating below session highs.
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7000 handle earlier as US-Iran haven bid firmed the USD, bottoming at 0.69656 before a grind back to 0.6985. Now coiling in a tight 0.6980-0.6985 band into late NY hours, RSI flat near midline with no setup in play.
Support: 0.69715, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69851, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69851 reopens the 0.7000 handle
Loss of 0.69715 exposes the 0.69656 session low
Thin late-session liquidity may distort the range read
20:17 UTC
Range after fade from 0.7000 · RSI 52 · price 0.69824
Consolidation above the 0.69656 swing low.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7000 handle earlier in the window and bottomed at 0.69656, then ground back to a tight consolidation around 0.6982 through late NY hours. RSI sits mid-range near 52 with ATR compressing to ~23 pips; price is pinned to EMA20 with the session high at 0.69866 capping.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69866 opens the 0.7000 round number / 50-day EMA area
Loss of the 0.69800 range floor exposes the 0.69656 swing low
20:17 UTC
Recovering, now flat · RSI 50 · price 0.69824
Range after rejection at 0.70.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.70 handle during the Asia-London window, printing a session low at 0.69656 before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to ~0.6982. Now consolidating in a tight 0.6976-0.6986 band into late NY, RSI(14) flat near 50 with no setup in play.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.70006
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6986 reopens the 0.70 handle
Loss of 0.6976 range low exposes the 0.69656 session low
20:02 UTC
Recovery stalling into consolidation · RSI 54 · price 0.69832
Tight range after bounce off session low.
AUDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.6980–0.6986 range through late NY hours after recovering from the 0.69656 swing low, RSI(14) neutral near 54. The 0.7000 round number remains the ceiling capping the broader recovery.
Support: 0.69786, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69866 swing high opens the path back toward 0.70000
Failure to hold 0.69786 session low re-exposes the 0.69656 swing low
20:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 55 · price 0.69832
Consolidation below 0.6985 after basing at 0.6965.
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7000 handle to a session low at 0.69656 through the NY session, then clawed back and is now consolidating in a tight 0.6980–0.6985 band. RSI(14) neutral near 55; the 0.69866 swing high caps, with the 0.7000 round number as the broader ceiling flagged in the macro read.
Support: 0.69786, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69866 opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold 0.69786 exposes the session low at 0.69656
19:47 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now flat · RSI 56 · price 0.69838
Tight range after sell-off.
AUDUSD sold off from 0.7000 to a 0.69656 swing low through the NY session, then recovered and has been grinding in a tight 0.6978–0.6986 band for the last several hours. Price sits at 0.69838, RSI(14) neutral near 56 — no directional setup while the range holds.
Support: 0.6978, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6986 opens the path back to the 0.7000 handle
Loss of 0.6978 range floor puts 0.69656 swing low back in play
19:47 UTC
Range-bound, flat drift · RSI 54 · price 0.69838
Consolidation below 0.6987 after fade from 0.7000.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7000 handle in the London session down to 0.69656, then recovered and has since gone flat, coiling in a tight 0.6980-0.6987 band into late NY. USD haven bid is capping the bounce below the session high at 0.69866; no setup in play.
Support: 0.6972, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6987 opens the path back to the 0.7000 round number
Break below 0.6972 puts the 0.69656 swing low back in play
Australia jobs report Jul 23 01:30 UTC is the next material catalyst
19:32 UTC
Range after recovery, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69816
Consolidation below 0.6987 following bounce off 0.69656.
AUDUSD sold from the 0.7000 handle to a 0.69656 session low, then rounded back up and stalled; late-NY price is ranging 0.6976–0.6987, capped below 0.7000 by USD haven bid. RSI(14) flat near 49, no momentum edge in either direction.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69866 reopens the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold 0.69760 exposes the 0.69656 session low
Australia jobs Jul 23 and US-Iran headlines are the near-term catalysts
19:32 UTC
Range after fading from 0.70 · RSI 47 · price 0.69816
Consolidation near session lows.
AUDUSD faded off the 0.7000 handle earlier and bottomed at 0.69656 before recovering; it's since been pinned in a tight 0.6980–0.6985 band through the NY session with RSI(14) flat near 46. No directional structure in play — price is coiling at the lower edge of the day's recovery range.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69866 reopens the 0.70 handle
Loss of 0.69800 range floor exposes 0.69656 session low
19:17 UTC
Range-bound after 0.7000 rejection · RSI 46 · price 0.6980
Ranging 0.6966–0.6986, drifting to lows.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7000 round number in the Asia session, printed a London low at 0.6966, then NY clawed back to 0.6986 before stalling. Ranging near the lower half around 0.6980 into late NY, RSI(14) mid-range with ATR compressed — no setup in play.
Support: 0.6978, 0.6966, 0.6956
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6986 ny high reopens the 0.7000 handle
Break below 0.6966 london low exposes the 0.6956 swing low
Failure to hold the 0.6978 ny low keeps price pinned to session lows
AUDUSD rejected the 0.7000 round number early, sold to 0.6965, then rebuilt to ~0.6985 with USD haven bid capping. Now consolidating flat near 0.6980 into thin late-session liquidity, RSI(14) mid-range around 46.
Support: 0.6965, 0.6977
Resistance: 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 opens 0.7015 area
Loss of 0.6965 confirms a fresh lower low
Australia jobs report Thu 23 Jul could reset this range
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7000 round number during the session and printed a 0.69656 low before buyers lifted it back to 0.6985 through NY hours, USD haven demand capping the upside. Now consolidating 0.6980–0.6985 with RSI mid-range and a slight drift lower.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69850 reopens the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold 0.69760 reopens the 0.69656 swing low
AUD jobs Jul 23 is the next scheduled catalyst, outside this window
19:03 UTC
Sideways after failed 0.7000 test · RSI 49 · price 0.69813
Consolidation inside broader 0.6966-0.7001 range.
AUDUSD rejected the 0.7000 handle early in the window and slid to 0.69656 before buyers reclaimed the 0.6980 area; USD haven demand kept a lid on the recovery. Price is now coiling in a tight 0.6980-0.6986 band during NY hours, RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.70006
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69866 reopens the 0.7000 handle test
Loss of 0.69800 range floor exposes 0.69656 session low
Australia jobs report Jul 23 is the next major catalyst for this pair
18:47 UTC
Downtrend off 0.7000, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.6981
Recovered off session low, capped below 0.6985.
AUDUSD faded from a 0.7000 rejection through the NY session as US-Iran haven flows kept the USD bid, bottoming at the 0.6966 session low before a grind back to 0.6981. Price now consolidating below the 0.6985 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6985 session high reopens the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold 0.6970 swing low confirms a push toward the 0.6966 session low
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7000 handle to a session low at 0.6966 during NY hours, then recovered to stall under 0.6986. Price is now consolidating around 0.6981 with RSI(14) flat near 52 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6975 pivot reopens the 0.6966 session low
Reclaim of 0.6986 recovery high needed to challenge the 0.7000 round number
Australia jobs report (Jul 23) is the next major catalyst
Consolidating in upper half of range after double bottom.
AUDUSD fell to 0.6965 twice during NY hours before buyers stepped in, driving a recovery to the 0.6986 session high on the soft-US-CPI backdrop. Price has since gone flat around 0.6983 with RSI near 53; USD haven bid keeping the 0.7000 handle out of reach.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6986 session high opens path toward 0.7000 psych
Loss of 0.6980 range floor exposes the 0.6965 double bottom
US-Iran haven flows into next week could firm USD and cap AUD
Consolidating mid-range after sell-off and bounce.
AUDUSD sold off through 0.6980 into the 0.69656 session low mid-window, then clawed back to the 0.69852 session high on the USD haven-bid fade. Price is now stalling near the 50% retrace of that leg (~0.6983), RSI back at neutral — no directional push in play.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69852, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69852 reopens the 0.70000 handle
Loss of 0.69800 exposes the 0.69656 session low
Australia jobs report Jul 23 is the next major catalyst for this pair
18:17 UTC
Range after fade from 0.7000 · RSI 48 · price 0.69813
Sold off then recovered, now consolidating.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7000 round number early in the window, dropping to the 0.69656 session low before recovering through the NY session. Now consolidating near 0.6981, below the 0.69866 recent high with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 0.69774, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.70006
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69774 swing low reopens the 0.69656 session low
Reclaim of 0.69866 recent high needed to re-challenge the 0.7000 round number
AUDUSD faded from a 0.70006 poke of the round number earlier in the window, dumped to 0.69656, then clawed back to 0.69866 before stalling — USD haven bid capping the Aussie at the handle. Now drifting to 0.69813 inside a 0.69760–0.69866 range, RSI mid-40s, no session momentum.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69760 reopens the 0.69656 session low
M15 close above 0.69866 revives the push at 0.7000
Range holds while price stays between 0.69760 and 0.69866
18:02 UTC
Recovery stalling near 0.6980 · RSI 48 · price 0.69806
Consolidation after bounce off session low.
