AUDUSD opened the week near 0.7002 and ground out an eight-session slide to the 0.6884 week low after Tuesday's soft CPI (4.0% vs 4.4% f/c) revived the no-hike RBA view. A relief bounce in the US session lifted price to 0.6920 before fading back to the flat EMA20 around 0.6907, with RSI lifting off oversold as the 0.6884 base held three times. Resistance at 0.6920 — the range top — capped the rebound; 0.7000 remains the broader cap.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6920 range top opens the path toward 0.7000
Break of the 0.6884 base resumes the downtrend toward 0.6835 key support
RBA Gov Bullock speech (Sun 12:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
AUD logged its 8th straight down day to ~0.6884 on soft May CPI and a hawkish-Fed/tech-selloff combo, but the slide stalled as buyers twice defended the 0.6884 week low. A bounce into the NY session reached 0.6920 before fading, and price is now consolidating just above EMA20 with RSI(14) back to mid-range. The bounce off the 0.6884 base is holding above the EMAs but has yet to clear the 0.6920 cap.
Support: 0.6903, 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6920 would break the corrective ceiling and extend the squeeze toward 0.7000
Failure to hold the 0.6884 week low opens the 0.6835 key support
RBA Gov Bullock (Sun 12:15 GMT) is a high-impact risk that could reset this read
AUDUSD slid from Monday's 0.7005 open to 0.6884 lows, extending the week's ~2.5% decline after soft May CPI revived the no-hike RBA view and a firm USD held mid-term highs. The last 24 hours saw demand step in twice around 0.6884, lifting price into 0.6927 before fading back to 0.6909 — RSI(14) has lifted off its lows into the mid-40s. Price has reclaimed the H1 EMA(20), but the broader sequence of lower highs from 0.7019 still caps.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6927, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6927 opens the path back toward 0.7000
Failure to hold the 0.6884 base confirms a lower-low toward 0.6835
RBA Gov Bullock speech (Sun 12:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ran an 8th straight down session this week, sliding from the 0.7019 Monday high to a 0.6884 trough after May CPI cooled to 4.0% and a tech-led risk-off bid the dollar. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.6884 and squeezed the pair to 0.6926 yesterday, but the rally faded and price now sits back near the EMA(20), still below the EMA(50). RSI(14) has cycled back to neutral around 49 as the bounce loses pace.
Support: 0.6905, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69267, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6884 reopens the week low and downside toward 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.6926 puts the descending resistance and 0.7000 cap back in focus
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
21:03 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 52 · price 0.69099
Lower highs, base building near 0.6884.
AUDUSD logged its 8th straight down day this week toward 0.6884 as soft May CPI revived the no-hike RBA view and a tech-led risk-off bid kept USD near YTD highs. Buyers stepped in twice at 0.6884, and the bounce into NY hours yesterday lifted RSI(14) back near 52 with price reclaiming EMA(20). The 0.69267 lower high still caps the recovery and EMA(50) remains overhead.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.69267
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.69267 would break the week's lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.6884 reopens the path toward 0.6835 march low
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sunday could materially shift this read
AUDUSD bled lower through the week, an 8-day slide on soft May CPI (4.0% vs 4.4%) and a hawkish-Fed USD bid, printing a week low ~0.6884 that held twice. A relief bounce into the NY session lifted price to 0.6927 before easing back to 0.6910, with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range and price reclaiming EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6903
Resistance: 0.69267, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Hold of the 0.6884 double-bottom base keeps the bounce intact; a clean break opens fresh downside
H1 close above 0.6927 swing high targets the 0.7000 cap
RBA Gov Bullock speech (Sun) is a high-impact event that could reshape this read
AUDUSD slid ~2.5% from Monday's 0.7008 open into a 7-month low at 0.6884, where demand stepped in repeatedly to form a double bottom. The pair bounced into the NY session as an in-line US core PCE print and soft headline PCE eased the dollar bid, lifting price to 0.69267 before fading back to the EMA20 around 0.6910. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s, carving a bullish divergence against the lower price low at the base.
