AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 18 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Drifting, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.70131
Tight consolidation after recovery off 0.7000.
Late Asia hours: AUDUSD coiling in a 0.7013–0.7017 range on thin volume after recovering from the 0.7000 swing low earlier in the session. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and price sits just under EMA20/50, leaving the recovery off 0.7000 stalled below the 0.7037 swing high.
Support: 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70174, 0.7037
What it said to watch
Repeated sub-0.7000 breaks would resume the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.7037 swing high needed to extend the recovery
Loss of the 0.7013–0.7017 range top/floor sets the next directional leg
23:47 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 44 · price 0.70131
Tight range after sweep of 0.7000.
AUDUSD swept the 0.7000 round number during the London-NY drop and was bought back to 0.7037, but has since drifted into a tight Asian-session range around 0.7013 on thin volume. RSI(14) neutral near 44 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 0.70096, 0.70006
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7037
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70006 reopens the path lower toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.70203 then 0.70370 needed to neutralise the downside drift
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (24 Jun 01:30 UTC) is the key swing catalyst for this pair
23:32 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.70164
Tight consolidation after recovery off lows.
AUDUSD has gone flat in late Asia hours, consolidating 0.7013-0.7020 on thinning volume after recovering from a sub-0.7010 dip. The 0.7020 range top is capping while 0.7000 psych held earlier; broader move stayed corrective below the 0.7037 swing high.
Support: 0.70073, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7037
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70203 range top reopens the 0.7037 swing high
Loss of 0.70073 swing low puts 0.7000 psych back in play
Australia CPI 24 Jun is the next swing catalyst, outside this window
23:32 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 0.70164
Tight Asian-range consolidation after NY fade.
AUDUSD has coiled into a tight Asian-range around 0.7015 after NY faded the 0.7037 swing high back toward the 0.7000 pivot. ATR is compressed to a few pips and RSI sits neutral near 50 — no setup in play, price pinned between 0.70096 and 0.70180.
Support: 0.70096, 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.7037
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70180 reopens the 0.7037 swing high
Loss of 0.70096 puts the 0.7000 psych pivot back in play
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (24 Jun) is the next swing catalyst
Tight consolidation after slide from session high.
AUDUSD is coiling in a thin 0.7013–0.7017 Asia-session range after the earlier slide from the 0.70412 session high down to 0.7000, where demand stepped in. Volume has collapsed and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52; no setup in play while price holds above EMA20 but under EMA50.
Support: 0.70096, 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7035, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70096 reopens the 0.7000 psych pivot and session low
M15 close above 0.70203 would break the consolidation toward 0.70350
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (24 Jun) is the next swing event for this pair
23:17 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.70167
Ranging between 0.7000 and 0.7040, coiling in quiet Asia hours.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000-0.7040 after a mid-window flush to the 0.70006 psych low was bought back toward the 0.70370 swing high. Price has since drifted to 0.70167 and is coiling on thin Asia-session volume, RSI neutral near 51.
Support: 0.70046, 0.70006
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 psych opens the deeper pullback toward 0.6890
Reclaim of the 0.70370 swing high would re-test the 0.70412 session high
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI 24 Jun is the next swing event for this pair
23:02 UTC
Range, no momentum · RSI 52 · price 0.70166
Consolidation after recovery off lows.
Asian session is grinding sideways in a tight 0.7013-0.7017 band on thin volume, holding above the swing low at 0.70073. The earlier NY leg swept down to 0.70006 then recovered, leaving price coiled mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.70073, 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.70253
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70073 reopens the 0.7000 psych handle and session low
Break above 0.70203 prior high needed to revive the recovery
Liquidity returns at London open; current ATR reflects dead Asian range
23:02 UTC
Down then recovered, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.70166
Tight Asian range after post-FOMC drop and bounce.
The post-FOMC slide dragged AUDUSD from ~0.7041 to a sub-0.7001 spike low before a recovery back to 0.7035 on the US-Iran de-risking bid. Price has since drifted into a tight 0.7013-0.7017 Asian range on thin volume, sitting near the 38.2% retrace of the down-move with RSI neutral.
Support: 0.70096, 0.70006
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.70355
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70203 reopens the 0.70355 session high
Break of 0.70006 / 0.7000 confirms a lower low
Thin Asian volume; range likely holds until London brings flow
22:47 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.70143
Mid-range coil after pullback from swing high.
Asia session drifting in a tight 0.7013–0.7015 coil on thin volume after the pullback from the 0.7037 swing high. The wider window ranged 0.7000–0.7041; the session low at 0.70006 held and price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70185, 0.7037
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.70185 recent high reopens the 0.7037 swing high
Break below the 0.7000 psych handle exposes the session low at 0.70006
AU CPI on 24 Jun is the next domestic catalyst that could break this range
22:47 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.70143
Consolidation after NY recovery off sub-0.7000 spike.
NY sold the session high at 0.70412 down to a sub-0.7000 spike (0.70006) before buyers reclaimed toward 0.7035. Asia hours since coiled into a tight low-volume range around 0.7013-0.7015, RSI(14) flat near 46 and price pinned to EMA20.
Support: 0.70073, 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7035, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70203 reopens the path to the 0.70350 prior high
Loss of 0.70073 puts the 0.7000 psych handle back in play
22:32 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.70148
Intraday range, mid-range drift after rejection at 0.7037.
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.7000 handle earlier and recovered to 0.7037 before rolling back into the mid-range, now sitting near the 0.618 retrace of that move around 0.70148. Late NY-into-Asia volume has dried up — price coiling between 0.7007 and 0.7020, no setup in play.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70205, 0.7037
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.7007 reopens the 0.7000 psych handle
M15 close back above 0.70205 reasserts the upper range toward 0.7037
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst ahead
22:32 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.70148
Consolidation after pullback from 0.7037.
Thin late-NY/early-Asia tape with AUDUSD coiling in a 0.7007-0.7020 range after fading the 0.7037 swing high. Price is parked near the 0.618 retracement around 0.70148, RSI flat near 47 and volume drying up.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70205, 0.7037
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70205 reopens the 0.7037 swing high
Loss of 0.70070 swing low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
AUD CPI (24 Jun 01:30 UTC) is the key domestic catalyst and can break this range
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7010-0.7018 in thin early-Asia trade after sliding off the 0.7037 swing high through the NY session. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price pinned just under EMA20; no setup in play while 0.7000-0.7018 holds.
Support: 0.70096, 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70185, 0.7037
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 psych opens the 0.6890 region flagged downside
Close above 0.70185 range top reopens the 0.7037 swing high
AUD CPI on 24 Jun is the next domestic catalyst, can reset this read
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7007-0.7037 after recovering from the sub-0.7000 spike low; price has slipped back to the 0.618 retracement near 0.70145 and is drifting at the lower end on thin Asia-hours volume. RSI(14) neutral near 46, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 0.70073, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7037
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70000 psych handle confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.70203 swing high needed to retest the 0.70370 session high
AUD CPI on 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst into the range
AUDUSD ranging 0.7000-0.7040 after a sub-0.7000 spike low at 0.70006 was bought back to 0.7037; price now drifts near 0.7015 in a thin late-NY/Asia-transition tape with RSI(14) mid-40s. No setup in play — the 0.7000 handle and 0.7035 session high frame the range.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens path toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.70350 reopens the range top
Australia CPI 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst that could break this range
22:02 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower into Asia open · RSI 45 · price 0.70148
Range-bound 0.7010–0.7018 after recovery off 0.7000.
AUDUSD bounced from a sub-0.7000 spike low to 0.70370 during the NY session, then faded back into a tight 0.7010–0.7018 range as liquidity thinned into the Asia open. Volume has collapsed on the last few bars; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45 with price pinned just under EMA20.
Support: 0.7000, 0.70046
Resistance: 0.70185, 0.70253, 0.7037
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70000 reopens the downside toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.70253 puts the 0.70370 session high back in play
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst that can break this range
21:47 UTC
Range, drifting lower late · RSI 44 · price 0.70133
Consolidating below intraday recovery high.
AUDUSD recovered from the sub-0.7001 spike low to 0.7037 before fading back into the 0.7010-0.7020 zone; thin-volume Asia session bars now drifting just under EMA20. Price sits in the deeper half of that recovery, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum either way.
Support: 0.70073, 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7030, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70073 reopens the 0.7000 handle and spike low
Reclaim of 0.70203 would re-engage the 0.7030 area
Australia CPI 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst for the next session
AUDUSD chopping inside 0.7000-0.7041 for the last 24h; the bounce off the 0.7000 swing low stalled at 0.7037 and price has drifted back to 0.7013 on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with no extreme; structure remains a range, not a trend.
Support: 0.7007, 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70185, 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
A close below 0.7000 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.6890
Reclaiming 0.7037 needed to re-test the 0.7041 session high
AUD CPI (24 Jun) is the next domestic catalyst that could break this range
AUDUSD ranged 0.7000–0.7041 through the session; after the recovery to 0.7037 buyers faded and price drifted back to 0.7013 on thinning late-NY volume. RSI(14) mid-range, price below both EMAs, no setup in play.
Support: 0.70073, 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.7000 range low opens path toward 0.6890
M15 close above 0.7020 pivot needed to re-engage the 0.7037 swing high
Australian CPI on 24 Jun is the next domestic catalyst for this pair
21:32 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.70129
Consolidation between 0.7000 and 0.7037.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000-0.7037 after the post-FOMC sub-0.7000 spike low was bought back; price recovered to 0.7037 then faded, now drifting near 0.7013 below EMA20/50 into late NY/early Asia on thinning volume. Rejection at 0.7035 capped the bounce, RSI(14) middling near 45.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70185, 0.7026, 0.7037
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 reopens the path toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.70185 pivot would re-engage the upper range
Australian CPI on 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst beyond this window
21:17 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 50 · price 0.70165
Consolidation above 0.7000 after recovery off session low.
AUDUSD is chopping in a tight 0.7007–0.70185 range through the Asia session after recovering off the 0.70006 session low; volume thins into late hours. The earlier dip held the 0.7000 psych handle and the bounce stalled below 0.7037, leaving RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 0.7007, 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70185, 0.7025, 0.7037
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70185 range top opens 0.7025 and the 0.7037 session high
Loss of 0.7007 swing low re-exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the next domestic catalyst for a range break
21:17 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 51 · price 0.70165
Consolidation between 0.7007 and 0.7019.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7007–0.7019 into the NY close after fading from the 0.7037 session high; the broadly softer USD on US-Iran de-risking has kept the pair off its sub-0.7000 spike low. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 and volume has thinned, no setup in play.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7019, 0.7037
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7019 reopens the path to the 0.7037 prior high
Loss of 0.7007 swing low puts the 0.7000 psych handle back in play
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst ahead
21:03 UTC
Range, mild drift lower · RSI 46 · price 0.7013
Ranging below intraday highs.
AUD/USD has ranged 0.7000–0.7040 through the US session, consolidating post-FOMC gains in the dollar. Price slipped back below EMA20 to 0.7013 after a rejection at 0.7035; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with the 0.7000 psych level holding so far.
Support: 0.7000, 0.70073
Resistance: 0.70183, 0.7035, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Close below 0.7000 psych opens the 0.6890 downside objective
Reclaim of 0.7035 needed to retest the 0.70412 range high
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst ahead
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000-0.7037 after twice rejecting the psychological 0.7000 handle, the same battleground SocGen flags. Price is drifting back to 0.7013 below EMA20 into the late-session lull, RSI(14) sub-45, with lower highs capping below 0.70234.
