AUDUSD ran from sub-0.6920 Monday to a 0.7021 week high through Wednesday's NY session on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, then stalled at the 50-day EMA cap near 0.7012. Since then price has drifted into a tight consolidation around the 0.7000 figure, with RSI(14) flattening near 50 and the H1 EMA20 now being tested from below. The 0.6990 range low has held on each dip while 0.7012 continues to cap.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6962, 0.6941
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7015 opens the path toward 0.7045
Loss of 0.6990 exposes the 0.6962 9d ema
Australian jobs data Jul 23 01:30 UTC is the key domestic swing factor
AUDUSD rode a 1%+ USD-driven rally this week on soft US CPI/PPI, lifting from sub-0.6920 to tag 0.7021 into Thursday's NY session before stalling at the 50-day EMA cap (~0.7012). Price has since coiled in a tight 0.6992–0.7010 range around the 0.7000 figure, with RSI(14) flat near 50 and EMA20 flattening as the impulse fades. Demand held the 0.6992 range low twice while supply capped repeated pokes at the round number.
Support: 0.6992, 0.6962, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.7021
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7015 clears the 50d ema cap and opens 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.6962 confirms a lower-low back toward the low-0.69s
Australian jobs data Jul 23 is the key domestic swing factor into RBA
AUD/USD ran from sub-0.6920 to a 0.7021 week high on pure USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, then stalled at the 50-day EMA (~0.7012) and has consolidated around the 0.7000 figure since Wednesday's NY session. Price sits right on EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat near 50 — momentum has cooled after two rejections off the 0.7012-0.7021 zone. Buyers have defended 0.6990 through the Asia session, keeping the figure pinned.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6962, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7021 reopens the path toward 0.7045
Loss of 0.6962 (9-day EMA) confirms a lower-low and unwinds the week's range
USD stabilization would pressure the USD-driven rally back toward the low-0.69s
AUDUSD reclaimed 0.7000 on the USD-weakness leg after soft US CPI/PPI, tagging a week high of 0.7021 before stalling into the 50-day EMA cap near 0.7012. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.6990–0.7012 range through the NY-into-Asia sessions, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) flattening near 50. The 0.7012 area has rejected the last two pushes; range low at 0.6990 still respected.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6962, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7015 opens the path toward the 0.7045 prior high
Loss of 0.6990 range low exposes the 0.6962 9-day ema
Australian employment data (Thu 01:30 UTC) is the key domestic catalyst that could break this range
Consolidation below 0.7015 cap after week's impulse.
AUDUSD ran from sub-0.6950 to a 0.7021 high on pure USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI pared Fed tightening bets, then stalled into the 50-day EMA cap around 0.7015. Price has since drifted into a tight consolidation just below 0.7000, holding above the H1 EMA(50) with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s. The 0.7015-0.7025 band has repeatedly capped attempts this week.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6962, 0.69463
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7021, 0.7025
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7015 clears the 50d ema cap and opens the 0.7045 path
Failure to hold the 0.6990 session low exposes 0.6962
USD stabilization after the CPI/PPI relief fades would pressure the rally
AUD/USD reclaimed 0.7000 this week on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, tagging a 0.7021 week high before stalling at the 50-day EMA near 0.7012. Price has coiled in a tight 0.6990–0.7012 band since Wednesday's NY session, RSI(14) cycling around the midline. Two attempts above 0.7012 have been rejected while the round 0.7000 level keeps being probed.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6962, 0.6929
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7021 opens the path toward 0.7045
Loss of 0.6990 exposes 0.6962
US Michigan sentiment Jul 17 could shift this USD-driven move
AUDUSD ran from the sub-0.6950 base into 0.7021 across Wednesday's NY session, the move driven by broad USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI. Price has since gone sideways just under the 0.7000 round number, with two failed pokes above the figure and RSI slipping back to the mid-40s. The impulse is holding — pullbacks have stayed above 0.6990 — but momentum has clearly cooled at the week high.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6962, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7021
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7021 week high
Loss of 0.6990 session low exposes 0.6962 prior support
Australian jobs data (Jul 23) is the key domestic swing factor into this range
AUDUSD popped through 0.7000 on Wednesday's USD-driven leg after soft US CPI/PPI, tagging 0.7021 before stalling at the 50-day EMA around 0.7012. Price has since coiled either side of the figure, now easing back to 0.6995 with RSI cycling near neutral and holding above EMA50 but capped by EMA20. The 0.7012 cap has rejected two attempts this week.