Support: 0.69065, 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.69267, 0.7002, 0.70076
What it said to watch
An H1 close above 0.69267 would extend the recovery off the week low
Failure to hold 0.6884 confirms the downtrend and opens 0.6835
US Michigan inflation expectations Fri 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, near-term bounce off base · RSI 54 · price 0.69122
Multi-month lows, basing near 0.6884.
AUDUSD slid ~2.5% across the week to multi-month lows near 0.6884 on softer May CPI and hawkish-Fed pricing, with in-line core PCE today keeping the USD bid firm. Price has repeatedly held 0.6884, and the NY session yesterday drove a sharp recovery off the base to a 0.69267 session high before pulling back to 0.6912. RSI(14) has lifted back to mid-50s as price reclaimed EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.69068, 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.69267, 0.69595
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.69267 reopens the path toward 0.6960
Failure to hold 0.69068 risks a retest of the 0.6884 week low
US Michigan inflation expectations Fri 14:00 GMT could shift this read
AUD/USD spent the week in a downtrend off Monday's 0.7019 open, sliding ~2% on softer CPI and hawkish-Fed bets to a 0.6884 week low. A double bottom there triggered a NY-session bounce into the 0.6927 day high, but momentum has stalled — RSI(14) has recovered toward 54 with price holding just above EMA20 in a 0.6885–0.6927 consolidation.
Support: 0.6905, 0.6885, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6927, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6927 day high would extend the bounce toward the 0.70 round number
Failure to hold 0.6885 week low reopens 0.6835 key support
RBA Bullock (Sat) and further Fed-speak could shift this read
19:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off base · RSI 54 · price 0.69143
Double-bottom base after week-long slide.
AUDUSD slid ~2.5% to 7-month lows near 0.6884 this week after Tuesday's soft headline CPI undercut the RBA hike case. Price carved a double bottom around 0.6884 and squeezed higher through the NY session yesterday to 0.6927 before easing back to 0.6914, now holding just above a recovering EMA(20). The 0.6920 range top has capped the bounce so far while RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-50s from oversold.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.69267, 0.6920, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.6927 day high opens the path back toward 0.70
Failure to hold 0.6884 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.6835 key support
NAB Business Confidence in ~9h and RBA Bullock (Sat) could shift the read
AUDUSD has shed roughly 2.5% from Monday's 0.7012 open into multi-month lows near the 0.68837 week low, pressured by softer Australian CPI and hawkish-Fed repricing. Demand stepped in twice around 0.6884, and the latest NY session bounced the pair back above EMA20 toward the 0.69267 day high with RSI(14) lifting off oversold. The 0.6920 range cap remains the structural ceiling on this recovery.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.69267, 0.6920, 0.70125
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.6920 range cap opens the path toward the 0.70125 weekly open
Failure to hold 0.68837 week low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.6835 key support
Fedspeak and US Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read in the next session
AUDUSD slid through the week from 0.7019 to a 0.6884 base, a ~2% drop driven by the soft AU CPI print and hawkish-Fed repricing. Twin lows near 0.6884 held and price has short-covered into the NY session, reclaiming EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering back through 50 after an in-line US PCE removed a fresh USD catalyst. The 0.69267 session high caps the bounce; broader structure remains lower-high, lower-low until that is cleared.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69267, 0.69414, 0.69566
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.69267 opens the path toward the 0.69414 lower high
Failure to hold 0.6900 psych reopens the 0.68837 week low
RBA Gov Bullock speech (Sat) could shift the AUD read
AUDUSD slid ~2.5% since Monday's open near 0.7012 to a multi-month low at 0.6882, with the AUD CPI miss and a firm USD into US PCE driving the move. Price has based twice near 0.6885 and squeezed higher through the NY session, reclaiming EMA(20) around 0.6900 as RSI(14) lifts back above 50 off oversold. The 0.6920 area has capped the bounce so far and remains the near-term ceiling.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6885, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6953, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close above 0.6920 range cap opens the path to 0.6953
Failure to hold 0.6885 week low confirms continuation toward 0.6835
Fedspeak and US PCE follow-through could shift this read in the next bars
