AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Thursday, 23 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:03 UTC
Downtrend, extended into the lows · RSI 34 · price 0.69678
Lower highs and lower lows; week range broken to the downside.
AUDUSD spent Monday-Wednesday capped at the 0.70263 week high despite the jobs beat, then rolled over hard through the NY session, breaking the 0.6985-0.7020 band and printing 0.69618. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near oversold after the impulsive leg down; a shallow bounce to 0.69740 has so far been contained.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.7000, 0.70263
What it said to watch
Holding below 0.69740 keeps the lower-high structure intact
Reclaim of 0.70000 would negate the range break
Loss of 0.69618 confirms continuation to fresh week lows
US flash PMIs (Fri 13:45 UTC) and Aus PMIs tonight could shift this read
23:03 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 33 · price 0.69678
Range break to the downside.
AUDUSD held a 0.6985-0.7020 band for most of the week after the big jobs beat kept RBA hike bets alive, but the NY session yesterday drove a clean break lower, slicing through the range floor and the 0.6970 support toward 0.6962. Price now trades well below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed near 33, and the 0.6970 level that supported the week has flipped to a cap. Asia hours have stabilised into a thin, low-volume base around 0.6968.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.6985 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 0.6962 opens the path toward 0.6950
US flash PMIs 24 Jul 13:45 UTC could reshape the USD side
22:03 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 31 · price 0.69667
Range break, lower highs.
AUDUSD spent most of the week ranging 0.7000–0.7025 before a sharp late breakdown drove it through the 0.7000 psychological pivot to a fresh low at 0.69618, with oil-driven risk-off capping the earlier jobs-led bid. Price sits pinned near the lows below both EMAs, and RSI(14) is deep in oversold territory. Lower highs have printed near 0.6977 through the NY session as the decline extended.
Support: 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69774, 0.7000, 0.70257
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.69774 lower high would ease downside pressure
Break and hold below 0.69618 confirms continuation to fresh lows
AUDUSD rolled over through the NY session, dropping from 0.7015 to 0.6962 and slicing the 0.7000 psych level and 0.6970 support in one impulse as rallying oil and US-Iran risk-off weighed on the Aussie. Price is now well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near oversold, though the last few bars have flattened just above 0.6962. The week's earlier grind to 0.70263 has fully unwound.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.7000, 0.70263
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.6970 would negate the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.69618 confirms fresh lower lows
S&P Global flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could inject volatility
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned around the 0.7000 psych mark and twice failed near 0.7020, forming a double top before rolling over in the NY session. The decline broke below 0.7000 and the EMA cluster, with oil-led risk-off capping the jobs-driven rally; RSI(14) has pressed into the mid-30s as sellers extended toward the 0.69618 swing low.
Support: 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69775, 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 would neutralise the breakdown read
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned in a 0.6985–0.7025 range around the 0.7000 pivot before a sharp NY-session selloff from ~13:00 UTC drove it through the range floor to fresh lows near 0.6962, in line with oil-driven risk-off. Price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 33 after breaking the 0.7000 psych level that had capped the week. The 0.6962/0.6970 zone is being tested as support after the breakdown.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70153, 0.70263
What it said to watch
H1 reclaim of 0.7000 would negate the range-break read
Loss of 0.69618 opens continuation toward the 0.6970 support zone failing
AUD S&P PMIs at 23:00 UTC today and US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read; CPI Jul 29 is the week's decider
20:03 UTC
Downtrend, breaking lower · RSI 34 · price 0.6967
Range break lower, lower highs and lower lows.
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned in a 0.6990–0.7020 range before rolling over into the NY session, slicing through the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.6970 support the digest had flagged after the strong jobs beat. Price now sits at 0.6967 below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the low 30s, and buyers found a floor only at the 0.69618 swing low. The 0.7020 pivot capped every attempt higher this week and remains the ceiling on any recovery.
