AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 16 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:47 UTC

Range, low-vol drift · RSI 52 · price 0.69974

Consolidation inside 0.6990–0.7012 range.

Thin Asia-session drift, coiling 0.6994–0.6998 after the London/NY push to 0.70120 (near the 50-day EMA) faded back through the 0.7000 handle. RSI(14) flat near 52, ATR compressed to ~4 pips — this is USD-driven consolidation, not Aussie-led.

Support: 0.6990, 0.69857, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012, 0.7045

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70120 reopens the path toward 0.7045
  • Loss of 0.6990 exposes 0.69857 and the 0.6962 area
  • USD direction remains the sole driver — a USD bounce would fade this range

23:47 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69974

Range near 0.7000 handle.

AUDUSD is dead flat near 0.6997 in a thin Asian session, holding just under the 0.7000 handle after tagging 0.70120 during the prior London-NY window. Range low at 0.69895 held, then price drifted sideways on collapsing volume; no setup in play.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6990

Resistance: 0.70012, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70012 reopens the 0.70120 session high
  • Break below 0.69895 confirms a lower low out of the range
  • Volume/volatility likely to lift only on the London open

23:32 UTC

Consolidation after rejection at 0.7012 · RSI 49 · price 0.69971

Range-bound near 0.6997 following pullback from session high.

AUDUSD stalled at 0.7012 mid-window and drifted back to consolidate around 0.6997, with the upside a USD-weakness story capping at the 50-day EMA area. Asian-session bars are thin and rangebound between 0.6990 and 0.7000; RSI(14) flat near 49, no momentum in either direction.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 opens the path toward 0.7045
  • Failure to hold 0.6990 exposes the session low at 0.6986
  • 0.7000 psych level — area to watch for rejection or break

23:32 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69971

Consolidating below 0.7000 after fade from session high.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.70120 session high and is now grinding sideways in the low 0.6990s, RSI(14) flat near 49. Thin late-session liquidity; the 0.7000 psych level caps while buyers defended the 0.69895 swing low.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6990

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 reopens the 0.70120 session high
  • Break of 0.69895 swing low confirms a lower low
  • Aussie jobs data (Jul 23) is the next major risk for this pair

23:17 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69969

Consolidation below 0.7000 after fading from session high.

AUDUSD is consolidating tightly around 0.6996 through the Asia session after fading from the 0.7012 session high — the level flagged as the 50-day EMA cap on USD-driven strength. Price is pinned just under the 0.7000 psych level, RSI(14) flat near 51, and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 session high
  • Break below 0.6986 session low confirms a lower-low
  • UoM sentiment/inflation expectations later Fri could shift the USD read

23:17 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69969

Consolidation below 0.7000 after fade from session high.

AUDUSD is drifting sideways around 0.6997 in thin early-Asia trade after fading from the session high at 0.7012 — the 50-day EMA cap flagged on the higher TFs. The pop above 0.7000 was USD-led on soft US CPI/PPI, but price has since coiled between 0.6990 and 0.7000 with RSI(14) flat near 50.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 session high
  • Loss of 0.6990 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 0.6986
  • US UoM sentiment + inflation expectations later today could shift the USD-driven read

23:02 UTC

Faded from highs, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69956

Tight range after rejection at session high.

AUDUSD tagged the 0.70120 session high — capped near the 50-day EMA per the USD-weakness rally — then faded back under 0.7000 the round number. Now grinding a tight 0.6990–0.6997 range through quiet Asian hours, RSI(14) mid-40s and price pinned to EMA20.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • reclaim of 0.7000 round number reopens the 0.70120 session high
  • M15 close below 0.6990 swing low confirms a lower low

23:02 UTC

Pullback, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69956

Consolidation below 0.7000 after rejection at 0.7012.

AUDUSD stalled at 0.70120 during the prior session and slipped back under the 0.7000 figure, now drifting in a tight 0.6990-0.6997 band through thin Asia hours. USD found a footing after strong Philly Fed and jobless claims, capping the CPI-driven Aussie pop; RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 with no intraday momentum.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.70000 reopens 0.70120 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69900 confirms a lower low toward the low-0.699s
  • UoM sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read

22:47 UTC

Range, drifting mid-range · RSI 49 · price 0.69955

Consolidation below 0.7000 after NY high fade.

AUDUSD tagged 0.7012 during NY hours then faded, and Asia is now drifting flat around 0.69955 on thin volume. RSI(14) neutral near 49; price coils between the 0.6990 session low and the 0.7000 round number with no directional pull.

Support: 0.6990, 0.69895

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 session high
  • Break below 0.6990 confirms a lower low toward the session low at 0.69895

22:47 UTC

Pulled back from highs, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69955

Consolidating below 0.7000 after fade from session high.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.7012 session high — the 50-day EMA cap flagged in USD-driven trade — back under the 0.7000 figure, and is now grinding sideways in a tight 0.6990–0.6997 band on thin late-session liquidity. RSI(14) mid-range near 46; no directional setup in play with the current bar in the early Asia window.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6992

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.7000 reopens the 0.70120 session high
  • Loss of 0.69895 confirms a lower low toward the low-0.69s
  • Thin Asia-session liquidity can distort moves until London

22:32 UTC

Consolidation below 0.7000 · RSI 48 · price 0.69965

Range after rejection at 0.7012.

AUDUSD tagged 0.7012 during the prior NY session, met rejection at the 50-day EMA cap, and has since drifted back below the figure into a tight 0.6990–0.7000 range. Early Asia hours are quiet, volume thinning, RSI(14) flat mid-range near 47.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7012 needed to reopen the path toward 0.7045
  • Loss of 0.6990 swing low confirms a lower low into the 0.69860 range low

22:32 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69965

Consolidation mid-range after rejection at 0.7012.

AUDUSD is boxed between 0.6986 and 0.7012 after failing at the session high 0.7012 — the level flagged as the 50-day EMA cap. Price now drifts around 0.6996 on thin late-day volume, RSI(14) flat near 49 with no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.7012 opens the path toward 0.7025 then 0.7045
  • Break below 0.6986 session low confirms a lower-low
  • Australian jobs data Jul 23 is the next domestic swing factor

22:17 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.6997

Consolidation below 0.7000 after 0.7012 rejection.

AUDUSD stalled at 0.7012 into the London-NY session and has since drifted back below the 0.7000 figure, now consolidating near 0.6997 on thin late-Asia volume. RSI(14) flat near 49 — no momentum in either direction; the 0.7012 area (aligned with the 50-day EMA cap flagged in the macro read) capped the two-day USD-driven pop.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 then 0.7012 reopens the 0.7025 range top
  • Loss of 0.6986 session low confirms a lower low
  • Fed speak and USD stabilization could squeeze the recent rally

22:17 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.6997

Consolidation below 0.7012 session high.

AUDUSD ranging 0.6990–0.7012 after tagging the 0.7012 session high during NY and rolling over into the low-0.699s. Late-session drift on thin volume, RSI(14) flat near 49; the 50-day EMA cap (~0.7012) noted in the macro read still aligns with the session top.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7002, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 reopens the path toward 0.7025
  • Loss of 0.6990 confirms a lower low toward 0.6986
  • Australian jobs data (Jul 23) is the next domestic catalyst

22:02 UTC

Pulled back off session high, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69965

Consolidation under 0.7000 after rejection at 0.7012.

AUDUSD rejected 0.7012 and slid to 0.6990 before flattening around 0.6996 into thin Asia-session hours. Price is capped by the 0.7000 round number with RSI(14) mid-range; no directional setup while it holds inside 0.6990-0.7000.

Support: 0.6990, 0.69895

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 session high
  • Loss of 0.69895 session low confirms a lower low
  • Australian jobs data (Jul 23) is the next domestic catalyst

22:02 UTC

Faded from highs, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69965

Consolidation under 0.7000 after 0.7012 rejection.

AUDUSD tagged 0.7012 — the 50-day EMA cap — during the NY session and faded back under the 0.7000 figure, since drifting in a tight 0.6990-0.6997 band through thin early-Asia hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 with no momentum edge; the move up was USD-driven off soft US CPI/PPI, not Aussie-led.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • reclaim and close above 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.7012 50d ema cap
  • failure to hold 0.6990 swing low exposes the low-0.69s
  • thin Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves off these levels

21:47 UTC

Pulling back, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69966

Consolidating below 0.7000 after rejection at 0.7012.

AUDUSD tagged 0.7012 during NY hours then rolled over, and has since coiled in the 0.6990-0.7000 band on thin early-Asia volume. Price sits just under the 0.7000 figure with RSI mid-range; no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 prior high
  • loss of the 0.6990 swing low exposes 0.6986 session low
  • Australian jobs (Jul 23) is the next domestic swing factor

21:47 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.69966

Consolidating below 0.7000 after session-high fade.

AUDUSD tagged a session high at 0.7012 during NY hours then faded back under 0.7000, capped near the 50-day EMA reference. Price is now grinding in a 0.6989–0.7000 range with RSI(14) flat near 52 and thin late-session volume.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 opens the path toward 0.7045
  • Failure to hold 0.6989 confirms a lower-low toward 0.6986

21:32 UTC

Range, drifting off session high · RSI 50 · price 0.69965

Consolidation 0.6990-0.7012 after rejection.

AUDUSD stalled at the 50-day EMA (~0.7012) and rolled back to consolidate around 0.6995, holding above the 0.6990 session low. The two-day pop was pure USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI; into the thin Asia open price is ranging 0.6990-0.7000 with no clear directional push.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6987

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.7015 reopens the 0.7045 target
  • Break below 0.69895 confirms a lower low toward low-0.69s
  • US UoM inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read

21:32 UTC

Pullback, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69965

Consolidating below 0.7000 after rejection at 0.7012.

AUDUSD stalled and rejected at 0.7012 — the 50-day EMA cap noted on the macro read — during NY hours, then slipped back below the 0.7000 figure. Into the Asian open it is consolidating tightly around 0.6990–0.6997 on thinning volume, RSI(14) flat mid-range.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and M15 close above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 ema cap
  • Loss of 0.6990 swing low confirms a lower low toward the 0.6986 prior low

21:17 UTC

Pulling back after stalling at 0.7012 · RSI 43 · price 0.69923

Ranging below 0.7000, capped at 0.7012.

AUDUSD tagged 0.7012 during NY hours — its cap at the 50-day EMA — was rejected and slipped back below the 0.7000 figure. Price is consolidating around 0.6992 into the NY close, RSI(14) mid-range near 43 with the 0.7000 round number now acting as resistance.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.7000 reopens the path to the 0.7012 cap
  • Break below 0.69895 session low confirms a lower low
  • US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations could shift the USD-driven read

21:17 UTC

Range, momentum flat after rejection · RSI 46 · price 0.69923

Consolidation below 0.7000 after fading off 0.7012.

AUDUSD tagged 0.7012 (50-day EMA cap) then slid back through the 0.7000 round number, now grinding flat around 0.6992 on thin late-session volume. Rejection at 0.7012 held and price is boxed between 0.69895 and 0.7000; RSI near 46 shows no momentum either way.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 reopens the 0.70120 50-day EMA cap
  • Break below 0.69895 swing low confirms a lower low toward the session low 0.6986

21:04 UTC

Pullback stalling, sideways · RSI 52 · price 0.69971

Consolidating below 0.7000 after rejection at 0.7012.

AUDUSD rejected 0.7012 (also the 50-day EMA cap) mid-window and slid back to the 0.699 area, where the last 12 bars have gone flat. The 0.7000 figure is capping and 0.69895 is holding as the session low; the two-day pop was USD-driven on soft CPI/PPI, leaving upside dependent on fresh dollar softness.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 session high
  • Break of 0.69895 confirms a lower low toward 0.6986
  • US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg

21:04 UTC

Sideways after fade from day high · RSI 54 · price 0.69971

Consolidation in low 0.699s.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.70120 day high into NY hours and has coiled in a tight 0.6990–0.7000 range, now grinding back toward the figure at 0.69971. The two-day pop was USD-driven on soft US CPI/PPI; 0.7000 caps as price stalls below the 50-day EMA cited near 0.7012.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6992

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70045, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70000 reopens the 0.70045–0.70120 zone
  • Loss of 0.69895 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-led read

20:47 UTC

Downtrend off session high, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.6996

Lower highs, now consolidating.