AUDUSD opened the week near 0.7012 Monday and slid roughly 2.5% to a 0.6884 base, with the CPI miss earlier in the week softening the RBA-hike case. The deeply oversold pair has squeezed higher into the NY session, reclaiming EMA(20) as RSI(14) lifts off oversold and twice-tested demand near 0.6884 held. Resistance at 0.6926 caps the bounce so far; in-line US core PCE removed an immediate dollar catalyst.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6926, 0.6957, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6926 then 0.6957 would extend the bounce toward 0.70
Failure to hold 0.6884 reopens the path to 0.6835 key support
Fedspeak today and NAB Business Confidence in ~9h could shift the read
H1 has been in a steady downtrend since Monday's open, extending an eight-day slide to seven-month lows near 0.6884 before basing through the Asia/early-London hours. The last few NY-session bars sparked a sharp recovery after in-line US core PCE denied fresh USD fuel, lifting price into the 0.6920 range cap with RSI(14) climbing back off oversold. The bounce broke the prior 0.6885-0.6905 consolidation but is now testing the upper edge of the week's range.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6966, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6920 invalidates the range cap and opens the path toward 0.7000
Failure to hold 0.6884 reopens the 0.6835 key support
US Fedspeak (Williams/Goolsbee) later today could materially shift the USD read
AUDUSD bled lower all week from the 0.7008 weekly open, extending its eight-day decline to a 7-month base near 0.6884 before an oversold bounce kicked in. The in-line US PCE print denied fresh USD fuel and triggered short-covering into the NY session, with the last four bars lifting price back above EMA(20) to 0.6920. RSI(14) has cycled up off lows around 60 as the 0.6884/0.6890 double base holds.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.6921, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.6920 session high opens room toward 0.7000
Failure to hold 0.6884 reopens the downleg toward 0.6835
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee remarks today could shift the USD read
AUD/USD has bled lower all week, an 8-day slide to 7-month lows after the soft CPI print eroded RBA-hike bets and a firm USD held the bid. Since the 0.6882 trough price has based between 0.6885 and 0.6920, and an in-line core PCE today let the pair nudge back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering off oversold to mid-50s. The broader sequence of lower highs is still intact while 0.6920 caps.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6837
Resistance: 0.6920
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold of 0.6920 range cap would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.6882 week low reopens the path toward 0.6835 key support
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speak later today could shift the USD read
AUDUSD slid through the week to 7-month lows near 0.6884 as the soft AUD CPI eroded RBA-hike bets and a firm USD held into US PCE. The last few bars are basing in a 0.6884-0.6920 range, with price reclaiming EMA(20) on the late NY bounce while EMA(50) still caps overhead. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold back toward 50 as the slide loses pace.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.6920 range cap would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.68837 week low opens the path to 0.6835 key support
Fed speakers tonight could shift the USD-driven read
AUDUSD has bled lower since Monday's open, with the dominant leg from ~0.7019 to 0.6884 driven by Wednesday's soft CPI (4.0% vs 4.4%) eroding RBA-hike bets while a firm USD held bid into US PCE. Price now grinds sideways between 0.6884 and 0.6920 at seven-month lows, capped below both EMAs with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s. The in-line PCE print removed fresh hawkish fuel, leaving the pair heavy but stalled.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6914, 0.6920, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6884 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.6835
Reclaiming 0.6920 would break the consolidation top
Fed Williams/Goolsbee speakers tonight could shift the USD read
AUDUSD has bled from the 0.7010 area at Monday's open to 7-month lows near 0.6884, an extension of the week's slide after the soft CPI print eroded RBA-hike pricing and a firm USD held the bid. The last day has gone sideways in a tight 0.6884-0.6914 band as in-line US PCE removed fresh USD fuel, with price pinned around EMA20 and RSI(14) cycling near the midline. Lower highs off the 0.70186 swing remain intact while the 0.6884 floor holds.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6905, 0.69139, 0.7008
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6884 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6835 key support
Reclaim of 0.69139 ny spike would break the lower-high sequence
Fed speakers (Williams/Goolsbee) tonight could shift USD and this read
AUDUSD has trended lower all week off the 0.70186 high, printing a chain of lower highs into multi-month lows. Price has based around 0.6882–0.6890 over the last two sessions, with a brief spike to 0.69139 as the May jobs beat (40.3K vs 25K) failed to lift the Aussie before fading back to 0.6904. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold to ~49 and price has reclaimed EMA20, but EMA50 still caps overhead.