Support: 0.69895, 0.6962, 0.6934
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7012 clears the 50-day ema cap and opens 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.69895 shifts focus to the 0.6962 9-day ema
UoM Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could re-drive the USD leg
AUDUSD rode this week's USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, lifting from the sub-0.6920 lows to a 0.7021 week high before stalling at the 50d ema cap near 0.7015. Since that tag price has drifted back under the 0.7000 psych level and is now hovering below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s. The prior impulse's higher-lows still hold, but momentum has flattened into range-bound trade around the figure.
Support: 0.6989, 0.6962, 0.6940
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7015 clears the 50d ema cap and opens 0.7045
Failure to hold the 0.6989 session low exposes 0.6962
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
AUDUSD reclaimed 0.7000 on the back of USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, tagging a week high of 0.7021 before stalling at the 50-day EMA cap near 0.7012. Price has since ground sideways around the figure, with RSI(14) easing back toward the mid-40s and the pair slipping just under its H1 EMA20 as the range low near 0.6990 is retested. The move this week has been dollar-led, not Aussie-led, leaving the rally sensitive to any USD stabilization.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6962, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7021 opens the path toward the 0.7045 uob target
Loss of 0.6990 range low exposes the 0.6962 9d ema
Australian jobs data Thu and UoM inflation expectations Fri could reset this read
Consolidation below the figure after weekly rally.
AUDUSD rallied from sub-0.6915 lows this week on pure USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, tagging 0.7021 — the first look above the figure since mid-June — before stalling at the 50-day EMA cap ~0.7012. Price has since drifted back under 0.7000 and is consolidating in the high-0.69s, with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s. The rising higher-lows off Monday's base remain intact for now, but demand at the round number is being tested.
Support: 0.6989, 0.6962, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7021, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7015 reopens the path to 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.6962 (9d ema) confirms loss of the weekly higher-low structure
US Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
AUDUSD ran from sub-0.6950 to a 0.70207 week high on USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, then stalled at the 50-day EMA cap near 0.7012 and slipped back to the figure. Price has spent the last day-plus consolidating around 0.7000, easing under the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. The 0.6986 session low is holding for now while 0.7012 has repeatedly capped rallies.
Support: 0.6986, 0.6962, 0.6928
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7012 reopens the 0.70207 week high
Loss of 0.6986 exposes the 0.6962 area
Australian jobs (Jul 23) is the key domestic swing factor into RBA
AUDUSD rallied off the sub-0.6920 base into 0.7021 on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, its first look above the figure since mid-June. Price has since gone sideways around 0.7000, with the 50-day EMA near 0.7012 capping the last two pushes and the latest bar slipping back below EMA20. Structure stays constructive above the 9d-ema support at 0.6962, but momentum has flattened at the range top.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7015 reopens the path toward 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.6990 range floor exposes 0.6962
UoM Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD ran from sub-0.6920 to a 0.70207 week high on pure USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, then stalled at the 50-day EMA cap near 0.7012. Price has since drifted back under the 0.7000 handle and slipped below the H1 EMA(20), with RSI easing toward mid-40s as the week's impulse cools. The rising-lows structure off Tuesday's base is still intact above 0.6960.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6986, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 0.7012 clears the 50d ema cap and opens 0.7045
Loss of 0.6986 range low exposes the 0.6962 9d ema support
USD stabilisation after the CPI/PPI relief could pressure the pop
Higher highs into a 0.70 consolidation below the cap zone.