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7000 handle to a session low of 0.6966 during London hours as USD haven demand firmed, then recovered to 0.6986 before stalling. Price now drifts around 0.6980 near the 50% retrace of the drop, RSI neutral; the 0.6986 swing high caps the rebound.
Support: 0.69766, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69866 reopens the path toward the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold 0.69766 exposes the 0.69656 session low
AUD jobs Jul 23 is a HIGH-impact macro risk beyond the intraday read
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7000 round number during the London session to a 0.69656 swing low, then carved a rounded recovery back to a 0.69866 session high through NY hours. Now consolidating around 0.6980 with RSI(14) neutral near 47; the 0.7000 handle continues to cap on USD haven demand.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69866 opens the path back to the 0.7000 round number
Loss of 0.69760 swing pivot re-exposes the 0.69656 swing low
Higher lows after V-recovery, capped below 0.6986.
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7000 handle to a session low at 0.69656 during the London-NY window, then recovered to stall around 0.6986 — roughly the 61.8% retrace of that drop. Late NY has it consolidating in a tight 0.6982-0.6986 band, RSI(14) neutral near 54, with the 0.7000 round number still the ceiling the soft-CPI rally failed to hold.
Support: 0.6978, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69866 session high opens a retest of the 0.7000 round number
Loss of 0.69780 swing low reopens the 0.69656 session low
No AUD/USD calendar risk in next 8h; move is USD-haven driven
Double-bottom recovery, now consolidating below 0.6986.
Late NY session: AUDUSD carved a double bottom at 0.6965 and recovered to consolidate 0.6982-0.6986, holding above EMA20/50. Upside remains capped well under the 0.7000 handle flagged as the repeated rejection area.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6986 opens the path back to the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold 0.6976 swing low reopens the 0.69656 session low
Australia jobs report Jul 23 is the next high-impact catalyst
17:32 UTC
Recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 56 · price 0.6984
Double-bottom bounce, higher lows into NY.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7000 round number during London and printed a double bottom at 0.6966, then ground higher through NY to 0.6986. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.6982–0.6986 band just under the session high, RSI mid-range and cooling.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6986 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold the 0.6980 ema20 shifts focus back toward the 0.6966 double bottom
17:32 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 57 · price 0.6984
Double bottom at 0.6966, higher lows into 0.6986.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6966 during the NY session and has ground back to 0.6984, stalling just under the 0.6986 swing high. Broader tone stays two-way as USD haven demand caps rallies below the 0.7000 handle/50-day EMA.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6978
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6986 opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold 0.6966 double bottom confirms a lower low
Consolidating below 0.6986 after V-recovery from 0.69656.
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7000 handle to a session low of 0.69656 as USD haven demand firmed, then ground back up to consolidate near 0.6983 below the 0.69866 session high. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range; price is holding above the EMA20/50 cluster with the round-number 0.7000 still capping above.
Support: 0.69778, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.70006
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69866 opens a retest of the 0.7000 handle
Loss of 0.69778 puts the 0.69656 session low back in play
Australia jobs report (Jul 23) is the next high-impact catalyst
Early London sold the 0.7000 handle down to 0.69656, printing a double bottom there before the recovery through NY lifted price back to a 0.69866 session high. Price now stalling around 0.6983, ranging just under that high with RSI(14) mid-band.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69866 session high reopens the 0.7000 round number
Loss of 0.69700 recent low reactivates the 0.69656 swing low
0.7000 handle / 50-day EMA remains the repeated rejection ceiling
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7000 round number early to a double bottom at 0.6966, then climbed a chain of higher lows through the NY session to 0.6985 — roughly the 50% retrace of the 0.7000-0.6966 drop. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, price back above EMA20/50 as the session high at 0.69866 caps.
Support: 0.6978, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69866 session high opens the path back to the 0.7000 round number
Loss of 0.6978 swing low re-exposes the 0.6966 double bottom
Double bottom at 0.6966, grinding higher toward 0.700.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom at 0.6966 through the London-NY session and has ground back up in a rising channel to 0.6983, now stalling under the 0.69866 session high. RSI(14) mid-range and momentum flattening as the 0.700 round number caps — the same 50-day EMA rejection point flagged in the USD haven bid.
Support: 0.69786, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.700 needed to clear the round-number/EMA ceiling
Failure to hold 0.69786 reopens the 0.6966 double-bottom low
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7000 handle mid-window to a session low of 0.6965, then clawed back through NY hours on a chain of higher lows to 0.6987. Price now sits ~0.6984, right on the 61.8% retrace of the drop, with the 0.7000 handle/50-day EMA cap noted in macro read overhead.
Support: 0.6979, 0.6970, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
close above 0.69866 session high extends the recovery toward the 0.7000 round number
failure to hold 0.69790 swing low reopens the 0.69656 session low
AUD jobs (Jul 23) is the next major catalyst — outside this window but frames upside near 0.7015
Higher lows since London low, retracing Asian drop.
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.6966 London low, grinding higher through NY to 0.6984 with RSI(14) near 58. Price has retraced roughly half of the Asian-session drop from 0.7000; the 0.7000 handle and 50-day EMA remain the ceiling on USD haven bid.
Support: 0.6979, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6986 opens the path back to the 0.7000 handle
Failure to hold 0.6979 exposes the 0.6966 session low
USD haven flow into 0.7000 keeps capping the recovery
16:32 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 0.69846
Higher lows since 0.69656 base.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.69656 during the London-NY session and has ground back to 0.69846 on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) around 61. Recovery is fading the earlier drop from the 0.7000 handle; the 50-day EMA / 0.7000 area remains the cited ceiling into next week's jobs data.
Support: 0.6978, 0.69656, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.70006
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.69780 breaks the higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.69866 opens the 0.7000 round number
Loss of 0.69656 negates the double bottom
16:32 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum building · RSI 59 · price 0.69846
Higher lows since 0.6966 base.
AUDUSD carved a rounded base off the 0.6966 swing low and clawed back through the NY session, reclaiming EMA20/50 and grinding toward the 0.6990 prior high with RSI(14) near 59. The 0.7000 handle capped this week's rally and stays the ceiling overhead.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6990 opens a retest of the 0.7000 handle
Loss of 0.6976 pullback low reopens the 0.69656 swing low
USD haven bid on Middle East headlines could re-cap below 0.7000
16:17 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.6985
Double bottom, higher lows building.
NY session recovery from a double bottom at 0.6966 has carried AUDUSD back to the session high at 0.6985, RSI(14) mid-60s. The 0.7000 handle / 50-day EMA overhead remains the ceiling capping the two-day rebound.
Support: 0.6978, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69852, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70000 opens the 0.7015-0.7045 zone
Failure to hold 0.69656 confirms a lower low and resumes downside
AUD jobs report Jul 23 is the next material catalyst
16:17 UTC
Recovering, higher lows · RSI 63 · price 0.6985
Grind up off session low, building higher lows.
NY session ground higher off the 0.69656 session low, stacking higher lows back toward 0.6990. Price sits at 0.6985 above both EMAs, RSI(14) mid-60s; the round number at 0.7000 remains the cap per the broader USD-haven read.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6990 opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Loss of 0.6970 range low breaks the rising-lows structure
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7000 area to a 0.69656 session low mid-window on renewed USD haven bid, then carved a double bottom and recovered into NY to 0.6982. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 56; the recent high at 0.69852 caps for now, with the 0.7000 round number above.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6977
Resistance: 0.69852, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69852 recent high opens path to the 0.7000 round number
Loss of 0.69656 session low negates the double bottom
16:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 56 · price 0.69824
Higher lows after 0.7000 rejection.
AUDUSD was rejected twice at the 0.7000 round number in the prior NY-Asia window and sold off to a session low at 0.69656 as USD haven demand firmed. NY hours have carved higher lows back to 0.6982, RSI(14) mid-range near 56; session high 0.69852 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.6979, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69852, 0.70006
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69852 opens a retest of the 0.7000 round number
Loss of 0.69656 confirms a fresh lower low
Australia jobs report Jul 23 is the next high-impact catalyst
15:47 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.69809
Higher lows off session low.
AUDUSD faded to a session low at 0.6966 through London before basing and grinding higher into NY, with USD haven bid capping the earlier 0.7000 test. Higher lows are building off 0.6966 and RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s, but the 0.6985 swing high still caps.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6976
Resistance: 0.69852, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6966 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of the 0.7000 handle needed to reopen upside
Loss of the rising support line resumes the downtrend
AUDUSD sold off through the London session from the 0.7000 handle to a 0.69656 swing low, then ground back up on rising lows into NY hours, now consolidating below the 0.69852 session high. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 55 and price holds just above EMA20/50; the 0.7000 handle and 50-day EMA remain the ceiling capping the two-day rally.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69852, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69852 opens the path back toward the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold 0.69760 reopens the 0.69656 swing low
US-Iran haven headlines could drive USD and shift this read intrabar
15:32 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 0.69845
Double bottom, higher lows into NY.