AUDUSD tagged 0.7012 during NY hours — stalling at the 50-day EMA cap flagged by the USD-driven pop — then slid to 0.6990 and is now grinding sideways near 0.6996 into the late NY session. RSI(14) flat near 49; volatility has drained, ATR ~24 pips.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 reopens the 0.7025 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6990 confirms continuation toward the swing low at 0.6986

20:47 UTC

Faded from highs, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.6996

Consolidation below 0.7012 cap.

AUDUSD stalled at 0.7012 — the 50-day EMA cap — during the NY morning, then drifted through the afternoon and is now flat around 0.6996. Price has coiled into a tight 0.6990–0.6996 range late in the NY session with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7005, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 (50d ema) reopens the path toward the 0.7025 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6990 session low confirms a lower-low into the low-0.699s
  • Thin late-NY liquidity into Asia can exaggerate moves off this range

20:32 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69948

Consolidation below 0.7000 after rejection at session high.

AUDUSD rejected the 0.70120 session high during NY hours and slipped to 0.69895 before flattening; the move above the figure faded on broad USD-driven positioning. Price now grinds sideways in a tight 0.6990-0.6995 band into the late-NY close, RSI(14) mid-40s.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.70120 session high
  • Break below 0.69895 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Australian jobs data (Jul 23) is the key domestic swing factor ahead

20:32 UTC

Pullback from 0.7012, consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 0.69948

Lower highs into a tight range above the recent low.

AUDUSD stalled at 0.7012 — the 50-day EMA cap flagged after the USD-driven pop — and slid back under the 0.7000 figure, now grinding in a tight 0.6990–0.6995 band into late NY hours. RSI(14) mid-40s, momentum flat with the recent low at 0.69895 still holding.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 session high
  • Break of 0.69895 recent low confirms a lower-low toward 0.69860 session low

20:17 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69943

Tight consolidation under 0.7000.

NY session faded from the 0.7012 session high — where the 50-day EMA cap sits — and has since coiled into a tight 0.6989–0.6996 range around 0.6994 into late NY. The 0.7000 round number now caps, RSI(14) flat near 46 with no momentum.

Support: 0.6989, 0.6994

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 session high
  • Break below 0.6989 confirms a lower low
  • Australian jobs data Jul 23 is the next domestic swing factor

20:17 UTC

Short-term down, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.69943

Sold off from session high, consolidating above session low.

NY session faded AUDUSD off the 0.7012 session high — where the 50-day EMA cap sits — down to 0.6989, and price is now grinding a tight 0.6990-0.6995 range. Firm US data (Philly Fed, claims) steadied the dollar off its one-month low, keeping the Aussie pinned below the figure. RSI(14) mid-range near 45, ATR ~4 pips reflecting the low-volatility drift.

Support: 0.6899, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • A close back above 0.7000 (figure) reopens the 0.7012 session high
  • Loss of 0.6989 session low confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6962 9-day ema
  • US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read

20:02 UTC

Pulled back off session high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69945

Lower highs into tight range near 0.6994.

AUDUSD tagged 0.7012 into the London-NY overlap — a rejection right at the 50-day EMA cap — then faded back through the 0.7000 round number on broad USD steadying. Late-NY trade has flattened into a tight 0.6990-0.6996 range with RSI mid-40s.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6990 opens a retest of the 0.6986 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.7000 puts the 0.7012 session high back in play
  • US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read

20:02 UTC

Downtrend off session high, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69945

Lower highs, consolidating above 0.6990.

NY session drifted off the 0.7012 session high back through the 0.7000 figure, tagging 0.6990 before stalling. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.6990–0.6995 band late in NY hours, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum either way.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.70120 session high
  • Break below 0.69895 swing low confirms a fresh lower low

19:47 UTC

Downtrend, drifting lower after 0.7012 rejection · RSI 43 · price 0.69925

Lower highs since NY, now flat near session low.

AUDUSD stalled at the 50-day EMA near 0.7012 during NY, then slid back under the 0.7000 psych level; the two-day pop was pure USD softness after the soft US CPI/PPI. Price now grinds flat around 0.6992 into the late-NY session, holding just above the 0.6990 session low with RSI mid-range.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 psych reopens the 50d ema at 0.7012
  • Loss of 0.6990 session low confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.6986 swing low
  • US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read

19:47 UTC

Downtrend off 0.7012, momentum easing · RSI 44 · price 0.69925

Lower highs, consolidating above swing low.

NY session tagged 0.7012 (the 50-day EMA cap per context) mid-afternoon then faded, printing a chain of lower highs back below the 0.7000 figure. Now consolidating around 0.6992, holding just above the 0.69895 swing low with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.6996, 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69895 confirms a lower low and opens 0.6986
  • Reclaim of 0.7000 needed to re-challenge the 0.7012 ny high
  • USD reaction into Fri UoM sentiment could shift this intraday read

19:32 UTC

Pullback off session high, momentum soft · RSI 42 · price 0.69928

Lower highs since 0.7012, holding above 0.6990.

NY session faded after tagging 0.7012 — the 50-day EMA cap flagged in the macro read — then rolled off through 0.7000 on USD stabilising. Price now grinding in a tight band just above the 0.6990 session low, RSI(14) mid-40s with no thrust either way.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6990 confirms a fresh session lower-low toward the low-0.69s
  • Reclaim of 0.7000 puts the 0.7012 session high back in play
  • Aussie jobs data (Jul 23) is the next domestic swing factor

19:32 UTC

Pulled back from highs, now flat · RSI 43 · price 0.69928

Consolidation near session lows after rejection at 0.7012.

AUDUSD stalled at 0.7012 (50-day EMA / UOB pivot) during NY hours, then slid back below the 0.7000 figure and is now grinding sideways at 0.6990-0.6996. Momentum has flattened with RSI(14) near 43 and price pinned under EMA20/50.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69895 opens the path toward the 0.6986 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.7000 puts the 0.7012 session high / 50d ema cap back in play
  • US UoM sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone

19:17 UTC

Pullback, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.69929

Rejected 0.7012, ranging under 0.7000.

AUDUSD rolled over after tagging the 0.70120 session high — the 50-day EMA cap flagged in the digest — during the London-NY window, and has since drifted below the 0.7000 figure. Price now consolidates 0.6990-0.6996 under EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s; the earlier pop was USD-led on soft CPI/PPI, and momentum has faded at the figure.

Support: 0.69895

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.70120 session high
  • Loss of 0.69895 confirms a lower low
  • Fed Jefferson speaking 23:00 UTC could shift the USD read

19:17 UTC

Downtrend off session high, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69929

Rolled off 0.7012, consolidating near session low.

AUDUSD tagged 0.7012 during NY hours — the 50-day EMA cap flagged in the macro read — then rolled over on USD steadying after firm US claims and a big Philly Fed beat. Price now grinds sideways around 0.6993 just above the 0.69895 session low, RSI(14) mid-40s.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6990

Resistance: 0.7002, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7002 reopens the 0.7012 session high
  • Loss of 0.69895 session low confirms a lower-low toward 0.6980
  • UoM sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could reshape this read

19:02 UTC

Pullback lower after tagging 0.7012 · RSI 44 · price 0.69953

Lower highs off 0.7012, consolidating near session lows.

AUDUSD rejected the 50-day EMA cap near 0.7012 mid-NY and slid back below the 0.7000 psych level, printing a session low at 0.6989. Price is now consolidating around 0.6994 in late NY hours, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.7012 50-day EMA cap
  • Loss of 0.6989 session low confirms a lower-low toward 0.6986
  • Australian jobs data Jul 23 is the key domestic swing factor ahead

19:02 UTC

Intraday pullback, momentum slowing at lows · RSI 43 · price 0.69953

Faded from 0.7012, consolidating below 0.7000.

AUDUSD was rejected at 0.7012 (the 50-day EMA cap) during NY hours and rolled back under the 0.7000 figure, printing a session low at 0.6989. Price is now consolidating in the low 0.699s with RSI(14) in the mid-40s; the figure is capping and buyers have twice stalled the slide near 0.6989.

Support: 0.6989, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 0.7000 figure would reopen the 0.7012 cap
  • Loss of 0.6989 swing low confirms a lower low toward 0.6986
  • UoM sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read

18:47 UTC

Pullback, momentum down short-term · RSI 43 · price 0.69944

Rolled off session high, testing lows.

AUDUSD stalled at the 50-day EMA cap near 0.7012 and lost the 0.7000 figure through the NY afternoon as the USD steadied off its lows (in-line retail sales, strong claims and a big Philly Fed beat). Price now hugs 0.69944 near the session low at 0.6990, RSI(14) mid-40s.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • reclaim of 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 50d ema cap
  • failure to hold 0.6990 session low exposes 0.6962 9d ema
  • Fed's Jefferson speaks 23:00 UTC — could shift the USD read

18:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 0.69944

Lower highs off 0.7012, basing near 0.6990.

NY session faded the 0.7012 swing high back below the 0.7000 figure, and price is now basing around 0.6994 after a sweep of 0.69895. RSI(14) mid-40s, no extreme; the two-day pop was USD-led (soft US CPI/PPI) and continues to stall at the figure.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 figure reopens the 0.70120 swing high
  • Loss of 0.69895 session low confirms a lower low toward 0.6986
  • USD data late in the NY session could shift this read

18:32 UTC

Rolled over from 0.7012, lower highs late session · RSI 41 · price 0.6993

Rejection at 0.7012, back below the figure.

AUDUSD tagged 0.7012 (50-day EMA cap) in the NY session, got rejected and slid back under the 0.7000 figure to a 0.6989 session low. Price now consolidating just above that low near 0.6993, RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s.

Support: 0.6989, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.7000 and 0.7012 would negate the rollover read
  • Loss of 0.6989 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.6962
  • US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations could shift the USD side

18:32 UTC

Short-term pullback, momentum soft · RSI 42 · price 0.6993

Lower highs off 0.7012, holding 0.6990.

NY session faded from 0.7012 — the 50-day EMA cap flagged in the macro read — sliding back under 0.7000 to print 0.6990 lows. Price now consolidating around 0.6993 into late NY with RSI(14) mid-40s; the 0.7000 round number is the near-term pivot.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 reclaims the figure and reopens 0.7012
  • Failure to hold 0.6990 exposes 0.6986 session low
  • Rejection at 0.7012 remains the recent structural cap

18:17 UTC

Pullback within range, sliding lower into late NY · RSI 43 · price 0.69935

Range top rejected, retracing toward session low.

AUDUSD stalled at the 0.7012 EMA cap through NY hours and slid to a session low of 0.69895 before stabilizing near 0.6994. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme; price has retraced most of the earlier push off 0.6986 and now trades below EMA20/50.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70056

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69895 opens the path to 0.6986
  • Reclaim of 0.7012 needed to re-engage the range top
  • Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD-driven read

18:17 UTC

Short-term downdrift after rejection · RSI 42 · price 0.69935

Lower highs off 0.7012, testing sub-0.7000.

AUDUSD stalled at the 50-day EMA cap ~0.7012 during NY hours and has drifted back below 0.7000, printing a session low at 0.69895. RSI(14) mid-40s and price under both EMAs — momentum has cooled after the USD-weakness pop faded on in-line US retail sales.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012–0.7015 cap
  • Break of 0.69895 confirms a lower low toward 0.6986
  • US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read

18:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 42 · price 0.69922

Lower highs off 0.7012, holding above 0.69895.

NY session drifted lower after the push to 0.70120 stalled at the round number and the 50-day EMA cap; AUD's pop was pure USD weakness on soft CPI/PPI, not Aussie-led. Price now consolidating just above the 0.69895 swing low, RSI mid-40s, both EMAs overhead.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69895 confirms a lower low, opening 0.69860
  • Reclaim of 0.70000 needed to challenge the 0.70120 session high
  • US Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read

18:02 UTC

Pullback, momentum lower · RSI 38 · price 0.69922

Lower highs off 0.7012, back under 0.7000.

AUDUSD tagged 0.70120 in the NY session then rolled over, slipping back under the 0.7000 round number as the week's USD-driven pop stalls at the 50-day EMA cap. Late-NY price is grinding along 0.699 with RSI(14) near 37; the 0.7000 handle now caps.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 negates the pullback and reopens the 0.70120 session high
  • Break below 0.69895 session low confirms a lower low toward 0.6986
  • Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read driving this move

17:47 UTC

Intraday pullback after rejection · RSI 35 · price 0.6991

Lower highs into session low.