Support: 0.7000, 0.70006
Resistance: 0.70234, 0.7037
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 confirms a lower-low toward SocGen 0.6890 objective
Reclaim of 0.7037 needed to break the lower-high sequence
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst that could reset this range
20:47 UTC
Range, drifting lower into late NY · RSI 46 · price 0.70142
Ranging 0.7000-0.7041, pullback off swing high.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000-0.7041; price rejected the 0.7037 session high and has drifted back to 0.70142, sitting below EMA20/EMA50. RSI(14) near 46, no momentum extreme; the 0.7018 pivot caps and the 0.7007/0.7000 base has held repeatedly.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the path toward downside objectives near 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.70180 pivot reopens 0.7037 session high
20:47 UTC
Rangebound, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 0.70142
Ranging mid-range after pullback from 0.7041.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000–0.7041 across the session, currently mid-range at 0.7014 below EMA20/50 after the bounce off the 0.7037 swing high faded. RSI(14) neutral near 46; price chopped back from the 0.7007 session low with no setup in play.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7007 opens the 0.7000 psych handle
Reclaim of 0.7020 puts the 0.7037 swing high back in play
Australia CPI (24 Jun) is the key domestic catalyst that can break this range
20:32 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 0.7018
Ranging 0.7000-0.7041, mid-range.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000-0.7041 after the post-FOMC washout; price spiked to a 0.70006 low mid-window then recovered to 0.7018, sitting mid-range late in the NY session. RSI(14) neutral near 52, no setup in play with lower-tier liquidity into the Asia handover.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 reopens the downside toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.7035 puts the 0.7041 session high back in play
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst beyond this window
20:32 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 0.7018
Consolidating between 0.7000 and 0.7040.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000-0.7040 after a sub-0.7000 spike low was bought back through the London-NY session, helped by a softer USD as the 11-week DXY high faded on US-Iran de-risking. Price now sits mid-range near 0.7018 with RSI flat around 51; the 0.7024 pivot capping, demand showing near 0.7007.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6890 area
Reclaim of 0.7041 session high needed to extend the range top
Australian CPI on 24 Jun is the key catalyst and could reset this range
20:17 UTC
Rangebound, two-way chop · RSI 49 · price 0.70173
Ranging 0.7000–0.7041, mid-range.
AUDUSD is chopping mid-range around 0.7017 after the post-FOMC dip to 0.7000 was bought back; price has cycled between the 0.7000 psych floor and a 0.7041 session high during NY hours. Lower highs at 0.7041 then 0.7037 keep a soft cap overhead, RSI(14) flat near 49 with no momentum edge.
Support: 0.70073, 0.70006
Resistance: 0.70253, 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.7000 psych opens 0.6890 region per the wider read
M15 close above 0.70370 negates the lower-high sequence
AUD CPI on 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst ahead
20:17 UTC
Range, mild drift lower · RSI 47 · price 0.70173
Consolidating 0.7000–0.7037 after post-FOMC bounce.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000–0.7037 through the NY-Asia transition, recovering to 0.7017 after a dip toward the session low. The pair stalled at 0.70370 earlier and is now hovering around its EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 47 — no setup in play.
Support: 0.7007, 0.70006
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70370 reopens the 0.70412 session high
Loss of 0.70070 puts the 0.7000 psych handle back in play
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the next domestic catalyst
Late NY hours, AUDUSD ranging 0.7000-0.7041 after fading from the 0.7037 intraday high; price has slipped back to 0.7012 on a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) mid-range near 43, sitting below EMA20/50 — no momentum extreme, supportive of continued chop into the 0.7000 psych handle.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70234, 0.7037
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 confirms a lower low and opens 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.70234 swing high needed to negate the fade
Australia CPI 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst beyond this window
20:02 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 43 · price 0.70124
Range between 0.7000 and 0.7040.
AUDUSD has chopped between 0.7000 and 0.7040 through the London-NY sessions, bouncing off a sub-0.7000 spike low after the USD faded from 11-week highs on US-Iran de-risking. Price is now fading back into the lower half of the range near 0.7012 with RSI(14) around 43, having rejected the 0.7037 lower high.
Support: 0.70046, 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 reopens the range low at 0.70006
Reclaim of 0.7037 needed to retest the 0.70412 session high
No tier-1 AUD/USD events in the next 8h; range likely holds into Asia
19:47 UTC
Ranging, lower highs · RSI 44 · price 0.7015
Range 0.7000–0.7041, drifting lower within it.
AUDUSD consolidating ~0.7000–0.7041 after the post-FOMC whipsaw, with a chain of lower highs since the 0.7041 session high. NY-into-Asia drift dipped to 0.7007 before buyers nudged it back to 0.7015; price sits below EMA20/50, range top still respected.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7041 invalidates the range read
Break below 0.7000 opens path toward 0.6890
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the key catalyst for this pair
19:47 UTC
Range, fading from highs · RSI 44 · price 0.7015
Ranging 0.7000-0.7040, lower highs.
NY session pushed back to 0.7037 then faded to the 0.7000 handle, bouncing to 0.7015 where price now sits below EMA20. Net ranging 0.7000-0.7040 with a chain of lower highs capping rallies; RSI(14) mid-40s, no extreme.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.7037 negates the lower-high sequence
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst ahead
19:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, nearing support · RSI 40 · price 0.7010
Lower highs since 0.7037, drifting into 0.7000 handle.
AUDUSD faded through the NY session from the 0.7037 swing high, printing a chain of lower highs down to the 0.7000 psychological handle. RSI(14) near 40 with price below EMA20/50; the move fits the USD-firm, hawkish-Fed backdrop with no domestic catalyst until next week's Aussie CPI.
Support: 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.7037
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.7037 needed to negate the intraday lower-high chain
Australia CPI on 24 Jun could materially shift this read
19:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 41 · price 0.7010
Lower highs, pressing 0.7000 handle.
NY session faded the 0.7037 bounce and AUDUSD has rolled back to the 0.7000 handle, printing lower highs through the afternoon. Range frames 0.7000–0.7041; price now sits at the lower edge with RSI(14) around 41 and no domestic catalyst until next week's CPI.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69996
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Close below 0.7000 confirms a break of the 24h range floor
Reclaim of 0.7037 negates the intraday lower-high sequence
19:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, fading from session high · RSI 41 · price 0.70091
Lower highs since the 0.7037 peak, grinding toward 0.7000.
NY session faded the 0.7037 swing high and price has ground lower in a chain of lower highs, now pressing the 0.7000 psych handle. RSI(14) is sub-40 and price sits below both EMAs; ATR is thin at ~4.5 pips.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7025, 0.7037
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the path toward the 0.6890 area
Reclaim of 0.70250 would negate the lower-high decline
DXY direction and risk sentiment remain the external driver into Asia
19:17 UTC
Intraday rollover from highs · RSI 43 · price 0.70091
Lower highs since 0.7041 peak, drifting to 0.7000.
NY session faded the 0.70412 high and built a chain of lower highs, sliding back toward the 0.7000 handle with RSI(14) cooling near 42. Rejection at 0.70203 on the last attempt; price now testing the 0.7000 psych battleground flagged across the AUD context.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7030, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the path toward 0.6946 session low
Reclaim of 0.70203 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
Late NY session: price faded from the 0.7037 recovery high back to 0.7013, retracing nearly all of the bounce off the 0.7000 handle. Range 0.7000-0.7041 still intact, RSI(14) soft near 41 with price under both EMAs.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70234, 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the path toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.70234 minor pivot needed to re-target the 0.7037 recovery high
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst that could reset this range
19:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.70132
Rangebound 0.7000–0.7041, lower highs since peak.
AUDUSD is rangebound between 0.7000 and 0.7041 through the NY session, fading from the 0.7037 swing high back to 0.70132 with price below both EMAs. The bounce off sub-0.7000 earlier has stalled into a chain of lower highs; no setup in play.
Support: 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside objectives
Reclaim of 0.70203 needed to challenge the 0.7037 swing high
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the domestic catalyst that could break this range
18:47 UTC
Range, drifting lower late NY · RSI 47 · price 0.70186
Ranging 0.7000-0.7040, off session high.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000-0.7040 through the NY session, having faded the 0.70370 session high back toward the 0.70150 recent low cluster. Price sits just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range — no setup in play.
Support: 0.7015, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7025, 0.7037
What it said to watch
Close below 0.7000 psych opens path toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.70370 session high needed to re-test range top
Australian CPI (24 Jun) is the next domestic catalyst
18:47 UTC
Range, drifting lower late NY · RSI 45 · price 0.70186
Consolidation within 0.7000–0.7040.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000–0.7040 through the post-FOMC session, now drifting lower into late NY after rejection at the 0.70370 swing high. Price holds just above the 0.70150 intraday low with RSI(14) mid-range and price slipping under EMA20.
Support: 0.7015, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7025, 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70150 opens the 0.7000 psych handle
Reclaim of 0.70370 swing high needed to challenge 0.70412 session high
Australia CPI (24 Jun) is the next domestic catalyst
18:32 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.70164
Rangebound 0.7000-0.7040, fading off intraday high.
Late-NY drift: AUDUSD is rangebound between the 0.7000 psych handle and 0.7040, having bounced off the sub-0.7000 post-FOMC spike low earlier in the window. Price faded from the 0.70355 session high back to 0.70164 and now sits just under EMA20/50, RSI flat near 45 — no setup in play.
Support: 0.7011, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70355, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70355 reclaims session high and challenges 0.70412
Failure to hold 0.70000 opens the path toward 0.6890
Australia CPI 24 Jun is the next domestic catalyst but sits well beyond this window
18:32 UTC
Range, drifting to lower end · RSI 44 · price 0.70164
Consolidation between 0.7000 and 0.7037.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000–0.7037 through the NY session, easing toward the 0.7015 range floor with RSI(14) neutral near 44. Price slipped back under EMA20/50 after rejection at the 0.7037 session high, with no domestic catalyst until next week's CPI.
Support: 0.7015, 0.7000, 0.6995
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 psych opens the path toward 0.6950 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7037 session high needed to challenge the 0.7041 prior high
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves near the range floor
18:17 UTC
Rangebound, no directional bias · RSI 47 · price 0.70173
Consolidation between 0.7000 and 0.7040.
AUDUSD is grinding sideways in a 0.7000–0.7040 band through the NY session after the post-FOMC USD repricing, with no domestic catalyst until next week's CPI. Price faded from the 0.70370 session high back to mid-range at 0.70173, RSI(14) flat near 46.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70234, 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70000 psych opens the path toward the 0.69946 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70412 range top needed to extend higher
Thin liquidity into Asia session may keep range intact until next catalyst
NY session faded off the 0.70370 session high and slipped back to mid-range near 0.70173, RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s. Pair boxed between the 0.70000 psych handle and 0.70412, with AUD pinned and lacking a domestic catalyst ahead of next week's CPI.
Support: 0.70045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70000 opens the path toward the prior sub-0.7000 spike low
Reclaim of 0.70370 needed to re-engage the session high
AUD CPI on 24 Jun is the next domestic catalyst, range likely holds until then
AUDUSD is grinding sideways in a 0.7000-0.7040 band through the NY session after the post-FOMC USD surge, with the 0.7040 cap rejecting the latest push to 0.7037. Price has slipped back to 0.70164, holding the 61.8% retrace of the last intraday bounce while RSI sits mid-range.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7040
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the path toward 0.6890
Close above 0.7040 negates the range cap
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the key catalyst that could break this range
18:02 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 44 · price 0.70164
Consolidation between 0.7000 and 0.7040.