London selloff drove AUDUSD from the 0.7000 handle down to a double bottom at 0.6966, and NY has since ground back to 0.69845 on a higher-lows sequence. Recovery stalls under the 0.6990 swing and the 0.7000 psych level, where safe-haven USD demand has repeatedly capped the pair.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6990 opens the 0.7000 psych cap
Break below 0.6966 negates the double bottom and higher-lows structure
Price slid from the 0.7000 handle to a session low of 0.69656, then built a double base and ground higher through NY hours to 0.69845, RSI(14) recovering to the high-50s. Safe-haven USD bid keeps the pair pinned below the 0.6990/0.7000 resistance shelf.
Support: 0.6972, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69900 opens the path back to the 0.7000 handle
Failure to hold 0.69720 base exposes the 0.69656 session low again
US-Iran / oil headlines driving safe-haven USD flows could shift this read
15:17 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding up · RSI 55 · price 0.69801
Higher lows building off 0.6966 base.
NY session grinding up off the London session low at 0.6966, printing higher lows with RSI(14) back near mid-range. Price is retesting the 0.6984 shelf but the 0.7000 handle remains a firm cap as the US-Iran safe-haven USD bid keeps AUD pinned below it.
Support: 0.6972, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6984, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6990 opens a path to the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of 0.6966 session low confirms a fresh lower low
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6966 through the London-NY transition and has since ground back to 0.698, with safe-haven USD demand from US-Iran headlines keeping the 0.70000 shelf out of reach. Session high at 0.6984 is the immediate cap; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6984, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6984 session high opens the 0.70000 psych shelf
Failure to hold 0.6970 range floor re-exposes 0.69656 swing low
AUD jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC could force a clean break either way
AUDUSD sold off through London into a 0.6966 session low, then twice held that level to build a double bottom during the NY session, recovering to 0.69822 before easing to 0.69795. Safe-haven USD demand keeps the pair pinned well below 0.7000; RSI(14) mid-range at ~55 with no extreme in play.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69656, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69822, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69656 session low confirms a fresh lower-low and negates the double bottom
Close above 0.69822 session high opens the 0.6990 prior swing
US-Iran / oil headlines could revive the USD bid and cap this recovery
AUDUSD slid through London to a session low at 0.69656, twice defended into the NY session before grinding back toward the 0.6983 session high on safe-haven USD staying broadly bid. Momentum has cooled; price now fading off 0.6982 to 0.69795, holding above the 0.6972 swing pivot.
Support: 0.6972, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6983 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.6972 swing pivot reopens the 0.69656 session low
US-Iran / oil headlines could revive the safe-haven USD bid and pin AUD
AUDUSD sold off through the London session to a low of 0.6966 before buyers stepped in, and the last few bars broke the 0.697x consolidation to reclaim 0.6980 into NY hours. RSI(14) near 61 with the pair pressing the recovery; the 0.7000 handle and 50-day cap remain the ceiling per broader context.
Support: 0.69715, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6990 opens the path back to the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69715 range low re-exposes the 0.6966 swing low
Australian jobs data Jul 23 could materially shift this read
14:47 UTC
Recovering off intraday low · RSI 61 · price 0.69816
Based near 0.6966, higher lows forming.
AUDUSD carved a base at 0.69656 during NY hours and is grinding back up, now retesting 0.69824 with RSI(14) near 60. The 0.7000 handle remains the ceiling capping this window per the digest's four-day pivot; loss of 0.69656 would print a fresh lower low.
Support: 0.69688, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69824, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.70000 psych level opens the path back toward the recent range top
Break below 0.69656 swing low confirms a lower low
Australian jobs data Jul 23 is the next material catalyst for this read
14:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 55 · price 0.69785
Session low carved, coiling into recovery.
AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY session from 0.7005 to a session low at 0.69656, then twin lows at 0.69656/0.69659 held and buyers nudged price back to 0.69785. Recovery is capped below the 0.69806 session high, with 0.7000 and the 50-day EMA the well-flagged four-day cap above.
Support: 0.69656, 0.69692
Resistance: 0.69806, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69806 extends the recovery toward the 0.7000 handle
Loss of 0.69656 confirms a fresh lower low and reopens 0.6962
Aussie jobs data (Jul 23) is the dominant macro catalyst that could reset this range
AUDUSD sold off through 0.6980 into a 0.69656 session low during London, then buyers stepped in twice around 0.6965 forming a double bottom and lifting price back to 0.6978. RSI(14) has cooled off oversold and is mid-range; the pair stays pinned below the 0.7000 handle and 50-day EMA cap noted in wider positioning.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69806, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path back to the 0.7000 handle
Loss of 0.69656 confirms a lower low and negates the double bottom
14:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 57 · price 0.69777
Lower highs into 0.6965 low, now recovering.
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from 0.6990 to a 0.69656 swing low, then twice held the 0.6970 base and is grinding back to 0.69777 with RSI(14) recovering to the mid-50s. Recovery capped so far below the 0.69806 session high, well under the 0.7000 handle noted as the multi-day cap.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69806, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69806 session high would extend the recovery toward 0.6990
Loss of the 0.6970 base re-exposes the 0.69656 swing low
Australian jobs data is the standout upcoming risk that would reset this read
NY session recovery off the 0.6966 session low, with a double-bottom base and price reclaiming EMA20/EMA50 at 0.69777. AUD stays pinned near the 0.7000 handle, capped by the 50-day EMA per the macro read; RSI(14) firmer around 57 but not extended.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.69806, 0.69899, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69806 session high opens the path back to 0.6990/0.7000
Loss of 0.69656 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg of this read
AUDUSD drifted lower through the session from 0.7010, printing a session low at 0.69656 before buyers stepped in twice around 0.6966 to form a double bottom. Price has recovered to 0.69789, back above the EMA20 but still capped beneath the 0.70000 handle; RSI(14) mid-range near 53.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.69883, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 confirms a lower low and voids the double-bottom read
Reclaim of 0.70000 needed to shift structure back toward the 0.70120 prior high
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations around now could shift USD tone
AUDUSD leaked lower through the London-NY sessions off 0.7010 and is now basing above the 0.69656 session low, ranging 0.6968-0.6976 into NY afternoon. Momentum is flat with RSI mid-40s; the 0.7000 handle and 50-day EMA continue to cap from above.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.69773, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69656 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.6962
Reclaim of 0.69773 needed to re-test the 0.7000 handle
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the London-NY transition, printing a session low at 0.69656 before stabilising around 0.6970. Price is pinned to the 0.7000 handle theme with sellers capping at 0.69773; RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69773, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69656 confirms a fresh lower-low and exposes 0.6960
Reclaim of 0.69773 neutralises the intraday downtrend read
Jul 23 Australian jobs data is the next major catalyst
13:32 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 0.69697
Lower highs since 0.7000 rejection, basing above 0.6966.
AUDUSD leaked away from the 0.7000 handle through the London session, printing a session low at 0.69656 before basing back near 0.6970. Price is capped by a chain of lower highs into 0.69773, RSI(14) mid-range with no oversold signal.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.69773, 0.6990, 0.70006
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6966 opens the 0.6962 area
Reclaim of 0.69773 needed to break the lower-high sequence
AU jobs (Jul 23) is the next major catalyst for this read
13:32 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 0.69697
Lower highs, holding above 0.69656 swing low.
AUDUSD drifted through the NY session from the 0.7012 cap down to a 0.69656 swing low, then stabilised in a tight 0.6966–0.6977 range. Price sits at 0.69697 below both EMAs with RSI(14) mid-40s — coiling, no clear directional push into the US afternoon.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69773, 0.70006, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.69773 needed to challenge the 0.70000 handle
UoM Consumer Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
AUDUSD trending lower on M15 through the London-NY session, printing lower highs off 0.7012 and pinned to the 0.7000 psych level noted in the digest. Price is basing just above the 0.69656 swing low with RSI mid-40s; the 0.69773 swing high caps the bounces.
Support: 0.69688, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69773, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69773 swing high would stall the downside grind
US UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read within the next hour
13:17 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 0.69705
Lower highs, basing above session low.
AUDUSD ground lower through the London-NY session, printing lower highs off 0.6990 and basing above the 0.69656 session low, RSI(14) mid-40s. Price stays pinned below its EMAs, consistent with the 0.7000 handle capping into the Jul 23 jobs report.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.69753, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69656 opens the path toward the 0.6962 area
Reclaim of 0.69753 would break the lower-high chain
No high-impact AUD/USD events in the next 8h; AU jobs (Jul 23) is the next catalyst
Lower highs into session low, coiling above 0.6966.