AUDUSD rejected 0.7012 (50-day EMA cap) in the NY session and slid to a session low at 0.6990, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s. The move fits USD firming on safe-haven flows after mixed-to-firm US data; the round 0.7000 now caps as prior support.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 negates the intraday downside
  • Loss of 0.6990 confirms a lower low and opens 0.6962

17:47 UTC

Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 34 · price 0.6991

Lower highs off 0.7012, session low pressing.

NY session rolled over from the 0.7012 50-day EMA cap, lost the 0.7000 figure and is now grinding at the session low near 0.6990. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-30s as sellers press lower highs; the earlier USD-weakness bid has faded on mixed-to-firm US data.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.7000 would neutralise the intraday pullback read
  • Loss of 0.69895 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.6986
  • US Michigan Consumer Sentiment (14:00 UTC Fri) could shift this read

17:32 UTC

Downtrend into session close · RSI 35 · price 0.69921

Rejected 0.7012, sliding to session low.

AUDUSD rejected the 0.7012 50-day EMA cap late in the NY session and has slid back through the 0.7000 round number, now pressing the session low at 0.6990. RSI(14) near 35 as the intraday retrace of the earlier bounce runs full.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6986 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.7000 needed to re-expose the 0.7012 ema cap
  • AU jobs (Jul 23) is the next domestic swing factor

17:32 UTC

Downtrend, lower lows into session close · RSI 38 · price 0.69921

Rejected at 0.7012, broke 0.7000, printing lower lows.

Price stalled at the 50-day EMA cap near 0.7012 during NY hours, then broke back below the 0.7000 round number, grinding to a session low of 0.69895. The two-day pop was pure USD weakness on soft US CPI/PPI, and momentum has faded with RSI(14) cooling into the high 30s.

Support: 0.69895, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.7000 negates the breakdown and reopens 0.7012
  • Failure to hold 0.69895 confirms continuation toward 0.6986
  • US Michigan sentiment Fri could shift the USD-driven read

17:17 UTC

Downtrend, rolling over from 0.7012 · RSI 36 · price 0.69911

Lower highs into session lows.

NY session rejected 0.7012 and rolled over through the 0.7000 round number into fresh session lows near 0.6990, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s. The 1.25% USD-driven pop stalled at prior resistance and momentum has flipped lower intraday.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 negates the breakdown and reopens 0.7012
  • Break of 0.6986 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Fed's Schmid (~17:25 UTC) could shift USD and this read

17:17 UTC

Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 34 · price 0.69911

Lower highs, broke back below 0.7000.

AUDUSD rolled off the 0.7012 ema cap into the NY afternoon and broke back below the 0.7000 figure, RSI(14) cooling toward 33. Sequence of lower highs since the London-NY transition; 0.6986 swing low is the next reference below.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6977

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 figure negates the breakdown read
  • Loss of 0.6986 swing low confirms continuation lower
  • Reclaim of the 0.7012 ema cap reopens the 0.7021 prior high

17:03 UTC

Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 41 · price 0.69932

Faded from 0.7012 cap, back below 0.7000.

AUDUSD repeatedly rejected the 50-day EMA cap near 0.7012 through the NY session, then rolled over below the 0.7000 round number into the close at 0.69932. Pullback follows a USD-driven pop that stalled; RSI(14) around 41 with price now under EMA20/50.

Support: 0.6992, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.7000 reopens the 0.7012 cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 session low confirms a lower low

17:03 UTC

Downtrend intraday, off session highs · RSI 39 · price 0.69932

Lower highs, slipping below 0.7000.

AUDUSD rejected the 0.70120 area (50d ema cap) through NY hours and slid back below the 0.7000 round number, now pressing session lows at 0.69932 with RSI(14) near 39. Rally off the soft US CPI/PPI prints has stalled; buyers last defended 0.69860 earlier in the window.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.70000 round number reopens the 0.70120 50d ema cap
  • Loss of 0.69900 swing low exposes the 0.69860 session low
  • US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations (Fri) could shift the USD-driven read

16:47 UTC

Rolling over, lost 0.7000 · RSI 39 · price 0.69931

Rejection at 0.7012, back below figure.

AUDUSD stalled repeatedly at 0.7012 (50-day EMA cap flagged in the USD-weakness digest) through the NY session, then lost the 0.7000 figure into the late-NY hours, printing 0.69931. RSI(14) sub-40 as sellers press the low; buyers had held 0.6986 earlier in the window.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 reclaim of 0.7000 and 0.7012 reopens the 0.7021 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 swing low opens the low-0.69s toward 0.6962
  • US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read

16:47 UTC

Rolling over from 0.7012 cap · RSI 41 · price 0.69931

Range, rejection at day's highs.

NY afternoon saw AUDUSD stall and reject at the 50-day EMA cap ~0.7012, sliding back under 0.7000 to give up the intraday gains, RSI(14) cooling toward 40. The rally was USD-weakness driven (soft US CPI/PPI); range 0.6986–0.7012 still frames the session.

Support: 0.69919, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6986 confirms a lower low out of the range
  • Reclaim above 0.7012 reopens the 0.70207 session high

16:32 UTC

Range rolling over into pullback · RSI 40 · price 0.69931

0.7000 round number lost, tagging session lows.

AUDUSD stalled at the 50-day EMA cap near 0.7012 through NY hours, then rolled over in the last two hours, slipping back below the 0.7000 round number to 0.6993 as USD firmed on a blowout Philly Fed. RSI(14) cooling near 40, price now under both EMAs with the session low at 0.6990 in focus.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6990

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.7000 puts the 0.7012 50-day ema cap back in play
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) today could shift USD tone

16:32 UTC

Range, momentum fading lower · RSI 40 · price 0.69931

Consolidation below 0.7012, slipping back under the figure.

AUDUSD rejected the 50-day EMA cap ~0.7012 during NY hours and slid back under the 0.7000 figure, now testing 0.6993. The 0.7000-reclaim built on soft US CPI/PPI is stalling; RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s as the last leg down prints a lower high.

Support: 0.6991, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7012 reopens the 0.7025 range top
  • Loss of 0.6986 session low confirms a lower-low
  • Fed speakers (Logan/Schmid/Jefferson) today could shift the USD read

16:17 UTC

Range, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 0.69965

Capped at 0.7012, slipping to session floor.

AUDUSD ranged 0.6996–0.7012 through the NY session, with repeated rejection at the 0.7012 50-day EMA area after softer US inflation drove the earlier pop to 0.70207. Last bars slipped back to the session floor near 0.6996 as momentum faded, price now below EMA20/50.

Support: 0.6996, 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.6986 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.6962 area
  • Reclaim of 0.7012 needed to re-test the 0.70207 high
  • Fed speakers Logan/Jefferson today could shift USD and this read

16:17 UTC

Range-bound, pulling off highs · RSI 43 · price 0.69965

Capped at 0.7012, holding above 0.6986.

NY session capped twice at 0.7012 (into the 50-day EMA region) and price has slipped back below the 0.7000 figure into the close, RSI(14) cooling near 43. Ranging 0.6996-0.7012 with the up-move off 0.6986 now retracing.

Support: 0.6996, 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70133

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6996 confirms a lower low toward 0.6986
  • Reclaim of 0.7012 range top reopens the 0.7021 area
  • Fed speakers (Logan/Schmid/Jefferson) today could shift USD tone

16:02 UTC

Sideways, momentum faded at 0.7012 · RSI 46 · price 0.7001

Consolidation just under prior highs.

AUDUSD pinned to the 0.7000 figure through the NY session after a rally into 0.7012 stalled — the pop is a USD-weakness story off soft US CPI/PPI, not fresh Aussie demand. RSI(14) hovering mid-range near 46 as price coils in a tight 0.7000–0.7012 band.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012/0.7021 opens the path higher
  • Loss of 0.7000 exposes 0.6986 swing low
  • Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) today could shift the USD leg driving this

16:02 UTC

Sideways, capped near 0.7012 · RSI 52 · price 0.7001

Range-bound around the 0.7000 figure.

AUDUSD is pinned to the 0.7000 figure through the NY session, rejecting twice at 0.7012 with RSI(14) flat near 52. The two-day pop stalled here on fading USD weakness; price is holding the mid of a 0.6986-0.7021 range with no directional impulse.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986, 0.6993

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 opens a retest of 0.7021 prior high
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych exposes 0.6986 session low
  • Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) later today could shift USD tone

15:47 UTC

Sideways, mild bullish bias capped · RSI 52 · price 0.70012

Consolidation around 0.7000 figure.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways around the 0.7000 psych level through the NY session, capped repeatedly near the 0.70120 range top after an early tag of the 0.70207 session high. The two-day pop is USD-weakness driven (soft US CPI/PPI); momentum has faded with RSI(14) hovering near 52 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70120 range top opens a retest of 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold the 0.7000 psych and 0.69860 range floor confirms a lower low
  • Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) later today could shift the USD-driven read

15:47 UTC

Consolidating at 0.7000 · RSI 49 · price 0.70012

Range, capped near 0.7012.

AUDUSD is pinned at the 0.7000 figure through the NY session, chopping in a 0.6986–0.7012 band after the early rejection at the 0.7021 range high. Softer US PPI kept the dollar offered but momentum has faded at the 0.7012 area; RSI(14) neutral near 49, no setup in play.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 reopens the 0.7021 range high
  • Loss of 0.7000 exposes 0.6986 range low
  • Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) later today could shift USD tone

15:32 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.70023

Consolidation around 0.7000 after two-day pop.

AUDUSD is consolidating on the 0.7000 figure after tagging 0.7012 during NY hours and fading — the 50-day EMA capping the USD-weakness-driven rally. Micro-structure is a tight 0.6986–0.7012 range with buyers repeatedly defending the round number.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.7012/0.7021 opens a run toward 0.7045
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.6986 session low
  • Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) today could shift USD tone and this range

15:32 UTC

Sideways, capped at 0.7012 · RSI 52 · price 0.70023

Range around 0.7000 psych.

AUDUSD is pinned at the 0.7000 figure through the NY session, unable to hold the 0.7012 session high where the 50-day EMA caps — the two-day pop is USD-weakness driven, not domestic. Buyers reclaimed 0.7000 after a mid-window dip to 0.6986; range top still respected.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 opens a retest of the 0.7021 prior high
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych exposes the 0.6986 session low
  • US Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) later today could shift USD tone

15:17 UTC

Sideways, capped near 0.7012 · RSI 53 · price 0.70024

Range/consolidation under figure.

AUDUSD is consolidating around the 0.7000 figure after the NY session tagged 0.7012 and faded — the same 50-day EMA cap flagged in the broader read. Move is USD-weakness driven (soft US CPI/PPI); RSI(14) neutral near 53 with no momentum extension into the late session.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69958, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 opens a run toward the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.6986 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
  • Fed speakers (Logan/Schmid/Jefferson) later today could shift USD tone

15:17 UTC

Sideways, mild upward drift · RSI 53 · price 0.70024

Ranging beneath the figure, capped at 0.7012.

AUDUSD is ranging around the 0.7000 figure after NY tagged 0.7012 and faded, momentum stalling at the 50-day EMA cap. Move remains a USD-weakness story off soft US CPI/PPI; buyers repeatedly defended the 0.6986-0.6990 floor through the session.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6990, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012/0.7021 opens the path toward 0.7045
  • Failure to hold 0.6990 exposes the 0.6986 swing low
  • Fed speakers (Logan/Schmid/Jefferson) later today could shift the USD read

15:02 UTC

Sideways, mild upward drift · RSI 53 · price 0.70039

Range around the 0.7000 figure.

AUDUSD is ranging 0.6986–0.7012 either side of the 0.7000 figure through the NY session, coiling after a soft-USD-driven pop. The last push tagged 0.7012 before fading back to 0.7004; RSI(14) neutral near 53, no setup in play.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 session high opens the path to 0.7021
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.6986 session low
  • Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) later today could shift USD tone

15:02 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.70039

Ranging near range top, coiling at 0.7000.

AUDUSD is drifting sideways around the 0.7000 figure through NY hours after a USD-weakness-driven pop stalled at the 0.7012 swing high. Price is holding the upper half of the intraday range with RSI near neutral; no clean directional structure in play.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 swing high, then 0.7021 day high, opens the path toward 0.7045
  • Failure to hold the 0.7000 round number slips price back toward the 0.6986 swing low
  • Fed speakers (Logan/Schmid/Jefferson) later today could shift USD tone and this range read

14:47 UTC

Grinding higher, capped at resistance · RSI 63 · price 0.70102

Higher lows, testing session highs.