AUDUSD extended a two-day pop to tag 0.70207 before stalling in the 0.7012-0.7021 cap zone, the move USD-weakness driven off soft US CPI and PPI rather than domestic strength. Price has consolidated around the 0.7000 round number through the last two sessions, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling near neutral. The impulsive leg that ran from the 0.69123 week low has flattened into range trade.
Support: 0.6986, 0.69669, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.70207 clears the cap zone and opens the path toward 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.69860 exposes the 0.69669 pullback low
Fed speakers today and AU jobs data (Jul 23) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ran ~1.25% off Tuesday's 0.6927 base into 0.7021 on the back of soft US CPI/PPI, then stalled and has been consolidating around the 0.7000 figure for the last full day. Two attempts above 0.7012 have been capped near 0.7021, holding the week high, while RSI(14) has cooled back toward mid-range as the impulse flattened. The move is USD-driven, so structure remains constructive above 0.6995 but the 0.7015-0.7021 band is the pivot.
Support: 0.6995, 0.6986, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7021 opens the path toward 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.6995 range floor exposes 0.6986 swing low
AU jobs (Jul 23, 01:30 GMT) is the next catalyst for this consolidation
AUDUSD popped above the 0.7000 figure on soft US CPI/PPI mid-week, tagging 0.7021 before momentum faded at the 50-day EMA around 0.7012-0.7015. Since then price has consolidated in a tight 0.6985-0.7010 band, holding above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling mid-range. The rally is a USD-weakness story, and the pair has stalled rather than extended into the NY session.
Support: 0.6985, 0.6994, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7015, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7021 opens the path toward 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.6985 range floor exposes 9d ema ~0.6962
Fri US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations could reprice USD and shift this read
AUDUSD rode a ~1.25% two-day pop off the 0.6913 base, an entirely USD-driven move after soft US CPI/PPI knocked the dollar, then stalled into the 0.7012 50-day EMA / 0.7021 week high. Price has been ranging 0.6994–0.7020 since the NY session yesterday with RSI(14) cooling from overbought and holding above both EMAs. The 0.7021 cap has capped two attempts this week; the figure is being defended from below.
Support: 0.6994, 0.6962, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7021 opens the path toward 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.6994 range floor exposes 0.6962
US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations Friday could shift the USD-driven read
AUDUSD climbed from sub-0.6920 to 0.7021 across the week on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI and PPI, with the sharpest leg during Tuesday's NY session. Price reclaimed the 0.7000 handle and is now consolidating just beneath the week high, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling back to the low-50s. The 50-day EMA cap near 0.7012 and the 0.7021 high have capped the last two pushes.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6986, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7012, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 0.7021 opens the path toward 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes 0.6986 then the 0.6964 swing low
Australian jobs report Jul 23 01:30 UTC is the primary catalyst ahead
Consolidation above 0.7000 after impulse to 0.7021.
AUDUSD climbed off sub-0.6920 lows through the week on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI and PPI, breaking the 0.7000 handle and tagging 0.70207 before stalling. Price has since coiled in a tight range just above 0.7000, holding above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. The 50-day EMA near 0.7012 has capped extension, keeping the recent high at 0.70207 as the pivot for this week's swing.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6985, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 0.70207 opens the path toward 0.7045
Loss of 0.7000 shifts the read back below the handle toward 0.69850
Friday UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could reprice USD and shift this read
AUDUSD rallied from sub-0.6920 early in the week to 0.7021 on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, but the move stalled at the 50-day EMA cap near 0.7012 and has coiled around the 0.7000 handle since. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-line as price drifts along EMA20, with two attempts above 0.7012 rejected this week. Structure is still constructive but the 0.7000-0.7012 zone is capping.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6985, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7021
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7012 opens scope toward 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.6985 exposes 0.6962
Friday UoM inflation expectations could shift the USD-driven read
AUDUSD rallied from sub-0.6920 early in the week to 0.7021 on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI and PPI prints, its first look above 0.7000 since mid-June. The push stalled at the 50-day EMA near 0.7012 and price has since coiled around 0.7000, flat against the H1 EMv20 with RSI easing back toward the midline. The 0.7020 high has capped, leaving a tight consolidation that has held the round number so far.