AUDUSD slid through the London session from the 0.7000 handle to a session low of 0.69656, then bounced to 0.6975 before drifting back toward the low. Price is pinned below the EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; range 0.6966–0.6975 holding for now, the 0.7000 cap unchanged with the four-day pivot intact.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.6962
Reclaim of 0.6975 needed to unwind the intraday lower-high sequence
UoM sentiment / inflation-expectations (14:00 UTC) can shift USD tone within the next bar
AUDUSD ground lower through NY hours, printing a session low at 0.69656 before basing in a tight 0.6968–0.6975 band as a firmer USD safe-haven bid pressed the Aussie off the 0.7000 handle. RSI(14) near 41, mid-range; price capped below EMA20 with lower highs intact.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.69753, 0.6988, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69656 confirms a fresh lower-low and exposes 0.6962
M15 close back above 0.69753 breaks the lower-high sequence
12:47 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 0.69696
Lower highs off 0.7009, basing near 0.697.
AUDUSD drifted through the NY session from 0.7009 to a 0.69656 low, then chopped in a tight 0.6969–0.6975 band as the modest USD bounce capped the Aussie. Price sits at the lower edge, below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.69656, 0.69692
Resistance: 0.69753, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69656 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens downside
M15 close back above 0.69753 negates the lower-high sequence
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
12:47 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 44 · price 0.69696
Lower highs into session low, consolidating.
AUDUSD ground lower through London hours off the 0.7005 area, printing a session low at 0.69656 with the 0.7000 handle capping per the four-day pivot. Price now consolidating 0.6966–0.6975 into the NY handover, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.69656, 0.69692
Resistance: 0.69753, 0.6984, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.69753 negates the near-term downside pressure
Australian jobs data Jul 23 is the dominant scheduled risk
AUDUSD ground lower through the London session from 0.7010, printing a session low at 0.69656 before basing in a tight 0.6966–0.6975 range. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the 0.6980 swing has capped every bounce.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.6980 would break the descending-high sequence
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read
12:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 47 · price 0.69741
Lower highs into a base above 0.6965.
AUDUSD slid through the NY session off 0.6980 to a session low at 0.69656, then based between 0.6965 and 0.6977 as a firmer USD on safe-haven flows capped rebounds. RSI(14) recovered off its low into the mid-40s; price sits back above EMA20 but under EMA50.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.69773
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 opens the 0.6962 area
Reclaim of 0.6980 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
AUD leaked steadily off the 0.7000 handle through the Asia and London sessions to a 0.69656 session low, in line with a firmer USD on safe-haven flows. Buyers stepped in at 0.69656 and price is now consolidating 0.6970–0.6975 beneath a chain of lower highs, with the swing high at 0.69773 capping the bounce.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69773, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.69773 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.69656 session low extends the intraday downtrend
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD slid off the 0.7000 handle through the London-NY session, printing a session low at 0.69656 before basing around 0.6973. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.6966; price is now coiling under the 0.6980 swing high with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 exposes the 0.6962 area
Reclaim of 0.6980 would negate the intraday lower-high sequence
UoM sentiment/inflation-expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the London session in a clean lower-high chain from 0.7000, printing a session low at 0.69656 before buyers stepped in for a modest bounce back to 0.69754. RSI(14) has recovered from oversold to mid-40s as price chops just under the descending swing highs; still capped below the 0.6980 swing high and the 0.7000 handle.
Support: 0.69656, 0.69692
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bars
Close back above 0.69800 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.69656 session low confirms downtrend continuation
Lower highs off 0.7012, double bottom forming near 0.6966.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the London session under a chain of lower highs from 0.7012, printing a double bottom near 0.6966 before buyers stepped in into NY. Price has reclaimed the 0.6974 area but the 0.6990 swing high and the 0.7000 handle still cap the recovery.
Support: 0.6972, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6990 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.6966 double-bottom exposes fresh session lows
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
11:47 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.69744
Lower highs into session low, small bounce.
AUDUSD drifted off the 0.7000 handle through London, printing a session low at 0.69656 before buyers stabilised it into a tight 0.6968–0.6975 band. Price sits just above EMA20 but capped under the 0.6980 swing high; RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s off the lows.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.6962
Reclaim of 0.6980 needed to re-challenge the 0.7000 handle
US UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY morning, printing a lower high at 0.69900 before slipping to a session low of 0.69656; the pair stays pinned below the 0.7000 handle in line with its four-day cap. RSI(14) near 43 as a modest bounce off the low lifts price back to 0.69744.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Break below 0.69656 exposes the 0.6962 9-day ema area
M15 close back above 0.69900 negates the lower-high sequence
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the session, printing a chain of lower highs and a session low at 0.69656 as a firmer USD safe-haven bid weighed on the Aussie. Price has since stabilised in a tight 0.6968-0.6972 range below the 0.6976 bounce high; RSI(14) near 43 reflects fading downside momentum rather than a turn.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.6976, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.698 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69656 session low exposes the 0.6962 area
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
AUDUSD ground lower through the London session, sweeping to a session low of 0.69656 before basing in a tight 0.6968–0.6975 band; the pair stays pinned below 0.7000 with the softer USD read offset by a safe-haven bid. Price trades under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69749, 0.6988, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.6960
Reclaim of 0.69749 needed to challenge the 0.69880 swing high
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows; coiling near session low.
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking 0.6980 as a firmer USD held its safe-haven bid, and is now coiling just above the 0.69656 session low. RSI(14) sits in the high-30s and price trades below both EMAs; the last six bars are flatlining in a tight 0.69684–0.69746 band.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.69746
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.6962 9d ema
Reclaim of 0.69746 swing high needed to challenge the downtrend
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD lost the 0.7000 handle through the NY session and rolled over into a clean downtrend, printing lower highs into a 0.69656 session low. Bounce to 0.69749 faded and price is grinding back toward the lows with RSI(14) in the mid-30s; USD safe-haven bid on US-Iran headlines is the backdrop.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.69749, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 confirms the next lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69749 needed to stall the down leg
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating near session low.
AUD ground lower through the London session for a second down day, swept the session low at 0.69656 then bounced to 0.69748 before stalling. Price now coils in a tight 0.69685–0.69728 range below EMA20/50, pinned under the 0.7000 handle.
Support: 0.69656, 0.69692
Resistance: 0.69748, 0.69831, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69748 needed to unwind the intraday down-leg
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session, sliding from the 0.7000 handle to a 0.69656 session low, with the 50-day cap keeping the four-day pivot intact. Price is now coiling in a tight 0.69685–0.69749 band just above the lows, RSI(14) near 37 but flattening as the sell-off pauses.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69749, 0.6980, 0.6990
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69800 needed to challenge the 0.69900 swing high
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (~3h) could shift this read
10:47 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 0.69717
Lower highs into 0.6966 base.
AUDUSD slid through the NY session from 0.7010 to a 0.6966 swing low as a firmer USD on Mideast safe-haven flows weighed. Price now consolidates just above the low, RSI(14) mid-40s, with the 0.6980 prior swing capping bounces.
Support: 0.69656, 0.69692
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69800 would break the lower-high chain
AUDUSD sold off through the London session off the 0.7010 area, printing a low at 0.69656 as the USD held a safe-haven bid, then stalled into a tight base around 0.6972. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range; supply capping each bounce near 0.6975-0.6980.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.69748, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6980 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.69656 confirms continuation lower toward the 0.6900 base
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD slid through London hours to a 0.69656 session low then consolidated around 0.6970, holding a weak bounce that stalled under 0.69749. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the 0.7000 handle remains far overhead as the pair idles below the 50-day EMA cap flagged in the daily context.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69749, 0.69806, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.6900 base
Reclaim of 0.69806 needed to challenge the down-leg and reduce pressure
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session off the 0.7000 handle, bottoming at 0.69656 before stabilising in a tight 0.69692-0.69749 band, with the pair pinned near 0.7000 for a fourth day and capped by the 50-day EMA. RSI(14) recovered off oversold into the mid-40s as the decline stalled; ATR near 5 pips reflects the low-volatility drift into late session.
Support: 0.69656, 0.69692
Resistance: 0.69749, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69749 swing high eases the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69656 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift USD tone and this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 0.6975-0.7000 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 0.69656 as a firmer USD on Iran tensions weighed. Price has since stabilised into 0.6969-0.6975, RSI(14) lifting off oversold; the 0.6980 swing caps the bounce.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6969
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6988, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 challenges the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69656 confirms downtrend continuation toward 0.6900
US UoM sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
AUDUSD sold off through the London session, sliding from the 0.7000 handle to a session low of 0.69656 before a shallow bounce stalled under 0.69749. Price holds below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs; RSI(14) near 41 has room but no divergence yet.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69749, 0.6988, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69749 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69656 confirms continuation lower toward 0.69700 psych failing
US UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
London hours extended the slide off 0.7000, sweeping the session low at 0.69656 before a shallow bounce to 0.69748; price now idling near 0.6970 with RSI(14) around 38. Sellers capped every push at the descending highs into 0.6980.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69656 confirms the next lower low
Recovery above 0.6980 breaks the lower-high sequence
US UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 40 · price 0.69702
Lower highs, lower lows; bounce off 0.69656.