AUDUSD ground back toward the 0.7012 50-day EMA on a chain of higher lows through the NY session, holding above 0.7000 after softer US PPI extended dollar weakness. Price stalled at 0.7021 earlier in the window and has yet to reclaim it, keeping the figure area as the pivot.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7021 opens the path toward 0.7045
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.6986 swing low
  • US Fed speakers (Logan/Schmid/Jefferson) today could shift the USD leg

14:47 UTC

Grinding higher, capped near 0.7012 · RSI 62 · price 0.70102

Consolidation inside 0.6986–0.7020, series of higher lows into NY.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session on a chain of higher lows, tagging 0.7012 recent high with RSI(14) around 62 — a USD-weakness drift, not fresh Aussie demand. Price holds above 0.7000 round number; the 0.7015/0.7021 zone (50-day EMA area) still caps.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70120 recent high opens a run at the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of the 0.7000 round number exposes the 0.69860 swing low
  • US Fed speakers (Logan/Schmid/Jefferson) today could shift USD tone into the next bars

14:32 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 0.70097

Rising lows into range top.

NY session grinding higher on lingering USD softness after the soft US PPI print, price probing the 0.70111 session high with RSI(14) near 60. Rising lows from 0.6999 keep the intraday tape constructive but the 0.7015/0.7021 zone caps the move.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70111, 0.70157, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70157 opens the path to the 0.70210 psych level
  • Loss of 0.70000 round number returns focus to 0.69940 swing low
  • Fed speakers (Logan 16:30, Schmid 17:25 UTC) could shift USD tone

14:32 UTC

Mild uptrend, capped near figure · RSI 58 · price 0.70097

Ranging 0.6986–0.7021, grinding higher lows.

AUDUSD is grinding back to 0.7010 in the NY session on continued USD softness after cooler US PPI, holding above the 0.7000 figure. Buyers stepped in on the higher-low chain off 0.6986, but the 0.7015–0.7021 zone has capped every push this window.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70133, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7021 confirms momentum toward 0.7045
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 opens the 0.6986 session low
  • Fed speakers (Logan 16:30, Schmid 17:25 UTC) could shift USD and this read

14:17 UTC

Sideways after two-day pop · RSI 53 · price 0.70042

Range-bound around 0.7000.

AUDUSD is coiling around the 0.7000 figure through NY hours, holding a 0.6986–0.7010 range after softer US PPI extended dollar weakness. Early move tagged 0.7021 before fading; RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 with no momentum extreme in play.

Support: 0.6997, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70099, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7010 then 0.7021 opens the path toward 0.7045
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
  • Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) today could shift the USD-driven read

14:17 UTC

Sideways, mild upward drift · RSI 53 · price 0.70042

Range-bound around the 0.7000 figure.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways at the 0.7000 figure after a USD-weakness-driven two-day pop; the earlier 0.70207 session high was rejected and price is oscillating 0.6986-0.7010. RSI(14) neutral near 53 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no directional pressure in play.

Support: 0.6999, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70099, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70099 reopens a test of the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.6986 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
  • Fed speakers (Jefferson 23:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg driving this pair

14:02 UTC

Range-bound, no clear intraday trend · RSI 54 · price 0.70035

Ranging 0.6986–0.7020, price mid-range.

NY session ranging around 0.7000 after the London poke to 0.7020 faded at the 50-day EMA cap and pulled back. Price is coiling between the 0.7000 round number and the 0.7009 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 54; dollar-weakness from soft US CPI/PPI keeps AUD above the handle but there's no fresh intraday driver.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7009, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012/0.7020 opens scope toward 0.7045
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes 0.6986 session low
  • Fed speaker tone (Logan/Schmid/Jefferson) could shift USD in coming hours

14:02 UTC

Range, mild recovery off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.70035

Range-bound around 0.7000 handle.

AUDUSD is ranging around the 0.7000 handle through NY hours, having recovered from the 0.6986 swing low after the soft US CPI/PPI-driven dollar softness. Price stalled at 0.70099 on the last push, RSI(14) neutral near 54 with no momentum extreme.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70099, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70099 opens the path toward the 0.7021 prior high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.6986 swing low
  • Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid) today could shift the USD read

13:47 UTC

Sideways, ranging around 0.7000 · RSI 52 · price 0.7003

Range-bound between 0.6986 and 0.7021, oscillating either side of the handle.

AUDUSD is chopping around the 0.7000 handle after an early spike to 0.7021 stalled at the 50-day EMA cap. Move is USD-led on the soft CPI/PPI prints; RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with no directional impulse into NY hours.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986, 0.6996

Resistance: 0.7009, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7021 opens the path toward 0.7045
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid) later today could shift the USD read

13:47 UTC

Ranging around 0.7000, no direction · RSI 53 · price 0.7003

Intraday range, poked above handle then faded.

AUDUSD chopping around the 0.7000 handle through the NY session, holding a tight range after tagging 0.7021 earlier and buyers stepping in twice near 0.6986. Move above the handle stays USD-driven off soft CPI/PPI; the 50-day EMA near 0.7012 continues to cap, RSI(14) flat near mid-range.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.7009, 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 opens scope toward the 0.7021 recent high
  • Loss of 0.6986 swing low reopens 0.6962
  • US Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) today could inject volatility

13:32 UTC

Range, mild upside drift · RSI 60 · price 0.70091

Consolidating around the 0.7000 handle.

NY session has AUDUSD grinding back toward the 0.7012 50-day EMA cap after the London-NY dip to 0.6986 held, the move being USD-led on soft US PPI. Price is reclaiming the 0.7000 psych level with RSI mid-range; no breakout yet, still boxed under 0.7012.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69959, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 opens the path toward the 0.7021 recent high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 puts the 0.69959 swing low and 0.6986 session low back in play

13:32 UTC

Range, edging higher into NY · RSI 58 · price 0.70091

Ranging 0.6986–0.7021, reclaiming 0.7000.

NY session has AUDUSD back above the 0.7000 psych level at 0.7009 after basing at the 0.6986 session low, dollar-soft on the weak US CPI/PPI prints. Upside stalling just under the 0.7012 50-day EMA cap; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 opens a run at the 0.7021 recent high
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych puts the 0.6986 session low back in play
  • Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid) later today could shift the USD tone

13:17 UTC

Sideways, mild recovery bias · RSI 55 · price 0.70041

Range bound below 0.7010.

AUDUSD is ranging 0.6986–0.7010 through the NY session after reclaiming 0.7000 on soft US CPI/PPI-driven dollar weakness. Buyers stepped back in near 0.6996 on the last dip but the session high at 0.70099 and the 0.7012 ema cap continue to hold. No clean setup in play — price is mid-range around 0.7004.

Support: 0.6996, 0.69859

Resistance: 0.70099, 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 opens the path toward the 0.7021 recent high
  • Loss of 0.6986 swing low confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • US UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read

13:17 UTC

Sideways, hovering the 0.7000 handle · RSI 53 · price 0.70041

Range-bound around 0.7000, choppy micro-swings.

AUDUSD is chopping around the 0.7000 handle after reclaiming it on the soft US PPI print, with supply capping near 0.70099 through the NY session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53 and ATR is muted at ~6 pips — no directional setup, price pinned between 0.7000 and 0.70099.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70099, 0.70157

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70099 opens the path toward 0.70157
  • Loss of 0.70000 exposes the 0.69860 swing low
  • Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid) later today could inject USD volatility

13:03 UTC

Range-bound around 0.7000 · RSI 48 · price 0.69978

Range, rejected at upper edge.

AUDUSD is ranging 0.6986–0.7021, repeatedly stalling into the 50-day EMA cap near 0.7012 on the USD-weakness bid after soft US PPI. Price slipped back under the 0.7000 handle late in the window, RSI(14) neutral near 47 with no directional edge in play.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6994

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.7012 opens the path toward 0.7021 and 0.7045
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 confirms a lower-low out of the range
  • AUD jobs report Jul 23 is the primary catalyst ahead

13:03 UTC

Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 0.69978

Range between 0.6986 and 0.7021, back below 0.7000.

AUDUSD poked to a session high of 0.7021 during the London window but stalled at the 50-day EMA (~0.7012) and faded back under the 0.7000 handle into NY. Move remains USD-driven off soft CPI/PPI; price is mid-range with RSI near neutral, no setup in play between 0.6986 and 0.7021.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 opens the path toward 0.7045
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 confirms a lower low
  • US UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read

12:47 UTC

Range, capped below 0.7010 · RSI 49 · price 0.69995

Coiling around 0.7000 psych after intraday recovery.

AUDUSD is pinned to the 0.7000 psych handle into the NY session, tagging a session high at 0.7007 before slipping back on the broad-USD-weakness bid from soft US PPI. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49; price is chopping either side of its EMA20 with a rejection each time it probes above 0.7007.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70071, 0.70099

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70099 session high opens the path back to 0.7012 cap
  • Loss of 0.6994 swing low exposes the 0.6986 session low
  • Move is USD-driven — Friday UoM inflation expectations could shift this read

12:47 UTC

Ranging, capped near 0.7010 · RSI 48 · price 0.69995

Range between 0.6986 and 0.7021.

AUDUSD poked to a session high of 0.7021 during London on the soft US PPI print, then stalled at the 50-day EMA (~0.7012) and slipped back to pin the 0.7000 handle. Price has since chopped between 0.6986 and 0.7010, with RSI(14) neutral near 48 — no directional resolution, and the rally remains USD-driven rather than AUD-led.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 invalidates the 50d ema cap and reopens the upside
  • Loss of 0.6986 session low exposes the 9d ema near 0.6962
  • Fed speakers (Logan/Schmid) later could shift broad-USD flow and this read

12:32 UTC

Mild recovery within range · RSI 56 · price 0.70048

Range-bound, higher lows off 0.6986.

NY session grinding back toward 0.7007, holding above the 0.7000 round number after the soft US PPI-driven push earlier. Move remains capped below the 50-day EMA near 0.7012, with a chain of higher lows off the 0.6986 session low. RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6996, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 opens a retest of the 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 puts the range low at 0.6986 back in play
  • US Retail Sales fallout still filtering through — could shift this USD-driven read

12:32 UTC

Recovery off London low, capped sub-0.7010 · RSI 57 · price 0.70048

Higher lows into 0.7007 cap, range-bound.

AUDUSD recovered from the London low at 0.69860 back onto the 0.7000 handle, with the US Retail Sales release at 12:30 UTC coinciding with the latest push to a 0.70099 intraday high. Price is consolidating just under the 0.7007 session cap, RSI mid-range near 57.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7007, 0.70099, 0.7012

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70120 (50d ema cap) would extend the recovery
  • Loss of 0.69940 recent low reopens the 0.69860 london low
  • US Retail Sales / jobless claims reaction still filtering through — could shift the read

12:17 UTC

Recovery, grinding toward session cap · RSI 56 · price 0.70045

Range with higher lows off 0.6986.

AUDUSD recovered off the 0.6986 swing low through London-NY and is pressing the 0.70099 session high, with the 50-day EMA near 0.7012 capping per broad USD-weakness flow. RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme; the 0.7000 handle held as support on the last pullback and higher lows remain intact.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70099, 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (imminent) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.70120 opens the path to 0.70207
  • Loss of 0.69940 breaks the higher-low chain

12:17 UTC

Grinding higher, capped near 0.7010 · RSI 58 · price 0.70045

Recovery off 0.6986, higher lows into resistance.

AUDUSD ground higher through NY hours, printing higher lows off the 0.6986 swing and pressing the 0.70099 session high, RSI(14) around 58. Upside is capped just above near the 0.7015 EMA area, with the broader lift a soft-USD story after the weak US PPI print rather than Aussie demand.

Support: 0.6999, 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70099, 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC due imminently — could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path toward the 0.70207 day high
  • Failure to hold 0.6999 reopens the 0.6986 swing low

12:02 UTC

Recovering, grinding back to 0.7000 handle · RSI 58 · price 0.70059

Range with rising lows off session low.