AUDUSD chopping inside 0.7000–0.7040 through the NY session, currently 0.70164 and drifting off the 0.7037 swing high. Bounce off sub-0.7000 spike low held earlier but momentum has stalled mid-range; price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 0.70046, 0.70006
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 psych handle opens the path lower
Reclaim of 0.7037 swing high needed to retest 0.70412 session high
AU CPI 24 Jun is the next domestic catalyst for this pair
17:47 UTC
Range, no clear momentum · RSI 47 · price 0.70196
Consolidating mid-range after intraday bounce.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000-0.7040 through late NY hours, holding the lower half after an intraday bounce off 0.7000 stalled at 0.70355. Price sits right on the 50% retrace of that swing with RSI(14) flat near 47 — no setup in play.
Support: 0.7014, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70355, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70355 reopens the 0.70412 session high
Loss of the 0.7000 psych handle confirms a lower-low
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the next domestic catalyst
17:47 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 48 · price 0.70196
Consolidation between 0.7000 and 0.7040.
AUDUSD is grinding sideways in the 0.7000-0.7040 band through the NY afternoon, settling near 0.7020 after a rejection at the 0.7037 session high. Price is consolidating post-FOMC with no domestic catalyst until next week's CPI; RSI(14) is flat near midline and ATR is compressed.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7000 psych handle opens the path toward 0.6890
M15 close above 0.7040 invalidates the range top read
Australia CPI on 24 Jun is the next domestic catalyst
17:32 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 0.70227
Consolidation inside 0.7000–0.7040 after early sweep of lows.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000–0.7040 through the NY session, RSI(14) flat near 52 with sub-7-pip ATR. Early in the window price swept the lows to 0.6994 then recovered; since then it has chopped sideways around the 0.7020 mid, no setup in play.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70355, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70412 invalidates the range top and opens 0.7050
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.6994 swing low
Australia CPI (24 Jun) is the next domestic catalyst, days out — not imminent
17:32 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 0.70227
Consolidation 0.7000-0.7040 after early flush.
AUDUSD flushed sub-0.7000 early in the window before clawing back, and has since chopped between 0.7000 and 0.7040 through the NY session, sitting mid-range at 0.7023. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 — no momentum edge as the pair drifts post-FOMC with no domestic catalyst until next week's CPI.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 psych reopens the downside toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.7040 swing high needed to break the range top
AUDUSD is grinding in a 0.7000–0.7040 range after the post-FOMC slide stabilised; price clawed back off the sub-0.7000 spike low as a softer USD and US-Iran de-risking lifted risk appetite. Current bar sits mid-range at 0.7023 with RSI near 54 — no directional extension in play.
Support: 0.7015, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.70412, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7040 puts the 0.7050 pivot back in focus
Range read holds while price stays between 0.7000 and 0.7040
17:17 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 0.70235
Consolidation after FOMC drop.
AUDUSD is consolidating in the 0.7000-0.7040 band through the NY session, holding the post-FOMC recovery after the early sub-0.7000 spike low. Price bounced off 0.70149 and is back near the mid-range at 0.70235 with RSI flat around 49 — no setup in play.
Support: 0.70149, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70370 session high opens the path to the 0.7050 pivot
Failure to hold 0.70149 puts the 0.7000 psych handle back in play
Australia CPI (24 Jun) is the next domestic catalyst, not in this window
17:03 UTC
Ranging, lower highs into support · RSI 43 · price 0.70172
Range 0.7000-0.7040, pressing toward range low.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000-0.7040 in the NY session, with a chain of lower highs from 0.7037 dragging price back toward the 0.7000 psych handle as the post-FOMC hawkish USD bid persists. RSI(14) near 43 reflects soft, two-way drift; no setup in play.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Close below 0.7000 psych opens path toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.7037 recent high needed to break the lower-high sequence
AU CPI 24 Jun is the next domestic catalyst, outside this window
17:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower into NY · RSI 43 · price 0.70172
0.7000-0.7040 range after FOMC drop.
AUDUSD recovered off the post-FOMC sub-0.7000 spike and has since ranged 0.7000-0.7040. NY hours rejected the 0.7037 session high and price is drifting back toward the mid-range at 0.7017, holding below EMA20.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.7000 psych opens the post-FOMC swing low at 0.69946
M15 close above 0.7037 session high re-engages the 0.7050 pivot
Asia CPI risk (24 Jun 01:30 UTC) is the next domestic catalyst
Consolidation between 0.7000 and 0.7040 after early flush.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000–0.7040 through the NY session after the early flush toward 0.6995; price has rolled back to mid-range at 0.70188 with USD firm post-hawkish Fed. Recent bounce off 0.7000 to 0.7035 has stalled, with price slipping back below EMA20 as RSI(14) sits mid-40s.
Support: 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.7040 needed to break the range top
16:47 UTC
Range, drifting lower off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.70188
Ranging 0.7000-0.7037 after sub-0.7000 spike recovery.
AUDUSD recovered from a sub-0.7000 spike and has ranged 0.7000-0.7037 through the session; NY hours saw rejection at the 0.7037 session high and price is now drifting back toward range lows near 0.7015. RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 0.70149, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 psych handle confirms a lower low
Close above 0.7037 session high reopens the 0.7050 pivot
16:32 UTC
Range-bound after sharp drop · RSI 47 · price 0.70201
Ranging 0.7000-0.7040, mid-range.
AUDUSD sold off from 0.7072 to sub-0.7000 during yesterday's hawkish-Fed reaction, then clawed back into a 0.7000-0.7040 range. Price is mid-range at 0.7020 with RSI(14) flat near 47; the last few bars have eased back off 0.7037, range top still capping.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 confirms a lower low, opening 0.6890
AUDUSD has ranged 0.7000-0.7040 through NY hours since the post-Fed flush to 0.6995, now drifting back toward the range low at 0.7020 after a rejection at 0.7037. RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum either way; price below both EMAs as the lower half of the range is tested.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 psych handle exposes the 0.6995 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7037 range high needed to challenge the 0.7050 pivot
16:17 UTC
Range-bound after hawkish-Fed dip · RSI 44 · price 0.70176
Ranging, drifting toward range lows.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000–0.7040 through the NY session after the hawkish-Fed dip that swept the pair from 0.7075 down to 0.6995. Recent bars drift back toward the range floor with RSI(14) mid-zone; range top capped twice near 0.7040.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 round number opens the session low at 0.69946
Reclaim of 0.7040 range top would shift the intraday read higher
AU PMIs (Mon) and high-impact AU CPI (Wed) are the next data risks
16:17 UTC
Rangebound, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 0.70176
Range between 0.7000 and 0.7037.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7000-0.7037 through the NY session after the post-Fed flush early in the window. Price bounced off the 0.7000 handle to 0.7037 then faded back to 0.70176, RSI(14) flat near 46 with no momentum edge.
Support: 0.7000, 0.70006
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 round number opens the path to an undershoot
Reclaim of 0.7037 session high needed to break the range top
USD S&P Global PMIs Tue could shift the USD leg of this range
Choppy two-way session, ranging 0.7000-0.7040 after the earlier washout to 0.6995. Price bounced off the 0.7000 handle, pushed to 0.7037 and was rejected, fading back to 0.7020 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s and no momentum. A firm USD post-hawkish Fed is capping bounces while the round-number 0.7000 holds below.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the path toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.7037 needed to challenge the 0.7050 pivot
AUDUSD has consolidated 0.7000-0.7040 through the NY session after the hawkish-Fed dip from 0.7075 toward 0.6995 earlier in the window. Price now sits mid-range at 0.70196 with RSI(14) neutral near 45; the 0.7000 floor has held repeatedly while supply caps near the 0.7037 session high.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the path toward the 0.69946 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7040 needed to challenge the 0.7050 pivot
15:47 UTC
Ranging after early selloff · RSI 47 · price 0.7022
Range 0.7000-0.7040, mid-range pullback.
AUDUSD sold off sharply early in the window from 0.7075 to 0.6995, then settled into a 0.7000-0.7040 range. The bounce off the 0.7000 psych level stalled at the 0.7037 session high; price has since faded back to 0.7022 with RSI flat near 47.
Support: 0.7000, 0.70006
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the 0.6890 downside path (SocGen)
Reclaim of 0.7037 then 0.7050 weekly pivot needed to extend the bounce
Australian CPI Jun 24 01:30 UTC is the next high-impact driver
Choppy two-way trade between the 0.7000 handle and 0.7040 session high since the early sharp drop off 0.7075. Price bounced from 0.7001 to 0.7037 then faded back to 0.7022, RSI(14) neutral near 48 with no setup in play.
Support: 0.70006, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 handle opens 0.6989 toward SocGen downside
Reclaim of 0.70370 session high needed to extend the bounce
15:32 UTC
Ranging, basing off 0.7000 · RSI 54 · price 0.70276
Intraday range, recovery off session low.
AUDUSD based around the 0.7000 psych level through the European session and bounced to a 0.7037 session high into NY, RSI back to neutral near 54. Price has pulled back to 0.70276 and is holding inside the 0.7000–0.7040 range, no setup in play.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7041, 0.7056
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7037 needed to extend the bounce toward 0.7041/0.7056
Failure to hold 0.7000 confirms a lower low and opens downside
15:32 UTC
Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.70276
Basing above 0.7000, higher lows.
AUDUSD sold off through 0.7000 on yesterday's hawkish FOMC, bottoming near 0.6995, then recovered as the US-Iran detente eased the USD safe-haven bid. NY session now consolidating 0.7000-0.7037 with higher lows building off the round number; RSI(14) mid-range near 53.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7037 session high exposes 0.7041 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.7000 psych reopens the sub-0.6995 lows
A sharp sell-off mid-window dragged price from 0.7072 to a 0.6995 low, matching the post-FOMC AUD dip; a steady recovery since has price back near the 0.7037 session high. RSI(14) sits mid-50s and price holds above EMA20/50 on the bounce, with higher lows printing off the 0.7000 base.
Support: 0.7015, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70370 session high opens the 0.7050 pivot
Failure to hold 0.7000 psych reopens downside toward 0.6890
Loss of the rising higher-lows line flips the short-term recovery read
Higher lows since 0.7000, consolidating below 0.7037.
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.7000 round number twice during NY hours and ground back to 0.70273, RSI(14) neutral near 54 after the earlier post-FOMC flush toward 0.6995. Price is pinned below the 0.7037 recent high in a tightening range, building higher lows off the session low.
Support: 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7037 opens a retest of the 0.7050 weekly pivot
Loss of 0.7000 reopens the sub-0.6995 lows
S&P Global PMIs (Jun 23) the next catalyst that could shift this read
15:03 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum up · RSI 60 · price 0.70332
Base built at 0.7000, higher lows into NY.
AUDUSD based twice at the 0.7000 psych handle and ground higher through NY, tagging the 0.70370 session high as the US-Iran detente eased the post-FOMC USD bid. Chain of higher lows intact, RSI(14) mid-range with room before overbought.
Support: 0.7015, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Break above 0.70370 session high opens the 0.70500 weekly pivot
Loss of 0.70150 intraday pivot puts the 0.7000 psych handle back in play
AUD CPI Jun 24 01:30 UTC is the next major catalyst
15:03 UTC
Recovery off 0.7000, higher lows building · RSI 61 · price 0.70332
Based at 0.7000 after sharp drop, chain of higher lows.