AUDUSD ground lower through the session, breaking the 0.6980 shelf and marking a low at 0.69656 before a shallow bounce to 0.6970 — moves consistent with a firm USD and AUD failing to hold the 0.7000 handle. Rallies are capped under the 0.6990 swing high with RSI in the high-30s.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69656 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69900 negates the downside push
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD bid driving this leg
09:47 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 39 · price 0.69698
Lower highs, lower lows since London.
AUDUSD ground lower through NY hours, breaking the 0.6980 shelf and printing a session low at 0.69656 before a shallow bounce to 0.69746, RSI(14) near 39. The 0.7000 handle/50-day EMA cap held all window and the pair sits pinned near lows with no bullish structure in play.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6954
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69800 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69656 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.6954
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD trended lower through London hours, sweeping the session low at 0.69656 before bouncing to 0.6970, with the USD firm on safe-haven flows. RSI(14) recovering off the low; price remains below EMA20 and EMA50 with a lower-high chain intact.
Support: 0.69656, 0.69715
Resistance: 0.69749, 0.6988
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69880 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Break of 0.69656 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6900 area
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:32 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 40 · price 0.69735
Lower highs, lower lows under 0.7000.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the London session, breaking under the 0.69800 pivot to print a fresh low at 0.69656 before a modest bounce to 0.69735. Price stayed capped by the 0.7000 handle all window; RSI(14) near 40, no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69800 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.69656 confirms continuation lower
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs, fresh session low then modest recovery.
AUDUSD slid through the European session off the 0.6900 prior high to a fresh session low at 0.69656, in line with the firmer USD read, and is bouncing modestly to 0.69735. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with the downtrend intact; RSI(14) near 39 off its lows.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6980
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69800 breaks the descending lower-high structure
Failure to hold 0.69656 opens the path toward the 0.6900 base
US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD rolled off the 0.7000 handle through the Asia-London transition and broke the 0.6980 swing support, printing a fresh session low at 0.69656 with RSI(14) near 30. The pair failed to reclaim 0.6990 on the earlier bounce, leaving a clean lower-high chain into London hours.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69800 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.69656 opens the 0.6950 area
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations ~5h out could shift the USD bid
AUDUSD slid off the 0.7000 handle through the NY session, breaking below 0.6980 and printing a fresh session low at 0.69656 as the USD held its safe-haven bid. Price hugs the lows with RSI(14) near 33 — momentum firmly to the downside but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.69656, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.698 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.69656 opens the 0.6900 recovery base
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
London session sold AUDUSD off the 0.7000 handle and through the 0.698 intraday floor, printing a fresh low at 0.69715 with RSI(14) near 33. The move fits the digest read — cooling AU inflation expectations trimming RBA-hike bets against a firm USD; sellers control the last 4 hours.
Support: 0.69715, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69888, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.698 negates the fresh lower-low read
Failure to hold 0.69715 opens continuation toward 0.697
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 0.6980 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 0.69715, RSI(14) into the low 30s. Price trades well below both EMAs after fading the 0.7000 handle earlier in the window; the 50-day EMA cap noted in the macro read continues to weigh.
Support: 0.69715, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69700 confirms lower-low continuation toward 0.6962
reclaim of 0.6980 would neutralise the intraday downdraft
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
08:47 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 32 · price 0.6973
Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session low.
AUDUSD slid through 0.6980 in the London session, printing a fresh session low at 0.6972 as the USD held firm on resilient US jobless claims. Price is below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 31 — stretched but not extreme on M15; the 0.7000 handle now caps overhead.
Support: 0.6972, 0.6962, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6988, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6988 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.6972 extends toward 0.6962
UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
08:47 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 35 · price 0.6973
Lower highs, breaking below 0.6980 range.
AUDUSD slid through the 0.6980 shelf during London hours, printing a fresh session low at 0.6972 with price below both EMAs and RSI(14) near 35. The move extends the roll-off from the 0.7012 prior high, keeping the 0.7000 handle capped for a fourth session.
Support: 0.6972, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6988, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.6988 swing high would stall the current lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.6972 session low opens 0.6950 psych
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could reprice the USD leg
08:32 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 42 · price 0.69766
Lower highs, lower lows below 0.7000.
AUDUSD lost the 0.7000 handle in the Asia session and has ground to a fresh low at 0.69738, price trading below EMA20/50. A bounce into 0.6990 during the London-NY lead-in stalled and sellers pressed back to the lows; RSI(14) sits in the low-40s with no divergence yet.
Support: 0.69738, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.7000 psych level would neutralise the downtrend read
Failure to hold 0.69738 session low opens the 0.6962 9-day ema area
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
AUDUSD has drifted lower through the London session, sliding off the 0.7012 prior high and rejecting again near 0.6990 before pressing the session low at 0.69738. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) around 40 — momentum is with the downside but the 0.7000 handle remains the magnet from above.
Support: 0.69738, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69738 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.6970
Reclaim of 0.6990 negates the near-term lower-high sequence
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs off 0.7012, ranging above session low.
AUDUSD slid off the 0.7012 area during the London session and printed a 0.6976 session low, then bounced but stalled at 0.6990 with the 0.7000 handle and 50-day EMA capping above. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 as the pair consolidates just under the swing high; ATR ~4.5 pips reflects a tight, low-volatility drift.
Support: 0.6976
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6976 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.6990 needed to challenge the 0.7000 handle
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs off 0.7012, now consolidating above 0.6976.
AUDUSD broke down from the 0.7000 handle during Asia, printing a session low at 0.69765 before London bought it back to 0.6990 and faded. Now consolidating 0.6976–0.6990, RSI(14) mid-40s, price capped below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.69765, 0.6970, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6990 then 0.7000 negates the intraday lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69765 opens the path toward 0.6962
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
AUDUSD rolled off the 0.7012 cap and sold through the Asian session to a 0.6976 base, where price held twice before a London bounce to 0.6990. That bounce has faded back to 0.69846, leaving the pair between 0.6976 support and 0.6990 resistance with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69900 targets the 0.70000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69760 confirms a lower low
US UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
AUDUSD sold off through the Asian session from the 0.7012 range high to a 0.6976 session low, then based twice there for a double bottom. London recovered price to 0.6990 before fading back to 0.69846; the pair stays pinned near the 0.7000 magnet, capped below the 50-day EMA.
Support: 0.69759, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6990 recent high opens a retest of the 0.7000 psych handle
Loss of 0.69759 session low confirms fresh lower-low
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
07:47 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 0.69855
Swept session low, rising lows into London.
AUDUSD broke below the 0.6990-0.7010 band during Asia and swept to 0.69759, then recovered through the London open to 0.699 before easing back to 0.69855. A double base at 0.6976 has held and lows are stepping up, but the 0.6990 swing high and the 0.7000 handle — capped a fourth day per the broader read — remain unbroken. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 51 after the bounce.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6976
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.6990 then 0.7000 would negate the downside range break
Loss of 0.6976 confirms a fresh lower low, exposing 0.6962
US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the 0.6994 range floor into a 0.69760 low, then bounced through the London open with RSI recovering off oversold to mid-50s. Price is grinding back toward 0.6990 but the 0.7000 handle still caps above.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 handle would negate the downside break
Loss of 0.69760 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
07:32 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 53 · price 0.69882
Double bottom after intraday downtrend.
AUDUSD slid from 0.7012 through NY hours and into Asia, printing a double bottom at 0.6976 before buyers stepped in on broad USD softness after the soft US CPI/PPI reads. Price has recovered into the London open with RSI(14) back near 53, but the advance is capped under the 0.6990 swing high.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6990 opens the path back toward the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.6976 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
0.7012 50-day ema is the pivot capping any extension
07:32 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.69882
Session decline, basing near 0.6976.
AUDUSD faded through the London session from the day high near 0.7012 to a session low at 0.69760, where buyers stepped in three times to form a base. Price has since ground back to 0.69882, reclaiming the EMA20 but still capped under the 0.69900 swing high; the leg lower reflects a firmer USD after the jobless-claims beat.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6976
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69900 opens the path back to 0.70000 round number
Failure to hold 0.69760 session low confirms a lower low
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7012 session high through 0.6985 into a double bottom at 0.6976 during the Asian session, and has since recovered to 0.6988 as London trades. Move is USD-driven on soft CPI/PPI paring; RSI(14) back near 58 after basing, price reclaiming above 0.6985.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path back to the 0.7012 session high
Failure to hold the 0.6976 double bottom confirms a lower low
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
Breakdown then double bottom, higher lows building.