Support: 0.6985, 0.6962, 0.69144
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7012 reopens the path toward 0.70207 week high
Loss of 0.6985 near support exposes 0.6962 and confirms momentum fade
Aussie jobs report Jul 23 is the primary catalyst ahead
AUDUSD recovered from the ~0.6913 midweek low toward the 0.7000 handle after soft US CPI/PPI dragged the USD to multi-week lows; the dominant leg came during Tuesday's NY session. Price has stalled under the 0.7021 week high — two attempts capped this week — and is now consolidating just above the 0.7000 psych level with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. Higher lows remain intact above EMA20.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6949, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.70157
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7021 opens the path to extension of the recovery
Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the weekly open at 0.6949
AUDUSD ran from ~0.6913 into the 0.7020 week high on the soft US CPI/PPI misses, a USD-driven leg that stalled at the 50-day EMA cap near 0.7012. Since then price has coiled either side of 0.7000 with RSI(14) easing back to the mid-50s, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 but capped twice at 0.7012-0.7020. Prior high near 0.6995 is now acting as the base of the consolidation.
Support: 0.6995, 0.69683, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70207
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7020 week high opens path to extension
Failure to hold 0.6995 exposes the 0.69683 swing low
AUDUSD rallied off Tuesday's 0.6913 low through the NY session on soft US CPI/PPI weighing broadly on the Dollar, breaking the 0.7000 handle and peaking at 0.7021 before stalling. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.6990–0.7010 band, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling back toward the mid-50s. The 0.7015 ceiling has capped the advance, and this move is USD-driven rather than domestic AUD strength.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6944, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.70207 week high opens path to extension
Failure to hold 0.6990 range low signals loss of upside momentum
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD climbed off the 0.6913 low through the week on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI and PPI prints, tagging 0.7021 for the first time since mid-June before stalling. The 50-day EMA cap near 0.7015 rejected the push and price has consolidated around the 0.7000 handle into the NY session, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Holds above EMA20 keep the recovery structure intact while the rally lacks a domestic AUD catalyst.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6989, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7015 invalidates the 50d ema cap and reopens 0.7021+
Failure to hold 0.6989 swing low confirms a lower-low toward the 9d ema at 0.6962
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this USD-driven read
Higher-lows since Monday, consolidating below 0.7000.
AUDUSD has climbed off Monday's 0.6913 low to tag 0.7021 midweek, a USD-weakness move on the soft US CPI/PPI misses rather than domestic Aussie strength. Price stalled into the 0.7015-0.7021 cap and has since coiled either side of the 0.7000 psych pivot, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling near neutral. Range floor around 0.6988 has held the recent pullbacks.
Support: 0.6988, 0.6944, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7021
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7021 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 0.6988 range floor exposes 0.6944
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone and this read
AUDUSD ran from Monday's 0.6912 low through the 0.7000 handle on broad USD softness after this week's CPI and PPI misses, tagging 0.7021 before stalling. Price is now consolidating just under 0.7000 with RSI(14) cooling back toward the mid-50s and holding above EMA20. The 0.7015-0.7021 band, aligned with the 50-day cap, has rejected the last push and remains the ceiling.
Support: 0.6986, 0.6950, 0.6912
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7021
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7021 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 0.6986 range low reopens 0.6950
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
AUDUSD ran from ~0.6912 mid-week to a 0.7021 high on broad USD softness after the soft US CPI/PPI misses, then stalled and has been coiling around 0.7000 through the NY session. The 0.7015-0.7021 ceiling has capped every attempt, while pullbacks have held above the rising EMA20; RSI(14) is cycling mid-range with no fresh push. Price sits above both EMAs but the impulse has flattened into a tight range near the top.