AUDUSD ground back to the 0.7000 handle after a session-low print at 0.6986, the whole move USD-driven on soft US PPI. Rising lows through the NY session but 0.70073 caps the top; RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with no momentum extreme.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70073, 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~30m) could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.70120 opens the path back to 0.70207 prior high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.6986 swing low

12:02 UTC

Recovering, ranging near 0.7005 · RSI 56 · price 0.70059

Range with rising lows into session highs.

AUDUSD is grinding back toward the session high at 0.7007 after a spike low to 0.6995 was bought on the last bar; broad USD weakness on soft US PPI is the driver, not domestic AUD demand. Price is caught between rising intraday lows and the 0.7012 cap tied to the 50-day EMA.

Support: 0.6995, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70073, 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~30 min) could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.7012 ema cap opens extension toward 0.7020
  • Loss of 0.6986 swing low confirms a lower low

11:47 UTC

Mild grind higher, range-bound · RSI 60 · price 0.70049

Consolidation under 0.7005 session high.

AUDUSD is grinding higher within a tight range, pressing the 0.70055 session high after basing at 0.6986 during London hours; the whole move remains a broad-USD-softness story after soft US CPI/PPI, not Aussie strength. RSI(14) mid-range near 60, ATR compressed around 4 pips.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70055, 0.70133, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~45m) could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.70055 session high opens the path to 0.70133
  • Loss of 0.6994 breaks the rising base

11:47 UTC

Recovery stalling, ranging · RSI 55 · price 0.70049

Consolidation under 0.7012 after pullback from session high.

AUDUSD pushed to a session high 0.70207 on soft US PPI before fading to 0.6986; since then it has ground back to 0.7005, chopping in a tight range beneath the 50-EMA cap ~0.7012. Rally is USD-driven and momentum is flat, RSI mid-range.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
  • Close above 0.7012 opens room toward the 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 confirms a lower-low

11:32 UTC

Recovering, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 0.70021

Consolidation under 0.7005 after session-high rejection.

AUDUSD is pinned around the 0.7000 handle, grinding back up after the earlier rejection at the 0.70207 session high on soft US inflation. RSI(14) is neutral near 55 and ATR is thin at ~5 pips; price is coiling under the 0.7005 minor high with US Retail Sales due in roughly an hour.

Support: 0.69941, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70054, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~1h) could break this range either direction
  • A close above 0.70054 reopens the path to the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.69941 exposes the 0.6986 session low

11:32 UTC

Sideways, mild recovery · RSI 54 · price 0.70021

Range after failed push to 0.7020.

London push tagged 0.70207 before rejection dragged AUDUSD back to the 0.7000 handle, where price has since ground sideways on soft-USD flow from this week's CPI/PPI misses. Now creeping back toward 0.70054 session resistance, RSI mid-range and offering no extreme.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70054, 0.7013, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~60m) could materially shift this read
  • Sustained M15 close above 0.70054 opens the 0.70130 prior high
  • Loss of 0.69940 swing low breaks the recovery and re-tests session low

11:17 UTC

Recovery, grinding into 0.7000 · RSI 56 · price 0.70035

Pullback recovered, capped below prior high.

AUDUSD spiked to a 0.70207 session high earlier on broad USD weakness (soft US PPI), then faded to a 0.6986 swing low before grinding back to the 0.7000 round number. Move is USD-driven; upside stalls into the 50-day ema cap ~0.7012 with RSI neutral near 56.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7012 clears the 50-day ema cap and reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 swing low reasserts downside

11:17 UTC

Recovery off Asian low, momentum neutral · RSI 55 · price 0.70035

Ranging back at 0.7000 handle after pullback.

AUDUSD ground back to the 0.7000 handle through London hours after basing at the 0.6986 Asian low; RSI(14) neutral near 55. Move remains USD-driven off the soft PPI print, with the 50-day EMA cap ~0.7012 and prior session high 0.70207 the ceiling.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this USD-driven read
  • M15 close above 0.7012 opens the path to the 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6994 exposes the 0.6986 swing low

11:03 UTC

Recovery, grinding back toward session high · RSI 55 · price 0.70021

Range around 0.7000 after pullback.

AUDUSD grinding back to the 0.7000 handle on broad USD softness after the soft US PPI/CPI prints, having rejected the session high at 0.70207 and dipped to 0.6986 mid-window. Rally still capped by the 50-EMA zone ~0.7012; price holding a tight range just above the round number, RSI(14) neutral near 55.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path back to the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.7000 exposes the 0.6986 swing low

11:02 UTC

Recovering, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 0.70021

Consolidation under 0.7012 cap.

AUDUSD is grinding back toward the 0.7000 handle after an earlier spike to the 0.7021 session high stalled at the 50-day EMA near 0.7012 and faded on soft-USD flow. Price now coils in a tight 0.6994–0.7004 band; RSI(14) mid-range, ATR compressed at ~4 pips into thin pre-data trade.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.7012 opens the path back to the 0.7021 session high
  • Loss of 0.6994 exposes the 0.6986 prior low

10:47 UTC

Recovery, grinding higher off session low · RSI 58 · price 0.7004

Consolidation under 0.7012 after session-high rejection.

AUDUSD is grinding back toward the 0.7000 handle after the session high at 0.7021 was rejected against the 50-day EMA (~0.7012) earlier — the run is USD-driven on soft US CPI/PPI, not Aussie strength. Buyers held 0.6986 and the pair has printed a chain of higher lows back to 0.7004, but the 0.7012 cap is untested since the rejection.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6996, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.7012 clears the cap and reopens the session high
  • Loss of 0.6996 breaks the higher-low chain back toward session low 0.6986

10:47 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum modest · RSI 61 · price 0.7004

Range between 0.6986 and 0.7021, grinding back to top.

AUDUSD sold from the 0.7021 session high to 0.6986 during London-NY hours, then rounded back to 0.7004 on the broad soft-USD tone after the weak US PPI print. Rally is USD-driven and stalling into the 0.7012 EMA cap; range top intact.

Support: 0.6995, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above 0.7012 EMA cap opens the 0.7021 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6995 pivot re-exposes the 0.6986 session low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~2h) could shift this read

10:32 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 0.70021

Consolidating below session high after rejection.

AUD poked above 0.7000 to a session high of 0.70207 during the London stretch before rejecting the 0.7015-0.7021 zone, the move USD-led after soft US PPI. Price has since coiled around the 0.7000 handle, holding a chain of higher lows off 0.6986 with RSI(14) neutral near 55.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.70150 reopens the 0.7021 session high
  • Loss of 0.7000 exposes the 0.6986 swing low

10:32 UTC

Choppy, back at range top · RSI 56 · price 0.70021

Range below 0.7003 after fade from 0.7021 high.

AUDUSD tagged 0.7021 during the London session before fading to a 0.6986 swing low, then chopping back to the 0.7000-0.7003 range top on the soft US PPI-driven USD slide. Currently pinned just above the 0.7000 handle; repeated stalls into 0.7003 keep the intraday range intact.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70033, 0.70207, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70033 opens the path back to the 0.7015-0.7021 resistance
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych reopens 0.6994 range low and the 0.6986 swing low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

10:17 UTC

Sideways after failed push above 0.7000 · RSI 53 · price 0.70012

Consolidation just above the figure, capped by 0.7015-0.7021.

AUD/USD stalled at 0.7015-0.7021 resistance (50-day EMA) after a USD-weakness bounce on soft US PPI, and is now consolidating just above the 0.7000 handle into NY hours. Range low near 0.6994 is holding, with the 0.6986 swing low the last defence; RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7021 prior high opens continuation
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 swing low confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break this range

10:17 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 0.70012

Consolidating around 0.7000 after failing at 0.7021.

AUDUSD is pinned at the 0.7000 handle after tagging 0.70207 and getting rejected at the 0.7015-0.7021 zone earlier in the window — a USD-weakness bounce that stalled. Since then price has chopped in a tight 0.6986-0.7003 band with RSI(14) flat near 55; no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the range in either direction
  • M15 close above 0.7021 clears the 50-day ema cap
  • Loss of 0.6986 confirms a lower low back below the figure

10:02 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69993

Consolidation pinned to 0.7000 after fade from session high.

AUDUSD is coiling either side of the 0.7000 handle after fading from the 0.70207 session high made mid-window; RSI(14) flat near 49 with no momentum in either direction. The USD-weakness bounce (soft US CPI/PPI) has stalled — buyers held 0.6994 repeatedly while supply capped moves under 0.7003.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70029, 0.70157

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70029 reopens the 0.70157 session high
  • Loss of 0.6994 range low confirms a lower-low toward 0.6986
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation

10:02 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69993

Range-bound around 0.7000 psych.

AUDUSD is coiling just under the 0.7000 handle after a London push to 0.70207 was rejected and unwound toward 0.6986. Price is USD-driven off soft US CPI/PPI, but the Aussie has stalled at the figure with RSI(14) flat near 51 — no directional impulse into the NY session.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 then 0.70207 reopens the upside
  • Loss of 0.6986 confirms a lower-low back toward 0.6980
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the range

09:47 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69971

Consolidating below session high, 0.7000 pivot.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.70207 session high and is now grinding sideways just under the 0.7000 psych level, RSI(14) neutral near 49. The move to 0.702 was USD-led on the soft PPI miss but 0.7003 has capped repeated recovery attempts; range low at 0.6994 holding.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7003, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
  • M15 close above 0.70030 reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69940 exposes the 0.69860 swing low

09:47 UTC

Range, momentum flat after failed push to 0.7021 · RSI 48 · price 0.69971

Consolidating below 0.7000 after session-high rejection.

AUDUSD poked to a session high of 0.7021 during London hours on broad USD softness, then faded and has coiled around 0.6997 between 0.6994 and 0.7003. Momentum is flat, RSI(14) mid-range, with the 0.7000/0.7010 zone capping repeated retests.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7003, 0.7010, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7010 reopens the 0.7021 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read within the next bars

09:32 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69991

Consolidating under 0.7000 after fade from session high.

AUDUSD ran to a 0.7021 session high during London then rejected, fading to 0.6986 before recovering to hover right under the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 and ATR is compressed at ~4 pips — quiet consolidation with the 0.7015 area (noted as a broader cap) still overhead.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6994

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Sustained M15 close above 0.7000 then 0.7015 needed to reopen the 0.7021 high
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 confirms a lower low

09:32 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69991

Consolidating around 0.7000 after rejection from 0.7021.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high 0.7021 during the prior NY session, met the 50-day EMA cap and rolled over to 0.6986 before recovering. Price is now chopping either side of the 0.7000 handle, RSI neutral near 51 — no clean setup in play.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015/0.7021 invalidates the range-cap read
  • Break below 0.6986 confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~3h) could shift this read

09:17 UTC

Range, mild recovery · RSI 56 · price 0.70011

Choppy range under 0.7020, holding 0.7000.

AUDUSD reclaimed the 0.7000 psych level and is grinding sideways after London faded the 0.70207 range high, with supply capping the 0.7015 area repeatedly. Price is mid-range near 0.7001, RSI(14) neutral around 56 — no clean intraday setup, USD-driven per soft CPI/PPI.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 confirms a range break toward 0.70207
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 opens the 0.69860 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read

09:17 UTC

Sideways, capped below 0.7015 · RSI 53 · price 0.70011

Range around 0.7000 after failed push to 0.7021.

AUDUSD reclaimed 0.7000 on broad USD softness after the soft US PPI miss, but the earlier push to 0.70207 was rejected and price has spent the session chopping around the round number. RSI(14) is neutral near 53, ATR under 4 pips — no directional impulse in play.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range
  • Close above 0.70157 prior high reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 round number exposes the 0.69860 swing low

09:03 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69984

Consolidating sub-0.7000 after failed push to 0.7021.

AUDUSD pushed to a 0.70207 session high on broad USD softness after the US PPI miss, then faded and rejected the level, slipping back below 0.7000. Now consolidating 0.6994-0.7003 into the London-NY transition, RSI(14) flat near 53 with the 0.7000 round number capping.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7003, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~3.5h) could break this range read
  • M15 close above 0.70030 reopens the path toward 0.70207
  • Failure to hold 0.69860 confirms a lower low

09:03 UTC

Faded from highs, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.69984

Range after rejection at 0.7020.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.70207 during NY hours yesterday on broad USD softness after the soft PPI miss, then faded through Asia. Price now chops in a 0.6994-0.7003 range around 0.6998, RSI(14) flat near 50 — no setup in play.