Support: 0.6893, 0.6882, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.69139, 0.6920
What it said to watch
US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) is the immediate catalyst — could materially shift this read
Close above 0.6920 range top would ease downside pressure
Break below 0.6882 week low reopens 0.6835 key support
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from above 0.7010 Monday to a 0.6884 trough as hawkish-Fed USD strength and softer Australian CPI weighed through an eight-session losing streak. Price has since based around 0.6890-0.6910, with the last NY-hour bar spiking to 0.69139 before settling back at 0.69044, just above a flattening EMR20. RSI(14) has lifted off its lows back near 50, easing the oversold stretch without breaking the broader lower-high structure.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.69139, 0.6920, 0.69595
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 0.6920 range top would ease near-term downside pressure
Break of 0.6884 week low reopens the path toward 0.6835 key support
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from ~0.7022 at Monday's open toward a 0.6884 trough as USD held 13-month highs on Fed-hike bets and softer May CPI weighed on the Aussie. The last day has flattened into a tight 0.6884–0.6906 base ahead of US core PCE, with RSI lifting off oversold but capped in the mid-40s. Price sits just below EMA(20) with EMA(50) overhead, keeping the weekly downtrend intact.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.6894, 0.6920
What it said to watch
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read
Hourly close below 0.6884 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.6920 swing high needed to challenge the week's downtrend
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating above week low.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from the 0.7020 open toward the 0.6884 week low as broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed pricing and softer May CPI weighed on the Aussie. Price now consolidates in a tight 0.6885-0.6905 band beneath EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) basing near 42 after the extended slide. The dominant move stayed intact session after session with each bounce capped under prior lower highs.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69595, 0.7000
What it said to watch
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.6884 week low confirms continuation toward the 0.6835 mar-apr trough
H1 close above 0.6920 range top would break the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD has trended lower all week from Monday's 0.7021 open down to fresh ~3-month lows near the 0.6884 week low, with soft May CPI and a firm USD driving the slide despite the jobs beat. Price is now basing in a 0.6884–0.6906 consolidation below EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) hovering in the low-40s after carving a multi-day downtrend. The 0.6900 pivot has capped the latest bounce attempts.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6906, 0.7000
What it said to watch
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
Acceptance below the 0.6884 week low opens the path toward 0.6835 key support
Reclaim of the 0.6900 pivot would ease the downside pressure into the prior high at 0.6906
Lower highs and lower lows; basing near 3-month lows.
AUDUSD has bled lower all week from the 0.7011 weekly open to fresh 3-month lows near 0.689, an eighth straight down-leg as soft May CPI and firm USD on hawkish-Fed pricing outweighed a strong jobs print. Price has gone sideways into the last 24 hours, coiling between 0.6884 and the 0.6900 pivot below both EMAs, with RSI(14) lifting off its lows but still sub-50. The 0.6900 round number continues to cap rebound attempts.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6957, 0.7011
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 opens the path to 0.6835 key support
Reclaim and hold above 0.6900 psych pivot would ease the downtrend read
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate USD catalyst and could reshape this read
Consolidation above the lows after a sustained leg down.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the week from 0.7024 toward 0.6884 as the USD held a 13-month high on hawkish-Fed pricing, with no lift from firm AUD jobs or sticky core CPI. Since yesterday's NY session price has consolidated between the 0.6884 range floor and 0.6907 range top, with RSI(14) recovering off the oversold readings printed during the slide. The 0.6900 psychological pivot is the line price keeps circling.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6907, 0.6920
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6884 opens the 0.6835 trough
Reclaim and hold above 0.6907 range top eases the downside pressure
US Core PCE today 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD slid steadily from the ~0.7020 area at the week's open to a fresh low at 0.68837, the Aussie pinned near a 3-month low as USD safe-haven demand and a tech-led equity rout dominated despite firm jobs data. The last day-plus has flattened into a tight consolidation around the 0.6900 psych pivot, with the 0.6884 swing low holding as a floor and RSI(14) recovering off oversold. Price is now hugging EMA20 but capped below EMA50.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 opens the 0.6835 trough
Reclaim and hold above 0.6900 psych needed to neutralise the slide; 0.7000 the cap above
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has trended lower all week from Monday's 0.7024 open toward the April-low band as USD held a one-year-high haven bid. Price carved twin lows at 0.6884 across the last two sessions and has since reclaimed the 0.6900 pivot, with RSI(14) basing while price held flat — a mild bullish divergence after the persistent slide. Price is back above EMA(20) but capped under the descending lower-highs line, with EMA(50) still overhead.