AUDUSD lost 0.7000 mid-session and swept down to 0.6976 as the USD firmed on resilient jobless claims; buyers stepped in twice near 0.6976, forming a double bottom, and price has recovered to 0.6988. RSI(14) back near 54 off the lows, with 0.7000 now the immediate cap.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 session high
Failure to hold 0.6976 confirms a fresh lower low
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
Lower highs off 0.7012, double bottom at session low.
AUD/USD slid off 0.7012 through the Asia session on the dominant weak-USD-fade theme, printing a session low at 0.6976 before a double bottom sparked a bounce into early London toward 0.6990. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold and price is back above EMA20 but still capped below EMA50; the move is USD-driven rather than Aussie strength.
Support: 0.6976
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6990 swing high opens the path to 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold 0.6976 session low confirms a fresh lower low
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-led tone
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off base · RSI 52 · price 0.69866
Lower highs into 0.6976 base, recovering.
London session sold AUDUSD from the 0.7012 swing high through the day on renewed USD firmness, basing repeatedly around 0.6976. Price has since bounced to 0.699 with RSI(14) back near 52 from oversold; the 0.6990 bounce high caps the recovery for now.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path back toward the 0.7012 zone
Failure to hold the 0.6976 base confirms a fresh lower low
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
AUD/USD slid ~35 pips from the 0.70120 swing high through the Asian session, basing repeatedly near the 0.69760 session low before recovering to 0.6986. The slide was USD-led on resilient US jobless claims; RSI(14) has recovered off its lows to mid-range as buyers stepped in at the base.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6976
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69900 bounce high opens the path back to 0.70000
Failure to hold 0.69760 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
Lower highs into 0.6976 double bottom, recovering.
AUDUSD faded from 0.70120 through NY into Asia, back below 0.6980 as the dollar firmed, printing a double bottom near 0.6976 where buyers stepped in twice. Recovery has reached the 0.6990 session high, RSI(14) back to mid-range from oversold.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69788
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6990 opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold 0.6976 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
AUDUSD slid from the 0.7012 day high through the Asia session to a session low near 0.6976, where buyers stepped in twice. Early London is bouncing back toward 0.6992/0.7000, the current recovery driven by the broader soft-US-CPI USD story rather than fresh Aussie strength.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7000 opens the path back to the 0.7012 day high
Failure to hold 0.6976 confirms a lower low
US Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
06:32 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.69888
Lower highs into a double-bottom recovery.
AUDUSD slid from the 0.70120 session high through the Asian hours, printing a double bottom near 0.69760 before recovering into the London open. Price is now back above EMA20 at 0.69888, RSI(14) lifting off oversold as buyers stepped in twice around 0.6976.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6976
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69900 psych then 0.70000 reopens the path to the 0.70120 cap
Failure to hold 0.69760 double bottom confirms a lower low
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
AUDUSD rolled over from the 0.7012 session high through NY and into Asia as the USD firmed on strong jobless claims and the Philly Fed beat, breaking the 0.6992 shelf and printing a session low at 0.6976. Price has since ticked back to 0.69846, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 45.
Support: 0.69759, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69925 breakdown level would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69759 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
US Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) could reprice USD and shift this read
AUDUSD lost the 0.7000 handle mid-window as the USD firmed on resilient US jobless claims and a Philly Fed beat, printing successive lower lows into 0.69759. Price is bouncing off that session low toward 0.69846, RSI recovering from the mid-30s but still sub-50; sellers capped the last push near 0.69925.
Support: 0.69759, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above 0.69925 challenges the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 0.69759 extends the downtrend toward the 0.6975 area
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, losing 0.7000 · RSI 40 · price 0.69791
Lower highs, lower lows since London-NY transition.
AUDUSD lost the 0.7000 psych level during NY hours and slid to a session low near 0.69759 as the USD firmed on strong jobless claims and the Philly Fed beat. Price now grinds just above the low around 0.69791 with RSI(14) sub-40; the 0.69870 swing high caps the shallow bounces.
Support: 0.69759, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6987, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.70000 psych invalidates the downside read
Lower highs and lower lows, basing above session low.
AUDUSD lost the 0.7000 psych level during NY hours and slid to a 0.69759 session low as the USD firmed on strong jobless claims and a Philly Fed beat. Chain of lower highs/lows intact; price is grinding just above the low with RSI near 40, no reversal signal yet.
Support: 0.69759, 0.69773
Resistance: 0.69871, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70000 psych would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Loss of 0.69759 session low confirms continuation lower
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
AUDUSD lost the 0.7000 handle during Asia and has been grinding to session lows near 0.6976 as the USD firmed on strong US claims/Philly Fed. Price sits at the low end of a stepped decline, RSI(14) mid-30s with no bounce yet; the 0.69871 swing capped the last attempt higher.
Support: 0.69759
Resistance: 0.69871, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69871 neutralizes the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.6975 opens a fresh lower low
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
AUDUSD lost the 0.7000 handle in the Asia session and sold off to a 0.69759 session low, tracking a firmer USD after resilient US claims and Philly Fed. Price is now grinding sideways just above the low with RSI(14) mid-30s; the 0.69871 swing high caps rebound attempts.
Support: 0.69759, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69871, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69871 would ease the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69759 confirms continuation lower
UoM sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone and this read
Lower highs and lower lows, basing at session low.
AUDUSD broke below the 0.6990-0.7000 range during the Asia session and extended to 0.69760 as the USD firmed on resilient US labour data. Price is now basing just above the session low with RSI(14) near 39; a lower-high sequence caps rebounds at 0.69870.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6987, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.69760 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
A close back above 0.69870 breaks the lower-high chain and neutralises the downside read
US UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg driving this move
AUDUSD rolled over from 0.7012 and broke the 0.7000 psych level during the NY-Asia handover, US-driven after a soft CPI/PPI USD story faded on resilient claims/Philly Fed. Price is now grinding at session lows near 0.6976, RSI(14) sub-40 with no clean bounce yet.
Support: 0.69759, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6985, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.7000 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.69759 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
UoM Consumer Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Lower highs, lower lows since Asian-session break of 0.7000.
AUDUSD rolled over in the Asian session, breaking below 0.7000 and sliding to 0.69759 with a clean chain of lower highs. Price now hugs the session low near 0.6979, RSI(14) around 40 and holding under EMA20/EMA50; bounces have stalled at 0.6987.
Support: 0.69759, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69871, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.7000 would neutralise the lower-high structure
Loss of 0.69759 confirms fresh lower-low continuation
US UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
AUDUSD lost 0.7000 in an Asia-session slide as the USD firmed on strong jobless claims and Philly Fed, printing lower highs into 0.69759. Price is basing just above the session low with RSI near 39; 0.69827 and 0.69871 cap the bounce attempts.
Support: 0.69759, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69827, 0.69871, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.69871 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.69759 confirms a fresh lower low
US UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
05:03 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 34 · price 0.69785
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD in a clean M15 downtrend, sliding off the 0.7012 cap through the 0.7000 psych level into early London and printing a session low at 0.69759. RSI(14) near 34 with USD firmer on strong US jobless claims/Philly Fed; no bounce structure yet, price hugging the lows.
Support: 0.69759, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69871, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69759 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych invalidates the downtrend read
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
05:03 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 36 · price 0.69785
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD lost 0.7000 during Asian hours and printed a fresh session low at 0.69759 as the USD held firm on strong claims and Philly Fed data. Price is consolidating just above the low near 0.69785, RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet oversold; the 0.69871 swing caps recent bounces.
Support: 0.69759, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69871, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69871 would break the chain of lower highs
Loss of 0.69759 confirms downtrend continuation
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
04:47 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 37 · price 0.69785
Lower highs, lower lows after 0.7000 breakdown.
AUDUSD rejected 0.7012 and lost the 0.7000 psych level through the Asia session, now grinding at fresh session lows near 0.6976 as the USD stays bid on strong US data. RSI(14) around 37, hovering above oversold; each bounce has capped lower, most recently rejected at 0.6987.
Support: 0.69765, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69871, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.69765 opens the path toward 0.6970
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD driver behind this move
04:47 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 0.69785
Lower highs, lower lows after 0.7000 break.
AUDUSD lost the 0.7000 psych level and slid to a session low at 0.69760 as the USD stayed bid on strong US claims and Philly Fed data. Price is pinned near lows below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 37, no sign of a base yet.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6973
Resistance: 0.6987, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70000 psych would neutralise the downtrend read
Loss of 0.69760 session low confirms continuation to next low near 0.69730
US Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven move
AUDUSD broke down through the 0.6990 range floor into the Asia session and is now printing fresh session lows at 0.6976 as the USD steadied on firm US jobless claims. RSI(14) near 32, soft but not yet oversold; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with lower highs capping every bounce near 0.6987.