Support: 0.6993, 0.6960, 0.6945
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7015
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7021 opens room to extend the USD-led move
Failure to hold 0.6993 exposes the EMA20 near 0.6960
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC today could shift the read materially
Consolidating below week high after breakout above 0.7000.
AUDUSD ran from ~0.6912 to 0.70207 this week on broad USD softness after the CPI and PPI misses, before stalling at the week high and drifting back to the 0.7000 psych line. Price has spent the last NY-into-Asia sessions coiling in a 0.6989-0.7020 band, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cooling into the low-50s. Two probes at 0.7021 have been capped, keeping the range top intact.
Support: 0.69897, 0.69688, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70207 week high reopens the breakout path
Loss of the 0.69897 session low exposes the 0.69688 swing low then 0.6930 pivot
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
Higher highs since Tuesday low, now consolidating below 0.7021.
AUDUSD ground higher off Tuesday's 0.6913 low and impulsed through the NY session on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, tagging 0.7021 for the first time since mid-June. Price has since lost momentum, coiling in a tight 0.6986–0.7008 range with the 0.7000 psych handle and 0.7015 major resistance capping the advance. RSI(14) has flattened near 48 and price has slipped back to the EMA20, reflecting the stall.
Support: 0.6986, 0.6945, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.7021
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7021 opens the path above the week high
Failure to hold 0.6986 swing low confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.6945
AUDUSD ground higher through the week on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, with the decisive leg firing during NY hours on Tuesday to tag a week high at 0.70207. Price has since coiled into a tight consolidation around the 0.7000 handle, hugging EMA20 while 0.7015/0.7021 caps repeated attempts. RSI(14) has cooled back near the midline as momentum flattens beneath resistance.
Support: 0.6986, 0.6999, 0.69405
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7015 opens the path back to the 0.70207 week high
Failure to hold 0.6986 swing low breaks the rising sequence
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into resistance, now consolidating below 0.7015.
AUDUSD ground higher all week on broad USD weakness after the soft US CPI/PPI misses, tagging 0.70207 before stalling near the 0.7000 handle. Price is now pinned between the 0.7015 major resistance and the round 0.7000 psych level, with RSI(14) rolling back toward the midline as momentum cools. The advance has held above EMA20 since the mid-week impulse off 0.6913, but repeated failure to clear 0.7015 shows supply capping the top.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6983, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7015 opens the path back to 0.70207 week high
Loss of the 0.7000 psych level exposes 0.69830 swing low
Higher highs into 0.7021, now consolidating under 0.7015.
AUDUSD ground higher through the week on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI and PPI, tagging 0.7021 for the first time since mid-June before stalling. Price is now consolidating around the 0.7000 handle, hugging the H1 EMA20 with RSI back near neutral after the impulse. The 0.7015 major resistance and 0.7021 week high have capped the advance, while pullbacks have held above 0.6976.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6976, 0.6940
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7015/0.7021 confirms continuation of the week's uptrend
Repeated failure to hold 0.7000 signals stalling momentum toward 0.6976
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC today could materially shift this read
Higher highs since Tuesday, now consolidating below week high.
AUDUSD ground higher through the week off the 0.6912 swing low, driven almost entirely by broad USD weakness after the soft US CPI and PPI misses; the breakout bar into Tuesday's NY session carried price from the 0.6940s to a 0.70207 week high. The move has stalled just under the 0.7015 UOB barrier and the 0.7000 psych level, with price now oscillating around EMA20 and RSI cooling back to the low-50s. The 0.6980–0.7000 pocket is holding as near-term support.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6940, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.7002, 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC today could materially shift the USD-driven read
H1 close above 0.70150 opens the path back to the 0.70207 week high
Failure to hold 0.69800 exposes the 0.69400 prior range
AUD/USD ran from ~0.6910 midweek to a 0.7021 high on the soft US CPI/PPI-driven dollar leg, then stalled and is now consolidating around the 0.7000 round number. Price is sitting on EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling back to the mid-50s after the impulse, and the 0.7015 UOB pivot has capped the last two pushes. Higher-lows off this week's base still hold, keeping the structure constructive but the move is USD-led, not Aussie strength.