Support: 0.6896, 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6907, 0.6957, 0.7000
What it said to watch
US Core PCE today 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 opens the 0.6835 march trough
H1 close above 0.6957 challenges the lower-highs line; 0.7000 is the cap
AUDUSD has bled lower all week from Monday's 0.7015 area, sliding under a firm USD and a tech-led equity rout into a 0.6884 low before stabilising around the 0.6900 psych pivot through the Asia and early London sessions. Price now sits just above EMA(20) but capped by EMA(50), with RSI(14) basing near 48 after the oversold stretch — a flatter RSI against fresh price lows hints at fading downside momentum. The 0.6900 pivot is back in play as near-term support; resistance at 0.6914 and 0.6957 marks the lower-high structure.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6884, 0.6837
Resistance: 0.6914, 0.6957
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 opens the 0.6837 March-April low
Hourly close back above 0.6914 challenges the lower-high sequence
US Core PCE today 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has trended lower since Monday's open near 0.7016, a roughly 1.2% slide driven by tech-led risk-off and broad USD strength. Price has based around the 0.6884 week low over the last day — the 40.3K jobs beat gave only a soft floor — and recovery back above the 0.6900 psych pivot has RSI lifting despite the lower lows. The descending series of lower highs still caps, with the 0.6920 swing high the nearest hurdle.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.69215, 0.6957, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close and acceptance above 0.6900 psych pivot needed to challenge the 0.6920 swing high
Failure to hold the 0.6884 week low confirms a lower-low, opening 0.6835 march low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst and could shift this read
AUDUSD ran a clean ~1.2% slide from Monday's ~0.7020 area to sub-0.6890 lows as a tech-led risk-off and broad USD strength dominated; the May jobs beat (+40.3K vs 25K) only steadied price, not reversed it. The last ~12 hours have coiled between 0.6884 and 0.6905, with price reclaiming EMA20 but still pinned below EMA50 and the 0.6900 pivot. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold toward the midline as the decline pauses.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69215
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance below 0.6900 reopens the 0.68837 week low and 0.6835 april low
H1 close above 0.69215 would break the week's lower-high sequence
US Core PCE today 12:30 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst and could shift this read
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, shedding roughly 1.2% from Monday's 0.7019 area to press 3-month lows, driven by broad USD strength ahead of US Core PCE. The last day has flattened into a tight 0.6884–0.6905 base, with price pinned below EMA20 and RSI(14) cycling in the low-40s. The 0.6900 round number has capped each rebound attempt while 0.6884 keeps absorbing the downside.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6893, 0.6920
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC today is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
Sustained H1 close below 0.6884 opens the 0.6835 March-April low
Reclaim of 0.6900 would relieve the lower-high pressure capping the base
AUDUSD has trended lower all week from the 0.7020 open, with USD exceptionalism and the tech-led equity selloff capping the Aussie despite a firm jobs beat (+40.3K). Price is now basing around 0.6885-0.6900, the lowest since early April, with RSI(14) holding in the low-40s and price pinned below EMA20 and EMA50. The 0.6900 round number has capped each NY-session attempt; 0.68839 marks the week's floor.