Support: 0.69759, 0.6975
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.6990
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6990 would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.6976 confirms lower-low continuation
UoM Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg driving this move
04:32 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 0.69762
Lower highs, lower lows after range break.
AUDUSD lost the 0.6990-0.7012 range and broke 0.7000 during the Asia session, selling to a 0.69759 session low on the USD steadying after Thursday's firm US jobless/Philly Fed data. RSI(14) near 33 as price prints fresh lows; the descending sequence of lower highs remains intact.
Support: 0.69759, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6985, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.7000 psych invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.69759 session low confirms continuation lower
AUDUSD broke down out of the 0.6990–0.7011 range late in the US session, dropping to 0.69773 as the USD steadied on firm claims and Philly Fed data. Price is now basing around 0.6980 into the Asia open with RSI(14) near 40, sellers capping bounces at 0.6987.
Support: 0.69773, 0.6975
Resistance: 0.6987, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.6990 broken floor invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.69773 session low confirms continuation lower
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven move
AUDUSD sold through the 0.6990-0.7011 range during late-NY/Asia hours, printing a 0.69773 session low before basing around 0.6980. Move fits the USD steadying off its one-month low; RSI(14) mid-30s, not yet oversold.
Support: 0.69773, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.69871, 0.6999
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6990 negates the downside range break
Failure to hold 0.69773 confirms a lower low
UoM Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD driver
Range break below 0.6990, consolidating above session low.
AUDUSD broke down out of the 0.6990–0.7011 Asian range early in the session, tagging a session low at 0.69773 as the USD steadied after this week's soft CPI/PPI. Price is now consolidating around 0.698, RSI(14) recovering off lows near 40 with 0.69925 acting as the reclaimed breakdown pivot.
Support: 0.69773, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6987, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.69925 would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.69773 session low opens the 0.6970 round number
US UoM Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven tone
AUDUSD broke down out of the 0.6990–0.7000 range during Asian hours with a sharp drop to a session low of 0.69773, the 0.7000 round number now flipped to overhead resistance. Price stalled near 0.6981 and RSI(14) has cooled to the high-30s; former range floor at 0.6990 caps the bounce so far.
Support: 0.69773, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6990 range low would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 0.69773 session low extends the lower-low sequence
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could firm USD and pressure AUD further
Price stalled at the session high 0.7012 (50-day EMA) and rolled over, breaking 0.7000 into the Asia session with a drop to 0.69773. RSI(14) cooling near 37, sitting mid-range after the leg lower with price pinned around 0.6981.
Support: 0.69773, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.7000 would negate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.69773 confirms continuation to lower lows
US Michigan sentiment later today could shift USD-driven tone
03:47 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 0.6981
Range break, chain of lower highs/lows.
Asian session, AUD broke down through 0.7000 and the 0.6990 base, sliding to a session low at 0.6977 as the USD steadied off its one-month low. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s; the earlier 0.6990–0.7012 range has given way.
Support: 0.69773, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6990/0.7000 would invalidate the range-break read
Failure to hold 0.6977 confirms the lower-low and opens 0.6970
US Michigan sentiment later today could shift USD tone and this read
AUDUSD rejected the 0.7012 swing high and slid through the 0.6990–0.7010 range during Asia hours, printing a session low at 0.69773 before a two-bar bounce to 0.6986. The move fits the digest's stall at the 50-day EMA on USD stabilising; RSI(14) recovering from the low-40s, no reclaim of 0.7000 yet.
Support: 0.69773
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 negates the range-break read
Failure to hold 0.69773 confirms a fresh lower-low
US Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven tone
AUD rejected the 0.7000 psych level and sold through the Asian range into 0.6977 on broad USD steadying near its one-month low. Price has since bounced to 0.6986, RSI(14) recovering off the lows but still sub-50; 0.7000 caps the move.
Support: 0.69773, 0.69895
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.70120 session high
Failure to hold 0.69773 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could firm USD and pressure this read
03:17 UTC
Downtrend, short-term · RSI 38 · price 0.69838
Range break to the downside, basing at lows.
Asian session sold off out of the 0.6990–0.7012 range with a sharp break to 0.69773, price now hovering 0.6984 as buyers step in at the lows. RSI(14) recovering from oversold; 0.6990 (prior support) now caps the bounce.
Support: 0.69773, 0.6975
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6990 would invalidate the downside break read
Failure to hold 0.69773 opens the path lower toward 0.6975
Rally repeatedly stalled at the 0.7012 prior high — area to watch for rejection
Range broken to the downside, testing session low.
AUDUSD held a 0.6992–0.7012 range through most of the window before rolling over sharply in the last 90 minutes, breaking 0.6992 and tagging 0.69773 during Asia hours. RSI(14) near 37 with the rally that reclaimed 0.7000 now fully unwound; sellers have capped every push back toward the broken 0.6992 floor.
Support: 0.69773, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.6992 invalidates the breakdown read
Loss of 0.69773 opens the path lower
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift USD-driven tone
03:02 UTC
Downturn, breaking lower · RSI 32 · price 0.6980
Range floor gave way, lower lows forming.
AUDUSD sold off through the 0.6990 range floor that had capped Asia hours, dropping to a session low of 0.69773 before stabilising near 0.6980. The move is USD-side driven after soft US CPI/PPI, with RSI(14) cooling toward oversold as price sits below both EMAs.
Support: 0.69773, 0.6975
Resistance: 0.6992
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.69920 negates the breakdown and puts price back in range
Failure to hold 0.69773 confirms continuation to the 0.6975 area
UoM Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD side
Range break lower, lower highs into new session low.
AUDUSD held a tight 0.6990-0.7012 range through London/NY before slicing lower late, breaking the range floor and printing a session low at 0.69773 on broad-USD moves. RSI(14) near 31 as price stabilises around 0.6980; the 0.7000 psych level now caps from above.
Support: 0.69773
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
A reclaim above 0.6990 range floor negates the breakdown
Loss of 0.69773 session low extends the leg toward 0.6962
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could reprice the USD side
02:47 UTC
Downturn, range floor broken · RSI 31 · price 0.69805
Range break lower, fresh session low.
Asia session broke down through the 0.6992 range floor and lost the 0.7000 handle, sliding to a session low at 0.69779 on broad USD steadying off its one-month low. RSI(14) near 30 after the sharp leg down; price hugging the lows with no bounce yet.
Support: 0.69779
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6992/0.7000 would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.69779 confirms continuation lower
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the USD side
02:47 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 29 · price 0.69805
Range broken to the downside, lower low printed.
AUDUSD held a tight 0.6990–0.7012 range for most of the 24h window before a sharp Asia-session drop cracked the 0.6992 floor, printing a lower low at 0.69779. Price is pinned at session lows around 0.69805 with RSI(14) near 29 — short-term stretched but confirming the downside break.
Support: 0.69779, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69925 range floor would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 0.69779 opens the path toward 0.6962
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD side
AUDUSD sold off through the 0.6992 range floor into the Asia session, printing a session low at 0.698 as the USD bounced off its one-month low. Price failed earlier at the 0.7012 prior high and lost the 0.7000 round number, with RSI(14) cooling into the low 30s.
Support: 0.6980
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim above the 0.6992 broken floor would invalidate the downside break
Failure to hold 0.698 session low opens further downside
Price stalled at 0.7012 through the session then broke the 0.6990–0.7000 range floor late in Asia hours, dropping to a session low at 0.69811 on USD steadying off its one-month low. RSI(14) around 34 after the impulsive leg down; 0.69925 breakdown level now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.69811, 0.69895
Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69925 breakdown level would neutralise the lower-low read
Failure to hold 0.69811 session low extends the down leg toward 0.6985
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD side
02:17 UTC
Range break lower, momentum down · RSI 33 · price 0.69845
Broke below 0.700 handle, testing session low.
AUDUSD ranged around the 0.700 handle through most of the window before a sharp Asia-session breakdown to a 0.69800 session low, with the pair back below both EMAs as the USD firmed off its one-month low. RSI(14) near 33 after the drop; the 0.700 handle now caps as prior support turned resistance.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69962
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000, 0.70021
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.700 handle would invalidate the breakdown read
Loss of the 0.69800 session low opens the path toward 0.6962
US UoM sentiment/inflation later today could shift USD direction
02:17 UTC
Downtick after range break · RSI 33 · price 0.69845
Broke below Asian range floor.
AUDUSD spent the Asia session boxed between 0.69925 and the 0.7000 handle before a sharp break lower dropped price to 0.698, losing the round number. Earlier session peaked at 0.70120 and stalled at the 50-day EMA cap flagged in context; RSI(14) near 33 as the breakdown extends.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69925 range base would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.698 session low opens 0.6962 support
UoM inflation expectations later today could shift USD tone
02:02 UTC
Range breaking to downside · RSI 34 · price 0.69824
Range top rejected, lower low printed.