Support: 0.6988, 0.6944, 0.6910
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.7021
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7015 opens the path to the 0.7021 week high and beyond
Loss of 0.6988 session low would break this week's rising-lows structure
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift the dollar side driving this pair
AUDUSD has climbed off Monday's ~0.6913 base toward 0.7000 this week, the leg driven by broad USD softness after back-to-back CPI and PPI misses. The push into the NY session two days ago spiked to 0.70207 but 0.7015 has since capped, and price is now consolidating around the 0.7000 psych pivot with RSI easing back near 53. EMA(20) sits right under price at ~0.6998, so pullbacks are still finding it.
Support: 0.6998, 0.6972, 0.69405
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7015 opens the path toward the 0.70207 week high
Loss of 0.6972 swing low breaks the week's higher-low structure
Higher highs into week high, consolidating below cap.
AUDUSD rallied from the ~0.6912 weekly low toward 0.7020 this week, a USD-led move after soft US CPI and PPI trimmed Fed tightening bets. Price stalled at 0.7020 and has drifted back to pivot around the 0.7000 psych level with RSI cooling to the low-50s, holding above EMA(20). The 0.7015/0.7020 zone has capped the advance and remains the level to watch for rejection or a break.
Support: 0.69888, 0.69725, 0.69448
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7015, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7020 opens continuation of the USD-led rally
Failure to hold 0.6989 exposes 0.6972 and the rising support line
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC today could materially shift this read
AUDUSD based near 0.6913 mid-week and rallied through the 0.6975 prior high as soft US CPI then PPI pressured the dollar, tagging a 0.70207 week high before stalling. Price is now consolidating around the 0.7000 psych pivot with the 0.70157 major cap holding two attempts. RSI(14) has cooled off its highs into the mid-50s while price holds above EMA20.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6975, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70157 major cap opens path toward 0.70207 week high and beyond
Failure to hold 0.7000 psych then 0.69750 prior high signals a deeper pullback
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs/lows, consolidating under 0.7015 cap.
AUD/USD ground higher through the week, accelerating during the NY session as soft US CPI then PPI pressured the dollar, lifting price off the 0.6913 low toward 0.7000. The rally stalled at 0.70207 with the 0.7015 area capping upside, and price is now consolidating around the 0.7000 psych level while holding above EMA(20). RSI(14) has eased from overbought toward 58 as momentum flattens near the highs.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6985, 0.6940
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 0.7015 opens the path toward fresh highs
AUDUSD rallied off the mid-week 0.6913 low on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI and PPI, tagging 0.70207 before stalling below UOB's 0.7015. Pullbacks have held above the rising EMA(20) through the run, and the pair now hovers at the 0.7000 psych pivot with RSI(14) cooling back to the mid-50s. Supply capped two pushes into 0.7015-0.7020, keeping that band the near-term ceiling.
Support: 0.6985, 0.6969, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7015 opens path beyond the 0.7000 pivot
Failure to hold 0.6985 ema20 exposes 0.6969 swing
US Retail Sales cluster (Thu 12:30 UTC) could shift the USD-driven read
Higher highs since Tuesday's low, pulling back from week high.
AUDUSD ran from Tuesday's 0.6913 low to a 0.70207 week high during the NY session, the leg powered by broad USD weakness after soft US CPI and PPI. Price has since eased back to the 0.7000 psych pivot, slipping just under EMA(20) as RSI(14) cools toward the midline. The 0.7015 UOB resistance capped the advance and the week high remains untested since.