Support: 0.68839, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6923
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC today is the dominant near-term driver and could break this base either way
Sustained H1 close below 0.68839 opens the april low at 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.6900 would relieve the downside pressure and target 0.6923
AUDUSD has shed roughly 190 pips since Monday's 0.7024 open, with each NY session printing a fresh lower high as USD dominance and the tech-led equity rout pinned the Aussie at 3-month lows. Price is now basing in a 0.6882-0.6900 band, with the 0.6882 week low holding twice and RSI(14) flattening in the mid-40s after the sustained decline. The strong jobs beat (+40.3K) failed to lift the pair against a broadly bid dollar.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6920, 0.6957
What it said to watch
US Core PCE today 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close below 0.6882 opens the path to the 0.6835 april low
Reclaim of 0.6900 would relieve the oversold downtrend and target 0.6920
AUDUSD spent the week in a steady downtrend, sliding from Monday's 0.7020 area to a 3-month low at 0.6883 as tech-led risk-off and USD strength dominated, overriding this morning's firm jobs beat (+40.3K). Price has based just under 0.6900 over the last sessions, trading below both EMAs with RSI(14) recovering off oversold into the mid-40s. The 0.6900 psych level is now capping recovery attempts while 0.6883 holds as the floor.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6921, 0.7000
What it said to watch
US Core PCE today 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range either way
H1 close below 0.6883 confirms a fresh lower-low, opening 0.6835
Sustained reclaim of 0.6900 would shift the basing read toward a short-cover bounce
AUDUSD trended lower all week, the dominant leg a ~1.2% drop on Tuesday from 0.7005 as USD strength and a tech-led risk-off tape dominated despite the firm jobs beat. Price carved a low at 0.6882 and has consolidated in a tight 0.6884–0.6920 band since, reclaiming the 0.6900 psych into the latest bar with RSI(14) basing off oversold. EMA(20) is being reclaimed but the broader sequence of lower highs into EMA(50) is intact.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6920 breaks the lower-high sequence
Sustained acceptance below 0.6882 opens 0.6835
US Core PCE Thursday is the dominant near-term catalyst and could shift this read
AUDUSD slid roughly 1.7% since Monday's open, with the dominant leg lower through the NY session as USD strength and the tech-led risk-off tape dragged the Aussie to 0.6884, its lowest since April. Price has since consolidated in a 0.6884-0.6920 band, reclaiming the 0.6900 psych mark and edging back above EMA(20) while RSI(14) recovers off oversold. The hawkish-CPI/jobs beat failed to lift the pair against broad dollar dominance.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69215
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thursday is the dominant near-term driver and could materially shift this read
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 opens the 0.6835 region
H1 close above 0.69215 range top would relieve the downside pressure
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.68976
Lower highs into consolidation above week low.
AUDUSD slid through the week from Monday's ~0.7004 open to sub-0.6900, driven by broad USD strength and the tech-led equity rout. Price has based around the 0.6890-0.6900 area over the past day after the softer Australian CPI and an offsetting jobs beat, with RSI(14) recovering off the lows as the decline stalls. The psych pivot at 0.6900 caps the consolidation while the week low at 0.6884 has held repeated tests.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 acceptance below 0.6884 opens the path toward 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.6900 would relieve the basing structure toward the 0.7000 cap
US Core PCE Thursday is the dominant USD catalyst into the next sessions
AUD has been pressured all week, sliding from the 0.7020 zone Tuesday to sub-0.6890 on broad USD strength and the tech-led equity rout, with the softer May CPI print adding little support. Price is now basing just under the 0.6900 pivot, holding above the 0.6882 swing low, with RSI(14) flattening off oversold as the down-leg stalls. The descending lower-high structure remains intact below EMA(50).
