AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Thursday, 23 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:04 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 44 · price 0.6967
Capped below 0.7026, pulling back through 0.7000.
The June rally extended to 0.7026 before stalling, with twin peaks around 0.7020-0.7026 and a rejection that has since dragged price back below the 0.7000 psychological pivot. The blowout jobs print kept the Aussie bid earlier in the window, but oil-driven risk-off has capped the advance and the last three H4 bars print lower closes toward 0.6962. Momentum has cooled with price now under both EMAs.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7026
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6962 swing low confirms a lower-low and validates the double top
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych pivot negates the rollover read
AUD CPI on Jul 29 is the key catalyst; US flash PMIs Jul 24 could shift the read near-term
Higher highs capped at 0.7026, pulling back below 0.7000.
AUDUSD extended its recovery off the early-month 0.6935 swing low up to a 0.7026 high, but twin rejections near 0.7022 have shaped a potential double top and price has since slipped back through the 0.7000 psych level. The pullback has now reached the 0.6962 swing-low support with price sitting below both EMA20 and EMA50, so the multi-day advance is losing momentum. Move ties to hawkish RBA repricing after the jobs beat, but oil-driven risk-off is capping the upside.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6935
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7022
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6962 confirms a lower-low and undermines the uptrend structure
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.7022 double-top zone
Australia CPI on Jul 29 and US flash PMIs on Jul 24 could materially shift this read
AUDUSD rallied from the 0.6913 base to 0.70263 before the 0.7020 pivot cap stalled the move; price has since rolled back toward 0.6973 and slipped under EMA20 while holding the rising EMA50. The pair is pinned near 0.7000 after this week's strong jobs beat re-lit RBA hike bets, leaving it range-bound between the 0.7020 pivot cap and 0.6970 key support. ATR is moderate — a controlled pullback rather than a trend reversal so far.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6940
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.70263
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7020 pivot cap opens the path toward the 0.70263 swing high and 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.6970 key support confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6940 swing low
Q2 CPI (Jul 29) and RBA Bullock (Jul 28) could materially shift this read
17:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.69731
Higher lows intact, capped at 0.7020/0.7026.
Higher-low structure since the early-month base at 0.6865 remains intact, but the advance has stalled beneath the 0.7020/0.7026 pivot that capped twice — the post-jobs zone that re-lit RBA hike bets and pinned AUD to 0.7000. Price has since rolled back to test the 0.6970 key support, with ATR(14) holding a modest ~18-pip regime. A twin high near 0.7026 leaves the market range-bound into next week's CPI.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6942, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7026, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6970 opens the path to the 0.6942 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7020 pivot reopens 0.7045
Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the make-or-break catalyst for this read
AUDUSD broke above the 0.7000 handle on the blowout jobs print and has since consolidated in a tight range beneath the 0.7026-0.7045 cap zone. Higher-low structure remains intact off the 0.6913 impulse low, but momentum has flattened with price coiling around EMA20 and RSI near neutral. The rally has repeatedly stalled at the declining longer EMA, keeping the pair range-bound around 0.7000.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6940, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.7026, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7045 opens continuation of the uptrend
Failure to hold 0.6970 pivot negates the bounce and threatens a lower low
Higher-low structure has held since the early-month lows near 0.6865, and the rally cleared the 0.7000 handle after the blowout AUD jobs print. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.7026 range high, having twice rejected there, with the pullback to 0.6991 keeping the 0.6970 pivot in play. ATR(14) is moderate, consistent with a pause after the extension rather than an expansion phase.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6960, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.7026, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6970 pivot negates the upside and threatens a lower-low
Close above 0.7026 range high opens the path toward 0.7045
S&P Global PMIs today 23:00 UTC and Q2 CPI Jul 29 could shift this read
09:03 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 54 · price 0.70021
Higher highs and higher lows, pausing above 0.7000.
AUDUSD has held a higher-low sequence since the early-month 0.6913 base, breaking cleanly above 0.6970 and extending to a 0.7026 swing high after the hot AU jobs beat firmed RBA hike bets. Price is now consolidating just above the 0.7000 psych level with ATR moderate; repeated stalls near 0.7026 leave the pair capped below the 0.7045 zone. Momentum is constructive but flattening as the market awaits the Jul 29 CPI.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7026, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7026 opens the path toward the 0.7045 prior cap
Loss of 0.6970 swing low negates the higher-low structure
AU CPI Jul 29 coincides with FOMC — amplifies two-way risk on this pair
Higher-low structure intact since the early-month 0.6865 base; price broke the 0.7000 psych level and is now consolidating just beneath the 0.70263 prior high with the declining 0.7045-0.7050 zone still capping rallies. The hot AU jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K) reinforced the leg up, but repeated failures near 0.7045 have left the pair rotating around 0.7000. ATR(14) has compressed as the range tightens under resistance.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6970, 0.68649
Resistance: 0.70263, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7045 invalidates the cap and opens the path higher
Loss of 0.6970 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the breakout
AU CPI Jul 29 coincides with the FOMC decision — amplifies two-way risk on this pair
AUDUSD extended its multi-week climb off the 0.6866 base, firming after June jobs smashed forecasts (+76.3K vs +15K) and reinforced RBA hike bets. Price is now grinding in a tight band between 0.6970 support and the 0.7026 cap, with the latest bar pushing to 0.70203 before settling at 0.70175. Higher-low structure remains intact and EMAs stack bullishly, but the 0.7026 ceiling has repeatedly absorbed upside.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6961, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.7026, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7026 opens the path to 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.6970 breaks the higher-low structure toward 0.6950
Q2 CPI on 29 Jul (near the Fed decision) could materially shift this read
05:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 61 · price 0.70175
Higher highs and higher lows since early-month low.
AUDUSD holds a clean uptrend, printing higher highs and higher lows since the early-month low near 0.6865, with price trading above both EMA20 and EMA50. The June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K) firmed the Aussie, and the latest bar pushed through the 0.7020 cap to a fresh high at 0.7026. Price is consolidating just above the 0.7000 psych level as ATR(14) holds a steady mid-teens regime.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6970, 0.6941
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7026, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7045 target extends the uptrend leg
Failure to hold 0.7000 psych opens the 0.6970 pivot
Broad uptrend intact off the early-month base near 0.6865, but price has gone rangebound between 0.6970 support and a stubborn 0.7020-0.7026 cap that has rejected AUD twice. ATR(14) has compressed as the pair pins around the 0.7000 handle, with EMA20 flattening just above spot while EMA50 tracks below — a stalling, not reversing, structure. The read is defined by the AU June jobs print landing imminently.
Support: 0.6979, 0.6970, 0.69316
Resistance: 0.7026, 0.7014
What it said to watch
AU June jobs at 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H4 close above 0.7026 opens the path toward 0.7045
Uptrend intact since the early-month low near 0.6913, with higher highs and higher lows carrying price to 0.7026, where the 50-day EMA has capped twice. Price is now consolidating just below the 0.7000 round number after fading off the highs, and ATR(14) around 16 pips reflects a compressed, rangebound tone. The AUD remains pinned near 0.7000 in a hike-vs-hike standoff into the June jobs print.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7026
What it said to watch
AU June jobs at 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H4 close above 0.7026 clears the twice-rejected ema50 cap
Loss of 0.6961 breaks the higher-low sequence toward 0.6835