Support: 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 0.6970 keeps the lower-low structure intact
H1 close back above 0.6970 re-opens the 0.7000 psych level
Australia S&P Global PMIs tonight (23:00 UTC) could shift this read
Q2 CPI Jul 29 is the make-or-break catalyst for RBA hike pricing
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned in a 0.7000/0.7020 range after the jobs beat, but the NY session sold it hard through the floor, printing a run of lower lows down to 0.6964. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sagging into the mid-30s, testing the 0.6970 support the digest flags as the line that keeps the mildly positive view alive.
Support: 0.6964, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020, 0.7026
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.7000 negates the range-break read
Failure to hold 0.6964 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the week low
Australia S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUD/USD broke below the 0.7000-0.7020 range it had respected since Monday, sliding through the 0.6970 prior floor during the NY session as a firm USD capped the post-jobs bounce. Price now sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near oversold, and the 0.7020 pivot has capped repeated attempts all week. Momentum is one-directional into the close, with 0.6964 the week low now being tested.
Support: 0.6964, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Hourly reclaim of 0.6970 would negate the breakdown and rebuild the range read
Sustained trade below 0.6964 extends the lower-low sequence
Australia S&P PMIs at 23:00 UTC and Q2 CPI Jul 29 could reset near-term hike pricing
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned in the 0.7000/0.7020 pivot zone after the strong jobs beat, but rolled over hard through the NY session, slicing the 0.6970 support that had underpinned the range. Price now sits at 0.69661 below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 32, and prior support at 0.6970 becomes the first resistance to reclaim. The sole late-week USD firmness and pause-risk positioning ahead of Aussie CPI frame the leg lower.
Support: 0.6964, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.6970 negates the breakdown and re-opens the range
Loss of 0.6961 week low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
US S&P Global PMIs (Fri 13:45 UTC) and RBA Bullock/Q2 CPI next week could reshape this read
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building lower · RSI 34 · price 0.69694
Range break, testing lower support.
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned in a 0.6990–0.7026 range as the jobs beat re-lit RBA hike bets but the 0.7000/0.7020 pivot capped every push. Price broke down through 0.7000 into the NY session with a resilient USD taking the pair to 0.69642, and it now sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling near 34. The 0.6970 context support is the immediate battleground after the range break.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69642
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020, 0.70257
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6970 opens 0.69642 swing low and confirms lower-low
H1 close back above 0.7000 psych would neutralise the range break
AU S&P Global PMIs tonight (23:00 UTC) could shift this read
18:02 UTC
Downtrend accelerating late week · RSI 35 · price 0.69694
Range break below 0.7000, lower highs and lows.
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned to the 0.7000/0.7020 pivot after Thursday's jobs beat, then broke down through 0.7000 during the NY session with a firm USD leaning on the pair. Price now sits at 0.69694, well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) sagging into the mid-30s as the selloff extended. The 0.6970 key support is being tested directly.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69642
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 closes below 0.6970 open the path toward the 0.69642 swing low
Reclaim of the 0.7000 psych level would neutralise the range-break read
Australia S&P Global PMIs tonight (23:00 UTC) could shift this read
AUDUSD opened the week near 0.698 and pushed to a double top around 0.7020–0.7026 across the mid-week sessions, but the level capped every attempt after the jobs-beat bid stalled against a firm USD. Price broke down through the 0.7000 psych level into the latest NY session, sweeping the 0.6970 support to a 0.6964 low before a shallow bounce to 0.6977. It now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling near 37.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69642
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.7000 negates the breakdown and re-opens 0.7020
Failure to reclaim 0.6970 leaves the lower-low intact
Australia S&P Global PMIs tonight (23:00 UTC) could shift this read
17:03 UTC
Range broken to downside, momentum bearish · RSI 38 · price 0.69773
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned in a 0.7000-0.7020 pivot zone after Thursday's jobs beat, with the 0.7020 cap and 0.70263 week high rejecting two attempts. The NY session drove a clean break of the 0.7000 psych level, printing a session low at 0.69642 as a firm USD reasserted, and price now sits just above the 0.6970 key support. RSI(14) has rolled toward oversold and price trades below both EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Support: 0.6970, 0.69642
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020, 0.70263
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6970 support confirms extension of the lower low
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych would neutralise the breakdown
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Price spent most of the week pinned in the 0.7000/0.7020 pivot zone after the jobs beat, but the NY session sold off sharply through the 0.6970 support that had capped the downside, printing a fresh week low at 0.69642 before steadying near 0.69735. RSI(14) has cranked down toward 33 with price now well below EMA20 and EMA50, confirming momentum has flipped lower after the range break. The 0.7000 round number and 0.7020 pivot cap now sit overhead as the levels that framed the prior consolidation.