Support: 0.6882, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6882 opens the path to the 0.6835 apr trough
Reclaim and acceptance above 0.6900 pivot exposes the 0.7000 cap
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 0.7024 area to a 0.6884 trough as a tech-led equity rout fed broad USD demand and yesterday's softer 4.0% CPI headline kept AUD pinned. Price is now consolidating in a 0.6884–0.6900 band below both EMAs, with RSI(14) basing in the mid-40s after holding oversold near the lows. The 0.6900 pivot has capped recovery attempts into the Asia session.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 0.6900 pivot opens the 0.7000 cap
Break and acceptance below 0.6884 week low targets the 0.6835 march floor
US Core PCE Thursday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, stalling at lows · RSI 44 · price 0.68934
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating near base.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from ~0.7024 toward April lows as USD strength and the tech-led equity rout pressured high-beta AUD; the May CPI miss (4.0% vs 4.4%) added a softer headline read. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.6884–0.6900 band beneath both EMAs, with the 0.6900 pivot capping every bounce and RSI(14) basing in the low-40s. The 0.6884 swing low is the immediate floor.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6959, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.6884 opens the path toward the 0.6835 april trough
Reclaim of the 0.6900 pivot would relieve the downside pressure toward 0.6957
US Core PCE (Thu) is the dominant USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from above 0.7020 Monday into a fresh April-area low at 0.6884 after Tuesday's tech-led risk-off and a firm US dollar. The Aussie CPI miss yesterday did little to stem the bleed, and price is now consolidating just under 0.6900 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold but still capped below EMA(20). Both EMAs sit overhead, keeping the structure heavy as the pair coils into the May jobs print.
Support: 0.68837, 0.68857, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69229, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian Employment Change due now — a sizeable surprise could break this consolidation either way
AUDUSD has bled lower all week, sliding from Monday's 0.7020 open to a fresh April-area low at 0.6884 as the AI/tech equity rout drove safe-haven USD flows and a hawkish-Fed repricing. Price has since stalled and based between 0.6884 and 0.6900 across the last day, with RSI(14) lifting off its lows even as marginal new lows printed — a mild bullish divergence. The pair sits below EMA20 and EMA50, with 0.6900 capping every recovery attempt.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6901, 0.6957, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 acceptance below 0.6884 opens the path to 0.6835
Reclaim and hold above 0.6900 needed to challenge the swing high at 0.6957
AU jobs due now and US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has trended lower all week after Tuesday's impulsive slide, with the tech-led risk-off tape and hawkish-Fed USD pinning the pair to its April lows near 0.6900. Price has been carving a flat base above the 0.68837 swing low through the Asia hours, RSI(14) holding mid-40s with no fresh momentum extension. The round 0.6900 level continues to cap, having rejected the latest probe back toward it.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69215
What it said to watch
Australian jobs at 01:30 UTC (~30min) is the dominant near-term catalyst and can reset this read
Acceptance below 0.68837 opens the path toward the 0.6835 march low
An hourly close back above 0.6900 would challenge the lower-highs sequence
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 0.68951
Lower highs, lower lows; basing under 0.6900.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week from the 0.7020 area, accelerating through the NY session into multi-month lows as a tech-led risk-off tape and hawkish-Fed USD strength weighed on high-beta AUD. Price now bases just under the 0.6900 psych level after tagging 0.6882, holding below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low-40s. The week low at 0.68837 and the 0.6835 March-April trough sit below as the next reference points.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69189, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian jobs at 01:30 UTC (<30min) can materially shift this read
Acceptance below 0.68837 opens the 0.6835 trough
H1 close back above 0.6900 would challenge the lower-high structure
AUDUSD has trended lower all week from Monday's ~0.7004 open, accelerating through the London-NY sessions on hawkish-Fed USD strength and a soft Aussie CPI to fresh April lows near 0.6884. Price now bases just under the 0.6900 pivot with RSI lifting off oversold but still sub-50, and the sequence of lower highs holds below EMA20. Each pullback rally this week has faded inside a descending channel.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6923, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.6884 swing low opens the path toward 0.6835
Reclaim of the 0.6900 pivot needed to ease downside pressure
Australian jobs data due imminently is the near-term swing factor for this read
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating above 0.6884.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from ~0.7024 to fresh April lows under USD exceptionalism and yesterday's soft May CPI failing to support the Aussie. The dominant leg down ran through the European-into-NY sessions, and price is now consolidating in a tight 0.6884–0.6900 band beneath EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) has lifted off the lows but stays sub-50, leaving the bearish structure intact.