Support: 0.6975, 0.69595, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6975 opens the path back toward the 0.69595 weekly open
Hourly close above 0.7015 would extend the USD-unwind leg past the week high
Failure to reclaim 0.7000 keeps the pullback structure intact
AUDUSD ran a clean uptrend into the NY session, lifting off 0.6912 toward a 0.7021 week high on broad USD softening after the cool US CPI and soft PPI prints. Price has since faded back to 0.6991, printing rejection at the 0.7015–0.7021 cap and slipping back under EMA(20), though it holds well above EMA(50). RSI(14) has cooled toward neutral as the advance loses pace.
Support: 0.6988, 0.6943, 0.6912
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7021
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7015 opens the path to a range shift higher
Failure to hold 0.6988 exposes 0.6943 swing low
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could materially shift the USD-led read
AUDUSD ran from the mid-week 0.6913 low to a 0.7021 week high as soft US CPI then PPI pressured the USD broadly. Price stalled and rejected the 0.7015-0.7021 cap during the last NY session and has since faded back to the 0.6990 handle, slipping under EMA20 while holding well above EMA50. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought toward the mid-line as the pullback matures.
Support: 0.6989, 0.6970, 0.6940
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7021
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7015 opens the path back to the 0.7021 week high
Failure to hold 0.6970 prior range breaks the week's higher-low structure
Move driven by USD data — further US inflation follow-through could shift this read
AUDUSD extended a second day of gains toward 0.7000, the leg powered by soft US CPI and PPI misses weighing on the dollar through this week. The 0.7015-0.7021 zone has capped the move, with a rejection off the 0.7021 week high dragging price back to 0.6998, though price is holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. Higher lows off the 0.6912 base remain intact.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6929, 0.6912
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7021
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7015 opens the path toward further upside as flagged by the digest
Failure to hold 0.6975 (EMA20) would break the this-week higher-low sequence
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and AU inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 0.7021, consolidating below 0.7000.
AUDUSD has trended higher all week, with soft US CPI and a hard PPI miss driving USD weakness that lifted the Aussie off the 0.6913 low to a 0.70207 week high in the NY session yesterday. Price is now consolidating just below 0.7000 after the 0.70207 print was rejected, with RSI(14) cooling from overbought into the mid-50s. EMA(20) has capped pullbacks all week and sits just beneath price around 0.6990.
Support: 0.69929, 0.69669, 0.69283
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7015
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7015 psych level opens the path back to the 0.70207 week high and beyond
Failure to hold the 0.69669 breakout base reasserts the prior 0.6890-0.6975 range
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and AU Consumer Inflation Expectations could shift this read
AUDUSD extended a second day of gains toward 0.7000+ after soft US CPI and a broad PPI miss kept the dollar heavy, clearing the mid-week base and printing a fresh week high at 0.70207. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s, and pullbacks into the NY session have found demand near 0.6989. The 0.7015 UOB pivot has capped the latest push, with the tape stalling into the quiet Asia session.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6989, 0.6975
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
H1 close and hold above 0.7015 opens the path toward the 0.70207 week high and beyond
Failure to hold 0.6990 (ema20) would break the run of higher lows
AU Consumer Inflation Expectations at 01:00 UTC (~1h) and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD has trended higher since Tuesday, with a step-up through the NY session powered by the soft US CPI and follow-through PPI misses weighing on the dollar. Price cleared the 0.70 handle and printed a week high at 0.7021, but the 0.7015 major resistance has capped extension and the pair is now consolidating in a tight 0.6993–0.7008 band. RSI(14) sits mid-60s and pullbacks have held above the rising EMA20.
Support: 0.6993, 0.6975, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7021
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7015 opens the path toward and beyond the 0.7021 week high
Loss of 0.6993 session low would break the run of higher lows
AU Consumer Inflation Expectations (~01:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales could shift this read