Support: 0.69642, 0.69612
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7002, 0.70263
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 0.6970 confirms the lower low and keeps pressure on 0.69612 week low
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych would drag price back into the prior 0.7000/0.7020 range
Australia S&P Global PMIs tonight (23:00 UTC) could shift this read
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned to the 0.7000/0.7020 pivot after the strong jobs beat, twin peaks at 0.7026 and 0.7021 marking a double top. A sharp NY-session leg lower sliced through 0.6980 and the 0.7000 psych into 0.69642, with RSI(14) collapsing toward oversold and price now stretched below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.69642, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.70263
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6980 would negate the breakdown and restore the range read
Loss of 0.69642 confirms a fresh lower low
Australia and US PMIs (tonight / Fri) plus RBA Bullock Jul 28 and Q2 CPI Jul 29 are the near-term catalysts
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned in the 0.6985–0.7020 band after Tuesday's jobs beat (+76.3K) revived hawkish-RBA pricing, but the NY session sold off hard, snapping the range floor and printing a fresh week low at 0.69669. Price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) down near 33, its lowest of the window. The 0.6970 pivot is the immediate line — it capped the initial drop before buyers stalled.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.7000 negates the range-break read
Failure to hold 0.69669 confirms a lower low and opens the path toward 0.6950
Australian CPI on 29 Jul is the primary swing factor for this pair
AUD/USD spent most of the week caught in the 0.6985-0.7020 band after yesterday's jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K) revived RBA hawkish bets, but the NY session sold off hard, closing below 0.6985 and printing a fresh low at 0.69669. Price now sits under both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) rolling into the mid-30s, marking a clean break of the consolidation floor. The 0.6970 pivot is the immediate area being tested after the drop.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020, 0.70263
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.6985 negates the consolidation breakdown
Failure to hold 0.6970 pivot opens the path toward 0.69669 swing low
Australian CPI Wed 29 Jul is the primary driver for RBA pricing and could reshape this read
AUDUSD spent most of the week caged in the 0.6985-0.7020 consolidation band before a sharp NY-session slide broke it, printing 0.69669 and giving back the post-jobs-beat gains as firmer oil and a two-way USD weighed. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressing into the low 30s. The 0.6970 pivot is the immediate battleground after the range break.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.6970 pivot confirms the lower-low and negates the mild bullish view
Reclaim of 0.7000 round number would put the break back inside the prior range
Aussie flash PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift near-term momentum
14:03 UTC
Range breaking lower · RSI 33 · price 0.6974
Week-long range, downside break of the floor.
The 0.6985-0.7020 band held for most of the week after the strong Aussie jobs beat revived RBA hawkish pricing, but the NY session drove a clean break of the range floor down to 0.6970. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed into the low 30s, and the 0.6970 pivot support is now the level being tested. Reclaiming 0.7000 would be needed to reinstate the range read.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020, 0.7026
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6970 pivot opens the path to the 0.6962 week low
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych puts the 0.7020 range top back in play
Aussie flash PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift this read
13:03 UTC
Range breaking lower, momentum turning down · RSI 35 · price 0.69781
Rejection at 0.7020, losing 0.7000 handle.
AUDUSD spent the week chopping around the 0.7000 handle, and the post-jobs bid to 0.7020 was capped again yesterday, leaving a matched pair of highs near 0.7020-0.7026. Price has since slipped back through 0.7000 and now sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) rolling into the mid-30s. The 0.6974 session low and the 0.6970 pivot are the immediate structural floor after that rejection.