Aussie was hit for ~80 pips during the prior NY session, bottoming at 0.6995 before basing twice on the 0.7000 handle and carving higher lows back to 0.7035. Price is now stalling at the 50% retrace of that drop near 0.7035 with RSI(14) recovered to ~60; the 0.7040 swing high is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7040, 0.7056
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7040 extends the recovery toward the 0.7056 prior high
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the downside through the 0.6995 session low
Australian CPI (Jun 24) is the next major catalyst for this pair
AUDUSD sold off sharply early in the window from 0.7075 to a 0.6995 session low, then based and clawed back above 0.7000 as a softer USD and US-Iran risk-on tone supported high-beta AUD. Price now grinds at 0.70255 into 0.7030 pivot resistance; descending highs from 0.7060 still cap, RSI(14) mid-range near 57.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7041 negates the descending lower-highs structure
Loss of the 0.7000 round number reopens the 0.6995 session low
AUD/USD swept the 0.7000 handle twice and bounced, last 0.70255 after recovering off the session low — USD softness on the US-Iran de-escalation underpinning the bid. Price sits just under the 0.7030 session high with RSI(14) mid-range; holding above the 0.7000 psych level for now.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7030 opens path toward 0.7040
Loss of 0.7000 reopens the 0.6995 swing low
Australia CPI Jun 24 01:30 UTC is the next major catalyst
Price flushed from 0.7075 to 0.6995 mid-window then clawed back above 0.7000 as a weaker USD lifted high-beta AUD. Now ranging 0.7000–0.7040, with the 0.7000 handle holding twice and lower highs capping near 0.7030.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7040
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7040 breaks the range top
Failure to hold 0.7000 confirms a lower low toward 0.69946
14:31 UTC
Downtrend on window, basing off 0.7000 · RSI 54 · price 0.70215
Lower highs since 0.7075, recovery off 0.7000.
Sharp drop from 0.7075 into the London session bottomed near 0.6995, then chopped in a 0.7000–0.7040 range as the weaker USD steadied AUD. NY hours show a grind off the 0.7000 handle to 0.70215, capped by the 0.70284 session high; RSI(14) mid-range, ATR ~7 pips.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70284, 0.7040
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7040 negates the lower-highs structure
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.6995 swing low
14:16 UTC
Downtrend stabilising, recovery in play · RSI 53 · price 0.70182
Bounce off 0.7000, capped under recent pivots.
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.7000 psych low after the post-FOMC slide, NY session pressing back to the session high at 0.70253 before stalling. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53 with price holding above EMA20 but still capped under the 0.7036 prior pivot.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70253, 0.7036
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70253 session high opens the 0.7036 prior pivot
Loss of 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.69946 session low
Two dips into 0.7000 held — failure to hold confirms a lower low
Range above 0.7000 after earlier drop, recent higher low.
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session yesterday from 0.7075 to a low under 0.7000, then twice based around the 0.7000 handle as the US-Iran deal softened the USD. NY hours pushed a recovery to 0.7030 before fading back to 0.7018; price holding above EMA20 but capped under the 0.7030 recent high.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7040
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens 0.6890/0.6830
Reclaim of 0.7030 needed to extend the bounce toward 0.7040
AUD/USD based twice around the 0.7000 round number and recovered to 0.70249 into NY hours, partially unwinding the post-FOMC drop on a US-Iran risk-on bid weighing on USD. Range between 0.7000 and the 0.7040 prior high holds; RSI(14) mid-range near 58 after the bounce, with the 0.7030 session high the immediate barrier.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6995
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7040
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7040 opens the path back toward 0.7100
Loss of the 0.7000 round number reopens the downside toward 0.6890
AUD CPI (Jun 24) is the next major catalyst that could break this range
14:02 UTC
Recovering off 0.7000, near-term up · RSI 58 · price 0.70249
Range, bouncing from base.
AUDUSD clawed back toward 0.7025 from the 0.7000 handle through the NY session, helped by the risk-on tone from the US-Iran de-escalation that softened the post-FOMC dollar bid. Price sits at the 38.2% retrace of the earlier drop with RSI near 58; the 0.7000 floor held twice while 0.7030 caps the bounce.
Support: 0.7020, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70300 session high opens the path to 0.70412 prior high
Loss of the 0.7000 psych floor reopens 0.69946 session low
AU CPI (Jun 24 01:30 UTC) is the next major catalyst for this pair
13:46 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 58 · price 0.70242
Double bottom near 0.7000 after intraday slide.
AUDUSD slid through the European session from 0.7075 to a double-bottom near 0.7000, then buyers stepped in twice at the round number as risk-on US-Iran headlines softened the USD. NY hours have lifted price back to 0.7024, RSI recovering to the mid-50s with the 0.7040 swing high the immediate barrier.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7039, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close below 0.7000 negates the double bottom and exposes the 0.69946 session low
Reclaim of 0.7040 swing high would confirm the recovery extending
NY session: AUDUSD ground lower into the 0.7000 psych handle, with buyers stepping in twice around 0.70006 before a recovery toward 0.70227. The lift fits the risk-on tone from the US-Iran deal trimming the post-FOMC USD bid; RSI(14) recovering through the mid-50s.
Support: 0.70006, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7040
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the 0.6890/0.6830 zone
Reclaim of 0.7040 needed to neutralise the intraday downtrend
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed already released — surprises could reshape this read
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 58 · price 0.70227
Selloff then base near 0.7000, grinding higher.
AUDUSD slid through the window from 0.7075 to a session low under 0.7000 on the post-FOMC USD bid, then carved a rough double bottom around the 0.7000 psych level. NY session has lifted price back to 0.70227 above EMA20, RSI(14) near 58 and recovering; the 0.7035 swing high is the immediate barrier.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 reopens the session low at 0.69946
Reclaim of 0.7035 swing high needed to extend the bounce
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed already released — follow-through could shift USD tone
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off 0.7000 · RSI 53 · price 0.70174
Lower lows into 0.7000, near-term bounce.
Price slid through the prior NY session before basing twice near the 0.7000 psych handle and bouncing into the current NY hours, now at 0.70174 with RSI(14) back near neutral. The recent high at 0.70197 caps the recovery; broader structure still shows lower lows after the post-FOMC slide.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70197, 0.70335
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 reasserts the lower-low sequence toward 0.6890s
Reclaim of 0.70335 swing high needed to negate the downtrend read
AUDUSD sold off hard mid-window on the hawkish-Fed repricing, bottoming at 0.69946, then carved a range between 0.7000 and 0.7040. Price is grinding back up off a retest of the 0.7000 handle, RSI(14) recovering to mid-50s; 0.70197 is the immediate barrier capping the bounce.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70197, 0.70335
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 reopens the 0.69946 session low and downside
Reclaim of 0.70335 needed to negate the range-bound read
AUD CPI (Jun 24) is the next major catalyst, not imminent
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.7000 psych handle for a third time during NY hours, recovering to 0.7017 with RSI(14) lifting back above 50. The post-FOMC slide into sub-0.7000 lows has flattened into a base, but the 0.7020 session high is capping the rebound.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the 0.69946 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7035 prior pivot needed to clear the descending highs
AU Trimmed Mean CPI Jun 24 is the next major catalyst
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near 0.7000 · RSI 47 · price 0.7017
Lower highs into the round number, recent bounce.
AUDUSD slid through the NY session from 0.7075 to a session low near 0.6995, then chopped along the 0.7000 round number. A modest bounce to 0.70193 followed the US jobless claims/Philly Fed releases at 12:30 UTC, with RSI recovering off the lows toward neutral; lower highs still cap the move.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70193, 0.7032
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 round number reopens the 0.6890/0.6830 zone
Reclaim of 0.70320 swing high needed to break the lower-highs sequence
Hold of 0.6995 session low keeps the basing read intact
Price slid through the London session to test the 0.7000 psych handle, printing a 0.70006 low before buyers stepped in — the round number held twice, extending Wednesday's hawkish-Fed slide. Downtrend intact below the 0.7035-0.7036 lower-highs band; RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 45.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70193, 0.7036, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70360 needed to break the lower-highs structure
Failure to hold the 0.7000 psych handle opens the path toward 0.69946 session low
AU CPI 24 Jun is the key upcoming risk for AUD
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 0.70137
Lower highs, basing at 0.7000.
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing lower highs from 0.70412 down to a 0.70006 retest of the psych 0.7000 handle, RSI(14) basing near 43. The 0.7000 handle has held repeated tests while supply caps near the 0.70190 recent high; modest bounce to 0.70137 off the lows.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7019, 0.7039, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the undershoot toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.70190 recent high needed to challenge the lower-highs resistance
AU CPI 24 Jun is the key upcoming risk for this read
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off 0.7000 · RSI 49 · price 0.70145
Lower highs into 0.7000, double-bottom bounce.
AUDUSD ground lower through the window after the hawkish Fed slide, printing a chain of lower highs into repeated 0.7000 tests that held (lows 0.70006/0.70016). NY session now bouncing toward 0.70193 with US jobless claims/Philly Fed just released and US-Iran USD softness aiding; RSI(14) recovered to ~49 from oversold.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70193, 0.70335, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.7000 opens the BBH undershoot read
Close above 0.7050 pivot eases the lower-highs structure
AU Trimmed Mean CPI 24 Jun is the key domestic catalyst
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing near 0.7000 · RSI 44 · price 0.70145
Lower highs, repeated tests of 0.7000.
NY session grinding lower along a chain of lower highs after the London selloff that broke 0.7000 intraday on the hawkish-Fed driver. Price bounced off the 0.7000 handle to 0.70193 and sits at 0.70145, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70193, 0.70412, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the undershoot toward 0.6890
Reclaim of the 0.7050 pivot needed to negate lower-highs structure
AU CPI 24 Jun is the next major catalyst for this pair
AUDUSD ground lower through the session, lower highs from 0.7036 capping and repeated tests of the 0.7000 handle; last bar bounced off 0.70006 to 0.70123 with RSI(14) lifting off the low-40s. The pressure reflects the hawkish-Fed USD bid digesting against the US-Iran risk-on bounce.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70175, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens BBH undershoot toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.70175 needed to break the lower-high chain
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off 0.7000 · RSI 44 · price 0.70123
Lower highs / lower lows, sweep of 0.7000 handle.
AUDUSD ground lower through the London-NY session, sweeping the 0.7000 handle to 0.70006 before buyers stepped in; the last bar reclaimed 0.70123 with RSI(14) recovering off the low 40s. The USD leg is driving — a hawkish Fed kept the dollar bid while US-Iran de-escalation softens it at the margin, leaving price pinned below the 0.7050 pivot.
Support: 0.70006, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70186, 0.70412, 0.7050
What it said to watch
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg into the next bars
Failure to hold 0.7000 opens an undershoot toward the 0.6990s
Reclaim of 0.70186 needed to ease the intraday downtrend
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session, pressing the 0.7000 psych handle with RSI(14) near 33 but not yet stretched. Recovery to the 0.7040 area was sold into successive lower highs after Wednesday's hawkish-Fed slide, leaving price pinned below EMA20/50 just above the prior 0.69946 swing low.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70392
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 0.7000 opens the path toward 0.69946 and lower
Reclaim of 0.7015 then 0.7040 needed to break the lower-highs sequence
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, grinding into 0.7000 · RSI 34 · price 0.70025
Lower highs, lower lows since the 0.7040 bounce faded.
