Lower highs after mid-week peak, testing range mid.
AUDUSD rallied from Monday's 0.7124 base to 0.7181 by Tuesday's NY session, then rolled over through Wednesday with a sharp rejection from 0.7179 leaving a clean lower high. Price has since worked back toward the week's low at 0.7124, with RSI(14) cycling in the 30-45 band and EMA(20) now sloping lower around 0.7150 capping bounces. AUD/NZD turmoil on the hawkish RBNZ split adds an external drag on the Aussie this week.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7116
Resistance: 0.71495, 0.71759, 0.71815
What it said to watch
H1 close above ema20 near 0.71495 neutralises the lower-high read
Loss of 0.71235 week low opens path to 0.71160 prior low
Fed speakers (Jefferson, Lane, Greene) in Tokyo Thursday could shift USD tone
After Tuesday's NY session push to 0.7181, AUDUSD has rolled over with sellers stepping in below the prior high and price losing both EMA20 and EMA50 on the soft Australian CPI print. The week's range between 0.7116 and 0.7181 still frames the tape, with the range floor near 0.7124 being retested into Asia. RSI(14) at 42 sits in lower-half territory after a bearish divergence at the week high.
Support: 0.7124, 0.7116
Resistance: 0.7179, 0.71815, 0.7155
What it said to watch
An H1 close back above the ema20 near 0.7155 would neutralise the pullback read
Loss of the 0.7124 range floor opens the week low at 0.7116
Fed speakers (Jefferson, Lane, Greene) in Tokyo could materially shift this read
AUDUSD reversed sharply from the 0.71815 week high during yesterday's NY session after softer Australian CPI, breaking back below the 0.71522 shelf and printing a week low at 0.71235. Price is now consolidating in the low 0.714s, below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) cycling around 42 — no divergence yet on the recent low.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7116
Resistance: 0.71522, 0.71815
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71522 breakdown lvl would neutralise the lower-high read
Lower high at 0.7181, rolling back toward 0.7120 swing low.
Price rolled over from the 0.7181 week high during yesterday's NY session and sliced through EMA20 and EMA50, with the soft Australian CPI print accelerating the move toward the 0.7124 swing low. Current consolidation between 0.7128 and 0.7140 sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) at 39, suggesting the lower high is intact. The prior shelf around 0.7167 capped the most recent retest.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7116, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7149, 0.7167, 0.71815
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7116 confirms a lower-low extension toward the 0.7100 psych level
Reclaim of 0.7149 EMA20 would neutralise the lower-high read
Iran headlines and USD risk premium continue to drive intraday swings
19:01 UTC
Rolled over from week highs, downside extending · RSI 38 · price 0.71345
Lower highs since Monday peak, breaking range support.
AUDUSD has rolled over from Tuesday's 0.71815 week high, with a clean break of the 0.71600 shelf during the NY session triggering the leg into 0.71235. Softer Australian CPI was the catalyst earlier today, compounded by USD firmness on Trump's hard line in Iran talks. Price now consolidates just above the session low with RSI(14) near 38 and EMA20/50 capping any bounces.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7116, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7146, 0.7160, 0.71815
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above the 0.71460 ema20 would neutralise the downside extension
Loss of 0.71235 session low opens 0.71160 week low and the 0.71000 psych zone
Renewed Iran headline risk could re-rate USD and shift the read intraday
AUDUSD has rolled over from Tuesday's 0.7181 week high after softer-than-expected Australian inflation, printing a sequence of lower highs into the current NY session and tagging 0.7124 as the week low. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI at 38, and the late-session bounce from 0.7124 has yet to reclaim the 0.7150 area where rejection has been clean. The Iran headline flow is keeping USD supported, capping recovery attempts.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7116, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71495, 0.71815
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.7150 ema20 would neutralise the lower-highs read
Break of 0.7124 week low opens path toward the 0.7100 psych level
Further Iran deal headlines could materially shift USD tone
17:01 UTC
Rolling over from this-week highs · RSI 38 · price 0.71388
Lower highs into prior demand.