Support: 0.6974, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020, 0.7026
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6970 confirms a lower-low below the week's range
Reclaim of 0.7000 puts the 0.7020 double-top cap back in play
S&P Global PMIs (23:00 UTC) could shift this read
13:03 UTC
Range breaking lower, momentum down · RSI 35 · price 0.69781
Rejection at 0.7020, break below 0.7000 floor.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.70207 after yesterday's blowout jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K) but the move faded and price has since broken back below the 0.7000 handle that framed the week's chop. The current NY session drove a clean leg lower into 0.6974, with price now sitting below both EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) rolling toward oversold. The 0.6970 pivot is the line keeping the prior bounce structure intact.
Support: 0.69743, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.7000 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 0.6970 confirms a lower low and opens toward the week's base
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read intraday
Week-long range around 0.7000, twin highs near 0.7020-0.7026.
AUDUSD chopped around the 0.7000 handle all week, with a jobs-beat pop to 0.7020 fading back under the figure into today's NY hours. The 0.7020-0.7026 wk cap has now rejected price twice, forming a double top, while the fade has dropped price back below EMA20 with RSI(14) rolling off toward 43. The wk pivot at 0.6985 is the near line against a slide toward 0.6970.
Support: 0.6985, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.70263
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6985 wk pivot opens the 0.6970 support
Reclaim of 0.7020 wk cap negates the double top
S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift this read
12:02 UTC
Range, rolling off week high · RSI 43 · price 0.69915
Rejection near 0.7020, back below 0.7000.
AUDUSD spiked to the 0.7020 week high during Thursday's NY session on the blowout jobs print, but the move faded and price has rolled back under the 0.7000 handle. The pair has chopped either side of 0.7000 all week, and this latest fade leaves it sitting on the mid of the week's impulse with RSI(14) back in the low 40s and price under both EMAs.
Support: 0.6984, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7020 week high
Break of 0.6970 pivot negates the week's bounce
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD has chopped around the 0.7000 handle all week; yesterday's jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K) gave bulls a clean push to 0.70263 but the declining resistance zone near 0.7025 capped the move. Price has since leaked back below EMA20/50 into the NY session with RSI(14) rolling off toward 43, leaving the pair pinned to the round number.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.70263
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70263 negates the range read and opens the path toward 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.6970 pivot negates the week's bounce
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift the intraday read
11:02 UTC
Range, momentum rolling over · RSI 44 · price 0.69966
Chop around 0.7000 after rejection at week high.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.7020 after yesterday's blowout jobs print (+76.3K vs +15K) but the move was sold back under the 0.7000 psych handle, leaving a false break at the week high. Price has chopped either side of 0.7000 all week, repeatedly failing into the 0.7020 area, and now sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) rolling into the low 40s. The 0.6985 pivot is the near-term floor; 0.6970 is the line that has kept the upside structure intact.
Support: 0.6985, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.7000 psych re-opens the 0.7020 wk high
AUDUSD has been pinned to the 0.7000 handle all week, with the June jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K) firming RBA hike bets but oil/Iran risk capping the upside. A NY-session push to 0.7020 yesterday was rejected and price has faded back under 0.7000, trading either side of a flattening EMA(20). RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with no clear directional pull.
Support: 0.6984, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020, 0.7026
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7026 negates the week's range ceiling
Failure to hold 0.6970 pivot shifts structure to lower lows
Australia S&P Global PMIs tonight (23:00 UTC) could break the 0.7000 balance
Range around 0.7000, lower highs into the week's close.
AUDUSD has been pinned to the 0.7000 handle all week, with the AUD jobs beat (76.3K) unable to force a clean break of the 0.7020–0.7026 range top. Price faded from 0.70207 back through 0.7000 into the last few bars, with RSI(14) rolling off mid-range and EMA(20) capping just above at the psych level. Range structure remains intact with a slight lower-high tilt.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6984, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.70263
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70263 needed to break the week's range top
Loss of 0.6970 pivot shifts the range tone lower
Australia S&P Global PMIs tonight (23:00 UTC) could shift this read
09:03 UTC
Sideways, capped near 0.7020 · RSI 50 · price 0.70004
Range around the 0.7000 handle.