AUDUSD is drifting lower into the 0.7000 psych handle after the hawkish-Fed slide, printing lower highs since the 0.7040 pivot bounce faded. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 34 — pressured but not yet at an extreme.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.7040
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 0.7000 opens the path toward 0.69946 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7040 pivot needed to break the lower-highs structure
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg in the next bars
NY hours grinding lower in a descending channel, lower highs from 0.7039 down to the 0.7000 handle after Wednesday's hawkish-Fed slide. Price now sits at 0.70049, repeatedly probing the round number with RSI(14) holding in the upper-30s.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70175, 0.7039
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 0.7000 opens the undershoot toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.70175 swing high would break the lower-high chain
AU CPI 24 Jun is the key domestic risk that can reset this read
AUDUSD grinding lower through NY hours in a descending channel of lower highs, now pinned on the 0.7000 psych level after Wednesday's hawkish-Fed slide. RSI(14) near 37, not yet oversold; 0.69946 session low is the last marker before the handle gives way.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70186, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69946 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.70186 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg this hour
AUDUSD faded the bounce to ~0.7040 and is grinding back toward the 0.7000 handle, printing lower highs and lower lows through the NY session. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37 — soft but not yet stretched; the 0.69946 session low sits just below.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.70335
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 exposes the 0.69946 session low
Reclaim of 0.70180 needed to break the lower-highs chain
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
AUDUSD has rolled over from the 0.7040 recovery high and is grinding lower into the 0.7000 psych handle, with RSI(14) soft near 36 and price under both EMAs. The full retrace of the post-Fed bounce leaves the pair pressing the same 0.7000 area that capped Wednesday's hawkish-Fed slide.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.70412, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 0.7000 opens the swing low at 0.69946
Reclaim of 0.70180 micro high needed to ease the lower-highs structure
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
AUDUSD has bled lower through the NY session, printing a clean lower-high/lower-low chain back toward the 0.7000 round number as the Iran-deal risk-on bounce faded and USD firmed. The 0.70178 swing high capped the last attempt; RSI(14) near 33 with ATR around 6 pips.
Support: 0.70032, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70178, 0.70392
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 0.7000 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.70178 then 0.70392 needed to ease the downtrend read
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
AUDUSD has bled lower through the NY session, fading the bounce off 0.69946 and stalling at a string of lower highs from 0.7041. Price now sits on the 0.7000 handle after the hawkish-Fed-driven slide, with RSI(14) near 37 — soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 0.69946 opens the 0.7000 undershoot
Reclaim of 0.7018 needed to ease the lower-highs structure
US Initial Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could drive the USD leg
AUDUSD has ground lower through the London session, leaking back to the 0.7000 handle after the corrective bounce to 0.7041 stalled — consistent with the hawkish-Fed hangover capping AUD upside. Lower highs intact, RSI(14) near 34 and price below both EMAs; the 0.7000 psych level is the live area to monitor for absorption or a clean break.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70186, 0.70335, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69946 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the path lower
Reclaim of 0.70186 needed to break the chain of lower highs
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD is grinding lower in a clean lower-high/lower-low chain, pressing the 0.7000 psych handle after the hawkish-Fed USD bid drove the earlier NY-session drop. Sellers capped each bounce below 0.70180, with the move extending to 0.70046 before stalling just above the figure.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70000 opens the prior swing low at 0.69946
Reclaim of 0.70180 recent high would break the lower-high sequence
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Steady lower-high, lower-low grind through London hours from the 0.70412 session high down to the 0.7000 handle, with price pinned at 0.70074 and RSI(14) near 34. The slide extends the post-FOMC USD bid; the spike to 0.69946 earlier in the window remains the lone test below the round number.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70186, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 exposes the 0.69946 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70186 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 37 · price 0.70074
Lower highs into 0.7000 retest.
London session is grinding lower in a chain of lower highs, with the recovery off yesterday's NY drop fading and price now retesting the 0.7000 psych handle. USD firmness post-hawkish Fed keeps AUDUSD capped at 0.70178; RSI(14) sits soft near 37 but not yet at an extreme.
Support: 0.70046, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70178, 0.70348
What it said to watch
Sustained loss of 0.70000 psych opens deeper pullback toward 0.69946 session low
Reclaim of 0.70178 recent high needed to break the lower-high sequence
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 34 · price 0.70125
Grinding lower toward 0.7000 after earlier sweep recovered.
AUDUSD is grinding lower through the London-NY transition, printing lower highs off the 0.70412 session high back toward the 0.7000 psych level; the spike below it to 0.69946 yesterday recovered. Price holds under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 34 — cooling but not yet extreme. USD stays firm post-FOMC while AUD's bounce remains corrective.
Support: 0.70046, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70194, 0.7036, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.70046 session low opens a retest of the 0.69946 sweep low
Reclaim of 0.70194 recent high needed to break the lower-high chain
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD sold off sharply early in the window on the hawkish-Fed USD bid, hitting 0.69946 before a corrective bounce to 0.70412. London hours have since drifted lower in a lower-highs sequence, with price now retesting the 0.70046 session low; RSI in the mid-30s, no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 0.70046, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.70335, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70046 / 0.69946 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.70180 minor pivot needed to ease downward pressure
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 36 · price 0.70111
Lower highs, retesting session lows near 0.7000.
AUDUSD has faded back toward the 0.7000 round number, rejected from the 0.70340 swing high after the sharp NY-session drop from 0.7075. RSI(14) sits near 36 with price below EMA20/50; the 0.69946 session low is the line in the sand.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70000 opens a retest of the 0.69946 session low
Reclaim of 0.70340 needed to break the lower-highs chain
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 GMT could shift USD tone in ~2h
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 38 · price 0.70111
Lower highs into the 0.7000 handle after NY sell-off.
AUDUSD sold off sharply through the NY session from 0.7075 to sub-0.7000, then recovered to 0.7041 on a softer USD. London hours have ground back lower in a chain of lower highs, with price now pressing the 0.7000 handle again, RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70178, 0.70412, 0.70751
What it said to watch
Sustained loss of 0.7000 reopens the 0.69946 swing low and deeper pullback
Reclaim of 0.70178 needed to break the lower-high chain
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed ~2h out (12:30 GMT) could shift this read
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 39 · price 0.70146
Lower highs / lower lows after rejection at 0.70412.
AUDUSD has carved a chain of lower highs since the rejection at the 0.70412 session high, sliding back toward the 0.7000 psych level on a broadly firmer USD post-FOMC. RSI(14) sub-40 with price retesting the 0.70071 swing low; the 0.69946 session low remains the downside reference.
Support: 0.70071, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70348, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70000 / 0.69946 confirms continuation toward the prior low
Reclaim of 0.70348 breaks the lower-high chain
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 0.70146
Lower highs / lower lows off 0.7040.
London session pressing lower after the FOMC-driven NY slide, with a chain of lower highs from the 0.7040 recovery high. Price hovers just above the 0.70099 recent low with the 0.7000 psych handle below; RSI(14) subdued near 41 and price held under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.70099, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70194, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the 0.69946 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70194 lower high needed to ease the downtrend
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT could shift the USD leg
AUD/USD ground lower through the Asia-into-London window, carving lower highs off 0.70412 toward the 0.70000 psych level. A bounce off 0.70071 lifted RSI(14) from its low but price holds below EMA20/50, and the broadly softer USD that capped the earlier recovery has yet to spark a reclaim.
Support: 0.70071, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70348, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70000 opens the 0.69946 session low
Reclaim of 0.70348 would break the lower-high chain
AU Trimmed Mean CPI (Jun 24) is the key event risk ahead
AUDUSD ground lower through the session, lost the 0.7040 shelf and printed a session low at 0.7007 before a shallow bounce to 0.7017, with RSI(14) near 40. The slide fits the firmer USD post-FOMC dot-flip; price is pressing the 0.7000 handle flagged as a repeated test area.
Support: 0.70071, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70348, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7007 confirms continuation toward the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.70348 lower high needed to neutralise the downtrend read
Lower highs and lower lows since 0.7040 rejection.
AUDUSD grinding lower through London hours toward the 0.7000 handle after the 0.7040 recovery zone capped; recent structure is a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows from 0.7038. A sustained loss of 0.7000 exposes the 0.69946 session low, with RSI(14) in the high-30s and not yet oversold.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7032, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the 0.69946 session low
Reclaim of 0.70320 supply needed to neutralize the downside drift
AU Trimmed Mean CPI (Jun 24) is the key macro test, not imminent
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 34 · price 0.70116
Lower highs, grinding toward 0.7000.
A sharp NY-session selloff drove AUDUSD from 0.7075 sub-0.7000; the overnight bounce to 0.70412 has fully unwound and price is grinding back toward the 0.7000 psych level into London. RSI(14) at 34, lower highs intact as the corrective bounce fades.
Support: 0.70071, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70348, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the path toward the 0.69946 session low
Reclaim of 0.70348 needed to neutralize the lower-high structure
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the read
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 37 · price 0.70126
Rolling over after corrective bounce.
AUDUSD broke down through 0.7000 during NY hours to 0.69946, bounced to 0.70412, but is now making lower highs and grinding back toward the figure with RSI(14) near 37. The corrective bounce has stalled and the 0.7000 handle is the immediate pivot.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70194, 0.70333, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 0.7000 opens deeper pullback toward 0.69946
Reclaim of 0.70194 needed to ease the lower-highs pressure
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD slid through the late-London lows, breaking below 0.70194 and now pressing the 0.7000 psych handle as the hawkish-Fed hangover offsets a softer USD. Price sits right on the 61.8% retracement of the 0.69946-0.70412 recovery, RSI(14) near 37 but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.70071, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70194, 0.70348, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70000 opens the path toward 0.69946 session low
Reclaim of 0.70194 swing needed to ease downside pressure
US jobless claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
London session is pressing AUDUSD lower, breaking below the 0.7030 floor that held through the Asian range and grinding toward the 0.7000 round number, RSI(14) near 30. The bounce off the post-Fed 0.69946 low stalled into the 0.7040 range top and has now unwound, with a fresh chain of lower highs from 0.70744.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70348, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the path toward the 0.6890 area
Reclaim of 0.7040 range top needed to neutralize the lower-high structure
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift USD and this read
Sharp post-FOMC drop to 0.6995 was followed by a corrective bounce to 0.7041 that has since rolled over; price is grinding back toward the 0.7000 psych level on a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) near 34, no longer extended, with sellers capping each push under 0.7040 through the London session.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the path to the 0.69946 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70412 needed to neutralize the lower-high structure
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs since recovery, drifting toward 0.7000.
AUDUSD sliced ~80 pips lower into the FOMC repricing, briefly losing 0.7000 before clawing back to 0.70412. That bounce has stalled into a chain of lower highs and price is fading toward 0.7000 again, RSI(14) sub-40 as the London session sells the rally.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 0.7000 opens downside toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.70412 needed to neutralise the lower-highs structure
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI Jun 24 is the key forward risk for this pair
08:46 UTC
Down after FOMC, drifting lower · RSI 40 · price 0.70186
Recovered off 0.6995, ranging then sliding back.
AUDUSD sliced ~80 pips lower into the 0.6995 low after the hawkish FOMC repricing, then clawed back to ~0.7040 and ranged. The last few bars have rolled back below EMA20/50 toward the 0.7000 handle, RSI(14) cooling near 40.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 0.70000 opens downside toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.70412 needed to neutralize the lower-high structure
AUDUSD has consolidated in a 0.7000–0.7041 range since the post-FOMC plunge that swept the 0.7000 handle to 0.69946. Price is now drifting toward the range floor with a lower-high chain capping at 0.70412 and RSI(14) sub-50; the recovery has stalled at the 0.70335 intraday shelf.
Support: 0.70228, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70000 reopens downside toward SocGen targets
Reclaim of 0.70412 session high needed to neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.70228 confirms a fresh lower-low
Post-FOMC drop, corrective bounce rolling over into lower highs.
AUDUSD sliced ~80 pips lower after the hawkish FOMC repricing, tagging the 0.7000 handle and a 0.69946 low before a corrective bounce to 0.70412. That recovery has stalled into lower highs and price is now drifting back to the 0.70259 session low, RSI(14) sub-45.
Support: 0.70259, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70369, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Sustained break of 0.70259 reopens the 0.7000 handle and the 0.69946 fomc low
Reclaim of 0.70412 recovery high would negate the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD sliced ~80 pips lower into the 0.6995 low on the hawkish FOMC dot-path flip, then clawed back to 0.7041 in Asia on risk-on. Price has since drifted back to 0.7029, capped by a series of lower highs below 0.7041; range 0.7000-0.7041 holding.