Price rolled over from the 0.71815 week high during NY hours yesterday, slicing through the 0.71500 shelf with a clean impulse that took out Tuesday's swing low. RSI(14) is sub-40 with price pinned beneath both EMAs, and the bounce back to 0.71390 looks corrective rather than structural. The 0.71235 week low is the line in the sand for the bearish read.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7116
Resistance: 0.7150, 0.71815
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.71500 broken sup neutralises the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.71235 wk low opens the 0.71160 swing low
Trump-Iran headline flow remains the main wildcard for risk-proxy AUD
16:01 UTC
Pullback within this-week uptrend · RSI 36 · price 0.71265
Rejection at 0.7180, lower highs into 0.7126.
Price has rolled over from the 0.7180 week high during the NY session, breaking back below the EMA20 with a sequence of lower highs into 0.7126. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s after the leg down, with the session low at 0.71235 holding so far on this final bar. Read is a corrective pullback inside the broader this-week advance until the 0.7116 week low gives way.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7116, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7142, 0.7160, 0.71815
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7116 confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's uptrend structure
Reclaim of EMA20 near 0.7160 would neutralise the lower-highs sequence
Iran-US MOU headlines remain a live risk-on/off driver into Asia
Pair has rolled over from the 0.71792 week high after a clean rejection during yesterday's NY session, breaking the rising wedge that built from Monday's 0.71160 low. Price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI at 38, having printed a bearish divergence into the highs. The 0.71283 session low is the immediate structural pivot.
Support: 0.71283, 0.7116, 0.71456
Resistance: 0.71792, 0.7170, 0.71559
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.71283 session low opens path to 0.71160 week low
Reclaim of 0.71559 prior shelf would neutralise the lower-high read
Iran-US MoU headlines continuing to whipsaw risk; AUD sensitive to risk tone
14:01 UTC
Rolling over from week's high · RSI 38 · price 0.71361
Lower high printed, testing range support.
Week peaked twice near 0.71815 before rolling over through the London session, with price losing both EMA20 and EMA50 on the H1. RSI(14) dropped into the high 30s alongside the break, and BBH commentary flagging a drift toward 0.7000 lines up with the lower high already printed. Sellers stepped in at 0.71759 and again at 0.71491, leaving the session low at 0.71283 as the immediate pivot.
Support: 0.71283, 0.7116, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7150, 0.71759, 0.71815
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.71500 (ema20) would neutralise the lower-high read
Loss of 0.71283 session low opens path to the 0.71160 week low
Sustained break of 0.71160 exposes the 0.71000 psych level
13:01 UTC
Pullback within broader range · RSI 36 · price 0.71361
Lower highs since Tue peak, holding above 0.7120.
AUDUSD has unwound the Tuesday push to 0.7181 across the NY session, with sellers stepping in below 0.7175 and price now testing the 0.7128 area for a third time. RSI(14) at 36 with price marginally lower than yesterday's swing low hints at a mild bullish divergence, but EMA(20) and EMA(50) are stacked overhead near 0.7150–0.7165. BBH's note flagging fade toward 0.7000 fits the lower-highs sequence visible since Wednesday's peak.
Support: 0.71283, 0.7116, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7150, 0.71792, 0.71815
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7120 opens path to the 0.7100 psych area
Reclaim of 0.7150 EMA20 would neutralise the pullback read
Iran-US MoU headlines could whip risk-sensitive AUD outside structure
Rally off mid-week lows rejected at 0.7180, lower highs forming.
AUD/USD pushed to a week high at 0.7180 during yesterday's NY session before rejection dragged price back through EMA(20) into 0.7133. Softer Australian CPI helped lift the pair earlier in the week, but reduced RBA hike bets and a steadier USD have unwound most of that move. RSI(14) has tracked lower against equal session highs into 0.7180, with the broken shelf at 0.7146 now acting as resistance.
Support: 0.71316, 0.7116, 0.7070
Resistance: 0.7146, 0.7160, 0.71815
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7116 week low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of EMA(20) near 0.7160 would neutralise the pullback
Headline risk around US-Iran talks could shift the read
After grinding from Monday's 0.7115 low up to the 0.7181 week high during yesterday's NY session, price has rolled over, breaking back below EMA(20) and printing a clean lower high near 0.7179. The soft Australian CPI headline initially supported a pop, but reduced RBA hike bets and Kashkari's hawkish inflation tone have driven the pair to a session low at 0.7135. RSI(14) at 36 confirms momentum has flipped, with the bounce now capped at the EMA(20) shelf around 0.7156.