AUDUSD has spent the week oscillating around 0.7000, firming after Thursday's hot jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K) reinforced RBA hike bets. The 0.7020 area capped the NY-session push and price faded back to the handle, with RSI(14) idling near 50 and EMA20/EMA50 clustered just below spot. Structure is a tight range — supply into 0.7020-0.7026, demand stepping in around 0.6992-0.6980.
Support: 0.6992, 0.6980, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.70263, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70263 opens the path to the 0.7045 cap
Loss of 0.6970 confirms a lower-low and opens downside
AU CPI Jul 29 coincides with the Fed decision — amplifies two-way risk
09:03 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.70004
Oscillating around 0.7000 psych, capped at 0.7020.
AUDUSD has spent the week pinned around the 0.7000 psych level, with rallies into the NY session capped at 0.7020 after the hot AU jobs beat reaffirmed RBA bets but a firmer USD backdrop offset the move. RSI(14) sits near the midline and price is hugging EMA20, reflecting the two-way, directionless read. The 0.7020 area has rejected two attempts this week while 0.7000 keeps drawing price back.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69885, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.70263
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70263 clears the week high and lower-highs cap
Loss of 0.69798 confirms a lower low and opens 0.6970
AU CPI Jul 29 coincides with the Fed decision — high two-way risk
AUDUSD has churned around the 0.7000 psych level all week, poking to a four-week high above 0.7020 before stalling, capped by the declining 50-day EMA near 0.7045. Price holds just above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling around the midline, and the June jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K) reinforced the bid without pushing the pair through the 0.7020 ceiling. The week's floor at 0.6985/0.6970 has contained pullbacks into the NY sessions.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6985, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7020 opens the path toward the 0.7045 50d ema
Failure to hold 0.6985 exposes the 0.6970 support
US flash PMIs (Thu 13:45 UTC) could shift this range read
08:03 UTC
Sideways, capped near 0.7020 · RSI 51 · price 0.70025
Range around 0.7000 figure.
AUDUSD has churned around the 0.7000 figure since Monday's open, poking a four-week high near 0.70263 mid-window before pulling back to 0.698 and bouncing. The 0.7020 zone has capped multiple attempts this week with 0.7045 the heavier barrier, while RSI(14) cycles mid-range near 50. The June jobs beat landed after the cash close, keeping RBA hike bets alive without breaking the range.
Support: 0.6985, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7045 opens the path to renewed upside
Loss of 0.6970 support exposes a lower low
Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Range-bound, capped near 0.7020 · RSI 52 · price 0.70048
Consolidation between 0.6985 and 0.7020.
AUDUSD has churned around the 0.7000 psych level all week, capped repeatedly near the 0.7020 week high. The June jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K) spiked price to a fresh four-week high in the NY session but the figure would not hold, leaving a rejection. RSI(14) is cycling near 50 with price straddling EMA20; the 0.6985–0.7020 range still frames the read.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6985, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7026, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7020 week high opens the path toward 0.7045 resistance
Failure to hold 0.7000 psych exposes the 0.6985 swing low and 0.6970 range low
Q2 CPI Wed 29 Jul (coinciding with the Fed) could materially shift this read
Consolidation around 0.7000, capped near week high.