Support: 0.69937, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70029, 0.70207, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70029 range top reopens 0.7015-0.7021
  • Failure to hold 0.69937 exposes the 0.6986 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

08:47 UTC

Range after failed push above 0.7000 · RSI 46 · price 0.69955

Consolidation below round number, capped at session high.

AUDUSD spiked to a 0.70207 session high during the London hours then faded, rejected back under the 0.7000 round number as dovish AU inflation expectations capped follow-through. Now grinding in a 0.6993–0.7000 range, currently sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the intraday impulse with RSI mid-scale.

Support: 0.6993, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close back above 0.70000 reopens the 0.70103–0.70207 zone
  • Loss of 0.69930 range floor confirms a lower low toward 0.69860

08:47 UTC

Pullback after failed 0.7021 push · RSI 46 · price 0.69955

Consolidating below 0.7000, lower highs.

AUDUSD stalled at 0.70207 during the London session and has faded back below 0.7000, now pinned near the 61.8% retrace of the prior leg around 0.69955. Price is coiling in a tight 0.6994-0.7001 band with RSI(14) mid-range and sitting under EMA20/50 — no clean intraday setup while under the figure.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7010, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 reclaim and hold above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7010/0.70207 ceiling
  • Loss of 0.6994 exposes the 0.6986 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read

08:32 UTC

Faded from highs, ranging below 0.7000 · RSI 46 · price 0.69956

Rejection at 0.7021, back inside range.

AUDUSD poked to 0.70207 late in the prior NY session then faded, losing the 0.7000 big figure into Asia and now chopping between 0.6994 and 0.7003. Price sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 — no directional setup, the big figure is capping bounces.

Support: 0.6994, 0.69897, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens 0.70103 / 0.7015 cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6994 exposes 0.69897 swing low
  • US Retail Sales ~12:30 UTC could break the range

08:32 UTC

Faded off session high, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.69956

Rejection below 0.7000 after tagging 0.7021.

AUDUSD poked above 0.7000 to a session high of 0.7021 on broad USD softness (weak US CPI/PPI) but was rejected near the 50-day EMA, fading back below the big figure to a 0.6986 low. Now consolidating 0.6994–0.7003 with RSI(14) neutral around 46; the 0.7000 handle has capped attempts to reclaim it.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.70000 reopens the 0.7015/0.7021 rejection zone
  • Loss of 0.69860 confirms a lower low and extends the fade
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

08:17 UTC

Faded from highs, ranging below 0.7000 · RSI 46 · price 0.69945

Pullback from 0.7021 peak, capped by big figure.

AUD tagged 0.7021 during the London push on broad USD softness, then faded and repeatedly failed to hold the 0.7000 big figure, now ranging 0.6986–0.7000. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) back near 46 and price sitting under EMA20/50.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7015 cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 confirms a lower low

08:17 UTC

Range after failed push above 0.7000 · RSI 46 · price 0.69945

Session range, capped below big figure.

AUD tagged the session high at 0.70207 during the prior NY hours then faded back below the 0.7000 big figure, which now caps into London. Price is churning in a 0.6986–0.7003 range with RSI(14) mid-scale, no directional edge in play.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.6986 confirms a lower low toward 0.69797

08:02 UTC

Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.6998

Consolidation below 0.7000 after rejection at 0.7021.

AUDUSD tagged 0.7021 during the European run then faded, and is now churning just under the 0.7000 psych handle after a soft US CPI/PPI-driven USD leg lost steam. Price bounced off the 0.6986 swing low and stalled, keeping the last few hours in a tight consolidation between 0.6986 and 0.7000.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6994, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.7000 and 0.7015 needed to reopen the 0.7021 high
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 swing low confirms a lower-low

08:02 UTC

Uptrend faded, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 0.6998

Capped below 0.7000 after rejecting session high.

AUDUSD tagged the session high at 0.70207 during NY hours then unwound into the Asian session, bottoming at 0.6986 before recovering to hover just under the 0.7000 handle. Now ranging 0.6994–0.7000 into the London session, RSI(14) flat near 50; the round number keeps capping upside on this soft-USD leg.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Repeated failures to reclaim 0.7000 signal exhaustion near the handle
  • M15 close above 0.7000 reopens the path to the 0.70207 session high
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Break below 0.6986 confirms a lower low

07:47 UTC

Pullback from highs, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 0.69971

Consolidation below 0.7000 after rejection.

AUDUSD ran to 0.70207 into the London session on the soft-USD PPI story, then faded and got rejected at the 0.7000 psych level. Now coiling in a tight 0.6994–0.7003 range with RSI(14) flat near 48; no clean setup in play.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70029, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range in either direction
  • M15 close above 0.70029 reopens the path to 0.70157
  • Loss of 0.6986 confirms a lower-low

07:47 UTC

Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69971

Consolidating below 0.7000 after rejection at 0.7021.

AUDUSD ran to a 0.70207 session high during the London-NY window then faded, with the 0.7015 area and 0.7000 psych capping on soft-USD flow (CPI/PPI misses). Price now grinds in a tight 0.6994-0.7001 range, RSI near 50, no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • 15m close above 0.70103 reopens the 0.7015/0.7021 highs
  • Loss of 0.69940 exposes 0.69860 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break this range

07:32 UTC

Up then stalled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.69976

Range after rejection from 0.7021 high.

AUDUSD stalled after tagging 0.70207 on the soft-USD PPI-driven leg, then faded back to the 0.7000 handle with the 50-day cap noted overhead. Since then it has ranged 0.6990–0.7010, RSI(14) neutral near 49; price is pinned to EMA20 with no directional break in play.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70103 reopens the 0.7015–0.7021 zone
  • Failure to hold 0.69940 exposes 0.69860 swing low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read

07:32 UTC

Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69976

Consolidating below session high after rejection.

AUDUSD tagged the 0.70207 session high and 0.7015 major resistance mid-window, then faded back to chop around the 0.7000 psych level through the Asia-London handover. RSI(14) neutral near 47 with price pinned just below EMA20/EMA50 — no directional setup in play, range 0.6986–0.7003.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7003, 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.70030 puts 0.7015 major res back in focus
  • Failure to hold 0.69860 swing low confirms a lower low

07:17 UTC

Up-move stalled, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.69966

Lower highs off 0.7021, ranging under 0.7000.

AUD pushed to 0.7021 in the NY session then faded, unable to reclaim the 0.7000 psych; the 50-day EMA capped the advance per the disinflation-led rally losing steam. Since then price has ranged 0.6986–0.7003 with RSI neutral near 47, currently pinned just under 0.7000 in early London.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7003, 0.7015, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 0.7003 range top reopens 0.7015 major res / 0.7021 intraday high
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 swing low confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:17 UTC

Pullback from highs, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 0.69966

Rejected at 0.7015, faded into 0.7000 range.

AUDUSD ran to 0.7021 during the London session then got rejected around the 0.7015 cap and faded back through 0.7000, with the soft AU inflation-expectations print keeping the Aussie subdued. Now chopping between 0.6986 and 0.7003 with RSI(14) neutral near 47; no clean setup while price sits under both EMAs.

Support: 0.69937, 0.6986, 0.69793

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70029, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 and 0.70029 needed to re-engage the 0.7015 cap
  • Failure to hold 0.69937 exposes the 0.6986 swing low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:03 UTC

Pullback stalling, now ranging near 0.7000 · RSI 51 · price 0.69989

Rejection off 0.7021, consolidating around psych handle.

AUDUSD tagged 0.70207 during NY hours then rejected at the 0.7015 area, fading through Asia back to the 0.7000 psych handle where price is now coiling in London. RSI(14) is flat near midline and ATR is compressed at ~6 pips; the pair is sitting on the 50% retrace of the 0.69774–0.70207 leg with no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7003, 0.7013, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70030 reopens the path to 0.7015/0.7021
  • Loss of 0.69860 confirms a lower low and negates the range
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~5h) could break this consolidation

07:02 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69989

Capped below 0.7015, ranging around 0.7000.

AUD tagged 0.70207 during the London-NY rally then faded, now oscillating around the 0.7000 psych with RSI(14) neutral near 51. The soft-USD CPI/PPI leg has stalled below the 0.7015 major resistance; buyers held the 0.69860 session low and price is grinding sideways in a tight 0.6994-0.7003 band.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70029, 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path back to the 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69940 swing low exposes the 0.69860 session low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range

06:47 UTC

Faded off session high, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.69952

Rally to 0.7021 rejected, consolidating below 0.7000.

AUDUSD pushed to 0.7021 on broad USD softness after the soft US PPI print, but stalled at the 0.7015 50-day EMA cap and faded back below the 0.7000 round level. Price is now ranging 0.69860–0.70000 with RSI mid-band and momentum flat.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens a retest of the 0.70207 session high
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold the 0.69860 swing low exposes the 0.69774 asia low

06:47 UTC

Up-leg faded, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69952

Ranging below 0.7000 after rejection at 0.7021.

AUDUSD popped above 0.7000 to 0.7021 on broad USD weakness after the soft US PPI miss, then stalled and faded — a USD-driven move, not AUD-led. Price now grinds either side of 0.7000, RSI(14) neutral near 48, with descending lower highs into 0.7003.

Support: 0.6986, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.70029, 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens a retest of the 0.7021 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could reset this read

06:32 UTC

Faded from highs, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.6997

Range below 0.7000 after 0.7021 rejection.

AUDUSD tagged 0.7021 on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, then faded back through the 0.7000 psych level and is now consolidating in the 0.6986–0.7010 band. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and price sits at the EMA20 with the EMA50 capping overhead.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6953

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7010, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.7010–0.7021 zone
  • Loss of 0.6986 swing low confirms a lower-low

06:32 UTC

Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.6997

Consolidating below 0.7015 after 0.7021 rejection.

AUD tagged 0.7021 in the NY/London push on broad USD softness after soft US CPI/PPI, then faded and has churned between 0.6987 and 0.7003 since. The 50-day EMA at 0.7015 capped the move; RSI mid-range, ATR ~5 pips, no setup in play.

Support: 0.6987, 0.6977

Resistance: 0.7003, 0.7015, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could reset this read
  • Close above 0.7015 opens a retest of the 0.7021 high
  • Failure to hold 0.6987 confirms a lower-low

06:17 UTC

Uptrend faded, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 0.69967

Pullback from session high, mid-range.

AUDUSD ground up to a 0.70207 session high on broad USD softness after the CPI/PPI misses, then was rejected near the 0.7015 zone and faded back below 0.7000. Now ranging 0.6994-0.7003 with RSI(14) neutral around 48; momentum has left the move.

Support: 0.69936, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70029, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read materially
  • Close above 0.70029 opens a retest of the 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69860 confirms a lower low

06:17 UTC

Pulled back from session high, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 0.69967

Range after fade from 0.7021 peak.

AUDUSD tagged 0.7021 on broad USD softness after the soft US CPI/PPI misses, then faded back below the 0.7000 psych level. Now ranging 0.6986–0.7010 into early London with RSI(14) neutral near 43; the run above 0.7000 has not held.

Support: 0.6994, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 0.70000 reopens 0.70103 and the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.69860 confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-driven read

06:03 UTC

Pullback within intraday range · RSI 45 · price 0.69954

Faded off NY session high, ranging.

NY session tagged 0.70207 on the post-PPI USD slide then faded through Asia; price now drifts in early London between 0.69906 and 0.70029, back under EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range. The push toward 0.7000 stalled shy of the 0.7015 barrier, no fresh momentum in play.

Support: 0.69906, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70029, 0.7013, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70029 reopens the 0.70130/0.70207 highs
  • Loss of 0.69906 confirms a lower-low toward 0.69860
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-driven read

06:02 UTC

Uptrend faded, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.69954

Range below 0.7000 after rejection at 0.7020.

AUDUSD ran to 0.70207 during yesterday's London-NY session on soft US PPI, then faded to consolidate just under the 0.7000 psych level. Price is chopping between 0.69906 and 0.7000 into the Asia-London handover, RSI(14) neutral near 44 and ATR compressed around 4 pips.

Support: 0.69906, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7015/0.7020 area
  • Loss of 0.69906 confirms a lower low toward 0.69860
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this USD-driven read

05:47 UTC

Pullback after NY rally, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69954

Ranging below 0.7000 after topping at 0.7020.