Support: 0.70228, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70347, 0.70412
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 0.7000 reopens downside toward the 0.6995 fomc low
Reclaim of 0.70412 recovery high needed to extend the bounce
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend post-FOMC, now ranging · RSI 43 · price 0.70291
Consolidation between 0.7000 and 0.7041 after impulsive drop.
AUDUSD sliced ~80 pips lower after the hawkish FOMC, breaking 0.7050 and tagging 0.69946 before clawing back into a 0.7000–0.7041 range. London hours have drifted back toward range lows, with price at 0.70291 below both EMAs and capped under a series of lower highs near 0.7040.
Support: 0.70265, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.70392
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70265 reopens the 0.7000 handle and post-fomc low
Reclaim of 0.70412 session high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after sharp drop · RSI 44 · price 0.70311
Recovered off sub-0.7000 low, ranging 0.7027-0.7041.
AUDUSD cratered ~80 pips after the hawkish FOMC, slicing 0.7050 and sweeping sub-0.7000 to a session low of 0.69946 before clawing back. Price has since ranged 0.7027-0.7041 through the Asia session and is now drifting at the lower edge near 0.7031, with RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.70265, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 reopens the session low and downside toward 0.6890
Close above 0.70412 negates the session-high cap and the lower-highs sequence
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovering in range · RSI 44 · price 0.70311
Post-drop consolidation, mild lower highs.
Hawkish FOMC repricing slammed AUDUSD ~80 pips through 0.7050 and briefly under 0.7000 yesterday before a recovery stalled near 0.7041, the 61.8% of that drop. Price now consolidates 0.7027-0.7041 with RSI mid-40s and mild lower highs capping the bounce.
Support: 0.70265, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70412
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70265 reopens the 0.7000 handle
Reclaim of 0.70412 needed to extend the recovery
AU/US data risk could reignite the post-FOMC move
07:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.70354
Consolidating after sharp FOMC drop.
AUDUSD sliced ~80 pips and briefly broke 0.7000 to 0.69946 on Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut, then clawed back to range between 0.7029 and the 0.70412 recovery high. RSI(14) flat near 47, ATR compressed to ~5 pips as price idles into the late-Asia/pre-London window.
Support: 0.7029, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 reopens the 0.69946 session low
Reclaim of 0.70412 needed to extend the recovery
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reprice USD
07:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 0.70354
Consolidation after a sharp post-FOMC drop.
Hawkish FOMC flip slammed AUD ~80 pips through 0.7050 in NY hours, with a sweep of the 0.7000 handle to 0.69946 before buyers clawed it back. Price now coils in a 0.7028-0.7041 range into the London open, RSI flat near 50.
Support: 0.7028, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7041, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7041 opens a retest of 0.7050
Failure to hold 0.7028 reopens the 0.7000 handle
Repeated tests of 0.7000 keep downside skew in play
07:31 UTC
Down then recovering, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.70314
Ranging after FOMC-driven flush.
A hawkish-Fed flush sliced AUDUSD through 0.7050 to a sub-0.7000 session low before buyers reclaimed 0.7035. Price has since gone flat, ranging 0.70277–0.70412 with RSI neutral near 46.
Support: 0.70277, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70277 opens a retest of the 0.7000 psych level
M15 close above 0.70412 negates the range
AU CPI Jun 24 is the next high-impact catalyst for this pair
07:31 UTC
Post-FOMC selloff, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.70314
Recovered off 0.6994 low, ranging 0.7028-0.7040.
Hawkish FOMC hold drove AUDUSD down ~80 pips through 0.7050 to a session low at 0.69946 before buyers clawed it back. Price now coils in a tight 0.7028-0.7040 range with ATR compressed to ~5 pips and RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 0.70282, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7040, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7040 range top opens 0.7050 prior pivot
Failure to hold 0.70282 swing low reopens the 0.7000 psych level and 0.69946 session low
AU Trimmed Mean CPI (Jun 24) is the next major risk for this read
07:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.70329
Range-bound after sharp drop, basing ~0.7035.
AUDUSD was sliced from ~0.7070 through 0.7050 to a sub-0.7000 session low on the hawkish FOMC repricing, then clawed back to base between 0.7028 and 0.7041. Price is now mid-range at 0.7033, RSI(14) neutral near 48 after the rebound off 0.6995.
Support: 0.7028, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7041, 0.7070
What it said to watch
Close below 0.7028 reopens the 0.7000 handle and 0.6995 swing low
Close above 0.7041 range top reopens 0.7070 prior high
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
AUDUSD sliced ~80 pips through 0.7050 and briefly under 0.7000 on the hawkish Fed hold yesterday, then clawed back into a 0.7030–0.7040 consolidation through Asia. Price is now grinding sideways at the London open, capped by 0.70412 with RSI(14) hovering near 48.
Support: 0.70277, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70412 reopens 0.7050
Loss of 0.70277 puts the 0.7000 handle back in play
US jobless claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD sliced ~80 pips during the hawkish FOMC repricing yesterday, kissing 0.69946 before clawing back. Price now consolidates 0.7028–0.7041 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 0.70412 recent high caps and 0.7000 sits below as the psychological floor.
Support: 0.7028, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.70562
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70412 opens the 0.70562 drop retrace
Failure to hold 0.7028 reopens the 0.7000 handle and session low at 0.69946
Post-FOMC USD surge ~13h ago sliced AUDUSD through 0.7050 and into 0.69946 on the hawkish 2026 dot flip. Since the NY low, London hours have produced a steady chain of higher-lows back into 0.7037, roughly the 50% retracement of the drop; RSI cooling mid-range as the bounce loses thrust at 0.70412.
Support: 0.7028, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70412 extends the recovery toward 0.70500
Failure to hold 0.70280 reopens a retest of the 0.7000 psych handle
US jobless claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot flip drove AUDUSD ~80 pips lower, sweeping below 0.7000 to 0.6995 before clawing back. Price has since consolidated in the 0.7028-0.7041 band through the Asia session, RSI(14) sitting mid-range with no fresh impulse.
Support: 0.70277, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.7074
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70412 extends the recovery toward 0.70740
Failure to hold 0.70277 reopens the 0.7000 handle
US Initial Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break the range
Higher lows since session low, consolidating under 0.7041.
The hawkish FOMC repricing sliced AUDUSD ~80 pips below 0.7050 and briefly through 0.7000 to a 0.69946 session low before buyers stepped in. Price has since ground out higher lows and is consolidating just under the 0.70412 session high, roughly the 50% retrace of the drop, RSI back near neutral. US jobless claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC are the next catalyst.
Support: 0.70277, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.7056
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70412 extends the recovery toward the 0.70560 pre-drop base
Loss of 0.70277 swing low reopens the 0.7000 psych level
US claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break the consolidation
AUDUSD was sliced ~80 pips through 0.7050 and sub-0.7000 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot flip late in the NY session, then clawed back through the Asia hours. Price is grinding higher in a tight channel, holding above EMA20/50 and pressing the 0.70412 recent high with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.70277, 0.70068, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.70501
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70412 extends the recovery toward 0.70501
Failure to hold 0.70277 reopens the 0.7000 handle and session low
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
AUD sliced ~80 pips on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot flip, breaking through 0.7050 and tagging sub-0.7000 before clawing back to 0.7037. Price has since stalled in a 0.7028-0.7041 band, with the recovery high at 0.70412 capping and the recent low at 0.70277 holding.
Support: 0.70277, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70412 would extend the recovery off the crash low
Failure to hold 0.70277 reopens the 0.7000 handle
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, drifting lower in range · RSI 44 · price 0.70315
Range after sharp down-leg, near range low.
AUDUSD broke hard through 0.7000 during the NY session after Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut, printing 0.6995 before clawing back into a 0.7028–0.7041 band. Asia session is drifting back toward the range low, RSI(14) near 44, price sitting under EMA20 but above EMA50.
Support: 0.70277, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70277 opens the path back toward 0.7000
Reclaim of 0.70412 session high negates the soft tilt
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift USD direction
06:16 UTC
Down then ranging, recovery stalling · RSI 46 · price 0.70315
Range after FOMC flush, mid-range.
Hawkish Warsh FOMC debut flushed AUDUSD ~80 pips into 0.69946 during the prior session, then a grind back stalled near 0.70412. Price now consolidates 0.70277-0.70412, sitting mid-range below EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.70277, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70277 reopens 0.70000 psych and the 0.69946 flush low
Close above 0.70412 session high negates the range read
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs after FOMC sell-off, recovery stalling.
AUDUSD cratered ~80 pips on Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut, bottoming at 0.6995 before clawing back to 0.7040. The recovery is fading into lower highs and price is back at 0.7030 with RSI near 42 — 0.7000 psychological support is the next reference below.
Support: 0.7022, 0.7000, 0.6995
Resistance: 0.7040
What it said to watch
Break below 0.7022 swing low opens 0.7000 psych
Reclaim of 0.7040 recovery hi would negate the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD was knocked from 0.7075 to 0.6995 yesterday on Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut, then clawed back into a 0.7030-0.7040 band. Price is now drifting toward the lower edge near 0.7030 with RSI in the mid-40s; the 0.7000 psych level remains the line marking the post-drop low.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.70751
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens path toward the 0.69946 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70412 needed to negate the post-FOMC range
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Consolidation under session high after sharp drop.
AUDUSD sold off sharply through 0.7000 on Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut, printing a 0.69946 swing low before grinding back along a rising support line. Price now consolidates near 0.70333, just under the 0.70412 session high with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.7030, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.7056
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70300 reopens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level and 0.69946 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70412 session high targets the 0.70560 prior high
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read
05:46 UTC
Recovering off FOMC low, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.70333
Ranging after sharp drop and partial retrace.
The hawkish FOMC surprise under Warsh dumped AUDUSD from 0.70751 to a 0.69946 sweep, before a recovery to 0.70412 stalled. Price now ranges 0.70300–0.70412 through Asia hours, holding roughly the 50% retrace of the drop with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.7030, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70300 reopens the path to 0.7000 psych
Reclaim of 0.70412 session high needed to extend the recovery
AUD CPI (Jun 24) is the next major catalyst for this pair
AUDUSD was slammed from 0.7075 to sub-0.7000 during NY hours on the hawkish Warsh FOMC/dot-plot repricing, then ground back to 0.7040. Recovery has stalled — price coiling at 0.7033 with RSI back to neutral and supply capping at the 0.70412 session high.
Support: 0.70316, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.70751
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70316 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
AUDUSD was hammered to 0.6995 during the NY session on the hawkish FOMC/Warsh repricing and hot US retail sales, then ground back up through the Asia session to retrace roughly half the drop. Price is now stalling at 0.7035 under the EMA20, RSI(14) flat near 46; recovery lows have held but 0.70410 caps the bounce.
Support: 0.7030, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7036, 0.7041
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70300 reopens the 0.70000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.70410 session high needed to extend the recovery
US jobless claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift this read
05:16 UTC
Recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.70351
Sharp drop then tight consolidation.
Hawkish-Warsh FOMC triggered a vertical slide from 0.7075 that swept the 0.7000 psych level down to a 0.69946 swing low before buyers stepped in. Price has since clawed back to a 50% retrace and is grinding sideways between the 0.70320 range low and 0.70412 range high, RSI(14) neutral and ATR(14) compressed to ~5 pips after the volatility spike.
Support: 0.7032, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70412 extends the recovery toward the pre-drop zone
Loss of 0.70320 reopens the 0.7000 psych level and 0.69946 swing low
AUD CPI (Jun 24) is the next high-impact catalyst, well outside this window
Rising lows off 0.6995, consolidating into prior breakdown.