AUDUSD broke below the 0.6992-0.7012 range in thin early-Asia hours, dumping to 0.6982 after supply capped repeatedly at the 0.7012 session high. RSI(14) cooled to ~34 on the flush; 0.6992 prior support now overhead, with the 0.7000 handle lost.
Support: 0.69819, 0.6980, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6992 broken support would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.69800 opens the path toward 0.6962
Move above 0.70000 psych puts the 0.7012 session high back in play
02:02 UTC
Range broken lower, momentum down · RSI 31 · price 0.69824
Range break below 0.6990 floor.
AUDUSD spent the session boxed around 0.7000, capped at the 0.7012 session high, then dropped sharply in the last two bars to 0.6980, breaking the 0.6990 range floor as USD firmed off its one-month low. RSI(14) fell near 30, ATR ~8 pips — the move is fast but the break is fresh.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6995 would negate the downside break and restore the range
Failure to hold 0.6980 opens continuation toward 0.6962
USD strength is driving this leg; a stabilising dollar caps any bounce
AUDUSD is ranging 0.6989-0.7012 after tagging the session high and fading back under the 0.7000 handle; the bounce is a USD-weakness story that stalled near the 50-day EMA cap. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range, buyers holding the 0.6989 low into a quiet Asia session.
Support: 0.6989, 0.6990
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7012 reopens the 0.7015/0.7021 ceiling
Loss of 0.6989 confirms a lower-low and fading momentum
USD stabilisation would cap any retest of 0.7000
01:47 UTC
Rangebound, upside faded · RSI 43 · price 0.6992
Consolidation below 0.7000 after 0.7012 rejection.
AUDUSD tagged 0.7012 during the London-NY window then faded back below 0.7000, capped at the flagged 50-day EMA zone as USD steadied. Now grinding sideways near 0.6992, holding above the 0.6989 swing low with RSI(14) in the low-40s.
Support: 0.6989, 0.6990
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 session high
Loss of 0.6989 confirms a lower low and fades the rally
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:32 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69968
Consolidation below 0.7000 after rejection at 0.7012.
AUDUSD tagged 0.7012 (flagged 50-day EMA cap) mid-window then faded, and has spent the Asia session boxed between 0.6990 and 0.7000. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with price pinned to its EMA20 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 then 0.7012 reopens the upside toward 0.7045
Loss of 0.6990 range low signals fading momentum toward 0.6986
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read
01:32 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69968
Range-bound below 0.7000 after tagging 0.7012.
AUDUSD is consolidating just under the 0.7000 psych level in the Asia session after tagging the 0.7012 range top mid-window and rejecting. Move is USD-weakness driven off soft US CPI/PPI; RSI(14) sits flat near 51 with price pinned to EMA20 and the 0.6990 swing low holding on dips.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012, 0.7021
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7012 range top reopens 0.7021 prior high
Loss of 0.6990 swing low exposes 0.6962 9-day ema
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:17 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.6999
Range-bound below 0.7000 handle.
AUDUSD is consolidating at 0.6999 after tagging 0.7012 mid-window, the ceiling flagged by the 50-day EMA cap. The pair has traded a tight 0.6990–0.7012 range for the last ~10 hours with RSI near neutral; no directional setup in play into Asia.
Support: 0.6990, 0.69955
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7012 would break the range top and open 0.7045
Loss of 0.6990 confirms a lower low and fades the 0.7000 handle
UoM Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
Quiet Asia session pinning AUDUSD to the 0.7000 handle after the advance stalled at 0.7012, the flagged 50-day EMA cap. Price has ranged 0.6990–0.7000 for the last several hours with RSI hovering near 50 — no directional development.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7012 invalidates the range and opens 0.7045
Loss of 0.6990 signals fading momentum toward 0.6962
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone and this read
01:03 UTC
Consolidating below 0.7000 after fade from session high · RSI 51 · price 0.69972
Range-bound, rejected at 0.7012 then based near 0.6990.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7012 session high — the well-flagged 50-day EMA cap — and is grinding just under the 0.7000 handle in quiet Asian hours. RSI(14) sits near 50 and ATR is only ~4 pips; no directional setup, price boxed between 0.6990 and 0.7012.
Support: 0.69895, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7012 opens the path toward 0.7045
Loss of 0.6990 signals fading momentum toward the 0.6986 session low
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read
01:03 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69972
Consolidating below 0.7000 after fade from 0.7012.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7012 session high during NY hours and slipped back under the 0.7000 handle, in line with a rally that's a USD-weakness story stalling at the flagged ceiling. Asia is grinding sideways around 0.6997 with RSI(14) near neutral; the 0.6990 swing low has held twice.
Support: 0.69895, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69895 swing low opens the session low at 0.6986
Reclaim of 0.7000 and a push at 0.70120 needed to revive upside
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD direction and this read
00:47 UTC
Consolidation after NY pullback · RSI 45 · price 0.69921
Rangebound below 0.7000 handle.
AUDUSD is grinding sideways in early Asia around 0.6992 after NY session rejected 0.7012, the well-flagged 50-day EMA cap. Rally to 0.7012 has retraced most of its gains; the 0.7000 round number now caps and buyers have held the 0.6989 swing low.
Support: 0.69895, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 ema cap
Loss of 0.69895 swing low signals a lower low
UoM sentiment / US inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
00:47 UTC
Range, edging to lower end · RSI 42 · price 0.69921
Consolidation below 0.7000 after fade from session high.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.70120 session high and has drifted into a tight 0.6990-0.6997 range through the Asian hours, now pressing the lower edge at 0.6992. Momentum sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) sub-45; the 0.7000 handle has capped every bounce since the pullback.
Support: 0.69895, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69895 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.69860
Reclaim of 0.7000 puts the 0.70120 session high back in play
Australia jobs (Jul 23 01:30 GMT) is the next scheduled driver for this pair
00:32 UTC
Pullback from session high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69933
Consolidating below 0.7000 after rejection at 0.7012.
Price stalled at the 0.7012 session high (50-day EMA cap) and pulled back to grind between 0.6990 and 0.6998 through thin Asian-session trade. RSI(14) mid-range near 43; the 0.7000 handle now caps as former support flips overhead.
Support: 0.69895, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens 0.7012 session high
Loss of 0.69895 confirms a lower low and fades the rally
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7012 session high during the London-NY window and is now ranging in the low 0.699x, with the 0.7000 handle capping and 0.6990 holding as support. Thin Asian-session liquidity (current bar volume near zero) keeps price pinned mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 session high
Loss of 0.6990 exposes 0.6986 prior low
Move remains a USD-weakness story — any USD stabilization caps upside
00:17 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.69967
Range-bound near 0.7000 after fade off session high.
AUDUSD is boxed at 0.7000 through the Asia session after tagging 0.7012 and rejecting — the well-flagged 50-day EMA cap. Price faded to 0.6990 mid-window then chopped back to the handle; RSI(14) flat near 52, ATR compressed to ~5 pips, no directional structure in play.
Support: 0.69895, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.70012, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7012 clears the session high and opens 0.7045
Loss of 0.6990 exposes the session low at 0.6986
USD direction remains the primary driver of this move
AUDUSD tagged the session high at 0.7012 during the London-NY window then faded, now grinding in a tight 0.6990-0.7000 band through thin Asian hours. Price sits near the 61.8% retrace of that leg, RSI(14) flat near 48; the 0.7012/50-day EMA area capped the advance as the move was USD-weakness driven, not AUD strength.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 ceiling
Loss of 0.6990 exposes the 0.6986 session low
Clean break of 0.7012 opens the path toward 0.7045
00:03 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 0.69993
Consolidation under 0.7000 after fade from session high.
NY session pushed to a 0.7012 session high before fading back under the 0.7000 handle, capped near the 50-day EMA per the macro read. Asia is now consolidating in a thin 0.6994–0.7000 band, RSI(14) flat near 55, no setup in play.
Support: 0.6989, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7012 reopens the path toward 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.6989 confirms a lower-low back toward 0.6986
AU employment data Jul 23 is the next high-impact catalyst
00:02 UTC
Range-bound, drifting up · RSI 54 · price 0.69993
Consolidation under 0.7000 handle.
AUDUSD is pinned in a 0.6986–0.7012 range, now grinding back toward the 0.7000 handle on thin Asia-session volume. The 0.7012 session high was rejected earlier and the pullback held above 0.69895; the whole move is USD-driven after soft US CPI/PPI, not Aussie-led.
Support: 0.69895, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7012 opens the path toward 0.7045
Loss of 0.69895 swing low exposes the 0.6986 window low
0.7000 round number — area to watch for rejection or break