AUD/USD topped at 0.7020 during NY hours on the soft-USD post-PPI leg, then faded through Asia back below the 0.7000 psych level. Now ranging 0.6986–0.7003 with RSI(14) neutral near 48; the earlier rally toward the 0.7015 UOB cap has been given back.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.70029, 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
  • Close back above 0.70029 recent high reopens the 0.7015 uob cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 swing low confirms a lower low

05:47 UTC

Pullback after NY-session peak, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69954

Consolidating below 0.7000 after lower high.

AUDUSD peaked at 0.7020 in the NY session on soft US PPI-driven USD weakness, then faded to a 0.6986 swing low and is now chopping in a thin Asian range around the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) near 47, price back below EMA20/50 — no directional push in play.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69906

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70029, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 uob res opens further upside
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 swing low confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD side of this read

05:32 UTC

Rangebound, momentum flat near 0.7000 · RSI 51 · price 0.69997

Consolidating below 0.7000 psych after fading from 0.70207.

AUDUSD is coiling either side of the 0.7000 psych level in thin Asian-session trade after being rejected at the 0.70207 swing high, a rally built on soft US CPI/PPI-driven USD weakness. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips; no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.70103 reopens the 0.70207 swing high
  • Loss of 0.69860 confirms a lower low

05:32 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 0.69997

Consolidation under 0.7015 after rejection at 0.7020.

AUDUSD ran to 0.7020 on the post-PPI USD slide before rejecting at the 0.7015 UOB barrier and fading to 0.6986. Price is now consolidating around the 0.7000 psych level, sitting roughly on the 50% retrace of the intraday up-move with RSI(14) neutral near 52.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986, 0.6977

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7020

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 reopens the path toward 0.7020 and beyond
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

05:17 UTC

Range after NY pullback · RSI 52 · price 0.6999

Consolidating below 0.7000 round number.

NY session pushed to the session high at 0.7020 on soft US PPI-driven USD weakness, then faded back to 0.6986 through Asia. Early London is grinding higher off that low, ranging 0.6986-0.7020 and capped under the 0.7000 round number; RSI(14) neutral near 52.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7020 session high reopens upside
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 session low confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

05:17 UTC

Recovery, capped at 0.7000 · RSI 54 · price 0.6999

Pullback recovered, coiling below psych level.

AUDUSD ground back to the 0.7000 psych level through Asian hours after London/NY sold it off from 0.7020 to a 0.6986 swing low; the recovery is USD-driven off the soft PPI print. RSI(14) neutral near 54, price coiling just under the round number with UOB's 0.7015 barrier overhead.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens further upside per UOB read
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 swing low confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read

05:03 UTC

Range after NY pullback, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69981

Consolidating below 0.7000 after rejection at session high.

NY session pushed AUDUSD to 0.70207 on soft US PPI-led USD selling, but it was capped and rejected under the 0.7015 zone. Price bled back to a 0.6986 swing low then recovered to consolidate around the 0.7000 psych level through Asia, RSI(14) neutral near 50.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69953

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim and hold above 0.7015 opens the path back toward 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.6986 swing low confirms a lower low

05:03 UTC

Uptrend stalling, capped sub-0.7015 · RSI 48 · price 0.69981

Pullback from 0.7020 high, consolidating near 0.7000 psych.

AUDUSD rallied to 0.7020 on the soft US PPI-driven dollar slide but was rejected at the 0.7015 UOB cap; pullback held 0.6986 and price is now consolidating either side of the 0.7000 psych level. Momentum has flattened with RSI mid-range near 48.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6977

Resistance: 0.7002, 0.7015, 0.7020

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.7015 uob cap opens the path back to 0.7020 and beyond
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 session low confirms a lower low toward 0.6977

04:47 UTC

Recovering off Asia lows, momentum modest · RSI 55 · price 0.70011

Pullback from NY high, higher lows into round number.

AUD/USD rallied to 0.7020 during NY on soft US PPI-driven dollar weakness but stalled at the 0.7015 major cap, then faded to 0.6986 through Asia. Price has since ground back to the 0.7000 psych pivot on a chain of higher lows, RSI near neutral.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close and hold above 0.7015 major cap opens the swing high at 0.7020
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych pivot exposes the 0.6986 asia low

04:47 UTC

Recovering after intraday pullback · RSI 56 · price 0.70011

Range 0.6986-0.7021, pressing back to 0.7000.

Pair rallied to 0.70207 during NY hours on the soft US PPI-driven dollar slide, then pulled back to a 0.6986 swing low. Asian session has clawed back to the 0.7000 psychological pivot; 0.7015 remains the hard cap and RSI is mid-range.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path toward 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 confirms a lower-low

04:32 UTC

Uptrend paused, consolidating below cap · RSI 57 · price 0.70017

Lower highs off 0.70207, holding 0.7000 pivot.

AUD/USD topped at 0.70207 during NY hours on the broad USD slide after soft US CPI/PPI, then faded to 0.6986 before the Asian session clawed back to the 0.7000 pivot. 0.7015 continues to cap attempts and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 57, showing no momentum extreme.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path back toward the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of the 0.7000 pivot exposes the 0.69860 swing low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

04:32 UTC

Recovering after pullback, back at pivot · RSI 56 · price 0.70017

Ranging 0.6986–0.7020, retracing higher into 0.7000.

AUDUSD tapped the session high at 0.7021 then got rejected below the 0.7015 cap on the USD-led move, sliding to 0.6986 before buyers stepped in through the Asian session. Price is now grinding back into the 0.7000 psychological pivot on a clean chain of higher lows; range extremes still bracketing.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.7015 cap opens the path back to the 0.7021 session high
  • Loss of 0.6986 swing low reopens downside below the range
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

04:17 UTC

Recovering off session low, grinding back to 0.7000 · RSI 61 · price 0.70022

Range 0.6986-0.7020, reclaiming psych pivot.

AUD/USD tagged the session high at 0.7020 during NY hours before slipping to 0.6986 overnight, all part of a USD-led bid after the soft US CPI/PPI misses. Asia has clawed back to 0.7002, retesting the 0.7000 psych pivot with RSI(14) around 60; the 0.7015 cap remains untested.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path back to the 0.7020 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.6986 swing low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the day's key catalyst for USD

04:17 UTC

Recovering after pullback, USD-led · RSI 56 · price 0.70022

Range between 0.6986 and 0.7020, mid.

AUDUSD ran to 0.7021 during NY hours on broad USD weakness after the soft US PPI, then rejected and slipped to 0.6986 through the Asia session. Price has since ground back to 0.7002, reclaiming the 0.7000 psych pivot; 0.7015 remains the hard cap.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986, 0.69831

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7021

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path toward the 0.7021 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 puts 0.6986 back in focus and restores the range read
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this USD-led read

04:03 UTC

Sideways, recovering from pullback · RSI 58 · price 0.70003

Range beneath session high, higher lows off 0.6986.

NY session drove AUDUSD to a 0.70207 session high on broad USD softness after cool US PPI, then price faded through Asia to 0.6986 before London recovered back to the 0.7000 psych pivot. Structure is a range under 0.7015, with buyers building higher lows off 0.6986.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6986, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.7015 opens a retest of the 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.6986 swing low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read

04:03 UTC

Recovering within range, mild upside · RSI 57 · price 0.70003

Consolidation below session high after rejection.

NY session pushed to a 0.70207 session high before stalling below the 0.7015 cap flagged in the digest, the USD-led move fading on soft US CPI/PPI. Price slid to a 0.6986 session low into Asia and has since recovered to the 0.7000 psych pivot; still ranging, no clean break.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69816

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above 0.7015 cap opens the path back to the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.6986 session low confirms a lower-low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:47 UTC

Pullback from day high, momentum neutral · RSI 53 · price 0.69967

Recovering toward 0.7000 after rejection at day high.

AUDUSD rallied to a 0.70207 day high in yesterday's NY session on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, then rejected and slid to a 0.6986 swing low. Asia session is grinding back toward the 0.7000 psych level on thin volume, RSI(14) back to neutral.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6982

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Sustained move above 0.7000 psych opens the 0.70103 prior high then the 0.70207 day high
  • Failure to hold the 0.6986 swing low exposes the 0.6982 range low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:47 UTC

Recovering after pullback from session high · RSI 53 · price 0.69967

Pulled back from 0.70207 NY high, basing above 0.6986.

NY session drove the pair to 0.70207 on broad USD weakness after soft US PPI, then it faded through Asia to 0.6986 where buyers stepped back in. Price is now grinding back toward the 0.70000 psych level, RSI(14) mid-range near 53 — no directional extreme in play.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69897

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • A close above 0.70000 opens the path toward the 0.7015 cap flagged in context
  • Failure to hold 0.69860 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.6975
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via USD

03:32 UTC

Recovering after session-high rejection · RSI 56 · price 0.69993

Pullback holding, price retesting 0.7000.

AUD rode broad USD weakness (soft US CPI/PPI) up to a session high at 0.70207 during the prior sessions, where it was rejected. Asia hours saw a pullback to 0.6987, buyers stepped back in and price is now retesting the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) mid-range near 56.

Support: 0.6987, 0.6982

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path back to session high 0.70207 and the 0.7015 major cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6987 swing low reopens 0.6982 asian base
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:32 UTC

Pullback from NY high, recovering · RSI 56 · price 0.69993

Faded off 0.7020, basing under 0.7000 psych.

AUD/USD ran to 0.7020 during NY hours on the soft US PPI-led dollar slide, then faded through the Asian session to a 0.6986 low before recovering to press the 0.7000 psych pivot. Move is USD-led, capped ahead of the 0.7015 hard resistance flagged in the macro read.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 0.7015 opens the 0.7020 swing high
  • Failure to reclaim 0.7000 keeps price in the 0.6986-0.7000 band
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:17 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 47 · price 0.69966

Lower highs off 0.7020, recovering from session low.

NY session pushed to 0.70207 on broad USD softness after soft US PPI, then rolled over into a chain of lower highs. Asia session is probing back up off the 0.6986 session low but stalling under the 0.7000 psych level; RSI mid-range, no momentum extreme.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69908

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.70103 prior high
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 session low confirms a lower-low
  • 0.7015 major resistance remains the intraday cap

03:17 UTC

Pullback after NY-session rally stalled · RSI 49 · price 0.69966

Faded from session high, bouncing off session low.

NY session pushed to 0.70207 before rolling over as the dollar clawed back, fading to a 0.69860 low; Asia session is now recovering to 0.6997 with RSI(14) back near mid. The 0.70000 psychological pivot is the immediate cap, matching the 61.8% retrace of the prior rally.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.70000 reopens the 0.70103/0.7015 zone
  • Failure to hold 0.69860 confirms a lower-low toward 0.69774
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could shift the USD-led tone

03:03 UTC

Pullback after uptrend stalled · RSI 46 · price 0.69943

Lower highs off 0.7020, basing near 0.6994.

AUD/USD stalled at the 0.7020 session high — a fade off UOB's 0.7015 cap in the broad USD-unwind story — then slipped back under the 0.7000 psych level. Consolidating near 0.6994 in the Asia session after basing at the 0.6986 session low, RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69831

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.70103 prior high
  • Loss of 0.6986 session low confirms a lower-low toward 0.69831 swing low

03:03 UTC

Uptrend faded, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.69943

Rolled over from 0.7020, lower highs into Asia.

AUD ran to 0.7020 during NY hours on broad USD weakness after soft US PPI, rejected just under UOB's 0.7015 cap, then rounded over back to 0.6990. Asian session opened soft, bouncing off the 0.6986 swing low with RSI(14) mid-40s and price back below both EMAs.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6983

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.7020

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 revives the USD-unwind extension
  • Loss of 0.6986/0.6983 confirms a lower low and opens further downside
  • 0.7000 psych level — area to watch for rejection or reclaim

02:47 UTC

Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 45 · price 0.69918

Peaked at 0.7021, drifting back below 0.7000.

AUDUSD rallied through 0.7000 into the NY session on broad USD weakness after soft US PPI, tagging 0.7021 before stalling near UOB's 0.7015 cap. Asian hours have unwound the move, price now back below 0.7000 with a session low at 0.6986; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme.

Support: 0.6986, 0.6982

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.7015 test
  • Break of 0.6986 session low confirms lower-low continuation
  • USD repricing after soft CPI/PPI remains the main driver of this move

02:47 UTC

Pullback after rally, momentum cooling · RSI 45 · price 0.69918

Rejected 0.702, rolled back under 0.7000.