AUDUSD cratered from 0.7075 to 0.6995 on Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut, then ground back to a 50% retrace near 0.7035 through the Asia session. Recovery is orderly with rising lows, but momentum is flattening as price stalls below the 0.7041 recovery high.
Support: 0.7030, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7041, 0.7070
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7041 opens the path back toward the 0.7070 pre-FOMC zone
Loss of 0.7030 session low exposes 0.7000 psych and the 0.6995 FOMC low
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift USD and break this consolidation
Consolidation below session high after sharp drop.
Hawkish Warsh debut at FOMC drove a sharp NY-session sell-off from 0.7075 to 0.6995 yesterday before price ground back up and is now consolidating near 0.7033. The recovery capped at the 0.70412 session high with a mild rejection, and RSI has cooled back toward the mid-40s.
Support: 0.70228, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.7056, 0.70751
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70412 reopens the recovery toward 0.70560
Loss of 0.70228 exposes the 0.7000 psych level again
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD gapped lower into the NY session, dropping ~80 pips to 0.6995 after Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut and the dot-plot lift firmed the USD. Price has since rounded back up to 0.7041 and is now drifting in a tight 0.7033-0.7041 band through the Asia session, RSI(14) flat near 46.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.70751
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 reopens the FOMC low at 0.69946
Reclaim of 0.70412 needed to extend the recovery toward 0.7075
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD sold off sharply after the hawkish FOMC, dropping from 0.7074 to sweep the 0.6995 session low near the 0.7000 psych level, then recovered steadily through Asia to a 0.70412 recent high. Now consolidating around 0.7033 — almost exactly the 50% retrace of the FOMC drop — with RSI back to mid-range.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.7012 base reopens the 0.7000 psych level and session low
Close above 0.70412 recent high extends the recovery toward 0.7050
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD was slammed from 0.7075 to 0.6995 on the hawkish Warsh FOMC and stronger US retail sales, then carved a rounded base and ground back through the Asian session to retrace nearly half the drop. Price now stalls below the 0.70412 session high with RSI(14) mid-range; demand stepped in repeatedly around 0.7000.
Support: 0.7030, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.7056
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70412 session high extends the recovery toward the 0.70560 drop bounce
Loss of 0.70300 session base reopens the 0.7000 psych level
0.7000 break exposes the 0.69946 swing low
04:31 UTC
Recovering off lows, grinding up · RSI 58 · price 0.70355
Rising lows after false break of 0.7000.
Hawkish Warsh FOMC and a hot US retail print spiked the USD and dumped AUDUSD ~80 pips through 0.7000 to 0.69946 before buyers stepped in. Price has since ground back up to 0.70355 on a chain of higher lows, sitting mid recovery range with RSI(14) neutral near 58.
Support: 0.7030, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.70725
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70412 extends the recovery toward 0.70725
Loss of 0.70300 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Hawkish Warsh FOMC dump drove AUDUSD from 0.7075 to a 0.6995 session low during NY hours, then a steady recovery into Asia stalled near 0.7041. Price now consolidating 0.7032-0.7041, sitting on the 50% retrace of the drop with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.7032, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.7060
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70412 extends the recovery toward 0.7060
Break below 0.70320 reopens the 0.7000 psych and 0.6995 session low
Australian CPI Jun 24 is the key fundamental risk for this read
04:16 UTC
Recovery off lows, retracing FOMC drop · RSI 56 · price 0.70374
Higher lows since 0.6995, ~50% retrace of selloff.
Hawkish Warsh FOMC drove a sharp selloff from 0.70751 to 0.69946 yesterday; price has since ground back into 0.7037, retracing just over half the drop on a chain of higher lows. RSI mid-range near 56, ATR compressed to ~5 pips as the recovery stalls under the 0.70412 session high.
Support: 0.7030, 0.7015, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.7045, 0.70751
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70412 session high extends the recovery toward the 0.70450 fib 61.8 zone
Failure to hold 0.70300 pullback low reopens the path to 0.70000 psych
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD knifed through 0.7000 to 0.69946 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot shift, then clawed back in an orderly stair-step. Price is grinding up to 0.70374 with the session high at 0.70412 capping; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 0.7030, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.7056
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70412 extends the recovery toward 0.70560
Loss of 0.70300 reopens the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.69946 swing low
Australian CPI (Jun 24) is the next high-impact catalyst for AUD
04:02 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 61 · price 0.70402
Rounded recovery, higher lows.
AUDUSD dumped from 0.7075 to 0.6995 around the hawkish FOMC print before grinding back to 0.7040, retracing roughly 60% of the slide. Asia built a clean chain of higher lows; RSI(14) near 60, momentum constructive but not stretched.
Support: 0.70349, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7045, 0.70751
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7045 (61.8% fib) opens the path back to 0.7075
Failure to hold 0.7035 recovery support reopens 0.7000
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift USD and this read
04:02 UTC
Recovering, grinding higher off the lows · RSI 63 · price 0.70402
Higher-lows chain after a deep flush.
AUDUSD flushed ~80 pips into the 0.6995 area as the hawkish Warsh FOMC and hot US retail sales firmed the USD, sweeping the 0.7000 psych level before buyers stepped in. Through the Asia session price has carved a steady higher-lows recovery back to 0.70402, RSI(14) mid-range near 63 with both EMAs reclaimed.
Support: 0.7015, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70562
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70150 asia range re-exposes the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.70562 swing high needed to extend the recovery
Failure to hold higher-lows confirms renewed downside toward session low
03:47 UTC
Recovery higher lows after sharp drop · RSI 61 · price 0.70386
Grinding back up, ~50% retrace of FOMC selloff.
Hawkish Warsh-led FOMC drove AUDUSD off 0.7075 down to 0.6995 in the NY session, a vertical drop on heavy range. Asia hours have clawed back steadily through a chain of higher lows to ~0.7039, roughly the 50% retrace of that selloff, with RSI(14) mid-band near 61. Session high at 0.7041 caps for now.
Support: 0.7030, 0.7015, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7041, 0.7044, 0.7060
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70440 (61.8% fib) opens path toward the 0.7060 bounce high
Loss of 0.70300 breaks the rising recovery line
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD broke hard into the hawkish Warsh FOMC and firmer USD, flushing ~80 pips to a 0.6994 low before stabilising. Price has since carved a steady higher-low chain back to 0.70386 and is now pressing the 0.70410 session high; RSI(14) mid-range near 60.
Support: 0.7030, 0.7015, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7041, 0.7056
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70410 opens the path toward 0.70560 bounce high
Failure to hold 0.70300 risks a retest of the 0.70150 range base
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD dropped ~80 pips into the NY session on the hawkish Warsh FOMC and hot US retail sales, bottoming at 0.6995 then carving a double bottom near the 0.7000 psych level. Price has since ground back up to 0.7039 in a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) recovering near 61 with price reclaiming both EMAs; the 0.7060 drop high overhead is the next area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.7022, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.7071
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70600 drop high would extend the recovery toward 0.7071
Loss of 0.70220 swing low reopens the 0.7000 psych base
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp FOMC drop · RSI 60 · price 0.70389
Grinding higher off the session low, higher lows intact.
AUDUSD slumped roughly 80 pips into 0.6995 during NY hours as the hawkish Warsh FOMC and hot US retail sales lifted the dollar. Through the Asia session price has ground steadily back to 0.7039 off a recovery base near 0.7030, RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~5 pips; the 0.70591 bounce high is the next overhead marker.
Support: 0.7030, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70591, 0.70751
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70591 bounce high would extend the recovery toward the 0.70751 pre-drop high
Loss of 0.70300 recovery base reopens the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.69946 fomc low
London open could break the tight Asian grind in either direction
AUDUSD slumped ~80 pips to 0.6995 on the hawkish Warsh FOMC and USD bid, then ground steadily higher through the Asia session to 0.7037 in a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 62, well off extremes; recovery intact while the rising support holds, with 0.70450 the next cap.
Support: 0.7022, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7045, 0.70591
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70450 extends the recovery toward 0.70591
Loss of 0.70220 breaks the higher-low chain
Break of 0.7000 psych re-opens the session low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone
Rebuilding after FOMC-driven flush, grinding up in a channel.
Hawkish Warsh FOMC drove a sharp M15 selloff through 0.7000 into a 0.6995 session low during NY hours; price has since ground higher in a recovery channel to ~0.7037, roughly half the drop retraced. RSI(14) near 60 and price holding above EMA20 as the bounce extends through Asia.
Support: 0.70228, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70444, 0.70591
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70444 (61.8% fib) opens the path toward the 0.70591 swing high
Loss of the 0.70228 swing low risks a retest of 0.7000 psych
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:02 UTC
Recovering after FOMC selloff · RSI 62 · price 0.70361
Higher lows off session low, grinding back into the drop.
The hawkish Warsh FOMC and hot US retail sales sliced AUDUSD from 0.7075 down through 0.7000 to a session low at 0.69946. Asian hours since printed a steady chain of higher lows back to 0.7036, roughly the 50% retrace of that drop; RSI(14) near 62, ATR compressed to ~6 pips as the bleg matures.
Support: 0.70209, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70396, 0.7059
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70396 session high opens the path back toward the 0.70590 bounce high
Loss of 0.70209 swing low reopens 0.7000 psych and the 0.69946 session low
Australian CPI (Jun 24) is the next high-impact catalyst for this read
Warsh's hawkish FOMC hold dumped AUDUSD from 0.7075 to 0.6995 during NY hours; Asia has since carved a grinding recovery back to 0.7036, a clean ~50% retrace of the drop. RSI(14) near 61 with higher lows intact, but the 0.70396 session high still caps.
Support: 0.70209, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70396, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70396 extends recovery toward 0.70500
Failure to hold 0.70209 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Recovery rally after sharp drop · RSI 63 · price 0.70364
Higher lows off 0.6995, retracing the FOMC selloff.
AUD/USD sold off sharply through 0.7000 on the hawkish FOMC/Warsh repricing, bottoming at 0.6995 before a steady recovery through the Asian session. Price is now grinding into 0.70444, the 61.8% retrace of the drop, RSI(14) near 63; rising support off the 0.6995 low remains intact.
Support: 0.70209, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70444, 0.7056
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70444 (61.8% fib) opens the 0.70560 prior range
Close below 0.70209 breaks rising support and reopens the 0.7000 psych level
US jobless claims (12:30 UTC) and AUD CPI on 24 Jun are the next catalysts
02:46 UTC
Recovery uptrend after sharp drop · RSI 61 · price 0.70364
Grinding higher off 0.6995 low post-breakdown.
Post-FOMC selloff during NY hours broke the 0.7069–0.7075 range and swept down to 0.6995 as Warsh's hawkish tone and the hot US retail beat lifted USD. Since the low, AUDUSD has ground steadily higher into the Asia session, now retracing ~50% of the drop near 0.70364 with RSI(14) around 60.
Support: 0.70178, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7056, 0.70725
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70560 needed to extend the recovery toward 0.70725
Failure to hold 0.70178 reopens the 0.70000 psych level
Close below 0.70000 confirms downside continuation
AUD Trimmed Mean CPI (24 Jun) is the next major risk for this read
02:31 UTC
Recovering off lows, lower high intact · RSI 59 · price 0.70321
Rounded base after impulsive drop.
AUDUSD broke down sharply through the NY session as the hawkish FOMC/Warsh repricing bid the USD, dumping from 0.7075 to a session low of 0.69946. Price has since based above the 0.7000 psych level and ground back to a session high of 0.70347 through the Asia session — roughly a 47% recovery of the drop, RSI(14) lifting near 59.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70347, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.69946 session low
Reclaim of 0.7050 needed to negate the lower-high structure
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
02:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 52 · price 0.70321
Rebound off lows, consolidating below resistance.