AUDUSD has churned in a 0.6980–0.7026 range all week, with the 0.7000 figure acting as a pivot and the 0.7020/0.7026 week high capping repeated attempts. The June jobs blowout (76.3K vs 15K) spiked the pair to 0.7020 in yesterday's NY session before it faded back to 0.7005, keeping the 0.7045 EMA barrier untested. RSI(14) is cycling near 50 and price sits just above EMA20 and EMA50, reflecting the balance ahead of Wednesday's Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.6984, 0.6970, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.7026, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7026 week high opens the path to the 0.7045 ema cap
Failure to hold 0.6984 swing low exposes the 0.6970 support zone
Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and Fed decision same day could break the range read
RBA Bullock speech Tue 03:05 GMT a risk to the rate-edge tone
AUDUSD has churned in a range around the 0.7000 psych pivot all week, with rallies repeatedly rejected near 0.7020 at the declining 50-day EMA and the 0.7026 week high. Price reclaimed 0.7000 into the current NY session after the blockbuster jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K) firmed RBA hike bets, printing back above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering toward 58. The move stalled just under the 50d cap, keeping the week's range intact.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6982, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7026
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7020 (50d cap) opens the path toward 0.7045
Failure to hold the 0.7000 psych pivot exposes 0.6970
S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC and Q2 CPI (Jul 29) could reset this read
AUDUSD rebounded off the 0.69824 week low and broke back above the 0.7000 psych pivot after the blockbuster jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K) reinforced RBA hike bets. Price now sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-60s, but the 0.7021 week high has capped the last three hourly attempts. The declining pace since the NY-hour spike shows momentum flattening under that ceiling.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69824, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.70263
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7021 opens the path toward 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens 0.6982 week low
S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift this read
05:03 UTC
Recovery, momentum picking up · RSI 64 · price 0.70139
Range breakout above 0.7000.
Aussie spent most of the week pinned to the 0.7000 handle in a 0.6960–0.7026 range, holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50). The June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K) drove a clean H1 break above 0.7000 into the NY session, pushing price to test the 0.7020 cap that turned it back twice earlier in the week. RSI(14) has cycled up into the low 60s as the recovery leg developed.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69798, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.70263
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70263 opens the path toward 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.7000 revives the 0.6970 pivot
US S&P Global PMIs Fri could shift the USD side of the pair
Aussie Q2 CPI next week is the decisive input for the range
05:03 UTC
Recovering, testing range top · RSI 61 · price 0.70139
Week-long range, pressing highs.
AUDUSD spent the week pinned to the 0.7000 handle in a 0.6970–0.7045 range, twice rejected at the 0.7020 cap. The June employment beat (+76.3K vs +15K f/c) sparked the latest leg, lifting price off 0.6989 to 0.7020 and back above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) turning up near 61. Price now sits just under the 0.7020 area that has capped attempts all week.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6970, 0.69612
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.70263, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close above 0.70200 opens the path to the 0.70263 week high, then 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.70000 psych level puts the 0.6970 range pivot back in play
Q2 CPI (29 Jul) and RBA Bullock (28 Jul) are the decisive inputs — could reshape this read
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned to the 0.7000 handle inside a 0.6970–0.7045 range, twice rejected near the 0.7020 50-day EMA cap. The June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K) sparked a clean H1 breakout, lifting price to 0.70203 and RSI(14) into the mid-60s as it holds above EMA20 and EMA50. Price now sits just under the 0.7020 cap that has capped every attempt this week.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.70263, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7020 clears the 50d ema cap and opens the path to 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.7000 revives the week's range read
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
04:02 UTC
Recovering, momentum turning up · RSI 64 · price 0.70177
Range reclaimed, pressing week highs.
AUDUSD spent the week pinned to the 0.7000 handle in a 0.6970–0.7026 range before the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K f/c) sparked a sharp push back toward the highs. Price now sits at 0.70177 above EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) around 64 after cycling off midweek lows near 0.6980. The 0.7020 area — twice rejected earlier in the week — is the immediate cap being tested again.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.70263
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70263 opens the path to 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens 0.6980 swing low
S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift this read
03:03 UTC
Recovering, momentum picking up · RSI 62 · price 0.70144
Range with fresh breakout attempt above 0.7000.
AUDUSD spent the week pinned to the 0.7000 handle in a 0.6961–0.7026 range before the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K) sparked a sharp leg up into the latest bars, reclaiming 0.7010 with RSI(14) firming above 60. The 0.7020/0.7026 prior-high zone capped two attempts earlier this week and is again the immediate cap. Price is holding above EMA20 and EMA50, both clustered near 0.6995.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6982, 0.69612
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.70263
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70263 week high opens the path toward 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.7000 psych exposes the 0.6982 swing low then 0.6970
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC today could shift this read
AUDUSD spent the week pinned to the 0.7000 handle in a 0.6970–0.7026 range, twice rejected near the 0.7020/50-day EMA cap. The June employment blowout (+76.3K vs +15K) drove the latest NY-hour surge back above 0.7000 and RSI(14) into the low 60s, with price now holding above both EMAs. Resistance at 0.7020 is being retested again after last week's failures.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69824, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.70263, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70263 week high opens the 0.7045 upside tgt
Failure to hold 0.7000 psych re-exposes 0.69824 swing low then 0.6970
Q2 CPI 29 Jul and S&P PMIs today 23:00 UTC could shift this read
02:03 UTC
Range flipping higher post-jobs · RSI 64 · price 0.70113
Range breakout attempt above 0.7000.