AUD ran to 0.70207 during NY hours on broad USD weakness after soft US PPI, stalling just under UOB's 0.7015 cap before rolling back under the 0.7000 psych level. Now consolidating around 0.6992 in early Asia, RSI(14) neutral near 45 with buyers stepping in at 0.6986.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold of 0.7000 reopens the 0.7015 resistance test
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 exposes 0.69774 prior low
  • Break above 0.7015 confirms USD-unwind extension

02:32 UTC

Pullback after NY-session rejection · RSI 44 · price 0.69929

Lower highs off 0.70207, holding above session low.

AUDUSD false-broke the 0.7015 UOB cap to 0.70207 during NY hours then rejected, fading through the Asian session to a 0.6986 low before a modest bounce to 0.69929 — the leg was USD-led on soft US PPI, not a domestic Aussie story. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 44, and lower highs stacking since the peak.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69831

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.7000 psych needed to challenge the 0.7015 cap again
  • Failure to hold 0.6986 session low opens 0.69831 asian low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could reshape the USD-led move

02:32 UTC

Rally faded, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.69929

Rejection at session high, lower highs.

AUDUSD pushed to a session high of 0.70207 near UOB's 0.7015 cap then rejected, fading back below the 0.7000 round number into quiet Asia hours as RSI cooled toward 42. The advance was USD-led on soft US PPI rather than a domestic Aussie story, leaving the pullback fragile.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70097, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 0.7000 round number reopens the 0.70097-0.70207 area
  • Loss of the 0.69860 swing low points to the 0.69774 session low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

02:17 UTC

Short-term downtrend, fading from day high · RSI 39 · price 0.69871

Lower highs since 0.70207, breaking back under 0.7000.

AUDUSD faded through the Asia session after tagging the day high at 0.70207 during NY hours; the USD-led bounce on soft US CPI/PPI has stalled and price has slipped back under the 0.7000 psych level. Sellers pressed it to the session low near 0.6986, RSI(14) cooling toward 38 with no basing yet.

Support: 0.6986, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 0.70000 psych would neutralise the downside pressure
  • Loss of 0.69860 session low opens the 0.69774 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD-driven read

02:17 UTC

Pullback after NY-session top · RSI 41 · price 0.69871

Faded below 0.7000, testing intraday support.

AUDUSD ran to 0.70207 during NY hours on broad USD softness after the soft US PPI, then faded back through the 0.7000 round number overnight into Asia. Price now sits at 0.69871, working the 0.786 retrace of that leg and pressing the 0.69830 swing support; RSI(14) cooling near 40.

Support: 0.6983, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.7000 needed to reopen the 0.70157 session high
  • Close below 0.69774 confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read

02:02 UTC

Pullback from highs, momentum down · RSI 39 · price 0.69909

Lower highs after rejection at 0.7020, back below 0.7000.

AUDUSD ran into the 0.7015-0.7020 cap in the prior session and has slid back through the 0.7000 psych level during Asia hours, this USD-led bounce off soft US PPI now fading. Lower highs since the 0.70207 peak and price under EMA20/50 with RSI near 39 confirm the short-term rollover.

Support: 0.6989, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 negates the breakdown
  • 0.7015 remains the ceiling per UOB read; rejection there caps upside
  • US Retail Sales / Fed speakers could reassert the USD move

02:02 UTC

Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 40 · price 0.69909

Rejection at 0.7020, lower highs into 0.699.

AUDUSD ran to a session high of 0.7020 on broad USD softness after the cool US PPI, then rejected and faded back below the 0.7000 round number. Price now 0.69909 with RSI(14) near 40; short-term structure has rolled into lower highs, back toward the 0.699 recent low.

Support: 0.69897, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.7000 round number reopens the 0.7015 uob cap
  • Loss of 0.69897 recent low exposes the 0.69774 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could reset this read

01:47 UTC

Pullback from session high, momentum fading · RSI 41 · price 0.69921

Rejected near 0.7020, slipped back below 0.7000.

AUDUSD pushed to 0.70207 during NY hours on broad USD softness, but the false break above the 0.7015 resistance was rejected and price has slid back below the 0.7000 psych. Early Asia selling dragged it to 0.69897, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s with price now under both EMAs; 0.7000 is capping.

Support: 0.69897, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.7000 psych needed to re-engage the 0.7015 res
  • Failure to hold 0.69897 swing low opens the path to 0.69774 prior low

01:47 UTC

Pullback after rally, rolling over from 0.7020 · RSI 44 · price 0.69921

Rejection at 0.7015, lower highs into 0.7000.

AUDUSD ran to a session high of 0.70207 but stalled at the 0.7015 UOB resistance flagged on broad USD softness post-CPI/PPI; the move faded through the Asian session and has now broken down toward 0.7000. Price is testing the recent low at 0.69897 with RSI(14) mid-40s and holding below both EMAs.

Support: 0.69897, 0.6983

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69897 confirms a lower low toward 0.6983
  • Reclaim of 0.7000/0.7015 reopens the session high at 0.70207
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD leg driving this move

01:32 UTC

Pullback after rejection at highs · RSI 41 · price 0.69912

Rolled off 0.7020, back below 0.7000.

AUD/USD rejected the 0.70207 range high and has since slipped back under the 0.7000 psychological pivot through the Asia session, RSI(14) cooling near 40. The earlier push higher was USD-driven on the soft US PPI miss; that leg is now fading with the pair pressing the 0.69906 session low.

Support: 0.69906, 0.6985

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • A reclaim of 0.7000 psych puts 0.7015 uob res back in play
  • A close below 0.69906 session low opens the 0.6985 swing low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD leg driving this move

01:32 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 38 · price 0.69912

Rally to 0.7020 rejected, lower highs into Asia.

AUDUSD ran to a window high of 0.70207 on broad USD softness after the soft US PPI, then stalled and rolled over below the 0.70 psych level. Asia-session drift has printed lower highs and price is now back testing the session low at 0.69906, RSI(14) near 38.

Support: 0.69906, 0.69822

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70103, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of psych 0.70 needed to re-engage the 0.70103 session high
  • Loss of 0.69906 session low opens the 0.69822 swing low
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could reprice the USD leg driving this move

01:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.69942

NY rally rejected below 0.7015, Asia unwinding below 0.7000.

NY session pushed AUD/USD to 0.70207 on broad USD softness after the soft US PPI print, but was capped below the 0.7015 resistance. Asia session is now unwinding that move, price slipping back under the 0.7000 psychological pivot with RSI(14) cooling toward 40; session low at 0.6993 in focus.

Support: 0.6993, 0.69835

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 negates the pullback and reopens 0.7015
  • Break below 0.6993 exposes the 0.69835 prior low
  • Rejection at the 0.7015 resistance keeps the cap intact

01:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.69942

Rejected at session high, back below 0.7000.

AUDUSD ran to a 0.7020 session high on broad USD softness after the soft US PPI, then rejected and has slipped back through the 0.7000 psych level into early Asia. Price is now hovering at 0.6994, the 61.8% retrace of the 0.6977-0.7020 leg, with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s.

Support: 0.6993, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.7000 puts 0.70207 session high back in play
  • Failure to hold 0.6993 opens the 0.6980 prior range
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD leg driving this move

01:03 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.69982

Lower highs off 0.7020, slipping under 0.7000.

NY rally to 0.70207 stalled below the 0.7015 cap, then price consolidated 0.7005-0.7010 through a quiet Asia session before slipping under 0.7000. Sellers pressed the session low at 0.69953 on the latest leg, with price now retracing to the 61.8% fib of the prior up-move.

Support: 0.69953, 0.69822

Resistance: 0.70103, 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69953 opens the path toward the 0.69822 swing low
  • reclaim of 0.70103 range top re-engages the 0.7015 cap
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

01:03 UTC

Pullback after rejection at highs · RSI 42 · price 0.69982

Rally to 0.7020 stalled, lower highs into 0.7000.

AUDUSD ran into 0.70207 late in the NY-Asia transition on the soft US CPI/PPI USD backdrop, then rolled over through thin Asian hours back below the 0.7000 round number. Sequence of lower highs and RSI(14) near 42 shows the intraday leg cooling; 0.6995 session low is the near pivot.

Support: 0.69953, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.7015 major res reopens the upside toward the 0.7020 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6995 session low confirms a lower low toward 0.6977
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations (~01:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales later could shift this read

00:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 0.69992

Rounded top below 0.7015, drift to 0.7000.

AUDUSD ran up to a session high of 0.70207 during London-NY on soft US CPI/PPI, but capped short of the 0.7015 UOB resistance and rounded over. Thin Asia-hour flow is now dragging price back to the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) cooling near 45.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations at 01:00 UTC (~2.5h) may inject volatility
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych opens the path back toward 0.6988 swing low
  • M15 close above 0.7015 reasserts upside toward the 0.70207 session high

00:47 UTC

Up move rolling over, pullback in play · RSI 44 · price 0.69992

Retracing NY rally, testing 0.7000 from above.

AUDUSD tagged the session high at 0.70207 during NY on the soft US PPI/CPI USD slide, then drifted lower through the Asian session and is now back below 0.7000, sitting near the 61.8% retrace of the NY rally. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the last two bars broke the round number.

Support: 0.69969, 0.6988, 0.69822

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.7015 reopens the path toward extending gains
  • Sustained trade below 0.69969 deepens the pullback toward 0.6988
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations at 01:00 UTC (~2.5h) could shift this read

00:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 0.70048

Rally to 0.70207, now consolidating below 0.7015.

AUDUSD rallied through the London-NY window to a session high of 0.70207, poking above the 0.7015 major resistance before being rejected back under it. Asia hours are quiet and thin, price now consolidating around 0.7005 into the 38.2% retracement of the rally; 0.7000 psych level holding so far.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69952

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close and hold above 0.70157 reopens the path toward 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 puts 0.69952 swing low back in play
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations at 01:00 UTC (~30m) could shift this read

00:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 51 · price 0.70048

Pullback into consolidation below session high.

London-NY drove a clean run to 0.70207 on the soft US PPI-fed dollar slip, then rejected there and faded. Asia session is now consolidating 0.70010-0.70100, RSI(14) back to neutral around 51; 0.7015 still caps as flagged.

Support: 0.7001, 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70157 reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.70010 session low exposes the 0.70000 round level
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations at 01:00 UTC (~30m) could shift this read

00:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flat in Asia · RSI 54 · price 0.70094

Consolidating below session high after rejection.

AUDUSD rallied on soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar weakness to a session high of 0.70207, then was rejected at the 0.7015 UOB resistance and slipped to 0.7000 before recovering. Price is now grinding a tight Asian range around 0.7005-0.7010, RSI neutral and ATR compressed to ~2.6 pips.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path back to the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of the 0.7000 round number reopens 0.69888 swing low
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations at 01:00 UTC (~2.5h) could break the Asian range

00:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating near highs · RSI 55 · price 0.70094

Range near session high after HH at 0.70207.

London/NY pushed AUDUSD to 0.70207 on soft US PPI-driven dollar weakness before rejecting below the 0.7015 cap. Asian session now consolidating in a tight 0.7000-0.7010 band with volume and ATR thin; 0.7000 round number holding.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69931

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path back to 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.69931 swing low
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations at 01:00 UTC (~45m) could shift this read

00:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near highs · RSI 55 · price 0.70085

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

NY session pushed AUDUSD to a session high of 0.70207 before rejection back under the 0.7015 cap flagged in the macro read, part of the two-day bounce driven by soft US CPI/PPI. Asian session since drifting in a tight 0.7004–0.7010 range on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral near 55.

Support: 0.7004, 0.7000, 0.69822

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.7000 round number confirms a deeper pullback
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations 01:00 UTC (~1h) could break the Asian range

00:02 UTC

Uptrend stalled, consolidating · RSI 54 · price 0.70085

Range after rejection at session high.

AUDUSD ran to a session high of 0.70207 during NY hours as soft US CPI/PPI kept the dollar heavy, then was rejected and pulled back. Price now consolidates tightly between 0.70010 and 0.7009 in thin Asian trade, RSI(14) cooled to mid-range and the 0.70150 uob pivot still caps.

Support: 0.7001, 0.6993

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70150 uob pivot reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.70010 session low breaks the consolidation lower
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations in ~2.5h could shift this read

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