Support: 0.71353, 0.71248, 0.71159
Resistance: 0.71559, 0.71722, 0.71815
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.7156 ema20 would neutralise the lower-high read
Loss of 0.7135 session low opens the path to 0.7125 and the 0.7116 week low
Sustained rejection at 0.7156 keeps the pullback structure intact
10:01 UTC
Pullback within broader range · RSI 33 · price 0.71394
Rejection from week highs, lower-highs forming.
Price pushed to a week high at 0.71815 during yesterday's NY session before rejecting and rolling over, with H1 now stacking lower-highs through the Asia and early London window. Both EMA(20) and EMA(50) are above price, capping intraday bounces near 0.71522, and RSI(14) at 33 reflects the sustained drift lower. Sellers stepped in again at 0.71460 area; session low at 0.71353 is the immediate pivot.
Support: 0.71353, 0.7116, 0.71242
Resistance: 0.71522, 0.71815
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.71522 (ema20) would neutralise the lower-highs read
Break of 0.71353 session low opens path to 0.71242 prior swing then 0.71160 week low
US-Iran headline risk could drive a step-change move outside the structural read
Price climbed steadily from Monday's 0.7116 low into a week high at 0.71815, but two attempts to extend above 0.7178–0.7181 failed and yesterday's NY session delivered a sharp drop back through EMA20. RSI(14) printed a bearish divergence at the second peak and has now broken into the low 30s as price prints a session low at 0.71353. Structure has shifted from a clean staircase of higher-highs to a rejection off the week high with momentum unwinding into the Asia/early-London handover.
Support: 0.71353, 0.7116, 0.71243
Resistance: 0.7155, 0.71759, 0.71815
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above the EMA20 near 0.71550 would neutralise the pullback
Loss of 0.71353 session low opens the path to 0.71243 monday low and the 0.7116 week low
US-Iran headlines remain the dominant near-term risk-sentiment driver for AUD
Higher highs into 0.7181, now rolling back toward range mid.
AUDUSD pushed from Monday's 0.7116 low up to 0.7181 into yesterday's NY session, but failed to extend after the softer Australia April CPI print and is now retracing into the lower half of the week's range. Price lost EMA20 in this Asia session and has broken back below EMA50, with RSI rolling from the mid-60s down to 38 — a bearish divergence formed on the 0.7181 retest. Session low at 0.71455 is now the immediate pivot for whether the week's uptrend structure holds.
Support: 0.71455, 0.7134, 0.7116
Resistance: 0.7160, 0.7179, 0.71815
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.71455 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's uptrend
Reclaim of 0.71600 ema20 area would neutralise the pullback
Kashkari hawkish Fed comments keeping USD bid into NY session
Higher highs since Monday, now testing intraday support.
AUDUSD pushed from the weekly open near 0.7128 to a week high at 0.71815 across the London-NY transition before stalling. The latest NY session printed a rejection from 0.71792 and price has now slipped back through EMA20, with RSI rolling from the mid-60s into the low 40s — a bearish divergence against the secondary high. Softer-than-expected Australian April CPI added pressure during Asia, dragging price into the 0.71522 session low.
Support: 0.71522, 0.7144, 0.71285
Resistance: 0.71792, 0.71815, 0.71686
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.71522 session low opens the path to 0.71440 prior swing
Reclaim of 0.71686 ema20 would neutralise the pullback read
Break above 0.71815 prior high resumes the week's uptrend
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 48 · price 0.71597
Higher lows since Monday capped by 0.7180.
Price has built a stair-step of higher lows since Monday's open, with EMA(20) and EMA(50) supporting pullbacks into the 0.7140s. The 0.7180 area capped two attempts this week and the latest rejection during yesterday's NY session, alongside softer Australian CPI in the Asia session, has flattened momentum back to mid-range. RSI rolled over from the mid-60s without a new price high, a mild bearish divergence into the week's resistance.
Support: 0.7155, 0.7140, 0.7116
Resistance: 0.7182, 0.7179
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.71820 week high reopens the uptrend
Loss of 0.71550 session low breaks the higher-low sequence
Failure to reclaim EMA20 around 0.71400 would shift structure to range
Higher highs into week resistance, now consolidating.