AUDUSD was slammed from 0.7075 to 0.6995 during the US session as a hawkish FOMC and hot retail data bid the USD. Price has since rounded out a recovery to 0.7032 and is now consolidating just under the 0.70347 session high, near the 50% retrace of the drop.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70347, 0.7050, 0.70751
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70347 opens the path back to 0.70500
Failure to hold 0.70180 reopens the 0.70000 psych level
Loss of 0.70000 confirms a retest of the 0.69946 swing low
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sharp drop · RSI 56 · price 0.70312
FOMC sell-off, recovery into consolidation.
AUDUSD dropped ~80 pips during NY hours on the hawkish FOMC repricing, sweeping below the 0.7000 psych level to 0.69946 before recovering. Asia session has based and crept back to 0.7031, holding a 0.7000–0.7035 range with RSI(14) mid-band; the session high at 0.70347 caps for now.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70347, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7050 negates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.69946 session low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could extend the USD bid
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 58 · price 0.70312
Sharp leg down then recovery grind.
AUDUSD broke down hard off the hawkish FOMC/Warsh presser, tagging a session low at 0.69946 before basing. Price has since ground back to 0.7031, holding above the 0.70180 consolidation shelf; the 0.70347 recovery high is the near-term cap.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70347, 0.7056
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70347 recovery high extends the bounce toward 0.70560
Loss of 0.70180 consolidation reopens the 0.70000 psych and session low
Thin Asia liquidity may exaggerate moves into the next bars
02:02 UTC
Recovering off lows after sharp drop · RSI 56 · price 0.70322
Rounded bottom, higher lows building.
AUDUSD got slammed off 0.70751 into a sweep of 0.7000 down to a session low of 0.69946 as Chair Warsh's hawkish FOMC presser lit up the USD. Price has since clawed back in a steady higher-low chain to 0.7032, with the session high at 0.70347 and RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s; the 0.7050 pivot above remains untested.
Support: 0.70209, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70347, 0.7075
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7050 pivot needed to extend the recovery
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.69946 session low
US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could re-fire the USD bid
02:02 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum building · RSI 57 · price 0.70322
Rounded base after FOMC flush, higher lows.
AUDUSD got flushed ~80 pips into the FOMC hold as Warsh's hawkish presser bid the USD, printing a session low at 0.69946. Price has since carved a rounded base above 0.7000 and ground back to 0.7032 on a chain of higher lows, retracing about half the drop; RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s.
Support: 0.7015, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70347, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7050 pivot negates the post-FOMC downside structure
Failure to hold 0.7000 round number reopens 0.69946 session low
US data at 12:30 UTC (jobless claims, Philly Fed) could shift the USD read
01:46 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 58 · price 0.70328
Sharp selloff, basing and grinding higher.
AUDUSD dumped through 0.7040 into the hawkish FOMC hold, bottoming twice near 0.6995 before basing and grinding back to 0.7033. Recovery is intact off the lows with RSI back near 58, but price still sits below EMA50 and short of the 0.7050 pivot.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7050 pivot needed to negate the bearish leg
Failure to hold 0.7018 base reopens 0.7000 session low
AUD CPI (Jun 24) is the next real catalyst
01:46 UTC
Recovering after FOMC drop · RSI 60 · price 0.70328
Swept 0.7000, grinding higher lows.
Hawkish FOMC hold at the 18:00 UTC bar slammed AUDUSD ~80 pips, sweeping below the 0.7000 figure to 0.69946. Asia has clawed back roughly half the drop, printing higher lows into 0.70347; RSI(14) recovered to ~60 from oversold. Session high at 0.70347 caps, with the 0.7050 pivot the next area to watch above.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70347, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70347 opens the 0.7050 pivot
Failure to hold 0.70180 base risks a retest of 0.7000 psych
Loss of 0.69946 swing low confirms continuation lower
AUD/USD was flushed ~80 pips into the 0.7000 round number on the hawkish FOMC repricing, then carved a rounded base through Asia and is grinding back to 0.7032, just below the 50% retrace of the drop. RSI(14) has recovered to the low-60s and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips as the post-FOMC volatility bled off.
Support: 0.70209, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70591
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70335 opens the path toward the 0.70591 50% retrace
Failure to hold 0.70209 risks a retest of the 0.7000 round number
Australia CPI (Jun 24) is the next major catalyst for this pair
Sharp drop then basing, grinding higher off the low.
AUDUSD knifed lower through 0.7050 into 0.6995 on the hawkish FOMC and USD bid, then carved a base and recovered to 0.7032. Price has reclaimed EMA20 and is rebuilding higher lows off the session low, RSI(14) back near 58 from oversold.
Support: 0.70209, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.7050, 0.70751
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.7050 pivot would extend the recovery toward 0.7075
Failure to hold the 0.7021 recovery low reopens 0.7000 psych and the 0.69946 session low
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Recovering off post-FOMC low · RSI 59 · price 0.70292
Rounded base, higher lows forming.
A hawkish FOMC hold drove AUDUSD sharply lower late in the NY session, dumping from 0.7075 to a 0.69946 low. Price has since based and ground back to 0.70292 through the Asia session on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) recovering near 59. Recent bounce area at 0.70410 caps the retracement so far.
Support: 0.7015, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7031, 0.7041, 0.70725
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70410 extends the recovery toward the 0.70725 pre-drop high
Loss of 0.70150 base re-exposes 0.70000 psych and the 0.69946 session low
Recovery stalling under 0.70310 keeps the post-FOMC range intact
01:16 UTC
Recovering off post-FOMC lows · RSI 60 · price 0.70292
Based after sharp drop, higher lows building.
Hawkish FOMC hold drove AUDUSD off 0.7072 into a 0.6995 flush late in the NY session. Price has since based around the 0.7012-0.7018 zone and is grinding higher into Asia, tagging 0.7031 before the current 0.7029 print.
Support: 0.7018, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70313, 0.70408
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70408 pivot would negate the post-FOMC down leg
Loss of the 0.70180 base reopens the 0.6995 session low
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD leg
01:02 UTC
Recovering after FOMC breakdown · RSI 57 · price 0.70239
Based after sweep, grinding higher in Asia.
A hawkish FOMC hold ~7h ago slammed AUDUSD through 0.7050, sweeping a session low at 0.6995 before buyers stabilised it. The Asia session has based around the 0.7015 asia base and ground back to 0.7024, with the 0.70313 session high capping and RSI(14) recovered to ~57.
Support: 0.7015, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70313, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70313 session high opens the 0.70410 prior shelf
Loss of the 0.70150 asia base re-exposes the 0.7000 psych and 0.6995 session low
Hawkish-hold FOMC drove AUDUSD sharply lower ~7h ago, slicing to 0.69946 before buyers stepped in around the 0.7000 psych level. Price based at 0.7012, then broke up to a 0.70313 session high; now consolidating near 0.7024 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70313, 0.7041
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70313 session high opens path back toward 0.70410
Loss of 0.70120 base re-exposes the 0.7000 psych level and 0.69946 session low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed (12:30 UTC) could shift the USD leg
00:46 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 58 · price 0.70245
FOMC selloff, basing and grinding higher.
Hawkish FOMC drove a vertical ~80 pip drop through 0.7050 to a 0.69946 session low, then price based and ground back up toward the 0.70313 session high. Now consolidating around 0.70245 near the 38.2% retracement of that drop, RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.7015, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70313, 0.7041
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.70150 base reopens 0.70000 psych and the 0.69946 session low
Reclaim of 0.70410 drop pause needed to negate the post-FOMC slide
00:46 UTC
Downtrend stabilising after FOMC drop · RSI 58 · price 0.70245
Post-drop consolidation, recovering off lows.
AUDUSD collapsed from 0.7075 to a 0.6995 sweep low around 18:00 UTC as the hawkish FOMC and dot-plot shift bid the USD. Price has since consolidated 0.7012–0.7018 and pushed back to 0.70313 before easing to 0.70245; the session high at 0.70313 is the immediate cap, with the 0.7000 psych level the magnet flagged into broader USD strength.
Support: 0.7015, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70313, 0.70591, 0.7072
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.70150 puts the 0.7000 psych and 0.69946 swing low back in play
Reclaim of 0.70313 session high opens the 0.70591 swing
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
AUDUSD broke sharply lower into the NY session as hawkish-Warsh FOMC fired the USD, dumping price from 0.7075 to a 0.69946 low. Through the Asian session it based around 0.7012-0.7018 and is now lifting, tagging 0.70313 before easing back to 0.70247 — a ~38% retrace of the FOMC drop.
Support: 0.70107, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70313, 0.70446
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.70446 would negate the lower-high structure
Loss of 0.70107 reopens the 0.7000 psych and 0.69946 swing low
Asian range still developing — thin liquidity exaggerating moves
00:31 UTC
Down then basing, bounce attempt · RSI 56 · price 0.70247
Post-selloff base, lower highs above 0.7010.
AUDUSD knifed lower from 0.7075 to a 0.6995 low during NY hours as a hawkish Warsh-led FOMC and hot US retail sales fired the USD. Price has since based around 0.7010 and bounced to a 0.70313 session high before easing to 0.7025; RSI back near 56 after the washout.
Support: 0.7010, 0.69946, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70313, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7050 would negate the post-FOMC selloff structure
Loss of 0.7010 base reopens the 0.7000 psych and 0.69946 swing low
AU S&P Global PMIs (Jun 22) the next domestic catalyst
00:16 UTC
Downtrend stabilising after FOMC drop · RSI 60 · price 0.70269
Post-drop recovery off 0.7000.
AUDUSD broke sharply lower into the hawkish FOMC fallout, sliding from 0.7075 to sweep below the 0.7000 round number (low 0.6995) before buyers stepped in. Price has since recovered to 0.7027 through the Asia session, RSI(14) lifting back to ~60 off oversold, with the last bar tagging a session high at 0.7031.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70313, 0.7040
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7040 (drop origin) would unwind the post-FOMC slide
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the undershoot toward 0.6995
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
Post-FOMC flush, consolidating then pushing off the low.
The FOMC print torched AUDUSD from 0.7075 to a 0.6995 low, after which price consolidated around 0.7015 through the late session. Asia opened with a push back to 0.70313, stalling near the 38.2% retrace of the drop at 0.70254; RSI(14) recovered to the low-60s.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70313, 0.70408
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70313 extends the bounce toward 0.70408
Failure to hold 0.70120 reopens 0.7000 and the 0.69946 low
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could reanimate the USD bid
00:02 UTC
Down impulse, now stabilising · RSI 59 · price 0.70204
Recovery off FOMC low, higher lows building.
Hawkish FOMC dots slammed AUD/USD from 0.7075 to a 0.6995 low in two NY-session bars. Price has since ground back to 0.7020 on a chain of higher lows, but ATR has collapsed to ~3 pips and the rebound stalls well below the 0.7041 drop origin. Recovery is intact while higher lows hold; the unfilled 0.7041–0.7050 zone caps the upside.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7041, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.69946 fomc low
Reclaim of 0.7050 prior level negates the lower-high structure
US jobless claims / Philly Fed (12:30 UTC) could break this tight range
AUDUSD was knocked sharply lower as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing bid the USD, slicing from 0.70751 through 0.7000 to a 0.69946 session low. Price swept the psych level and has since based, grinding back to 0.70204 near the 0.382 retrace of the drop, RSI(14) recovering from oversold toward the mid-50s.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7041
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.70410 negates the breakdown structure
Loss of 0.70000/0.69946 reopens the downside flagged into the 0.7000 magnet
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed (Thu 12:30 UTC) could shift the USD leg