AUDUSD spent the week pinned to the 0.7000 handle inside a 0.6970–0.7026 range, twice capped near 0.7020. The June employment beat (+76.3K vs +15K) lit the latest hourly surge back above 0.7000 and toward the 0.7020 cap, lifting price clear of both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) has pushed into the mid-60s on the impulse.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6986, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7026, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7026 (week high) opens the path to 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.6970 range floor
S&P Global PMIs today 13:45 UTC could shift this read
02:03 UTC
Range, upside probe on jobs beat · RSI 62 · price 0.70113
Range-bound around 0.7000, testing top.
AUDUSD has been pinned to the 0.7000 round number all week in a 0.6961–0.7026 band, with the range top at 0.7020 capping two attempts earlier in the week. The latest bar spiked to 0.70203 on the June employment beat (+76.3K vs +15K f/c) before settling at 0.70113, still shy of the week high at 0.70263. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) firming into the low 60s.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.70263, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70263 week high opens the path to the 0.7045 upside cap
Failure to hold the 0.7000 round number reverts price into the mid-range toward 0.6980
Q2 CPI on 29 Jul is the decisive input and could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Rangebound, pinned at 0.7000 · RSI 45 · price 0.69953
Range below week high, lower highs since peak.
AUDUSD has churned around 0.7000 all week, rallying off the Monday low near 0.6961 to a 0.7026 week high before fading through the NY session as price was repeatedly rejected below the 50-day EMA cap near 0.7020. Since the peak it's carved a run of lower highs and now sits marginally above H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range around 45. Surging oil and US-Iran risk kept the risk-sensitive Aussie heavy even as the hawkish-RBA case persists.
Support: 0.6982, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020, 0.7026
What it said to watch
Australia June jobs at 01:30 GMT could break this range decisively
Hourly close above 0.7020 reopens the 0.7026 week high
Loss of 0.6970 uob support exposes downside toward 0.6950
Lower highs since Tuesday peak, capped under 0.7000.
AUDUSD poked a four-week high near 0.7026 mid-week before fading back under the 0.7000 round number, tracing a rounded top with successively lower highs into the Asia session. Price has churned along the 0.6980–0.7000 band with RSI(14) sitting mid-range and pinned below both EMAs, matching the hike-vs-hike standoff described in the context. The 50-day area near 0.7020 rejected two attempts this week.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7026
What it said to watch
AU June jobs at 01:30 GMT (~30min) is a HIGH-impact catalyst that can break this range
Loss of 0.6970 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6950
H1 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7026 week high
AUDUSD churned around the 0.7000 round number all week, tagging a week high at 0.70260 before fading through the NY-Asia transition on higher oil and a firm dollar. Price now sits below EMA20 with RSI(14) drifting into the low 40s, tracing lower highs off the 0.70260 peak. The 0.69800 swing low is the near-term floor with 0.6970 the deeper UOB support beneath.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6970, 0.69612
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7026
What it said to watch
Australia June jobs at 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.70000 reopens the 0.70260 week high
Loss of 0.69800 confirms a lower low toward 0.6970
AUDUSD has churned around 0.7000 all week, with the midweek push to 0.7026 rejected below the 50-day EMA cap before fading back under the figure. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) rolling into the low 40s, and repeated pokes above 0.7000 have failed to hold. The Australia June jobs report at 01:30 GMT is the near-term driver into this read.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7026
What it said to watch
AU June jobs at 01:30 GMT (HIGH) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7026 week high
Failure to hold 0.6970 exposes downside toward 0.6950