AUDUSD has climbed steadily since Monday's open, posting higher highs from the 0.7119 week low into a 0.7182 week high during yesterday's NY session. The soft Australian April CPI print this Asian session capped the advance — price tagged 0.7178 then rejected back to 0.7156, leaving a bearish RSI divergence into the prior high. Holding above EMA(20) keeps the broader uptrend intact, but momentum is clearly cooling at week resistance.
Support: 0.7156, 0.7144, 0.7119
Resistance: 0.7179, 0.7182
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.71820 reopens path to fresh week high extension
Loss of 0.71560 session low and EMA(20) at 0.71440 would break the uptrend structure
RBNZ Governor Breman press conference still in flow, can spill into AUD
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday, capped at 0.7180.
AUDUSD has carved higher lows since Monday's reopen, climbing from the 0.7119 week low to a 0.7181 spike high during yesterday's NY session before sellers stepped in. The April CPI miss this Asian session triggered a sharp rejection from 0.7178 back to 0.7155, with price now consolidating just above the EMA(20) near 0.7145. RSI(14) has rolled over from 65 to the high-40s while price held its range, a mild bearish divergence into the week high.
Support: 0.7154, 0.7145, 0.7119
Resistance: 0.7179, 0.71815
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7154 session low opens the EMA20 zone at 0.7145
Reclaim and hold above 0.7179 week high needed to extend the uptrend
Loss of 0.7119 week low invalidates the higher-lows structure
RBNZ Governor Breman presser still ongoing, AUD often correlates
Higher highs into 0.7181 cap, sharp rejection back to mid-range.
AUDUSD has climbed steadily since Monday's open, posting higher highs into the 0.7181 week high during the Asia session before a sharp rejection candle wiped out the prior six hours of gains. The soft Australian April CPI print (4.2% vs 4.4% expected) accelerated the leg down, with price now testing the session low at 0.71547 and probing the H1 EMA(20). RSI(14) has rolled from the mid-60s on the recent push to mid-40s, a bearish divergence against the higher price high.
Support: 0.71547, 0.7145, 0.71285
Resistance: 0.7179, 0.71815, 0.71681
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.71450 (ema20) opens the path back to the 0.71285 prior-day low
Reclaim of 0.71681 prior high would neutralise the rejection read
Core CPI uptick to 3.4% keeps RBA repricing in play — further AUD-side reaction possible into NY
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 58 · price 0.71751
Higher lows since Monday, capped under 0.7180.
AUDUSD has built a steady sequence of higher lows since Monday's open, with price holding above the H1 EMA20 through the NY session and into Asia. Two attempts at 0.7180 have capped this week, with the week high at 0.71815 still untested on the latest push; softer-than-expected Australian April CPI (4.2% vs 4.4% f'cast) just printed without dragging price meaningfully lower. Momentum is fading into the range top as RSI(14) cycles in the upper 50s.
Support: 0.7160, 0.7144, 0.7119
Resistance: 0.71792, 0.71815
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.71815 week high opens room toward 0.7200 psych
Loss of 0.71600 intraday low breaks the higher-low sequence
Soft AU CPI reaction still developing — Asian session response to monitor
AUDUSD has ground higher since Monday's base near 0.7124, with each pullback finding buyers above EMA(20) and printing higher lows into the 0.7160 area. Price stalled at the week high of 0.71815 during yesterday's NY session and has since coiled in a tight 0.7160–0.7178 range as Asia waits on the Australian April CPI print. RSI(14) is cycling in the 50–62 band, consistent with trend continuation but no fresh impulse yet.
Support: 0.7160, 0.7124
Resistance: 0.71815, 0.71759
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.71815 extends the week's uptrend toward fresh highs
Loss of 0.71600 hh pullback breaks the higher-low sequence
Australian April CPI later in Asia could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 54 · price 0.71679
Higher lows since Friday's low, capped at 0.7180.
AUDUSD has worked higher in stair-step fashion since Friday's NY-session low near 0.7125, pushing into a week high at 0.7180 during yesterday's NY hours before easing back. Price has held above EMA(20) through the Asia session but the latest leg failed to make a fresh high against flatter RSI, hinting momentum is tiring just under the round 0.7180 cap. Tomorrow's Australian April CPI print is the obvious pivot for this read.
Support: 0.7160, 0.7155, 0.7128
Resistance: 0.7180, 0.7168
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7180 week high opens path toward 0.7200
Loss of 0.7160 intraday low breaks the higher-low sequence
Australia April CPI print materially changes this read